Overview: Bond traders, who have been anxiously awaiting clarity on the US Federal Reserve's rate policy, are about to receive some much-needed support. The Treasury Department is launching a series of buybacks targeting older and harder-to-trade debt for the first time since the early 2000s. Additionally, the Fed will begin to taper the pace of its quantitative tightening (QT) in June. These measures aim to stabilize a treasury market that has been volatile as investors adjust their expectations amid persistent US growth and inflation. Treasury Market Stabilization: Starting tomorrow, the Treasury Department's buybacks will provide crucial support, helping to improve liquidity for seasoned and less liquid debt. This initiative comes at a time when treasuries have already seen a reduction

Overview: The future trajectory of U.S. interest rates remains highly uncertain, with experts divided on whether rates will return to pre-pandemic levels or remain elevated for an extended period. Even Nobel laureate economist Paul Krugman expressed his confusion over the matter, highlighting the complexity and unpredictability of the current economic environment. Bond Market: Yield Surge and Predictions The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield currently hovers around 4.4%, a significant rise from the sub-2% levels seen before the pandemic. The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has projected that yields will stay around 4% over the next decade. This marked increase reflects the ongoing economic adjustments and the market's expectations of prolonged higher interest rates. Economic Factor

Overview Oil prices have been highly volatile in recent months, and the latest report from the International Energy Agency (IEA) suggests that this volatility may continue. The IEA's mid-2024 oil market report highlights a significant imbalance between oil supply and demand that is expected to develop by 2030. While strong demand from growing Asian economies and sectors such as aviation and petrochemicals will drive oil consumption, several factors are set to counterbalance this growth. These include the rise of electric vehicles, improvements in fuel efficiency, reduced use of oil for power generation in the Middle East, and broader economic structural changes. The IEA projects that global oil demand, including biofuels, will stabilize at around 106 million barrels per day by 2030, while

Pelosi's recent trades include an increase in her position in Palo Alto Networks $Palo Alto Networks(PANW)$   after its stock plummeted following a disappointing earnings report in February. Her purchases occurred at an average of about $283 per share in late February and early April. Since then, the stock has rallied to more than $303 per share, marking its fourth consecutive day of gains. Barclays analysts also recently expressed optimism about Palo Alto Networks, noting that the company's upcoming earnings report may rebuild confidence among investors. This positive outlook aligns with Pelosi's move to buy more shares at a discount, suggesting she shares the analysts' confidence in the company's potential for recovery. Insights and Fu

I opened $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  ,Despite the recent decline in Nvidia's stock price and the broader market downturn, my decision to invest in Nvidia remains grounded in the company's strong fundamentals and future potential. While short-term fluctuations are inevitable, the long-term outlook for Nvidia appears robust, driven by its leading position in key technological sectors.

I closed $NVDA 20240816 107.0 PUT$  ,Selling the long put option and close the position earlier was a tactical move in view of limited downside and recapture some premium before expiration of the option.

I opened $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  ,I added to my NVDA position due to its significant potential despite recent volatility. Nvidia's GPUs drive AI advancements, and the upcoming Blackwell platform is poised to enhance growth. With a forward P/E of 26 and expected 41% revenue growth, this dip offers a compelling entry point. Analysts predict substantial long-term gains driven by continued innovation and strong market demand.

I opened $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  ,Invested in NVDA due to attractive valuation post-dip, with promising AI hardware advancements and strong future revenue growth expected despite near-term uncertainties.

I opened $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  ,I made an additional investment in Nvidia, driven by the anticipation of their upcoming earnings release on August 28, 2024. Nvidia has been a standout performer in the stock market this year, with its shares having risen by approximately 160% year-to-date, reflecting investor confidence in its dominant position in the AI chip market.

The recent drop in Tesla Motors' (TSLA) stock price following a Q1 delivery miss and a sustained decline below its 200-day moving average raises questions about the company's future prospects. Investors' pessimism about Tesla's future trend, with some predicting a further decline to $120 or $110, contrasts with ARK ETFs' Cathie Wood, who recently added a significant number of Tesla shares to her portfolio. Here is my view on how to take advantage of implied volatility (IV) crush during the earnings season, as well as whether to bottom-fish Tesla stock at the current or lower levels: Understand IV Crush: Implied volatility (IV) often spikes before earnings announcements due to the uncertainty around potential stock price movement. Once the earnings report is released, IV tends to drop signi

Brief Overview: On Monday, April 22, 2024, global stock markets experienced a strong rebound, driven by improving investor sentiment and the anticipation of upcoming earnings reports from major technology companies. In the US, the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite all saw significant gains, buoyed by stable bond yields. European markets also rallied, with major indices showing positive momentum as geopolitical tensions eased. Asian markets were mostly higher, except for China's Shanghai Composite index, which faced minor losses. United States: On Monday, the US stock market experienced a rebound, providing relief from the sharp declines seen in April. This turnaround came as bond yields steadied, and investors anticipated the upcoming earnings reports from major technology compa

I opened $Alphabet(GOOG)$  ,The decision to invest more in GOOG stock is a strategic move to capitalize on Google's enhanced capabilities and its potential for future revenue growth through its ongoing commitment to leveraging AI to enhance its core product, ensuring its continued dominance in the search industry and paving the way for sustained financial growth. Please see my post on 'Investment Reflection on GOOG stock' published on 17 May 2024

Overview On May 15, 2024, I initiated a vertical put option strategy on Li Auto (LI) by selling a put option at a strike price of USD 23 and simultaneously buying a put option at a strike price of USD 22. This strategy, which is set to mature on June 14, 2024, allowed me to collect an option premium of USD 25. Market Context Li Auto's stock has experienced significant volatility recently. After reaching a 52-week high on February 26, 2024, the stock plummeted by 42% due to the company’s reduced March delivery estimates. The primary catalyst for this decline was the negative reception of Li Auto's new electric vehicle model, Mega, by Chinese consumers. This was compounded by broader concerns about the slowdown in China's new energy vehicle market, which led to a widespread selloff in the in

I opened $WBA 20240726 10.5 CALL$  ,The decision to sell a covered call on WBA is rooted in a balanced approach to income generation and risk management. By capitalizing on Walgreens' strategic operational adjustments, this strategy aims to benefit from both the premium income and potential moderate stock price appreciation. Please see my post on 'Investment Reflection on WBA Covered Call Strategy' published on 13 July 2024.

I closed $GOLD 20240614 18.0 CALL$  ,Selling covered call benefited from earning premium income in advance on the GOLD stock that currently own and holding the sold call position till maturity to capture the full premium.

Overview: In recent discussions, analysts from Stifel, Nicolaus & Co have shared a bullish yet cautionary perspective on the S&P 500's $S&P 500(.SPX)$   trajectory. They project that the index could soar to new heights, potentially reaching 6000 points by the end of 2024. However, this optimism is tempered by warnings of an impending market correction, reminiscent of past bubbles. Barry Bannister, a key analyst at Stifel, forecasts a significant retreat in the S&P 500 to 4800 points by mid-2026, signaling a potential decline of about 20% from its projected peak. Technology Stocks: Highs and Lows Ahead Technology stocks have been instrumental in driving the S&P 500's upward momentum, with investors flocking to the

I opened $Alphabet(GOOG)$  ,My additional investment in GOOG is driven by the company's leadership in online advertising and its promising advancements in AI. Please see my post on 'Investment Reflection on Additional GOOG Stock Purchase' published on 31 May 2024.

I opened $Mapletree Log Tr(M44U.SI)$  ,The proposed acquisitions of assets in Malaysia and Vietnam present promising growth opportunities for M44U, further diversifying its portfolio and potentially enhancing its income-generating capacity in high-growth markets.