Yannyz的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Yannyz

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2022-04-03

Good

抱歉，原内容已删除

2022-03-23

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@库巴财经:中概股当下的反弹只是前菜，真正的大涨还在后面，那将是场盛宴

2022-03-23

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@库巴财经:中概股当下的反弹只是前菜，真正的大涨还在后面，那将是场盛宴

2022-02-19

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@东莞烧鸟仙人:$英伟达(NVDA)$明天财报好就找她们两位侍寝[得意] [得意] [得意]

2022-02-01

Tread carefully

3 Stocks That Can Plunge 42% to 92% in 2022, According to Wall Street

2021-12-03

Good

@Changjieming:Bought $Alibaba(BABA)$During the dip yesterday. Hope I made the right choice over buying $Sea Ltd(SE)$🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻

2021-12-02

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@koolgal:$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$ has dropped below the 30.00 mark today! It is bargain hunting time! Short term drop, long term gain. Go DBS! 🚀🚀🚀🌙🌙🌙

2021-11-26

Good

@KYHBKO:how to trade Alibaba after the drop

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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阶段。实际上，从去年中概股进入下降通道开始到近期的大跌，其跌幅达到70%以上的公司比比皆是。主要原因一共有三个方面。第一，是因为去年互联网企业的反垄断，在互联网企业调整初期，这个因素是最重要的因素，但是随着时间的推移，一些头部互联网都跌出了价值。例如，腾讯的市盈率（动态）就只剩下了15倍，阿里的市盈率只剩下25倍，网易的市盈率也只剩了22倍，那么这样的市盈率甚至都不如一些传统产业。所以，从去年8月开始段永平就开始分阶段地买入腾讯，芒格也开始大举加仓阿里。对于这些著名投资者而言，尽管不能判断绝对底部，但是对于公司的估值，他们可谓研究的是非常深的。段永平就曾说过，买股票就是买公司未来现金流的折现，而这些公司现金流一般都比较好，因此当外界恐慌时，就特别考验投资人的耐力和毅力第二，互联网估值方法发生了变化。过去四五年里，互联网圈崇尚烧钱——圈用户——涨价的三部曲。从去年开始，当共享单车、互联网咖啡、共享充电宝等商业模式失效之后，这种烧钱的模式逐渐被淘汰，而且资本市场对于原来互联网这一套模式也从认可走向了怀疑，例如怪兽充电一年的时间，股价就从最高的10美元/股下跌到了1美元/股左右。另外，再加上对于资本无序扩张的遏制，以往烧钱的模式已经玩不通了，未来互联网的估值方法估计也会从用户规模、专项赛道以及盈利水平，而估值方法的变化，也是中概股下跌助推剂。第三，美联储加息的影响以及中概股退市消息的影响。众所周知，中概股在美股中估值一直都不算太高，进入加息通道之后，美国科技股承压非常明显，这也直接导致了中概股承压，而且因","text":"3月14日-18日，中概股迎来了绝地大反击，其中滴滴大涨116%，老虎国际大涨73%，雾芯科技60%，哔哩哔哩，阿里等均匀不同程度的涨幅……本次中概股大涨既是情绪的释放，也是利空结束的标志，但这并不意味着中概股当即会立马启动收复去年的“失地”，未来一段时间，中概股很有可能进入筑底阶段。实际上，从去年中概股进入下降通道开始到近期的大跌，其跌幅达到70%以上的公司比比皆是。主要原因一共有三个方面。第一，是因为去年互联网企业的反垄断，在互联网企业调整初期，这个因素是最重要的因素，但是随着时间的推移，一些头部互联网都跌出了价值。例如，腾讯的市盈率（动态）就只剩下了15倍，阿里的市盈率只剩下25倍，网易的市盈率也只剩了22倍，那么这样的市盈率甚至都不如一些传统产业。所以，从去年8月开始段永平就开始分阶段地买入腾讯，芒格也开始大举加仓阿里。对于这些著名投资者而言，尽管不能判断绝对底部，但是对于公司的估值，他们可谓研究的是非常深的。段永平就曾说过，买股票就是买公司未来现金流的折现，而这些公司现金流一般都比较好，因此当外界恐慌时，就特别考验投资人的耐力和毅力第二，互联网估值方法发生了变化。过去四五年里，互联网圈崇尚烧钱——圈用户——涨价的三部曲。从去年开始，当共享单车、互联网咖啡、共享充电宝等商业模式失效之后，这种烧钱的模式逐渐被淘汰，而且资本市场对于原来互联网这一套模式也从认可走向了怀疑，例如怪兽充电一年的时间，股价就从最高的10美元/股下跌到了1美元/股左右。另外，再加上对于资本无序扩张的遏制，以往烧钱的模式已经玩不通了，未来互联网的估值方法估计也会从用户规模、专项赛道以及盈利水平，而估值方法的变化，也是中概股下跌助推剂。第三，美联储加息的影响以及中概股退市消息的影响。众所周知，中概股在美股中估值一直都不算太高，进入加息通道之后，美国科技股承压非常明显，这也直接导致了中概股承压，而且因","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/678ba569fa19de03e3ba39087bbabca4","width":"1503","height":"1709"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/637916878","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":526,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":637661769,"gmtCreate":1648045494251,"gmtModify":1648045494372,"author":{"id":"4090357984883920","authorId":"4090357984883920","name":"Yannyz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/637661769","repostId":"637916878","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":637916878,"gmtCreate":1647854842757,"gmtModify":1647860182175,"author":{"id":"3582524673862453","authorId":"3582524673862453","name":"库巴财经","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"中概股当下的反弹只是前菜，真正的大涨还在后面，那将是场盛宴","htmlText":"3月14日-18日，中概股迎来了绝地大反击，其中滴滴大涨116%，老虎国际大涨73%，雾芯科技60%，哔哩哔哩，阿里等均匀不同程度的涨幅……本次中概股大涨既是情绪的释放，也是利空结束的标志，但这并不意味着中概股当即会立马启动收复去年的“失地”，未来一段时间，中概股很有可能进入筑底阶段。实际上，从去年中概股进入下降通道开始到近期的大跌，其跌幅达到70%以上的公司比比皆是。主要原因一共有三个方面。第一，是因为去年互联网企业的反垄断，在互联网企业调整初期，这个因素是最重要的因素，但是随着时间的推移，一些头部互联网都跌出了价值。例如，腾讯的市盈率（动态）就只剩下了15倍，阿里的市盈率只剩下25倍，网易的市盈率也只剩了22倍，那么这样的市盈率甚至都不如一些传统产业。所以，从去年8月开始段永平就开始分阶段地买入腾讯，芒格也开始大举加仓阿里。对于这些著名投资者而言，尽管不能判断绝对底部，但是对于公司的估值，他们可谓研究的是非常深的。段永平就曾说过，买股票就是买公司未来现金流的折现，而这些公司现金流一般都比较好，因此当外界恐慌时，就特别考验投资人的耐力和毅力第二，互联网估值方法发生了变化。过去四五年里，互联网圈崇尚烧钱——圈用户——涨价的三部曲。从去年开始，当共享单车、互联网咖啡、共享充电宝等商业模式失效之后，这种烧钱的模式逐渐被淘汰，而且资本市场对于原来互联网这一套模式也从认可走向了怀疑，例如怪兽充电一年的时间，股价就从最高的10美元/股下跌到了1美元/股左右。另外，再加上对于资本无序扩张的遏制，以往烧钱的模式已经玩不通了，未来互联网的估值方法估计也会从用户规模、专项赛道以及盈利水平，而估值方法的变化，也是中概股下跌助推剂。第三，美联储加息的影响以及中概股退市消息的影响。众所周知，中概股在美股中估值一直都不算太高，进入加息通道之后，美国科技股承压非常明显，这也直接导致了中概股承压，而且因","listText":"3月14日-18日，中概股迎来了绝地大反击，其中滴滴大涨116%，老虎国际大涨73%，雾芯科技60%，哔哩哔哩，阿里等均匀不同程度的涨幅……本次中概股大涨既是情绪的释放，也是利空结束的标志，但这并不意味着中概股当即会立马启动收复去年的“失地”，未来一段时间，中概股很有可能进入筑底阶段。实际上，从去年中概股进入下降通道开始到近期的大跌，其跌幅达到70%以上的公司比比皆是。主要原因一共有三个方面。第一，是因为去年互联网企业的反垄断，在互联网企业调整初期，这个因素是最重要的因素，但是随着时间的推移，一些头部互联网都跌出了价值。例如，腾讯的市盈率（动态）就只剩下了15倍，阿里的市盈率只剩下25倍，网易的市盈率也只剩了22倍，那么这样的市盈率甚至都不如一些传统产业。所以，从去年8月开始段永平就开始分阶段地买入腾讯，芒格也开始大举加仓阿里。对于这些著名投资者而言，尽管不能判断绝对底部，但是对于公司的估值，他们可谓研究的是非常深的。段永平就曾说过，买股票就是买公司未来现金流的折现，而这些公司现金流一般都比较好，因此当外界恐慌时，就特别考验投资人的耐力和毅力第二，互联网估值方法发生了变化。过去四五年里，互联网圈崇尚烧钱——圈用户——涨价的三部曲。从去年开始，当共享单车、互联网咖啡、共享充电宝等商业模式失效之后，这种烧钱的模式逐渐被淘汰，而且资本市场对于原来互联网这一套模式也从认可走向了怀疑，例如怪兽充电一年的时间，股价就从最高的10美元/股下跌到了1美元/股左右。另外，再加上对于资本无序扩张的遏制，以往烧钱的模式已经玩不通了，未来互联网的估值方法估计也会从用户规模、专项赛道以及盈利水平，而估值方法的变化，也是中概股下跌助推剂。第三，美联储加息的影响以及中概股退市消息的影响。众所周知，中概股在美股中估值一直都不算太高，进入加息通道之后，美国科技股承压非常明显，这也直接导致了中概股承压，而且因","text":"3月14日-18日，中概股迎来了绝地大反击，其中滴滴大涨116%，老虎国际大涨73%，雾芯科技60%，哔哩哔哩，阿里等均匀不同程度的涨幅……本次中概股大涨既是情绪的释放，也是利空结束的标志，但这并不意味着中概股当即会立马启动收复去年的“失地”，未来一段时间，中概股很有可能进入筑底阶段。实际上，从去年中概股进入下降通道开始到近期的大跌，其跌幅达到70%以上的公司比比皆是。主要原因一共有三个方面。第一，是因为去年互联网企业的反垄断，在互联网企业调整初期，这个因素是最重要的因素，但是随着时间的推移，一些头部互联网都跌出了价值。例如，腾讯的市盈率（动态）就只剩下了15倍，阿里的市盈率只剩下25倍，网易的市盈率也只剩了22倍，那么这样的市盈率甚至都不如一些传统产业。所以，从去年8月开始段永平就开始分阶段地买入腾讯，芒格也开始大举加仓阿里。对于这些著名投资者而言，尽管不能判断绝对底部，但是对于公司的估值，他们可谓研究的是非常深的。段永平就曾说过，买股票就是买公司未来现金流的折现，而这些公司现金流一般都比较好，因此当外界恐慌时，就特别考验投资人的耐力和毅力第二，互联网估值方法发生了变化。过去四五年里，互联网圈崇尚烧钱——圈用户——涨价的三部曲。从去年开始，当共享单车、互联网咖啡、共享充电宝等商业模式失效之后，这种烧钱的模式逐渐被淘汰，而且资本市场对于原来互联网这一套模式也从认可走向了怀疑，例如怪兽充电一年的时间，股价就从最高的10美元/股下跌到了1美元/股左右。另外，再加上对于资本无序扩张的遏制，以往烧钱的模式已经玩不通了，未来互联网的估值方法估计也会从用户规模、专项赛道以及盈利水平，而估值方法的变化，也是中概股下跌助推剂。第三，美联储加息的影响以及中概股退市消息的影响。众所周知，中概股在美股中估值一直都不算太高，进入加息通道之后，美国科技股承压非常明显，这也直接导致了中概股承压，而且因","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/678ba569fa19de03e3ba39087bbabca4","width":"1503","height":"1709"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/637916878","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":700,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":638634778,"gmtCreate":1645225648394,"gmtModify":1645225648596,"author":{"id":"4090357984883920","authorId":"4090357984883920","name":"Yannyz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/638634778","repostId":"638018158","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":638018158,"gmtCreate":1644984428077,"gmtModify":1645423074083,"author":{"id":"3569968827736584","authorId":"3569968827736584","name":"东莞烧鸟仙人","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/efab18c85c3be5514993af138c3a4f31","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a>明天财报好就找她们两位侍寝[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a>明天财报好就找她们两位侍寝[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$明天财报好就找她们两位侍寝[得意] [得意] [得意]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c68c4f076a564c971c50aaabd93d2bc8","width":"480","height":"720"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/638018158","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":547,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633915175,"gmtCreate":1643668404695,"gmtModify":1643668404776,"author":{"id":"4090357984883920","authorId":"4090357984883920","name":"Yannyz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tread carefully","listText":"Tread carefully","text":"Tread carefully","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633915175","repostId":"2207389481","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2207389481","pubTimestamp":1643636160,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2207389481?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-31 21:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks That Can Plunge 42% to 92% in 2022, According to Wall Street","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2207389481","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"A handful of analysts and investment banks see these popular stocks plummeting this year.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>For more than a century, the stock market has been a wealth-building machine. The average annual return of the major U.S. indexes has handily surpassed the average returns of other asset classes, such as bonds and commodities, over the long run.</p><p>But just because the aggregate value of equities rises over time, it doesn&#39;t mean all stocks are going to be winners. Even though Wall Street analysts and investment banks are best-known for cheering on innovation, there are instances where they expect well-known stocks to head lower.</p><p>Based on the lowest published price target from Wall Street, the following three stocks are expected to plunge between 42% and 92% in 2022.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08bd510be5ae746f0867c5de1184417a\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>Tesla Motors: Implied decline of 92%</h2><p>It likely comes as no surprise that electric vehicle (EV) kingpin <b>Tesla Motors</b> (NASDAQ:TSLA) is a highly polarizing stock among Wall Street analysts. While some believe the company could nearly double in value from the $829 a share it closed at on Jan. 27, Gordon Johnson at GLJ Research foresees Tesla falling more than 90%, based on his price target of $67 for the company.</p><p>To be fair, Tesla has done a lot of things right. CEO Elon Musk built the company from the ground-up to mass production. Tesla is the first automaker in more than five decades to successfully enter the auto market and reach mass production.</p><p>Tesla has also had no issues with consumer demand, as evidenced by its production ramp and deliveries. When 2021 began, Tesla was expected to be in the neighborhood of 750,000 EV deliveries for the year. But when the curtain closed, the world&#39;s most valuable automaker had delivered more than 936,000 EVs.  With the gigafactory in Austin, Texas, set to open soon, Tesla will have plenty of opportunity to increase production to meet growing consumer EV demand.</p><p>But there are plenty of reasons to be skeptical of Tesla and its $833 billion valuation. For example, even though Elon Musk&#39;s innovation has been a driving force behind his company&#39;s success, he&#39;s also been something of a liability. Musk&#39;s social media presence has previously got him in trouble with regulators, and his forecasted timeline for new product rollouts is almost always far too ambitious. Most new vehicles roll off the assembly line later than expected. Additionally, the company&#39;s full self-driving (FSD) software remains something of a work in progress, despite Musk touting FSD&#39;s potential for more than five years.</p><p>Another clear issue is Tesla&#39;s valuation. Auto stocks are traditionally valued at single-digit price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios to reflect their generally high debt levels and the cyclical nature of the auto industry. Tesla has consistently sported a forward-year P/E ratio in the triple digits.</p><p>With other major automakers spending tens of billions of dollars on EV and battery research, it&#39;s likely that Tesla&#39;s competitive edge will shrink over time, as well. While a $67 price target is probably too bearish given Tesla&#39;s current competitive advantages, I do believe downside is warranted.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a38605bee8e62f3e8aa414fa24278e7e\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>Moderna: Implied decline of 42%</h2><p>A second extremely popular stock <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> Wall Street investment bank believes will plunge in 2022 is biotech stock <b>Moderna</b> (NASDAQ:MRNA). According to analyst Mani Foroohar of SVB Leerink, Moderna is on track to hit $86 this year, which implies downside of 42% in the company&#39;s shares.</p><p>Most people are probably familiar with Moderna given the role it&#39;s played in combatting the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The company&#39;s vaccine, mRNA-1273, produced a 94.1% vaccine efficacy (VE) in U.S. clinical trials, which were reported in November 2020. To date, it&#39;s one of only three vaccines to have generated a VE of 90% or higher. Although VE isn&#39;t the only measure of success for COVID-19 vaccines, it&#39;s the headline figure a lot of people are using when deciding which vaccines or booster shot to receive.</p><p>To add, the mutability of the SARS-CoV-2 virus that causes COVID-19 is a potential positive for Moderna. While we&#39;d prefer to see COVID-19 go away completely or mutate into less-severe forms, new variants of the disease provide Moderna with recurring revenue opportunities, either with booster shots or variant-specific vaccines.</p><p>However, competition among COVID-19 treatments is only growing. Aside from COVID-19-specific vaccines still in development, competitors are working on influenza/COVID-19 combination vaccines that could prove more appealing. Also, oral treatments are in the works for a handful of companies. This all brings into question how long Moderna can hang onto its share of COVID-19 treatment revenue.</p><p>What&#39;s more, Moderna&#39;s only source of recurring revenue is mRNA-1273. Even with shares of the company retracing 70% from an all-time high, investors are still paying $60 billion for a company that has only one therapy generating sales. In my view, it makes Moderna a risky bet, even after its significant pullback.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b35f28e4268db10d254dbc217fa38cef\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>Transocean: Implied decline of 69%</h2><p>A third popular stock with the potential to plunge in 2022 is offshore oil-drilling company <b>Transocean</b> (NYSE:RIG). Despite its shares falling 98% since peaking in 2007, one Wall Street investment bank foresees Transocean hitting $1 per share this year, implying further downside of 69% from where it closed on Jan. 27.</p><p>If there is good news for the company, it&#39;s that oil prices are soaring. West Texas Intermediate crude and Brent crude recently surpassed $87/barrel and $90/barrel, respectively. Although deepwater drilling, which is what Transocean specializes in, can be quite costly, the highest price for crude since 2014 offer more than enough incentive for exploration and production (E&amp;P) companies to contract with Transocean at these prices.</p><p>The company&#39;s backlog also appears to suggest that E&amp;P companies are comfortable with crude oil prices for the foreseeable future. Transocean ended 2021 with a $7.1 billion contract backlog, which equates to almost three years&#39; worth of revenue.</p><p>However, the big concern for Transocean is the company&#39;s balance sheet. At the end of September, it had $900 million in cash and cash equivalents and $7.3 billion in total debt. With the Federal Reserve set to begin raising lending rates, highly indebted companies like Transocean are getting put under the microscope by Wall Street.</p><p>Furthermore, Transocean&#39;s deepwater rig utilization rates aren&#39;t that impressive. Even with higher crude prices and contract dayrates improving, total fleet utilization was just 53% in the third quarter, which was down from 65% in Q3 2020.  There&#39;s clearly concern from E&amp;P companies about making new multiyear commitments with the pandemic still ongoing.</p><p>While I don&#39;t expect the most bearish outlook of a $1 price target to come to fruition, it&#39;s hard to see Transocean&#39;s shares gaining much traction without a significant debt reduction and/or vast improvement in rig utilization.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks That Can Plunge 42% to 92% in 2022, According to Wall Street</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks That Can Plunge 42% to 92% in 2022, According to Wall Street\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-31 21:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/31/3-stocks-can-plunge-42-to-92-in-2022-wall-street/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>For more than a century, the stock market has been a wealth-building machine. The average annual return of the major U.S. indexes has handily surpassed the average returns of other asset classes, such...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/31/3-stocks-can-plunge-42-to-92-in-2022-wall-street/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","FSD":"First Trust High Income Long/Sho","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4099":"汽车制造商","RIG":"Transocean Ltd.","BK4568":"美国抗疫概念","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4092":"石油与天然气钻井","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BNTX":"BioNTech SE","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4139":"生物科技"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/31/3-stocks-can-plunge-42-to-92-in-2022-wall-street/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2207389481","content_text":"For more than a century, the stock market has been a wealth-building machine. The average annual return of the major U.S. indexes has handily surpassed the average returns of other asset classes, such as bonds and commodities, over the long run.But just because the aggregate value of equities rises over time, it doesn't mean all stocks are going to be winners. Even though Wall Street analysts and investment banks are best-known for cheering on innovation, there are instances where they expect well-known stocks to head lower.Based on the lowest published price target from Wall Street, the following three stocks are expected to plunge between 42% and 92% in 2022.Image source: Getty Images.Tesla Motors: Implied decline of 92%It likely comes as no surprise that electric vehicle (EV) kingpin Tesla Motors (NASDAQ:TSLA) is a highly polarizing stock among Wall Street analysts. While some believe the company could nearly double in value from the $829 a share it closed at on Jan. 27, Gordon Johnson at GLJ Research foresees Tesla falling more than 90%, based on his price target of $67 for the company.To be fair, Tesla has done a lot of things right. CEO Elon Musk built the company from the ground-up to mass production. Tesla is the first automaker in more than five decades to successfully enter the auto market and reach mass production.Tesla has also had no issues with consumer demand, as evidenced by its production ramp and deliveries. When 2021 began, Tesla was expected to be in the neighborhood of 750,000 EV deliveries for the year. But when the curtain closed, the world's most valuable automaker had delivered more than 936,000 EVs.  With the gigafactory in Austin, Texas, set to open soon, Tesla will have plenty of opportunity to increase production to meet growing consumer EV demand.But there are plenty of reasons to be skeptical of Tesla and its $833 billion valuation. For example, even though Elon Musk's innovation has been a driving force behind his company's success, he's also been something of a liability. Musk's social media presence has previously got him in trouble with regulators, and his forecasted timeline for new product rollouts is almost always far too ambitious. Most new vehicles roll off the assembly line later than expected. Additionally, the company's full self-driving (FSD) software remains something of a work in progress, despite Musk touting FSD's potential for more than five years.Another clear issue is Tesla's valuation. Auto stocks are traditionally valued at single-digit price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios to reflect their generally high debt levels and the cyclical nature of the auto industry. Tesla has consistently sported a forward-year P/E ratio in the triple digits.With other major automakers spending tens of billions of dollars on EV and battery research, it's likely that Tesla's competitive edge will shrink over time, as well. While a $67 price target is probably too bearish given Tesla's current competitive advantages, I do believe downside is warranted.Image source: Getty Images.Moderna: Implied decline of 42%A second extremely popular stock one Wall Street investment bank believes will plunge in 2022 is biotech stock Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA). According to analyst Mani Foroohar of SVB Leerink, Moderna is on track to hit $86 this year, which implies downside of 42% in the company's shares.Most people are probably familiar with Moderna given the role it's played in combatting the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The company's vaccine, mRNA-1273, produced a 94.1% vaccine efficacy (VE) in U.S. clinical trials, which were reported in November 2020. To date, it's one of only three vaccines to have generated a VE of 90% or higher. Although VE isn't the only measure of success for COVID-19 vaccines, it's the headline figure a lot of people are using when deciding which vaccines or booster shot to receive.To add, the mutability of the SARS-CoV-2 virus that causes COVID-19 is a potential positive for Moderna. While we'd prefer to see COVID-19 go away completely or mutate into less-severe forms, new variants of the disease provide Moderna with recurring revenue opportunities, either with booster shots or variant-specific vaccines.However, competition among COVID-19 treatments is only growing. Aside from COVID-19-specific vaccines still in development, competitors are working on influenza/COVID-19 combination vaccines that could prove more appealing. Also, oral treatments are in the works for a handful of companies. This all brings into question how long Moderna can hang onto its share of COVID-19 treatment revenue.What's more, Moderna's only source of recurring revenue is mRNA-1273. Even with shares of the company retracing 70% from an all-time high, investors are still paying $60 billion for a company that has only one therapy generating sales. In my view, it makes Moderna a risky bet, even after its significant pullback.Image source: Getty Images.Transocean: Implied decline of 69%A third popular stock with the potential to plunge in 2022 is offshore oil-drilling company Transocean (NYSE:RIG). Despite its shares falling 98% since peaking in 2007, one Wall Street investment bank foresees Transocean hitting $1 per share this year, implying further downside of 69% from where it closed on Jan. 27.If there is good news for the company, it's that oil prices are soaring. West Texas Intermediate crude and Brent crude recently surpassed $87/barrel and $90/barrel, respectively. Although deepwater drilling, which is what Transocean specializes in, can be quite costly, the highest price for crude since 2014 offer more than enough incentive for exploration and production (E&P) companies to contract with Transocean at these prices.The company's backlog also appears to suggest that E&P companies are comfortable with crude oil prices for the foreseeable future. Transocean ended 2021 with a $7.1 billion contract backlog, which equates to almost three years' worth of revenue.However, the big concern for Transocean is the company's balance sheet. At the end of September, it had $900 million in cash and cash equivalents and $7.3 billion in total debt. With the Federal Reserve set to begin raising lending rates, highly indebted companies like Transocean are getting put under the microscope by Wall Street.Furthermore, Transocean's deepwater rig utilization rates aren't that impressive. Even with higher crude prices and contract dayrates improving, total fleet utilization was just 53% in the third quarter, which was down from 65% in Q3 2020.  There's clearly concern from E&P companies about making new multiyear commitments with the pandemic still ongoing.While I don't expect the most bearish outlook of a $1 price target to come to fruition, it's hard to see Transocean's shares gaining much traction without a significant debt reduction and/or vast improvement in rig utilization.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":622,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":601921326,"gmtCreate":1638485752965,"gmtModify":1638485752965,"author":{"id":"4090357984883920","authorId":"4090357984883920","name":"Yannyz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/601921326","repostId":"877012993","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":877012993,"gmtCreate":1637840402673,"gmtModify":1637997623131,"author":{"id":"3574136058061437","authorId":"3574136058061437","name":"Changjieming","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc405e9f366cb34e826787dc45d36977","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bought&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>During the&nbsp;dip yesterday. Hope I made the right choice over buying&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a>🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻","listText":"Bought&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>During the&nbsp;dip yesterday. Hope I made the right choice over buying&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a>🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻","text":"Bought $Alibaba(BABA)$During the dip yesterday. Hope I made the right choice over buying $Sea Ltd(SE)$🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/718042505daa99b62f8eac374144665a","width":"750","height":"1174"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877012993","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1005,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603811466,"gmtCreate":1638397385955,"gmtModify":1638397386061,"author":{"id":"4090357984883920","authorId":"4090357984883920","name":"Yannyz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603811466","repostId":"609885266","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":609885266,"gmtCreate":1638264848486,"gmtModify":1638271869336,"author":{"id":"3559581955535845","authorId":"3559581955535845","name":"koolgal","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c05274d88ffc0434623e57350c52c70a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/D05.SI\">$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$</a>&nbsp;has dropped below the 30.00 mark today!&nbsp; It is bargain hunting time!&nbsp; Short term drop, long term gain. Go DBS! 🚀🚀🚀🌙🌙🌙","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/D05.SI\">$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$</a>&nbsp;has dropped below the 30.00 mark today!&nbsp; It is bargain hunting time!&nbsp; Short term drop, long term gain. Go DBS! 🚀🚀🚀🌙🌙🌙","text":"$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$ has dropped below the 30.00 mark today! It is bargain hunting time! Short term drop, long term gain. Go DBS! 🚀🚀🚀🌙🌙🌙","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/866333793b74d8a7659e0a79cd645006","width":"1080","height":"2429"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609885266","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":877967371,"gmtCreate":1637879774093,"gmtModify":1637879774235,"author":{"id":"4090357984883920","authorId":"4090357984883920","name":"Yannyz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877967371","repostId":"872172044","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":872172044,"gmtCreate":1637464997219,"gmtModify":1637565259086,"author":{"id":"3574381076586256","authorId":"3574381076586256","name":"KYHBKO","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3bcbc7f9a10836dea92afc94bf39b5b","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"how to trade Alibaba after the drop","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a> suffered&nbsp;after the earnings. with a drop of over 15% in the last 5 days, there would be&nbsp;concerns even for the strongest of Alibaba fans. Revenue Growth of 29% yoy is one of the few good news but the costs of revenue and equity loss are concerns.&nbsp;after going through the earnings, the fundamentals of Alibaba remain sound.&nbsp;As price is the function of demand &amp; supply, I prefer to look at charts than try to&nbsp;guess&nbsp;the price of&nbsp;bottom. the difference could be catching a falling knife.My trade set up with be focused on reversal using 1 Day chart MACD indicator. this is a lagging indicator but can be a more prudent approach. the reversal may happen at end of November or early December pending any more bla","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a> suffered&nbsp;after the earnings. with a drop of over 15% in the last 5 days, there would be&nbsp;concerns even for the strongest of Alibaba fans. Revenue Growth of 29% yoy is one of the few good news but the costs of revenue and equity loss are concerns.&nbsp;after going through the earnings, the fundamentals of Alibaba remain sound.&nbsp;As price is the function of demand &amp; supply, I prefer to look at charts than try to&nbsp;guess&nbsp;the price of&nbsp;bottom. the difference could be catching a falling knife.My trade set up with be focused on reversal using 1 Day chart MACD indicator. this is a lagging indicator but can be a more prudent approach. the reversal may happen at end of November or early December pending any more bla","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$ suffered after the earnings. with a drop of over 15% in the last 5 days, there would be concerns even for the strongest of Alibaba fans. Revenue Growth of 29% yoy is one of the few good news but the costs of revenue and equity loss are concerns. after going through the earnings, the fundamentals of Alibaba remain sound. As price is the function of demand & supply, I prefer to look at charts than try to guess the price of bottom. the difference could be catching a falling knife.My trade set up with be focused on reversal using 1 Day chart MACD indicator. this is a lagging indicator but can be a more prudent approach. the reversal may happen at end of November or early December pending any more bla","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/449677a7f9ac9db886a04f176b9f1ae7","width":"1600","height":"2390"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/872172044","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":635,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":633915175,"gmtCreate":1643668404695,"gmtModify":1643668404776,"author":{"id":"4090357984883920","authorId":"4090357984883920","name":"Yannyz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tread carefully","listText":"Tread carefully","text":"Tread 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mLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/637661769","repostId":"637916878","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":637916878,"gmtCreate":1647854842757,"gmtModify":1647860182175,"author":{"id":"3582524673862453","authorId":"3582524673862453","name":"库巴财经","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"中概股当下的反弹只是前菜，真正的大涨还在后面，那将是场盛宴","htmlText":"3月14日-18日，中概股迎来了绝地大反击，其中滴滴大涨116%，老虎国际大涨73%，雾芯科技60%，哔哩哔哩，阿里等均匀不同程度的涨幅……本次中概股大涨既是情绪的释放，也是利空结束的标志，但这并不意味着中概股当即会立马启动收复去年的“失地”，未来一段时间，中概股很有可能进入筑底阶段。实际上，从去年中概股进入下降通道开始到近期的大跌，其跌幅达到70%以上的公司比比皆是。主要原因一共有三个方面。第一，是因为去年互联网企业的反垄断，在互联网企业调整初期，这个因素是最重要的因素，但是随着时间的推移，一些头部互联网都跌出了价值。例如，腾讯的市盈率（动态）就只剩下了15倍，阿里的市盈率只剩下25倍，网易的市盈率也只剩了22倍，那么这样的市盈率甚至都不如一些传统产业。所以，从去年8月开始段永平就开始分阶段地买入腾讯，芒格也开始大举加仓阿里。对于这些著名投资者而言，尽管不能判断绝对底部，但是对于公司的估值，他们可谓研究的是非常深的。段永平就曾说过，买股票就是买公司未来现金流的折现，而这些公司现金流一般都比较好，因此当外界恐慌时，就特别考验投资人的耐力和毅力第二，互联网估值方法发生了变化。过去四五年里，互联网圈崇尚烧钱——圈用户——涨价的三部曲。从去年开始，当共享单车、互联网咖啡、共享充电宝等商业模式失效之后，这种烧钱的模式逐渐被淘汰，而且资本市场对于原来互联网这一套模式也从认可走向了怀疑，例如怪兽充电一年的时间，股价就从最高的10美元/股下跌到了1美元/股左右。另外，再加上对于资本无序扩张的遏制，以往烧钱的模式已经玩不通了，未来互联网的估值方法估计也会从用户规模、专项赛道以及盈利水平，而估值方法的变化，也是中概股下跌助推剂。第三，美联储加息的影响以及中概股退市消息的影响。众所周知，中概股在美股中估值一直都不算太高，进入加息通道之后，美国科技股承压非常明显，这也直接导致了中概股承压，而且因","listText":"3月14日-18日，中概股迎来了绝地大反击，其中滴滴大涨116%，老虎国际大涨73%，雾芯科技60%，哔哩哔哩，阿里等均匀不同程度的涨幅……本次中概股大涨既是情绪的释放，也是利空结束的标志，但这并不意味着中概股当即会立马启动收复去年的“失地”，未来一段时间，中概股很有可能进入筑底阶段。实际上，从去年中概股进入下降通道开始到近期的大跌，其跌幅达到70%以上的公司比比皆是。主要原因一共有三个方面。第一，是因为去年互联网企业的反垄断，在互联网企业调整初期，这个因素是最重要的因素，但是随着时间的推移，一些头部互联网都跌出了价值。例如，腾讯的市盈率（动态）就只剩下了15倍，阿里的市盈率只剩下25倍，网易的市盈率也只剩了22倍，那么这样的市盈率甚至都不如一些传统产业。所以，从去年8月开始段永平就开始分阶段地买入腾讯，芒格也开始大举加仓阿里。对于这些著名投资者而言，尽管不能判断绝对底部，但是对于公司的估值，他们可谓研究的是非常深的。段永平就曾说过，买股票就是买公司未来现金流的折现，而这些公司现金流一般都比较好，因此当外界恐慌时，就特别考验投资人的耐力和毅力第二，互联网估值方法发生了变化。过去四五年里，互联网圈崇尚烧钱——圈用户——涨价的三部曲。从去年开始，当共享单车、互联网咖啡、共享充电宝等商业模式失效之后，这种烧钱的模式逐渐被淘汰，而且资本市场对于原来互联网这一套模式也从认可走向了怀疑，例如怪兽充电一年的时间，股价就从最高的10美元/股下跌到了1美元/股左右。另外，再加上对于资本无序扩张的遏制，以往烧钱的模式已经玩不通了，未来互联网的估值方法估计也会从用户规模、专项赛道以及盈利水平，而估值方法的变化，也是中概股下跌助推剂。第三，美联储加息的影响以及中概股退市消息的影响。众所周知，中概股在美股中估值一直都不算太高，进入加息通道之后，美国科技股承压非常明显，这也直接导致了中概股承压，而且因","text":"3月14日-18日，中概股迎来了绝地大反击，其中滴滴大涨116%，老虎国际大涨73%，雾芯科技60%，哔哩哔哩，阿里等均匀不同程度的涨幅……本次中概股大涨既是情绪的释放，也是利空结束的标志，但这并不意味着中概股当即会立马启动收复去年的“失地”，未来一段时间，中概股很有可能进入筑底阶段。实际上，从去年中概股进入下降通道开始到近期的大跌，其跌幅达到70%以上的公司比比皆是。主要原因一共有三个方面。第一，是因为去年互联网企业的反垄断，在互联网企业调整初期，这个因素是最重要的因素，但是随着时间的推移，一些头部互联网都跌出了价值。例如，腾讯的市盈率（动态）就只剩下了15倍，阿里的市盈率只剩下25倍，网易的市盈率也只剩了22倍，那么这样的市盈率甚至都不如一些传统产业。所以，从去年8月开始段永平就开始分阶段地买入腾讯，芒格也开始大举加仓阿里。对于这些著名投资者而言，尽管不能判断绝对底部，但是对于公司的估值，他们可谓研究的是非常深的。段永平就曾说过，买股票就是买公司未来现金流的折现，而这些公司现金流一般都比较好，因此当外界恐慌时，就特别考验投资人的耐力和毅力第二，互联网估值方法发生了变化。过去四五年里，互联网圈崇尚烧钱——圈用户——涨价的三部曲。从去年开始，当共享单车、互联网咖啡、共享充电宝等商业模式失效之后，这种烧钱的模式逐渐被淘汰，而且资本市场对于原来互联网这一套模式也从认可走向了怀疑，例如怪兽充电一年的时间，股价就从最高的10美元/股下跌到了1美元/股左右。另外，再加上对于资本无序扩张的遏制，以往烧钱的模式已经玩不通了，未来互联网的估值方法估计也会从用户规模、专项赛道以及盈利水平，而估值方法的变化，也是中概股下跌助推剂。第三，美联储加息的影响以及中概股退市消息的影响。众所周知，中概股在美股中估值一直都不算太高，进入加息通道之后，美国科技股承压非常明显，这也直接导致了中概股承压，而且因","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/678ba569fa19de03e3ba39087bbabca4","width":"1503","height":"1709"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/637916878","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":700,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":638634778,"gmtCreate":1645225648394,"gmtModify":1645225648596,"author":{"id":"4090357984883920","authorId":"4090357984883920","name":"Yannyz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/638634778","repostId":"638018158","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":638018158,"gmtCreate":1644984428077,"gmtModify":1645423074083,"author":{"id":"3569968827736584","authorId":"3569968827736584","name":"东莞烧鸟仙人","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/efab18c85c3be5514993af138c3a4f31","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a>明天财报好就找她们两位侍寝[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a>明天财报好就找她们两位侍寝[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$明天财报好就找她们两位侍寝[得意] [得意] [得意]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c68c4f076a564c971c50aaabd93d2bc8","width":"480","height":"720"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/638018158","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":547,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":601921326,"gmtCreate":1638485752965,"gmtModify":1638485752965,"author":{"id":"4090357984883920","authorId":"4090357984883920","name":"Yannyz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/601921326","repostId":"877012993","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":877012993,"gmtCreate":1637840402673,"gmtModify":1637997623131,"author":{"id":"3574136058061437","authorId":"3574136058061437","name":"Changjieming","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc405e9f366cb34e826787dc45d36977","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bought&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>During the&nbsp;dip yesterday. Hope I made the right choice over buying&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a>🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻","listText":"Bought&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>During the&nbsp;dip yesterday. Hope I made the right choice over buying&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a>🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻","text":"Bought $Alibaba(BABA)$During the dip yesterday. Hope I made the right choice over buying $Sea Ltd(SE)$🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/718042505daa99b62f8eac374144665a","width":"750","height":"1174"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877012993","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1005,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603811466,"gmtCreate":1638397385955,"gmtModify":1638397386061,"author":{"id":"4090357984883920","authorId":"4090357984883920","name":"Yannyz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603811466","repostId":"609885266","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":609885266,"gmtCreate":1638264848486,"gmtModify":1638271869336,"author":{"id":"3559581955535845","authorId":"3559581955535845","name":"koolgal","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c05274d88ffc0434623e57350c52c70a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/D05.SI\">$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$</a>&nbsp;has dropped below the 30.00 mark today!&nbsp; It is bargain hunting time!&nbsp; Short term drop, long term gain. Go DBS! 🚀🚀🚀🌙🌙🌙","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/D05.SI\">$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$</a>&nbsp;has dropped below the 30.00 mark today!&nbsp; It is bargain hunting time!&nbsp; Short term drop, long term gain. Go DBS! 🚀🚀🚀🌙🌙🌙","text":"$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$ has dropped below the 30.00 mark today! It is bargain hunting time! Short term drop, long term gain. Go DBS! 🚀🚀🚀🌙🌙🌙","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/866333793b74d8a7659e0a79cd645006","width":"1080","height":"2429"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609885266","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":877967371,"gmtCreate":1637879774093,"gmtModify":1637879774235,"author":{"id":"4090357984883920","authorId":"4090357984883920","name":"Yannyz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877967371","repostId":"872172044","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":872172044,"gmtCreate":1637464997219,"gmtModify":1637565259086,"author":{"id":"3574381076586256","authorId":"3574381076586256","name":"KYHBKO","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3bcbc7f9a10836dea92afc94bf39b5b","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"how to trade Alibaba after the drop","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a> suffered&nbsp;after the earnings. with a drop of over 15% in the last 5 days, there would be&nbsp;concerns even for the strongest of Alibaba fans. Revenue Growth of 29% yoy is one of the few good news but the costs of revenue and equity loss are concerns.&nbsp;after going through the earnings, the fundamentals of Alibaba remain sound.&nbsp;As price is the function of demand &amp; supply, I prefer to look at charts than try to&nbsp;guess&nbsp;the price of&nbsp;bottom. the difference could be catching a falling knife.My trade set up with be focused on reversal using 1 Day chart MACD indicator. this is a lagging indicator but can be a more prudent approach. the reversal may happen at end of November or early December pending any more bla","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a> suffered&nbsp;after the earnings. with a drop of over 15% in the last 5 days, there would be&nbsp;concerns even for the strongest of Alibaba fans. Revenue Growth of 29% yoy is one of the few good news but the costs of revenue and equity loss are concerns.&nbsp;after going through the earnings, the fundamentals of Alibaba remain sound.&nbsp;As price is the function of demand &amp; supply, I prefer to look at charts than try to&nbsp;guess&nbsp;the price of&nbsp;bottom. the difference could be catching a falling knife.My trade set up with be focused on reversal using 1 Day chart MACD indicator. this is a lagging indicator but can be a more prudent approach. the reversal may happen at end of November or early December pending any more bla","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$ suffered after the earnings. with a drop of over 15% in the last 5 days, there would be concerns even for the strongest of Alibaba fans. Revenue Growth of 29% yoy is one of the few good news but the costs of revenue and equity loss are concerns. after going through the earnings, the fundamentals of Alibaba remain sound. As price is the function of demand & supply, I prefer to look at charts than try to guess the price of bottom. the difference could be catching a falling knife.My trade set up with be focused on reversal using 1 Day chart MACD indicator. this is a lagging indicator but can be a more prudent approach. the reversal may happen at end of November or early December pending any more bla","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/449677a7f9ac9db886a04f176b9f1ae7","width":"1600","height":"2390"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/872172044","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":635,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}