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Yogiman
2021-08-13
Lemonade go for it
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Yogiman
2021-07-30
Too expensive
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Yogiman
2021-07-30
Worrying 😟
Goldman Sachs has been super-bullish on the global economy, but not anymore. Here's why.
Yogiman
2021-07-20
Will market crash?
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Yogiman
2021-07-19
Inflation worries ahead ....
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Yogiman
2021-07-17
Yeah true[笑哭]
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Yogiman
2021-07-17
Will it affect share price
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Yogiman
2021-07-16
Should have more details
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Yogiman
2021-07-16
Nice to read article
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go for it","listText":"Lemonade go for it","text":"Lemonade go for it","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897077805","repostId":"2159291893","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":413,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806845452,"gmtCreate":1627651505676,"gmtModify":1633757435529,"author":{"id":"4089547899638310","authorId":"4089547899638310","name":"Yogiman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9da3026816d2d7223cd50a9dd90b7476","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089547899638310","authorIdStr":"4089547899638310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Too expensive","listText":"Too expensive","text":"Too 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😟","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806846344","repostId":"2155137729","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2155137729","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1627647756,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2155137729?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-30 20:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sachs has been super-bullish on the global economy, but not anymore. Here's why.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2155137729","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Goldman Sachs has prided itself on its bullish stance on the global economy, with its above-consensu","content":"<p>Goldman Sachs has prided itself on its bullish stance on the global economy, with its above-consensus takes doing better than many of its banking rivals to forecast just how resilient consumers and businesses have been.</p>\n<p>The gross domestic product data released Thursday show the world's largest economy, the U.S., has already surpassed its pre-pandemic peak in the second quarter.</p>\n<p>But...</p>\n<p>Goldman Sachs economists Daan Struyven and Sid Bhushan explain the bank's economics team has now become less enthusiastic. They've cut economic growth projections for the low-vaccination Asian economies including India and Australia but also the U.S. -- even while upgrading Brazil and Mexico forecasts -- taking their global growth forecast for this year to 6.4%, which is only 0.3% above the Wall Street consensus.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/efafcbb409cc58c4236521501a1f3e8f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"341\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>The more transmissible delta strain of coronavirus implies a slower recovery because of renewed outbreaks. The issue isn't just government restrictions, but also the choices of individuals to limit high-contact services.</p>\n<p>\"The share of Americans reporting to 'always avoid' high-contact activities has decreased, but remains substantial at around 50% for public transportation and large events, and 30% for travel,\" they said, citing YouGov data. \"A further recovery will require not only rising vaccinations and related medical improvements, but also time for individuals to become more comfortable.\"</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72d09db3e3c3223ebe3f95b0d81180af\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"465\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>And the U.S. is grouped into <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the low-risk aversion countries, based on the restrictions imposed relative to fatalities. \"China's high risk aversion could keep quarantines and travel controls in place for longer, and delay the recovery in tourism economies such as Vietnam, Thailand, and Singapore,\" they say.</p>\n<p>The pessimism comes amid a new report from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, arguing the delta variant as as transmissible as chickenpox.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sachs has been super-bullish on the global economy, but not anymore. Here's why.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sachs has been super-bullish on the global economy, but not anymore. Here's why.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-30 20:22 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/goldman-sachs-has-been-super-bullish-on-the-global-economy-but-not-anymore-heres-why-11627641051?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs has prided itself on its bullish stance on the global economy, with its above-consensus takes doing better than many of its banking rivals to forecast just how resilient consumers and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/goldman-sachs-has-been-super-bullish-on-the-global-economy-but-not-anymore-heres-why-11627641051?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/goldman-sachs-has-been-super-bullish-on-the-global-economy-but-not-anymore-heres-why-11627641051?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2155137729","content_text":"Goldman Sachs has prided itself on its bullish stance on the global economy, with its above-consensus takes doing better than many of its banking rivals to forecast just how resilient consumers and businesses have been.\nThe gross domestic product data released Thursday show the world's largest economy, the U.S., has already surpassed its pre-pandemic peak in the second quarter.\nBut...\nGoldman Sachs economists Daan Struyven and Sid Bhushan explain the bank's economics team has now become less enthusiastic. They've cut economic growth projections for the low-vaccination Asian economies including India and Australia but also the U.S. -- even while upgrading Brazil and Mexico forecasts -- taking their global growth forecast for this year to 6.4%, which is only 0.3% above the Wall Street consensus.\n\nThe more transmissible delta strain of coronavirus implies a slower recovery because of renewed outbreaks. The issue isn't just government restrictions, but also the choices of individuals to limit high-contact services.\n\"The share of Americans reporting to 'always avoid' high-contact activities has decreased, but remains substantial at around 50% for public transportation and large events, and 30% for travel,\" they said, citing YouGov data. \"A further recovery will require not only rising vaccinations and related medical improvements, but also time for individuals to become more comfortable.\"\n\nAnd the U.S. is grouped into one of the low-risk aversion countries, based on the restrictions imposed relative to fatalities. \"China's high risk aversion could keep quarantines and travel controls in place for longer, and delay the recovery in tourism economies such as Vietnam, Thailand, and Singapore,\" they say.\nThe pessimism comes amid a new report from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, arguing the delta variant as as transmissible as chickenpox.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":407,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171713003,"gmtCreate":1626763657102,"gmtModify":1633771248774,"author":{"id":"4089547899638310","authorId":"4089547899638310","name":"Yogiman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9da3026816d2d7223cd50a9dd90b7476","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089547899638310","authorIdStr":"4089547899638310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Will market crash?","listText":"Will market crash?","text":"Will market crash?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171713003","repostId":"1140799023","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":309,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173761340,"gmtCreate":1626687771980,"gmtModify":1633924930335,"author":{"id":"4089547899638310","authorId":"4089547899638310","name":"Yogiman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9da3026816d2d7223cd50a9dd90b7476","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089547899638310","authorIdStr":"4089547899638310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Inflation worries ahead ....","listText":"Inflation worries ahead ....","text":"Inflation worries ahead ....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173761340","repostId":"1111084715","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179152166,"gmtCreate":1626495851555,"gmtModify":1633926228333,"author":{"id":"4089547899638310","authorId":"4089547899638310","name":"Yogiman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9da3026816d2d7223cd50a9dd90b7476","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089547899638310","authorIdStr":"4089547899638310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yeah true[笑哭] ","listText":"Yeah true[笑哭] ","text":"Yeah true[笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179152166","repostId":"2152485685","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":179152024,"gmtCreate":1626495809968,"gmtModify":1633926228580,"author":{"id":"4089547899638310","authorId":"4089547899638310","name":"Yogiman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9da3026816d2d7223cd50a9dd90b7476","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089547899638310","authorIdStr":"4089547899638310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Will it affect share price","listText":"Will it affect share price","text":"Will it affect share price","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179152024","repostId":"2152168563","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":513,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170711238,"gmtCreate":1626450734324,"gmtModify":1633926599101,"author":{"id":"4089547899638310","authorId":"4089547899638310","name":"Yogiman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9da3026816d2d7223cd50a9dd90b7476","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089547899638310","authorIdStr":"4089547899638310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Should have more details","listText":"Should have more details","text":"Should have more details","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170711238","repostId":"1140939614","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":209,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170719296,"gmtCreate":1626450627215,"gmtModify":1633926600145,"author":{"id":"4089547899638310","authorId":"4089547899638310","name":"Yogiman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9da3026816d2d7223cd50a9dd90b7476","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089547899638310","authorIdStr":"4089547899638310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice to read article","listText":"Nice to read article","text":"Nice to read article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170719296","repostId":"1120221325","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":358,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":897077805,"gmtCreate":1628865581207,"gmtModify":1631884033650,"author":{"id":"4089547899638310","authorId":"4089547899638310","name":"Yogiman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9da3026816d2d7223cd50a9dd90b7476","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089547899638310","authorIdStr":"4089547899638310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lemonade go for it","listText":"Lemonade go for it","text":"Lemonade go for it","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897077805","repostId":"2159291893","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2159291893","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1628864400,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2159291893?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-13 22:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Tech Stocks With 96% to 140% Upside, According to Wall Street","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2159291893","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Analysts see big gains for Coinbase and Lemonade shareholders.","content":"<p>As a long-term investor, I tend to ignore near-term price targets. Instead, I look for stocks I can hold for at least five years, and preferably longer if my investment thesis remains intact. That being said, price targets can be a good place to find inspiration, and there's no harm in glancing at these figures -- provided you do your own research, too.</p>\n<p>With that in mind, Wall Street analysts see significant upside for <b>Coinbase Global</b> (NASDAQ:COIN) and <b>Lemonade</b> (NYSE:LMND). Let's look at both of these tech stocks.</p>\n<h2>Coinbase Global: 140% implied upside</h2>\n<p>Coinbase helps its clients participate in the cryptoeconomy. Its platform offers a range of products to 68 million users, including retail investors, financial institutions, and ecosystem partners. Of course, brokerage services are the core business, but there's a lot more to Coinbase.</p>\n<p>For instance, its platform also allows individuals to send, spend, borrow, and lend cryptocurrency, and it offers a cold storage solution to institutional clients. Coinbase also provides blockchain analytics tools to law enforcement, application-building tools to developers, and payment processing tools to merchants.</p>\n<p>As of the most recent quarter, Coinbase had $180 billion in assets on its platform, or 11.2% of all crypto assets, making it the market leader. That immense scale demonstrates the company's trusted brand, and it creates an opportunity for further monetization. With those advantages in mind, analysts at D.A. Davidson value Coinbase stock at $650 per share, a 140% premium to its current price.</p>\n<p>Financially, Coinbase is growing at a shocking pace -- but investors should consider these metrics with caution. Transaction fees comprise the vast majority of revenue, and those fees depend on trading volume, which has historically been highly correlated with the price of <b>bitcoin</b> and the volatility of crypto assets. And so far this year, the crypto market has been incredibly volatile, juicing monthly transacting users and revenue.</p>\n<table>\n <thead>\n <tr>\n <th><p>Metric</p></th>\n <th><p>Q2 2020 (TTM)</p></th>\n <th><p>Q2 2021 (TTM)</p></th>\n <th><p>CAGR</p></th>\n </tr>\n </thead>\n <tbody>\n <tr>\n <td width=\"156\"><p>Monthly transacting users</p></td>\n <td width=\"156\"><p>1.5 million</p></td>\n <td width=\"156\"><p>8.8 million</p></td>\n <td width=\"156\"><p>487%</p></td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td width=\"156\"><p>Revenue</p></td>\n <td width=\"156\"><p>$633.8 million</p></td>\n <td width=\"156\"><p>$4.9 billion</p></td>\n <td width=\"156\"><p>678%</p></td>\n </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Data source: Coinbase SEC filings. TTM = trailing-12-months. CAGR = compound annual growth rates.</p>\n<p>Before buying Coinbase stock, investors should ask themselves <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> question: Is cryptocurrency here to stay? If you think the answer is no, forget this stock. But if you see a future for cryptocurrency -- either as a store of value or a transactional medium -- then Coinbase could be a good way to tap into that trend.</p>\n<h2>Lemonade: 96% implied upside</h2>\n<p>Lemonade is a tech company that's disrupting the $5 trillion insurance industry. Specifically, the company uses big data and artificial intelligence to manage many aspects of its business, from quantifying risk and underwriting policies to processing claims and engaging clients.</p>\n<p>This differentiates it from traditional insurance providers, the vast majority of which rely on human brokers and agents. More to the point, many of today's industry leaders were founded over a century ago, long before the digital era, and their businesses simply weren't built to collect and deploy the types of data captured by Lemonade.</p>\n<p>This advantage should make Lemonade's platform faster, cheaper, and more precise over time, creating a flywheel effect that strengthens as the company adds more clients. With that in mind, analysts at Piper Sandler value Lemonade at $163 per share, representing 96% upside compared to its current price.</p>\n<p>Investors shouldn't fool themselves -- disrupting a well-established industry is rarely easy, and Lemonade has a long road ahead. However, the company's early financial results show promise. In Q2 2021, in-force premium (i.e. the annualized sum of customer premiums) reached $296.8 million, up 312% from Q2 2019. Over the same period, Lemonade has added new customers quickly, driving strong growth in gross profit.</p>\n<table>\n <thead>\n <tr>\n <th><p>Metric</p></th>\n <th><p>Q2 2019 (TTM)</p></th>\n <th><p>Q2 2021 (TTM)</p></th>\n <th><p>CAGR</p></th>\n </tr>\n </thead>\n <tbody>\n <tr>\n <td width=\"156\"><p>Customers</p></td>\n <td width=\"156\"><p>442,752</p></td>\n <td width=\"156\"><p>1.2 million</p></td>\n <td width=\"156\"><p>65%</p></td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td width=\"156\"><p>Gross profit</p></td>\n <td width=\"156\"><p>$5.7 million</p></td>\n <td width=\"156\"><p>$26.5 million</p></td>\n <td width=\"156\"><p>116%</p></td>\n </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Data source: Lemonade SEC filings. TTM = trailing-12-months. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.</p>\n<p>Looking ahead, investors should pay attention to Lemonade's gross loss ratio (i.e. the percentage of premiums paid out in claims). This metric assesses how effectively an insurance company estimates risk and prices policies. For reference, Lemonade aims to keep its average loss ratio below 75% on a multi-year basis. If that number starts trending the wrong direction, it could be a red flag.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Tech Stocks With 96% to 140% Upside, According to Wall Street</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Tech Stocks With 96% to 140% Upside, According to Wall Street\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-13 22:20 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/13/tech-stocks-96-to-140-upside-wall-street-coinbase/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>As a long-term investor, I tend to ignore near-term price targets. Instead, I look for stocks I can hold for at least five years, and preferably longer if my investment thesis remains intact. That ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/13/tech-stocks-96-to-140-upside-wall-street-coinbase/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LMND":"Lemonade, Inc.","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/13/tech-stocks-96-to-140-upside-wall-street-coinbase/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2159291893","content_text":"As a long-term investor, I tend to ignore near-term price targets. Instead, I look for stocks I can hold for at least five years, and preferably longer if my investment thesis remains intact. That being said, price targets can be a good place to find inspiration, and there's no harm in glancing at these figures -- provided you do your own research, too.\nWith that in mind, Wall Street analysts see significant upside for Coinbase Global (NASDAQ:COIN) and Lemonade (NYSE:LMND). Let's look at both of these tech stocks.\nCoinbase Global: 140% implied upside\nCoinbase helps its clients participate in the cryptoeconomy. Its platform offers a range of products to 68 million users, including retail investors, financial institutions, and ecosystem partners. Of course, brokerage services are the core business, but there's a lot more to Coinbase.\nFor instance, its platform also allows individuals to send, spend, borrow, and lend cryptocurrency, and it offers a cold storage solution to institutional clients. Coinbase also provides blockchain analytics tools to law enforcement, application-building tools to developers, and payment processing tools to merchants.\nAs of the most recent quarter, Coinbase had $180 billion in assets on its platform, or 11.2% of all crypto assets, making it the market leader. That immense scale demonstrates the company's trusted brand, and it creates an opportunity for further monetization. With those advantages in mind, analysts at D.A. Davidson value Coinbase stock at $650 per share, a 140% premium to its current price.\nFinancially, Coinbase is growing at a shocking pace -- but investors should consider these metrics with caution. Transaction fees comprise the vast majority of revenue, and those fees depend on trading volume, which has historically been highly correlated with the price of bitcoin and the volatility of crypto assets. And so far this year, the crypto market has been incredibly volatile, juicing monthly transacting users and revenue.\n\n\n\nMetric\nQ2 2020 (TTM)\nQ2 2021 (TTM)\nCAGR\n\n\n\n\nMonthly transacting users\n1.5 million\n8.8 million\n487%\n\n\nRevenue\n$633.8 million\n$4.9 billion\n678%\n\n\n\nData source: Coinbase SEC filings. TTM = trailing-12-months. CAGR = compound annual growth rates.\nBefore buying Coinbase stock, investors should ask themselves one question: Is cryptocurrency here to stay? If you think the answer is no, forget this stock. But if you see a future for cryptocurrency -- either as a store of value or a transactional medium -- then Coinbase could be a good way to tap into that trend.\nLemonade: 96% implied upside\nLemonade is a tech company that's disrupting the $5 trillion insurance industry. Specifically, the company uses big data and artificial intelligence to manage many aspects of its business, from quantifying risk and underwriting policies to processing claims and engaging clients.\nThis differentiates it from traditional insurance providers, the vast majority of which rely on human brokers and agents. More to the point, many of today's industry leaders were founded over a century ago, long before the digital era, and their businesses simply weren't built to collect and deploy the types of data captured by Lemonade.\nThis advantage should make Lemonade's platform faster, cheaper, and more precise over time, creating a flywheel effect that strengthens as the company adds more clients. With that in mind, analysts at Piper Sandler value Lemonade at $163 per share, representing 96% upside compared to its current price.\nInvestors shouldn't fool themselves -- disrupting a well-established industry is rarely easy, and Lemonade has a long road ahead. However, the company's early financial results show promise. In Q2 2021, in-force premium (i.e. the annualized sum of customer premiums) reached $296.8 million, up 312% from Q2 2019. Over the same period, Lemonade has added new customers quickly, driving strong growth in gross profit.\n\n\n\nMetric\nQ2 2019 (TTM)\nQ2 2021 (TTM)\nCAGR\n\n\n\n\nCustomers\n442,752\n1.2 million\n65%\n\n\nGross profit\n$5.7 million\n$26.5 million\n116%\n\n\n\nData source: Lemonade SEC filings. TTM = trailing-12-months. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.\nLooking ahead, investors should pay attention to Lemonade's gross loss ratio (i.e. the percentage of premiums paid out in claims). This metric assesses how effectively an insurance company estimates risk and prices policies. For reference, Lemonade aims to keep its average loss ratio below 75% on a multi-year basis. If that number starts trending the wrong direction, it could be a red flag.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":413,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179152166,"gmtCreate":1626495851555,"gmtModify":1633926228333,"author":{"id":"4089547899638310","authorId":"4089547899638310","name":"Yogiman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9da3026816d2d7223cd50a9dd90b7476","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089547899638310","authorIdStr":"4089547899638310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yeah true[笑哭] ","listText":"Yeah true[笑哭] ","text":"Yeah true[笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179152166","repostId":"2152485685","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2152485685","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1626481445,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2152485685?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-17 08:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. to allow temporary rise in impurities in anti-smoking drug","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2152485685","media":"Reuters","summary":"July 16 (Reuters) - The U.S. drug regulator said on Friday it will temporarily allow manufacturers t","content":"<p>July 16 (Reuters) - The U.S. drug regulator said on Friday it will temporarily allow manufacturers to distribute the anti-smoking drug varenicline with elevated levels of an impurity that may cause cancer, to maintain availability after Pfizer Inc halted distribution of its Chantix branded varenicline.</p>\n<p>Pfizer in June halted distribution of Chantix and recalled a number of lots after finding elevated levels of nitrosamines in the pills.</p>\n<p>On Friday, it recalled 12 more lots.</p>\n<p>The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) will temporarily allow some manufacturers to distribute varenicline containing impurities above its intake limit of 37 nanograms per day, but below an interim limit of 185 ng per day, until the impurity can be eliminated or reduced to acceptable levels.</p>\n<p>The regulator said the health benefits of stopping smoking outweigh the cancer risk from the nitrosamine impurity in varenicline.</p>\n<p>Canadian generic drugmaker Apotex will be temporarily allowed to distribute Apo-Varenicline tablets in the United States to help maintain adequate varenicline supply in the country for the near term, the FDA said.</p>\n<p>The nitrosamine impurity, called N-nitroso-varenicline, may be associated with a potential increased cancer risk in humans, but there is no immediate risk to patients taking this medication, the FDA said.</p>\n<p>Risk of exposure to the carcinogen at interim acceptable intake levels up to 185 ng per day presents minimal additional cancer risk, compared with a lifetime exposure at the 37 ng per day level, the agency said.</p>\n<p>The FDA determined that varenicline recalled by Pfizer poses an unnecessary risk to patients and recommended healthcare professionals to consider other available treatment options.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. to allow temporary rise in impurities in anti-smoking drug</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. to allow temporary rise in impurities in anti-smoking drug\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-17 08:24</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>July 16 (Reuters) - The U.S. drug regulator said on Friday it will temporarily allow manufacturers to distribute the anti-smoking drug varenicline with elevated levels of an impurity that may cause cancer, to maintain availability after Pfizer Inc halted distribution of its Chantix branded varenicline.</p>\n<p>Pfizer in June halted distribution of Chantix and recalled a number of lots after finding elevated levels of nitrosamines in the pills.</p>\n<p>On Friday, it recalled 12 more lots.</p>\n<p>The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) will temporarily allow some manufacturers to distribute varenicline containing impurities above its intake limit of 37 nanograms per day, but below an interim limit of 185 ng per day, until the impurity can be eliminated or reduced to acceptable levels.</p>\n<p>The regulator said the health benefits of stopping smoking outweigh the cancer risk from the nitrosamine impurity in varenicline.</p>\n<p>Canadian generic drugmaker Apotex will be temporarily allowed to distribute Apo-Varenicline tablets in the United States to help maintain adequate varenicline supply in the country for the near term, the FDA said.</p>\n<p>The nitrosamine impurity, called N-nitroso-varenicline, may be associated with a potential increased cancer risk in humans, but there is no immediate risk to patients taking this medication, the FDA said.</p>\n<p>Risk of exposure to the carcinogen at interim acceptable intake levels up to 185 ng per day presents minimal additional cancer risk, compared with a lifetime exposure at the 37 ng per day level, the agency said.</p>\n<p>The FDA determined that varenicline recalled by Pfizer poses an unnecessary risk to patients and recommended healthcare professionals to consider other available treatment options.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PFE":"辉瑞"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2152485685","content_text":"July 16 (Reuters) - The U.S. drug regulator said on Friday it will temporarily allow manufacturers to distribute the anti-smoking drug varenicline with elevated levels of an impurity that may cause cancer, to maintain availability after Pfizer Inc halted distribution of its Chantix branded varenicline.\nPfizer in June halted distribution of Chantix and recalled a number of lots after finding elevated levels of nitrosamines in the pills.\nOn Friday, it recalled 12 more lots.\nThe Food and Drug Administration (FDA) will temporarily allow some manufacturers to distribute varenicline containing impurities above its intake limit of 37 nanograms per day, but below an interim limit of 185 ng per day, until the impurity can be eliminated or reduced to acceptable levels.\nThe regulator said the health benefits of stopping smoking outweigh the cancer risk from the nitrosamine impurity in varenicline.\nCanadian generic drugmaker Apotex will be temporarily allowed to distribute Apo-Varenicline tablets in the United States to help maintain adequate varenicline supply in the country for the near term, the FDA said.\nThe nitrosamine impurity, called N-nitroso-varenicline, may be associated with a potential increased cancer risk in humans, but there is no immediate risk to patients taking this medication, the FDA said.\nRisk of exposure to the carcinogen at interim acceptable intake levels up to 185 ng per day presents minimal additional cancer risk, compared with a lifetime exposure at the 37 ng per day level, the agency said.\nThe FDA determined that varenicline recalled by Pfizer poses an unnecessary risk to patients and recommended healthcare professionals to consider other available treatment options.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":806845452,"gmtCreate":1627651505676,"gmtModify":1633757435529,"author":{"id":"4089547899638310","authorId":"4089547899638310","name":"Yogiman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9da3026816d2d7223cd50a9dd90b7476","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089547899638310","authorIdStr":"4089547899638310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Too expensive","listText":"Too expensive","text":"Too expensive","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806845452","repostId":"1161272388","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":202,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173761340,"gmtCreate":1626687771980,"gmtModify":1633924930335,"author":{"id":"4089547899638310","authorId":"4089547899638310","name":"Yogiman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9da3026816d2d7223cd50a9dd90b7476","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089547899638310","authorIdStr":"4089547899638310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Inflation worries ahead ....","listText":"Inflation worries ahead ....","text":"Inflation worries ahead ....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173761340","repostId":"1111084715","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806846344,"gmtCreate":1627651396688,"gmtModify":1633757437507,"author":{"id":"4089547899638310","authorId":"4089547899638310","name":"Yogiman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9da3026816d2d7223cd50a9dd90b7476","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089547899638310","authorIdStr":"4089547899638310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Worrying 😟","listText":"Worrying 😟","text":"Worrying 😟","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806846344","repostId":"2155137729","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2155137729","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1627647756,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2155137729?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-30 20:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sachs has been super-bullish on the global economy, but not anymore. Here's why.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2155137729","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Goldman Sachs has prided itself on its bullish stance on the global economy, with its above-consensu","content":"<p>Goldman Sachs has prided itself on its bullish stance on the global economy, with its above-consensus takes doing better than many of its banking rivals to forecast just how resilient consumers and businesses have been.</p>\n<p>The gross domestic product data released Thursday show the world's largest economy, the U.S., has already surpassed its pre-pandemic peak in the second quarter.</p>\n<p>But...</p>\n<p>Goldman Sachs economists Daan Struyven and Sid Bhushan explain the bank's economics team has now become less enthusiastic. They've cut economic growth projections for the low-vaccination Asian economies including India and Australia but also the U.S. -- even while upgrading Brazil and Mexico forecasts -- taking their global growth forecast for this year to 6.4%, which is only 0.3% above the Wall Street consensus.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/efafcbb409cc58c4236521501a1f3e8f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"341\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>The more transmissible delta strain of coronavirus implies a slower recovery because of renewed outbreaks. The issue isn't just government restrictions, but also the choices of individuals to limit high-contact services.</p>\n<p>\"The share of Americans reporting to 'always avoid' high-contact activities has decreased, but remains substantial at around 50% for public transportation and large events, and 30% for travel,\" they said, citing YouGov data. \"A further recovery will require not only rising vaccinations and related medical improvements, but also time for individuals to become more comfortable.\"</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72d09db3e3c3223ebe3f95b0d81180af\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"465\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>And the U.S. is grouped into <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the low-risk aversion countries, based on the restrictions imposed relative to fatalities. \"China's high risk aversion could keep quarantines and travel controls in place for longer, and delay the recovery in tourism economies such as Vietnam, Thailand, and Singapore,\" they say.</p>\n<p>The pessimism comes amid a new report from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, arguing the delta variant as as transmissible as chickenpox.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sachs has been super-bullish on the global economy, but not anymore. Here's why.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sachs has been super-bullish on the global economy, but not anymore. Here's why.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-30 20:22 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/goldman-sachs-has-been-super-bullish-on-the-global-economy-but-not-anymore-heres-why-11627641051?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs has prided itself on its bullish stance on the global economy, with its above-consensus takes doing better than many of its banking rivals to forecast just how resilient consumers and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/goldman-sachs-has-been-super-bullish-on-the-global-economy-but-not-anymore-heres-why-11627641051?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/goldman-sachs-has-been-super-bullish-on-the-global-economy-but-not-anymore-heres-why-11627641051?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2155137729","content_text":"Goldman Sachs has prided itself on its bullish stance on the global economy, with its above-consensus takes doing better than many of its banking rivals to forecast just how resilient consumers and businesses have been.\nThe gross domestic product data released Thursday show the world's largest economy, the U.S., has already surpassed its pre-pandemic peak in the second quarter.\nBut...\nGoldman Sachs economists Daan Struyven and Sid Bhushan explain the bank's economics team has now become less enthusiastic. They've cut economic growth projections for the low-vaccination Asian economies including India and Australia but also the U.S. -- even while upgrading Brazil and Mexico forecasts -- taking their global growth forecast for this year to 6.4%, which is only 0.3% above the Wall Street consensus.\n\nThe more transmissible delta strain of coronavirus implies a slower recovery because of renewed outbreaks. The issue isn't just government restrictions, but also the choices of individuals to limit high-contact services.\n\"The share of Americans reporting to 'always avoid' high-contact activities has decreased, but remains substantial at around 50% for public transportation and large events, and 30% for travel,\" they said, citing YouGov data. \"A further recovery will require not only rising vaccinations and related medical improvements, but also time for individuals to become more comfortable.\"\n\nAnd the U.S. is grouped into one of the low-risk aversion countries, based on the restrictions imposed relative to fatalities. \"China's high risk aversion could keep quarantines and travel controls in place for longer, and delay the recovery in tourism economies such as Vietnam, Thailand, and Singapore,\" they say.\nThe pessimism comes amid a new report from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, arguing the delta variant as as transmissible as chickenpox.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":407,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170719296,"gmtCreate":1626450627215,"gmtModify":1633926600145,"author":{"id":"4089547899638310","authorId":"4089547899638310","name":"Yogiman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9da3026816d2d7223cd50a9dd90b7476","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089547899638310","authorIdStr":"4089547899638310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice to read article","listText":"Nice to read article","text":"Nice to read article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170719296","repostId":"1120221325","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120221325","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626446001,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120221325?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-16 22:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Textron added to Goldman's Conviction Buy List on business jet strength","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120221325","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Textron (TXT+0.9%) opens more than 2% higher before pulling back, as Goldman Sachsadds the stock to ","content":"<ul>\n <li>Textron (TXT+0.9%) opens more than 2% higher before pulling back, as Goldman Sachsadds the stock to its Conviction Buy Listsince it is trading \"at a sizable valuation discount to other aerospace companies... and consensus estimates look too low.\"</li>\n <li>\"The business jet market continues to strengthen in a way that increasingly looks long-term sustainable, particularly in Cessna's categories of the market,\" according to Goldman's Noah Poponak.</li>\n <li>U.S. business jet flight activity is 9% above 2019 levels, and COVID-19 appears to have permanently converted many pandemic adopters of business jets, Poponak says.</li>\n <li>Morgan Stanley alsocited business jet upside in its recent upgrade of Textron shares to Overweight.</li>\n</ul>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Textron added to Goldman's Conviction Buy List on business jet strength</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTextron added to Goldman's Conviction Buy List on business jet strength\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 22:33 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3715998-textron-added-to-goldmans-conviction-buy-list-on-business-jet-strength><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Textron (TXT+0.9%) opens more than 2% higher before pulling back, as Goldman Sachsadds the stock to its Conviction Buy Listsince it is trading \"at a sizable valuation discount to other aerospace ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3715998-textron-added-to-goldmans-conviction-buy-list-on-business-jet-strength\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TXT":"德事隆"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3715998-textron-added-to-goldmans-conviction-buy-list-on-business-jet-strength","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1120221325","content_text":"Textron (TXT+0.9%) opens more than 2% higher before pulling back, as Goldman Sachsadds the stock to its Conviction Buy Listsince it is trading \"at a sizable valuation discount to other aerospace companies... and consensus estimates look too low.\"\n\"The business jet market continues to strengthen in a way that increasingly looks long-term sustainable, particularly in Cessna's categories of the market,\" according to Goldman's Noah Poponak.\nU.S. business jet flight activity is 9% above 2019 levels, and COVID-19 appears to have permanently converted many pandemic adopters of business jets, Poponak says.\nMorgan Stanley alsocited business jet upside in its recent upgrade of Textron shares to Overweight.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":358,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179152024,"gmtCreate":1626495809968,"gmtModify":1633926228580,"author":{"id":"4089547899638310","authorId":"4089547899638310","name":"Yogiman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9da3026816d2d7223cd50a9dd90b7476","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089547899638310","authorIdStr":"4089547899638310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Will it affect share price","listText":"Will it affect share price","text":"Will it affect share price","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179152024","repostId":"2152168563","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2152168563","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"T-Reuters","id":"1086160438","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a113a995fbbc262262d15a5ce37e7bc5"},"pubTimestamp":1626489317,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2152168563?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-17 10:35","market":"sh","language":"en","title":"Pfizer Issues Voluntary Nationwide Recall For Twelve Lots Of Chantix Tablets Due To N-Nitroso Varenicline Content","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2152168563","media":"T-Reuters","summary":"Pfizer Inc:Pfizer Issues A Voluntary Nationwide Recall For Twelve Lots Of Chantix (Varenicline) Tablets Due To N-Nitroso Varenicline Content.Wholesalers, Distributors With Existing Inventory Of The Lo","content":"<p>Pfizer Inc:Pfizer Issues A Voluntary Nationwide Recall For Twelve Lots Of Chantix® (Varenicline) Tablets Due To N-Nitroso Varenicline Content.Wholesalers, Distributors With Existing Inventory Of The Lots Should Stop Use & Distribution; Quarantine The Product Immediately.Pfizer-Recalling 2 Lots Of Chantix 0.5Mg, 2 Lots Of Chantix 1 Mg Tablets, 8 Lots Of Chantix Kit Of 0.5Mg/1 Mg Tablets Due To Presence Of Nitrosamine.Believes The Benefit/Risk Profile Of Chantix Remains Positive.To Date, Pfizer Has Not Received Any Reports Of Adverse Events That Have Been Related To This Recall.As Communicated By Fda, There Is No Immediate Risk To Patients Taking Chantix.Further Company Coverage:. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pfizer Issues Voluntary Nationwide Recall For Twelve Lots Of Chantix Tablets Due To N-Nitroso Varenicline Content</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPfizer Issues Voluntary Nationwide Recall For Twelve Lots Of Chantix Tablets Due To N-Nitroso Varenicline Content\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1086160438\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/a113a995fbbc262262d15a5ce37e7bc5);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">T-Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-17 10:35</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Pfizer Inc:Pfizer Issues A Voluntary Nationwide Recall For Twelve Lots Of Chantix® (Varenicline) Tablets Due To N-Nitroso Varenicline Content.Wholesalers, Distributors With Existing Inventory Of The Lots Should Stop Use & Distribution; Quarantine The Product Immediately.Pfizer-Recalling 2 Lots Of Chantix 0.5Mg, 2 Lots Of Chantix 1 Mg Tablets, 8 Lots Of Chantix Kit Of 0.5Mg/1 Mg Tablets Due To Presence Of Nitrosamine.Believes The Benefit/Risk Profile Of Chantix Remains Positive.To Date, Pfizer Has Not Received Any Reports Of Adverse Events That Have Been Related To This Recall.As Communicated By Fda, There Is No Immediate Risk To Patients Taking Chantix.Further Company Coverage:. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PFE":"辉瑞"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2152168563","content_text":"Pfizer Inc:Pfizer Issues A Voluntary Nationwide Recall For Twelve Lots Of Chantix® (Varenicline) Tablets Due To N-Nitroso Varenicline Content.Wholesalers, Distributors With Existing Inventory Of The Lots Should Stop Use & Distribution; Quarantine The Product Immediately.Pfizer-Recalling 2 Lots Of Chantix 0.5Mg, 2 Lots Of Chantix 1 Mg Tablets, 8 Lots Of Chantix Kit Of 0.5Mg/1 Mg Tablets Due To Presence Of Nitrosamine.Believes The Benefit/Risk Profile Of Chantix Remains Positive.To Date, Pfizer Has Not Received Any Reports Of Adverse Events That Have Been Related To This Recall.As Communicated By Fda, There Is No Immediate Risk To Patients Taking Chantix.Further Company Coverage:. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":513,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170711238,"gmtCreate":1626450734324,"gmtModify":1633926599101,"author":{"id":"4089547899638310","authorId":"4089547899638310","name":"Yogiman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9da3026816d2d7223cd50a9dd90b7476","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089547899638310","authorIdStr":"4089547899638310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Should have more details","listText":"Should have more details","text":"Should have more details","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170711238","repostId":"1140939614","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140939614","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626446093,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140939614?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-16 22:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow gives up earlier gain, loses 150 points despite strong retail sales","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140939614","media":"CNBC","summary":"The Dow Jones Industrial Average drifted lower Friday even as the latest retail sales numbers came o","content":"<div>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average drifted lower Friday even as the latest retail sales numbers came out better-than-expected.\nThe Dow lost 150 points, or 0.46%, after opening above 35,000. The index ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/15/stock-market-open-to-close-news.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow gives up earlier gain, loses 150 points despite strong retail sales</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow gives up earlier gain, loses 150 points despite strong retail sales\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 22:34 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/15/stock-market-open-to-close-news.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average drifted lower Friday even as the latest retail sales numbers came out better-than-expected.\nThe Dow lost 150 points, or 0.46%, after opening above 35,000. The index ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/15/stock-market-open-to-close-news.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/15/stock-market-open-to-close-news.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1140939614","content_text":"The Dow Jones Industrial Average drifted lower Friday even as the latest retail sales numbers came out better-than-expected.\nThe Dow lost 150 points, or 0.46%, after opening above 35,000. The index closed just short of that level on Monday. The S&P 500 dipped around 0.2% and the Nasdaq Composite edged about 0.1% lower.\nRetail and food service salesrose 0.6% in June, while economists surveyed by Dow Jones had expected a 0.4% decline. Excluding autos, those sales jumped 1.3%, beating economists’ estimate of a 0.4% gain.\nWeaker performance from technology stocks weighed on the market. Shares of Netflix fell more than 1% ahead of the streaming giant’s second-quarter earnings report next week. Nvidia shares fell about 2%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":209,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171713003,"gmtCreate":1626763657102,"gmtModify":1633771248774,"author":{"id":"4089547899638310","authorId":"4089547899638310","name":"Yogiman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9da3026816d2d7223cd50a9dd90b7476","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089547899638310","authorIdStr":"4089547899638310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Will market crash?","listText":"Will market crash?","text":"Will market crash?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171713003","repostId":"1140799023","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140799023","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626759279,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140799023?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-20 13:34","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Inflation Is Here — These 35 Metrics Tell You How Much to Worry","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140799023","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"A year ago, the Covid-19 pandemic crushed prices in many parts of the U.S. economy. As expected, tha","content":"<p>A year ago, the Covid-19 pandemic crushed prices in many parts of the U.S. economy. As expected, that has created inflation 12 months on as the economy reopens and rebounds. Now the market seems to believe that a resurgence of the pandemic will rein in inflation before it grows out of control. No one disputes that inflation has arrived. The question is where it’s heading.</p>\n<p>The most basic fact is that June’s “headline” consumer price index, including everything the government puts in its representative basket of products and services that Americans buy, stands at 5.4%, the highest in 30 years barring one month in the summer of 2008 when oil reached nearly $150 per barrel. Exclude food and fuel, always variable, and inflation still comes in at 4.5% — its highest in three decades by far. Even if the most extreme movers both up and down are stripped out, inflation stands at 2.9%, its worst since 1992 (barring a few months of very expensive oil). Those numbers would seem to validate the doomsayers.</p>\n<p>Yet bond markets and economists take the opposite view. They see inflation not only coming under control but eventually falling to levels lower than before the pandemic hit. The bond market’s best estimate of the average inflation rate for the next 10 years stands at 2.3%, which is roughly where it’s been for four months even as other numbers have gotten worse. The yield curve — the extra yield that investors demand for 10-year bonds rather than 2-year bonds, which generally rises when people expect higher inflation — is now below 1%. That’s less than its average for the last decade, a period when inflation hasn’t been a problem. Indeed, it’s no higher than it was in February.</p>\n<p>Either market players remain confident that the Federal Reserve can keep rising prices under control, or they’re worried the economy won’t keep growing fast enough to push inflation numbers higher. Those concerns are definitely increasing as the delta variant shows its ability to slow economic reopening.</p>\n<p>Our dashboard of indicators aims to add clarity to this debate. Inflation is a complex phenomenon that grows from many places. These 35 key measures offer up a more nuanced picture of how markets are positioned, what the official data say and what consumers and businesses are discounting. Numbers are current as of Monday, July 19 and will be updated weekly.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adee36e07b6919f5636c61bcddc3afcb\" tg-width=\"949\" tg-height=\"678\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Flashing alarmingly bright are the official data, as well as surveys of businesses and consumers. The latest survey by the National Federation of Independent Business, of prices paid by small companies, is at a level it last reached all the way back in the first quarter of 1981. Yet showing no concern at all are market indicators and Bloomberg’s surveys of expert economists’ predictions. Both are below their averages for the last decade.</p>\n<p>Resolution should come in two categories that remain finely balanced: prices and wages. These factors drove inflation higher in the 1970s and could do so again. Prices of futures for oil, agriculture and metals have all given up ground after rising very sharply from last year’s lows. But the raw industrials index, which includes basic commodities that aren’t in the futures markets, continues to rise and is nearing its historic top from more than a decade ago.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, although wage growth remains well within its recent ranges, the pay of low-skilled workers is picking up and employers are complaining that they cannot fill jobs, which could imply wage inflation ahead. The decisive factor could be if a new pandemic-related downturn weakens demand, as well as the hand of labor, again. That would be bad news, but at least it would avert an extended bout of inflation.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e71f075b43fcaeb158fd768e81345b8\" tg-width=\"944\" tg-height=\"377\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">June’s inflation data delivered a third nasty shock in succession. The Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, the Core PCE deflator, is also at its highest level since 1992. Meanwhile, headline inflation (including fuel and food) is at 5% for the first time since the oil price spike of 2008. Producer price inflation is also high. These are sudden moves and the more muted rise in the “trimmed mean” measure, which excludes goods that have suffered the most extreme changes in price, suggests that it is indeed mainly a transitory effect from the pandemic. But it will still be a relief if next month’s data can show a significant retreat in some of the sectors that were hit by extreme inflation.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f56e14f20907601eea311f677649c5\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">There is deepening concern over shelter inflation, the single biggest component of the CPI index, which is now up to 2.3% and will likely rise further as higher house prices pull up rents in their wake. This will be particularly closely watched. But the most extreme transitory effects of the pandemic are otherwise beginning to ease. Car rental prices, for example, are now “only” 88% higher than they were 12 months ago, having previously topped 100%. Several sectors which suffered a deflationary blow from the pandemic are still not seeing prices recover. Recreation inflation is still negative. And — heaven be praised — college-tuition inflation remains close to its lowest since records began in 1979, although it did tick up slightly in June. It is still just about possible to sustain an optimistic narrative that the pandemic caused extraordinary inflation in some pockets of the economy but might have brought sanity to others where prices had grown prohibitive.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eacb4482c44ce01dc5be1582e8932f5a\" tg-width=\"948\" tg-height=\"375\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The bond market, where traders make their most precise predictions of inflation, has been in flux all year. Four months ago, 5-year breakevens topped 2.75%, virtually matching their high during the 2008 oil price spike. Since then they have dropped below 2.4%, although the latest data returned them to 2.6% — higher than they were at any point between 2010 and 2020. Meanwhile, expectations for the years from 2026 to 2031 have fallen to 2.16%, suggesting confidence that the Fed will be able to rein in inflation over the next five years. The heat map is based on the 20-day moving average of the breakevens, to avoid being too affected by day-to-day movements, which have been violent in the last few weeks. Nobody is positioned for the Fed to lose control of inflation anytime soon, nor for Germany or Japan to snap out of their disinflationary malaise.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e052d83b8f96767e4b22170b4455ffd8\" tg-width=\"943\" tg-height=\"373\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">These numbers offer perhaps the greatest support for the case that inflation is a near and present danger. All are way above their ranges for the last decade. The small business survey shows inflation expectations at their highest in four decades, while the Institute for Supply Management numbers are at post-2008 highs and still rising in the latest number produced at the beginning of July — although the survey for the services sector did show a slight decline. Consumer expectations have also risen very sharply, to their highest since the commodity price spike before the financial crisis, with the latest Conference Board survey reaching a fresh high for this cycle. This could be transitory but, if so, the numbers need to come down soon.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/503a1ccabd574d899752b5acb9d3900b\" tg-width=\"948\" tg-height=\"379\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Rising commodity prices represent exactly the kind of inflation that can attack living standards. But, given the economic collapse a year ago and the rush by speculators to get a leveraged play on the rebound, they don’t give firm evidence of inflation that is more than transitory. Metals prices are about 6% below their May peak, while energy prices have also dropped by about 6% as the OPEC+ cartel tries to sort out its problems; it’s not at all clear the latter are locked into an inflationary expansion. One increasingly ominous warning sign comes from the Commodities Research Board raw industrials index, which covers basic commodities that aren’t in the futures market. In theory, these prices should be driven by supply-and-demand dynamics in the real world, not by ebbs and flows of emotion in the markets. The index has gained more than 50% in a year and is nearing an all-time high.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e6afcf827db9373c9fa59e7d762f7\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"381\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Wage inflation is a crucial driver of inflation and, from the official data, it appears to be under control despite a number of factors that would normally drive salaries and wages upwards. Most measures of wage inflation are running below their average for the last five years, with the Atlanta Fed putting overall wage growth at 3.2%. Yet, job vacancies are at an all-time record, while small businesses complain that they have never found it harder to recruit workers. This suggests a problem with skill mismatches coming out of the recession. At the same time, while average hourly earnings have been quite variable over the last few months, the latest number shows them increasing at the fastest rate since 2009. The ongoing wage tracker kept by the Atlanta Fed shows that wage inflation for low-skilled workers has reached 3.6%, close to its highest since the global financial crisis. The National Federation of Independent Business finds the highest proportion of its members raising pay since they started asking the question in 1984.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbee8b94aaefef4fa3e232c198af27cd\" tg-width=\"951\" tg-height=\"394\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Broadly, the consensus is that the Fed, like other central banks, will get what it wants. The Fed is forecasting Core PCE (personal consumption expenditure) of 3% for this year but expects it to decline to 2% in 2023; in other words, it will be transitory. The experts are less anxious for now and think it will reach 2.5% this year and decline in the two following years — more or less perfect for the Fed, which is prepared to let inflation “run hot.” German inflation, after a bobble this year, is expected to fall back to 1.7% in 2023; there’s no sign of a new reflationary cycle there or in Japan, or even China. Whatever markets say, the experts are still more worried about deflation.</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation Is Here — These 35 Metrics Tell You How Much to Worry</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation Is Here — These 35 Metrics Tell You How Much to Worry\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-20 13:34 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/opinion-authers-inflation-tracker/?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A year ago, the Covid-19 pandemic crushed prices in many parts of the U.S. economy. As expected, that has created inflation 12 months on as the economy reopens and rebounds. Now the market seems to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/opinion-authers-inflation-tracker/?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/opinion-authers-inflation-tracker/?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140799023","content_text":"A year ago, the Covid-19 pandemic crushed prices in many parts of the U.S. economy. As expected, that has created inflation 12 months on as the economy reopens and rebounds. Now the market seems to believe that a resurgence of the pandemic will rein in inflation before it grows out of control. No one disputes that inflation has arrived. The question is where it’s heading.\nThe most basic fact is that June’s “headline” consumer price index, including everything the government puts in its representative basket of products and services that Americans buy, stands at 5.4%, the highest in 30 years barring one month in the summer of 2008 when oil reached nearly $150 per barrel. Exclude food and fuel, always variable, and inflation still comes in at 4.5% — its highest in three decades by far. Even if the most extreme movers both up and down are stripped out, inflation stands at 2.9%, its worst since 1992 (barring a few months of very expensive oil). Those numbers would seem to validate the doomsayers.\nYet bond markets and economists take the opposite view. They see inflation not only coming under control but eventually falling to levels lower than before the pandemic hit. The bond market’s best estimate of the average inflation rate for the next 10 years stands at 2.3%, which is roughly where it’s been for four months even as other numbers have gotten worse. The yield curve — the extra yield that investors demand for 10-year bonds rather than 2-year bonds, which generally rises when people expect higher inflation — is now below 1%. That’s less than its average for the last decade, a period when inflation hasn’t been a problem. Indeed, it’s no higher than it was in February.\nEither market players remain confident that the Federal Reserve can keep rising prices under control, or they’re worried the economy won’t keep growing fast enough to push inflation numbers higher. Those concerns are definitely increasing as the delta variant shows its ability to slow economic reopening.\nOur dashboard of indicators aims to add clarity to this debate. Inflation is a complex phenomenon that grows from many places. These 35 key measures offer up a more nuanced picture of how markets are positioned, what the official data say and what consumers and businesses are discounting. Numbers are current as of Monday, July 19 and will be updated weekly.\nFlashing alarmingly bright are the official data, as well as surveys of businesses and consumers. The latest survey by the National Federation of Independent Business, of prices paid by small companies, is at a level it last reached all the way back in the first quarter of 1981. Yet showing no concern at all are market indicators and Bloomberg’s surveys of expert economists’ predictions. Both are below their averages for the last decade.\nResolution should come in two categories that remain finely balanced: prices and wages. These factors drove inflation higher in the 1970s and could do so again. Prices of futures for oil, agriculture and metals have all given up ground after rising very sharply from last year’s lows. But the raw industrials index, which includes basic commodities that aren’t in the futures markets, continues to rise and is nearing its historic top from more than a decade ago.\nMeanwhile, although wage growth remains well within its recent ranges, the pay of low-skilled workers is picking up and employers are complaining that they cannot fill jobs, which could imply wage inflation ahead. The decisive factor could be if a new pandemic-related downturn weakens demand, as well as the hand of labor, again. That would be bad news, but at least it would avert an extended bout of inflation.\nJune’s inflation data delivered a third nasty shock in succession. The Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, the Core PCE deflator, is also at its highest level since 1992. Meanwhile, headline inflation (including fuel and food) is at 5% for the first time since the oil price spike of 2008. Producer price inflation is also high. These are sudden moves and the more muted rise in the “trimmed mean” measure, which excludes goods that have suffered the most extreme changes in price, suggests that it is indeed mainly a transitory effect from the pandemic. But it will still be a relief if next month’s data can show a significant retreat in some of the sectors that were hit by extreme inflation.\nThere is deepening concern over shelter inflation, the single biggest component of the CPI index, which is now up to 2.3% and will likely rise further as higher house prices pull up rents in their wake. This will be particularly closely watched. But the most extreme transitory effects of the pandemic are otherwise beginning to ease. Car rental prices, for example, are now “only” 88% higher than they were 12 months ago, having previously topped 100%. Several sectors which suffered a deflationary blow from the pandemic are still not seeing prices recover. Recreation inflation is still negative. And — heaven be praised — college-tuition inflation remains close to its lowest since records began in 1979, although it did tick up slightly in June. It is still just about possible to sustain an optimistic narrative that the pandemic caused extraordinary inflation in some pockets of the economy but might have brought sanity to others where prices had grown prohibitive.\nThe bond market, where traders make their most precise predictions of inflation, has been in flux all year. Four months ago, 5-year breakevens topped 2.75%, virtually matching their high during the 2008 oil price spike. Since then they have dropped below 2.4%, although the latest data returned them to 2.6% — higher than they were at any point between 2010 and 2020. Meanwhile, expectations for the years from 2026 to 2031 have fallen to 2.16%, suggesting confidence that the Fed will be able to rein in inflation over the next five years. The heat map is based on the 20-day moving average of the breakevens, to avoid being too affected by day-to-day movements, which have been violent in the last few weeks. Nobody is positioned for the Fed to lose control of inflation anytime soon, nor for Germany or Japan to snap out of their disinflationary malaise.\nThese numbers offer perhaps the greatest support for the case that inflation is a near and present danger. All are way above their ranges for the last decade. The small business survey shows inflation expectations at their highest in four decades, while the Institute for Supply Management numbers are at post-2008 highs and still rising in the latest number produced at the beginning of July — although the survey for the services sector did show a slight decline. Consumer expectations have also risen very sharply, to their highest since the commodity price spike before the financial crisis, with the latest Conference Board survey reaching a fresh high for this cycle. This could be transitory but, if so, the numbers need to come down soon.\n\nRising commodity prices represent exactly the kind of inflation that can attack living standards. But, given the economic collapse a year ago and the rush by speculators to get a leveraged play on the rebound, they don’t give firm evidence of inflation that is more than transitory. Metals prices are about 6% below their May peak, while energy prices have also dropped by about 6% as the OPEC+ cartel tries to sort out its problems; it’s not at all clear the latter are locked into an inflationary expansion. One increasingly ominous warning sign comes from the Commodities Research Board raw industrials index, which covers basic commodities that aren’t in the futures market. In theory, these prices should be driven by supply-and-demand dynamics in the real world, not by ebbs and flows of emotion in the markets. The index has gained more than 50% in a year and is nearing an all-time high.\n\nWage inflation is a crucial driver of inflation and, from the official data, it appears to be under control despite a number of factors that would normally drive salaries and wages upwards. Most measures of wage inflation are running below their average for the last five years, with the Atlanta Fed putting overall wage growth at 3.2%. Yet, job vacancies are at an all-time record, while small businesses complain that they have never found it harder to recruit workers. This suggests a problem with skill mismatches coming out of the recession. At the same time, while average hourly earnings have been quite variable over the last few months, the latest number shows them increasing at the fastest rate since 2009. The ongoing wage tracker kept by the Atlanta Fed shows that wage inflation for low-skilled workers has reached 3.6%, close to its highest since the global financial crisis. The National Federation of Independent Business finds the highest proportion of its members raising pay since they started asking the question in 1984.\n\nBroadly, the consensus is that the Fed, like other central banks, will get what it wants. The Fed is forecasting Core PCE (personal consumption expenditure) of 3% for this year but expects it to decline to 2% in 2023; in other words, it will be transitory. The experts are less anxious for now and think it will reach 2.5% this year and decline in the two following years — more or less perfect for the Fed, which is prepared to let inflation “run hot.” German inflation, after a bobble this year, is expected to fall back to 1.7% in 2023; there’s no sign of a new reflationary cycle there or in Japan, or even China. Whatever markets say, the experts are still more worried about deflation.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":309,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}