SnailWalker的个人主页 - 老虎社区

SnailWalker

SnailWalker

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

1关注

3粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-12-08

yes!

Alibaba shares fell nearly 5% in Hong Kong market<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在香港市场下跌近5%</blockquote>

2021-11-15

期待！

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-11

$Wai Kee(00610)$没人关注这支股？！

2021-10-17

dividend player.

@GladysTan:$CHINA EVERBRIGHT WATER LIMITED(U9E.SI)$potential?

2021-10-05

buying opportunity appearing

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-03

invest for passive income!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-03

invest for passive income.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-25

buy something we don't know is risky.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-16

comment to get points! lol

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-06

nice!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-06

[无语]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-29

yeah!

This Unloved Tech Stock Could Make You Rich One Day<blockquote>这只不受欢迎的科技股有一天会让你变得富有</blockquote>

2021-08-29

wow

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-28

sigh, no dividend again!

2021-08-26

sigh!

昨夜今晨：纳指标普创新高！中概教育股回落

2021-08-24

why? lol

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-23

yes!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-20

still undervalue?!

Alphabet: Fundamentally Undervalued, But There Is Something More<blockquote>Alphabet：从根本上被低估，但还有更多</blockquote>

2021-08-09

sad!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-03

crash is coming.

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3585039741547804","uuid":"3585039741547804","gmtCreate":1621945884888,"gmtModify":1622168399151,"name":"SnailWalker","pinyin":"snailwalker","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":3,"headSize":1,"tweetSize":22,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-2","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"资深虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0063fb68ea29c9ae6858c58630e182d5","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c699a93be4214d4b49aea6a5a5d1a4","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35b0e542a9ff77046ed69ef602bc105d","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.06.28","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-2","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资总监虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到30万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d20b23f1b6335407f882bc5c2ad12c0","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada3b4533518ace8404a3f6dd192bd29","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/177f283ba21d1c077054dac07f88f3bd","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"80.20%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.28","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"93.76%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":602008699,"gmtCreate":1638935069672,"gmtModify":1638935069733,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585039741547804","idStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yes!","listText":"yes!","text":"yes!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602008699","repostId":"1110034472","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110034472","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638934503,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1110034472?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-08 11:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba shares fell nearly 5% in Hong Kong market<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在香港市场下跌近5%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110034472","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Alibaba shares fell nearly 5% in Hong Kong market.\nThe stock rose more than 12% on Tuesday.","content":"<p>Alibaba&nbsp;shares&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;5%&nbsp;in&nbsp;Hong&nbsp;Kong&nbsp;market.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在香港市场下跌近5%。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;stock&nbsp;rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;12%&nbsp;on&nbsp;Tuesday.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7164e9b37a74a667396e8d0d739f70b5\" tg-width=\"708\" tg-height=\"600\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>该股周二涨超12%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba shares fell nearly 5% in Hong Kong market<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在香港市场下跌近5%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba shares fell nearly 5% in Hong Kong market<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在香港市场下跌近5%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-08 11:35</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Alibaba&nbsp;shares&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;5%&nbsp;in&nbsp;Hong&nbsp;Kong&nbsp;market.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在香港市场下跌近5%。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;stock&nbsp;rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;12%&nbsp;on&nbsp;Tuesday.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7164e9b37a74a667396e8d0d739f70b5\" tg-width=\"708\" tg-height=\"600\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>该股周二涨超12%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110034472","content_text":"Alibaba shares fell nearly 5% in Hong Kong market.\nThe stock rose more than 12% on Tuesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"09988":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2288,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873629165,"gmtCreate":1636939251283,"gmtModify":1636939251283,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585039741547804","idStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"期待！","listText":"期待！","text":"期待！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873629165","repostId":"1187261391","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3330,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":870115587,"gmtCreate":1636593106883,"gmtModify":1636593106883,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585039741547804","idStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00610\">$Wai Kee(00610)$</a>没人关注这支股？！","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00610\">$Wai Kee(00610)$</a>没人关注这支股？！","text":"$Wai Kee(00610)$没人关注这支股？！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870115587","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3408,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":827168162,"gmtCreate":1634434110448,"gmtModify":1634434217720,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585039741547804","idStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"dividend player.","listText":"dividend player.","text":"dividend player.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/827168162","repostId":"823719284","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":823719284,"gmtCreate":1633660741317,"gmtModify":1633660741448,"author":{"id":"4091200413189970","authorId":"4091200413189970","name":"GladysTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e9f84ba2b1ad5afc6797830bd7abb10","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4091200413189970","idStr":"4091200413189970"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/U9E.SI\">$CHINA EVERBRIGHT WATER LIMITED(U9E.SI)$</a>potential?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/U9E.SI\">$CHINA EVERBRIGHT WATER LIMITED(U9E.SI)$</a>potential?&nbsp;","text":"$CHINA EVERBRIGHT WATER LIMITED(U9E.SI)$potential?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/588c42e646f329ddc2c503a040782713","width":"1125","height":"2113"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823719284","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820672192,"gmtCreate":1633392926424,"gmtModify":1633392926531,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585039741547804","idStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"buying opportunity appearing&nbsp;","listText":"buying opportunity appearing&nbsp;","text":"buying opportunity appearing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820672192","repostId":"1196509629","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2843,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867669699,"gmtCreate":1633254693793,"gmtModify":1633260265687,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585039741547804","idStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"invest for passive income!","listText":"invest for passive income!","text":"invest for passive income!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867669699","repostId":"2172964531","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1546,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867669192,"gmtCreate":1633254641670,"gmtModify":1633260261963,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585039741547804","idStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"invest for passive income.","listText":"invest for passive income.","text":"invest for passive income.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867669192","repostId":"2172696430","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1846,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861448907,"gmtCreate":1632534288209,"gmtModify":1632710226797,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585039741547804","idStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"buy something we don't know is risky.","listText":"buy something we don't know is risky.","text":"buy something we don't know is risky.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861448907","repostId":"1117076176","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2832,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":885304729,"gmtCreate":1631754768561,"gmtModify":1631890177503,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585039741547804","idStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"comment to get points! lol","listText":"comment to get points! lol","text":"comment to get points! lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885304729","repostId":"2167592712","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2887,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817198851,"gmtCreate":1630915318673,"gmtModify":1631890177502,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585039741547804","idStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice!","listText":"nice!","text":"nice!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817198851","repostId":"2165338329","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":924,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817199947,"gmtCreate":1630914984689,"gmtModify":1631890177508,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585039741547804","idStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[无语]&nbsp;","listText":"[无语]&nbsp;","text":"[无语]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817199947","repostId":"1193251876","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":878,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":813712994,"gmtCreate":1630246522618,"gmtModify":1704957424840,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585039741547804","idStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yeah!","listText":"yeah!","text":"yeah!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/813712994","repostId":"1129129956","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129129956","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630201285,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129129956?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-29 09:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"This Unloved Tech Stock Could Make You Rich One Day<blockquote>这只不受欢迎的科技股有一天会让你变得富有</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129129956","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The iBuying business is a race to grow larger, and Opendoor is winning.The company is growing at a rate that is two years ahead of what management projected just a year earlier.The market is bearish on virtually all SPACs, making Opendoor a bargain that could eventually bring huge returns.Real estate iBuying company Opendoor Technologieshas been executing at a high level in the three quarters since coming public via a special purpose acquisition company  merger. In a race to disrupt residential ","content":"<p>Key Points</p><p><blockquote>要点</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The iBuying business is a race to grow larger, and Opendoor is winning.</li>  <li>The company is growing at a rate that is two years ahead of what management projected just a year earlier.</li>  <li>The market is bearish on virtually all SPACs, making Opendoor a bargain that could eventually bring huge returns.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>iBuying业务是一场做大的竞赛，Opendoor正在获胜。</li><li>该公司的增长速度比管理层一年前的预测提前了两年。</li><li>市场对几乎所有SPAC都持悲观态度，这使得Opendoor成为最终可能带来巨额回报的便宜货。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> Real estate iBuying company&nbsp;<b>Opendoor Technologies</b>(NASDAQ:OPEN)has been executing at a high level in the three quarters since coming public via a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger. In a race to disrupt residential real estate, one of the largest markets in the world, Opendoor's long-term potential could bring big returns for patient investors.</p><p><blockquote>房地产iBuying公司<b>开门技术</b>（纳斯达克：OPEN）自通过特殊目的收购公司（SPAC）合并上市以来，三个季度的执行情况一直处于高水平。在颠覆全球最大市场之一住宅房地产的竞赛中，Opendoor的长期潜力可能会为耐心的投资者带来丰厚的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Despite the upside, the market hasn't yet appreciated Opendoor's accomplishments; the stock is down more than 50% from its highs. There are three important clues that Opendoor could be a compelling investment idea for bold investors.</p><p><blockquote>尽管有上行空间，市场尚未欣赏Opendoor的成就；该股较高点下跌超过50%。有三个重要线索表明，对于大胆的投资者来说，Opendoor可能是一个引人注目的投资理念。</blockquote></p><p> <h3>1. Opendoor is winning the iBuying battle</h3> The traditional home-buying process in the United States is slow and handled by multiple parties, including agents, lawyers, inspectors, and bankers. This creates a lot of back and forth paperwork and drags the process out to more than 30 days, on average.</p><p><blockquote><h3>1.Opendoor正在赢得iBuying之战</h3>美国传统的购房流程缓慢，由多方处理，包括代理人、律师、检查员和银行家。这造成了大量来回的文书工作，平均将流程拖到30多天。</blockquote></p><p> Opendoor pioneered the concept of \"iBuying,\" where the buying and selling of a house are digitized, and a company like Opendoor works directly with sellers to provide them with a cash offer and a digital closing process. The company then resells the house on the market. The iBuying process cuts out agents and some of the fees associated with traditional closings, such as agent commissions. Opendoor then resells the house on the market and charges a service fee of up to 5% on the transaction.</p><p><blockquote>Opendoor开创了“iBuying”的概念，即房屋的买卖是数字化的，像Opendoor这样的公司直接与卖家合作，为他们提供现金报价和数字化成交流程。然后公司在市场上转售房子。iBuying流程省去了代理商和一些与传统成交相关的费用，如代理商佣金。然后Opendoor在市场上转售房屋，并收取高达5%的交易服务费。</blockquote></p><p> After seeing Opendoor steadily grow with its iBuying concept, competitors have also begun to offer iBuying services, including&nbsp;<b>Zillow Group</b>&nbsp;and Offerpad. Because of how capital intensive the business is (a lot of money is needed to buy and sell thousands of houses) and how price competitive the housing market is, these companies are racing to get as big as possible. As the companies buy and sell more homes, they have the ability to become more profitable by leveraging outsourced contractors to save money, and its pricing algorithm improves as it sees more transactions.</p><p><blockquote>在看到Opendoor凭借iBuying概念稳步增长后，竞争对手也开始提供iBuying服务，包括<b>Zillow集团</b>和Offerpad。由于该业务的资本密集型程度（买卖数千套房屋需要大量资金）以及房地产市场的价格竞争力，这些公司都在竞相做大。随着公司买卖更多房屋，他们有能力通过利用外包承包商来节省资金来获得更多利润，并且随着交易数量的增加，其定价算法也会改进。</blockquote></p><p> According to iBuyerStats, a website dedicated to tracking the competitors found in iBuying, Opendoor has consistently had the most housing inventory available for sale. It currently has roughly 3,300 houses for sale, 53% more than Zillow and more than four times as many as Offerpad.</p><p><blockquote>根据专门跟踪iBuying竞争对手的网站iBuyerStats的数据，Opendoor一直拥有最多的待售房屋库存。该公司目前约有3,300套待售房屋，比Zillow多53%，是Offerpad的四倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <h3>2. Revenue growth is ahead of schedule</h3> When companies go public viaSPACmerger, they lay out a public presentation of their business, often including long-term growth projections. Opendoor laid out its pre-merger investor presentation about a year ago, in September 2020.</p><p><blockquote><h3>2、营收增速提前</h3>当公司通过SpacMerger上市时，他们会公开介绍自己的业务，通常包括长期增长预测。大约一年前，即2020年9月，Opendoor发布了合并前投资者演示文稿。</blockquote></p><p> Fast forward to the company's recent 2021 Q2 earnings call. CEO and founder Eric Wu said on the earnings call, \"... based on our current progress, our second half revenue run rate is on track to exceed our 2023 target, a full two years ahead of plan.\"</p><p><blockquote>快进到该公司最近的2021年第二季度收益看涨期权。首席执行官兼创始人Eric Wu在财报看涨期权上表示，“……根据我们目前的进展，我们下半年的收入运行率有望超过2023年的目标，比计划提前了整整两年。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, if Opendoor were to operate for 12 months at the level the business currently is, it would surpass the $9.8 billion in revenue it projected for 2023. This is an underlooked point because if Opendoor is already two years ahead of its original growth curve, where will it be by 2023? Sure, a dip in the housing market or other events could disrupt the company's speed of growth, but Opendoor is showing the world that the business is operating at a high level.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，如果Opendoor按照目前的业务水平运营12个月，它将超过2023年预计的98亿美元收入。这是一个被忽视的点，因为如果Opendoor已经比其最初的增长曲线提前了两年，那么到2023年它会在哪里？当然，房地产市场下滑或其他事件可能会扰乱公司的增长速度，但Opendoor正在向世界展示该业务正在高水平运营。</blockquote></p><p> <h3>3. SPACs are out of favor with the market... opportunity?</h3> Investors have overlooked this strong performance, focusing instead on the fact that Opendoor joined the public market via SPAC merger. It has hardly mattered what operating results or earnings have looked like for former SPACs; the stock market has been selling off virtually all SPAC-based stocks for several months now.</p><p><blockquote><h3>3、SPAC失宠于市场……机会？</h3>投资者忽略了这一强劲表现，而是关注Opendoor通过SPAC合并加入公开市场的事实。对于前SPAC来说，经营业绩或收益如何并不重要；几个月来，股市几乎一直在抛售所有基于SPAC的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Investors have been spooked by a handful of \"bad apple\" companies turning up fraudulent, and other companies have wildly missed on the projections they made before going public. These instances have burned those involved, and investors have taken a much more cautious attitude toward SPACs as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>投资者对少数“不良苹果”公司的欺诈行为感到震惊，而其他公司也严重未能实现上市前的预测。这些事件激怒了相关人员，投资者对SPAC整体采取了更加谨慎的态度。</blockquote></p><p> But if companies like Opendoor keep blowing away estimates, the market is likely to come around eventually. When it does, the stock price could move aggressively. If we take Eric Wu's comments about revenue and assume that Opendoor does sales of $10 billion in 2022 (in other words, Opendoor stops growing and maintains its current pace over the following year), the stock currently trades at aprice-to-sales(P/S) ratio of just 1.0. That's a bargain-bin valuation.</p><p><blockquote>但如果像Opendoor这样的公司继续超出预期，市场最终可能会好转。当这种情况发生时，股价可能会大幅波动。如果我们采纳Eric Wu对收入的评论，并假设Opendoor在2022年的销售额为100亿美元（换句话说，Opendoor在接下来的一年里停止增长并保持目前的速度），那么该股目前的市销率(P/S)比率仅为1.0。这是一个便宜的估值。</blockquote></p><p> Competitor Zillow Group trades at a P/S ratio of more than 3, reflecting Opendoor's discount as a former SPAC.</p><p><blockquote>竞争对手Zillow Group的市盈率超过3，反映了Opendoor作为前SPAC的折扣。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <h3>Here's the bottom line</h3> Real estate is a huge market, and it's a complicated industry because of the clash between traditional agents and the \"new kids\" on the block trying to bring technology into homebuying. It's too early to say that Opendoor will become the \"<b>Amazon</b>\" of home buying, but what seems certain is that the company is&nbsp;poised to be a big player&nbsp;in real estate's future if it keeps performing like this.</p><p><blockquote><h3>这是底线</h3>房地产是一个巨大的市场，也是一个复杂的行业，因为传统代理商和试图将技术引入购房的“新人”之间存在冲突。现在说Opendoor将成为“<b>亚马逊</b>“但似乎可以肯定的是，如果该公司继续保持这样的表现，它将成为房地产未来的重要参与者。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This Unloved Tech Stock Could Make You Rich One Day<blockquote>这只不受欢迎的科技股有一天会让你变得富有</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis Unloved Tech Stock Could Make You Rich One Day<blockquote>这只不受欢迎的科技股有一天会让你变得富有</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-29 09:41</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Key Points</p><p><blockquote>要点</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The iBuying business is a race to grow larger, and Opendoor is winning.</li>  <li>The company is growing at a rate that is two years ahead of what management projected just a year earlier.</li>  <li>The market is bearish on virtually all SPACs, making Opendoor a bargain that could eventually bring huge returns.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>iBuying业务是一场做大的竞赛，Opendoor正在获胜。</li><li>该公司的增长速度比管理层一年前的预测提前了两年。</li><li>市场对几乎所有SPAC都持悲观态度，这使得Opendoor成为最终可能带来巨额回报的便宜货。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> Real estate iBuying company&nbsp;<b>Opendoor Technologies</b>(NASDAQ:OPEN)has been executing at a high level in the three quarters since coming public via a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger. In a race to disrupt residential real estate, one of the largest markets in the world, Opendoor's long-term potential could bring big returns for patient investors.</p><p><blockquote>房地产iBuying公司<b>开门技术</b>（纳斯达克：OPEN）自通过特殊目的收购公司（SPAC）合并上市以来，三个季度的执行情况一直处于高水平。在颠覆全球最大市场之一住宅房地产的竞赛中，Opendoor的长期潜力可能会为耐心的投资者带来丰厚的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Despite the upside, the market hasn't yet appreciated Opendoor's accomplishments; the stock is down more than 50% from its highs. There are three important clues that Opendoor could be a compelling investment idea for bold investors.</p><p><blockquote>尽管有上行空间，市场尚未欣赏Opendoor的成就；该股较高点下跌超过50%。有三个重要线索表明，对于大胆的投资者来说，Opendoor可能是一个引人注目的投资理念。</blockquote></p><p> <h3>1. Opendoor is winning the iBuying battle</h3> The traditional home-buying process in the United States is slow and handled by multiple parties, including agents, lawyers, inspectors, and bankers. This creates a lot of back and forth paperwork and drags the process out to more than 30 days, on average.</p><p><blockquote><h3>1.Opendoor正在赢得iBuying之战</h3>美国传统的购房流程缓慢，由多方处理，包括代理人、律师、检查员和银行家。这造成了大量来回的文书工作，平均将流程拖到30多天。</blockquote></p><p> Opendoor pioneered the concept of \"iBuying,\" where the buying and selling of a house are digitized, and a company like Opendoor works directly with sellers to provide them with a cash offer and a digital closing process. The company then resells the house on the market. The iBuying process cuts out agents and some of the fees associated with traditional closings, such as agent commissions. Opendoor then resells the house on the market and charges a service fee of up to 5% on the transaction.</p><p><blockquote>Opendoor开创了“iBuying”的概念，即房屋的买卖是数字化的，像Opendoor这样的公司直接与卖家合作，为他们提供现金报价和数字化成交流程。然后公司在市场上转售房子。iBuying流程省去了代理商和一些与传统成交相关的费用，如代理商佣金。然后Opendoor在市场上转售房屋，并收取高达5%的交易服务费。</blockquote></p><p> After seeing Opendoor steadily grow with its iBuying concept, competitors have also begun to offer iBuying services, including&nbsp;<b>Zillow Group</b>&nbsp;and Offerpad. Because of how capital intensive the business is (a lot of money is needed to buy and sell thousands of houses) and how price competitive the housing market is, these companies are racing to get as big as possible. As the companies buy and sell more homes, they have the ability to become more profitable by leveraging outsourced contractors to save money, and its pricing algorithm improves as it sees more transactions.</p><p><blockquote>在看到Opendoor凭借iBuying概念稳步增长后，竞争对手也开始提供iBuying服务，包括<b>Zillow集团</b>和Offerpad。由于该业务的资本密集型程度（买卖数千套房屋需要大量资金）以及房地产市场的价格竞争力，这些公司都在竞相做大。随着公司买卖更多房屋，他们有能力通过利用外包承包商来节省资金来获得更多利润，并且随着交易数量的增加，其定价算法也会改进。</blockquote></p><p> According to iBuyerStats, a website dedicated to tracking the competitors found in iBuying, Opendoor has consistently had the most housing inventory available for sale. It currently has roughly 3,300 houses for sale, 53% more than Zillow and more than four times as many as Offerpad.</p><p><blockquote>根据专门跟踪iBuying竞争对手的网站iBuyerStats的数据，Opendoor一直拥有最多的待售房屋库存。该公司目前约有3,300套待售房屋，比Zillow多53%，是Offerpad的四倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <h3>2. Revenue growth is ahead of schedule</h3> When companies go public viaSPACmerger, they lay out a public presentation of their business, often including long-term growth projections. Opendoor laid out its pre-merger investor presentation about a year ago, in September 2020.</p><p><blockquote><h3>2、营收增速提前</h3>当公司通过SpacMerger上市时，他们会公开介绍自己的业务，通常包括长期增长预测。大约一年前，即2020年9月，Opendoor发布了合并前投资者演示文稿。</blockquote></p><p> Fast forward to the company's recent 2021 Q2 earnings call. CEO and founder Eric Wu said on the earnings call, \"... based on our current progress, our second half revenue run rate is on track to exceed our 2023 target, a full two years ahead of plan.\"</p><p><blockquote>快进到该公司最近的2021年第二季度收益看涨期权。首席执行官兼创始人Eric Wu在财报看涨期权上表示，“……根据我们目前的进展，我们下半年的收入运行率有望超过2023年的目标，比计划提前了整整两年。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, if Opendoor were to operate for 12 months at the level the business currently is, it would surpass the $9.8 billion in revenue it projected for 2023. This is an underlooked point because if Opendoor is already two years ahead of its original growth curve, where will it be by 2023? Sure, a dip in the housing market or other events could disrupt the company's speed of growth, but Opendoor is showing the world that the business is operating at a high level.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，如果Opendoor按照目前的业务水平运营12个月，它将超过2023年预计的98亿美元收入。这是一个被忽视的点，因为如果Opendoor已经比其最初的增长曲线提前了两年，那么到2023年它会在哪里？当然，房地产市场下滑或其他事件可能会扰乱公司的增长速度，但Opendoor正在向世界展示该业务正在高水平运营。</blockquote></p><p> <h3>3. SPACs are out of favor with the market... opportunity?</h3> Investors have overlooked this strong performance, focusing instead on the fact that Opendoor joined the public market via SPAC merger. It has hardly mattered what operating results or earnings have looked like for former SPACs; the stock market has been selling off virtually all SPAC-based stocks for several months now.</p><p><blockquote><h3>3、SPAC失宠于市场……机会？</h3>投资者忽略了这一强劲表现，而是关注Opendoor通过SPAC合并加入公开市场的事实。对于前SPAC来说，经营业绩或收益如何并不重要；几个月来，股市几乎一直在抛售所有基于SPAC的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Investors have been spooked by a handful of \"bad apple\" companies turning up fraudulent, and other companies have wildly missed on the projections they made before going public. These instances have burned those involved, and investors have taken a much more cautious attitude toward SPACs as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>投资者对少数“不良苹果”公司的欺诈行为感到震惊，而其他公司也严重未能实现上市前的预测。这些事件激怒了相关人员，投资者对SPAC整体采取了更加谨慎的态度。</blockquote></p><p> But if companies like Opendoor keep blowing away estimates, the market is likely to come around eventually. When it does, the stock price could move aggressively. If we take Eric Wu's comments about revenue and assume that Opendoor does sales of $10 billion in 2022 (in other words, Opendoor stops growing and maintains its current pace over the following year), the stock currently trades at aprice-to-sales(P/S) ratio of just 1.0. That's a bargain-bin valuation.</p><p><blockquote>但如果像Opendoor这样的公司继续超出预期，市场最终可能会好转。当这种情况发生时，股价可能会大幅波动。如果我们采纳Eric Wu对收入的评论，并假设Opendoor在2022年的销售额为100亿美元（换句话说，Opendoor在接下来的一年里停止增长并保持目前的速度），那么该股目前的市销率(P/S)比率仅为1.0。这是一个便宜的估值。</blockquote></p><p> Competitor Zillow Group trades at a P/S ratio of more than 3, reflecting Opendoor's discount as a former SPAC.</p><p><blockquote>竞争对手Zillow Group的市盈率超过3，反映了Opendoor作为前SPAC的折扣。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <h3>Here's the bottom line</h3> Real estate is a huge market, and it's a complicated industry because of the clash between traditional agents and the \"new kids\" on the block trying to bring technology into homebuying. It's too early to say that Opendoor will become the \"<b>Amazon</b>\" of home buying, but what seems certain is that the company is&nbsp;poised to be a big player&nbsp;in real estate's future if it keeps performing like this.</p><p><blockquote><h3>这是底线</h3>房地产是一个巨大的市场，也是一个复杂的行业，因为传统代理商和试图将技术引入购房的“新人”之间存在冲突。现在说Opendoor将成为“<b>亚马逊</b>“但似乎可以肯定的是，如果该公司继续保持这样的表现，它将成为房地产未来的重要参与者。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/28/this-unloved-tech-stock-may-make-you-rich-one-day/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"OPEN":"Opendoor Technologies Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/28/this-unloved-tech-stock-may-make-you-rich-one-day/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129129956","content_text":"Key Points\n\nThe iBuying business is a race to grow larger, and Opendoor is winning.\nThe company is growing at a rate that is two years ahead of what management projected just a year earlier.\nThe market is bearish on virtually all SPACs, making Opendoor a bargain that could eventually bring huge returns.\n\n\nReal estate iBuying company Opendoor Technologies(NASDAQ:OPEN)has been executing at a high level in the three quarters since coming public via a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger. In a race to disrupt residential real estate, one of the largest markets in the world, Opendoor's long-term potential could bring big returns for patient investors.\nDespite the upside, the market hasn't yet appreciated Opendoor's accomplishments; the stock is down more than 50% from its highs. There are three important clues that Opendoor could be a compelling investment idea for bold investors.\n1. Opendoor is winning the iBuying battle\nThe traditional home-buying process in the United States is slow and handled by multiple parties, including agents, lawyers, inspectors, and bankers. This creates a lot of back and forth paperwork and drags the process out to more than 30 days, on average.\nOpendoor pioneered the concept of \"iBuying,\" where the buying and selling of a house are digitized, and a company like Opendoor works directly with sellers to provide them with a cash offer and a digital closing process. The company then resells the house on the market. The iBuying process cuts out agents and some of the fees associated with traditional closings, such as agent commissions. Opendoor then resells the house on the market and charges a service fee of up to 5% on the transaction.\nAfter seeing Opendoor steadily grow with its iBuying concept, competitors have also begun to offer iBuying services, including Zillow Group and Offerpad. Because of how capital intensive the business is (a lot of money is needed to buy and sell thousands of houses) and how price competitive the housing market is, these companies are racing to get as big as possible. As the companies buy and sell more homes, they have the ability to become more profitable by leveraging outsourced contractors to save money, and its pricing algorithm improves as it sees more transactions.\nAccording to iBuyerStats, a website dedicated to tracking the competitors found in iBuying, Opendoor has consistently had the most housing inventory available for sale. It currently has roughly 3,300 houses for sale, 53% more than Zillow and more than four times as many as Offerpad.\n2. Revenue growth is ahead of schedule\nWhen companies go public viaSPACmerger, they lay out a public presentation of their business, often including long-term growth projections. Opendoor laid out its pre-merger investor presentation about a year ago, in September 2020.\nFast forward to the company's recent 2021 Q2 earnings call. CEO and founder Eric Wu said on the earnings call, \"... based on our current progress, our second half revenue run rate is on track to exceed our 2023 target, a full two years ahead of plan.\"\nIn other words, if Opendoor were to operate for 12 months at the level the business currently is, it would surpass the $9.8 billion in revenue it projected for 2023. This is an underlooked point because if Opendoor is already two years ahead of its original growth curve, where will it be by 2023? Sure, a dip in the housing market or other events could disrupt the company's speed of growth, but Opendoor is showing the world that the business is operating at a high level.\n3. SPACs are out of favor with the market... opportunity?\nInvestors have overlooked this strong performance, focusing instead on the fact that Opendoor joined the public market via SPAC merger. It has hardly mattered what operating results or earnings have looked like for former SPACs; the stock market has been selling off virtually all SPAC-based stocks for several months now.\nInvestors have been spooked by a handful of \"bad apple\" companies turning up fraudulent, and other companies have wildly missed on the projections they made before going public. These instances have burned those involved, and investors have taken a much more cautious attitude toward SPACs as a whole.\nBut if companies like Opendoor keep blowing away estimates, the market is likely to come around eventually. When it does, the stock price could move aggressively. If we take Eric Wu's comments about revenue and assume that Opendoor does sales of $10 billion in 2022 (in other words, Opendoor stops growing and maintains its current pace over the following year), the stock currently trades at aprice-to-sales(P/S) ratio of just 1.0. That's a bargain-bin valuation.\nCompetitor Zillow Group trades at a P/S ratio of more than 3, reflecting Opendoor's discount as a former SPAC.\nHere's the bottom line\nReal estate is a huge market, and it's a complicated industry because of the clash between traditional agents and the \"new kids\" on the block trying to bring technology into homebuying. It's too early to say that Opendoor will become the \"Amazon\" of home buying, but what seems certain is that the company is poised to be a big player in real estate's future if it keeps performing like this.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"OPEN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":212,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":813295043,"gmtCreate":1630203459482,"gmtModify":1704956962836,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585039741547804","idStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/813295043","repostId":"2162358024","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":178,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":813016298,"gmtCreate":1630113584414,"gmtModify":1704956114560,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585039741547804","idStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"sigh, no dividend again!","listText":"sigh, no dividend again!","text":"sigh, no dividend again!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/813016298","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":300,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810964448,"gmtCreate":1629940126084,"gmtModify":1631890177517,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585039741547804","idStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"sigh!","listText":"sigh!","text":"sigh!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810964448","repostId":"1164039620","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1164039620","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629935391,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1164039620?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-26 07:49","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"昨夜今晨：纳指标普创新高！中概教育股回落","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164039620","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要：美股延续升势，标普、纳指再创历史新高；谷歌微软承诺未来将投入百亿美元，以加强网络安全工作；美银上调拼多多目标价；黄金再次跌破1800大关、多头静待鲍威尔救赎。\n\n海外市场\n1、美股延续升势 标普","content":"<blockquote>\n 摘要：美股延续升势，标普、纳指再创历史新高；谷歌微软承诺未来将投入百亿美元，以加强网络安全工作；美银上调拼多多目标价；黄金再次跌破1800大关、多头静待鲍威尔救赎。\n</blockquote>\n<p>海外市场</p>\n<p><b>1、美股延续升势 标普、纳指再创历史新高</b></p>\n<p>周三在杰克逊霍尔央行研讨会召开前夕，市场观望情绪偏浓，美股三大股指靠稳。道指收涨0.11%，标普500指数收涨0.25%，收于创纪录的4497.40点。其盘中一度中站上4500点，刷新盘中历史新高；纳指收涨0.15%，续创收盘新高。</p>\n<p><b>2、热门中概股周三涨跌不一 教育股昨日飙升后纷纷回落</b></p>\n<p>热门中概股周三涨跌不一，教育股在上个交易日飙升纷纷回落。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JFIN\">嘉银金科</a>涨超26%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JFG\">玖富</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SINO\">中环球船务</a>涨超15%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VNET\">世纪互联</a>涨超11%，叁腾科技涨近10%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YI\">1药网</a>跌超18%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LX\">乐信</a>跌超13%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EM\">怪兽充电</a>跌超12%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIOT\">云米科技</a>跌超10%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WDH\">水滴</a>公司跌超9%；教育股中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WAFU\">华富教育</a>涨近14%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COE\">51Talk</a>跌超11%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">好未来</a>跌超7%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">高途</a>跌超6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>、一起教育跌超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZME\">掌门教育</a>跌超4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a>有道跌近2%。</p>\n<p><b>3、欧洲央行愿采取行动应对美联储的任何溢出效应 欧洲股市普遍收高</b></p>\n<p>欧洲股市周三普遍收涨，投资者等待各国央行行长召开重要会议。泛欧斯托克600指数小幅上涨0.02%，其中旅游和休闲类股领涨，涨幅1.8%，公用事业类股下跌0.8%。</p>\n<p><b>4、欧佩克对原油供应保持谨慎 两大原油期货三日连阳</b></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USEG\">美国能源</a>署公布的最新数据显示，上周原油库存降至2020年1月24日当周以来最低。周三油价延续此前两个交易日以来的涨势。截至收盘，美国WTI原油10月原油期货收涨82美分，涨幅1.21%，报68.36美元/桶；布伦特10月期货收涨1.20美元，涨幅1.69%，报72.25美元/桶。</p>\n<p><b>5、黄金再次跌破1800大关、多头静待鲍威尔救赎</b></p>\n<p>金价回落，进一步跌破1800美元水准，因美元走高，且投资者希望在本周的杰克逊霍尔研讨会上看到美联储缩减经济支持措施的时间表。</p>\n<p>美市尾盘，现货黄金收报1790.80美元/盎司，下跌11.56美元或0.64%，日内最低触及1782.35美元/盎司，最高触及1803.05美元/盎司。</p>\n<p>国际宏观</p>\n<p><b>1、美国7月商业设备订单意外停止增长 表明资本投资停顿</b></p>\n<p>在连续四个月增长后，美国工厂接到的商业设备订单意外在7月份停止增长，表明数月来的资本投资陷入停顿。美国商务部周三公布的数据显示，7月核心资本品订单基本持平，前月上修为增长1%。该指数扣除了飞机和国防用品，被视为商业设备投资晴雨表。</p>\n<p><b>2、美国参议院又放大招 公司向海外转移利润将面临更严厉处罚</b></p>\n<p>根据美国参议院民主党提出的一项草案，美国跨国公司可能因将利润转移到海外，而面临更严厉的惩罚。当地时间周三，三位民主党参议员公布了国际税收提案的更多细节，该草案旨在提高对跨国企业的税收，从而增加财政收入，为拜登庞大的财政支出法案买单。</p>\n<p><b>3、美联储减码牵一发动全身，何时结束比何时开始更重要</b></p>\n<p>这些天，金融市场上所有的讨论都集中在美联储何时开始削减购债规模的问题，但是对于股债汇等所有市场来说，更重要的是购债什么时候能够结束。</p>\n<p>退出刺激措施可谓牵一发动全身，眼下金融系统大量流动资金已将美国股市推至纪录高位，美国国债收益率保持在略高于六个月低点的水平。在德尔塔毒株构成新风险的情况下，减码过快可能会使经济复苏脱轨，而行动太慢又或加剧经济重启带来的通胀压力。</p>\n<p><b>4、战略石油储备出售在即 美国基准原油与布伦特价差扩大</b></p>\n<p>鉴于交易员预计美国原油供应将激增，备受关注的美国基准与全球基准原油期货的价差扩大至四个月来最大。在国内炼油厂准备季节性停产检修、石油需求往往会下降的时候，美国政府计划出售7年来最大规模战略石油储备。西德州中质油价格受到拖累。与此同时，海外需求前景改善，令布伦特价格继续走高，进一步加剧了这一缺口。</p>\n<p>公司新闻</p>\n<p><b>1、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2162068545\" target=\"_blank\"><b>谷歌微软承诺未来将投入百亿美元 以加强网络安全工作</b></a></p>\n<p>科技、保险等行业的商界领袖在周三与美国总统拜登的白宫会晤中承诺，未来将投入百亿美元以加强网络安全工作。谷歌表示，将在五年内投资超过100亿美元以加强网络安全，并承诺通过其职业证书计划在IT支持和数据分析等技术领域培训100000名美国人。谷歌上述投入资金还将用于加强软件供应链和开源安全等。</p>\n<p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2162505714\" target=\"_blank\"><b>2021年第二季度PC市场增长17% 苹果继续保持第二位</b></a></p>\n<p>市场研究公司Canalys 今天发布2021年第二季度PC市场数据，第二季度PC市场销售额整体同比增长17%，但与上一季度的74%相比，增长明显放缓，另一方面也是受到全球芯片短缺的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HPQ\">惠普</a>以21.9%的市场份额连续第二个季度蝉联榜首，同比增长超过20%。苹果以20.6%的份额位居第二。</p>\n<p><b>3、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1161874729\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美银上调拼多多目标价 看好其长期盈利前景</b></a></p>\n<p>美银将拼多多目标价上调至148美元，意味着股价有望在周二99.12美元收盘价基础上再上涨49%。美银分析师称，“第二季度营收的强劲增长和高杠杆率使我们对该公司进一步推动用户参与的战略愿景更有信心，我们维持对拼多多长期盈利能力的积极看法。”</p>\n<p><b>4、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2162057175\" target=\"_blank\"><b>谷歌母公司旗下的无人机送货业务正蓬勃发展 累计交付量将在不久突破10万大关</b></a><b></b></p>\n<p>谷歌母公司Alphabet旗下的无人机公司Wing周三在官方博客表示，公司即将在未来不久交付其第10万个包裹。</p>\n<p><b>5、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2162050539\" target=\"_blank\"><b>西数并购铠侠进入高级谈判环节 交易额或达到200亿美元</b></a></p>\n<p>全球知名硬盘厂商<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WDC\">西部数据</a>公司正在就收购日本铠侠控股公司进行深入谈判，交易金额可能超过200亿美元，该并购案对全球芯片行业将有深远的影响。知情人士说，两家公司之间的讨论在过去几周突然升温，最早可能在今年9月中旬达成协议。</p>\n<p><b>6、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2162681000\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Snowflake财报超预期，盘后股价涨逾3%</b></a></p>\n<p>美东时间8月25日周三美股盘后，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">Snowflake</a>公布了2022财年第二季度业绩。财报显示，Snowflake第二季度营收2.72亿美元，同比增长104%，超出市场预期的2.57亿美元。</p>\n<p><b>7、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2162686230\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Salesforce财报超预期！盘后股价上涨近2%</b></a></p>\n<p>美东时间8月25日周三美股盘后，全球最大的CRM软件服务提供商Salesforce今日公布了2022财年第二财季财报。报告显示，Salesforce第二财季总营收为63.40亿美元，与去年同期的51.51亿美元相比增长23%，不计入汇率变动的影响为同比增长21%；净利润为5.35亿美元，与去年同期的26.25亿美元相比下降80%；每股摊薄收益为0.56美元，相比之下去年同期为2.85美元。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>昨夜今晨：纳指标普创新高！中概教育股回落</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n昨夜今晨：纳指标普创新高！中概教育股回落\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-26 07:49</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>\n 摘要：美股延续升势，标普、纳指再创历史新高；谷歌微软承诺未来将投入百亿美元，以加强网络安全工作；美银上调拼多多目标价；黄金再次跌破1800大关、多头静待鲍威尔救赎。\n</blockquote>\n<p>海外市场</p>\n<p><b>1、美股延续升势 标普、纳指再创历史新高</b></p>\n<p>周三在杰克逊霍尔央行研讨会召开前夕，市场观望情绪偏浓，美股三大股指靠稳。道指收涨0.11%，标普500指数收涨0.25%，收于创纪录的4497.40点。其盘中一度中站上4500点，刷新盘中历史新高；纳指收涨0.15%，续创收盘新高。</p>\n<p><b>2、热门中概股周三涨跌不一 教育股昨日飙升后纷纷回落</b></p>\n<p>热门中概股周三涨跌不一，教育股在上个交易日飙升纷纷回落。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JFIN\">嘉银金科</a>涨超26%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JFG\">玖富</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SINO\">中环球船务</a>涨超15%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VNET\">世纪互联</a>涨超11%，叁腾科技涨近10%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YI\">1药网</a>跌超18%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LX\">乐信</a>跌超13%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EM\">怪兽充电</a>跌超12%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIOT\">云米科技</a>跌超10%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WDH\">水滴</a>公司跌超9%；教育股中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WAFU\">华富教育</a>涨近14%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COE\">51Talk</a>跌超11%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">好未来</a>跌超7%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">高途</a>跌超6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>、一起教育跌超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZME\">掌门教育</a>跌超4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a>有道跌近2%。</p>\n<p><b>3、欧洲央行愿采取行动应对美联储的任何溢出效应 欧洲股市普遍收高</b></p>\n<p>欧洲股市周三普遍收涨，投资者等待各国央行行长召开重要会议。泛欧斯托克600指数小幅上涨0.02%，其中旅游和休闲类股领涨，涨幅1.8%，公用事业类股下跌0.8%。</p>\n<p><b>4、欧佩克对原油供应保持谨慎 两大原油期货三日连阳</b></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USEG\">美国能源</a>署公布的最新数据显示，上周原油库存降至2020年1月24日当周以来最低。周三油价延续此前两个交易日以来的涨势。截至收盘，美国WTI原油10月原油期货收涨82美分，涨幅1.21%，报68.36美元/桶；布伦特10月期货收涨1.20美元，涨幅1.69%，报72.25美元/桶。</p>\n<p><b>5、黄金再次跌破1800大关、多头静待鲍威尔救赎</b></p>\n<p>金价回落，进一步跌破1800美元水准，因美元走高，且投资者希望在本周的杰克逊霍尔研讨会上看到美联储缩减经济支持措施的时间表。</p>\n<p>美市尾盘，现货黄金收报1790.80美元/盎司，下跌11.56美元或0.64%，日内最低触及1782.35美元/盎司，最高触及1803.05美元/盎司。</p>\n<p>国际宏观</p>\n<p><b>1、美国7月商业设备订单意外停止增长 表明资本投资停顿</b></p>\n<p>在连续四个月增长后，美国工厂接到的商业设备订单意外在7月份停止增长，表明数月来的资本投资陷入停顿。美国商务部周三公布的数据显示，7月核心资本品订单基本持平，前月上修为增长1%。该指数扣除了飞机和国防用品，被视为商业设备投资晴雨表。</p>\n<p><b>2、美国参议院又放大招 公司向海外转移利润将面临更严厉处罚</b></p>\n<p>根据美国参议院民主党提出的一项草案，美国跨国公司可能因将利润转移到海外，而面临更严厉的惩罚。当地时间周三，三位民主党参议员公布了国际税收提案的更多细节，该草案旨在提高对跨国企业的税收，从而增加财政收入，为拜登庞大的财政支出法案买单。</p>\n<p><b>3、美联储减码牵一发动全身，何时结束比何时开始更重要</b></p>\n<p>这些天，金融市场上所有的讨论都集中在美联储何时开始削减购债规模的问题，但是对于股债汇等所有市场来说，更重要的是购债什么时候能够结束。</p>\n<p>退出刺激措施可谓牵一发动全身，眼下金融系统大量流动资金已将美国股市推至纪录高位，美国国债收益率保持在略高于六个月低点的水平。在德尔塔毒株构成新风险的情况下，减码过快可能会使经济复苏脱轨，而行动太慢又或加剧经济重启带来的通胀压力。</p>\n<p><b>4、战略石油储备出售在即 美国基准原油与布伦特价差扩大</b></p>\n<p>鉴于交易员预计美国原油供应将激增，备受关注的美国基准与全球基准原油期货的价差扩大至四个月来最大。在国内炼油厂准备季节性停产检修、石油需求往往会下降的时候，美国政府计划出售7年来最大规模战略石油储备。西德州中质油价格受到拖累。与此同时，海外需求前景改善，令布伦特价格继续走高，进一步加剧了这一缺口。</p>\n<p>公司新闻</p>\n<p><b>1、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2162068545\" target=\"_blank\"><b>谷歌微软承诺未来将投入百亿美元 以加强网络安全工作</b></a></p>\n<p>科技、保险等行业的商界领袖在周三与美国总统拜登的白宫会晤中承诺，未来将投入百亿美元以加强网络安全工作。谷歌表示，将在五年内投资超过100亿美元以加强网络安全，并承诺通过其职业证书计划在IT支持和数据分析等技术领域培训100000名美国人。谷歌上述投入资金还将用于加强软件供应链和开源安全等。</p>\n<p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2162505714\" target=\"_blank\"><b>2021年第二季度PC市场增长17% 苹果继续保持第二位</b></a></p>\n<p>市场研究公司Canalys 今天发布2021年第二季度PC市场数据，第二季度PC市场销售额整体同比增长17%，但与上一季度的74%相比，增长明显放缓，另一方面也是受到全球芯片短缺的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HPQ\">惠普</a>以21.9%的市场份额连续第二个季度蝉联榜首，同比增长超过20%。苹果以20.6%的份额位居第二。</p>\n<p><b>3、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1161874729\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美银上调拼多多目标价 看好其长期盈利前景</b></a></p>\n<p>美银将拼多多目标价上调至148美元，意味着股价有望在周二99.12美元收盘价基础上再上涨49%。美银分析师称，“第二季度营收的强劲增长和高杠杆率使我们对该公司进一步推动用户参与的战略愿景更有信心，我们维持对拼多多长期盈利能力的积极看法。”</p>\n<p><b>4、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2162057175\" target=\"_blank\"><b>谷歌母公司旗下的无人机送货业务正蓬勃发展 累计交付量将在不久突破10万大关</b></a><b></b></p>\n<p>谷歌母公司Alphabet旗下的无人机公司Wing周三在官方博客表示，公司即将在未来不久交付其第10万个包裹。</p>\n<p><b>5、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2162050539\" target=\"_blank\"><b>西数并购铠侠进入高级谈判环节 交易额或达到200亿美元</b></a></p>\n<p>全球知名硬盘厂商<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WDC\">西部数据</a>公司正在就收购日本铠侠控股公司进行深入谈判，交易金额可能超过200亿美元，该并购案对全球芯片行业将有深远的影响。知情人士说，两家公司之间的讨论在过去几周突然升温，最早可能在今年9月中旬达成协议。</p>\n<p><b>6、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2162681000\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Snowflake财报超预期，盘后股价涨逾3%</b></a></p>\n<p>美东时间8月25日周三美股盘后，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">Snowflake</a>公布了2022财年第二季度业绩。财报显示，Snowflake第二季度营收2.72亿美元，同比增长104%，超出市场预期的2.57亿美元。</p>\n<p><b>7、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2162686230\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Salesforce财报超预期！盘后股价上涨近2%</b></a></p>\n<p>美东时间8月25日周三美股盘后，全球最大的CRM软件服务提供商Salesforce今日公布了2022财年第二财季财报。报告显示，Salesforce第二财季总营收为63.40亿美元，与去年同期的51.51亿美元相比增长23%，不计入汇率变动的影响为同比增长21%；净利润为5.35亿美元，与去年同期的26.25亿美元相比下降80%；每股摊薄收益为0.56美元，相比之下去年同期为2.85美元。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164039620","content_text":"摘要：美股延续升势，标普、纳指再创历史新高；谷歌微软承诺未来将投入百亿美元，以加强网络安全工作；美银上调拼多多目标价；黄金再次跌破1800大关、多头静待鲍威尔救赎。\n\n海外市场\n1、美股延续升势 标普、纳指再创历史新高\n周三在杰克逊霍尔央行研讨会召开前夕，市场观望情绪偏浓，美股三大股指靠稳。道指收涨0.11%，标普500指数收涨0.25%，收于创纪录的4497.40点。其盘中一度中站上4500点，刷新盘中历史新高；纳指收涨0.15%，续创收盘新高。\n2、热门中概股周三涨跌不一 教育股昨日飙升后纷纷回落\n热门中概股周三涨跌不一，教育股在上个交易日飙升纷纷回落。\n嘉银金科涨超26%，玖富、中环球船务涨超15%，世纪互联涨超11%，叁腾科技涨近10%；1药网跌超18%，乐信跌超13%，怪兽充电跌超12%，云米科技跌超10%，水滴公司跌超9%；教育股中，华富教育涨近14%，51Talk跌超11%，好未来跌超7%，高途跌超6%，新东方、一起教育跌超5%，掌门教育跌超4%，网易有道跌近2%。\n3、欧洲央行愿采取行动应对美联储的任何溢出效应 欧洲股市普遍收高\n欧洲股市周三普遍收涨，投资者等待各国央行行长召开重要会议。泛欧斯托克600指数小幅上涨0.02%，其中旅游和休闲类股领涨，涨幅1.8%，公用事业类股下跌0.8%。\n4、欧佩克对原油供应保持谨慎 两大原油期货三日连阳\n美国能源署公布的最新数据显示，上周原油库存降至2020年1月24日当周以来最低。周三油价延续此前两个交易日以来的涨势。截至收盘，美国WTI原油10月原油期货收涨82美分，涨幅1.21%，报68.36美元/桶；布伦特10月期货收涨1.20美元，涨幅1.69%，报72.25美元/桶。\n5、黄金再次跌破1800大关、多头静待鲍威尔救赎\n金价回落，进一步跌破1800美元水准，因美元走高，且投资者希望在本周的杰克逊霍尔研讨会上看到美联储缩减经济支持措施的时间表。\n美市尾盘，现货黄金收报1790.80美元/盎司，下跌11.56美元或0.64%，日内最低触及1782.35美元/盎司，最高触及1803.05美元/盎司。\n国际宏观\n1、美国7月商业设备订单意外停止增长 表明资本投资停顿\n在连续四个月增长后，美国工厂接到的商业设备订单意外在7月份停止增长，表明数月来的资本投资陷入停顿。美国商务部周三公布的数据显示，7月核心资本品订单基本持平，前月上修为增长1%。该指数扣除了飞机和国防用品，被视为商业设备投资晴雨表。\n2、美国参议院又放大招 公司向海外转移利润将面临更严厉处罚\n根据美国参议院民主党提出的一项草案，美国跨国公司可能因将利润转移到海外，而面临更严厉的惩罚。当地时间周三，三位民主党参议员公布了国际税收提案的更多细节，该草案旨在提高对跨国企业的税收，从而增加财政收入，为拜登庞大的财政支出法案买单。\n3、美联储减码牵一发动全身，何时结束比何时开始更重要\n这些天，金融市场上所有的讨论都集中在美联储何时开始削减购债规模的问题，但是对于股债汇等所有市场来说，更重要的是购债什么时候能够结束。\n退出刺激措施可谓牵一发动全身，眼下金融系统大量流动资金已将美国股市推至纪录高位，美国国债收益率保持在略高于六个月低点的水平。在德尔塔毒株构成新风险的情况下，减码过快可能会使经济复苏脱轨，而行动太慢又或加剧经济重启带来的通胀压力。\n4、战略石油储备出售在即 美国基准原油与布伦特价差扩大\n鉴于交易员预计美国原油供应将激增，备受关注的美国基准与全球基准原油期货的价差扩大至四个月来最大。在国内炼油厂准备季节性停产检修、石油需求往往会下降的时候，美国政府计划出售7年来最大规模战略石油储备。西德州中质油价格受到拖累。与此同时，海外需求前景改善，令布伦特价格继续走高，进一步加剧了这一缺口。\n公司新闻\n1、谷歌微软承诺未来将投入百亿美元 以加强网络安全工作\n科技、保险等行业的商界领袖在周三与美国总统拜登的白宫会晤中承诺，未来将投入百亿美元以加强网络安全工作。谷歌表示，将在五年内投资超过100亿美元以加强网络安全，并承诺通过其职业证书计划在IT支持和数据分析等技术领域培训100000名美国人。谷歌上述投入资金还将用于加强软件供应链和开源安全等。\n2、2021年第二季度PC市场增长17% 苹果继续保持第二位\n市场研究公司Canalys 今天发布2021年第二季度PC市场数据，第二季度PC市场销售额整体同比增长17%，但与上一季度的74%相比，增长明显放缓，另一方面也是受到全球芯片短缺的影响。惠普以21.9%的市场份额连续第二个季度蝉联榜首，同比增长超过20%。苹果以20.6%的份额位居第二。\n3、美银上调拼多多目标价 看好其长期盈利前景\n美银将拼多多目标价上调至148美元，意味着股价有望在周二99.12美元收盘价基础上再上涨49%。美银分析师称，“第二季度营收的强劲增长和高杠杆率使我们对该公司进一步推动用户参与的战略愿景更有信心，我们维持对拼多多长期盈利能力的积极看法。”\n4、谷歌母公司旗下的无人机送货业务正蓬勃发展 累计交付量将在不久突破10万大关\n谷歌母公司Alphabet旗下的无人机公司Wing周三在官方博客表示，公司即将在未来不久交付其第10万个包裹。\n5、西数并购铠侠进入高级谈判环节 交易额或达到200亿美元\n全球知名硬盘厂商西部数据公司正在就收购日本铠侠控股公司进行深入谈判，交易金额可能超过200亿美元，该并购案对全球芯片行业将有深远的影响。知情人士说，两家公司之间的讨论在过去几周突然升温，最早可能在今年9月中旬达成协议。\n6、Snowflake财报超预期，盘后股价涨逾3%\n美东时间8月25日周三美股盘后，Snowflake公布了2022财年第二季度业绩。财报显示，Snowflake第二季度营收2.72亿美元，同比增长104%，超出市场预期的2.57亿美元。\n7、Salesforce财报超预期！盘后股价上涨近2%\n美东时间8月25日周三美股盘后，全球最大的CRM软件服务提供商Salesforce今日公布了2022财年第二财季财报。报告显示，Salesforce第二财季总营收为63.40亿美元，与去年同期的51.51亿美元相比增长23%，不计入汇率变动的影响为同比增长21%；净利润为5.35亿美元，与去年同期的26.25亿美元相比下降80%；每股摊薄收益为0.56美元，相比之下去年同期为2.85美元。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":451,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834852678,"gmtCreate":1629792580594,"gmtModify":1631890177519,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585039741547804","idStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"why? lol","listText":"why? lol","text":"why? lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834852678","repostId":"1100467490","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835087430,"gmtCreate":1629681214920,"gmtModify":1631890177522,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585039741547804","idStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yes!","listText":"yes!","text":"yes!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835087430","repostId":"2161740192","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":318,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":838707265,"gmtCreate":1629427302957,"gmtModify":1631890177524,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585039741547804","idStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"still undervalue?!","listText":"still undervalue?!","text":"still undervalue?!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838707265","repostId":"1160234318","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160234318","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629426487,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160234318?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-20 10:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alphabet: Fundamentally Undervalued, But There Is Something More<blockquote>Alphabet：从根本上被低估，但还有更多</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160234318","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGiven the growth of EPS and free cash flow, Alphabet does not look expensive now.\nLooking a","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Given the growth of EPS and free cash flow, Alphabet does not look expensive now.</li>  <li>Looking at the forward multiples, especially in the context of expected EPS and revenue growth, the market is pulling Alphabet down.</li>  <li>The company is still undervalued in the context of the present value of the potential future FCF volume.</li>  <li>The current state of the market in many aspects has reached extreme points and this is a cause for concern.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76349c9ab8f3f6331a583172e492e24c\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>400tmax/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>鉴于每股收益和自由现金流的增长，Alphabet现在看起来并不昂贵。</li><li>从远期市盈率来看，特别是在预期每股收益和收入增长的背景下，市场正在拉低Alphabet。</li><li>就未来潜在自由现金流量的现值而言，该公司的估值仍然被低估。</li><li>市场在许多方面的现状已经达到了极端，这是一个令人担忧的原因。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>400tmax/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Among the companies from the FAAMG list, Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL) has shown the highest price return since the beginning of the year. However, maintaining the current rate of growth of the company's market capitalization looks doubtful. Moreover, the main reasons for these doubts do not relate directly to Alphabet.</p><p><blockquote>在FAAMG名单中的公司中，Alphabet(GOOG)（GOOGL）的价格回报率为年初以来最高。然而，保持公司市值目前的增长率看起来令人怀疑。此外，这些疑虑的主要原因与Alphabet没有直接关系。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca2bf5977f084e40231c372ea4e953f7\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Is Alphabet just growing or accelerating?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Alphabet只是在增长还是在加速？</b></blockquote></p><p> Alphabet started publishing disaggregated revenue data relatively recently, but even that data is enough to see how rapidly growth in the key segments of the company's business has accelerated over the past three quarters:</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet最近才开始发布分类收入数据，但即使是这些数据也足以看出该公司业务关键领域在过去三个季度的增长速度有多快：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ef18c5c0d152abd360d4e1e6a5f7d86\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de1a4870a4261ce5e4ff958b006d6b05\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d229d96e3f324a3dbdb1f72b52c1c5b3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If we talk about revenue in general, then there is now an exponential growth. Moreover, the result of the last quarter turned out to be above the long-term trend:</p><p><blockquote>如果我们从总体上谈论收入，那么现在是指数级增长。此外，上个季度的结果高于长期趋势：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2943b4f848efdba9f29e35d2f37a14d3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>Of course, this is a consequence of the increased interest in digital advertising during the phase of the end of the coronavirus pandemic. Basically, this was the</i>&nbsp;<i>expected</i>&nbsp;<i>effect.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>当然，这是冠状病毒疫情结束阶段对数字广告兴趣增加的结果。基本上，这是</i> <i>预期</i> <i>效果。</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Market Cap vs Financial Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市值与财务业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> The most rough version of evaluating the current market price of a company is to analyze the mutual dynamics of changes in the size of capitalization and key operating indicators.</p><p><blockquote>评估公司当前市场价格的最粗略版本是分析资本化规模和关键运营指标变化的相互动态。</blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Alphabet's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue TTM absolute size. And this relationship indicates an overvalued state of the company even in the context of the expected results of the next three quarters:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，Alphabet的资本化与其收入TTM绝对规模呈定性线性关系。这种关系表明，即使在未来三个季度的预期业绩背景下，该公司的估值也被高估：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6147fa35fc829f5dcb156557895e67f4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But in the case of EPS, Alphabet's current market cap is fairly balanced:</p><p><blockquote>但就每股收益而言，Alphabet目前的市值相当平衡：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3368b0fde66f762da5b38fb54e0eebce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The relationship between capitalization and free cash flow turns out to be of the highest quality. And this relationship also confirms the balanced state of the company's current price:</p><p><blockquote>资本化和自由现金流之间的关系被证明是最高质量的。而这种关系也印证了公司当前价格的均衡状态：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34dbd99f491ef12b268f9c0d597e2ced\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>So, at first glance, given the growth of EPS and free cash flow, the company does not look expensive now. And this is impressive.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>因此，乍一看，考虑到每股收益和自由现金流的增长，该公司现在看起来并不昂贵。这令人印象深刻。</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Comparative Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比较估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Comparative analysis of Alphabet's multiples did not give an unambiguous result. But it revealed one characteristic detail, which should be discussed.</p><p><blockquote>对Alphabet倍数的比较分析并没有给出明确的结果。但它揭示了一个特征细节，应该讨论一下。</blockquote></p><p> Comparing Alphabet to a broad sample of tech companies through historical multiples, it can be concluded that the company is in balance with the market.</p><p><blockquote>通过历史市盈率将Alphabet与科技公司的广泛样本进行比较，可以得出结论，该公司与市场处于平衡状态。</blockquote></p><p> This is indicated by the EV/EBITDA multiple:</p><p><blockquote>这由EV/EBITDA倍数表示：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1041e7dcef35b920b35acfbfd9f692c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df80b3691561bd0413d9fd70ba6ba2b1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> And the EV/FCF multiple:</p><p><blockquote>EV/FCF倍数：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6bfbb2e5f3b01ff92ccb097f52d3e1d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfe8094ed0774076017dc9c6311f91d4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But if we turn to the forward multiples,<i>they will not allow us to draw such a conclusion</i>. So, judging by the Forward P/S (next FY) multiple, Alphabet is overvalued by 25%:</p><p><blockquote>但如果我们转向前向倍数，<i>他们不允许我们得出这样的结论</i>因此，从远期市盈率（下一财年）倍数来看，Alphabet被高估了25%：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eecbffc5c6a6c5dd6a4c660076fcac73\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9522696b884da86938cbd5552fcc5feb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If we adjust this multiple for the expected growth rate, the result will not change much:</p><p><blockquote>如果我们针对预期增速调整这个倍数，结果变化不大：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe20a41142f56a3b67d470198521488a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cb5901359f0343da4135b9e99782564\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Judging by the forward P/E (next FY) multiple, Alphabet is balanced:</p><p><blockquote>从远期市盈率（下一财年）倍数来看，Alphabet是平衡的：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d8c203a8e7992753f480acea8dc104d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ceb3882c35c854fe5209649a8e43ffb9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But, the growth-adjusted forward P/E multiple indicates overvaluation:</p><p><blockquote>但是，增长调整后的远期市盈率表明估值过高：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab1456724d050ce5158dc999cf4712c6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ae370ac3d9070d29c50075d95845b3a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>As you can see, if we compare Alphabet in the context of the current multiples, then the company is quite adequately assessed. But if you look at the forward multiples, and especially in the context of the expected growth rates of EPS and revenue, then the market is pulling Alphabet down.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如您所看到的，如果我们在当前市盈率的背景下比较Alphabet，那么该公司的评估就相当充分。但如果你看看远期市盈率，特别是在每股收益和收入预期增长率的背景下，那么市场正在拉低Alphabet。</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Fundamental Valuation (DCF model)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>基本面估值（DCF模型）</b></blockquote></p><p> To forecast Alphabet's revenue for the next decade, I used the current averageestimatesof analysts. Importantly, sentiment about Alphabet's future growth has improved significantly this year:</p><p><blockquote>为了预测Alphabet未来十年的收入，我使用了分析师当前的平均估计。重要的是，今年对Alphabet未来增长的情绪明显改善：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d9fe4f01e79caf2ec0eb3ff42bcd62b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"284\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha Pro</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：寻求Alpha Pro</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Operating margins have also jumped recently:</p><p><blockquote>营业利润率最近也大幅上升：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8265910d416d9c95f4544e6db5a18d55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But the model is based on the assumption that the operating margin over the next 10 years will gradually decline from 26% to 21% in the terminal year. This is the standard approach, assuming increased competition in the industry.</p><p><blockquote>但该模型基于以下假设：未来10年的营业利润率将在终端年从26%逐渐下降至21%。假设行业竞争加剧，这是标准方法。</blockquote></p><p> Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:</p><p><blockquote>以下是加权平均资本成本的计算方法：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2eec731cefc1f1305b7f2a8ddd9863e6\" tg-width=\"434\" tg-height=\"385\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Some explanations:</p><p><blockquote>一些解释：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.25%).</li>  <li>I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient. For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.</li>  <li>To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.</li> </ul> When building the model, I used the following key assumptions:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了计算市场回报率，我使用了equityriskpremium（4.72%）和UST10的当前收益率作为无风险利率（1.25%）。</li><li>我使用了三年贝塔系数的当前值。在最后一年，我使用Beta等于1。</li><li>为了计算债务成本，我使用2019年和2020年的利息支出除以同年的债务价值。</li></ul>在构建模型时，我使用了以下关键假设：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The relative size of CAPEX will be at the average of the previous six years (14%).</li>  <li>The averagetax ratewill amount to 26%.</li> </ul> And, here's the model itself:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>资本支出的相对规模将处于前六年的平均水平（14%）。</li><li>平均税率将达到26%。</li></ul>下面是模型本身：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b39411acd119f583bda3362999499f95\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"497\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(high resolution)Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（高分辨率）来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>The DCF-based target price of Alphabet's shares is $4,430, offering ~62% upside. But, if we moderate the forecast for the operating margin and suppose that UST10 rises to 2%, then the growth potential drops to approximately 30%. This, however, is also a positive result.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>Alphabet股票基于DCF的目标价为4,430美元，上涨空间约为62%。但是，如果我们调整营业利润率的预测并假设UST10升至2%，那么增长潜力将降至约30%。然而，这也是一个积极的结果。</i></blockquote></p><p> Technical picture</p><p><blockquote>技术图片</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Most stocks and indices follow their exponential trend, which tends to be well-identified on the graph with log y-axis. Let's take a look at Alphabet this way:</p><p><blockquote>大多数股票和指数遵循其指数趋势，这往往在具有对数y轴的图表上可以很好地识别。让我们这样来看看Alphabet：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bec0b304aec5fd73b20552517ddf8d54\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Starting from 2010, Alphabet's stock price had been following its long-term exponential trend. But now the company's stock price is above this trend by two standard deviations.<i>It means that Alphabet's stock price is growing at a faster than exponential rate. Generally speaking, it indicates an unstable state.</i></p><p><blockquote>从2010年开始，Alphabet的股价一直遵循其长期指数趋势。但现在公司股价比这一趋势高出两个标准差。<i>这意味着Alphabet的股价正在以超过指数的速度增长。一般来说，它表示一种不稳定的状态。</i></blockquote></p><p> But, sometimes this is a signal that the price intends to grow in this way and further. A prime example is Microsoft (MSFT), which overtook its long-term exponential trend last year:</p><p><blockquote>但是，有时这是一个信号，表明价格打算以这种方式进一步增长。一个典型的例子是微软（MSFT），它去年超越了其长期指数趋势：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/acc09617c1d8eb3259b2f778c531b1cb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Dynamics of risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险动态</b></blockquote></p><p> The risks that will be discussed in this block do not relate to the company itself, but to the market as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>本节将讨论的风险与公司本身无关，而是与整个市场有关。</blockquote></p><p> The capitalization of Alphabet now accounts for about 4.3% of the capitalization of the entire US stock market. At the beginning of the year, this figure barely exceeded 3%:</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet的市值现在约占整个美国股市市值的4.3%。年初，这一数字勉强超过3%：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9303db3db81e41dd706bdfd5e999185e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Only Apple (AAPL) and Microsoft have comparable shares...</p><p><blockquote>只有苹果（AAPL）和微软拥有可比股票……</blockquote></p><p> Further, over the past 14 years, the value of the Nasdaq index as a percentage of the S&amp;P 500 index has grown from 175% to 330%. Moreover, the dynamics of the last few quarters suggest that this trend has reached a certain ceiling:</p><p><blockquote>此外，在过去14年中，纳斯达克指数占标普500指数的百分比从175%增长到330%。此外，过去几个季度的动态表明，这种趋势已经达到了一定的上限：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/264902a1ecd03164d6b1d969f99f8543\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At the same time, microcycles allow us to expect that the market is entering a phase of increased volatility and tighter monetary policy:</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，微周期让我们预计市场正在进入波动加剧和货币政策收紧的阶段：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d33e233159547a9eda0b4d79ebb8db81\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> And it was the ultra-soft monetary policy that allowed the US stock market to reach its current record level relative to GDP:</p><p><blockquote>而正是超软货币政策让美国股市相对于GDP达到了目前的创纪录水平：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cae2307c42c76775fc9ae39cf8d6cb14\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: cmegroup.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：cmegroup.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>In short, the current state of the market in many aspects has reached extreme points and this is a cause for concern.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>简而言之，市场目前在许多方面的状态已经达到了极端点，这是一个令人担忧的原因。</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> Looking at the results that Alphabet has shown in the last two quarters, the company's current price is not surprising.</p><p><blockquote>从Alphabet最近两个季度展示的业绩来看，该公司目前的价格并不令人意外。</blockquote></p><p> But the continuation of this growth at the same rates does not seem so obvious anymore. Especially with an eye to the general market situation and the expectation of a tightening of monetary policy in the US. On the whole, a neutral rating suggests itself.</p><p><blockquote>但以同样的速度继续增长似乎不再那么明显了。尤其是着眼于整体市场形势和美国收紧货币政策的预期。总体而言，中性评级不言而喻。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alphabet: Fundamentally Undervalued, But There Is Something More<blockquote>Alphabet：从根本上被低估，但还有更多</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlphabet: Fundamentally Undervalued, But There Is Something More<blockquote>Alphabet：从根本上被低估，但还有更多</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-20 10:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Given the growth of EPS and free cash flow, Alphabet does not look expensive now.</li>  <li>Looking at the forward multiples, especially in the context of expected EPS and revenue growth, the market is pulling Alphabet down.</li>  <li>The company is still undervalued in the context of the present value of the potential future FCF volume.</li>  <li>The current state of the market in many aspects has reached extreme points and this is a cause for concern.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76349c9ab8f3f6331a583172e492e24c\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>400tmax/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>鉴于每股收益和自由现金流的增长，Alphabet现在看起来并不昂贵。</li><li>从远期市盈率来看，特别是在预期每股收益和收入增长的背景下，市场正在拉低Alphabet。</li><li>就未来潜在自由现金流量的现值而言，该公司的估值仍然被低估。</li><li>市场在许多方面的现状已经达到了极端，这是一个令人担忧的原因。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>400tmax/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Among the companies from the FAAMG list, Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL) has shown the highest price return since the beginning of the year. However, maintaining the current rate of growth of the company's market capitalization looks doubtful. Moreover, the main reasons for these doubts do not relate directly to Alphabet.</p><p><blockquote>在FAAMG名单中的公司中，Alphabet(GOOG)（GOOGL）的价格回报率为年初以来最高。然而，保持公司市值目前的增长率看起来令人怀疑。此外，这些疑虑的主要原因与Alphabet没有直接关系。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca2bf5977f084e40231c372ea4e953f7\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Is Alphabet just growing or accelerating?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Alphabet只是在增长还是在加速？</b></blockquote></p><p> Alphabet started publishing disaggregated revenue data relatively recently, but even that data is enough to see how rapidly growth in the key segments of the company's business has accelerated over the past three quarters:</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet最近才开始发布分类收入数据，但即使是这些数据也足以看出该公司业务关键领域在过去三个季度的增长速度有多快：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ef18c5c0d152abd360d4e1e6a5f7d86\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de1a4870a4261ce5e4ff958b006d6b05\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d229d96e3f324a3dbdb1f72b52c1c5b3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If we talk about revenue in general, then there is now an exponential growth. Moreover, the result of the last quarter turned out to be above the long-term trend:</p><p><blockquote>如果我们从总体上谈论收入，那么现在是指数级增长。此外，上个季度的结果高于长期趋势：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2943b4f848efdba9f29e35d2f37a14d3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>Of course, this is a consequence of the increased interest in digital advertising during the phase of the end of the coronavirus pandemic. Basically, this was the</i>&nbsp;<i>expected</i>&nbsp;<i>effect.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>当然，这是冠状病毒疫情结束阶段对数字广告兴趣增加的结果。基本上，这是</i> <i>预期</i> <i>效果。</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Market Cap vs Financial Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市值与财务业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> The most rough version of evaluating the current market price of a company is to analyze the mutual dynamics of changes in the size of capitalization and key operating indicators.</p><p><blockquote>评估公司当前市场价格的最粗略版本是分析资本化规模和关键运营指标变化的相互动态。</blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Alphabet's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue TTM absolute size. And this relationship indicates an overvalued state of the company even in the context of the expected results of the next three quarters:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，Alphabet的资本化与其收入TTM绝对规模呈定性线性关系。这种关系表明，即使在未来三个季度的预期业绩背景下，该公司的估值也被高估：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6147fa35fc829f5dcb156557895e67f4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But in the case of EPS, Alphabet's current market cap is fairly balanced:</p><p><blockquote>但就每股收益而言，Alphabet目前的市值相当平衡：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3368b0fde66f762da5b38fb54e0eebce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The relationship between capitalization and free cash flow turns out to be of the highest quality. And this relationship also confirms the balanced state of the company's current price:</p><p><blockquote>资本化和自由现金流之间的关系被证明是最高质量的。而这种关系也印证了公司当前价格的均衡状态：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34dbd99f491ef12b268f9c0d597e2ced\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>So, at first glance, given the growth of EPS and free cash flow, the company does not look expensive now. And this is impressive.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>因此，乍一看，考虑到每股收益和自由现金流的增长，该公司现在看起来并不昂贵。这令人印象深刻。</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Comparative Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比较估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Comparative analysis of Alphabet's multiples did not give an unambiguous result. But it revealed one characteristic detail, which should be discussed.</p><p><blockquote>对Alphabet倍数的比较分析并没有给出明确的结果。但它揭示了一个特征细节，应该讨论一下。</blockquote></p><p> Comparing Alphabet to a broad sample of tech companies through historical multiples, it can be concluded that the company is in balance with the market.</p><p><blockquote>通过历史市盈率将Alphabet与科技公司的广泛样本进行比较，可以得出结论，该公司与市场处于平衡状态。</blockquote></p><p> This is indicated by the EV/EBITDA multiple:</p><p><blockquote>这由EV/EBITDA倍数表示：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1041e7dcef35b920b35acfbfd9f692c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df80b3691561bd0413d9fd70ba6ba2b1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> And the EV/FCF multiple:</p><p><blockquote>EV/FCF倍数：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6bfbb2e5f3b01ff92ccb097f52d3e1d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfe8094ed0774076017dc9c6311f91d4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But if we turn to the forward multiples,<i>they will not allow us to draw such a conclusion</i>. So, judging by the Forward P/S (next FY) multiple, Alphabet is overvalued by 25%:</p><p><blockquote>但如果我们转向前向倍数，<i>他们不允许我们得出这样的结论</i>因此，从远期市盈率（下一财年）倍数来看，Alphabet被高估了25%：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eecbffc5c6a6c5dd6a4c660076fcac73\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9522696b884da86938cbd5552fcc5feb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If we adjust this multiple for the expected growth rate, the result will not change much:</p><p><blockquote>如果我们针对预期增速调整这个倍数，结果变化不大：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe20a41142f56a3b67d470198521488a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cb5901359f0343da4135b9e99782564\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Judging by the forward P/E (next FY) multiple, Alphabet is balanced:</p><p><blockquote>从远期市盈率（下一财年）倍数来看，Alphabet是平衡的：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d8c203a8e7992753f480acea8dc104d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ceb3882c35c854fe5209649a8e43ffb9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But, the growth-adjusted forward P/E multiple indicates overvaluation:</p><p><blockquote>但是，增长调整后的远期市盈率表明估值过高：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab1456724d050ce5158dc999cf4712c6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ae370ac3d9070d29c50075d95845b3a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>As you can see, if we compare Alphabet in the context of the current multiples, then the company is quite adequately assessed. But if you look at the forward multiples, and especially in the context of the expected growth rates of EPS and revenue, then the market is pulling Alphabet down.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如您所看到的，如果我们在当前市盈率的背景下比较Alphabet，那么该公司的评估就相当充分。但如果你看看远期市盈率，特别是在每股收益和收入预期增长率的背景下，那么市场正在拉低Alphabet。</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Fundamental Valuation (DCF model)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>基本面估值（DCF模型）</b></blockquote></p><p> To forecast Alphabet's revenue for the next decade, I used the current averageestimatesof analysts. Importantly, sentiment about Alphabet's future growth has improved significantly this year:</p><p><blockquote>为了预测Alphabet未来十年的收入，我使用了分析师当前的平均估计。重要的是，今年对Alphabet未来增长的情绪明显改善：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d9fe4f01e79caf2ec0eb3ff42bcd62b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"284\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha Pro</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：寻求Alpha Pro</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Operating margins have also jumped recently:</p><p><blockquote>营业利润率最近也大幅上升：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8265910d416d9c95f4544e6db5a18d55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But the model is based on the assumption that the operating margin over the next 10 years will gradually decline from 26% to 21% in the terminal year. This is the standard approach, assuming increased competition in the industry.</p><p><blockquote>但该模型基于以下假设：未来10年的营业利润率将在终端年从26%逐渐下降至21%。假设行业竞争加剧，这是标准方法。</blockquote></p><p> Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:</p><p><blockquote>以下是加权平均资本成本的计算方法：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2eec731cefc1f1305b7f2a8ddd9863e6\" tg-width=\"434\" tg-height=\"385\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Some explanations:</p><p><blockquote>一些解释：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.25%).</li>  <li>I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient. For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.</li>  <li>To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.</li> </ul> When building the model, I used the following key assumptions:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了计算市场回报率，我使用了equityriskpremium（4.72%）和UST10的当前收益率作为无风险利率（1.25%）。</li><li>我使用了三年贝塔系数的当前值。在最后一年，我使用Beta等于1。</li><li>为了计算债务成本，我使用2019年和2020年的利息支出除以同年的债务价值。</li></ul>在构建模型时，我使用了以下关键假设：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The relative size of CAPEX will be at the average of the previous six years (14%).</li>  <li>The averagetax ratewill amount to 26%.</li> </ul> And, here's the model itself:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>资本支出的相对规模将处于前六年的平均水平（14%）。</li><li>平均税率将达到26%。</li></ul>下面是模型本身：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b39411acd119f583bda3362999499f95\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"497\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(high resolution)Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（高分辨率）来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>The DCF-based target price of Alphabet's shares is $4,430, offering ~62% upside. But, if we moderate the forecast for the operating margin and suppose that UST10 rises to 2%, then the growth potential drops to approximately 30%. This, however, is also a positive result.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>Alphabet股票基于DCF的目标价为4,430美元，上涨空间约为62%。但是，如果我们调整营业利润率的预测并假设UST10升至2%，那么增长潜力将降至约30%。然而，这也是一个积极的结果。</i></blockquote></p><p> Technical picture</p><p><blockquote>技术图片</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Most stocks and indices follow their exponential trend, which tends to be well-identified on the graph with log y-axis. Let's take a look at Alphabet this way:</p><p><blockquote>大多数股票和指数遵循其指数趋势，这往往在具有对数y轴的图表上可以很好地识别。让我们这样来看看Alphabet：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bec0b304aec5fd73b20552517ddf8d54\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Starting from 2010, Alphabet's stock price had been following its long-term exponential trend. But now the company's stock price is above this trend by two standard deviations.<i>It means that Alphabet's stock price is growing at a faster than exponential rate. Generally speaking, it indicates an unstable state.</i></p><p><blockquote>从2010年开始，Alphabet的股价一直遵循其长期指数趋势。但现在公司股价比这一趋势高出两个标准差。<i>这意味着Alphabet的股价正在以超过指数的速度增长。一般来说，它表示一种不稳定的状态。</i></blockquote></p><p> But, sometimes this is a signal that the price intends to grow in this way and further. A prime example is Microsoft (MSFT), which overtook its long-term exponential trend last year:</p><p><blockquote>但是，有时这是一个信号，表明价格打算以这种方式进一步增长。一个典型的例子是微软（MSFT），它去年超越了其长期指数趋势：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/acc09617c1d8eb3259b2f778c531b1cb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Dynamics of risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险动态</b></blockquote></p><p> The risks that will be discussed in this block do not relate to the company itself, but to the market as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>本节将讨论的风险与公司本身无关，而是与整个市场有关。</blockquote></p><p> The capitalization of Alphabet now accounts for about 4.3% of the capitalization of the entire US stock market. At the beginning of the year, this figure barely exceeded 3%:</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet的市值现在约占整个美国股市市值的4.3%。年初，这一数字勉强超过3%：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9303db3db81e41dd706bdfd5e999185e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Only Apple (AAPL) and Microsoft have comparable shares...</p><p><blockquote>只有苹果（AAPL）和微软拥有可比股票……</blockquote></p><p> Further, over the past 14 years, the value of the Nasdaq index as a percentage of the S&amp;P 500 index has grown from 175% to 330%. Moreover, the dynamics of the last few quarters suggest that this trend has reached a certain ceiling:</p><p><blockquote>此外，在过去14年中，纳斯达克指数占标普500指数的百分比从175%增长到330%。此外，过去几个季度的动态表明，这种趋势已经达到了一定的上限：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/264902a1ecd03164d6b1d969f99f8543\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At the same time, microcycles allow us to expect that the market is entering a phase of increased volatility and tighter monetary policy:</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，微周期让我们预计市场正在进入波动加剧和货币政策收紧的阶段：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d33e233159547a9eda0b4d79ebb8db81\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> And it was the ultra-soft monetary policy that allowed the US stock market to reach its current record level relative to GDP:</p><p><blockquote>而正是超软货币政策让美国股市相对于GDP达到了目前的创纪录水平：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cae2307c42c76775fc9ae39cf8d6cb14\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: cmegroup.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：cmegroup.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>In short, the current state of the market in many aspects has reached extreme points and this is a cause for concern.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>简而言之，市场目前在许多方面的状态已经达到了极端点，这是一个令人担忧的原因。</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> Looking at the results that Alphabet has shown in the last two quarters, the company's current price is not surprising.</p><p><blockquote>从Alphabet最近两个季度展示的业绩来看，该公司目前的价格并不令人意外。</blockquote></p><p> But the continuation of this growth at the same rates does not seem so obvious anymore. Especially with an eye to the general market situation and the expectation of a tightening of monetary policy in the US. On the whole, a neutral rating suggests itself.</p><p><blockquote>但以同样的速度继续增长似乎不再那么明显了。尤其是着眼于整体市场形势和美国收紧货币政策的预期。总体而言，中性评级不言而喻。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4450520-alphabet-fundamentally-undervalued-but-there-is-something-more\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOG":"谷歌","GOOGL":"谷歌A"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4450520-alphabet-fundamentally-undervalued-but-there-is-something-more","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160234318","content_text":"Summary\n\nGiven the growth of EPS and free cash flow, Alphabet does not look expensive now.\nLooking at the forward multiples, especially in the context of expected EPS and revenue growth, the market is pulling Alphabet down.\nThe company is still undervalued in the context of the present value of the potential future FCF volume.\nThe current state of the market in many aspects has reached extreme points and this is a cause for concern.\n\n400tmax/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThesis\nAmong the companies from the FAAMG list, Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL) has shown the highest price return since the beginning of the year. However, maintaining the current rate of growth of the company's market capitalization looks doubtful. Moreover, the main reasons for these doubts do not relate directly to Alphabet.\nData byYCharts\nIs Alphabet just growing or accelerating?\nAlphabet started publishing disaggregated revenue data relatively recently, but even that data is enough to see how rapidly growth in the key segments of the company's business has accelerated over the past three quarters:\n\n\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nIf we talk about revenue in general, then there is now an exponential growth. Moreover, the result of the last quarter turned out to be above the long-term trend:\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nOf course, this is a consequence of the increased interest in digital advertising during the phase of the end of the coronavirus pandemic. Basically, this was the expected effect.\nMarket Cap vs Financial Results\nThe most rough version of evaluating the current market price of a company is to analyze the mutual dynamics of changes in the size of capitalization and key operating indicators.\nOver the last decade, Alphabet's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue TTM absolute size. And this relationship indicates an overvalued state of the company even in the context of the expected results of the next three quarters:\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nBut in the case of EPS, Alphabet's current market cap is fairly balanced:\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nThe relationship between capitalization and free cash flow turns out to be of the highest quality. And this relationship also confirms the balanced state of the company's current price:\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nSo, at first glance, given the growth of EPS and free cash flow, the company does not look expensive now. And this is impressive.\nComparative Valuation\nComparative analysis of Alphabet's multiples did not give an unambiguous result. But it revealed one characteristic detail, which should be discussed.\nComparing Alphabet to a broad sample of tech companies through historical multiples, it can be concluded that the company is in balance with the market.\nThis is indicated by the EV/EBITDA multiple:\n\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nAnd the EV/FCF multiple:\n\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nBut if we turn to the forward multiples,they will not allow us to draw such a conclusion. So, judging by the Forward P/S (next FY) multiple, Alphabet is overvalued by 25%:\n\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nIf we adjust this multiple for the expected growth rate, the result will not change much:\n\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nJudging by the forward P/E (next FY) multiple, Alphabet is balanced:\n\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nBut, the growth-adjusted forward P/E multiple indicates overvaluation:\n\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nAs you can see, if we compare Alphabet in the context of the current multiples, then the company is quite adequately assessed. But if you look at the forward multiples, and especially in the context of the expected growth rates of EPS and revenue, then the market is pulling Alphabet down.\nFundamental Valuation (DCF model)\nTo forecast Alphabet's revenue for the next decade, I used the current averageestimatesof analysts. Importantly, sentiment about Alphabet's future growth has improved significantly this year:\nSource: Seeking Alpha Pro\nOperating margins have also jumped recently:\nData byYCharts\nBut the model is based on the assumption that the operating margin over the next 10 years will gradually decline from 26% to 21% in the terminal year. This is the standard approach, assuming increased competition in the industry.\nHere is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:\nSource: Author\nSome explanations:\n\nIn order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.25%).\nI used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient. For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.\nTo calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.\n\nWhen building the model, I used the following key assumptions:\n\nThe relative size of CAPEX will be at the average of the previous six years (14%).\nThe averagetax ratewill amount to 26%.\n\nAnd, here's the model itself:\n(high resolution)Source: Author\nThe DCF-based target price of Alphabet's shares is $4,430, offering ~62% upside. But, if we moderate the forecast for the operating margin and suppose that UST10 rises to 2%, then the growth potential drops to approximately 30%. This, however, is also a positive result.\nTechnical picture\nMost stocks and indices follow their exponential trend, which tends to be well-identified on the graph with log y-axis. Let's take a look at Alphabet this way:\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nStarting from 2010, Alphabet's stock price had been following its long-term exponential trend. But now the company's stock price is above this trend by two standard deviations.It means that Alphabet's stock price is growing at a faster than exponential rate. Generally speaking, it indicates an unstable state.\nBut, sometimes this is a signal that the price intends to grow in this way and further. A prime example is Microsoft (MSFT), which overtook its long-term exponential trend last year:\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nDynamics of risks\nThe risks that will be discussed in this block do not relate to the company itself, but to the market as a whole.\nThe capitalization of Alphabet now accounts for about 4.3% of the capitalization of the entire US stock market. At the beginning of the year, this figure barely exceeded 3%:\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\n\nOnly Apple (AAPL) and Microsoft have comparable shares...\nFurther, over the past 14 years, the value of the Nasdaq index as a percentage of the S&P 500 index has grown from 175% to 330%. Moreover, the dynamics of the last few quarters suggest that this trend has reached a certain ceiling:\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\n\nAt the same time, microcycles allow us to expect that the market is entering a phase of increased volatility and tighter monetary policy:\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nAnd it was the ultra-soft monetary policy that allowed the US stock market to reach its current record level relative to GDP:\nSource: cmegroup.com\nIn short, the current state of the market in many aspects has reached extreme points and this is a cause for concern.\nBottom line\nLooking at the results that Alphabet has shown in the last two quarters, the company's current price is not surprising.\nBut the continuation of this growth at the same rates does not seem so obvious anymore. Especially with an eye to the general market situation and the expectation of a tightening of monetary policy in the US. On the whole, a neutral rating suggests itself.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GOOG":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":229,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898973644,"gmtCreate":1628471147588,"gmtModify":1631892669078,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585039741547804","idStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"sad!","listText":"sad!","text":"sad!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898973644","repostId":"1167020219","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":304,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804660110,"gmtCreate":1627954286230,"gmtModify":1631892669091,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585039741547804","idStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"crash is coming.","listText":"crash is coming.","text":"crash is coming.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804660110","repostId":"2156114224","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":273,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":804660110,"gmtCreate":1627954286230,"gmtModify":1631892669091,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585039741547804","authorIdStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"crash is coming.","listText":"crash is coming.","text":"crash is coming.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804660110","repostId":"2156114224","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":273,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":813712994,"gmtCreate":1630246522618,"gmtModify":1704957424840,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585039741547804","authorIdStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yeah!","listText":"yeah!","text":"yeah!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/813712994","repostId":"1129129956","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129129956","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630201285,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129129956?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-29 09:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"This Unloved Tech Stock Could Make You Rich One Day<blockquote>这只不受欢迎的科技股有一天会让你变得富有</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129129956","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The iBuying business is a race to grow larger, and Opendoor is winning.The company is growing at a rate that is two years ahead of what management projected just a year earlier.The market is bearish on virtually all SPACs, making Opendoor a bargain that could eventually bring huge returns.Real estate iBuying company Opendoor Technologieshas been executing at a high level in the three quarters since coming public via a special purpose acquisition company  merger. In a race to disrupt residential ","content":"<p>Key Points</p><p><blockquote>要点</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The iBuying business is a race to grow larger, and Opendoor is winning.</li>  <li>The company is growing at a rate that is two years ahead of what management projected just a year earlier.</li>  <li>The market is bearish on virtually all SPACs, making Opendoor a bargain that could eventually bring huge returns.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>iBuying业务是一场做大的竞赛，Opendoor正在获胜。</li><li>该公司的增长速度比管理层一年前的预测提前了两年。</li><li>市场对几乎所有SPAC都持悲观态度，这使得Opendoor成为最终可能带来巨额回报的便宜货。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> Real estate iBuying company&nbsp;<b>Opendoor Technologies</b>(NASDAQ:OPEN)has been executing at a high level in the three quarters since coming public via a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger. In a race to disrupt residential real estate, one of the largest markets in the world, Opendoor's long-term potential could bring big returns for patient investors.</p><p><blockquote>房地产iBuying公司<b>开门技术</b>（纳斯达克：OPEN）自通过特殊目的收购公司（SPAC）合并上市以来，三个季度的执行情况一直处于高水平。在颠覆全球最大市场之一住宅房地产的竞赛中，Opendoor的长期潜力可能会为耐心的投资者带来丰厚的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Despite the upside, the market hasn't yet appreciated Opendoor's accomplishments; the stock is down more than 50% from its highs. There are three important clues that Opendoor could be a compelling investment idea for bold investors.</p><p><blockquote>尽管有上行空间，市场尚未欣赏Opendoor的成就；该股较高点下跌超过50%。有三个重要线索表明，对于大胆的投资者来说，Opendoor可能是一个引人注目的投资理念。</blockquote></p><p> <h3>1. Opendoor is winning the iBuying battle</h3> The traditional home-buying process in the United States is slow and handled by multiple parties, including agents, lawyers, inspectors, and bankers. This creates a lot of back and forth paperwork and drags the process out to more than 30 days, on average.</p><p><blockquote><h3>1.Opendoor正在赢得iBuying之战</h3>美国传统的购房流程缓慢，由多方处理，包括代理人、律师、检查员和银行家。这造成了大量来回的文书工作，平均将流程拖到30多天。</blockquote></p><p> Opendoor pioneered the concept of \"iBuying,\" where the buying and selling of a house are digitized, and a company like Opendoor works directly with sellers to provide them with a cash offer and a digital closing process. The company then resells the house on the market. The iBuying process cuts out agents and some of the fees associated with traditional closings, such as agent commissions. Opendoor then resells the house on the market and charges a service fee of up to 5% on the transaction.</p><p><blockquote>Opendoor开创了“iBuying”的概念，即房屋的买卖是数字化的，像Opendoor这样的公司直接与卖家合作，为他们提供现金报价和数字化成交流程。然后公司在市场上转售房子。iBuying流程省去了代理商和一些与传统成交相关的费用，如代理商佣金。然后Opendoor在市场上转售房屋，并收取高达5%的交易服务费。</blockquote></p><p> After seeing Opendoor steadily grow with its iBuying concept, competitors have also begun to offer iBuying services, including&nbsp;<b>Zillow Group</b>&nbsp;and Offerpad. Because of how capital intensive the business is (a lot of money is needed to buy and sell thousands of houses) and how price competitive the housing market is, these companies are racing to get as big as possible. As the companies buy and sell more homes, they have the ability to become more profitable by leveraging outsourced contractors to save money, and its pricing algorithm improves as it sees more transactions.</p><p><blockquote>在看到Opendoor凭借iBuying概念稳步增长后，竞争对手也开始提供iBuying服务，包括<b>Zillow集团</b>和Offerpad。由于该业务的资本密集型程度（买卖数千套房屋需要大量资金）以及房地产市场的价格竞争力，这些公司都在竞相做大。随着公司买卖更多房屋，他们有能力通过利用外包承包商来节省资金来获得更多利润，并且随着交易数量的增加，其定价算法也会改进。</blockquote></p><p> According to iBuyerStats, a website dedicated to tracking the competitors found in iBuying, Opendoor has consistently had the most housing inventory available for sale. It currently has roughly 3,300 houses for sale, 53% more than Zillow and more than four times as many as Offerpad.</p><p><blockquote>根据专门跟踪iBuying竞争对手的网站iBuyerStats的数据，Opendoor一直拥有最多的待售房屋库存。该公司目前约有3,300套待售房屋，比Zillow多53%，是Offerpad的四倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <h3>2. Revenue growth is ahead of schedule</h3> When companies go public viaSPACmerger, they lay out a public presentation of their business, often including long-term growth projections. Opendoor laid out its pre-merger investor presentation about a year ago, in September 2020.</p><p><blockquote><h3>2、营收增速提前</h3>当公司通过SpacMerger上市时，他们会公开介绍自己的业务，通常包括长期增长预测。大约一年前，即2020年9月，Opendoor发布了合并前投资者演示文稿。</blockquote></p><p> Fast forward to the company's recent 2021 Q2 earnings call. CEO and founder Eric Wu said on the earnings call, \"... based on our current progress, our second half revenue run rate is on track to exceed our 2023 target, a full two years ahead of plan.\"</p><p><blockquote>快进到该公司最近的2021年第二季度收益看涨期权。首席执行官兼创始人Eric Wu在财报看涨期权上表示，“……根据我们目前的进展，我们下半年的收入运行率有望超过2023年的目标，比计划提前了整整两年。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, if Opendoor were to operate for 12 months at the level the business currently is, it would surpass the $9.8 billion in revenue it projected for 2023. This is an underlooked point because if Opendoor is already two years ahead of its original growth curve, where will it be by 2023? Sure, a dip in the housing market or other events could disrupt the company's speed of growth, but Opendoor is showing the world that the business is operating at a high level.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，如果Opendoor按照目前的业务水平运营12个月，它将超过2023年预计的98亿美元收入。这是一个被忽视的点，因为如果Opendoor已经比其最初的增长曲线提前了两年，那么到2023年它会在哪里？当然，房地产市场下滑或其他事件可能会扰乱公司的增长速度，但Opendoor正在向世界展示该业务正在高水平运营。</blockquote></p><p> <h3>3. SPACs are out of favor with the market... opportunity?</h3> Investors have overlooked this strong performance, focusing instead on the fact that Opendoor joined the public market via SPAC merger. It has hardly mattered what operating results or earnings have looked like for former SPACs; the stock market has been selling off virtually all SPAC-based stocks for several months now.</p><p><blockquote><h3>3、SPAC失宠于市场……机会？</h3>投资者忽略了这一强劲表现，而是关注Opendoor通过SPAC合并加入公开市场的事实。对于前SPAC来说，经营业绩或收益如何并不重要；几个月来，股市几乎一直在抛售所有基于SPAC的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Investors have been spooked by a handful of \"bad apple\" companies turning up fraudulent, and other companies have wildly missed on the projections they made before going public. These instances have burned those involved, and investors have taken a much more cautious attitude toward SPACs as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>投资者对少数“不良苹果”公司的欺诈行为感到震惊，而其他公司也严重未能实现上市前的预测。这些事件激怒了相关人员，投资者对SPAC整体采取了更加谨慎的态度。</blockquote></p><p> But if companies like Opendoor keep blowing away estimates, the market is likely to come around eventually. When it does, the stock price could move aggressively. If we take Eric Wu's comments about revenue and assume that Opendoor does sales of $10 billion in 2022 (in other words, Opendoor stops growing and maintains its current pace over the following year), the stock currently trades at aprice-to-sales(P/S) ratio of just 1.0. That's a bargain-bin valuation.</p><p><blockquote>但如果像Opendoor这样的公司继续超出预期，市场最终可能会好转。当这种情况发生时，股价可能会大幅波动。如果我们采纳Eric Wu对收入的评论，并假设Opendoor在2022年的销售额为100亿美元（换句话说，Opendoor在接下来的一年里停止增长并保持目前的速度），那么该股目前的市销率(P/S)比率仅为1.0。这是一个便宜的估值。</blockquote></p><p> Competitor Zillow Group trades at a P/S ratio of more than 3, reflecting Opendoor's discount as a former SPAC.</p><p><blockquote>竞争对手Zillow Group的市盈率超过3，反映了Opendoor作为前SPAC的折扣。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <h3>Here's the bottom line</h3> Real estate is a huge market, and it's a complicated industry because of the clash between traditional agents and the \"new kids\" on the block trying to bring technology into homebuying. It's too early to say that Opendoor will become the \"<b>Amazon</b>\" of home buying, but what seems certain is that the company is&nbsp;poised to be a big player&nbsp;in real estate's future if it keeps performing like this.</p><p><blockquote><h3>这是底线</h3>房地产是一个巨大的市场，也是一个复杂的行业，因为传统代理商和试图将技术引入购房的“新人”之间存在冲突。现在说Opendoor将成为“<b>亚马逊</b>“但似乎可以肯定的是，如果该公司继续保持这样的表现，它将成为房地产未来的重要参与者。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This Unloved Tech Stock Could Make You Rich One Day<blockquote>这只不受欢迎的科技股有一天会让你变得富有</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis Unloved Tech Stock Could Make You Rich One Day<blockquote>这只不受欢迎的科技股有一天会让你变得富有</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-29 09:41</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Key Points</p><p><blockquote>要点</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The iBuying business is a race to grow larger, and Opendoor is winning.</li>  <li>The company is growing at a rate that is two years ahead of what management projected just a year earlier.</li>  <li>The market is bearish on virtually all SPACs, making Opendoor a bargain that could eventually bring huge returns.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>iBuying业务是一场做大的竞赛，Opendoor正在获胜。</li><li>该公司的增长速度比管理层一年前的预测提前了两年。</li><li>市场对几乎所有SPAC都持悲观态度，这使得Opendoor成为最终可能带来巨额回报的便宜货。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> Real estate iBuying company&nbsp;<b>Opendoor Technologies</b>(NASDAQ:OPEN)has been executing at a high level in the three quarters since coming public via a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger. In a race to disrupt residential real estate, one of the largest markets in the world, Opendoor's long-term potential could bring big returns for patient investors.</p><p><blockquote>房地产iBuying公司<b>开门技术</b>（纳斯达克：OPEN）自通过特殊目的收购公司（SPAC）合并上市以来，三个季度的执行情况一直处于高水平。在颠覆全球最大市场之一住宅房地产的竞赛中，Opendoor的长期潜力可能会为耐心的投资者带来丰厚的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Despite the upside, the market hasn't yet appreciated Opendoor's accomplishments; the stock is down more than 50% from its highs. There are three important clues that Opendoor could be a compelling investment idea for bold investors.</p><p><blockquote>尽管有上行空间，市场尚未欣赏Opendoor的成就；该股较高点下跌超过50%。有三个重要线索表明，对于大胆的投资者来说，Opendoor可能是一个引人注目的投资理念。</blockquote></p><p> <h3>1. Opendoor is winning the iBuying battle</h3> The traditional home-buying process in the United States is slow and handled by multiple parties, including agents, lawyers, inspectors, and bankers. This creates a lot of back and forth paperwork and drags the process out to more than 30 days, on average.</p><p><blockquote><h3>1.Opendoor正在赢得iBuying之战</h3>美国传统的购房流程缓慢，由多方处理，包括代理人、律师、检查员和银行家。这造成了大量来回的文书工作，平均将流程拖到30多天。</blockquote></p><p> Opendoor pioneered the concept of \"iBuying,\" where the buying and selling of a house are digitized, and a company like Opendoor works directly with sellers to provide them with a cash offer and a digital closing process. The company then resells the house on the market. The iBuying process cuts out agents and some of the fees associated with traditional closings, such as agent commissions. Opendoor then resells the house on the market and charges a service fee of up to 5% on the transaction.</p><p><blockquote>Opendoor开创了“iBuying”的概念，即房屋的买卖是数字化的，像Opendoor这样的公司直接与卖家合作，为他们提供现金报价和数字化成交流程。然后公司在市场上转售房子。iBuying流程省去了代理商和一些与传统成交相关的费用，如代理商佣金。然后Opendoor在市场上转售房屋，并收取高达5%的交易服务费。</blockquote></p><p> After seeing Opendoor steadily grow with its iBuying concept, competitors have also begun to offer iBuying services, including&nbsp;<b>Zillow Group</b>&nbsp;and Offerpad. Because of how capital intensive the business is (a lot of money is needed to buy and sell thousands of houses) and how price competitive the housing market is, these companies are racing to get as big as possible. As the companies buy and sell more homes, they have the ability to become more profitable by leveraging outsourced contractors to save money, and its pricing algorithm improves as it sees more transactions.</p><p><blockquote>在看到Opendoor凭借iBuying概念稳步增长后，竞争对手也开始提供iBuying服务，包括<b>Zillow集团</b>和Offerpad。由于该业务的资本密集型程度（买卖数千套房屋需要大量资金）以及房地产市场的价格竞争力，这些公司都在竞相做大。随着公司买卖更多房屋，他们有能力通过利用外包承包商来节省资金来获得更多利润，并且随着交易数量的增加，其定价算法也会改进。</blockquote></p><p> According to iBuyerStats, a website dedicated to tracking the competitors found in iBuying, Opendoor has consistently had the most housing inventory available for sale. It currently has roughly 3,300 houses for sale, 53% more than Zillow and more than four times as many as Offerpad.</p><p><blockquote>根据专门跟踪iBuying竞争对手的网站iBuyerStats的数据，Opendoor一直拥有最多的待售房屋库存。该公司目前约有3,300套待售房屋，比Zillow多53%，是Offerpad的四倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <h3>2. Revenue growth is ahead of schedule</h3> When companies go public viaSPACmerger, they lay out a public presentation of their business, often including long-term growth projections. Opendoor laid out its pre-merger investor presentation about a year ago, in September 2020.</p><p><blockquote><h3>2、营收增速提前</h3>当公司通过SpacMerger上市时，他们会公开介绍自己的业务，通常包括长期增长预测。大约一年前，即2020年9月，Opendoor发布了合并前投资者演示文稿。</blockquote></p><p> Fast forward to the company's recent 2021 Q2 earnings call. CEO and founder Eric Wu said on the earnings call, \"... based on our current progress, our second half revenue run rate is on track to exceed our 2023 target, a full two years ahead of plan.\"</p><p><blockquote>快进到该公司最近的2021年第二季度收益看涨期权。首席执行官兼创始人Eric Wu在财报看涨期权上表示，“……根据我们目前的进展，我们下半年的收入运行率有望超过2023年的目标，比计划提前了整整两年。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, if Opendoor were to operate for 12 months at the level the business currently is, it would surpass the $9.8 billion in revenue it projected for 2023. This is an underlooked point because if Opendoor is already two years ahead of its original growth curve, where will it be by 2023? Sure, a dip in the housing market or other events could disrupt the company's speed of growth, but Opendoor is showing the world that the business is operating at a high level.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，如果Opendoor按照目前的业务水平运营12个月，它将超过2023年预计的98亿美元收入。这是一个被忽视的点，因为如果Opendoor已经比其最初的增长曲线提前了两年，那么到2023年它会在哪里？当然，房地产市场下滑或其他事件可能会扰乱公司的增长速度，但Opendoor正在向世界展示该业务正在高水平运营。</blockquote></p><p> <h3>3. SPACs are out of favor with the market... opportunity?</h3> Investors have overlooked this strong performance, focusing instead on the fact that Opendoor joined the public market via SPAC merger. It has hardly mattered what operating results or earnings have looked like for former SPACs; the stock market has been selling off virtually all SPAC-based stocks for several months now.</p><p><blockquote><h3>3、SPAC失宠于市场……机会？</h3>投资者忽略了这一强劲表现，而是关注Opendoor通过SPAC合并加入公开市场的事实。对于前SPAC来说，经营业绩或收益如何并不重要；几个月来，股市几乎一直在抛售所有基于SPAC的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Investors have been spooked by a handful of \"bad apple\" companies turning up fraudulent, and other companies have wildly missed on the projections they made before going public. These instances have burned those involved, and investors have taken a much more cautious attitude toward SPACs as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>投资者对少数“不良苹果”公司的欺诈行为感到震惊，而其他公司也严重未能实现上市前的预测。这些事件激怒了相关人员，投资者对SPAC整体采取了更加谨慎的态度。</blockquote></p><p> But if companies like Opendoor keep blowing away estimates, the market is likely to come around eventually. When it does, the stock price could move aggressively. If we take Eric Wu's comments about revenue and assume that Opendoor does sales of $10 billion in 2022 (in other words, Opendoor stops growing and maintains its current pace over the following year), the stock currently trades at aprice-to-sales(P/S) ratio of just 1.0. That's a bargain-bin valuation.</p><p><blockquote>但如果像Opendoor这样的公司继续超出预期，市场最终可能会好转。当这种情况发生时，股价可能会大幅波动。如果我们采纳Eric Wu对收入的评论，并假设Opendoor在2022年的销售额为100亿美元（换句话说，Opendoor在接下来的一年里停止增长并保持目前的速度），那么该股目前的市销率(P/S)比率仅为1.0。这是一个便宜的估值。</blockquote></p><p> Competitor Zillow Group trades at a P/S ratio of more than 3, reflecting Opendoor's discount as a former SPAC.</p><p><blockquote>竞争对手Zillow Group的市盈率超过3，反映了Opendoor作为前SPAC的折扣。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <h3>Here's the bottom line</h3> Real estate is a huge market, and it's a complicated industry because of the clash between traditional agents and the \"new kids\" on the block trying to bring technology into homebuying. It's too early to say that Opendoor will become the \"<b>Amazon</b>\" of home buying, but what seems certain is that the company is&nbsp;poised to be a big player&nbsp;in real estate's future if it keeps performing like this.</p><p><blockquote><h3>这是底线</h3>房地产是一个巨大的市场，也是一个复杂的行业，因为传统代理商和试图将技术引入购房的“新人”之间存在冲突。现在说Opendoor将成为“<b>亚马逊</b>“但似乎可以肯定的是，如果该公司继续保持这样的表现，它将成为房地产未来的重要参与者。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/28/this-unloved-tech-stock-may-make-you-rich-one-day/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"OPEN":"Opendoor Technologies Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/28/this-unloved-tech-stock-may-make-you-rich-one-day/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129129956","content_text":"Key Points\n\nThe iBuying business is a race to grow larger, and Opendoor is winning.\nThe company is growing at a rate that is two years ahead of what management projected just a year earlier.\nThe market is bearish on virtually all SPACs, making Opendoor a bargain that could eventually bring huge returns.\n\n\nReal estate iBuying company Opendoor Technologies(NASDAQ:OPEN)has been executing at a high level in the three quarters since coming public via a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger. In a race to disrupt residential real estate, one of the largest markets in the world, Opendoor's long-term potential could bring big returns for patient investors.\nDespite the upside, the market hasn't yet appreciated Opendoor's accomplishments; the stock is down more than 50% from its highs. There are three important clues that Opendoor could be a compelling investment idea for bold investors.\n1. Opendoor is winning the iBuying battle\nThe traditional home-buying process in the United States is slow and handled by multiple parties, including agents, lawyers, inspectors, and bankers. This creates a lot of back and forth paperwork and drags the process out to more than 30 days, on average.\nOpendoor pioneered the concept of \"iBuying,\" where the buying and selling of a house are digitized, and a company like Opendoor works directly with sellers to provide them with a cash offer and a digital closing process. The company then resells the house on the market. The iBuying process cuts out agents and some of the fees associated with traditional closings, such as agent commissions. Opendoor then resells the house on the market and charges a service fee of up to 5% on the transaction.\nAfter seeing Opendoor steadily grow with its iBuying concept, competitors have also begun to offer iBuying services, including Zillow Group and Offerpad. Because of how capital intensive the business is (a lot of money is needed to buy and sell thousands of houses) and how price competitive the housing market is, these companies are racing to get as big as possible. As the companies buy and sell more homes, they have the ability to become more profitable by leveraging outsourced contractors to save money, and its pricing algorithm improves as it sees more transactions.\nAccording to iBuyerStats, a website dedicated to tracking the competitors found in iBuying, Opendoor has consistently had the most housing inventory available for sale. It currently has roughly 3,300 houses for sale, 53% more than Zillow and more than four times as many as Offerpad.\n2. Revenue growth is ahead of schedule\nWhen companies go public viaSPACmerger, they lay out a public presentation of their business, often including long-term growth projections. Opendoor laid out its pre-merger investor presentation about a year ago, in September 2020.\nFast forward to the company's recent 2021 Q2 earnings call. CEO and founder Eric Wu said on the earnings call, \"... based on our current progress, our second half revenue run rate is on track to exceed our 2023 target, a full two years ahead of plan.\"\nIn other words, if Opendoor were to operate for 12 months at the level the business currently is, it would surpass the $9.8 billion in revenue it projected for 2023. This is an underlooked point because if Opendoor is already two years ahead of its original growth curve, where will it be by 2023? Sure, a dip in the housing market or other events could disrupt the company's speed of growth, but Opendoor is showing the world that the business is operating at a high level.\n3. SPACs are out of favor with the market... opportunity?\nInvestors have overlooked this strong performance, focusing instead on the fact that Opendoor joined the public market via SPAC merger. It has hardly mattered what operating results or earnings have looked like for former SPACs; the stock market has been selling off virtually all SPAC-based stocks for several months now.\nInvestors have been spooked by a handful of \"bad apple\" companies turning up fraudulent, and other companies have wildly missed on the projections they made before going public. These instances have burned those involved, and investors have taken a much more cautious attitude toward SPACs as a whole.\nBut if companies like Opendoor keep blowing away estimates, the market is likely to come around eventually. When it does, the stock price could move aggressively. If we take Eric Wu's comments about revenue and assume that Opendoor does sales of $10 billion in 2022 (in other words, Opendoor stops growing and maintains its current pace over the following year), the stock currently trades at aprice-to-sales(P/S) ratio of just 1.0. That's a bargain-bin valuation.\nCompetitor Zillow Group trades at a P/S ratio of more than 3, reflecting Opendoor's discount as a former SPAC.\nHere's the bottom line\nReal estate is a huge market, and it's a complicated industry because of the clash between traditional agents and the \"new kids\" on the block trying to bring technology into homebuying. It's too early to say that Opendoor will become the \"Amazon\" of home buying, but what seems certain is that the company is poised to be a big player in real estate's future if it keeps performing like this.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"OPEN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":212,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":838707265,"gmtCreate":1629427302957,"gmtModify":1631890177524,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585039741547804","authorIdStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"still undervalue?!","listText":"still undervalue?!","text":"still undervalue?!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838707265","repostId":"1160234318","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160234318","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629426487,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160234318?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-20 10:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alphabet: Fundamentally Undervalued, But There Is Something More<blockquote>Alphabet：从根本上被低估，但还有更多</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160234318","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGiven the growth of EPS and free cash flow, Alphabet does not look expensive now.\nLooking a","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Given the growth of EPS and free cash flow, Alphabet does not look expensive now.</li>  <li>Looking at the forward multiples, especially in the context of expected EPS and revenue growth, the market is pulling Alphabet down.</li>  <li>The company is still undervalued in the context of the present value of the potential future FCF volume.</li>  <li>The current state of the market in many aspects has reached extreme points and this is a cause for concern.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76349c9ab8f3f6331a583172e492e24c\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>400tmax/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>鉴于每股收益和自由现金流的增长，Alphabet现在看起来并不昂贵。</li><li>从远期市盈率来看，特别是在预期每股收益和收入增长的背景下，市场正在拉低Alphabet。</li><li>就未来潜在自由现金流量的现值而言，该公司的估值仍然被低估。</li><li>市场在许多方面的现状已经达到了极端，这是一个令人担忧的原因。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>400tmax/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Among the companies from the FAAMG list, Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL) has shown the highest price return since the beginning of the year. However, maintaining the current rate of growth of the company's market capitalization looks doubtful. Moreover, the main reasons for these doubts do not relate directly to Alphabet.</p><p><blockquote>在FAAMG名单中的公司中，Alphabet(GOOG)（GOOGL）的价格回报率为年初以来最高。然而，保持公司市值目前的增长率看起来令人怀疑。此外，这些疑虑的主要原因与Alphabet没有直接关系。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca2bf5977f084e40231c372ea4e953f7\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Is Alphabet just growing or accelerating?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Alphabet只是在增长还是在加速？</b></blockquote></p><p> Alphabet started publishing disaggregated revenue data relatively recently, but even that data is enough to see how rapidly growth in the key segments of the company's business has accelerated over the past three quarters:</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet最近才开始发布分类收入数据，但即使是这些数据也足以看出该公司业务关键领域在过去三个季度的增长速度有多快：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ef18c5c0d152abd360d4e1e6a5f7d86\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de1a4870a4261ce5e4ff958b006d6b05\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d229d96e3f324a3dbdb1f72b52c1c5b3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If we talk about revenue in general, then there is now an exponential growth. Moreover, the result of the last quarter turned out to be above the long-term trend:</p><p><blockquote>如果我们从总体上谈论收入，那么现在是指数级增长。此外，上个季度的结果高于长期趋势：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2943b4f848efdba9f29e35d2f37a14d3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>Of course, this is a consequence of the increased interest in digital advertising during the phase of the end of the coronavirus pandemic. Basically, this was the</i>&nbsp;<i>expected</i>&nbsp;<i>effect.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>当然，这是冠状病毒疫情结束阶段对数字广告兴趣增加的结果。基本上，这是</i> <i>预期</i> <i>效果。</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Market Cap vs Financial Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市值与财务业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> The most rough version of evaluating the current market price of a company is to analyze the mutual dynamics of changes in the size of capitalization and key operating indicators.</p><p><blockquote>评估公司当前市场价格的最粗略版本是分析资本化规模和关键运营指标变化的相互动态。</blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Alphabet's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue TTM absolute size. And this relationship indicates an overvalued state of the company even in the context of the expected results of the next three quarters:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，Alphabet的资本化与其收入TTM绝对规模呈定性线性关系。这种关系表明，即使在未来三个季度的预期业绩背景下，该公司的估值也被高估：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6147fa35fc829f5dcb156557895e67f4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But in the case of EPS, Alphabet's current market cap is fairly balanced:</p><p><blockquote>但就每股收益而言，Alphabet目前的市值相当平衡：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3368b0fde66f762da5b38fb54e0eebce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The relationship between capitalization and free cash flow turns out to be of the highest quality. And this relationship also confirms the balanced state of the company's current price:</p><p><blockquote>资本化和自由现金流之间的关系被证明是最高质量的。而这种关系也印证了公司当前价格的均衡状态：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34dbd99f491ef12b268f9c0d597e2ced\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>So, at first glance, given the growth of EPS and free cash flow, the company does not look expensive now. And this is impressive.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>因此，乍一看，考虑到每股收益和自由现金流的增长，该公司现在看起来并不昂贵。这令人印象深刻。</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Comparative Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比较估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Comparative analysis of Alphabet's multiples did not give an unambiguous result. But it revealed one characteristic detail, which should be discussed.</p><p><blockquote>对Alphabet倍数的比较分析并没有给出明确的结果。但它揭示了一个特征细节，应该讨论一下。</blockquote></p><p> Comparing Alphabet to a broad sample of tech companies through historical multiples, it can be concluded that the company is in balance with the market.</p><p><blockquote>通过历史市盈率将Alphabet与科技公司的广泛样本进行比较，可以得出结论，该公司与市场处于平衡状态。</blockquote></p><p> This is indicated by the EV/EBITDA multiple:</p><p><blockquote>这由EV/EBITDA倍数表示：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1041e7dcef35b920b35acfbfd9f692c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df80b3691561bd0413d9fd70ba6ba2b1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> And the EV/FCF multiple:</p><p><blockquote>EV/FCF倍数：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6bfbb2e5f3b01ff92ccb097f52d3e1d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfe8094ed0774076017dc9c6311f91d4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But if we turn to the forward multiples,<i>they will not allow us to draw such a conclusion</i>. So, judging by the Forward P/S (next FY) multiple, Alphabet is overvalued by 25%:</p><p><blockquote>但如果我们转向前向倍数，<i>他们不允许我们得出这样的结论</i>因此，从远期市盈率（下一财年）倍数来看，Alphabet被高估了25%：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eecbffc5c6a6c5dd6a4c660076fcac73\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9522696b884da86938cbd5552fcc5feb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If we adjust this multiple for the expected growth rate, the result will not change much:</p><p><blockquote>如果我们针对预期增速调整这个倍数，结果变化不大：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe20a41142f56a3b67d470198521488a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cb5901359f0343da4135b9e99782564\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Judging by the forward P/E (next FY) multiple, Alphabet is balanced:</p><p><blockquote>从远期市盈率（下一财年）倍数来看，Alphabet是平衡的：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d8c203a8e7992753f480acea8dc104d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ceb3882c35c854fe5209649a8e43ffb9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But, the growth-adjusted forward P/E multiple indicates overvaluation:</p><p><blockquote>但是，增长调整后的远期市盈率表明估值过高：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab1456724d050ce5158dc999cf4712c6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ae370ac3d9070d29c50075d95845b3a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>As you can see, if we compare Alphabet in the context of the current multiples, then the company is quite adequately assessed. But if you look at the forward multiples, and especially in the context of the expected growth rates of EPS and revenue, then the market is pulling Alphabet down.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如您所看到的，如果我们在当前市盈率的背景下比较Alphabet，那么该公司的评估就相当充分。但如果你看看远期市盈率，特别是在每股收益和收入预期增长率的背景下，那么市场正在拉低Alphabet。</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Fundamental Valuation (DCF model)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>基本面估值（DCF模型）</b></blockquote></p><p> To forecast Alphabet's revenue for the next decade, I used the current averageestimatesof analysts. Importantly, sentiment about Alphabet's future growth has improved significantly this year:</p><p><blockquote>为了预测Alphabet未来十年的收入，我使用了分析师当前的平均估计。重要的是，今年对Alphabet未来增长的情绪明显改善：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d9fe4f01e79caf2ec0eb3ff42bcd62b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"284\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha Pro</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：寻求Alpha Pro</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Operating margins have also jumped recently:</p><p><blockquote>营业利润率最近也大幅上升：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8265910d416d9c95f4544e6db5a18d55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But the model is based on the assumption that the operating margin over the next 10 years will gradually decline from 26% to 21% in the terminal year. This is the standard approach, assuming increased competition in the industry.</p><p><blockquote>但该模型基于以下假设：未来10年的营业利润率将在终端年从26%逐渐下降至21%。假设行业竞争加剧，这是标准方法。</blockquote></p><p> Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:</p><p><blockquote>以下是加权平均资本成本的计算方法：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2eec731cefc1f1305b7f2a8ddd9863e6\" tg-width=\"434\" tg-height=\"385\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Some explanations:</p><p><blockquote>一些解释：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.25%).</li>  <li>I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient. For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.</li>  <li>To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.</li> </ul> When building the model, I used the following key assumptions:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了计算市场回报率，我使用了equityriskpremium（4.72%）和UST10的当前收益率作为无风险利率（1.25%）。</li><li>我使用了三年贝塔系数的当前值。在最后一年，我使用Beta等于1。</li><li>为了计算债务成本，我使用2019年和2020年的利息支出除以同年的债务价值。</li></ul>在构建模型时，我使用了以下关键假设：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The relative size of CAPEX will be at the average of the previous six years (14%).</li>  <li>The averagetax ratewill amount to 26%.</li> </ul> And, here's the model itself:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>资本支出的相对规模将处于前六年的平均水平（14%）。</li><li>平均税率将达到26%。</li></ul>下面是模型本身：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b39411acd119f583bda3362999499f95\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"497\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(high resolution)Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（高分辨率）来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>The DCF-based target price of Alphabet's shares is $4,430, offering ~62% upside. But, if we moderate the forecast for the operating margin and suppose that UST10 rises to 2%, then the growth potential drops to approximately 30%. This, however, is also a positive result.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>Alphabet股票基于DCF的目标价为4,430美元，上涨空间约为62%。但是，如果我们调整营业利润率的预测并假设UST10升至2%，那么增长潜力将降至约30%。然而，这也是一个积极的结果。</i></blockquote></p><p> Technical picture</p><p><blockquote>技术图片</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Most stocks and indices follow their exponential trend, which tends to be well-identified on the graph with log y-axis. Let's take a look at Alphabet this way:</p><p><blockquote>大多数股票和指数遵循其指数趋势，这往往在具有对数y轴的图表上可以很好地识别。让我们这样来看看Alphabet：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bec0b304aec5fd73b20552517ddf8d54\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Starting from 2010, Alphabet's stock price had been following its long-term exponential trend. But now the company's stock price is above this trend by two standard deviations.<i>It means that Alphabet's stock price is growing at a faster than exponential rate. Generally speaking, it indicates an unstable state.</i></p><p><blockquote>从2010年开始，Alphabet的股价一直遵循其长期指数趋势。但现在公司股价比这一趋势高出两个标准差。<i>这意味着Alphabet的股价正在以超过指数的速度增长。一般来说，它表示一种不稳定的状态。</i></blockquote></p><p> But, sometimes this is a signal that the price intends to grow in this way and further. A prime example is Microsoft (MSFT), which overtook its long-term exponential trend last year:</p><p><blockquote>但是，有时这是一个信号，表明价格打算以这种方式进一步增长。一个典型的例子是微软（MSFT），它去年超越了其长期指数趋势：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/acc09617c1d8eb3259b2f778c531b1cb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Dynamics of risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险动态</b></blockquote></p><p> The risks that will be discussed in this block do not relate to the company itself, but to the market as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>本节将讨论的风险与公司本身无关，而是与整个市场有关。</blockquote></p><p> The capitalization of Alphabet now accounts for about 4.3% of the capitalization of the entire US stock market. At the beginning of the year, this figure barely exceeded 3%:</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet的市值现在约占整个美国股市市值的4.3%。年初，这一数字勉强超过3%：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9303db3db81e41dd706bdfd5e999185e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Only Apple (AAPL) and Microsoft have comparable shares...</p><p><blockquote>只有苹果（AAPL）和微软拥有可比股票……</blockquote></p><p> Further, over the past 14 years, the value of the Nasdaq index as a percentage of the S&amp;P 500 index has grown from 175% to 330%. Moreover, the dynamics of the last few quarters suggest that this trend has reached a certain ceiling:</p><p><blockquote>此外，在过去14年中，纳斯达克指数占标普500指数的百分比从175%增长到330%。此外，过去几个季度的动态表明，这种趋势已经达到了一定的上限：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/264902a1ecd03164d6b1d969f99f8543\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At the same time, microcycles allow us to expect that the market is entering a phase of increased volatility and tighter monetary policy:</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，微周期让我们预计市场正在进入波动加剧和货币政策收紧的阶段：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d33e233159547a9eda0b4d79ebb8db81\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> And it was the ultra-soft monetary policy that allowed the US stock market to reach its current record level relative to GDP:</p><p><blockquote>而正是超软货币政策让美国股市相对于GDP达到了目前的创纪录水平：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cae2307c42c76775fc9ae39cf8d6cb14\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: cmegroup.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：cmegroup.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>In short, the current state of the market in many aspects has reached extreme points and this is a cause for concern.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>简而言之，市场目前在许多方面的状态已经达到了极端点，这是一个令人担忧的原因。</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> Looking at the results that Alphabet has shown in the last two quarters, the company's current price is not surprising.</p><p><blockquote>从Alphabet最近两个季度展示的业绩来看，该公司目前的价格并不令人意外。</blockquote></p><p> But the continuation of this growth at the same rates does not seem so obvious anymore. Especially with an eye to the general market situation and the expectation of a tightening of monetary policy in the US. On the whole, a neutral rating suggests itself.</p><p><blockquote>但以同样的速度继续增长似乎不再那么明显了。尤其是着眼于整体市场形势和美国收紧货币政策的预期。总体而言，中性评级不言而喻。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alphabet: Fundamentally Undervalued, But There Is Something More<blockquote>Alphabet：从根本上被低估，但还有更多</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlphabet: Fundamentally Undervalued, But There Is Something More<blockquote>Alphabet：从根本上被低估，但还有更多</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-20 10:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Given the growth of EPS and free cash flow, Alphabet does not look expensive now.</li>  <li>Looking at the forward multiples, especially in the context of expected EPS and revenue growth, the market is pulling Alphabet down.</li>  <li>The company is still undervalued in the context of the present value of the potential future FCF volume.</li>  <li>The current state of the market in many aspects has reached extreme points and this is a cause for concern.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76349c9ab8f3f6331a583172e492e24c\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>400tmax/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>鉴于每股收益和自由现金流的增长，Alphabet现在看起来并不昂贵。</li><li>从远期市盈率来看，特别是在预期每股收益和收入增长的背景下，市场正在拉低Alphabet。</li><li>就未来潜在自由现金流量的现值而言，该公司的估值仍然被低估。</li><li>市场在许多方面的现状已经达到了极端，这是一个令人担忧的原因。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>400tmax/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Among the companies from the FAAMG list, Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL) has shown the highest price return since the beginning of the year. However, maintaining the current rate of growth of the company's market capitalization looks doubtful. Moreover, the main reasons for these doubts do not relate directly to Alphabet.</p><p><blockquote>在FAAMG名单中的公司中，Alphabet(GOOG)（GOOGL）的价格回报率为年初以来最高。然而，保持公司市值目前的增长率看起来令人怀疑。此外，这些疑虑的主要原因与Alphabet没有直接关系。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca2bf5977f084e40231c372ea4e953f7\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Is Alphabet just growing or accelerating?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Alphabet只是在增长还是在加速？</b></blockquote></p><p> Alphabet started publishing disaggregated revenue data relatively recently, but even that data is enough to see how rapidly growth in the key segments of the company's business has accelerated over the past three quarters:</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet最近才开始发布分类收入数据，但即使是这些数据也足以看出该公司业务关键领域在过去三个季度的增长速度有多快：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ef18c5c0d152abd360d4e1e6a5f7d86\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de1a4870a4261ce5e4ff958b006d6b05\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d229d96e3f324a3dbdb1f72b52c1c5b3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If we talk about revenue in general, then there is now an exponential growth. Moreover, the result of the last quarter turned out to be above the long-term trend:</p><p><blockquote>如果我们从总体上谈论收入，那么现在是指数级增长。此外，上个季度的结果高于长期趋势：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2943b4f848efdba9f29e35d2f37a14d3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>Of course, this is a consequence of the increased interest in digital advertising during the phase of the end of the coronavirus pandemic. Basically, this was the</i>&nbsp;<i>expected</i>&nbsp;<i>effect.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>当然，这是冠状病毒疫情结束阶段对数字广告兴趣增加的结果。基本上，这是</i> <i>预期</i> <i>效果。</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Market Cap vs Financial Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市值与财务业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> The most rough version of evaluating the current market price of a company is to analyze the mutual dynamics of changes in the size of capitalization and key operating indicators.</p><p><blockquote>评估公司当前市场价格的最粗略版本是分析资本化规模和关键运营指标变化的相互动态。</blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Alphabet's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue TTM absolute size. And this relationship indicates an overvalued state of the company even in the context of the expected results of the next three quarters:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，Alphabet的资本化与其收入TTM绝对规模呈定性线性关系。这种关系表明，即使在未来三个季度的预期业绩背景下，该公司的估值也被高估：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6147fa35fc829f5dcb156557895e67f4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But in the case of EPS, Alphabet's current market cap is fairly balanced:</p><p><blockquote>但就每股收益而言，Alphabet目前的市值相当平衡：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3368b0fde66f762da5b38fb54e0eebce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The relationship between capitalization and free cash flow turns out to be of the highest quality. And this relationship also confirms the balanced state of the company's current price:</p><p><blockquote>资本化和自由现金流之间的关系被证明是最高质量的。而这种关系也印证了公司当前价格的均衡状态：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34dbd99f491ef12b268f9c0d597e2ced\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>So, at first glance, given the growth of EPS and free cash flow, the company does not look expensive now. And this is impressive.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>因此，乍一看，考虑到每股收益和自由现金流的增长，该公司现在看起来并不昂贵。这令人印象深刻。</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Comparative Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比较估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Comparative analysis of Alphabet's multiples did not give an unambiguous result. But it revealed one characteristic detail, which should be discussed.</p><p><blockquote>对Alphabet倍数的比较分析并没有给出明确的结果。但它揭示了一个特征细节，应该讨论一下。</blockquote></p><p> Comparing Alphabet to a broad sample of tech companies through historical multiples, it can be concluded that the company is in balance with the market.</p><p><blockquote>通过历史市盈率将Alphabet与科技公司的广泛样本进行比较，可以得出结论，该公司与市场处于平衡状态。</blockquote></p><p> This is indicated by the EV/EBITDA multiple:</p><p><blockquote>这由EV/EBITDA倍数表示：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1041e7dcef35b920b35acfbfd9f692c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df80b3691561bd0413d9fd70ba6ba2b1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> And the EV/FCF multiple:</p><p><blockquote>EV/FCF倍数：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6bfbb2e5f3b01ff92ccb097f52d3e1d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfe8094ed0774076017dc9c6311f91d4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But if we turn to the forward multiples,<i>they will not allow us to draw such a conclusion</i>. So, judging by the Forward P/S (next FY) multiple, Alphabet is overvalued by 25%:</p><p><blockquote>但如果我们转向前向倍数，<i>他们不允许我们得出这样的结论</i>因此，从远期市盈率（下一财年）倍数来看，Alphabet被高估了25%：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eecbffc5c6a6c5dd6a4c660076fcac73\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9522696b884da86938cbd5552fcc5feb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If we adjust this multiple for the expected growth rate, the result will not change much:</p><p><blockquote>如果我们针对预期增速调整这个倍数，结果变化不大：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe20a41142f56a3b67d470198521488a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cb5901359f0343da4135b9e99782564\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Judging by the forward P/E (next FY) multiple, Alphabet is balanced:</p><p><blockquote>从远期市盈率（下一财年）倍数来看，Alphabet是平衡的：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d8c203a8e7992753f480acea8dc104d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ceb3882c35c854fe5209649a8e43ffb9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But, the growth-adjusted forward P/E multiple indicates overvaluation:</p><p><blockquote>但是，增长调整后的远期市盈率表明估值过高：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab1456724d050ce5158dc999cf4712c6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ae370ac3d9070d29c50075d95845b3a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>As you can see, if we compare Alphabet in the context of the current multiples, then the company is quite adequately assessed. But if you look at the forward multiples, and especially in the context of the expected growth rates of EPS and revenue, then the market is pulling Alphabet down.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如您所看到的，如果我们在当前市盈率的背景下比较Alphabet，那么该公司的评估就相当充分。但如果你看看远期市盈率，特别是在每股收益和收入预期增长率的背景下，那么市场正在拉低Alphabet。</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Fundamental Valuation (DCF model)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>基本面估值（DCF模型）</b></blockquote></p><p> To forecast Alphabet's revenue for the next decade, I used the current averageestimatesof analysts. Importantly, sentiment about Alphabet's future growth has improved significantly this year:</p><p><blockquote>为了预测Alphabet未来十年的收入，我使用了分析师当前的平均估计。重要的是，今年对Alphabet未来增长的情绪明显改善：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d9fe4f01e79caf2ec0eb3ff42bcd62b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"284\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha Pro</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：寻求Alpha Pro</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Operating margins have also jumped recently:</p><p><blockquote>营业利润率最近也大幅上升：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8265910d416d9c95f4544e6db5a18d55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But the model is based on the assumption that the operating margin over the next 10 years will gradually decline from 26% to 21% in the terminal year. This is the standard approach, assuming increased competition in the industry.</p><p><blockquote>但该模型基于以下假设：未来10年的营业利润率将在终端年从26%逐渐下降至21%。假设行业竞争加剧，这是标准方法。</blockquote></p><p> Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:</p><p><blockquote>以下是加权平均资本成本的计算方法：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2eec731cefc1f1305b7f2a8ddd9863e6\" tg-width=\"434\" tg-height=\"385\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Some explanations:</p><p><blockquote>一些解释：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.25%).</li>  <li>I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient. For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.</li>  <li>To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.</li> </ul> When building the model, I used the following key assumptions:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了计算市场回报率，我使用了equityriskpremium（4.72%）和UST10的当前收益率作为无风险利率（1.25%）。</li><li>我使用了三年贝塔系数的当前值。在最后一年，我使用Beta等于1。</li><li>为了计算债务成本，我使用2019年和2020年的利息支出除以同年的债务价值。</li></ul>在构建模型时，我使用了以下关键假设：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The relative size of CAPEX will be at the average of the previous six years (14%).</li>  <li>The averagetax ratewill amount to 26%.</li> </ul> And, here's the model itself:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>资本支出的相对规模将处于前六年的平均水平（14%）。</li><li>平均税率将达到26%。</li></ul>下面是模型本身：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b39411acd119f583bda3362999499f95\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"497\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(high resolution)Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（高分辨率）来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>The DCF-based target price of Alphabet's shares is $4,430, offering ~62% upside. But, if we moderate the forecast for the operating margin and suppose that UST10 rises to 2%, then the growth potential drops to approximately 30%. This, however, is also a positive result.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>Alphabet股票基于DCF的目标价为4,430美元，上涨空间约为62%。但是，如果我们调整营业利润率的预测并假设UST10升至2%，那么增长潜力将降至约30%。然而，这也是一个积极的结果。</i></blockquote></p><p> Technical picture</p><p><blockquote>技术图片</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Most stocks and indices follow their exponential trend, which tends to be well-identified on the graph with log y-axis. Let's take a look at Alphabet this way:</p><p><blockquote>大多数股票和指数遵循其指数趋势，这往往在具有对数y轴的图表上可以很好地识别。让我们这样来看看Alphabet：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bec0b304aec5fd73b20552517ddf8d54\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Starting from 2010, Alphabet's stock price had been following its long-term exponential trend. But now the company's stock price is above this trend by two standard deviations.<i>It means that Alphabet's stock price is growing at a faster than exponential rate. Generally speaking, it indicates an unstable state.</i></p><p><blockquote>从2010年开始，Alphabet的股价一直遵循其长期指数趋势。但现在公司股价比这一趋势高出两个标准差。<i>这意味着Alphabet的股价正在以超过指数的速度增长。一般来说，它表示一种不稳定的状态。</i></blockquote></p><p> But, sometimes this is a signal that the price intends to grow in this way and further. A prime example is Microsoft (MSFT), which overtook its long-term exponential trend last year:</p><p><blockquote>但是，有时这是一个信号，表明价格打算以这种方式进一步增长。一个典型的例子是微软（MSFT），它去年超越了其长期指数趋势：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/acc09617c1d8eb3259b2f778c531b1cb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Dynamics of risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险动态</b></blockquote></p><p> The risks that will be discussed in this block do not relate to the company itself, but to the market as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>本节将讨论的风险与公司本身无关，而是与整个市场有关。</blockquote></p><p> The capitalization of Alphabet now accounts for about 4.3% of the capitalization of the entire US stock market. At the beginning of the year, this figure barely exceeded 3%:</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet的市值现在约占整个美国股市市值的4.3%。年初，这一数字勉强超过3%：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9303db3db81e41dd706bdfd5e999185e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Only Apple (AAPL) and Microsoft have comparable shares...</p><p><blockquote>只有苹果（AAPL）和微软拥有可比股票……</blockquote></p><p> Further, over the past 14 years, the value of the Nasdaq index as a percentage of the S&amp;P 500 index has grown from 175% to 330%. Moreover, the dynamics of the last few quarters suggest that this trend has reached a certain ceiling:</p><p><blockquote>此外，在过去14年中，纳斯达克指数占标普500指数的百分比从175%增长到330%。此外，过去几个季度的动态表明，这种趋势已经达到了一定的上限：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/264902a1ecd03164d6b1d969f99f8543\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At the same time, microcycles allow us to expect that the market is entering a phase of increased volatility and tighter monetary policy:</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，微周期让我们预计市场正在进入波动加剧和货币政策收紧的阶段：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d33e233159547a9eda0b4d79ebb8db81\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> And it was the ultra-soft monetary policy that allowed the US stock market to reach its current record level relative to GDP:</p><p><blockquote>而正是超软货币政策让美国股市相对于GDP达到了目前的创纪录水平：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cae2307c42c76775fc9ae39cf8d6cb14\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: cmegroup.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：cmegroup.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>In short, the current state of the market in many aspects has reached extreme points and this is a cause for concern.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>简而言之，市场目前在许多方面的状态已经达到了极端点，这是一个令人担忧的原因。</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> Looking at the results that Alphabet has shown in the last two quarters, the company's current price is not surprising.</p><p><blockquote>从Alphabet最近两个季度展示的业绩来看，该公司目前的价格并不令人意外。</blockquote></p><p> But the continuation of this growth at the same rates does not seem so obvious anymore. Especially with an eye to the general market situation and the expectation of a tightening of monetary policy in the US. On the whole, a neutral rating suggests itself.</p><p><blockquote>但以同样的速度继续增长似乎不再那么明显了。尤其是着眼于整体市场形势和美国收紧货币政策的预期。总体而言，中性评级不言而喻。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4450520-alphabet-fundamentally-undervalued-but-there-is-something-more\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOG":"谷歌","GOOGL":"谷歌A"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4450520-alphabet-fundamentally-undervalued-but-there-is-something-more","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160234318","content_text":"Summary\n\nGiven the growth of EPS and free cash flow, Alphabet does not look expensive now.\nLooking at the forward multiples, especially in the context of expected EPS and revenue growth, the market is pulling Alphabet down.\nThe company is still undervalued in the context of the present value of the potential future FCF volume.\nThe current state of the market in many aspects has reached extreme points and this is a cause for concern.\n\n400tmax/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThesis\nAmong the companies from the FAAMG list, Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL) has shown the highest price return since the beginning of the year. However, maintaining the current rate of growth of the company's market capitalization looks doubtful. Moreover, the main reasons for these doubts do not relate directly to Alphabet.\nData byYCharts\nIs Alphabet just growing or accelerating?\nAlphabet started publishing disaggregated revenue data relatively recently, but even that data is enough to see how rapidly growth in the key segments of the company's business has accelerated over the past three quarters:\n\n\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nIf we talk about revenue in general, then there is now an exponential growth. Moreover, the result of the last quarter turned out to be above the long-term trend:\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nOf course, this is a consequence of the increased interest in digital advertising during the phase of the end of the coronavirus pandemic. Basically, this was the expected effect.\nMarket Cap vs Financial Results\nThe most rough version of evaluating the current market price of a company is to analyze the mutual dynamics of changes in the size of capitalization and key operating indicators.\nOver the last decade, Alphabet's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue TTM absolute size. And this relationship indicates an overvalued state of the company even in the context of the expected results of the next three quarters:\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nBut in the case of EPS, Alphabet's current market cap is fairly balanced:\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nThe relationship between capitalization and free cash flow turns out to be of the highest quality. And this relationship also confirms the balanced state of the company's current price:\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nSo, at first glance, given the growth of EPS and free cash flow, the company does not look expensive now. And this is impressive.\nComparative Valuation\nComparative analysis of Alphabet's multiples did not give an unambiguous result. But it revealed one characteristic detail, which should be discussed.\nComparing Alphabet to a broad sample of tech companies through historical multiples, it can be concluded that the company is in balance with the market.\nThis is indicated by the EV/EBITDA multiple:\n\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nAnd the EV/FCF multiple:\n\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nBut if we turn to the forward multiples,they will not allow us to draw such a conclusion. So, judging by the Forward P/S (next FY) multiple, Alphabet is overvalued by 25%:\n\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nIf we adjust this multiple for the expected growth rate, the result will not change much:\n\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nJudging by the forward P/E (next FY) multiple, Alphabet is balanced:\n\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nBut, the growth-adjusted forward P/E multiple indicates overvaluation:\n\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nAs you can see, if we compare Alphabet in the context of the current multiples, then the company is quite adequately assessed. But if you look at the forward multiples, and especially in the context of the expected growth rates of EPS and revenue, then the market is pulling Alphabet down.\nFundamental Valuation (DCF model)\nTo forecast Alphabet's revenue for the next decade, I used the current averageestimatesof analysts. Importantly, sentiment about Alphabet's future growth has improved significantly this year:\nSource: Seeking Alpha Pro\nOperating margins have also jumped recently:\nData byYCharts\nBut the model is based on the assumption that the operating margin over the next 10 years will gradually decline from 26% to 21% in the terminal year. This is the standard approach, assuming increased competition in the industry.\nHere is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:\nSource: Author\nSome explanations:\n\nIn order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.25%).\nI used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient. For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.\nTo calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.\n\nWhen building the model, I used the following key assumptions:\n\nThe relative size of CAPEX will be at the average of the previous six years (14%).\nThe averagetax ratewill amount to 26%.\n\nAnd, here's the model itself:\n(high resolution)Source: Author\nThe DCF-based target price of Alphabet's shares is $4,430, offering ~62% upside. But, if we moderate the forecast for the operating margin and suppose that UST10 rises to 2%, then the growth potential drops to approximately 30%. This, however, is also a positive result.\nTechnical picture\nMost stocks and indices follow their exponential trend, which tends to be well-identified on the graph with log y-axis. Let's take a look at Alphabet this way:\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nStarting from 2010, Alphabet's stock price had been following its long-term exponential trend. But now the company's stock price is above this trend by two standard deviations.It means that Alphabet's stock price is growing at a faster than exponential rate. Generally speaking, it indicates an unstable state.\nBut, sometimes this is a signal that the price intends to grow in this way and further. A prime example is Microsoft (MSFT), which overtook its long-term exponential trend last year:\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nDynamics of risks\nThe risks that will be discussed in this block do not relate to the company itself, but to the market as a whole.\nThe capitalization of Alphabet now accounts for about 4.3% of the capitalization of the entire US stock market. At the beginning of the year, this figure barely exceeded 3%:\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\n\nOnly Apple (AAPL) and Microsoft have comparable shares...\nFurther, over the past 14 years, the value of the Nasdaq index as a percentage of the S&P 500 index has grown from 175% to 330%. Moreover, the dynamics of the last few quarters suggest that this trend has reached a certain ceiling:\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\n\nAt the same time, microcycles allow us to expect that the market is entering a phase of increased volatility and tighter monetary policy:\nSource:VisualizedAnalytics.com\nAnd it was the ultra-soft monetary policy that allowed the US stock market to reach its current record level relative to GDP:\nSource: cmegroup.com\nIn short, the current state of the market in many aspects has reached extreme points and this is a cause for concern.\nBottom line\nLooking at the results that Alphabet has shown in the last two quarters, the company's current price is not surprising.\nBut the continuation of this growth at the same rates does not seem so obvious anymore. Especially with an eye to the general market situation and the expectation of a tightening of monetary policy in the US. On the whole, a neutral rating suggests itself.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GOOG":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":229,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":885304729,"gmtCreate":1631754768561,"gmtModify":1631890177503,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585039741547804","authorIdStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"comment to get points! lol","listText":"comment to get points! lol","text":"comment to get points! lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885304729","repostId":"2167592712","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2887,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":602008699,"gmtCreate":1638935069672,"gmtModify":1638935069733,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585039741547804","authorIdStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yes!","listText":"yes!","text":"yes!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602008699","repostId":"1110034472","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110034472","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638934503,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1110034472?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-08 11:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba shares fell nearly 5% in Hong Kong market<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在香港市场下跌近5%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110034472","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Alibaba shares fell nearly 5% in Hong Kong market.\nThe stock rose more than 12% on Tuesday.","content":"<p>Alibaba&nbsp;shares&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;5%&nbsp;in&nbsp;Hong&nbsp;Kong&nbsp;market.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在香港市场下跌近5%。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;stock&nbsp;rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;12%&nbsp;on&nbsp;Tuesday.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7164e9b37a74a667396e8d0d739f70b5\" tg-width=\"708\" tg-height=\"600\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>该股周二涨超12%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba shares fell nearly 5% in Hong Kong market<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在香港市场下跌近5%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba shares fell nearly 5% in Hong Kong market<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在香港市场下跌近5%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-08 11:35</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Alibaba&nbsp;shares&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;5%&nbsp;in&nbsp;Hong&nbsp;Kong&nbsp;market.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股价在香港市场下跌近5%。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;stock&nbsp;rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;12%&nbsp;on&nbsp;Tuesday.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7164e9b37a74a667396e8d0d739f70b5\" tg-width=\"708\" tg-height=\"600\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>该股周二涨超12%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110034472","content_text":"Alibaba shares fell nearly 5% in Hong Kong market.\nThe stock rose more than 12% on Tuesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"09988":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2288,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":817198851,"gmtCreate":1630915318673,"gmtModify":1631890177502,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585039741547804","authorIdStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice!","listText":"nice!","text":"nice!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817198851","repostId":"2165338329","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":924,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":873629165,"gmtCreate":1636939251283,"gmtModify":1636939251283,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585039741547804","authorIdStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"期待！","listText":"期待！","text":"期待！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873629165","repostId":"1187261391","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3330,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":817199947,"gmtCreate":1630914984689,"gmtModify":1631890177508,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585039741547804","authorIdStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[无语]&nbsp;","listText":"[无语]&nbsp;","text":"[无语]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817199947","repostId":"1193251876","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":878,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":834852678,"gmtCreate":1629792580594,"gmtModify":1631890177519,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585039741547804","authorIdStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"why? lol","listText":"why? lol","text":"why? lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834852678","repostId":"1100467490","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100467490","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629792101,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100467490?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-24 16:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hot chinese concept stocks surged in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中概股盘前大涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100467490","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Hot chinese concept stocks surged in premarket trading.Alibaba,Pinduoduo,JD.com,Baidu,NIO,Didi Global and Bilibili climbed between 2% and 8%.Chinese technology stocks rallied for a second day, as sentiment was boosted by Tencent Holdings Ltd.’s stock buyback and as Cathie Wood bought back into JD.com after a strong set of results.The Hang Seng Tech Index extended its advance to as much as 7.1%, adding to a gain of more than 2% on Monday, after a five-week rout that took the gauge to the lowest l","content":"<p>Hot&nbsp;chinese&nbsp;concept&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;surged&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.Alibaba,Pinduoduo,JD.com,Baidu,NIO,Didi Global&nbsp;and&nbsp;Bilibili&nbsp;climbed between 2% and 8%.</p><p><blockquote>热门中概股盘前大涨，阿里巴巴-SW、拼多多、京东、百度、蔚来、滴滴出行和哔哩哔哩涨幅在2%至8%之间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40a95d9087ea972c64d7dbb5cc90dba4\" tg-width=\"360\" tg-height=\"540\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Chinese technology stocks rallied for a second day, as sentiment was boosted by&nbsp;Tencent Holdings Ltd.’s stock buyback and as Cathie Wood bought back into&nbsp;JD.com&nbsp;after a strong set of results.</p><p><blockquote>中国科技股连续第二天上涨，腾讯控股控股有限公司的股票回购以及凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)在一系列强劲业绩后回购京东股票，提振了市场情绪。</blockquote></p><p> The Hang Seng Tech Index extended its advance to as much as 7.1%, adding to a gain of more than 2% on Monday, after a five-week rout that took the gauge to the lowest level since inception last year.</p><p><blockquote>恒生科技指数涨幅扩大至7.1%，周一涨幅超过2%，此前该指数经历了五周的暴跌，跌至去年成立以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> While there’s no indication that China’s regulatory will ease, the absence of significant new initiatives in recent days has helped draw in bargain hunters. </p><p><blockquote>尽管没有迹象表明中国的监管将放松，但最近几天缺乏重大新举措有助于吸引逢低买入者。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hot chinese concept stocks surged in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中概股盘前大涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHot chinese concept stocks surged in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中概股盘前大涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-24 16:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Hot&nbsp;chinese&nbsp;concept&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;surged&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.Alibaba,Pinduoduo,JD.com,Baidu,NIO,Didi Global&nbsp;and&nbsp;Bilibili&nbsp;climbed between 2% and 8%.</p><p><blockquote>热门中概股盘前大涨，阿里巴巴-SW、拼多多、京东、百度、蔚来、滴滴出行和哔哩哔哩涨幅在2%至8%之间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40a95d9087ea972c64d7dbb5cc90dba4\" tg-width=\"360\" tg-height=\"540\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Chinese technology stocks rallied for a second day, as sentiment was boosted by&nbsp;Tencent Holdings Ltd.’s stock buyback and as Cathie Wood bought back into&nbsp;JD.com&nbsp;after a strong set of results.</p><p><blockquote>中国科技股连续第二天上涨，腾讯控股控股有限公司的股票回购以及凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)在一系列强劲业绩后回购京东股票，提振了市场情绪。</blockquote></p><p> The Hang Seng Tech Index extended its advance to as much as 7.1%, adding to a gain of more than 2% on Monday, after a five-week rout that took the gauge to the lowest level since inception last year.</p><p><blockquote>恒生科技指数涨幅扩大至7.1%，周一涨幅超过2%，此前该指数经历了五周的暴跌，跌至去年成立以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> While there’s no indication that China’s regulatory will ease, the absence of significant new initiatives in recent days has helped draw in bargain hunters. </p><p><blockquote>尽管没有迹象表明中国的监管将放松，但最近几天缺乏重大新举措有助于吸引逢低买入者。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","JD":"京东","PDD":"拼多多"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100467490","content_text":"Hot chinese concept stocks surged in premarket trading.Alibaba,Pinduoduo,JD.com,Baidu,NIO,Didi Global and Bilibili climbed between 2% and 8%.\n\nChinese technology stocks rallied for a second day, as sentiment was boosted by Tencent Holdings Ltd.’s stock buyback and as Cathie Wood bought back into JD.com after a strong set of results.\nThe Hang Seng Tech Index extended its advance to as much as 7.1%, adding to a gain of more than 2% on Monday, after a five-week rout that took the gauge to the lowest level since inception last year.\nWhile there’s no indication that China’s regulatory will ease, the absence of significant new initiatives in recent days has helped draw in bargain hunters.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PDD":0.9,"BABA":0.9,"JD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835087430,"gmtCreate":1629681214920,"gmtModify":1631890177522,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585039741547804","authorIdStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yes!","listText":"yes!","text":"yes!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835087430","repostId":"2161740192","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":318,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":827168162,"gmtCreate":1634434110448,"gmtModify":1634434217720,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585039741547804","authorIdStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"dividend player.","listText":"dividend player.","text":"dividend player.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/827168162","repostId":"823719284","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":823719284,"gmtCreate":1633660741317,"gmtModify":1633660741448,"author":{"id":"4091200413189970","authorId":"4091200413189970","name":"GladysTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e9f84ba2b1ad5afc6797830bd7abb10","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4091200413189970","authorIdStr":"4091200413189970"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/U9E.SI\">$CHINA EVERBRIGHT WATER LIMITED(U9E.SI)$</a>potential?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/U9E.SI\">$CHINA EVERBRIGHT WATER LIMITED(U9E.SI)$</a>potential?&nbsp;","text":"$CHINA EVERBRIGHT WATER LIMITED(U9E.SI)$potential?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/588c42e646f329ddc2c503a040782713","width":"1125","height":"2113"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823719284","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820672192,"gmtCreate":1633392926424,"gmtModify":1633392926531,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585039741547804","authorIdStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"buying opportunity appearing&nbsp;","listText":"buying opportunity appearing&nbsp;","text":"buying opportunity appearing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820672192","repostId":"1196509629","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2843,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867669699,"gmtCreate":1633254693793,"gmtModify":1633260265687,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585039741547804","authorIdStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"invest for passive income!","listText":"invest for passive income!","text":"invest for passive income!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867669699","repostId":"2172964531","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1546,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867669192,"gmtCreate":1633254641670,"gmtModify":1633260261963,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585039741547804","authorIdStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"invest for passive income.","listText":"invest for passive income.","text":"invest for passive income.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867669192","repostId":"2172696430","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1846,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861448907,"gmtCreate":1632534288209,"gmtModify":1632710226797,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585039741547804","authorIdStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"buy something we don't know is risky.","listText":"buy something we don't know is risky.","text":"buy something we don't know is risky.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861448907","repostId":"1117076176","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2832,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":870115587,"gmtCreate":1636593106883,"gmtModify":1636593106883,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585039741547804","authorIdStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00610\">$Wai Kee(00610)$</a>没人关注这支股？！","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00610\">$Wai Kee(00610)$</a>没人关注这支股？！","text":"$Wai Kee(00610)$没人关注这支股？！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870115587","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3408,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":813295043,"gmtCreate":1630203459482,"gmtModify":1704956962836,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585039741547804","authorIdStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/813295043","repostId":"2162358024","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":178,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":813016298,"gmtCreate":1630113584414,"gmtModify":1704956114560,"author":{"id":"3585039741547804","authorId":"3585039741547804","name":"SnailWalker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d3ccb7e13f99ce59fd1b089f193957","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585039741547804","authorIdStr":"3585039741547804"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"sigh, no dividend again!","listText":"sigh, no dividend again!","text":"sigh, no dividend again!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/813016298","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":300,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}