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艾伦猴
08-07
特斯拉再便宜两万美元就都来买了,现在没什么竞争力
不满马斯克支持特朗普,德国零售连锁店称不会再买特斯拉
艾伦猴
07-30
不是找到了,是投不动钱进去了吧
美股异动|英伟达跌超3.2% 苹果称其AI模型是基于谷歌定制芯片训练的
艾伦猴
2022-04-15
辟谣了辟谣了!可以信了
阿里技术副总裁回应“逃离上海”:正常差旅,回去看病
艾伦猴
2021-06-11
美国心心念了多少年的通胀就要来了,且胀且珍惜
美银“打脸”美联储:哪有什么“暂时性”通胀?
艾伦猴
2021-06-11
Tiger is here
以史为鉴,美国通胀飙升后的演绎与影响
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n不满马斯克支持特朗普,德国零售连锁店称不会再买特斯拉\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-08-07 00:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>德国零售连锁店Dirk Rossmann GmbH将不再为其车队购买特斯拉公司的汽车,理由是马斯克支持前美国总统特朗普。</p><p>8月6日,Rossmann在一份声明中宣布了这一决定,该公司在欧洲拥有超过6.2万名员工和4,700多家分支。这家持股集中的公司表示,尽管出于可持续发展的目的将继续使用已有的特斯拉,但未来的汽车订单将转向其他制造商和车型。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da1808c476bfbe9388a4202f176a117","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131042571","content_text":"德国零售连锁店Dirk Rossmann GmbH将不再为其车队购买特斯拉公司的汽车,理由是马斯克支持前美国总统特朗普。8月6日,Rossmann在一份声明中宣布了这一决定,该公司在欧洲拥有超过6.2万名员工和4,700多家分支。这家持股集中的公司表示,尽管出于可持续发展的目的将继续使用已有的特斯拉,但未来的汽车订单将转向其他制造商和车型。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":569,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":333110362149104,"gmtCreate":1722352033802,"gmtModify":1722352094715,"author":{"id":"3582170307283305","authorId":"3582170307283305","name":"艾伦猴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d957004dabb4188a8b141f5684b8afaf","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582170307283305","authorIdStr":"3582170307283305"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"不是找到了,是投不动钱进去了吧","listText":"不是找到了,是投不动钱进去了吧","text":"不是找到了,是投不动钱进去了吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/333110362149104","repostId":"2455955434","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2455955434","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1722349740,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2455955434?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-07-30 22:29","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"美股异动|英伟达跌超3.2% 苹果称其AI模型是基于谷歌定制芯片训练的","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2455955434","media":"港股那点事","summary":"格隆汇7月30日|英伟达(NVDA.US)跌超3.2%,报108.01美元。消息面上,苹果公司在一份技术论文中表示,其人工智能系统Apple Intelligence所依赖的两种AI模型是在谷歌设计的云端芯片上进行预训练的。谷歌的张量处理单元最初是为内部工作负载而创建的,但现在正在得到更广泛的采用。苹果的决定表明,在AI训练方面,一些大型科技公司可能正在寻找并找到了英伟达图形处理单元的替代品。\n\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"><font cms-hidden=\"true\" cms-style=\"font-L\"></font> 格隆汇7月30日|<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>(NVDA.US)跌超3.2%,报108.01美元。消息面上,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>公司在一份技术论文中表示,其人工智能系统Apple Intelligence所依赖的两种AI模型是在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>设计的云端芯片上进行预训练的。谷歌的张量处理单元最初是为内部工作负载而创建的,但现在正在得到更广泛的采用。苹果的决定表明,在AI训练方面,一些大型科技公司可能正在寻找并找到了英伟达图形处理单元的替代品。</p><div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/spider20240730/615/w350h265/20240730/48bb-52a359728152e7b2fbfb84a6d0c835b6.jpg\"/><span></span></div>\n<div></div>\n<div>\n<div><img src=\"\"/></div>\n<div>海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP</div>\n</div>\n</div></body></html>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股异动|英伟达跌超3.2% 苹果称其AI模型是基于谷歌定制芯片训练的</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股异动|英伟达跌超3.2% 苹果称其AI模型是基于谷歌定制芯片训练的\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-07-30 22:29 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/bxjj/2024-07-30/doc-incfxriu7806303.shtml><strong>港股那点事</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>格隆汇7月30日|英伟达(NVDA.US)跌超3.2%,报108.01美元。消息面上,苹果公司在一份技术论文中表示,其人工智能系统Apple Intelligence所依赖的两种AI模型是在谷歌设计的云端芯片上进行预训练的。谷歌的张量处理单元最初是为内部工作负载而创建的,但现在正在得到更广泛的采用。苹果的决定表明,在AI训练方面,一些大型科技公司可能正在寻找并找到了英伟达图形处理单元的替代品。\n\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/bxjj/2024-07-30/doc-incfxriu7806303.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"159813":"芯片","IE00B775H168.HKD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A5M\" (HKD) INC","LU0130518102.USD":"HARRIS ASSOCIATES GLOBAL EQUITY \"R\" INC","IE00BFXG0V08.USD":"BNY MELLON GLOBAL LEADERS \"B\" (USD) ACC","BK4574":"无人驾驶","IE00BDRTCR15.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL DYNAMIC ASSET ALLOCATION \"ADC\" (USD) INC A","IE00B5949003.HKD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0251142724.SGD":"Fidelity America A-SGD","LU0203202063.USD":"AB SICAV I - ALL MARKET INCOME PORTFOLIO \"A2X\" (USD) ACC","IE00BZ1G4Q59.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US EQUITY SUSTAINABILITY LEADER \"A\"(USD) INC (A)","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","AAPL":"苹果","BK4573":"虚拟现实","LU0057025933.USD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"AX\" (USD) ACC","LU0130102774.USD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA 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DYNAMIC ASSET ALLOCATION \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0456855351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Global Equity A (acc) SGD","BK4575":"芯片概念","LU0072462426.USD":"贝莱德全球配置 A2","IE00BHPRN162.USD":"BNY MELLON BLOCKCHAIN INNOVATION \"B\" (USD) ACC","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","BK4543":"AI","LU0130517989.USD":"HARRIS ASSOCIATES US VALUE EQUITY \"R\" INC","NVDA":"英伟达","LU0308772762.SGD":"Blackrock Global Allocation A2 SGD-H","IE00BBT3K403.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE TACTICAL DIVIDEND INCOME \"A(USD) ACC","LU0128525689.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL BALANCED \"A\"(USD) ACC"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/bxjj/2024-07-30/doc-incfxriu7806303.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2455955434","content_text":"格隆汇7月30日|英伟达(NVDA.US)跌超3.2%,报108.01美元。消息面上,苹果公司在一份技术论文中表示,其人工智能系统Apple Intelligence所依赖的两种AI模型是在谷歌设计的云端芯片上进行预训练的。谷歌的张量处理单元最初是为内部工作负载而创建的,但现在正在得到更广泛的采用。苹果的决定表明,在AI训练方面,一些大型科技公司可能正在寻找并找到了英伟达图形处理单元的替代品。\n\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":613463871,"gmtCreate":1650003838504,"gmtModify":1650003838651,"author":{"id":"3582170307283305","authorId":"3582170307283305","name":"艾伦猴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d957004dabb4188a8b141f5684b8afaf","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582170307283305","authorIdStr":"3582170307283305"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"辟谣了辟谣了!可以信了","listText":"辟谣了辟谣了!可以信了","text":"辟谣了辟谣了!可以信了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/613463871","repostId":"1126790834","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126790834","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1649921671,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126790834?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-04-14 15:34","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"阿里技术副总裁回应“逃离上海”:正常差旅,回去看病","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126790834","media":"新浪科技","summary":"阿里技术副总裁贾扬清通过Facebook发出的文章引发热议。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>4月14日下午消息,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>技术副总裁贾扬清通过Facebook发出的文章引发热议,被外界传为贾扬清疫情深夜逃出上海,从浦东机场逃到了加州。今日,贾扬清发文回应外界称,“没有从阿里离职,在中美往返也是正常差旅。因身体原因前往美国看病,请大家不要误解。(文猛)</p><p><b>以下为贾扬清关于不实评论的澄清内容∶</b></p><p>1. 我没有从阿里离职,在中美往返也是正常差旅。这次从美国回国内后,我先在上海隔离2周,但随后因为生病,不想给大家添麻烦,所以选择回去看病。</p><p>2. 在隔离日期满的情况下搭乘国际航班是可以正常购票和到机场的,这个并不需要特殊审批。</p><p>3.朋友给了我一些有点离谱的中文翻译。请不要误解——"with connection"的真实意思是∶因为打不到网约车,所以只是找朋友帮联系了一辆出租车去机场。</p><p>4.我看到也感到了大家共克时艰的精神,希望一切都好。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41376f9526e862d6aca6d310ed903d2c\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"866\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","source":"sina_tech","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>阿里技术副总裁回应“逃离上海”:正常差旅,回去看病</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ 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hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n阿里技术副总裁回应“逃离上海”:正常差旅,回去看病\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-14 15:34 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/2022-04-14/doc-imcwipii4235411.shtml><strong>新浪科技</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>4月14日下午消息,阿里巴巴技术副总裁贾扬清通过Facebook发出的文章引发热议,被外界传为贾扬清疫情深夜逃出上海,从浦东机场逃到了加州。今日,贾扬清发文回应外界称,“没有从阿里离职,在中美往返也是正常差旅。因身体原因前往美国看病,请大家不要误解。(文猛)以下为贾扬清关于不实评论的澄清内容∶1. 我没有从阿里离职,在中美往返也是正常差旅。这次从美国回国内后,我先在上海隔离2周,但随后因为生病,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/2022-04-14/doc-imcwipii4235411.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/882970458895c193f717ee45aa8fe2b6","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/2022-04-14/doc-imcwipii4235411.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126790834","content_text":"4月14日下午消息,阿里巴巴技术副总裁贾扬清通过Facebook发出的文章引发热议,被外界传为贾扬清疫情深夜逃出上海,从浦东机场逃到了加州。今日,贾扬清发文回应外界称,“没有从阿里离职,在中美往返也是正常差旅。因身体原因前往美国看病,请大家不要误解。(文猛)以下为贾扬清关于不实评论的澄清内容∶1. 我没有从阿里离职,在中美往返也是正常差旅。这次从美国回国内后,我先在上海隔离2周,但随后因为生病,不想给大家添麻烦,所以选择回去看病。2. 在隔离日期满的情况下搭乘国际航班是可以正常购票和到机场的,这个并不需要特殊审批。3.朋友给了我一些有点离谱的中文翻译。请不要误解——\"with connection\"的真实意思是∶因为打不到网约车,所以只是找朋友帮联系了一辆出租车去机场。4.我看到也感到了大家共克时艰的精神,希望一切都好。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1887,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":181255382,"gmtCreate":1623398388746,"gmtModify":1634033762326,"author":{"id":"3582170307283305","authorId":"3582170307283305","name":"艾伦猴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d957004dabb4188a8b141f5684b8afaf","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582170307283305","authorIdStr":"3582170307283305"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"美国心心念了多少年的通胀就要来了,且胀且珍惜","listText":"美国心心念了多少年的通胀就要来了,且胀且珍惜","text":"美国心心念了多少年的通胀就要来了,且胀且珍惜","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181255382","repostId":"1185815929","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185815929","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点,精选影响您财富的资讯,投资理财必备神器!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1623381455,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185815929?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-11 11:17","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美银“打脸”美联储:哪有什么“暂时性”通胀?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185815929","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美联储真的如市场相信的那样,可以轻易把高通胀的潘多拉魔盒关上?美银不同意:“历史表明,一旦通胀走高,就很难在不引发经济衰退的情况下加以控制”。\n\n美国通胀又爆表了,但市场似乎已经无所畏惧,美股美债齐齐","content":"<blockquote>\n 美联储真的如市场相信的那样,可以轻易把高通胀的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0NQC.UK\">潘多拉</a>魔盒关上?美银不同意:“历史表明,一旦通胀走高,就很难在不引发经济衰退的情况下加以控制”。\n</blockquote>\n<p>美国通胀又爆表了,但市场似乎已经无所畏惧,美股美债齐齐大涨。投资者们似乎已经开始相信美联储的那一套说辞:通胀嘛,只是暂时走高而已。</p>\n<p>然而,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>首席经济学家Michelle Meyer却直言:我们不买账!</p>\n<p>在她看来,<b>随着劳动力短缺和通胀迹象不断出现,美联储和市场的自信都在变得越来越令人难以信服,未来更持续的通胀正从此刻开始打下基础。</b></p>\n<p>美国银行表示,在美国4月、5月通胀连续创出新高之际,市场非但没有意识到一系列指标所暗示的通胀风险,反而还有一长串对通胀迹象视而不见的借口:</p>\n<blockquote>\n 1、劳动力短缺将在秋季消失,届时失业福利将减少,儿童保育更好找,对于在工作岗位上感染新冠病毒的担忧也将减退;\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 2、商品生产的瓶颈是由特殊的冲击造成的。随着生产回暖,需求从商品转向服务,瓶颈就将逐渐消失;\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 3、随着过去供应中断的影响消退,劳动力短缺出现缓解以及商品需求增长减速,贸易瓶颈也将得到缓解;\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 4、价格纯粹是暂时性上涨,而且是针对了特定行业。随着供应回升,涨势也将消退;\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 5、从定义出发,价格通胀的任一方面都是暂时性走高,因为产出缺口仍旧存在,而持续的价格压力则需要缺口消失;\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 6、薪资上涨主要出现在工资较低的工作当中。这是一件好事,因为这有助于缩小收入差距;\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 7、近年来,薪资水平和物价通胀之间的联系有所减弱。我们仍旧应该庆祝,而非哀叹工资上涨;\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 8、从定义出发,薪资增速的任一方面都是暂时性增长,因为失业率仍旧太高,无法产生持续的薪资压力;\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 9、密歇根大学通胀预期指数已经飙升,但这是对显而易见的食物和能源价格上涨的过度反应;当这两大价格走低时,通胀预期也会消退;\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 10、从历史上看,只有在实际通胀持续高企一段时间之后,通胀预期才会走高;最近的上涨一定是侥幸;\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 11、盈亏平衡通胀率只是温和上升,如果真的存在问题,债市会告诉我们一切;\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 12、忽略那些有关通胀预期的粗略调查,对专业经济学家的调查仍旧认为,长期来看,通胀将达到美联储的目标。\n</blockquote>\n<p>美国银行还指出,最重要的一点在于,<b>市场相信“不要担心通胀过高,因为美联储可以竭尽所能地加息,以此来冷却通胀”。</b></p>\n<p>对此,金融博客Zero Hedge直接讽刺道:美联储行得很,不仅可以用加息来冷却通胀,还可以让宝贝美股在15分钟之内就崩盘呢。</p>\n<p>不过值得注意的是,市场的上述观点,多多少少都还算有一些道理。那么,美国银行在担心什么?</p>\n<p>Meyer认为,若将近期所有的通胀问题均视为“暂时出现”,这并不合情理。最关键的地方是,<b>这些“暂时性”压力可能会持续好几个月,并可能成为通胀心理学当中的固有因素。</b></p>\n<p>她还称,考虑到美国货币和财政当局已经用言语和行动表明,他们希望未来几年经济过热、通胀走高,上述可能性就变得非常之大。</p>\n<p>对于“美联储可以轻易把高通胀的潘多拉魔盒关上”的说法,美国银行也并不认同:</p>\n<blockquote>\n 近几十年来,我们从未有过持续的高通胀。\n <b>但历史表明,一旦通胀走高,就很难在不引发经济衰退的情况下加以控制。</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>此外,美联储已经承诺,加息将比常态情况下来得更晚,且只有当他们相信更高的通胀已经根植于美国经济之中时才会加息。</p>\n<p>这也就意味着,美联储当前的政策策略使得加息变得愈发困难,但如果有意外发生,加息信号来得比美联储目前的暗示还要早,那么对于市场而言,一切就已经太晚了。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美银“打脸”美联储:哪有什么“暂时性”通胀?</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美银“打脸”美联储:哪有什么“暂时性”通胀?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n2021-06-11 11:17 北京时间 <strong>华尔街见闻</strong>\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美联储真的如市场相信的那样,可以轻易把高通胀的潘多拉魔盒关上?美银不同意:“历史表明,一旦通胀走高,就很难在不引发经济衰退的情况下加以控制”。\n\n美国通胀又爆表了,但市场似乎已经无所畏惧,美股美债齐齐大涨。投资者们似乎已经开始相信美联储的那一套说辞:通胀嘛,只是暂时走高而已。\n然而,美国银行首席经济学家Michelle Meyer却直言:我们不买账!\n在她看来,随着劳动力短缺和通胀迹象不断出现,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"None\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f09c44f289c2f0d40610768fe6661fab","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185815929","content_text":"美联储真的如市场相信的那样,可以轻易把高通胀的潘多拉魔盒关上?美银不同意:“历史表明,一旦通胀走高,就很难在不引发经济衰退的情况下加以控制”。\n\n美国通胀又爆表了,但市场似乎已经无所畏惧,美股美债齐齐大涨。投资者们似乎已经开始相信美联储的那一套说辞:通胀嘛,只是暂时走高而已。\n然而,美国银行首席经济学家Michelle Meyer却直言:我们不买账!\n在她看来,随着劳动力短缺和通胀迹象不断出现,美联储和市场的自信都在变得越来越令人难以信服,未来更持续的通胀正从此刻开始打下基础。\n美国银行表示,在美国4月、5月通胀连续创出新高之际,市场非但没有意识到一系列指标所暗示的通胀风险,反而还有一长串对通胀迹象视而不见的借口:\n\n 1、劳动力短缺将在秋季消失,届时失业福利将减少,儿童保育更好找,对于在工作岗位上感染新冠病毒的担忧也将减退;\n\n\n 2、商品生产的瓶颈是由特殊的冲击造成的。随着生产回暖,需求从商品转向服务,瓶颈就将逐渐消失;\n\n\n 3、随着过去供应中断的影响消退,劳动力短缺出现缓解以及商品需求增长减速,贸易瓶颈也将得到缓解;\n\n\n 4、价格纯粹是暂时性上涨,而且是针对了特定行业。随着供应回升,涨势也将消退;\n\n\n 5、从定义出发,价格通胀的任一方面都是暂时性走高,因为产出缺口仍旧存在,而持续的价格压力则需要缺口消失;\n\n\n 6、薪资上涨主要出现在工资较低的工作当中。这是一件好事,因为这有助于缩小收入差距;\n\n\n 7、近年来,薪资水平和物价通胀之间的联系有所减弱。我们仍旧应该庆祝,而非哀叹工资上涨;\n\n\n 8、从定义出发,薪资增速的任一方面都是暂时性增长,因为失业率仍旧太高,无法产生持续的薪资压力;\n\n\n 9、密歇根大学通胀预期指数已经飙升,但这是对显而易见的食物和能源价格上涨的过度反应;当这两大价格走低时,通胀预期也会消退;\n\n\n 10、从历史上看,只有在实际通胀持续高企一段时间之后,通胀预期才会走高;最近的上涨一定是侥幸;\n\n\n 11、盈亏平衡通胀率只是温和上升,如果真的存在问题,债市会告诉我们一切;\n\n\n 12、忽略那些有关通胀预期的粗略调查,对专业经济学家的调查仍旧认为,长期来看,通胀将达到美联储的目标。\n\n美国银行还指出,最重要的一点在于,市场相信“不要担心通胀过高,因为美联储可以竭尽所能地加息,以此来冷却通胀”。\n对此,金融博客Zero Hedge直接讽刺道:美联储行得很,不仅可以用加息来冷却通胀,还可以让宝贝美股在15分钟之内就崩盘呢。\n不过值得注意的是,市场的上述观点,多多少少都还算有一些道理。那么,美国银行在担心什么?\nMeyer认为,若将近期所有的通胀问题均视为“暂时出现”,这并不合情理。最关键的地方是,这些“暂时性”压力可能会持续好几个月,并可能成为通胀心理学当中的固有因素。\n她还称,考虑到美国货币和财政当局已经用言语和行动表明,他们希望未来几年经济过热、通胀走高,上述可能性就变得非常之大。\n对于“美联储可以轻易把高通胀的潘多拉魔盒关上”的说法,美国银行也并不认同:\n\n 近几十年来,我们从未有过持续的高通胀。\n 但历史表明,一旦通胀走高,就很难在不引发经济衰退的情况下加以控制。\n\n此外,美联储已经承诺,加息将比常态情况下来得更晚,且只有当他们相信更高的通胀已经根植于美国经济之中时才会加息。\n这也就意味着,美联储当前的政策策略使得加息变得愈发困难,但如果有意外发生,加息信号来得比美联储目前的暗示还要早,那么对于市场而言,一切就已经太晚了。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":763,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":181259371,"gmtCreate":1623397984793,"gmtModify":1634033765463,"author":{"id":"3582170307283305","authorId":"3582170307283305","name":"艾伦猴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d957004dabb4188a8b141f5684b8afaf","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582170307283305","authorIdStr":"3582170307283305"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tiger is here","listText":"Tiger is here","text":"Tiger is here","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181259371","repostId":"1156453091","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1156453091","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623333482,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1156453091?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-10 21:58","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"以史为鉴,美国通胀飙升后的演绎与影响","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156453091","media":"川阅全球宏观","summary":"美国东部时间2021年6月10日,美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%,创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来,美国通胀率加速上升,美联储6月议息会议在即,市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升,以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响:。1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次(图1)。本次通胀飙升的主要原因在于疫情下的基数效应和供给短缺。房租价格走势对未来通胀的演绎有重要影响。","content":"<p>美国东部时间2021年6月10日,美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。<b>美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%,创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来,美国通胀率加速上升,美联储6月议息会议在即,市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。</b>我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升,以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响:</p>\n<p><b>1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次</b>(图1)。我们对CPI破4%、破5%至回落期间的经济基本面和美联储政策进行了复盘(表1)。</p>\n<p><b>1968/06-1971/09</b>:经济陷入衰退,但前期大幅政府开支与财政刺激的余温仍在,通胀持续上升,美联储在1970年收紧货币政策以抑制通胀。</p>\n<p><b>1973/03-1982/11:</b>粮食危机和石油危机的双重打击下,美国经济陷入滞胀,供给冲击与成本推升通胀。政府价格管制失败,货币政策缺乏独立性并且过于滞后,未能成功抑制通胀。</p>\n<p><b>1987/08-1991/07:</b>走出滞胀后,美国经济经历了高速增长,但1987年开始经济增速放缓,并出现工资和价格上涨压力,美联储收紧货币政策。</p>\n<p><b>2007/11-2008/09:</b>油价飙升推升通胀,金融危机爆发,美联储货币政策的首要任务在于救市,通胀不在其重点关注范围内。</p>\n<p><b>当前的通胀和1973-1982年通胀的成因较为相似,均为成本推动。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/327f6f12c3af30abee8fa0ae334f9763\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"611\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ca353ebcbaf95ba1da0b46a815d5f8b\" tg-width=\"1025\" tg-height=\"853\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>本次通胀飙升的主要原因在于疫情下的基数效应和供给短缺。</b>今年5月美国CPI录得5.0%(为2008年8月以来的最高水平),但是<b>从CPI指数角度,2021年5月相对于2019年5月的复合增速仅为2.5%。</b></p>\n<p><b>对于今年通胀的演绎,我们重点关注二手车和房租两个分项。</b></p>\n<p><b>通胀的主要推力之一为二手车。</b>东南亚疫情恶化下多地芯片厂停工,芯片短缺导致车企减产。新车供应不足,二手车需求剧增,价格飙升(图2)。根据Manheim数据,2021年二手车售价增幅超越新车(图3)。此外,5月其他交通相关的价格涨幅进一步扩大,交通服务价格增幅从4月的5.6%扩大至11.2%,增幅翻倍。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884ed39a8682a3df05e8411f17f2105c\" tg-width=\"995\" tg-height=\"585\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/599b70f4fadb590d0d7b20254d4b1403\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"738\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>房租价格走势对未来通胀的演绎有重要影响。</b>美国CPI中房租的权重较高(约30%),尽管相对于其它分项,房租的增速相对温和(今年5月同比增2.2%),但年初以来增速斜率陡峭化(图4),我们<b>预计受到供给短缺的影响,未来房租将会持续温和地上升</b>。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/869c4f313152d3a14769097f150fb674\" tg-width=\"1021\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>通胀预期走势如何?</b></p>\n<p>从消费者的角度,密西根预期通胀率数据显示,2<b>021年5月美国消费者5年通胀预期从上月的2.7%跳升至3.0%(图5),但是仍然低于美联储可以容忍的3.5%。</b></p>\n<p>从政策制定者角度,如我们此前报告所述,美联储注重通胀预期的监测,关键指标为<b>共同通胀预期指数(CIE),CIE为季度数据,预计2021年二季度的数据将于本月底公布。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21708bec0c792eb9299eda62ba3cd077\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>未来通胀将会怎样影响资产价格?</b></p>\n<p>我们复盘了上述四次大通胀中,CPI破4%后不同时间区间内美元、美股和美债收益率的变化(表2):<b>通胀对于美元、美股存在负面影响,前者较为滞后,后者1个月内即有体现。</b>有趣的是,通胀对于美债收益率的影响不具规律性,关于美债的研究框架,请参考我们此前的报告。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037d9e565ff952b13c942386e8d08506\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"599\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>风险提示:</b>美联储过快收紧货币政策,地缘政治风险加剧</p>\n<hr>\n<p>恭喜您找到了字母E,参与《老虎大搜查》活动,下帖留言“ Tiger is here” 即可获赠100虎币,如集齐7张图片并留言,还可获赠7周年限定礼盒。(详情请点击<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/181890541\" target=\"_blank\">【七周年有奖活动】老虎大搜查 </a>了解)</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b519142d901e1ef1ff2a2e443798687b\" tg-width=\"214\" tg-height=\"286\"></p>","source":"lsy1582083733592","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>以史为鉴,美国通胀飙升后的演绎与影响</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n以史为鉴,美国通胀飙升后的演绎与影响\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-10 21:58 北京时间 <a href=https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html><strong>川阅全球宏观</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美国东部时间2021年6月10日,美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%,创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来,美国通胀率加速上升,美联储6月议息会议在即,市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升,以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响:\n1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次(图1)。我们对CPI破4%、破5%至回落期间的经济...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c3dba7c4b0e443e40fe6df5639434d","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156453091","content_text":"美国东部时间2021年6月10日,美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%,创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来,美国通胀率加速上升,美联储6月议息会议在即,市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升,以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响:\n1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次(图1)。我们对CPI破4%、破5%至回落期间的经济基本面和美联储政策进行了复盘(表1)。\n1968/06-1971/09:经济陷入衰退,但前期大幅政府开支与财政刺激的余温仍在,通胀持续上升,美联储在1970年收紧货币政策以抑制通胀。\n1973/03-1982/11:粮食危机和石油危机的双重打击下,美国经济陷入滞胀,供给冲击与成本推升通胀。政府价格管制失败,货币政策缺乏独立性并且过于滞后,未能成功抑制通胀。\n1987/08-1991/07:走出滞胀后,美国经济经历了高速增长,但1987年开始经济增速放缓,并出现工资和价格上涨压力,美联储收紧货币政策。\n2007/11-2008/09:油价飙升推升通胀,金融危机爆发,美联储货币政策的首要任务在于救市,通胀不在其重点关注范围内。\n当前的通胀和1973-1982年通胀的成因较为相似,均为成本推动。\n\n本次通胀飙升的主要原因在于疫情下的基数效应和供给短缺。今年5月美国CPI录得5.0%(为2008年8月以来的最高水平),但是从CPI指数角度,2021年5月相对于2019年5月的复合增速仅为2.5%。\n对于今年通胀的演绎,我们重点关注二手车和房租两个分项。\n通胀的主要推力之一为二手车。东南亚疫情恶化下多地芯片厂停工,芯片短缺导致车企减产。新车供应不足,二手车需求剧增,价格飙升(图2)。根据Manheim数据,2021年二手车售价增幅超越新车(图3)。此外,5月其他交通相关的价格涨幅进一步扩大,交通服务价格增幅从4月的5.6%扩大至11.2%,增幅翻倍。\n\n房租价格走势对未来通胀的演绎有重要影响。美国CPI中房租的权重较高(约30%),尽管相对于其它分项,房租的增速相对温和(今年5月同比增2.2%),但年初以来增速斜率陡峭化(图4),我们预计受到供给短缺的影响,未来房租将会持续温和地上升。\n\n通胀预期走势如何?\n从消费者的角度,密西根预期通胀率数据显示,2021年5月美国消费者5年通胀预期从上月的2.7%跳升至3.0%(图5),但是仍然低于美联储可以容忍的3.5%。\n从政策制定者角度,如我们此前报告所述,美联储注重通胀预期的监测,关键指标为共同通胀预期指数(CIE),CIE为季度数据,预计2021年二季度的数据将于本月底公布。\n\n未来通胀将会怎样影响资产价格?\n我们复盘了上述四次大通胀中,CPI破4%后不同时间区间内美元、美股和美债收益率的变化(表2):通胀对于美元、美股存在负面影响,前者较为滞后,后者1个月内即有体现。有趣的是,通胀对于美债收益率的影响不具规律性,关于美债的研究框架,请参考我们此前的报告。\n\n风险提示:美联储过快收紧货币政策,地缘政治风险加剧\n\n恭喜您找到了字母E,参与《老虎大搜查》活动,下帖留言“ Tiger is here” 即可获赠100虎币,如集齐7张图片并留言,还可获赠7周年限定礼盒。(详情请点击【七周年有奖活动】老虎大搜查 了解)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":333,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":181255382,"gmtCreate":1623398388746,"gmtModify":1634033762326,"author":{"id":"3582170307283305","authorId":"3582170307283305","name":"艾伦猴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d957004dabb4188a8b141f5684b8afaf","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582170307283305","authorIdStr":"3582170307283305"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"美国心心念了多少年的通胀就要来了,且胀且珍惜","listText":"美国心心念了多少年的通胀就要来了,且胀且珍惜","text":"美国心心念了多少年的通胀就要来了,且胀且珍惜","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181255382","repostId":"1185815929","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185815929","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点,精选影响您财富的资讯,投资理财必备神器!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1623381455,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185815929?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-11 11:17","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美银“打脸”美联储:哪有什么“暂时性”通胀?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185815929","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美联储真的如市场相信的那样,可以轻易把高通胀的潘多拉魔盒关上?美银不同意:“历史表明,一旦通胀走高,就很难在不引发经济衰退的情况下加以控制”。\n\n美国通胀又爆表了,但市场似乎已经无所畏惧,美股美债齐齐","content":"<blockquote>\n 美联储真的如市场相信的那样,可以轻易把高通胀的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0NQC.UK\">潘多拉</a>魔盒关上?美银不同意:“历史表明,一旦通胀走高,就很难在不引发经济衰退的情况下加以控制”。\n</blockquote>\n<p>美国通胀又爆表了,但市场似乎已经无所畏惧,美股美债齐齐大涨。投资者们似乎已经开始相信美联储的那一套说辞:通胀嘛,只是暂时走高而已。</p>\n<p>然而,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>首席经济学家Michelle Meyer却直言:我们不买账!</p>\n<p>在她看来,<b>随着劳动力短缺和通胀迹象不断出现,美联储和市场的自信都在变得越来越令人难以信服,未来更持续的通胀正从此刻开始打下基础。</b></p>\n<p>美国银行表示,在美国4月、5月通胀连续创出新高之际,市场非但没有意识到一系列指标所暗示的通胀风险,反而还有一长串对通胀迹象视而不见的借口:</p>\n<blockquote>\n 1、劳动力短缺将在秋季消失,届时失业福利将减少,儿童保育更好找,对于在工作岗位上感染新冠病毒的担忧也将减退;\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 2、商品生产的瓶颈是由特殊的冲击造成的。随着生产回暖,需求从商品转向服务,瓶颈就将逐渐消失;\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 3、随着过去供应中断的影响消退,劳动力短缺出现缓解以及商品需求增长减速,贸易瓶颈也将得到缓解;\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 4、价格纯粹是暂时性上涨,而且是针对了特定行业。随着供应回升,涨势也将消退;\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 5、从定义出发,价格通胀的任一方面都是暂时性走高,因为产出缺口仍旧存在,而持续的价格压力则需要缺口消失;\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 6、薪资上涨主要出现在工资较低的工作当中。这是一件好事,因为这有助于缩小收入差距;\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 7、近年来,薪资水平和物价通胀之间的联系有所减弱。我们仍旧应该庆祝,而非哀叹工资上涨;\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 8、从定义出发,薪资增速的任一方面都是暂时性增长,因为失业率仍旧太高,无法产生持续的薪资压力;\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 9、密歇根大学通胀预期指数已经飙升,但这是对显而易见的食物和能源价格上涨的过度反应;当这两大价格走低时,通胀预期也会消退;\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 10、从历史上看,只有在实际通胀持续高企一段时间之后,通胀预期才会走高;最近的上涨一定是侥幸;\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 11、盈亏平衡通胀率只是温和上升,如果真的存在问题,债市会告诉我们一切;\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 12、忽略那些有关通胀预期的粗略调查,对专业经济学家的调查仍旧认为,长期来看,通胀将达到美联储的目标。\n</blockquote>\n<p>美国银行还指出,最重要的一点在于,<b>市场相信“不要担心通胀过高,因为美联储可以竭尽所能地加息,以此来冷却通胀”。</b></p>\n<p>对此,金融博客Zero Hedge直接讽刺道:美联储行得很,不仅可以用加息来冷却通胀,还可以让宝贝美股在15分钟之内就崩盘呢。</p>\n<p>不过值得注意的是,市场的上述观点,多多少少都还算有一些道理。那么,美国银行在担心什么?</p>\n<p>Meyer认为,若将近期所有的通胀问题均视为“暂时出现”,这并不合情理。最关键的地方是,<b>这些“暂时性”压力可能会持续好几个月,并可能成为通胀心理学当中的固有因素。</b></p>\n<p>她还称,考虑到美国货币和财政当局已经用言语和行动表明,他们希望未来几年经济过热、通胀走高,上述可能性就变得非常之大。</p>\n<p>对于“美联储可以轻易把高通胀的潘多拉魔盒关上”的说法,美国银行也并不认同:</p>\n<blockquote>\n 近几十年来,我们从未有过持续的高通胀。\n <b>但历史表明,一旦通胀走高,就很难在不引发经济衰退的情况下加以控制。</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>此外,美联储已经承诺,加息将比常态情况下来得更晚,且只有当他们相信更高的通胀已经根植于美国经济之中时才会加息。</p>\n<p>这也就意味着,美联储当前的政策策略使得加息变得愈发困难,但如果有意外发生,加息信号来得比美联储目前的暗示还要早,那么对于市场而言,一切就已经太晚了。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美银“打脸”美联储:哪有什么“暂时性”通胀?</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美银“打脸”美联储:哪有什么“暂时性”通胀?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n2021-06-11 11:17 北京时间 <strong>华尔街见闻</strong>\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美联储真的如市场相信的那样,可以轻易把高通胀的潘多拉魔盒关上?美银不同意:“历史表明,一旦通胀走高,就很难在不引发经济衰退的情况下加以控制”。\n\n美国通胀又爆表了,但市场似乎已经无所畏惧,美股美债齐齐大涨。投资者们似乎已经开始相信美联储的那一套说辞:通胀嘛,只是暂时走高而已。\n然而,美国银行首席经济学家Michelle Meyer却直言:我们不买账!\n在她看来,随着劳动力短缺和通胀迹象不断出现,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"None\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f09c44f289c2f0d40610768fe6661fab","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185815929","content_text":"美联储真的如市场相信的那样,可以轻易把高通胀的潘多拉魔盒关上?美银不同意:“历史表明,一旦通胀走高,就很难在不引发经济衰退的情况下加以控制”。\n\n美国通胀又爆表了,但市场似乎已经无所畏惧,美股美债齐齐大涨。投资者们似乎已经开始相信美联储的那一套说辞:通胀嘛,只是暂时走高而已。\n然而,美国银行首席经济学家Michelle Meyer却直言:我们不买账!\n在她看来,随着劳动力短缺和通胀迹象不断出现,美联储和市场的自信都在变得越来越令人难以信服,未来更持续的通胀正从此刻开始打下基础。\n美国银行表示,在美国4月、5月通胀连续创出新高之际,市场非但没有意识到一系列指标所暗示的通胀风险,反而还有一长串对通胀迹象视而不见的借口:\n\n 1、劳动力短缺将在秋季消失,届时失业福利将减少,儿童保育更好找,对于在工作岗位上感染新冠病毒的担忧也将减退;\n\n\n 2、商品生产的瓶颈是由特殊的冲击造成的。随着生产回暖,需求从商品转向服务,瓶颈就将逐渐消失;\n\n\n 3、随着过去供应中断的影响消退,劳动力短缺出现缓解以及商品需求增长减速,贸易瓶颈也将得到缓解;\n\n\n 4、价格纯粹是暂时性上涨,而且是针对了特定行业。随着供应回升,涨势也将消退;\n\n\n 5、从定义出发,价格通胀的任一方面都是暂时性走高,因为产出缺口仍旧存在,而持续的价格压力则需要缺口消失;\n\n\n 6、薪资上涨主要出现在工资较低的工作当中。这是一件好事,因为这有助于缩小收入差距;\n\n\n 7、近年来,薪资水平和物价通胀之间的联系有所减弱。我们仍旧应该庆祝,而非哀叹工资上涨;\n\n\n 8、从定义出发,薪资增速的任一方面都是暂时性增长,因为失业率仍旧太高,无法产生持续的薪资压力;\n\n\n 9、密歇根大学通胀预期指数已经飙升,但这是对显而易见的食物和能源价格上涨的过度反应;当这两大价格走低时,通胀预期也会消退;\n\n\n 10、从历史上看,只有在实际通胀持续高企一段时间之后,通胀预期才会走高;最近的上涨一定是侥幸;\n\n\n 11、盈亏平衡通胀率只是温和上升,如果真的存在问题,债市会告诉我们一切;\n\n\n 12、忽略那些有关通胀预期的粗略调查,对专业经济学家的调查仍旧认为,长期来看,通胀将达到美联储的目标。\n\n美国银行还指出,最重要的一点在于,市场相信“不要担心通胀过高,因为美联储可以竭尽所能地加息,以此来冷却通胀”。\n对此,金融博客Zero Hedge直接讽刺道:美联储行得很,不仅可以用加息来冷却通胀,还可以让宝贝美股在15分钟之内就崩盘呢。\n不过值得注意的是,市场的上述观点,多多少少都还算有一些道理。那么,美国银行在担心什么?\nMeyer认为,若将近期所有的通胀问题均视为“暂时出现”,这并不合情理。最关键的地方是,这些“暂时性”压力可能会持续好几个月,并可能成为通胀心理学当中的固有因素。\n她还称,考虑到美国货币和财政当局已经用言语和行动表明,他们希望未来几年经济过热、通胀走高,上述可能性就变得非常之大。\n对于“美联储可以轻易把高通胀的潘多拉魔盒关上”的说法,美国银行也并不认同:\n\n 近几十年来,我们从未有过持续的高通胀。\n 但历史表明,一旦通胀走高,就很难在不引发经济衰退的情况下加以控制。\n\n此外,美联储已经承诺,加息将比常态情况下来得更晚,且只有当他们相信更高的通胀已经根植于美国经济之中时才会加息。\n这也就意味着,美联储当前的政策策略使得加息变得愈发困难,但如果有意外发生,加息信号来得比美联储目前的暗示还要早,那么对于市场而言,一切就已经太晚了。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":763,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":335622850355328,"gmtCreate":1722977021425,"gmtModify":1722977023627,"author":{"id":"3582170307283305","authorId":"3582170307283305","name":"艾伦猴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d957004dabb4188a8b141f5684b8afaf","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582170307283305","authorIdStr":"3582170307283305"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"特斯拉再便宜两万美元就都来买了,现在没什么竞争力","listText":"特斯拉再便宜两万美元就都来买了,现在没什么竞争力","text":"特斯拉再便宜两万美元就都来买了,现在没什么竞争力","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/335622850355328","repostId":"1131042571","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1131042571","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1722960328,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1131042571?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-08-07 00:05","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"不满马斯克支持特朗普,德国零售连锁店称不会再买特斯拉","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131042571","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"未来的汽车订单将转向其他制造商和车型。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>德国零售连锁店Dirk Rossmann GmbH将不再为其车队购买特斯拉公司的汽车,理由是马斯克支持前美国总统特朗普。</p><p>8月6日,Rossmann在一份声明中宣布了这一决定,该公司在欧洲拥有超过6.2万名员工和4,700多家分支。这家持股集中的公司表示,尽管出于可持续发展的目的将继续使用已有的特斯拉,但未来的汽车订单将转向其他制造商和车型。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>不满马斯克支持特朗普,德国零售连锁店称不会再买特斯拉</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n不满马斯克支持特朗普,德国零售连锁店称不会再买特斯拉\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-08-07 00:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>德国零售连锁店Dirk Rossmann GmbH将不再为其车队购买特斯拉公司的汽车,理由是马斯克支持前美国总统特朗普。</p><p>8月6日,Rossmann在一份声明中宣布了这一决定,该公司在欧洲拥有超过6.2万名员工和4,700多家分支。这家持股集中的公司表示,尽管出于可持续发展的目的将继续使用已有的特斯拉,但未来的汽车订单将转向其他制造商和车型。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da1808c476bfbe9388a4202f176a117","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131042571","content_text":"德国零售连锁店Dirk Rossmann GmbH将不再为其车队购买特斯拉公司的汽车,理由是马斯克支持前美国总统特朗普。8月6日,Rossmann在一份声明中宣布了这一决定,该公司在欧洲拥有超过6.2万名员工和4,700多家分支。这家持股集中的公司表示,尽管出于可持续发展的目的将继续使用已有的特斯拉,但未来的汽车订单将转向其他制造商和车型。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":569,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":333110362149104,"gmtCreate":1722352033802,"gmtModify":1722352094715,"author":{"id":"3582170307283305","authorId":"3582170307283305","name":"艾伦猴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d957004dabb4188a8b141f5684b8afaf","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582170307283305","authorIdStr":"3582170307283305"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"不是找到了,是投不动钱进去了吧","listText":"不是找到了,是投不动钱进去了吧","text":"不是找到了,是投不动钱进去了吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/333110362149104","repostId":"2455955434","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2455955434","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1722349740,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2455955434?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-07-30 22:29","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"美股异动|英伟达跌超3.2% 苹果称其AI模型是基于谷歌定制芯片训练的","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2455955434","media":"港股那点事","summary":"格隆汇7月30日|英伟达(NVDA.US)跌超3.2%,报108.01美元。消息面上,苹果公司在一份技术论文中表示,其人工智能系统Apple Intelligence所依赖的两种AI模型是在谷歌设计的云端芯片上进行预训练的。谷歌的张量处理单元最初是为内部工作负载而创建的,但现在正在得到更广泛的采用。苹果的决定表明,在AI训练方面,一些大型科技公司可能正在寻找并找到了英伟达图形处理单元的替代品。\n\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"><font cms-hidden=\"true\" cms-style=\"font-L\"></font> 格隆汇7月30日|<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>(NVDA.US)跌超3.2%,报108.01美元。消息面上,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>公司在一份技术论文中表示,其人工智能系统Apple Intelligence所依赖的两种AI模型是在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>设计的云端芯片上进行预训练的。谷歌的张量处理单元最初是为内部工作负载而创建的,但现在正在得到更广泛的采用。苹果的决定表明,在AI训练方面,一些大型科技公司可能正在寻找并找到了英伟达图形处理单元的替代品。</p><div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/spider20240730/615/w350h265/20240730/48bb-52a359728152e7b2fbfb84a6d0c835b6.jpg\"/><span></span></div>\n<div></div>\n<div>\n<div><img src=\"\"/></div>\n<div>海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP</div>\n</div>\n</div></body></html>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股异动|英伟达跌超3.2% 苹果称其AI模型是基于谷歌定制芯片训练的</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股异动|英伟达跌超3.2% 苹果称其AI模型是基于谷歌定制芯片训练的\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-07-30 22:29 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/bxjj/2024-07-30/doc-incfxriu7806303.shtml><strong>港股那点事</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>格隆汇7月30日|英伟达(NVDA.US)跌超3.2%,报108.01美元。消息面上,苹果公司在一份技术论文中表示,其人工智能系统Apple Intelligence所依赖的两种AI模型是在谷歌设计的云端芯片上进行预训练的。谷歌的张量处理单元最初是为内部工作负载而创建的,但现在正在得到更广泛的采用。苹果的决定表明,在AI训练方面,一些大型科技公司可能正在寻找并找到了英伟达图形处理单元的替代品。\n\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/bxjj/2024-07-30/doc-incfxriu7806303.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"159813":"芯片","IE00B775H168.HKD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A5M\" (HKD) INC","LU0130518102.USD":"HARRIS ASSOCIATES GLOBAL EQUITY \"R\" INC","IE00BFXG0V08.USD":"BNY MELLON GLOBAL LEADERS \"B\" (USD) ACC","BK4574":"无人驾驶","IE00BDRTCR15.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL DYNAMIC ASSET ALLOCATION \"ADC\" (USD) INC A","IE00B5949003.HKD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0251142724.SGD":"Fidelity America A-SGD","LU0203202063.USD":"AB SICAV I - ALL MARKET INCOME PORTFOLIO \"A2X\" (USD) ACC","IE00BZ1G4Q59.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US EQUITY SUSTAINABILITY LEADER \"A\"(USD) INC (A)","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","AAPL":"苹果","BK4573":"虚拟现实","LU0057025933.USD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"AX\" (USD) ACC","LU0130102774.USD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA 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DYNAMIC ASSET ALLOCATION \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0456855351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Global Equity A (acc) SGD","BK4575":"芯片概念","LU0072462426.USD":"贝莱德全球配置 A2","IE00BHPRN162.USD":"BNY MELLON BLOCKCHAIN INNOVATION \"B\" (USD) ACC","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","BK4543":"AI","LU0130517989.USD":"HARRIS ASSOCIATES US VALUE EQUITY \"R\" INC","NVDA":"英伟达","LU0308772762.SGD":"Blackrock Global Allocation A2 SGD-H","IE00BBT3K403.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE TACTICAL DIVIDEND INCOME \"A(USD) ACC","LU0128525689.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL BALANCED \"A\"(USD) ACC"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/bxjj/2024-07-30/doc-incfxriu7806303.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2455955434","content_text":"格隆汇7月30日|英伟达(NVDA.US)跌超3.2%,报108.01美元。消息面上,苹果公司在一份技术论文中表示,其人工智能系统Apple Intelligence所依赖的两种AI模型是在谷歌设计的云端芯片上进行预训练的。谷歌的张量处理单元最初是为内部工作负载而创建的,但现在正在得到更广泛的采用。苹果的决定表明,在AI训练方面,一些大型科技公司可能正在寻找并找到了英伟达图形处理单元的替代品。\n\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":613463871,"gmtCreate":1650003838504,"gmtModify":1650003838651,"author":{"id":"3582170307283305","authorId":"3582170307283305","name":"艾伦猴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d957004dabb4188a8b141f5684b8afaf","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582170307283305","authorIdStr":"3582170307283305"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"辟谣了辟谣了!可以信了","listText":"辟谣了辟谣了!可以信了","text":"辟谣了辟谣了!可以信了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/613463871","repostId":"1126790834","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1887,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":181259371,"gmtCreate":1623397984793,"gmtModify":1634033765463,"author":{"id":"3582170307283305","authorId":"3582170307283305","name":"艾伦猴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d957004dabb4188a8b141f5684b8afaf","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582170307283305","authorIdStr":"3582170307283305"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tiger is here","listText":"Tiger is here","text":"Tiger is here","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181259371","repostId":"1156453091","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1156453091","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623333482,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1156453091?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-10 21:58","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"以史为鉴,美国通胀飙升后的演绎与影响","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156453091","media":"川阅全球宏观","summary":"美国东部时间2021年6月10日,美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%,创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来,美国通胀率加速上升,美联储6月议息会议在即,市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升,以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响:。1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次(图1)。本次通胀飙升的主要原因在于疫情下的基数效应和供给短缺。房租价格走势对未来通胀的演绎有重要影响。","content":"<p>美国东部时间2021年6月10日,美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。<b>美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%,创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来,美国通胀率加速上升,美联储6月议息会议在即,市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。</b>我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升,以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响:</p>\n<p><b>1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次</b>(图1)。我们对CPI破4%、破5%至回落期间的经济基本面和美联储政策进行了复盘(表1)。</p>\n<p><b>1968/06-1971/09</b>:经济陷入衰退,但前期大幅政府开支与财政刺激的余温仍在,通胀持续上升,美联储在1970年收紧货币政策以抑制通胀。</p>\n<p><b>1973/03-1982/11:</b>粮食危机和石油危机的双重打击下,美国经济陷入滞胀,供给冲击与成本推升通胀。政府价格管制失败,货币政策缺乏独立性并且过于滞后,未能成功抑制通胀。</p>\n<p><b>1987/08-1991/07:</b>走出滞胀后,美国经济经历了高速增长,但1987年开始经济增速放缓,并出现工资和价格上涨压力,美联储收紧货币政策。</p>\n<p><b>2007/11-2008/09:</b>油价飙升推升通胀,金融危机爆发,美联储货币政策的首要任务在于救市,通胀不在其重点关注范围内。</p>\n<p><b>当前的通胀和1973-1982年通胀的成因较为相似,均为成本推动。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/327f6f12c3af30abee8fa0ae334f9763\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"611\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ca353ebcbaf95ba1da0b46a815d5f8b\" tg-width=\"1025\" tg-height=\"853\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>本次通胀飙升的主要原因在于疫情下的基数效应和供给短缺。</b>今年5月美国CPI录得5.0%(为2008年8月以来的最高水平),但是<b>从CPI指数角度,2021年5月相对于2019年5月的复合增速仅为2.5%。</b></p>\n<p><b>对于今年通胀的演绎,我们重点关注二手车和房租两个分项。</b></p>\n<p><b>通胀的主要推力之一为二手车。</b>东南亚疫情恶化下多地芯片厂停工,芯片短缺导致车企减产。新车供应不足,二手车需求剧增,价格飙升(图2)。根据Manheim数据,2021年二手车售价增幅超越新车(图3)。此外,5月其他交通相关的价格涨幅进一步扩大,交通服务价格增幅从4月的5.6%扩大至11.2%,增幅翻倍。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884ed39a8682a3df05e8411f17f2105c\" tg-width=\"995\" tg-height=\"585\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/599b70f4fadb590d0d7b20254d4b1403\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"738\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>房租价格走势对未来通胀的演绎有重要影响。</b>美国CPI中房租的权重较高(约30%),尽管相对于其它分项,房租的增速相对温和(今年5月同比增2.2%),但年初以来增速斜率陡峭化(图4),我们<b>预计受到供给短缺的影响,未来房租将会持续温和地上升</b>。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/869c4f313152d3a14769097f150fb674\" tg-width=\"1021\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>通胀预期走势如何?</b></p>\n<p>从消费者的角度,密西根预期通胀率数据显示,2<b>021年5月美国消费者5年通胀预期从上月的2.7%跳升至3.0%(图5),但是仍然低于美联储可以容忍的3.5%。</b></p>\n<p>从政策制定者角度,如我们此前报告所述,美联储注重通胀预期的监测,关键指标为<b>共同通胀预期指数(CIE),CIE为季度数据,预计2021年二季度的数据将于本月底公布。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21708bec0c792eb9299eda62ba3cd077\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>未来通胀将会怎样影响资产价格?</b></p>\n<p>我们复盘了上述四次大通胀中,CPI破4%后不同时间区间内美元、美股和美债收益率的变化(表2):<b>通胀对于美元、美股存在负面影响,前者较为滞后,后者1个月内即有体现。</b>有趣的是,通胀对于美债收益率的影响不具规律性,关于美债的研究框架,请参考我们此前的报告。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037d9e565ff952b13c942386e8d08506\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"599\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>风险提示:</b>美联储过快收紧货币政策,地缘政治风险加剧</p>\n<hr>\n<p>恭喜您找到了字母E,参与《老虎大搜查》活动,下帖留言“ Tiger is here” 即可获赠100虎币,如集齐7张图片并留言,还可获赠7周年限定礼盒。(详情请点击<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/181890541\" target=\"_blank\">【七周年有奖活动】老虎大搜查 </a>了解)</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b519142d901e1ef1ff2a2e443798687b\" tg-width=\"214\" tg-height=\"286\"></p>","source":"lsy1582083733592","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>以史为鉴,美国通胀飙升后的演绎与影响</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n以史为鉴,美国通胀飙升后的演绎与影响\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-10 21:58 北京时间 <a href=https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html><strong>川阅全球宏观</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美国东部时间2021年6月10日,美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%,创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来,美国通胀率加速上升,美联储6月议息会议在即,市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升,以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响:\n1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次(图1)。我们对CPI破4%、破5%至回落期间的经济...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c3dba7c4b0e443e40fe6df5639434d","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/492521.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156453091","content_text":"美国东部时间2021年6月10日,美国劳工部发布5月通胀数据。美国5月CPI同比升5.0%、核心CPI同比升3.8%,创2008年8月以来最大增幅。今年年初以来,美国通胀率加速上升,美联储6月议息会议在即,市场上通胀担忧挥之不去。我们回顾了历史上美国通胀的几次飙升,以便更好地理解本次的通胀及其影响:\n1960年以来美国CPI同比破5%出现了4次(图1)。我们对CPI破4%、破5%至回落期间的经济基本面和美联储政策进行了复盘(表1)。\n1968/06-1971/09:经济陷入衰退,但前期大幅政府开支与财政刺激的余温仍在,通胀持续上升,美联储在1970年收紧货币政策以抑制通胀。\n1973/03-1982/11:粮食危机和石油危机的双重打击下,美国经济陷入滞胀,供给冲击与成本推升通胀。政府价格管制失败,货币政策缺乏独立性并且过于滞后,未能成功抑制通胀。\n1987/08-1991/07:走出滞胀后,美国经济经历了高速增长,但1987年开始经济增速放缓,并出现工资和价格上涨压力,美联储收紧货币政策。\n2007/11-2008/09:油价飙升推升通胀,金融危机爆发,美联储货币政策的首要任务在于救市,通胀不在其重点关注范围内。\n当前的通胀和1973-1982年通胀的成因较为相似,均为成本推动。\n\n本次通胀飙升的主要原因在于疫情下的基数效应和供给短缺。今年5月美国CPI录得5.0%(为2008年8月以来的最高水平),但是从CPI指数角度,2021年5月相对于2019年5月的复合增速仅为2.5%。\n对于今年通胀的演绎,我们重点关注二手车和房租两个分项。\n通胀的主要推力之一为二手车。东南亚疫情恶化下多地芯片厂停工,芯片短缺导致车企减产。新车供应不足,二手车需求剧增,价格飙升(图2)。根据Manheim数据,2021年二手车售价增幅超越新车(图3)。此外,5月其他交通相关的价格涨幅进一步扩大,交通服务价格增幅从4月的5.6%扩大至11.2%,增幅翻倍。\n\n房租价格走势对未来通胀的演绎有重要影响。美国CPI中房租的权重较高(约30%),尽管相对于其它分项,房租的增速相对温和(今年5月同比增2.2%),但年初以来增速斜率陡峭化(图4),我们预计受到供给短缺的影响,未来房租将会持续温和地上升。\n\n通胀预期走势如何?\n从消费者的角度,密西根预期通胀率数据显示,2021年5月美国消费者5年通胀预期从上月的2.7%跳升至3.0%(图5),但是仍然低于美联储可以容忍的3.5%。\n从政策制定者角度,如我们此前报告所述,美联储注重通胀预期的监测,关键指标为共同通胀预期指数(CIE),CIE为季度数据,预计2021年二季度的数据将于本月底公布。\n\n未来通胀将会怎样影响资产价格?\n我们复盘了上述四次大通胀中,CPI破4%后不同时间区间内美元、美股和美债收益率的变化(表2):通胀对于美元、美股存在负面影响,前者较为滞后,后者1个月内即有体现。有趣的是,通胀对于美债收益率的影响不具规律性,关于美债的研究框架,请参考我们此前的报告。\n\n风险提示:美联储过快收紧货币政策,地缘政治风险加剧\n\n恭喜您找到了字母E,参与《老虎大搜查》活动,下帖留言“ Tiger is here” 即可获赠100虎币,如集齐7张图片并留言,还可获赠7周年限定礼盒。(详情请点击【七周年有奖活动】老虎大搜查 了解)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":333,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}