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Hcee
2021-12-14
Come more discount for apes to DRS
AMC, GameStop short sellers make a comeback as meme stocks buckle
Hcee
2021-12-09
DRS is the way, buy and DRS
GameStop Earnings Report: Loss Widened Last Quarter
Hcee
2021-11-10
Thats where gme Moassss
Don't Get Too Comfortable: The Crash May Be Coming
Hcee
2021-11-09
The one and only squeeze is GME, other just MSM fluffs
抱歉,原内容已删除
Hcee
2021-11-05
Literally all stocks are over value we are literally buidling castle in the air.
抱歉,原内容已删除
Hcee
2021-11-03
Garbage, they are trying to diverge us ape to other stocks to help them pump, GME ALL THE WAY!!!
2 Meme Stocks With Short Squeeze Potential In November
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more discount for apes to DRS","listText":"Come more discount for apes to DRS","text":"Come more discount for apes to DRS","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607374399","repostId":"1199342811","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1199342811","pubTimestamp":1639494013,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199342811?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-14 23:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC, GameStop short sellers make a comeback as meme stocks buckle","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199342811","media":"Reuters","summary":"Shares of AMC Entertainment and GameStop dropped further in early trading on Tuesday, extending declines that have helped short sellers recover more than $1 billion in losses in December.Both companies were at the heart of the meme stocks phenomenon earlier this year, when individual investors coordinated on online message boards to fuel stunning rallies that cost short sellers billions of dollars.Theater chain AMC dropped 8% to a new 7-month low at $21.31 and were on track for a fourth day of l","content":"<p>Shares of AMC Entertainment and GameStop dropped further in early trading on Tuesday, extending declines that have helped short sellers recover more than $1 billion in losses in December.</p>\n<p>Both companies were at the heart of the meme stocks phenomenon earlier this year, when individual investors coordinated on online message boards to fuel stunning rallies that cost short sellers billions of dollars.</p>\n<p>Theater chain AMC dropped 8% to a new 7-month low at $21.31 and were on track for a fourth day of losses, while videogame retailer GameStop shed 4.3% to $131 - its lowest level since March.</p>\n<p>Short-sellers have made $1.1 billion on their positions on AMC stock since the beginning of December, according to data from analytics firm Ortex. GameStop short-sellers have made $330 million since the start of the month. Both stocks have lost nearly a third of their value in December.</p>\n<p>Still, so far this year, bearish investors have lost $1.3 billion on their bets on AMC and $11.78 billion in GameStop as their shares have rallied about 1,000% and 600% year-to-date, respectively.</p>\n<p>The estimated short interest at AMC increased to 19% of its free float from 16% at the end of November, per Ortex data. 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line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC, GameStop short sellers make a comeback as meme stocks buckle\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-14 23:00 GMT+8 <a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amc-gamestop-short-sellers-comeback-144659441.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Shares of AMC Entertainment and GameStop dropped further in early trading on Tuesday, extending declines that have helped short sellers recover more than $1 billion in losses in December.\nBoth ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amc-gamestop-short-sellers-comeback-144659441.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amc-gamestop-short-sellers-comeback-144659441.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199342811","content_text":"Shares of AMC Entertainment and GameStop dropped further in early trading on Tuesday, extending declines that have helped short sellers recover more than $1 billion in losses in December.\nBoth companies were at the heart of the meme stocks phenomenon earlier this year, when individual investors coordinated on online message boards to fuel stunning rallies that cost short sellers billions of dollars.\nTheater chain AMC dropped 8% to a new 7-month low at $21.31 and were on track for a fourth day of losses, while videogame retailer GameStop shed 4.3% to $131 - its lowest level since March.\nShort-sellers have made $1.1 billion on their positions on AMC stock since the beginning of December, according to data from analytics firm Ortex. GameStop short-sellers have made $330 million since the start of the month. Both stocks have lost nearly a third of their value in December.\nStill, so far this year, bearish investors have lost $1.3 billion on their bets on AMC and $11.78 billion in GameStop as their shares have rallied about 1,000% and 600% year-to-date, respectively.\nThe estimated short interest at AMC increased to 19% of its free float from 16% at the end of November, per Ortex data. GameStop short interest has shot up to 14% from 11% in the same period.\nInsider selling at AMC last week added to worries over the Omicron coronavirus variant denting a recovery in theater attendance.\nRetail traders were net sellers of equities for the first time since March 2021 in the week leading up to Dec. 8 in the largest outflow since Sep 2020, J.P.Morgan data showed last week.\nSam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, said AMC investors are worried about the reopening trade, with comments from the UK that Omicron infections could become a tidal wave weighing on the sentiment.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":529,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602567766,"gmtCreate":1639043860335,"gmtModify":1639043880046,"author":{"id":"3582091436806594","authorId":"3582091436806594","name":"Hcee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25691c3778284b9d2886651b3876e2a0","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"DRS is the way, buy and DRS","listText":"DRS is the way, buy and DRS","text":"DRS is the way, buy and DRS","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602567766","repostId":"1167264730","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1167264730","pubTimestamp":1639004754,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1167264730?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-09 07:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop Earnings Report: Loss Widened Last Quarter","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167264730","media":"WSJ","summary":"GameStop Corp. widened its loss and posted revenue growth last quarter as it continued efforts to revitalize its business under a recently overhauled executive team and board of directors.Despite the lingering pandemic and a shortage of new gaming consoles from Microsoft Corp. and Sony Group Corp., GameStop reported increased hardware and collectibles sales. However, its software sales fell around 2% from a year earlier during the quarter.Shares in GameStop fell nearly 5% after the announcement ","content":"<p>GameStop Corp. widened its loss and posted revenue growth last quarter as it continued efforts to revitalize its business under a recently overhauled executive team and board of directors.</p>\n<p>Despite the lingering pandemic and a shortage of new gaming consoles from Microsoft Corp. and Sony Group Corp., GameStop reported increased hardware and collectibles sales. However, its software sales fell around 2% from a year earlier during the quarter.</p>\n<p>Shares in GameStop fell nearly 5% after the announcement to around $165 in early after-hours trading.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2fab78192edc0c5ab8a678943deb168\" tg-width=\"730\" tg-height=\"600\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>In June, GameStop named former Amazon.com Inc. veterans Matt Furlong and Mike Recupero as its chief executive and financial officers, respectively. Shareholders also voted Chewy Inc. co-founder Ryan Cohen as chairman and elected an entirely new slate of boardroom directors.</p>\n<p>At least one of the company’s leadership changes hasn’t worked out. In late October, GameStop said in a securities filing that its operating chief and executive vice president, Jenna Owens, had resigned. She had joined the retailer in late March.</p>\n<p>The moves came after a months long, social-media-fueled trading frenzy that helped GameStop’s stock price skyrocket at the start of the year. Shares then plummeted in February only to soar and then fall in March and again in May and June. During the third quarter, the stock’s price fluctuated from a low of about $170 to a high of roughly $220.</p>\n<p>GameStop has reported annual losses for three consecutive years, as many console- and computer-game players have moved to downloading games over the internet, instead of buying the hard copies that the company specializes in selling. In addition, more people are downloading games on smartphones and tablets, and publishers are releasing more free games.</p>\n<p>Grapevine, Texas-based GameStop on Wednesday reported a loss of $105.4 million in net income for the quarter ended Oct. 30, or $1.39 a share, compared with a loss of $18.8 million a year earlier. Net sales were $1.3 billion, up from $1.01 billion. The retailer said that new and expanded relationships with companies such as Samsung Electronics Co. and Razer Inc. helped to drive the growth.</p>\n<p>GameStop has been focusing lately on growing its e-commerce business and improving customer service. In its latest earnings report, the company said it opened new offices in Seattle and Boston, describing the cities as “technology hubs with established talent markets.”</p>\n<p>GameStop has also in recent months added new fulfillment centers in Reno, Nev., and York, Pa., and in September the company announced plans to hire up to 500 employees at a newly leased customer-service center in Pembroke Pines, Fla.</p>\n<p>GameStop suspended issuing guidance on its prospects in March 2020, citing uncertainty due to the pandemic, and hasn’t resumed the practice since then. The company also hasn’t taken questions from analysts on its earnings calls this year, which remained the case on Wednesday. Mr. Furlong spoke briefly about GameStop’s third-quarter results and emphasized the company’s e-commerce push.</p>\n<p>In a securities filing Wednesday, GameStop said that while most of its stores returned to normal operations in the second quarter of this year, some in Australia—its third largest market—have temporarily closed due to a resurgence of Covid-19 cases.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop Earnings Report: Loss Widened Last Quarter</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop Earnings Report: Loss Widened Last Quarter\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-09 07:05 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.wsj.com/articles/gamestop-earnings-report-loss-widened-last-quarter-11638998848><strong>WSJ</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>GameStop Corp. widened its loss and posted revenue growth last quarter as it continued efforts to revitalize its business under a recently overhauled executive team and board of directors.\nDespite the...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/gamestop-earnings-report-loss-widened-last-quarter-11638998848\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/gamestop-earnings-report-loss-widened-last-quarter-11638998848","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167264730","content_text":"GameStop Corp. widened its loss and posted revenue growth last quarter as it continued efforts to revitalize its business under a recently overhauled executive team and board of directors.\nDespite the lingering pandemic and a shortage of new gaming consoles from Microsoft Corp. and Sony Group Corp., GameStop reported increased hardware and collectibles sales. However, its software sales fell around 2% from a year earlier during the quarter.\nShares in GameStop fell nearly 5% after the announcement to around $165 in early after-hours trading.\n\nIn June, GameStop named former Amazon.com Inc. veterans Matt Furlong and Mike Recupero as its chief executive and financial officers, respectively. Shareholders also voted Chewy Inc. co-founder Ryan Cohen as chairman and elected an entirely new slate of boardroom directors.\nAt least one of the company’s leadership changes hasn’t worked out. In late October, GameStop said in a securities filing that its operating chief and executive vice president, Jenna Owens, had resigned. She had joined the retailer in late March.\nThe moves came after a months long, social-media-fueled trading frenzy that helped GameStop’s stock price skyrocket at the start of the year. Shares then plummeted in February only to soar and then fall in March and again in May and June. During the third quarter, the stock’s price fluctuated from a low of about $170 to a high of roughly $220.\nGameStop has reported annual losses for three consecutive years, as many console- and computer-game players have moved to downloading games over the internet, instead of buying the hard copies that the company specializes in selling. In addition, more people are downloading games on smartphones and tablets, and publishers are releasing more free games.\nGrapevine, Texas-based GameStop on Wednesday reported a loss of $105.4 million in net income for the quarter ended Oct. 30, or $1.39 a share, compared with a loss of $18.8 million a year earlier. Net sales were $1.3 billion, up from $1.01 billion. The retailer said that new and expanded relationships with companies such as Samsung Electronics Co. and Razer Inc. helped to drive the growth.\nGameStop has been focusing lately on growing its e-commerce business and improving customer service. In its latest earnings report, the company said it opened new offices in Seattle and Boston, describing the cities as “technology hubs with established talent markets.”\nGameStop has also in recent months added new fulfillment centers in Reno, Nev., and York, Pa., and in September the company announced plans to hire up to 500 employees at a newly leased customer-service center in Pembroke Pines, Fla.\nGameStop suspended issuing guidance on its prospects in March 2020, citing uncertainty due to the pandemic, and hasn’t resumed the practice since then. The company also hasn’t taken questions from analysts on its earnings calls this year, which remained the case on Wednesday. Mr. Furlong spoke briefly about GameStop’s third-quarter results and emphasized the company’s e-commerce push.\nIn a securities filing Wednesday, GameStop said that while most of its stores returned to normal operations in the second quarter of this year, some in Australia—its third largest market—have temporarily closed due to a resurgence of Covid-19 cases.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1157,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":847492384,"gmtCreate":1636542365656,"gmtModify":1636543026398,"author":{"id":"3582091436806594","authorId":"3582091436806594","name":"Hcee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25691c3778284b9d2886651b3876e2a0","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thats where gme Moassss","listText":"Thats where gme Moassss","text":"Thats where gme Moassss","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/847492384","repostId":"1179287524","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1179287524","pubTimestamp":1636532973,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179287524?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-10 16:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Don't Get Too Comfortable: The Crash May Be Coming","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179287524","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nTech stocks are surging left and right like it's 1999 all over again.\nThe S&P 500's cyclica","content":"<p>Summary</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Tech stocks are surging left and right like it's 1999 all over again.</li>\n <li>The S&P 500's cyclically adjusted P/E ratio was higher just once before now. Yes, you guessed it, leading up to the 2000 market top.</li>\n <li>While technology is leading the charge, sky-high valuations seem to be widespread amongst multiple sectors.</li>\n <li>A correction in ultra-high multiple names combined with multiple compression in more mature companies could cause a market meltdown soon.</li>\n <li>Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of The Financial Prophet get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>There is extensive froth in the stock market right now, and you don't have to go far or dig deep to see what I mean.</p>\n<p><b>The S&P 500/SPX</b>(SP500)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2323fa4ed6b27420f5433954b61f797b\" tg-width=\"727\" tg-height=\"772\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: StockCharts.com</span></p>\n<p>The S&P 500 has now gained about 10% since I began calling to an end to the recent pullback at the lows several weeks ago. We've seen remarkable gains in a short time frame, as the SPX has appreciated in 18 out of its last 20 trading sessions. Moreover, the major stock average is up by about 35% over the previous year.</p>\n<p>Technically, the image is significantly overheated right now. The relative strength index (\"RSI\") is nearing 80, the highest level in over a year. The last time the RSI surged to 80 was right before the 10% correction last September. Moreover, the full stochastic is elevated and looks ready to turn downward, implying a possible shift in sentiment.</p>\n<p><b>Invesco Nasdaq 100 ETF</b>(QQQ)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fc9224a93768c8e3e6fca68a191e0da\" tg-width=\"721\" tg-height=\"772\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: StockCharts.com</span></p>\n<p>The Nasdaq 100 is even worse. QQQ looks like it topped out at $400, about a 15% gain from recent lows just several weeks ago. The RSI reached the absurdly high 80 levels and is hovering around 77, signaling highly overbought technical conditions. Incredibly, were looking at about a 43% gain over the last year here. Several other technical elements jump out. QQQ's price is now about 7% above its 50-day moving average. Again, the last time we saw anything close to this disconnect was the short-term top going into September 2020. Now we see the full stochastic turning downward, and the black candle at the recent top could mean that high-flying tech stocks are ready to head lower for now.</p>\n<p>Tech Stocks Gone Wild</p>\n<p>There is no shortage of froth in the tech sector today. I don't mean just technically, as fundamentally, some valuations seem absurd right now.</p>\n<p><b>NVIDIA</b>(NVDA)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fee6e0df3997c0eb900abe5f6c0fc89\" tg-width=\"723\" tg-height=\"772\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: StockCharts.com</span></p>\n<p>Nvidia is a great company, and the stock has performed exceptionally well lately. Possibly too well, as shares have nearly tripled in just about one year, and the company is approaching a forward P/E valuation of 80 now. Also, if you thought an RSI of 80 was high, check out Nvidia pushing up to around 90 right now. In some cases, an 80 P/E ratio could make sense, but Nvidia is not likely to show exceptional earnings growth in future years. On the contrary, projections illustrate the probability of modest EPS growth in upcoming years.</p>\n<p>Therefore, Nvidia with a forward P/E ratio of 80 doesn't make sense in my mind. Additionally, the company is now around a $750 billion valuation with just about $25 billion in revenues set to come in this year. Thus, Nvidia is trading at about 30 times sales right now.</p>\n<p>Thirty times sales, what? Is Nvidia a rapidly growing small-cap tech or biotechnology firm? No, it is not. Nvidia is the top tech stock gone wild lately. It is now a mega-cap tech name, the number 7 weight wise company in the S&P 500, and it looks hugely overvalued at this point.</p>\n<p>I am no Nvidia bear, and I owned shares in prior quarters. Possibly the only reason I don't own Nvidia now is that I have AMD in my portfolio. However, with the stock now 36% above its 50-day MA on essentially no news, things are getting absurd.</p>\n<p>Nvidia could drop by 33% from here, and it would still be relatively expensive at $200 with a forward multiple above $50.</p>\n<p><b>Tesla</b>(TSLA)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c21876fcb512c6599d06c5e93452165\" tg-width=\"726\" tg-height=\"771\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: StockCharts.com</span></p>\n<p>If you thought Nvidia's valuation was an end to the madness, it's not, likely only the beginning. Let's talk about Tesla for a minute. Now, I am a long-term supporter of Tesla, I've owned the company's shares for a long time, and I've written many positive articles about the company. The first article I ever wrote on Seeking Alpha was \"Will Tesla Become A Trillion Dollar Company?\" Now, Tesla became a trillion-dollar company much sooner than I anticipated, and I took profits in the stock at around $1,200 recently.</p>\n<p>I still like Tesla longer-term, but let's face it, we're dealing with a stock that has expanded by about 4.5X over the last year (this is on top of a remarkable runup the previous year). While it might not be fair to judge Tesla's valuation on its 190 forward P/E multiple, I think the stock is richly priced at 22 times sales.</p>\n<p>Technically, the image is mind-boggling, as Tesla recently surged to 50% above its 50-day MA and hit an RSI level well above 90. Tesla is now the fifth-largest S&P 500 component and accounts for about 2.5% of the major average's weight.</p>\n<p>Tesla is not the only stock to go wild in the EV space. We see other players like Lucid (LCID) hitting ludicrous valuations. Lucid now trades at a valuation of around $70 billion, while analysts anticipate the company to bring in about $1.7 billion in revenues next year. We're looking at a forward P/S ratio of about 40 here now. Lucid is another stock that has been up by about 4.5X over the last year, and this is another nameI took profits in recently.</p>\n<p>Tesla could drop to around $800 - 900 support, roughly around a 25-33% pullback from recent highs. The stock would look far more attractive then.</p>\n<p><b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(AMD)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/008840326856d3681371b0d0f4f384d4\" tg-width=\"727\" tg-height=\"773\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: StockCharts.com</span></p>\n<p>AMD has been one of my favorite stocks recently, and this is one that I'm still long for now. However, the recent runup has been intense. We see an RSI closing in on 90, and this name has nearly doubled over the last year. Yet, at about ten times sales and a forward P/E below 50, it seems relatively cheap to names like Nvidia and others right now. Incredibly, right?</p>\n<p>The list of big tech stocks surging lately can go on and on, but I want to look at the most prominent tech stock in the world that is not surging lately. I think it is pretty telling what Apple's stock is doing right now.</p>\n<p>AMD could use about a 20% discount around here. A forward P/E ratio closer to 40 would make the stock much more attractive at approximately $120 a share. I am using spreads to hedge my position here. Otherwise, I would take profits now.</p>\n<p><b>Apple</b>(AAPL)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63d6d781b612860c8e34e5d7f53f2988\" tg-width=\"731\" tg-height=\"771\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: StockCharts.com - Apple could get its P/E ratio compressed to around 20, implying a price of about $112 for its shares.</span></p>\n<p>So, what is Apple doing lately? Well, not much, as the stock is not skyrocketing to new ATHs as many other technology names are right now. It appears that Apple topped out in early September and has failed to make new highs since. Now, we see a lower high being put in, and Apple looks like it could trade sideways or even head lower for now.</p>\n<p>Now, I spoke about Apple being dead money in my previous article on the company, but there is a good reason for this, in my view. While Apple is not trading at 80 or 50 times forward earnings projections, the company is trading at about27 times forward earning sexpectations. The problem is that while AMD, Nvidia, Tesla, and others are still strong growth stories, Apple likely has minimal growth potential in the next few years.</p>\n<p>Analysts are typically bullish on Apple but predict low single-digit revenue and EPS growth in future years. So, why is Apple trading at such a premium multiple? After all, 27 times forward earnings are not cheap, and even in the current environment, a company should have robust growth prospects for the next several years.</p>\n<p>Apple seems overvalued here, and the company does not deserve such a premium multiple given the probability for stagnant growth in the next several years. Therefore, we could see multiple compression in Apple from now on, and the company's downturn could drag the broader down as well.</p>\n<p>The problem is that Apple accounts for a substantial portion of the S&P 500's weight (6%). Another problem is that Apple is not alone, and this may come as a surprise to many people, but Apple is not even the most significant component of the SPX.</p>\n<p><b>Microsoft</b>(MSFT):</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9788532fa13a3b90f86289660c2cb238\" tg-width=\"726\" tg-height=\"771\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: StockCharts.com -Microsoft's stock would look much more attractive with a forward P/E ratio of about 30, suggesting a 20% correction for the stock. Microsoft at $270 looks like a much better buy than it is now.</span></p>\n<p>Talk about being overbought technically. Just look at Microsoft. The RSI here is approaching 80, the stock is up by nearly 60% over the last year, and Microsoft is now the most valuable company globally. Yes, this $2.52 trillion behemoth now accounts for around 6.35% of the SPX's weight. Now, I wish I could say that Microsoft is relatively inexpensive, but that is far from true. On the contrary, Microsoft trades at a whopping37 times forward earnings expectations.</p>\n<p>Granted, Microsoft offers better growth prospects than Apple in future years, but nearly 40 times forward estimates for a stock that could increase earnings by about 10-15% next year is very expensive. We don't typically value huge companies relative to their sales, but Microsoft now trades at a ridiculously high 15 times TTM sales.</p>\n<p>I also want to emphasize the growing influence of big tech in the S&P 500 and other major averages. The top seven weighted holdings in the S&P 500 are seven giant tech companies that account for a whopping27% of the index's weight. It's not difficult to imagine what will happen to the S&P 500 and other major stock indexes when this massive tech bubble unwinds or corrects down the line.</p>\n<p><b>S&P 500 Shiller P/E ratio</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2758adbaf32d04dd18b08589062e6f62\" tg-width=\"1669\" tg-height=\"739\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:multpl.com</span></p>\n<p>I spoke about Microsoft's lofty forward P/E ratio, but it is essentially in line with the Shiller/cyclically adjusted P/E ratio on the entire S&P 500 right now. So, we see that this phenomenon of remarkably high valuations is not only concentrated in tech but is widespread right now. We also see that similar valuations have only been observed once before in history. Yes, around the height of the dot-com bubble, some of us know how that turned out, and the outcome was unfavorable for stocks.</p>\n<p>Another factor I want to go over is that while I use a forward P/E in many instances, no one knows what company earnings will be next year. We saw quite a few misses last quarter, far more disappointing results than was expected. Apple and Amazon (AMZN) are just a couple of examples, but many more big names missed guidance.</p>\n<p><b>Therefore, if we look at TTM P/E multiples:</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Microsoft: 42</li>\n <li>Apple: 27</li>\n <li>Nvidia: 90</li>\n <li>Tesla: 228</li>\n <li>AMD: 63</li>\n <li>Lucid: N/A</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The Bottom Line</p>\n<p>We see many names trading at extremely high valuations right now. Moreover, many prominent companies and major stock market averages are grossly overbought technically. While I focused primarily on the dominant tech companies that account for a massive part of the S&P 500's total weight, the frothy valuations go well beyond technology. The stock market, in general, looks frothy here technically, as well as from a fundamental perspective. Now, we could see a dynamic where the ultra-high multiple names that have skyrocketed lately begin to pull back. Simultaneously, we could see companies like Apple trade sideways or ever move lower due to growth concerns and subsequent multiple contractions. The result could be a \"deflation\" of the current bubble, which could cause a correction or even a mini-crash to occur as we advance into next year.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Don't Get Too Comfortable: The Crash May Be Coming</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDon't Get Too Comfortable: The Crash May Be Coming\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-10 16:29 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4467619-dont-get-too-comfortable-the-crash-is-coming><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nTech stocks are surging left and right like it's 1999 all over again.\nThe S&P 500's cyclically adjusted P/E ratio was higher just once before now. Yes, you guessed it, leading up to the 2000 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4467619-dont-get-too-comfortable-the-crash-is-coming\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4467619-dont-get-too-comfortable-the-crash-is-coming","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1179287524","content_text":"Summary\n\nTech stocks are surging left and right like it's 1999 all over again.\nThe S&P 500's cyclically adjusted P/E ratio was higher just once before now. Yes, you guessed it, leading up to the 2000 market top.\nWhile technology is leading the charge, sky-high valuations seem to be widespread amongst multiple sectors.\nA correction in ultra-high multiple names combined with multiple compression in more mature companies could cause a market meltdown soon.\nLooking for a helping hand in the market? Members of The Financial Prophet get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate.\n\nThere is extensive froth in the stock market right now, and you don't have to go far or dig deep to see what I mean.\nThe S&P 500/SPX(SP500)\nSource: StockCharts.com\nThe S&P 500 has now gained about 10% since I began calling to an end to the recent pullback at the lows several weeks ago. We've seen remarkable gains in a short time frame, as the SPX has appreciated in 18 out of its last 20 trading sessions. Moreover, the major stock average is up by about 35% over the previous year.\nTechnically, the image is significantly overheated right now. The relative strength index (\"RSI\") is nearing 80, the highest level in over a year. The last time the RSI surged to 80 was right before the 10% correction last September. Moreover, the full stochastic is elevated and looks ready to turn downward, implying a possible shift in sentiment.\nInvesco Nasdaq 100 ETF(QQQ)\nSource: StockCharts.com\nThe Nasdaq 100 is even worse. QQQ looks like it topped out at $400, about a 15% gain from recent lows just several weeks ago. The RSI reached the absurdly high 80 levels and is hovering around 77, signaling highly overbought technical conditions. Incredibly, were looking at about a 43% gain over the last year here. Several other technical elements jump out. QQQ's price is now about 7% above its 50-day moving average. Again, the last time we saw anything close to this disconnect was the short-term top going into September 2020. Now we see the full stochastic turning downward, and the black candle at the recent top could mean that high-flying tech stocks are ready to head lower for now.\nTech Stocks Gone Wild\nThere is no shortage of froth in the tech sector today. I don't mean just technically, as fundamentally, some valuations seem absurd right now.\nNVIDIA(NVDA)\nSource: StockCharts.com\nNvidia is a great company, and the stock has performed exceptionally well lately. Possibly too well, as shares have nearly tripled in just about one year, and the company is approaching a forward P/E valuation of 80 now. Also, if you thought an RSI of 80 was high, check out Nvidia pushing up to around 90 right now. In some cases, an 80 P/E ratio could make sense, but Nvidia is not likely to show exceptional earnings growth in future years. On the contrary, projections illustrate the probability of modest EPS growth in upcoming years.\nTherefore, Nvidia with a forward P/E ratio of 80 doesn't make sense in my mind. Additionally, the company is now around a $750 billion valuation with just about $25 billion in revenues set to come in this year. Thus, Nvidia is trading at about 30 times sales right now.\nThirty times sales, what? Is Nvidia a rapidly growing small-cap tech or biotechnology firm? No, it is not. Nvidia is the top tech stock gone wild lately. It is now a mega-cap tech name, the number 7 weight wise company in the S&P 500, and it looks hugely overvalued at this point.\nI am no Nvidia bear, and I owned shares in prior quarters. Possibly the only reason I don't own Nvidia now is that I have AMD in my portfolio. However, with the stock now 36% above its 50-day MA on essentially no news, things are getting absurd.\nNvidia could drop by 33% from here, and it would still be relatively expensive at $200 with a forward multiple above $50.\nTesla(TSLA)\nSource: StockCharts.com\nIf you thought Nvidia's valuation was an end to the madness, it's not, likely only the beginning. Let's talk about Tesla for a minute. Now, I am a long-term supporter of Tesla, I've owned the company's shares for a long time, and I've written many positive articles about the company. The first article I ever wrote on Seeking Alpha was \"Will Tesla Become A Trillion Dollar Company?\" Now, Tesla became a trillion-dollar company much sooner than I anticipated, and I took profits in the stock at around $1,200 recently.\nI still like Tesla longer-term, but let's face it, we're dealing with a stock that has expanded by about 4.5X over the last year (this is on top of a remarkable runup the previous year). While it might not be fair to judge Tesla's valuation on its 190 forward P/E multiple, I think the stock is richly priced at 22 times sales.\nTechnically, the image is mind-boggling, as Tesla recently surged to 50% above its 50-day MA and hit an RSI level well above 90. Tesla is now the fifth-largest S&P 500 component and accounts for about 2.5% of the major average's weight.\nTesla is not the only stock to go wild in the EV space. We see other players like Lucid (LCID) hitting ludicrous valuations. Lucid now trades at a valuation of around $70 billion, while analysts anticipate the company to bring in about $1.7 billion in revenues next year. We're looking at a forward P/S ratio of about 40 here now. Lucid is another stock that has been up by about 4.5X over the last year, and this is another nameI took profits in recently.\nTesla could drop to around $800 - 900 support, roughly around a 25-33% pullback from recent highs. The stock would look far more attractive then.\nAdvanced Micro Devices(AMD)\nSource: StockCharts.com\nAMD has been one of my favorite stocks recently, and this is one that I'm still long for now. However, the recent runup has been intense. We see an RSI closing in on 90, and this name has nearly doubled over the last year. Yet, at about ten times sales and a forward P/E below 50, it seems relatively cheap to names like Nvidia and others right now. Incredibly, right?\nThe list of big tech stocks surging lately can go on and on, but I want to look at the most prominent tech stock in the world that is not surging lately. I think it is pretty telling what Apple's stock is doing right now.\nAMD could use about a 20% discount around here. A forward P/E ratio closer to 40 would make the stock much more attractive at approximately $120 a share. I am using spreads to hedge my position here. Otherwise, I would take profits now.\nApple(AAPL)\nSource: StockCharts.com - Apple could get its P/E ratio compressed to around 20, implying a price of about $112 for its shares.\nSo, what is Apple doing lately? Well, not much, as the stock is not skyrocketing to new ATHs as many other technology names are right now. It appears that Apple topped out in early September and has failed to make new highs since. Now, we see a lower high being put in, and Apple looks like it could trade sideways or even head lower for now.\nNow, I spoke about Apple being dead money in my previous article on the company, but there is a good reason for this, in my view. While Apple is not trading at 80 or 50 times forward earnings projections, the company is trading at about27 times forward earning sexpectations. The problem is that while AMD, Nvidia, Tesla, and others are still strong growth stories, Apple likely has minimal growth potential in the next few years.\nAnalysts are typically bullish on Apple but predict low single-digit revenue and EPS growth in future years. So, why is Apple trading at such a premium multiple? After all, 27 times forward earnings are not cheap, and even in the current environment, a company should have robust growth prospects for the next several years.\nApple seems overvalued here, and the company does not deserve such a premium multiple given the probability for stagnant growth in the next several years. Therefore, we could see multiple compression in Apple from now on, and the company's downturn could drag the broader down as well.\nThe problem is that Apple accounts for a substantial portion of the S&P 500's weight (6%). Another problem is that Apple is not alone, and this may come as a surprise to many people, but Apple is not even the most significant component of the SPX.\nMicrosoft(MSFT):\nSource: StockCharts.com -Microsoft's stock would look much more attractive with a forward P/E ratio of about 30, suggesting a 20% correction for the stock. Microsoft at $270 looks like a much better buy than it is now.\nTalk about being overbought technically. Just look at Microsoft. The RSI here is approaching 80, the stock is up by nearly 60% over the last year, and Microsoft is now the most valuable company globally. Yes, this $2.52 trillion behemoth now accounts for around 6.35% of the SPX's weight. Now, I wish I could say that Microsoft is relatively inexpensive, but that is far from true. On the contrary, Microsoft trades at a whopping37 times forward earnings expectations.\nGranted, Microsoft offers better growth prospects than Apple in future years, but nearly 40 times forward estimates for a stock that could increase earnings by about 10-15% next year is very expensive. We don't typically value huge companies relative to their sales, but Microsoft now trades at a ridiculously high 15 times TTM sales.\nI also want to emphasize the growing influence of big tech in the S&P 500 and other major averages. The top seven weighted holdings in the S&P 500 are seven giant tech companies that account for a whopping27% of the index's weight. It's not difficult to imagine what will happen to the S&P 500 and other major stock indexes when this massive tech bubble unwinds or corrects down the line.\nS&P 500 Shiller P/E ratio\nSource:multpl.com\nI spoke about Microsoft's lofty forward P/E ratio, but it is essentially in line with the Shiller/cyclically adjusted P/E ratio on the entire S&P 500 right now. So, we see that this phenomenon of remarkably high valuations is not only concentrated in tech but is widespread right now. We also see that similar valuations have only been observed once before in history. Yes, around the height of the dot-com bubble, some of us know how that turned out, and the outcome was unfavorable for stocks.\nAnother factor I want to go over is that while I use a forward P/E in many instances, no one knows what company earnings will be next year. We saw quite a few misses last quarter, far more disappointing results than was expected. Apple and Amazon (AMZN) are just a couple of examples, but many more big names missed guidance.\nTherefore, if we look at TTM P/E multiples:\n\nMicrosoft: 42\nApple: 27\nNvidia: 90\nTesla: 228\nAMD: 63\nLucid: N/A\n\nThe Bottom Line\nWe see many names trading at extremely high valuations right now. Moreover, many prominent companies and major stock market averages are grossly overbought technically. While I focused primarily on the dominant tech companies that account for a massive part of the S&P 500's total weight, the frothy valuations go well beyond technology. The stock market, in general, looks frothy here technically, as well as from a fundamental perspective. Now, we could see a dynamic where the ultra-high multiple names that have skyrocketed lately begin to pull back. Simultaneously, we could see companies like Apple trade sideways or ever move lower due to growth concerns and subsequent multiple contractions. The result could be a \"deflation\" of the current bubble, which could cause a correction or even a mini-crash to occur as we advance into next year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":452,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844265423,"gmtCreate":1636432269074,"gmtModify":1636432269161,"author":{"id":"3582091436806594","authorId":"3582091436806594","name":"Hcee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25691c3778284b9d2886651b3876e2a0","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The one and only squeeze is GME, other just MSM fluffs","listText":"The one and only squeeze is GME, other just MSM fluffs","text":"The one and only squeeze is GME, other just MSM fluffs","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844265423","repostId":"1104683977","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":407,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":842061803,"gmtCreate":1636121049363,"gmtModify":1636121049477,"author":{"id":"3582091436806594","authorId":"3582091436806594","name":"Hcee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25691c3778284b9d2886651b3876e2a0","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Literally all stocks are over value we are literally buidling castle in the air.","listText":"Literally all stocks are over value we are literally buidling castle in the air.","text":"Literally all stocks are over value we are literally buidling castle in the air.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842061803","repostId":"1180620689","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":381,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":848017624,"gmtCreate":1635948082213,"gmtModify":1635948100617,"author":{"id":"3582091436806594","authorId":"3582091436806594","name":"Hcee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25691c3778284b9d2886651b3876e2a0","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Garbage, they are trying to diverge us ape to other stocks to help them pump, GME ALL THE WAY!!!","listText":"Garbage, they are trying to diverge us ape to other stocks to help them pump, GME ALL THE WAY!!!","text":"Garbage, they are trying to diverge us ape to other stocks to help them pump, GME ALL THE WAY!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/848017624","repostId":"1194203181","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1194203181","pubTimestamp":1635942663,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1194203181?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-03 20:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Meme Stocks With Short Squeeze Potential In November","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194203181","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Wall Street Memes lists two meme stocks that might be on the verge of a short squeeze. Will OCGN and","content":"<p>Wall Street Memes lists two meme stocks that might be on the verge of a short squeeze. Will OCGN and PROG head to the moon in November?</p>\n<p>“Meme frenzy” may seem to be hibernating, but it is certainly still alive under the sheets. Retail investors continue to monitor and debate several key stocks on the main discussion boards across the web, and some have started to move in the past few days – think GameStop on November 1, for example.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8a435559be38d10b7251aa72e23a665\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"698\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Ocugen and Progenity logo.</span></p>\n<p>Driven by popularity, momentum and elevated short interest, Wall Street Memes lists two meme stocks that have “mooning” potential in November.</p>\n<p><b>1. Ocugen, Inc.</b></p>\n<p>Biopharmaceutical company Ocugen, which focuses mainly on gene therapies to cure blindness diseases, had its ticker trending multiple times since the beginning of October.</p>\n<p>The company has become a meme focus and nearly doubled in price in the past few trading days.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e281fc931d00e6aa06e33fd23394521\" tg-width=\"547\" tg-height=\"557\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: OCGN stock sentiment on WSB.</span></p>\n<p>The most likely catalyst behind the price surge is the anticipated World Health Organization’s approval of COVID-19 vaccine Covaxin.</p>\n<p>Ocugen is a co-development partner with Bharat Biotech on the drug, and it holds the rights to commercialize Covaxin in North America. Recent stage 3 results showed the drug to be efficient even against the delta variant, which could help in the approval process in these countries.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the stock is a bear target. OCGN has 56 million shares shorted, representing a whopping 29% of the float. While heavy shorting signals skepticism and caution, it can also put shares on the edge of a short squeeze — if or once massive buying volume takes place.</p>\n<p>The eventual vaccine approval could be the catalyst that sparks bullish short-term activity. The binary nature of this trade, however, offers much complexity and risk to both longs and shorts.</p>\n<p><b>2. Progenity</b></p>\n<p>Progenity (<b>PROG</b>) is a biotechnology company that develops molecular testing products in the US. With a market cap of $284 million, the company went public last year at $14 per share. Since then, share price has plummeted to below $1, giving PROG the infamous label of “penny stock”.</p>\n<p>In the past month, PROG has spiked around 130%. As short interest on the stock climbed, the volume of comments on major web forums increased as well. Currently, according to Yahoo Finance’s latest data, nearly 24% of the float its being shorted.</p>\n<p>Based on the company’s fundamentals, H.C. Wainwright’s Joseph Pantginis recently issued a report on PROG. The analyst started his coverage with a buy rating and 27% upside potential. His bull case is based on the company’s differentiated portfolio and the opportunities that it offers.</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>\"Progenity</i>’\n <i>s differentiated R&D pipeline primarily focuses on employing proprietary ingestible device technologies, in tandem with delivery of de-risked</i> \n <i>FDA</i> \n <i>approved therapies.”</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>PROG’s popularity remains high, backed by Reddit forum discussions. Short interest is still elevated, despite the rally last month. This setup could lead the stock to a short squeeze.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0998a8e99f6ddce996a329ba5c7a179c\" tg-width=\"1076\" tg-height=\"405\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 3: Trending stocks on Reddit on November 2.</span></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Meme Stocks With Short Squeeze Potential In November</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Meme Stocks With Short Squeeze Potential In November\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-03 20:31 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.thestreet.com/memestocks/other-memes/2-meme-stocks-with-short-squeeze-potential-in-november><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Wall Street Memes lists two meme stocks that might be on the verge of a short squeeze. Will OCGN and PROG head to the moon in November?\n“Meme frenzy” may seem to be hibernating, but it is certainly ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/memestocks/other-memes/2-meme-stocks-with-short-squeeze-potential-in-november\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"OCGN":"Ocugen"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/memestocks/other-memes/2-meme-stocks-with-short-squeeze-potential-in-november","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194203181","content_text":"Wall Street Memes lists two meme stocks that might be on the verge of a short squeeze. Will OCGN and PROG head to the moon in November?\n“Meme frenzy” may seem to be hibernating, but it is certainly still alive under the sheets. Retail investors continue to monitor and debate several key stocks on the main discussion boards across the web, and some have started to move in the past few days – think GameStop on November 1, for example.\nFigure 1: Ocugen and Progenity logo.\nDriven by popularity, momentum and elevated short interest, Wall Street Memes lists two meme stocks that have “mooning” potential in November.\n1. Ocugen, Inc.\nBiopharmaceutical company Ocugen, which focuses mainly on gene therapies to cure blindness diseases, had its ticker trending multiple times since the beginning of October.\nThe company has become a meme focus and nearly doubled in price in the past few trading days.\nFigure 2: OCGN stock sentiment on WSB.\nThe most likely catalyst behind the price surge is the anticipated World Health Organization’s approval of COVID-19 vaccine Covaxin.\nOcugen is a co-development partner with Bharat Biotech on the drug, and it holds the rights to commercialize Covaxin in North America. Recent stage 3 results showed the drug to be efficient even against the delta variant, which could help in the approval process in these countries.\nMeanwhile, the stock is a bear target. OCGN has 56 million shares shorted, representing a whopping 29% of the float. While heavy shorting signals skepticism and caution, it can also put shares on the edge of a short squeeze — if or once massive buying volume takes place.\nThe eventual vaccine approval could be the catalyst that sparks bullish short-term activity. The binary nature of this trade, however, offers much complexity and risk to both longs and shorts.\n2. Progenity\nProgenity (PROG) is a biotechnology company that develops molecular testing products in the US. With a market cap of $284 million, the company went public last year at $14 per share. Since then, share price has plummeted to below $1, giving PROG the infamous label of “penny stock”.\nIn the past month, PROG has spiked around 130%. As short interest on the stock climbed, the volume of comments on major web forums increased as well. Currently, according to Yahoo Finance’s latest data, nearly 24% of the float its being shorted.\nBased on the company’s fundamentals, H.C. Wainwright’s Joseph Pantginis recently issued a report on PROG. The analyst started his coverage with a buy rating and 27% upside potential. His bull case is based on the company’s differentiated portfolio and the opportunities that it offers.\n\n\"Progenity’\n s differentiated R&D pipeline primarily focuses on employing proprietary ingestible device technologies, in tandem with delivery of de-risked \n FDA \n approved therapies.”\n\nPROG’s popularity remains high, backed by Reddit forum discussions. Short interest is still elevated, despite the rally last month. This setup could lead the stock to a short squeeze.\nFigure 3: Trending stocks on Reddit on November 2.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":463,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":842061803,"gmtCreate":1636121049363,"gmtModify":1636121049477,"author":{"id":"3582091436806594","authorId":"3582091436806594","name":"Hcee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25691c3778284b9d2886651b3876e2a0","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Literally all stocks are over value we are literally buidling castle in the air.","listText":"Literally all stocks are over value we are literally buidling castle in the air.","text":"Literally all stocks are over value we are literally buidling castle in the air.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842061803","repostId":"1180620689","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1180620689","pubTimestamp":1636112077,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180620689?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-05 19:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Is Overvalued by $1 Trillion, Analyst Says. We Looked at the Math.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180620689","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla‘s market capitalization recently moved well past $1 trillion, but the independent investment-r","content":"<p>Tesla‘s market capitalization recently moved well past $1 trillion, but the independent investment-research firm New Constructs believes the company is overvalued by roughly $1 trillion of that. The firm’s CEO, David Trainer, says Tesla shares could fall as much as 88%, to roughly $150 a share.</p>\n<p>His argument, which isn’t the first extreme bear or bull case Tesla (ticker: TSLA) investors have had to weigh, is mainly based on math.</p>\n<p>Tesla stock, which has risen about 57% over the past month, was little changed in premarket trading Friday after gaining up 1.3% Thursday afternoon, while the S&P 500 advanced 0.4% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average finished off 0.1%. Strong third-quarter deliveries, earnings, and a sale of 100,000 vehicles to the rental-car company Hertz (HTZZ) have sent the stock through the roof.</p>\n<p>Today, Tesla is worth roughly $1.2 trillion–a figure Trainer says makes no sense. Tesla didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.</p>\n<p>“The $1.2 trillion valuation implies Tesla owns 118% of the entire global passenger EV market and becomes more profitable than Apple [AAPL] by 2030,” wrote Trainer in a Thursday report. His work looked at what kind of sales and earnings the company would have to achieve to be worth that much.</p>\n<p>Trainer believes Tesla would have to sell almost 31 million vehicles in 2030 to justify the current valuation. That is more than he expects the entire industry to produce, based on figures from the International Energy Agency. The base case in the IEA’s 2021 outlook for electric vehicles projects annual global sales of about 28 million EVs at the end of the decade.</p>\n<p>To be sure, that IEA report was published in April, before many auto makers committed to spending billions of dollars on vehicle electrification and battery-production capacity. It was in August that President Joe Biden announced his <a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/tesla-musk-biden-ev-stock-51628202850\" target=\"_blank\">goal for EVs</a> to account for 50% of new-car sales by 2030. And the IEA report includes a best-case scenario with about 47 million EVs sold around the world annually by 2030.</p>\n<p>There are, of course, Tesla bulls, and most of them don’t believe Tesla is going to sell 31 million cars a year by 2030. Morgan Stanley’s Adam Jonas, who rates the stock at Buy and has a $1,200 price target for shares, predicts annual sales of about 8 million units by then.</p>\n<p>Jonas believes Tesla will be more profitable than traditional auto makers. But Trainer assumes that Tesla will have operating profit margins in line with those of General Motors (GM). With 31 million vehicles sold, that might mean Tesla earns $131 billion in 2030 operating profit, higher than the $100 billion-plus Apple is pulling in now, he said.</p>\n<p>But if Jonas’s call for Tesla to sell 8 million vehicles in 2030 is correct, Trainer said, that would yield earnings of about $30 billion annually, assuming Elon Musk’s company only matches GM’s net operating after-tax profit margin of 8.5%.</p>\n<p>Recently, of course, some of Tesla’s profit margins have been industry-leading, which is no surprise given the popularity of the vehicles and the fact that the company doesn’t have the pension obligations its older rivals face. Third-quarter gross margins exceeded GM’s,Ford Motor‘s (F), and Volkswagen’s (VOW3. Germany), to name a few.</p>\n<p>Longer-term margins are hard to predict, though Trainer told <i>Barron’s</i> he thinks his assumption is fair. They depend on factors such as software sales—all auto makers are offering software-enabled features that can be sold on subscriptions—as well as battery costs.</p>\n<p>“Putting it all together: Tesla provides poor risk/reward,” Trainer wrote.</p>\n<p>His arguments are unlikely to sway the many bulls who follow the stock. There are 14 analysts, almost one-third of the 44 Bloomberg tracks, with target prices that value Tesla at $1 trillion or more.</p>\n<p>The bulls believe Tesla is the EV leader and will increase its sales and production volume at 50% a year on average for the foreseeable future. They also believe EVs will be more profitable than traditional vehicles and that Tesla will maintain its cost leadership. Many bulls also believe that Tesla’s power-storage business, plus a robotaxi operation it could launch if it succeeds in developing self-driving cars, will generate significant sales.</p>\n<p>Time will tell who is right. The bulls are feeling good these days given Tesla’s strong results. And the bears are staring agape at the stock’s valuation, which essentially matches all of the world’s traditional auto makers combined.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Is Overvalued by $1 Trillion, Analyst Says. We Looked at the Math.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Is Overvalued by $1 Trillion, Analyst Says. We Looked at the Math.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-05 19:34 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-overvalued-1-trillion-51636053056?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla‘s market capitalization recently moved well past $1 trillion, but the independent investment-research firm New Constructs believes the company is overvalued by roughly $1 trillion of that. The ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-overvalued-1-trillion-51636053056?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-overvalued-1-trillion-51636053056?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180620689","content_text":"Tesla‘s market capitalization recently moved well past $1 trillion, but the independent investment-research firm New Constructs believes the company is overvalued by roughly $1 trillion of that. The firm’s CEO, David Trainer, says Tesla shares could fall as much as 88%, to roughly $150 a share.\nHis argument, which isn’t the first extreme bear or bull case Tesla (ticker: TSLA) investors have had to weigh, is mainly based on math.\nTesla stock, which has risen about 57% over the past month, was little changed in premarket trading Friday after gaining up 1.3% Thursday afternoon, while the S&P 500 advanced 0.4% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average finished off 0.1%. Strong third-quarter deliveries, earnings, and a sale of 100,000 vehicles to the rental-car company Hertz (HTZZ) have sent the stock through the roof.\nToday, Tesla is worth roughly $1.2 trillion–a figure Trainer says makes no sense. Tesla didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.\n“The $1.2 trillion valuation implies Tesla owns 118% of the entire global passenger EV market and becomes more profitable than Apple [AAPL] by 2030,” wrote Trainer in a Thursday report. His work looked at what kind of sales and earnings the company would have to achieve to be worth that much.\nTrainer believes Tesla would have to sell almost 31 million vehicles in 2030 to justify the current valuation. That is more than he expects the entire industry to produce, based on figures from the International Energy Agency. The base case in the IEA’s 2021 outlook for electric vehicles projects annual global sales of about 28 million EVs at the end of the decade.\nTo be sure, that IEA report was published in April, before many auto makers committed to spending billions of dollars on vehicle electrification and battery-production capacity. It was in August that President Joe Biden announced his goal for EVs to account for 50% of new-car sales by 2030. And the IEA report includes a best-case scenario with about 47 million EVs sold around the world annually by 2030.\nThere are, of course, Tesla bulls, and most of them don’t believe Tesla is going to sell 31 million cars a year by 2030. Morgan Stanley’s Adam Jonas, who rates the stock at Buy and has a $1,200 price target for shares, predicts annual sales of about 8 million units by then.\nJonas believes Tesla will be more profitable than traditional auto makers. But Trainer assumes that Tesla will have operating profit margins in line with those of General Motors (GM). With 31 million vehicles sold, that might mean Tesla earns $131 billion in 2030 operating profit, higher than the $100 billion-plus Apple is pulling in now, he said.\nBut if Jonas’s call for Tesla to sell 8 million vehicles in 2030 is correct, Trainer said, that would yield earnings of about $30 billion annually, assuming Elon Musk’s company only matches GM’s net operating after-tax profit margin of 8.5%.\nRecently, of course, some of Tesla’s profit margins have been industry-leading, which is no surprise given the popularity of the vehicles and the fact that the company doesn’t have the pension obligations its older rivals face. Third-quarter gross margins exceeded GM’s,Ford Motor‘s (F), and Volkswagen’s (VOW3. Germany), to name a few.\nLonger-term margins are hard to predict, though Trainer told Barron’s he thinks his assumption is fair. They depend on factors such as software sales—all auto makers are offering software-enabled features that can be sold on subscriptions—as well as battery costs.\n“Putting it all together: Tesla provides poor risk/reward,” Trainer wrote.\nHis arguments are unlikely to sway the many bulls who follow the stock. There are 14 analysts, almost one-third of the 44 Bloomberg tracks, with target prices that value Tesla at $1 trillion or more.\nThe bulls believe Tesla is the EV leader and will increase its sales and production volume at 50% a year on average for the foreseeable future. They also believe EVs will be more profitable than traditional vehicles and that Tesla will maintain its cost leadership. Many bulls also believe that Tesla’s power-storage business, plus a robotaxi operation it could launch if it succeeds in developing self-driving cars, will generate significant sales.\nTime will tell who is right. The bulls are feeling good these days given Tesla’s strong results. And the bears are staring agape at the stock’s valuation, which essentially matches all of the world’s traditional auto makers combined.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":381,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607374399,"gmtCreate":1639494137032,"gmtModify":1639494169868,"author":{"id":"3582091436806594","authorId":"3582091436806594","name":"Hcee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25691c3778284b9d2886651b3876e2a0","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Come more discount for apes to DRS","listText":"Come more discount for apes to DRS","text":"Come more discount for apes to DRS","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607374399","repostId":"1199342811","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1199342811","pubTimestamp":1639494013,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199342811?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-14 23:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC, GameStop short sellers make a comeback as meme stocks buckle","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199342811","media":"Reuters","summary":"Shares of AMC Entertainment and GameStop dropped further in early trading on Tuesday, extending declines that have helped short sellers recover more than $1 billion in losses in December.Both companies were at the heart of the meme stocks phenomenon earlier this year, when individual investors coordinated on online message boards to fuel stunning rallies that cost short sellers billions of dollars.Theater chain AMC dropped 8% to a new 7-month low at $21.31 and were on track for a fourth day of l","content":"<p>Shares of AMC Entertainment and GameStop dropped further in early trading on Tuesday, extending declines that have helped short sellers recover more than $1 billion in losses in December.</p>\n<p>Both companies were at the heart of the meme stocks phenomenon earlier this year, when individual investors coordinated on online message boards to fuel stunning rallies that cost short sellers billions of dollars.</p>\n<p>Theater chain AMC dropped 8% to a new 7-month low at $21.31 and were on track for a fourth day of losses, while videogame retailer GameStop shed 4.3% to $131 - its lowest level since March.</p>\n<p>Short-sellers have made $1.1 billion on their positions on AMC stock since the beginning of December, according to data from analytics firm Ortex. GameStop short-sellers have made $330 million since the start of the month. Both stocks have lost nearly a third of their value in December.</p>\n<p>Still, so far this year, bearish investors have lost $1.3 billion on their bets on AMC and $11.78 billion in GameStop as their shares have rallied about 1,000% and 600% year-to-date, respectively.</p>\n<p>The estimated short interest at AMC increased to 19% of its free float from 16% at the end of November, per Ortex data. GameStop short interest has shot up to 14% from 11% in the same period.</p>\n<p>Insider selling at AMC last week added to worries over the Omicron coronavirus variant denting a recovery in theater attendance.</p>\n<p>Retail traders were net sellers of equities for the first time since March 2021 in the week leading up to Dec. 8 in the largest outflow since Sep 2020, J.P.Morgan data showed last week.</p>\n<p>Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, said AMC investors are worried about the reopening trade, with comments from the UK that Omicron infections could become a tidal wave weighing on the sentiment.</p>","source":"lsy1601381805984","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC, GameStop short sellers make a comeback as meme stocks buckle</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC, GameStop short sellers make a comeback as meme stocks buckle\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-14 23:00 GMT+8 <a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amc-gamestop-short-sellers-comeback-144659441.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Shares of AMC Entertainment and GameStop dropped further in early trading on Tuesday, extending declines that have helped short sellers recover more than $1 billion in losses in December.\nBoth ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amc-gamestop-short-sellers-comeback-144659441.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amc-gamestop-short-sellers-comeback-144659441.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199342811","content_text":"Shares of AMC Entertainment and GameStop dropped further in early trading on Tuesday, extending declines that have helped short sellers recover more than $1 billion in losses in December.\nBoth companies were at the heart of the meme stocks phenomenon earlier this year, when individual investors coordinated on online message boards to fuel stunning rallies that cost short sellers billions of dollars.\nTheater chain AMC dropped 8% to a new 7-month low at $21.31 and were on track for a fourth day of losses, while videogame retailer GameStop shed 4.3% to $131 - its lowest level since March.\nShort-sellers have made $1.1 billion on their positions on AMC stock since the beginning of December, according to data from analytics firm Ortex. GameStop short-sellers have made $330 million since the start of the month. Both stocks have lost nearly a third of their value in December.\nStill, so far this year, bearish investors have lost $1.3 billion on their bets on AMC and $11.78 billion in GameStop as their shares have rallied about 1,000% and 600% year-to-date, respectively.\nThe estimated short interest at AMC increased to 19% of its free float from 16% at the end of November, per Ortex data. GameStop short interest has shot up to 14% from 11% in the same period.\nInsider selling at AMC last week added to worries over the Omicron coronavirus variant denting a recovery in theater attendance.\nRetail traders were net sellers of equities for the first time since March 2021 in the week leading up to Dec. 8 in the largest outflow since Sep 2020, J.P.Morgan data showed last week.\nSam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, said AMC investors are worried about the reopening trade, with comments from the UK that Omicron infections could become a tidal wave weighing on the sentiment.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":529,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844265423,"gmtCreate":1636432269074,"gmtModify":1636432269161,"author":{"id":"3582091436806594","authorId":"3582091436806594","name":"Hcee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25691c3778284b9d2886651b3876e2a0","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The one and only squeeze is GME, other just MSM fluffs","listText":"The one and only squeeze is GME, other just MSM fluffs","text":"The one and only squeeze is GME, other just MSM fluffs","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844265423","repostId":"1104683977","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":407,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":847492384,"gmtCreate":1636542365656,"gmtModify":1636543026398,"author":{"id":"3582091436806594","authorId":"3582091436806594","name":"Hcee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25691c3778284b9d2886651b3876e2a0","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thats where gme Moassss","listText":"Thats where gme Moassss","text":"Thats where gme Moassss","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/847492384","repostId":"1179287524","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1179287524","pubTimestamp":1636532973,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179287524?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-10 16:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Don't Get Too Comfortable: The Crash May Be Coming","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179287524","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nTech stocks are surging left and right like it's 1999 all over again.\nThe S&P 500's cyclica","content":"<p>Summary</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Tech stocks are surging left and right like it's 1999 all over again.</li>\n <li>The S&P 500's cyclically adjusted P/E ratio was higher just once before now. Yes, you guessed it, leading up to the 2000 market top.</li>\n <li>While technology is leading the charge, sky-high valuations seem to be widespread amongst multiple sectors.</li>\n <li>A correction in ultra-high multiple names combined with multiple compression in more mature companies could cause a market meltdown soon.</li>\n <li>Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of The Financial Prophet get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>There is extensive froth in the stock market right now, and you don't have to go far or dig deep to see what I mean.</p>\n<p><b>The S&P 500/SPX</b>(SP500)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2323fa4ed6b27420f5433954b61f797b\" tg-width=\"727\" tg-height=\"772\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: StockCharts.com</span></p>\n<p>The S&P 500 has now gained about 10% since I began calling to an end to the recent pullback at the lows several weeks ago. We've seen remarkable gains in a short time frame, as the SPX has appreciated in 18 out of its last 20 trading sessions. Moreover, the major stock average is up by about 35% over the previous year.</p>\n<p>Technically, the image is significantly overheated right now. The relative strength index (\"RSI\") is nearing 80, the highest level in over a year. The last time the RSI surged to 80 was right before the 10% correction last September. Moreover, the full stochastic is elevated and looks ready to turn downward, implying a possible shift in sentiment.</p>\n<p><b>Invesco Nasdaq 100 ETF</b>(QQQ)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fc9224a93768c8e3e6fca68a191e0da\" tg-width=\"721\" tg-height=\"772\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: StockCharts.com</span></p>\n<p>The Nasdaq 100 is even worse. QQQ looks like it topped out at $400, about a 15% gain from recent lows just several weeks ago. The RSI reached the absurdly high 80 levels and is hovering around 77, signaling highly overbought technical conditions. Incredibly, were looking at about a 43% gain over the last year here. Several other technical elements jump out. QQQ's price is now about 7% above its 50-day moving average. Again, the last time we saw anything close to this disconnect was the short-term top going into September 2020. Now we see the full stochastic turning downward, and the black candle at the recent top could mean that high-flying tech stocks are ready to head lower for now.</p>\n<p>Tech Stocks Gone Wild</p>\n<p>There is no shortage of froth in the tech sector today. I don't mean just technically, as fundamentally, some valuations seem absurd right now.</p>\n<p><b>NVIDIA</b>(NVDA)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fee6e0df3997c0eb900abe5f6c0fc89\" tg-width=\"723\" tg-height=\"772\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: StockCharts.com</span></p>\n<p>Nvidia is a great company, and the stock has performed exceptionally well lately. Possibly too well, as shares have nearly tripled in just about one year, and the company is approaching a forward P/E valuation of 80 now. Also, if you thought an RSI of 80 was high, check out Nvidia pushing up to around 90 right now. In some cases, an 80 P/E ratio could make sense, but Nvidia is not likely to show exceptional earnings growth in future years. On the contrary, projections illustrate the probability of modest EPS growth in upcoming years.</p>\n<p>Therefore, Nvidia with a forward P/E ratio of 80 doesn't make sense in my mind. Additionally, the company is now around a $750 billion valuation with just about $25 billion in revenues set to come in this year. Thus, Nvidia is trading at about 30 times sales right now.</p>\n<p>Thirty times sales, what? Is Nvidia a rapidly growing small-cap tech or biotechnology firm? No, it is not. Nvidia is the top tech stock gone wild lately. It is now a mega-cap tech name, the number 7 weight wise company in the S&P 500, and it looks hugely overvalued at this point.</p>\n<p>I am no Nvidia bear, and I owned shares in prior quarters. Possibly the only reason I don't own Nvidia now is that I have AMD in my portfolio. However, with the stock now 36% above its 50-day MA on essentially no news, things are getting absurd.</p>\n<p>Nvidia could drop by 33% from here, and it would still be relatively expensive at $200 with a forward multiple above $50.</p>\n<p><b>Tesla</b>(TSLA)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c21876fcb512c6599d06c5e93452165\" tg-width=\"726\" tg-height=\"771\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: StockCharts.com</span></p>\n<p>If you thought Nvidia's valuation was an end to the madness, it's not, likely only the beginning. Let's talk about Tesla for a minute. Now, I am a long-term supporter of Tesla, I've owned the company's shares for a long time, and I've written many positive articles about the company. The first article I ever wrote on Seeking Alpha was \"Will Tesla Become A Trillion Dollar Company?\" Now, Tesla became a trillion-dollar company much sooner than I anticipated, and I took profits in the stock at around $1,200 recently.</p>\n<p>I still like Tesla longer-term, but let's face it, we're dealing with a stock that has expanded by about 4.5X over the last year (this is on top of a remarkable runup the previous year). While it might not be fair to judge Tesla's valuation on its 190 forward P/E multiple, I think the stock is richly priced at 22 times sales.</p>\n<p>Technically, the image is mind-boggling, as Tesla recently surged to 50% above its 50-day MA and hit an RSI level well above 90. Tesla is now the fifth-largest S&P 500 component and accounts for about 2.5% of the major average's weight.</p>\n<p>Tesla is not the only stock to go wild in the EV space. We see other players like Lucid (LCID) hitting ludicrous valuations. Lucid now trades at a valuation of around $70 billion, while analysts anticipate the company to bring in about $1.7 billion in revenues next year. We're looking at a forward P/S ratio of about 40 here now. Lucid is another stock that has been up by about 4.5X over the last year, and this is another nameI took profits in recently.</p>\n<p>Tesla could drop to around $800 - 900 support, roughly around a 25-33% pullback from recent highs. The stock would look far more attractive then.</p>\n<p><b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(AMD)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/008840326856d3681371b0d0f4f384d4\" tg-width=\"727\" tg-height=\"773\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: StockCharts.com</span></p>\n<p>AMD has been one of my favorite stocks recently, and this is one that I'm still long for now. However, the recent runup has been intense. We see an RSI closing in on 90, and this name has nearly doubled over the last year. Yet, at about ten times sales and a forward P/E below 50, it seems relatively cheap to names like Nvidia and others right now. Incredibly, right?</p>\n<p>The list of big tech stocks surging lately can go on and on, but I want to look at the most prominent tech stock in the world that is not surging lately. I think it is pretty telling what Apple's stock is doing right now.</p>\n<p>AMD could use about a 20% discount around here. A forward P/E ratio closer to 40 would make the stock much more attractive at approximately $120 a share. I am using spreads to hedge my position here. Otherwise, I would take profits now.</p>\n<p><b>Apple</b>(AAPL)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63d6d781b612860c8e34e5d7f53f2988\" tg-width=\"731\" tg-height=\"771\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: StockCharts.com - Apple could get its P/E ratio compressed to around 20, implying a price of about $112 for its shares.</span></p>\n<p>So, what is Apple doing lately? Well, not much, as the stock is not skyrocketing to new ATHs as many other technology names are right now. It appears that Apple topped out in early September and has failed to make new highs since. Now, we see a lower high being put in, and Apple looks like it could trade sideways or even head lower for now.</p>\n<p>Now, I spoke about Apple being dead money in my previous article on the company, but there is a good reason for this, in my view. While Apple is not trading at 80 or 50 times forward earnings projections, the company is trading at about27 times forward earning sexpectations. The problem is that while AMD, Nvidia, Tesla, and others are still strong growth stories, Apple likely has minimal growth potential in the next few years.</p>\n<p>Analysts are typically bullish on Apple but predict low single-digit revenue and EPS growth in future years. So, why is Apple trading at such a premium multiple? After all, 27 times forward earnings are not cheap, and even in the current environment, a company should have robust growth prospects for the next several years.</p>\n<p>Apple seems overvalued here, and the company does not deserve such a premium multiple given the probability for stagnant growth in the next several years. Therefore, we could see multiple compression in Apple from now on, and the company's downturn could drag the broader down as well.</p>\n<p>The problem is that Apple accounts for a substantial portion of the S&P 500's weight (6%). Another problem is that Apple is not alone, and this may come as a surprise to many people, but Apple is not even the most significant component of the SPX.</p>\n<p><b>Microsoft</b>(MSFT):</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9788532fa13a3b90f86289660c2cb238\" tg-width=\"726\" tg-height=\"771\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: StockCharts.com -Microsoft's stock would look much more attractive with a forward P/E ratio of about 30, suggesting a 20% correction for the stock. Microsoft at $270 looks like a much better buy than it is now.</span></p>\n<p>Talk about being overbought technically. Just look at Microsoft. The RSI here is approaching 80, the stock is up by nearly 60% over the last year, and Microsoft is now the most valuable company globally. Yes, this $2.52 trillion behemoth now accounts for around 6.35% of the SPX's weight. Now, I wish I could say that Microsoft is relatively inexpensive, but that is far from true. On the contrary, Microsoft trades at a whopping37 times forward earnings expectations.</p>\n<p>Granted, Microsoft offers better growth prospects than Apple in future years, but nearly 40 times forward estimates for a stock that could increase earnings by about 10-15% next year is very expensive. We don't typically value huge companies relative to their sales, but Microsoft now trades at a ridiculously high 15 times TTM sales.</p>\n<p>I also want to emphasize the growing influence of big tech in the S&P 500 and other major averages. The top seven weighted holdings in the S&P 500 are seven giant tech companies that account for a whopping27% of the index's weight. It's not difficult to imagine what will happen to the S&P 500 and other major stock indexes when this massive tech bubble unwinds or corrects down the line.</p>\n<p><b>S&P 500 Shiller P/E ratio</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2758adbaf32d04dd18b08589062e6f62\" tg-width=\"1669\" tg-height=\"739\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:multpl.com</span></p>\n<p>I spoke about Microsoft's lofty forward P/E ratio, but it is essentially in line with the Shiller/cyclically adjusted P/E ratio on the entire S&P 500 right now. So, we see that this phenomenon of remarkably high valuations is not only concentrated in tech but is widespread right now. We also see that similar valuations have only been observed once before in history. Yes, around the height of the dot-com bubble, some of us know how that turned out, and the outcome was unfavorable for stocks.</p>\n<p>Another factor I want to go over is that while I use a forward P/E in many instances, no one knows what company earnings will be next year. We saw quite a few misses last quarter, far more disappointing results than was expected. Apple and Amazon (AMZN) are just a couple of examples, but many more big names missed guidance.</p>\n<p><b>Therefore, if we look at TTM P/E multiples:</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Microsoft: 42</li>\n <li>Apple: 27</li>\n <li>Nvidia: 90</li>\n <li>Tesla: 228</li>\n <li>AMD: 63</li>\n <li>Lucid: N/A</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The Bottom Line</p>\n<p>We see many names trading at extremely high valuations right now. Moreover, many prominent companies and major stock market averages are grossly overbought technically. While I focused primarily on the dominant tech companies that account for a massive part of the S&P 500's total weight, the frothy valuations go well beyond technology. The stock market, in general, looks frothy here technically, as well as from a fundamental perspective. Now, we could see a dynamic where the ultra-high multiple names that have skyrocketed lately begin to pull back. Simultaneously, we could see companies like Apple trade sideways or ever move lower due to growth concerns and subsequent multiple contractions. The result could be a \"deflation\" of the current bubble, which could cause a correction or even a mini-crash to occur as we advance into next year.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Don't Get Too Comfortable: The Crash May Be Coming</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDon't Get Too Comfortable: The Crash May Be Coming\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-10 16:29 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4467619-dont-get-too-comfortable-the-crash-is-coming><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nTech stocks are surging left and right like it's 1999 all over again.\nThe S&P 500's cyclically adjusted P/E ratio was higher just once before now. Yes, you guessed it, leading up to the 2000 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4467619-dont-get-too-comfortable-the-crash-is-coming\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4467619-dont-get-too-comfortable-the-crash-is-coming","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1179287524","content_text":"Summary\n\nTech stocks are surging left and right like it's 1999 all over again.\nThe S&P 500's cyclically adjusted P/E ratio was higher just once before now. Yes, you guessed it, leading up to the 2000 market top.\nWhile technology is leading the charge, sky-high valuations seem to be widespread amongst multiple sectors.\nA correction in ultra-high multiple names combined with multiple compression in more mature companies could cause a market meltdown soon.\nLooking for a helping hand in the market? Members of The Financial Prophet get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate.\n\nThere is extensive froth in the stock market right now, and you don't have to go far or dig deep to see what I mean.\nThe S&P 500/SPX(SP500)\nSource: StockCharts.com\nThe S&P 500 has now gained about 10% since I began calling to an end to the recent pullback at the lows several weeks ago. We've seen remarkable gains in a short time frame, as the SPX has appreciated in 18 out of its last 20 trading sessions. Moreover, the major stock average is up by about 35% over the previous year.\nTechnically, the image is significantly overheated right now. The relative strength index (\"RSI\") is nearing 80, the highest level in over a year. The last time the RSI surged to 80 was right before the 10% correction last September. Moreover, the full stochastic is elevated and looks ready to turn downward, implying a possible shift in sentiment.\nInvesco Nasdaq 100 ETF(QQQ)\nSource: StockCharts.com\nThe Nasdaq 100 is even worse. QQQ looks like it topped out at $400, about a 15% gain from recent lows just several weeks ago. The RSI reached the absurdly high 80 levels and is hovering around 77, signaling highly overbought technical conditions. Incredibly, were looking at about a 43% gain over the last year here. Several other technical elements jump out. QQQ's price is now about 7% above its 50-day moving average. Again, the last time we saw anything close to this disconnect was the short-term top going into September 2020. Now we see the full stochastic turning downward, and the black candle at the recent top could mean that high-flying tech stocks are ready to head lower for now.\nTech Stocks Gone Wild\nThere is no shortage of froth in the tech sector today. I don't mean just technically, as fundamentally, some valuations seem absurd right now.\nNVIDIA(NVDA)\nSource: StockCharts.com\nNvidia is a great company, and the stock has performed exceptionally well lately. Possibly too well, as shares have nearly tripled in just about one year, and the company is approaching a forward P/E valuation of 80 now. Also, if you thought an RSI of 80 was high, check out Nvidia pushing up to around 90 right now. In some cases, an 80 P/E ratio could make sense, but Nvidia is not likely to show exceptional earnings growth in future years. On the contrary, projections illustrate the probability of modest EPS growth in upcoming years.\nTherefore, Nvidia with a forward P/E ratio of 80 doesn't make sense in my mind. Additionally, the company is now around a $750 billion valuation with just about $25 billion in revenues set to come in this year. Thus, Nvidia is trading at about 30 times sales right now.\nThirty times sales, what? Is Nvidia a rapidly growing small-cap tech or biotechnology firm? No, it is not. Nvidia is the top tech stock gone wild lately. It is now a mega-cap tech name, the number 7 weight wise company in the S&P 500, and it looks hugely overvalued at this point.\nI am no Nvidia bear, and I owned shares in prior quarters. Possibly the only reason I don't own Nvidia now is that I have AMD in my portfolio. However, with the stock now 36% above its 50-day MA on essentially no news, things are getting absurd.\nNvidia could drop by 33% from here, and it would still be relatively expensive at $200 with a forward multiple above $50.\nTesla(TSLA)\nSource: StockCharts.com\nIf you thought Nvidia's valuation was an end to the madness, it's not, likely only the beginning. Let's talk about Tesla for a minute. Now, I am a long-term supporter of Tesla, I've owned the company's shares for a long time, and I've written many positive articles about the company. The first article I ever wrote on Seeking Alpha was \"Will Tesla Become A Trillion Dollar Company?\" Now, Tesla became a trillion-dollar company much sooner than I anticipated, and I took profits in the stock at around $1,200 recently.\nI still like Tesla longer-term, but let's face it, we're dealing with a stock that has expanded by about 4.5X over the last year (this is on top of a remarkable runup the previous year). While it might not be fair to judge Tesla's valuation on its 190 forward P/E multiple, I think the stock is richly priced at 22 times sales.\nTechnically, the image is mind-boggling, as Tesla recently surged to 50% above its 50-day MA and hit an RSI level well above 90. Tesla is now the fifth-largest S&P 500 component and accounts for about 2.5% of the major average's weight.\nTesla is not the only stock to go wild in the EV space. We see other players like Lucid (LCID) hitting ludicrous valuations. Lucid now trades at a valuation of around $70 billion, while analysts anticipate the company to bring in about $1.7 billion in revenues next year. We're looking at a forward P/S ratio of about 40 here now. Lucid is another stock that has been up by about 4.5X over the last year, and this is another nameI took profits in recently.\nTesla could drop to around $800 - 900 support, roughly around a 25-33% pullback from recent highs. The stock would look far more attractive then.\nAdvanced Micro Devices(AMD)\nSource: StockCharts.com\nAMD has been one of my favorite stocks recently, and this is one that I'm still long for now. However, the recent runup has been intense. We see an RSI closing in on 90, and this name has nearly doubled over the last year. Yet, at about ten times sales and a forward P/E below 50, it seems relatively cheap to names like Nvidia and others right now. Incredibly, right?\nThe list of big tech stocks surging lately can go on and on, but I want to look at the most prominent tech stock in the world that is not surging lately. I think it is pretty telling what Apple's stock is doing right now.\nAMD could use about a 20% discount around here. A forward P/E ratio closer to 40 would make the stock much more attractive at approximately $120 a share. I am using spreads to hedge my position here. Otherwise, I would take profits now.\nApple(AAPL)\nSource: StockCharts.com - Apple could get its P/E ratio compressed to around 20, implying a price of about $112 for its shares.\nSo, what is Apple doing lately? Well, not much, as the stock is not skyrocketing to new ATHs as many other technology names are right now. It appears that Apple topped out in early September and has failed to make new highs since. Now, we see a lower high being put in, and Apple looks like it could trade sideways or even head lower for now.\nNow, I spoke about Apple being dead money in my previous article on the company, but there is a good reason for this, in my view. While Apple is not trading at 80 or 50 times forward earnings projections, the company is trading at about27 times forward earning sexpectations. The problem is that while AMD, Nvidia, Tesla, and others are still strong growth stories, Apple likely has minimal growth potential in the next few years.\nAnalysts are typically bullish on Apple but predict low single-digit revenue and EPS growth in future years. So, why is Apple trading at such a premium multiple? After all, 27 times forward earnings are not cheap, and even in the current environment, a company should have robust growth prospects for the next several years.\nApple seems overvalued here, and the company does not deserve such a premium multiple given the probability for stagnant growth in the next several years. Therefore, we could see multiple compression in Apple from now on, and the company's downturn could drag the broader down as well.\nThe problem is that Apple accounts for a substantial portion of the S&P 500's weight (6%). Another problem is that Apple is not alone, and this may come as a surprise to many people, but Apple is not even the most significant component of the SPX.\nMicrosoft(MSFT):\nSource: StockCharts.com -Microsoft's stock would look much more attractive with a forward P/E ratio of about 30, suggesting a 20% correction for the stock. Microsoft at $270 looks like a much better buy than it is now.\nTalk about being overbought technically. Just look at Microsoft. The RSI here is approaching 80, the stock is up by nearly 60% over the last year, and Microsoft is now the most valuable company globally. Yes, this $2.52 trillion behemoth now accounts for around 6.35% of the SPX's weight. Now, I wish I could say that Microsoft is relatively inexpensive, but that is far from true. On the contrary, Microsoft trades at a whopping37 times forward earnings expectations.\nGranted, Microsoft offers better growth prospects than Apple in future years, but nearly 40 times forward estimates for a stock that could increase earnings by about 10-15% next year is very expensive. We don't typically value huge companies relative to their sales, but Microsoft now trades at a ridiculously high 15 times TTM sales.\nI also want to emphasize the growing influence of big tech in the S&P 500 and other major averages. The top seven weighted holdings in the S&P 500 are seven giant tech companies that account for a whopping27% of the index's weight. It's not difficult to imagine what will happen to the S&P 500 and other major stock indexes when this massive tech bubble unwinds or corrects down the line.\nS&P 500 Shiller P/E ratio\nSource:multpl.com\nI spoke about Microsoft's lofty forward P/E ratio, but it is essentially in line with the Shiller/cyclically adjusted P/E ratio on the entire S&P 500 right now. So, we see that this phenomenon of remarkably high valuations is not only concentrated in tech but is widespread right now. We also see that similar valuations have only been observed once before in history. Yes, around the height of the dot-com bubble, some of us know how that turned out, and the outcome was unfavorable for stocks.\nAnother factor I want to go over is that while I use a forward P/E in many instances, no one knows what company earnings will be next year. We saw quite a few misses last quarter, far more disappointing results than was expected. Apple and Amazon (AMZN) are just a couple of examples, but many more big names missed guidance.\nTherefore, if we look at TTM P/E multiples:\n\nMicrosoft: 42\nApple: 27\nNvidia: 90\nTesla: 228\nAMD: 63\nLucid: N/A\n\nThe Bottom Line\nWe see many names trading at extremely high valuations right now. Moreover, many prominent companies and major stock market averages are grossly overbought technically. While I focused primarily on the dominant tech companies that account for a massive part of the S&P 500's total weight, the frothy valuations go well beyond technology. The stock market, in general, looks frothy here technically, as well as from a fundamental perspective. Now, we could see a dynamic where the ultra-high multiple names that have skyrocketed lately begin to pull back. Simultaneously, we could see companies like Apple trade sideways or ever move lower due to growth concerns and subsequent multiple contractions. The result could be a \"deflation\" of the current bubble, which could cause a correction or even a mini-crash to occur as we advance into next year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":452,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602567766,"gmtCreate":1639043860335,"gmtModify":1639043880046,"author":{"id":"3582091436806594","authorId":"3582091436806594","name":"Hcee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25691c3778284b9d2886651b3876e2a0","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"DRS is the way, buy and DRS","listText":"DRS is the way, buy and DRS","text":"DRS is the way, buy and DRS","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602567766","repostId":"1167264730","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1157,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":848017624,"gmtCreate":1635948082213,"gmtModify":1635948100617,"author":{"id":"3582091436806594","authorId":"3582091436806594","name":"Hcee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25691c3778284b9d2886651b3876e2a0","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Garbage, they are trying to diverge us ape to other stocks to help them pump, GME ALL THE WAY!!!","listText":"Garbage, they are trying to diverge us ape to other stocks to help them pump, GME ALL THE WAY!!!","text":"Garbage, they are trying to diverge us ape to other stocks to help them pump, GME ALL THE WAY!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/848017624","repostId":"1194203181","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":463,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}