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heyjules
2021-11-19
Interesting
S&P 500, Nasdaq hit record closing highs
heyjules
2021-10-24
Does it have a moat?
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heyjules
2021-10-20
Rally is here
Wall Street ends higher as investors bet on positive earnings season
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2021-10-10
Thanks
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2021-10-02
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2021-10-01
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Dollar heads for best week in months as Fed tightening looms
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2021-09-30
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2021 Global Market Outlook - Q4 Update: Growing Pains
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2021-09-26
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2021-09-24
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Indexes close up more than 1% as investors assess Fed news
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Macy's(M.N)shares shot up 21.2% after it raised its earnings outlook.</p>\n<p>On the flip side, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CSCO\">Cisco Systems</a> shares fell 5.5%, a day after it forecast current-quarter revenue below expectations due to supply chain shortages and delays. It was the latest in a growing list of U.S. companies citing supply chain problems.</p>\n<p>Investors have been concerned over further increases in price pressures. Retail giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">Target</a> warned of higher costs earlier this week.</p>\n<p>New York Federal Reserve Bank President John Williams said Thursday that inflation is becoming more broad-based and that expectations for future price increases are rising.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI) fell 60.1 points, or 0.17%, to 35,870.95, the S&P 500(.SPX)gained 15.87 points, or 0.34%, to 4,704.54 and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC) added 72.14 points, or 0.45%, to 15,993.71.</p>\n<p>The pan-European STOXX 600 index(.STOXX)lost 0.46% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe(.MIWD00000PUS)gained 0.03%.</p>\n<p>Turkey's lira shed another 2.83% after its central bank cut rates by 100 basis points to 15%, even in the face of inflation near 20%, sending the Turkish currency hurtling southward.</p>\n<p>\"The lira remains a punching bag, and further weakness has no end in sight,\" said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda.</p>\n<p>The lira has lost around 11.5% of its value this month amid President Tayyip Erdogan's renewed criticism of interest rates and calls for stimulus despite the risks. It was last at 10.909, having earlier hit a record low of 11.30 per dollar.</p>\n<p>The dollar edged back from a 16-month high as traders weighed whether the U.S. currency's recent surge had gone too far.</p>\n<p>The dollar index , which measures the currency against a basket of six rivals, was last down 0.3%.</p>\n<p>In the U.S. Treasury market, yields fell after the relative success of a 20-year bond auction on Wednesday reduced fears about further rapid yield increases.</p>\n<p>Benchmark 10-year notes were last at 1.587%. They have jumped from a low of 1.415% last week and are holding below five-month highs of 1.705% reached on Oct. 21.</p>\n<p>Oil prices rose slightly after dropping to six-week lows.</p>\n<p>Brent crude settled up 96 cents, or 1.2%, at $81.24 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures closed 65 cents, or 0.8%, higher at $79.01.</p>\n<p>U.S. gold futures settled down 0.5% at $1,861.4.</p>","source":"lsy1601381805984","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500, Nasdaq hit record closing highs</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500, Nasdaq hit record closing highs\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-19 06:59 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/global-markets-wrapup-6-graphics-2021-11-18/><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs on Thursday, boosted by upbeat corporate earnings news from companies including Nvidia, while Turkey's lira weakened further after its ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/global-markets-wrapup-6-graphics-2021-11-18/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/global-markets-wrapup-6-graphics-2021-11-18/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185082595","content_text":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs on Thursday, boosted by upbeat corporate earnings news from companies including Nvidia, while Turkey's lira weakened further after its central bank cut rates.\nMSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe was flat, and the Dow Jones industrial average ended lower.Nvidia's stock jumped and was among the biggest supports for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq after it beat quarterly estimates and forecast strong fourth-quarter revenue. Macy's(M.N)shares shot up 21.2% after it raised its earnings outlook.\nOn the flip side, Cisco Systems shares fell 5.5%, a day after it forecast current-quarter revenue below expectations due to supply chain shortages and delays. It was the latest in a growing list of U.S. companies citing supply chain problems.\nInvestors have been concerned over further increases in price pressures. Retail giant Target warned of higher costs earlier this week.\nNew York Federal Reserve Bank President John Williams said Thursday that inflation is becoming more broad-based and that expectations for future price increases are rising.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI) fell 60.1 points, or 0.17%, to 35,870.95, the S&P 500(.SPX)gained 15.87 points, or 0.34%, to 4,704.54 and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC) added 72.14 points, or 0.45%, to 15,993.71.\nThe pan-European STOXX 600 index(.STOXX)lost 0.46% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe(.MIWD00000PUS)gained 0.03%.\nTurkey's lira shed another 2.83% after its central bank cut rates by 100 basis points to 15%, even in the face of inflation near 20%, sending the Turkish currency hurtling southward.\n\"The lira remains a punching bag, and further weakness has no end in sight,\" said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda.\nThe lira has lost around 11.5% of its value this month amid President Tayyip Erdogan's renewed criticism of interest rates and calls for stimulus despite the risks. It was last at 10.909, having earlier hit a record low of 11.30 per dollar.\nThe dollar edged back from a 16-month high as traders weighed whether the U.S. currency's recent surge had gone too far.\nThe dollar index , which measures the currency against a basket of six rivals, was last down 0.3%.\nIn the U.S. Treasury market, yields fell after the relative success of a 20-year bond auction on Wednesday reduced fears about further rapid yield increases.\nBenchmark 10-year notes were last at 1.587%. They have jumped from a low of 1.415% last week and are holding below five-month highs of 1.705% reached on Oct. 21.\nOil prices rose slightly after dropping to six-week lows.\nBrent crude settled up 96 cents, or 1.2%, at $81.24 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures closed 65 cents, or 0.8%, higher at $79.01.\nU.S. gold futures settled down 0.5% at $1,861.4.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":583,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":858808175,"gmtCreate":1635031576243,"gmtModify":1635031576545,"author":{"id":"3582004437679142","authorId":"3582004437679142","name":"heyjules","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81e1cae988364e940d10f9b4cea87831","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Does it have a moat? ","listText":"Does it have a moat? ","text":"Does it have a moat?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858808175","repostId":"2177411104","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":519,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859634887,"gmtCreate":1634691625260,"gmtModify":1634691625532,"author":{"id":"3582004437679142","authorId":"3582004437679142","name":"heyjules","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81e1cae988364e940d10f9b4cea87831","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Rally is here","listText":"Rally is here","text":"Rally is here","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859634887","repostId":"2176710436","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2176710436","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1634683772,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2176710436?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-20 06:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street ends higher as investors bet on positive earnings season","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2176710436","media":"Reuters","summary":"Oct 19 (Reuters) - U.S. stock indexes closed higher on Tuesday with the biggest boosts from the tech","content":"<p>Oct 19 (Reuters) - U.S. stock indexes closed higher on Tuesday with the biggest boosts from the technology and healthcare sectors as investors appeared to bet on solid quarterly reports even as some worried that it was too early to celebrate.</p>\n<p>In its fifth straight session of gains, the benchmark S&P 500 index finished just 0.4% below its early September record close while the Dow Jones Industrials average ended the day about 0.5% below its record reached in mid-August.</p>\n<p>Johnson & Johnson's shares added 2.3% providing a big boost to the S&P 500 after it raised its 2021 adjusted profit forecast. Insurer Travelers Cos Inc climbed 1.6% after beating its profit estimates.</p>\n<p>High-profile technology and communications companies were also big S&P boosts with Apple Inc, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> and Microsoft all rising.</p>\n<p>But in the second week of earnings with a \"very small sample\" of releases, Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, worried about a possible pullback.</p>\n<p>\"We're seeing volatility measures like the VIX flipping from nervous to complacent in a really short period of time,\" said Sosnick. \"We may be a bit ahead of ourselves. The mostly likely scenario is that we make one more run at new S&P highs and then we pull back, subject to earnings.\"</p>\n<p>The CBOE market volatility index fell 0.6 points after earlier hitting 15.57, its lowest level since mid-August.</p>\n<p>Analysts now expect S&P 500 earnings to rise 32.4% from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv data.</p>\n<p>\"The key for the market to going up from here will not be higher multiples, it will have to be higher earnings. That's why it's so important to pay attention to what those profit margins do going forward and what the trajectory of GDP looks like,\" said Eric Marshall, portfolio manager at Hodges Funds.</p>\n<p>\"Investors will be paying very close attention to pricing power, how companies are dealing with labor shortages and inflationary cost pressures within their business.\"</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 198.7 points, or 0.56%, to 35,457.31, the S&P 500 gained 33.17 points, or 0.74%, to 4,519.63 and the Nasdaq Composite added 107.28 points, or 0.71%, to 15,129.09.</p>\n<p>Ten of the eleven major S&P 500 sectors closed higher, with healthcare stocks, up 1.3% after dropping 0.7% in Monday's session. The next biggest gainer was utilities , which rose 1.26% after falling almost 1% Monday.</p>\n<p>Netflix Inc, after closing up 0.2%, declined to gains while the bell when quarterly results showed that global interest in Korean thriller \"Squid Game\" lured more new customers than expected.</p>\n<p>Tesla Inc, which closed down 0.7%, is due to release results on Wednesday, with investors watching for indications of its performance in China.</p>\n<p>Procter & Gamble Co, fell 1% during the session, after it warned that it would have to raise prices of some products to counter higher commodity and freight costs.</p>\n<p>However, Walmart Inc shares added 2% after being added to Goldman Sachs \"Americas Conviction List.\"</p>\n<p>Helping the healthcare sector on Tuesday was drugmaker Merck & Co Inc, which rose 3% while Pfizer Inc climbed 1.9% following the release of a competitor's COVID-19 drug study results.</p>\n<p>Its competitor, Atea Pharmaceuticals Inc, fell 66% after the company's antiviral pill, being developed with Roche , failed to help patients with mild and moderate COVID-19.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.51-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.69-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&P 500 posted 44 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 72 new highs and 69 new lows.</p>\n<p>On U.S. exchanges 9.5 billion shares changed hands compared with the 10.29 billion moving average for the last 20 sessions.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street ends higher as investors bet on positive earnings season</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street ends higher as investors bet on positive earnings season\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-10-20 06:49</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Oct 19 (Reuters) - U.S. stock indexes closed higher on Tuesday with the biggest boosts from the technology and healthcare sectors as investors appeared to bet on solid quarterly reports even as some worried that it was too early to celebrate.</p>\n<p>In its fifth straight session of gains, the benchmark S&P 500 index finished just 0.4% below its early September record close while the Dow Jones Industrials average ended the day about 0.5% below its record reached in mid-August.</p>\n<p>Johnson & Johnson's shares added 2.3% providing a big boost to the S&P 500 after it raised its 2021 adjusted profit forecast. Insurer Travelers Cos Inc climbed 1.6% after beating its profit estimates.</p>\n<p>High-profile technology and communications companies were also big S&P boosts with Apple Inc, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> and Microsoft all rising.</p>\n<p>But in the second week of earnings with a \"very small sample\" of releases, Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, worried about a possible pullback.</p>\n<p>\"We're seeing volatility measures like the VIX flipping from nervous to complacent in a really short period of time,\" said Sosnick. \"We may be a bit ahead of ourselves. The mostly likely scenario is that we make one more run at new S&P highs and then we pull back, subject to earnings.\"</p>\n<p>The CBOE market volatility index fell 0.6 points after earlier hitting 15.57, its lowest level since mid-August.</p>\n<p>Analysts now expect S&P 500 earnings to rise 32.4% from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv data.</p>\n<p>\"The key for the market to going up from here will not be higher multiples, it will have to be higher earnings. That's why it's so important to pay attention to what those profit margins do going forward and what the trajectory of GDP looks like,\" said Eric Marshall, portfolio manager at Hodges Funds.</p>\n<p>\"Investors will be paying very close attention to pricing power, how companies are dealing with labor shortages and inflationary cost pressures within their business.\"</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 198.7 points, or 0.56%, to 35,457.31, the S&P 500 gained 33.17 points, or 0.74%, to 4,519.63 and the Nasdaq Composite added 107.28 points, or 0.71%, to 15,129.09.</p>\n<p>Ten of the eleven major S&P 500 sectors closed higher, with healthcare stocks, up 1.3% after dropping 0.7% in Monday's session. The next biggest gainer was utilities , which rose 1.26% after falling almost 1% Monday.</p>\n<p>Netflix Inc, after closing up 0.2%, declined to gains while the bell when quarterly results showed that global interest in Korean thriller \"Squid Game\" lured more new customers than expected.</p>\n<p>Tesla Inc, which closed down 0.7%, is due to release results on Wednesday, with investors watching for indications of its performance in China.</p>\n<p>Procter & Gamble Co, fell 1% during the session, after it warned that it would have to raise prices of some products to counter higher commodity and freight costs.</p>\n<p>However, Walmart Inc shares added 2% after being added to Goldman Sachs \"Americas Conviction List.\"</p>\n<p>Helping the healthcare sector on Tuesday was drugmaker Merck & Co Inc, which rose 3% while Pfizer Inc climbed 1.9% following the release of a competitor's COVID-19 drug study results.</p>\n<p>Its competitor, Atea Pharmaceuticals Inc, fell 66% after the company's antiviral pill, being developed with Roche , failed to help patients with mild and moderate COVID-19.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.51-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.69-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&P 500 posted 44 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 72 new highs and 69 new lows.</p>\n<p>On U.S. exchanges 9.5 billion shares changed hands compared with the 10.29 billion moving average for the last 20 sessions.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","JNJ":"强生",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","PG":"宝洁","NFLX":"奈飞","WMT":"沃尔玛",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","MRK":"默沙东"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2176710436","content_text":"Oct 19 (Reuters) - U.S. stock indexes closed higher on Tuesday with the biggest boosts from the technology and healthcare sectors as investors appeared to bet on solid quarterly reports even as some worried that it was too early to celebrate.\nIn its fifth straight session of gains, the benchmark S&P 500 index finished just 0.4% below its early September record close while the Dow Jones Industrials average ended the day about 0.5% below its record reached in mid-August.\nJohnson & Johnson's shares added 2.3% providing a big boost to the S&P 500 after it raised its 2021 adjusted profit forecast. Insurer Travelers Cos Inc climbed 1.6% after beating its profit estimates.\nHigh-profile technology and communications companies were also big S&P boosts with Apple Inc, Facebook and Microsoft all rising.\nBut in the second week of earnings with a \"very small sample\" of releases, Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, worried about a possible pullback.\n\"We're seeing volatility measures like the VIX flipping from nervous to complacent in a really short period of time,\" said Sosnick. \"We may be a bit ahead of ourselves. The mostly likely scenario is that we make one more run at new S&P highs and then we pull back, subject to earnings.\"\nThe CBOE market volatility index fell 0.6 points after earlier hitting 15.57, its lowest level since mid-August.\nAnalysts now expect S&P 500 earnings to rise 32.4% from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv data.\n\"The key for the market to going up from here will not be higher multiples, it will have to be higher earnings. That's why it's so important to pay attention to what those profit margins do going forward and what the trajectory of GDP looks like,\" said Eric Marshall, portfolio manager at Hodges Funds.\n\"Investors will be paying very close attention to pricing power, how companies are dealing with labor shortages and inflationary cost pressures within their business.\"\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 198.7 points, or 0.56%, to 35,457.31, the S&P 500 gained 33.17 points, or 0.74%, to 4,519.63 and the Nasdaq Composite added 107.28 points, or 0.71%, to 15,129.09.\nTen of the eleven major S&P 500 sectors closed higher, with healthcare stocks, up 1.3% after dropping 0.7% in Monday's session. The next biggest gainer was utilities , which rose 1.26% after falling almost 1% Monday.\nNetflix Inc, after closing up 0.2%, declined to gains while the bell when quarterly results showed that global interest in Korean thriller \"Squid Game\" lured more new customers than expected.\nTesla Inc, which closed down 0.7%, is due to release results on Wednesday, with investors watching for indications of its performance in China.\nProcter & Gamble Co, fell 1% during the session, after it warned that it would have to raise prices of some products to counter higher commodity and freight costs.\nHowever, Walmart Inc shares added 2% after being added to Goldman Sachs \"Americas Conviction List.\"\nHelping the healthcare sector on Tuesday was drugmaker Merck & Co Inc, which rose 3% while Pfizer Inc climbed 1.9% following the release of a competitor's COVID-19 drug study results.\nIts competitor, Atea Pharmaceuticals Inc, fell 66% after the company's antiviral pill, being developed with Roche , failed to help patients with mild and moderate COVID-19.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.51-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.69-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 44 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 72 new highs and 69 new lows.\nOn U.S. exchanges 9.5 billion shares changed hands compared with the 10.29 billion moving average for the last 20 sessions.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":443,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828902533,"gmtCreate":1633829726584,"gmtModify":1633829726584,"author":{"id":"3582004437679142","authorId":"3582004437679142","name":"heyjules","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81e1cae988364e940d10f9b4cea87831","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks","listText":"Thanks","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828902533","repostId":"1194780749","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":460,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864472008,"gmtCreate":1633143145532,"gmtModify":1633143145821,"author":{"id":"3582004437679142","authorId":"3582004437679142","name":"heyjules","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81e1cae988364e940d10f9b4cea87831","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864472008","repostId":"2172696913","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":441,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864369993,"gmtCreate":1633058358595,"gmtModify":1633058358877,"author":{"id":"3582004437679142","authorId":"3582004437679142","name":"heyjules","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81e1cae988364e940d10f9b4cea87831","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like thx","listText":"Like thx","text":"Like thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864369993","repostId":"2172522279","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2172522279","pubTimestamp":1633054440,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2172522279?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-01 10:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dollar heads for best week in months as Fed tightening looms","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2172522279","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"By Tom Westbrook\nSINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar began the last quarter of 2021 near its highest le","content":"<p>By Tom Westbrook</p>\n<p>SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar began the last quarter of 2021 near its highest levels of the year and headed for its best week since June, as currency markets braced for U.S. interest rates to rise before those of major peers.</p>\n<p>The euro slipped 0.1% early on Friday to $1.1572 and has fallen 1.3% this week, tumbling through major support around $1.16 to touch its lowest levels since July 2020.</p>\n<p>The yen is down 0.6% for the week and twice as much in a fortnight as higher U.S. Treasury yields have drawn flows out of the Japanese yen into dollars. U.S. Treasury yields have surged on growing market expectations of U.S. tapering by year-end and rate hikes in 2022. [US/]</p>\n<p>The yen bounced from a 19-month low of 112.08 per dollar on Thursday as yields settled, last trading at 111.41 per dollar. The dollar index stood at 94.327, having gained 1.1% so far this week, the largest weekly rise since late June.</p>\n<p>A Federal Reserve meeting last week reinforced expectations for asset purchase tapering beginning this year and rate hikes starting in 2022 or early in 2023.</p>\n<p>\"As long as markets remain confident that the U.S. is going to start tightening monetary policy within a reasonable timeframe, the dollar should remain well supported and eventually rise 5-10% from current levels,\" said Societe Generale strategist Kit Juckes.</p>\n<p>\"The prospect of the European Central Bank keeping rates below zero while the Fed hikes should keep euro/dollar in the post-2014 range, with a centre of gravity around $1.12-1.16,\" he said.</p>\n<p>Commodity currencies made a bounce on the dollar on Thursday following a Bloomberg report which said China had ordered energy companies to secure supplies for the winter at all costs, citing unnamed people familiar with the matter.</p>\n<p>Beijing is scrambling to deliver more coal to utilities to restore supply amid a power crunch that has unsettled markets due to the likely hit to economic growth.</p>\n<p>The Australian dollar rose 0.7% overnight but that was hardly enough to offset a slide in the quarter as prices for Australia's major export, iron ore, fell. The Aussie slumped 3.6% in the third quarter - the worst performance of any G10 currency against the dollar.</p>\n<p>The Aussie hit <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-month lows earlier this week and was last just above those levels at $0.7222. The New Zealand dollar also lifted from a month-low on Thursday and last sat at $0.6892. [AUD/]</p>\n<p>Central banks in both countries meet next week, with the Reserve Bank of New Zealand expected to hike rates.</p>\n<p>Sterling was also an underperformer last quarter, dropping 2.5%, and looks set to log its worst week in more than a month weighed by worries about a hawkish sounding central bank in spite of growing supply chain problems. [GBP/]</p>\n<p>Sterling traded just above a 9-month low at $1.3445.</p>\n<p>Markets in Hong Kong and China are closed on Friday. Later in the day, traders are awaiting U.S. personal spending and core consumption deflator data and nervously watching for any progress on the debate over raising the U.S. debt ceiling.</p>\n<p>A deadline for authorising extra Treasury borrowing looms in mid-October.</p>\n<p>========================================================</p>\n<p>Currency bid prices at 0134 GMT</p>\n<p>Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid</p>\n<p>Previous Change</p>\n<p>Session</p>\n<p>Euro/Dollar</p>\n<p>$1.1571 $1.1578 -0.06% -5.30% +1.1583 +1.1564</p>\n<p>Dollar/Yen</p>\n<p>111.2700 111.3550 -0.07% +7.73% +111.4800 +111.2750</p>\n<p>Euro/Yen</p>\n<p>128.76 128.82 -0.05% +1.45% +129.0400 +128.6700</p>\n<p>Dollar/Swiss</p>\n<p>0.9321 0.9317 +0.05% +5.36% +0.9333 +0.9314</p>\n<p>Sterling/Dollar</p>\n<p>1.3452 1.3477 -0.17% -1.52% +1.3480 +1.3445</p>\n<p>Dollar/Canadian</p>\n<p>1.2702 1.2685 +0.13% -0.25% +1.2712 +1.2678</p>\n<p>Aussie/Dollar</p>\n<p>0.7223 0.7227 -0.03% -6.09% +0.7240 +0.7221</p>\n<p>NZ</p>\n<p>Dollar/Dollar 0.6891 0.6897 -0.09% -4.04% +0.6904 +0.6890</p>\n<p>All spots</p>\n<p>Tokyo spots</p>\n<p>Europe spots</p>\n<p>Volatilities</p>\n<p>Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ</p>\n<p>(Reporting by Tom Westbrook; Editing by Ana Nicolaci da Costa)</p>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dollar heads for best week in months as Fed tightening looms</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDollar heads for best week in months as Fed tightening looms\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-01 10:14 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=19008761><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>By Tom Westbrook\nSINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar began the last quarter of 2021 near its highest levels of the year and headed for its best week since June, as currency markets braced for U.S. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=19008761\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=19008761","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2172522279","content_text":"By Tom Westbrook\nSINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar began the last quarter of 2021 near its highest levels of the year and headed for its best week since June, as currency markets braced for U.S. interest rates to rise before those of major peers.\nThe euro slipped 0.1% early on Friday to $1.1572 and has fallen 1.3% this week, tumbling through major support around $1.16 to touch its lowest levels since July 2020.\nThe yen is down 0.6% for the week and twice as much in a fortnight as higher U.S. Treasury yields have drawn flows out of the Japanese yen into dollars. U.S. Treasury yields have surged on growing market expectations of U.S. tapering by year-end and rate hikes in 2022. [US/]\nThe yen bounced from a 19-month low of 112.08 per dollar on Thursday as yields settled, last trading at 111.41 per dollar. The dollar index stood at 94.327, having gained 1.1% so far this week, the largest weekly rise since late June.\nA Federal Reserve meeting last week reinforced expectations for asset purchase tapering beginning this year and rate hikes starting in 2022 or early in 2023.\n\"As long as markets remain confident that the U.S. is going to start tightening monetary policy within a reasonable timeframe, the dollar should remain well supported and eventually rise 5-10% from current levels,\" said Societe Generale strategist Kit Juckes.\n\"The prospect of the European Central Bank keeping rates below zero while the Fed hikes should keep euro/dollar in the post-2014 range, with a centre of gravity around $1.12-1.16,\" he said.\nCommodity currencies made a bounce on the dollar on Thursday following a Bloomberg report which said China had ordered energy companies to secure supplies for the winter at all costs, citing unnamed people familiar with the matter.\nBeijing is scrambling to deliver more coal to utilities to restore supply amid a power crunch that has unsettled markets due to the likely hit to economic growth.\nThe Australian dollar rose 0.7% overnight but that was hardly enough to offset a slide in the quarter as prices for Australia's major export, iron ore, fell. The Aussie slumped 3.6% in the third quarter - the worst performance of any G10 currency against the dollar.\nThe Aussie hit one-month lows earlier this week and was last just above those levels at $0.7222. The New Zealand dollar also lifted from a month-low on Thursday and last sat at $0.6892. [AUD/]\nCentral banks in both countries meet next week, with the Reserve Bank of New Zealand expected to hike rates.\nSterling was also an underperformer last quarter, dropping 2.5%, and looks set to log its worst week in more than a month weighed by worries about a hawkish sounding central bank in spite of growing supply chain problems. [GBP/]\nSterling traded just above a 9-month low at $1.3445.\nMarkets in Hong Kong and China are closed on Friday. Later in the day, traders are awaiting U.S. personal spending and core consumption deflator data and nervously watching for any progress on the debate over raising the U.S. debt ceiling.\nA deadline for authorising extra Treasury borrowing looms in mid-October.\n========================================================\nCurrency bid prices at 0134 GMT\nDescription RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid\nPrevious Change\nSession\nEuro/Dollar\n$1.1571 $1.1578 -0.06% -5.30% +1.1583 +1.1564\nDollar/Yen\n111.2700 111.3550 -0.07% +7.73% +111.4800 +111.2750\nEuro/Yen\n128.76 128.82 -0.05% +1.45% +129.0400 +128.6700\nDollar/Swiss\n0.9321 0.9317 +0.05% +5.36% +0.9333 +0.9314\nSterling/Dollar\n1.3452 1.3477 -0.17% -1.52% +1.3480 +1.3445\nDollar/Canadian\n1.2702 1.2685 +0.13% -0.25% +1.2712 +1.2678\nAussie/Dollar\n0.7223 0.7227 -0.03% -6.09% +0.7240 +0.7221\nNZ\nDollar/Dollar 0.6891 0.6897 -0.09% -4.04% +0.6904 +0.6890\nAll spots\nTokyo spots\nEurope spots\nVolatilities\nTokyo Forex market info from BOJ\n(Reporting by Tom Westbrook; Editing by Ana Nicolaci da Costa)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":471,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865295524,"gmtCreate":1632983918779,"gmtModify":1632983919094,"author":{"id":"3582004437679142","authorId":"3582004437679142","name":"heyjules","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81e1cae988364e940d10f9b4cea87831","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865295524","repostId":"1104172212","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104172212","pubTimestamp":1632965278,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104172212?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-30 09:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2021 Global Market Outlook - Q4 Update: Growing Pains","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104172212","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows.</li>\n <li>The reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earnings upgrades than technology-heavy growth stocks, and the value factor is cheap compared to the growth factor.</li>\n <li>The key risk is that the delta variant or similar proves resilient to vaccination or that infection rates escalate during the Northern Hemisphere winter.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The COVID-19 delta variant, inflation and central bank tapering are unnerving investors. <b>We expect the pandemic-recovery trade to resume as inflation subsides, infection rates decline and tapering turns out to not equal tightening. Amid this backdrop, our outlook favors equities over bonds, the value factor over the growth factor and non-U.S. stocks over U.S. stocks.</b></p>\n<p><b>Introduction</b></p>\n<p>The post-lockdown recovery has transitioned from energetic youthfulness to awkward adolescence. It’s still growing, although at a slower pace, and there are worries about what happens next, particularly about monetary policy and the outlook for inflation. Theinflation spikehas been larger than expected, but we still think it istransitory, caused by base effects from when the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) fell during the lockdown last year and by temporary supply bottlenecks. Inflation may remain high over the remainder of 2021 but should decline in early 2022. This means that even though the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to begin tapering back on asset purchases before the end of the year, rate hikes are unlikely before the second half of 2023.</p>\n<p>Another worry is thehighly contagious COVID-19 delta variant. The evidence so far is that vaccines are effective in preventing serious COVID-19 infections. Vaccination rates are accelerating globally, and emerging economies are catching up with developed markets. Infection rates appear to have peaked globally in early September. This means the reopening of economies should continue over the remainder of 2021. The onset of winter in the northern hemisphere will be a test, but the rollout of booster vaccination shots should help prevent widescale renewed lockdowns.</p>\n<p>The conclusions from our cycle, value and sentiment (CVS) investment decision-making process are broadly unchanged from our previous quarterly report. Global equities remain expensive, with the very expensive U.S. market offsetting better value elsewhere. Sentiment is slightly overbought, but not close to dangerous levels of euphoria. The strong cycle delivers a preference for equities over bonds for at least the next 12 months, despite expensive valuations. It also reinforces our preference for thevalue equity factor over the growth factorand for non-U.S. equities to outperform the U.S. market.</p>\n<p><b>Cycle still in recovery phase</b></p>\n<p>The post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows. Even so, we think the cycle is still in the recovery phase, although it is maturing. Despite strong growth, there is plenty of spare capacity. This can be seen in the employment-to-population ratio for prime-age workers in the United States. The chart below shows the ratio has recovered from the pandemic lows, but only to levels reached during the relatively mild recessions in the early 1990s and 2000s. We expect theU.S. labor-market recoveryshould still resemble a typical post-recession recovery over the next few quarters.</p>\n<p><b>U.S. EMPLOYMENT-POPULATION RATIO FOR PRIME-AGE WORKERS</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28a91fe2991463e2285879c32cb1b8c7\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The U.S. recovery, however, is more advanced than that of other developed economies. The following chart shows how far GDP has recovered, relative to the pre-COVID-19 peak in 2019. GDP is 0.8% higher in the U.S., although this level is still short relative to the pre-COVID-19 trend. GDP is 2.5% below 2019 levels in the euro area and 4.5% below in the United Kingdom. We expect more cyclical upside for economic growth outside the U.S., and this should allow market leadership to rotate toward the rest of the world.</p>\n<p><b>GDP IN Q2 2021 RELATIVE TO PRE-COVID-19 PEAK IN 2019</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/577d1b96aef08b71c9bdb6665a21b2ac\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Two key indicators</b></p>\n<p>Last quarter, we listed two indicators that should offer a guide to the Fed’s expected reaction to the inflation spike.</p>\n<p>The first is five-year/five-year breakeven inflation expectations, based on the pricing of Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS). This is the market’s forecast for average inflation over five years in five years’ time. It tells us that investors expect inflation will average 2.17% in the five years from late 2026 to late 2031. The TIPS yields are based on the CPI, while the Fed targets inflation as measured by the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) deflator. The two move together over time, but CPI inflation is generally around 0.25% higher than PCE inflation. A breakeven rate of 2.75% would suggest the market sees PCE inflation above 2.5% in five years’ time. Market inflation expectations are currently comfortably below the Fed’s worry point.</p>\n<p><b>WATCHPOINT INDICATOR #1: U.S. 5-YEAR/5-YEAR BREAKEVEN INFLATION RATE</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13f3cf57b58f600fe6681e9015779e85\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The second indicator is the Atlanta Fed’s Wage Growth Tracker, and this has a less-comforting message about inflation risks. It reached 3.9% in August, which isclose to the 4% thresholdwhere we judge that the Fed will become concerned about the inflationary impact on the growth of wages. A breakdown shows that the spike has been mostly driven by wages for low-skilled, young people in the leisure and hospitality industry. This suggests the surge has been caused by temporary labor supply shortages and that wage pressures should subside as economic activity normalizes. This indicator, however, will be an important watchpoint over the next few months.</p>\n<p><b>WATCHPOINT INDICATOR #2: ATLANTA FED WAGE GROWTH TRACKER</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1d3ff1ca26f6d29a28f919c65531c9a\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Reopening trade still makes sense</b></p>\n<p>The reopening trade, which lifts long-term interest rates and favors cyclical and value stocks over technology and growth stocks, worked well for several months following the vaccine announcement last November. Value outperformed growth and yield curves steepened. The trade has reversed in recent months, however, amid fears that the delta variant might derail the economic recovery. The impact has been magnified by short covering in bond markets as investors, who have been short or underweight, have been forced by the rally to buy back into the market, pushing bond yields even lower.</p>\n<p>The reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earnings upgrades than technology-heavy growth stocks, and the value factor is cheap compared to the growth factor. Financial stocks comprise the largest sector in the MSCI World Value Index, and they should benefit from further yield-curve steepening, which boosts the profitability of banks. Long-term interest rates should rise as global growth remains above trend, delta-variant fears fade, the short squeeze unwinds and central banks begin tapering back on bond purchases.</p>\n<p>The rotation in economic growth leadership away from the United States should also help the reopening trade. The rest of the world is overweight cyclical value stocks relative to the U.S., which has a higher weight to technology stocks.</p>\n<p>Emerging market (EM) equities have been poor performers since the vaccine announcement, but there are some encouraging signs. Initially, they were held back by the exposure to technology stocks in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index and the slow rollout of COVID-19 vaccines. More recently, they have come under pressure from the slowdown in the Chinese economy and theregulatory crackdown on Chinese tech companies. The vaccine rollout across emerging markets has accelerated and policy easing in China should soon improve the growth outlook. The path of Chinese regulation is harder to predict, but it is now largely priced in, with Chinese technology companies underperforming their global peers by nearly 50% from February 2021 through mid-September.</p>\n<p>The resumption of the reopening trade should also result in U.S. dollar weakness. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has traded sideways since the vaccine announcement. It should weaken once investors have confidence that delta-variant risks are subsiding and realize that the Fed is likely to remain dovish as inflation risks decline. The dollar typically gains during global downturns and declines in the recovery phase. Dollar weakness should support the performance of non-U.S. markets, particularly emerging markets.</p>\n<p><b>Risks: variants, inflation, China weakness</b></p>\n<p>The key risk is that the delta variant or similar proves resilient to vaccination or that infection rates escalate during the Northern Hemisphere winter. The evidence so far is that vaccinations are highly effective in preventing serious illness. In Israel, booster shots appear to have slowed the rate of new cases.</p>\n<p>Another watchpoint is inflation and the response of central banks. Our expectation is that this year’s inflation spike is mostly transitory and that the major central banks, led by the Fed, are still two years from raising interest rates.</p>\n<p>Finally, there is the risk of a sharper-than-expected slowdown in China.Credit growth has slowed this yearand the purchasing managers’ indexes (PMI) have trended lower. Monetary and fiscal policy have been eased, however, and senior officials have signaled that more stimulus is on the way. China policy direction and credit trends will be an important watchpoint over coming months.</p>\n<p><b>Regional snapshotsUnited States</b></p>\n<p>The U.S. economy is likely to sustain above-trend growth into 2022. However, the easiest gains appear in the rear-view mirror at the end of the third quarter as the recovery phase of the business cycle matures. This is most visible for corporate earnings, where S&P 500® Index earnings-per-share already sit 20% above their previous cyclical high.</p>\n<p>Strong fundamentals have helped power the stock market to new highs. Early evidence that the delta-variant wave may be fading and the potential for greater vaccine access for children are positives for a more complete recovery in the quarters ahead. The Fedlooks poised to start tapering its asset purchasesaround the end of 2021. The timing of the first rate hike will then hinge on what happens to inflation next year. Our models suggest that inflation is likely to drop back below the Fed’s 2% target in 2022. If that is correct, the Fed is likely to remain on hold into the second half of 2023.</p>\n<p>Wage inflation is a key risk to this view. It is running unusually strong for this stage of the cycle, and record hiring intentions from businesses could exhaust spare capacity in the year ahead. We expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise moderately from 1.37% in mid-September to 1.75% in coming months.</p>\n<p>Fiscal stimulus negotiations continue to grab headlines in Washington, D.C. Thetax provisions in these billsare likely to be the most impactful for financial markets. We estimate thathigher corporate taxescould subtract about four percentage points from S&P 500 earnings growth in 2022. This could create volatility and opportunity in markets. Given our strong cyclical outlook, our bias continues to be a<i>risk-on</i>preference for equities over bonds for the medium-term.</p>\n<p><b>Eurozone</b></p>\n<p>Euro area growthslowed through the third quarter but looks on track for a return to above-trend growth over the fourth quarter and into 2022. Vaccination rates are high, and the euro area has more catch-up potential than other major economies, particularly the United States. The euro area is also set to receive more fiscal support than other regions, with the European Union’s pandemic recovery fund only just starting to disburse stimulus, which will provide significant support in southern Europe. Polls in advance of Germany’s federal election on Sept. 26 suggested the electorate was moving toward the political left, which means the new government is likely to support expansionary fiscal policy and a continued dovish stance by the European Central Bank (ECB).</p>\n<p>The MSCI EMU Index, which reflects the European Economic and Monetary Union, has performed broadly in line with the S&P 500 so far in 2021. We think it has potential to outperform in coming quarters. Europe’s exposure to financials and cyclically sensitive sectors such as industrials, materials and energy, and its relatively small exposure to technology, gives it the potential to outperform as delta-variant fears subside, economic activity picks up and yield curves in Europe steepen.</p>\n<p><b>United Kingdom</b></p>\n<p>As of mid-year, UK GDP was still nearly 4.5% below its pre-pandemic peak. We see plenty of scope for strong catch-up growth as borders are fully reopened and activity normalizes. Supply bottlenecks and labor shortages have triggered a sharp rise in underlying inflation and created concerns that the Bank of England (BoE) may start rate hikes in the first half of 2022. We think the BoE is unlikely to be that aggressive. We expect inflation to decline in early 2022 as supply constraints ease, which should convince the BoE to delay rate hikes.</p>\n<p>The FTSE 100 Index is the cheapest of the major developed equity markets in late 2021, and this should help it reflect higher returns than other markets over the next decade. Around 70% of UK corporate earnings come from offshore, so one near-term risk is that further strengthening of British sterling dampens earnings growth. The other risks are mostly around policy missteps, for example, early tightening by the Bank of England.</p>\n<p><b>Japan</b></p>\n<p>The Japanese economy is expected to get a shot in the arm as rising vaccination rates improve mobility and reduce the risk of further lockdowns, and as political leadership changes result in more fiscal stimulus: the Japanese election is due to be held before Nov. 28. Japanese equities look slightly more expensive than other regions such as the UK and Europe. We maintain our view that the Bank of Japan will significantly lag other central banks in normalizing policy.</p>\n<p><b>China</b></p>\n<p>We expect Chinese economic growth to berobust over the next 12 months, supported by a post-lockdown jump in consumer spending and incremental fiscal and monetary easing. Despite a big improvement in vaccination rates,COVID-19 outbreaks remain a riskgiven the Chinese government’s zero-tolerance approach. The major consumer technology companies have seen significant drops in stock prices recently due to more aggressive regulation. Some uncertainty remains around thepath of future regulation, especially as it relates to technology companies, and as a result we expect investors will remain cautious on Chinese equities in the coming months. The property market, particularly property developers as recently highlighted by Evergrande’s debt crisis, remains a risk that we are monitoring closely.</p>\n<p><b>Canada</b></p>\n<p>Canada leads the G71countries in terms of the vaccination rollout, which should minimize the risk of large-scale lockdowns over winter. The delta variant has taken an economic toll, however, with industry consensus projections now predicting 5% GDP growth in 2021 versus estimates of more than 6% just three months ago. Even so, growth remains above-trend and the odds of additional fiscal expenditures to support the economy have increased. This means that weaker growth due to COVID-19 is unlikely to change the Bank of Canada's (BoC) tightening bias.</p>\n<p>Tapering of asset purchasesshould be complete by the end of the first quarter of 2022. BoC Governor Tiff Macklem has indicated that the reinvestment phase of the bonds held by the central bank will commence once quantitative easing has ended. This should generate an estimated C$1 billion in weekly bond purchases, down from the current pace of C$2 billion. The BoC will likely only consider shrinking its balance sheet after it has started lifting interest rates. The BoC projects that the output gap will close sometime over the second half of 2022, and that rate hikes will be considered after economic slack has disappeared. We believe that the timeline may be a tad aggressive, and a delay to 2023 for liftoff is more likely. This would better align the Canadian central bank with its American counterpart.</p>\n<p><b>Australia/New Zealand</b></p>\n<p>The Australian economy is set to return to life, with lockdowns likely to be eased in October and November. Consumer and business balance sheets continue to look healthy, which should facilitate a strong recovery. The reopening of the international border in 2022 will provide a further boost. Fiscal policy has supported the economy through the downturn, and there is potential for further stimulus in the lead-up to the federal election, which is due before the end of 2022. The Reserve Bank of Australia has begun the process of tapering its bond-purchase program, but we expect that a rise in the cash rate is unlikely until at least the second half of 2023.</p>\n<p>New Zealand’s most recent lockdown will drag on Q3 GDP, but similar to Australia, we expect a solid rebound as the economy reopens. The government aims to provide a vaccine to all adults by the end of 2021, after which borders will gradually reopen. This will provide a boost, particularly to tourism-exposed sectors. Despite having recently put off hiking interest rates due to the recent lockdown, we expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will start raising rates this year. Even though they have significantly underperformed global equities this year, New Zealand equities still screen as relatively expensive compared to other regions.</p>\n<p><b>Asset-class preferences</b></p>\n<p>Our cycle, value and sentiment investment decision-making process in late September 2021 has a moderately positive medium-term view on global equities. Value is expensive across most markets except for UK equities, which are near fair value. The cycle is risk-asset supportive for the medium-term. The major economies still have spare capacity and inflation pressures appear transitory, caused by COVID-19-related supply shortages. Rate hikes by the U.S. Fed seem unlikely before the second half of 2023. Sentiment, after reaching overbought levels earlier in the year, has returned to more neutral levels.</p>\n<p><b>COMPOSITE CONTRARIAN INDICATOR: SENTIMENT SHIFTS TOWARD NEUTRAL</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c527955abbc9e770d200c1d709f80d8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<ul>\n <li>We prefer<b>non-U.S. equities</b>to U.S. equities. Stronger economic growth and steeper yield curves after the third-quarter slowdown should favor undervalued cyclical value stocks over expensive technology and growth stocks. Relative to the U.S., the rest of the world is overweight cyclical value stocks.</li>\n <li><b>Emerging markets equities</b>have been relatively poor performers this year, but there are some encouraging signs. The vaccine rollout across EM has accelerated and policy easing in China should soon boost the economic growth outlook.China’s regulatory crackdownhas caused significant underperformance by Chinese technology companies, but this should be less of a headwind going forward now that it is priced in.</li>\n <li><b>High yield</b>and<b>investment grade credit</b>are expensive on a spread basis but have support from a positive cycle view that accommodates corporate profit growth and keeps default rates low. U.S. dollar-denominated<b>emerging markets debt</b>is close to fair value in spread terms and will gain support on U.S. dollar weakness.</li>\n <li><b>Government bonds</b>are expensive, and yields should come under upward pressure as output gaps close and central banks look to taper back asset purchases. We expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise toward 1.75% in coming months.</li>\n <li><b>Real assets</b>: Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) have significantly outperformed Global Listed Infrastructure (GLI) so far this year, to the extent that REITS are now expensive relative to GLI. Both should benefit from the pandemic recovery, but GLI has some catch-up potential. GLI should benefit from the global re-opening boosting domestic and international travel.<b>Commodities</b>have been the best-performing asset class this year amid strong demand and supply bottlenecks. The gains have been led by industrial metals and energy. The pace of increase should ease as supply issues are resolved, butcommodities should retain supportfrom above-trend global demand.</li>\n <li>The<b>U.S. dollar</b>has been supported this year by expectations for early Fed tightening and U.S. economic growth leadership. It should weaken as global growth leadership rotates away from the U.S. and toward Europe and other developed economies. The dollar typically gains during global downturns and declines in the recovery phase. The main beneficiary is likely to be the<b>euro</b>, which is still undervalued. We also believe<b>British sterling</b>and the economically sensitive<i>commodity currencies</i>—the<b>Australian dollar</b>, the<b>New Zealand dollar</b>and the<b>Canadian dollar</b>—can make further gains, although these currencies are not undervalued from a longer-term perspective.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>ASSET PERFORMANCE SINCE THE BEGINNING OF 2021</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50e253becd38bd122d9fc211e7b0f583\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>1The Group of Seven is an inter-governmental political forum consisting of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States.</p>\n<p><b>Important Information</b></p>\n<p>The views in this Global Market Outlook report are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions and are current as of September 27, 2021. While all material is deemed to be reliable, accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed.</p>\n<p>Please remember that all investments carry some level of risk, including the potential loss of principal invested. They do not typically grow at an even rate of return and may experience negative growth. As with any type of portfolio structuring, attempting to reduce risk and increase return could, at certain times, unintentionally reduce returns.</p>\n<p>Keep in mind that, like all investing, multi-asset investing does not assure a profit or protect against loss.</p>\n<p>No model or group of models can offer a precise estimate of future returns available from capital markets. We remain cautious that rational analytical techniques cannot predict extremes in financial behavior, such as periods of financial euphoria or investor panic. Our models rest on the assumptions of normal and rational financial behavior. Forecasting models are inherently uncertain, subject to change at any time based on a variety of factors and can be inaccurate. Russell believes that the utility of this information is highest in evaluating the relative relationships of various components of a globally diversified portfolio. As such, the models may offer insights into the prudence of over or under weighting those components from time to time or under periods of extreme dislocation. The models are explicitly not intended as market timing signals.</p>\n<p>Forecasting represents predictions of market prices and/or volume patterns utilizing varying analytical data. It is not representative of a projection of the stock market, or of any specific investment.</p>\n<p>Investment in global, international or emerging markets may be significantly affected by political or economic conditions and regulatory requirements in a particular country. Investments in non-U.S. markets can involve risks of currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, different accounting standards and foreign taxation. Such securities may be less liquid and more volatile. Investments in emerging or developing markets involve exposure to economic structures that are generally less diverse and mature, and political systems with less stability than in more developed countries.</p>\n<p>Currency investing involves risks including fluctuations in currency values, whether the home currency or the foreign currency. They can either enhance or reduce the returns associated with foreign investments.</p>\n<p>Investments in non-U.S. markets can involve risks of currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, different accounting standards and foreign taxation.</p>\n<p>Bond investors should carefully consider risks such as interest rate, credit, default and duration risks. Greater risk, such as increased volatility, limited liquidity, prepayment, non-payment and increased default risk, is inherent in portfolios that invest in high yield (“junk”) bonds or mortgage-backed securities, especially mortgage-backed securities with exposure to sub-prime mortgages. Generally, when interest rates rise, prices of fixed income securities fall. Interest rates in the United States are at, or near, historic lows, which may increase a Fund’s exposure to risks associated with rising rates. Investment in non-U.S. and emerging market securities is subject to the risk of currency fluctuations and to economic and political risks associated with such foreign countries.</p>\n<p>Performance quoted represents past performance and should not be viewed as a guarantee of future results.</p>\n<p>The FTSE 100 Index is a market-capitalization weighted index of UK-listed blue chip companies.</p>\n<p>The S&P 500® Index, or the Standard & Poor’s 500, is a stock market index based on the market capitalizations of 500 large companies having common stock listed on the NYSE or NASDAQ.</p>\n<p>The MSCI EMU Index (European Economic and Monetary Union) captures large and mid cap representation across the 10 developed markets countries in the EMU. With 246 constituents, the index covers approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization of the EMU.</p>\n<p>Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly.</p>\n<p>Copyright © Russell Investments 2021. All rights reserved. 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The general information contained on this website should not be acted upon without obtaining specific legal, tax, and investment advice from a licensed professional. Persons outside the United States may find more information about products and services available within their jurisdictions by going to Russell Investments' Worldwide site.</p>\n<p>Russell Investments is committed to ensuring digital accessibility for people with disabilities. We are continually improving the user experience for everyone, and applying the relevant accessibility standards.</p>\n<p>Russell Investments' ownership is composed of a majority stake held by funds managed by TA Associates, with a significant minority stake held by funds managed by Reverence Capital Partners. Russell Investments' employees and Hamilton Lane Advisors, LLC also hold minority, non-controlling, ownership stakes.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2021 Global Market Outlook - Q4 Update: Growing Pains</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2021 Global Market Outlook - Q4 Update: Growing Pains\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-30 09:27 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457651-2021-global-market-outlook-q4-update-growing-pains><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows.\nThe reopening trade should resume in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457651-2021-global-market-outlook-q4-update-growing-pains\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457651-2021-global-market-outlook-q4-update-growing-pains","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1104172212","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows.\nThe reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earnings upgrades than technology-heavy growth stocks, and the value factor is cheap compared to the growth factor.\nThe key risk is that the delta variant or similar proves resilient to vaccination or that infection rates escalate during the Northern Hemisphere winter.\n\nThe COVID-19 delta variant, inflation and central bank tapering are unnerving investors. We expect the pandemic-recovery trade to resume as inflation subsides, infection rates decline and tapering turns out to not equal tightening. Amid this backdrop, our outlook favors equities over bonds, the value factor over the growth factor and non-U.S. stocks over U.S. stocks.\nIntroduction\nThe post-lockdown recovery has transitioned from energetic youthfulness to awkward adolescence. It’s still growing, although at a slower pace, and there are worries about what happens next, particularly about monetary policy and the outlook for inflation. Theinflation spikehas been larger than expected, but we still think it istransitory, caused by base effects from when the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) fell during the lockdown last year and by temporary supply bottlenecks. Inflation may remain high over the remainder of 2021 but should decline in early 2022. This means that even though the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to begin tapering back on asset purchases before the end of the year, rate hikes are unlikely before the second half of 2023.\nAnother worry is thehighly contagious COVID-19 delta variant. The evidence so far is that vaccines are effective in preventing serious COVID-19 infections. Vaccination rates are accelerating globally, and emerging economies are catching up with developed markets. Infection rates appear to have peaked globally in early September. This means the reopening of economies should continue over the remainder of 2021. The onset of winter in the northern hemisphere will be a test, but the rollout of booster vaccination shots should help prevent widescale renewed lockdowns.\nThe conclusions from our cycle, value and sentiment (CVS) investment decision-making process are broadly unchanged from our previous quarterly report. Global equities remain expensive, with the very expensive U.S. market offsetting better value elsewhere. Sentiment is slightly overbought, but not close to dangerous levels of euphoria. The strong cycle delivers a preference for equities over bonds for at least the next 12 months, despite expensive valuations. It also reinforces our preference for thevalue equity factor over the growth factorand for non-U.S. equities to outperform the U.S. market.\nCycle still in recovery phase\nThe post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows. Even so, we think the cycle is still in the recovery phase, although it is maturing. Despite strong growth, there is plenty of spare capacity. This can be seen in the employment-to-population ratio for prime-age workers in the United States. The chart below shows the ratio has recovered from the pandemic lows, but only to levels reached during the relatively mild recessions in the early 1990s and 2000s. We expect theU.S. labor-market recoveryshould still resemble a typical post-recession recovery over the next few quarters.\nU.S. EMPLOYMENT-POPULATION RATIO FOR PRIME-AGE WORKERS\n\nThe U.S. recovery, however, is more advanced than that of other developed economies. The following chart shows how far GDP has recovered, relative to the pre-COVID-19 peak in 2019. GDP is 0.8% higher in the U.S., although this level is still short relative to the pre-COVID-19 trend. GDP is 2.5% below 2019 levels in the euro area and 4.5% below in the United Kingdom. We expect more cyclical upside for economic growth outside the U.S., and this should allow market leadership to rotate toward the rest of the world.\nGDP IN Q2 2021 RELATIVE TO PRE-COVID-19 PEAK IN 2019\n\nTwo key indicators\nLast quarter, we listed two indicators that should offer a guide to the Fed’s expected reaction to the inflation spike.\nThe first is five-year/five-year breakeven inflation expectations, based on the pricing of Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS). This is the market’s forecast for average inflation over five years in five years’ time. It tells us that investors expect inflation will average 2.17% in the five years from late 2026 to late 2031. The TIPS yields are based on the CPI, while the Fed targets inflation as measured by the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) deflator. The two move together over time, but CPI inflation is generally around 0.25% higher than PCE inflation. A breakeven rate of 2.75% would suggest the market sees PCE inflation above 2.5% in five years’ time. Market inflation expectations are currently comfortably below the Fed’s worry point.\nWATCHPOINT INDICATOR #1: U.S. 5-YEAR/5-YEAR BREAKEVEN INFLATION RATE\n\nThe second indicator is the Atlanta Fed’s Wage Growth Tracker, and this has a less-comforting message about inflation risks. It reached 3.9% in August, which isclose to the 4% thresholdwhere we judge that the Fed will become concerned about the inflationary impact on the growth of wages. A breakdown shows that the spike has been mostly driven by wages for low-skilled, young people in the leisure and hospitality industry. This suggests the surge has been caused by temporary labor supply shortages and that wage pressures should subside as economic activity normalizes. This indicator, however, will be an important watchpoint over the next few months.\nWATCHPOINT INDICATOR #2: ATLANTA FED WAGE GROWTH TRACKER\n\nReopening trade still makes sense\nThe reopening trade, which lifts long-term interest rates and favors cyclical and value stocks over technology and growth stocks, worked well for several months following the vaccine announcement last November. Value outperformed growth and yield curves steepened. The trade has reversed in recent months, however, amid fears that the delta variant might derail the economic recovery. The impact has been magnified by short covering in bond markets as investors, who have been short or underweight, have been forced by the rally to buy back into the market, pushing bond yields even lower.\nThe reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earnings upgrades than technology-heavy growth stocks, and the value factor is cheap compared to the growth factor. Financial stocks comprise the largest sector in the MSCI World Value Index, and they should benefit from further yield-curve steepening, which boosts the profitability of banks. Long-term interest rates should rise as global growth remains above trend, delta-variant fears fade, the short squeeze unwinds and central banks begin tapering back on bond purchases.\nThe rotation in economic growth leadership away from the United States should also help the reopening trade. The rest of the world is overweight cyclical value stocks relative to the U.S., which has a higher weight to technology stocks.\nEmerging market (EM) equities have been poor performers since the vaccine announcement, but there are some encouraging signs. Initially, they were held back by the exposure to technology stocks in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index and the slow rollout of COVID-19 vaccines. More recently, they have come under pressure from the slowdown in the Chinese economy and theregulatory crackdown on Chinese tech companies. The vaccine rollout across emerging markets has accelerated and policy easing in China should soon improve the growth outlook. The path of Chinese regulation is harder to predict, but it is now largely priced in, with Chinese technology companies underperforming their global peers by nearly 50% from February 2021 through mid-September.\nThe resumption of the reopening trade should also result in U.S. dollar weakness. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has traded sideways since the vaccine announcement. It should weaken once investors have confidence that delta-variant risks are subsiding and realize that the Fed is likely to remain dovish as inflation risks decline. The dollar typically gains during global downturns and declines in the recovery phase. Dollar weakness should support the performance of non-U.S. markets, particularly emerging markets.\nRisks: variants, inflation, China weakness\nThe key risk is that the delta variant or similar proves resilient to vaccination or that infection rates escalate during the Northern Hemisphere winter. The evidence so far is that vaccinations are highly effective in preventing serious illness. In Israel, booster shots appear to have slowed the rate of new cases.\nAnother watchpoint is inflation and the response of central banks. Our expectation is that this year’s inflation spike is mostly transitory and that the major central banks, led by the Fed, are still two years from raising interest rates.\nFinally, there is the risk of a sharper-than-expected slowdown in China.Credit growth has slowed this yearand the purchasing managers’ indexes (PMI) have trended lower. Monetary and fiscal policy have been eased, however, and senior officials have signaled that more stimulus is on the way. China policy direction and credit trends will be an important watchpoint over coming months.\nRegional snapshotsUnited States\nThe U.S. economy is likely to sustain above-trend growth into 2022. However, the easiest gains appear in the rear-view mirror at the end of the third quarter as the recovery phase of the business cycle matures. This is most visible for corporate earnings, where S&P 500® Index earnings-per-share already sit 20% above their previous cyclical high.\nStrong fundamentals have helped power the stock market to new highs. Early evidence that the delta-variant wave may be fading and the potential for greater vaccine access for children are positives for a more complete recovery in the quarters ahead. The Fedlooks poised to start tapering its asset purchasesaround the end of 2021. The timing of the first rate hike will then hinge on what happens to inflation next year. Our models suggest that inflation is likely to drop back below the Fed’s 2% target in 2022. If that is correct, the Fed is likely to remain on hold into the second half of 2023.\nWage inflation is a key risk to this view. It is running unusually strong for this stage of the cycle, and record hiring intentions from businesses could exhaust spare capacity in the year ahead. We expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise moderately from 1.37% in mid-September to 1.75% in coming months.\nFiscal stimulus negotiations continue to grab headlines in Washington, D.C. Thetax provisions in these billsare likely to be the most impactful for financial markets. We estimate thathigher corporate taxescould subtract about four percentage points from S&P 500 earnings growth in 2022. This could create volatility and opportunity in markets. Given our strong cyclical outlook, our bias continues to be arisk-onpreference for equities over bonds for the medium-term.\nEurozone\nEuro area growthslowed through the third quarter but looks on track for a return to above-trend growth over the fourth quarter and into 2022. Vaccination rates are high, and the euro area has more catch-up potential than other major economies, particularly the United States. The euro area is also set to receive more fiscal support than other regions, with the European Union’s pandemic recovery fund only just starting to disburse stimulus, which will provide significant support in southern Europe. Polls in advance of Germany’s federal election on Sept. 26 suggested the electorate was moving toward the political left, which means the new government is likely to support expansionary fiscal policy and a continued dovish stance by the European Central Bank (ECB).\nThe MSCI EMU Index, which reflects the European Economic and Monetary Union, has performed broadly in line with the S&P 500 so far in 2021. We think it has potential to outperform in coming quarters. Europe’s exposure to financials and cyclically sensitive sectors such as industrials, materials and energy, and its relatively small exposure to technology, gives it the potential to outperform as delta-variant fears subside, economic activity picks up and yield curves in Europe steepen.\nUnited Kingdom\nAs of mid-year, UK GDP was still nearly 4.5% below its pre-pandemic peak. We see plenty of scope for strong catch-up growth as borders are fully reopened and activity normalizes. Supply bottlenecks and labor shortages have triggered a sharp rise in underlying inflation and created concerns that the Bank of England (BoE) may start rate hikes in the first half of 2022. We think the BoE is unlikely to be that aggressive. We expect inflation to decline in early 2022 as supply constraints ease, which should convince the BoE to delay rate hikes.\nThe FTSE 100 Index is the cheapest of the major developed equity markets in late 2021, and this should help it reflect higher returns than other markets over the next decade. Around 70% of UK corporate earnings come from offshore, so one near-term risk is that further strengthening of British sterling dampens earnings growth. The other risks are mostly around policy missteps, for example, early tightening by the Bank of England.\nJapan\nThe Japanese economy is expected to get a shot in the arm as rising vaccination rates improve mobility and reduce the risk of further lockdowns, and as political leadership changes result in more fiscal stimulus: the Japanese election is due to be held before Nov. 28. Japanese equities look slightly more expensive than other regions such as the UK and Europe. We maintain our view that the Bank of Japan will significantly lag other central banks in normalizing policy.\nChina\nWe expect Chinese economic growth to berobust over the next 12 months, supported by a post-lockdown jump in consumer spending and incremental fiscal and monetary easing. Despite a big improvement in vaccination rates,COVID-19 outbreaks remain a riskgiven the Chinese government’s zero-tolerance approach. The major consumer technology companies have seen significant drops in stock prices recently due to more aggressive regulation. Some uncertainty remains around thepath of future regulation, especially as it relates to technology companies, and as a result we expect investors will remain cautious on Chinese equities in the coming months. The property market, particularly property developers as recently highlighted by Evergrande’s debt crisis, remains a risk that we are monitoring closely.\nCanada\nCanada leads the G71countries in terms of the vaccination rollout, which should minimize the risk of large-scale lockdowns over winter. The delta variant has taken an economic toll, however, with industry consensus projections now predicting 5% GDP growth in 2021 versus estimates of more than 6% just three months ago. Even so, growth remains above-trend and the odds of additional fiscal expenditures to support the economy have increased. This means that weaker growth due to COVID-19 is unlikely to change the Bank of Canada's (BoC) tightening bias.\nTapering of asset purchasesshould be complete by the end of the first quarter of 2022. BoC Governor Tiff Macklem has indicated that the reinvestment phase of the bonds held by the central bank will commence once quantitative easing has ended. This should generate an estimated C$1 billion in weekly bond purchases, down from the current pace of C$2 billion. The BoC will likely only consider shrinking its balance sheet after it has started lifting interest rates. The BoC projects that the output gap will close sometime over the second half of 2022, and that rate hikes will be considered after economic slack has disappeared. We believe that the timeline may be a tad aggressive, and a delay to 2023 for liftoff is more likely. This would better align the Canadian central bank with its American counterpart.\nAustralia/New Zealand\nThe Australian economy is set to return to life, with lockdowns likely to be eased in October and November. Consumer and business balance sheets continue to look healthy, which should facilitate a strong recovery. The reopening of the international border in 2022 will provide a further boost. Fiscal policy has supported the economy through the downturn, and there is potential for further stimulus in the lead-up to the federal election, which is due before the end of 2022. The Reserve Bank of Australia has begun the process of tapering its bond-purchase program, but we expect that a rise in the cash rate is unlikely until at least the second half of 2023.\nNew Zealand’s most recent lockdown will drag on Q3 GDP, but similar to Australia, we expect a solid rebound as the economy reopens. The government aims to provide a vaccine to all adults by the end of 2021, after which borders will gradually reopen. This will provide a boost, particularly to tourism-exposed sectors. Despite having recently put off hiking interest rates due to the recent lockdown, we expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will start raising rates this year. Even though they have significantly underperformed global equities this year, New Zealand equities still screen as relatively expensive compared to other regions.\nAsset-class preferences\nOur cycle, value and sentiment investment decision-making process in late September 2021 has a moderately positive medium-term view on global equities. Value is expensive across most markets except for UK equities, which are near fair value. The cycle is risk-asset supportive for the medium-term. The major economies still have spare capacity and inflation pressures appear transitory, caused by COVID-19-related supply shortages. Rate hikes by the U.S. Fed seem unlikely before the second half of 2023. Sentiment, after reaching overbought levels earlier in the year, has returned to more neutral levels.\nCOMPOSITE CONTRARIAN INDICATOR: SENTIMENT SHIFTS TOWARD NEUTRAL\n\n\nWe prefernon-U.S. equitiesto U.S. equities. Stronger economic growth and steeper yield curves after the third-quarter slowdown should favor undervalued cyclical value stocks over expensive technology and growth stocks. Relative to the U.S., the rest of the world is overweight cyclical value stocks.\nEmerging markets equitieshave been relatively poor performers this year, but there are some encouraging signs. The vaccine rollout across EM has accelerated and policy easing in China should soon boost the economic growth outlook.China’s regulatory crackdownhas caused significant underperformance by Chinese technology companies, but this should be less of a headwind going forward now that it is priced in.\nHigh yieldandinvestment grade creditare expensive on a spread basis but have support from a positive cycle view that accommodates corporate profit growth and keeps default rates low. U.S. dollar-denominatedemerging markets debtis close to fair value in spread terms and will gain support on U.S. dollar weakness.\nGovernment bondsare expensive, and yields should come under upward pressure as output gaps close and central banks look to taper back asset purchases. We expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise toward 1.75% in coming months.\nReal assets: Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) have significantly outperformed Global Listed Infrastructure (GLI) so far this year, to the extent that REITS are now expensive relative to GLI. Both should benefit from the pandemic recovery, but GLI has some catch-up potential. GLI should benefit from the global re-opening boosting domestic and international travel.Commoditieshave been the best-performing asset class this year amid strong demand and supply bottlenecks. The gains have been led by industrial metals and energy. The pace of increase should ease as supply issues are resolved, butcommodities should retain supportfrom above-trend global demand.\nTheU.S. dollarhas been supported this year by expectations for early Fed tightening and U.S. economic growth leadership. It should weaken as global growth leadership rotates away from the U.S. and toward Europe and other developed economies. The dollar typically gains during global downturns and declines in the recovery phase. The main beneficiary is likely to be theeuro, which is still undervalued. We also believeBritish sterlingand the economically sensitivecommodity currencies—theAustralian dollar, theNew Zealand dollarand theCanadian dollar—can make further gains, although these currencies are not undervalued from a longer-term perspective.\n\nASSET PERFORMANCE SINCE THE BEGINNING OF 2021\n\n1The Group of Seven is an inter-governmental political forum consisting of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States.\nImportant Information\nThe views in this Global Market Outlook report are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions and are current as of September 27, 2021. While all material is deemed to be reliable, accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed.\nPlease remember that all investments carry some level of risk, including the potential loss of principal invested. They do not typically grow at an even rate of return and may experience negative growth. As with any type of portfolio structuring, attempting to reduce risk and increase return could, at certain times, unintentionally reduce returns.\nKeep in mind that, like all investing, multi-asset investing does not assure a profit or protect against loss.\nNo model or group of models can offer a precise estimate of future returns available from capital markets. We remain cautious that rational analytical techniques cannot predict extremes in financial behavior, such as periods of financial euphoria or investor panic. Our models rest on the assumptions of normal and rational financial behavior. Forecasting models are inherently uncertain, subject to change at any time based on a variety of factors and can be inaccurate. Russell believes that the utility of this information is highest in evaluating the relative relationships of various components of a globally diversified portfolio. As such, the models may offer insights into the prudence of over or under weighting those components from time to time or under periods of extreme dislocation. The models are explicitly not intended as market timing signals.\nForecasting represents predictions of market prices and/or volume patterns utilizing varying analytical data. It is not representative of a projection of the stock market, or of any specific investment.\nInvestment in global, international or emerging markets may be significantly affected by political or economic conditions and regulatory requirements in a particular country. Investments in non-U.S. markets can involve risks of currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, different accounting standards and foreign taxation. Such securities may be less liquid and more volatile. Investments in emerging or developing markets involve exposure to economic structures that are generally less diverse and mature, and political systems with less stability than in more developed countries.\nCurrency investing involves risks including fluctuations in currency values, whether the home currency or the foreign currency. They can either enhance or reduce the returns associated with foreign investments.\nInvestments in non-U.S. markets can involve risks of currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, different accounting standards and foreign taxation.\nBond investors should carefully consider risks such as interest rate, credit, default and duration risks. Greater risk, such as increased volatility, limited liquidity, prepayment, non-payment and increased default risk, is inherent in portfolios that invest in high yield (“junk”) bonds or mortgage-backed securities, especially mortgage-backed securities with exposure to sub-prime mortgages. Generally, when interest rates rise, prices of fixed income securities fall. Interest rates in the United States are at, or near, historic lows, which may increase a Fund’s exposure to risks associated with rising rates. Investment in non-U.S. and emerging market securities is subject to the risk of currency fluctuations and to economic and political risks associated with such foreign countries.\nPerformance quoted represents past performance and should not be viewed as a guarantee of future results.\nThe FTSE 100 Index is a market-capitalization weighted index of UK-listed blue chip companies.\nThe S&P 500® Index, or the Standard & Poor’s 500, is a stock market index based on the market capitalizations of 500 large companies having common stock listed on the NYSE or NASDAQ.\nThe MSCI EMU Index (European Economic and Monetary Union) captures large and mid cap representation across the 10 developed markets countries in the EMU. With 246 constituents, the index covers approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization of the EMU.\nIndexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly.\nCopyright © Russell Investments 2021. All rights reserved. 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Russell Investments' employees and Hamilton Lane Advisors, LLC also hold minority, non-controlling, ownership stakes.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":597,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":868173391,"gmtCreate":1632623998513,"gmtModify":1632650495594,"author":{"id":"3582004437679142","authorId":"3582004437679142","name":"heyjules","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81e1cae988364e940d10f9b4cea87831","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868173391","repostId":"2170861444","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":779,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861316387,"gmtCreate":1632456279949,"gmtModify":1632721488395,"author":{"id":"3582004437679142","authorId":"3582004437679142","name":"heyjules","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81e1cae988364e940d10f9b4cea87831","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861316387","repostId":"2169240695","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2169240695","pubTimestamp":1632428355,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2169240695?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-24 04:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Indexes close up more than 1% as investors assess Fed news","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2169240695","media":"Reuters","summary":"Sept 23 - U.S. stocks gained more than 1% on Thursday as investors appeared relieved about the Federal Reserve's stance on tapering stimulus and raising interest rates.Upbeat outlooks from Accenture and Salesforce helped to bolster the market, while the U.S. Food and Drug Administration late Wednesday authorized a booster dose of the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine for those 65 and older.Also helping sentiment, concern about a ripple effect from China Evergrande continued to ease.The Fed said ","content":"<p>Sept 23 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks gained more than 1% on Thursday as investors appeared relieved about the Federal Reserve's stance on tapering stimulus and raising interest rates.</p>\n<p>Upbeat outlooks from Accenture and Salesforce helped to bolster the market, while the U.S. Food and Drug Administration late Wednesday authorized a booster dose of the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine for those 65 and older.</p>\n<p>Also helping sentiment, concern about a ripple effect from China Evergrande continued to ease.</p>\n<p>The Fed said on Wednesday it could begin reducing its monthly bond purchases by as soon as November, and that interest rates could rise quicker than expected by next year. The November deadline was largely priced in by markets.</p>\n<p>In a press conference after the statement, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the bar for lifting rates from zero is much higher than for tapering.</p>\n<p>\"This is a follow-on rally from a very good Fed meeting,\" said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York.</p>\n<p>\"To me that showed there were no surprises and things were as expected,\" he said. \"Any Fed rate hike is still quite a ways off and so much can change between now and then.\"</p>\n<p>Among S&P 500 major industry sectors, energy was up 3.4% and financial stocks were up 2.5%, gaining the most ground. Real estate and utilities were the only sectors out of 11 showing losses, both off about 0.5%.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 506.5 points, or 1.48%, to 34,764.82, the S&P 500 gained 53.34 points, or 1.21%, to 4,448.98 and the Nasdaq Composite added 155.40 points, or 1.04%, to 15,052.24.</p>\n<p>Shares of IT services provider Salesforce finished up 7% and the company was a big boost to the S&P and the Dow during the session after it raised its annual earnings forecast.</p>\n<p>Accenture gained 2.5% after the IT consulting firm boosted its first-quarter outlook.</p>\n<p>Concerns eased further over a potential default by Chinese property developer Evergrande even as Reuters reported that some holders of the firm's dollar bonds had given up hope of getting a coupon payment by a key Thursday deadline.</p>\n<p>Investors shrugged off data showing sluggish business activity growth and a rise in jobless claims, in line with expectations for a slowdown in economic growth in the third quarter.</p>\n<p>During the session the S&P 500 broke above its 50-day moving average, after trading below the indicator for three full sessions - its biggest such breach since early March.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.91-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.66-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&P 500 posted 26 new 52-week highs and four new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 97 new highs and 47 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.84 billion shares, compared with the 10.07 billion average for the last 20 trading days.</p>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Indexes close up more than 1% as investors assess Fed news</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIndexes close up more than 1% as investors assess Fed news\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-24 04:19 GMT+8 <a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-indexes-close-more-201915611.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Sept 23 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks gained more than 1% on Thursday as investors appeared relieved about the Federal Reserve's stance on tapering stimulus and raising interest rates.\nUpbeat outlooks from ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-indexes-close-more-201915611.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","COMP":"Compass, Inc.","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","ACN":"埃森哲","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","OEX":"标普100"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-indexes-close-more-201915611.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2169240695","content_text":"Sept 23 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks gained more than 1% on Thursday as investors appeared relieved about the Federal Reserve's stance on tapering stimulus and raising interest rates.\nUpbeat outlooks from Accenture and Salesforce helped to bolster the market, while the U.S. Food and Drug Administration late Wednesday authorized a booster dose of the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine for those 65 and older.\nAlso helping sentiment, concern about a ripple effect from China Evergrande continued to ease.\nThe Fed said on Wednesday it could begin reducing its monthly bond purchases by as soon as November, and that interest rates could rise quicker than expected by next year. The November deadline was largely priced in by markets.\nIn a press conference after the statement, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the bar for lifting rates from zero is much higher than for tapering.\n\"This is a follow-on rally from a very good Fed meeting,\" said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York.\n\"To me that showed there were no surprises and things were as expected,\" he said. \"Any Fed rate hike is still quite a ways off and so much can change between now and then.\"\nAmong S&P 500 major industry sectors, energy was up 3.4% and financial stocks were up 2.5%, gaining the most ground. Real estate and utilities were the only sectors out of 11 showing losses, both off about 0.5%.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 506.5 points, or 1.48%, to 34,764.82, the S&P 500 gained 53.34 points, or 1.21%, to 4,448.98 and the Nasdaq Composite added 155.40 points, or 1.04%, to 15,052.24.\nShares of IT services provider Salesforce finished up 7% and the company was a big boost to the S&P and the Dow during the session after it raised its annual earnings forecast.\nAccenture gained 2.5% after the IT consulting firm boosted its first-quarter outlook.\nConcerns eased further over a potential default by Chinese property developer Evergrande even as Reuters reported that some holders of the firm's dollar bonds had given up hope of getting a coupon payment by a key Thursday deadline.\nInvestors shrugged off data showing sluggish business activity growth and a rise in jobless claims, in line with expectations for a slowdown in economic growth in the third quarter.\nDuring the session the S&P 500 broke above its 50-day moving average, after trading below the indicator for three full sessions - its biggest such breach since early March.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.91-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.66-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 26 new 52-week highs and four new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 97 new highs and 47 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.84 billion shares, compared with the 10.07 billion average for the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":476,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":864472008,"gmtCreate":1633143145532,"gmtModify":1633143145821,"author":{"id":"3582004437679142","authorId":"3582004437679142","name":"heyjules","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81e1cae988364e940d10f9b4cea87831","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864472008","repostId":"2172696913","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2172696913","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1633128660,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2172696913?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-02 06:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon-backed EV company Rivian files for IPO","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2172696913","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Electric vehicle company intends to sell trucks and SUVs to consumers, delivery vans to Amazon. Rivian Automotive Inc., which is working on electric delivery vans for Amazon.com Inc. in addition to electric trucks for consumers, filed for an initial public offering Friday.Rivian launched the R1T, an electric pickup truck meant for consumers, in September. The company said in its filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission that it intends to launch and deliver the R1S, a sport-utility vehi","content":"<p>Electric vehicle company intends to sell trucks and SUVs to consumers, delivery vans to Amazon</p>\n<p>Rivian Automotive Inc., which is working on electric delivery vans for Amazon.com Inc. in addition to electric trucks for consumers, filed for an initial public offering Friday.</p>\n<p>Rivian launched the R1T, an electric pickup truck meant for consumers, in September. The company said in its filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission that it intends to launch and deliver the R1S, a sport-utility vehicle, in December, and plans to deliver electric delivery vehicles, or EDVs, to Amazon <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a> in December.</p>\n<p>\"Rivian was started from a clean sheet--there was no money, no team, no technology, no suppliers, no brand, and no production infrastructure,\" founder and Chief Executive Robert Scaringe said in a letter to investors included in Friday's filing. \"The lack of constraints was intoxicating for the imagination.\"</p>\n<p>Among the investors in the Irvine, Calif.-based company, which was launched in 2015 and has raised $10.5 billion, are Amazon and Ford Motor Co. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$(F)$</a> According to its filing, Rivian's fate will be closely tied to Amazon. The company will exclusively provide last-mile delivery vehicles to Amazon for four years, and from years four to six, Amazon will have the right of first refusal to buy its EDVs.</p>\n<p>Rivian, which confidentially filed for its IPO in August, said it had less than $1.07 billion in revenue in its last fiscal year and that its 2020 loss rose to $1.02 billion from $426 million the previous year. Besides the vehicles it is making and developing, the company offers FleetOS, a fleet-management subscription platform.</p>\n<p>The company named a target raise for the IPO of $100 million, but that is typically a placeholder amount that will be updated in future filings. Rivian has applied to list on the Nasdaq under the ticker \"RIVN,\" and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan were listed as the lead underwriters among 22 banks involved in the offering.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon-backed EV company Rivian files for IPO</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon-backed EV company Rivian files for IPO\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-10-02 06:51</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Electric vehicle company intends to sell trucks and SUVs to consumers, delivery vans to Amazon</p>\n<p>Rivian Automotive Inc., which is working on electric delivery vans for Amazon.com Inc. in addition to electric trucks for consumers, filed for an initial public offering Friday.</p>\n<p>Rivian launched the R1T, an electric pickup truck meant for consumers, in September. The company said in its filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission that it intends to launch and deliver the R1S, a sport-utility vehicle, in December, and plans to deliver electric delivery vehicles, or EDVs, to Amazon <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a> in December.</p>\n<p>\"Rivian was started from a clean sheet--there was no money, no team, no technology, no suppliers, no brand, and no production infrastructure,\" founder and Chief Executive Robert Scaringe said in a letter to investors included in Friday's filing. \"The lack of constraints was intoxicating for the imagination.\"</p>\n<p>Among the investors in the Irvine, Calif.-based company, which was launched in 2015 and has raised $10.5 billion, are Amazon and Ford Motor Co. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$(F)$</a> According to its filing, Rivian's fate will be closely tied to Amazon. The company will exclusively provide last-mile delivery vehicles to Amazon for four years, and from years four to six, Amazon will have the right of first refusal to buy its EDVs.</p>\n<p>Rivian, which confidentially filed for its IPO in August, said it had less than $1.07 billion in revenue in its last fiscal year and that its 2020 loss rose to $1.02 billion from $426 million the previous year. Besides the vehicles it is making and developing, the company offers FleetOS, a fleet-management subscription platform.</p>\n<p>The company named a target raise for the IPO of $100 million, but that is typically a placeholder amount that will be updated in future filings. Rivian has applied to list on the Nasdaq under the ticker \"RIVN,\" and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan were listed as the lead underwriters among 22 banks involved in the offering.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"F":"福特汽车","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2172696913","content_text":"Electric vehicle company intends to sell trucks and SUVs to consumers, delivery vans to Amazon\nRivian Automotive Inc., which is working on electric delivery vans for Amazon.com Inc. in addition to electric trucks for consumers, filed for an initial public offering Friday.\nRivian launched the R1T, an electric pickup truck meant for consumers, in September. The company said in its filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission that it intends to launch and deliver the R1S, a sport-utility vehicle, in December, and plans to deliver electric delivery vehicles, or EDVs, to Amazon $(AMZN)$ in December.\n\"Rivian was started from a clean sheet--there was no money, no team, no technology, no suppliers, no brand, and no production infrastructure,\" founder and Chief Executive Robert Scaringe said in a letter to investors included in Friday's filing. \"The lack of constraints was intoxicating for the imagination.\"\nAmong the investors in the Irvine, Calif.-based company, which was launched in 2015 and has raised $10.5 billion, are Amazon and Ford Motor Co. $(F)$ According to its filing, Rivian's fate will be closely tied to Amazon. The company will exclusively provide last-mile delivery vehicles to Amazon for four years, and from years four to six, Amazon will have the right of first refusal to buy its EDVs.\nRivian, which confidentially filed for its IPO in August, said it had less than $1.07 billion in revenue in its last fiscal year and that its 2020 loss rose to $1.02 billion from $426 million the previous year. Besides the vehicles it is making and developing, the company offers FleetOS, a fleet-management subscription platform.\nThe company named a target raise for the IPO of $100 million, but that is typically a placeholder amount that will be updated in future filings. Rivian has applied to list on the Nasdaq under the ticker \"RIVN,\" and Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan were listed as the lead underwriters among 22 banks involved in the offering.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":441,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865295524,"gmtCreate":1632983918779,"gmtModify":1632983919094,"author":{"id":"3582004437679142","authorId":"3582004437679142","name":"heyjules","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81e1cae988364e940d10f9b4cea87831","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865295524","repostId":"1104172212","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104172212","pubTimestamp":1632965278,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104172212?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-30 09:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2021 Global Market Outlook - Q4 Update: Growing Pains","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104172212","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows.</li>\n <li>The reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earnings upgrades than technology-heavy growth stocks, and the value factor is cheap compared to the growth factor.</li>\n <li>The key risk is that the delta variant or similar proves resilient to vaccination or that infection rates escalate during the Northern Hemisphere winter.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The COVID-19 delta variant, inflation and central bank tapering are unnerving investors. <b>We expect the pandemic-recovery trade to resume as inflation subsides, infection rates decline and tapering turns out to not equal tightening. Amid this backdrop, our outlook favors equities over bonds, the value factor over the growth factor and non-U.S. stocks over U.S. stocks.</b></p>\n<p><b>Introduction</b></p>\n<p>The post-lockdown recovery has transitioned from energetic youthfulness to awkward adolescence. It’s still growing, although at a slower pace, and there are worries about what happens next, particularly about monetary policy and the outlook for inflation. Theinflation spikehas been larger than expected, but we still think it istransitory, caused by base effects from when the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) fell during the lockdown last year and by temporary supply bottlenecks. Inflation may remain high over the remainder of 2021 but should decline in early 2022. This means that even though the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to begin tapering back on asset purchases before the end of the year, rate hikes are unlikely before the second half of 2023.</p>\n<p>Another worry is thehighly contagious COVID-19 delta variant. The evidence so far is that vaccines are effective in preventing serious COVID-19 infections. Vaccination rates are accelerating globally, and emerging economies are catching up with developed markets. Infection rates appear to have peaked globally in early September. This means the reopening of economies should continue over the remainder of 2021. The onset of winter in the northern hemisphere will be a test, but the rollout of booster vaccination shots should help prevent widescale renewed lockdowns.</p>\n<p>The conclusions from our cycle, value and sentiment (CVS) investment decision-making process are broadly unchanged from our previous quarterly report. Global equities remain expensive, with the very expensive U.S. market offsetting better value elsewhere. Sentiment is slightly overbought, but not close to dangerous levels of euphoria. The strong cycle delivers a preference for equities over bonds for at least the next 12 months, despite expensive valuations. It also reinforces our preference for thevalue equity factor over the growth factorand for non-U.S. equities to outperform the U.S. market.</p>\n<p><b>Cycle still in recovery phase</b></p>\n<p>The post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows. Even so, we think the cycle is still in the recovery phase, although it is maturing. Despite strong growth, there is plenty of spare capacity. This can be seen in the employment-to-population ratio for prime-age workers in the United States. The chart below shows the ratio has recovered from the pandemic lows, but only to levels reached during the relatively mild recessions in the early 1990s and 2000s. We expect theU.S. labor-market recoveryshould still resemble a typical post-recession recovery over the next few quarters.</p>\n<p><b>U.S. EMPLOYMENT-POPULATION RATIO FOR PRIME-AGE WORKERS</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28a91fe2991463e2285879c32cb1b8c7\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The U.S. recovery, however, is more advanced than that of other developed economies. The following chart shows how far GDP has recovered, relative to the pre-COVID-19 peak in 2019. GDP is 0.8% higher in the U.S., although this level is still short relative to the pre-COVID-19 trend. GDP is 2.5% below 2019 levels in the euro area and 4.5% below in the United Kingdom. We expect more cyclical upside for economic growth outside the U.S., and this should allow market leadership to rotate toward the rest of the world.</p>\n<p><b>GDP IN Q2 2021 RELATIVE TO PRE-COVID-19 PEAK IN 2019</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/577d1b96aef08b71c9bdb6665a21b2ac\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Two key indicators</b></p>\n<p>Last quarter, we listed two indicators that should offer a guide to the Fed’s expected reaction to the inflation spike.</p>\n<p>The first is five-year/five-year breakeven inflation expectations, based on the pricing of Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS). This is the market’s forecast for average inflation over five years in five years’ time. It tells us that investors expect inflation will average 2.17% in the five years from late 2026 to late 2031. The TIPS yields are based on the CPI, while the Fed targets inflation as measured by the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) deflator. The two move together over time, but CPI inflation is generally around 0.25% higher than PCE inflation. A breakeven rate of 2.75% would suggest the market sees PCE inflation above 2.5% in five years’ time. Market inflation expectations are currently comfortably below the Fed’s worry point.</p>\n<p><b>WATCHPOINT INDICATOR #1: U.S. 5-YEAR/5-YEAR BREAKEVEN INFLATION RATE</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13f3cf57b58f600fe6681e9015779e85\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The second indicator is the Atlanta Fed’s Wage Growth Tracker, and this has a less-comforting message about inflation risks. It reached 3.9% in August, which isclose to the 4% thresholdwhere we judge that the Fed will become concerned about the inflationary impact on the growth of wages. A breakdown shows that the spike has been mostly driven by wages for low-skilled, young people in the leisure and hospitality industry. This suggests the surge has been caused by temporary labor supply shortages and that wage pressures should subside as economic activity normalizes. This indicator, however, will be an important watchpoint over the next few months.</p>\n<p><b>WATCHPOINT INDICATOR #2: ATLANTA FED WAGE GROWTH TRACKER</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1d3ff1ca26f6d29a28f919c65531c9a\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Reopening trade still makes sense</b></p>\n<p>The reopening trade, which lifts long-term interest rates and favors cyclical and value stocks over technology and growth stocks, worked well for several months following the vaccine announcement last November. Value outperformed growth and yield curves steepened. The trade has reversed in recent months, however, amid fears that the delta variant might derail the economic recovery. The impact has been magnified by short covering in bond markets as investors, who have been short or underweight, have been forced by the rally to buy back into the market, pushing bond yields even lower.</p>\n<p>The reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earnings upgrades than technology-heavy growth stocks, and the value factor is cheap compared to the growth factor. Financial stocks comprise the largest sector in the MSCI World Value Index, and they should benefit from further yield-curve steepening, which boosts the profitability of banks. Long-term interest rates should rise as global growth remains above trend, delta-variant fears fade, the short squeeze unwinds and central banks begin tapering back on bond purchases.</p>\n<p>The rotation in economic growth leadership away from the United States should also help the reopening trade. The rest of the world is overweight cyclical value stocks relative to the U.S., which has a higher weight to technology stocks.</p>\n<p>Emerging market (EM) equities have been poor performers since the vaccine announcement, but there are some encouraging signs. Initially, they were held back by the exposure to technology stocks in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index and the slow rollout of COVID-19 vaccines. More recently, they have come under pressure from the slowdown in the Chinese economy and theregulatory crackdown on Chinese tech companies. The vaccine rollout across emerging markets has accelerated and policy easing in China should soon improve the growth outlook. The path of Chinese regulation is harder to predict, but it is now largely priced in, with Chinese technology companies underperforming their global peers by nearly 50% from February 2021 through mid-September.</p>\n<p>The resumption of the reopening trade should also result in U.S. dollar weakness. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has traded sideways since the vaccine announcement. It should weaken once investors have confidence that delta-variant risks are subsiding and realize that the Fed is likely to remain dovish as inflation risks decline. The dollar typically gains during global downturns and declines in the recovery phase. Dollar weakness should support the performance of non-U.S. markets, particularly emerging markets.</p>\n<p><b>Risks: variants, inflation, China weakness</b></p>\n<p>The key risk is that the delta variant or similar proves resilient to vaccination or that infection rates escalate during the Northern Hemisphere winter. The evidence so far is that vaccinations are highly effective in preventing serious illness. In Israel, booster shots appear to have slowed the rate of new cases.</p>\n<p>Another watchpoint is inflation and the response of central banks. Our expectation is that this year’s inflation spike is mostly transitory and that the major central banks, led by the Fed, are still two years from raising interest rates.</p>\n<p>Finally, there is the risk of a sharper-than-expected slowdown in China.Credit growth has slowed this yearand the purchasing managers’ indexes (PMI) have trended lower. Monetary and fiscal policy have been eased, however, and senior officials have signaled that more stimulus is on the way. China policy direction and credit trends will be an important watchpoint over coming months.</p>\n<p><b>Regional snapshotsUnited States</b></p>\n<p>The U.S. economy is likely to sustain above-trend growth into 2022. However, the easiest gains appear in the rear-view mirror at the end of the third quarter as the recovery phase of the business cycle matures. This is most visible for corporate earnings, where S&P 500® Index earnings-per-share already sit 20% above their previous cyclical high.</p>\n<p>Strong fundamentals have helped power the stock market to new highs. Early evidence that the delta-variant wave may be fading and the potential for greater vaccine access for children are positives for a more complete recovery in the quarters ahead. The Fedlooks poised to start tapering its asset purchasesaround the end of 2021. The timing of the first rate hike will then hinge on what happens to inflation next year. Our models suggest that inflation is likely to drop back below the Fed’s 2% target in 2022. If that is correct, the Fed is likely to remain on hold into the second half of 2023.</p>\n<p>Wage inflation is a key risk to this view. It is running unusually strong for this stage of the cycle, and record hiring intentions from businesses could exhaust spare capacity in the year ahead. We expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise moderately from 1.37% in mid-September to 1.75% in coming months.</p>\n<p>Fiscal stimulus negotiations continue to grab headlines in Washington, D.C. Thetax provisions in these billsare likely to be the most impactful for financial markets. We estimate thathigher corporate taxescould subtract about four percentage points from S&P 500 earnings growth in 2022. This could create volatility and opportunity in markets. Given our strong cyclical outlook, our bias continues to be a<i>risk-on</i>preference for equities over bonds for the medium-term.</p>\n<p><b>Eurozone</b></p>\n<p>Euro area growthslowed through the third quarter but looks on track for a return to above-trend growth over the fourth quarter and into 2022. Vaccination rates are high, and the euro area has more catch-up potential than other major economies, particularly the United States. The euro area is also set to receive more fiscal support than other regions, with the European Union’s pandemic recovery fund only just starting to disburse stimulus, which will provide significant support in southern Europe. Polls in advance of Germany’s federal election on Sept. 26 suggested the electorate was moving toward the political left, which means the new government is likely to support expansionary fiscal policy and a continued dovish stance by the European Central Bank (ECB).</p>\n<p>The MSCI EMU Index, which reflects the European Economic and Monetary Union, has performed broadly in line with the S&P 500 so far in 2021. We think it has potential to outperform in coming quarters. Europe’s exposure to financials and cyclically sensitive sectors such as industrials, materials and energy, and its relatively small exposure to technology, gives it the potential to outperform as delta-variant fears subside, economic activity picks up and yield curves in Europe steepen.</p>\n<p><b>United Kingdom</b></p>\n<p>As of mid-year, UK GDP was still nearly 4.5% below its pre-pandemic peak. We see plenty of scope for strong catch-up growth as borders are fully reopened and activity normalizes. Supply bottlenecks and labor shortages have triggered a sharp rise in underlying inflation and created concerns that the Bank of England (BoE) may start rate hikes in the first half of 2022. We think the BoE is unlikely to be that aggressive. We expect inflation to decline in early 2022 as supply constraints ease, which should convince the BoE to delay rate hikes.</p>\n<p>The FTSE 100 Index is the cheapest of the major developed equity markets in late 2021, and this should help it reflect higher returns than other markets over the next decade. Around 70% of UK corporate earnings come from offshore, so one near-term risk is that further strengthening of British sterling dampens earnings growth. The other risks are mostly around policy missteps, for example, early tightening by the Bank of England.</p>\n<p><b>Japan</b></p>\n<p>The Japanese economy is expected to get a shot in the arm as rising vaccination rates improve mobility and reduce the risk of further lockdowns, and as political leadership changes result in more fiscal stimulus: the Japanese election is due to be held before Nov. 28. Japanese equities look slightly more expensive than other regions such as the UK and Europe. We maintain our view that the Bank of Japan will significantly lag other central banks in normalizing policy.</p>\n<p><b>China</b></p>\n<p>We expect Chinese economic growth to berobust over the next 12 months, supported by a post-lockdown jump in consumer spending and incremental fiscal and monetary easing. Despite a big improvement in vaccination rates,COVID-19 outbreaks remain a riskgiven the Chinese government’s zero-tolerance approach. The major consumer technology companies have seen significant drops in stock prices recently due to more aggressive regulation. Some uncertainty remains around thepath of future regulation, especially as it relates to technology companies, and as a result we expect investors will remain cautious on Chinese equities in the coming months. The property market, particularly property developers as recently highlighted by Evergrande’s debt crisis, remains a risk that we are monitoring closely.</p>\n<p><b>Canada</b></p>\n<p>Canada leads the G71countries in terms of the vaccination rollout, which should minimize the risk of large-scale lockdowns over winter. The delta variant has taken an economic toll, however, with industry consensus projections now predicting 5% GDP growth in 2021 versus estimates of more than 6% just three months ago. Even so, growth remains above-trend and the odds of additional fiscal expenditures to support the economy have increased. This means that weaker growth due to COVID-19 is unlikely to change the Bank of Canada's (BoC) tightening bias.</p>\n<p>Tapering of asset purchasesshould be complete by the end of the first quarter of 2022. BoC Governor Tiff Macklem has indicated that the reinvestment phase of the bonds held by the central bank will commence once quantitative easing has ended. This should generate an estimated C$1 billion in weekly bond purchases, down from the current pace of C$2 billion. The BoC will likely only consider shrinking its balance sheet after it has started lifting interest rates. The BoC projects that the output gap will close sometime over the second half of 2022, and that rate hikes will be considered after economic slack has disappeared. We believe that the timeline may be a tad aggressive, and a delay to 2023 for liftoff is more likely. This would better align the Canadian central bank with its American counterpart.</p>\n<p><b>Australia/New Zealand</b></p>\n<p>The Australian economy is set to return to life, with lockdowns likely to be eased in October and November. Consumer and business balance sheets continue to look healthy, which should facilitate a strong recovery. The reopening of the international border in 2022 will provide a further boost. Fiscal policy has supported the economy through the downturn, and there is potential for further stimulus in the lead-up to the federal election, which is due before the end of 2022. The Reserve Bank of Australia has begun the process of tapering its bond-purchase program, but we expect that a rise in the cash rate is unlikely until at least the second half of 2023.</p>\n<p>New Zealand’s most recent lockdown will drag on Q3 GDP, but similar to Australia, we expect a solid rebound as the economy reopens. The government aims to provide a vaccine to all adults by the end of 2021, after which borders will gradually reopen. This will provide a boost, particularly to tourism-exposed sectors. Despite having recently put off hiking interest rates due to the recent lockdown, we expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will start raising rates this year. Even though they have significantly underperformed global equities this year, New Zealand equities still screen as relatively expensive compared to other regions.</p>\n<p><b>Asset-class preferences</b></p>\n<p>Our cycle, value and sentiment investment decision-making process in late September 2021 has a moderately positive medium-term view on global equities. Value is expensive across most markets except for UK equities, which are near fair value. The cycle is risk-asset supportive for the medium-term. The major economies still have spare capacity and inflation pressures appear transitory, caused by COVID-19-related supply shortages. Rate hikes by the U.S. Fed seem unlikely before the second half of 2023. Sentiment, after reaching overbought levels earlier in the year, has returned to more neutral levels.</p>\n<p><b>COMPOSITE CONTRARIAN INDICATOR: SENTIMENT SHIFTS TOWARD NEUTRAL</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c527955abbc9e770d200c1d709f80d8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<ul>\n <li>We prefer<b>non-U.S. equities</b>to U.S. equities. Stronger economic growth and steeper yield curves after the third-quarter slowdown should favor undervalued cyclical value stocks over expensive technology and growth stocks. Relative to the U.S., the rest of the world is overweight cyclical value stocks.</li>\n <li><b>Emerging markets equities</b>have been relatively poor performers this year, but there are some encouraging signs. The vaccine rollout across EM has accelerated and policy easing in China should soon boost the economic growth outlook.China’s regulatory crackdownhas caused significant underperformance by Chinese technology companies, but this should be less of a headwind going forward now that it is priced in.</li>\n <li><b>High yield</b>and<b>investment grade credit</b>are expensive on a spread basis but have support from a positive cycle view that accommodates corporate profit growth and keeps default rates low. U.S. dollar-denominated<b>emerging markets debt</b>is close to fair value in spread terms and will gain support on U.S. dollar weakness.</li>\n <li><b>Government bonds</b>are expensive, and yields should come under upward pressure as output gaps close and central banks look to taper back asset purchases. We expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise toward 1.75% in coming months.</li>\n <li><b>Real assets</b>: Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) have significantly outperformed Global Listed Infrastructure (GLI) so far this year, to the extent that REITS are now expensive relative to GLI. Both should benefit from the pandemic recovery, but GLI has some catch-up potential. GLI should benefit from the global re-opening boosting domestic and international travel.<b>Commodities</b>have been the best-performing asset class this year amid strong demand and supply bottlenecks. The gains have been led by industrial metals and energy. The pace of increase should ease as supply issues are resolved, butcommodities should retain supportfrom above-trend global demand.</li>\n <li>The<b>U.S. dollar</b>has been supported this year by expectations for early Fed tightening and U.S. economic growth leadership. It should weaken as global growth leadership rotates away from the U.S. and toward Europe and other developed economies. The dollar typically gains during global downturns and declines in the recovery phase. The main beneficiary is likely to be the<b>euro</b>, which is still undervalued. We also believe<b>British sterling</b>and the economically sensitive<i>commodity currencies</i>—the<b>Australian dollar</b>, the<b>New Zealand dollar</b>and the<b>Canadian dollar</b>—can make further gains, although these currencies are not undervalued from a longer-term perspective.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>ASSET PERFORMANCE SINCE THE BEGINNING OF 2021</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50e253becd38bd122d9fc211e7b0f583\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>1The Group of Seven is an inter-governmental political forum consisting of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States.</p>\n<p><b>Important Information</b></p>\n<p>The views in this Global Market Outlook report are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions and are current as of September 27, 2021. While all material is deemed to be reliable, accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed.</p>\n<p>Please remember that all investments carry some level of risk, including the potential loss of principal invested. They do not typically grow at an even rate of return and may experience negative growth. As with any type of portfolio structuring, attempting to reduce risk and increase return could, at certain times, unintentionally reduce returns.</p>\n<p>Keep in mind that, like all investing, multi-asset investing does not assure a profit or protect against loss.</p>\n<p>No model or group of models can offer a precise estimate of future returns available from capital markets. We remain cautious that rational analytical techniques cannot predict extremes in financial behavior, such as periods of financial euphoria or investor panic. Our models rest on the assumptions of normal and rational financial behavior. Forecasting models are inherently uncertain, subject to change at any time based on a variety of factors and can be inaccurate. Russell believes that the utility of this information is highest in evaluating the relative relationships of various components of a globally diversified portfolio. As such, the models may offer insights into the prudence of over or under weighting those components from time to time or under periods of extreme dislocation. The models are explicitly not intended as market timing signals.</p>\n<p>Forecasting represents predictions of market prices and/or volume patterns utilizing varying analytical data. It is not representative of a projection of the stock market, or of any specific investment.</p>\n<p>Investment in global, international or emerging markets may be significantly affected by political or economic conditions and regulatory requirements in a particular country. Investments in non-U.S. markets can involve risks of currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, different accounting standards and foreign taxation. Such securities may be less liquid and more volatile. Investments in emerging or developing markets involve exposure to economic structures that are generally less diverse and mature, and political systems with less stability than in more developed countries.</p>\n<p>Currency investing involves risks including fluctuations in currency values, whether the home currency or the foreign currency. They can either enhance or reduce the returns associated with foreign investments.</p>\n<p>Investments in non-U.S. markets can involve risks of currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, different accounting standards and foreign taxation.</p>\n<p>Bond investors should carefully consider risks such as interest rate, credit, default and duration risks. Greater risk, such as increased volatility, limited liquidity, prepayment, non-payment and increased default risk, is inherent in portfolios that invest in high yield (“junk”) bonds or mortgage-backed securities, especially mortgage-backed securities with exposure to sub-prime mortgages. Generally, when interest rates rise, prices of fixed income securities fall. Interest rates in the United States are at, or near, historic lows, which may increase a Fund’s exposure to risks associated with rising rates. Investment in non-U.S. and emerging market securities is subject to the risk of currency fluctuations and to economic and political risks associated with such foreign countries.</p>\n<p>Performance quoted represents past performance and should not be viewed as a guarantee of future results.</p>\n<p>The FTSE 100 Index is a market-capitalization weighted index of UK-listed blue chip companies.</p>\n<p>The S&P 500® Index, or the Standard & Poor’s 500, is a stock market index based on the market capitalizations of 500 large companies having common stock listed on the NYSE or NASDAQ.</p>\n<p>The MSCI EMU Index (European Economic and Monetary Union) captures large and mid cap representation across the 10 developed markets countries in the EMU. With 246 constituents, the index covers approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization of the EMU.</p>\n<p>Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly.</p>\n<p>Copyright © Russell Investments 2021. All rights reserved. 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The general information contained on this website should not be acted upon without obtaining specific legal, tax, and investment advice from a licensed professional. Persons outside the United States may find more information about products and services available within their jurisdictions by going to Russell Investments' Worldwide site.</p>\n<p>Russell Investments is committed to ensuring digital accessibility for people with disabilities. We are continually improving the user experience for everyone, and applying the relevant accessibility standards.</p>\n<p>Russell Investments' ownership is composed of a majority stake held by funds managed by TA Associates, with a significant minority stake held by funds managed by Reverence Capital Partners. Russell Investments' employees and Hamilton Lane Advisors, LLC also hold minority, non-controlling, ownership stakes.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2021 Global Market Outlook - Q4 Update: Growing Pains</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2021 Global Market Outlook - Q4 Update: Growing Pains\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-30 09:27 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457651-2021-global-market-outlook-q4-update-growing-pains><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows.\nThe reopening trade should resume in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457651-2021-global-market-outlook-q4-update-growing-pains\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457651-2021-global-market-outlook-q4-update-growing-pains","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1104172212","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows.\nThe reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earnings upgrades than technology-heavy growth stocks, and the value factor is cheap compared to the growth factor.\nThe key risk is that the delta variant or similar proves resilient to vaccination or that infection rates escalate during the Northern Hemisphere winter.\n\nThe COVID-19 delta variant, inflation and central bank tapering are unnerving investors. We expect the pandemic-recovery trade to resume as inflation subsides, infection rates decline and tapering turns out to not equal tightening. Amid this backdrop, our outlook favors equities over bonds, the value factor over the growth factor and non-U.S. stocks over U.S. stocks.\nIntroduction\nThe post-lockdown recovery has transitioned from energetic youthfulness to awkward adolescence. It’s still growing, although at a slower pace, and there are worries about what happens next, particularly about monetary policy and the outlook for inflation. Theinflation spikehas been larger than expected, but we still think it istransitory, caused by base effects from when the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) fell during the lockdown last year and by temporary supply bottlenecks. Inflation may remain high over the remainder of 2021 but should decline in early 2022. This means that even though the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to begin tapering back on asset purchases before the end of the year, rate hikes are unlikely before the second half of 2023.\nAnother worry is thehighly contagious COVID-19 delta variant. The evidence so far is that vaccines are effective in preventing serious COVID-19 infections. Vaccination rates are accelerating globally, and emerging economies are catching up with developed markets. Infection rates appear to have peaked globally in early September. This means the reopening of economies should continue over the remainder of 2021. The onset of winter in the northern hemisphere will be a test, but the rollout of booster vaccination shots should help prevent widescale renewed lockdowns.\nThe conclusions from our cycle, value and sentiment (CVS) investment decision-making process are broadly unchanged from our previous quarterly report. Global equities remain expensive, with the very expensive U.S. market offsetting better value elsewhere. Sentiment is slightly overbought, but not close to dangerous levels of euphoria. The strong cycle delivers a preference for equities over bonds for at least the next 12 months, despite expensive valuations. It also reinforces our preference for thevalue equity factor over the growth factorand for non-U.S. equities to outperform the U.S. market.\nCycle still in recovery phase\nThe post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows. Even so, we think the cycle is still in the recovery phase, although it is maturing. Despite strong growth, there is plenty of spare capacity. This can be seen in the employment-to-population ratio for prime-age workers in the United States. The chart below shows the ratio has recovered from the pandemic lows, but only to levels reached during the relatively mild recessions in the early 1990s and 2000s. We expect theU.S. labor-market recoveryshould still resemble a typical post-recession recovery over the next few quarters.\nU.S. EMPLOYMENT-POPULATION RATIO FOR PRIME-AGE WORKERS\n\nThe U.S. recovery, however, is more advanced than that of other developed economies. The following chart shows how far GDP has recovered, relative to the pre-COVID-19 peak in 2019. GDP is 0.8% higher in the U.S., although this level is still short relative to the pre-COVID-19 trend. GDP is 2.5% below 2019 levels in the euro area and 4.5% below in the United Kingdom. We expect more cyclical upside for economic growth outside the U.S., and this should allow market leadership to rotate toward the rest of the world.\nGDP IN Q2 2021 RELATIVE TO PRE-COVID-19 PEAK IN 2019\n\nTwo key indicators\nLast quarter, we listed two indicators that should offer a guide to the Fed’s expected reaction to the inflation spike.\nThe first is five-year/five-year breakeven inflation expectations, based on the pricing of Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS). This is the market’s forecast for average inflation over five years in five years’ time. It tells us that investors expect inflation will average 2.17% in the five years from late 2026 to late 2031. The TIPS yields are based on the CPI, while the Fed targets inflation as measured by the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) deflator. The two move together over time, but CPI inflation is generally around 0.25% higher than PCE inflation. A breakeven rate of 2.75% would suggest the market sees PCE inflation above 2.5% in five years’ time. Market inflation expectations are currently comfortably below the Fed’s worry point.\nWATCHPOINT INDICATOR #1: U.S. 5-YEAR/5-YEAR BREAKEVEN INFLATION RATE\n\nThe second indicator is the Atlanta Fed’s Wage Growth Tracker, and this has a less-comforting message about inflation risks. It reached 3.9% in August, which isclose to the 4% thresholdwhere we judge that the Fed will become concerned about the inflationary impact on the growth of wages. A breakdown shows that the spike has been mostly driven by wages for low-skilled, young people in the leisure and hospitality industry. This suggests the surge has been caused by temporary labor supply shortages and that wage pressures should subside as economic activity normalizes. This indicator, however, will be an important watchpoint over the next few months.\nWATCHPOINT INDICATOR #2: ATLANTA FED WAGE GROWTH TRACKER\n\nReopening trade still makes sense\nThe reopening trade, which lifts long-term interest rates and favors cyclical and value stocks over technology and growth stocks, worked well for several months following the vaccine announcement last November. Value outperformed growth and yield curves steepened. The trade has reversed in recent months, however, amid fears that the delta variant might derail the economic recovery. The impact has been magnified by short covering in bond markets as investors, who have been short or underweight, have been forced by the rally to buy back into the market, pushing bond yields even lower.\nThe reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earnings upgrades than technology-heavy growth stocks, and the value factor is cheap compared to the growth factor. Financial stocks comprise the largest sector in the MSCI World Value Index, and they should benefit from further yield-curve steepening, which boosts the profitability of banks. Long-term interest rates should rise as global growth remains above trend, delta-variant fears fade, the short squeeze unwinds and central banks begin tapering back on bond purchases.\nThe rotation in economic growth leadership away from the United States should also help the reopening trade. The rest of the world is overweight cyclical value stocks relative to the U.S., which has a higher weight to technology stocks.\nEmerging market (EM) equities have been poor performers since the vaccine announcement, but there are some encouraging signs. Initially, they were held back by the exposure to technology stocks in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index and the slow rollout of COVID-19 vaccines. More recently, they have come under pressure from the slowdown in the Chinese economy and theregulatory crackdown on Chinese tech companies. The vaccine rollout across emerging markets has accelerated and policy easing in China should soon improve the growth outlook. The path of Chinese regulation is harder to predict, but it is now largely priced in, with Chinese technology companies underperforming their global peers by nearly 50% from February 2021 through mid-September.\nThe resumption of the reopening trade should also result in U.S. dollar weakness. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has traded sideways since the vaccine announcement. It should weaken once investors have confidence that delta-variant risks are subsiding and realize that the Fed is likely to remain dovish as inflation risks decline. The dollar typically gains during global downturns and declines in the recovery phase. Dollar weakness should support the performance of non-U.S. markets, particularly emerging markets.\nRisks: variants, inflation, China weakness\nThe key risk is that the delta variant or similar proves resilient to vaccination or that infection rates escalate during the Northern Hemisphere winter. The evidence so far is that vaccinations are highly effective in preventing serious illness. In Israel, booster shots appear to have slowed the rate of new cases.\nAnother watchpoint is inflation and the response of central banks. Our expectation is that this year’s inflation spike is mostly transitory and that the major central banks, led by the Fed, are still two years from raising interest rates.\nFinally, there is the risk of a sharper-than-expected slowdown in China.Credit growth has slowed this yearand the purchasing managers’ indexes (PMI) have trended lower. Monetary and fiscal policy have been eased, however, and senior officials have signaled that more stimulus is on the way. China policy direction and credit trends will be an important watchpoint over coming months.\nRegional snapshotsUnited States\nThe U.S. economy is likely to sustain above-trend growth into 2022. However, the easiest gains appear in the rear-view mirror at the end of the third quarter as the recovery phase of the business cycle matures. This is most visible for corporate earnings, where S&P 500® Index earnings-per-share already sit 20% above their previous cyclical high.\nStrong fundamentals have helped power the stock market to new highs. Early evidence that the delta-variant wave may be fading and the potential for greater vaccine access for children are positives for a more complete recovery in the quarters ahead. The Fedlooks poised to start tapering its asset purchasesaround the end of 2021. The timing of the first rate hike will then hinge on what happens to inflation next year. Our models suggest that inflation is likely to drop back below the Fed’s 2% target in 2022. If that is correct, the Fed is likely to remain on hold into the second half of 2023.\nWage inflation is a key risk to this view. It is running unusually strong for this stage of the cycle, and record hiring intentions from businesses could exhaust spare capacity in the year ahead. We expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise moderately from 1.37% in mid-September to 1.75% in coming months.\nFiscal stimulus negotiations continue to grab headlines in Washington, D.C. Thetax provisions in these billsare likely to be the most impactful for financial markets. We estimate thathigher corporate taxescould subtract about four percentage points from S&P 500 earnings growth in 2022. This could create volatility and opportunity in markets. Given our strong cyclical outlook, our bias continues to be arisk-onpreference for equities over bonds for the medium-term.\nEurozone\nEuro area growthslowed through the third quarter but looks on track for a return to above-trend growth over the fourth quarter and into 2022. Vaccination rates are high, and the euro area has more catch-up potential than other major economies, particularly the United States. The euro area is also set to receive more fiscal support than other regions, with the European Union’s pandemic recovery fund only just starting to disburse stimulus, which will provide significant support in southern Europe. Polls in advance of Germany’s federal election on Sept. 26 suggested the electorate was moving toward the political left, which means the new government is likely to support expansionary fiscal policy and a continued dovish stance by the European Central Bank (ECB).\nThe MSCI EMU Index, which reflects the European Economic and Monetary Union, has performed broadly in line with the S&P 500 so far in 2021. We think it has potential to outperform in coming quarters. Europe’s exposure to financials and cyclically sensitive sectors such as industrials, materials and energy, and its relatively small exposure to technology, gives it the potential to outperform as delta-variant fears subside, economic activity picks up and yield curves in Europe steepen.\nUnited Kingdom\nAs of mid-year, UK GDP was still nearly 4.5% below its pre-pandemic peak. We see plenty of scope for strong catch-up growth as borders are fully reopened and activity normalizes. Supply bottlenecks and labor shortages have triggered a sharp rise in underlying inflation and created concerns that the Bank of England (BoE) may start rate hikes in the first half of 2022. We think the BoE is unlikely to be that aggressive. We expect inflation to decline in early 2022 as supply constraints ease, which should convince the BoE to delay rate hikes.\nThe FTSE 100 Index is the cheapest of the major developed equity markets in late 2021, and this should help it reflect higher returns than other markets over the next decade. Around 70% of UK corporate earnings come from offshore, so one near-term risk is that further strengthening of British sterling dampens earnings growth. The other risks are mostly around policy missteps, for example, early tightening by the Bank of England.\nJapan\nThe Japanese economy is expected to get a shot in the arm as rising vaccination rates improve mobility and reduce the risk of further lockdowns, and as political leadership changes result in more fiscal stimulus: the Japanese election is due to be held before Nov. 28. Japanese equities look slightly more expensive than other regions such as the UK and Europe. We maintain our view that the Bank of Japan will significantly lag other central banks in normalizing policy.\nChina\nWe expect Chinese economic growth to berobust over the next 12 months, supported by a post-lockdown jump in consumer spending and incremental fiscal and monetary easing. Despite a big improvement in vaccination rates,COVID-19 outbreaks remain a riskgiven the Chinese government’s zero-tolerance approach. The major consumer technology companies have seen significant drops in stock prices recently due to more aggressive regulation. Some uncertainty remains around thepath of future regulation, especially as it relates to technology companies, and as a result we expect investors will remain cautious on Chinese equities in the coming months. The property market, particularly property developers as recently highlighted by Evergrande’s debt crisis, remains a risk that we are monitoring closely.\nCanada\nCanada leads the G71countries in terms of the vaccination rollout, which should minimize the risk of large-scale lockdowns over winter. The delta variant has taken an economic toll, however, with industry consensus projections now predicting 5% GDP growth in 2021 versus estimates of more than 6% just three months ago. Even so, growth remains above-trend and the odds of additional fiscal expenditures to support the economy have increased. This means that weaker growth due to COVID-19 is unlikely to change the Bank of Canada's (BoC) tightening bias.\nTapering of asset purchasesshould be complete by the end of the first quarter of 2022. BoC Governor Tiff Macklem has indicated that the reinvestment phase of the bonds held by the central bank will commence once quantitative easing has ended. This should generate an estimated C$1 billion in weekly bond purchases, down from the current pace of C$2 billion. The BoC will likely only consider shrinking its balance sheet after it has started lifting interest rates. The BoC projects that the output gap will close sometime over the second half of 2022, and that rate hikes will be considered after economic slack has disappeared. We believe that the timeline may be a tad aggressive, and a delay to 2023 for liftoff is more likely. This would better align the Canadian central bank with its American counterpart.\nAustralia/New Zealand\nThe Australian economy is set to return to life, with lockdowns likely to be eased in October and November. Consumer and business balance sheets continue to look healthy, which should facilitate a strong recovery. The reopening of the international border in 2022 will provide a further boost. Fiscal policy has supported the economy through the downturn, and there is potential for further stimulus in the lead-up to the federal election, which is due before the end of 2022. The Reserve Bank of Australia has begun the process of tapering its bond-purchase program, but we expect that a rise in the cash rate is unlikely until at least the second half of 2023.\nNew Zealand’s most recent lockdown will drag on Q3 GDP, but similar to Australia, we expect a solid rebound as the economy reopens. The government aims to provide a vaccine to all adults by the end of 2021, after which borders will gradually reopen. This will provide a boost, particularly to tourism-exposed sectors. Despite having recently put off hiking interest rates due to the recent lockdown, we expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will start raising rates this year. Even though they have significantly underperformed global equities this year, New Zealand equities still screen as relatively expensive compared to other regions.\nAsset-class preferences\nOur cycle, value and sentiment investment decision-making process in late September 2021 has a moderately positive medium-term view on global equities. Value is expensive across most markets except for UK equities, which are near fair value. The cycle is risk-asset supportive for the medium-term. The major economies still have spare capacity and inflation pressures appear transitory, caused by COVID-19-related supply shortages. Rate hikes by the U.S. Fed seem unlikely before the second half of 2023. Sentiment, after reaching overbought levels earlier in the year, has returned to more neutral levels.\nCOMPOSITE CONTRARIAN INDICATOR: SENTIMENT SHIFTS TOWARD NEUTRAL\n\n\nWe prefernon-U.S. equitiesto U.S. equities. Stronger economic growth and steeper yield curves after the third-quarter slowdown should favor undervalued cyclical value stocks over expensive technology and growth stocks. Relative to the U.S., the rest of the world is overweight cyclical value stocks.\nEmerging markets equitieshave been relatively poor performers this year, but there are some encouraging signs. The vaccine rollout across EM has accelerated and policy easing in China should soon boost the economic growth outlook.China’s regulatory crackdownhas caused significant underperformance by Chinese technology companies, but this should be less of a headwind going forward now that it is priced in.\nHigh yieldandinvestment grade creditare expensive on a spread basis but have support from a positive cycle view that accommodates corporate profit growth and keeps default rates low. U.S. dollar-denominatedemerging markets debtis close to fair value in spread terms and will gain support on U.S. dollar weakness.\nGovernment bondsare expensive, and yields should come under upward pressure as output gaps close and central banks look to taper back asset purchases. We expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise toward 1.75% in coming months.\nReal assets: Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) have significantly outperformed Global Listed Infrastructure (GLI) so far this year, to the extent that REITS are now expensive relative to GLI. Both should benefit from the pandemic recovery, but GLI has some catch-up potential. GLI should benefit from the global re-opening boosting domestic and international travel.Commoditieshave been the best-performing asset class this year amid strong demand and supply bottlenecks. The gains have been led by industrial metals and energy. The pace of increase should ease as supply issues are resolved, butcommodities should retain supportfrom above-trend global demand.\nTheU.S. dollarhas been supported this year by expectations for early Fed tightening and U.S. economic growth leadership. It should weaken as global growth leadership rotates away from the U.S. and toward Europe and other developed economies. The dollar typically gains during global downturns and declines in the recovery phase. The main beneficiary is likely to be theeuro, which is still undervalued. We also believeBritish sterlingand the economically sensitivecommodity currencies—theAustralian dollar, theNew Zealand dollarand theCanadian dollar—can make further gains, although these currencies are not undervalued from a longer-term perspective.\n\nASSET PERFORMANCE SINCE THE BEGINNING OF 2021\n\n1The Group of Seven is an inter-governmental political forum consisting of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States.\nImportant Information\nThe views in this Global Market Outlook report are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions and are current as of September 27, 2021. While all material is deemed to be reliable, accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed.\nPlease remember that all investments carry some level of risk, including the potential loss of principal invested. They do not typically grow at an even rate of return and may experience negative growth. As with any type of portfolio structuring, attempting to reduce risk and increase return could, at certain times, unintentionally reduce returns.\nKeep in mind that, like all investing, multi-asset investing does not assure a profit or protect against loss.\nNo model or group of models can offer a precise estimate of future returns available from capital markets. We remain cautious that rational analytical techniques cannot predict extremes in financial behavior, such as periods of financial euphoria or investor panic. Our models rest on the assumptions of normal and rational financial behavior. Forecasting models are inherently uncertain, subject to change at any time based on a variety of factors and can be inaccurate. Russell believes that the utility of this information is highest in evaluating the relative relationships of various components of a globally diversified portfolio. As such, the models may offer insights into the prudence of over or under weighting those components from time to time or under periods of extreme dislocation. The models are explicitly not intended as market timing signals.\nForecasting represents predictions of market prices and/or volume patterns utilizing varying analytical data. It is not representative of a projection of the stock market, or of any specific investment.\nInvestment in global, international or emerging markets may be significantly affected by political or economic conditions and regulatory requirements in a particular country. Investments in non-U.S. markets can involve risks of currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, different accounting standards and foreign taxation. Such securities may be less liquid and more volatile. Investments in emerging or developing markets involve exposure to economic structures that are generally less diverse and mature, and political systems with less stability than in more developed countries.\nCurrency investing involves risks including fluctuations in currency values, whether the home currency or the foreign currency. They can either enhance or reduce the returns associated with foreign investments.\nInvestments in non-U.S. markets can involve risks of currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, different accounting standards and foreign taxation.\nBond investors should carefully consider risks such as interest rate, credit, default and duration risks. Greater risk, such as increased volatility, limited liquidity, prepayment, non-payment and increased default risk, is inherent in portfolios that invest in high yield (“junk”) bonds or mortgage-backed securities, especially mortgage-backed securities with exposure to sub-prime mortgages. Generally, when interest rates rise, prices of fixed income securities fall. Interest rates in the United States are at, or near, historic lows, which may increase a Fund’s exposure to risks associated with rising rates. Investment in non-U.S. and emerging market securities is subject to the risk of currency fluctuations and to economic and political risks associated with such foreign countries.\nPerformance quoted represents past performance and should not be viewed as a guarantee of future results.\nThe FTSE 100 Index is a market-capitalization weighted index of UK-listed blue chip companies.\nThe S&P 500® Index, or the Standard & Poor’s 500, is a stock market index based on the market capitalizations of 500 large companies having common stock listed on the NYSE or NASDAQ.\nThe MSCI EMU Index (European Economic and Monetary Union) captures large and mid cap representation across the 10 developed markets countries in the EMU. With 246 constituents, the index covers approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization of the EMU.\nIndexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly.\nCopyright © Russell Investments 2021. All rights reserved. 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Russell Investments' employees and Hamilton Lane Advisors, LLC also hold minority, non-controlling, ownership stakes.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":597,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861316387,"gmtCreate":1632456279949,"gmtModify":1632721488395,"author":{"id":"3582004437679142","authorId":"3582004437679142","name":"heyjules","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81e1cae988364e940d10f9b4cea87831","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861316387","repostId":"2169240695","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":476,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828902533,"gmtCreate":1633829726584,"gmtModify":1633829726584,"author":{"id":"3582004437679142","authorId":"3582004437679142","name":"heyjules","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81e1cae988364e940d10f9b4cea87831","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks","listText":"Thanks","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828902533","repostId":"1194780749","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194780749","pubTimestamp":1633828304,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1194780749?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-10 09:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2022 Could Be A Great Year","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194780749","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Economies are reaccelerating as the number of Delta cases and death have peaked.We could have a great year in 2022 if our government could get its act together.We have concentrated on the producers that will benefit from a robust global economy and tech companies benefitting from the digitalization boom.Even though we are rapidly putting the delta variant in the rear-view mirror, financial markets are struggling due to a lack of leadership in D.C. We have shortages and supply line issues that ha","content":"<p>Summary</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Economies are reaccelerating as the number of Delta cases and death have peaked.</li>\n <li>We could have a great year in 2022 if our government could get its act together.</li>\n <li>We have concentrated on the producers that will benefit from a robust global economy and tech companies benefitting from the digitalization boom.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Even though we are rapidly putting the delta variant in the rear-view mirror, financial markets are struggling due to a lack of leadership in D.C. We have shortages and supply line issues that hamper production and profitability. All of this will pass.</p>\n<p>What is the problem? Our government is dysfunctional, and we need leadership, especially now, to handle the myriad of domestic and foreign issues facing all of us. We will muddle through and finally get a much-needed traditional infrastructure bill and possibly a scaled-down $2 trillion social spending bill along with lower-than-expected punitive tax increases, this year but 2022 could be a great year, not just a very good year, if only we worked together.</p>\n<p>We have not altered our view that S&P earnings could exceed $220/share in 2022 and $235/share in 2023 as operating margins hit nearly 14% in 2023, up from 11.5% in 2019. Why? Corporations have learned to do more with less during the pandemic; shortages and supply line issues will ease, and substantial increases in technology spending will go a long way, offsetting higher labor costs while improving operations/efficiencies on all levels. Powell will be right that higher inflationary pressures will be transitory, but it may take longer to normalize. We will continue to have accommodative fiscal and monetary policies in 2022. Not a bad market scenario, so use corrections as opportunities to add to your positions. So, as I've said before, invest, don't trade.</p>\n<p>Economies are reaccelerating as the number of Delta cases and death have peaked. Domestic cases have declined 23% and deaths 13% over the 14 days and 17% and 14%, respectively, globally. More than 6.43 billion doses have been administered globally across 184 countries at a daily rate of 28.7 million doses per day. In the U.S., 398 million doses have been given so far at an elevated rate of 931,983 doses per day.</p>\n<p>We still see over 75% of the global population vaccinated within six months and herd immunity sooner. Pfizer(NYSE:PFE)filed Thursday with the FDA its vaccine for children ages 5-11, bringing shots for all school-age children closer, which will boost the economy as parents can return to work. We expect that both Pfizer and Merck's(NYSE:MRK)filings with the FDA will be approved well before year-end. All good news!</p>\n<p>The Fed is itching to start tapering, ending its extraordinary monetary support, which is no longer needed as the economy is on firm footing, and it appears that the Delta variant is subsiding. Unfortunately, Powell and the Fed have been called out for oversight over board members' trading. Two governors have already resigned, and we expect one more may leave shortly. Tapering will probably begin before year-end if the next employment report improves from September and be finished by the third quarter of 2022.</p>\n<p>Again, tapering is NOT tightening, and we do not expect the Fed to start hiking the funds' rate until early 2023. The \"real\" funds' rate will be negative for some time which is NOT tightening at all. By the way, we disagree with Elizabeth Warren's criticism of Chairman Powell and hope that he is renominated next year. The bottom line is that the Fed will remain your friend for at least another 18 months. Don't fight the Fed!</p>\n<p>We are so frustrated by what is happening in D.C. It is all about politics, no surprise, and not about doing what is best for this country. Why do we always have to go to the brink before action is taken? That is precisely what happened this week when the Republicans caved and offered a two-month short-term debt limit extension letting the Dems off the hook from going the route of reconciliation. It passed Thursday night. Daily negotiations continue for the massive social infrastructure program. It will be much smaller than initially proposed, closer to $2 trillion rather than $3.5 trillion. We expect the individual and corporate tax increases to be much more reasonable than initially proposed, which is a clear positive for the economy and financial markets.</p>\n<p>The domestic economy is recovering from the Delta variant, which penalized growth during the summer months. The areas hit most over the summer; travel, dining, and leisure are coming back strongly, as evidenced by the recovery in the high-frequency data.</p>\n<p>Other recent data points include: initial jobless claims fell more than expected to 326,000; the index of consumer sentiment rose in September to 72.9, current economic conditions increased to 80.1, and consumer expectations rose to 68.1; the September Manufacturing PMI increased to 61.1, new orders to 66.7, employment up to 50.1, supplier deliveries to 73.4 and prices index increased to 81.2; the services index grew for the 15th month hitting 60.1, new orders at 63.2, employment at 53.7 and supplier deliveries at 69.6; new orders for manufactured goods increased 1.2% while shipments rose 0.1% and unfilled orders increased 1.0%; and the trade deficit widened to $73.3 billion as imports increased more rapidly than exports due to the strength of the domestic economy.</p>\n<p>Growth and profitability would be even more robust if not for shortages and supply line issues. But that will turn around in 2022 and be a big plus. The September employment data was disappointing with only 194,000 jobs created. The private sector did better adding 317,000 jobs while the public sector lost 123,000 jobs. Interestingly the unemployment rate fell to 4.8% which is the Fed's year-end target as the participation rate declined to 61.6. Hourly earnings rose 0.6% and are up 4.3% in the year through August. The Fed will most likely wait to see the next employment report before beginning tapering.</p>\n<p>The Eurozone economy has finally exceeded pre-covid levels, with most of the 20 indices that we monitor accelerating in recent weeks as cases/deaths have declined meaningfully. Shortages and supply line issues have hampered production while increasing inflationary pressures and won't ease until mid-2022. Energy costs are a real problem and may penalize growth next year. Unfortunately, OPEC opted against a big output boost lifting production by only 400,000 barrels/day, which will not be enough to limit further price increases, especially if we have a cold winter. And natural gas prices have gone through the roof, which will crimp consumer spending and hurt corporate operating margins.</p>\n<p>The global economy is improving as the number of covid cases, and deaths have peaked. Growth would even be more robust if not for shortages and supply line issues, but that will reverse as we move through 2022.</p>\n<p>Investment Conclusions</p>\n<p>Thursday, there was a massive sigh of relief when Congress agreed to extend the debt limit two months, ending the stalemate. We expect the Dems to coalesce around a roughly $2 trillion social infrastructure bill that will permit passage of the much-needed $1 trillion traditional infrastructure bill. What is a government? Fiscal policy will remain stimulative for years to come.</p>\n<p>Then we have a monetary policy. We expect the Fed to remain accommodative for a few more years. We do expect tapering to begin before year-end if the November employment report improves from the last one, but we do <b>not</b> see a rate hike until 2023, and even then, the \"real\" funds' rate will be negative, which is not restrictive at all.</p>\n<p>Shortages and supply line issues have played havoc on production and profitability for many industries/companies around the world in 2021, but this will reverse as we move through 2022, creating opportunities for investors willing to look over the valley.</p>\n<p>The bottom line is that we could have a great year in 2022 if our government could get its act together. The key remains keeping the coronavirus out of the picture, so we must vaccinate all the unvaccinated.</p>\n<p>While we have not seen many changes in our portfolio over the last few months, we have concentrated on the producers that will benefit from a robust global economy and tech companies benefitting from the digitalization boom. We recently added some financials and energy companies as we expect the yield curve to steepen more than previously anticipated. Higher energy prices are immediately ahead as demand outstrips supply. Next year, the big story will be the significant increase in dividends and buybacks well above the historical trend.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2022 Could Be A Great Year</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2022 Could Be A Great Year\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-10 09:11 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4459137-2022-could-be-a-great-year><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nEconomies are reaccelerating as the number of Delta cases and death have peaked.\nWe could have a great year in 2022 if our government could get its act together.\nWe have concentrated on the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4459137-2022-could-be-a-great-year\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4459137-2022-could-be-a-great-year","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1194780749","content_text":"Summary\n\nEconomies are reaccelerating as the number of Delta cases and death have peaked.\nWe could have a great year in 2022 if our government could get its act together.\nWe have concentrated on the producers that will benefit from a robust global economy and tech companies benefitting from the digitalization boom.\n\nEven though we are rapidly putting the delta variant in the rear-view mirror, financial markets are struggling due to a lack of leadership in D.C. We have shortages and supply line issues that hamper production and profitability. All of this will pass.\nWhat is the problem? Our government is dysfunctional, and we need leadership, especially now, to handle the myriad of domestic and foreign issues facing all of us. We will muddle through and finally get a much-needed traditional infrastructure bill and possibly a scaled-down $2 trillion social spending bill along with lower-than-expected punitive tax increases, this year but 2022 could be a great year, not just a very good year, if only we worked together.\nWe have not altered our view that S&P earnings could exceed $220/share in 2022 and $235/share in 2023 as operating margins hit nearly 14% in 2023, up from 11.5% in 2019. Why? Corporations have learned to do more with less during the pandemic; shortages and supply line issues will ease, and substantial increases in technology spending will go a long way, offsetting higher labor costs while improving operations/efficiencies on all levels. Powell will be right that higher inflationary pressures will be transitory, but it may take longer to normalize. We will continue to have accommodative fiscal and monetary policies in 2022. Not a bad market scenario, so use corrections as opportunities to add to your positions. So, as I've said before, invest, don't trade.\nEconomies are reaccelerating as the number of Delta cases and death have peaked. Domestic cases have declined 23% and deaths 13% over the 14 days and 17% and 14%, respectively, globally. More than 6.43 billion doses have been administered globally across 184 countries at a daily rate of 28.7 million doses per day. In the U.S., 398 million doses have been given so far at an elevated rate of 931,983 doses per day.\nWe still see over 75% of the global population vaccinated within six months and herd immunity sooner. Pfizer(NYSE:PFE)filed Thursday with the FDA its vaccine for children ages 5-11, bringing shots for all school-age children closer, which will boost the economy as parents can return to work. We expect that both Pfizer and Merck's(NYSE:MRK)filings with the FDA will be approved well before year-end. All good news!\nThe Fed is itching to start tapering, ending its extraordinary monetary support, which is no longer needed as the economy is on firm footing, and it appears that the Delta variant is subsiding. Unfortunately, Powell and the Fed have been called out for oversight over board members' trading. Two governors have already resigned, and we expect one more may leave shortly. Tapering will probably begin before year-end if the next employment report improves from September and be finished by the third quarter of 2022.\nAgain, tapering is NOT tightening, and we do not expect the Fed to start hiking the funds' rate until early 2023. The \"real\" funds' rate will be negative for some time which is NOT tightening at all. By the way, we disagree with Elizabeth Warren's criticism of Chairman Powell and hope that he is renominated next year. The bottom line is that the Fed will remain your friend for at least another 18 months. Don't fight the Fed!\nWe are so frustrated by what is happening in D.C. It is all about politics, no surprise, and not about doing what is best for this country. Why do we always have to go to the brink before action is taken? That is precisely what happened this week when the Republicans caved and offered a two-month short-term debt limit extension letting the Dems off the hook from going the route of reconciliation. It passed Thursday night. Daily negotiations continue for the massive social infrastructure program. It will be much smaller than initially proposed, closer to $2 trillion rather than $3.5 trillion. We expect the individual and corporate tax increases to be much more reasonable than initially proposed, which is a clear positive for the economy and financial markets.\nThe domestic economy is recovering from the Delta variant, which penalized growth during the summer months. The areas hit most over the summer; travel, dining, and leisure are coming back strongly, as evidenced by the recovery in the high-frequency data.\nOther recent data points include: initial jobless claims fell more than expected to 326,000; the index of consumer sentiment rose in September to 72.9, current economic conditions increased to 80.1, and consumer expectations rose to 68.1; the September Manufacturing PMI increased to 61.1, new orders to 66.7, employment up to 50.1, supplier deliveries to 73.4 and prices index increased to 81.2; the services index grew for the 15th month hitting 60.1, new orders at 63.2, employment at 53.7 and supplier deliveries at 69.6; new orders for manufactured goods increased 1.2% while shipments rose 0.1% and unfilled orders increased 1.0%; and the trade deficit widened to $73.3 billion as imports increased more rapidly than exports due to the strength of the domestic economy.\nGrowth and profitability would be even more robust if not for shortages and supply line issues. But that will turn around in 2022 and be a big plus. The September employment data was disappointing with only 194,000 jobs created. The private sector did better adding 317,000 jobs while the public sector lost 123,000 jobs. Interestingly the unemployment rate fell to 4.8% which is the Fed's year-end target as the participation rate declined to 61.6. Hourly earnings rose 0.6% and are up 4.3% in the year through August. The Fed will most likely wait to see the next employment report before beginning tapering.\nThe Eurozone economy has finally exceeded pre-covid levels, with most of the 20 indices that we monitor accelerating in recent weeks as cases/deaths have declined meaningfully. Shortages and supply line issues have hampered production while increasing inflationary pressures and won't ease until mid-2022. Energy costs are a real problem and may penalize growth next year. Unfortunately, OPEC opted against a big output boost lifting production by only 400,000 barrels/day, which will not be enough to limit further price increases, especially if we have a cold winter. And natural gas prices have gone through the roof, which will crimp consumer spending and hurt corporate operating margins.\nThe global economy is improving as the number of covid cases, and deaths have peaked. Growth would even be more robust if not for shortages and supply line issues, but that will reverse as we move through 2022.\nInvestment Conclusions\nThursday, there was a massive sigh of relief when Congress agreed to extend the debt limit two months, ending the stalemate. We expect the Dems to coalesce around a roughly $2 trillion social infrastructure bill that will permit passage of the much-needed $1 trillion traditional infrastructure bill. What is a government? Fiscal policy will remain stimulative for years to come.\nThen we have a monetary policy. We expect the Fed to remain accommodative for a few more years. We do expect tapering to begin before year-end if the November employment report improves from the last one, but we do not see a rate hike until 2023, and even then, the \"real\" funds' rate will be negative, which is not restrictive at all.\nShortages and supply line issues have played havoc on production and profitability for many industries/companies around the world in 2021, but this will reverse as we move through 2022, creating opportunities for investors willing to look over the valley.\nThe bottom line is that we could have a great year in 2022 if our government could get its act together. The key remains keeping the coronavirus out of the picture, so we must vaccinate all the unvaccinated.\nWhile we have not seen many changes in our portfolio over the last few months, we have concentrated on the producers that will benefit from a robust global economy and tech companies benefitting from the digitalization boom. We recently added some financials and energy companies as we expect the yield curve to steepen more than previously anticipated. Higher energy prices are immediately ahead as demand outstrips supply. Next year, the big story will be the significant increase in dividends and buybacks well above the historical trend.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":460,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864369993,"gmtCreate":1633058358595,"gmtModify":1633058358877,"author":{"id":"3582004437679142","authorId":"3582004437679142","name":"heyjules","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81e1cae988364e940d10f9b4cea87831","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like thx","listText":"Like thx","text":"Like thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864369993","repostId":"2172522279","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2172522279","pubTimestamp":1633054440,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2172522279?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-01 10:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dollar heads for best week in months as Fed tightening looms","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2172522279","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"By Tom Westbrook\nSINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar began the last quarter of 2021 near its highest le","content":"<p>By Tom Westbrook</p>\n<p>SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar began the last quarter of 2021 near its highest levels of the year and headed for its best week since June, as currency markets braced for U.S. interest rates to rise before those of major peers.</p>\n<p>The euro slipped 0.1% early on Friday to $1.1572 and has fallen 1.3% this week, tumbling through major support around $1.16 to touch its lowest levels since July 2020.</p>\n<p>The yen is down 0.6% for the week and twice as much in a fortnight as higher U.S. Treasury yields have drawn flows out of the Japanese yen into dollars. U.S. Treasury yields have surged on growing market expectations of U.S. tapering by year-end and rate hikes in 2022. [US/]</p>\n<p>The yen bounced from a 19-month low of 112.08 per dollar on Thursday as yields settled, last trading at 111.41 per dollar. The dollar index stood at 94.327, having gained 1.1% so far this week, the largest weekly rise since late June.</p>\n<p>A Federal Reserve meeting last week reinforced expectations for asset purchase tapering beginning this year and rate hikes starting in 2022 or early in 2023.</p>\n<p>\"As long as markets remain confident that the U.S. is going to start tightening monetary policy within a reasonable timeframe, the dollar should remain well supported and eventually rise 5-10% from current levels,\" said Societe Generale strategist Kit Juckes.</p>\n<p>\"The prospect of the European Central Bank keeping rates below zero while the Fed hikes should keep euro/dollar in the post-2014 range, with a centre of gravity around $1.12-1.16,\" he said.</p>\n<p>Commodity currencies made a bounce on the dollar on Thursday following a Bloomberg report which said China had ordered energy companies to secure supplies for the winter at all costs, citing unnamed people familiar with the matter.</p>\n<p>Beijing is scrambling to deliver more coal to utilities to restore supply amid a power crunch that has unsettled markets due to the likely hit to economic growth.</p>\n<p>The Australian dollar rose 0.7% overnight but that was hardly enough to offset a slide in the quarter as prices for Australia's major export, iron ore, fell. The Aussie slumped 3.6% in the third quarter - the worst performance of any G10 currency against the dollar.</p>\n<p>The Aussie hit <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-month lows earlier this week and was last just above those levels at $0.7222. The New Zealand dollar also lifted from a month-low on Thursday and last sat at $0.6892. [AUD/]</p>\n<p>Central banks in both countries meet next week, with the Reserve Bank of New Zealand expected to hike rates.</p>\n<p>Sterling was also an underperformer last quarter, dropping 2.5%, and looks set to log its worst week in more than a month weighed by worries about a hawkish sounding central bank in spite of growing supply chain problems. [GBP/]</p>\n<p>Sterling traded just above a 9-month low at $1.3445.</p>\n<p>Markets in Hong Kong and China are closed on Friday. Later in the day, traders are awaiting U.S. personal spending and core consumption deflator data and nervously watching for any progress on the debate over raising the U.S. debt ceiling.</p>\n<p>A deadline for authorising extra Treasury borrowing looms in mid-October.</p>\n<p>========================================================</p>\n<p>Currency bid prices at 0134 GMT</p>\n<p>Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid</p>\n<p>Previous Change</p>\n<p>Session</p>\n<p>Euro/Dollar</p>\n<p>$1.1571 $1.1578 -0.06% -5.30% +1.1583 +1.1564</p>\n<p>Dollar/Yen</p>\n<p>111.2700 111.3550 -0.07% +7.73% +111.4800 +111.2750</p>\n<p>Euro/Yen</p>\n<p>128.76 128.82 -0.05% +1.45% +129.0400 +128.6700</p>\n<p>Dollar/Swiss</p>\n<p>0.9321 0.9317 +0.05% +5.36% +0.9333 +0.9314</p>\n<p>Sterling/Dollar</p>\n<p>1.3452 1.3477 -0.17% -1.52% +1.3480 +1.3445</p>\n<p>Dollar/Canadian</p>\n<p>1.2702 1.2685 +0.13% -0.25% +1.2712 +1.2678</p>\n<p>Aussie/Dollar</p>\n<p>0.7223 0.7227 -0.03% -6.09% +0.7240 +0.7221</p>\n<p>NZ</p>\n<p>Dollar/Dollar 0.6891 0.6897 -0.09% -4.04% +0.6904 +0.6890</p>\n<p>All spots</p>\n<p>Tokyo spots</p>\n<p>Europe spots</p>\n<p>Volatilities</p>\n<p>Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ</p>\n<p>(Reporting by Tom Westbrook; Editing by Ana Nicolaci da Costa)</p>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dollar heads for best week in months as Fed tightening looms</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDollar heads for best week in months as Fed tightening looms\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-01 10:14 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=19008761><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>By Tom Westbrook\nSINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar began the last quarter of 2021 near its highest levels of the year and headed for its best week since June, as currency markets braced for U.S. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=19008761\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=19008761","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2172522279","content_text":"By Tom Westbrook\nSINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar began the last quarter of 2021 near its highest levels of the year and headed for its best week since June, as currency markets braced for U.S. interest rates to rise before those of major peers.\nThe euro slipped 0.1% early on Friday to $1.1572 and has fallen 1.3% this week, tumbling through major support around $1.16 to touch its lowest levels since July 2020.\nThe yen is down 0.6% for the week and twice as much in a fortnight as higher U.S. Treasury yields have drawn flows out of the Japanese yen into dollars. U.S. Treasury yields have surged on growing market expectations of U.S. tapering by year-end and rate hikes in 2022. [US/]\nThe yen bounced from a 19-month low of 112.08 per dollar on Thursday as yields settled, last trading at 111.41 per dollar. The dollar index stood at 94.327, having gained 1.1% so far this week, the largest weekly rise since late June.\nA Federal Reserve meeting last week reinforced expectations for asset purchase tapering beginning this year and rate hikes starting in 2022 or early in 2023.\n\"As long as markets remain confident that the U.S. is going to start tightening monetary policy within a reasonable timeframe, the dollar should remain well supported and eventually rise 5-10% from current levels,\" said Societe Generale strategist Kit Juckes.\n\"The prospect of the European Central Bank keeping rates below zero while the Fed hikes should keep euro/dollar in the post-2014 range, with a centre of gravity around $1.12-1.16,\" he said.\nCommodity currencies made a bounce on the dollar on Thursday following a Bloomberg report which said China had ordered energy companies to secure supplies for the winter at all costs, citing unnamed people familiar with the matter.\nBeijing is scrambling to deliver more coal to utilities to restore supply amid a power crunch that has unsettled markets due to the likely hit to economic growth.\nThe Australian dollar rose 0.7% overnight but that was hardly enough to offset a slide in the quarter as prices for Australia's major export, iron ore, fell. The Aussie slumped 3.6% in the third quarter - the worst performance of any G10 currency against the dollar.\nThe Aussie hit one-month lows earlier this week and was last just above those levels at $0.7222. The New Zealand dollar also lifted from a month-low on Thursday and last sat at $0.6892. [AUD/]\nCentral banks in both countries meet next week, with the Reserve Bank of New Zealand expected to hike rates.\nSterling was also an underperformer last quarter, dropping 2.5%, and looks set to log its worst week in more than a month weighed by worries about a hawkish sounding central bank in spite of growing supply chain problems. [GBP/]\nSterling traded just above a 9-month low at $1.3445.\nMarkets in Hong Kong and China are closed on Friday. Later in the day, traders are awaiting U.S. personal spending and core consumption deflator data and nervously watching for any progress on the debate over raising the U.S. debt ceiling.\nA deadline for authorising extra Treasury borrowing looms in mid-October.\n========================================================\nCurrency bid prices at 0134 GMT\nDescription RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid\nPrevious Change\nSession\nEuro/Dollar\n$1.1571 $1.1578 -0.06% -5.30% +1.1583 +1.1564\nDollar/Yen\n111.2700 111.3550 -0.07% +7.73% +111.4800 +111.2750\nEuro/Yen\n128.76 128.82 -0.05% +1.45% +129.0400 +128.6700\nDollar/Swiss\n0.9321 0.9317 +0.05% +5.36% +0.9333 +0.9314\nSterling/Dollar\n1.3452 1.3477 -0.17% -1.52% +1.3480 +1.3445\nDollar/Canadian\n1.2702 1.2685 +0.13% -0.25% +1.2712 +1.2678\nAussie/Dollar\n0.7223 0.7227 -0.03% -6.09% +0.7240 +0.7221\nNZ\nDollar/Dollar 0.6891 0.6897 -0.09% -4.04% +0.6904 +0.6890\nAll spots\nTokyo spots\nEurope spots\nVolatilities\nTokyo Forex market info from BOJ\n(Reporting by Tom Westbrook; Editing by Ana Nicolaci da Costa)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":471,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":876185966,"gmtCreate":1637282621468,"gmtModify":1637282621627,"author":{"id":"3582004437679142","authorId":"3582004437679142","name":"heyjules","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81e1cae988364e940d10f9b4cea87831","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting","listText":"Interesting","text":"Interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876185966","repostId":"1185082595","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185082595","pubTimestamp":1637276340,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185082595?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-19 06:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500, Nasdaq hit record closing highs","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185082595","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs on Thursday, boosted by upbeat corpo","content":"<p>(Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs on Thursday, boosted by upbeat corporate earnings news from companies including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia</a>, while Turkey's lira weakened further after its central bank cut rates.</p>\n<p>MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe was flat, and the Dow Jones industrial average ended lower.Nvidia's stock jumped and was among the biggest supports for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq after it beat quarterly estimates and forecast strong fourth-quarter revenue. Macy's(M.N)shares shot up 21.2% after it raised its earnings outlook.</p>\n<p>On the flip side, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CSCO\">Cisco Systems</a> shares fell 5.5%, a day after it forecast current-quarter revenue below expectations due to supply chain shortages and delays. It was the latest in a growing list of U.S. companies citing supply chain problems.</p>\n<p>Investors have been concerned over further increases in price pressures. Retail giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">Target</a> warned of higher costs earlier this week.</p>\n<p>New York Federal Reserve Bank President John Williams said Thursday that inflation is becoming more broad-based and that expectations for future price increases are rising.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI) fell 60.1 points, or 0.17%, to 35,870.95, the S&P 500(.SPX)gained 15.87 points, or 0.34%, to 4,704.54 and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC) added 72.14 points, or 0.45%, to 15,993.71.</p>\n<p>The pan-European STOXX 600 index(.STOXX)lost 0.46% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe(.MIWD00000PUS)gained 0.03%.</p>\n<p>Turkey's lira shed another 2.83% after its central bank cut rates by 100 basis points to 15%, even in the face of inflation near 20%, sending the Turkish currency hurtling southward.</p>\n<p>\"The lira remains a punching bag, and further weakness has no end in sight,\" said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda.</p>\n<p>The lira has lost around 11.5% of its value this month amid President Tayyip Erdogan's renewed criticism of interest rates and calls for stimulus despite the risks. It was last at 10.909, having earlier hit a record low of 11.30 per dollar.</p>\n<p>The dollar edged back from a 16-month high as traders weighed whether the U.S. currency's recent surge had gone too far.</p>\n<p>The dollar index , which measures the currency against a basket of six rivals, was last down 0.3%.</p>\n<p>In the U.S. Treasury market, yields fell after the relative success of a 20-year bond auction on Wednesday reduced fears about further rapid yield increases.</p>\n<p>Benchmark 10-year notes were last at 1.587%. They have jumped from a low of 1.415% last week and are holding below five-month highs of 1.705% reached on Oct. 21.</p>\n<p>Oil prices rose slightly after dropping to six-week lows.</p>\n<p>Brent crude settled up 96 cents, or 1.2%, at $81.24 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures closed 65 cents, or 0.8%, higher at $79.01.</p>\n<p>U.S. gold futures settled down 0.5% at $1,861.4.</p>","source":"lsy1601381805984","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500, Nasdaq hit record closing highs</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500, Nasdaq hit record closing highs\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-19 06:59 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/global-markets-wrapup-6-graphics-2021-11-18/><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs on Thursday, boosted by upbeat corporate earnings news from companies including Nvidia, while Turkey's lira weakened further after its ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/global-markets-wrapup-6-graphics-2021-11-18/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/global-markets-wrapup-6-graphics-2021-11-18/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185082595","content_text":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs on Thursday, boosted by upbeat corporate earnings news from companies including Nvidia, while Turkey's lira weakened further after its central bank cut rates.\nMSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe was flat, and the Dow Jones industrial average ended lower.Nvidia's stock jumped and was among the biggest supports for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq after it beat quarterly estimates and forecast strong fourth-quarter revenue. Macy's(M.N)shares shot up 21.2% after it raised its earnings outlook.\nOn the flip side, Cisco Systems shares fell 5.5%, a day after it forecast current-quarter revenue below expectations due to supply chain shortages and delays. It was the latest in a growing list of U.S. companies citing supply chain problems.\nInvestors have been concerned over further increases in price pressures. Retail giant Target warned of higher costs earlier this week.\nNew York Federal Reserve Bank President John Williams said Thursday that inflation is becoming more broad-based and that expectations for future price increases are rising.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI) fell 60.1 points, or 0.17%, to 35,870.95, the S&P 500(.SPX)gained 15.87 points, or 0.34%, to 4,704.54 and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC) added 72.14 points, or 0.45%, to 15,993.71.\nThe pan-European STOXX 600 index(.STOXX)lost 0.46% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe(.MIWD00000PUS)gained 0.03%.\nTurkey's lira shed another 2.83% after its central bank cut rates by 100 basis points to 15%, even in the face of inflation near 20%, sending the Turkish currency hurtling southward.\n\"The lira remains a punching bag, and further weakness has no end in sight,\" said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda.\nThe lira has lost around 11.5% of its value this month amid President Tayyip Erdogan's renewed criticism of interest rates and calls for stimulus despite the risks. It was last at 10.909, having earlier hit a record low of 11.30 per dollar.\nThe dollar edged back from a 16-month high as traders weighed whether the U.S. currency's recent surge had gone too far.\nThe dollar index , which measures the currency against a basket of six rivals, was last down 0.3%.\nIn the U.S. Treasury market, yields fell after the relative success of a 20-year bond auction on Wednesday reduced fears about further rapid yield increases.\nBenchmark 10-year notes were last at 1.587%. They have jumped from a low of 1.415% last week and are holding below five-month highs of 1.705% reached on Oct. 21.\nOil prices rose slightly after dropping to six-week lows.\nBrent crude settled up 96 cents, or 1.2%, at $81.24 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures closed 65 cents, or 0.8%, higher at $79.01.\nU.S. gold futures settled down 0.5% at $1,861.4.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":583,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":868173391,"gmtCreate":1632623998513,"gmtModify":1632650495594,"author":{"id":"3582004437679142","authorId":"3582004437679142","name":"heyjules","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81e1cae988364e940d10f9b4cea87831","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868173391","repostId":"2170861444","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2170861444","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1632617888,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2170861444?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-26 08:58","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Why the debut of tipping bitcoin on Twitter isn't just about tipping","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2170861444","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"'Twitter accidentally becomes one of the best remitting experiences in the world,' says Strike found","content":"<p>'Twitter accidentally becomes <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the best remitting experiences in the world,' says Strike founder Mallers</p>\n<p>Everyone will soon be able to tip bitcoin on Twitter(TWTR), making the social-media platform one of the first major significant companies to offer such a payment feature on its platform.</p>\n<p>The announcement comes after the site has been testing such a feature for months. Tips will be available for Apple iOS users as soon as this week and will be available for those using Android devices in coming weeks.</p>\n<p>And while the idea of using bitcoin as a means of payment over Twitter seems like a tiny feather in the cap of bitcoin enthusiasts, a number of crypto bulls were quick to highlight the significance of the feature on the Jack Dorsey-run platform.</p>\n<p>MicroStrategy<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">$(MSTR)$</a> CEO Michael Saylor shared a tweet of the hoodie-wearing founder of Strike, Jack Mallers, who illustrated at least one of the possibilities for bitcoin tipping on Twitter: remittance payments.</p>\n<p>In a nondescript office, overlooking the Chicago skyline, Mallers uses the Twitter tipping function to send bitcoin to a person he claims is in El Salvador, the country that just made bitcoin its official legal tender.</p>\n<p>\"Yo... we're in Chicago and we've got David here in a Starbucks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBUX\">$(SBUX)$</a> in El Salvador. David has a Strike account linked to his Twitter account and we're going to make a free instant, cash-final remittance payment over Twitter,\" Mallers says.</p>\n<p>After sending the equivalent of $10 over the app, Mallers says \"Boom!\"</p>\n<p>\"We just made an instant, free remittance payment ... over Twitter.\"</p>\n<p>\"Why would anyone ever use Western Union<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WU\">$(WU)$</a> again? When you take one of the world's largest social internet networks and you combine it with the world's best open monetary networks, Twitter accidentally becomes one of the best remitting experiences in the world,\" Mallers said.</p>\n<p>\"Western Union [King's] pawn to E4, your move,\" intones Mallers at the end of the video, referencing a common chess opening move in chess. Shareholders of Western Union, however, seemed unperturbed, with its stock up 1.2% late Thursday.</p>\n<p>It is no coincidence that Mallers is championing the Twitter feature, the social media platform is using his Strike network to facilitate tipping.</p>\n<p>Strike, the Chicago-based startup that Mallers launched along with its parent company Zap Technologies, also is known for helping El Salvador adopt bitcoin.</p>\n<p>Dorsey, for his part, has also been a staunch supporter of crypto and runs Square Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">$(SQ)$</a>, which features crypto on its platform.</p>\n<p>Twitter also said it is aiming to offer a feature that would allow users to authenticate nonfungible tokens or NFTs on its platform.</p>\n<p>But overall, tipping in bitcoin seems unlikely to gain much traction on Twitter outside of remittance transfers. Bitcoin, the world's No. 1 crypto by market value, has come to be seen as a store of value, and has gained notoriety for its gut-wrenching price swings.</p>\n<p>Its peer assets aren't much better, with Ether on the Ethereum blockchain and meme asset dogecoin, also seeing sharp gains and sharp swings lower in the year to date.</p>\n<p>One big fear is transacting in bitcoin or Ether only to see the asset surge (or fall). Indeed, about 11 years ago on May 22, Laszlo Hanyecz, one of the early adopters of the newfangled cryptocurrency bitcoin that had just been coded into existence, purchased a pair of Papa Johns pizza pies using 10,000 bitcoins. The purchase equated to roughly $41 dollars back in 2010, but would be valued at $448 million.</p>\n<p>In any case, shares of Twitter were up 3.7% on the session, and up 23% on the year thus far, compared with a 1.7% gain for the Dow Jones Industrial Average , and a 1.4% gain on the day for the S&P 500 index . The Dow is up 14% year to date, while the S&P 500 has advanced nearly 19% so far in 2021.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why the debut of tipping bitcoin on Twitter isn't just about tipping</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy the debut of tipping bitcoin on Twitter isn't just about tipping\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-26 08:58</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>'Twitter accidentally becomes <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the best remitting experiences in the world,' says Strike founder Mallers</p>\n<p>Everyone will soon be able to tip bitcoin on Twitter(TWTR), making the social-media platform one of the first major significant companies to offer such a payment feature on its platform.</p>\n<p>The announcement comes after the site has been testing such a feature for months. Tips will be available for Apple iOS users as soon as this week and will be available for those using Android devices in coming weeks.</p>\n<p>And while the idea of using bitcoin as a means of payment over Twitter seems like a tiny feather in the cap of bitcoin enthusiasts, a number of crypto bulls were quick to highlight the significance of the feature on the Jack Dorsey-run platform.</p>\n<p>MicroStrategy<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">$(MSTR)$</a> CEO Michael Saylor shared a tweet of the hoodie-wearing founder of Strike, Jack Mallers, who illustrated at least one of the possibilities for bitcoin tipping on Twitter: remittance payments.</p>\n<p>In a nondescript office, overlooking the Chicago skyline, Mallers uses the Twitter tipping function to send bitcoin to a person he claims is in El Salvador, the country that just made bitcoin its official legal tender.</p>\n<p>\"Yo... we're in Chicago and we've got David here in a Starbucks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBUX\">$(SBUX)$</a> in El Salvador. David has a Strike account linked to his Twitter account and we're going to make a free instant, cash-final remittance payment over Twitter,\" Mallers says.</p>\n<p>After sending the equivalent of $10 over the app, Mallers says \"Boom!\"</p>\n<p>\"We just made an instant, free remittance payment ... over Twitter.\"</p>\n<p>\"Why would anyone ever use Western Union<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WU\">$(WU)$</a> again? When you take one of the world's largest social internet networks and you combine it with the world's best open monetary networks, Twitter accidentally becomes one of the best remitting experiences in the world,\" Mallers said.</p>\n<p>\"Western Union [King's] pawn to E4, your move,\" intones Mallers at the end of the video, referencing a common chess opening move in chess. Shareholders of Western Union, however, seemed unperturbed, with its stock up 1.2% late Thursday.</p>\n<p>It is no coincidence that Mallers is championing the Twitter feature, the social media platform is using his Strike network to facilitate tipping.</p>\n<p>Strike, the Chicago-based startup that Mallers launched along with its parent company Zap Technologies, also is known for helping El Salvador adopt bitcoin.</p>\n<p>Dorsey, for his part, has also been a staunch supporter of crypto and runs Square Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">$(SQ)$</a>, which features crypto on its platform.</p>\n<p>Twitter also said it is aiming to offer a feature that would allow users to authenticate nonfungible tokens or NFTs on its platform.</p>\n<p>But overall, tipping in bitcoin seems unlikely to gain much traction on Twitter outside of remittance transfers. Bitcoin, the world's No. 1 crypto by market value, has come to be seen as a store of value, and has gained notoriety for its gut-wrenching price swings.</p>\n<p>Its peer assets aren't much better, with Ether on the Ethereum blockchain and meme asset dogecoin, also seeing sharp gains and sharp swings lower in the year to date.</p>\n<p>One big fear is transacting in bitcoin or Ether only to see the asset surge (or fall). Indeed, about 11 years ago on May 22, Laszlo Hanyecz, one of the early adopters of the newfangled cryptocurrency bitcoin that had just been coded into existence, purchased a pair of Papa Johns pizza pies using 10,000 bitcoins. The purchase equated to roughly $41 dollars back in 2010, but would be valued at $448 million.</p>\n<p>In any case, shares of Twitter were up 3.7% on the session, and up 23% on the year thus far, compared with a 1.7% gain for the Dow Jones Industrial Average , and a 1.4% gain on the day for the S&P 500 index . The Dow is up 14% year to date, while the S&P 500 has advanced nearly 19% so far in 2021.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SBUX":"星巴克","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","WU":"西联汇款","TWTR":"Twitter","SQ":"Block","MSTR":"MicroStrategy Incorporated"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2170861444","content_text":"'Twitter accidentally becomes one of the best remitting experiences in the world,' says Strike founder Mallers\nEveryone will soon be able to tip bitcoin on Twitter(TWTR), making the social-media platform one of the first major significant companies to offer such a payment feature on its platform.\nThe announcement comes after the site has been testing such a feature for months. Tips will be available for Apple iOS users as soon as this week and will be available for those using Android devices in coming weeks.\nAnd while the idea of using bitcoin as a means of payment over Twitter seems like a tiny feather in the cap of bitcoin enthusiasts, a number of crypto bulls were quick to highlight the significance of the feature on the Jack Dorsey-run platform.\nMicroStrategy$(MSTR)$ CEO Michael Saylor shared a tweet of the hoodie-wearing founder of Strike, Jack Mallers, who illustrated at least one of the possibilities for bitcoin tipping on Twitter: remittance payments.\nIn a nondescript office, overlooking the Chicago skyline, Mallers uses the Twitter tipping function to send bitcoin to a person he claims is in El Salvador, the country that just made bitcoin its official legal tender.\n\"Yo... we're in Chicago and we've got David here in a Starbucks$(SBUX)$ in El Salvador. David has a Strike account linked to his Twitter account and we're going to make a free instant, cash-final remittance payment over Twitter,\" Mallers says.\nAfter sending the equivalent of $10 over the app, Mallers says \"Boom!\"\n\"We just made an instant, free remittance payment ... over Twitter.\"\n\"Why would anyone ever use Western Union$(WU)$ again? When you take one of the world's largest social internet networks and you combine it with the world's best open monetary networks, Twitter accidentally becomes one of the best remitting experiences in the world,\" Mallers said.\n\"Western Union [King's] pawn to E4, your move,\" intones Mallers at the end of the video, referencing a common chess opening move in chess. Shareholders of Western Union, however, seemed unperturbed, with its stock up 1.2% late Thursday.\nIt is no coincidence that Mallers is championing the Twitter feature, the social media platform is using his Strike network to facilitate tipping.\nStrike, the Chicago-based startup that Mallers launched along with its parent company Zap Technologies, also is known for helping El Salvador adopt bitcoin.\nDorsey, for his part, has also been a staunch supporter of crypto and runs Square Inc. $(SQ)$, which features crypto on its platform.\nTwitter also said it is aiming to offer a feature that would allow users to authenticate nonfungible tokens or NFTs on its platform.\nBut overall, tipping in bitcoin seems unlikely to gain much traction on Twitter outside of remittance transfers. Bitcoin, the world's No. 1 crypto by market value, has come to be seen as a store of value, and has gained notoriety for its gut-wrenching price swings.\nIts peer assets aren't much better, with Ether on the Ethereum blockchain and meme asset dogecoin, also seeing sharp gains and sharp swings lower in the year to date.\nOne big fear is transacting in bitcoin or Ether only to see the asset surge (or fall). Indeed, about 11 years ago on May 22, Laszlo Hanyecz, one of the early adopters of the newfangled cryptocurrency bitcoin that had just been coded into existence, purchased a pair of Papa Johns pizza pies using 10,000 bitcoins. The purchase equated to roughly $41 dollars back in 2010, but would be valued at $448 million.\nIn any case, shares of Twitter were up 3.7% on the session, and up 23% on the year thus far, compared with a 1.7% gain for the Dow Jones Industrial Average , and a 1.4% gain on the day for the S&P 500 index . The Dow is up 14% year to date, while the S&P 500 has advanced nearly 19% so far in 2021.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":779,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859634887,"gmtCreate":1634691625260,"gmtModify":1634691625532,"author":{"id":"3582004437679142","authorId":"3582004437679142","name":"heyjules","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81e1cae988364e940d10f9b4cea87831","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Rally is here","listText":"Rally is here","text":"Rally is here","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859634887","repostId":"2176710436","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2176710436","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1634683772,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2176710436?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-20 06:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street ends higher as investors bet on positive earnings season","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2176710436","media":"Reuters","summary":"Oct 19 (Reuters) - U.S. stock indexes closed higher on Tuesday with the biggest boosts from the tech","content":"<p>Oct 19 (Reuters) - U.S. stock indexes closed higher on Tuesday with the biggest boosts from the technology and healthcare sectors as investors appeared to bet on solid quarterly reports even as some worried that it was too early to celebrate.</p>\n<p>In its fifth straight session of gains, the benchmark S&P 500 index finished just 0.4% below its early September record close while the Dow Jones Industrials average ended the day about 0.5% below its record reached in mid-August.</p>\n<p>Johnson & Johnson's shares added 2.3% providing a big boost to the S&P 500 after it raised its 2021 adjusted profit forecast. Insurer Travelers Cos Inc climbed 1.6% after beating its profit estimates.</p>\n<p>High-profile technology and communications companies were also big S&P boosts with Apple Inc, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> and Microsoft all rising.</p>\n<p>But in the second week of earnings with a \"very small sample\" of releases, Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, worried about a possible pullback.</p>\n<p>\"We're seeing volatility measures like the VIX flipping from nervous to complacent in a really short period of time,\" said Sosnick. \"We may be a bit ahead of ourselves. The mostly likely scenario is that we make one more run at new S&P highs and then we pull back, subject to earnings.\"</p>\n<p>The CBOE market volatility index fell 0.6 points after earlier hitting 15.57, its lowest level since mid-August.</p>\n<p>Analysts now expect S&P 500 earnings to rise 32.4% from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv data.</p>\n<p>\"The key for the market to going up from here will not be higher multiples, it will have to be higher earnings. That's why it's so important to pay attention to what those profit margins do going forward and what the trajectory of GDP looks like,\" said Eric Marshall, portfolio manager at Hodges Funds.</p>\n<p>\"Investors will be paying very close attention to pricing power, how companies are dealing with labor shortages and inflationary cost pressures within their business.\"</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 198.7 points, or 0.56%, to 35,457.31, the S&P 500 gained 33.17 points, or 0.74%, to 4,519.63 and the Nasdaq Composite added 107.28 points, or 0.71%, to 15,129.09.</p>\n<p>Ten of the eleven major S&P 500 sectors closed higher, with healthcare stocks, up 1.3% after dropping 0.7% in Monday's session. The next biggest gainer was utilities , which rose 1.26% after falling almost 1% Monday.</p>\n<p>Netflix Inc, after closing up 0.2%, declined to gains while the bell when quarterly results showed that global interest in Korean thriller \"Squid Game\" lured more new customers than expected.</p>\n<p>Tesla Inc, which closed down 0.7%, is due to release results on Wednesday, with investors watching for indications of its performance in China.</p>\n<p>Procter & Gamble Co, fell 1% during the session, after it warned that it would have to raise prices of some products to counter higher commodity and freight costs.</p>\n<p>However, Walmart Inc shares added 2% after being added to Goldman Sachs \"Americas Conviction List.\"</p>\n<p>Helping the healthcare sector on Tuesday was drugmaker Merck & Co Inc, which rose 3% while Pfizer Inc climbed 1.9% following the release of a competitor's COVID-19 drug study results.</p>\n<p>Its competitor, Atea Pharmaceuticals Inc, fell 66% after the company's antiviral pill, being developed with Roche , failed to help patients with mild and moderate COVID-19.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.51-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.69-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&P 500 posted 44 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 72 new highs and 69 new lows.</p>\n<p>On U.S. exchanges 9.5 billion shares changed hands compared with the 10.29 billion moving average for the last 20 sessions.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street ends higher as investors bet on positive earnings season</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street ends higher as investors bet on positive earnings season\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-10-20 06:49</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Oct 19 (Reuters) - U.S. stock indexes closed higher on Tuesday with the biggest boosts from the technology and healthcare sectors as investors appeared to bet on solid quarterly reports even as some worried that it was too early to celebrate.</p>\n<p>In its fifth straight session of gains, the benchmark S&P 500 index finished just 0.4% below its early September record close while the Dow Jones Industrials average ended the day about 0.5% below its record reached in mid-August.</p>\n<p>Johnson & Johnson's shares added 2.3% providing a big boost to the S&P 500 after it raised its 2021 adjusted profit forecast. Insurer Travelers Cos Inc climbed 1.6% after beating its profit estimates.</p>\n<p>High-profile technology and communications companies were also big S&P boosts with Apple Inc, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> and Microsoft all rising.</p>\n<p>But in the second week of earnings with a \"very small sample\" of releases, Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, worried about a possible pullback.</p>\n<p>\"We're seeing volatility measures like the VIX flipping from nervous to complacent in a really short period of time,\" said Sosnick. \"We may be a bit ahead of ourselves. The mostly likely scenario is that we make one more run at new S&P highs and then we pull back, subject to earnings.\"</p>\n<p>The CBOE market volatility index fell 0.6 points after earlier hitting 15.57, its lowest level since mid-August.</p>\n<p>Analysts now expect S&P 500 earnings to rise 32.4% from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv data.</p>\n<p>\"The key for the market to going up from here will not be higher multiples, it will have to be higher earnings. That's why it's so important to pay attention to what those profit margins do going forward and what the trajectory of GDP looks like,\" said Eric Marshall, portfolio manager at Hodges Funds.</p>\n<p>\"Investors will be paying very close attention to pricing power, how companies are dealing with labor shortages and inflationary cost pressures within their business.\"</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 198.7 points, or 0.56%, to 35,457.31, the S&P 500 gained 33.17 points, or 0.74%, to 4,519.63 and the Nasdaq Composite added 107.28 points, or 0.71%, to 15,129.09.</p>\n<p>Ten of the eleven major S&P 500 sectors closed higher, with healthcare stocks, up 1.3% after dropping 0.7% in Monday's session. The next biggest gainer was utilities , which rose 1.26% after falling almost 1% Monday.</p>\n<p>Netflix Inc, after closing up 0.2%, declined to gains while the bell when quarterly results showed that global interest in Korean thriller \"Squid Game\" lured more new customers than expected.</p>\n<p>Tesla Inc, which closed down 0.7%, is due to release results on Wednesday, with investors watching for indications of its performance in China.</p>\n<p>Procter & Gamble Co, fell 1% during the session, after it warned that it would have to raise prices of some products to counter higher commodity and freight costs.</p>\n<p>However, Walmart Inc shares added 2% after being added to Goldman Sachs \"Americas Conviction List.\"</p>\n<p>Helping the healthcare sector on Tuesday was drugmaker Merck & Co Inc, which rose 3% while Pfizer Inc climbed 1.9% following the release of a competitor's COVID-19 drug study results.</p>\n<p>Its competitor, Atea Pharmaceuticals Inc, fell 66% after the company's antiviral pill, being developed with Roche , failed to help patients with mild and moderate COVID-19.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.51-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.69-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&P 500 posted 44 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 72 new highs and 69 new lows.</p>\n<p>On U.S. exchanges 9.5 billion shares changed hands compared with the 10.29 billion moving average for the last 20 sessions.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","JNJ":"强生",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","PG":"宝洁","NFLX":"奈飞","WMT":"沃尔玛",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","MRK":"默沙东"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2176710436","content_text":"Oct 19 (Reuters) - U.S. stock indexes closed higher on Tuesday with the biggest boosts from the technology and healthcare sectors as investors appeared to bet on solid quarterly reports even as some worried that it was too early to celebrate.\nIn its fifth straight session of gains, the benchmark S&P 500 index finished just 0.4% below its early September record close while the Dow Jones Industrials average ended the day about 0.5% below its record reached in mid-August.\nJohnson & Johnson's shares added 2.3% providing a big boost to the S&P 500 after it raised its 2021 adjusted profit forecast. Insurer Travelers Cos Inc climbed 1.6% after beating its profit estimates.\nHigh-profile technology and communications companies were also big S&P boosts with Apple Inc, Facebook and Microsoft all rising.\nBut in the second week of earnings with a \"very small sample\" of releases, Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, worried about a possible pullback.\n\"We're seeing volatility measures like the VIX flipping from nervous to complacent in a really short period of time,\" said Sosnick. \"We may be a bit ahead of ourselves. The mostly likely scenario is that we make one more run at new S&P highs and then we pull back, subject to earnings.\"\nThe CBOE market volatility index fell 0.6 points after earlier hitting 15.57, its lowest level since mid-August.\nAnalysts now expect S&P 500 earnings to rise 32.4% from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv data.\n\"The key for the market to going up from here will not be higher multiples, it will have to be higher earnings. That's why it's so important to pay attention to what those profit margins do going forward and what the trajectory of GDP looks like,\" said Eric Marshall, portfolio manager at Hodges Funds.\n\"Investors will be paying very close attention to pricing power, how companies are dealing with labor shortages and inflationary cost pressures within their business.\"\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 198.7 points, or 0.56%, to 35,457.31, the S&P 500 gained 33.17 points, or 0.74%, to 4,519.63 and the Nasdaq Composite added 107.28 points, or 0.71%, to 15,129.09.\nTen of the eleven major S&P 500 sectors closed higher, with healthcare stocks, up 1.3% after dropping 0.7% in Monday's session. The next biggest gainer was utilities , which rose 1.26% after falling almost 1% Monday.\nNetflix Inc, after closing up 0.2%, declined to gains while the bell when quarterly results showed that global interest in Korean thriller \"Squid Game\" lured more new customers than expected.\nTesla Inc, which closed down 0.7%, is due to release results on Wednesday, with investors watching for indications of its performance in China.\nProcter & Gamble Co, fell 1% during the session, after it warned that it would have to raise prices of some products to counter higher commodity and freight costs.\nHowever, Walmart Inc shares added 2% after being added to Goldman Sachs \"Americas Conviction List.\"\nHelping the healthcare sector on Tuesday was drugmaker Merck & Co Inc, which rose 3% while Pfizer Inc climbed 1.9% following the release of a competitor's COVID-19 drug study results.\nIts competitor, Atea Pharmaceuticals Inc, fell 66% after the company's antiviral pill, being developed with Roche , failed to help patients with mild and moderate COVID-19.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.51-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.69-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 44 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 72 new highs and 69 new lows.\nOn U.S. exchanges 9.5 billion shares changed hands compared with the 10.29 billion moving average for the last 20 sessions.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":443,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":858808175,"gmtCreate":1635031576243,"gmtModify":1635031576545,"author":{"id":"3582004437679142","authorId":"3582004437679142","name":"heyjules","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81e1cae988364e940d10f9b4cea87831","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Does it have a moat? ","listText":"Does it have a moat? ","text":"Does it have a moat?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858808175","repostId":"2177411104","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2177411104","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1634951923,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2177411104?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-23 09:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What's Next For Snapchat's Stock After Shares Plummet?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2177411104","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Snap Inc. (NYSE:SNAP) traded significantly lower Friday after the company announced worse-than-expec","content":"<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">Snap Inc</a>.</b> (NYSE:SNAP) traded significantly lower Friday after the company announced worse-than-expected third-quarter revenue results and issued fourth-quarter guidance below estimates.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3a9cded23c2f1ffb8ef7847de216128\" tg-width=\"685\" tg-height=\"375\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Snap reported quarterly earnings of 17 cents per share, beating the estimate of 8 cents per share. The company reported quarterly revenue of $1.07 billion, under the estimate of $1.1 billion.</p>\n<p>Snap plunged 26.6% to $55.14 on Friday.</p>\n<p><b>Snap Daily Chart Analysis</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Snap shares fell back into a sideways channel that it once traded in. The stock looked to have broken above the channel but after missing expectations, saw a large drop.</li>\n <li>Support was found near the $48 level in the past and may be found near here again in the future. Resistance has been found near $65 in the past and may hold again in the future.</li>\n <li>The stock trades below both the 50-day moving average (green) and the 200-day moving average (blue), indicating the stock’s sentiment has been bearish.</li>\n <li>Each of these moving averages may hold as an area of support in the future.</li>\n <li>The Relative Strength Index (RSI) saw a drop off down to the 26 level. This big drop pushed the stock into the oversold area where there are many more sellers than buyers.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a69db5658d520ff198ad68441975a71f\" tg-width=\"2060\" tg-height=\"1314\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>What’s Next For Snap?</b></p>\n<p>Bullish traders want to see snap start to recover from the large drop and start to form higher lows once again. Bulls are then looking for higher lows up to the resistance line before the resistance is broken. If the resistance can hold as support the stock may be ready for a large gap up.</p>\n<p>Bearish traders are looking to see the stock continue to fade lower and eventually fall below the pattern support. If the pattern support could hold as an area of resistance, the stock could see further downward pushes in the future.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What's Next For Snapchat's Stock After Shares Plummet?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat's Next For Snapchat's Stock After Shares Plummet?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-10-23 09:18</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">Snap Inc</a>.</b> (NYSE:SNAP) traded significantly lower Friday after the company announced worse-than-expected third-quarter revenue results and issued fourth-quarter guidance below estimates.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3a9cded23c2f1ffb8ef7847de216128\" tg-width=\"685\" tg-height=\"375\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Snap reported quarterly earnings of 17 cents per share, beating the estimate of 8 cents per share. The company reported quarterly revenue of $1.07 billion, under the estimate of $1.1 billion.</p>\n<p>Snap plunged 26.6% to $55.14 on Friday.</p>\n<p><b>Snap Daily Chart Analysis</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Snap shares fell back into a sideways channel that it once traded in. The stock looked to have broken above the channel but after missing expectations, saw a large drop.</li>\n <li>Support was found near the $48 level in the past and may be found near here again in the future. Resistance has been found near $65 in the past and may hold again in the future.</li>\n <li>The stock trades below both the 50-day moving average (green) and the 200-day moving average (blue), indicating the stock’s sentiment has been bearish.</li>\n <li>Each of these moving averages may hold as an area of support in the future.</li>\n <li>The Relative Strength Index (RSI) saw a drop off down to the 26 level. This big drop pushed the stock into the oversold area where there are many more sellers than buyers.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a69db5658d520ff198ad68441975a71f\" tg-width=\"2060\" tg-height=\"1314\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>What’s Next For Snap?</b></p>\n<p>Bullish traders want to see snap start to recover from the large drop and start to form higher lows once again. Bulls are then looking for higher lows up to the resistance line before the resistance is broken. If the resistance can hold as support the stock may be ready for a large gap up.</p>\n<p>Bearish traders are looking to see the stock continue to fade lower and eventually fall below the pattern support. If the pattern support could hold as an area of resistance, the stock could see further downward pushes in the future.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SNAP":"Snap Inc"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2177411104","content_text":"Snap Inc. (NYSE:SNAP) traded significantly lower Friday after the company announced worse-than-expected third-quarter revenue results and issued fourth-quarter guidance below estimates.\n\nSnap reported quarterly earnings of 17 cents per share, beating the estimate of 8 cents per share. The company reported quarterly revenue of $1.07 billion, under the estimate of $1.1 billion.\nSnap plunged 26.6% to $55.14 on Friday.\nSnap Daily Chart Analysis\n\nSnap shares fell back into a sideways channel that it once traded in. The stock looked to have broken above the channel but after missing expectations, saw a large drop.\nSupport was found near the $48 level in the past and may be found near here again in the future. Resistance has been found near $65 in the past and may hold again in the future.\nThe stock trades below both the 50-day moving average (green) and the 200-day moving average (blue), indicating the stock’s sentiment has been bearish.\nEach of these moving averages may hold as an area of support in the future.\nThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) saw a drop off down to the 26 level. This big drop pushed the stock into the oversold area where there are many more sellers than buyers.\n\n\nWhat’s Next For Snap?\nBullish traders want to see snap start to recover from the large drop and start to form higher lows once again. Bulls are then looking for higher lows up to the resistance line before the resistance is broken. If the resistance can hold as support the stock may be ready for a large gap up.\nBearish traders are looking to see the stock continue to fade lower and eventually fall below the pattern support. If the pattern support could hold as an area of resistance, the stock could see further downward pushes in the future.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":519,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}