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h826
2021-12-31
2021/12/31 交易笔记 by h826
2021……2021,股路走了个寂寞…A股要必要止盈,美股要必要止损,基金玩成波段,期权小试?…来年继续,加油
2021/12/31 交易笔记 by h826
h826
2021-11-24
$Meta Materials Inc.(MMAT)$
这一波不错[想吃]
h826
2021-11-18
$Bit Brother Limited(BTB)$
盘前一小波,不错[鬼脸]
h826
2021-11-17
$Meta Materials Inc.(MMAT)$
盘前进盘中走,盘前盘后都可操作
h826
2021-11-16
$Meta Materials Inc.(MMAT)$
什么利空消息,下探不少啊
h826
2021-11-11
$百世集团(BEST)$
双十一来一波啦[惊讶] [捂脸] [傲娇]
h826
2021-11-08
疫情环境下,居家线上学习,好资源该合理利用
抱歉,原内容已删除
h826
2021-11-02
$水滴(WDH)$
涨点真难
h826
2021-11-02
$百世集团(BEST)$
小箱体震荡磨人
h826
2021-10-29
$Meta Materials Inc.(MMAT)$
盘后表现不错
h826
2021-10-27
$Meta Materials Inc.(MMAT)$
继续来分享点小毛票
h826
2021-10-26
$Kiromic Biopharma(KRBP)$
今天该还有一波,量来
h826
2021-10-22
$Meta Materials Inc.(MMAT)$
再压价,没量了
h826
2021-10-16
求稳才能促发展
央行回应恒大债务风险、房地产及通胀形势等热点问题
h826
2021-10-13
限电不限居民,限气也不限居民”真好[强]
抱歉,原内容已删除
h826
2021-10-08
$水滴(WDH)$
做做T,5股没那么惨了
h826
2021-10-06
$水滴(WDH)$
今晚有长进呀!
h826
2021-09-24
$四季教育(FEDU)$
等你飞起[暗中观察] [暗中观察] [暗中观察] [看涨] [看涨] [看涨]
h826
2021-08-28
$Chembio Diagnostics(CEMI)$
总得需要向上,只是一味裹足于此显然是桎梏发展
h826
2021-08-28
世界发展看科技
纳指续创历史新高,AMD等科技股拉升
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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Inc.(MMAT)$再压价,没量了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/851509874","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":544,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824537013,"gmtCreate":1634337541663,"gmtModify":1634337541663,"author":{"id":"3581648105457387","authorId":"3581648105457387","name":"h826","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fdd5d200c2bda6dcdc398ffcf4ea5f0","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581648105457387","authorIdStr":"3581648105457387"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"求稳才能促发展","listText":"求稳才能促发展","text":"求稳才能促发展","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824537013","repostId":"1169052757","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169052757","pubTimestamp":1634297865,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1169052757?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-15 19:37","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"央行回应恒大债务风险、房地产及通胀形势等热点问题","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169052757","media":"证券时报网","summary":"10月15日,中国人民银行召开2021年第三季度金融统计数据发布会。","content":"<div>\n<p>作者: 孙璐璐\n10月15日,中国人民银行召开2021年第三季度金融统计数据发布会。会上,中国人民银行就恒大债务风险化解问题、房地产金融政策、四季度流动性缺口、通胀形势等当前金融市场热点问题作出回应,信息量巨大!\n针对下一阶段货币政策取向,央行货币政策司司长孙国峰表示,下一阶段,稳健的货币政策将灵活精准、合理适度,以我为主、稳字当头,做好跨周期调节,统筹考虑今明两年政策衔接。人民银行将综合运用多种...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://news.stcn.com/sd/202110/t20211015_3765451.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"zqsbw","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>央行回应恒大债务风险、房地产及通胀形势等热点问题</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n央行回应恒大债务风险、房地产及通胀形势等热点问题\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-15 19:37 北京时间 <a href=https://news.stcn.com/sd/202110/t20211015_3765451.html><strong>证券时报网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>作者: 孙璐璐\n10月15日,中国人民银行召开2021年第三季度金融统计数据发布会。会上,中国人民银行就恒大债务风险化解问题、房地产金融政策、四季度流动性缺口、通胀形势等当前金融市场热点问题作出回应,信息量巨大!\n针对下一阶段货币政策取向,央行货币政策司司长孙国峰表示,下一阶段,稳健的货币政策将灵活精准、合理适度,以我为主、稳字当头,做好跨周期调节,统筹考虑今明两年政策衔接。人民银行将综合运用多种...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://news.stcn.com/sd/202110/t20211015_3765451.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/107b097b5a78709b311d304356ffc5ee","relate_stocks":{"159940":"金融","03333":"中国恒大"},"source_url":"https://news.stcn.com/sd/202110/t20211015_3765451.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169052757","content_text":"作者: 孙璐璐\n10月15日,中国人民银行召开2021年第三季度金融统计数据发布会。会上,中国人民银行就恒大债务风险化解问题、房地产金融政策、四季度流动性缺口、通胀形势等当前金融市场热点问题作出回应,信息量巨大!\n针对下一阶段货币政策取向,央行货币政策司司长孙国峰表示,下一阶段,稳健的货币政策将灵活精准、合理适度,以我为主、稳字当头,做好跨周期调节,统筹考虑今明两年政策衔接。人民银行将综合运用多种货币政策工具保持流动性合理充裕,增强信贷总量增长的稳定性。持续释放LPR改革效能,稳定银行负债成本,推动小微企业综合融资成本稳中有降。发挥好结构性货币政策工具作用,引导金融机构加大对中小微企业、绿色发展等重点领域和薄弱环节的支持力度,增强人民币汇率弹性,发挥汇率调节宏观经济和国际收支自动稳定器的作用,引导市场主体树立风险中性理念,加强跨境资本流动宏观审慎管理,保持人民币汇率在合理均衡水平上的基本稳定。\n回应四季度操作:\n将运用MLF、公开市场操作等熨平短期波动\n面对下半年经济下行压力加大的宏观形势,近期市场对于降准的呼声较高。不过,孙国峰在回应证券时报记者关于四季度流动性缺口补充问题时表示,四季度,银行体系流动性供求将继续保持基本平衡,不会出现大的波动。对于政府债券发行和税收缴款以及中期借贷便利(MLF)到期等阶段性影响因素,央行将综合考虑流动性状况、金融机构需求等情况,灵活运用MLF、公开市场操作等多种货币政策工具,适时适度投放不同期限流动性,熨平短期波动,满足金融机构合理的资金需求,保持流动性合理充裕。同时,结构性货币政策工具的实施在增加流动性总量方面也将发挥一定的作用。\n孙国峰表示,今年以来,央行实施稳健的货币政策,综合运用降准、再贷款、再贴现、中期借贷便利、公开市场操作等多种货币政策工具,保持流动性合理充裕,货币市场利率运行平稳。今年前9个月,DR007利率平均值为2.18%,和央行公开市场操作7天期逆回购利率2.2%非常接近。近期,央行还推动常备借贷便利(SLF)操作方式改革,有序实现全流程电子化,这有利于提高常备借贷便利操作效率,稳定市场预期,增强银行体系流动性的稳定性,维护货币市场利率平稳运行。\n孙国峰强调,近年来,央行完善流动性和市场利率调控框架,提高操作透明度,通过言行一致的货币政策操作和预期管理稳定市场预期,有效降低了金融机构的预防性流动性需求,使得维护货币市场利率平稳运行所需要的流动性总量和超额准备金率持续下降。后续将继续密切关注影响流动性供求的多种因素,保持流动性合理充裕,引导货币市场利率围绕央行公开市场操作利率平稳运行,为经济高质量发展提供良好的流动性环境。\n回应恒大债务风险:\n金融部门将配合做好项目复工支持\n恒大集团债务风险化解处置情况及对房地产行业的影响备受市场关注,央行金融市场司司长邹澜表示,恒大集团的问题在房地产行业是个别现象,经过近几年的房地产宏观调控,尤其是房地产长效机制建立后,国内房地产市场的地价、房价、预期保持平稳,大多数房地产企业经营稳健,财务指标良好,房地产行业总体是健康的。\n邹澜透露,恒大集团资产总规模超过2万亿元,其中房地产开发项目约占60%,涉及到1000多家作为独立法人的项目子公司。近年来,这家公司经营管理不善,未能根据市场形势变化审慎经营,反而盲目多元化扩张,造成经营和财务严重恶化,最终爆发风险。恒大集团总负债中,金融负债不到三分之一,债权人也比较分散,单个金融机构风险敞口不大。总体上看,其风险对金融行业的外溢性可控。\n邹澜称,目前相关部门、地方政府正在按照市场化、法治化原则,依法依规开展风险处置化解工作,督促恒大集团加大资产处置力度,加快恢复项目建设,维护住房消费者合法权益。在此过程中,金融部门将配合住房城乡建设部门和地方政府,做好项目复工的金融支持。\n回应楼市关切:\n指导银行准确把握和执行房地产金融审慎政策\n本次发布会上对房地产问题谈及较多。针对市场担心恒大债务风险是否会波及其他房企,甚至整个房地产市场,邹澜表示,近期个别大型房企风险暴露,金融机构对房地产行业的风险偏好明显下降,出现了一致性的收缩行为,房地产开发贷款增速出现较大幅度下滑,这种短期过激反应是正常的市场现象,2019年包商银行风险,以及去年永煤和华晨债务违约以后,在同业市场和信用债券市场也发生过类似现象。\n同时,邹澜表示,部分金融机构对于30家试点房企“三线四档”融资管理规则也存在一些误解,对要求“红档”企业有息负债余额不得新增,误解为银行不得新发放房地产开发贷款;企业销售回款偿还贷款后,原本应该支持的合理新开工项目得不到贷款,也一定程度上造成一些房企资金链紧绷。\n“针对这些情况,人民银行、银保监会已于9月底召开房地产金融工作座谈会,指导主要银行准确把握和执行好房地产金融审慎管理政策,保持房地产信贷平稳有序投放,维护房地产市场平稳健康发展。”邹澜强调。\n邹澜表示,党的十九大以来,中央坚持“房子是用来住的,不是用来炒的”定位,坚持不将房地产作为短期刺激经济的手段,坚持稳地价、稳房价、稳预期,加快建立房地产长效机制,在防范化解房地产“灰犀牛”风险,实现房地产市场平稳健康发展的同时,也有利于推动了中国经济结构转型和高质量发展,降低了整体金融风险。中央关于房地产调控的战略和方针,是做好房地产金融工作的长期遵循。\n针对媒体报道的部分地方个人按揭贷款额度紧张一事,邹澜表示,从数据上看,今年前三季度,个人住房贷款发放金额保持平稳,与同期商品住宅销售金额匹配。其中,少数城市房价上涨过快,个人住房贷款投放受到一些约束,但房价上涨速度得到遏制、房价回稳后,这些城市房贷供需关系也将回归正常。\n此外,近期受个别房地产企业债券违约等风险事件的影响,境外房地产企业美元债价格出现较大幅度的下跌。邹澜对此表示,这是市场在违约事件出现后的自然反应。目前,相关部门已关注到境外房企和美元债市场的变化,将敦促发债企业及其股东严格遵守市场纪律和规则,按照市场化、法治化原则,妥善处理好自身的债务问题,积极履行法定偿债义务。\n“我们注意到一些中资房地产企业已经开始回购境外债券,这体现了企业对自身发展前景的信心,预计对于缓解市场紧张情绪,恢复市场信心,将起到积极作用。”邹澜称。\n从境内债券市场情况看,公开数据显示,房地产企业公司信用类债券2021年三季度末的存续规模约1.16万亿元,余额基本保持稳定。\n有市场人士对记者表示,近期,部分企业出现流动性危机,受此影响,市场上出现了诸如房地产市场渐入寒冬、“大而不倒”的时代已经过去、房企融资越来越难等等的负面舆情,但是不论从近期债务融资工具发行,还是余额来看,并没有明显异常的情况。根据公开数据,住宅房地产企业债务融资工具2021年三季度末存续规模约3808亿元,较上年同期(存续规模约4069亿元)基本保持稳定。房地产金融调控政策将在坚持“房住不炒”的总原则下保持连续性和稳定性,房地产企业债券融资渠道将保持稳定、畅通,个别房企出现流动性问题主要原因是其前期快速、盲目扩张,并非行业的普遍现象。\n回应宏观杠杆率:三季度还将保持基本平稳\n央行最新公布的三季度金融数据表明,当前实体经济有效融资需求依然偏弱。不过,新增贷款中也有结构性亮点。央行调查统计司司长阮健弘表示,金融在支持新动能、新产业、新业态方面取得了较大的进展,金融资源向国家的“专精特新”企业倾斜,专、精、特、新企业贷款势头增长良好。\n具体来说,一是“专精特新”企业的获贷率比较高。9月末,“专精特新”企业的获贷率是71.9%,户均贷款余额7582万元。\n二是贷款余额稳定增长,成本持续下降。9月末,“专精特新”企业贷款余额同比增长18.2%,比全部贷款的增速高6.3个百分点,贷款合同平均利率是4.52%,分别比上年末和上年同期低0.15和0.25个百分点。\n“当前金融体系在不断加强对重点行业和普惠小微支持的同时,也在增强对’专精特新’企业的支持,信贷结构持续优化,将推动经济的高质量发展。”阮健弘称。\n此外,针对宏观杠杆率的情况,阮健弘表示,今年以来,我国统筹推进疫情防控和经济社会发展工作,有效实施宏观政策,经济延续恢复的态势,金融总量平稳增长,宏观杠杆率保持基本稳定。今年上半年,我国的宏观杠杆率是274.9%,比上年末低4.5个百分点,非金融企业、政府和住户部门的杠杆率分别回落3.1个、1个和0.4个百分点,均出现不同程度的下降。从三季度的经济恢复和债务增长情况看,预计三季度宏观杠杆率还将保持基本平稳。\n回应通胀:PPI有望于今年底至明年趋于回落\n日前公布的最新物价数据显示,PPI(工业生产者出厂价格指数)同比增速突破10% 创有记录以来历史新高,与此同时,受猪肉价格继续下降主要影响,全国CPI(居民消费价格指数)与PPI剪刀差继续走扩,也创下了新的记录。\n对于PPI同比增速的持续走高,孙国峰表示,PPI可能在近期维持高位,但是考虑到我国是全球主要生产国,经济自给能力较强,企业大部分能源品供应有长期协议保障,国际大宗商品价格上涨和各国通胀上行的输入性影响可控,所以PPI维持高位还是一个阶段性的。\n“随着全球供给恢复、运输效率提升和高基数效应显现,PPI有望于今年底至明年趋于回落。CPI将有所上行,但会继续处在年初的预期目标区间之内。”孙国峰称。\n孙国峰强调,总的来看,我国的通胀总体可控。下一阶段,人民银行还将坚持实施正常的货币政策,以我为主、稳字当头,稳健的货币政策灵活精准、合理适度,把握好政策的力度和节奏,稳定社会预期。\n此外,市场普遍预期美联储可能在今年年底前启动缩减购债,对于此事对中国金融市场的影响。孙国峰认为,今年以来,考虑到国际经济和金融市场环境的变化,以及主要经济体可能的货币政策调整,人民银行做了前瞻性的政策安排,降低了美联储等发达经济体央行政策调整可能带来的外溢冲击。当前我国金融市场运行平稳,十年期国债收益率在2.95%附近,总体处于较低水平。跨境资本流动基本平衡,人民币汇率双向浮动,在合理均衡水平上保持了基本稳定。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":989,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822637979,"gmtCreate":1634124751002,"gmtModify":1634124751002,"author":{"id":"3581648105457387","authorId":"3581648105457387","name":"h826","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fdd5d200c2bda6dcdc398ffcf4ea5f0","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581648105457387","authorIdStr":"3581648105457387"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"限电不限居民,限气也不限居民”真好[强] 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style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-11-08 18:56</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>中概教育股盘前异动拉升,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">高途</a>涨24%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>涨22%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">好未来</a>涨15%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9698c20fd43c450cdc24ba1d1bd6f7cc\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"621\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/440beae2bf86339307b9ce796d3bb7ad\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"616\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95b55cef8dfd38a974aac330fa062057\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"622\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9730389e2c12f92286a75c147f1ce1db","relate_stocks":{"TAL":"好未来","GOTU":"高途","EDU":"新东方"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158353498","content_text":"中概教育股盘前异动拉升,高途涨24%,新东方涨22%,好未来涨15%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1918,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}