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2021-04-05

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Goldman Axes Short Dollar Call as Higher U.S. Yields Spoil Bet

2021-04-05

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The firm joins&nbsp;hedge funds&nbsp;and other&nbsp;investors&nbsp;in capitulating on bearish dollar bets after surging Treasury yields triggered a rebound in the U.S. currency, capsizing one of the world’s most crowded macro trades.</p>\n<p>“Although we still expect these currencies to appreciate versus the dollar over the coming quarters, firm U.S. growth and rising bond yields may keep the greenback supported over the short-term,” strategists including Zach Pandl wrote in a note Friday. “After a choppy few months we are closing our recommended dollar short trade.”</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b826e4f838b4be45beba87412493db7\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"523\"></p>\n<p>What was a&nbsp;near-consensus&nbsp;call at the end of last year has come undone as improving economic&nbsp;data&nbsp;and an 80 basis point surge in 10-year Treasury yields boosted the dollar’s appeal relative to peers. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index has jumped nearly 3% this year.</p>\n<p>Since Oct. 9 -- the date the Goldman strategists issued a short recommendation on the greenback against two baskets of developed and emerging currencies -- the gauge has fallen about 1%.</p>\n<p>The trade would have netted a 5% gain since its inception, though it has been “roughly flat” since the start of the year, the strategists wrote.</p>\n<p>Still, opportunities to short the dollar may re-emerge as Europe’s pandemic situation improves, the Goldman team said. It sees the euro gaining about 3% in the next three months to the $1.21 level, before testing $1.28 in a year.</p>\n<p>The common currency traded around $1.1750 on Monday.</p>\n<p>“Clear evidence that Europe’s Covid situation is getting under control would likely warrant fresh dollar short recommendations,” the strategists wrote.</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Axes Short Dollar Call as Higher U.S. Yields Spoil Bet</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Axes Short Dollar Call as Higher U.S. Yields Spoil Bet\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-05 17:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-04-05/goldman-axes-short-dollar-call-as-higher-u-s-yields-spoils-bet?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Firm recommends closing USD shorts versus commodity currencies\nOpportunities to sell dollar may re-emerge as Europe recovers\n\nAlmost six months after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. recommendedshortingthe ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-04-05/goldman-axes-short-dollar-call-as-higher-u-s-yields-spoils-bet?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"http://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-04-05/goldman-axes-short-dollar-call-as-higher-u-s-yields-spoils-bet?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103369816","content_text":"Firm recommends closing USD shorts versus commodity currencies\nOpportunities to sell dollar may re-emerge as Europe recovers\n\nAlmost six months after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. recommendedshortingthe dollar, it’s calling it quits on the trade.\nIn a note titled “tactical retreat,” Goldman’s currency team closed its recommended short greenback position against a basket of Group-of-10 commodity currencies, including the Australian and New Zealand dollars. The firm joins hedge funds and other investors in capitulating on bearish dollar bets after surging Treasury yields triggered a rebound in the U.S. currency, capsizing one of the world’s most crowded macro trades.\n“Although we still expect these currencies to appreciate versus the dollar over the coming quarters, firm U.S. growth and rising bond yields may keep the greenback supported over the short-term,” strategists including Zach Pandl wrote in a note Friday. “After a choppy few months we are closing our recommended dollar short trade.”\n\nWhat was a near-consensus call at the end of last year has come undone as improving economic data and an 80 basis point surge in 10-year Treasury yields boosted the dollar’s appeal relative to peers. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index has jumped nearly 3% this year.\nSince Oct. 9 -- the date the Goldman strategists issued a short recommendation on the greenback against two baskets of developed and emerging currencies -- the gauge has fallen about 1%.\nThe trade would have netted a 5% gain since its inception, though it has been “roughly flat” since the start of the year, the strategists wrote.\nStill, opportunities to short the dollar may re-emerge as Europe’s pandemic situation improves, the Goldman team said. It sees the euro gaining about 3% in the next three months to the $1.21 level, before testing $1.28 in a year.\nThe common currency traded around $1.1750 on Monday.\n“Clear evidence that Europe’s Covid situation is getting under control would likely warrant fresh dollar short recommendations,” the strategists wrote.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":349220163,"gmtCreate":1617617493052,"gmtModify":1634297553609,"author":{"id":"3580711010083307","authorId":"3580711010083307","name":"josskv","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d17fd6a3c06c6b1b3d29499eb8318da","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580711010083307","authorIdStr":"3580711010083307"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/349220163","repostId":"2124527987","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":349220163,"gmtCreate":1617617493052,"gmtModify":1634297553609,"author":{"id":"3580711010083307","authorId":"3580711010083307","name":"josskv","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d17fd6a3c06c6b1b3d29499eb8318da","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580711010083307","authorIdStr":"3580711010083307"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/349220163","repostId":"2124527987","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2124527987","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1617610583,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2124527987?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-05 16:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Things to Watch in the Stock Market This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2124527987","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Constellation Brands is one of several stocks set to announce earnings results over the next few trading days.","content":"<p>Constellation Brands is one of several stocks set to announce earnings results over the next few trading days.</p>\n<p>Stocks rose in a shortened trading week last week. Both the&nbsp;<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>&nbsp;(DJINDICES:^DJI) and the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC) gained over 1% and are sitting at all-time highs as we begin the second quarter of 2021.</p>\n<p>Several popular companies will announce earnings results over the next few days. That list includes&nbsp;<b>Constellation Brands</b>(NYSE:STZ),<b>Levi Strauss</b>(NYSE:LEVI), and&nbsp;<b>Simply Good Foods</b>(NASDAQ:SMPL), whose reports we'll preview.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6284f8358584c0adc96248eeb88854c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<p><b>1. Constellation Brands' outlook</b></p>\n<p>Constellation Brands will close out its fiscal year with a fourth-quarter earnings report on Thursday, and investors are hoping to hear good news from the alcoholic-beverage giant. Its last quarterly update showed surprisingly strong sales growth as robust home beer consumption offset slumping demand at bars and restaurants. Along with&nbsp;<b>Boston Beer</b>, Constellation Brands accounted for most of the industry's growth in 2020.</p>\n<p>This week's report should contain more evidence of strong growth in imported beer brands like Modelo and Pacifico, along with modest success in the company's Corona hard-seltzer launch that competes directly with Boston Beer's Truly franchise. Sales gains will slow compared with last quarter because of shipping and inventory shifts, but Constellation Brands' consumption metric should still be solidly positive.</p>\n<p>Yet the stock's movement might depend on the fiscal 2022 outlook that CEO Bill Newlands and his team issue on Thursday. That forecast might include optimism for the beer division and the newly transformed wine and spirits segment, along with some potentially big opportunities in the recreational-marijuana space.</p>\n<p><b>2. Simply Good Foods' organic sales</b></p>\n<p>Simply Good Foods' stock has outperformed the market's rally since the COVID-19 lows, which sets a high bar for its Wednesday second-quarter earnings report. Heading into the announcement, most investors are expecting the health-focused food and snack specialist to post strong growth, with sales likely to land at around $230 million.</p>\n<p>Management's recent acquisition of the Quest Nutrition franchise might add noise to that figure, but CEO Joseph Scalzo and his team should detail their organic sales estimate this week, too. Growth by that metric was in the mid-single digits, the company said in early January.</p>\n<p>For the stock to keep rallying deeper into 2021, Simply Good Foods will need to show steady demand in its Atkins and Quest brands that continues even as the pandemic threat declines. And investors are hoping that profitability will improve thanks to the higher sales base. Look for management to issue more-detailed guidance on both these figures as part of Wednesday's earnings report.</p>\n<p><b>3. Levi Strauss' 2021 forecast</b></p>\n<p>Jeanswear specialist Levi Strauss will announce its fiscal first-quarter results on Thursday afternoon. The stock jumped in the past year, but many investors see an opportunity for even bigger gains ahead.</p>\n<p>That bullish thesis depends on the company's further differentiating its small but quickly growing e-commerce platform. Levi Strauss is also aiming to diversify into complementary categories outside its core denim focus. Progress in these two areas might remove some of the sting from weak sales, which are expected to fall by 17% this quarter compared with last quarter's 12% slump.</p>\n<p>The stock's price rally in recent months means investors will be looking for management to issue a positive outlook for 2021 following last year's 23% sales decline. Watch executives' inventory update for a clue on which way demand and pricing trends are heading after a tough holiday season.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Things to Watch in the Stock Market This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Things to Watch in the Stock Market This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-05 16:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/04/3-things-to-watch-in-the-stock-market-this-week/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Constellation Brands is one of several stocks set to announce earnings results over the next few trading days.\nStocks rose in a shortened trading week last week. Both the Dow Jones Industrial Average ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/04/3-things-to-watch-in-the-stock-market-this-week/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/04/3-things-to-watch-in-the-stock-market-this-week/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2124527987","content_text":"Constellation Brands is one of several stocks set to announce earnings results over the next few trading days.\nStocks rose in a shortened trading week last week. Both the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES:^DJI) and the S&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC) gained over 1% and are sitting at all-time highs as we begin the second quarter of 2021.\nSeveral popular companies will announce earnings results over the next few days. That list includes Constellation Brands(NYSE:STZ),Levi Strauss(NYSE:LEVI), and Simply Good Foods(NASDAQ:SMPL), whose reports we'll preview.\nImage source: Getty Images.\n1. Constellation Brands' outlook\nConstellation Brands will close out its fiscal year with a fourth-quarter earnings report on Thursday, and investors are hoping to hear good news from the alcoholic-beverage giant. Its last quarterly update showed surprisingly strong sales growth as robust home beer consumption offset slumping demand at bars and restaurants. Along with Boston Beer, Constellation Brands accounted for most of the industry's growth in 2020.\nThis week's report should contain more evidence of strong growth in imported beer brands like Modelo and Pacifico, along with modest success in the company's Corona hard-seltzer launch that competes directly with Boston Beer's Truly franchise. Sales gains will slow compared with last quarter because of shipping and inventory shifts, but Constellation Brands' consumption metric should still be solidly positive.\nYet the stock's movement might depend on the fiscal 2022 outlook that CEO Bill Newlands and his team issue on Thursday. That forecast might include optimism for the beer division and the newly transformed wine and spirits segment, along with some potentially big opportunities in the recreational-marijuana space.\n2. Simply Good Foods' organic sales\nSimply Good Foods' stock has outperformed the market's rally since the COVID-19 lows, which sets a high bar for its Wednesday second-quarter earnings report. Heading into the announcement, most investors are expecting the health-focused food and snack specialist to post strong growth, with sales likely to land at around $230 million.\nManagement's recent acquisition of the Quest Nutrition franchise might add noise to that figure, but CEO Joseph Scalzo and his team should detail their organic sales estimate this week, too. Growth by that metric was in the mid-single digits, the company said in early January.\nFor the stock to keep rallying deeper into 2021, Simply Good Foods will need to show steady demand in its Atkins and Quest brands that continues even as the pandemic threat declines. And investors are hoping that profitability will improve thanks to the higher sales base. Look for management to issue more-detailed guidance on both these figures as part of Wednesday's earnings report.\n3. Levi Strauss' 2021 forecast\nJeanswear specialist Levi Strauss will announce its fiscal first-quarter results on Thursday afternoon. The stock jumped in the past year, but many investors see an opportunity for even bigger gains ahead.\nThat bullish thesis depends on the company's further differentiating its small but quickly growing e-commerce platform. Levi Strauss is also aiming to diversify into complementary categories outside its core denim focus. Progress in these two areas might remove some of the sting from weak sales, which are expected to fall by 17% this quarter compared with last quarter's 12% slump.\nThe stock's price rally in recent months means investors will be looking for management to issue a positive outlook for 2021 following last year's 23% sales decline. Watch executives' inventory update for a clue on which way demand and pricing trends are heading after a tough holiday season.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":349253036,"gmtCreate":1617618392525,"gmtModify":1634297544534,"author":{"id":"3580711010083307","authorId":"3580711010083307","name":"josskv","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d17fd6a3c06c6b1b3d29499eb8318da","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580711010083307","authorIdStr":"3580711010083307"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/349253036","repostId":"1103369816","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}