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虎虎孙威

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2021-06-24

每日优鲜，新鲜生活常常有

2021-04-16

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2021-04-12

信息量挺大

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2021-04-12

神秘？

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.h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIFR：喜马拉雅秘密在美提交IPO申请\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-04-12 12:48</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>4月12日午间消息，IFR援引不愿透露姓名的人士报道，喜马拉雅已秘密提交美国IPO申请，最早可能在今年第二季度融资5亿至10亿美元。这家中国在线播客和广播初创企业正与高盛和摩根士丹利就上市计划展开合作。报道援引一位知情人士的话称，此次IPO对该公司的估值可能超过50亿美元。喜马拉雅发言人拒绝对IFR置评。</p><p>曾在3月9日，喜马拉雅FM否定了上市传闻。</p><p>3月9日，有消息称喜马拉雅FM计划赴美IPO，拟募资至多10亿美元。消息传出当日，官方紧急回应：“目前未有明确上市计划”。</p><p>公开资料显示，2012年8月成立的喜马拉雅FM，于2013年3月上线手机客户端。到2019年，官方披露用户量已经达到6亿，成为国内发展最快、规模最大的在线移动音频分享平台。</p><p>尽管喜马拉雅FM做到了国内头部在线音频分享平台，但行业老二荔枝早已先其一步登陆纳斯达克。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/450f4a040852d0197e9116084687e8c8","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126013247","content_text":"4月12日午间消息，IFR援引不愿透露姓名的人士报道，喜马拉雅已秘密提交美国IPO申请，最早可能在今年第二季度融资5亿至10亿美元。这家中国在线播客和广播初创企业正与高盛和摩根士丹利就上市计划展开合作。报道援引一位知情人士的话称，此次IPO对该公司的估值可能超过50亿美元。喜马拉雅发言人拒绝对IFR置评。曾在3月9日，喜马拉雅FM否定了上市传闻。3月9日，有消息称喜马拉雅FM计划赴美IPO，拟募资至多10亿美元。消息传出当日，官方紧急回应：“目前未有明确上市计划”。公开资料显示，2012年8月成立的喜马拉雅FM，于2013年3月上线手机客户端。到2019年，官方披露用户量已经达到6亿，成为国内发展最快、规模最大的在线移动音频分享平台。尽管喜马拉雅FM做到了国内头部在线音频分享平台，但行业老二荔枝早已先其一步登陆纳斯达克。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1739,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":128602499,"gmtCreate":1624512318611,"gmtModify":1624512318611,"author":{"id":"3580426793410603","authorId":"3580426793410603","name":"虎虎孙威","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69e050605d6fbfcdeae65b4e5a7274cc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580426793410603","authorIdStr":"3580426793410603"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"每日优鲜，新鲜生活常常有","listText":"每日优鲜，新鲜生活常常有","text":"每日优鲜，新鲜生活常常有","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2700c94026b20e7d29dd7084b6d6255c","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128602499","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1752,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":347480939,"gmtCreate":1618521634621,"gmtModify":1618521634621,"author":{"id":"3580426793410603","authorId":"3580426793410603","name":"虎虎孙威","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69e050605d6fbfcdeae65b4e5a7274cc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580426793410603","authorIdStr":"3580426793410603"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"mark","listText":"mark","text":"mark","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/347480939","repostId":"2127017550","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2127017550","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"全球第五大财经门户网站Investing.com中国官方微信，提供全球各国海量金融资讯和实时行情数据，包括股票股指、外汇、期货、基金、债券、加密货币等。关注全球金融市场动态的投资者千万不可错过。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"英为财情Investing","id":"92","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/406e2b4996e14cd8a66a2a6864ef4313"},"pubTimestamp":1618483324,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2127017550?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-15 18:42","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"华尔街三大投行警告美股回调，发生了什么？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2127017550","media":"英为财情Investing","summary":"标普500指数正处于纪录高位附近，但华尔街在短短四天的时间内已经有三家大投行就潜在的回调发出警告——为什么？先是摩根士丹利向来是美股大多头的大摩首席股票策略师迈克尔·威尔逊在上周末表示，虽然标普500","content":"<p>标普500指数正处于纪录高位附近，但华尔街在短短四天的时间内已经有三家大投行就潜在的回调发出警告——为什么？</p><p><b>先是摩根士丹利</b></p><p>向来是美股大多头的大摩首席股票策略师迈克尔·威尔逊在上周末表示，虽然标普500指数在持续创新高，“但在表面之下，支撑大盘的股票类别出现了明显的变化，这可能是在告诉我们一些关于经济重启的、不易为人所觉察的事情。”</p><p>威尔逊注意到了四个现象，这是其中之一。除此之外，罗素2000小盘股在3月12日触顶之后，已经落后标普500指数8%；大摩过去一年一直在推荐的部分周期股表现开始变得低迷，而防御性板块表现相对比较好；还有就是，IPO和SPAC指数都有20%幅度的落后，年内已经转跌。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f05419a3bd0955b57f22d3682f818bcc\" tg-width=\"604\" tg-height=\"733\"><span>标普500指数与罗素2000小盘股走势对比</span></p><p><b>这些现象说明了什么？威尔逊认为，小盘股和周期股近期的弱势，可能是一个潜在的早期警告信号，即经济体的实际重启可能比人们预期的要困难得多。</b>在过去一年，小盘股、周期股涨势惊人，是因为投资者提前在这些股票的价格中计入了经济重启预期；然而，当重启真正来临的时候，投资者可能会遭遇到执行方面的风险，还可能会有一些意想不到的情况出现。</p><p><b>他又进一步指出，虽然政策制定者通过货币宽松和财政刺激为经济体提供了巨大的支撑，但是疫情封锁却冲击、甚至摧毁了供应。</b>这也是为什么，从原材料到物流、到劳动力的所有领域，我们都看到了供应短缺的迹象。这可能会影响到Q1财报季，尤其是在成本和利润率方面，还有Q2的前瞻指引。</p><p>至于IPO和SPAC的降温，也表明美联储提供的剩余流动性已经被大量供应所淹没。从该策略师的经验来看，这往往是更广泛股票市场即将面临艰难时刻的领先指标。</p><p><b>紧接着是美国银行</b></p><p>本周三，该行首席量化策略师萨维塔·苏拉曼尼亚向客户发送了一份题为《抑制热情的五大理由》的报告。</p><p>这位策略师先是提出了一个问题：在美国银行经济学家最近上调了美国GDP预期之后，在多家企业提供了乐观的业绩指引、从而促使美国银行上调了2021年EPS预期之后，该行还是没有改变标普500指数到年底3800点的目标价？甚至还比当前的价格水平低逾300点？</p><p>“鉴于市场情绪逐渐变得狂热、高企的估值、刺激措施已达到峰值，我们认为市场已经过度计入了利好消息。<b>我们仍然看好经济，而非标普500指数。</b>”报告称。</p><p>该行列出了五大原因，包括：1、美国银行的卖方指标距离达到“极度兴奋”领域已经不到1个百分点；2、标普500指数的估值意味着未来十年的收益回报将极低（年化2%）；3、在历史上75%的时间，标普500指数12个月收益回报较历史均值高出2+标准差，接下来都会下跌；4、公允价值模型显示标普500指数为3635点；5、股票风险溢价跌破400个基点，这是一个逆势负面信号。</p><p><b>最后是德意志银行</b></p><p>该行首席股票策略师宾基·查德哈称，从历史上看，股票与ISM等周期性宏观增长指标紧密相关，相关性可达73%。通常，以ISM为指标的增长都会在衰退终结之后一年左右（更准确地说是10-11个月）触顶。</p><p>因此，德银预计在“非常近的近期”，股票将会继续受到加速的宏观增长支撑，系统性策略和企业回购还将继续买入股票，推动股票走高；然而，<b>该行预计，在未来3个月，随着增长触顶，美股将会出现重大的调整（-6%至-10%的回调）。</b></p><p>从统计数据来看，在增长触顶时，标普500指数的跌幅中值为-8.4%；即使是ISM趋平而不是下滑，标普500指数也有-5.9%的中值跌幅。而至于下跌的时机，通常在ISM触顶两周后，标普500指数会出现抛售，持续时间中值为6周。</p><p>唯一的好消息是，德银认为，在调整之后，美股还会回升，之后的风险主要都是围绕通胀和美联储对此的回应。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n华尔街三大投行警告美股回调，发生了什么？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/92\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/406e2b4996e14cd8a66a2a6864ef4313);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">英为财情Investing </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-04-15 18:42</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>标普500指数正处于纪录高位附近，但华尔街在短短四天的时间内已经有三家大投行就潜在的回调发出警告——为什么？</p><p><b>先是摩根士丹利</b></p><p>向来是美股大多头的大摩首席股票策略师迈克尔·威尔逊在上周末表示，虽然标普500指数在持续创新高，“但在表面之下，支撑大盘的股票类别出现了明显的变化，这可能是在告诉我们一些关于经济重启的、不易为人所觉察的事情。”</p><p>威尔逊注意到了四个现象，这是其中之一。除此之外，罗素2000小盘股在3月12日触顶之后，已经落后标普500指数8%；大摩过去一年一直在推荐的部分周期股表现开始变得低迷，而防御性板块表现相对比较好；还有就是，IPO和SPAC指数都有20%幅度的落后，年内已经转跌。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f05419a3bd0955b57f22d3682f818bcc\" tg-width=\"604\" tg-height=\"733\"><span>标普500指数与罗素2000小盘股走势对比</span></p><p><b>这些现象说明了什么？威尔逊认为，小盘股和周期股近期的弱势，可能是一个潜在的早期警告信号，即经济体的实际重启可能比人们预期的要困难得多。</b>在过去一年，小盘股、周期股涨势惊人，是因为投资者提前在这些股票的价格中计入了经济重启预期；然而，当重启真正来临的时候，投资者可能会遭遇到执行方面的风险，还可能会有一些意想不到的情况出现。</p><p><b>他又进一步指出，虽然政策制定者通过货币宽松和财政刺激为经济体提供了巨大的支撑，但是疫情封锁却冲击、甚至摧毁了供应。</b>这也是为什么，从原材料到物流、到劳动力的所有领域，我们都看到了供应短缺的迹象。这可能会影响到Q1财报季，尤其是在成本和利润率方面，还有Q2的前瞻指引。</p><p>至于IPO和SPAC的降温，也表明美联储提供的剩余流动性已经被大量供应所淹没。从该策略师的经验来看，这往往是更广泛股票市场即将面临艰难时刻的领先指标。</p><p><b>紧接着是美国银行</b></p><p>本周三，该行首席量化策略师萨维塔·苏拉曼尼亚向客户发送了一份题为《抑制热情的五大理由》的报告。</p><p>这位策略师先是提出了一个问题：在美国银行经济学家最近上调了美国GDP预期之后，在多家企业提供了乐观的业绩指引、从而促使美国银行上调了2021年EPS预期之后，该行还是没有改变标普500指数到年底3800点的目标价？甚至还比当前的价格水平低逾300点？</p><p>“鉴于市场情绪逐渐变得狂热、高企的估值、刺激措施已达到峰值，我们认为市场已经过度计入了利好消息。<b>我们仍然看好经济，而非标普500指数。</b>”报告称。</p><p>该行列出了五大原因，包括：1、美国银行的卖方指标距离达到“极度兴奋”领域已经不到1个百分点；2、标普500指数的估值意味着未来十年的收益回报将极低（年化2%）；3、在历史上75%的时间，标普500指数12个月收益回报较历史均值高出2+标准差，接下来都会下跌；4、公允价值模型显示标普500指数为3635点；5、股票风险溢价跌破400个基点，这是一个逆势负面信号。</p><p><b>最后是德意志银行</b></p><p>该行首席股票策略师宾基·查德哈称，从历史上看，股票与ISM等周期性宏观增长指标紧密相关，相关性可达73%。通常，以ISM为指标的增长都会在衰退终结之后一年左右（更准确地说是10-11个月）触顶。</p><p>因此，德银预计在“非常近的近期”，股票将会继续受到加速的宏观增长支撑，系统性策略和企业回购还将继续买入股票，推动股票走高；然而，<b>该行预计，在未来3个月，随着增长触顶，美股将会出现重大的调整（-6%至-10%的回调）。</b></p><p>从统计数据来看，在增长触顶时，标普500指数的跌幅中值为-8.4%；即使是ISM趋平而不是下滑，标普500指数也有-5.9%的中值跌幅。而至于下跌的时机，通常在ISM触顶两周后，标普500指数会出现抛售，持续时间中值为6周。</p><p>唯一的好消息是，德银认为，在调整之后，美股还会回升，之后的风险主要都是围绕通胀和美联储对此的回应。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf9ac23bac84c629134c18540a11264a","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2127017550","content_text":"标普500指数正处于纪录高位附近，但华尔街在短短四天的时间内已经有三家大投行就潜在的回调发出警告——为什么？先是摩根士丹利向来是美股大多头的大摩首席股票策略师迈克尔·威尔逊在上周末表示，虽然标普500指数在持续创新高，“但在表面之下，支撑大盘的股票类别出现了明显的变化，这可能是在告诉我们一些关于经济重启的、不易为人所觉察的事情。”威尔逊注意到了四个现象，这是其中之一。除此之外，罗素2000小盘股在3月12日触顶之后，已经落后标普500指数8%；大摩过去一年一直在推荐的部分周期股表现开始变得低迷，而防御性板块表现相对比较好；还有就是，IPO和SPAC指数都有20%幅度的落后，年内已经转跌。标普500指数与罗素2000小盘股走势对比这些现象说明了什么？威尔逊认为，小盘股和周期股近期的弱势，可能是一个潜在的早期警告信号，即经济体的实际重启可能比人们预期的要困难得多。在过去一年，小盘股、周期股涨势惊人，是因为投资者提前在这些股票的价格中计入了经济重启预期；然而，当重启真正来临的时候，投资者可能会遭遇到执行方面的风险，还可能会有一些意想不到的情况出现。他又进一步指出，虽然政策制定者通过货币宽松和财政刺激为经济体提供了巨大的支撑，但是疫情封锁却冲击、甚至摧毁了供应。这也是为什么，从原材料到物流、到劳动力的所有领域，我们都看到了供应短缺的迹象。这可能会影响到Q1财报季，尤其是在成本和利润率方面，还有Q2的前瞻指引。至于IPO和SPAC的降温，也表明美联储提供的剩余流动性已经被大量供应所淹没。从该策略师的经验来看，这往往是更广泛股票市场即将面临艰难时刻的领先指标。紧接着是美国银行本周三，该行首席量化策略师萨维塔·苏拉曼尼亚向客户发送了一份题为《抑制热情的五大理由》的报告。这位策略师先是提出了一个问题：在美国银行经济学家最近上调了美国GDP预期之后，在多家企业提供了乐观的业绩指引、从而促使美国银行上调了2021年EPS预期之后，该行还是没有改变标普500指数到年底3800点的目标价？甚至还比当前的价格水平低逾300点？“鉴于市场情绪逐渐变得狂热、高企的估值、刺激措施已达到峰值，我们认为市场已经过度计入了利好消息。我们仍然看好经济，而非标普500指数。”报告称。该行列出了五大原因，包括：1、美国银行的卖方指标距离达到“极度兴奋”领域已经不到1个百分点；2、标普500指数的估值意味着未来十年的收益回报将极低（年化2%）；3、在历史上75%的时间，标普500指数12个月收益回报较历史均值高出2+标准差，接下来都会下跌；4、公允价值模型显示标普500指数为3635点；5、股票风险溢价跌破400个基点，这是一个逆势负面信号。最后是德意志银行该行首席股票策略师宾基·查德哈称，从历史上看，股票与ISM等周期性宏观增长指标紧密相关，相关性可达73%。通常，以ISM为指标的增长都会在衰退终结之后一年左右（更准确地说是10-11个月）触顶。因此，德银预计在“非常近的近期”，股票将会继续受到加速的宏观增长支撑，系统性策略和企业回购还将继续买入股票，推动股票走高；然而，该行预计，在未来3个月，随着增长触顶，美股将会出现重大的调整（-6%至-10%的回调）。从统计数据来看，在增长触顶时，标普500指数的跌幅中值为-8.4%；即使是ISM趋平而不是下滑，标普500指数也有-5.9%的中值跌幅。而至于下跌的时机，通常在ISM触顶两周后，标普500指数会出现抛售，持续时间中值为6周。唯一的好消息是，德银认为，在调整之后，美股还会回升，之后的风险主要都是围绕通胀和美联储对此的回应。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1389,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":342611803,"gmtCreate":1618208777002,"gmtModify":1618208777002,"author":{"id":"3580426793410603","authorId":"3580426793410603","name":"虎虎孙威","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69e050605d6fbfcdeae65b4e5a7274cc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580426793410603","authorIdStr":"3580426793410603"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"信息量挺大","listText":"信息量挺大","text":"信息量挺大","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/342611803","repostId":"2126037671","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1745,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}