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Steveneng88
2021-12-20
笑话💸
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Steveneng88
2021-12-16
$苹果(AAPL)$
$180 tonight 🚀
Steveneng88
2021-11-30
人家是卖疫苗的,你懂得😉
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Steveneng88
2021-11-30
见底?见鬼比较适合🤣
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Steveneng88
2021-11-28
还不是为了数字人民币呗
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Steveneng88
2021-08-06
Yyds
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Steveneng88
2021-07-27
$美团-W(03690)$
虽然今早砍了,但没想到会继续疯狂的下跌…
Steveneng88
2021-07-26
$美团-W(03690)$
远离中丐,男子气概😂
Steveneng88
2021-06-25
来了🤭
特斯拉涨逾5%,Model 3、Model Y或将在美销售一空
Steveneng88
2021-06-19
赞同👍🏻
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Steveneng88
2021-06-15
💸
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Steveneng88
2021-06-15
🍎👍🏻
Steveneng88
2021-06-12
时代的眼泪~
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Steveneng88
2021-06-11
是时候买🍎了~~~
Steveneng88
2021-05-03
通胀压力要沸腾了……
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Steveneng88
2021-04-18
赞
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Steveneng88
2021-04-18
赞
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Steveneng88
2021-04-18
🍎
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a>远离中丐,男子气概😂","listText":"<a 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23:00","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉涨逾5%,Model 3、Model Y或将在美销售一空","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173297432","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"特斯拉的第三季度数据可能会相当令人印象深刻。","content":"<p>市场消息,Model 3和Model Y目前在美国的交付等待时间部分暗示了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>在美国的需求仍非常强劲,以至于可能会在第三季度销售一空。这两款车型的预计交付日期都要到2021年第三季度。Model Y长续航双电机全轮驱动版(Long Range Dual Motor AWD)预计交付日期为2021年9月,Model 3标准续航版和长续航双电机全轮驱动版预计交付日期为11周。</p>\n<p>随着Model S,甚至Model X在第三季度加入竞争,特斯拉的第三季度数据可能会相当令人印象深刻。考虑到这两款旗舰车都是高利润车型,特斯拉第三季度的财务状况可能会因为新款Model S(或许还有新款Model X)而得到提振。</p>\n<p>另据Electrek数据:截至2021年5月,特斯拉车型占美国电动汽车销量的54%以上。 此外,5月份美国电动汽车销量达到53779辆,比2021年4月增长了19.2%。</p>\n<p>截至发稿,特斯拉涨超5%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f87da9e5318350fee8df4e0885208cc\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-24 23:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>市场消息,Model 3和Model Y目前在美国的交付等待时间部分暗示了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>在美国的需求仍非常强劲,以至于可能会在第三季度销售一空。这两款车型的预计交付日期都要到2021年第三季度。Model Y长续航双电机全轮驱动版(Long Range Dual Motor AWD)预计交付日期为2021年9月,Model 3标准续航版和长续航双电机全轮驱动版预计交付日期为11周。</p>\n<p>随着Model S,甚至Model X在第三季度加入竞争,特斯拉的第三季度数据可能会相当令人印象深刻。考虑到这两款旗舰车都是高利润车型,特斯拉第三季度的财务状况可能会因为新款Model S(或许还有新款Model X)而得到提振。</p>\n<p>另据Electrek数据:截至2021年5月,特斯拉车型占美国电动汽车销量的54%以上。 此外,5月份美国电动汽车销量达到53779辆,比2021年4月增长了19.2%。</p>\n<p>截至发稿,特斯拉涨超5%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f87da9e5318350fee8df4e0885208cc\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e0d9f23e003547a93295253f05b6a55","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173297432","content_text":"市场消息,Model 3和Model Y目前在美国的交付等待时间部分暗示了特斯拉在美国的需求仍非常强劲,以至于可能会在第三季度销售一空。这两款车型的预计交付日期都要到2021年第三季度。Model Y长续航双电机全轮驱动版(Long Range Dual Motor AWD)预计交付日期为2021年9月,Model 3标准续航版和长续航双电机全轮驱动版预计交付日期为11周。\n随着Model S,甚至Model X在第三季度加入竞争,特斯拉的第三季度数据可能会相当令人印象深刻。考虑到这两款旗舰车都是高利润车型,特斯拉第三季度的财务状况可能会因为新款Model S(或许还有新款Model X)而得到提振。\n另据Electrek数据:截至2021年5月,特斯拉车型占美国电动汽车销量的54%以上。 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06:00","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"重回4万美元!比特币价格又被大佬几句话给拉起来了","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2143735791","media":"智通财经网","summary":"比特币价格一度跳涨至4万美元以上,此前传奇交易员琼斯表达了他对比特币的偏爱,另外特斯拉(TSLA.US)CEO马斯克在周日时称特斯拉未来有可能在此接受比特币付款","content":"<p>智通财经APP获悉,周一,比特币价格一度跳涨至4万美元以上,此前传奇交易员琼斯表达了他对比特币的偏爱,另外<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>CEO马斯克在周日时称特斯拉未来有可能在此接受比特币付款。马斯克称:“一旦确认有50%以上的比特币矿工使用清洁能源挖矿,特斯拉将重新恢复接受比特币付款。”</p>\n<p>根据Coinbase的数据,目前比特币小幅回落至4万美元以下,报39778美元/枚。自今年年初以来,比特币已经飙升了30%以上,它在4月份创下了64829.14美元的历史新高,并在5月份经历了30%的盘中暴跌后,跌到了30000美元附近的低点。</p>\n<p>随着过去一年通货膨胀的预期上升,机构投资者对比特币作为价值储存的兴趣大大增加。去年春天,琼斯首次透露,他资产的近2%为比特币,自那时起,宏观对冲基金经理Stanley Druckenmiller、基金经理人Bill Miller及桥水创始人达利欧也称赞了比特币。</p>\n<p>琼斯称:“比特币是一个伟大的多样化工具,我把比特币看成是一个‘财富的故事’,其他人会认为这是一个不同的生态系统,它的性质是交易性的。”</p>\n<p>特斯拉CEO马斯克曾在5月中旬时称该公司因对环保问题的担忧停止接受比特币付款。琼斯周一也表示,他也担心开采比特币对环境的影响。琼斯称:“如果我是世界之王,我会禁止比特币采矿。”</p>\n<p>加密货币挖矿需要大量的能源来支持计算机运行,根据剑桥比特币电力消耗指数,比特币挖矿消耗的能源比芬兰和比利时等整个国家消耗的能源还要多。</p>\n<p>比特币开采对环境的影响已经受到了部分国家的严格审查。伊朗政府在5月宣布禁止比特币和其他加密货币的开采直到9月22日,此前官员称该国首都德黑兰和其他几个大城市的停电部分是由于能源密集型活动。</p>","source":"highlight_zhitongcaijin","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>重回4万美元!比特币价格又被大佬几句话给拉起来了</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n重回4万美元!比特币价格又被大佬几句话给拉起来了\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 06:00 北京时间 <a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/493700.html><strong>智通财经网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉,周一,比特币价格一度跳涨至4万美元以上,此前传奇交易员琼斯表达了他对比特币的偏爱,另外特斯拉CEO马斯克在周日时称特斯拉未来有可能在此接受比特币付款。马斯克称:“一旦确认有50%以上的比特币矿工使用清洁能源挖矿,特斯拉将重新恢复接受比特币付款。”\n根据Coinbase的数据,目前比特币小幅回落至4万美元以下,报39778美元/枚。自今年年初以来,比特币已经飙升了30%以上,它在...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/493700.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba99a12e5f2896a3cfbda39ea891a78d","relate_stocks":{"CAN":"嘉楠科技","EBON":"亿邦国际"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/493700.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"2143735791","content_text":"智通财经APP获悉,周一,比特币价格一度跳涨至4万美元以上,此前传奇交易员琼斯表达了他对比特币的偏爱,另外特斯拉CEO马斯克在周日时称特斯拉未来有可能在此接受比特币付款。马斯克称:“一旦确认有50%以上的比特币矿工使用清洁能源挖矿,特斯拉将重新恢复接受比特币付款。”\n根据Coinbase的数据,目前比特币小幅回落至4万美元以下,报39778美元/枚。自今年年初以来,比特币已经飙升了30%以上,它在4月份创下了64829.14美元的历史新高,并在5月份经历了30%的盘中暴跌后,跌到了30000美元附近的低点。\n随着过去一年通货膨胀的预期上升,机构投资者对比特币作为价值储存的兴趣大大增加。去年春天,琼斯首次透露,他资产的近2%为比特币,自那时起,宏观对冲基金经理Stanley Druckenmiller、基金经理人Bill Miller及桥水创始人达利欧也称赞了比特币。\n琼斯称:“比特币是一个伟大的多样化工具,我把比特币看成是一个‘财富的故事’,其他人会认为这是一个不同的生态系统,它的性质是交易性的。”\n特斯拉CEO马斯克曾在5月中旬时称该公司因对环保问题的担忧停止接受比特币付款。琼斯周一也表示,他也担心开采比特币对环境的影响。琼斯称:“如果我是世界之王,我会禁止比特币采矿。”\n加密货币挖矿需要大量的能源来支持计算机运行,根据剑桥比特币电力消耗指数,比特币挖矿消耗的能源比芬兰和比利时等整个国家消耗的能源还要多。\n比特币开采对环境的影响已经受到了部分国家的严格审查。伊朗政府在5月宣布禁止比特币和其他加密货币的开采直到9月22日,此前官员称该国首都德黑兰和其他几个大城市的停电部分是由于能源密集型活动。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":34,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899405226,"gmtCreate":1628209077465,"gmtModify":1633752644687,"author":{"id":"3579915372996629","authorId":"3579915372996629","name":"Steveneng88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b70878a2c5f1c47ca37143542f140d38","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579915372996629","authorIdStr":"3579915372996629"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yyds","listText":"Yyds","text":"Yyds","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/899405226","repostId":"1122472441","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":194,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809257533,"gmtCreate":1627374512522,"gmtModify":1633765609148,"author":{"id":"3579915372996629","authorId":"3579915372996629","name":"Steveneng88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b70878a2c5f1c47ca37143542f140d38","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579915372996629","authorIdStr":"3579915372996629"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a>虽然今早砍了,但没想到会继续疯狂的下跌…","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a>虽然今早砍了,但没想到会继续疯狂的下跌…","text":"$美团-W(03690)$虽然今早砍了,但没想到会继续疯狂的下跌…","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c656adc07432c6bec029ef0dafe84746","width":"825","height":"1299"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809257533","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":826,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693365513,"gmtCreate":1639973231138,"gmtModify":1639973231191,"author":{"id":"3579915372996629","authorId":"3579915372996629","name":"Steveneng88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b70878a2c5f1c47ca37143542f140d38","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579915372996629","authorIdStr":"3579915372996629"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"笑话💸","listText":"笑话💸","text":"笑话💸","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693365513","repostId":"1127982662","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127982662","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639969834,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127982662?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-20 11:10","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"2022年A股迎来全面牛市的几率有多大?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127982662","media":"格隆汇","summary":"今年成长跑赢的特征:拥抱“新能源”;担忧“旧经济”。","content":"<p><b>摘要</b></p>\n<p><b>当前,国内股票性价比显著好于债券,宽货币或更利于股市。</b>目前10年期国债收益率倒数与沪深两市TTM差值处于过去十年的高位,股票性价比明显高于债券。股市上涨概率显著高于整体下跌,大幅下跌的可能性不大。假若货币政策进一步宽松,股市大概率更为受益。</p>\n<p><b>市场风格与无风险利率走势皆为宏观因素的结果。</b>2014年以来的实践表明:当经济增速回升、地产等传统经济因素企稳,市场风格就会趋于均衡甚至偏向价值;当经济增速放缓、地产等传统经济因素转弱,投资者将挖掘与经济增速无关的行业或者个股,市场风格就会更偏向成长。</p>\n<p><b>今年成长跑赢的特征:拥抱“新能源”;担忧“旧经济”。1)新能源主线下的成长风格与中小市值下沉特征。</b>今年是典型的成长风格并伴随了中小市值下沉的选股特征,主线就是获得四大红利共振的新能源。今年表现较好的创业板、中证1000以及中证500的“含宁量”(含有新能源及其概念股的比重)显著高于今年表现较差的上证50与沪深300。将上述指数进一步拆分成“含宁部分”与“不含宁部分”。结果显示,创业板、中证1000以及中证500的“含宁部分”要显著好于“不含宁部分”;上证50与沪深300中“含宁部分”表现不仅明显强于其“不含宁部分”甚至也跑赢了创业板、中证1000以及中证500的“不含宁部分”。<b>2)8-11月大小分化加剧或与市场对经济下行担忧有关。</b>今年Q2上证50与沪深300的“含宁部分”与创业板、中证1000以及中证500的“含宁部分”表现相当,但8-11月则明显跑输、大小分化加剧。我们认为与市场对于地产乃至经济下行的担忧有关,是“旧经济”拖累经济前景的结果。</p>\n<p><b>2022年“旧经济”对GDP的贡献有望显著提升。</b>目前中国稳增长信号显现。首先,促进房地产业健康发展和良性循环之下地产开发贷同比大概率已经处于底部。此外,今年财政后置、明年财政前置,叠加就地过年可能性较大,明年Q1基建增速大概率明显回升。明年下半年国内房地产投资增速亦有望触底回升接力基建与保障房。</p>\n<p><b>2022年的A股:市场或更均衡;全面牛市可期。</b>2022年“旧经济”重获活力,该宏观形势将更利好价值与蓝筹。但考虑到货币政策有望进一步宽松,且10年期国债收益率倒数与沪深两市TTM差值处于极高水位,因此,2022年A股可能是与“旧经济”相关性较强的价值蓝筹股及与能源革命相关的新能源上中游成长股均有所表现。叠加全面注册制等因素,不排除2022年A股市场全面牛市的可能性。</p>\n<p><b>正文</b></p>\n<p>我们在12月16日报告《触发全面降息的三个关键条件》中指出,随着经济下行压力加剧、信贷需求疲软,进而触发降息概率极高。更为宽松的货币政策令很多投资者期待成长风格的延续。但我们认为2022年市场风格或更为均衡。</p>\n<p>一、A股是否存在大幅调整风险?从股债性价比看,概率极低</p>\n<p>我们在12月16日报告《触发全面降息的三个关键条件》中指出,随着经济下行压力加剧、信贷需求疲软,LPR利率降息概率极高。该因素对于利率债的影响不必多说,但结合图1可知,该因素大概率是利好股市的。如图1所示,目前10年期国债收益率倒数与沪深两市TTM差值处于过去十年的高位(截至12月17日为2011年5月以来的90.5%分位数),可见股票性价比明显高于债券。复盘来看,此时股市上涨概率显著高于整体下跌,大幅下跌的可能性不大。换言之,假若货币政策进一步宽松,股市大概率更为受益。但今年A股的成长风格是否延续?这其实与宏观形势及今年的抱团特征有关。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15106d6f04b28e9f947b05f3832d9285\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"546\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>二、市场风格与无风险利率走势皆为宏观因素的结果</p>\n<p>假若在货币宽松背景下,无风险利率中枢可以进一步下移,成长股是否更为受益进而今年的成长风格得以延续?这或许是市场当前最为关心的问题之一。用创业板指数代表成长,用上证50代表蓝筹或者价值。如图2所示,2014年以来10年期国债收益率与创业板/上证50多数时间呈现负相关特征,但前者相对后者并不具备领先性,且二者偶尔亦呈现正相关性,因此宽货币推动利率中枢下移与市场会偏向成长风格之间大概率仅为相关关系而非因果关系。假若再结合图3,我们只能说宽货币(无风险利率中枢下移)+紧信用(社融增速回落)阶段,A股更容易演绎成长风格,但又不必然。比如,2014年和2018年都是反例;2020年3-8月国内处于“紧货币+宽信用”阶段,但成长股表现也好于价值。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21e890744e7cb6fa05b8313aa1db51ea\" tg-width=\"1019\" tg-height=\"589\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a74f02fe3a1a233f443b97f45fca18c\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"568\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>我们认为市场风格与无风险利率走势最终都是宏观因素的结果。结合图4-6可知,2014年以来的实践表明:当经济增速回升、地产等传统经济因素企稳,市场风格就会趋于均衡甚至偏向价值;当经济增速放缓、地产等传统经济因素转弱,投资者将挖掘与经济增速无关的行业或者个股,市场风格就会更偏向成长。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b792a1a56f57e20f2ed7a8ec5f9c1361\" tg-width=\"1031\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd67c72b8a6aebf04238f60034bb99cb\" tg-width=\"1035\" tg-height=\"568\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b67726b015ee7d3f6217eeeb7d9ea077\" tg-width=\"1065\" tg-height=\"566\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>三、今年成长跑赢的特征:拥抱新能源;担忧旧经济</p>\n<p><b>(一)新能源主线下的成长风格与中小市值下沉特征</b></p>\n<p>如图7所示,今年以来创业板、中证1000与中证500指数明显跑赢上证50与沪深300指数,显然是典型的成长风格。当然,即便拥抱成长股也并非没有主线,我们在年度大类资产展望《预期差(chà)与预期差(chā)》中指出,2021年新能源获得四大红利共振:政策预期差带来的确定性溢价,显著提振了新能源风险偏好;原油价格与新能源成长性是新能源替代旧能源的一体两面,今年原油价格大涨提振了渗透预期;疫情反复压制了无风险利率,给了新能源估值激励;随着年初茅指数调整、Q3末周期调整,新能源逐渐一枝独秀。而今年市场的成长风格乃至中小市值下沉的选股特征亦是由于新能源这条市场主线。</p>\n<p>如图8所示,今年表现最好的创业板、中证1000指数以及中证500指数的“含宁量”(含有新能源及其概念股的比重)显著高于今年表现较差的上证50指数与沪深300指数。进一步看,我们将上述指数进一步拆分成“含宁部分”与“不含宁部分”。结果显示,创业板、中证1000指数以及中证500指数的“含宁部分”要显著好于“不含宁部分”;上证50指数与沪深300指数中“含宁部分”表现不仅明显强于其“不含宁部分”甚至也跑赢了创业板、中证1000指数以及中证500指数的“不含宁部分”。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/948cac1f38e89ee7eb68bd0b02288e45\" tg-width=\"1039\" tg-height=\"606\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66fd2b0b62d30324233a6cdcaab95abc\" tg-width=\"1043\" tg-height=\"646\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>(二)8-11月大小分化加剧或与市场对经济下行担忧有关</b></p>\n<p>进一步观察图9,我们不难发现今年Q2上证50指数与沪深300指数的“含宁部分”与创业板、中证1000指数以及中证500指数的“含宁部分”表现相当,但8-11月则有所分化,表明此间市场在新能源主题下进一步演绎了成长风格、大小分化加剧。表面看,这一分化刚好对应了无风险利率中枢下移,但结合前文可知,这种分化的驱动力为宏观因素,我们认为与市场对于地产乃至经济下行的担忧有关。</p>\n<p>首先,我们在年度展望《不确定的总量;确定的结构》中指出,7月以来剔除价格因素后,出口量的同比增速已经骤降至个位数。此外,同样是7月以来商品房销售面积累计同比快速回落的同时,房屋新开工面积累计同比已然转负。在此背景下,截止11月市场对地产下行的担忧与日俱增,出口进一步下滑压力也有所显现,疫情也在长三角及珠三角等经济发达省市频发令Q4经济下行态势更为明朗。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35e92d9bf0f05df96ec97b971a6d6b5f\" tg-width=\"1056\" tg-height=\"597\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d824cc870ef4e081d4e27b6893bd84c7\" tg-width=\"1055\" tg-height=\"593\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>四、2022年的A股:市场或更均衡;全面牛市可期</p>\n<p>我们曾在报告《预期差(chà)与预期差(chā)》中指出,2022年全球基本面特征为海外固定资产投资加速、中国或向稳增长转向。目前看,中国稳增长迹象已经显现,并且2022年Q1经济增速就有望回暖并且“旧经济”对GDP的贡献将明显上升。</p>\n<p><b>首先,地产开发贷同比大概率已经处于底部。</b>12月6日,政治局会议强调“要推进保障房建设,支持商品房市场更好满足购房者的合理住房需求,促进房地产业健康发展和良性循环”。此外,政治局会议前后,一行两会也分别就“支持商品房市场更好满足购房者的合理住房需求,促进房地产业健康发展和良性循环”表态,我们预计未来1-2个月个人房贷与地产开发贷有望加速,房地产开发贷同比大概率已经处于底部区域并有望企稳。</p>\n<p><b>此外,今年财政后置、明年财政前置,叠加就地过年可能性较大,明年Q1基建增速大概率明显回升。</b>尽管在“三线四档”融资规则、“房贷集中度管理”、“供地两集中”等一系列严厉调控的政策措施影响下,地产投资暂时难以企稳,甚至明年上半年也极有可能保持下行态势,但政府主导的投资领域将在明年Q1对经济形成极大的托底作用。</p>\n<p>今年的财政特征为财政后置,9-11月累计发行专项债1.6万亿元左右,占全年专项债限额的46.8%。通常来说,专项债落地3个月左右会形成实物工作量,因此上述资金将对2022Q1的基建形成提振。而12月16日的国务院政策例行吹风会中,财政部表示已向各地提前下达了2022年新增专项债务限额1.46万亿元,表明2022年财政政策已然前置,考虑到已经下达,亦有望在明年Q1附近形成实物工作量。考虑到疫情扰动,今年春节就地过的概率不低,在提前下放资金的背景下,就地过年将显著提振Q1各地基建、保障房相关的实物工作量。进而,2022年Q1“旧经济”因素对实际GDP的贡献或将显著攀升。</p>\n<p>2022H2地产投资增速回升为大概率,“旧经济”重获活力,A股风格更趋均衡。再往后看,我们在年度展望中指出,由于出口份额或将小幅回落,明年出口或已无量的增长,因此内需将极为关键。在上半年政府主导的投资领域发力后,明年下半年国内房地产投资增速亦有望触底回升接力基建与保障房。</p>\n<p>结合前文可知,此宏观形势将更利好价值与蓝筹,但考虑到货币政策有望进一步宽松,且10年期国债收益率倒数与沪深两市TTM差值处于极高水位,因此,2022年A股可能是与“旧经济”相关性较强的价值蓝筹股及与能源革命相关的新能源上中游成长股均有所表现。叠加全面注册制等因素,2022年A股市场不排除全面牛市的可能性。</p>\n<p><b>风险提示</b></p>\n<p>(一)国内经济基本面不及预期</p>\n<p>(二)国内货币与财政政策不及预期</p>","source":"gelonghui_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2022年A股迎来全面牛市的几率有多大?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-20 11:10 北京时间 <a href=https://www.gelonghui.com/p/501615><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>摘要\n当前,国内股票性价比显著好于债券,宽货币或更利于股市。目前10年期国债收益率倒数与沪深两市TTM差值处于过去十年的高位,股票性价比明显高于债券。股市上涨概率显著高于整体下跌,大幅下跌的可能性不大。假若货币政策进一步宽松,股市大概率更为受益。\n市场风格与无风险利率走势皆为宏观因素的结果。2014年以来的实践表明:当经济增速回升、地产等传统经济因素企稳,市场风格就会趋于均衡甚至偏向价值;当经济...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.gelonghui.com/p/501615\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb2ed00ac5de2097917e40947bc4a36a","relate_stocks":{"000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"https://www.gelonghui.com/p/501615","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6b8fa6424aebe95f6781d04ef17a1852","article_id":"1127982662","content_text":"摘要\n当前,国内股票性价比显著好于债券,宽货币或更利于股市。目前10年期国债收益率倒数与沪深两市TTM差值处于过去十年的高位,股票性价比明显高于债券。股市上涨概率显著高于整体下跌,大幅下跌的可能性不大。假若货币政策进一步宽松,股市大概率更为受益。\n市场风格与无风险利率走势皆为宏观因素的结果。2014年以来的实践表明:当经济增速回升、地产等传统经济因素企稳,市场风格就会趋于均衡甚至偏向价值;当经济增速放缓、地产等传统经济因素转弱,投资者将挖掘与经济增速无关的行业或者个股,市场风格就会更偏向成长。\n今年成长跑赢的特征:拥抱“新能源”;担忧“旧经济”。1)新能源主线下的成长风格与中小市值下沉特征。今年是典型的成长风格并伴随了中小市值下沉的选股特征,主线就是获得四大红利共振的新能源。今年表现较好的创业板、中证1000以及中证500的“含宁量”(含有新能源及其概念股的比重)显著高于今年表现较差的上证50与沪深300。将上述指数进一步拆分成“含宁部分”与“不含宁部分”。结果显示,创业板、中证1000以及中证500的“含宁部分”要显著好于“不含宁部分”;上证50与沪深300中“含宁部分”表现不仅明显强于其“不含宁部分”甚至也跑赢了创业板、中证1000以及中证500的“不含宁部分”。2)8-11月大小分化加剧或与市场对经济下行担忧有关。今年Q2上证50与沪深300的“含宁部分”与创业板、中证1000以及中证500的“含宁部分”表现相当,但8-11月则明显跑输、大小分化加剧。我们认为与市场对于地产乃至经济下行的担忧有关,是“旧经济”拖累经济前景的结果。\n2022年“旧经济”对GDP的贡献有望显著提升。目前中国稳增长信号显现。首先,促进房地产业健康发展和良性循环之下地产开发贷同比大概率已经处于底部。此外,今年财政后置、明年财政前置,叠加就地过年可能性较大,明年Q1基建增速大概率明显回升。明年下半年国内房地产投资增速亦有望触底回升接力基建与保障房。\n2022年的A股:市场或更均衡;全面牛市可期。2022年“旧经济”重获活力,该宏观形势将更利好价值与蓝筹。但考虑到货币政策有望进一步宽松,且10年期国债收益率倒数与沪深两市TTM差值处于极高水位,因此,2022年A股可能是与“旧经济”相关性较强的价值蓝筹股及与能源革命相关的新能源上中游成长股均有所表现。叠加全面注册制等因素,不排除2022年A股市场全面牛市的可能性。\n正文\n我们在12月16日报告《触发全面降息的三个关键条件》中指出,随着经济下行压力加剧、信贷需求疲软,进而触发降息概率极高。更为宽松的货币政策令很多投资者期待成长风格的延续。但我们认为2022年市场风格或更为均衡。\n一、A股是否存在大幅调整风险?从股债性价比看,概率极低\n我们在12月16日报告《触发全面降息的三个关键条件》中指出,随着经济下行压力加剧、信贷需求疲软,LPR利率降息概率极高。该因素对于利率债的影响不必多说,但结合图1可知,该因素大概率是利好股市的。如图1所示,目前10年期国债收益率倒数与沪深两市TTM差值处于过去十年的高位(截至12月17日为2011年5月以来的90.5%分位数),可见股票性价比明显高于债券。复盘来看,此时股市上涨概率显著高于整体下跌,大幅下跌的可能性不大。换言之,假若货币政策进一步宽松,股市大概率更为受益。但今年A股的成长风格是否延续?这其实与宏观形势及今年的抱团特征有关。\n\n二、市场风格与无风险利率走势皆为宏观因素的结果\n假若在货币宽松背景下,无风险利率中枢可以进一步下移,成长股是否更为受益进而今年的成长风格得以延续?这或许是市场当前最为关心的问题之一。用创业板指数代表成长,用上证50代表蓝筹或者价值。如图2所示,2014年以来10年期国债收益率与创业板/上证50多数时间呈现负相关特征,但前者相对后者并不具备领先性,且二者偶尔亦呈现正相关性,因此宽货币推动利率中枢下移与市场会偏向成长风格之间大概率仅为相关关系而非因果关系。假若再结合图3,我们只能说宽货币(无风险利率中枢下移)+紧信用(社融增速回落)阶段,A股更容易演绎成长风格,但又不必然。比如,2014年和2018年都是反例;2020年3-8月国内处于“紧货币+宽信用”阶段,但成长股表现也好于价值。\n\n我们认为市场风格与无风险利率走势最终都是宏观因素的结果。结合图4-6可知,2014年以来的实践表明:当经济增速回升、地产等传统经济因素企稳,市场风格就会趋于均衡甚至偏向价值;当经济增速放缓、地产等传统经济因素转弱,投资者将挖掘与经济增速无关的行业或者个股,市场风格就会更偏向成长。\n\n\n\n三、今年成长跑赢的特征:拥抱新能源;担忧旧经济\n(一)新能源主线下的成长风格与中小市值下沉特征\n如图7所示,今年以来创业板、中证1000与中证500指数明显跑赢上证50与沪深300指数,显然是典型的成长风格。当然,即便拥抱成长股也并非没有主线,我们在年度大类资产展望《预期差(chà)与预期差(chā)》中指出,2021年新能源获得四大红利共振:政策预期差带来的确定性溢价,显著提振了新能源风险偏好;原油价格与新能源成长性是新能源替代旧能源的一体两面,今年原油价格大涨提振了渗透预期;疫情反复压制了无风险利率,给了新能源估值激励;随着年初茅指数调整、Q3末周期调整,新能源逐渐一枝独秀。而今年市场的成长风格乃至中小市值下沉的选股特征亦是由于新能源这条市场主线。\n如图8所示,今年表现最好的创业板、中证1000指数以及中证500指数的“含宁量”(含有新能源及其概念股的比重)显著高于今年表现较差的上证50指数与沪深300指数。进一步看,我们将上述指数进一步拆分成“含宁部分”与“不含宁部分”。结果显示,创业板、中证1000指数以及中证500指数的“含宁部分”要显著好于“不含宁部分”;上证50指数与沪深300指数中“含宁部分”表现不仅明显强于其“不含宁部分”甚至也跑赢了创业板、中证1000指数以及中证500指数的“不含宁部分”。\n\n\n(二)8-11月大小分化加剧或与市场对经济下行担忧有关\n进一步观察图9,我们不难发现今年Q2上证50指数与沪深300指数的“含宁部分”与创业板、中证1000指数以及中证500指数的“含宁部分”表现相当,但8-11月则有所分化,表明此间市场在新能源主题下进一步演绎了成长风格、大小分化加剧。表面看,这一分化刚好对应了无风险利率中枢下移,但结合前文可知,这种分化的驱动力为宏观因素,我们认为与市场对于地产乃至经济下行的担忧有关。\n首先,我们在年度展望《不确定的总量;确定的结构》中指出,7月以来剔除价格因素后,出口量的同比增速已经骤降至个位数。此外,同样是7月以来商品房销售面积累计同比快速回落的同时,房屋新开工面积累计同比已然转负。在此背景下,截止11月市场对地产下行的担忧与日俱增,出口进一步下滑压力也有所显现,疫情也在长三角及珠三角等经济发达省市频发令Q4经济下行态势更为明朗。\n\n\n四、2022年的A股:市场或更均衡;全面牛市可期\n我们曾在报告《预期差(chà)与预期差(chā)》中指出,2022年全球基本面特征为海外固定资产投资加速、中国或向稳增长转向。目前看,中国稳增长迹象已经显现,并且2022年Q1经济增速就有望回暖并且“旧经济”对GDP的贡献将明显上升。\n首先,地产开发贷同比大概率已经处于底部。12月6日,政治局会议强调“要推进保障房建设,支持商品房市场更好满足购房者的合理住房需求,促进房地产业健康发展和良性循环”。此外,政治局会议前后,一行两会也分别就“支持商品房市场更好满足购房者的合理住房需求,促进房地产业健康发展和良性循环”表态,我们预计未来1-2个月个人房贷与地产开发贷有望加速,房地产开发贷同比大概率已经处于底部区域并有望企稳。\n此外,今年财政后置、明年财政前置,叠加就地过年可能性较大,明年Q1基建增速大概率明显回升。尽管在“三线四档”融资规则、“房贷集中度管理”、“供地两集中”等一系列严厉调控的政策措施影响下,地产投资暂时难以企稳,甚至明年上半年也极有可能保持下行态势,但政府主导的投资领域将在明年Q1对经济形成极大的托底作用。\n今年的财政特征为财政后置,9-11月累计发行专项债1.6万亿元左右,占全年专项债限额的46.8%。通常来说,专项债落地3个月左右会形成实物工作量,因此上述资金将对2022Q1的基建形成提振。而12月16日的国务院政策例行吹风会中,财政部表示已向各地提前下达了2022年新增专项债务限额1.46万亿元,表明2022年财政政策已然前置,考虑到已经下达,亦有望在明年Q1附近形成实物工作量。考虑到疫情扰动,今年春节就地过的概率不低,在提前下放资金的背景下,就地过年将显著提振Q1各地基建、保障房相关的实物工作量。进而,2022年Q1“旧经济”因素对实际GDP的贡献或将显著攀升。\n2022H2地产投资增速回升为大概率,“旧经济”重获活力,A股风格更趋均衡。再往后看,我们在年度展望中指出,由于出口份额或将小幅回落,明年出口或已无量的增长,因此内需将极为关键。在上半年政府主导的投资领域发力后,明年下半年国内房地产投资增速亦有望触底回升接力基建与保障房。\n结合前文可知,此宏观形势将更利好价值与蓝筹,但考虑到货币政策有望进一步宽松,且10年期国债收益率倒数与沪深两市TTM差值处于极高水位,因此,2022年A股可能是与“旧经济”相关性较强的价值蓝筹股及与能源革命相关的新能源上中游成长股均有所表现。叠加全面注册制等因素,2022年A股市场不排除全面牛市的可能性。\n风险提示\n(一)国内经济基本面不及预期\n(二)国内货币与财政政策不及预期","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":784,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690122115,"gmtCreate":1639648333839,"gmtModify":1639648333942,"author":{"id":"3579915372996629","authorId":"3579915372996629","name":"Steveneng88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b70878a2c5f1c47ca37143542f140d38","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579915372996629","authorIdStr":"3579915372996629"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>$180 tonight 🚀","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>$180 tonight 🚀","text":"$苹果(AAPL)$$180 tonight 🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690122115","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":730,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609183724,"gmtCreate":1638251839725,"gmtModify":1638251839725,"author":{"id":"3579915372996629","authorId":"3579915372996629","name":"Steveneng88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b70878a2c5f1c47ca37143542f140d38","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579915372996629","authorIdStr":"3579915372996629"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"人家是卖疫苗的,你懂得😉","listText":"人家是卖疫苗的,你懂得😉","text":"人家是卖疫苗的,你懂得😉","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609183724","repostId":"1133554588","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1133554588","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638251163,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1133554588?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-30 13:46","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"一句话再度引发市场恐慌!全球风险资产午后跳水","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133554588","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"莫德纳首席执行官预计现有疫苗在应对奥密克戎方面的效果将远不如应对早期新冠毒株。\n\n周二(11月30日)午后,一则消息引发各大市场再度跳水。英国金融时报报道称,莫德纳首席执行官预计现有疫苗在应对奥密克戎","content":"<blockquote>\n 莫德纳首席执行官预计现有疫苗在应对奥密克戎方面的效果将远不如应对早期新冠毒株。\n</blockquote>\n<p>周二(11月30日)午后,一则消息引发各大市场再度跳水。<b>英国金融时报报道称,莫德纳首席执行官预计现有疫苗在应对奥密克戎方面的效果将远不如应对早期新冠毒株。</b></p>\n<p>美股股指期货短线跳水,道指期货跌超1%,标普500指数期货跌0.9%,纳指期货跌0.6%。富时中国A50指数期货跌1%。欧洲斯托克50指数期货跌1.3%,英国富时100指数期货跌0.4%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89ec8e8db5444bfe79b316ab5c16de4d\" tg-width=\"385\" tg-height=\"183\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>恒指跌2%,大型科技股普遍下挫。阿里巴巴跌约3.5%,续刷历史低位。恒生科技指数跌2%。成分股中,比亚迪电子跌9.26%,网易跌7.82%,美团跌4.9%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6408ef61959f4ecc5435ae701a73e912\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d9283ae7d60cf10eefa46b966ff1d7d\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"821\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>截止发稿,美、布两油期货日内跌幅达2%,分别报68.47美元/桶和71.67美元/桶。原油系期货持续走低,低硫燃料油(LU)主力合约跌近6%,燃料油主力合约跌超4%,SC原油主力合约跌超3%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cf8153cd39372806e3478f570c2ecf1\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"823\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11cb622357f5c8094e7cf1634fced10e\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"823\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>莫德纳CEO Stephane Bancel在接受英国金融时报采访时警告称,<b>制药公司需要几个月时间才能大规模生产新的疫苗以应对该毒株。</b>Bancel说,这种毒株有大量的突变并在南非迅速传播,这表明目前批次的疫苗可能需要在明年进行更新。他说:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “我认为没有哪种(疫苗)有效性能达到同样的水平,这将会是一次实质性的下降。我不知道会下降多少,因为仍需要等待数据。”\n</blockquote>\n<p>Bancel称,该公司认为这种新毒株具有高度传染性,但至少需要两周时间才能确定现有疫苗针对奥密克戎变异毒株的有效性。</p>\n<p>Bancel发表上述评论之际,其他公共卫生专家和政界人士正试图对现有疫苗对奥密克戎提供保护的能力发出更乐观的声音。</p>\n<p>周一,辉瑞首席执行官Albert Bourla表示,该公司<b>将在两三周内了解到现有新冠疫苗应对新变异毒株奥密克戎的效力如何</b>,而且预计即便是在最糟糕的情况下,现有疫苗仍对该毒株有一定的防护效力,新毒株不可能完全突破现有疫苗的防护。</p>\n<p>美国总统乔拜登表示,奥密克戎是“令人担忧的原因,而不是恐慌的原因”,并补充说政府的医学专家“相信疫苗将继续提供一定程度保护,可预防严重疾病”。</p>\n<p>莫德纳和辉瑞目前正在研究针对奥密克戎变体的新疫苗,世界卫生组织称其构成“非常高的风险”。</p>\n<p>Bancel表示,有关现有疫苗如何对抗奥密克戎变体以及它是否会导致严重疾病的数据应该会在两周内提供。但他表示,针对奥密克戎的疫苗的大规模生产还需要几个月的时间,并表示可能有理由在此期间为老年人或免疫系统受损的人提供更有效的加强剂。</p>\n<p>美国疾病控制和预防中心(CDC)周一已经加强了对新冠疫苗加强针的建议,其告诉美国所有成年人,在奥密克戎新冠变异株越来越受关注的情况下,他们“应该”多打一针。CDC建议每位成年人应该在接种辉瑞或莫德纳双剂疫苗的六个月后或接种强生单剂疫苗的两个月后接种加强针。</p>\n<p>CDC主任瓦伦斯基(Rochelle Walensky)在声明中称:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “\n <b>最近出现的奥密克戎变异株(B.1.1.529)进一步强调了接种疫苗、接种加强针和预防工作的重要性。</b>来自南非的早期数据表明该毒株的传播性增加,美国和世界各地的科学家正在紧急研究与该变种有关的疫苗效力。”\n</blockquote>\n<p>奥密克戎的出现也让全球公共卫生官员更加担心冬季新冠病例激增和疫苗保护度下降的问题。</p>\n<p>本月发表在《科学》杂志上的一项研究发现,<b>从今年2月到10月(还未出现奥密克戎),辉瑞双剂疫苗预防感染的功效已从86%下降到43%;莫德纳双剂疫苗从89%下降到58%;强生单剂疫苗从86%下降到13%。</b></p>\n<p>疫苗效力下降,意味着市场对其加强针的需求增加,自奥密克戎出现后,辉瑞股价一度再创历史新高,莫德纳股价也回到近两个月的高位。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>一句话再度引发市场恐慌!全球风险资产午后跳水</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n一句话再度引发市场恐慌!全球风险资产午后跳水\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-11-30 13:46</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>\n 莫德纳首席执行官预计现有疫苗在应对奥密克戎方面的效果将远不如应对早期新冠毒株。\n</blockquote>\n<p>周二(11月30日)午后,一则消息引发各大市场再度跳水。<b>英国金融时报报道称,莫德纳首席执行官预计现有疫苗在应对奥密克戎方面的效果将远不如应对早期新冠毒株。</b></p>\n<p>美股股指期货短线跳水,道指期货跌超1%,标普500指数期货跌0.9%,纳指期货跌0.6%。富时中国A50指数期货跌1%。欧洲斯托克50指数期货跌1.3%,英国富时100指数期货跌0.4%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89ec8e8db5444bfe79b316ab5c16de4d\" tg-width=\"385\" tg-height=\"183\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>恒指跌2%,大型科技股普遍下挫。阿里巴巴跌约3.5%,续刷历史低位。恒生科技指数跌2%。成分股中,比亚迪电子跌9.26%,网易跌7.82%,美团跌4.9%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6408ef61959f4ecc5435ae701a73e912\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d9283ae7d60cf10eefa46b966ff1d7d\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"821\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>截止发稿,美、布两油期货日内跌幅达2%,分别报68.47美元/桶和71.67美元/桶。原油系期货持续走低,低硫燃料油(LU)主力合约跌近6%,燃料油主力合约跌超4%,SC原油主力合约跌超3%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cf8153cd39372806e3478f570c2ecf1\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"823\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11cb622357f5c8094e7cf1634fced10e\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"823\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>莫德纳CEO Stephane Bancel在接受英国金融时报采访时警告称,<b>制药公司需要几个月时间才能大规模生产新的疫苗以应对该毒株。</b>Bancel说,这种毒株有大量的突变并在南非迅速传播,这表明目前批次的疫苗可能需要在明年进行更新。他说:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “我认为没有哪种(疫苗)有效性能达到同样的水平,这将会是一次实质性的下降。我不知道会下降多少,因为仍需要等待数据。”\n</blockquote>\n<p>Bancel称,该公司认为这种新毒株具有高度传染性,但至少需要两周时间才能确定现有疫苗针对奥密克戎变异毒株的有效性。</p>\n<p>Bancel发表上述评论之际,其他公共卫生专家和政界人士正试图对现有疫苗对奥密克戎提供保护的能力发出更乐观的声音。</p>\n<p>周一,辉瑞首席执行官Albert Bourla表示,该公司<b>将在两三周内了解到现有新冠疫苗应对新变异毒株奥密克戎的效力如何</b>,而且预计即便是在最糟糕的情况下,现有疫苗仍对该毒株有一定的防护效力,新毒株不可能完全突破现有疫苗的防护。</p>\n<p>美国总统乔拜登表示,奥密克戎是“令人担忧的原因,而不是恐慌的原因”,并补充说政府的医学专家“相信疫苗将继续提供一定程度保护,可预防严重疾病”。</p>\n<p>莫德纳和辉瑞目前正在研究针对奥密克戎变体的新疫苗,世界卫生组织称其构成“非常高的风险”。</p>\n<p>Bancel表示,有关现有疫苗如何对抗奥密克戎变体以及它是否会导致严重疾病的数据应该会在两周内提供。但他表示,针对奥密克戎的疫苗的大规模生产还需要几个月的时间,并表示可能有理由在此期间为老年人或免疫系统受损的人提供更有效的加强剂。</p>\n<p>美国疾病控制和预防中心(CDC)周一已经加强了对新冠疫苗加强针的建议,其告诉美国所有成年人,在奥密克戎新冠变异株越来越受关注的情况下,他们“应该”多打一针。CDC建议每位成年人应该在接种辉瑞或莫德纳双剂疫苗的六个月后或接种强生单剂疫苗的两个月后接种加强针。</p>\n<p>CDC主任瓦伦斯基(Rochelle Walensky)在声明中称:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “\n <b>最近出现的奥密克戎变异株(B.1.1.529)进一步强调了接种疫苗、接种加强针和预防工作的重要性。</b>来自南非的早期数据表明该毒株的传播性增加,美国和世界各地的科学家正在紧急研究与该变种有关的疫苗效力。”\n</blockquote>\n<p>奥密克戎的出现也让全球公共卫生官员更加担心冬季新冠病例激增和疫苗保护度下降的问题。</p>\n<p>本月发表在《科学》杂志上的一项研究发现,<b>从今年2月到10月(还未出现奥密克戎),辉瑞双剂疫苗预防感染的功效已从86%下降到43%;莫德纳双剂疫苗从89%下降到58%;强生单剂疫苗从86%下降到13%。</b></p>\n<p>疫苗效力下降,意味着市场对其加强针的需求增加,自奥密克戎出现后,辉瑞股价一度再创历史新高,莫德纳股价也回到近两个月的高位。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7da52addfd52fb216bcf87283f43750","relate_stocks":{"HSI":"恒生指数","HSTECH":"恒生科技指数"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133554588","content_text":"莫德纳首席执行官预计现有疫苗在应对奥密克戎方面的效果将远不如应对早期新冠毒株。\n\n周二(11月30日)午后,一则消息引发各大市场再度跳水。英国金融时报报道称,莫德纳首席执行官预计现有疫苗在应对奥密克戎方面的效果将远不如应对早期新冠毒株。\n美股股指期货短线跳水,道指期货跌超1%,标普500指数期货跌0.9%,纳指期货跌0.6%。富时中国A50指数期货跌1%。欧洲斯托克50指数期货跌1.3%,英国富时100指数期货跌0.4%。\n\n恒指跌2%,大型科技股普遍下挫。阿里巴巴跌约3.5%,续刷历史低位。恒生科技指数跌2%。成分股中,比亚迪电子跌9.26%,网易跌7.82%,美团跌4.9%。\n\n截止发稿,美、布两油期货日内跌幅达2%,分别报68.47美元/桶和71.67美元/桶。原油系期货持续走低,低硫燃料油(LU)主力合约跌近6%,燃料油主力合约跌超4%,SC原油主力合约跌超3%。\n\n莫德纳CEO Stephane Bancel在接受英国金融时报采访时警告称,制药公司需要几个月时间才能大规模生产新的疫苗以应对该毒株。Bancel说,这种毒株有大量的突变并在南非迅速传播,这表明目前批次的疫苗可能需要在明年进行更新。他说:\n\n “我认为没有哪种(疫苗)有效性能达到同样的水平,这将会是一次实质性的下降。我不知道会下降多少,因为仍需要等待数据。”\n\nBancel称,该公司认为这种新毒株具有高度传染性,但至少需要两周时间才能确定现有疫苗针对奥密克戎变异毒株的有效性。\nBancel发表上述评论之际,其他公共卫生专家和政界人士正试图对现有疫苗对奥密克戎提供保护的能力发出更乐观的声音。\n周一,辉瑞首席执行官Albert Bourla表示,该公司将在两三周内了解到现有新冠疫苗应对新变异毒株奥密克戎的效力如何,而且预计即便是在最糟糕的情况下,现有疫苗仍对该毒株有一定的防护效力,新毒株不可能完全突破现有疫苗的防护。\n美国总统乔拜登表示,奥密克戎是“令人担忧的原因,而不是恐慌的原因”,并补充说政府的医学专家“相信疫苗将继续提供一定程度保护,可预防严重疾病”。\n莫德纳和辉瑞目前正在研究针对奥密克戎变体的新疫苗,世界卫生组织称其构成“非常高的风险”。\nBancel表示,有关现有疫苗如何对抗奥密克戎变体以及它是否会导致严重疾病的数据应该会在两周内提供。但他表示,针对奥密克戎的疫苗的大规模生产还需要几个月的时间,并表示可能有理由在此期间为老年人或免疫系统受损的人提供更有效的加强剂。\n美国疾病控制和预防中心(CDC)周一已经加强了对新冠疫苗加强针的建议,其告诉美国所有成年人,在奥密克戎新冠变异株越来越受关注的情况下,他们“应该”多打一针。CDC建议每位成年人应该在接种辉瑞或莫德纳双剂疫苗的六个月后或接种强生单剂疫苗的两个月后接种加强针。\nCDC主任瓦伦斯基(Rochelle Walensky)在声明中称:\n\n “\n 最近出现的奥密克戎变异株(B.1.1.529)进一步强调了接种疫苗、接种加强针和预防工作的重要性。来自南非的早期数据表明该毒株的传播性增加,美国和世界各地的科学家正在紧急研究与该变种有关的疫苗效力。”\n\n奥密克戎的出现也让全球公共卫生官员更加担心冬季新冠病例激增和疫苗保护度下降的问题。\n本月发表在《科学》杂志上的一项研究发现,从今年2月到10月(还未出现奥密克戎),辉瑞双剂疫苗预防感染的功效已从86%下降到43%;莫德纳双剂疫苗从89%下降到58%;强生单剂疫苗从86%下降到13%。\n疫苗效力下降,意味着市场对其加强针的需求增加,自奥密克戎出现后,辉瑞股价一度再创历史新高,莫德纳股价也回到近两个月的高位。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1040,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609378761,"gmtCreate":1638245344787,"gmtModify":1638245344787,"author":{"id":"3579915372996629","authorId":"3579915372996629","name":"Steveneng88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b70878a2c5f1c47ca37143542f140d38","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579915372996629","authorIdStr":"3579915372996629"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"见底?见鬼比较适合🤣","listText":"见底?见鬼比较适合🤣","text":"见底?见鬼比较适合🤣","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609378761","repostId":"1124815226","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124815226","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"致力于提供最及时的财经资讯,最专业的解读分析,覆盖宏观经济、金融机构、A股市场、上市公司、投资理财等财经领域。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"券商中国","id":"9","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d482d56459984e8c86a6a137295b3c4f"},"pubTimestamp":1638241916,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1124815226?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-30 11:11","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"恒指几乎破净,大量资金逢低布局,什么信号?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124815226","media":"券商中国","summary":"大量资金则利用港股的低点入市加仓。","content":"<p>今年的港股市场,可谓不尽如意。在今年春节前有过一波大幅上涨,但节后开始便开始持续弱势的走势。万得数据显示,年初至今,恒生指数下跌12.38%,恒生中国企业指数则下跌20.84%,恒生科技跌幅更是达到了27.61%,在全球主要市场中垫底。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/409932226dce2360a94c3154f40ea46f\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>大量资金则利用港股的低点入市加仓。上周受疫情消息影响,外围市场全线下跌,港股市场跌幅较深,有大量投资者逆势入市,选择在较低点位建立仓位。万得数据显示,<b>上周五单日,恒生ETF(159920)净流入4.95亿元,全周净流入6.49亿元,恒生互联网ETF(513330)周五净流入4.47亿元,全周净流入6.45亿元,恒生科技指数ETF(513180)净流入2.33亿元,全周净流入2.92亿元,资金流入情况均创近期新高。</b></p>\n<p>如果拉长时间看,资金逢低布局的动作更加明显,以恒生互联网ETF(513330)为例,近半年以来,持续获资金关注,11月26日份额为228亿份,而半年前的5月26日,只有103亿份,份额足足增加了125亿份。</p>\n<p><b>券商看好港股估值和盈利双重修复空间</b></p>\n<p>平安证券在其最新发布的12月港股策略月报中表示,从一个月角度看,平安证券认为港股尽管面临内外部诸多不确定性,但在前期已经大幅下行的基础上,恒生指数市净率再次跌破1.1,11月26日收盘仅为1.07,12月港股面临的结构性机会不会少,但考虑疫情的不确定性增强,我们的月度策略定为“攻守兼备”,推荐关注景气度高的消费与医药机会。消费关注潮玩等“悦己型”消费,医药关注疫情防控相关品类,互联网游戏龙头也可适当关注。</p>\n<p>“鉴于港股的估值处于年内低位,仍有估值和盈利双重修复的空间。”上海证券表示,目前,港股平均市盈率与美股、A 股的差距进一步扩大,恒大债务危机、国内限产限电、原材料价格上涨以及对监管的忧虑等负 面因素都已在港股层面有所反映,后期风险偏好将或将回升,加上 恒指提供了独特长期增长公司供市场选择,因此不应受到忽视。随着港股过去数月经历抛售后,市场对中国企业的风险偏好逐 渐改善,预计未来南北向沪港通、深港通资金流会增加。</p>\n<p>上海证券认为,互联网行业触底企稳,震荡隐含入场良机。对比A股与H股的估值水平,目前港股市场整体处于被相对低估的状态,配置性价比较高。阿里巴巴和腾讯控股估值均处于5年内低点。中长期结合互联网龙头企业自身成长性与其在数字化浪中难以撼动的角色位置,我们倾向于现阶段估值存在一定低估,底部基本确认,上限则“不止于此”。</p>\n<p><b>Taper“靴子”终落地,削减港股市场不确定性</b></p>\n<p>恒泰证券认为,自2020 年新冠肺炎疫情以来,美联储开启大规模 QE,继降息至零利率后,宣布了“无上限”的资产购买计划。随着疫情受控,后期美国经济虽然有所反弹,但核心PCE 已处于 1991 年以来的最高位,与央行2%的目标相差甚远。伴随美联储落地实行Taper,美国后续通胀或将得到边际改善,舒缓经济过热,稳住市场预期。从市场反应来看,由于7月以来美联储提前与市场充分沟通,预留窗口期,加大预期管理力度,因此 11月正式实行 Taper 以来,美股在当天开盘虽然表现出一定震荡,但波动小于新兴市场,且美联储公布决定后,美股出现集体反涨,三大指数再创历史新高,A股和港股市场在会议后也出现了开门红,Taper 的预期管理效果显著。</p>\n<p><b>港股估值重回机会值以下</b></p>\n<p>上周受疫情及政策影响,港股市场全线大跌,指数估值重回机会值以下。短期事件驱动的股价下跌也吸引了大量资金流入板块,在低位逆势加仓提前布局,积累筹码等待反弹。</p>\n<p>图表:恒生互联网科技业指数估值信息</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29a689b41fdedef8ad154a633585b5d8\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"229\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>数据来源:Wind,时间截至2021/11/26</p>\n<p>“在失望之地,找寻自信的力量。具体而言,防守反击、以长打短,立足估值的安全边际,聚焦基本面的改善潜力而耐心布局。” 兴业证券张忆东预计,港股2022年“找寻自信式”恢复性上涨,恒指有望触摸三万点。首先,随着内地房地产风险的缓解,2022年恒指中的内房股和内银股估值有望修复。其次,互联网的产业政策环境改善,配置吸引力提升。互联网作为港股的中流砥柱,2021年“被规范”,2022年则是“在规范中发展”,短期估值性价比凸显。第三,香港和澳门本地的权重股短期受益于“通关”,长期受益于中国财富管理发展。</p>\n<p><b>港股投资怎么选</b></p>\n<p>对于港股的后市,华夏基金表示,要以长期视角观点看待互联网行业监管,即趋严的监管固然会带来阵痛,但监管本质上并不意味着反平台经济,反而有助于提升科技、互联网行业的长期创新活力,进一步增强大型企业、尤其是平台型企业的竞争力和成长性;其次,目前港股估值已处在历史偏低水平,美国逐步趋紧、中国逐步趋松的流动性环境对港股有利,并且海外资金对港股的配置可能也处在相对低位,港股从估值上在区域比较中也具备明显优势;最后,从重点公司基本面来看,2021年三季度,腾讯实现营收1424亿元,同比增长13%,快手实现营收204.93亿元,同比增长33.4%,从业绩及用户数据来看,公司基本面明显好转。未来伴随互联网企业全面出海,持续进行科技创新和商业模式创新,互联网科技行业机会仍值得期待。</p>\n<p>具体到港股投资,可重点关注这两只相关产品:</p>\n<p>一是恒生互联网ETF(513330)追踪恒生互联网科技业指数(代码:HSIII.HI),该指数为纯港股成分,权重均衡,风险分散更优,是投资者布局中资互联网龙头的优质工具产品。</p>\n<p>二是恒生科技指数ETF(513180)跟踪恒生科技业指数(代码:HSTECH.HI)该指数由30家最大的与科技主题高度相关的香港上市公司组成,是投资者布局港股科技板块投资机会的优质工具产品。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>恒指几乎破净,大量资金逢低布局,什么信号?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n恒指几乎破净,大量资金逢低布局,什么信号?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/9\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d482d56459984e8c86a6a137295b3c4f);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">券商中国 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-11-30 11:11</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>今年的港股市场,可谓不尽如意。在今年春节前有过一波大幅上涨,但节后开始便开始持续弱势的走势。万得数据显示,年初至今,恒生指数下跌12.38%,恒生中国企业指数则下跌20.84%,恒生科技跌幅更是达到了27.61%,在全球主要市场中垫底。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/409932226dce2360a94c3154f40ea46f\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>大量资金则利用港股的低点入市加仓。上周受疫情消息影响,外围市场全线下跌,港股市场跌幅较深,有大量投资者逆势入市,选择在较低点位建立仓位。万得数据显示,<b>上周五单日,恒生ETF(159920)净流入4.95亿元,全周净流入6.49亿元,恒生互联网ETF(513330)周五净流入4.47亿元,全周净流入6.45亿元,恒生科技指数ETF(513180)净流入2.33亿元,全周净流入2.92亿元,资金流入情况均创近期新高。</b></p>\n<p>如果拉长时间看,资金逢低布局的动作更加明显,以恒生互联网ETF(513330)为例,近半年以来,持续获资金关注,11月26日份额为228亿份,而半年前的5月26日,只有103亿份,份额足足增加了125亿份。</p>\n<p><b>券商看好港股估值和盈利双重修复空间</b></p>\n<p>平安证券在其最新发布的12月港股策略月报中表示,从一个月角度看,平安证券认为港股尽管面临内外部诸多不确定性,但在前期已经大幅下行的基础上,恒生指数市净率再次跌破1.1,11月26日收盘仅为1.07,12月港股面临的结构性机会不会少,但考虑疫情的不确定性增强,我们的月度策略定为“攻守兼备”,推荐关注景气度高的消费与医药机会。消费关注潮玩等“悦己型”消费,医药关注疫情防控相关品类,互联网游戏龙头也可适当关注。</p>\n<p>“鉴于港股的估值处于年内低位,仍有估值和盈利双重修复的空间。”上海证券表示,目前,港股平均市盈率与美股、A 股的差距进一步扩大,恒大债务危机、国内限产限电、原材料价格上涨以及对监管的忧虑等负 面因素都已在港股层面有所反映,后期风险偏好将或将回升,加上 恒指提供了独特长期增长公司供市场选择,因此不应受到忽视。随着港股过去数月经历抛售后,市场对中国企业的风险偏好逐 渐改善,预计未来南北向沪港通、深港通资金流会增加。</p>\n<p>上海证券认为,互联网行业触底企稳,震荡隐含入场良机。对比A股与H股的估值水平,目前港股市场整体处于被相对低估的状态,配置性价比较高。阿里巴巴和腾讯控股估值均处于5年内低点。中长期结合互联网龙头企业自身成长性与其在数字化浪中难以撼动的角色位置,我们倾向于现阶段估值存在一定低估,底部基本确认,上限则“不止于此”。</p>\n<p><b>Taper“靴子”终落地,削减港股市场不确定性</b></p>\n<p>恒泰证券认为,自2020 年新冠肺炎疫情以来,美联储开启大规模 QE,继降息至零利率后,宣布了“无上限”的资产购买计划。随着疫情受控,后期美国经济虽然有所反弹,但核心PCE 已处于 1991 年以来的最高位,与央行2%的目标相差甚远。伴随美联储落地实行Taper,美国后续通胀或将得到边际改善,舒缓经济过热,稳住市场预期。从市场反应来看,由于7月以来美联储提前与市场充分沟通,预留窗口期,加大预期管理力度,因此 11月正式实行 Taper 以来,美股在当天开盘虽然表现出一定震荡,但波动小于新兴市场,且美联储公布决定后,美股出现集体反涨,三大指数再创历史新高,A股和港股市场在会议后也出现了开门红,Taper 的预期管理效果显著。</p>\n<p><b>港股估值重回机会值以下</b></p>\n<p>上周受疫情及政策影响,港股市场全线大跌,指数估值重回机会值以下。短期事件驱动的股价下跌也吸引了大量资金流入板块,在低位逆势加仓提前布局,积累筹码等待反弹。</p>\n<p>图表:恒生互联网科技业指数估值信息</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29a689b41fdedef8ad154a633585b5d8\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"229\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>数据来源:Wind,时间截至2021/11/26</p>\n<p>“在失望之地,找寻自信的力量。具体而言,防守反击、以长打短,立足估值的安全边际,聚焦基本面的改善潜力而耐心布局。” 兴业证券张忆东预计,港股2022年“找寻自信式”恢复性上涨,恒指有望触摸三万点。首先,随着内地房地产风险的缓解,2022年恒指中的内房股和内银股估值有望修复。其次,互联网的产业政策环境改善,配置吸引力提升。互联网作为港股的中流砥柱,2021年“被规范”,2022年则是“在规范中发展”,短期估值性价比凸显。第三,香港和澳门本地的权重股短期受益于“通关”,长期受益于中国财富管理发展。</p>\n<p><b>港股投资怎么选</b></p>\n<p>对于港股的后市,华夏基金表示,要以长期视角观点看待互联网行业监管,即趋严的监管固然会带来阵痛,但监管本质上并不意味着反平台经济,反而有助于提升科技、互联网行业的长期创新活力,进一步增强大型企业、尤其是平台型企业的竞争力和成长性;其次,目前港股估值已处在历史偏低水平,美国逐步趋紧、中国逐步趋松的流动性环境对港股有利,并且海外资金对港股的配置可能也处在相对低位,港股从估值上在区域比较中也具备明显优势;最后,从重点公司基本面来看,2021年三季度,腾讯实现营收1424亿元,同比增长13%,快手实现营收204.93亿元,同比增长33.4%,从业绩及用户数据来看,公司基本面明显好转。未来伴随互联网企业全面出海,持续进行科技创新和商业模式创新,互联网科技行业机会仍值得期待。</p>\n<p>具体到港股投资,可重点关注这两只相关产品:</p>\n<p>一是恒生互联网ETF(513330)追踪恒生互联网科技业指数(代码:HSIII.HI),该指数为纯港股成分,权重均衡,风险分散更优,是投资者布局中资互联网龙头的优质工具产品。</p>\n<p>二是恒生科技指数ETF(513180)跟踪恒生科技业指数(代码:HSTECH.HI)该指数由30家最大的与科技主题高度相关的香港上市公司组成,是投资者布局港股科技板块投资机会的优质工具产品。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabbcf17b4919f81951ea1d2c9cfe444","relate_stocks":{"HSTECH":"恒生科技指数","HSI":"恒生指数"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124815226","content_text":"今年的港股市场,可谓不尽如意。在今年春节前有过一波大幅上涨,但节后开始便开始持续弱势的走势。万得数据显示,年初至今,恒生指数下跌12.38%,恒生中国企业指数则下跌20.84%,恒生科技跌幅更是达到了27.61%,在全球主要市场中垫底。\n\n大量资金则利用港股的低点入市加仓。上周受疫情消息影响,外围市场全线下跌,港股市场跌幅较深,有大量投资者逆势入市,选择在较低点位建立仓位。万得数据显示,上周五单日,恒生ETF(159920)净流入4.95亿元,全周净流入6.49亿元,恒生互联网ETF(513330)周五净流入4.47亿元,全周净流入6.45亿元,恒生科技指数ETF(513180)净流入2.33亿元,全周净流入2.92亿元,资金流入情况均创近期新高。\n如果拉长时间看,资金逢低布局的动作更加明显,以恒生互联网ETF(513330)为例,近半年以来,持续获资金关注,11月26日份额为228亿份,而半年前的5月26日,只有103亿份,份额足足增加了125亿份。\n券商看好港股估值和盈利双重修复空间\n平安证券在其最新发布的12月港股策略月报中表示,从一个月角度看,平安证券认为港股尽管面临内外部诸多不确定性,但在前期已经大幅下行的基础上,恒生指数市净率再次跌破1.1,11月26日收盘仅为1.07,12月港股面临的结构性机会不会少,但考虑疫情的不确定性增强,我们的月度策略定为“攻守兼备”,推荐关注景气度高的消费与医药机会。消费关注潮玩等“悦己型”消费,医药关注疫情防控相关品类,互联网游戏龙头也可适当关注。\n“鉴于港股的估值处于年内低位,仍有估值和盈利双重修复的空间。”上海证券表示,目前,港股平均市盈率与美股、A 股的差距进一步扩大,恒大债务危机、国内限产限电、原材料价格上涨以及对监管的忧虑等负 面因素都已在港股层面有所反映,后期风险偏好将或将回升,加上 恒指提供了独特长期增长公司供市场选择,因此不应受到忽视。随着港股过去数月经历抛售后,市场对中国企业的风险偏好逐 渐改善,预计未来南北向沪港通、深港通资金流会增加。\n上海证券认为,互联网行业触底企稳,震荡隐含入场良机。对比A股与H股的估值水平,目前港股市场整体处于被相对低估的状态,配置性价比较高。阿里巴巴和腾讯控股估值均处于5年内低点。中长期结合互联网龙头企业自身成长性与其在数字化浪中难以撼动的角色位置,我们倾向于现阶段估值存在一定低估,底部基本确认,上限则“不止于此”。\nTaper“靴子”终落地,削减港股市场不确定性\n恒泰证券认为,自2020 年新冠肺炎疫情以来,美联储开启大规模 QE,继降息至零利率后,宣布了“无上限”的资产购买计划。随着疫情受控,后期美国经济虽然有所反弹,但核心PCE 已处于 1991 年以来的最高位,与央行2%的目标相差甚远。伴随美联储落地实行Taper,美国后续通胀或将得到边际改善,舒缓经济过热,稳住市场预期。从市场反应来看,由于7月以来美联储提前与市场充分沟通,预留窗口期,加大预期管理力度,因此 11月正式实行 Taper 以来,美股在当天开盘虽然表现出一定震荡,但波动小于新兴市场,且美联储公布决定后,美股出现集体反涨,三大指数再创历史新高,A股和港股市场在会议后也出现了开门红,Taper 的预期管理效果显著。\n港股估值重回机会值以下\n上周受疫情及政策影响,港股市场全线大跌,指数估值重回机会值以下。短期事件驱动的股价下跌也吸引了大量资金流入板块,在低位逆势加仓提前布局,积累筹码等待反弹。\n图表:恒生互联网科技业指数估值信息\n\n数据来源:Wind,时间截至2021/11/26\n“在失望之地,找寻自信的力量。具体而言,防守反击、以长打短,立足估值的安全边际,聚焦基本面的改善潜力而耐心布局。” 兴业证券张忆东预计,港股2022年“找寻自信式”恢复性上涨,恒指有望触摸三万点。首先,随着内地房地产风险的缓解,2022年恒指中的内房股和内银股估值有望修复。其次,互联网的产业政策环境改善,配置吸引力提升。互联网作为港股的中流砥柱,2021年“被规范”,2022年则是“在规范中发展”,短期估值性价比凸显。第三,香港和澳门本地的权重股短期受益于“通关”,长期受益于中国财富管理发展。\n港股投资怎么选\n对于港股的后市,华夏基金表示,要以长期视角观点看待互联网行业监管,即趋严的监管固然会带来阵痛,但监管本质上并不意味着反平台经济,反而有助于提升科技、互联网行业的长期创新活力,进一步增强大型企业、尤其是平台型企业的竞争力和成长性;其次,目前港股估值已处在历史偏低水平,美国逐步趋紧、中国逐步趋松的流动性环境对港股有利,并且海外资金对港股的配置可能也处在相对低位,港股从估值上在区域比较中也具备明显优势;最后,从重点公司基本面来看,2021年三季度,腾讯实现营收1424亿元,同比增长13%,快手实现营收204.93亿元,同比增长33.4%,从业绩及用户数据来看,公司基本面明显好转。未来伴随互联网企业全面出海,持续进行科技创新和商业模式创新,互联网科技行业机会仍值得期待。\n具体到港股投资,可重点关注这两只相关产品:\n一是恒生互联网ETF(513330)追踪恒生互联网科技业指数(代码:HSIII.HI),该指数为纯港股成分,权重均衡,风险分散更优,是投资者布局中资互联网龙头的优质工具产品。\n二是恒生科技指数ETF(513180)跟踪恒生科技业指数(代码:HSTECH.HI)该指数由30家最大的与科技主题高度相关的香港上市公司组成,是投资者布局港股科技板块投资机会的优质工具产品。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1091,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600355145,"gmtCreate":1638073384417,"gmtModify":1638077856379,"author":{"id":"3579915372996629","authorId":"3579915372996629","name":"Steveneng88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b70878a2c5f1c47ca37143542f140d38","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579915372996629","authorIdStr":"3579915372996629"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"还不是为了数字人民币呗","listText":"还不是为了数字人民币呗","text":"还不是为了数字人民币呗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600355145","repostId":"1148951508","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148951508","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637986858,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148951508?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-27 12:20","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"收款二维码还能不能用了?央行最新权威解读来了!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148951508","media":"新华网","summary":"消费者日常支付体验和感受不会受到影响。","content":"<div>\n<p>新华社记者吴雨\n近日有消息称,“微信、支付宝收款码不能用于经营收款”。收款二维码到底还能不能用了?新华社记者27日独家从中国人民银行有关部门获悉,该说法系误读。使用“码牌”或者打印封装的二维码的商户,需要向收款服务机构(如微信、支付宝等)申请转为商用收款码,但消费者日常支付体验和感受不会受到影响。\n人民银行有关人士给记者打了个比方:如果消费者在早点摊购买煎饼果子习惯用手机支付,仍然可以用扫码等方式...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://m.news.cn/2021-11/27/c_1128106091.htm\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"xhw","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>收款二维码还能不能用了?央行最新权威解读来了!</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n收款二维码还能不能用了?央行最新权威解读来了!\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-27 12:20 北京时间 <a href=http://m.news.cn/2021-11/27/c_1128106091.htm><strong>新华网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>新华社记者吴雨\n近日有消息称,“微信、支付宝收款码不能用于经营收款”。收款二维码到底还能不能用了?新华社记者27日独家从中国人民银行有关部门获悉,该说法系误读。使用“码牌”或者打印封装的二维码的商户,需要向收款服务机构(如微信、支付宝等)申请转为商用收款码,但消费者日常支付体验和感受不会受到影响。\n人民银行有关人士给记者打了个比方:如果消费者在早点摊购买煎饼果子习惯用手机支付,仍然可以用扫码等方式...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://m.news.cn/2021-11/27/c_1128106091.htm\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bd11ef2359870bd8cc37dcc8f3171b2","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴","00700":"腾讯控股"},"source_url":"http://m.news.cn/2021-11/27/c_1128106091.htm","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148951508","content_text":"新华社记者吴雨\n近日有消息称,“微信、支付宝收款码不能用于经营收款”。收款二维码到底还能不能用了?新华社记者27日独家从中国人民银行有关部门获悉,该说法系误读。使用“码牌”或者打印封装的二维码的商户,需要向收款服务机构(如微信、支付宝等)申请转为商用收款码,但消费者日常支付体验和感受不会受到影响。\n人民银行有关人士给记者打了个比方:如果消费者在早点摊购买煎饼果子习惯用手机支付,仍然可以用扫码等方式付款,没有任何变化。如果卖菜的商贩此前就已经使用经营收款码收款,也不受任何影响。\n10月,人民银行发布的《中国人民银行关于加强支付受理终端及相关业务管理的通知》对收款条码支付提出一系列管理要求,一些人却对部分内容产生了误读。\n记者从人民银行有关部门了解到,此前一些商户收款使用“码牌”或者打印封装的二维码,此类“个人静态收款条码”收款安全性较低,容易被犯罪分子利用,需要向收款服务机构(如微信、支付宝等)申请转为商用收款码。另外,按照相关要求,不得通过个人收款条码为具有明显经营活动特征的个人提供经营活动相关收款服务。至于哪些用户属于“具有明显经营特征”,中国支付清算协会正在研究制定相关标准。\n通知将自2022年3月1日起施行。人民银行有关人士表示,在相关要求实施之前,支付服务机构必须要全面、充分评估客户正常支付需求,制定配套服务解决方案,确保服务成本不升、服务质量不降。收款服务机构有义务免费为商户提供商用收款码,商户只需要提供必要的身份核实信息。\n人民银行表示,人民至上、保护市场主体的合法权益一直是监管部门制定政策的出发点。近年来,公众对网络诈骗、网络赌博等违法犯罪活动深恶痛绝。在公安机关会同金融管理部门开展的相关案件调查中发现,使用出租出售的个人收款码、改造支付受理终端、申请虚假商户等是犯罪分子常用手段,给许多个体商户带来资金损失。央行此次出台相关要求,正是为了加强行业管理,堵住漏洞,斩断非法链条,更好地保障个体商户资金安全,守住老百姓“钱袋子”。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":825,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":126215844,"gmtCreate":1624575146188,"gmtModify":1634004299620,"author":{"id":"3579915372996629","authorId":"3579915372996629","name":"Steveneng88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b70878a2c5f1c47ca37143542f140d38","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579915372996629","authorIdStr":"3579915372996629"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"来了🤭","listText":"来了🤭","text":"来了🤭","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126215844","repostId":"1173297432","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173297432","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624546848,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1173297432?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 23:00","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉涨逾5%,Model 3、Model Y或将在美销售一空","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173297432","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"特斯拉的第三季度数据可能会相当令人印象深刻。","content":"<p>市场消息,Model 3和Model Y目前在美国的交付等待时间部分暗示了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>在美国的需求仍非常强劲,以至于可能会在第三季度销售一空。这两款车型的预计交付日期都要到2021年第三季度。Model Y长续航双电机全轮驱动版(Long Range Dual Motor AWD)预计交付日期为2021年9月,Model 3标准续航版和长续航双电机全轮驱动版预计交付日期为11周。</p>\n<p>随着Model S,甚至Model X在第三季度加入竞争,特斯拉的第三季度数据可能会相当令人印象深刻。考虑到这两款旗舰车都是高利润车型,特斯拉第三季度的财务状况可能会因为新款Model S(或许还有新款Model X)而得到提振。</p>\n<p>另据Electrek数据:截至2021年5月,特斯拉车型占美国电动汽车销量的54%以上。 此外,5月份美国电动汽车销量达到53779辆,比2021年4月增长了19.2%。</p>\n<p>截至发稿,特斯拉涨超5%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f87da9e5318350fee8df4e0885208cc\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉涨逾5%,Model 3、Model Y或将在美销售一空</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉涨逾5%,Model 3、Model Y或将在美销售一空\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-24 23:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>市场消息,Model 3和Model Y目前在美国的交付等待时间部分暗示了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>在美国的需求仍非常强劲,以至于可能会在第三季度销售一空。这两款车型的预计交付日期都要到2021年第三季度。Model Y长续航双电机全轮驱动版(Long Range Dual Motor AWD)预计交付日期为2021年9月,Model 3标准续航版和长续航双电机全轮驱动版预计交付日期为11周。</p>\n<p>随着Model S,甚至Model X在第三季度加入竞争,特斯拉的第三季度数据可能会相当令人印象深刻。考虑到这两款旗舰车都是高利润车型,特斯拉第三季度的财务状况可能会因为新款Model S(或许还有新款Model X)而得到提振。</p>\n<p>另据Electrek数据:截至2021年5月,特斯拉车型占美国电动汽车销量的54%以上。 此外,5月份美国电动汽车销量达到53779辆,比2021年4月增长了19.2%。</p>\n<p>截至发稿,特斯拉涨超5%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f87da9e5318350fee8df4e0885208cc\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" 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