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2021-08-22

好文章👍👍👍

中概股的未来

2021-08-09

暴风雨来了🙏

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-07

股市要开始回调😅

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2021-08-01

说来说去倒霉也就是股民😢😢😢

价值重塑：中概股的估值体系可能会发生变化

2021-07-29

我对中概股完全失去信心😩

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-28

[难过] [难过] [难过]

纳指跌超1%，大型科技股普跌

2021-07-26

教育股不可以抄底😅

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-22

还打股票跌的更惨😅

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-22

今天说涨明天说跌，十个股民八个亏钱🥲

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2021-07-17

好文章👍

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-17

好👍

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-15

我56建仓64卖出😅好险

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-11

中概股风险高😅

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-08

长期投资可以考虑

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-05

问题可大可小

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-04

油价看起来暂时还解不了。

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-03

可以休息了👍

提醒：因美国独立日假期，7月5日美股全天休市

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09:24","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"中概股的未来","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182861188","media":"全球宏观投机","summary":"中概股近期的大幅偏离纳指，说明是其他宏观因子主导了价格运动。图四中概股指数与纳指的偏离达到历史极值。中概股的公司相当部分是中国最具成长性的公司。一句话，中概股的未来就是港股化和边缘化，这个过程可能要持续到中美地缘政治关系出现新阶段为止。比尔黄见证了中概股最辉煌的时期和亲历了辉煌开始结束。","content":"<p><b>什么是全球宏观视角</b></p>\n<p>全球宏观作为一种富有特色的投资和交易类别，侧重从全球以及各国经济周期、金融条件和地缘政治的视角寻求中期的大型资产价格运动机会，这个价格变动方向，可以向上，也可以向下。全球宏观思路用于资产配置，最典型的是斯文森时代的耶鲁捐赠基金；而用于更加灵活多变的交易，最典型的是德鲁肯米勒和索罗斯共同管理时代的量子基金。</p>\n<p>金融危机以后，全球宏观交易方式受到很大的质疑，原因在于这种风格的基金近些年的表现不如人意。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a56d17afac58a03d34f987776cb9caeb\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>图一&nbsp; &nbsp;宏观对冲基金表现不佳</b></p>\n<p><b>中概股的独特宏观因子</b></p>\n<p>我们把实际影响资产价格的投资者大脑中的偏见称之为宏观因子，或者价格驱动因素。略有经验的投资者都知道，影响资产价格的因素非常多，很多都是微观或者产业因素。我们命名为宏观，并不是说一定是宏观经济数据或者事件才会影响价格，而是泛指各种持续长期对价格产生真实影响的变量。比如，有人研究了北京雾霾对投资者情绪的影响，雾霾天投资者情绪总体偏低，更容易卖出而不是买进。但是这并不是我们所讲的宏观因子，因为它对资产价格的影响不是持续有效的。但是，公司盈利增速预期就是影响股票价格的宏观因子，因为几乎在任何时候，这个变量都会影响投资者对股票和市场的感知，从而促使投资者做出买卖行为。</p>\n<p>那么，影响中概股的宏观因子有哪些呢？</p>\n<p>首先考察中国经济周期、金融条件与中概股的关系。我们发现，中概股与中国经济周期关联之紧密，完全不亚于A50股票指数，而在市场表现方面，中概股与A50的相关性也略强。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/300a12ca677a0fd4785103236eb19cfe\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"461\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>图二 中国经济基本面与中概股指数</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13e3524abfeebfafd9bb4c4c966d6998\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>图三 中概股、A50与创业板</b></p>\n<p>我中概股与大股票相关性更强，说明这些公司与经济周期的关联度更高，同时，投资者对股票的评估很大程度上面依赖于经济前景的判断。</p>\n<p>其二、我们考察中概股与纳斯达克指数的关系。平均看，过去五年，中概股与纳指的线性相关系数达到了0.7，而最近的相关系数下降到0.44。中概股近期的大幅偏离纳指，说明是其他宏观因子主导了价格运动。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4efa4c73e5ae6b81ddfa0938211f2231\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"498\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>图四中概股指数与纳指的偏离达到历史极值</b></p>\n<p>其三、中概股目前大跌的原因是什么？</p>\n<p>显然是中国最近出台的一系列监管政策，使得市场的不确定性大增。中概股这个特征跟A股完全类似，对经济政策、监管政策的变化非常敏感。但是，中概股这次大跌多了一层额外的不确定性：中美关系严重影响中概股的表现，从而成为一个真正长期影响价格的宏观因子。</p>\n<p>从这个角度讲，中概股未来充满颠簸，因为地缘政治的不确定性是最坏的不确定性，很难事先规划，一旦发生，市场波动的速度极快，同时，不确定性发展过程也非常曲折，比如今晚中国证监会表达对金融市场以及稳定资本市场预期的善意，这个时候市场就会猛烈的反弹。通常很难评估不确定性发展的阶段以及何时确认结束。</p>\n<p>那么当下的不确定性消失了吗？短期市场的紧张情绪应该得到了缓和，可能支持中概股有一波反弹，但是就中长期来看，中美两国的监管政策、地缘政治的变化，已经成为了中概股投资的一个基本影响变量。</p>\n<p>中概股的未来</p>\n<p>中概股的公司相当部分是中国最具成长性的公司。这是比尔黄押注这些股票的主要理由，比如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">腾讯音乐</a>，中国的音乐付费市场才刚刚启动，还有无数消费场景可以引入付费音乐。但这的确是一个长期充满曲折的过程。从这个角度讲，中概股依然有一些非常优秀的上市公司，其中必然有一些在未来成为伟大的公司，其股票也会创造极大的增值。</p>\n<p>然而，中概股面临两个巨大的挑战：一是中国经济政策的冲击，这种冲击在最近开始变得频繁，二是地缘政治的冲击。资本市场会成为中美角逐的一个战场，而中概股会成为其中的受害者，从专业的术语讲：中概股未来的不确定性已经放大，带来的结果就是估值偏低。而与其类似的是港股，港股是世界上估值最低的市场，因为港股面临独特的不确定性环境：中美两国的经济、金融、政策和地缘政治都可以随时和大幅影响港股。</p>\n<p>一句话，中概股的未来就是港股化和边缘化，这个过程可能要持续到中美地缘政治关系出现新阶段为止。</p>\n<p>比尔黄见证了中概股最辉煌的时期和亲历了辉煌开始结束。对资本市场而言，长期我们都已经死了，所以不需要去讨论长期的问题。</p>","source":"qqggdh","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>中概股的未来</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n中概股的未来\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-22 09:24 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/0zufFWNGXYzP0f-XCuVHMg><strong>全球宏观投机</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>什么是全球宏观视角\n全球宏观作为一种富有特色的投资和交易类别，侧重从全球以及各国经济周期、金融条件和地缘政治的视角寻求中期的大型资产价格运动机会，这个价格变动方向，可以向上，也可以向下。全球宏观思路用于资产配置，最典型的是斯文森时代的耶鲁捐赠基金；而用于更加灵活多变的交易，最典型的是德鲁肯米勒和索罗斯共同管理时代的量子基金。\n金融危机以后，全球宏观交易方式受到很大的质疑，原因在于这种风格的基金...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/0zufFWNGXYzP0f-XCuVHMg\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc9de4d397ebba7835e00e3691884586","relate_stocks":{"TTTN":"老虎中美互联网巨头ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/0zufFWNGXYzP0f-XCuVHMg","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182861188","content_text":"什么是全球宏观视角\n全球宏观作为一种富有特色的投资和交易类别，侧重从全球以及各国经济周期、金融条件和地缘政治的视角寻求中期的大型资产价格运动机会，这个价格变动方向，可以向上，也可以向下。全球宏观思路用于资产配置，最典型的是斯文森时代的耶鲁捐赠基金；而用于更加灵活多变的交易，最典型的是德鲁肯米勒和索罗斯共同管理时代的量子基金。\n金融危机以后，全球宏观交易方式受到很大的质疑，原因在于这种风格的基金近些年的表现不如人意。图一   宏观对冲基金表现不佳\n中概股的独特宏观因子\n我们把实际影响资产价格的投资者大脑中的偏见称之为宏观因子，或者价格驱动因素。略有经验的投资者都知道，影响资产价格的因素非常多，很多都是微观或者产业因素。我们命名为宏观，并不是说一定是宏观经济数据或者事件才会影响价格，而是泛指各种持续长期对价格产生真实影响的变量。比如，有人研究了北京雾霾对投资者情绪的影响，雾霾天投资者情绪总体偏低，更容易卖出而不是买进。但是这并不是我们所讲的宏观因子，因为它对资产价格的影响不是持续有效的。但是，公司盈利增速预期就是影响股票价格的宏观因子，因为几乎在任何时候，这个变量都会影响投资者对股票和市场的感知，从而促使投资者做出买卖行为。\n那么，影响中概股的宏观因子有哪些呢？\n首先考察中国经济周期、金融条件与中概股的关系。我们发现，中概股与中国经济周期关联之紧密，完全不亚于A50股票指数，而在市场表现方面，中概股与A50的相关性也略强。图二 中国经济基本面与中概股指数图三 中概股、A50与创业板\n我中概股与大股票相关性更强，说明这些公司与经济周期的关联度更高，同时，投资者对股票的评估很大程度上面依赖于经济前景的判断。\n其二、我们考察中概股与纳斯达克指数的关系。平均看，过去五年，中概股与纳指的线性相关系数达到了0.7，而最近的相关系数下降到0.44。中概股近期的大幅偏离纳指，说明是其他宏观因子主导了价格运动。图四中概股指数与纳指的偏离达到历史极值\n其三、中概股目前大跌的原因是什么？\n显然是中国最近出台的一系列监管政策，使得市场的不确定性大增。中概股这个特征跟A股完全类似，对经济政策、监管政策的变化非常敏感。但是，中概股这次大跌多了一层额外的不确定性：中美关系严重影响中概股的表现，从而成为一个真正长期影响价格的宏观因子。\n从这个角度讲，中概股未来充满颠簸，因为地缘政治的不确定性是最坏的不确定性，很难事先规划，一旦发生，市场波动的速度极快，同时，不确定性发展过程也非常曲折，比如今晚中国证监会表达对金融市场以及稳定资本市场预期的善意，这个时候市场就会猛烈的反弹。通常很难评估不确定性发展的阶段以及何时确认结束。\n那么当下的不确定性消失了吗？短期市场的紧张情绪应该得到了缓和，可能支持中概股有一波反弹，但是就中长期来看，中美两国的监管政策、地缘政治的变化，已经成为了中概股投资的一个基本影响变量。\n中概股的未来\n中概股的公司相当部分是中国最具成长性的公司。这是比尔黄押注这些股票的主要理由，比如腾讯音乐，中国的音乐付费市场才刚刚启动，还有无数消费场景可以引入付费音乐。但这的确是一个长期充满曲折的过程。从这个角度讲，中概股依然有一些非常优秀的上市公司，其中必然有一些在未来成为伟大的公司，其股票也会创造极大的增值。\n然而，中概股面临两个巨大的挑战：一是中国经济政策的冲击，这种冲击在最近开始变得频繁，二是地缘政治的冲击。资本市场会成为中美角逐的一个战场，而中概股会成为其中的受害者，从专业的术语讲：中概股未来的不确定性已经放大，带来的结果就是估值偏低。而与其类似的是港股，港股是世界上估值最低的市场，因为港股面临独特的不确定性环境：中美两国的经济、金融、政策和地缘政治都可以随时和大幅影响港股。\n一句话，中概股的未来就是港股化和边缘化，这个过程可能要持续到中美地缘政治关系出现新阶段为止。\n比尔黄见证了中概股最辉煌的时期和亲历了辉煌开始结束。对资本市场而言，长期我们都已经死了，所以不需要去讨论长期的问题。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":551,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":898310780,"gmtCreate":1628473122340,"gmtModify":1633746946251,"author":{"id":"3579764409572228","authorId":"3579764409572228","name":"mengseng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa459e0d8e39660281c1567ec5207287","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"暴风雨来了🙏","listText":"暴风雨来了🙏","text":"暴风雨来了🙏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898310780","repostId":"1192265110","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":547,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":893710710,"gmtCreate":1628299963330,"gmtModify":1633751865453,"author":{"id":"3579764409572228","authorId":"3579764409572228","name":"mengseng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa459e0d8e39660281c1567ec5207287","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"股市要开始回调😅","listText":"股市要开始回调😅","text":"股市要开始回调😅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893710710","repostId":"1157677906","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":532,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":802730682,"gmtCreate":1627804576446,"gmtModify":1633756223908,"author":{"id":"3579764409572228","authorId":"3579764409572228","name":"mengseng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa459e0d8e39660281c1567ec5207287","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"说来说去倒霉也就是股民😢😢😢","listText":"说来说去倒霉也就是股民😢😢😢","text":"说来说去倒霉也就是股民😢😢😢","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802730682","repostId":"1154964430","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154964430","pubTimestamp":1627698043,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1154964430?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-31 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付鹏的财经世界","summary":"和外部一些投资机构电话交流后的记录：\nDIDI的事件确实是比较的突然，这个准备是不足的，但对于海外二级市场资金的影响远不如对于那些一级市场的初始参与者以及风投资金影响更大，当然海外的一些资金也比较认同","content":"<p>和外部一些投资机构电话交流后的记录：</p>\n<p>DIDI的事件确实是比较的突然，这个准备是不足的，但对于海外二级市场资金的影响远不如对于那些一级市场的初始参与者以及风投资金影响更大，当然海外的一些资金也比较认同的就是，中国在DIDI上市后很短的时间里立刻就宣布重大政策，也某种角度上减少了对于二级市场参与机构和资金的潜在风险，如果DIDI上市一年后再忽然来这么一出，那可能影响就真的比较大了；</p>\n<p>对于教育类中概股的冲击，谈不上是完全没有预期，如果说完全没有预期，要么是中国政策的推出是完全没有征兆的突发的，要么就是投资机构自己内部的Risk管理不到位，中国对于教育类企业的政策在过去的一年里已经是不断地加码的，最近风口浪尖上的新政策，都不是突发性的，基本都是循循渐进有迹可循的；</p>\n<p>对于市场中参与的资金来讲，他的一个大问题是要么完全前期就忽略了这个风险，但我觉得这个对于比较大的资金来说，这种风控失误完全忽略风险的可能性很小，事实上你从这些中概股二级市场表现也能看出来，资金在过去的半年都是在不断的减持的，也就是说，肯定是早就考虑过政策的风险并且按照公司的要求不断地进行着降低头寸的减仓；</p>\n<p>这一点在Q1季度一些资金机构透漏出了的点滴信息来看，也是吻合的，基本上都已经在对于政策作出相应的风控调仓；</p>\n<p>现在的情况其实谈不上媒体所说的国内政策突袭，资本开始不信任等这些因素，现在的调仓的底层逻辑和之前的底层逻辑是不太一样的；</p>\n<p>之前呢，资金认为中国一系列针对互联网垄断，房地产，教育，医疗，甚至是可能的医美，娱乐等政策出台的一系列的管理趋近的政策可能只是一个短暂的打压，从资金角度来看这些从严的政策本质上可能会影响到企业的营收，增长性等，但是也判断中方政策本质并不会真的破坏所谓的背后商业模式底层，基于这个逻辑，那么早期随着中国政策一点点出台，对应市场上的减仓降头还真是一点点的评估可能带来的盈利和增长的影响预估，但都并不真正的去考虑“如果最终整个商业模式的本质都发生变化的话，那么你的二级市场定价模式还能延用之前的吗？真的只是做一个简单的修正么？”</p>\n<p>此次教育双减的细节内容让资金们无法淡定的核心，就是这个问题，随着最近的政策不断的深化和完善以后，越来越多的资金开始深思的并不是推特上那种抱怨政策透明、对政策不信任等这些，深思的是中国是不是玩真的了？如果是玩真的，那核心的问题是，这种假设条件下延申的重要考量就是：整个商业模式的本质是否需要重新审视了？</p>\n<p>如果这个答案是yes的话，那么中概股的调整更重要的是在于，这不是一个简单减仓，他可能要对这一类的资产的定价方式要做一个重要的转变（从一级市场到二级市场），商业模式如果发生巨大的变化了，那整个估值和市值的定价方式就完全是不同的，如果只是一个政策的冲击，你冲击的可能是对盈利的判断，但这个还都在正常的逻辑下，但是如果你的整个商业模式都发生重大的变化了，那你可能甚至是说，整个商业模式在中国的政策目标里未来都转向一个公共服务类，甚至带有一定这个这个公益性质的行业的话，那这可不是一个简单的光盈利预期下修的问题；</p>\n<p>所以，这几天的剧烈下跌，无论是中概股还是港股市场的这些投资者在快速的做出重新的定价和反应，这和前面的下跌，本质上的原因是有着完全不同的考量，虽然都是风控减仓，但内核是完全不同的；</p>\n<p>对中国目前来讲，穿透过去资金已经迅速的接受并认定了国内政策的本质就是要对这些行业进行一个value remodeling，那这样的话，很多的支撑之前估值、市值的商业模式是要发生根本变化的，所以对于资金来说，现在是完全要对这些已经甚至是可能未来受到中国政策影响的公司要进行重新的估值体系的定价；</p>","source":"fpdcjsj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>价值重塑：中概股的估值体系可能会发生变化</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n价值重塑：中概股的估值体系可能会发生变化\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-31 10:20 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/4Prkn7NaAzDRzembCzF0TQ><strong> 付鹏的财经世界</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>和外部一些投资机构电话交流后的记录：\nDIDI的事件确实是比较的突然，这个准备是不足的，但对于海外二级市场资金的影响远不如对于那些一级市场的初始参与者以及风投资金影响更大，当然海外的一些资金也比较认同的就是，中国在DIDI上市后很短的时间里立刻就宣布重大政策，也某种角度上减少了对于二级市场参与机构和资金的潜在风险，如果DIDI上市一年后再忽然来这么一出，那可能影响就真的比较大了；\n对于教育类中概股...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/4Prkn7NaAzDRzembCzF0TQ\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c7221d934f1008e531bdf79c8cfe0ee","relate_stocks":{"EDU":"新东方","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/4Prkn7NaAzDRzembCzF0TQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154964430","content_text":"和外部一些投资机构电话交流后的记录：\nDIDI的事件确实是比较的突然，这个准备是不足的，但对于海外二级市场资金的影响远不如对于那些一级市场的初始参与者以及风投资金影响更大，当然海外的一些资金也比较认同的就是，中国在DIDI上市后很短的时间里立刻就宣布重大政策，也某种角度上减少了对于二级市场参与机构和资金的潜在风险，如果DIDI上市一年后再忽然来这么一出，那可能影响就真的比较大了；\n对于教育类中概股的冲击，谈不上是完全没有预期，如果说完全没有预期，要么是中国政策的推出是完全没有征兆的突发的，要么就是投资机构自己内部的Risk管理不到位，中国对于教育类企业的政策在过去的一年里已经是不断地加码的，最近风口浪尖上的新政策，都不是突发性的，基本都是循循渐进有迹可循的；\n对于市场中参与的资金来讲，他的一个大问题是要么完全前期就忽略了这个风险，但我觉得这个对于比较大的资金来说，这种风控失误完全忽略风险的可能性很小，事实上你从这些中概股二级市场表现也能看出来，资金在过去的半年都是在不断的减持的，也就是说，肯定是早就考虑过政策的风险并且按照公司的要求不断地进行着降低头寸的减仓；\n这一点在Q1季度一些资金机构透漏出了的点滴信息来看，也是吻合的，基本上都已经在对于政策作出相应的风控调仓；\n现在的情况其实谈不上媒体所说的国内政策突袭，资本开始不信任等这些因素，现在的调仓的底层逻辑和之前的底层逻辑是不太一样的；\n之前呢，资金认为中国一系列针对互联网垄断，房地产，教育，医疗，甚至是可能的医美，娱乐等政策出台的一系列的管理趋近的政策可能只是一个短暂的打压，从资金角度来看这些从严的政策本质上可能会影响到企业的营收，增长性等，但是也判断中方政策本质并不会真的破坏所谓的背后商业模式底层，基于这个逻辑，那么早期随着中国政策一点点出台，对应市场上的减仓降头还真是一点点的评估可能带来的盈利和增长的影响预估，但都并不真正的去考虑“如果最终整个商业模式的本质都发生变化的话，那么你的二级市场定价模式还能延用之前的吗？真的只是做一个简单的修正么？”\n此次教育双减的细节内容让资金们无法淡定的核心，就是这个问题，随着最近的政策不断的深化和完善以后，越来越多的资金开始深思的并不是推特上那种抱怨政策透明、对政策不信任等这些，深思的是中国是不是玩真的了？如果是玩真的，那核心的问题是，这种假设条件下延申的重要考量就是：整个商业模式的本质是否需要重新审视了？\n如果这个答案是yes的话，那么中概股的调整更重要的是在于，这不是一个简单减仓，他可能要对这一类的资产的定价方式要做一个重要的转变（从一级市场到二级市场），商业模式如果发生巨大的变化了，那整个估值和市值的定价方式就完全是不同的，如果只是一个政策的冲击，你冲击的可能是对盈利的判断，但这个还都在正常的逻辑下，但是如果你的整个商业模式都发生重大的变化了，那你可能甚至是说，整个商业模式在中国的政策目标里未来都转向一个公共服务类，甚至带有一定这个这个公益性质的行业的话，那这可不是一个简单的光盈利预期下修的问题；\n所以，这几天的剧烈下跌，无论是中概股还是港股市场的这些投资者在快速的做出重新的定价和反应，这和前面的下跌，本质上的原因是有着完全不同的考量，虽然都是风控减仓，但内核是完全不同的；\n对中国目前来讲，穿透过去资金已经迅速的接受并认定了国内政策的本质就是要对这些行业进行一个value remodeling，那这样的话，很多的支撑之前估值、市值的商业模式是要发生根本变化的，所以对于资金来说，现在是完全要对这些已经甚至是可能未来受到中国政策影响的公司要进行重新的估值体系的定价；","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":801439416,"gmtCreate":1627526812435,"gmtModify":1631883952328,"author":{"id":"3579764409572228","authorId":"3579764409572228","name":"mengseng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa459e0d8e39660281c1567ec5207287","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我对中概股完全失去信心😩","listText":"我对中概股完全失去信心😩","text":"我对中概股完全失去信心😩","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801439416","repostId":"1142633307","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":748,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":803387939,"gmtCreate":1627421342521,"gmtModify":1633765278220,"author":{"id":"3579764409572228","authorId":"3579764409572228","name":"mengseng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa459e0d8e39660281c1567ec5207287","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[难过]&nbsp;[难过]&nbsp;[难过]&nbsp;","listText":"[难过]&nbsp;[难过]&nbsp;[难过]&nbsp;","text":"[难过] [难过] [难过]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803387939","repostId":"1157541751","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157541751","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627395550,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157541751?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 22:19","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"纳指跌超1%，大型科技股普跌","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157541751","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"周二早盘，纳指跌幅扩大至1.28%，大型科技股普跌，阿里巴巴跌4.4%，特斯拉跌3%，台积电跌超2%，高通、亚马逊跌近2%，苹果、英伟达、Facebook跌超1%。","content":"<p>周二早盘，纳指跌幅扩大至1.28%，大型科技股普跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>跌4.4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>跌3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>跌超2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">高通</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>跌近2%，苹果、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a>跌超1%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/051840d5ecf82c61de519f9c615b58b7\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>纳指跌超1%，大型科技股普跌</title>\n<style 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>跌4.4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>跌3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>跌超2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">高通</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>跌近2%，苹果、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a>跌超1%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/051840d5ecf82c61de519f9c615b58b7\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/367fa068a00cbca94908e862748783f0","relate_stocks":{"03086":"华夏纳指","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 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10:48</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>因美国独立日假期，7月5日（周一）美股休市一日，7月6日（周二）起恢复交易。</b></p>\n<p>港股、A股、英股、澳股、新加坡股市照常交易。</p>\n<p><b>背景简介：</b></p>\n<p><b>独立日</b>是美国法定国庆日，日期为每年7月4日，以纪念1776年7月4日大陆会议在费城正式通过《独立宣言》。美国的独立日，与宗教、民俗节日一样隆重，老百姓在节日前清洁院落，装饰家居，悬挂国旗。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f87ddb03d9b4d56cf0dce9450e742016\" tg-width=\"626\" tg-height=\"417\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21dd6adec6b29203b5bca22347419441","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168133884","content_text":"因美国独立日假期，7月5日（周一）美股休市一日，7月6日（周二）起恢复交易。\n港股、A股、英股、澳股、新加坡股市照常交易。\n背景简介：\n独立日是美国法定国庆日，日期为每年7月4日，以纪念1776年7月4日大陆会议在费城正式通过《独立宣言》。美国的独立日，与宗教、民俗节日一样隆重，老百姓在节日前清洁院落，装饰家居，悬挂国旗。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":177436694,"gmtCreate":1627256949118,"gmtModify":1633766898555,"author":{"id":"3579764409572228","authorId":"3579764409572228","name":"mengseng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa459e0d8e39660281c1567ec5207287","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"教育股不可以抄底😅","listText":"教育股不可以抄底😅","text":"教育股不可以抄底😅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177436694","repostId":"1120328956","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":832891202,"gmtCreate":1629603449206,"gmtModify":1633683809898,"author":{"id":"3579764409572228","authorId":"3579764409572228","name":"mengseng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa459e0d8e39660281c1567ec5207287","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好文章👍👍👍","listText":"好文章👍👍👍","text":"好文章👍👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832891202","repostId":"1182861188","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":551,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":152128826,"gmtCreate":1625276997565,"gmtModify":1633941868123,"author":{"id":"3579764409572228","authorId":"3579764409572228","name":"mengseng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa459e0d8e39660281c1567ec5207287","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"可以休息了👍","listText":"可以休息了👍","text":"可以休息了👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152128826","repostId":"1168133884","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168133884","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1625021330,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1168133884?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-30 10:48","market":"sg","language":"zh","title":"提醒：因美国独立日假期，7月5日美股全天休市","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168133884","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"因美国独立日假期，7月5日（周一）美股休市一日，7月6日（周二）起恢复交易。\n港股、A股、英股、澳股、新加坡股市照常交易。\n背景简介：\n独立日是美国法定国庆日，日期为每年7月4日，以纪念1776年7月","content":"<p><b>因美国独立日假期，7月5日（周一）美股休市一日，7月6日（周二）起恢复交易。</b></p>\n<p>港股、A股、英股、澳股、新加坡股市照常交易。</p>\n<p><b>背景简介：</b></p>\n<p><b>独立日</b>是美国法定国庆日，日期为每年7月4日，以纪念1776年7月4日大陆会议在费城正式通过《独立宣言》。美国的独立日，与宗教、民俗节日一样隆重，老百姓在节日前清洁院落，装饰家居，悬挂国旗。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f87ddb03d9b4d56cf0dce9450e742016\" tg-width=\"626\" tg-height=\"417\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>提醒：因美国独立日假期，7月5日美股全天休市</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n提醒：因美国独立日假期，7月5日美股全天休市\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-30 10:48</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>因美国独立日假期，7月5日（周一）美股休市一日，7月6日（周二）起恢复交易。</b></p>\n<p>港股、A股、英股、澳股、新加坡股市照常交易。</p>\n<p><b>背景简介：</b></p>\n<p><b>独立日</b>是美国法定国庆日，日期为每年7月4日，以纪念1776年7月4日大陆会议在费城正式通过《独立宣言》。美国的独立日，与宗教、民俗节日一样隆重，老百姓在节日前清洁院落，装饰家居，悬挂国旗。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f87ddb03d9b4d56cf0dce9450e742016\" tg-width=\"626\" tg-height=\"417\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21dd6adec6b29203b5bca22347419441","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168133884","content_text":"因美国独立日假期，7月5日（周一）美股休市一日，7月6日（周二）起恢复交易。\n港股、A股、英股、澳股、新加坡股市照常交易。\n背景简介：\n独立日是美国法定国庆日，日期为每年7月4日，以纪念1776年7月4日大陆会议在费城正式通过《独立宣言》。美国的独立日，与宗教、民俗节日一样隆重，老百姓在节日前清洁院落，装饰家居，悬挂国旗。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":149332402,"gmtCreate":1625704416606,"gmtModify":1633938227339,"author":{"id":"3579764409572228","authorId":"3579764409572228","name":"mengseng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa459e0d8e39660281c1567ec5207287","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"长期投资可以考虑","listText":"长期投资可以考虑","text":"长期投资可以考虑","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149332402","repostId":"1142673902","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142673902","pubTimestamp":1625703643,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142673902?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-08 08:20","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"高管增持股票，银行股值得买入吗？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142673902","media":"苏宁金融研究院","summary":"银行股并非市场热点，板块估值水平不高不低，却很值得投资者关注，因为板块内分化很严重：个别优秀银行的估值已接近历史顶部，多数银行估值却仍在底部徘徊，以至于一些银行高管自掏腰包增持自家股票。\n板块行情来临","content":"<p>银行股并非市场热点，板块估值水平不高不低，却很值得投资者关注，因为板块内分化很严重：个别优秀银行的估值已接近历史顶部，多数银行估值却仍在底部徘徊，以至于一些银行高管自掏腰包增持自家股票。</p>\n<p>板块行情来临的逻辑通常是“龙头先行、板块跟随”，如2020年茅台、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000858\">五粮液</a>的起飞带动了整个白酒板块的热度。当前银行龙头已经起飞，对于大多数估值尚处于低位的个股，逆势买入的机会来了吗？</p>\n<p><b>银行个股大分化</b></p>\n<p>截止2021年7月1日，A股上市银行板块整体市盈率7.41倍，以2014年末至今为衡量区间，市场分位值为81.3%；市净率0.72倍，同期市场分位值为13.6%。若看市盈率，当前银行板块估值已然不低；若看市净率，则板块估值仍处于底部位置。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38f0aabfc05f71d0f9fccba0bfdb46ad\" tg-width=\"972\" tg-height=\"508\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>从个股来看，估值两极分化明显，牛熊两重天。具体来看，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600036\">招商银行</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001\">平安银行</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002142\">宁波银行</a>处于第一梯队，市盈率、市净率的分位值均高于90%，处于牛市顶部位置；与此同时，还有26家上市银行市净率分位值低于10%，20家上市银行市盈率分位值低于10%，处于熊市底部位置。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2692ed9d4e71c1a43349921688373513\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1115\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>多数银行估值处于低位，少数银行估值却能居高不下，表明<b>市场资金在基本放弃银行板块的同时紧紧抓住了几只个股，背后的逻辑显而易见：行业前景缺乏吸引力，但个别优秀银行有望逆势而上，走出独立行情。</b></p>\n<p><b>大潮褪去，优秀银行凸显</b></p>\n<p>“潮水褪去，裸泳者现”。近十年来，银行业整体经历了经济减速、结构升级和金融科技冲击，净利润增速不断下台阶，从动辄百分之三十以上的增速滑落至个位数增长，银行板块估值水平持续走低。但在这个过程中，个别优秀银行走出了独立行情，受到资本市场追捧。</p>\n<p>不过，从数据上看，盈利增速高的银行估值未必高，盈利增速低的银行估值也未必低，二者并不必然构成因果关系。股票价值，归根结底看未来盈利空间，若聚焦历史数据，就犯了“后视镜投资”的错误。</p>\n<p>以上市银行5年（2015-2020）净利润复合增速来看，宁波银行、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601838\">成都银行</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601665\">齐鲁银行</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601187\">厦门银行</a>处于高位，但只有宁波银行、成都银行录得较高的估值水平；同样，平安银行、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03968\">招商银行</a>的复合增速并不凸显，但估值却处于高位。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/736ae7dd9861184c81f1462d1610e312\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>究其原因，<b>市场对不同银行的发展前景有不同的考量，只有未来发展潜力大、且确定性强的银行才能受到市场青睐。</b></p>\n<p>以招商银行为例，近二十年来，招商银行一直是银行股爱好者的心头好，招行也不负所望，以优秀的文化、前瞻的战略、优异的业绩持续给投资者吃下定心丸。就现阶段来看，市场看中的是其在大零售领域的深厚积淀，以及十四五期间重点发力大资管领域的战略，进一步强化了市场对其轻资本转型的信心。</p>\n<p>就平安银行而言，市场看中的是其在大零售领域快速爆发的潜力。自2016年全面推进零售转型以来，平安银行的零售客户基础实现了跨越式增长。虽然零售转型的成绩尚未在净利润层面充分显现，过去5年净利润复合增速仅为5.8%，处于行业中等偏下水平，但背靠平安集团庞大的客户基础和优势的场景布局，市场对其未来业绩表现充满期待，估值水平自然处于高位。</p>\n<p>宁波银行则是地方性银行成功逆袭的典范。本世纪前五年还为不良包袱所累，但之后奋起直追，聚焦普惠、深耕小微，持续打磨模型，并快速迭代推广，慢慢在小微金融领域积累出特色和竞争优势。在巩固基本盘的前提下，宁波银行在国际业务、消费贷款等领域也做出特色，成功实现多元业务支撑，在经济下行的大背景下走出了逆势行情，高增长、低不良，未来增长前景可期，受市场追捧自然不在话下。</p>\n<p>以5年和10年复合净利润增速来看，宁波银行是上市银行中波动最小、表现最好的银行。过去10年净利润复合增速20.55%，在上市银行中位列第五名；近五年净利润复合增速18.1%，在上市银行中位列第一名。</p>\n<p><b>估值高度分化的背后</b></p>\n<p>除了几家明星银行外，多数银行的市净率处于历史底部。作为周期性行业，低估值水平是否意味着买入窗口已开启呢？</p>\n<p>如文章开头所说，看到估值水平处于底部，一些银行高管已开始自掏腰包增持股票了。但从发展趋势上看，一两年内的波动是有的，但放眼五到十年的大趋势，以银行为代表的间接融资机构将持续遭遇直接融资大发展的挑战，行业景气度难有根本性好转。</p>\n<p>在这种情况下，若着眼于长期持有，银行板块整体并不具备配置价值。所以，对那些估值处于历史区间底部位置的银行，除非投资者能判断其未来发展能走出逆势行情，否则不应仅凭低估本身就买入待涨。</p>\n<p>该怎么判断一家银行能否走出逆势行情呢？</p>\n<p>就银行业几大业务来看，大公司贷款受直接融资冲击，零售贷款受房贷压降影响，只有小微贷款、消费贷款（含信用卡）、理财业务三大块业务具备较大的想象空间。这就意味着，大公司贷款和房贷占比较高的银行，如<b>几家国有大行和一些全国股份制银行，未来业绩增长必然受直接融资、房贷调控的拖累；而聚焦小微和普惠金融的中小银行，虽然市场空间广阔，但若没有做出特色，也很容易受业务本身的高不良属性拖累，并不足以让市场看好。</b></p>\n<p>回过头来看当前上市银行的估值排名，招商银行、平安银行、宁波银行三家较少受到大公司业务和房贷业务拖累，且在小微贷款、消费贷款、理财业务上占有先机，故估值处于第一梯队。而像成都银行、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600926\">杭州银行</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600919\">江苏银行</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601009\">南京银行</a>等估值次高的银行，其在大零售、大资管以及数字化转型领域的表现也都可圈可点。</p>\n<p>相比之下，估值水平垫底的银行，要么此前靠助贷、联合贷款迅速崛起，目前受严监管政策反噬；要么大公司贷款和房贷占比高，受直接融资冲击大，增长空间受限。</p>\n<p>总之，<b>作为一个不受市场资金追捧的板块，银行业估值受市场情绪影响很小，板块内部的估值分化是合理的，可顺势布局，不应逆势操作。</b></p>","source":"lsy1568689437122","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>高管增持股票，银行股值得买入吗？</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n高管增持股票，银行股值得买入吗？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-08 08:20 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/I8g1ypuT5lBhpxEzgjvQjA><strong>苏宁金融研究院</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>银行股并非市场热点，板块估值水平不高不低，却很值得投资者关注，因为板块内分化很严重：个别优秀银行的估值已接近历史顶部，多数银行估值却仍在底部徘徊，以至于一些银行高管自掏腰包增持自家股票。\n板块行情来临的逻辑通常是“龙头先行、板块跟随”，如2020年茅台、五粮液的起飞带动了整个白酒板块的热度。当前银行龙头已经起飞，对于大多数估值尚处于低位的个股，逆势买入的机会来了吗？\n银行个股大分化\n截止2021年...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/I8g1ypuT5lBhpxEzgjvQjA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69af882c29a3ff047224139fe1096d17","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/I8g1ypuT5lBhpxEzgjvQjA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142673902","content_text":"银行股并非市场热点，板块估值水平不高不低，却很值得投资者关注，因为板块内分化很严重：个别优秀银行的估值已接近历史顶部，多数银行估值却仍在底部徘徊，以至于一些银行高管自掏腰包增持自家股票。\n板块行情来临的逻辑通常是“龙头先行、板块跟随”，如2020年茅台、五粮液的起飞带动了整个白酒板块的热度。当前银行龙头已经起飞，对于大多数估值尚处于低位的个股，逆势买入的机会来了吗？\n银行个股大分化\n截止2021年7月1日，A股上市银行板块整体市盈率7.41倍，以2014年末至今为衡量区间，市场分位值为81.3%；市净率0.72倍，同期市场分位值为13.6%。若看市盈率，当前银行板块估值已然不低；若看市净率，则板块估值仍处于底部位置。\n\n从个股来看，估值两极分化明显，牛熊两重天。具体来看，招商银行、平安银行、宁波银行处于第一梯队，市盈率、市净率的分位值均高于90%，处于牛市顶部位置；与此同时，还有26家上市银行市净率分位值低于10%，20家上市银行市盈率分位值低于10%，处于熊市底部位置。\n\n多数银行估值处于低位，少数银行估值却能居高不下，表明市场资金在基本放弃银行板块的同时紧紧抓住了几只个股，背后的逻辑显而易见：行业前景缺乏吸引力，但个别优秀银行有望逆势而上，走出独立行情。\n大潮褪去，优秀银行凸显\n“潮水褪去，裸泳者现”。近十年来，银行业整体经历了经济减速、结构升级和金融科技冲击，净利润增速不断下台阶，从动辄百分之三十以上的增速滑落至个位数增长，银行板块估值水平持续走低。但在这个过程中，个别优秀银行走出了独立行情，受到资本市场追捧。\n不过，从数据上看，盈利增速高的银行估值未必高，盈利增速低的银行估值也未必低，二者并不必然构成因果关系。股票价值，归根结底看未来盈利空间，若聚焦历史数据，就犯了“后视镜投资”的错误。\n以上市银行5年（2015-2020）净利润复合增速来看，宁波银行、成都银行、齐鲁银行、厦门银行处于高位，但只有宁波银行、成都银行录得较高的估值水平；同样，平安银行、招商银行的复合增速并不凸显，但估值却处于高位。\n\n究其原因，市场对不同银行的发展前景有不同的考量，只有未来发展潜力大、且确定性强的银行才能受到市场青睐。\n以招商银行为例，近二十年来，招商银行一直是银行股爱好者的心头好，招行也不负所望，以优秀的文化、前瞻的战略、优异的业绩持续给投资者吃下定心丸。就现阶段来看，市场看中的是其在大零售领域的深厚积淀，以及十四五期间重点发力大资管领域的战略，进一步强化了市场对其轻资本转型的信心。\n就平安银行而言，市场看中的是其在大零售领域快速爆发的潜力。自2016年全面推进零售转型以来，平安银行的零售客户基础实现了跨越式增长。虽然零售转型的成绩尚未在净利润层面充分显现，过去5年净利润复合增速仅为5.8%，处于行业中等偏下水平，但背靠平安集团庞大的客户基础和优势的场景布局，市场对其未来业绩表现充满期待，估值水平自然处于高位。\n宁波银行则是地方性银行成功逆袭的典范。本世纪前五年还为不良包袱所累，但之后奋起直追，聚焦普惠、深耕小微，持续打磨模型，并快速迭代推广，慢慢在小微金融领域积累出特色和竞争优势。在巩固基本盘的前提下，宁波银行在国际业务、消费贷款等领域也做出特色，成功实现多元业务支撑，在经济下行的大背景下走出了逆势行情，高增长、低不良，未来增长前景可期，受市场追捧自然不在话下。\n以5年和10年复合净利润增速来看，宁波银行是上市银行中波动最小、表现最好的银行。过去10年净利润复合增速20.55%，在上市银行中位列第五名；近五年净利润复合增速18.1%，在上市银行中位列第一名。\n估值高度分化的背后\n除了几家明星银行外，多数银行的市净率处于历史底部。作为周期性行业，低估值水平是否意味着买入窗口已开启呢？\n如文章开头所说，看到估值水平处于底部，一些银行高管已开始自掏腰包增持股票了。但从发展趋势上看，一两年内的波动是有的，但放眼五到十年的大趋势，以银行为代表的间接融资机构将持续遭遇直接融资大发展的挑战，行业景气度难有根本性好转。\n在这种情况下，若着眼于长期持有，银行板块整体并不具备配置价值。所以，对那些估值处于历史区间底部位置的银行，除非投资者能判断其未来发展能走出逆势行情，否则不应仅凭低估本身就买入待涨。\n该怎么判断一家银行能否走出逆势行情呢？\n就银行业几大业务来看，大公司贷款受直接融资冲击，零售贷款受房贷压降影响，只有小微贷款、消费贷款（含信用卡）、理财业务三大块业务具备较大的想象空间。这就意味着，大公司贷款和房贷占比较高的银行，如几家国有大行和一些全国股份制银行，未来业绩增长必然受直接融资、房贷调控的拖累；而聚焦小微和普惠金融的中小银行，虽然市场空间广阔，但若没有做出特色，也很容易受业务本身的高不良属性拖累，并不足以让市场看好。\n回过头来看当前上市银行的估值排名，招商银行、平安银行、宁波银行三家较少受到大公司业务和房贷业务拖累，且在小微贷款、消费贷款、理财业务上占有先机，故估值处于第一梯队。而像成都银行、杭州银行、江苏银行、南京银行等估值次高的银行，其在大零售、大资管以及数字化转型领域的表现也都可圈可点。\n相比之下，估值水平垫底的银行，要么此前靠助贷、联合贷款迅速崛起，目前受严监管政策反噬；要么大公司贷款和房贷占比高，受直接融资冲击大，增长空间受限。\n总之，作为一个不受市场资金追捧的板块，银行业估值受市场情绪影响很小，板块内部的估值分化是合理的，可顺势布局，不应逆势操作。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":131,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":155772465,"gmtCreate":1625457581057,"gmtModify":1633940495503,"author":{"id":"3579764409572228","authorId":"3579764409572228","name":"mengseng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa459e0d8e39660281c1567ec5207287","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"问题可大可小","listText":"问题可大可小","text":"问题可大可小","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155772465","repostId":"1122328096","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":326,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":155121069,"gmtCreate":1625391094951,"gmtModify":1633940990564,"author":{"id":"3579764409572228","authorId":"3579764409572228","name":"mengseng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa459e0d8e39660281c1567ec5207287","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"油价看起来暂时还解不了。","listText":"油价看起来暂时还解不了。","text":"油价看起来暂时还解不了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155121069","repostId":"2148804970","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":353,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":898310780,"gmtCreate":1628473122340,"gmtModify":1633746946251,"author":{"id":"3579764409572228","authorId":"3579764409572228","name":"mengseng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa459e0d8e39660281c1567ec5207287","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"暴风雨来了🙏","listText":"暴风雨来了🙏","text":"暴风雨来了🙏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898310780","repostId":"1192265110","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":547,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":802730682,"gmtCreate":1627804576446,"gmtModify":1633756223908,"author":{"id":"3579764409572228","auth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[难过] [难过]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803387939","repostId":"1157541751","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157541751","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627395550,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157541751?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 22:19","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"纳指跌超1%，大型科技股普跌","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157541751","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"周二早盘，纳指跌幅扩大至1.28%，大型科技股普跌，阿里巴巴跌4.4%，特斯拉跌3%，台积电跌超2%，高通、亚马逊跌近2%，苹果、英伟达、Facebook跌超1%。","content":"<p>周二早盘，纳指跌幅扩大至1.28%，大型科技股普跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>跌4.4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>跌3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>跌超2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">高通</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>跌近2%，苹果、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a>跌超1%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/051840d5ecf82c61de519f9c615b58b7\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>纳指跌超1%，大型科技股普跌</title>\n<style 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>跌4.4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>跌3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>跌超2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">高通</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>跌近2%，苹果、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a>跌超1%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/051840d5ecf82c61de519f9c615b58b7\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/367fa068a00cbca94908e862748783f0","relate_stocks":{"03086":"华夏纳指","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","TTTN":"老虎中美互联网巨头ETF"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157541751","content_text":"周二早盘，纳指跌幅扩大至1.28%，大型科技股普跌，阿里巴巴跌4.4%，特斯拉跌3%，台积电跌超2%，高通、亚马逊跌近2%，苹果、英伟达、Facebook跌超1%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":631,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":172306115,"gmtCreate":1626932407137,"gmtModify":1633769595983,"author":{"id":"3579764409572228","authorId":"3579764409572228","name":"mengseng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa459e0d8e39660281c1567ec5207287","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"还打股票跌的更惨😅","listText":"还打股票跌的更惨😅","text":"还打股票跌的更惨😅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172306115","repostId":"1138577714","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":415,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":172308577,"gmtCreate":1626932298899,"gmtModify":1633769596598,"author":{"id":"3579764409572228","authorId":"3579764409572228","name":"mengseng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa459e0d8e39660281c1567ec5207287","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"今天说涨明天说跌，十个股民八个亏钱🥲","listText":"今天说涨明天说跌，十个股民八个亏钱🥲","text":"今天说涨明天说跌，十个股民八个亏钱🥲","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172308577","repostId":"1197722114","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":551,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":179037632,"gmtCreate":1626471631726,"gmtModify":1633926539069,"author":{"id":"3579764409572228","authorId":"3579764409572228","name":"mengseng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa459e0d8e39660281c1567ec5207287","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好文章👍","listText":"好文章👍","text":"好文章👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179037632","repostId":"1194294645","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":510,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":147080182,"gmtCreate":1626319650346,"gmtModify":1633927888948,"author":{"id":"3579764409572228","authorId":"3579764409572228","name":"mengseng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa459e0d8e39660281c1567ec5207287","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我56建仓64卖出😅好险","listText":"我56建仓64卖出😅好险","text":"我56建仓64卖出😅好险","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147080182","repostId":"2151058548","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2151058548","pubTimestamp":1626271034,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2151058548?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-14 21:57","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Global-e Online Ltd.盘中异动 早盘快速上涨5.24%报65.48美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2151058548","media":"自选股智能写手","summary":"北京时间2021年07月14日21时57分，Global-e Online Ltd.股票出现波动，股价大幅拉升5.24%。截至发稿，该股报65.48美元/股，成交量12.8192万股，换手率0.09%，振幅3.76%。Global-e Online Ltd.股票所在的互联网零售行业中，整体涨幅为0.55%。其相关个股中，Global-e Online Ltd.、Shift Technologies Inc、Parts Id Inc涨幅较大，大公文交所、Contextlogic Inc、1847 Goedeker Inc较为活跃，换手率分别为4.22%、0.95%、0.87%，振幅较大的相关个股有大公文交所、新蛋、兰亭集势，振幅分别为12.70%、11.44%、7.36%。Global-e Online Ltd.公司简介：Global E Online Ltd提供电子商务解决方案。","content":"<html><body><article><p>北京时间2021年07月14日21时57分，Global-e Online Ltd.（GLBE.us）股票出现波动，股价大幅<span>拉升</span>5.24%。截至发稿，该股报65.48美元/股，成交量12.8192万股，<span>换手率</span>0.09%，振幅3.76%。</p><p>最近的财报数据显示，该股实现<span>营业收入</span>46.15百万美元，<span>净利润</span>-1.75百万美元，<span>每股收益</span>-8.82美元，<span>毛利</span>15.37百万美元，市盈率2676.35倍。</p><p>机构评级方面，在所有7家参与评级的机构中，100%的券商给予买入建议，无券商给予持有、卖出建议。</p><p>Global-e Online Ltd.股票所在的互联网零售行业中，整体涨幅为0.55%。其相关个股中，Global-e Online Ltd.、Shift Technologies Inc、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ID\">Parts Id Inc</a>涨幅较大，大公文交所、Contextlogic Inc、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOED\">1847 Goedeker</a> Inc较为活跃，换手率分别为4.22%、0.95%、0.87%，振幅较大的相关个股有大公文交所、新蛋、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LITB\">兰亭集势</a>，振幅分别为12.70%、11.44%、7.36%。</p><p>Global-e Online Ltd.公司简介：Global E Online Ltd提供电子商务解决方案。它提供一个平台，以实现和加速全球直接面向消费者的跨境电子商务。该平台是专门为国际购物者在网上无缝购买和商家从世界任何地方销售而建立的。它将购物者的体验本地化，努力使国际交易与国内交易一样无缝。该平台通过消除与国际电子商务相关的许多复杂性，增加了国际流量向销售的转换。</p><p>（以上内容为自选股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">智能</a>机器写手Money Call完成，仅作为用户看盘参考，不作为交易依据。）</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" 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Ltd.（GLBE.us）股票出现波动，股价大幅拉升5.24%。截至发稿，该股报65.48美元/股，成交量12.8192万股，换手率0.09%，振幅3.76%。最近的财报数据显示，该股实现营业收入46.15百万美元，净利润-1.75百万美元，每股收益-8.82美元，毛利15.37百万美元，市盈率2676.35倍。机构评级...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202107142157147b60eabb&s=b\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0ab8365ea89ee143187cbf51d23ba8f","relate_stocks":{"GLBE":"Global-E Online Ltd."},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202107142157147b60eabb&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2151058548","content_text":"北京时间2021年07月14日21时57分，Global-e Online Ltd.（GLBE.us）股票出现波动，股价大幅拉升5.24%。截至发稿，该股报65.48美元/股，成交量12.8192万股，换手率0.09%，振幅3.76%。最近的财报数据显示，该股实现营业收入46.15百万美元，净利润-1.75百万美元，每股收益-8.82美元，毛利15.37百万美元，市盈率2676.35倍。机构评级方面，在所有7家参与评级的机构中，100%的券商给予买入建议，无券商给予持有、卖出建议。Global-e Online Ltd.股票所在的互联网零售行业中，整体涨幅为0.55%。其相关个股中，Global-e Online Ltd.、Shift Technologies Inc、Parts Id Inc涨幅较大，大公文交所、Contextlogic Inc、1847 Goedeker Inc较为活跃，换手率分别为4.22%、0.95%、0.87%，振幅较大的相关个股有大公文交所、新蛋、兰亭集势，振幅分别为12.70%、11.44%、7.36%。Global-e Online Ltd.公司简介：Global E Online Ltd提供电子商务解决方案。它提供一个平台，以实现和加速全球直接面向消费者的跨境电子商务。该平台是专门为国际购物者在网上无缝购买和商家从世界任何地方销售而建立的。它将购物者的体验本地化，努力使国际交易与国内交易一样无缝。该平台通过消除与国际电子商务相关的许多复杂性，增加了国际流量向销售的转换。（以上内容为自选股智能机器写手Money Call完成，仅作为用户看盘参考，不作为交易依据。）","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":105,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":148404110,"gmtCreate":1625999050830,"gmtModify":1633931002854,"author":{"id":"3579764409572228","authorId":"3579764409572228","name":"mengseng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa459e0d8e39660281c1567ec5207287","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"中概股风险高😅","listText":"中概股风险高😅","text":"中概股风险高😅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148404110","repostId":"1114379787","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":227,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}