ElaineFaye的个人主页 - 老虎社区

ElaineFaye

ElaineFaye

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2021-05-07

$Adverum Biotechnologies(ADVM)$原来有这么多人陪伴着我。

2021-05-04

$Adverum Biotechnologies(ADVM)$伤心难过有人贱卖吗？

2021-05-04

越看越伤心

2021-04-29

$Adverum Biotechnologies(ADVM)$完蛋了

2021-04-18

$GSX Techedu(GSX)$希望在明天

2021-04-16

$GSX Techedu(GSX)$几时才会好起来？心也醉了

2021-04-13

Still suffers some losses but I have faiths on u[微笑]

2021-03-22

Good [微笑]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-03-21

//@亚文雅虎:Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

@扑克投资家:“菲利普斯曲线悖论”再现，滞胀初期，货币放水MMT不该成为万能钥匙

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才会好起来？心也醉了","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d629d0402cb3ffc62f1e20e8e4c629fb","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/347408267","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1545,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":342778334,"gmtCreate":1618247749328,"gmtModify":1634294166049,"author":{"id":"3579095603725368","authorId":"3579095603725368","name":"ElaineFaye","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8bc5404f3536aaf1bcf4b1d5a5f81b3","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Still suffers some losses but I have faiths on u[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"Still suffers some losses but I have faiths on u[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"Still suffers some losses but I have faiths on u[微笑]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5738923cbfc77d875db2cb58844a6f67","width":"1125","height":"3325"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/342778334","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":420,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":359627706,"gmtCreate":1616396201305,"gmtModify":1634526068362,"author":{"id":"3579095603725368","authorId":"3579095603725368","name":"ElaineFaye","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8bc5404f3536aaf1bcf4b1d5a5f81b3","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good [微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"Good [微笑]&nbsp;","text":"Good [微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359627706","repostId":"1165092534","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":276,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":359011712,"gmtCreate":1616299962336,"gmtModify":1631891488062,"author":{"id":"3579095603725368","authorId":"3579095603725368","name":"ElaineFaye","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8bc5404f3536aaf1bcf4b1d5a5f81b3","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3574418489912185\">@亚文雅虎</a>:Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3574418489912185\">@亚文雅虎</a>:Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"//@亚文雅虎:Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359011712","repostId":"326645080","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":326645080,"gmtCreate":1615639560000,"gmtModify":1703491840189,"author":{"id":"3524105581449289","authorId":"3524105581449289","name":"扑克投资家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca993284400c72bf022739f5328f46cf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"“菲利普斯曲线悖论”再现，滞胀初期，货币放水MMT不该成为万能钥匙","htmlText":"作 者&nbsp;|&nbsp;&nbsp;龙琳煜 来 源&nbsp;| 金融与风险 导 读&nbsp;&nbsp; “菲利普斯曲线悖论”再现。 最近美国10年期购债收益率从年初的0.9%飙升至1.44%，中国10年期国债收益率也从3.13%飙升至3.3%附近，通胀预期十分强烈，债券利率大幅上升，高估值的板块快速杀跌。 究其原因是前期货币超发导致流动性过剩，推高股市估值；随着通胀和全球经济复苏预期抬头，全球资本市场对流动性变得异常敏感，利率飙升导致资本市场杀估值。 2020年初以来全球股市、房市、商品、黄金、比特币等资产价格普涨，根本的原因是货币超发和流动性过剩。经济还在地上趴着，股市房市已经在天上飞了起来，背后的“永动机”就是货币超发。 2008年国际金融危机，放水。2020年疫情，放水。 但目前滞胀初期已现，货币放水不该成为政府为应对通货膨胀而加大滞胀发生风险的措施。 菲利普斯曲线和滞胀 1、什么是菲利普斯曲线 菲利普斯曲线是新西兰经济学家威廉·菲利浦斯（WilliamPhillips）于1958年提出的一个经济理论。 威廉·菲利浦斯（WilliamPhillips） 透过研究英国于1861年至1957年间的货币工资增长率与失业率之间的关系，菲利浦斯提出在失业率上升时，通胀率便会下降，反之就会上升。这两个变量构成的是非线性关系，当失业率极低时，通胀率便会十分高；反之，当失业率极高时，世界便会发生通缩，物价下跌。这一项理论看起来是符合逻辑的，当失业率低时大家都有收入，社会繁荣、信心十足，人们自然会放胆消费，使社会总需求增加，带动物价上升。反之，当失业率高时，收入的不稳定及前景信心的流失让人们积谷防饥，减少消费，在需求不足下，物价停止增长，甚至下跌发生通缩。 我们溯源逐本：三种菲利普曲线。 （1）&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;“失业-工资”菲利普斯曲线，是","listText":"作 者&nbsp;|&nbsp;&nbsp;龙琳煜 来 源&nbsp;| 金融与风险 导 读&nbsp;&nbsp; “菲利普斯曲线悖论”再现。 最近美国10年期购债收益率从年初的0.9%飙升至1.44%，中国10年期国债收益率也从3.13%飙升至3.3%附近，通胀预期十分强烈，债券利率大幅上升，高估值的板块快速杀跌。 究其原因是前期货币超发导致流动性过剩，推高股市估值；随着通胀和全球经济复苏预期抬头，全球资本市场对流动性变得异常敏感，利率飙升导致资本市场杀估值。 2020年初以来全球股市、房市、商品、黄金、比特币等资产价格普涨，根本的原因是货币超发和流动性过剩。经济还在地上趴着，股市房市已经在天上飞了起来，背后的“永动机”就是货币超发。 2008年国际金融危机，放水。2020年疫情，放水。 但目前滞胀初期已现，货币放水不该成为政府为应对通货膨胀而加大滞胀发生风险的措施。 菲利普斯曲线和滞胀 1、什么是菲利普斯曲线 菲利普斯曲线是新西兰经济学家威廉·菲利浦斯（WilliamPhillips）于1958年提出的一个经济理论。 威廉·菲利浦斯（WilliamPhillips） 透过研究英国于1861年至1957年间的货币工资增长率与失业率之间的关系，菲利浦斯提出在失业率上升时，通胀率便会下降，反之就会上升。这两个变量构成的是非线性关系，当失业率极低时，通胀率便会十分高；反之，当失业率极高时，世界便会发生通缩，物价下跌。这一项理论看起来是符合逻辑的，当失业率低时大家都有收入，社会繁荣、信心十足，人们自然会放胆消费，使社会总需求增加，带动物价上升。反之，当失业率高时，收入的不稳定及前景信心的流失让人们积谷防饥，减少消费，在需求不足下，物价停止增长，甚至下跌发生通缩。 我们溯源逐本：三种菲利普曲线。 （1）&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;“失业-工资”菲利普斯曲线，是","text":"作 者 | 龙琳煜 来 源 | 金融与风险 导 读 “菲利普斯曲线悖论”再现。 最近美国10年期购债收益率从年初的0.9%飙升至1.44%，中国10年期国债收益率也从3.13%飙升至3.3%附近，通胀预期十分强烈，债券利率大幅上升，高估值的板块快速杀跌。 究其原因是前期货币超发导致流动性过剩，推高股市估值；随着通胀和全球经济复苏预期抬头，全球资本市场对流动性变得异常敏感，利率飙升导致资本市场杀估值。 2020年初以来全球股市、房市、商品、黄金、比特币等资产价格普涨，根本的原因是货币超发和流动性过剩。经济还在地上趴着，股市房市已经在天上飞了起来，背后的“永动机”就是货币超发。 2008年国际金融危机，放水。2020年疫情，放水。 但目前滞胀初期已现，货币放水不该成为政府为应对通货膨胀而加大滞胀发生风险的措施。 菲利普斯曲线和滞胀 1、什么是菲利普斯曲线 菲利普斯曲线是新西兰经济学家威廉·菲利浦斯（WilliamPhillips）于1958年提出的一个经济理论。 威廉·菲利浦斯（WilliamPhillips） 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Techedu(GSX)$希望在明天","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a73185499caf838da1b06552595e77c","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/379632880","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":444,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":106265023,"gmtCreate":1620125556362,"gmtModify":1634207639370,"author":{"id":"3579095603725368","authorId":"3579095603725368","name":"ElaineFaye","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8bc5404f3536aaf1bcf4b1d5a5f81b3","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"越看越伤心","listText":"越看越伤心","text":"越看越伤心","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9aa7dc8f832dbd1c748eed27edc2a939","width":"1125","height":"3294"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/106265023","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":359627706,"gmtCreate":1616396201305,"gmtModify":1634526068362,"author":{"id":"3579095603725368","authorId":"3579095603725368","name":"ElaineFaye","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8bc5404f3536aaf1bcf4b1d5a5f81b3","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good [微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"Good [微笑]&nbsp;","text":"Good [微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359627706","repostId":"1165092534","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165092534","pubTimestamp":1616395353,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1165092534?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-22 14:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tim Cook and other Apple executives will testify against Epic in Fortnite trial","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165092534","media":"CNN Business","summary":"New York (CNN Business) - Apple and Epic are nearing their highly anticipated Fortnite trial and pla","content":"<p><b>New York (CNN Business)&nbsp;-&nbsp;</b>Apple and Epic are nearing their highly anticipated Fortnite trial and plan to bring forward some top executives to testify in-person.</p>\n<p>The case concerns a fallout between the maker of one of the world's most popular video games and the preeminent mobile device company over Apple's control of its App Store. Epic is suing Apple for alleged antitrust violations.</p>\n<p>Apple&nbsp;(AAPL)&nbsp;CEO Tim Cook, software engineering chief Craig Federighi and Apple fellow Phil Schiller are a few of the executives that may testify, according to a court filing of tentative witnesses. Others include those who handle payment processing, combating fraud and those involved with App Store development, policies and tools.</p>\n<p>\"Our senior executives look forward to sharing with the court the very positive impact the App Store has had on innovation, economies across the world and the customer experience over the last 12 years. We feel confident the case will prove that Epic purposefully breached its agreement solely to increase its revenues, which is what resulted in their removal from the App Store,\" Apple said in a statement. \"By doing that, Epic circumvented the security features of the App Store in a way that would lead to reduced competition and put consumers' privacy and data security at tremendous risk.\"</p>\n<p>Epic Games' plans to call its founder and CEO Tim Sweeney and other senior executives to testify on matters such as its business model, financial performance and its campaign against app stores. Epic declined to comment.</p>\n<p>The iPhone maker and creator of popular video game Fortnite have been ensnarled in a legal battle since last year after Apple&nbsp;removed&nbsp;the Fortnite game from its App Store in August. The removal came after Epic pushed a software update to the app that allowed players to circumvent Apple's proprietary in-app payment system of 30% -- which is contractually prohibited. Google also removed Fortnite from its store.</p>\n<p>Sweeney&nbsp;believes&nbsp;that the requirement violated antitrust laws because it forced developers to use Apple and Google's payment systems. Epic then filed lawsuits against both tech companies after the store removals, arguing that the courts should intervene and order Apple and Google to allow developers to sell in-app purchases without the 30% revenue cut.</p>\n<p>The Apple versus Epic Games trial could begin as early as May 3, according to court documents.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tim Cook and other Apple executives will testify against Epic in Fortnite trial</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTim Cook and other Apple executives will testify against Epic in Fortnite trial\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-22 14:42 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://edition.cnn.com/2021/03/21/tech/apple-epic-fortnite-hearing/index.html><strong>CNN Business</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>New York (CNN Business) - Apple and Epic are nearing their highly anticipated Fortnite trial and plan to bring forward some top executives to testify in-person.\nThe case concerns a fallout between the...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/03/21/tech/apple-epic-fortnite-hearing/index.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","EPOR":"Epic Corp."},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/03/21/tech/apple-epic-fortnite-hearing/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165092534","content_text":"New York (CNN Business) - Apple and Epic are nearing their highly anticipated Fortnite trial and plan to bring forward some top executives to testify in-person.\nThe case concerns a fallout between the maker of one of the world's most popular video games and the preeminent mobile device company over Apple's control of its App Store. Epic is suing Apple for alleged antitrust violations.\nApple (AAPL) CEO Tim Cook, software engineering chief Craig Federighi and Apple fellow Phil Schiller are a few of the executives that may testify, according to a court filing of tentative witnesses. Others include those who handle payment processing, combating fraud and those involved with App Store development, policies and tools.\n\"Our senior executives look forward to sharing with the court the very positive impact the App Store has had on innovation, economies across the world and the customer experience over the last 12 years. We feel confident the case will prove that Epic purposefully breached its agreement solely to increase its revenues, which is what resulted in their removal from the App Store,\" Apple said in a statement. \"By doing that, Epic circumvented the security features of the App Store in a way that would lead to reduced competition and put consumers' privacy and data security at tremendous risk.\"\nEpic Games' plans to call its founder and CEO Tim Sweeney and other senior executives to testify on matters such as its business model, financial performance and its campaign against app stores. Epic declined to comment.\nThe iPhone maker and creator of popular video game Fortnite have been ensnarled in a legal battle since last year after Apple removed the Fortnite game from its App Store in August. The removal came after Epic pushed a software update to the app that allowed players to circumvent Apple's proprietary in-app payment system of 30% -- which is contractually prohibited. Google also removed Fortnite from its store.\nSweeney believes that the requirement violated antitrust laws because it forced developers to use Apple and Google's payment systems. Epic then filed lawsuits against both tech companies after the store removals, arguing that the courts should intervene and order Apple and Google to allow developers to sell in-app purchases without the 30% revenue cut.\nThe Apple versus Epic Games trial could begin as early as May 3, according to court documents.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":276,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":359011712,"gmtCreate":1616299962336,"gmtModify":1631891488062,"author":{"id":"3579095603725368","authorId":"3579095603725368","name":"ElaineFaye","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8bc5404f3536aaf1bcf4b1d5a5f81b3","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3574418489912185\">@亚文雅虎</a>:Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3574418489912185\">@亚文雅虎</a>:Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"//@亚文雅虎:Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359011712","repostId":"326645080","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":326645080,"gmtCreate":1615639560000,"gmtModify":1703491840189,"author":{"id":"3524105581449289","authorId":"3524105581449289","name":"扑克投资家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca993284400c72bf022739f5328f46cf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"“菲利普斯曲线悖论”再现，滞胀初期，货币放水MMT不该成为万能钥匙","htmlText":"作 者&nbsp;|&nbsp;&nbsp;龙琳煜 来 源&nbsp;| 金融与风险 导 读&nbsp;&nbsp; “菲利普斯曲线悖论”再现。 最近美国10年期购债收益率从年初的0.9%飙升至1.44%，中国10年期国债收益率也从3.13%飙升至3.3%附近，通胀预期十分强烈，债券利率大幅上升，高估值的板块快速杀跌。 究其原因是前期货币超发导致流动性过剩，推高股市估值；随着通胀和全球经济复苏预期抬头，全球资本市场对流动性变得异常敏感，利率飙升导致资本市场杀估值。 2020年初以来全球股市、房市、商品、黄金、比特币等资产价格普涨，根本的原因是货币超发和流动性过剩。经济还在地上趴着，股市房市已经在天上飞了起来，背后的“永动机”就是货币超发。 2008年国际金融危机，放水。2020年疫情，放水。 但目前滞胀初期已现，货币放水不该成为政府为应对通货膨胀而加大滞胀发生风险的措施。 菲利普斯曲线和滞胀 1、什么是菲利普斯曲线 菲利普斯曲线是新西兰经济学家威廉·菲利浦斯（WilliamPhillips）于1958年提出的一个经济理论。 威廉·菲利浦斯（WilliamPhillips） 透过研究英国于1861年至1957年间的货币工资增长率与失业率之间的关系，菲利浦斯提出在失业率上升时，通胀率便会下降，反之就会上升。这两个变量构成的是非线性关系，当失业率极低时，通胀率便会十分高；反之，当失业率极高时，世界便会发生通缩，物价下跌。这一项理论看起来是符合逻辑的，当失业率低时大家都有收入，社会繁荣、信心十足，人们自然会放胆消费，使社会总需求增加，带动物价上升。反之，当失业率高时，收入的不稳定及前景信心的流失让人们积谷防饥，减少消费，在需求不足下，物价停止增长，甚至下跌发生通缩。 我们溯源逐本：三种菲利普曲线。 （1）&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;“失业-工资”菲利普斯曲线，是","listText":"作 者&nbsp;|&nbsp;&nbsp;龙琳煜 来 源&nbsp;| 金融与风险 导 读&nbsp;&nbsp; “菲利普斯曲线悖论”再现。 最近美国10年期购债收益率从年初的0.9%飙升至1.44%，中国10年期国债收益率也从3.13%飙升至3.3%附近，通胀预期十分强烈，债券利率大幅上升，高估值的板块快速杀跌。 究其原因是前期货币超发导致流动性过剩，推高股市估值；随着通胀和全球经济复苏预期抬头，全球资本市场对流动性变得异常敏感，利率飙升导致资本市场杀估值。 2020年初以来全球股市、房市、商品、黄金、比特币等资产价格普涨，根本的原因是货币超发和流动性过剩。经济还在地上趴着，股市房市已经在天上飞了起来，背后的“永动机”就是货币超发。 2008年国际金融危机，放水。2020年疫情，放水。 但目前滞胀初期已现，货币放水不该成为政府为应对通货膨胀而加大滞胀发生风险的措施。 菲利普斯曲线和滞胀 1、什么是菲利普斯曲线 菲利普斯曲线是新西兰经济学家威廉·菲利浦斯（WilliamPhillips）于1958年提出的一个经济理论。 威廉·菲利浦斯（WilliamPhillips） 透过研究英国于1861年至1957年间的货币工资增长率与失业率之间的关系，菲利浦斯提出在失业率上升时，通胀率便会下降，反之就会上升。这两个变量构成的是非线性关系，当失业率极低时，通胀率便会十分高；反之，当失业率极高时，世界便会发生通缩，物价下跌。这一项理论看起来是符合逻辑的，当失业率低时大家都有收入，社会繁荣、信心十足，人们自然会放胆消费，使社会总需求增加，带动物价上升。反之，当失业率高时，收入的不稳定及前景信心的流失让人们积谷防饥，减少消费，在需求不足下，物价停止增长，甚至下跌发生通缩。 我们溯源逐本：三种菲利普曲线。 （1）&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;“失业-工资”菲利普斯曲线，是","text":"作 者 | 龙琳煜 来 源 | 金融与风险 导 读 “菲利普斯曲线悖论”再现。 最近美国10年期购债收益率从年初的0.9%飙升至1.44%，中国10年期国债收益率也从3.13%飙升至3.3%附近，通胀预期十分强烈，债券利率大幅上升，高估值的板块快速杀跌。 究其原因是前期货币超发导致流动性过剩，推高股市估值；随着通胀和全球经济复苏预期抬头，全球资本市场对流动性变得异常敏感，利率飙升导致资本市场杀估值。 2020年初以来全球股市、房市、商品、黄金、比特币等资产价格普涨，根本的原因是货币超发和流动性过剩。经济还在地上趴着，股市房市已经在天上飞了起来，背后的“永动机”就是货币超发。 2008年国际金融危机，放水。2020年疫情，放水。 但目前滞胀初期已现，货币放水不该成为政府为应对通货膨胀而加大滞胀发生风险的措施。 菲利普斯曲线和滞胀 1、什么是菲利普斯曲线 菲利普斯曲线是新西兰经济学家威廉·菲利浦斯（WilliamPhillips）于1958年提出的一个经济理论。 威廉·菲利浦斯（WilliamPhillips） 透过研究英国于1861年至1957年间的货币工资增长率与失业率之间的关系，菲利浦斯提出在失业率上升时，通胀率便会下降，反之就会上升。这两个变量构成的是非线性关系，当失业率极低时，通胀率便会十分高；反之，当失业率极高时，世界便会发生通缩，物价下跌。这一项理论看起来是符合逻辑的，当失业率低时大家都有收入，社会繁荣、信心十足，人们自然会放胆消费，使社会总需求增加，带动物价上升。反之，当失业率高时，收入的不稳定及前景信心的流失让人们积谷防饥，减少消费，在需求不足下，物价停止增长，甚至下跌发生通缩。 我们溯源逐本：三种菲利普曲线。 （1） “失业-工资”菲利普斯曲线，是","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5047606275d4b9d9d8bf03524699b07","width":"648","height":"354"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afff67841f804abdbfbc14fc53b2032d","width":"115","height":"18"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/968f32e72af04f1fa75fbe71d9fe8636","width":"647","height":"352"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/326645080","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":22,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}