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2021-07-08

Because they bought stairs

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2021-07-08

Not yet. Gonna buy the dip

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2021-07-08

Because she is rich

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2021-07-06

$Glimpse Group Inc(VRAR)$If u hold, and dont dump, price will not go down. Supply and demand.People are buying the dip to keep.

2021-07-02

$Glimpse Group Inc(VRAR)$VR/AR Tech company. Good to invest for long term.

2021-07-01

$Echo Global Logistics(ECHO)$Value stock

2021-07-01

$Echo Global Logistics(ECHO)$Valuable stock

2021-06-24

$DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$To the moooonnn🚀🚀🚀

2021-06-16

$DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$its Euro Cup now! DKNG is online betting company! Its gonna 🚀🚀🚀🚀

2021-06-16

Yes

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2021-06-16

Nice

Wish Stock: Patient Investors Could Soon See $20 Again

2021-06-16

Googlick

It’s time to be smart like Soros in the ‘blow-off’ stage of the bull market in stocks

2021-06-12

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@小虎活动:【7周年有奖随手拍】老虎，无处不在！

2021-06-12

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@小虎活动:【爱回收上市】分享交易体验，赢京东E卡！

2021-06-12

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@小虎活动:【七周年有奖活动】老虎大搜查

2021-06-12

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@小虎活动:亲爱的虎友们：自2014年成立以来，老虎已经陪伴虎友一起走过了7年时光，为了回馈大家的支持与信赖，也为了让我们与虎友们彼此有更多的了解与沟通；6月12日，我们将在北京举办Open Day 见面会，届时社区将为无法来到现场相聚的虎友们同步进行线上直播!老虎直播间：老虎七周年：在全球与你不期而遇七年来，老虎荣幸收获了超过500万名世界各地的用户和数百家企业的信任。尽管我们通过虚拟的互联网连接在一起，但每一份信任都是真实而沉甸甸的。老虎今年7岁啦，感谢来自五湖四海，世界各地的合作伙伴和朋友们发来的祝福视频，一起回顾一下这些暖心时刻。除了视频之外，我们还为大家准备了7重惊喜【活动一】7年，你在老虎赚了多少钱？【活动二】积分商城比心大促，三重好礼享不停！【活动三】老虎，无处不在！【活动四】猜老虎收盘价，赢7周年礼盒！

2021-06-12

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@小虎活动:在活动现场的虎友，欢迎大家分享你在老虎七周年活动现场的照片，即可获得66-666虎币随机打赏~更有机会赢小虎玩偶，马克杯等周边奖品。【活动时间】2021年6月12日【参与方式】欢迎大家在本帖“留言并转发”参与活动，或者在“老虎七周年嘉年华”主题下发帖，晒出你在现场的活动图，并艾特 @小虎活动 @小虎AV即可参与【活动奖励】凡是按照规则分享活动照片即可获得66-666虎币随机打赏，我们还会随机选出幸运虎友赠予小虎玩偶，或者马克杯等周边奖品（质量越高，点赞越高，互动越高，获奖几率越大）【特别奖励】相信有很多朋友由于各种原因没有办法到达老虎七周年的现场，不要着急，福利来啦！6月12日，社区将为无法来到现场相聚的虎友们同步进行线上直播! 戳我围观直播悄悄地告诉你，本次Open Day直播还会设有抽奖环节，主持人会在15：00、16：00、17：00、17：40 四个时间节点在直播间进行提问，参与抢答问题的虎友将有机会赢得老虎全球限量大礼包！【抽奖规则】：每轮抽奖主持人提问或发出口令后，虎友们需要第一时间在直播间评论区敲出答案获对应口令，工作人员将随机截取3位回答正确的幸运观众，送出老虎7周年全球限量大礼包哦~【奖品发放】中奖名单将当场公布，届时中奖的虎友请主动添加@爱发红包的虎妞微信领取奖品，微信号是tigerbrokers。

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Gonna buy the dip","listText":"Not yet. Gonna buy the dip","text":"Not yet. 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Supply and demand.People are buying the dip to keep.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157958049","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":80,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156228545,"gmtCreate":1625226408987,"gmtModify":1631890232332,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VRAR\">$Glimpse Group Inc(VRAR)$</a>VR/AR Tech company. Good to invest for long term.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VRAR\">$Glimpse Group Inc(VRAR)$</a>VR/AR Tech company. Good to invest for long term.&nbsp;","text":"$Glimpse Group Inc(VRAR)$VR/AR Tech company. Good to invest for long term.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156228545","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3584005798258086","authorId":"3584005798258086","name":"5830fe1a","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3584005798258086","idStr":"3584005798258086"},"content":"这个股你有深入研究过吗？","text":"这个股你有深入研究过吗？","html":"这个股你有深入研究过吗？"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151728376,"gmtCreate":1625108159195,"gmtModify":1631888659361,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ECHO\">$Echo Global Logistics(ECHO)$</a>Value stock","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ECHO\">$Echo Global Logistics(ECHO)$</a>Value stock","text":"$Echo Global Logistics(ECHO)$Value stock","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151728376","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":114,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151712909,"gmtCreate":1625106581501,"gmtModify":1631888659299,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ECHO\">$Echo Global Logistics(ECHO)$</a>Valuable stock","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ECHO\">$Echo Global Logistics(ECHO)$</a>Valuable stock","text":"$Echo Global Logistics(ECHO)$Valuable stock","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151712909","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":69,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126316586,"gmtCreate":1624544351745,"gmtModify":1631884910793,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DKNG\">$DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$</a>To the moooonnn🚀🚀🚀","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DKNG\">$DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$</a>To the moooonnn🚀🚀🚀","text":"$DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$To the moooonnn🚀🚀🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126316586","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":69,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163054475,"gmtCreate":1623854469897,"gmtModify":1631884910956,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DKNG\">$DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$</a>its Euro Cup now! 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Its gonna 🚀🚀🚀🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163054475","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":453,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169151012,"gmtCreate":1623823238136,"gmtModify":1634027527889,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169151012","repostId":"1128132038","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":44,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169120559,"gmtCreate":1623822553871,"gmtModify":1634027538194,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169120559","repostId":"1148768572","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148768572","pubTimestamp":1623822306,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148768572?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 13:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wish Stock: Patient Investors Could Soon See $20 Again","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148768572","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nWish (ContextLogic) remains one of the most underappreciated assets within e-commerce tradi","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Wish (ContextLogic) remains one of the most underappreciated assets within e-commerce trading at just 1.3x forward EV to Sales.</li>\n <li>Wish's latest partnership with PrestaShop will further accelerate international expansion and growth initiatives.</li>\n <li>While accurate data regarding its short interest is difficult to find as most of its float is still locked up, I estimate a short interest between 30-40%.</li>\n <li>I believe bear arguments including high marketing spend and stalling user numbers are already baked in the current share price.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/983667978a1675a8b256d7b0478a876c\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"934\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>JuSun/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Overview</b></p>\n<p>ContextLogic (WISH) has been a wild ride for shareholders, as high volatility continues to cause significant price movements in recent weeks. The e-commerce platform initially went public in December at $20 per share before surging to an all-time high of $32 in February due to a momentum-driven rally. That said, shares have steadily plunged ever since, hitting an all-time low of just $7 in June, but are now recovering swiftly after increased interest from the retail trading sector. Here, the stock is favored due to its high volatility, short interest, and enormous upside potential.</p>\n<p>In this context, I believe that the high short interest has increasingly pushed shares below fair value and that patient investors could soon see $20 or more again as the company is working through logistic challenges and will soon return to economies of scale. In this regard, the e-commerce platform has a unique value proposition and is well-positioned to gain market share in a $6 trillion e-commerce industry.</p>\n<p><b>The Digital Dollar Tree</b></p>\n<p>Wish has been criticized heavily as an e-commerce platform, and I would almost argue that its image of being a third-party 'dropshipping' site for Chinese merchants has kept investors away from the stock so far. However, this may only be partially true. Essentially, Wish has inverted Amazon's(NASDAQ:AMZN)business model through low-priced (low-quality) products and sluggish delivery times that may lead to week-long delivery times. This is because Wish does not handle shipping itself, which is why it can offer these ultra-low prices of offering a hoodie for $2 plus $2 shipping.</p>\n<p>Frankly, Wish is still dependent on Chinese merchants, accounting for most of its product catalogs. This is unsurprising, considering that most goods are produced in China as the production costs are among the lowest in the world. Most of the goods being sold on Amazon or eBay(NASDAQ:EBAY)were also produced in China, although they earn a higher perception due to one-day delivery shipping programs or higher prices.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bea733440e86851af57559c6a5fd6bd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Now, I view Wish as the digital dollar tree, where online shoppers discover items that they want, not need. In the process, customers have more patience for products and are willing to wait longer for them to arrive. Wish is working towards addressing both of these issues (quality and merchant diversification) as its platform is gaining popularity. Here, it has been investing in logistics to offer quicker delivery, demonstrated by a 275% YoY increase in logistics revenue. Since these revenues provide low margins, its overall gross margins have decreased in accordance. However, once it achieves economies of scale in the segment, margin growth should reverse and trail back towards 70%.</p>\n<p>It is also addressing the second issue by continuously growing its international merchant base. Here, U.S. merchants increased by over 400% YoY, and a similar trend is to be seen in other countries. Moreover, it is growing Wish Local, a service connecting local businesses to the platform, accounting for 7% of all Wish orders. Wish local is mostly (or exclusively) available in the United States and thus increasingly mixes with other products on the website.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09eb88453d075db6b7b8edd21f981b4a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"381\"><span>Source: Sensor Tower</span></p>\n<p>I also like Wish's strategy to engage and retain users by utilizing an AI matching system that optimizes platform growth, user experience, and merchant return on investment. The strategy to create an interactive mobile shopping experience appears to be working well: Impressively, Wish gets over500,000reviews per day from users, surpassing even Amazon and other shopping sites in this regard, demonstrating just about how engaging the platform is. Around 80% of first-time shoppersreturnto buy again.</p>\n<p>Wish is, therefore, able to establish itself in the highly competitive E-commerce market that offers a tremendous runway for growth. Currently, around 40% of the E-commerce market share is owned just by Amazon. Compared to Amazon, its TAM may be limited as it concentrates on its lower-income niche, which is how it became popular in the first place. Still, this represents a +$3 trillion market opportunity for Wish to tap into. It is also worth noting that according toreports, Amazon tried to acquire Wish for $10 billion, yet Wish rejected, believing growing the business to $100 billion in annual sales, at which point it would be valued significantly higher.</p>\n<p><b>Negative Sentiment Baked In</b></p>\n<p>Wish's first two quarters have been slightly disappointing. While the company handily beat revenue estimates, the company burned through over $300 million in cash in order to invest in logistics. More importantly, however, is the fact that MAUs have dropped steadily, which the company blames on de-de-emphasizing advertising and customer acquisition as the company worked through logistics challenges it faced earlier in the year.</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Year</td>\n   <td>2020</td>\n   <td>2019</td>\n   <td>2018</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Revenue</td>\n   <td>$2.54B</td>\n   <td>$1.9B</td>\n   <td>$1.73B</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Gross Profit</td>\n   <td>$1.59B</td>\n   <td>$1.46B</td>\n   <td>$1.45B</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Sales and Marketing</b></td>\n   <td><b>$1.71B (+17%)</b></td>\n   <td><b>$1.46B (-7%)</b></td>\n   <td><b>$1.57B</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>MAUs</td>\n   <td>107M (+19%)</td>\n   <td><p>90M (+10%)</p></td>\n   <td>82M</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Active Buyers</b></td>\n   <td><b>64M (+3%)</b></td>\n   <td><b>62M (-3%)</b></td>\n   <td><b>64M</b></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>*Growth (Year-over-Year)</p>\n<p>The largest bear argument against Wish is its high marketing expenses, which account for 60% of its total revenues and over 100% of its gross profits. This is totally fine unless it grows its active buyers through marketing, which unfortunately has not been the case. This is a red flag and questions the long-term sustainability of Wish's business model. However, the company has been close to being cash flow positive, and it stated it already would be profitable if it weren't for its extensive marketing expense. That said, as long as Wish acquires new MAUs and increases value through logistic services, its marketing expenses pay off in the long run. Moreover, as a percentage of total revenues, Wish's marketing expenses have dropped to 60%, down from 67% in the year prior.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e18c23728274ee708d896923820b282\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"278\"><span>Source: Wish IR</span></p>\n<p>In terms of the outlook, this is what the company is essentially stressing. It believes marketing expenses can decrease to 40-45%, leading to EBITDA margins of 25% at the midpoint range. If it achieves these ambitious goals (which is very well possible), its profitability margins would be similar to those of eBay or MercadoLibre(NASDAQ:MELI). In either way, Wish's business model is not perfect, but all these concerns are more than baked in its current valuation, IMO (In My Opinion).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54029f94c37f301d26e93a11636280e7\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p>\n<p>Even after the latest +50% rise, shares are still trailing far behind peers such as Poshmark(NASDAQ:POSH), eBay, Amazon, and (Shopify(NYSE:SHOP)). At over $3 billion estimated revenues, Wish is trading at just 1.8x Price to Sales, just half of eBay's current valuation and much lower than Poshmark. Current estimates are calling for over $6 billion in revenues by 2025 and $1 billion in free cash flow, meaning that Wish trades at just 7x free cash flow estimates, or 1 times sales. In early 2021, its P/S ratio stood closer to 5x, so there is potential for a valuation expansion.</p>\n<p><b>What about the Lawsuits?</b></p>\n<p>Perhaps you've seen the news (especially on Yahoo Finance) regarding the class actionlawsuits. These lawsuits are extensively posted to remind investors of recovering incurred losses after its share price dropped in recent months. Such lawsuits are not unusual when stocks drop sharply in a short period of time and are likely of no concern to investors. These lawsuits have also included companies such asCloverHealth(NASDAQ:CLOV), Skillz(NYSE:SKLZ), Array Technologies(NASDAQ:ARRY), etc.</p>\n<p>Short Interest - Still High</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/875b3fdaf74f1ef639b51d77a3aac01f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>Source: Fintel</span></p>\n<p>Wish has gained significant attraction from retail investors, as investors were looking for the next big short squeeze. Since most of Wish's shares have still been locked up, its exact short ratio was difficult to estimate. According to Seeking Alpha, the current short ratio stands at just 7%, but the figure is likely higher. Last week, its short interest as a percent of its equity float stood at roughly 48%, according to Bloomberg Terminal data. Other sources such as Fintel pin the current short volume at 20-30%. Now, it's difficult to give an exact estimate, but generally speaking, it's probably somewhere within this range, and many short calls are still to be covered. In the long term, the high-short interest could be an advantage, leading to a quicker acceleration if the stock begins trending upwards.</p>\n<p><b>The Bottom Line</b></p>\n<p>I believe that Wish remains one of the most underappreciated assets within e-commerce, boasting over 100 million monthly users on its platform and connecting thousands of merchants from all over the world. The mobile shopping app continues to be one of the top downloaded shopping apps in the space and has a unique value proposition, which is smarter than it appears at first sight. Moreover, its latestpartnershipwith PrestaShop will give over 300,000 merchants free access to a direct integration that connects them directly to Wish's merchant dashboard, further driving growth. While there are risks to Wish's imperfect business model, such as lagging profitability, patient investors could be rewarded mightily.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wish Stock: Patient Investors Could Soon See $20 Again</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWish Stock: Patient Investors Could Soon See $20 Again\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-16 13:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434950-wish-stock-patient-investors-could-soon-see-20-again><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nWish (ContextLogic) remains one of the most underappreciated assets within e-commerce trading at just 1.3x forward EV to Sales.\nWish's latest partnership with PrestaShop will further ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434950-wish-stock-patient-investors-could-soon-see-20-again\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434950-wish-stock-patient-investors-could-soon-see-20-again","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148768572","content_text":"Summary\n\nWish (ContextLogic) remains one of the most underappreciated assets within e-commerce trading at just 1.3x forward EV to Sales.\nWish's latest partnership with PrestaShop will further accelerate international expansion and growth initiatives.\nWhile accurate data regarding its short interest is difficult to find as most of its float is still locked up, I estimate a short interest between 30-40%.\nI believe bear arguments including high marketing spend and stalling user numbers are already baked in the current share price.\n\nJuSun/iStock via Getty Images\nOverview\nContextLogic (WISH) has been a wild ride for shareholders, as high volatility continues to cause significant price movements in recent weeks. The e-commerce platform initially went public in December at $20 per share before surging to an all-time high of $32 in February due to a momentum-driven rally. That said, shares have steadily plunged ever since, hitting an all-time low of just $7 in June, but are now recovering swiftly after increased interest from the retail trading sector. Here, the stock is favored due to its high volatility, short interest, and enormous upside potential.\nIn this context, I believe that the high short interest has increasingly pushed shares below fair value and that patient investors could soon see $20 or more again as the company is working through logistic challenges and will soon return to economies of scale. In this regard, the e-commerce platform has a unique value proposition and is well-positioned to gain market share in a $6 trillion e-commerce industry.\nThe Digital Dollar Tree\nWish has been criticized heavily as an e-commerce platform, and I would almost argue that its image of being a third-party 'dropshipping' site for Chinese merchants has kept investors away from the stock so far. However, this may only be partially true. Essentially, Wish has inverted Amazon's(NASDAQ:AMZN)business model through low-priced (low-quality) products and sluggish delivery times that may lead to week-long delivery times. This is because Wish does not handle shipping itself, which is why it can offer these ultra-low prices of offering a hoodie for $2 plus $2 shipping.\nFrankly, Wish is still dependent on Chinese merchants, accounting for most of its product catalogs. This is unsurprising, considering that most goods are produced in China as the production costs are among the lowest in the world. Most of the goods being sold on Amazon or eBay(NASDAQ:EBAY)were also produced in China, although they earn a higher perception due to one-day delivery shipping programs or higher prices.\n\nNow, I view Wish as the digital dollar tree, where online shoppers discover items that they want, not need. In the process, customers have more patience for products and are willing to wait longer for them to arrive. Wish is working towards addressing both of these issues (quality and merchant diversification) as its platform is gaining popularity. Here, it has been investing in logistics to offer quicker delivery, demonstrated by a 275% YoY increase in logistics revenue. Since these revenues provide low margins, its overall gross margins have decreased in accordance. However, once it achieves economies of scale in the segment, margin growth should reverse and trail back towards 70%.\nIt is also addressing the second issue by continuously growing its international merchant base. Here, U.S. merchants increased by over 400% YoY, and a similar trend is to be seen in other countries. Moreover, it is growing Wish Local, a service connecting local businesses to the platform, accounting for 7% of all Wish orders. Wish local is mostly (or exclusively) available in the United States and thus increasingly mixes with other products on the website.\nSource: Sensor Tower\nI also like Wish's strategy to engage and retain users by utilizing an AI matching system that optimizes platform growth, user experience, and merchant return on investment. The strategy to create an interactive mobile shopping experience appears to be working well: Impressively, Wish gets over500,000reviews per day from users, surpassing even Amazon and other shopping sites in this regard, demonstrating just about how engaging the platform is. Around 80% of first-time shoppersreturnto buy again.\nWish is, therefore, able to establish itself in the highly competitive E-commerce market that offers a tremendous runway for growth. Currently, around 40% of the E-commerce market share is owned just by Amazon. Compared to Amazon, its TAM may be limited as it concentrates on its lower-income niche, which is how it became popular in the first place. Still, this represents a +$3 trillion market opportunity for Wish to tap into. It is also worth noting that according toreports, Amazon tried to acquire Wish for $10 billion, yet Wish rejected, believing growing the business to $100 billion in annual sales, at which point it would be valued significantly higher.\nNegative Sentiment Baked In\nWish's first two quarters have been slightly disappointing. While the company handily beat revenue estimates, the company burned through over $300 million in cash in order to invest in logistics. More importantly, however, is the fact that MAUs have dropped steadily, which the company blames on de-de-emphasizing advertising and customer acquisition as the company worked through logistics challenges it faced earlier in the year.\n\n\n\nYear\n2020\n2019\n2018\n\n\nRevenue\n$2.54B\n$1.9B\n$1.73B\n\n\nGross Profit\n$1.59B\n$1.46B\n$1.45B\n\n\nSales and Marketing\n$1.71B (+17%)\n$1.46B (-7%)\n$1.57B\n\n\nMAUs\n107M (+19%)\n90M (+10%)\n82M\n\n\nActive Buyers\n64M (+3%)\n62M (-3%)\n64M\n\n\n\n*Growth (Year-over-Year)\nThe largest bear argument against Wish is its high marketing expenses, which account for 60% of its total revenues and over 100% of its gross profits. This is totally fine unless it grows its active buyers through marketing, which unfortunately has not been the case. This is a red flag and questions the long-term sustainability of Wish's business model. However, the company has been close to being cash flow positive, and it stated it already would be profitable if it weren't for its extensive marketing expense. That said, as long as Wish acquires new MAUs and increases value through logistic services, its marketing expenses pay off in the long run. Moreover, as a percentage of total revenues, Wish's marketing expenses have dropped to 60%, down from 67% in the year prior.\nSource: Wish IR\nIn terms of the outlook, this is what the company is essentially stressing. It believes marketing expenses can decrease to 40-45%, leading to EBITDA margins of 25% at the midpoint range. If it achieves these ambitious goals (which is very well possible), its profitability margins would be similar to those of eBay or MercadoLibre(NASDAQ:MELI). In either way, Wish's business model is not perfect, but all these concerns are more than baked in its current valuation, IMO (In My Opinion).\nData byYCharts\nEven after the latest +50% rise, shares are still trailing far behind peers such as Poshmark(NASDAQ:POSH), eBay, Amazon, and (Shopify(NYSE:SHOP)). At over $3 billion estimated revenues, Wish is trading at just 1.8x Price to Sales, just half of eBay's current valuation and much lower than Poshmark. Current estimates are calling for over $6 billion in revenues by 2025 and $1 billion in free cash flow, meaning that Wish trades at just 7x free cash flow estimates, or 1 times sales. In early 2021, its P/S ratio stood closer to 5x, so there is potential for a valuation expansion.\nWhat about the Lawsuits?\nPerhaps you've seen the news (especially on Yahoo Finance) regarding the class actionlawsuits. These lawsuits are extensively posted to remind investors of recovering incurred losses after its share price dropped in recent months. Such lawsuits are not unusual when stocks drop sharply in a short period of time and are likely of no concern to investors. These lawsuits have also included companies such asCloverHealth(NASDAQ:CLOV), Skillz(NYSE:SKLZ), Array Technologies(NASDAQ:ARRY), etc.\nShort Interest - Still High\nSource: Fintel\nWish has gained significant attraction from retail investors, as investors were looking for the next big short squeeze. Since most of Wish's shares have still been locked up, its exact short ratio was difficult to estimate. According to Seeking Alpha, the current short ratio stands at just 7%, but the figure is likely higher. Last week, its short interest as a percent of its equity float stood at roughly 48%, according to Bloomberg Terminal data. Other sources such as Fintel pin the current short volume at 20-30%. Now, it's difficult to give an exact estimate, but generally speaking, it's probably somewhere within this range, and many short calls are still to be covered. In the long term, the high-short interest could be an advantage, leading to a quicker acceleration if the stock begins trending upwards.\nThe Bottom Line\nI believe that Wish remains one of the most underappreciated assets within e-commerce, boasting over 100 million monthly users on its platform and connecting thousands of merchants from all over the world. The mobile shopping app continues to be one of the top downloaded shopping apps in the space and has a unique value proposition, which is smarter than it appears at first sight. Moreover, its latestpartnershipwith PrestaShop will give over 300,000 merchants free access to a direct integration that connects them directly to Wish's merchant dashboard, further driving growth. While there are risks to Wish's imperfect business model, such as lagging profitability, patient investors could be rewarded mightily.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":47,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169120694,"gmtCreate":1623822535818,"gmtModify":1634027538316,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Googlick","listText":"Googlick","text":"Googlick","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169120694","repostId":"1182315358","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1182315358","pubTimestamp":1623814338,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1182315358?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 11:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"It’s time to be smart like Soros in the ‘blow-off’ stage of the bull market in stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182315358","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"If you’re an investor, you need to be flexible, neither a bull nor a bear.\nIt takes brains and brawn","content":"<p>If you’re an investor, you need to be flexible, neither a bull nor a bear.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/724d1ea0bb18bddb367c79abf08c1af9\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"841\"><span>It takes brains and brawn to be an investor these days. (Photo by Isaac Lawrence/AFP via Getty Images)</span></p>\n<p>I don’t know when what I call the Blow-Off Top of the Bubble-Blowing Bull Market will end.</p>\n<p>After 12 years being long and strong and having diamond hands without even knowing that term existed, maybe I’m wrong to turn more cautious.</p>\n<p>Maybe the economy will reopen and rejuvenate the country in such a strong manner that corporate earnings in 2022 and 2023 will make today’s prices seem like bargains.</p>\n<p>But I simply don’t think that’s the most likely outcome.</p>\n<p>And if I’m right that we’re in the throes of the Blow-Off Top of the Bubble-Blowing Bull Market, I do not want to be overly long and on the wrong side of the great unwind when it does start.</p>\n<p>I’m not calling for a near-term crash. I am saying that it’s likely going to be hard for the bulls to make as much money this year as they did last year.</p>\n<p>Trading and investing are tough. There’s always someone on the other side of every trade you make. Always think about who that is and why they are willing to take the other side of your transaction. When you buy, why are they selling it to you at that price? When you sell, who is buying it from you and what are their motivations? Remember, I’ve talked before about how&nbsp;good analysis starts with empathy.</p>\n<p><b>If I’m selling, who’s buying — and why?</b></p>\n<p>So let’s answer this question right now. Who is buying stocks and cryptos from me when I’ve trimmed and sold for the past month or so? Sure, there are banks and institutions and hedge funds and family offices investing and trading, just as always. On the other hand, remember two years ago when I got back from a hedge fund investment conference&nbsp;in Abu Dhabi and everybody was desperate for returns:</p>\n<p>Amid low interest rates and other investors’ focus on options, credit and currencies, “the lack of focus on traditional stocks and funds that invest in publicly traded stocks makes me think that there is probably more opportunity in such assets than people realize. I certainly see some very compelling long ideas in Revolutionary companies like WORK and TWTR and TSLA.”</p>\n<p>Since that post, back a year and a half ago, Slack&nbsp;went from $21 to being bought out at $45, Twitter&nbsp;went from $27 to $61, and Tesla&nbsp;went from $81 to $616. And funds that were looking everywhere but in the stock market for big gains are … well, pretty much in the markets now and long a bunch of stocks and even long a few cryptos.</p>\n<p>And now that those stocks and cryptos and most other assets have gone parabolic in the past year — coming on top of the 10-year bull market — the billion-dollar fund managers are joined by&nbsp;23-year-old TikTok influencers&nbsp;doing bitcoin&nbsp;trading astrology.</p>\n<p>Yes, for real, and she’s very popular. She’s even been right about some of bitcoin’s action in the past few months! If you’re selling cryptos and fintech stocks right now, you’re selling to her and her followers. And also to my friend’s son, who just graduated from a tiny, rural school and whose unemployed uncle gave him $500 to “buy some cryptos. And make sure you get some fintech. I don’t know the symbol, but just look it up and you’ll do fine over the long run.”&nbsp;Bearish anecdotes everywhere I look, as I wrote recently.</p>\n<p><b>Mr. Market</b></p>\n<p>The other thing to remember about who’s on the other side of your trade is always to remember that there are smart, cutthroat traders and investors who went to the best schools and have access to more research and real-time data and instant trading access to all kinds of derivatives to layer into their bets. And the only thing they do all day, every day, is figure out how to take your money in mostly legal ways. They’re not playing around. They have no sympathy for you, even if they might empathize with you to better understand your motivations to better take your money.</p>\n<p>Mr. Market is mean. He’s not nice. He can be cruel. He can force liquidations that create other liquidations. He can shut off access to capital. He can take down 200-year-old banks in a day. In one day.</p>\n<p>Sometimes the markets lead the economy and not the other way around. Ironically, when we were young, we were taught that the Great Depression started when the stock market crashed on Black Friday in 1929. But then when we get older, we were taught that it wasn’t actually the crash that created the Great Depression, rather the economy was already crashing and the stock market just didn’t realize it as it continued on its merry way toward a terrible Blow-Off Top of a nine-year Bubble-Blowing Bull Market that culminated with the Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;up 400% from the 1921 lows to the 1929 highs.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a6516337aacc614d83584ea90e174f2\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"870\"></p>\n<p><b>Learning from Soros</b></p>\n<p>But looking back, it’s clear that both theories are equally right and wrong — the market crashed because the economy wasn’t as good as the market thought it was,<i>and</i>the economy crashed because the markets shut down access to capital for investment and growth.</p>\n<p>It was “reflexive,” to borrow a term from the great hedge fund manager&nbsp;George Soros.</p>\n<p>He wrote, and the concept is important to understand:</p>\n<p>“I continued to consider myself a failed philosopher. All this changed as a result of the financial crisis of 2008. My conceptual framework enabled me both to anticipate the crisis and to deal with it when it finally struck…</p>\n<p>“I can state the core idea in two relatively simple propositions. One is that in situations that have thinking participants, the participants’ view of the world is always partial and distorted. That is the principle of fallibility. The other is that these distorted views can influence the situation to which they relate because false views lead to inappropriate actions. That is the principle of reflexivity…</p>\n<p>“Recognizing reflexivity has been sacrificed to the vain pursuit of certainty in human affairs, most notably in economics, and yet, uncertainty is the key feature of human affairs. Economic theory is built on the concept of equilibrium, and that concept is in direct contradiction with the concept of reflexivity…</p>\n<p>“A positive feedback process is self-reinforcing. It cannot go on forever because eventually the participants’ views would become so far removed from objective reality that the participants would have to recognize them as unrealistic. Nor can the iterative process occur without any change in the actual state of affairs, because it is in the nature of positive feedback that it reinforces whatever tendency prevails in the real world. Instead of equilibrium, we are faced with a dynamic disequilibrium or what may be described as far-from-equilibrium conditions. Usually in far-from-equilibrium situations the divergence between perceptions and reality leads to a climax which sets in motion a positive feedback process in the opposite direction. Such initially self-reinforcing but eventually self-defeating boom-bust processes or bubbles are characteristic of financial markets, but they can also be found in other spheres. There, I call them fertile fallacies—interpretations of reality that are distorted, yet produce results which reinforce the distortion.”</p>\n<p>Stay flexible</p>\n<p>Far-from-equilibrium conditions was what we had in 2010-2013 when we loaded up on Revolutionary stocks and started buying cryptos like bitcoin. Far-from-equilibrium conditions might be what we have in front of us right now when I suggest getting cautious instead.</p>\n<p>We don’t want to be permabulls. (You for sure don’t want to be a permabear!) We have to be flexible. We have to let our analysis and risk/reward scenarios dictate how much risk we’re taking and when. We have to pay attention to the cycles, the self-reinforcing cycles that drive economies and markets and valuations and earnings and societal interactions and bailouts and financial crises and bubbles and busts and, heaven forbid, just simple stagnation.</p>\n<p>It’s as if everybody forgets that markets can bubble and crash and stagnate. They forget that markets can grind for years on end without making new highs, or without even making higher highs. Do you not remember telling your money manager sometime in 2010-2012 that “If I’d just handled the Great Financial Crisis (and/or the Dot-Com Crash) a little better, I’d be in better shape.” I used to hear people say that to me all the time. I haven’t heard anybody say that lately. Everybody’s having fun in this market … at least for now.</p>\n<p>Most traders will tell you that they are “just trading the market that is in front of them.” Well, I don’t know when the bubble will pop, but I do know that I don’t want to be on the wrong side of this market when it does. And I do know that we won’t know the bubble has really popped until the self-reinforcing reflexive feedback loop has made it painful for the vast majority of people who are right now feeling wealthy, feeling secure, feeling like they’ve got this trading and investing thing all figured out.</p>\n<p>We are all fallible. Be careful while it’s fun. Be bold when it’s painful. That’s how I’ve done it for the last 25 years. We were boldly buying these assets when it was painful for others. I’m careful right now because everybody else is having fun.</p>\n<p>I spend a lot of time looking for new ideas and I won’t let my overall market outlook deter me from buying a new name or two. But I want to remain overall cautious and less aggressive than I have been for most of the last decade.</p>\n<p>As a matter of fact,&nbsp;I might have at least a couple Trade Alerts that I’ll be sending out this week, one long and one short idea. Being flexible, see?</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>It’s time to be smart like Soros in the ‘blow-off’ stage of the bull market in stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIt’s time to be smart like Soros in the ‘blow-off’ stage of the bull market in stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-16 11:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/its-time-to-be-smart-like-soros-in-the-blow-off-stage-of-the-bull-market-in-stocks-11623788897?siteid=yhoof2><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you’re an investor, you need to be flexible, neither a bull nor a bear.\nIt takes brains and brawn to be an investor these days. (Photo by Isaac Lawrence/AFP via Getty Images)\nI don’t know when what...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/its-time-to-be-smart-like-soros-in-the-blow-off-stage-of-the-bull-market-in-stocks-11623788897?siteid=yhoof2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/its-time-to-be-smart-like-soros-in-the-blow-off-stage-of-the-bull-market-in-stocks-11623788897?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182315358","content_text":"If you’re an investor, you need to be flexible, neither a bull nor a bear.\nIt takes brains and brawn to be an investor these days. (Photo by Isaac Lawrence/AFP via Getty Images)\nI don’t know when what I call the Blow-Off Top of the Bubble-Blowing Bull Market will end.\nAfter 12 years being long and strong and having diamond hands without even knowing that term existed, maybe I’m wrong to turn more cautious.\nMaybe the economy will reopen and rejuvenate the country in such a strong manner that corporate earnings in 2022 and 2023 will make today’s prices seem like bargains.\nBut I simply don’t think that’s the most likely outcome.\nAnd if I’m right that we’re in the throes of the Blow-Off Top of the Bubble-Blowing Bull Market, I do not want to be overly long and on the wrong side of the great unwind when it does start.\nI’m not calling for a near-term crash. I am saying that it’s likely going to be hard for the bulls to make as much money this year as they did last year.\nTrading and investing are tough. There’s always someone on the other side of every trade you make. Always think about who that is and why they are willing to take the other side of your transaction. When you buy, why are they selling it to you at that price? When you sell, who is buying it from you and what are their motivations? Remember, I’ve talked before about how good analysis starts with empathy.\nIf I’m selling, who’s buying — and why?\nSo let’s answer this question right now. Who is buying stocks and cryptos from me when I’ve trimmed and sold for the past month or so? Sure, there are banks and institutions and hedge funds and family offices investing and trading, just as always. On the other hand, remember two years ago when I got back from a hedge fund investment conference in Abu Dhabi and everybody was desperate for returns:\nAmid low interest rates and other investors’ focus on options, credit and currencies, “the lack of focus on traditional stocks and funds that invest in publicly traded stocks makes me think that there is probably more opportunity in such assets than people realize. I certainly see some very compelling long ideas in Revolutionary companies like WORK and TWTR and TSLA.”\nSince that post, back a year and a half ago, Slack went from $21 to being bought out at $45, Twitter went from $27 to $61, and Tesla went from $81 to $616. And funds that were looking everywhere but in the stock market for big gains are … well, pretty much in the markets now and long a bunch of stocks and even long a few cryptos.\nAnd now that those stocks and cryptos and most other assets have gone parabolic in the past year — coming on top of the 10-year bull market — the billion-dollar fund managers are joined by 23-year-old TikTok influencers doing bitcoin trading astrology.\nYes, for real, and she’s very popular. She’s even been right about some of bitcoin’s action in the past few months! If you’re selling cryptos and fintech stocks right now, you’re selling to her and her followers. And also to my friend’s son, who just graduated from a tiny, rural school and whose unemployed uncle gave him $500 to “buy some cryptos. And make sure you get some fintech. I don’t know the symbol, but just look it up and you’ll do fine over the long run.” Bearish anecdotes everywhere I look, as I wrote recently.\nMr. Market\nThe other thing to remember about who’s on the other side of your trade is always to remember that there are smart, cutthroat traders and investors who went to the best schools and have access to more research and real-time data and instant trading access to all kinds of derivatives to layer into their bets. And the only thing they do all day, every day, is figure out how to take your money in mostly legal ways. They’re not playing around. They have no sympathy for you, even if they might empathize with you to better understand your motivations to better take your money.\nMr. Market is mean. He’s not nice. He can be cruel. He can force liquidations that create other liquidations. He can shut off access to capital. He can take down 200-year-old banks in a day. In one day.\nSometimes the markets lead the economy and not the other way around. Ironically, when we were young, we were taught that the Great Depression started when the stock market crashed on Black Friday in 1929. But then when we get older, we were taught that it wasn’t actually the crash that created the Great Depression, rather the economy was already crashing and the stock market just didn’t realize it as it continued on its merry way toward a terrible Blow-Off Top of a nine-year Bubble-Blowing Bull Market that culminated with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 400% from the 1921 lows to the 1929 highs.\n\nLearning from Soros\nBut looking back, it’s clear that both theories are equally right and wrong — the market crashed because the economy wasn’t as good as the market thought it was,andthe economy crashed because the markets shut down access to capital for investment and growth.\nIt was “reflexive,” to borrow a term from the great hedge fund manager George Soros.\nHe wrote, and the concept is important to understand:\n“I continued to consider myself a failed philosopher. All this changed as a result of the financial crisis of 2008. My conceptual framework enabled me both to anticipate the crisis and to deal with it when it finally struck…\n“I can state the core idea in two relatively simple propositions. One is that in situations that have thinking participants, the participants’ view of the world is always partial and distorted. That is the principle of fallibility. The other is that these distorted views can influence the situation to which they relate because false views lead to inappropriate actions. That is the principle of reflexivity…\n“Recognizing reflexivity has been sacrificed to the vain pursuit of certainty in human affairs, most notably in economics, and yet, uncertainty is the key feature of human affairs. Economic theory is built on the concept of equilibrium, and that concept is in direct contradiction with the concept of reflexivity…\n“A positive feedback process is self-reinforcing. It cannot go on forever because eventually the participants’ views would become so far removed from objective reality that the participants would have to recognize them as unrealistic. Nor can the iterative process occur without any change in the actual state of affairs, because it is in the nature of positive feedback that it reinforces whatever tendency prevails in the real world. Instead of equilibrium, we are faced with a dynamic disequilibrium or what may be described as far-from-equilibrium conditions. Usually in far-from-equilibrium situations the divergence between perceptions and reality leads to a climax which sets in motion a positive feedback process in the opposite direction. Such initially self-reinforcing but eventually self-defeating boom-bust processes or bubbles are characteristic of financial markets, but they can also be found in other spheres. There, I call them fertile fallacies—interpretations of reality that are distorted, yet produce results which reinforce the distortion.”\nStay flexible\nFar-from-equilibrium conditions was what we had in 2010-2013 when we loaded up on Revolutionary stocks and started buying cryptos like bitcoin. Far-from-equilibrium conditions might be what we have in front of us right now when I suggest getting cautious instead.\nWe don’t want to be permabulls. (You for sure don’t want to be a permabear!) We have to be flexible. We have to let our analysis and risk/reward scenarios dictate how much risk we’re taking and when. We have to pay attention to the cycles, the self-reinforcing cycles that drive economies and markets and valuations and earnings and societal interactions and bailouts and financial crises and bubbles and busts and, heaven forbid, just simple stagnation.\nIt’s as if everybody forgets that markets can bubble and crash and stagnate. They forget that markets can grind for years on end without making new highs, or without even making higher highs. Do you not remember telling your money manager sometime in 2010-2012 that “If I’d just handled the Great Financial Crisis (and/or the Dot-Com Crash) a little better, I’d be in better shape.” I used to hear people say that to me all the time. I haven’t heard anybody say that lately. Everybody’s having fun in this market … at least for now.\nMost traders will tell you that they are “just trading the market that is in front of them.” Well, I don’t know when the bubble will pop, but I do know that I don’t want to be on the wrong side of this market when it does. And I do know that we won’t know the bubble has really popped until the self-reinforcing reflexive feedback loop has made it painful for the vast majority of people who are right now feeling wealthy, feeling secure, feeling like they’ve got this trading and investing thing all figured out.\nWe are all fallible. Be careful while it’s fun. Be bold when it’s painful. That’s how I’ve done it for the last 25 years. We were boldly buying these assets when it was painful for others. I’m careful right now because everybody else is having fun.\nI spend a lot of time looking for new ideas and I won’t let my overall market outlook deter me from buying a new name or two. But I want to remain overall cautious and less aggressive than I have been for most of the last decade.\nAs a matter of fact, I might have at least a couple Trade Alerts that I’ll be sending out this week, one long and one short idea. Being flexible, see?","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":36,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186618688,"gmtCreate":1623491185344,"gmtModify":1634032405508,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186618688","repostId":"180505347","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":180505347,"gmtCreate":1623210080885,"gmtModify":1631885901890,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"【7周年有奖随手拍】老虎，无处不在！","htmlText":"亲爱的虎友们，在大家的陪伴下，老虎证券迎来7周岁啦！<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> 首先要感谢各位的信任与支持，愿有虎同行的日子里，你的投资之路更顺畅[比心] 自古以来，老虎就有“万兽之王”的美誉，是勇敢和权威的象征！据说，还有一层“祈福”的寓意呢 现在，小虎君邀请全球的虎友们来花样晒图，共同参与这个老虎证券大事件： 快拿起自己的手机/相机，去拍一拍你身边的“老虎”元素吧！ （可以是老虎证券周边、卡通虎、动物园中的猛虎、自己画的虎……） 【可选参与方式】 在本帖“留言并转发”，内容需包含“老虎”元素照片+描述，拍照/绘画等形式均可； 在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&amp;page=/theme/detail&amp;rndata={&quot;themeId&quot;:&quot;ae695a2034a348d8af4936723fe6905c&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\">#老虎7周年嘉年华#</a>主题下发帖，帖子中需包含 “老虎”元素照片+描述（如果照片大于3张，可以选择发长帖）。 【活动时间】 6月9日-6月15日 【活动奖励】 一等奖：老虎证券7周年限量礼盒（10份） 二等奖：777虎币 【特别说明】 根据图片的质量，阅读、转发、评论、点赞量等综合评选； 可注明地标配合图片获奖几率更高； 严禁抄袭、剽窃，一旦发现将取消参赛资格； 活动最终解释权归老虎社区所有","listText":"亲爱的虎友们，在大家的陪伴下，老虎证券迎来7周岁啦！<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> 首先要感谢各位的信任与支持，愿有虎同行的日子里，你的投资之路更顺畅[比心] 自古以来，老虎就有“万兽之王”的美誉，是勇敢和权威的象征！据说，还有一层“祈福”的寓意呢 现在，小虎君邀请全球的虎友们来花样晒图，共同参与这个老虎证券大事件： 快拿起自己的手机/相机，去拍一拍你身边的“老虎”元素吧！ （可以是老虎证券周边、卡通虎、动物园中的猛虎、自己画的虎……） 【可选参与方式】 在本帖“留言并转发”，内容需包含“老虎”元素照片+描述，拍照/绘画等形式均可； 在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&amp;page=/theme/detail&amp;rndata={&quot;themeId&quot;:&quot;ae695a2034a348d8af4936723fe6905c&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\">#老虎7周年嘉年华#</a>主题下发帖，帖子中需包含 “老虎”元素照片+描述（如果照片大于3张，可以选择发长帖）。 【活动时间】 6月9日-6月15日 【活动奖励】 一等奖：老虎证券7周年限量礼盒（10份） 二等奖：777虎币 【特别说明】 根据图片的质量，阅读、转发、评论、点赞量等综合评选； 可注明地标配合图片获奖几率更高； 严禁抄袭、剽窃，一旦发现将取消参赛资格； 活动最终解释权归老虎社区所有","text":"亲爱的虎友们，在大家的陪伴下，老虎证券迎来7周岁啦！$老虎证券(TIGR)$ 首先要感谢各位的信任与支持，愿有虎同行的日子里，你的投资之路更顺畅[比心] 自古以来，老虎就有“万兽之王”的美誉，是勇敢和权威的象征！据说，还有一层“祈福”的寓意呢 现在，小虎君邀请全球的虎友们来花样晒图，共同参与这个老虎证券大事件： 快拿起自己的手机/相机，去拍一拍你身边的“老虎”元素吧！ （可以是老虎证券周边、卡通虎、动物园中的猛虎、自己画的虎……） 【可选参与方式】 在本帖“留言并转发”，内容需包含“老虎”元素照片+描述，拍照/绘画等形式均可； 在#老虎7周年嘉年华#主题下发帖，帖子中需包含 “老虎”元素照片+描述（如果照片大于3张，可以选择发长帖）。 【活动时间】 6月9日-6月15日 【活动奖励】 一等奖：老虎证券7周年限量礼盒（10份） 二等奖：777虎币 【特别说明】 根据图片的质量，阅读、转发、评论、点赞量等综合评选； 可注明地标配合图片获奖几率更高； 严禁抄袭、剽窃，一旦发现将取消参赛资格； 活动最终解释权归老虎社区所有","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ae026f4fde76cda6d32eee903bc1f68","width":"1134","height":"709"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/180505347","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":102,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186618065,"gmtCreate":1623491119057,"gmtModify":1634032405854,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186618065","repostId":"183608322","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":183608322,"gmtCreate":1623326020961,"gmtModify":1638081668159,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"【爱回收上市】分享交易体验，赢京东E卡！","htmlText":"万物新生集团是一家“互联网+环保”类型的循环经济企业，中概股ESG（环境、社会和治理）第一股，京东生态的重要企业，旗下业务线包括爱回收、拍机堂、拍拍和AHS Device横跨产业链供需两端，服务覆盖从回收、检测、评级、定价到再销售的全流程。 万物新生（爱回收）上市之际， 本帖下评论使用爱回收/拍拍的购物or交易体验，随机抽取走心评论10名，每人获得100元京东E卡一张！！！😍😍 活动时间：6月12日-6月18日 大家快快在下面评论吧！！京东E卡说不定就是你的啦~😜 <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/activity/market/2021/ipo-aihuishou/#/\" target=\"_blank\">万物新生（爱回收）上市联合活动传送门&gt;&gt;</a>","listText":"万物新生集团是一家“互联网+环保”类型的循环经济企业，中概股ESG（环境、社会和治理）第一股，京东生态的重要企业，旗下业务线包括爱回收、拍机堂、拍拍和AHS Device横跨产业链供需两端，服务覆盖从回收、检测、评级、定价到再销售的全流程。 万物新生（爱回收）上市之际， 本帖下评论使用爱回收/拍拍的购物or交易体验，随机抽取走心评论10名，每人获得100元京东E卡一张！！！😍😍 活动时间：6月12日-6月18日 大家快快在下面评论吧！！京东E卡说不定就是你的啦~😜 <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/activity/market/2021/ipo-aihuishou/#/\" target=\"_blank\">万物新生（爱回收）上市联合活动传送门&gt;&gt;</a>","text":"万物新生集团是一家“互联网+环保”类型的循环经济企业，中概股ESG（环境、社会和治理）第一股，京东生态的重要企业，旗下业务线包括爱回收、拍机堂、拍拍和AHS Device横跨产业链供需两端，服务覆盖从回收、检测、评级、定价到再销售的全流程。 万物新生（爱回收）上市之际， 本帖下评论使用爱回收/拍拍的购物or交易体验，随机抽取走心评论10名，每人获得100元京东E卡一张！！！😍😍 活动时间：6月12日-6月18日 大家快快在下面评论吧！！京东E卡说不定就是你的啦~😜 万物新生（爱回收）上市联合活动传送门>>","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25c6cfef7dbf2afab24fb484275640a3","width":"607","height":"493"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183608322","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":55,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186613252,"gmtCreate":1623491034976,"gmtModify":1634032407018,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186613252","repostId":"181890541","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":181890541,"gmtCreate":1623382661279,"gmtModify":1631885901851,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"【七周年有奖活动】老虎大搜查","htmlText":"今天小虎7周岁生日！大家一起来跟我玩个小游戏，我们将以下的7张图片随机放到了7个帖子或者资讯中，每找到1个即可获赠100虎币，全部找到的小虎可以获得7周年礼盒。【参与方式】 我们将在不同的帖子或新闻里放以上指定的7张图片 找到图片的人可以在对应的帖子或者新闻中留言： Tiger is here！(如下图)集齐7张后，需要在本贴下方评论区留言：Tiger is everwhere. Tips：一定要记得留言哦，要不然我们没办法统计到你，要闻和个股页面上面的显眼的地方更有机会发现哦~ 【活动时间】 6月11日 【活动奖品】 每找到1个图片并留言“ Tiger is here！”即可获赠100虎币，全部找到并本贴下方评论区留言Tiger is everwhere.的虎友可以获得7周年礼盒。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a>","listText":"今天小虎7周岁生日！大家一起来跟我玩个小游戏，我们将以下的7张图片随机放到了7个帖子或者资讯中，每找到1个即可获赠100虎币，全部找到的小虎可以获得7周年礼盒。【参与方式】 我们将在不同的帖子或新闻里放以上指定的7张图片 找到图片的人可以在对应的帖子或者新闻中留言： Tiger is here！(如下图)集齐7张后，需要在本贴下方评论区留言：Tiger is everwhere. Tips：一定要记得留言哦，要不然我们没办法统计到你，要闻和个股页面上面的显眼的地方更有机会发现哦~ 【活动时间】 6月11日 【活动奖品】 每找到1个图片并留言“ Tiger is here！”即可获赠100虎币，全部找到并本贴下方评论区留言Tiger is everwhere.的虎友可以获得7周年礼盒。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a>","text":"今天小虎7周岁生日！大家一起来跟我玩个小游戏，我们将以下的7张图片随机放到了7个帖子或者资讯中，每找到1个即可获赠100虎币，全部找到的小虎可以获得7周年礼盒。【参与方式】 我们将在不同的帖子或新闻里放以上指定的7张图片 找到图片的人可以在对应的帖子或者新闻中留言： Tiger is here！(如下图)集齐7张后，需要在本贴下方评论区留言：Tiger is everwhere. Tips：一定要记得留言哦，要不然我们没办法统计到你，要闻和个股页面上面的显眼的地方更有机会发现哦~ 【活动时间】 6月11日 【活动奖品】 每找到1个图片并留言“ Tiger is here！”即可获赠100虎币，全部找到并本贴下方评论区留言Tiger is everwhere.的虎友可以获得7周年礼盒。$老虎证券(TIGR)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a68764092316d627481e92e568cf659c","width":"1030","height":"598"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78fc7ba04a357f5a1bc9cf142a9cb39f","width":"1334","height":"1204"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81a49a419aa2c089abf33db97c300fba","width":"3840","height":"2560"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181890541","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":62,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186613942,"gmtCreate":1623490997886,"gmtModify":1634032407364,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186613942","repostId":"181263587","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":181263587,"gmtCreate":1623396916544,"gmtModify":1631885901841,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"老虎七周年，七重好礼等你拿！","htmlText":"\n \n \n  亲爱的虎友们：自2014年成立以来，老虎已经陪伴虎友一起走过了7年时光，为了回馈大家的支持与信赖，也为了让我们与虎友们彼此有更多的了解与沟通；6月12日，我们将在北京举办Open&nbsp;Day&nbsp;见面会，届时社区将为无法来到现场相聚的虎友们同步进行线上直播!老虎直播间：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata={&quot;liveId&quot;:&quot;16226253307800&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\">老虎七周年：在全球与你不期而遇</a>七年来，老虎荣幸收获了超过500万名世界各地的用户和数百家企业的信任。尽管我们通过虚拟的互联网连接在一起，但每一份信任都是真实而沉甸甸的。老虎今年7岁啦，感谢来自五湖四海，世界各地的合作伙伴和朋友们发来的祝福视频，一起回顾一下这些暖心时刻。除了视频之外，我们还为大家准备了7重惊喜 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/114093620\" target=\"_blank\">【活动一】7年，你在老虎赚了多少钱？</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/117158534\" target=\"_blank\">【活动二】积分商城比心大促，三重好礼享不停！</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/180505347\" target=\"_blank\">【活动三】老虎，无处不在！</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/183071398\" target=\"_blank\">【活动四】猜老虎收盘价，赢7周年礼盒！</a>\n \n","listText":"亲爱的虎友们：自2014年成立以来，老虎已经陪伴虎友一起走过了7年时光，为了回馈大家的支持与信赖，也为了让我们与虎友们彼此有更多的了解与沟通；6月12日，我们将在北京举办Open&nbsp;Day&nbsp;见面会，届时社区将为无法来到现场相聚的虎友们同步进行线上直播!老虎直播间：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata={&quot;liveId&quot;:&quot;16226253307800&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\">老虎七周年：在全球与你不期而遇</a>七年来，老虎荣幸收获了超过500万名世界各地的用户和数百家企业的信任。尽管我们通过虚拟的互联网连接在一起，但每一份信任都是真实而沉甸甸的。老虎今年7岁啦，感谢来自五湖四海，世界各地的合作伙伴和朋友们发来的祝福视频，一起回顾一下这些暖心时刻。除了视频之外，我们还为大家准备了7重惊喜 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/114093620\" target=\"_blank\">【活动一】7年，你在老虎赚了多少钱？</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/117158534\" target=\"_blank\">【活动二】积分商城比心大促，三重好礼享不停！</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/180505347\" target=\"_blank\">【活动三】老虎，无处不在！</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/183071398\" target=\"_blank\">【活动四】猜老虎收盘价，赢7周年礼盒！</a>","text":"亲爱的虎友们：自2014年成立以来，老虎已经陪伴虎友一起走过了7年时光，为了回馈大家的支持与信赖，也为了让我们与虎友们彼此有更多的了解与沟通；6月12日，我们将在北京举办Open Day 见面会，届时社区将为无法来到现场相聚的虎友们同步进行线上直播!老虎直播间：老虎七周年：在全球与你不期而遇七年来，老虎荣幸收获了超过500万名世界各地的用户和数百家企业的信任。尽管我们通过虚拟的互联网连接在一起，但每一份信任都是真实而沉甸甸的。老虎今年7岁啦，感谢来自五湖四海，世界各地的合作伙伴和朋友们发来的祝福视频，一起回顾一下这些暖心时刻。除了视频之外，我们还为大家准备了7重惊喜 【活动一】7年，你在老虎赚了多少钱？ 【活动二】积分商城比心大促，三重好礼享不停！ 【活动三】老虎，无处不在！ 【活动四】猜老虎收盘价，赢7周年礼盒！","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50bff157ec83f6b1de138725acb06b80","width":"0","height":"0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181263587","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"a351d8246f484949a8b1faa203cbd0ba","tweetId":"181263587","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/73ba5544vodgzp1254107296/1f1d15c03701925919200523485/hqMhAw6R8fAA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50bff157ec83f6b1de138725acb06b80"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186619652,"gmtCreate":1623490950176,"gmtModify":1634032407976,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186619652","repostId":"186388851","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":186388851,"gmtCreate":1623473793070,"gmtModify":1631885901828,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"分享老虎七周年精彩瞬间，获取随机虎币打赏！","htmlText":"\n \n \n  在活动现场的虎友，欢迎大家分享你在老虎七周年活动现场的照片，即可获得66-666虎币随机打赏~更有机会赢小虎玩偶，马克杯等周边奖品。【活动时间】2021年6月12日【参与方式】欢迎大家在本帖“留言并转发”参与活动，或者在“老虎七周年嘉年华”主题下发帖，晒出你在现场的活动图，并艾特 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/36984908995200\">@小虎活动</a> @小虎AV即可参与【活动奖励】凡是按照规则分享活动照片即可获得66-666虎币随机打赏，我们还会随机选出幸运虎友赠予小虎玩偶，或者马克杯等周边奖品（质量越高，点赞越高，互动越高，获奖几率越大）【特别奖励】相信有很多朋友由于各种原因没有办法到达老虎七周年的现场，不要着急，福利来啦！6月12日，社区将为无法来到现场相聚的虎友们同步进行线上直播! <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata={&quot;liveId&quot;:&quot;16226253307800&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\">戳我围观直播</a>悄悄地告诉你，本次Open Day直播还会设有抽奖环节，主持人会在15：00、16：00、17：00、17：40&nbsp;四个时间节点在直播间进行提问，参与抢答问题的虎友将有机会赢得老虎全球限量大礼包！【抽奖规则】：每轮抽奖主持人提问或发出口令后，虎友们需要第一时间在直播间评论区敲出答案获对应口令，工作人员将随机截取3位回答正确的幸运观众，送出老虎7周年全球限量大礼包哦~【奖品发放】中奖名单将当场公布，届时中奖的虎友请主动添加@爱发红包的虎妞 微信领取奖品，微信号是tigerbrokers。\n \n","listText":"在活动现场的虎友，欢迎大家分享你在老虎七周年活动现场的照片，即可获得66-666虎币随机打赏~更有机会赢小虎玩偶，马克杯等周边奖品。【活动时间】2021年6月12日【参与方式】欢迎大家在本帖“留言并转发”参与活动，或者在“老虎七周年嘉年华”主题下发帖，晒出你在现场的活动图，并艾特 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/36984908995200\">@小虎活动</a> @小虎AV即可参与【活动奖励】凡是按照规则分享活动照片即可获得66-666虎币随机打赏，我们还会随机选出幸运虎友赠予小虎玩偶，或者马克杯等周边奖品（质量越高，点赞越高，互动越高，获奖几率越大）【特别奖励】相信有很多朋友由于各种原因没有办法到达老虎七周年的现场，不要着急，福利来啦！6月12日，社区将为无法来到现场相聚的虎友们同步进行线上直播! <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata={&quot;liveId&quot;:&quot;16226253307800&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\">戳我围观直播</a>悄悄地告诉你，本次Open Day直播还会设有抽奖环节，主持人会在15：00、16：00、17：00、17：40&nbsp;四个时间节点在直播间进行提问，参与抢答问题的虎友将有机会赢得老虎全球限量大礼包！【抽奖规则】：每轮抽奖主持人提问或发出口令后，虎友们需要第一时间在直播间评论区敲出答案获对应口令，工作人员将随机截取3位回答正确的幸运观众，送出老虎7周年全球限量大礼包哦~【奖品发放】中奖名单将当场公布，届时中奖的虎友请主动添加@爱发红包的虎妞 微信领取奖品，微信号是tigerbrokers。","text":"在活动现场的虎友，欢迎大家分享你在老虎七周年活动现场的照片，即可获得66-666虎币随机打赏~更有机会赢小虎玩偶，马克杯等周边奖品。【活动时间】2021年6月12日【参与方式】欢迎大家在本帖“留言并转发”参与活动，或者在“老虎七周年嘉年华”主题下发帖，晒出你在现场的活动图，并艾特 @小虎活动 @小虎AV即可参与【活动奖励】凡是按照规则分享活动照片即可获得66-666虎币随机打赏，我们还会随机选出幸运虎友赠予小虎玩偶，或者马克杯等周边奖品（质量越高，点赞越高，互动越高，获奖几率越大）【特别奖励】相信有很多朋友由于各种原因没有办法到达老虎七周年的现场，不要着急，福利来啦！6月12日，社区将为无法来到现场相聚的虎友们同步进行线上直播! 戳我围观直播悄悄地告诉你，本次Open Day直播还会设有抽奖环节，主持人会在15：00、16：00、17：00、17：40 四个时间节点在直播间进行提问，参与抢答问题的虎友将有机会赢得老虎全球限量大礼包！【抽奖规则】：每轮抽奖主持人提问或发出口令后，虎友们需要第一时间在直播间评论区敲出答案获对应口令，工作人员将随机截取3位回答正确的幸运观众，送出老虎7周年全球限量大礼包哦~【奖品发放】中奖名单将当场公布，届时中奖的虎友请主动添加@爱发红包的虎妞 微信领取奖品，微信号是tigerbrokers。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186388851","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"937288312ea942aea7d36787b274aa53","tweetId":"186388851","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/27e1f7ecvodtransgzp1254107296/43f117a63701925919089160461/v.f30.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf4274e70584942c828dcdfe5d150800"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":43,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":169120694,"gmtCreate":1623822535818,"gmtModify":1634027538316,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Googlick","listText":"Googlick","text":"Googlick","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169120694","repostId":"1182315358","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1182315358","pubTimestamp":1623814338,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1182315358?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 11:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"It’s time to be smart like Soros in the ‘blow-off’ stage of the bull market in stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182315358","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"If you’re an investor, you need to be flexible, neither a bull nor a bear.\nIt takes brains and brawn","content":"<p>If you’re an investor, you need to be flexible, neither a bull nor a bear.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/724d1ea0bb18bddb367c79abf08c1af9\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"841\"><span>It takes brains and brawn to be an investor these days. (Photo by Isaac Lawrence/AFP via Getty Images)</span></p>\n<p>I don’t know when what I call the Blow-Off Top of the Bubble-Blowing Bull Market will end.</p>\n<p>After 12 years being long and strong and having diamond hands without even knowing that term existed, maybe I’m wrong to turn more cautious.</p>\n<p>Maybe the economy will reopen and rejuvenate the country in such a strong manner that corporate earnings in 2022 and 2023 will make today’s prices seem like bargains.</p>\n<p>But I simply don’t think that’s the most likely outcome.</p>\n<p>And if I’m right that we’re in the throes of the Blow-Off Top of the Bubble-Blowing Bull Market, I do not want to be overly long and on the wrong side of the great unwind when it does start.</p>\n<p>I’m not calling for a near-term crash. I am saying that it’s likely going to be hard for the bulls to make as much money this year as they did last year.</p>\n<p>Trading and investing are tough. There’s always someone on the other side of every trade you make. Always think about who that is and why they are willing to take the other side of your transaction. When you buy, why are they selling it to you at that price? When you sell, who is buying it from you and what are their motivations? Remember, I’ve talked before about how&nbsp;good analysis starts with empathy.</p>\n<p><b>If I’m selling, who’s buying — and why?</b></p>\n<p>So let’s answer this question right now. Who is buying stocks and cryptos from me when I’ve trimmed and sold for the past month or so? Sure, there are banks and institutions and hedge funds and family offices investing and trading, just as always. On the other hand, remember two years ago when I got back from a hedge fund investment conference&nbsp;in Abu Dhabi and everybody was desperate for returns:</p>\n<p>Amid low interest rates and other investors’ focus on options, credit and currencies, “the lack of focus on traditional stocks and funds that invest in publicly traded stocks makes me think that there is probably more opportunity in such assets than people realize. I certainly see some very compelling long ideas in Revolutionary companies like WORK and TWTR and TSLA.”</p>\n<p>Since that post, back a year and a half ago, Slack&nbsp;went from $21 to being bought out at $45, Twitter&nbsp;went from $27 to $61, and Tesla&nbsp;went from $81 to $616. And funds that were looking everywhere but in the stock market for big gains are … well, pretty much in the markets now and long a bunch of stocks and even long a few cryptos.</p>\n<p>And now that those stocks and cryptos and most other assets have gone parabolic in the past year — coming on top of the 10-year bull market — the billion-dollar fund managers are joined by&nbsp;23-year-old TikTok influencers&nbsp;doing bitcoin&nbsp;trading astrology.</p>\n<p>Yes, for real, and she’s very popular. She’s even been right about some of bitcoin’s action in the past few months! If you’re selling cryptos and fintech stocks right now, you’re selling to her and her followers. And also to my friend’s son, who just graduated from a tiny, rural school and whose unemployed uncle gave him $500 to “buy some cryptos. And make sure you get some fintech. I don’t know the symbol, but just look it up and you’ll do fine over the long run.”&nbsp;Bearish anecdotes everywhere I look, as I wrote recently.</p>\n<p><b>Mr. Market</b></p>\n<p>The other thing to remember about who’s on the other side of your trade is always to remember that there are smart, cutthroat traders and investors who went to the best schools and have access to more research and real-time data and instant trading access to all kinds of derivatives to layer into their bets. And the only thing they do all day, every day, is figure out how to take your money in mostly legal ways. They’re not playing around. They have no sympathy for you, even if they might empathize with you to better understand your motivations to better take your money.</p>\n<p>Mr. Market is mean. He’s not nice. He can be cruel. He can force liquidations that create other liquidations. He can shut off access to capital. He can take down 200-year-old banks in a day. In one day.</p>\n<p>Sometimes the markets lead the economy and not the other way around. Ironically, when we were young, we were taught that the Great Depression started when the stock market crashed on Black Friday in 1929. But then when we get older, we were taught that it wasn’t actually the crash that created the Great Depression, rather the economy was already crashing and the stock market just didn’t realize it as it continued on its merry way toward a terrible Blow-Off Top of a nine-year Bubble-Blowing Bull Market that culminated with the Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;up 400% from the 1921 lows to the 1929 highs.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a6516337aacc614d83584ea90e174f2\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"870\"></p>\n<p><b>Learning from Soros</b></p>\n<p>But looking back, it’s clear that both theories are equally right and wrong — the market crashed because the economy wasn’t as good as the market thought it was,<i>and</i>the economy crashed because the markets shut down access to capital for investment and growth.</p>\n<p>It was “reflexive,” to borrow a term from the great hedge fund manager&nbsp;George Soros.</p>\n<p>He wrote, and the concept is important to understand:</p>\n<p>“I continued to consider myself a failed philosopher. All this changed as a result of the financial crisis of 2008. My conceptual framework enabled me both to anticipate the crisis and to deal with it when it finally struck…</p>\n<p>“I can state the core idea in two relatively simple propositions. One is that in situations that have thinking participants, the participants’ view of the world is always partial and distorted. That is the principle of fallibility. The other is that these distorted views can influence the situation to which they relate because false views lead to inappropriate actions. That is the principle of reflexivity…</p>\n<p>“Recognizing reflexivity has been sacrificed to the vain pursuit of certainty in human affairs, most notably in economics, and yet, uncertainty is the key feature of human affairs. Economic theory is built on the concept of equilibrium, and that concept is in direct contradiction with the concept of reflexivity…</p>\n<p>“A positive feedback process is self-reinforcing. It cannot go on forever because eventually the participants’ views would become so far removed from objective reality that the participants would have to recognize them as unrealistic. Nor can the iterative process occur without any change in the actual state of affairs, because it is in the nature of positive feedback that it reinforces whatever tendency prevails in the real world. Instead of equilibrium, we are faced with a dynamic disequilibrium or what may be described as far-from-equilibrium conditions. Usually in far-from-equilibrium situations the divergence between perceptions and reality leads to a climax which sets in motion a positive feedback process in the opposite direction. Such initially self-reinforcing but eventually self-defeating boom-bust processes or bubbles are characteristic of financial markets, but they can also be found in other spheres. There, I call them fertile fallacies—interpretations of reality that are distorted, yet produce results which reinforce the distortion.”</p>\n<p>Stay flexible</p>\n<p>Far-from-equilibrium conditions was what we had in 2010-2013 when we loaded up on Revolutionary stocks and started buying cryptos like bitcoin. Far-from-equilibrium conditions might be what we have in front of us right now when I suggest getting cautious instead.</p>\n<p>We don’t want to be permabulls. (You for sure don’t want to be a permabear!) We have to be flexible. We have to let our analysis and risk/reward scenarios dictate how much risk we’re taking and when. We have to pay attention to the cycles, the self-reinforcing cycles that drive economies and markets and valuations and earnings and societal interactions and bailouts and financial crises and bubbles and busts and, heaven forbid, just simple stagnation.</p>\n<p>It’s as if everybody forgets that markets can bubble and crash and stagnate. They forget that markets can grind for years on end without making new highs, or without even making higher highs. Do you not remember telling your money manager sometime in 2010-2012 that “If I’d just handled the Great Financial Crisis (and/or the Dot-Com Crash) a little better, I’d be in better shape.” I used to hear people say that to me all the time. I haven’t heard anybody say that lately. Everybody’s having fun in this market … at least for now.</p>\n<p>Most traders will tell you that they are “just trading the market that is in front of them.” Well, I don’t know when the bubble will pop, but I do know that I don’t want to be on the wrong side of this market when it does. And I do know that we won’t know the bubble has really popped until the self-reinforcing reflexive feedback loop has made it painful for the vast majority of people who are right now feeling wealthy, feeling secure, feeling like they’ve got this trading and investing thing all figured out.</p>\n<p>We are all fallible. Be careful while it’s fun. Be bold when it’s painful. That’s how I’ve done it for the last 25 years. We were boldly buying these assets when it was painful for others. I’m careful right now because everybody else is having fun.</p>\n<p>I spend a lot of time looking for new ideas and I won’t let my overall market outlook deter me from buying a new name or two. But I want to remain overall cautious and less aggressive than I have been for most of the last decade.</p>\n<p>As a matter of fact,&nbsp;I might have at least a couple Trade Alerts that I’ll be sending out this week, one long and one short idea. Being flexible, see?</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>It’s time to be smart like Soros in the ‘blow-off’ stage of the bull market in stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIt’s time to be smart like Soros in the ‘blow-off’ stage of the bull market in stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-16 11:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/its-time-to-be-smart-like-soros-in-the-blow-off-stage-of-the-bull-market-in-stocks-11623788897?siteid=yhoof2><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you’re an investor, you need to be flexible, neither a bull nor a bear.\nIt takes brains and brawn to be an investor these days. (Photo by Isaac Lawrence/AFP via Getty Images)\nI don’t know when what...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/its-time-to-be-smart-like-soros-in-the-blow-off-stage-of-the-bull-market-in-stocks-11623788897?siteid=yhoof2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/its-time-to-be-smart-like-soros-in-the-blow-off-stage-of-the-bull-market-in-stocks-11623788897?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182315358","content_text":"If you’re an investor, you need to be flexible, neither a bull nor a bear.\nIt takes brains and brawn to be an investor these days. (Photo by Isaac Lawrence/AFP via Getty Images)\nI don’t know when what I call the Blow-Off Top of the Bubble-Blowing Bull Market will end.\nAfter 12 years being long and strong and having diamond hands without even knowing that term existed, maybe I’m wrong to turn more cautious.\nMaybe the economy will reopen and rejuvenate the country in such a strong manner that corporate earnings in 2022 and 2023 will make today’s prices seem like bargains.\nBut I simply don’t think that’s the most likely outcome.\nAnd if I’m right that we’re in the throes of the Blow-Off Top of the Bubble-Blowing Bull Market, I do not want to be overly long and on the wrong side of the great unwind when it does start.\nI’m not calling for a near-term crash. I am saying that it’s likely going to be hard for the bulls to make as much money this year as they did last year.\nTrading and investing are tough. There’s always someone on the other side of every trade you make. Always think about who that is and why they are willing to take the other side of your transaction. When you buy, why are they selling it to you at that price? When you sell, who is buying it from you and what are their motivations? Remember, I’ve talked before about how good analysis starts with empathy.\nIf I’m selling, who’s buying — and why?\nSo let’s answer this question right now. Who is buying stocks and cryptos from me when I’ve trimmed and sold for the past month or so? Sure, there are banks and institutions and hedge funds and family offices investing and trading, just as always. On the other hand, remember two years ago when I got back from a hedge fund investment conference in Abu Dhabi and everybody was desperate for returns:\nAmid low interest rates and other investors’ focus on options, credit and currencies, “the lack of focus on traditional stocks and funds that invest in publicly traded stocks makes me think that there is probably more opportunity in such assets than people realize. I certainly see some very compelling long ideas in Revolutionary companies like WORK and TWTR and TSLA.”\nSince that post, back a year and a half ago, Slack went from $21 to being bought out at $45, Twitter went from $27 to $61, and Tesla went from $81 to $616. And funds that were looking everywhere but in the stock market for big gains are … well, pretty much in the markets now and long a bunch of stocks and even long a few cryptos.\nAnd now that those stocks and cryptos and most other assets have gone parabolic in the past year — coming on top of the 10-year bull market — the billion-dollar fund managers are joined by 23-year-old TikTok influencers doing bitcoin trading astrology.\nYes, for real, and she’s very popular. She’s even been right about some of bitcoin’s action in the past few months! If you’re selling cryptos and fintech stocks right now, you’re selling to her and her followers. And also to my friend’s son, who just graduated from a tiny, rural school and whose unemployed uncle gave him $500 to “buy some cryptos. And make sure you get some fintech. I don’t know the symbol, but just look it up and you’ll do fine over the long run.” Bearish anecdotes everywhere I look, as I wrote recently.\nMr. Market\nThe other thing to remember about who’s on the other side of your trade is always to remember that there are smart, cutthroat traders and investors who went to the best schools and have access to more research and real-time data and instant trading access to all kinds of derivatives to layer into their bets. And the only thing they do all day, every day, is figure out how to take your money in mostly legal ways. They’re not playing around. They have no sympathy for you, even if they might empathize with you to better understand your motivations to better take your money.\nMr. Market is mean. He’s not nice. He can be cruel. He can force liquidations that create other liquidations. He can shut off access to capital. He can take down 200-year-old banks in a day. In one day.\nSometimes the markets lead the economy and not the other way around. Ironically, when we were young, we were taught that the Great Depression started when the stock market crashed on Black Friday in 1929. But then when we get older, we were taught that it wasn’t actually the crash that created the Great Depression, rather the economy was already crashing and the stock market just didn’t realize it as it continued on its merry way toward a terrible Blow-Off Top of a nine-year Bubble-Blowing Bull Market that culminated with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 400% from the 1921 lows to the 1929 highs.\n\nLearning from Soros\nBut looking back, it’s clear that both theories are equally right and wrong — the market crashed because the economy wasn’t as good as the market thought it was,andthe economy crashed because the markets shut down access to capital for investment and growth.\nIt was “reflexive,” to borrow a term from the great hedge fund manager George Soros.\nHe wrote, and the concept is important to understand:\n“I continued to consider myself a failed philosopher. All this changed as a result of the financial crisis of 2008. My conceptual framework enabled me both to anticipate the crisis and to deal with it when it finally struck…\n“I can state the core idea in two relatively simple propositions. One is that in situations that have thinking participants, the participants’ view of the world is always partial and distorted. That is the principle of fallibility. The other is that these distorted views can influence the situation to which they relate because false views lead to inappropriate actions. That is the principle of reflexivity…\n“Recognizing reflexivity has been sacrificed to the vain pursuit of certainty in human affairs, most notably in economics, and yet, uncertainty is the key feature of human affairs. Economic theory is built on the concept of equilibrium, and that concept is in direct contradiction with the concept of reflexivity…\n“A positive feedback process is self-reinforcing. It cannot go on forever because eventually the participants’ views would become so far removed from objective reality that the participants would have to recognize them as unrealistic. Nor can the iterative process occur without any change in the actual state of affairs, because it is in the nature of positive feedback that it reinforces whatever tendency prevails in the real world. Instead of equilibrium, we are faced with a dynamic disequilibrium or what may be described as far-from-equilibrium conditions. Usually in far-from-equilibrium situations the divergence between perceptions and reality leads to a climax which sets in motion a positive feedback process in the opposite direction. Such initially self-reinforcing but eventually self-defeating boom-bust processes or bubbles are characteristic of financial markets, but they can also be found in other spheres. There, I call them fertile fallacies—interpretations of reality that are distorted, yet produce results which reinforce the distortion.”\nStay flexible\nFar-from-equilibrium conditions was what we had in 2010-2013 when we loaded up on Revolutionary stocks and started buying cryptos like bitcoin. Far-from-equilibrium conditions might be what we have in front of us right now when I suggest getting cautious instead.\nWe don’t want to be permabulls. (You for sure don’t want to be a permabear!) We have to be flexible. We have to let our analysis and risk/reward scenarios dictate how much risk we’re taking and when. We have to pay attention to the cycles, the self-reinforcing cycles that drive economies and markets and valuations and earnings and societal interactions and bailouts and financial crises and bubbles and busts and, heaven forbid, just simple stagnation.\nIt’s as if everybody forgets that markets can bubble and crash and stagnate. They forget that markets can grind for years on end without making new highs, or without even making higher highs. Do you not remember telling your money manager sometime in 2010-2012 that “If I’d just handled the Great Financial Crisis (and/or the Dot-Com Crash) a little better, I’d be in better shape.” I used to hear people say that to me all the time. I haven’t heard anybody say that lately. Everybody’s having fun in this market … at least for now.\nMost traders will tell you that they are “just trading the market that is in front of them.” Well, I don’t know when the bubble will pop, but I do know that I don’t want to be on the wrong side of this market when it does. And I do know that we won’t know the bubble has really popped until the self-reinforcing reflexive feedback loop has made it painful for the vast majority of people who are right now feeling wealthy, feeling secure, feeling like they’ve got this trading and investing thing all figured out.\nWe are all fallible. Be careful while it’s fun. Be bold when it’s painful. That’s how I’ve done it for the last 25 years. We were boldly buying these assets when it was painful for others. I’m careful right now because everybody else is having fun.\nI spend a lot of time looking for new ideas and I won’t let my overall market outlook deter me from buying a new name or two. But I want to remain overall cautious and less aggressive than I have been for most of the last decade.\nAs a matter of fact, I might have at least a couple Trade Alerts that I’ll be sending out this week, one long and one short idea. Being flexible, see?","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":36,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149629929,"gmtCreate":1625723652261,"gmtModify":1633937988184,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Not yet. Gonna buy the dip","listText":"Not yet. Gonna buy the dip","text":"Not yet. Gonna buy the dip","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149629929","repostId":"2149313796","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149629562,"gmtCreate":1625723689456,"gmtModify":1633937987843,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Because they bought stairs","listText":"Because they bought stairs","text":"Because they bought stairs","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149629562","repostId":"1140881081","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140881081","pubTimestamp":1625714447,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140881081?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-08 11:20","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Why Apple Stock Climbed to a New High Today","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140881081","media":"The motley fool","summary":"Shares of $Apple$rose 1.8% to a record closing high of $144.57 on Wednesday after a respected Wall Street investment bank issued bullish commentary on the popular tech stock.JPMorgan analyst Samik Chatterjee reiterated his overweight rating on Apple's stock yesterday and boosted his share price forecast from $165 to $170. His new estimate implies potential gains to investors of roughly 18% in the coming year.Chatterjee noted that Apple underperformed theS&P 500and$Nasdaq$in the first half of 202","content":"<p>What happened</p>\n<p>Shares of&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a></b>(NASDAQ:AAPL)rose 1.8% to a record closing high of $144.57 on Wednesday after a respected Wall Street investment bank issued bullish commentary on the popular tech stock.</p>\n<p>So what</p>\n<p>JPMorgan analyst Samik Chatterjee reiterated his overweight rating on Apple's stock yesterday and boosted his share price forecast from $165 to $170. His new estimate implies potential gains to investors of roughly 18% in the coming year.</p>\n<p>Chatterjee noted that Apple underperformed the<b>S&amp;P 500</b>and<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a></b>in the first half of 2021. Yet he expects thetechtitan to post strong sales of both current and future models of the iPhone. Thus, Chatterjee posits that Apple's shares could generate strong gains for shareholders in the second half of the year ahead of the launch of the iPhone 13.</p>\n<p>Now what</p>\n<p>The recent rally in Apple's stock price suggests many investors agree with Chatterjee's bullish outlook. They're likely correct to do so. Robust iPhone volumes tend to also drive sales of Apple's high-margin services and fast-growing wearables revenue. So, if it does deliver blowout iPhone sales figures, Apple could enjoy an earnings bonanza later this year. This potential profit windfall, combined with Apple's bountiful share repurchases and steadily growing dividend, gives shareholders multiple ways to win.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Apple Stock Climbed to a New High Today</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Apple Stock Climbed to a New High Today\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-08 11:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/07/why-apple-stock-climbed-to-a-new-high-today/><strong>The motley fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>What happened\nShares of Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)rose 1.8% to a record closing high of $144.57 on Wednesday after a respected Wall Street investment bank issued bullish commentary on the popular tech stock.\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/07/why-apple-stock-climbed-to-a-new-high-today/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","09086":"华夏纳指-U","03086":"华夏纳指","NGD":"New Gold"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/07/why-apple-stock-climbed-to-a-new-high-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140881081","content_text":"What happened\nShares of Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)rose 1.8% to a record closing high of $144.57 on Wednesday after a respected Wall Street investment bank issued bullish commentary on the popular tech stock.\nSo what\nJPMorgan analyst Samik Chatterjee reiterated his overweight rating on Apple's stock yesterday and boosted his share price forecast from $165 to $170. His new estimate implies potential gains to investors of roughly 18% in the coming year.\nChatterjee noted that Apple underperformed theS&P 500andNasdaqin the first half of 2021. Yet he expects thetechtitan to post strong sales of both current and future models of the iPhone. Thus, Chatterjee posits that Apple's shares could generate strong gains for shareholders in the second half of the year ahead of the launch of the iPhone 13.\nNow what\nThe recent rally in Apple's stock price suggests many investors agree with Chatterjee's bullish outlook. They're likely correct to do so. Robust iPhone volumes tend to also drive sales of Apple's high-margin services and fast-growing wearables revenue. So, if it does deliver blowout iPhone sales figures, Apple could enjoy an earnings bonanza later this year. This potential profit windfall, combined with Apple's bountiful share repurchases and steadily growing dividend, gives shareholders multiple ways to win.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":109,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156228545,"gmtCreate":1625226408987,"gmtModify":1631890232332,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VRAR\">$Glimpse Group Inc(VRAR)$</a>VR/AR Tech company. Good to invest for long term.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VRAR\">$Glimpse Group Inc(VRAR)$</a>VR/AR Tech company. Good to invest for long term.&nbsp;","text":"$Glimpse Group Inc(VRAR)$VR/AR Tech company. Good to invest for long term.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156228545","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3584005798258086","authorId":"3584005798258086","name":"5830fe1a","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3584005798258086","idStr":"3584005798258086"},"content":"这个股你有深入研究过吗？","text":"这个股你有深入研究过吗？","html":"这个股你有深入研究过吗？"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149667092,"gmtCreate":1625723518916,"gmtModify":1633937989654,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Because she is rich","listText":"Because she is rich","text":"Because she is rich","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149667092","repostId":"2149313255","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":32,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151728376,"gmtCreate":1625108159195,"gmtModify":1631888659361,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ECHO\">$Echo Global Logistics(ECHO)$</a>Value stock","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ECHO\">$Echo Global Logistics(ECHO)$</a>Value stock","text":"$Echo Global Logistics(ECHO)$Value stock","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151728376","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":114,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126316586,"gmtCreate":1624544351745,"gmtModify":1631884910793,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DKNG\">$DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$</a>To the moooonnn🚀🚀🚀","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DKNG\">$DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$</a>To the moooonnn🚀🚀🚀","text":"$DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$To the moooonnn🚀🚀🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126316586","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":69,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163054475,"gmtCreate":1623854469897,"gmtModify":1631884910956,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DKNG\">$DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$</a>its Euro Cup now! DKNG is online betting company! Its gonna 🚀🚀🚀🚀","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DKNG\">$DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$</a>its Euro Cup now! DKNG is online betting company! Its gonna 🚀🚀🚀🚀","text":"$DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$its Euro Cup now! DKNG is online betting company! Its gonna 🚀🚀🚀🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163054475","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":453,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157958049,"gmtCreate":1625561140681,"gmtModify":1631890232313,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VRAR\">$Glimpse Group Inc(VRAR)$</a>If u hold, and dont dump, price will not go down. Supply and demand.People are buying the dip to keep.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VRAR\">$Glimpse Group Inc(VRAR)$</a>If u hold, and dont dump, price will not go down. Supply and demand.People are buying the dip to keep.&nbsp;","text":"$Glimpse Group Inc(VRAR)$If u hold, and dont dump, price will not go down. Supply and demand.People are buying the dip to keep.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157958049","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":80,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151712909,"gmtCreate":1625106581501,"gmtModify":1631888659299,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ECHO\">$Echo Global Logistics(ECHO)$</a>Valuable stock","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ECHO\">$Echo Global Logistics(ECHO)$</a>Valuable stock","text":"$Echo Global Logistics(ECHO)$Valuable stock","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151712909","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":69,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169151012,"gmtCreate":1623823238136,"gmtModify":1634027527889,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169151012","repostId":"1128132038","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128132038","pubTimestamp":1623820564,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1128132038?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 13:16","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Wanda Light Asset Gears Up for $3 Billion Hong Kong IPO","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128132038","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Citic, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan are helping with the offering\nWanda Light Asset is targeting first-ti","content":"<ul>\n <li>Citic, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan are helping with the offering</li>\n <li>Wanda Light Asset is targeting first-time share sale this year</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Dalian Wanda Group Co.’s commercial property management unit has started preparations with banks for its Hong Kong initial public offering, which could raise about $3 billion, according to people familiar with the matter.</p>\n<p>Citic Securities Co.,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.&nbsp;and&nbsp;JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co.&nbsp;are working withWanda Light Asset Commercial Management Co.to prepare for the first-time share sale, the people said. The offering could happen as soon as this year, said the people, who asked not to be identified as the information is private.</p>\n<p>A Hong Kong IPO would come after the commercial property management firm&nbsp;withdrew&nbsp;its A-share listing in March, adding it will restructure its “asset light” commercial operation and go public at home and abroad as soon as possible. Wanda Light Asset is looking to raise about 20 billion yuan ($3.1 billion) in a pre-IPO funding round, in which more than 20 investors have expressed interest, Bloomberg News&nbsp;reported&nbsp;last month.</p>\n<p>Wanda Light Asset primarily operates and manages its parent’s Wanda Plaza commercial complexes, including 368 in operation and another 155 under construction. In March, the local government in Zhuhai, a city in Guangdong province, invested 3 billion yuan into the unit, according to a statement at that time. The company is now headquartered in Hengqin New Area of Zhuhai.</p>\n<p>Deliberations are ongoing and more banks could be added, the people said. Representatives for Citic Securities, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan declined to comment, while a representative for Wanda didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment.</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wanda Light Asset Gears Up for $3 Billion Hong Kong IPO</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWanda Light Asset Gears Up for $3 Billion Hong Kong IPO\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-16 13:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-16/wanda-light-asset-said-to-gear-up-for-3-billion-hong-kong-ipo><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Citic, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan are helping with the offering\nWanda Light Asset is targeting first-time share sale this year\n\nDalian Wanda Group Co.’s commercial property management unit has started ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-16/wanda-light-asset-said-to-gear-up-for-3-billion-hong-kong-ipo\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"00169":"万达酒店发展"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-16/wanda-light-asset-said-to-gear-up-for-3-billion-hong-kong-ipo","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128132038","content_text":"Citic, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan are helping with the offering\nWanda Light Asset is targeting first-time share sale this year\n\nDalian Wanda Group Co.’s commercial property management unit has started preparations with banks for its Hong Kong initial public offering, which could raise about $3 billion, according to people familiar with the matter.\nCitic Securities Co.,Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. are working withWanda Light Asset Commercial Management Co.to prepare for the first-time share sale, the people said. The offering could happen as soon as this year, said the people, who asked not to be identified as the information is private.\nA Hong Kong IPO would come after the commercial property management firm withdrew its A-share listing in March, adding it will restructure its “asset light” commercial operation and go public at home and abroad as soon as possible. Wanda Light Asset is looking to raise about 20 billion yuan ($3.1 billion) in a pre-IPO funding round, in which more than 20 investors have expressed interest, Bloomberg News reported last month.\nWanda Light Asset primarily operates and manages its parent’s Wanda Plaza commercial complexes, including 368 in operation and another 155 under construction. In March, the local government in Zhuhai, a city in Guangdong province, invested 3 billion yuan into the unit, according to a statement at that time. The company is now headquartered in Hengqin New Area of Zhuhai.\nDeliberations are ongoing and more banks could be added, the people said. Representatives for Citic Securities, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan declined to comment, while a representative for Wanda didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":44,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169120559,"gmtCreate":1623822553871,"gmtModify":1634027538194,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169120559","repostId":"1148768572","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148768572","pubTimestamp":1623822306,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148768572?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 13:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wish Stock: Patient Investors Could Soon See $20 Again","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148768572","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nWish (ContextLogic) remains one of the most underappreciated assets within e-commerce tradi","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Wish (ContextLogic) remains one of the most underappreciated assets within e-commerce trading at just 1.3x forward EV to Sales.</li>\n <li>Wish's latest partnership with PrestaShop will further accelerate international expansion and growth initiatives.</li>\n <li>While accurate data regarding its short interest is difficult to find as most of its float is still locked up, I estimate a short interest between 30-40%.</li>\n <li>I believe bear arguments including high marketing spend and stalling user numbers are already baked in the current share price.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/983667978a1675a8b256d7b0478a876c\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"934\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>JuSun/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Overview</b></p>\n<p>ContextLogic (WISH) has been a wild ride for shareholders, as high volatility continues to cause significant price movements in recent weeks. The e-commerce platform initially went public in December at $20 per share before surging to an all-time high of $32 in February due to a momentum-driven rally. That said, shares have steadily plunged ever since, hitting an all-time low of just $7 in June, but are now recovering swiftly after increased interest from the retail trading sector. Here, the stock is favored due to its high volatility, short interest, and enormous upside potential.</p>\n<p>In this context, I believe that the high short interest has increasingly pushed shares below fair value and that patient investors could soon see $20 or more again as the company is working through logistic challenges and will soon return to economies of scale. In this regard, the e-commerce platform has a unique value proposition and is well-positioned to gain market share in a $6 trillion e-commerce industry.</p>\n<p><b>The Digital Dollar Tree</b></p>\n<p>Wish has been criticized heavily as an e-commerce platform, and I would almost argue that its image of being a third-party 'dropshipping' site for Chinese merchants has kept investors away from the stock so far. However, this may only be partially true. Essentially, Wish has inverted Amazon's(NASDAQ:AMZN)business model through low-priced (low-quality) products and sluggish delivery times that may lead to week-long delivery times. This is because Wish does not handle shipping itself, which is why it can offer these ultra-low prices of offering a hoodie for $2 plus $2 shipping.</p>\n<p>Frankly, Wish is still dependent on Chinese merchants, accounting for most of its product catalogs. This is unsurprising, considering that most goods are produced in China as the production costs are among the lowest in the world. Most of the goods being sold on Amazon or eBay(NASDAQ:EBAY)were also produced in China, although they earn a higher perception due to one-day delivery shipping programs or higher prices.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bea733440e86851af57559c6a5fd6bd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Now, I view Wish as the digital dollar tree, where online shoppers discover items that they want, not need. In the process, customers have more patience for products and are willing to wait longer for them to arrive. Wish is working towards addressing both of these issues (quality and merchant diversification) as its platform is gaining popularity. Here, it has been investing in logistics to offer quicker delivery, demonstrated by a 275% YoY increase in logistics revenue. Since these revenues provide low margins, its overall gross margins have decreased in accordance. However, once it achieves economies of scale in the segment, margin growth should reverse and trail back towards 70%.</p>\n<p>It is also addressing the second issue by continuously growing its international merchant base. Here, U.S. merchants increased by over 400% YoY, and a similar trend is to be seen in other countries. Moreover, it is growing Wish Local, a service connecting local businesses to the platform, accounting for 7% of all Wish orders. Wish local is mostly (or exclusively) available in the United States and thus increasingly mixes with other products on the website.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09eb88453d075db6b7b8edd21f981b4a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"381\"><span>Source: Sensor Tower</span></p>\n<p>I also like Wish's strategy to engage and retain users by utilizing an AI matching system that optimizes platform growth, user experience, and merchant return on investment. The strategy to create an interactive mobile shopping experience appears to be working well: Impressively, Wish gets over500,000reviews per day from users, surpassing even Amazon and other shopping sites in this regard, demonstrating just about how engaging the platform is. Around 80% of first-time shoppersreturnto buy again.</p>\n<p>Wish is, therefore, able to establish itself in the highly competitive E-commerce market that offers a tremendous runway for growth. Currently, around 40% of the E-commerce market share is owned just by Amazon. Compared to Amazon, its TAM may be limited as it concentrates on its lower-income niche, which is how it became popular in the first place. Still, this represents a +$3 trillion market opportunity for Wish to tap into. It is also worth noting that according toreports, Amazon tried to acquire Wish for $10 billion, yet Wish rejected, believing growing the business to $100 billion in annual sales, at which point it would be valued significantly higher.</p>\n<p><b>Negative Sentiment Baked In</b></p>\n<p>Wish's first two quarters have been slightly disappointing. While the company handily beat revenue estimates, the company burned through over $300 million in cash in order to invest in logistics. More importantly, however, is the fact that MAUs have dropped steadily, which the company blames on de-de-emphasizing advertising and customer acquisition as the company worked through logistics challenges it faced earlier in the year.</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Year</td>\n   <td>2020</td>\n   <td>2019</td>\n   <td>2018</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Revenue</td>\n   <td>$2.54B</td>\n   <td>$1.9B</td>\n   <td>$1.73B</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Gross Profit</td>\n   <td>$1.59B</td>\n   <td>$1.46B</td>\n   <td>$1.45B</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Sales and Marketing</b></td>\n   <td><b>$1.71B (+17%)</b></td>\n   <td><b>$1.46B (-7%)</b></td>\n   <td><b>$1.57B</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>MAUs</td>\n   <td>107M (+19%)</td>\n   <td><p>90M (+10%)</p></td>\n   <td>82M</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Active Buyers</b></td>\n   <td><b>64M (+3%)</b></td>\n   <td><b>62M (-3%)</b></td>\n   <td><b>64M</b></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>*Growth (Year-over-Year)</p>\n<p>The largest bear argument against Wish is its high marketing expenses, which account for 60% of its total revenues and over 100% of its gross profits. This is totally fine unless it grows its active buyers through marketing, which unfortunately has not been the case. This is a red flag and questions the long-term sustainability of Wish's business model. However, the company has been close to being cash flow positive, and it stated it already would be profitable if it weren't for its extensive marketing expense. That said, as long as Wish acquires new MAUs and increases value through logistic services, its marketing expenses pay off in the long run. Moreover, as a percentage of total revenues, Wish's marketing expenses have dropped to 60%, down from 67% in the year prior.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e18c23728274ee708d896923820b282\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"278\"><span>Source: Wish IR</span></p>\n<p>In terms of the outlook, this is what the company is essentially stressing. It believes marketing expenses can decrease to 40-45%, leading to EBITDA margins of 25% at the midpoint range. If it achieves these ambitious goals (which is very well possible), its profitability margins would be similar to those of eBay or MercadoLibre(NASDAQ:MELI). In either way, Wish's business model is not perfect, but all these concerns are more than baked in its current valuation, IMO (In My Opinion).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54029f94c37f301d26e93a11636280e7\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p>\n<p>Even after the latest +50% rise, shares are still trailing far behind peers such as Poshmark(NASDAQ:POSH), eBay, Amazon, and (Shopify(NYSE:SHOP)). At over $3 billion estimated revenues, Wish is trading at just 1.8x Price to Sales, just half of eBay's current valuation and much lower than Poshmark. Current estimates are calling for over $6 billion in revenues by 2025 and $1 billion in free cash flow, meaning that Wish trades at just 7x free cash flow estimates, or 1 times sales. In early 2021, its P/S ratio stood closer to 5x, so there is potential for a valuation expansion.</p>\n<p><b>What about the Lawsuits?</b></p>\n<p>Perhaps you've seen the news (especially on Yahoo Finance) regarding the class actionlawsuits. These lawsuits are extensively posted to remind investors of recovering incurred losses after its share price dropped in recent months. Such lawsuits are not unusual when stocks drop sharply in a short period of time and are likely of no concern to investors. These lawsuits have also included companies such asCloverHealth(NASDAQ:CLOV), Skillz(NYSE:SKLZ), Array Technologies(NASDAQ:ARRY), etc.</p>\n<p>Short Interest - Still High</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/875b3fdaf74f1ef639b51d77a3aac01f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>Source: Fintel</span></p>\n<p>Wish has gained significant attraction from retail investors, as investors were looking for the next big short squeeze. Since most of Wish's shares have still been locked up, its exact short ratio was difficult to estimate. According to Seeking Alpha, the current short ratio stands at just 7%, but the figure is likely higher. Last week, its short interest as a percent of its equity float stood at roughly 48%, according to Bloomberg Terminal data. Other sources such as Fintel pin the current short volume at 20-30%. Now, it's difficult to give an exact estimate, but generally speaking, it's probably somewhere within this range, and many short calls are still to be covered. In the long term, the high-short interest could be an advantage, leading to a quicker acceleration if the stock begins trending upwards.</p>\n<p><b>The Bottom Line</b></p>\n<p>I believe that Wish remains one of the most underappreciated assets within e-commerce, boasting over 100 million monthly users on its platform and connecting thousands of merchants from all over the world. The mobile shopping app continues to be one of the top downloaded shopping apps in the space and has a unique value proposition, which is smarter than it appears at first sight. Moreover, its latestpartnershipwith PrestaShop will give over 300,000 merchants free access to a direct integration that connects them directly to Wish's merchant dashboard, further driving growth. While there are risks to Wish's imperfect business model, such as lagging profitability, patient investors could be rewarded mightily.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wish Stock: Patient Investors Could Soon See $20 Again</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWish Stock: Patient Investors Could Soon See $20 Again\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-16 13:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434950-wish-stock-patient-investors-could-soon-see-20-again><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nWish (ContextLogic) remains one of the most underappreciated assets within e-commerce trading at just 1.3x forward EV to Sales.\nWish's latest partnership with PrestaShop will further ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434950-wish-stock-patient-investors-could-soon-see-20-again\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434950-wish-stock-patient-investors-could-soon-see-20-again","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148768572","content_text":"Summary\n\nWish (ContextLogic) remains one of the most underappreciated assets within e-commerce trading at just 1.3x forward EV to Sales.\nWish's latest partnership with PrestaShop will further accelerate international expansion and growth initiatives.\nWhile accurate data regarding its short interest is difficult to find as most of its float is still locked up, I estimate a short interest between 30-40%.\nI believe bear arguments including high marketing spend and stalling user numbers are already baked in the current share price.\n\nJuSun/iStock via Getty Images\nOverview\nContextLogic (WISH) has been a wild ride for shareholders, as high volatility continues to cause significant price movements in recent weeks. The e-commerce platform initially went public in December at $20 per share before surging to an all-time high of $32 in February due to a momentum-driven rally. That said, shares have steadily plunged ever since, hitting an all-time low of just $7 in June, but are now recovering swiftly after increased interest from the retail trading sector. Here, the stock is favored due to its high volatility, short interest, and enormous upside potential.\nIn this context, I believe that the high short interest has increasingly pushed shares below fair value and that patient investors could soon see $20 or more again as the company is working through logistic challenges and will soon return to economies of scale. In this regard, the e-commerce platform has a unique value proposition and is well-positioned to gain market share in a $6 trillion e-commerce industry.\nThe Digital Dollar Tree\nWish has been criticized heavily as an e-commerce platform, and I would almost argue that its image of being a third-party 'dropshipping' site for Chinese merchants has kept investors away from the stock so far. However, this may only be partially true. Essentially, Wish has inverted Amazon's(NASDAQ:AMZN)business model through low-priced (low-quality) products and sluggish delivery times that may lead to week-long delivery times. This is because Wish does not handle shipping itself, which is why it can offer these ultra-low prices of offering a hoodie for $2 plus $2 shipping.\nFrankly, Wish is still dependent on Chinese merchants, accounting for most of its product catalogs. This is unsurprising, considering that most goods are produced in China as the production costs are among the lowest in the world. Most of the goods being sold on Amazon or eBay(NASDAQ:EBAY)were also produced in China, although they earn a higher perception due to one-day delivery shipping programs or higher prices.\n\nNow, I view Wish as the digital dollar tree, where online shoppers discover items that they want, not need. In the process, customers have more patience for products and are willing to wait longer for them to arrive. Wish is working towards addressing both of these issues (quality and merchant diversification) as its platform is gaining popularity. Here, it has been investing in logistics to offer quicker delivery, demonstrated by a 275% YoY increase in logistics revenue. Since these revenues provide low margins, its overall gross margins have decreased in accordance. However, once it achieves economies of scale in the segment, margin growth should reverse and trail back towards 70%.\nIt is also addressing the second issue by continuously growing its international merchant base. Here, U.S. merchants increased by over 400% YoY, and a similar trend is to be seen in other countries. Moreover, it is growing Wish Local, a service connecting local businesses to the platform, accounting for 7% of all Wish orders. Wish local is mostly (or exclusively) available in the United States and thus increasingly mixes with other products on the website.\nSource: Sensor Tower\nI also like Wish's strategy to engage and retain users by utilizing an AI matching system that optimizes platform growth, user experience, and merchant return on investment. The strategy to create an interactive mobile shopping experience appears to be working well: Impressively, Wish gets over500,000reviews per day from users, surpassing even Amazon and other shopping sites in this regard, demonstrating just about how engaging the platform is. Around 80% of first-time shoppersreturnto buy again.\nWish is, therefore, able to establish itself in the highly competitive E-commerce market that offers a tremendous runway for growth. Currently, around 40% of the E-commerce market share is owned just by Amazon. Compared to Amazon, its TAM may be limited as it concentrates on its lower-income niche, which is how it became popular in the first place. Still, this represents a +$3 trillion market opportunity for Wish to tap into. It is also worth noting that according toreports, Amazon tried to acquire Wish for $10 billion, yet Wish rejected, believing growing the business to $100 billion in annual sales, at which point it would be valued significantly higher.\nNegative Sentiment Baked In\nWish's first two quarters have been slightly disappointing. While the company handily beat revenue estimates, the company burned through over $300 million in cash in order to invest in logistics. More importantly, however, is the fact that MAUs have dropped steadily, which the company blames on de-de-emphasizing advertising and customer acquisition as the company worked through logistics challenges it faced earlier in the year.\n\n\n\nYear\n2020\n2019\n2018\n\n\nRevenue\n$2.54B\n$1.9B\n$1.73B\n\n\nGross Profit\n$1.59B\n$1.46B\n$1.45B\n\n\nSales and Marketing\n$1.71B (+17%)\n$1.46B (-7%)\n$1.57B\n\n\nMAUs\n107M (+19%)\n90M (+10%)\n82M\n\n\nActive Buyers\n64M (+3%)\n62M (-3%)\n64M\n\n\n\n*Growth (Year-over-Year)\nThe largest bear argument against Wish is its high marketing expenses, which account for 60% of its total revenues and over 100% of its gross profits. This is totally fine unless it grows its active buyers through marketing, which unfortunately has not been the case. This is a red flag and questions the long-term sustainability of Wish's business model. However, the company has been close to being cash flow positive, and it stated it already would be profitable if it weren't for its extensive marketing expense. That said, as long as Wish acquires new MAUs and increases value through logistic services, its marketing expenses pay off in the long run. Moreover, as a percentage of total revenues, Wish's marketing expenses have dropped to 60%, down from 67% in the year prior.\nSource: Wish IR\nIn terms of the outlook, this is what the company is essentially stressing. It believes marketing expenses can decrease to 40-45%, leading to EBITDA margins of 25% at the midpoint range. If it achieves these ambitious goals (which is very well possible), its profitability margins would be similar to those of eBay or MercadoLibre(NASDAQ:MELI). In either way, Wish's business model is not perfect, but all these concerns are more than baked in its current valuation, IMO (In My Opinion).\nData byYCharts\nEven after the latest +50% rise, shares are still trailing far behind peers such as Poshmark(NASDAQ:POSH), eBay, Amazon, and (Shopify(NYSE:SHOP)). At over $3 billion estimated revenues, Wish is trading at just 1.8x Price to Sales, just half of eBay's current valuation and much lower than Poshmark. Current estimates are calling for over $6 billion in revenues by 2025 and $1 billion in free cash flow, meaning that Wish trades at just 7x free cash flow estimates, or 1 times sales. In early 2021, its P/S ratio stood closer to 5x, so there is potential for a valuation expansion.\nWhat about the Lawsuits?\nPerhaps you've seen the news (especially on Yahoo Finance) regarding the class actionlawsuits. These lawsuits are extensively posted to remind investors of recovering incurred losses after its share price dropped in recent months. Such lawsuits are not unusual when stocks drop sharply in a short period of time and are likely of no concern to investors. These lawsuits have also included companies such asCloverHealth(NASDAQ:CLOV), Skillz(NYSE:SKLZ), Array Technologies(NASDAQ:ARRY), etc.\nShort Interest - Still High\nSource: Fintel\nWish has gained significant attraction from retail investors, as investors were looking for the next big short squeeze. Since most of Wish's shares have still been locked up, its exact short ratio was difficult to estimate. According to Seeking Alpha, the current short ratio stands at just 7%, but the figure is likely higher. Last week, its short interest as a percent of its equity float stood at roughly 48%, according to Bloomberg Terminal data. Other sources such as Fintel pin the current short volume at 20-30%. Now, it's difficult to give an exact estimate, but generally speaking, it's probably somewhere within this range, and many short calls are still to be covered. In the long term, the high-short interest could be an advantage, leading to a quicker acceleration if the stock begins trending upwards.\nThe Bottom Line\nI believe that Wish remains one of the most underappreciated assets within e-commerce, boasting over 100 million monthly users on its platform and connecting thousands of merchants from all over the world. The mobile shopping app continues to be one of the top downloaded shopping apps in the space and has a unique value proposition, which is smarter than it appears at first sight. Moreover, its latestpartnershipwith PrestaShop will give over 300,000 merchants free access to a direct integration that connects them directly to Wish's merchant dashboard, further driving growth. While there are risks to Wish's imperfect business model, such as lagging profitability, patient investors could be rewarded mightily.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":47,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186618688,"gmtCreate":1623491185344,"gmtModify":1634032405508,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186618688","repostId":"180505347","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":180505347,"gmtCreate":1623210080885,"gmtModify":1631885901890,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"【7周年有奖随手拍】老虎，无处不在！","htmlText":"亲爱的虎友们，在大家的陪伴下，老虎证券迎来7周岁啦！<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> 首先要感谢各位的信任与支持，愿有虎同行的日子里，你的投资之路更顺畅[比心] 自古以来，老虎就有“万兽之王”的美誉，是勇敢和权威的象征！据说，还有一层“祈福”的寓意呢 现在，小虎君邀请全球的虎友们来花样晒图，共同参与这个老虎证券大事件： 快拿起自己的手机/相机，去拍一拍你身边的“老虎”元素吧！ （可以是老虎证券周边、卡通虎、动物园中的猛虎、自己画的虎……） 【可选参与方式】 在本帖“留言并转发”，内容需包含“老虎”元素照片+描述，拍照/绘画等形式均可； 在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&amp;page=/theme/detail&amp;rndata={&quot;themeId&quot;:&quot;ae695a2034a348d8af4936723fe6905c&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\">#老虎7周年嘉年华#</a>主题下发帖，帖子中需包含 “老虎”元素照片+描述（如果照片大于3张，可以选择发长帖）。 【活动时间】 6月9日-6月15日 【活动奖励】 一等奖：老虎证券7周年限量礼盒（10份） 二等奖：777虎币 【特别说明】 根据图片的质量，阅读、转发、评论、点赞量等综合评选； 可注明地标配合图片获奖几率更高； 严禁抄袭、剽窃，一旦发现将取消参赛资格； 活动最终解释权归老虎社区所有","listText":"亲爱的虎友们，在大家的陪伴下，老虎证券迎来7周岁啦！<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> 首先要感谢各位的信任与支持，愿有虎同行的日子里，你的投资之路更顺畅[比心] 自古以来，老虎就有“万兽之王”的美誉，是勇敢和权威的象征！据说，还有一层“祈福”的寓意呢 现在，小虎君邀请全球的虎友们来花样晒图，共同参与这个老虎证券大事件： 快拿起自己的手机/相机，去拍一拍你身边的“老虎”元素吧！ （可以是老虎证券周边、卡通虎、动物园中的猛虎、自己画的虎……） 【可选参与方式】 在本帖“留言并转发”，内容需包含“老虎”元素照片+描述，拍照/绘画等形式均可； 在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&amp;page=/theme/detail&amp;rndata={&quot;themeId&quot;:&quot;ae695a2034a348d8af4936723fe6905c&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\">#老虎7周年嘉年华#</a>主题下发帖，帖子中需包含 “老虎”元素照片+描述（如果照片大于3张，可以选择发长帖）。 【活动时间】 6月9日-6月15日 【活动奖励】 一等奖：老虎证券7周年限量礼盒（10份） 二等奖：777虎币 【特别说明】 根据图片的质量，阅读、转发、评论、点赞量等综合评选； 可注明地标配合图片获奖几率更高； 严禁抄袭、剽窃，一旦发现将取消参赛资格； 活动最终解释权归老虎社区所有","text":"亲爱的虎友们，在大家的陪伴下，老虎证券迎来7周岁啦！$老虎证券(TIGR)$ 首先要感谢各位的信任与支持，愿有虎同行的日子里，你的投资之路更顺畅[比心] 自古以来，老虎就有“万兽之王”的美誉，是勇敢和权威的象征！据说，还有一层“祈福”的寓意呢 现在，小虎君邀请全球的虎友们来花样晒图，共同参与这个老虎证券大事件： 快拿起自己的手机/相机，去拍一拍你身边的“老虎”元素吧！ （可以是老虎证券周边、卡通虎、动物园中的猛虎、自己画的虎……） 【可选参与方式】 在本帖“留言并转发”，内容需包含“老虎”元素照片+描述，拍照/绘画等形式均可； 在#老虎7周年嘉年华#主题下发帖，帖子中需包含 “老虎”元素照片+描述（如果照片大于3张，可以选择发长帖）。 【活动时间】 6月9日-6月15日 【活动奖励】 一等奖：老虎证券7周年限量礼盒（10份） 二等奖：777虎币 【特别说明】 根据图片的质量，阅读、转发、评论、点赞量等综合评选； 可注明地标配合图片获奖几率更高； 严禁抄袭、剽窃，一旦发现将取消参赛资格； 活动最终解释权归老虎社区所有","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ae026f4fde76cda6d32eee903bc1f68","width":"1134","height":"709"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/180505347","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":102,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186618065,"gmtCreate":1623491119057,"gmtModify":1634032405854,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186618065","repostId":"183608322","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":183608322,"gmtCreate":1623326020961,"gmtModify":1638081668159,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"【爱回收上市】分享交易体验，赢京东E卡！","htmlText":"万物新生集团是一家“互联网+环保”类型的循环经济企业，中概股ESG（环境、社会和治理）第一股，京东生态的重要企业，旗下业务线包括爱回收、拍机堂、拍拍和AHS Device横跨产业链供需两端，服务覆盖从回收、检测、评级、定价到再销售的全流程。 万物新生（爱回收）上市之际， 本帖下评论使用爱回收/拍拍的购物or交易体验，随机抽取走心评论10名，每人获得100元京东E卡一张！！！😍😍 活动时间：6月12日-6月18日 大家快快在下面评论吧！！京东E卡说不定就是你的啦~😜 <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/activity/market/2021/ipo-aihuishou/#/\" target=\"_blank\">万物新生（爱回收）上市联合活动传送门&gt;&gt;</a>","listText":"万物新生集团是一家“互联网+环保”类型的循环经济企业，中概股ESG（环境、社会和治理）第一股，京东生态的重要企业，旗下业务线包括爱回收、拍机堂、拍拍和AHS Device横跨产业链供需两端，服务覆盖从回收、检测、评级、定价到再销售的全流程。 万物新生（爱回收）上市之际， 本帖下评论使用爱回收/拍拍的购物or交易体验，随机抽取走心评论10名，每人获得100元京东E卡一张！！！😍😍 活动时间：6月12日-6月18日 大家快快在下面评论吧！！京东E卡说不定就是你的啦~😜 <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/activity/market/2021/ipo-aihuishou/#/\" target=\"_blank\">万物新生（爱回收）上市联合活动传送门&gt;&gt;</a>","text":"万物新生集团是一家“互联网+环保”类型的循环经济企业，中概股ESG（环境、社会和治理）第一股，京东生态的重要企业，旗下业务线包括爱回收、拍机堂、拍拍和AHS Device横跨产业链供需两端，服务覆盖从回收、检测、评级、定价到再销售的全流程。 万物新生（爱回收）上市之际， 本帖下评论使用爱回收/拍拍的购物or交易体验，随机抽取走心评论10名，每人获得100元京东E卡一张！！！😍😍 活动时间：6月12日-6月18日 大家快快在下面评论吧！！京东E卡说不定就是你的啦~😜 万物新生（爱回收）上市联合活动传送门>>","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25c6cfef7dbf2afab24fb484275640a3","width":"607","height":"493"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183608322","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":55,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186613252,"gmtCreate":1623491034976,"gmtModify":1634032407018,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186613252","repostId":"181890541","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":181890541,"gmtCreate":1623382661279,"gmtModify":1631885901851,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"【七周年有奖活动】老虎大搜查","htmlText":"今天小虎7周岁生日！大家一起来跟我玩个小游戏，我们将以下的7张图片随机放到了7个帖子或者资讯中，每找到1个即可获赠100虎币，全部找到的小虎可以获得7周年礼盒。【参与方式】 我们将在不同的帖子或新闻里放以上指定的7张图片 找到图片的人可以在对应的帖子或者新闻中留言： Tiger is here！(如下图)集齐7张后，需要在本贴下方评论区留言：Tiger is everwhere. Tips：一定要记得留言哦，要不然我们没办法统计到你，要闻和个股页面上面的显眼的地方更有机会发现哦~ 【活动时间】 6月11日 【活动奖品】 每找到1个图片并留言“ Tiger is here！”即可获赠100虎币，全部找到并本贴下方评论区留言Tiger is everwhere.的虎友可以获得7周年礼盒。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a>","listText":"今天小虎7周岁生日！大家一起来跟我玩个小游戏，我们将以下的7张图片随机放到了7个帖子或者资讯中，每找到1个即可获赠100虎币，全部找到的小虎可以获得7周年礼盒。【参与方式】 我们将在不同的帖子或新闻里放以上指定的7张图片 找到图片的人可以在对应的帖子或者新闻中留言： Tiger is here！(如下图)集齐7张后，需要在本贴下方评论区留言：Tiger is everwhere. Tips：一定要记得留言哦，要不然我们没办法统计到你，要闻和个股页面上面的显眼的地方更有机会发现哦~ 【活动时间】 6月11日 【活动奖品】 每找到1个图片并留言“ Tiger is here！”即可获赠100虎币，全部找到并本贴下方评论区留言Tiger is everwhere.的虎友可以获得7周年礼盒。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a>","text":"今天小虎7周岁生日！大家一起来跟我玩个小游戏，我们将以下的7张图片随机放到了7个帖子或者资讯中，每找到1个即可获赠100虎币，全部找到的小虎可以获得7周年礼盒。【参与方式】 我们将在不同的帖子或新闻里放以上指定的7张图片 找到图片的人可以在对应的帖子或者新闻中留言： Tiger is here！(如下图)集齐7张后，需要在本贴下方评论区留言：Tiger is everwhere. Tips：一定要记得留言哦，要不然我们没办法统计到你，要闻和个股页面上面的显眼的地方更有机会发现哦~ 【活动时间】 6月11日 【活动奖品】 每找到1个图片并留言“ Tiger is here！”即可获赠100虎币，全部找到并本贴下方评论区留言Tiger is everwhere.的虎友可以获得7周年礼盒。$老虎证券(TIGR)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a68764092316d627481e92e568cf659c","width":"1030","height":"598"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78fc7ba04a357f5a1bc9cf142a9cb39f","width":"1334","height":"1204"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81a49a419aa2c089abf33db97c300fba","width":"3840","height":"2560"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181890541","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":62,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186613942,"gmtCreate":1623490997886,"gmtModify":1634032407364,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186613942","repostId":"181263587","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":181263587,"gmtCreate":1623396916544,"gmtModify":1631885901841,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"老虎七周年，七重好礼等你拿！","htmlText":"\n \n \n  亲爱的虎友们：自2014年成立以来，老虎已经陪伴虎友一起走过了7年时光，为了回馈大家的支持与信赖，也为了让我们与虎友们彼此有更多的了解与沟通；6月12日，我们将在北京举办Open&nbsp;Day&nbsp;见面会，届时社区将为无法来到现场相聚的虎友们同步进行线上直播!老虎直播间：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata={&quot;liveId&quot;:&quot;16226253307800&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\">老虎七周年：在全球与你不期而遇</a>七年来，老虎荣幸收获了超过500万名世界各地的用户和数百家企业的信任。尽管我们通过虚拟的互联网连接在一起，但每一份信任都是真实而沉甸甸的。老虎今年7岁啦，感谢来自五湖四海，世界各地的合作伙伴和朋友们发来的祝福视频，一起回顾一下这些暖心时刻。除了视频之外，我们还为大家准备了7重惊喜 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/114093620\" target=\"_blank\">【活动一】7年，你在老虎赚了多少钱？</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/117158534\" target=\"_blank\">【活动二】积分商城比心大促，三重好礼享不停！</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/180505347\" target=\"_blank\">【活动三】老虎，无处不在！</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/183071398\" target=\"_blank\">【活动四】猜老虎收盘价，赢7周年礼盒！</a>\n \n","listText":"亲爱的虎友们：自2014年成立以来，老虎已经陪伴虎友一起走过了7年时光，为了回馈大家的支持与信赖，也为了让我们与虎友们彼此有更多的了解与沟通；6月12日，我们将在北京举办Open&nbsp;Day&nbsp;见面会，届时社区将为无法来到现场相聚的虎友们同步进行线上直播!老虎直播间：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata={&quot;liveId&quot;:&quot;16226253307800&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\">老虎七周年：在全球与你不期而遇</a>七年来，老虎荣幸收获了超过500万名世界各地的用户和数百家企业的信任。尽管我们通过虚拟的互联网连接在一起，但每一份信任都是真实而沉甸甸的。老虎今年7岁啦，感谢来自五湖四海，世界各地的合作伙伴和朋友们发来的祝福视频，一起回顾一下这些暖心时刻。除了视频之外，我们还为大家准备了7重惊喜 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/114093620\" target=\"_blank\">【活动一】7年，你在老虎赚了多少钱？</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/117158534\" target=\"_blank\">【活动二】积分商城比心大促，三重好礼享不停！</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/180505347\" target=\"_blank\">【活动三】老虎，无处不在！</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/183071398\" target=\"_blank\">【活动四】猜老虎收盘价，赢7周年礼盒！</a>","text":"亲爱的虎友们：自2014年成立以来，老虎已经陪伴虎友一起走过了7年时光，为了回馈大家的支持与信赖，也为了让我们与虎友们彼此有更多的了解与沟通；6月12日，我们将在北京举办Open Day 见面会，届时社区将为无法来到现场相聚的虎友们同步进行线上直播!老虎直播间：老虎七周年：在全球与你不期而遇七年来，老虎荣幸收获了超过500万名世界各地的用户和数百家企业的信任。尽管我们通过虚拟的互联网连接在一起，但每一份信任都是真实而沉甸甸的。老虎今年7岁啦，感谢来自五湖四海，世界各地的合作伙伴和朋友们发来的祝福视频，一起回顾一下这些暖心时刻。除了视频之外，我们还为大家准备了7重惊喜 【活动一】7年，你在老虎赚了多少钱？ 【活动二】积分商城比心大促，三重好礼享不停！ 【活动三】老虎，无处不在！ 【活动四】猜老虎收盘价，赢7周年礼盒！","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50bff157ec83f6b1de138725acb06b80","width":"0","height":"0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181263587","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"a351d8246f484949a8b1faa203cbd0ba","tweetId":"181263587","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/73ba5544vodgzp1254107296/1f1d15c03701925919200523485/hqMhAw6R8fAA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50bff157ec83f6b1de138725acb06b80"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186619652,"gmtCreate":1623490950176,"gmtModify":1634032407976,"author":{"id":"3578741832004353","authorId":"3578741832004353","name":"DSNjib","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5577b036c72ce85b3b60ecec13ce2fbb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578741832004353","idStr":"3578741832004353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186619652","repostId":"186388851","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":186388851,"gmtCreate":1623473793070,"gmtModify":1631885901828,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"分享老虎七周年精彩瞬间，获取随机虎币打赏！","htmlText":"\n \n \n  在活动现场的虎友，欢迎大家分享你在老虎七周年活动现场的照片，即可获得66-666虎币随机打赏~更有机会赢小虎玩偶，马克杯等周边奖品。【活动时间】2021年6月12日【参与方式】欢迎大家在本帖“留言并转发”参与活动，或者在“老虎七周年嘉年华”主题下发帖，晒出你在现场的活动图，并艾特 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/36984908995200\">@小虎活动</a> @小虎AV即可参与【活动奖励】凡是按照规则分享活动照片即可获得66-666虎币随机打赏，我们还会随机选出幸运虎友赠予小虎玩偶，或者马克杯等周边奖品（质量越高，点赞越高，互动越高，获奖几率越大）【特别奖励】相信有很多朋友由于各种原因没有办法到达老虎七周年的现场，不要着急，福利来啦！6月12日，社区将为无法来到现场相聚的虎友们同步进行线上直播! <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata={&quot;liveId&quot;:&quot;16226253307800&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\">戳我围观直播</a>悄悄地告诉你，本次Open Day直播还会设有抽奖环节，主持人会在15：00、16：00、17：00、17：40&nbsp;四个时间节点在直播间进行提问，参与抢答问题的虎友将有机会赢得老虎全球限量大礼包！【抽奖规则】：每轮抽奖主持人提问或发出口令后，虎友们需要第一时间在直播间评论区敲出答案获对应口令，工作人员将随机截取3位回答正确的幸运观众，送出老虎7周年全球限量大礼包哦~【奖品发放】中奖名单将当场公布，届时中奖的虎友请主动添加@爱发红包的虎妞 微信领取奖品，微信号是tigerbrokers。\n \n","listText":"在活动现场的虎友，欢迎大家分享你在老虎七周年活动现场的照片，即可获得66-666虎币随机打赏~更有机会赢小虎玩偶，马克杯等周边奖品。【活动时间】2021年6月12日【参与方式】欢迎大家在本帖“留言并转发”参与活动，或者在“老虎七周年嘉年华”主题下发帖，晒出你在现场的活动图，并艾特 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/36984908995200\">@小虎活动</a> @小虎AV即可参与【活动奖励】凡是按照规则分享活动照片即可获得66-666虎币随机打赏，我们还会随机选出幸运虎友赠予小虎玩偶，或者马克杯等周边奖品（质量越高，点赞越高，互动越高，获奖几率越大）【特别奖励】相信有很多朋友由于各种原因没有办法到达老虎七周年的现场，不要着急，福利来啦！6月12日，社区将为无法来到现场相聚的虎友们同步进行线上直播! <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata={&quot;liveId&quot;:&quot;16226253307800&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\">戳我围观直播</a>悄悄地告诉你，本次Open Day直播还会设有抽奖环节，主持人会在15：00、16：00、17：00、17：40&nbsp;四个时间节点在直播间进行提问，参与抢答问题的虎友将有机会赢得老虎全球限量大礼包！【抽奖规则】：每轮抽奖主持人提问或发出口令后，虎友们需要第一时间在直播间评论区敲出答案获对应口令，工作人员将随机截取3位回答正确的幸运观众，送出老虎7周年全球限量大礼包哦~【奖品发放】中奖名单将当场公布，届时中奖的虎友请主动添加@爱发红包的虎妞 微信领取奖品，微信号是tigerbrokers。","text":"在活动现场的虎友，欢迎大家分享你在老虎七周年活动现场的照片，即可获得66-666虎币随机打赏~更有机会赢小虎玩偶，马克杯等周边奖品。【活动时间】2021年6月12日【参与方式】欢迎大家在本帖“留言并转发”参与活动，或者在“老虎七周年嘉年华”主题下发帖，晒出你在现场的活动图，并艾特 @小虎活动 @小虎AV即可参与【活动奖励】凡是按照规则分享活动照片即可获得66-666虎币随机打赏，我们还会随机选出幸运虎友赠予小虎玩偶，或者马克杯等周边奖品（质量越高，点赞越高，互动越高，获奖几率越大）【特别奖励】相信有很多朋友由于各种原因没有办法到达老虎七周年的现场，不要着急，福利来啦！6月12日，社区将为无法来到现场相聚的虎友们同步进行线上直播! 戳我围观直播悄悄地告诉你，本次Open Day直播还会设有抽奖环节，主持人会在15：00、16：00、17：00、17：40 四个时间节点在直播间进行提问，参与抢答问题的虎友将有机会赢得老虎全球限量大礼包！【抽奖规则】：每轮抽奖主持人提问或发出口令后，虎友们需要第一时间在直播间评论区敲出答案获对应口令，工作人员将随机截取3位回答正确的幸运观众，送出老虎7周年全球限量大礼包哦~【奖品发放】中奖名单将当场公布，届时中奖的虎友请主动添加@爱发红包的虎妞 微信领取奖品，微信号是tigerbrokers。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186388851","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"937288312ea942aea7d36787b274aa53","tweetId":"186388851","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/27e1f7ecvodtransgzp1254107296/43f117a63701925919089160461/v.f30.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf4274e70584942c828dcdfe5d150800"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":43,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}