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2021-12-22
我的计划是买入苹果
@Buy_Sell:🚀【12月21日】新能源汽车股重挫,热门中概普跌,今天买点啥?
座头空
2021-12-12
好
美通胀在12月或1月出现拐点,美联储加息预期会降温
座头空
2021-09-14
$瑞银(UBS)$
这是啥情况?
座头空
2021-08-27
可以买吗?
老虎证券将于9月10日美股盘前公布其第二季度财报
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2021-08-26
[财迷]
小鹏汽车Q2营收37.61亿元,超市场预期
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2021-08-17
[流泪]
开盘:美股集体低开,热门中概股走弱
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2021-08-16
西方的制度不输才怪
抱歉,原内容已删除
座头空
2021-08-16
见不得人好[流泪]
抱歉,原内容已删除
座头空
2021-08-09
[财迷]
16万的特斯拉加上刀片电池,不给其他车企留活路了?
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2021-08-08
这风险是有点大,发生到自己身上就是百分之百跌停
抱歉,原内容已删除
座头空
2021-08-05
又要跌了吗?
抱歉,原内容已删除
座头空
2021-07-29
点赞
抱歉,原内容已删除
座头空
2021-07-29
好
抱歉,原内容已删除
座头空
2021-07-29
怎么投
@空军大队长:兄弟们麻烦给我们投一下票,在评论区截图奖金给你,分别是空间大队长,柳下惠的气质,少帅铁柱
$好未来(TAL)$
$新东方(EDU)$
$三倍做空FTSE中国ETF-Direxion(YANG)$
@我是股神的小腿毛
@我是股神的小腿毛
@柳下惠的气质
@小虎通知
座头空
2021-07-26
是时候行动起来,保护地球人人有责
抱歉,原内容已删除
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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港股市场 港股三大指数涨跌不一,恒指涨0.22%,国指涨0.07%,恒生科技指数跌0.57%。 盘面上,大型科技股继续下跌,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09999\">$网易-S(09999)$</a> 跌近3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a> 跌超1%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">$快手-W(01024)$</a> 等皆有跌幅;内房股与物管股开盘活跃,生物科技股普涨,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06160\">$百济神州(06160)$</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02269\">$药明生物(02269)$</a> 均高开;啤酒股、乳制品、汽车股、体育用品股、航空股普跌,信义玻璃涨近5%,今年净利润同比增长70%-85%。 美股市场 拜登经济支出计划被推迟审议,美股三大指数集体收跌,纳指跌1.24%,道指跌1.23%,标普500指数跌1.14%。 金融股普遍下行,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">$高盛(GS)$</a> 跌逾3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">$富国银行(WFC)$</a> 下跌2.8%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">$摩根大通(JPM)$</a> 和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">$美</a>","listText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法,包括对于大盘走势后续的看法?看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。 港股市场 港股三大指数涨跌不一,恒指涨0.22%,国指涨0.07%,恒生科技指数跌0.57%。 盘面上,大型科技股继续下跌,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09999\">$网易-S(09999)$</a> 跌近3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a> 跌超1%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">$快手-W(01024)$</a> 等皆有跌幅;内房股与物管股开盘活跃,生物科技股普涨,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06160\">$百济神州(06160)$</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02269\">$药明生物(02269)$</a> 均高开;啤酒股、乳制品、汽车股、体育用品股、航空股普跌,信义玻璃涨近5%,今年净利润同比增长70%-85%。 美股市场 拜登经济支出计划被推迟审议,美股三大指数集体收跌,纳指跌1.24%,道指跌1.23%,标普500指数跌1.14%。 金融股普遍下行,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">$高盛(GS)$</a> 跌逾3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">$富国银行(WFC)$</a> 下跌2.8%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">$摩根大通(JPM)$</a> 和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">$美</a>","text":"聊聊今日份的交易想法,包括对于大盘走势后续的看法?看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。 港股市场 港股三大指数涨跌不一,恒指涨0.22%,国指涨0.07%,恒生科技指数跌0.57%。 盘面上,大型科技股继续下跌,$网易-S(09999)$ 跌近3%,$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$ 、$美团-W(03690)$ 跌超1%,$快手-W(01024)$ 等皆有跌幅;内房股与物管股开盘活跃,生物科技股普涨,$百济神州(06160)$ 、$药明生物(02269)$ 均高开;啤酒股、乳制品、汽车股、体育用品股、航空股普跌,信义玻璃涨近5%,今年净利润同比增长70%-85%。 美股市场 拜登经济支出计划被推迟审议,美股三大指数集体收跌,纳指跌1.24%,道指跌1.23%,标普500指数跌1.14%。 金融股普遍下行,$高盛(GS)$ 跌逾3%,$富国银行(WFC)$ 下跌2.8%,$摩根大通(JPM)$ 和$美","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c224c9889536a14f83eca563ae0bb07","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693578764","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1176,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605748904,"gmtCreate":1639272030802,"gmtModify":1639272030871,"author":{"id":"3578630685959616","authorId":"3578630685959616","name":"座头空","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9aea12197ad7c2c68ac016926c3f7fac","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578630685959616","authorIdStr":"3578630685959616"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好","listText":"好","text":"好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605748904","repostId":"2190584674","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2190584674","pubTimestamp":1639271342,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2190584674?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-12 09:09","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美通胀在12月或1月出现拐点,美联储加息预期会降温","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2190584674","media":"熊园观察","summary":"核心结论:\n1、美国11月未季调CPI同比6.8%,符合预期,高于前值6.2%;核心CPI同比4.9%,符合预期,高于前值4.6%。分项来看,能源和二手车依然是涨幅最大的两个分项,食品价格同比涨幅也有","content":"<p>核心结论:</p>\n<p>1、美国11月未季调CPI同比6.8%,符合预期,高于前值6.2%;核心CPI同比4.9%,符合预期,高于前值4.6%。分项来看,能源和二手车依然是涨幅最大的两个分项,食品价格同比涨幅也有所扩大,服务分项价格上涨不明显。</p>\n<p>2、美国CPI数据公布后,美元指数和美债收益率均快速下行,美联储加息预期小幅降温。背后的逻辑在于,当前市场的通胀恐慌情绪已发酵得非常充分,在此背景下,“符合预期”即“不及预期”。</p>\n<p>3、要判断通胀的影响,需厘清实际通胀、通胀预期、加息预期之间的关系。概况而言,通胀预期和加息预期均跟随实际通胀变化,但二者均是只反映了即期通胀,没有包含对长期通胀走势的判断。这也意味着,一旦通胀数据开始回落,通胀预期和加息预期均会降温。</p>\n<p>4、美国通胀展望:美国CPI同比大概率在12月或1月出现拐点,随后持续回落,到2022年底有望降至2-3%。美联储货币政策方面:12/16的FOMC会议上可能宣布加速Taper,从而将于2022年3月结束购债。我们的中性预期仍是2022年加息1次,若通胀回落较为缓慢同时就业状况超预期改善,不排除可能加息2次,目前市场对加息超过2次的定价有些过高。</p>\n<p>5、大类资产展望:维持我们海外年度报告的观点:2022年美元指数大概率上涨,高点可能破100;美债名义利率更有可能温和下行,但实际利率可能上行;美国通胀出现拐点后,黄金大概率重回下跌通道;美股以震荡调整为主,难持续大幅上涨。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2266e9f081c8e9865719cc40c9d2c9e4\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"507\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>正文如下:</p>\n<p>1、美国11月CPI同比继续上行,能源价格仍是最大的驱动因素。</p>\n<p>>整体表现:美国11月未季调CPI同比6.8%,符合预期,高于前值6.2%,创1983年来最高;核心CPI同比4.9%,符合预期,高于前值4.6%,创1992年来最高。</p>\n<p>>分项来看:能源和二手车依然是涨幅最大的两个分项,分别同比上涨33.5%、31.4%,较前值分别提高3.5、5.0个百分点;食品分项同比上涨6.1%,较前值提高0.8个百分点;服务分项同比上涨3.4%,较前值提高0.1个百分点。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56840e057a808d725ba42b6357597807\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"525\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>2、为何通胀创新高,美元指数与美债收益率却在下行?</p>\n<p>自2021年初以来,几乎每个月的美国CPI同比都高于市场预期,且不断创下过去数十年新高,导致通胀恐慌情绪不断加剧。在此背景下,“符合预期”即“不及预期”,也就是说,即使通胀仍在上行,但只要没有超预期,市场就会认为通胀压力即将缓解。典型代表是今年7-9月,实际CPI数据与市场一致预期差别不大,通胀担忧暂时缓解,10Y美债收益率由1.5%降至1.2%。但自10月初以来,由于OPEC+不扩大增产和欧洲天然气危机,能源价格持续大幅上涨,导致通胀担忧再度加剧。</p>\n<p>本次美国CPI数据公布后,美元指数由96.4快速下跌至96.0左右;10Y美债收益率由1.52%一度下行至最低1.45%,最终收盘在1.49%;联邦基金利率期货隐含的2022年加息次数由2.9次回落至2.66次。资产价格和加息预期的这一表现,正是反映了“符合预期”即“不及预期”这一逻辑。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/73e91595514aa4a16d9020ecd56e3bfa\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"505\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11439eec97fcd608704561149e5fe7b9\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"507\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6ccfcb66a5745bb6ed0db6857f406ad\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"508\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2894a074be262f4b81fc8624dec1d8b3\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"506\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>3、要判断通胀的影响,需厘清实际通胀、通胀预期、加息预期之间的关系。</p>\n<p>概况而言,通胀预期和加息预期均跟随实际通胀变化,但二者均是只反映了即期通胀,没有包含对长期通胀走势的判断。不论美债隐含的市场通胀预期(美债与TIPS利差),还是纽约联储调查的消费者通胀预期,均与美国CPI同比走势高度一致。同时,利率期货隐含的加息预期与美债隐含的通胀预期走势高度一致。</p>\n<p>实际上,彭博最新的一致预期显示,市场预计2022Q4美国CPI同比将降至2.6%,PCE通胀将降至2.3%,核心PCE通胀将降至2.5%,这与我们年度海外报告中的测算较为接近。若认为通胀会持续回落至仅略高于美联储的政策目标,则不应预期2022年会加息接近3次。这反映出,利率期货隐含的加息预期更多反映了即期通胀表现,一旦通胀开始回落,加息预期也将开始降温。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6363cf0520911f92737fcc18b7ddf559\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"506\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2a057240e04b0d7bc73cc9b140ffca7\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc30cdda224d613b142ea77cdc9e6b88\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"494\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dc8c7235f088eadb0887246d2e896d2\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"494\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>4、美国通胀可能在12月或1月出现拐点,随后美联储加息预期将有所降温。</p>\n<p>>美国通胀走势:在前期报告中我们曾多次指出,美国通胀是“能源分项决定方向,其他分项决定幅度”,此外,原油价格同比领先CPI能源分项同比1-2月。根据我们在海外年度报告《反转之年——2022年海外宏观展望》中的分析,2022年原油价格大概率下跌,实际上自11月初以来油价已经下跌了超过13%,以12月至今的价格计算,油价同比已由10月的101.7%回落至44.3%。因此,美国通胀可能在12月或明年1月出现拐点,随后持续回落,到2022年底预计将降至2-3%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a576bbc678fa1cce9da2fdfd31519606\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"506\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2266e9f081c8e9865719cc40c9d2c9e4\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"507\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>>美联储货币政策:从近期鲍威尔和其他美联储官员表态来看,美联储很有可能会在12/16的FOMC会议上宣布加快Taper,从明年1月开始将缩债规模从150亿提高到300亿,从而将于2022年3月结束购债。但我们认为这并不意味着加息节奏会进一步加快,随着美国通胀见顶回落、经济持续放缓,叠加Omicron病毒的冲击,我们的中性预期仍是2022年加息1次,若通胀回落较为缓慢同时就业状况超预期改善,不排除可能加息2次,相比之下,目前市场对加息超过2次的定价有些过高。等到美国通胀出现拐点后,市场加息预期大概率会有所降温。</p>\n<p>>资产价格展望:维持我们海外年度报告的观点:2022年美元指数大概率上涨,高点可能破100;美债名义利率更有可能温和下行,但实际利率可能上行;美国通胀出现拐点后,黄金大概率重回下跌通道;美股以震荡调整为主,难持续大幅上涨。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e5716fa18263292dd18e133856ab857\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"508\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57c748a5b450257b8d8ad6553d36d073\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"508\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">风险提示:</p>\n<p>美国通胀持续超预期,美联储政策立场超预期变化。</p>","source":"lsy1589878828889","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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}\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美通胀在12月或1月出现拐点,美联储加息预期会降温\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-12 09:09 北京时间 <a href=https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hkstock/hkstocknews/2021-12-12/doc-ikyakumx3607986.shtml><strong>熊园观察</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>核心结论:\n1、美国11月未季调CPI同比6.8%,符合预期,高于前值6.2%;核心CPI同比4.9%,符合预期,高于前值4.6%。分项来看,能源和二手车依然是涨幅最大的两个分项,食品价格同比涨幅也有所扩大,服务分项价格上涨不明显。\n2、美国CPI数据公布后,美元指数和美债收益率均快速下行,美联储加息预期小幅降温。背后的逻辑在于,当前市场的通胀恐慌情绪已发酵得非常充分,在此背景下,“符合预期”即“...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hkstock/hkstocknews/2021-12-12/doc-ikyakumx3607986.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c7221d934f1008e531bdf79c8cfe0ee","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hkstock/hkstocknews/2021-12-12/doc-ikyakumx3607986.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2190584674","content_text":"核心结论:\n1、美国11月未季调CPI同比6.8%,符合预期,高于前值6.2%;核心CPI同比4.9%,符合预期,高于前值4.6%。分项来看,能源和二手车依然是涨幅最大的两个分项,食品价格同比涨幅也有所扩大,服务分项价格上涨不明显。\n2、美国CPI数据公布后,美元指数和美债收益率均快速下行,美联储加息预期小幅降温。背后的逻辑在于,当前市场的通胀恐慌情绪已发酵得非常充分,在此背景下,“符合预期”即“不及预期”。\n3、要判断通胀的影响,需厘清实际通胀、通胀预期、加息预期之间的关系。概况而言,通胀预期和加息预期均跟随实际通胀变化,但二者均是只反映了即期通胀,没有包含对长期通胀走势的判断。这也意味着,一旦通胀数据开始回落,通胀预期和加息预期均会降温。\n4、美国通胀展望:美国CPI同比大概率在12月或1月出现拐点,随后持续回落,到2022年底有望降至2-3%。美联储货币政策方面:12/16的FOMC会议上可能宣布加速Taper,从而将于2022年3月结束购债。我们的中性预期仍是2022年加息1次,若通胀回落较为缓慢同时就业状况超预期改善,不排除可能加息2次,目前市场对加息超过2次的定价有些过高。\n5、大类资产展望:维持我们海外年度报告的观点:2022年美元指数大概率上涨,高点可能破100;美债名义利率更有可能温和下行,但实际利率可能上行;美国通胀出现拐点后,黄金大概率重回下跌通道;美股以震荡调整为主,难持续大幅上涨。\n\n正文如下:\n1、美国11月CPI同比继续上行,能源价格仍是最大的驱动因素。\n>整体表现:美国11月未季调CPI同比6.8%,符合预期,高于前值6.2%,创1983年来最高;核心CPI同比4.9%,符合预期,高于前值4.6%,创1992年来最高。\n>分项来看:能源和二手车依然是涨幅最大的两个分项,分别同比上涨33.5%、31.4%,较前值分别提高3.5、5.0个百分点;食品分项同比上涨6.1%,较前值提高0.8个百分点;服务分项同比上涨3.4%,较前值提高0.1个百分点。\n\n2、为何通胀创新高,美元指数与美债收益率却在下行?\n自2021年初以来,几乎每个月的美国CPI同比都高于市场预期,且不断创下过去数十年新高,导致通胀恐慌情绪不断加剧。在此背景下,“符合预期”即“不及预期”,也就是说,即使通胀仍在上行,但只要没有超预期,市场就会认为通胀压力即将缓解。典型代表是今年7-9月,实际CPI数据与市场一致预期差别不大,通胀担忧暂时缓解,10Y美债收益率由1.5%降至1.2%。但自10月初以来,由于OPEC+不扩大增产和欧洲天然气危机,能源价格持续大幅上涨,导致通胀担忧再度加剧。\n本次美国CPI数据公布后,美元指数由96.4快速下跌至96.0左右;10Y美债收益率由1.52%一度下行至最低1.45%,最终收盘在1.49%;联邦基金利率期货隐含的2022年加息次数由2.9次回落至2.66次。资产价格和加息预期的这一表现,正是反映了“符合预期”即“不及预期”这一逻辑。\n\n3、要判断通胀的影响,需厘清实际通胀、通胀预期、加息预期之间的关系。\n概况而言,通胀预期和加息预期均跟随实际通胀变化,但二者均是只反映了即期通胀,没有包含对长期通胀走势的判断。不论美债隐含的市场通胀预期(美债与TIPS利差),还是纽约联储调查的消费者通胀预期,均与美国CPI同比走势高度一致。同时,利率期货隐含的加息预期与美债隐含的通胀预期走势高度一致。\n实际上,彭博最新的一致预期显示,市场预计2022Q4美国CPI同比将降至2.6%,PCE通胀将降至2.3%,核心PCE通胀将降至2.5%,这与我们年度海外报告中的测算较为接近。若认为通胀会持续回落至仅略高于美联储的政策目标,则不应预期2022年会加息接近3次。这反映出,利率期货隐含的加息预期更多反映了即期通胀表现,一旦通胀开始回落,加息预期也将开始降温。\n\n4、美国通胀可能在12月或1月出现拐点,随后美联储加息预期将有所降温。\n>美国通胀走势:在前期报告中我们曾多次指出,美国通胀是“能源分项决定方向,其他分项决定幅度”,此外,原油价格同比领先CPI能源分项同比1-2月。根据我们在海外年度报告《反转之年——2022年海外宏观展望》中的分析,2022年原油价格大概率下跌,实际上自11月初以来油价已经下跌了超过13%,以12月至今的价格计算,油价同比已由10月的101.7%回落至44.3%。因此,美国通胀可能在12月或明年1月出现拐点,随后持续回落,到2022年底预计将降至2-3%。\n\n>美联储货币政策:从近期鲍威尔和其他美联储官员表态来看,美联储很有可能会在12/16的FOMC会议上宣布加快Taper,从明年1月开始将缩债规模从150亿提高到300亿,从而将于2022年3月结束购债。但我们认为这并不意味着加息节奏会进一步加快,随着美国通胀见顶回落、经济持续放缓,叠加Omicron病毒的冲击,我们的中性预期仍是2022年加息1次,若通胀回落较为缓慢同时就业状况超预期改善,不排除可能加息2次,相比之下,目前市场对加息超过2次的定价有些过高。等到美国通胀出现拐点后,市场加息预期大概率会有所降温。\n>资产价格展望:维持我们海外年度报告的观点:2022年美元指数大概率上涨,高点可能破100;美债名义利率更有可能温和下行,但实际利率可能上行;美国通胀出现拐点后,黄金大概率重回下跌通道;美股以震荡调整为主,难持续大幅上涨。\n风险提示:\n美国通胀持续超预期,美联储政策立场超预期变化。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":767,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":886700834,"gmtCreate":1631622485728,"gmtModify":1631885991053,"author":{"id":"3578630685959616","authorId":"3578630685959616","name":"座头空","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9aea12197ad7c2c68ac016926c3f7fac","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578630685959616","authorIdStr":"3578630685959616"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">$瑞银(UBS)$</a>这是啥情况?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">$瑞银(UBS)$</a>这是啥情况?","text":"$瑞银(UBS)$这是啥情况?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ced04ef2d4d5409f26b41be5c0c11f2","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886700834","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1181,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":819641379,"gmtCreate":1630068995491,"gmtModify":1704955453963,"author":{"id":"3578630685959616","authorId":"3578630685959616","name":"座头空","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9aea12197ad7c2c68ac016926c3f7fac","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578630685959616","authorIdStr":"3578630685959616"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"可以买吗?","listText":"可以买吗?","text":"可以买吗?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/819641379","repostId":"1157282403","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1157282403","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1630045654,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157282403?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-27 14:27","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"老虎证券将于9月10日美股盘前公布其第二季度财报","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157282403","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"2021年8月27日(GLOBE NEWSWIRE)--老虎证券(纳斯达克:TIGR)今天宣布,将在2021年9月10日美股盘前公布其截至2021年6月30日的第二季度财务业绩。老虎证券管理层将于美东","content":"<p>2021年8月27日(GLOBE NEWSWIRE)--老虎证券(纳斯达克:TIGR)今天宣布,将在2021年9月10日美股盘前公布其截至2021年6月30日的第二季度财务业绩。</p><p>老虎证券管理层将于美东时间2021年9月10日上午8:00(北京/香港时间2021年9月10日晚上8:00)召开业绩电话会议。</p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>老虎证券将于9月10日美股盘前公布其第二季度财报</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n老虎证券将于9月10日美股盘前公布其第二季度财报\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-27 14:27</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>2021年8月27日(GLOBE NEWSWIRE)--老虎证券(纳斯达克:TIGR)今天宣布,将在2021年9月10日美股盘前公布其截至2021年6月30日的第二季度财务业绩。</p><p>老虎证券管理层将于美东时间2021年9月10日上午8:00(北京/香港时间2021年9月10日晚上8:00)召开业绩电话会议。</p><p></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f2ebafd9b9e78fcb0ae6a9f5287f8c1","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157282403","content_text":"2021年8月27日(GLOBE NEWSWIRE)--老虎证券(纳斯达克:TIGR)今天宣布,将在2021年9月10日美股盘前公布其截至2021年6月30日的第二季度财务业绩。老虎证券管理层将于美东时间2021年9月10日上午8:00(北京/香港时间2021年9月10日晚上8:00)召开业绩电话会议。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":581,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":810623198,"gmtCreate":1629973428014,"gmtModify":1631889940507,"author":{"id":"3578630685959616","authorId":"3578630685959616","name":"座头空","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9aea12197ad7c2c68ac016926c3f7fac","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578630685959616","authorIdStr":"3578630685959616"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] ","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810623198","repostId":"1175308904","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175308904","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629970251,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175308904?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-26 17:30","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"小鹏汽车Q2营收37.61亿元,超市场预期","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175308904","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"8月26日,小鹏汽车发布2021年第二季度业绩。财报显示,第二季度营收37.61亿元,市场预期为34.36亿元;第二季度净亏损11.9亿元,市场预期净亏损12.36亿元;第二季度每ADS亏损1.5元,","content":"<p>8月26日,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>发布2021年第二季度业绩。财报显示,第二季度营收37.61亿元,市场预期为34.36亿元;第二季度净亏损11.9亿元,市场预期净亏损12.36亿元;第二季度每ADS亏损1.5元,市场预期亏损2.14元;第二季度毛利率为11.9%。</p>\n<p>财报发布后,小鹏汽车美股盘前股价由跌转涨,现微涨0.02%</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f59c86c0e919224def0a7a851a87d733\" tg-width=\"899\" tg-height=\"894\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>截至 2021 年 6 月 30 日止三个月的运营和财务要点</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>2021年第二季度汽车交付量为17,398辆,创季度新高,较 2020 年同期的3,228辆增长 439%,较 2021 年第一季度的 13,340 辆增长 30.4%。</li>\n <li>P7在 2021 年第二季度的交付量为 11,522 辆,创下季度新高,比 2021 年第一季度的 7,974 辆增长了 44.5%。</li>\n <li>2021 年第二季度交付的 P7 总数中,97% 可以支持 XPILOT 2.5 或 XPILOT 3.0。</li>\n <li>截至2021年6月30日,小鹏的实体销售和服务网络共包括200家门店和64个服务中心,覆盖74个城市。</li>\n <li>截至2021年6月30日,小鹏品牌超级充电站已扩展至231个,覆盖65个城市。</li>\n <li>2021 年第二季度总收入为人民币 37.613 亿元(5.825 亿美元),同比增长 536.7%,环比增长 27.5%。</li>\n <li>2021年第二季度汽车销售收入为人民币35.844亿元(5.551亿美元),同比增长562.4%,环比增长27.5%。</li>\n <li>2021 年第二季度的毛利率为 11.9%,而 2020 年同期为负 2.7%,2021 年第一季度为负 11.2%。</li>\n <li>2021 年第二季度汽车利润率(汽车销售毛利润占汽车销售收入的百分比)为 11.0%,而 2020 年同期为负 5.6%,2021 年第一季度为 10.1%。</li>\n <li>2021 年第二季度净亏损为人民币 11.946 亿元(1.850 亿美元),而 2020 年同期为人民币 1.460 亿元,2021 年第一季度为人民币 7.866 亿元。与优先股赎回权相关的衍生负债公允价值变动,2021 年第二季度非美国通用会计准则净亏损为人民币 10.964 亿元(1.698 亿美元),而 2020 年同期为人民币 7.695 亿元; 2021年第一季度为人民币6.963亿元。</li>\n <li>2021 年第二季度小鹏普通股东应占净亏损为人民币11.946 亿元(1.850 亿美元),而 2020 年同期为人民币 11.415 亿元,2021 年第一季度为人民币 7.866 亿元。以股份为基础的补偿费用、与优先股赎回权相关的衍生负债公允价值变动以及优先股对赎回价值的增加,2021年第二季度小鹏普通股股东应占非公认会计准则净亏损为人民币 10.964 亿元(1.698 亿美元) ,2020年同期为人民币7.695亿元,2021年第一季度为人民币6.963亿元。</li>\n <li>2021 年第二季度每美国存托股票 (ADS) 的基本和摊薄净亏损均为人民币 1.50 元(0.23 美元)。</li>\n <li>截至2021年6月30日,现金及现金等价物、受限制现金、短期存款、短期投资和长期存款为人民币328.712亿元(50.911亿美元)。</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2807659d1ef15aef6bee7762ee65aa38\" tg-width=\"888\" tg-height=\"762\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a05c41000cfdef2b027a96381b785c7c\" tg-width=\"817\" tg-height=\"649\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>业务展望</b></p>\n<p>对于2021年第三季度,公司预计:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>汽车交付量</b>将在 21,500 至 22,500辆之间,同比增长约 150.6% 至 162.3%。</li>\n <li><b>总收入</b>在人民币48亿元至人民币50亿元之间,同比增长约141.2%至151.3%。</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>一图读懂小鹏汽车发布2021年第二季度业绩</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c76e12bf78f0702615f0684cff4dfcab\" tg-width=\"1126\" tg-height=\"10248\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>小鹏汽车Q2营收37.61亿元,超市场预期</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n小鹏汽车Q2营收37.61亿元,超市场预期\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-26 17:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>8月26日,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>发布2021年第二季度业绩。财报显示,第二季度营收37.61亿元,市场预期为34.36亿元;第二季度净亏损11.9亿元,市场预期净亏损12.36亿元;第二季度每ADS亏损1.5元,市场预期亏损2.14元;第二季度毛利率为11.9%。</p>\n<p>财报发布后,小鹏汽车美股盘前股价由跌转涨,现微涨0.02%</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f59c86c0e919224def0a7a851a87d733\" tg-width=\"899\" tg-height=\"894\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>截至 2021 年 6 月 30 日止三个月的运营和财务要点</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>2021年第二季度汽车交付量为17,398辆,创季度新高,较 2020 年同期的3,228辆增长 439%,较 2021 年第一季度的 13,340 辆增长 30.4%。</li>\n <li>P7在 2021 年第二季度的交付量为 11,522 辆,创下季度新高,比 2021 年第一季度的 7,974 辆增长了 44.5%。</li>\n <li>2021 年第二季度交付的 P7 总数中,97% 可以支持 XPILOT 2.5 或 XPILOT 3.0。</li>\n <li>截至2021年6月30日,小鹏的实体销售和服务网络共包括200家门店和64个服务中心,覆盖74个城市。</li>\n <li>截至2021年6月30日,小鹏品牌超级充电站已扩展至231个,覆盖65个城市。</li>\n <li>2021 年第二季度总收入为人民币 37.613 亿元(5.825 亿美元),同比增长 536.7%,环比增长 27.5%。</li>\n <li>2021年第二季度汽车销售收入为人民币35.844亿元(5.551亿美元),同比增长562.4%,环比增长27.5%。</li>\n <li>2021 年第二季度的毛利率为 11.9%,而 2020 年同期为负 2.7%,2021 年第一季度为负 11.2%。</li>\n <li>2021 年第二季度汽车利润率(汽车销售毛利润占汽车销售收入的百分比)为 11.0%,而 2020 年同期为负 5.6%,2021 年第一季度为 10.1%。</li>\n <li>2021 年第二季度净亏损为人民币 11.946 亿元(1.850 亿美元),而 2020 年同期为人民币 1.460 亿元,2021 年第一季度为人民币 7.866 亿元。与优先股赎回权相关的衍生负债公允价值变动,2021 年第二季度非美国通用会计准则净亏损为人民币 10.964 亿元(1.698 亿美元),而 2020 年同期为人民币 7.695 亿元; 2021年第一季度为人民币6.963亿元。</li>\n <li>2021 年第二季度小鹏普通股东应占净亏损为人民币11.946 亿元(1.850 亿美元),而 2020 年同期为人民币 11.415 亿元,2021 年第一季度为人民币 7.866 亿元。以股份为基础的补偿费用、与优先股赎回权相关的衍生负债公允价值变动以及优先股对赎回价值的增加,2021年第二季度小鹏普通股股东应占非公认会计准则净亏损为人民币 10.964 亿元(1.698 亿美元) ,2020年同期为人民币7.695亿元,2021年第一季度为人民币6.963亿元。</li>\n <li>2021 年第二季度每美国存托股票 (ADS) 的基本和摊薄净亏损均为人民币 1.50 元(0.23 美元)。</li>\n <li>截至2021年6月30日,现金及现金等价物、受限制现金、短期存款、短期投资和长期存款为人民币328.712亿元(50.911亿美元)。</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2807659d1ef15aef6bee7762ee65aa38\" tg-width=\"888\" tg-height=\"762\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a05c41000cfdef2b027a96381b785c7c\" tg-width=\"817\" tg-height=\"649\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>业务展望</b></p>\n<p>对于2021年第三季度,公司预计:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>汽车交付量</b>将在 21,500 至 22,500辆之间,同比增长约 150.6% 至 162.3%。</li>\n <li><b>总收入</b>在人民币48亿元至人民币50亿元之间,同比增长约141.2%至151.3%。</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>一图读懂小鹏汽车发布2021年第二季度业绩</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c76e12bf78f0702615f0684cff4dfcab\" tg-width=\"1126\" tg-height=\"10248\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a7cf240033f083a329240e6179df017","relate_stocks":{"09868":"小鹏汽车-W","XPEV":"小鹏汽车"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175308904","content_text":"8月26日,小鹏汽车发布2021年第二季度业绩。财报显示,第二季度营收37.61亿元,市场预期为34.36亿元;第二季度净亏损11.9亿元,市场预期净亏损12.36亿元;第二季度每ADS亏损1.5元,市场预期亏损2.14元;第二季度毛利率为11.9%。\n财报发布后,小鹏汽车美股盘前股价由跌转涨,现微涨0.02%\n\n截至 2021 年 6 月 30 日止三个月的运营和财务要点\n\n2021年第二季度汽车交付量为17,398辆,创季度新高,较 2020 年同期的3,228辆增长 439%,较 2021 年第一季度的 13,340 辆增长 30.4%。\nP7在 2021 年第二季度的交付量为 11,522 辆,创下季度新高,比 2021 年第一季度的 7,974 辆增长了 44.5%。\n2021 年第二季度交付的 P7 总数中,97% 可以支持 XPILOT 2.5 或 XPILOT 3.0。\n截至2021年6月30日,小鹏的实体销售和服务网络共包括200家门店和64个服务中心,覆盖74个城市。\n截至2021年6月30日,小鹏品牌超级充电站已扩展至231个,覆盖65个城市。\n2021 年第二季度总收入为人民币 37.613 亿元(5.825 亿美元),同比增长 536.7%,环比增长 27.5%。\n2021年第二季度汽车销售收入为人民币35.844亿元(5.551亿美元),同比增长562.4%,环比增长27.5%。\n2021 年第二季度的毛利率为 11.9%,而 2020 年同期为负 2.7%,2021 年第一季度为负 11.2%。\n2021 年第二季度汽车利润率(汽车销售毛利润占汽车销售收入的百分比)为 11.0%,而 2020 年同期为负 5.6%,2021 年第一季度为 10.1%。\n2021 年第二季度净亏损为人民币 11.946 亿元(1.850 亿美元),而 2020 年同期为人民币 1.460 亿元,2021 年第一季度为人民币 7.866 亿元。与优先股赎回权相关的衍生负债公允价值变动,2021 年第二季度非美国通用会计准则净亏损为人民币 10.964 亿元(1.698 亿美元),而 2020 年同期为人民币 7.695 亿元; 2021年第一季度为人民币6.963亿元。\n2021 年第二季度小鹏普通股东应占净亏损为人民币11.946 亿元(1.850 亿美元),而 2020 年同期为人民币 11.415 亿元,2021 年第一季度为人民币 7.866 亿元。以股份为基础的补偿费用、与优先股赎回权相关的衍生负债公允价值变动以及优先股对赎回价值的增加,2021年第二季度小鹏普通股股东应占非公认会计准则净亏损为人民币 10.964 亿元(1.698 亿美元) ,2020年同期为人民币7.695亿元,2021年第一季度为人民币6.963亿元。\n2021 年第二季度每美国存托股票 (ADS) 的基本和摊薄净亏损均为人民币 1.50 元(0.23 美元)。\n截至2021年6月30日,现金及现金等价物、受限制现金、短期存款、短期投资和长期存款为人民币328.712亿元(50.911亿美元)。\n\n\n业务展望\n对于2021年第三季度,公司预计:\n\n汽车交付量将在 21,500 至 22,500辆之间,同比增长约 150.6% 至 162.3%。\n总收入在人民币48亿元至人民币50亿元之间,同比增长约141.2%至151.3%。\n\n一图读懂小鹏汽车发布2021年第二季度业绩","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":682,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":833372454,"gmtCreate":1629208382878,"gmtModify":1631889940512,"author":{"id":"3578630685959616","authorId":"3578630685959616","name":"座头空","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9aea12197ad7c2c68ac016926c3f7fac","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578630685959616","authorIdStr":"3578630685959616"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[流泪] ","listText":"[流泪] ","text":"[流泪]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/833372454","repostId":"1156632462","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1156632462","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629206985,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1156632462?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-17 21:29","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"开盘:美股集体低开,热门中概股走弱","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156632462","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"8月17日(周二),道琼斯指数开盘下跌288.75点,跌幅0.81%,报35336.65点;标普500指数开盘下跌30.88点,跌幅0.69%,报4448.78点;纳斯达克综合指数开盘下跌138.6点","content":"<p>8月17日(周二),道琼斯指数开盘下跌288.75点,跌幅0.81%,报35336.65点;标普500指数开盘下跌30.88点,跌幅0.69%,报4448.78点;纳斯达克综合指数开盘下跌138.6点,跌幅0.94%,报14655.1点。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/581089fe98a5ba7e947951927dfa0e37\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>中概科技股美股走低,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>跌3.8%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>跌5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a>跌3.7%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>跌6.6%。<b>中国国家市场监管总局发布的《禁止网络不正当竞争行为规定(公开征求意见稿)》,就针对利用互联网技术手段等衍生出的新型网络不正当竞争行为,进行了分类规制。</b></p>\n<p>中概教育股走低,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>跌5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">好未来</a>跌近7%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">高途</a>跌超2%。此前北京市教委表示严禁资本化运作,学科类培训机构一律不得上市融资。</p>\n<p>中概新能源汽车股美股表现疲软。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>跌2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车跌3.6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>跌1.4%。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">腾讯音乐</a>跌超8%,此前遭<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JEF\">杰富瑞</a>降其目标价至16美元。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴</a>跌超1%,今日石家庄市交通管理部门约谈滴滴,若整改不到位,可能被暂停网约车业务,下架APP。</p>\n<p>中概股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RERE\">万物新生</a>逆市大涨超11%,公司二季度营收同比增长56.2%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b910f531eae1c58ab84af5872ae20527\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>“东南亚小<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯</a>”SEA涨1.4%,公司此前上调2021年电商业务、游戏业务展望。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">沃尔玛</a>百货跌约1%,公司今日发布财报,二季度营收1410.5亿美元,同比增加2.4%。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HD\">家得宝</a>跌近4%,同店销售额增长率低于市场预期。</p>\n<p>Roblox跌6%,Q2营收及净利润均不及预期。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>开盘:美股集体低开,热门中概股走弱</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n开盘:美股集体低开,热门中概股走弱\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-17 21:29</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>8月17日(周二),道琼斯指数开盘下跌288.75点,跌幅0.81%,报35336.65点;标普500指数开盘下跌30.88点,跌幅0.69%,报4448.78点;纳斯达克综合指数开盘下跌138.6点,跌幅0.94%,报14655.1点。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/581089fe98a5ba7e947951927dfa0e37\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>中概科技股美股走低,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>跌3.8%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>跌5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a>跌3.7%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>跌6.6%。<b>中国国家市场监管总局发布的《禁止网络不正当竞争行为规定(公开征求意见稿)》,就针对利用互联网技术手段等衍生出的新型网络不正当竞争行为,进行了分类规制。</b></p>\n<p>中概教育股走低,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>跌5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">好未来</a>跌近7%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">高途</a>跌超2%。此前北京市教委表示严禁资本化运作,学科类培训机构一律不得上市融资。</p>\n<p>中概新能源汽车股美股表现疲软。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>跌2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车跌3.6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>跌1.4%。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">腾讯音乐</a>跌超8%,此前遭<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JEF\">杰富瑞</a>降其目标价至16美元。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴</a>跌超1%,今日石家庄市交通管理部门约谈滴滴,若整改不到位,可能被暂停网约车业务,下架APP。</p>\n<p>中概股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RERE\">万物新生</a>逆市大涨超11%,公司二季度营收同比增长56.2%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b910f531eae1c58ab84af5872ae20527\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>“东南亚小<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯</a>”SEA涨1.4%,公司此前上调2021年电商业务、游戏业务展望。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">沃尔玛</a>百货跌约1%,公司今日发布财报,二季度营收1410.5亿美元,同比增加2.4%。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HD\">家得宝</a>跌近4%,同店销售额增长率低于市场预期。</p>\n<p>Roblox跌6%,Q2营收及净利润均不及预期。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff6e3231d788a5a6d28cf7965385cc7f","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156632462","content_text":"8月17日(周二),道琼斯指数开盘下跌288.75点,跌幅0.81%,报35336.65点;标普500指数开盘下跌30.88点,跌幅0.69%,报4448.78点;纳斯达克综合指数开盘下跌138.6点,跌幅0.94%,报14655.1点。\n\n中概科技股美股走低,阿里巴巴跌3.8%,京东跌5%,网易跌3.7%,哔哩哔哩跌6.6%。中国国家市场监管总局发布的《禁止网络不正当竞争行为规定(公开征求意见稿)》,就针对利用互联网技术手段等衍生出的新型网络不正当竞争行为,进行了分类规制。\n中概教育股走低,新东方跌5%,好未来跌近7%,高途跌超2%。此前北京市教委表示严禁资本化运作,学科类培训机构一律不得上市融资。\n中概新能源汽车股美股表现疲软。小鹏汽车跌2%,蔚来汽车跌3.6%,理想汽车跌1.4%。\n腾讯音乐跌超8%,此前遭杰富瑞降其目标价至16美元。\n滴滴跌超1%,今日石家庄市交通管理部门约谈滴滴,若整改不到位,可能被暂停网约车业务,下架APP。\n中概股万物新生逆市大涨超11%,公司二季度营收同比增长56.2%。\n\n“东南亚小腾讯”SEA涨1.4%,公司此前上调2021年电商业务、游戏业务展望。\n沃尔玛百货跌约1%,公司今日发布财报,二季度营收1410.5亿美元,同比增加2.4%。\n家得宝跌近4%,同店销售额增长率低于市场预期。\nRoblox跌6%,Q2营收及净利润均不及预期。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":919,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":830884910,"gmtCreate":1629046463630,"gmtModify":1631889940514,"author":{"id":"3578630685959616","authorId":"3578630685959616","name":"座头空","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9aea12197ad7c2c68ac016926c3f7fac","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578630685959616","authorIdStr":"3578630685959616"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"西方的制度不输才怪","listText":"西方的制度不输才怪","text":"西方的制度不输才怪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830884910","repostId":"1136171534","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1114,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":830886785,"gmtCreate":1629045763747,"gmtModify":1631889940518,"author":{"id":"3578630685959616","authorId":"3578630685959616","name":"座头空","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9aea12197ad7c2c68ac016926c3f7fac","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578630685959616","authorIdStr":"3578630685959616"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"见不得人好[流泪] 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","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898540958","repostId":"2158452454","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2158452454","pubTimestamp":1628599276,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2158452454?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-10 20:41","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"16万的特斯拉加上刀片电池,不给其他车企留活路了?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2158452454","media":"未来汽车Daily","summary":"在新能源市场上一骑绝尘的特斯拉正在试图跑得更快。\n近日,有媒体报道称,比亚迪即将于明年第二季度向特斯拉供应刀片电池,目前配有刀片电池的特斯拉车型已进入C样测试阶段。\n尽管双方都对该消息表示“不予置评”","content":"<p>在新能源市场上一骑绝尘的特斯拉正在试图跑得更快。</p>\n<p>近日,有媒体报道称,比亚迪即将于明年第二季度向特斯拉供应刀片电池,目前配有刀片电池的特斯拉车型已进入C样测试阶段。</p>\n<p>尽管双方都对该消息表示“不予置评”,但种种迹象还是指向特斯拉计划推出的更为平价版的全新车型。此前,特斯拉中国总裁朱晓彤在接受采访时透露,称特斯拉正在研发一款面向大众市场的车型,预计起售价在人民币16万元左右。</p>\n<p>而受此消息影响,比亚迪股价不仅一度突破300元关口,并在6日盘中创下每股317.3元的历史新高,市值首次突破9000亿元。</p>\n<p>当比亚迪举“刀”奔向特斯拉,究竟是一场计划已久的联手还是虚晃一枪?</p>\n<p><b><i>1</i></b></p>\n<p><b>铁打的特斯拉,流水的供应商</b></p>\n<p>在电池的选择上,特斯拉有过很多合作伙伴,但核心似乎只有一个——性价比。</p>\n<p>早在2009年,特斯拉就和松下开始合作,后又与LG签订订单采购三元锂电池。在特斯拉实现国产后,特斯拉又将宁德时代纳入供应体系,当前Model 3标准续航版使用的便是宁德时代的磷酸铁锂电池。</p>\n<p>而如今的马斯克,也愈发表现出对于磷酸铁锂电池的青睐。</p>\n<p>不久前,特斯拉CEO马斯克在财报后的电话会透露,未来在特斯拉的电池构成上,将使用2/3的磷酸铁锂电池和1/3的镍电池。使用更多磷酸铁锂电池的信号,和马斯克要令电池中的镍含量不断上升,钴含量不断下降紧密相关。</p>\n<p>除此之外,特斯拉还在自研电池。2020年,在特斯拉电池日上,马斯克对外发布了全新动力电池——全新的无极耳4680电池,这种电池的成本低、充电快、续航长。而当时和电池一起发布的,还有特斯拉对于未来电动车提出的新目标,更低的电芯和电池组成本,以及更便宜的车型。</p>\n<p>但马斯克在不久前表示,现在4680电池还太少,特斯拉还需要多造一些,对其进行充分验证。他解释称,“此时如果盲目地把新电池装车、并大规模量产,这种做法是不可靠的。毕竟小规模试制和大规模量产是两码事,特斯拉还没那么着急。”</p>\n<p>不过对于急于继续扩大产能,降低成本的特斯拉来说,市场并不等人。特斯拉需要选定更适合的供应商,在降本的同时增加对供应商的议价权。而比亚迪的“刀片电池”就是基于这个逻辑和特斯拉传出“绯闻”。</p>\n<p>对于特斯拉来说,其江湖地位已经无需证明。截至今年6月,2021年上半年特斯拉累计交付38.6万辆新车,其中Model 3更是凭借单车销量24万辆的成绩,成为全球新能源销量最高的单一车型。</p>\n<p>但为了进一步抢占市场刺激销量,特斯拉还在全方位地把价格打下来。7月30日,特斯拉Model 3再一次降价,标准续航升级版车型价格下调了1.5万元,补贴后起售价为23.59万元人民币,而这已经是特斯拉Model 3入华以来的第5次降价调整。</p>\n<p>Model 3的价格究竟能降到多少,特斯拉还能推出多便宜的车型,也成为行业里经久不衰的话题。除了其零部件国产化率的不断提升,人们自然而然地将目光瞄准了在三电系统中占据近40%成本的电池。</p>\n<p>值得注意的是,根据中国汽车动力电池产业创新联盟公布的数据显示,2021年5月,我国磷酸铁锂电池月产量首次超过了三元锂电池。截至2020年年底,我国三元锂电池和磷酸铁锂电池的产量占比还分别为58.1%和41.4%。</p>\n<p><b><i>2</i></b></p>\n<p><b>比亚迪能否拿下特斯拉?</b></p>\n<p>2020年3月,比亚迪正式发布刀片电池,并最先搭载在新能源旗舰轿车“汉EV”上。之后,主打安全牌的汉EV也在市场上收获颇丰,在上市一年的时间里,累计销量超过10万辆。根据最新的公告显示,比亚迪全系纯电汽车都已换装“刀片电池”。</p>\n<p>当前新能源车采用的电池主要有三元锂电池和磷酸铁锂电池。而这两种电池也对应着不同的市场定位,三元锂电池能量密度高,续航里程更长,但安全性和循环寿命相对劣势。成本更低的磷酸铁锂电池,虽然安全性、抗衰退能力相对有优势,但能量密度偏低,续航里程也相对更短。</p>\n<p>而比亚迪采用了新型磷酸铁锂技术的“刀片电池”在问世时,就声称要解决电池续航和安全不可兼得的难题。按照其官方介绍,刀片电池的续航里程不仅能达到三元锂电池的同等水平,还顺利通过了令后者望而生畏的“针刺测试”。</p>\n<p>行业人士告诉未来汽车日报,“刀片电池听上去玄乎其神,实际上它只是在结构上的一种创新,并不是电池材料的突破。它将电芯做得更长、更薄,类似于刀片一样,通过优化结构重新设计布局来提升能量密度。”</p>\n<p>不过,这种结构创新已经带来足够的优势。“比亚迪刀片电池的体积能量密度比传统磷酸铁锂电池提升50%,已经能够和普通三元锂电池媲美,安全性极高。并且,刀片电池的成本下降了20%-30%,这是对车企来说更为在意的东西”,上述人士表示。</p>\n<p>光大证券曾分析称,宁德时代CTP磷酸铁锂电池包的成本为0.57元/Wh,行业平均磷酸铁锂电池成本0.65元/Wh,而比亚迪刀片电池的成本为0.42元/Wh,相较宁德时代成本降低0.15元/Wh。这对于“价格屠夫”特斯拉而言,无疑极具吸引力。</p>\n<p>2019年,为了进一步加快新能源汽车核心零部件的对外销售,比亚迪宣布成立弗迪系列公司,弗迪电池、弗迪动力、弗迪科技等五家公司,而刀片电池就来自比亚迪旗下的弗迪电池,是弗迪电池的动力电池业务板块的最重要产品。</p>\n<p>弗迪电池的前身比亚迪锂电池有限公司,早前弗迪电池相关人员接受未来汽车日报采访时就曾表示,“弗迪电池成立之初是因为市场足够大,早期会以供给比亚迪产品为主,但长期来看会面向全球车企接受动力电池订单,虽然都是比亚迪旗下,但弗迪系各公司之间的利润都是独立核算的,也不排除单独上市的可能。”</p>\n<p>与此同时,比亚迪还在不断提升产能。根据比亚迪的规划,今年会继续推进扩大重庆弗迪刀片电池生产线,随着弗迪电池在长沙、贵阳的工厂的正式投产,今年底刀片电池总产能将达到75GWh,2022年底产能将进一步攀升至100GWh。</p>\n<p>8月5日,比亚迪又在安徽芜湖成立了一家新电池公司,命名为“无为弗迪电池有限公司“,注册资本为5000万元,主要用于生产电池。这一动作也指向比亚迪为了对外供应做准备。</p>\n<p>事实上,随着刀片电池经过市场验证,不断有其他车企寻求与比亚迪合作。</p>\n<p>7月14日,长春市政府、中国一汽集团以及比亚迪公司共同签署了新能源动力电池项目投资合作协议,将在长春建设先进的动力电池工厂,未来将会由该动力电池工厂向一汽集团旗下的车型提供动力电池。</p>\n<p>比亚迪集团副总裁兼弗迪电池董事长何龙曾表示:“几乎你能想到的所有汽车品牌,都在和我们探讨基于刀片电池技术的合作方案。”</p>\n<p>参照特斯拉国产后换装宁德时代磷酸铁锂的案例,当电池成本下降,产品的价格也会因此而下调,随之而来的好处就是提升产品性价比,赢得更大的市场份额。</p>\n<p>而对于比亚迪而言,特斯拉巨大的销量,无疑会给其电池业务收获更大的市场。</p>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n16万的特斯拉加上刀片电池,不给其他车企留活路了?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-10 20:41 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2021080919144479deaf41&s=b><strong>未来汽车Daily</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>在新能源市场上一骑绝尘的特斯拉正在试图跑得更快。\n近日,有媒体报道称,比亚迪即将于明年第二季度向特斯拉供应刀片电池,目前配有刀片电池的特斯拉车型已进入C样测试阶段。\n尽管双方都对该消息表示“不予置评”,但种种迹象还是指向特斯拉计划推出的更为平价版的全新车型。此前,特斯拉中国总裁朱晓彤在接受采访时透露,称特斯拉正在研发一款面向大众市场的车型,预计起售价在人民币16万元左右。\n而受此消息影响,比亚迪...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2021080919144479deaf41&s=b\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20210809191416159v1545q1njkg4cc0","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2021080919144479deaf41&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2158452454","content_text":"在新能源市场上一骑绝尘的特斯拉正在试图跑得更快。\n近日,有媒体报道称,比亚迪即将于明年第二季度向特斯拉供应刀片电池,目前配有刀片电池的特斯拉车型已进入C样测试阶段。\n尽管双方都对该消息表示“不予置评”,但种种迹象还是指向特斯拉计划推出的更为平价版的全新车型。此前,特斯拉中国总裁朱晓彤在接受采访时透露,称特斯拉正在研发一款面向大众市场的车型,预计起售价在人民币16万元左右。\n而受此消息影响,比亚迪股价不仅一度突破300元关口,并在6日盘中创下每股317.3元的历史新高,市值首次突破9000亿元。\n当比亚迪举“刀”奔向特斯拉,究竟是一场计划已久的联手还是虚晃一枪?\n1\n铁打的特斯拉,流水的供应商\n在电池的选择上,特斯拉有过很多合作伙伴,但核心似乎只有一个——性价比。\n早在2009年,特斯拉就和松下开始合作,后又与LG签订订单采购三元锂电池。在特斯拉实现国产后,特斯拉又将宁德时代纳入供应体系,当前Model 3标准续航版使用的便是宁德时代的磷酸铁锂电池。\n而如今的马斯克,也愈发表现出对于磷酸铁锂电池的青睐。\n不久前,特斯拉CEO马斯克在财报后的电话会透露,未来在特斯拉的电池构成上,将使用2/3的磷酸铁锂电池和1/3的镍电池。使用更多磷酸铁锂电池的信号,和马斯克要令电池中的镍含量不断上升,钴含量不断下降紧密相关。\n除此之外,特斯拉还在自研电池。2020年,在特斯拉电池日上,马斯克对外发布了全新动力电池——全新的无极耳4680电池,这种电池的成本低、充电快、续航长。而当时和电池一起发布的,还有特斯拉对于未来电动车提出的新目标,更低的电芯和电池组成本,以及更便宜的车型。\n但马斯克在不久前表示,现在4680电池还太少,特斯拉还需要多造一些,对其进行充分验证。他解释称,“此时如果盲目地把新电池装车、并大规模量产,这种做法是不可靠的。毕竟小规模试制和大规模量产是两码事,特斯拉还没那么着急。”\n不过对于急于继续扩大产能,降低成本的特斯拉来说,市场并不等人。特斯拉需要选定更适合的供应商,在降本的同时增加对供应商的议价权。而比亚迪的“刀片电池”就是基于这个逻辑和特斯拉传出“绯闻”。\n对于特斯拉来说,其江湖地位已经无需证明。截至今年6月,2021年上半年特斯拉累计交付38.6万辆新车,其中Model 3更是凭借单车销量24万辆的成绩,成为全球新能源销量最高的单一车型。\n但为了进一步抢占市场刺激销量,特斯拉还在全方位地把价格打下来。7月30日,特斯拉Model 3再一次降价,标准续航升级版车型价格下调了1.5万元,补贴后起售价为23.59万元人民币,而这已经是特斯拉Model 3入华以来的第5次降价调整。\nModel 3的价格究竟能降到多少,特斯拉还能推出多便宜的车型,也成为行业里经久不衰的话题。除了其零部件国产化率的不断提升,人们自然而然地将目光瞄准了在三电系统中占据近40%成本的电池。\n值得注意的是,根据中国汽车动力电池产业创新联盟公布的数据显示,2021年5月,我国磷酸铁锂电池月产量首次超过了三元锂电池。截至2020年年底,我国三元锂电池和磷酸铁锂电池的产量占比还分别为58.1%和41.4%。\n2\n比亚迪能否拿下特斯拉?\n2020年3月,比亚迪正式发布刀片电池,并最先搭载在新能源旗舰轿车“汉EV”上。之后,主打安全牌的汉EV也在市场上收获颇丰,在上市一年的时间里,累计销量超过10万辆。根据最新的公告显示,比亚迪全系纯电汽车都已换装“刀片电池”。\n当前新能源车采用的电池主要有三元锂电池和磷酸铁锂电池。而这两种电池也对应着不同的市场定位,三元锂电池能量密度高,续航里程更长,但安全性和循环寿命相对劣势。成本更低的磷酸铁锂电池,虽然安全性、抗衰退能力相对有优势,但能量密度偏低,续航里程也相对更短。\n而比亚迪采用了新型磷酸铁锂技术的“刀片电池”在问世时,就声称要解决电池续航和安全不可兼得的难题。按照其官方介绍,刀片电池的续航里程不仅能达到三元锂电池的同等水平,还顺利通过了令后者望而生畏的“针刺测试”。\n行业人士告诉未来汽车日报,“刀片电池听上去玄乎其神,实际上它只是在结构上的一种创新,并不是电池材料的突破。它将电芯做得更长、更薄,类似于刀片一样,通过优化结构重新设计布局来提升能量密度。”\n不过,这种结构创新已经带来足够的优势。“比亚迪刀片电池的体积能量密度比传统磷酸铁锂电池提升50%,已经能够和普通三元锂电池媲美,安全性极高。并且,刀片电池的成本下降了20%-30%,这是对车企来说更为在意的东西”,上述人士表示。\n光大证券曾分析称,宁德时代CTP磷酸铁锂电池包的成本为0.57元/Wh,行业平均磷酸铁锂电池成本0.65元/Wh,而比亚迪刀片电池的成本为0.42元/Wh,相较宁德时代成本降低0.15元/Wh。这对于“价格屠夫”特斯拉而言,无疑极具吸引力。\n2019年,为了进一步加快新能源汽车核心零部件的对外销售,比亚迪宣布成立弗迪系列公司,弗迪电池、弗迪动力、弗迪科技等五家公司,而刀片电池就来自比亚迪旗下的弗迪电池,是弗迪电池的动力电池业务板块的最重要产品。\n弗迪电池的前身比亚迪锂电池有限公司,早前弗迪电池相关人员接受未来汽车日报采访时就曾表示,“弗迪电池成立之初是因为市场足够大,早期会以供给比亚迪产品为主,但长期来看会面向全球车企接受动力电池订单,虽然都是比亚迪旗下,但弗迪系各公司之间的利润都是独立核算的,也不排除单独上市的可能。”\n与此同时,比亚迪还在不断提升产能。根据比亚迪的规划,今年会继续推进扩大重庆弗迪刀片电池生产线,随着弗迪电池在长沙、贵阳的工厂的正式投产,今年底刀片电池总产能将达到75GWh,2022年底产能将进一步攀升至100GWh。\n8月5日,比亚迪又在安徽芜湖成立了一家新电池公司,命名为“无为弗迪电池有限公司“,注册资本为5000万元,主要用于生产电池。这一动作也指向比亚迪为了对外供应做准备。\n事实上,随着刀片电池经过市场验证,不断有其他车企寻求与比亚迪合作。\n7月14日,长春市政府、中国一汽集团以及比亚迪公司共同签署了新能源动力电池项目投资合作协议,将在长春建设先进的动力电池工厂,未来将会由该动力电池工厂向一汽集团旗下的车型提供动力电池。\n比亚迪集团副总裁兼弗迪电池董事长何龙曾表示:“几乎你能想到的所有汽车品牌,都在和我们探讨基于刀片电池技术的合作方案。”\n参照特斯拉国产后换装宁德时代磷酸铁锂的案例,当电池成本下降,产品的价格也会因此而下调,随之而来的好处就是提升产品性价比,赢得更大的市场份额。\n而对于比亚迪而言,特斯拉巨大的销量,无疑会给其电池业务收获更大的市场。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":875,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":891613480,"gmtCreate":1628385742040,"gmtModify":1631889940525,"author":{"id":"3578630685959616","authorId":"3578630685959616","name":"座头空","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9aea12197ad7c2c68ac016926c3f7fac","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578630685959616","authorIdStr":"3578630685959616"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这风险是有点大,发生到自己身上就是百分之百跌停","listText":"这风险是有点大,发生到自己身上就是百分之百跌停","text":"这风险是有点大,发生到自己身上就是百分之百跌停","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891613480","repostId":"1104382250","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1031,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":890495479,"gmtCreate":1628127234991,"gmtModify":1631889940527,"author":{"id":"3578630685959616","authorId":"3578630685959616","name":"座头空","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9aea12197ad7c2c68ac016926c3f7fac","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578630685959616","authorIdStr":"3578630685959616"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"又要跌了吗?","listText":"又要跌了吗?","text":"又要跌了吗?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890495479","repostId":"1116423416","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":306,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":808366136,"gmtCreate":1627558338425,"gmtModify":1631889940535,"author":{"id":"3578630685959616","authorId":"3578630685959616","name":"座头空","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9aea12197ad7c2c68ac016926c3f7fac","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578630685959616","authorIdStr":"3578630685959616"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"点赞","listText":"点赞","text":"点赞","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808366136","repostId":"2155018149","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":808368808,"gmtCreate":1627558258504,"gmtModify":1631889940532,"author":{"id":"3578630685959616","authorId":"3578630685959616","name":"座头空","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9aea12197ad7c2c68ac016926c3f7fac","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578630685959616","authorIdStr":"3578630685959616"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好","listText":"好","text":"好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808368808","repostId":"1135894112","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":182,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":801892040,"gmtCreate":1627498778680,"gmtModify":1631892440421,"author":{"id":"3578630685959616","authorId":"3578630685959616","name":"座头空","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9aea12197ad7c2c68ac016926c3f7fac","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"id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href=https://www.bjnews.com.cn/detail/162900328514252.html><strong>新京报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>新京报快讯 8月15日,复旦大学研究生院在其官网就“张文宏博士学位论文被举报”一事作出回应,以下为全文:\n我们收到举报,同时也关注到网上关于张文宏博士学位论文综述部分问题的反映,学校已启动调查核实,调查结果将及时公布。衷心感谢大家对我校研究生教育培养工作的关心和监督。\n来源:复旦大学研究生院</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bjnews.com.cn/detail/162900328514252.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4667f6ec525aa9cee43ee48eb2e0121","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.bjnews.com.cn/detail/162900328514252.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2159212222","content_text":"新京报快讯 8月15日,复旦大学研究生院在其官网就“张文宏博士学位论文被举报”一事作出回应,以下为全文:\n我们收到举报,同时也关注到网上关于张文宏博士学位论文综述部分问题的反映,学校已启动调查核实,调查结果将及时公布。衷心感谢大家对我校研究生教育培养工作的关心和监督。\n来源:复旦大学研究生院","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":884,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}