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Risz
2021-09-25
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IPO opening reminder: Cue Health opens for trading at $19.2, up 20% from IPO price.<blockquote>IPO开盘提醒:Cue Health开盘价为19.2美元,较IPO价格上涨20%。</blockquote>
Risz
2021-09-23
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Risz
2021-09-22
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Risz
2021-09-21
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Nike, Costco, FedEx, Salesforce, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>耐克、好市多、联邦快递、Salesforce和其他本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>
Risz
2021-09-20
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Risz
2021-09-20
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Risz
2021-09-19
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Risz
2021-09-18
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Risz
2021-09-17
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Risz
2021-09-14
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S&P 500 snaps losing streak with tax hikes, inflation data on horizon<blockquote>标普500通过增税和通胀数据结束连跌</blockquote>
Risz
2021-09-13
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Risz
2021-09-12
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Risz
2021-09-11
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Why Apple’s Risk Is Limited<blockquote>为什么苹果的风险有限</blockquote>
Risz
2021-09-10
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Risz
2021-09-09
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Bitcoin Endured a Rocky Day. What's Behind the Selloff<blockquote>比特币经历了艰难的一天。抛售背后是什么</blockquote>
Risz
2021-09-08
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Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示,今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么?</blockquote>
Risz
2021-09-06
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Is the U.S. stock market open on Labor Day?<blockquote>劳动节美股开市吗?</blockquote>
Risz
2021-09-05
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Risz
2021-09-04
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Risz
2021-09-03
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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632498166,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104085778?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-24 23:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"IPO opening reminder: Cue Health opens for trading at $19.2, up 20% from IPO price.<blockquote>IPO开盘提醒:Cue Health开盘价为19.2美元,较IPO价格上涨20%。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104085778","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Sept 24) Cue Health Inc. opens for trading at $19.2, up 20% from IPO price.\n\nCompany & Technology\nS","content":"<p>(Sept 24) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HLTH\">Cue Health Inc.</a> opens for trading at $19.2, up 20% from IPO price.</p><p><blockquote>(9月24日)<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HLTH\">提示健康公司。</a>开盘价为19.2美元,较IPO价格上涨20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7270662a08ec3dac176aa52bf5cbd1a\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Company & Technology</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司与技术</b></blockquote></p><p> San Diego, California-based Cue was founded to first develop a COVID-19 test kit and integrated information platform for processing and communication.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于加利福尼亚州圣地亚哥的Cue成立的目的是首先开发新冠肺炎测试套件和用于处理和通信的集成信息平台。</blockquote></p><p> Management is headed by co-founder, Chairman and CEO Ayub Khattak, who has been with the firm since inception and holds a B.S. in mathematics from UCLA.</p><p><blockquote>管理层由联合创始人、董事长兼首席执行官Ayub Khattak领导,他自公司成立以来一直在公司工作,并拥有学士学位。加州大学洛杉矶分校数学专业。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s primary offerings in its Cue Integrated Care Platform:</p><p><blockquote>该公司在其Cue综合护理平台中的主要产品:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Health monitoring system</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>健康监测系统</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Rader</p><p><blockquote><li>雷达</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Cartridge</p><p><blockquote><li>弹壳</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Wand</p><p><blockquote><li>墙</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Data</p><p><blockquote><li>数据</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Delivery apps</p><p><blockquote><li>交付应用程序</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Enterprise dashboard</p><p><blockquote><li>企业仪表板</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Ecosystem integrations</p><p><blockquote><li>生态系统集成</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Cue has received at least $176 million in equity investment from investors including ACME Capital, Cove Investors, Decheng Capital China Life Sciences, Madrone and NVGA I.</p><p><blockquote>Cue已经获得了包括ACME Capital、Cove Investors、德诚资本中国生命科学、Madrone和NVGA I在内的投资者至少1.76亿美元的股权投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Customer/User Acquisition</b></p><p><blockquote><b>客户/用户获取</b></blockquote></p><p> The company pursues healthcare provider relationships through its in-house direct sales team focused on healthcare providers, large enterprises and public sector clients.</p><p><blockquote>该公司通过其专注于医疗保健提供商、大型企业和公共部门客户的内部直销团队寻求医疗保健提供商关系。</blockquote></p><p> Management expects 2021 customer demand for its COVID-19 test kits to exceed its manufacturing capacity.</p><p><blockquote>管理层预计,2021年客户对其COVID-19检测试剂盒的需求将超过其生产能力。</blockquote></p><p> Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenues have increased sharply, as the figures below indicate:</p><p><blockquote>销售及营销开支佔总收入的百分比随着收入急剧增加而变化,如下图所示:</blockquote></p><p> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>销售及市场推广</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td> <td><b>Expenses vs. Revenue</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>费用与收入</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Percentage</p><p><blockquote><td>百分比</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>1.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>1.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>3.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>3.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>1.3%</p><p><blockquote><td>1.3%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> The Sales and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Sales and Marketing spend, was 100.5x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:</p><p><blockquote>销售和营销效率率(定义为每美元销售和营销支出产生多少美元的额外新收入)在最近一个报告期内为100.5倍,如下表所示:</blockquote></p><p> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>销售及市场推广</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td> <td><b>Efficiency Rate</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>效率率</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Multiple</p><p><blockquote><td>多个的</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>100.5</p><p><blockquote><td>100.5</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>22.9</p><p><blockquote><td>22.9</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <b>Market & Competition</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场与竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> According to a 2020 marketresearch reportby Grand View Research, the global market for COVID-19 detection kits was an estimated $3.28 billion in 2020 and is expected to reach $5 billion by 2027.</p><p><blockquote>根据Grand View Research的2020年市场研究报告,2020年新冠肺炎检测试剂盒的全球市场估计为32.8亿美元,预计到2027年将达到50亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This represents a forecast CAGR of 5.05% from 2021 to 2027.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着2021年至2027年的预测复合年增长率为5.05%。</blockquote></p><p> The main drivers for this expected growth are a strong growth in demand for testing services of all types on a global basis.</p><p><blockquote>这一预期增长的主要驱动力是全球对所有类型测试服务需求的强劲增长。</blockquote></p><p> Also, below is a chart showing the market share of use of detection kits by end-user type:</p><p><blockquote>此外,下图显示了按最终用户类型划分的检测试剂盒使用的市场份额:</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b7fc60b336bae7685e08132f8176b57\" tg-width=\"1158\" tg-height=\"618\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> (Source)</p><p><blockquote>(资料来源)</blockquote></p><p> Major competitive or other industry participants include:</p><p><blockquote>主要竞争对手或其他行业参与者包括:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Abbott Laboratories(NYSE:ABT)</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>雅培实验室(纽约证券交易所代码:ABT)</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Becton, Dickinson(NYSE:BDX)</p><p><blockquote><li>迪金森贝克顿(纽约证券交易所代码:BDX)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>bioMerieux(OTCPK:BMXMF)</p><p><blockquote><li>生物梅里埃(OTCPK:BMXMF)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Bio-Rad Laboratories(NYSE:BIO)</p><p><blockquote><li>Bio-Rad实验室(纽约证券交易所股票代码:BIO)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Danaher(NYSE:DHR)</p><p><blockquote><li>丹纳赫(纽约证券交易所代码:DHR)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Ellume Limited</p><p><blockquote><li>Ellume有限公司</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Everly Health</p><p><blockquote><li>艾弗利健康</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Roche(OTCQX:RHHBY)(OTCQX:RHHBF)</p><p><blockquote><li>罗氏(OTCQX:RHHBY)(OTCQX:RHHBF)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Fluidigm(NASDAQ:FLDM)</p><p><blockquote><li>Fluidigm(纳斯达克:FLDM)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>GenMark Diagnostics(NASDAQ:GNMK)</p><p><blockquote><li>GenMark Diagnostics(纳斯达克:GNMK)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Others</p><p><blockquote><li>其他</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> <b>Financial Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务表现</b></blockquote></p><p> Cue’s recent financial results can be summarized as follows:</p><p><blockquote>Cue近期财务业绩可总结如下:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Sharply growing top line revenue</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>营收急剧增长</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Increasing gross profit and variable gross margin</p><p><blockquote><li>增加毛利及可变毛利率</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>A swing to operating profit and net income</p><p><blockquote><li>营业利润和净利润的波动</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Variable cash flow from operations</p><p><blockquote><li>经营活动产生的可变现金流量</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Below are relevant financial results derived from the firm’s registration statement:</p><p><blockquote>以下是来自公司注册声明的相关财务业绩:</blockquote></p><p> <table> <colgroup></colgroup> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Total Revenue</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>收入总额</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Total Revenue</p><p><blockquote><td>收入总额</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>% Variance vs. Prior</p><p><blockquote><td>与既往相比的%差异</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 201,922,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$201,922,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>3971.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>3971.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 22,953,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$22,953,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>246.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>246.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 6,626,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$6,626,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr></tr> <tr> <td><b>Gross Profit (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>毛利(亏损)</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Gross Profit (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>毛利(亏损)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>% Variance vs. Prior</p><p><blockquote><td>与既往相比的%差异</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 116,745,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$116,745,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>2253.7%</p><p><blockquote><td>2253.7%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 8,002,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$8,002,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>20.8%</p><p><blockquote><td>20.8%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 6,626,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$6,626,000</td></blockquote></p><p></p><p></td> </tr> <tr></tr> <tr> <td><b>Gross Margin</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>毛利率</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Gross Margin</p><p><blockquote><td>毛利率</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>57.82%</p><p><blockquote><td>57.82%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>34.86%</p><p><blockquote><td>34.86%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>100.00%</p><p><blockquote><td>100.00%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr></tr> <tr> <td><b>Operating Profit (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>经营溢利(亏损)</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Operating Profit (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>经营溢利(亏损)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Operating Margin</p><p><blockquote><td>营业利润率</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 79,463,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$79,463,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>39.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>39.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ (45,126,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(45,126,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>-196.6%</p><p><blockquote><td>-196.6%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ (20,767,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(20,767,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>-313.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>-313.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr></tr> <tr> <td><b>Net Income (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>净利润(亏损)</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Net Income (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>净利润(亏损)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 32,840,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$32,840,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ (47,352,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(47,352,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ (20,606,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(20,606,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr></tr> <tr> <td><b>Cash Flow From Operations</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>经营所得现金流量</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Cash Flow From Operations</p><p><blockquote><td>经营所得现金流量</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ (37,812,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(37,812,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 92,655,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$92,655,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ (12,996,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(12,996,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> As of June 30, 2021, Cue had $246.3 million in cash and $516.3 million in total liabilities.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日,Cue拥有2.463亿美元现金,总负债为5.163亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Free cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was negative ($60 million).</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的12个月内,自由现金流为负(6000万美元)。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Metrics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值指标</b></blockquote></p><p> Below is a table of relevant capitalization and valuation figures for the company:</p><p><blockquote>下表为本公司的相关资本化及估值数字:</blockquote></p><p> <table> <colgroup></colgroup> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Measure [TTM]</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>测量[TTM]</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td> <td><b>Amount</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>数量</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Market Capitalization at IPO</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>IPO时的市值</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$2,299,981,232</p><p><blockquote><td>$2,299,981,232</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Enterprise Value</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>企业价值</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$1,874,455,232</p><p><blockquote><td>$1,874,455,232</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Price / Sales</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>价格/销售额</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>10.46</p><p><blockquote><td>10.46</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>EV / Revenue</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/收入</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>8.52</p><p><blockquote><td>8.52</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>EV / EBITDA</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/EBITDA</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>35.46</p><p><blockquote><td>35.46</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Earnings Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股盈利</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$0.03</p><p><blockquote><td>$0.03</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Float To Outstanding Shares Ratio</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>流通股与流通股比率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>8.70%</p><p><blockquote><td>8.70%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Proposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>建议IPO每股中点价格</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$16.00</p><p><blockquote><td>$16.00</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Net Free Cash Flow</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>净自由现金流</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>-$59,920,000</p><p><blockquote><td>-$59,920,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Free Cash Flow Yield Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股自由现金流收益率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>-2.61%</p><p><blockquote><td>-2.61%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Revenue Growth Rate</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>收入增长率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>3971.01%</p><p><blockquote><td>3971.01%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> As a reference, a potential partial and imperfect public comparable to Cue would be Bio-Rad (BIO); below is a comparison of their primary valuation metrics:</p><p><blockquote>作为参考,与Cue相当的潜在部分和不完美的公共将是Bio-Rad(BIO);以下是其主要估值指标的比较:</blockquote></p><p> <table> <colgroup></colgroup> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Metric</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>公制</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td> <td><b>Bio-Rad (BIO)</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>Bio-Rad(生物)</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td><b>Cue Health (HLTH)</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>提示健康(HLTH)</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td><b>Variance</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>差异</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Price / Sales</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>价格/销售额</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>8.15</p><p><blockquote><td>8.15</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>10.46</p><p><blockquote><td>10.46</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>28.3%</p><p><blockquote><td>28.3%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>EV / Revenue</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/收入</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>7.82</p><p><blockquote><td>7.82</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>8.52</p><p><blockquote><td>8.52</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>9.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>9.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>EV / EBITDA</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/EBITDA</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>31.66</p><p><blockquote><td>31.66</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>35.46</p><p><blockquote><td>35.46</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>12.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>12.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Earnings Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股盈利</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$134.05</p><p><blockquote><td>$134.05</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$0.03</p><p><blockquote><td>$0.03</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>-100.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>-100.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Revenue Growth Rate</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>收入增长率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>25.6%</p><p><blockquote><td>25.6%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>3971.01%</p><p><blockquote><td>3971.01%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>15436.03%</p><p><blockquote><td>15436.03%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>(Glossary Of Terms)</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>(术语表)</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <b>Commentary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>评论</b></blockquote></p><p> Cue is seeking public investment capital to further scale its commercialization operations as well as continue its R & D efforts.</p><p><blockquote>Cue正在寻求公共投资资本,以进一步扩大其商业化业务并继续其研发工作。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s financials show sharply growing top line revenue, strong growth in gross profit and variable gross margin, a swing to operating profit and net income and highly fluctuating cash flow from or use in operations</p><p><blockquote>该公司的财务数据显示,营收大幅增长,毛利润和可变毛利率强劲增长,营业利润和净利润出现波动,经营活动产生或使用的现金流高度波动</blockquote></p><p> Free cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was an eye-popping negative ($60 million).</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的12个月的自由现金流是令人瞠目结舌的负值(6000万美元)。</blockquote></p><p> Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have fluctuated as revenues have increased dramatically; its Sales and Marketing efficiency rate was an extremely high 100.5x in the most recent reporting period.</p><p><blockquote>销售和营销费用占总收入的百分比随着收入的急剧增加而波动;在最近的报告期内,其销售和营销效率高达100.5倍。</blockquote></p><p> The market opportunity for COVID-19 and related test kit platforms is large and will likely grow at a high rate of growth over the coming years as countries around the world seek to bolster their testing capabilities in the wake of the recent global pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>新冠肺炎和相关检测试剂盒平台的市场机会很大,并且在未来几年可能会以高增长率增长,因为世界各国在最近的全球疫情之后寻求增强其检测能力。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Goldman Sachs is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 39.9% since their IPO. This is a mid-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.</p><p><blockquote>高盛是首席承销商,该公司在过去12个月内牵头的IPO自IPO以来的平均回报率为39.9%。这是期内所有主要承销商的中等表现。</blockquote></p><p> The primary risk to the firm now is that it is essentially a one-product company, so its revenue base is heavily concentrated.</p><p><blockquote>该公司现在面临的主要风险是,它本质上是一家单一产品公司,因此其收入基础高度集中。</blockquote></p><p> As for valuation, compared to partial competitor Bio-Rad Laboratories, the IPO is reasonably valued on a revenue multiple, although Cue is growing at a much higher rate of growth from a much lower revenue base, so the comparison is strained at best.</p><p><blockquote>至于估值,与部分竞争对手Bio-Rad Laboratories相比,IPO的收入倍数估值合理,尽管Cue在收入基础低得多的情况下以高得多的增长率增长,因此这种比较充其量是紧张的。</blockquote></p><p> Given Cue’s growth trajectory, profitability and reasonable IPO valuation, the IPO is worth consideration.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于Cue的增长轨迹、盈利能力和合理的IPO估值,此次IPO值得考虑。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIPO opening reminder: Cue Health opens for trading at $19.2, up 20% from IPO price.<blockquote>IPO开盘提醒:Cue Health开盘价为19.2美元,较IPO价格上涨20%。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-24 23:42</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Sept 24) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HLTH\">Cue Health Inc.</a> opens for trading at $19.2, up 20% from IPO price.</p><p><blockquote>(9月24日)<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HLTH\">提示健康公司。</a>开盘价为19.2美元,较IPO价格上涨20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7270662a08ec3dac176aa52bf5cbd1a\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Company & Technology</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司与技术</b></blockquote></p><p> San Diego, California-based Cue was founded to first develop a COVID-19 test kit and integrated information platform for processing and communication.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于加利福尼亚州圣地亚哥的Cue成立的目的是首先开发新冠肺炎测试套件和用于处理和通信的集成信息平台。</blockquote></p><p> Management is headed by co-founder, Chairman and CEO Ayub Khattak, who has been with the firm since inception and holds a B.S. in mathematics from UCLA.</p><p><blockquote>管理层由联合创始人、董事长兼首席执行官Ayub Khattak领导,他自公司成立以来一直在公司工作,并拥有学士学位。加州大学洛杉矶分校数学专业。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s primary offerings in its Cue Integrated Care Platform:</p><p><blockquote>该公司在其Cue综合护理平台中的主要产品:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Health monitoring system</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>健康监测系统</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Rader</p><p><blockquote><li>雷达</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Cartridge</p><p><blockquote><li>弹壳</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Wand</p><p><blockquote><li>墙</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Data</p><p><blockquote><li>数据</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Delivery apps</p><p><blockquote><li>交付应用程序</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Enterprise dashboard</p><p><blockquote><li>企业仪表板</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Ecosystem integrations</p><p><blockquote><li>生态系统集成</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Cue has received at least $176 million in equity investment from investors including ACME Capital, Cove Investors, Decheng Capital China Life Sciences, Madrone and NVGA I.</p><p><blockquote>Cue已经获得了包括ACME Capital、Cove Investors、德诚资本中国生命科学、Madrone和NVGA I在内的投资者至少1.76亿美元的股权投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Customer/User Acquisition</b></p><p><blockquote><b>客户/用户获取</b></blockquote></p><p> The company pursues healthcare provider relationships through its in-house direct sales team focused on healthcare providers, large enterprises and public sector clients.</p><p><blockquote>该公司通过其专注于医疗保健提供商、大型企业和公共部门客户的内部直销团队寻求医疗保健提供商关系。</blockquote></p><p> Management expects 2021 customer demand for its COVID-19 test kits to exceed its manufacturing capacity.</p><p><blockquote>管理层预计,2021年客户对其COVID-19检测试剂盒的需求将超过其生产能力。</blockquote></p><p> Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenues have increased sharply, as the figures below indicate:</p><p><blockquote>销售及营销开支佔总收入的百分比随着收入急剧增加而变化,如下图所示:</blockquote></p><p> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>销售及市场推广</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td> <td><b>Expenses vs. Revenue</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>费用与收入</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Percentage</p><p><blockquote><td>百分比</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>1.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>1.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>3.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>3.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>1.3%</p><p><blockquote><td>1.3%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> The Sales and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Sales and Marketing spend, was 100.5x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:</p><p><blockquote>销售和营销效率率(定义为每美元销售和营销支出产生多少美元的额外新收入)在最近一个报告期内为100.5倍,如下表所示:</blockquote></p><p> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>销售及市场推广</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td> <td><b>Efficiency Rate</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>效率率</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Multiple</p><p><blockquote><td>多个的</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>100.5</p><p><blockquote><td>100.5</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>22.9</p><p><blockquote><td>22.9</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <b>Market & Competition</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场与竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> According to a 2020 marketresearch reportby Grand View Research, the global market for COVID-19 detection kits was an estimated $3.28 billion in 2020 and is expected to reach $5 billion by 2027.</p><p><blockquote>根据Grand View Research的2020年市场研究报告,2020年新冠肺炎检测试剂盒的全球市场估计为32.8亿美元,预计到2027年将达到50亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This represents a forecast CAGR of 5.05% from 2021 to 2027.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着2021年至2027年的预测复合年增长率为5.05%。</blockquote></p><p> The main drivers for this expected growth are a strong growth in demand for testing services of all types on a global basis.</p><p><blockquote>这一预期增长的主要驱动力是全球对所有类型测试服务需求的强劲增长。</blockquote></p><p> Also, below is a chart showing the market share of use of detection kits by end-user type:</p><p><blockquote>此外,下图显示了按最终用户类型划分的检测试剂盒使用的市场份额:</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b7fc60b336bae7685e08132f8176b57\" tg-width=\"1158\" tg-height=\"618\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> (Source)</p><p><blockquote>(资料来源)</blockquote></p><p> Major competitive or other industry participants include:</p><p><blockquote>主要竞争对手或其他行业参与者包括:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Abbott Laboratories(NYSE:ABT)</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>雅培实验室(纽约证券交易所代码:ABT)</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Becton, Dickinson(NYSE:BDX)</p><p><blockquote><li>迪金森贝克顿(纽约证券交易所代码:BDX)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>bioMerieux(OTCPK:BMXMF)</p><p><blockquote><li>生物梅里埃(OTCPK:BMXMF)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Bio-Rad Laboratories(NYSE:BIO)</p><p><blockquote><li>Bio-Rad实验室(纽约证券交易所股票代码:BIO)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Danaher(NYSE:DHR)</p><p><blockquote><li>丹纳赫(纽约证券交易所代码:DHR)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Ellume Limited</p><p><blockquote><li>Ellume有限公司</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Everly Health</p><p><blockquote><li>艾弗利健康</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Roche(OTCQX:RHHBY)(OTCQX:RHHBF)</p><p><blockquote><li>罗氏(OTCQX:RHHBY)(OTCQX:RHHBF)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Fluidigm(NASDAQ:FLDM)</p><p><blockquote><li>Fluidigm(纳斯达克:FLDM)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>GenMark Diagnostics(NASDAQ:GNMK)</p><p><blockquote><li>GenMark Diagnostics(纳斯达克:GNMK)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Others</p><p><blockquote><li>其他</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> <b>Financial Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务表现</b></blockquote></p><p> Cue’s recent financial results can be summarized as follows:</p><p><blockquote>Cue近期财务业绩可总结如下:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Sharply growing top line revenue</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>营收急剧增长</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Increasing gross profit and variable gross margin</p><p><blockquote><li>增加毛利及可变毛利率</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>A swing to operating profit and net income</p><p><blockquote><li>营业利润和净利润的波动</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Variable cash flow from operations</p><p><blockquote><li>经营活动产生的可变现金流量</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Below are relevant financial results derived from the firm’s registration statement:</p><p><blockquote>以下是来自公司注册声明的相关财务业绩:</blockquote></p><p> <table> <colgroup></colgroup> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Total Revenue</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>收入总额</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Total Revenue</p><p><blockquote><td>收入总额</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>% Variance vs. Prior</p><p><blockquote><td>与既往相比的%差异</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 201,922,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$201,922,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>3971.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>3971.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 22,953,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$22,953,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>246.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>246.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 6,626,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$6,626,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr></tr> <tr> <td><b>Gross Profit (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>毛利(亏损)</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Gross Profit (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>毛利(亏损)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>% Variance vs. Prior</p><p><blockquote><td>与既往相比的%差异</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 116,745,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$116,745,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>2253.7%</p><p><blockquote><td>2253.7%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 8,002,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$8,002,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>20.8%</p><p><blockquote><td>20.8%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 6,626,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$6,626,000</td></blockquote></p><p></p><p></td> </tr> <tr></tr> <tr> <td><b>Gross Margin</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>毛利率</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Gross Margin</p><p><blockquote><td>毛利率</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>57.82%</p><p><blockquote><td>57.82%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>34.86%</p><p><blockquote><td>34.86%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>100.00%</p><p><blockquote><td>100.00%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr></tr> <tr> <td><b>Operating Profit (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>经营溢利(亏损)</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Operating Profit (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>经营溢利(亏损)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Operating Margin</p><p><blockquote><td>营业利润率</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 79,463,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$79,463,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>39.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>39.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ (45,126,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(45,126,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>-196.6%</p><p><blockquote><td>-196.6%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ (20,767,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(20,767,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>-313.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>-313.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr></tr> <tr> <td><b>Net Income (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>净利润(亏损)</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Net Income (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>净利润(亏损)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 32,840,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$32,840,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ (47,352,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(47,352,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ (20,606,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(20,606,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr></tr> <tr> <td><b>Cash Flow From Operations</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>经营所得现金流量</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Cash Flow From Operations</p><p><blockquote><td>经营所得现金流量</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ (37,812,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(37,812,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 92,655,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$92,655,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ (12,996,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(12,996,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> As of June 30, 2021, Cue had $246.3 million in cash and $516.3 million in total liabilities.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日,Cue拥有2.463亿美元现金,总负债为5.163亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Free cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was negative ($60 million).</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的12个月内,自由现金流为负(6000万美元)。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Metrics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值指标</b></blockquote></p><p> Below is a table of relevant capitalization and valuation figures for the company:</p><p><blockquote>下表为本公司的相关资本化及估值数字:</blockquote></p><p> <table> <colgroup></colgroup> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Measure [TTM]</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>测量[TTM]</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td> <td><b>Amount</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>数量</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Market Capitalization at IPO</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>IPO时的市值</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$2,299,981,232</p><p><blockquote><td>$2,299,981,232</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Enterprise Value</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>企业价值</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$1,874,455,232</p><p><blockquote><td>$1,874,455,232</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Price / Sales</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>价格/销售额</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>10.46</p><p><blockquote><td>10.46</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>EV / Revenue</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/收入</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>8.52</p><p><blockquote><td>8.52</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>EV / EBITDA</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/EBITDA</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>35.46</p><p><blockquote><td>35.46</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Earnings Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股盈利</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$0.03</p><p><blockquote><td>$0.03</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Float To Outstanding Shares Ratio</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>流通股与流通股比率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>8.70%</p><p><blockquote><td>8.70%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Proposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>建议IPO每股中点价格</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$16.00</p><p><blockquote><td>$16.00</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Net Free Cash Flow</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>净自由现金流</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>-$59,920,000</p><p><blockquote><td>-$59,920,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Free Cash Flow Yield Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股自由现金流收益率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>-2.61%</p><p><blockquote><td>-2.61%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Revenue Growth Rate</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>收入增长率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>3971.01%</p><p><blockquote><td>3971.01%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> As a reference, a potential partial and imperfect public comparable to Cue would be Bio-Rad (BIO); below is a comparison of their primary valuation metrics:</p><p><blockquote>作为参考,与Cue相当的潜在部分和不完美的公共将是Bio-Rad(BIO);以下是其主要估值指标的比较:</blockquote></p><p> <table> <colgroup></colgroup> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Metric</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>公制</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td> <td><b>Bio-Rad (BIO)</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>Bio-Rad(生物)</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td><b>Cue Health (HLTH)</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>提示健康(HLTH)</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td><b>Variance</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>差异</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Price / Sales</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>价格/销售额</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>8.15</p><p><blockquote><td>8.15</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>10.46</p><p><blockquote><td>10.46</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>28.3%</p><p><blockquote><td>28.3%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>EV / Revenue</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/收入</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>7.82</p><p><blockquote><td>7.82</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>8.52</p><p><blockquote><td>8.52</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>9.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>9.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>EV / EBITDA</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/EBITDA</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>31.66</p><p><blockquote><td>31.66</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>35.46</p><p><blockquote><td>35.46</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>12.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>12.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Earnings Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股盈利</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$134.05</p><p><blockquote><td>$134.05</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$0.03</p><p><blockquote><td>$0.03</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>-100.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>-100.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Revenue Growth Rate</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>收入增长率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>25.6%</p><p><blockquote><td>25.6%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>3971.01%</p><p><blockquote><td>3971.01%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>15436.03%</p><p><blockquote><td>15436.03%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>(Glossary Of Terms)</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>(术语表)</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <b>Commentary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>评论</b></blockquote></p><p> Cue is seeking public investment capital to further scale its commercialization operations as well as continue its R & D efforts.</p><p><blockquote>Cue正在寻求公共投资资本,以进一步扩大其商业化业务并继续其研发工作。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s financials show sharply growing top line revenue, strong growth in gross profit and variable gross margin, a swing to operating profit and net income and highly fluctuating cash flow from or use in operations</p><p><blockquote>该公司的财务数据显示,营收大幅增长,毛利润和可变毛利率强劲增长,营业利润和净利润出现波动,经营活动产生或使用的现金流高度波动</blockquote></p><p> Free cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was an eye-popping negative ($60 million).</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的12个月的自由现金流是令人瞠目结舌的负值(6000万美元)。</blockquote></p><p> Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have fluctuated as revenues have increased dramatically; its Sales and Marketing efficiency rate was an extremely high 100.5x in the most recent reporting period.</p><p><blockquote>销售和营销费用占总收入的百分比随着收入的急剧增加而波动;在最近的报告期内,其销售和营销效率高达100.5倍。</blockquote></p><p> The market opportunity for COVID-19 and related test kit platforms is large and will likely grow at a high rate of growth over the coming years as countries around the world seek to bolster their testing capabilities in the wake of the recent global pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>新冠肺炎和相关检测试剂盒平台的市场机会很大,并且在未来几年可能会以高增长率增长,因为世界各国在最近的全球疫情之后寻求增强其检测能力。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Goldman Sachs is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 39.9% since their IPO. This is a mid-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.</p><p><blockquote>高盛是首席承销商,该公司在过去12个月内牵头的IPO自IPO以来的平均回报率为39.9%。这是期内所有主要承销商的中等表现。</blockquote></p><p> The primary risk to the firm now is that it is essentially a one-product company, so its revenue base is heavily concentrated.</p><p><blockquote>该公司现在面临的主要风险是,它本质上是一家单一产品公司,因此其收入基础高度集中。</blockquote></p><p> As for valuation, compared to partial competitor Bio-Rad Laboratories, the IPO is reasonably valued on a revenue multiple, although Cue is growing at a much higher rate of growth from a much lower revenue base, so the comparison is strained at best.</p><p><blockquote>至于估值,与部分竞争对手Bio-Rad Laboratories相比,IPO的收入倍数估值合理,尽管Cue在收入基础低得多的情况下以高得多的增长率增长,因此这种比较充其量是紧张的。</blockquote></p><p> Given Cue’s growth trajectory, profitability and reasonable IPO valuation, the IPO is worth consideration.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于Cue的增长轨迹、盈利能力和合理的IPO估值,此次IPO值得考虑。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HLTH":"Cue Health Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1104085778","content_text":"(Sept 24) Cue Health Inc. opens for trading at $19.2, up 20% from IPO price.\n\nCompany & Technology\nSan Diego, California-based Cue was founded to first develop a COVID-19 test kit and integrated information platform for processing and communication.\nManagement is headed by co-founder, Chairman and CEO Ayub Khattak, who has been with the firm since inception and holds a B.S. in mathematics from UCLA.\nThe company’s primary offerings in its Cue Integrated Care Platform:\n\nHealth monitoring system\nRader\nCartridge\nWand\nData\nDelivery apps\nEnterprise dashboard\nEcosystem integrations\n\nCue has received at least $176 million in equity investment from investors including ACME Capital, Cove Investors, Decheng Capital China Life Sciences, Madrone and NVGA I.\nCustomer/User Acquisition\nThe company pursues healthcare provider relationships through its in-house direct sales team focused on healthcare providers, large enterprises and public sector clients.\nManagement expects 2021 customer demand for its COVID-19 test kits to exceed its manufacturing capacity.\nSales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenues have increased sharply, as the figures below indicate:\n\n\n\nSales and Marketing\nExpenses vs. Revenue\n\n\nPeriod\nPercentage\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n1.0%\n\n\n2020\n3.1%\n\n\n2019\n1.3%\n\n\n\nThe Sales and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Sales and Marketing spend, was 100.5x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:\n\n\n\nSales and Marketing\nEfficiency Rate\n\n\nPeriod\nMultiple\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n100.5\n\n\n2020\n22.9\n\n\n\nMarket & Competition\nAccording to a 2020 marketresearch reportby Grand View Research, the global market for COVID-19 detection kits was an estimated $3.28 billion in 2020 and is expected to reach $5 billion by 2027.\nThis represents a forecast CAGR of 5.05% from 2021 to 2027.\nThe main drivers for this expected growth are a strong growth in demand for testing services of all types on a global basis.\nAlso, below is a chart showing the market share of use of detection kits by end-user type:\n\n(Source)\nMajor competitive or other industry participants include:\n\nAbbott Laboratories(NYSE:ABT)\nBecton, Dickinson(NYSE:BDX)\nbioMerieux(OTCPK:BMXMF)\nBio-Rad Laboratories(NYSE:BIO)\nDanaher(NYSE:DHR)\nEllume Limited\nEverly Health\nRoche(OTCQX:RHHBY)(OTCQX:RHHBF)\nFluidigm(NASDAQ:FLDM)\nGenMark Diagnostics(NASDAQ:GNMK)\nOthers\n\nFinancial Performance\nCue’s recent financial results can be summarized as follows:\n\nSharply growing top line revenue\nIncreasing gross profit and variable gross margin\nA swing to operating profit and net income\nVariable cash flow from operations\n\nBelow are relevant financial results derived from the firm’s registration statement:\n\n\n\n\nTotal Revenue\n\n\nPeriod\nTotal Revenue\n% Variance vs. Prior\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 201,922,000\n3971.0%\n\n\n2020\n$ 22,953,000\n246.4%\n\n\n2019\n$ 6,626,000\n\n\n\nGross Profit (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nGross Profit (Loss)\n% Variance vs. Prior\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 116,745,000\n2253.7%\n\n\n2020\n$ 8,002,000\n20.8%\n\n\n2019\n$ 6,626,000\n\n\n\nGross Margin\n\n\nPeriod\nGross Margin\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n57.82%\n\n\n2020\n34.86%\n\n\n2019\n100.00%\n\n\n\nOperating Profit (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nOperating Profit (Loss)\nOperating Margin\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 79,463,000\n39.4%\n\n\n2020\n$ (45,126,000)\n-196.6%\n\n\n2019\n$ (20,767,000)\n-313.4%\n\n\n\nNet Income (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nNet Income (Loss)\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 32,840,000\n\n\n2020\n$ (47,352,000)\n\n\n2019\n$ (20,606,000)\n\n\n\nCash Flow From Operations\n\n\nPeriod\nCash Flow From Operations\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ (37,812,000)\n\n\n2020\n$ 92,655,000\n\n\n2019\n$ (12,996,000)\n\n\n\nAs of June 30, 2021, Cue had $246.3 million in cash and $516.3 million in total liabilities.\nFree cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was negative ($60 million).\nValuation Metrics\nBelow is a table of relevant capitalization and valuation figures for the company:\n\n\n\n\nMeasure [TTM]\nAmount\n\n\nMarket Capitalization at IPO\n$2,299,981,232\n\n\nEnterprise Value\n$1,874,455,232\n\n\nPrice / Sales\n10.46\n\n\nEV / Revenue\n8.52\n\n\nEV / EBITDA\n35.46\n\n\nEarnings Per Share\n$0.03\n\n\nFloat To Outstanding Shares Ratio\n8.70%\n\n\nProposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share\n$16.00\n\n\nNet Free Cash Flow\n-$59,920,000\n\n\nFree Cash Flow Yield Per Share\n-2.61%\n\n\nRevenue Growth Rate\n3971.01%\n\n\n\nAs a reference, a potential partial and imperfect public comparable to Cue would be Bio-Rad (BIO); below is a comparison of their primary valuation metrics:\n\n\n\n\nMetric\nBio-Rad (BIO)\nCue Health (HLTH)\nVariance\n\n\nPrice / Sales\n8.15\n10.46\n28.3%\n\n\nEV / Revenue\n7.82\n8.52\n9.0%\n\n\nEV / EBITDA\n31.66\n35.46\n12.0%\n\n\nEarnings Per Share\n$134.05\n$0.03\n-100.0%\n\n\nRevenue Growth Rate\n25.6%\n3971.01%\n15436.03%\n\n\n(Glossary Of Terms)\n\n\n\nCommentary\nCue is seeking public investment capital to further scale its commercialization operations as well as continue its R & D efforts.\nThe company’s financials show sharply growing top line revenue, strong growth in gross profit and variable gross margin, a swing to operating profit and net income and highly fluctuating cash flow from or use in operations\nFree cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was an eye-popping negative ($60 million).\nSales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have fluctuated as revenues have increased dramatically; its Sales and Marketing efficiency rate was an extremely high 100.5x in the most recent reporting period.\nThe market opportunity for COVID-19 and related test kit platforms is large and will likely grow at a high rate of growth over the coming years as countries around the world seek to bolster their testing capabilities in the wake of the recent global pandemic.\nGoldman Sachs is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 39.9% since their IPO. This is a mid-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.\nThe primary risk to the firm now is that it is essentially a one-product company, so its revenue base is heavily concentrated.\nAs for valuation, compared to partial competitor Bio-Rad Laboratories, the IPO is reasonably valued on a revenue multiple, although Cue is growing at a much higher rate of growth from a much lower revenue base, so the comparison is strained at best.\nGiven Cue’s growth trajectory, profitability and reasonable IPO valuation, the IPO is worth consideration.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HLTH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1622,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":863077217,"gmtCreate":1632350488539,"gmtModify":1632801103234,"author":{"id":"3576701730623485","authorId":"3576701730623485","name":"Risz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576701730623485","authorIdStr":"3576701730623485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/863077217","repostId":"1146187405","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1035,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":869725793,"gmtCreate":1632323410112,"gmtModify":1632801212660,"author":{"id":"3576701730623485","authorId":"3576701730623485","name":"Risz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576701730623485","authorIdStr":"3576701730623485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/869725793","repostId":"1146187405","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":860663555,"gmtCreate":1632177101377,"gmtModify":1632802385569,"author":{"id":"3576701730623485","authorId":"3576701730623485","name":"Risz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576701730623485","authorIdStr":"3576701730623485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860663555","repostId":"1194891884","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194891884","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632091615,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1194891884?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-20 06:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nike, Costco, FedEx, Salesforce, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>耐克、好市多、联邦快递、Salesforce和其他本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194891884","media":"Barrons","summary":"The main event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Investors will also","content":"<p>The main event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Investors will also be watching for several corporate earnings releases, investor days, and the latest economic data.</p><p><blockquote>本周重头戏将是美联储9月政策会议。投资者还将关注几家公司的财报发布、投资者日和最新的经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> Lennar reports quarterly earnings on Monday, followed by results from Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx on Tuesday. General Mills goes on Wednesday, then Nike, Accenture, Costco Wholesale, and Darden Restaurants report on Thursday. Investor days this week include Biogen on Tuesday, Weyerhaeuser on Wednesday, and Salesforce.com on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>Lennar将于周一公布季度收益,随后Adobe、AutoZone和FedEx将于周二公布业绩。通用磨坊周三上市,然后耐克、埃森哲、好市多批发和达顿餐厅周四上市。本周的投资者日包括周二的Biogen、周三的Weyerhaeuser和周四的Salesforce。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee meets on Tuesday and Wednesday this week. The central bank is unlikely to change its target interest rate range, but could give an update on its plans to begin reducing its monthly asset purchases. Wednesday afternoon’s press conference with Fed chair Jerome Powell will be closely watched.</p><p><blockquote>美联储货币政策委员会将于本周周二和周三召开会议。央行不太可能改变其目标利率区间,但可能会更新其开始减少每月资产购买的计划。周三下午美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的新闻发布会将受到密切关注。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data out this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for August on Thursday. There will also be several updates on the U.S. housing market including the National Association of Home Builders’ Housing Market Index for September on Monday, the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for August on Tuesday, and the National Association of Realtors’ existing-home sales for August on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括周四公布的世界大型企业联合会8月份领先经济指数。美国房地产市场还将发布多项更新,包括周一全国住宅建筑商协会9月份住房市场指数、周二人口普查局8月份新住宅建设数据以及全国房地产经纪人协会现房销售数据。周三八月。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 9/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一9/20</b></blockquote></p><p> Lennar reports third-quarter fiscal-2021 results.</p><p><blockquote>Lennar报告2021财年第三季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Merck presents data on its portfolio of cancer drugs, in conjunction with the European Society for Medical Oncology’s 2021 Congress.</p><p><blockquote>默克公司在欧洲肿瘤内科学会2021年大会上展示了其癌症药物组合的数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its Housing Market Index for September. Economists forecast a 73 reading, two points below August’s figure, which was the lowest in more than a year.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了9月份的房地产市场指数。经济学家预测为73,比8月份的数据低两个百分点,这是一年多来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 9/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二9/21</b></blockquote></p><p> Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Adobe、AutoZone和FedEx发布财报。</blockquote></p><p> Biogen hosts an investor day to discuss its pipeline of neuroscience therapeutics.</p><p><blockquote>百健(Biogen)举办投资者日活动,讨论其神经科学治疗产品线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports on new residential construction for August. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.55 million housing starts, 1% higher than the July level. Housing starts are down from their post–financial crisis peak of 1.725 million, reached in March of this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>八月份新住宅建设报告。市场普遍估计,经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为155万套,比7月份的水平高出1%。新屋开工量较今年3月达到的金融危机后172.5万套的峰值有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 9/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9/22星期三</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The FOMC announces</b> its monetary-policy decision. The Federal Reserve is likely to keep the federal-funds rate unchanged at near zero, but might signal that it will pare its asset purchases later this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>FOMC宣布</b>它的货币政策决定。美联储可能会将联邦基金利率维持在接近零的水平不变,但可能会暗示将在今年晚些时候削减资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> General Mills reports first-quarter fiscal-2022 results.</p><p><blockquote>通用磨坊公布2022财年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Boston Scientific,Weyerhaeuser, and Yum China Holdings host their 2021 investor days.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿科学、惠好和百胜中国控股举办2021年投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>TheBank of Japan</b> announces its monetary-policy decision. The BOJ is widely expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at minus 0.1%, as Tokyo and other regions remain in a state of emergency through the end of September due to the Covid-19 Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote><b>日本银行</b>宣布其货币政策决定。市场普遍预计日本央行将把关键短期利率维持在负0.1%不变,因为由于Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株,东京都和其他地区在9月底之前仍处于紧急状态。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Realtors reports existing-home sales for August. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 578,000 homes sold, down 3.5% from July’s 599,000.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告8月份现房销售情况。预计经季节调整后的房屋销售量为578,000套,比7月份的599,000套下降3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 9/23</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四9/23</b></blockquote></p><p> Accenture, Costco Wholesale, Darden Restaurants, and Nike hold conference calls to discuss their quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Accenture、Costco Wholesale、Darden Restaurants和Nike在评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Salesforce.com holds its 2021 investor day. CEO Marc Benioff and Slack CEO Stewart Butterfield will be among the participants. Salesforce completed its $28 billion acquisition of Slack this summer.</p><p><blockquote>Salesforce.com举办2021年投资者日。首席执行官马克·贝尼奥夫和Slack首席执行官斯图尔特·巴特菲尔德将是参与者之一。Salesforce今年夏天完成了对Slack的280亿美元收购。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b> releases its Leading Economic Index for August. Economists forecast a 0.5% month-over-month rise, after a 0.9% increase in July. The Conference Board currently projects 6% gross-domestic-product growth for 2021, and 4% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布8月份领先经济指数。经济学家预测环比增长0.5%,7月份增长0.9%。世界大型企业联合会目前预计2021年国内生产总值增长6%,2022年增长4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 9/24</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五9/24</b></blockquote></p><p> Kansas City Southernhosts a special shareholder meeting to vote on a proposed merger withCanadian Pacific Railway.</p><p><blockquote>堪萨斯城南方铁路公司召开特别股东大会,就与加拿大太平洋铁路公司的合并提案进行投票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nike, Costco, FedEx, Salesforce, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>耐克、好市多、联邦快递、Salesforce和其他本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNike, Costco, FedEx, Salesforce, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>耐克、好市多、联邦快递、Salesforce和其他本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-20 06:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The main event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Investors will also be watching for several corporate earnings releases, investor days, and the latest economic data.</p><p><blockquote>本周重头戏将是美联储9月政策会议。投资者还将关注几家公司的财报发布、投资者日和最新的经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> Lennar reports quarterly earnings on Monday, followed by results from Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx on Tuesday. General Mills goes on Wednesday, then Nike, Accenture, Costco Wholesale, and Darden Restaurants report on Thursday. Investor days this week include Biogen on Tuesday, Weyerhaeuser on Wednesday, and Salesforce.com on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>Lennar将于周一公布季度收益,随后Adobe、AutoZone和FedEx将于周二公布业绩。通用磨坊周三上市,然后耐克、埃森哲、好市多批发和达顿餐厅周四上市。本周的投资者日包括周二的Biogen、周三的Weyerhaeuser和周四的Salesforce。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee meets on Tuesday and Wednesday this week. The central bank is unlikely to change its target interest rate range, but could give an update on its plans to begin reducing its monthly asset purchases. Wednesday afternoon’s press conference with Fed chair Jerome Powell will be closely watched.</p><p><blockquote>美联储货币政策委员会将于本周周二和周三召开会议。央行不太可能改变其目标利率区间,但可能会更新其开始减少每月资产购买的计划。周三下午美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的新闻发布会将受到密切关注。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data out this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for August on Thursday. There will also be several updates on the U.S. housing market including the National Association of Home Builders’ Housing Market Index for September on Monday, the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for August on Tuesday, and the National Association of Realtors’ existing-home sales for August on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括周四公布的世界大型企业联合会8月份领先经济指数。美国房地产市场还将发布多项更新,包括周一全国住宅建筑商协会9月份住房市场指数、周二人口普查局8月份新住宅建设数据以及全国房地产经纪人协会现房销售数据。周三八月。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 9/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一9/20</b></blockquote></p><p> Lennar reports third-quarter fiscal-2021 results.</p><p><blockquote>Lennar报告2021财年第三季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Merck presents data on its portfolio of cancer drugs, in conjunction with the European Society for Medical Oncology’s 2021 Congress.</p><p><blockquote>默克公司在欧洲肿瘤内科学会2021年大会上展示了其癌症药物组合的数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its Housing Market Index for September. Economists forecast a 73 reading, two points below August’s figure, which was the lowest in more than a year.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了9月份的房地产市场指数。经济学家预测为73,比8月份的数据低两个百分点,这是一年多来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 9/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二9/21</b></blockquote></p><p> Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Adobe、AutoZone和FedEx发布财报。</blockquote></p><p> Biogen hosts an investor day to discuss its pipeline of neuroscience therapeutics.</p><p><blockquote>百健(Biogen)举办投资者日活动,讨论其神经科学治疗产品线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports on new residential construction for August. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.55 million housing starts, 1% higher than the July level. Housing starts are down from their post–financial crisis peak of 1.725 million, reached in March of this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>八月份新住宅建设报告。市场普遍估计,经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为155万套,比7月份的水平高出1%。新屋开工量较今年3月达到的金融危机后172.5万套的峰值有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 9/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9/22星期三</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The FOMC announces</b> its monetary-policy decision. The Federal Reserve is likely to keep the federal-funds rate unchanged at near zero, but might signal that it will pare its asset purchases later this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>FOMC宣布</b>它的货币政策决定。美联储可能会将联邦基金利率维持在接近零的水平不变,但可能会暗示将在今年晚些时候削减资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> General Mills reports first-quarter fiscal-2022 results.</p><p><blockquote>通用磨坊公布2022财年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Boston Scientific,Weyerhaeuser, and Yum China Holdings host their 2021 investor days.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿科学、惠好和百胜中国控股举办2021年投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>TheBank of Japan</b> announces its monetary-policy decision. The BOJ is widely expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at minus 0.1%, as Tokyo and other regions remain in a state of emergency through the end of September due to the Covid-19 Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote><b>日本银行</b>宣布其货币政策决定。市场普遍预计日本央行将把关键短期利率维持在负0.1%不变,因为由于Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株,东京都和其他地区在9月底之前仍处于紧急状态。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Realtors reports existing-home sales for August. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 578,000 homes sold, down 3.5% from July’s 599,000.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告8月份现房销售情况。预计经季节调整后的房屋销售量为578,000套,比7月份的599,000套下降3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 9/23</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四9/23</b></blockquote></p><p> Accenture, Costco Wholesale, Darden Restaurants, and Nike hold conference calls to discuss their quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Accenture、Costco Wholesale、Darden Restaurants和Nike在评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Salesforce.com holds its 2021 investor day. CEO Marc Benioff and Slack CEO Stewart Butterfield will be among the participants. Salesforce completed its $28 billion acquisition of Slack this summer.</p><p><blockquote>Salesforce.com举办2021年投资者日。首席执行官马克·贝尼奥夫和Slack首席执行官斯图尔特·巴特菲尔德将是参与者之一。Salesforce今年夏天完成了对Slack的280亿美元收购。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b> releases its Leading Economic Index for August. Economists forecast a 0.5% month-over-month rise, after a 0.9% increase in July. The Conference Board currently projects 6% gross-domestic-product growth for 2021, and 4% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布8月份领先经济指数。经济学家预测环比增长0.5%,7月份增长0.9%。世界大型企业联合会目前预计2021年国内生产总值增长6%,2022年增长4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 9/24</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五9/24</b></blockquote></p><p> Kansas City Southernhosts a special shareholder meeting to vote on a proposed merger withCanadian Pacific Railway.</p><p><blockquote>堪萨斯城南方铁路公司召开特别股东大会,就与加拿大太平洋铁路公司的合并提案进行投票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-costco-fedex-salesforce-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51632078208?mod=hp_LEAD_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CRM":"赛富时",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","NKE":"耐克","COST":"好市多","ADBE":"Adobe","FDX":"联邦快递",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-costco-fedex-salesforce-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51632078208?mod=hp_LEAD_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194891884","content_text":"The main event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Investors will also be watching for several corporate earnings releases, investor days, and the latest economic data.\nLennar reports quarterly earnings on Monday, followed by results from Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx on Tuesday. General Mills goes on Wednesday, then Nike, Accenture, Costco Wholesale, and Darden Restaurants report on Thursday. Investor days this week include Biogen on Tuesday, Weyerhaeuser on Wednesday, and Salesforce.com on Thursday.\nThe Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee meets on Tuesday and Wednesday this week. The central bank is unlikely to change its target interest rate range, but could give an update on its plans to begin reducing its monthly asset purchases. Wednesday afternoon’s press conference with Fed chair Jerome Powell will be closely watched.\nEconomic data out this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for August on Thursday. There will also be several updates on the U.S. housing market including the National Association of Home Builders’ Housing Market Index for September on Monday, the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for August on Tuesday, and the National Association of Realtors’ existing-home sales for August on Wednesday.\nMonday 9/20\nLennar reports third-quarter fiscal-2021 results.\nMerck presents data on its portfolio of cancer drugs, in conjunction with the European Society for Medical Oncology’s 2021 Congress.\nThe National Association of Home Builders releases its Housing Market Index for September. Economists forecast a 73 reading, two points below August’s figure, which was the lowest in more than a year.\nTuesday 9/21\nAdobe, AutoZone, and FedEx release earnings.\nBiogen hosts an investor day to discuss its pipeline of neuroscience therapeutics.\nThe Census Bureau reports on new residential construction for August. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.55 million housing starts, 1% higher than the July level. Housing starts are down from their post–financial crisis peak of 1.725 million, reached in March of this year.\nWednesday 9/22\nThe FOMC announces its monetary-policy decision. The Federal Reserve is likely to keep the federal-funds rate unchanged at near zero, but might signal that it will pare its asset purchases later this year.\nGeneral Mills reports first-quarter fiscal-2022 results.\nBoston Scientific,Weyerhaeuser, and Yum China Holdings host their 2021 investor days.\nTheBank of Japan announces its monetary-policy decision. The BOJ is widely expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at minus 0.1%, as Tokyo and other regions remain in a state of emergency through the end of September due to the Covid-19 Delta variant.\nThe National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for August. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 578,000 homes sold, down 3.5% from July’s 599,000.\nThursday 9/23\nAccenture, Costco Wholesale, Darden Restaurants, and Nike hold conference calls to discuss their quarterly results.\nSalesforce.com holds its 2021 investor day. CEO Marc Benioff and Slack CEO Stewart Butterfield will be among the participants. Salesforce completed its $28 billion acquisition of Slack this summer.\nThe Conference Board releases its Leading Economic Index for August. Economists forecast a 0.5% month-over-month rise, after a 0.9% increase in July. The Conference Board currently projects 6% gross-domestic-product growth for 2021, and 4% for 2022.\nFriday 9/24\nKansas City Southernhosts a special shareholder meeting to vote on a proposed merger withCanadian Pacific Railway.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"FDX":0.9,"CRM":0.9,"NKE":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"COST":0.9,"ADBE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1304,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":887498803,"gmtCreate":1632091113602,"gmtModify":1632802994275,"author":{"id":"3576701730623485","authorId":"3576701730623485","name":"Risz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576701730623485","authorIdStr":"3576701730623485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887498803","repostId":"2168152508","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2858,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":887498978,"gmtCreate":1632091083494,"gmtModify":1632802994634,"author":{"id":"3576701730623485","authorId":"3576701730623485","name":"Risz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576701730623485","authorIdStr":"3576701730623485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lole","listText":"Lole","text":"Lole","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887498978","repostId":"2168089015","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2514,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":887587394,"gmtCreate":1632065388318,"gmtModify":1632803053744,"author":{"id":"3576701730623485","authorId":"3576701730623485","name":"Risz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576701730623485","authorIdStr":"3576701730623485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887587394","repostId":"1198486138","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1434,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":887062551,"gmtCreate":1631945991273,"gmtModify":1632805138932,"author":{"id":"3576701730623485","authorId":"3576701730623485","name":"Risz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576701730623485","authorIdStr":"3576701730623485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887062551","repostId":"2168716185","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2569,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":885708655,"gmtCreate":1631831792877,"gmtModify":1631889324462,"author":{"id":"3576701730623485","authorId":"3576701730623485","name":"Risz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576701730623485","authorIdStr":"3576701730623485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885708655","repostId":"2167651799","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1739,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":886800394,"gmtCreate":1631578097518,"gmtModify":1631889324468,"author":{"id":"3576701730623485","authorId":"3576701730623485","name":"Risz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576701730623485","authorIdStr":"3576701730623485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886800394","repostId":"1178276551","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178276551","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631574947,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1178276551?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-14 07:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 snaps losing streak with tax hikes, inflation data on horizon<blockquote>标普500通过增税和通胀数据结束连跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178276551","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed higher on Monday, ending a five-day losing streak as investo","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed higher on Monday, ending a five-day losing streak as investors focused on potential corporate tax hikes and upcoming economic data.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约3月1日电——标普500周一收高,结束五连跌,因投资者关注潜在的公司税上调和即将公布的经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average also advanced, but the Nasdaq Composite Index ended lower.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数也上涨,但纳斯达克综合指数收低。</blockquote></p><p> Investors favored value over growth, with stocks set to benefit most from a resurging economy enjoying the biggest percentage gains.</p><p><blockquote>投资者更青睐价值而非增长,股市将从经济复苏中受益最多,涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> “There are probably not a lot of positive surprises coming this month,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “We’re having another period of volatility where I think that rotation could go back to cyclicals and the reopened trade, as the 10-year bond rate slowly grinds higher through the end of the year.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约SoFi投资策略主管Liz Young表示:“本月可能不会有太多积极的惊喜。”“我们正在经历另一个波动时期,我认为随着10年期债券利率在年底前慢慢走高,轮动可能会回到周期性和重新开放的交易。”</blockquote></p><p> Market participants are focused on the likely passage of U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package, which is expected to include a proposed corporate tax rate hike to 26.5% from 21%.</p><p><blockquote>市场参与者关注美国总统拜登的3.5万亿美元预算方案可能获得通过,预计其中包括拟议将企业税率从21%上调至26.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs analysts see the corporate tax rate increasing to 25% and the passage of about half of a proposed increase to tax rates on foreign income, which they estimate would reduce S&P 500 earnings by 5% in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>高盛分析师预计,企业税率将提高至25%,外国收入税率拟议上调的约一半将获得通过,他们估计这将使标普500 2022年的盈利减少5%。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department is due to release its consumer price index data on Tuesday, which could shed further light on the current inflation wave and whether it is as transitory as the Fed insists.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部将于周二发布消费者价格指数数据,这可能会进一步揭示当前的通胀浪潮,以及它是否像美联储坚称的那样是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t see inflation settling back down under 2% where it was pre-pandemic,” Young added. “Even if some of those transitory forces weaken, we will still stay at a higher rate than we were before.”</p><p><blockquote>杨补充道:“我认为通胀率不会回落到大流行前的2%以下。”“即使其中一些过渡性力量减弱,我们仍将保持比以前更高的速度。”</blockquote></p><p> Other key indicators due this week include retail sales and consumer sentiment, which could illuminate how much the demand boom driven by economic re-engagement has been dampened by the highly contagious COVID-19 Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他关键指标包括零售销售和消费者信心,这可能表明经济重新参与推动的需求繁荣在多大程度上受到了高度传染性的COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的抑制。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 261.91 points, or 0.76%, to 34,869.63, the S&P 500 gained 10.15 points, or 0.23%, at 4,468.73 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 9.91 points, or 0.07%, to 15,105.58.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨261.91点,涨幅0.76%,至34,869.63点;标普500上涨10.15点,涨幅0.23%,至4,468.73点;纳斯达克综合指数下跌9.91点,涨幅0.07%,至15,105.58点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare suffered the largest percentage loss, while energy, buoyed by rising crude prices was the biggest gainer.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500 11个主要板块中,医疗保健板块跌幅最大,而受原油价格上涨提振的能源板块涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of vaccine makers Moderna and Pfizer Inc sank 6.6% and 2.2%, respectively, after experts said COVID booster shots are not widely needed.</p><p><blockquote>在专家表示不广泛需要新冠加强注射后,疫苗制造商Moderna和辉瑞公司的股价分别下跌6.6%和2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Coinbase Global Inc announced plans to raise about $1.5 billion through a debt offering aimed at funding product development and potential acquisitions. The cryptocurrency exchanges shares slid 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>Coinbase Global Inc宣布计划通过发债筹集约15亿美元,旨在为产品开发和潜在收购提供资金。加密货币交易所股价下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Salesforce.com Inc dipped 1.2% as rival Freshworks Inc’s regulatory filing indicated that the business engagement and customer engagement software company is aiming for a nearly $9 billion valuation in it U.S. debut.</p><p><blockquote>Salesforce.com Inc下跌1.2%,竞争对手Freshworks Inc的监管文件显示,这家业务参与和客户参与软件公司的目标是在美国首次亮相时估值接近90亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.60-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.02-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.60比1;在纳斯达克,1.02比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 12 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 53 new highs and 71 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下12个52周新高和1个新低;纳斯达克综合指数录得53个新高和71个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.30 billion shares, compared with the 9.29 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为103亿股,而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为92.9亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 snaps losing streak with tax hikes, inflation data on horizon<blockquote>标普500通过增税和通胀数据结束连跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-14 07:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed higher on Monday, ending a five-day losing streak as investors focused on potential corporate tax hikes and upcoming economic data.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约3月1日电——标普500周一收高,结束五连跌,因投资者关注潜在的公司税上调和即将公布的经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average also advanced, but the Nasdaq Composite Index ended lower.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数也上涨,但纳斯达克综合指数收低。</blockquote></p><p> Investors favored value over growth, with stocks set to benefit most from a resurging economy enjoying the biggest percentage gains.</p><p><blockquote>投资者更青睐价值而非增长,股市将从经济复苏中受益最多,涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> “There are probably not a lot of positive surprises coming this month,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “We’re having another period of volatility where I think that rotation could go back to cyclicals and the reopened trade, as the 10-year bond rate slowly grinds higher through the end of the year.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约SoFi投资策略主管Liz Young表示:“本月可能不会有太多积极的惊喜。”“我们正在经历另一个波动时期,我认为随着10年期债券利率在年底前慢慢走高,轮动可能会回到周期性和重新开放的交易。”</blockquote></p><p> Market participants are focused on the likely passage of U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package, which is expected to include a proposed corporate tax rate hike to 26.5% from 21%.</p><p><blockquote>市场参与者关注美国总统拜登的3.5万亿美元预算方案可能获得通过,预计其中包括拟议将企业税率从21%上调至26.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs analysts see the corporate tax rate increasing to 25% and the passage of about half of a proposed increase to tax rates on foreign income, which they estimate would reduce S&P 500 earnings by 5% in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>高盛分析师预计,企业税率将提高至25%,外国收入税率拟议上调的约一半将获得通过,他们估计这将使标普500 2022年的盈利减少5%。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department is due to release its consumer price index data on Tuesday, which could shed further light on the current inflation wave and whether it is as transitory as the Fed insists.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部将于周二发布消费者价格指数数据,这可能会进一步揭示当前的通胀浪潮,以及它是否像美联储坚称的那样是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t see inflation settling back down under 2% where it was pre-pandemic,” Young added. “Even if some of those transitory forces weaken, we will still stay at a higher rate than we were before.”</p><p><blockquote>杨补充道:“我认为通胀率不会回落到大流行前的2%以下。”“即使其中一些过渡性力量减弱,我们仍将保持比以前更高的速度。”</blockquote></p><p> Other key indicators due this week include retail sales and consumer sentiment, which could illuminate how much the demand boom driven by economic re-engagement has been dampened by the highly contagious COVID-19 Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他关键指标包括零售销售和消费者信心,这可能表明经济重新参与推动的需求繁荣在多大程度上受到了高度传染性的COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的抑制。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 261.91 points, or 0.76%, to 34,869.63, the S&P 500 gained 10.15 points, or 0.23%, at 4,468.73 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 9.91 points, or 0.07%, to 15,105.58.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨261.91点,涨幅0.76%,至34,869.63点;标普500上涨10.15点,涨幅0.23%,至4,468.73点;纳斯达克综合指数下跌9.91点,涨幅0.07%,至15,105.58点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare suffered the largest percentage loss, while energy, buoyed by rising crude prices was the biggest gainer.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500 11个主要板块中,医疗保健板块跌幅最大,而受原油价格上涨提振的能源板块涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of vaccine makers Moderna and Pfizer Inc sank 6.6% and 2.2%, respectively, after experts said COVID booster shots are not widely needed.</p><p><blockquote>在专家表示不广泛需要新冠加强注射后,疫苗制造商Moderna和辉瑞公司的股价分别下跌6.6%和2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Coinbase Global Inc announced plans to raise about $1.5 billion through a debt offering aimed at funding product development and potential acquisitions. The cryptocurrency exchanges shares slid 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>Coinbase Global Inc宣布计划通过发债筹集约15亿美元,旨在为产品开发和潜在收购提供资金。加密货币交易所股价下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Salesforce.com Inc dipped 1.2% as rival Freshworks Inc’s regulatory filing indicated that the business engagement and customer engagement software company is aiming for a nearly $9 billion valuation in it U.S. debut.</p><p><blockquote>Salesforce.com Inc下跌1.2%,竞争对手Freshworks Inc的监管文件显示,这家业务参与和客户参与软件公司的目标是在美国首次亮相时估值接近90亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.60-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.02-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.60比1;在纳斯达克,1.02比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 12 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 53 new highs and 71 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下12个52周新高和1个新低;纳斯达克综合指数录得53个新高和71个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.30 billion shares, compared with the 9.29 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为103亿股,而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为92.9亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-snaps-losing-streak-with-tax-hikes-inflation-data-on-horizon-idUSL1N2QF2DB\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-snaps-losing-streak-with-tax-hikes-inflation-data-on-horizon-idUSL1N2QF2DB","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178276551","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed higher on Monday, ending a five-day losing streak as investors focused on potential corporate tax hikes and upcoming economic data.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average also advanced, but the Nasdaq Composite Index ended lower.\nInvestors favored value over growth, with stocks set to benefit most from a resurging economy enjoying the biggest percentage gains.\n“There are probably not a lot of positive surprises coming this month,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “We’re having another period of volatility where I think that rotation could go back to cyclicals and the reopened trade, as the 10-year bond rate slowly grinds higher through the end of the year.”\nMarket participants are focused on the likely passage of U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package, which is expected to include a proposed corporate tax rate hike to 26.5% from 21%.\nGoldman Sachs analysts see the corporate tax rate increasing to 25% and the passage of about half of a proposed increase to tax rates on foreign income, which they estimate would reduce S&P 500 earnings by 5% in 2022.\nThe Labor Department is due to release its consumer price index data on Tuesday, which could shed further light on the current inflation wave and whether it is as transitory as the Fed insists.\n“I don’t see inflation settling back down under 2% where it was pre-pandemic,” Young added. “Even if some of those transitory forces weaken, we will still stay at a higher rate than we were before.”\nOther key indicators due this week include retail sales and consumer sentiment, which could illuminate how much the demand boom driven by economic re-engagement has been dampened by the highly contagious COVID-19 Delta variant.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 261.91 points, or 0.76%, to 34,869.63, the S&P 500 gained 10.15 points, or 0.23%, at 4,468.73 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 9.91 points, or 0.07%, to 15,105.58.\nOf the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare suffered the largest percentage loss, while energy, buoyed by rising crude prices was the biggest gainer.\nShares of vaccine makers Moderna and Pfizer Inc sank 6.6% and 2.2%, respectively, after experts said COVID booster shots are not widely needed.\nCoinbase Global Inc announced plans to raise about $1.5 billion through a debt offering aimed at funding product development and potential acquisitions. The cryptocurrency exchanges shares slid 2.2%.\nSalesforce.com Inc dipped 1.2% as rival Freshworks Inc’s regulatory filing indicated that the business engagement and customer engagement software company is aiming for a nearly $9 billion valuation in it U.S. debut.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.60-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.02-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 12 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 53 new highs and 71 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 10.30 billion shares, compared with the 9.29 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1506,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":888810337,"gmtCreate":1631485980229,"gmtModify":1631889324466,"author":{"id":"3576701730623485","authorId":"3576701730623485","name":"Risz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576701730623485","authorIdStr":"3576701730623485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/888810337","repostId":"2166377772","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":263,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":881763044,"gmtCreate":1631406678288,"gmtModify":1631889324469,"author":{"id":"3576701730623485","authorId":"3576701730623485","name":"Risz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576701730623485","authorIdStr":"3576701730623485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/881763044","repostId":"1105680980","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":284,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":881594514,"gmtCreate":1631358174538,"gmtModify":1631889324475,"author":{"id":"3576701730623485","authorId":"3576701730623485","name":"Risz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576701730623485","authorIdStr":"3576701730623485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/881594514","repostId":"1147045390","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147045390","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631321547,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147045390?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-11 08:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Apple’s Risk Is Limited<blockquote>为什么苹果的风险有限</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147045390","media":"Barrons","summary":"Apple faces real, but limited, risk to its revenue and profits from Friday’s ruling that requires it to allow developers to offer alternative payment methods for purchases made in apps downloaded through the Apple app store.In a case filed by Fortnite publisher Epic Games, U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers issued a permanent injunction that requires Apple to allow developers the option to include links to alternative payment methods in their apps. Apple’s own payment system takes a 30%","content":"<p>Apple faces real, but limited, risk to its revenue and profits from Friday’s ruling that requires it to allow developers to offer alternative payment methods for purchases made in apps downloaded through the Apple app store.</p><p><blockquote>周五的裁决要求苹果允许开发者为通过苹果应用商店下载的应用程序中的购买提供替代支付方式,这给其收入和利润带来了真实但有限的风险。</blockquote></p><p> In a case filed by Fortnite publisher Epic Games, U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers issued a permanent injunction that requires Apple (ticker: AAPL) to allow developers the option to include links to alternative payment methods in their apps. Apple’s own payment system takes a 30% cut from large developers.</p><p><blockquote>在堡垒之夜发行商Epic Games提起的案件中,美国地区法官Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers发布了一项永久禁令,要求苹果(股票代码:AAPL)允许开发者选择在其应用程序中包含替代支付方式的链接。苹果自己的支付系统从大型开发商那里收取30%的提成。</blockquote></p><p> Data from the app tracker SensorTower shows that in calendar 2020, Apple had overall revenue from the App Store of $72.3 billion, generating an estimated $21.7 billion in fees, or about 7% of Apple’s overall revenues. That includes $21 billion in spending in the U.S., generating about $6.3 billion in fees, or about 2% of annualized revenues.</p><p><blockquote>应用追踪器SensorTower的数据显示,2020年,苹果从App Store获得的总收入为723亿美元,产生的费用估计为217亿美元,约占苹果总收入的7%。其中包括在美国的210亿美元支出,产生约63亿美元的费用,约占年收入的2%。</blockquote></p><p> SensorTower estimates that mobile-game spending in the App Store in calendar 2020 was $47.6 billion, generating $14.3 billion in fees, or a little under 5% of Apple’s total revenues.</p><p><blockquote>SensorTower估计,2020年App Store中的手机游戏支出为476亿美元,产生143亿美元的费用,略低于苹果总收入的5%。</blockquote></p><p> Gene Munster, managing director of the venture firm Loup Capital and a former sell-side analyst with a long history of tracking Apple, estimated that the App Store accounts for about 14% of the company’s profits. But he sees limited risk from Friday’s ruling.</p><p><blockquote>风险投资公司Loup Capital董事总经理、长期跟踪苹果的前卖方分析师吉恩·蒙斯特(Gene Munster)估计,App Store约占该公司利润的14%。但他认为周五裁决的风险有限。</blockquote></p><p> Munster thinks most app developers will stay inside of the Apple system. He sees “at most” a 2% headwind to overall revenue, and a potential 4% hit to profits.</p><p><blockquote>蒙斯特认为大多数应用程序开发人员将留在苹果系统内。他认为整体收入“最多”会受到2%的阻力,利润可能会受到4%的打击。</blockquote></p><p> “After the first year of these changes, app store growth rates will return to normal,” he said. “Bottom line, it’s at most a one-year headwind and does not change the big picture of where Apple is going over the next 5 years.”</p><p><blockquote>“在这些变化的第一年之后,app store的增长率将恢复正常,”他说。“最重要的是,这最多是一年的逆风,不会改变苹果未来5年的发展方向。”</blockquote></p><p> Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani said in a research note that the ruling is a setback for Apple, but that the eventual impact is likely to be manageable, given Apple has alternative ways to generate revenue from the store, including its growing in-store ad business. And he noted that Apple actually got a win on a bigger issue in the case: The judge rejected Epic’s assertion that the App Store is an illegal monopoly. Daryanani estimated the risk to Apple’s per-share earnings at 2% to 4%.</p><p><blockquote>Evercore ISI分析师Amit Daryanani在一份研究报告中表示,这一裁决对苹果来说是一次挫折,但鉴于苹果有其他方式从商店创收,包括其不断增长的店内广告业务,最终的影响可能是可控的。他指出,苹果实际上在该案中的一个更大问题上取得了胜利:法官驳回了Epic关于App Store是非法垄断的主张。Daryanani估计苹果每股收益面临的风险为2%至4%。</blockquote></p><p> Wedbush analyst Dan Ives told <i>Barron’s</i> he thinks the worst-case scenario is a 3% to 4% hit to revenues, describing the risk as a “rounding error.” While Ives said the Street had expected an across-the-board win for Apple, the mixed decision removes an overhang on the stock and that investors are likely relieved to put the issue to rest.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush分析师Dan Ives告诉<i>巴伦周刊</i>他认为最坏的情况是收入受到3%至4%的打击,并将这种风险描述为“舍入误差”。虽然Ives表示,华尔街原本预计苹果会全面获胜,但这一喜忧参半的决定消除了该股的悬念,投资者可能会因为解决这个问题而松一口气。</blockquote></p><p> The ruling is more a positive for companies like Spotify Technology and Match Group than it is a negative for Apple, he said. Apple stock fell 3.3% to $148.97 on Friday, while Spotify and March gained 0.7% and 4.2%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>他表示,这一裁决对Spotify Technology和Match Group等公司来说更多的是积极的,而不是对苹果的负面影响。苹果股价周五下跌3.3%,至148.97美元,Spotify和March分别上涨0.7%和4.</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Apple’s Risk Is Limited<blockquote>为什么苹果的风险有限</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Apple’s Risk Is Limited<blockquote>为什么苹果的风险有限</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-11 08:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple faces real, but limited, risk to its revenue and profits from Friday’s ruling that requires it to allow developers to offer alternative payment methods for purchases made in apps downloaded through the Apple app store.</p><p><blockquote>周五的裁决要求苹果允许开发者为通过苹果应用商店下载的应用程序中的购买提供替代支付方式,这给其收入和利润带来了真实但有限的风险。</blockquote></p><p> In a case filed by Fortnite publisher Epic Games, U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers issued a permanent injunction that requires Apple (ticker: AAPL) to allow developers the option to include links to alternative payment methods in their apps. Apple’s own payment system takes a 30% cut from large developers.</p><p><blockquote>在堡垒之夜发行商Epic Games提起的案件中,美国地区法官Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers发布了一项永久禁令,要求苹果(股票代码:AAPL)允许开发者选择在其应用程序中包含替代支付方式的链接。苹果自己的支付系统从大型开发商那里收取30%的提成。</blockquote></p><p> Data from the app tracker SensorTower shows that in calendar 2020, Apple had overall revenue from the App Store of $72.3 billion, generating an estimated $21.7 billion in fees, or about 7% of Apple’s overall revenues. That includes $21 billion in spending in the U.S., generating about $6.3 billion in fees, or about 2% of annualized revenues.</p><p><blockquote>应用追踪器SensorTower的数据显示,2020年,苹果从App Store获得的总收入为723亿美元,产生的费用估计为217亿美元,约占苹果总收入的7%。其中包括在美国的210亿美元支出,产生约63亿美元的费用,约占年收入的2%。</blockquote></p><p> SensorTower estimates that mobile-game spending in the App Store in calendar 2020 was $47.6 billion, generating $14.3 billion in fees, or a little under 5% of Apple’s total revenues.</p><p><blockquote>SensorTower估计,2020年App Store中的手机游戏支出为476亿美元,产生143亿美元的费用,略低于苹果总收入的5%。</blockquote></p><p> Gene Munster, managing director of the venture firm Loup Capital and a former sell-side analyst with a long history of tracking Apple, estimated that the App Store accounts for about 14% of the company’s profits. But he sees limited risk from Friday’s ruling.</p><p><blockquote>风险投资公司Loup Capital董事总经理、长期跟踪苹果的前卖方分析师吉恩·蒙斯特(Gene Munster)估计,App Store约占该公司利润的14%。但他认为周五裁决的风险有限。</blockquote></p><p> Munster thinks most app developers will stay inside of the Apple system. He sees “at most” a 2% headwind to overall revenue, and a potential 4% hit to profits.</p><p><blockquote>蒙斯特认为大多数应用程序开发人员将留在苹果系统内。他认为整体收入“最多”会受到2%的阻力,利润可能会受到4%的打击。</blockquote></p><p> “After the first year of these changes, app store growth rates will return to normal,” he said. “Bottom line, it’s at most a one-year headwind and does not change the big picture of where Apple is going over the next 5 years.”</p><p><blockquote>“在这些变化的第一年之后,app store的增长率将恢复正常,”他说。“最重要的是,这最多是一年的逆风,不会改变苹果未来5年的发展方向。”</blockquote></p><p> Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani said in a research note that the ruling is a setback for Apple, but that the eventual impact is likely to be manageable, given Apple has alternative ways to generate revenue from the store, including its growing in-store ad business. And he noted that Apple actually got a win on a bigger issue in the case: The judge rejected Epic’s assertion that the App Store is an illegal monopoly. Daryanani estimated the risk to Apple’s per-share earnings at 2% to 4%.</p><p><blockquote>Evercore ISI分析师Amit Daryanani在一份研究报告中表示,这一裁决对苹果来说是一次挫折,但鉴于苹果有其他方式从商店创收,包括其不断增长的店内广告业务,最终的影响可能是可控的。他指出,苹果实际上在该案中的一个更大问题上取得了胜利:法官驳回了Epic关于App Store是非法垄断的主张。Daryanani估计苹果每股收益面临的风险为2%至4%。</blockquote></p><p> Wedbush analyst Dan Ives told <i>Barron’s</i> he thinks the worst-case scenario is a 3% to 4% hit to revenues, describing the risk as a “rounding error.” While Ives said the Street had expected an across-the-board win for Apple, the mixed decision removes an overhang on the stock and that investors are likely relieved to put the issue to rest.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush分析师Dan Ives告诉<i>巴伦周刊</i>他认为最坏的情况是收入受到3%至4%的打击,并将这种风险描述为“舍入误差”。虽然Ives表示,华尔街原本预计苹果会全面获胜,但这一喜忧参半的决定消除了该股的悬念,投资者可能会因为解决这个问题而松一口气。</blockquote></p><p> The ruling is more a positive for companies like Spotify Technology and Match Group than it is a negative for Apple, he said. Apple stock fell 3.3% to $148.97 on Friday, while Spotify and March gained 0.7% and 4.2%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>他表示,这一裁决对Spotify Technology和Match Group等公司来说更多的是积极的,而不是对苹果的负面影响。苹果股价周五下跌3.3%,至148.97美元,Spotify和March分别上涨0.7%和4.</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-app-store-epic-51631304007?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-app-store-epic-51631304007?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147045390","content_text":"Apple faces real, but limited, risk to its revenue and profits from Friday’s ruling that requires it to allow developers to offer alternative payment methods for purchases made in apps downloaded through the Apple app store.\nIn a case filed by Fortnite publisher Epic Games, U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers issued a permanent injunction that requires Apple (ticker: AAPL) to allow developers the option to include links to alternative payment methods in their apps. Apple’s own payment system takes a 30% cut from large developers.\nData from the app tracker SensorTower shows that in calendar 2020, Apple had overall revenue from the App Store of $72.3 billion, generating an estimated $21.7 billion in fees, or about 7% of Apple’s overall revenues. That includes $21 billion in spending in the U.S., generating about $6.3 billion in fees, or about 2% of annualized revenues.\nSensorTower estimates that mobile-game spending in the App Store in calendar 2020 was $47.6 billion, generating $14.3 billion in fees, or a little under 5% of Apple’s total revenues.\nGene Munster, managing director of the venture firm Loup Capital and a former sell-side analyst with a long history of tracking Apple, estimated that the App Store accounts for about 14% of the company’s profits. But he sees limited risk from Friday’s ruling.\nMunster thinks most app developers will stay inside of the Apple system. He sees “at most” a 2% headwind to overall revenue, and a potential 4% hit to profits.\n“After the first year of these changes, app store growth rates will return to normal,” he said. “Bottom line, it’s at most a one-year headwind and does not change the big picture of where Apple is going over the next 5 years.”\nEvercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani said in a research note that the ruling is a setback for Apple, but that the eventual impact is likely to be manageable, given Apple has alternative ways to generate revenue from the store, including its growing in-store ad business. And he noted that Apple actually got a win on a bigger issue in the case: The judge rejected Epic’s assertion that the App Store is an illegal monopoly. Daryanani estimated the risk to Apple’s per-share earnings at 2% to 4%.\nWedbush analyst Dan Ives told Barron’s he thinks the worst-case scenario is a 3% to 4% hit to revenues, describing the risk as a “rounding error.” While Ives said the Street had expected an across-the-board win for Apple, the mixed decision removes an overhang on the stock and that investors are likely relieved to put the issue to rest.\nThe ruling is more a positive for companies like Spotify Technology and Match Group than it is a negative for Apple, he said. Apple stock fell 3.3% to $148.97 on Friday, while Spotify and March gained 0.7% and 4.2%, respectively.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":111,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":883160679,"gmtCreate":1631227245991,"gmtModify":1631889324477,"author":{"id":"3576701730623485","authorId":"3576701730623485","name":"Risz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576701730623485","authorIdStr":"3576701730623485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/883160679","repostId":"2166349803","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":208,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":889832232,"gmtCreate":1631137266526,"gmtModify":1631889324481,"author":{"id":"3576701730623485","authorId":"3576701730623485","name":"Risz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576701730623485","authorIdStr":"3576701730623485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/889832232","repostId":"1154837170","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154837170","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631090918,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1154837170?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-08 16:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin Endured a Rocky Day. What's Behind the Selloff<blockquote>比特币经历了艰难的一天。抛售背后是什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154837170","media":"Barron's","summary":"It should have been a happy day for Bitcoin, but it’s turned into a rout.Bitcoin was trading was around $47,000 on Tuesday afternoon, down 9% in the last 24 hours, after dipping down to $42,900 this morning. Bitcoin had been above $52,800 before the selloff.Other cryptos were also ailing, including Ethereum , down 12% to $3,460.The selloff may reflect profit-taking after prices started rising in late July. Bitcoin had gained more than 50% since late July when it traded around $34,000. Ethereum ","content":"<p>It should have been a happy day for Bitcoin, but it’s turned into a rout.</p><p><blockquote>对比特币来说,这应该是快乐的一天,但它变成了一场溃败。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin (ticker: BTC) was trading was around $47,000 on Tuesday afternoon, down 9% in the last 24 hours, after dipping down to $42,900 this morning. Bitcoin had been above $52,800 before the selloff.</p><p><blockquote>比特币(股票代码:BTC)周二下午的交易价格约为47,000美元,在今天上午跌至42,900美元后,过去24小时内下跌9%。在抛售之前,比特币股价已高于52,800美元。</blockquote></p><p> Other cryptos were also ailing, including Ethereum (ETH), down 12% to $3,460.</p><p><blockquote>其他加密货币也表现不佳,包括以太币(ETH),下跌12%至3,460美元。</blockquote></p><p> The selloff may reflect profit-taking after prices started rising in late July. Bitcoin had gained more than 50% since late July when it traded around $34,000. Ethereum has also been flying, following a technical upgrade in its underlying blockchain network.</p><p><blockquote>抛售可能反映了7月下旬价格开始上涨后的获利了结。自7月底交易价格约为34,000美元以来,比特币已上涨超过50%。在对其底层区块链网络进行技术升级后,以太币也一直在飞行。</blockquote></p><p> The down day may also reflect a “sell the news” dynamic after El Salvador became the first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, alongside the dollar– the country’s other official currency.</p><p><blockquote>下跌的一天也可能反映了萨尔瓦多成为第一个采用比特币作为法定货币以及该国另一种官方货币美元的国家后的“抛售新闻”动态。</blockquote></p><p> Merchants in El Salvador are now supposed to accept Bitcoin for goods and services. Citizens have been promised $30 worth of Bitcoin in their digital wallets by the government. McDonald’s has started accepting Bitcoin in El Salvador, according to Reuters. And the government of president Nayib Bukele has been buying Bitcoin, including at least $20 million worth, ahead of the official launch.</p><p><blockquote>萨尔瓦多的商人现在应该接受商品和服务的比特币。政府向公民承诺在他们的数字钱包中提供价值30美元的比特币。据路透社报道,麦当劳已经开始在萨尔瓦多接受比特币。在正式启动之前,纳伊布·布克莱总统的政府一直在购买比特币,其中包括价值至少2000万美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> But El Salvador’s crypto experiment isn’t sitting well with organizations like the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, which have warned El Salvador that its adoption as legal tender could imperil financial stability. Other countries are cracking down on crypto transactions, mining, and exchanges, indicating that El Salvador may be an outlier for now.</p><p><blockquote>但萨尔瓦多的加密货币实验并没有得到国际货币基金组织和世界银行等组织的认可,这些组织警告萨尔瓦多,将其作为法定货币可能会危及金融稳定。其他国家正在打击加密货币交易、采矿和交易所,这表明萨尔瓦多目前可能是一个例外。</blockquote></p><p> Crypto watchers are also blaming technical factors for the market downturn. Assuming prices don’t suddenly surge, Bitcoin is now in for “outside-down” day, says Katie Stockton, founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, a crypto-trading research firm. The means Bitcoin is trading in a wider range and headed for a lower close than yesterday (assuming a 5 p.m. cutoff, though it trades 24 hours).</p><p><blockquote>加密货币观察人士也将市场低迷归咎于技术因素。加密货币交易研究公司Fairlead Strategies的创始人兼管理合伙人Katie Stockton表示,假设价格不会突然飙升,比特币现在将迎来“外部下跌”的一天。这意味着比特币的交易范围更广,收盘价将低于昨天(假设下午5点截止,尽管它24小时交易)。</blockquote></p><p> “The implications are for additional consolidation,” she says. So far, the selloff looks like a minor setback, she adds, since Bitcoin hasn’t breached its 50-day moving average around $44,000, which is its next support level.</p><p><blockquote>“这意味着进一步整合,”她说。她补充道,到目前为止,抛售看起来像是一个小挫折,因为比特币尚未突破44,000美元左右的50日移动平均线,这是下一个支撑位。</blockquote></p><p> “A breach of $44,000 isn’t a breakdown,” she says. “It’s a test of the 50-day moving average. “There is strong support for Bitcoin and most crytpos pretty close to their current lows.”</p><p><blockquote>“违反44,000美元并不是崩溃,”她说。“这是对50日移动平均线的测试。“比特币和大多数加密货币都非常接近当前低点,”</blockquote></p><p> Other factors that may have contributed to the selloff include reports of outages and “unscheduled maintenance” at Bitfinix, a leading crypto exchange. Coinbase Global (ticker: COIN) also experienced a spike in outages around noon, according to Downdetector.</p><p><blockquote>其他可能导致抛售的因素包括领先的加密货币交易所Bitfinix的停电和“计划外维护”报告。据Downdetector称,Coinbase Global(股票代码:COIN)中午左右也经历了停电高峰。</blockquote></p><p> Even if prices stabilize from here, it’s a reminder that Bitcoin and other cryptos remain vulnerable to rapid-fire declines. While you may be able to buy a Big Mac with a sliver of Bitcoin in San Salvador, you may be better off keeping it in your digital wallet–or not–depending on the time of day.</p><p><blockquote>即使价格从这里稳定下来,这也提醒人们比特币和其他加密货币仍然容易受到快速下跌的影响。虽然你可以在圣萨尔瓦多买到一个巨无霸和一片比特币,但你最好把它放在你的数字钱包里——或者不放在——这取决于一天中的不同时间。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin Endured a Rocky Day. What's Behind the Selloff<blockquote>比特币经历了艰难的一天。抛售背后是什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin Endured a Rocky Day. What's Behind the Selloff<blockquote>比特币经历了艰难的一天。抛售背后是什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-08 16:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It should have been a happy day for Bitcoin, but it’s turned into a rout.</p><p><blockquote>对比特币来说,这应该是快乐的一天,但它变成了一场溃败。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin (ticker: BTC) was trading was around $47,000 on Tuesday afternoon, down 9% in the last 24 hours, after dipping down to $42,900 this morning. Bitcoin had been above $52,800 before the selloff.</p><p><blockquote>比特币(股票代码:BTC)周二下午的交易价格约为47,000美元,在今天上午跌至42,900美元后,过去24小时内下跌9%。在抛售之前,比特币股价已高于52,800美元。</blockquote></p><p> Other cryptos were also ailing, including Ethereum (ETH), down 12% to $3,460.</p><p><blockquote>其他加密货币也表现不佳,包括以太币(ETH),下跌12%至3,460美元。</blockquote></p><p> The selloff may reflect profit-taking after prices started rising in late July. Bitcoin had gained more than 50% since late July when it traded around $34,000. Ethereum has also been flying, following a technical upgrade in its underlying blockchain network.</p><p><blockquote>抛售可能反映了7月下旬价格开始上涨后的获利了结。自7月底交易价格约为34,000美元以来,比特币已上涨超过50%。在对其底层区块链网络进行技术升级后,以太币也一直在飞行。</blockquote></p><p> The down day may also reflect a “sell the news” dynamic after El Salvador became the first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, alongside the dollar– the country’s other official currency.</p><p><blockquote>下跌的一天也可能反映了萨尔瓦多成为第一个采用比特币作为法定货币以及该国另一种官方货币美元的国家后的“抛售新闻”动态。</blockquote></p><p> Merchants in El Salvador are now supposed to accept Bitcoin for goods and services. Citizens have been promised $30 worth of Bitcoin in their digital wallets by the government. McDonald’s has started accepting Bitcoin in El Salvador, according to Reuters. And the government of president Nayib Bukele has been buying Bitcoin, including at least $20 million worth, ahead of the official launch.</p><p><blockquote>萨尔瓦多的商人现在应该接受商品和服务的比特币。政府向公民承诺在他们的数字钱包中提供价值30美元的比特币。据路透社报道,麦当劳已经开始在萨尔瓦多接受比特币。在正式启动之前,纳伊布·布克莱总统的政府一直在购买比特币,其中包括价值至少2000万美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> But El Salvador’s crypto experiment isn’t sitting well with organizations like the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, which have warned El Salvador that its adoption as legal tender could imperil financial stability. Other countries are cracking down on crypto transactions, mining, and exchanges, indicating that El Salvador may be an outlier for now.</p><p><blockquote>但萨尔瓦多的加密货币实验并没有得到国际货币基金组织和世界银行等组织的认可,这些组织警告萨尔瓦多,将其作为法定货币可能会危及金融稳定。其他国家正在打击加密货币交易、采矿和交易所,这表明萨尔瓦多目前可能是一个例外。</blockquote></p><p> Crypto watchers are also blaming technical factors for the market downturn. Assuming prices don’t suddenly surge, Bitcoin is now in for “outside-down” day, says Katie Stockton, founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, a crypto-trading research firm. The means Bitcoin is trading in a wider range and headed for a lower close than yesterday (assuming a 5 p.m. cutoff, though it trades 24 hours).</p><p><blockquote>加密货币观察人士也将市场低迷归咎于技术因素。加密货币交易研究公司Fairlead Strategies的创始人兼管理合伙人Katie Stockton表示,假设价格不会突然飙升,比特币现在将迎来“外部下跌”的一天。这意味着比特币的交易范围更广,收盘价将低于昨天(假设下午5点截止,尽管它24小时交易)。</blockquote></p><p> “The implications are for additional consolidation,” she says. So far, the selloff looks like a minor setback, she adds, since Bitcoin hasn’t breached its 50-day moving average around $44,000, which is its next support level.</p><p><blockquote>“这意味着进一步整合,”她说。她补充道,到目前为止,抛售看起来像是一个小挫折,因为比特币尚未突破44,000美元左右的50日移动平均线,这是下一个支撑位。</blockquote></p><p> “A breach of $44,000 isn’t a breakdown,” she says. “It’s a test of the 50-day moving average. “There is strong support for Bitcoin and most crytpos pretty close to their current lows.”</p><p><blockquote>“违反44,000美元并不是崩溃,”她说。“这是对50日移动平均线的测试。“比特币和大多数加密货币都非常接近当前低点,”</blockquote></p><p> Other factors that may have contributed to the selloff include reports of outages and “unscheduled maintenance” at Bitfinix, a leading crypto exchange. Coinbase Global (ticker: COIN) also experienced a spike in outages around noon, according to Downdetector.</p><p><blockquote>其他可能导致抛售的因素包括领先的加密货币交易所Bitfinix的停电和“计划外维护”报告。据Downdetector称,Coinbase Global(股票代码:COIN)中午左右也经历了停电高峰。</blockquote></p><p> Even if prices stabilize from here, it’s a reminder that Bitcoin and other cryptos remain vulnerable to rapid-fire declines. While you may be able to buy a Big Mac with a sliver of Bitcoin in San Salvador, you may be better off keeping it in your digital wallet–or not–depending on the time of day.</p><p><blockquote>即使价格从这里稳定下来,这也提醒人们比特币和其他加密货币仍然容易受到快速下跌的影响。虽然你可以在圣萨尔瓦多买到一个巨无霸和一片比特币,但你最好把它放在你的数字钱包里——或者不放在——这取决于一天中的不同时间。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bitcoin-crypto-prices-drop-today-51631048243?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bitcoin-crypto-prices-drop-today-51631048243?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154837170","content_text":"It should have been a happy day for Bitcoin, but it’s turned into a rout.\nBitcoin (ticker: BTC) was trading was around $47,000 on Tuesday afternoon, down 9% in the last 24 hours, after dipping down to $42,900 this morning. Bitcoin had been above $52,800 before the selloff.\nOther cryptos were also ailing, including Ethereum (ETH), down 12% to $3,460.\nThe selloff may reflect profit-taking after prices started rising in late July. Bitcoin had gained more than 50% since late July when it traded around $34,000. Ethereum has also been flying, following a technical upgrade in its underlying blockchain network.\nThe down day may also reflect a “sell the news” dynamic after El Salvador became the first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, alongside the dollar– the country’s other official currency.\nMerchants in El Salvador are now supposed to accept Bitcoin for goods and services. Citizens have been promised $30 worth of Bitcoin in their digital wallets by the government. McDonald’s has started accepting Bitcoin in El Salvador, according to Reuters. And the government of president Nayib Bukele has been buying Bitcoin, including at least $20 million worth, ahead of the official launch.\nBut El Salvador’s crypto experiment isn’t sitting well with organizations like the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, which have warned El Salvador that its adoption as legal tender could imperil financial stability. Other countries are cracking down on crypto transactions, mining, and exchanges, indicating that El Salvador may be an outlier for now.\nCrypto watchers are also blaming technical factors for the market downturn. Assuming prices don’t suddenly surge, Bitcoin is now in for “outside-down” day, says Katie Stockton, founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, a crypto-trading research firm. The means Bitcoin is trading in a wider range and headed for a lower close than yesterday (assuming a 5 p.m. cutoff, though it trades 24 hours).\n“The implications are for additional consolidation,” she says. So far, the selloff looks like a minor setback, she adds, since Bitcoin hasn’t breached its 50-day moving average around $44,000, which is its next support level.\n“A breach of $44,000 isn’t a breakdown,” she says. “It’s a test of the 50-day moving average. “There is strong support for Bitcoin and most crytpos pretty close to their current lows.”\nOther factors that may have contributed to the selloff include reports of outages and “unscheduled maintenance” at Bitfinix, a leading crypto exchange. Coinbase Global (ticker: COIN) also experienced a spike in outages around noon, according to Downdetector.\nEven if prices stabilize from here, it’s a reminder that Bitcoin and other cryptos remain vulnerable to rapid-fire declines. While you may be able to buy a Big Mac with a sliver of Bitcoin in San Salvador, you may be better off keeping it in your digital wallet–or not–depending on the time of day.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COIN":0.9,"GBTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":341,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":880619381,"gmtCreate":1631054364143,"gmtModify":1631889324482,"author":{"id":"3576701730623485","authorId":"3576701730623485","name":"Risz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576701730623485","authorIdStr":"3576701730623485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/880619381","repostId":"1130130857","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130130857","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631007146,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1130130857?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-07 17:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示,今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130130857","media":"Barron's","summary":"What a year this has been for the markets!Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnin","content":"<p>What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.</p><p><blockquote>对于市场来说,这是多么美好的一年啊!在货币和财政刺激、经济和盈利增长以及(直到最近)疫情基本消退的推动下,标准普尔500股票指数已上涨20%,连续七个月上涨,并创下50多个高点。除此之外,去年市场从2020年3月的低点反弹了68%。</blockquote></p><p> Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.</p><p><blockquote>顺风依然存在,但逆风现在迫在眉睫,可能会减缓股市的上涨。刺激支出已经见顶,经济和企业盈利增长可能会在今年年底放缓。此外,美联储几乎承诺在未来几个月开始缩减债券购买规模,拜登政府也提议提高企业和个人税率。这些都不会让股价越来越贵的持有者满意。</blockquote></p><p> In other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,要做好迎接波动性下跌的准备,这种冲突迫使巴菲特股票、债券和投资者。Nuveen全球股票首席投资官Saira Malik表示:“一切反弹都已经过去。”“这不会是一场急剧上升的经济浪潮,将所有船只从这里抬起。”</blockquote></p><p> That’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whom<i>Barron’s</i>recently consulted. All see the S&P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.</p><p><blockquote>这是六位市场策略师和首席投资官的普遍共识<i>巴伦周刊</i>最近咨询过。所有人都认为标普500将在周四收盘价4536点附近结束今年。他们的平均目标是:4585。</blockquote></p><p> Next year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.</p><p><blockquote>相对于最近的趋势,明年的涨幅看起来也很微弱。该集团预计2022年标普500将再增加6%,升至约4800。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb61c7b74b9b0f18a019afb4ac44ad59\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">With stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.</p><p><blockquote>由于股票交易价格约为来年预期收益的21倍,债券收益率很低,考虑通货膨胀后现金收益率低于零,投资者面临着艰难的资产配置决策。我们的市场观察人士建议关注“优质”投资,而不是提振快速增长的科技股、无增长的模因股和数字世界的狗狗币的“一切反弹”。在股票方面,这意味着拥有稳健的资产负债表、不断扩大的利润率以及充足且经常性的自由现金流的企业的股票。即使未来几个月平均指数表现不大,这些股票也可能会大放异彩。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年股市的大幅上涨是美联储的一份礼物,美联储向金融体系注入了大量资金,以避免新冠疫情造成的经济损失。自2020年3月以来,美联储每月购买总计1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券,同时将基准联邦基金利率目标维持在0%至0.25%。这些举措压低了债券收益率,并推动投资者进入包括股票在内的风险较高的资产。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>曾表示,央行可能会在未来几个季度的某个时候开始逐步减少或缩减紧急资产购买,此举可能会扰乱各类风险资产。摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)首席投资官兼首席美国股票策略师威尔逊(Mike Wilson)表示:“对我们来说,缩减规模很简单:缩减规模就是紧缩。这是(美联储)距离最大限度宽松政策迈出的第一步。他们这次对此非常谨慎,但底线是,这应该会对股票估值产生负面影响。”</blockquote></p><p> The government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>策略师指出,政府的刺激支出也已见顶。每周300美元的补充联邦失业救济金将于9月6日到期。尽管国会似乎有可能在今年秋天通过一项两党基础设施法案,但与2020年3月以来推出的多轮刺激措施相比,近期的经济影响将相形见绌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2cb76c498c1c4c980139e3d0514c261\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.</p><p><blockquote>该法案包括约5500亿美元的新支出——只是之前法律授权的数万亿美元的一小部分——并且将分散在许多年内。基础设施刺激措施将给消费者支出带来的短期提振,占美国国内生产总值增长的近70%,但不会接近去年数百万美国人收到政府支票后的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> A budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.</p><p><blockquote>仅由民主党批准的预算法案应该遵循基础设施法案,并包括支持医疗保险扩张、儿童保育资金、免费社区大学学费、公共住房和气候相关措施以及其他政党优先事项的支出。国会可能会投票提高企业和高收入个人的税收,以抵消这些支出——这是市场面临的另一个近期风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6693da658db16059fc99e08a7531675f\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Other politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> shutdown in October.</p><p><blockquote>今年秋天,其他带有政治色彩的问题同样可能会让股市脱轨。国会需要通过提高债务上限来为政府提供资金,并在本月晚些时候通过一项权宜之计的支出法案来避免<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿州</a>10月停工。</blockquote></p><p> For now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>目前,我们的市场专家对Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的经济影响相对乐观。他们说,只要疫苗在最大限度地减少导致住院和死亡的严重感染方面仍然有效,当前Covid浪潮的负面影响将主要限于旅游业和电影院。华尔街对市场的基本假设不包括会破坏经济增长的新一波封锁。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.</p><p><blockquote>通胀一直是美联储和投资者的热门话题,部分原因是通胀最近非常火爆。6月和7月,美国消费者价格指数年化涨幅为5.4%,这是美联储评级暂时性的飙升,尽管其他人不太确定。策略师们站在鲍威尔一边。他们预计明年通胀将大幅下降。他们的预测在2.5%至3.5%之间,他们认为这对消费者和公司来说是可控的,也是经济快速增长的可接受的副作用。然而,通胀率高于2.5%,加上美联储缩减规模,意味着目前超低的债券收益率应该会上升。</blockquote></p><p> “We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”</p><p><blockquote>收益投资主管迈克尔·弗雷德里克斯(Michael Fredericks)表示:“我们认为通胀将继续比金融危机以来更高,但一旦许多与重新开放相关的压力开始消散,我们很难看到通胀率远高于2.5%。”贝莱德多资产策略集团。“因此债券收益率确实需要上升,但这将逐渐发生。”</blockquote></p><p> The strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>策略师预计,到年底,10年期美国国债收益率将攀升至1.65%左右。这比当前水平高出约35个基点(即百分之几个百分点),但低于2021年3月收益率高点时达到的1.75%。该组织表示,到明年,10年期国债收益率可能达到2%。从绝对值来看,这些举措并不是很大,但对债券市场来说意义重大,对股票来说可能更是如此。</blockquote></p><p> Rising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升往往会打压股票估值,原因有二。高收益债券提供了与股票的竞争,当以更高的利率贴现时,公司的未来收益在目前毫无价值。尽管如此,2%左右的10年期国债收益率仍不足以将股票估值降至新冠疫情爆发前的水平。即使收益率攀升,市场策略师认为标普500的市盈率仍远高于预期市盈率16倍的30年平均水平。去年秋天,该指数的远期市盈率突破23。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08d24cb421d7cc13debd76a9c6fea01\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示,只要10年期国债收益率保持在2%的范围内,标普500的远期市盈率就应该能够在十几岁左右。除非收益率高得多或其他导致股市下跌的因素带来更大压力,否则不可能回到16倍的长期平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> If yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">State</a> Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”</p><p><blockquote>表示,如果收益率飙升超过2%或2.25%,投资者可能会开始更严重地质疑股票估值<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">国家</a>Street首席投资组合策略师Gaurav Mallik:“我们已经有一段时间没有看到(10年期国债收益率)超过2%了,因此这对投资者来说是一个重要的情绪水平。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93ff6490069ab5dc1b4057f1ff7966f3\" tg-width=\"664\" tg-height=\"441\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊更担心,他指出,股市的估值风险是不对称的:“市盈率不太可能上升,考虑到增长放缓和我们所处的位置,市盈率很有可能下降10%以上。在周期中,”他说</blockquote></p><p> If 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”</p><p><blockquote>他补充道,如果预期市盈率为16至23倍,“你已经处于这个范围的很高端。潜在风险大于回报。”</blockquote></p><p> Some P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.</p><p><blockquote>所有六位策略师的预测都包含了一些市盈率倍数的压缩,这对利润增长路径变得更加重要。平均而言,策略师预计,继去年的盈利低迷之后,标普500今年的盈利将增长46%,至204美元左右。随后,2022年可能会上涨9%,达到约222.50美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.</p><p><blockquote>一个潜在的阻力是2022年联邦企业税率上升。民主党支出和税收计划的细节将在未来几周内制定出来,投资者可以期待听到更多有关潜在增税的消息。几位策略师认为,25%的联邦企业利润税率可能是一个妥协数字,高于2018年以来实施的21%,但低于拜登政府寻求的28%。</blockquote></p><p> An increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-time event for the market, some strategists predict.</p><p><blockquote>如此幅度的增长将使标普500明年的盈利减少约5%。随着今年秋天民主党和解法案的通过,该指数可能会下跌类似的幅度,但影响应该仅限于最初的调整。与2017年12月的减税一样,这一变化应该是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>——一些策略师预测,市场的时间事件。</blockquote></p><p> These concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.</p><p><blockquote>抛开这些担忧不谈,投资者不应错过更大的图景:美国经济状况良好,增长强劲。策略师预计今年国内生产总值将增长6.3%,2022年将增长约4%。Mallik表示:“周期性上涨和高于趋势的增长将至少持续到2022年,我们希望偏向于具有这种风险的资产。”</blockquote></p><p> “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets The State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.</p><p><blockquote>“今明两年我们的经济将会火爆。当GDP增长高于平均水平时,价值会战胜增长,周期性会战胜防御性。”—Lori Calvasina,加拿大皇家银行资本市场道富策略师建议在投资组合中增持材料、金融和科技股。这种方法既包括银行和矿业公司等对经济敏感的公司,也包括科技行业的稳定增长者。</blockquote></p><p> RBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)美国股票策略主管洛里·卡尔瓦西纳(Lori Calvasina)同样采取杠铃法,同时投资周期性和成长性。她最喜欢的行业是能源、金融和技术。</blockquote></p><p> “Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示:“金融和能源行业的估值仍然比增长行业(科技或非必需消费品等行业)更具吸引力。”“近期的催化剂是摆脱当前的新冠疫情浪潮……今年和明年我们将迎来经济火爆,传统上,当GDP增长高于平均水平时,价值会跑赢增长,周期性会跑赢防御性。”</blockquote></p><p> But the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.</p><p><blockquote>但对质量的关注将是关键,尤其是进入2022年下半年。届时美联储可能会在本周期内首次加息。到2023年,经济可能会恢复到新冠疫情前2%左右的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示:“历史上的剧本是,走出衰退后,你往往会看到持续一年左右的低质量优异表现,然后领导力又会恢复到高质量。”“但从低质量回到高质量的转变往往非常坎坷。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Shopping List for Fall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>秋季购物清单</b></blockquote></p><p> Most strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.</p><p><blockquote>大多数策略师青睐对经济敏感的股票和稳定增长的股票(包括科技股)的组合。金融股应该会表现良好,特别是如果债券收益率上升的话。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a54c4bd114c1a5f7f700d1fc14d30d8e\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Although stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a> analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.</p><p><blockquote>尽管今年夏天具有质量属性的股票表现优于大盘,但根据一家<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>分析,自去年11月首次报道疫苗正面消息以来,质量因素一直滞后。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”</p><p><blockquote>贝莱德的弗雷德里克斯表示:“我们正在进入周期中期环境,基本经济增长仍然强劲,但势头开始减速。”“我们的研究表明,优质股票在这样的时期表现尤其出色。”</blockquote></p><p> He recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.</p><p><blockquote>他建议增持盈利的科技公司;金融,包括银行,以及具有这些质量特征的消费品和工业。</blockquote></p><p> For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a>’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.</p><p><blockquote>为了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>股票策略主管克里斯托弗·哈维(Christopher Harvey)表示,大流行后受益者和防御性敞口的结合才是正确的选择。他构建了一篮子波动性低于平均水平的股票——在今年秋季市场不确定性或压力时期,这些股票应该会跑赢大盘——并且“新冠贝塔值”较高,即对有关大流行的好消息或坏消息的敏感性。一个要求;富国银行的股票分析师必须将这些股票评级为“买入”。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”</p><p><blockquote>哈维表示:“近期经济存在不确定性、利率不确定性和新冠病毒风险,一般来说,我们正处于9月份左右的季节性疲软时期。”“如果我们能够平衡低波动性和高Covid贝塔值,我们就可以减轻其中几种催化剂时机即将到来的不确定性和波动性。不过,从长远来看,我们仍然希望[重新开放风险。]”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Harvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>(BAC),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">Northern</a> Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a> Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).</p><p><blockquote>哈维列出的具有高新贝塔值的低波动性股票名单包括苹果(AAPL)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>(BAC),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">北方的</a>信托(NTRS)、劳氏(LOW)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a>控股公司(IQV)和马斯科公司(MAS)。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言,银行是未来几个月最常被推荐的群体。Invesco KBW银行交易所交易基金(KBWB)提供对美国该行业的广泛投资。</blockquote></p><p> “We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.</p><p><blockquote>“我们喜欢估值和信用质量;他们现在被允许回购股票并增加股息,而且新冠贝塔值更高,”哈维说。</blockquote></p><p> Cheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.</p><p><blockquote>较低的估值意味着市场调整中潜在的下行空间较小。而且,与股市的其他大部分地区相反,更高的利率将成为银行的顺风车,银行可能会收取更高的贷款费用。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> stocks also have some fans. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">Healthcare</a> has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts and fitting his macro views.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>股票也有一些粉丝。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">医疗保健</a>具有防御性和成长性,”威尔逊说。“如今,医疗保健行业每单位增长支付的费用比其他行业低得多。因此,我们认为,当我们担心估值时,它为这个市场提供了良好的平衡。”健康保险公司Humana(HUM)跻身威尔逊“新鲜资金买入名单”股票买入评级<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师并符合他的宏观观点。</blockquote></p><p> Nuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.</p><p><blockquote>Nuveen的Malik还将目光投向医疗保健领域,以获得相对低估的增长机会,即制药和生物技术领域。她指出了Seagen(SGEN),该公司专注于肿瘤药物,可能成为制药巨头有吸引力的收购目标。</blockquote></p><p> Malik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.</p><p><blockquote>马利克还喜欢艾伯维(ABBV),该公司的预期市盈率为8倍,股息收益率为4.7%。其重磅抗炎药修美乐(Humira)的专利即将到期,这让一些投资者望而却步,但马利克相信管理层能够限制损失,并看到这家价值2000亿美元的公司正在开发有前途的药物。</blockquote></p><p> Both stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">AbbVie</a>’s most promising post-Humira products.</p><p><blockquote>这两只股票最近几天都过得很艰难。Seagen上周跌超8%,报152美元左右,因有消息称其联合创始人兼首席执行官近期大量抛售股票。在美国食品和药物管理局要求为JAK抑制剂贴上新的警告标签后,ABBVIE周三上涨7%,至112.27美元。JAK抑制剂是一种抗类风湿药物,其中包括一种<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">艾伯维</a>最有前途的后修美乐产品。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>(PFE),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a>(AXP),Johnson & Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&P 500 members that pass a<i>Barron’s</i>screen for quality attributes.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>(PFE),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">美国运通</a>(AXP)、强生(JNJ)和思科系统(CSCO)是其他通过A的标普500成员<i>巴伦周刊</i>筛选质量属性。</blockquote></p><p> After a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> be more selective. And go with quality.</p><p><blockquote>经过一年的稳定上涨后,今年秋天投资者可能会被提醒,随着增长势头和政策支持开始消退,股市也可能下跌。但如果市场从高点下跌,潜在的经济实力支持逢低买入。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>更有选择性。追求质量。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示,今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStrategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示,今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-07 17:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.</p><p><blockquote>对于市场来说,这是多么美好的一年啊!在货币和财政刺激、经济和盈利增长以及(直到最近)疫情基本消退的推动下,标准普尔500股票指数已上涨20%,连续七个月上涨,并创下50多个高点。除此之外,去年市场从2020年3月的低点反弹了68%。</blockquote></p><p> Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.</p><p><blockquote>顺风依然存在,但逆风现在迫在眉睫,可能会减缓股市的上涨。刺激支出已经见顶,经济和企业盈利增长可能会在今年年底放缓。此外,美联储几乎承诺在未来几个月开始缩减债券购买规模,拜登政府也提议提高企业和个人税率。这些都不会让股价越来越贵的持有者满意。</blockquote></p><p> In other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,要做好迎接波动性下跌的准备,这种冲突迫使巴菲特股票、债券和投资者。Nuveen全球股票首席投资官Saira Malik表示:“一切反弹都已经过去。”“这不会是一场急剧上升的经济浪潮,将所有船只从这里抬起。”</blockquote></p><p> That’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whom<i>Barron’s</i>recently consulted. All see the S&P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.</p><p><blockquote>这是六位市场策略师和首席投资官的普遍共识<i>巴伦周刊</i>最近咨询过。所有人都认为标普500将在周四收盘价4536点附近结束今年。他们的平均目标是:4585。</blockquote></p><p> Next year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.</p><p><blockquote>相对于最近的趋势,明年的涨幅看起来也很微弱。该集团预计2022年标普500将再增加6%,升至约4800。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb61c7b74b9b0f18a019afb4ac44ad59\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">With stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.</p><p><blockquote>由于股票交易价格约为来年预期收益的21倍,债券收益率很低,考虑通货膨胀后现金收益率低于零,投资者面临着艰难的资产配置决策。我们的市场观察人士建议关注“优质”投资,而不是提振快速增长的科技股、无增长的模因股和数字世界的狗狗币的“一切反弹”。在股票方面,这意味着拥有稳健的资产负债表、不断扩大的利润率以及充足且经常性的自由现金流的企业的股票。即使未来几个月平均指数表现不大,这些股票也可能会大放异彩。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年股市的大幅上涨是美联储的一份礼物,美联储向金融体系注入了大量资金,以避免新冠疫情造成的经济损失。自2020年3月以来,美联储每月购买总计1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券,同时将基准联邦基金利率目标维持在0%至0.25%。这些举措压低了债券收益率,并推动投资者进入包括股票在内的风险较高的资产。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>曾表示,央行可能会在未来几个季度的某个时候开始逐步减少或缩减紧急资产购买,此举可能会扰乱各类风险资产。摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)首席投资官兼首席美国股票策略师威尔逊(Mike Wilson)表示:“对我们来说,缩减规模很简单:缩减规模就是紧缩。这是(美联储)距离最大限度宽松政策迈出的第一步。他们这次对此非常谨慎,但底线是,这应该会对股票估值产生负面影响。”</blockquote></p><p> The government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>策略师指出,政府的刺激支出也已见顶。每周300美元的补充联邦失业救济金将于9月6日到期。尽管国会似乎有可能在今年秋天通过一项两党基础设施法案,但与2020年3月以来推出的多轮刺激措施相比,近期的经济影响将相形见绌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2cb76c498c1c4c980139e3d0514c261\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.</p><p><blockquote>该法案包括约5500亿美元的新支出——只是之前法律授权的数万亿美元的一小部分——并且将分散在许多年内。基础设施刺激措施将给消费者支出带来的短期提振,占美国国内生产总值增长的近70%,但不会接近去年数百万美国人收到政府支票后的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> A budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.</p><p><blockquote>仅由民主党批准的预算法案应该遵循基础设施法案,并包括支持医疗保险扩张、儿童保育资金、免费社区大学学费、公共住房和气候相关措施以及其他政党优先事项的支出。国会可能会投票提高企业和高收入个人的税收,以抵消这些支出——这是市场面临的另一个近期风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6693da658db16059fc99e08a7531675f\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Other politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> shutdown in October.</p><p><blockquote>今年秋天,其他带有政治色彩的问题同样可能会让股市脱轨。国会需要通过提高债务上限来为政府提供资金,并在本月晚些时候通过一项权宜之计的支出法案来避免<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿州</a>10月停工。</blockquote></p><p> For now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>目前,我们的市场专家对Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的经济影响相对乐观。他们说,只要疫苗在最大限度地减少导致住院和死亡的严重感染方面仍然有效,当前Covid浪潮的负面影响将主要限于旅游业和电影院。华尔街对市场的基本假设不包括会破坏经济增长的新一波封锁。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.</p><p><blockquote>通胀一直是美联储和投资者的热门话题,部分原因是通胀最近非常火爆。6月和7月,美国消费者价格指数年化涨幅为5.4%,这是美联储评级暂时性的飙升,尽管其他人不太确定。策略师们站在鲍威尔一边。他们预计明年通胀将大幅下降。他们的预测在2.5%至3.5%之间,他们认为这对消费者和公司来说是可控的,也是经济快速增长的可接受的副作用。然而,通胀率高于2.5%,加上美联储缩减规模,意味着目前超低的债券收益率应该会上升。</blockquote></p><p> “We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”</p><p><blockquote>收益投资主管迈克尔·弗雷德里克斯(Michael Fredericks)表示:“我们认为通胀将继续比金融危机以来更高,但一旦许多与重新开放相关的压力开始消散,我们很难看到通胀率远高于2.5%。”贝莱德多资产策略集团。“因此债券收益率确实需要上升,但这将逐渐发生。”</blockquote></p><p> The strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>策略师预计,到年底,10年期美国国债收益率将攀升至1.65%左右。这比当前水平高出约35个基点(即百分之几个百分点),但低于2021年3月收益率高点时达到的1.75%。该组织表示,到明年,10年期国债收益率可能达到2%。从绝对值来看,这些举措并不是很大,但对债券市场来说意义重大,对股票来说可能更是如此。</blockquote></p><p> Rising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升往往会打压股票估值,原因有二。高收益债券提供了与股票的竞争,当以更高的利率贴现时,公司的未来收益在目前毫无价值。尽管如此,2%左右的10年期国债收益率仍不足以将股票估值降至新冠疫情爆发前的水平。即使收益率攀升,市场策略师认为标普500的市盈率仍远高于预期市盈率16倍的30年平均水平。去年秋天,该指数的远期市盈率突破23。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08d24cb421d7cc13debd76a9c6fea01\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示,只要10年期国债收益率保持在2%的范围内,标普500的远期市盈率就应该能够在十几岁左右。除非收益率高得多或其他导致股市下跌的因素带来更大压力,否则不可能回到16倍的长期平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> If yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">State</a> Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”</p><p><blockquote>表示,如果收益率飙升超过2%或2.25%,投资者可能会开始更严重地质疑股票估值<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">国家</a>Street首席投资组合策略师Gaurav Mallik:“我们已经有一段时间没有看到(10年期国债收益率)超过2%了,因此这对投资者来说是一个重要的情绪水平。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93ff6490069ab5dc1b4057f1ff7966f3\" tg-width=\"664\" tg-height=\"441\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊更担心,他指出,股市的估值风险是不对称的:“市盈率不太可能上升,考虑到增长放缓和我们所处的位置,市盈率很有可能下降10%以上。在周期中,”他说</blockquote></p><p> If 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”</p><p><blockquote>他补充道,如果预期市盈率为16至23倍,“你已经处于这个范围的很高端。潜在风险大于回报。”</blockquote></p><p> Some P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.</p><p><blockquote>所有六位策略师的预测都包含了一些市盈率倍数的压缩,这对利润增长路径变得更加重要。平均而言,策略师预计,继去年的盈利低迷之后,标普500今年的盈利将增长46%,至204美元左右。随后,2022年可能会上涨9%,达到约222.50美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.</p><p><blockquote>一个潜在的阻力是2022年联邦企业税率上升。民主党支出和税收计划的细节将在未来几周内制定出来,投资者可以期待听到更多有关潜在增税的消息。几位策略师认为,25%的联邦企业利润税率可能是一个妥协数字,高于2018年以来实施的21%,但低于拜登政府寻求的28%。</blockquote></p><p> An increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-time event for the market, some strategists predict.</p><p><blockquote>如此幅度的增长将使标普500明年的盈利减少约5%。随着今年秋天民主党和解法案的通过,该指数可能会下跌类似的幅度,但影响应该仅限于最初的调整。与2017年12月的减税一样,这一变化应该是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>——一些策略师预测,市场的时间事件。</blockquote></p><p> These concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.</p><p><blockquote>抛开这些担忧不谈,投资者不应错过更大的图景:美国经济状况良好,增长强劲。策略师预计今年国内生产总值将增长6.3%,2022年将增长约4%。Mallik表示:“周期性上涨和高于趋势的增长将至少持续到2022年,我们希望偏向于具有这种风险的资产。”</blockquote></p><p> “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets The State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.</p><p><blockquote>“今明两年我们的经济将会火爆。当GDP增长高于平均水平时,价值会战胜增长,周期性会战胜防御性。”—Lori Calvasina,加拿大皇家银行资本市场道富策略师建议在投资组合中增持材料、金融和科技股。这种方法既包括银行和矿业公司等对经济敏感的公司,也包括科技行业的稳定增长者。</blockquote></p><p> RBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)美国股票策略主管洛里·卡尔瓦西纳(Lori Calvasina)同样采取杠铃法,同时投资周期性和成长性。她最喜欢的行业是能源、金融和技术。</blockquote></p><p> “Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示:“金融和能源行业的估值仍然比增长行业(科技或非必需消费品等行业)更具吸引力。”“近期的催化剂是摆脱当前的新冠疫情浪潮……今年和明年我们将迎来经济火爆,传统上,当GDP增长高于平均水平时,价值会跑赢增长,周期性会跑赢防御性。”</blockquote></p><p> But the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.</p><p><blockquote>但对质量的关注将是关键,尤其是进入2022年下半年。届时美联储可能会在本周期内首次加息。到2023年,经济可能会恢复到新冠疫情前2%左右的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示:“历史上的剧本是,走出衰退后,你往往会看到持续一年左右的低质量优异表现,然后领导力又会恢复到高质量。”“但从低质量回到高质量的转变往往非常坎坷。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Shopping List for Fall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>秋季购物清单</b></blockquote></p><p> Most strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.</p><p><blockquote>大多数策略师青睐对经济敏感的股票和稳定增长的股票(包括科技股)的组合。金融股应该会表现良好,特别是如果债券收益率上升的话。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a54c4bd114c1a5f7f700d1fc14d30d8e\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Although stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a> analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.</p><p><blockquote>尽管今年夏天具有质量属性的股票表现优于大盘,但根据一家<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>分析,自去年11月首次报道疫苗正面消息以来,质量因素一直滞后。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”</p><p><blockquote>贝莱德的弗雷德里克斯表示:“我们正在进入周期中期环境,基本经济增长仍然强劲,但势头开始减速。”“我们的研究表明,优质股票在这样的时期表现尤其出色。”</blockquote></p><p> He recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.</p><p><blockquote>他建议增持盈利的科技公司;金融,包括银行,以及具有这些质量特征的消费品和工业。</blockquote></p><p> For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a>’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.</p><p><blockquote>为了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>股票策略主管克里斯托弗·哈维(Christopher Harvey)表示,大流行后受益者和防御性敞口的结合才是正确的选择。他构建了一篮子波动性低于平均水平的股票——在今年秋季市场不确定性或压力时期,这些股票应该会跑赢大盘——并且“新冠贝塔值”较高,即对有关大流行的好消息或坏消息的敏感性。一个要求;富国银行的股票分析师必须将这些股票评级为“买入”。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”</p><p><blockquote>哈维表示:“近期经济存在不确定性、利率不确定性和新冠病毒风险,一般来说,我们正处于9月份左右的季节性疲软时期。”“如果我们能够平衡低波动性和高Covid贝塔值,我们就可以减轻其中几种催化剂时机即将到来的不确定性和波动性。不过,从长远来看,我们仍然希望[重新开放风险。]”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Harvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>(BAC),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">Northern</a> Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a> Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).</p><p><blockquote>哈维列出的具有高新贝塔值的低波动性股票名单包括苹果(AAPL)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>(BAC),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">北方的</a>信托(NTRS)、劳氏(LOW)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a>控股公司(IQV)和马斯科公司(MAS)。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言,银行是未来几个月最常被推荐的群体。Invesco KBW银行交易所交易基金(KBWB)提供对美国该行业的广泛投资。</blockquote></p><p> “We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.</p><p><blockquote>“我们喜欢估值和信用质量;他们现在被允许回购股票并增加股息,而且新冠贝塔值更高,”哈维说。</blockquote></p><p> Cheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.</p><p><blockquote>较低的估值意味着市场调整中潜在的下行空间较小。而且,与股市的其他大部分地区相反,更高的利率将成为银行的顺风车,银行可能会收取更高的贷款费用。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> stocks also have some fans. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">Healthcare</a> has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts and fitting his macro views.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>股票也有一些粉丝。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">医疗保健</a>具有防御性和成长性,”威尔逊说。“如今,医疗保健行业每单位增长支付的费用比其他行业低得多。因此,我们认为,当我们担心估值时,它为这个市场提供了良好的平衡。”健康保险公司Humana(HUM)跻身威尔逊“新鲜资金买入名单”股票买入评级<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师并符合他的宏观观点。</blockquote></p><p> Nuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.</p><p><blockquote>Nuveen的Malik还将目光投向医疗保健领域,以获得相对低估的增长机会,即制药和生物技术领域。她指出了Seagen(SGEN),该公司专注于肿瘤药物,可能成为制药巨头有吸引力的收购目标。</blockquote></p><p> Malik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.</p><p><blockquote>马利克还喜欢艾伯维(ABBV),该公司的预期市盈率为8倍,股息收益率为4.7%。其重磅抗炎药修美乐(Humira)的专利即将到期,这让一些投资者望而却步,但马利克相信管理层能够限制损失,并看到这家价值2000亿美元的公司正在开发有前途的药物。</blockquote></p><p> Both stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">AbbVie</a>’s most promising post-Humira products.</p><p><blockquote>这两只股票最近几天都过得很艰难。Seagen上周跌超8%,报152美元左右,因有消息称其联合创始人兼首席执行官近期大量抛售股票。在美国食品和药物管理局要求为JAK抑制剂贴上新的警告标签后,ABBVIE周三上涨7%,至112.27美元。JAK抑制剂是一种抗类风湿药物,其中包括一种<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">艾伯维</a>最有前途的后修美乐产品。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>(PFE),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a>(AXP),Johnson & Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&P 500 members that pass a<i>Barron’s</i>screen for quality attributes.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>(PFE),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">美国运通</a>(AXP)、强生(JNJ)和思科系统(CSCO)是其他通过A的标普500成员<i>巴伦周刊</i>筛选质量属性。</blockquote></p><p> After a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> be more selective. And go with quality.</p><p><blockquote>经过一年的稳定上涨后,今年秋天投资者可能会被提醒,随着增长势头和政策支持开始消退,股市也可能下跌。但如果市场从高点下跌,潜在的经济实力支持逢低买入。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>更有选择性。追求质量。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130130857","content_text":"What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.\nTailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.\nIn other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”\nThat’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whomBarron’srecently consulted. All see the S&P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.\nNext year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.\nWith stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.\nThe stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”\nThe government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.\nThe bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.\nA budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.\nOther politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a Washington shutdown in October.\nFor now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.\nInflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.\n“We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”\nThe strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.\nRising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.\n\nAs long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.\nIf yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says State Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”\n\nWilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says\nIf 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”\nSome P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.\nA potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.\nAn increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a one-time event for the market, some strategists predict.\nThese concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.\n\n “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets\n\nThe State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.\nRBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.\n“Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”\nBut the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.\n“The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”\nA Shopping List for Fall\nMost strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.\n\nAlthough stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a BlackRock analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.\n“We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”\nHe recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.\nFor Wells Fargo’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.\n“There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”\nHarvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),Bank of America(BAC),Northern Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),IQVIA Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).\nOverall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.\n“We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.\nCheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.\nHealthcare stocks also have some fans. “Healthcare has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by Morgan Stanley analysts and fitting his macro views.\nNuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.\nMalik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.\nBoth stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of AbbVie’s most promising post-Humira products.\nPfizer(PFE),American Express(AXP),Johnson & Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&P 500 members that pass aBarron’sscreen for quality attributes.\nAfter a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. Just be more selective. And go with quality.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":401,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817095844,"gmtCreate":1630889449488,"gmtModify":1631889324486,"author":{"id":"3576701730623485","authorId":"3576701730623485","name":"Risz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576701730623485","authorIdStr":"3576701730623485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ","listText":"Like ","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817095844","repostId":"1126654067","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126654067","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630885254,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126654067?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-06 07:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is the U.S. stock market open on Labor Day?<blockquote>劳动节美股开市吗?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126654067","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"It is unofficially summer’s last hurrah for Wall Street investors.\nU.S. financial markets will be cl","content":"<p>It is unofficially summer’s last hurrah for Wall Street investors.</p><p><blockquote>对于华尔街投资者来说,这是非正式的夏季最后一次欢呼。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. financial markets will be closed for Labor Day on Monday, Sept. 6, marking a three-day weekend in the U.S., following what has been a mostly spectacular run for the stock market. The rally came despite concerns about the spread of the delta variant of the coronavirus and unease about the timetable for an eventual rollback of easy-money policies implemented by the Federal Reserve at the onset of the pandemic last year.</p><p><blockquote>美国金融市场将于9月6日周一因劳动节休市,这标志着美国为期三天的周末,此前股市经历了一段非常壮观的走势。尽管人们担心冠状病毒德尔塔变异毒株的蔓延,并对美联储去年大流行开始时实施的宽松货币政策最终回滚的时间表感到不安,但股市还是出现了反弹。</blockquote></p><p> On Monday, U.S. stock exchanges, including the Intercontinental Exchange Inc. -owned New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq Inc.,will be closed, so don’t look for any action in individual stocks or indexes including the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 or Nasdaq Composite indexes.</p><p><blockquote>周一,包括洲际交易所旗下的纽约证券交易所和纳斯达克在内的美国证券交易所将休市,因此不要寻找道琼斯工业平均指数、标准普尔500指数或纳斯达克综合指数等个股或指数的任何走势。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 has already notched 54 record closing highs in 2021 and was looking for its 55th on Friday, while the Nasdaq Composite was on track to book its 35th all-time high of the year. The Dow stood less than a percentage point from its Aug. 16 record, mid-afternoon Friday.</p><p><blockquote>标普500在2021年已经创下了54个历史收盘新高,并有望在周五创下第55个历史新高,而纳斯达克综合指数有望创下今年第35个历史新高。周五下午,道琼斯指数较8月16日的纪录上涨了不到一个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Sifma, the securities-industry trade group for fixed-income, also has recommended the bond market close on Labor Day, including trading in the 10-year Treasury note,which was yielding around 1.33% after the U.S. August jobs report came in weaker than expected.</p><p><blockquote>证券行业固定收益贸易组织Sifma也建议债券市场在劳动节休市,包括10年期国债交易,在美国8月就业报告公布后,该国债收益率约为1.33%。低于预期。</blockquote></p><p> However, the Labor Department’s employment report,which showed that 235,000 jobs were created in August, far below expectations for more than 700,000, failed to dull expectations among sovereign debt investors for a near-term announcement of tapering of the Fed’s $120 billion in monthly purchases in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.</p><p><blockquote>然而,美国劳工部的就业报告显示,8月份新增就业岗位23.5万个,远低于预期的70多万个,但这未能降低主权债务投资者对美联储近期宣布缩减每月1200亿美元美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券购买规模的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Trading in most commodity futures, including Nymex crude-oil and Comex gold,on U.S. exchanges will also be halted Monday.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的大多数商品期货交易,包括纽约商品交易所原油和纽约商品交易所黄金,也将于周一停止。</blockquote></p><p> Is there any significance to the holiday for average investors, besides the time off in the U.S. and the barbecues?</p><p><blockquote>除了在美国度假和烧烤之外,这个假期对普通投资者还有什么意义吗?</blockquote></p><p> Probably not.</p><p><blockquote>应该不会吧。</blockquote></p><p> But the May Memorial Day to September Labor Day period in recent years has proven a bullish stretch one for investors, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The Dow, for example, is up by about 2% over that period and averages a gain of 1.3%, producing a winning record 65% of the time. The Dow is currently enjoying a win streak, over the past six Memorial Day/Labor Day periods, representing the longest win streak since 1989. Last year, the markets gained nearly 15% over that time.</p><p><blockquote>但根据道琼斯市场数据,近年来,五月阵亡将士纪念日至九月劳动节期间对投资者来说是一段看涨的时期。例如,道琼斯指数在此期间上涨了约2%,平均涨幅为1.3%,65%的时间创造了上涨记录。在过去的六个阵亡将士纪念日/劳动节期间,道琼斯指数目前正在享受连胜,这是自1989年以来最长的连胜。去年,市场同期上涨了近15%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f0f061a4ddd2ca31c53f8aa68e3cce\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>DOW JONES MARKET DATA</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>道琼斯市场数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 is on a similar win streak and is up nearly 8% so far this Memorial Day-Labor Day period. It has risen more than 70% over that period in past years and averages a 1.7% gain. The broad-market index rose 16% during that time in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>标普500也取得了类似的连胜,在阵亡将士纪念日至劳动节期间迄今为止已上涨近8%。过去几年同期上涨了70%以上,平均涨幅为1.7%。2020年期间,大盘指数上涨了16%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c780a46e32d055feb3e3f5e10fc987f\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>DOW JONES MARKET DATA</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>道琼斯市场数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But if there is a bona fide trend in the Labor Day trading it may be this one that MarketWatch’s Steve Goldstein reports, quoting Raymond James strategist Tavis McCourt, who says that in the last two years, there was a big value and cyclical bias in stock markets after the holiday, and in 2018, markets basically collapsed after the summer drew to a close.</p><p><blockquote>但如果劳动节交易中存在真正的趋势,那么MarketWatch的Steve Goldstein援引Raymond James策略师Tavis McCourt的话说,在过去两年中,股市存在很大的价值和周期性偏差。节后股市,2018年,夏季接近尾声后市场基本崩溃。</blockquote></p><p> It is impossible to know if the stock market rally will peter out similarly this time around but there is a growing sense on Wall Street that valuations are too lofty and equity indexes are due for a pullback of at least 5% or better from current heights.</p><p><blockquote>不可能知道这一次股市涨势是否会以类似的方式逐渐消失,但华尔街越来越多的人认为估值过高,股指将从当前高度回调至少5%或更好。</blockquote></p><p> Markets will be back to business as usual on Tuesday and, of course, European bourses, including London’s FTSE 100 index and the pan-European Stoxx Europe 600 will be open on Monday, as well as Asian markets, the Nikkei 225,Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and the Shanghai Composite Index.</p><p><blockquote>市场将于周二恢复照常营业,当然,欧洲证券交易所,包括伦敦富时100指数和泛欧斯托克欧洲600指数,以及亚洲市场、日经225指数、香港恒生指数和上证综合指数。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is the U.S. stock market open on Labor Day?<blockquote>劳动节美股开市吗?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs the U.S. stock market open on Labor Day?<blockquote>劳动节美股开市吗?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-06 07:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It is unofficially summer’s last hurrah for Wall Street investors.</p><p><blockquote>对于华尔街投资者来说,这是非正式的夏季最后一次欢呼。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. financial markets will be closed for Labor Day on Monday, Sept. 6, marking a three-day weekend in the U.S., following what has been a mostly spectacular run for the stock market. The rally came despite concerns about the spread of the delta variant of the coronavirus and unease about the timetable for an eventual rollback of easy-money policies implemented by the Federal Reserve at the onset of the pandemic last year.</p><p><blockquote>美国金融市场将于9月6日周一因劳动节休市,这标志着美国为期三天的周末,此前股市经历了一段非常壮观的走势。尽管人们担心冠状病毒德尔塔变异毒株的蔓延,并对美联储去年大流行开始时实施的宽松货币政策最终回滚的时间表感到不安,但股市还是出现了反弹。</blockquote></p><p> On Monday, U.S. stock exchanges, including the Intercontinental Exchange Inc. -owned New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq Inc.,will be closed, so don’t look for any action in individual stocks or indexes including the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 or Nasdaq Composite indexes.</p><p><blockquote>周一,包括洲际交易所旗下的纽约证券交易所和纳斯达克在内的美国证券交易所将休市,因此不要寻找道琼斯工业平均指数、标准普尔500指数或纳斯达克综合指数等个股或指数的任何走势。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 has already notched 54 record closing highs in 2021 and was looking for its 55th on Friday, while the Nasdaq Composite was on track to book its 35th all-time high of the year. The Dow stood less than a percentage point from its Aug. 16 record, mid-afternoon Friday.</p><p><blockquote>标普500在2021年已经创下了54个历史收盘新高,并有望在周五创下第55个历史新高,而纳斯达克综合指数有望创下今年第35个历史新高。周五下午,道琼斯指数较8月16日的纪录上涨了不到一个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Sifma, the securities-industry trade group for fixed-income, also has recommended the bond market close on Labor Day, including trading in the 10-year Treasury note,which was yielding around 1.33% after the U.S. August jobs report came in weaker than expected.</p><p><blockquote>证券行业固定收益贸易组织Sifma也建议债券市场在劳动节休市,包括10年期国债交易,在美国8月就业报告公布后,该国债收益率约为1.33%。低于预期。</blockquote></p><p> However, the Labor Department’s employment report,which showed that 235,000 jobs were created in August, far below expectations for more than 700,000, failed to dull expectations among sovereign debt investors for a near-term announcement of tapering of the Fed’s $120 billion in monthly purchases in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.</p><p><blockquote>然而,美国劳工部的就业报告显示,8月份新增就业岗位23.5万个,远低于预期的70多万个,但这未能降低主权债务投资者对美联储近期宣布缩减每月1200亿美元美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券购买规模的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Trading in most commodity futures, including Nymex crude-oil and Comex gold,on U.S. exchanges will also be halted Monday.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的大多数商品期货交易,包括纽约商品交易所原油和纽约商品交易所黄金,也将于周一停止。</blockquote></p><p> Is there any significance to the holiday for average investors, besides the time off in the U.S. and the barbecues?</p><p><blockquote>除了在美国度假和烧烤之外,这个假期对普通投资者还有什么意义吗?</blockquote></p><p> Probably not.</p><p><blockquote>应该不会吧。</blockquote></p><p> But the May Memorial Day to September Labor Day period in recent years has proven a bullish stretch one for investors, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The Dow, for example, is up by about 2% over that period and averages a gain of 1.3%, producing a winning record 65% of the time. The Dow is currently enjoying a win streak, over the past six Memorial Day/Labor Day periods, representing the longest win streak since 1989. Last year, the markets gained nearly 15% over that time.</p><p><blockquote>但根据道琼斯市场数据,近年来,五月阵亡将士纪念日至九月劳动节期间对投资者来说是一段看涨的时期。例如,道琼斯指数在此期间上涨了约2%,平均涨幅为1.3%,65%的时间创造了上涨记录。在过去的六个阵亡将士纪念日/劳动节期间,道琼斯指数目前正在享受连胜,这是自1989年以来最长的连胜。去年,市场同期上涨了近15%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f0f061a4ddd2ca31c53f8aa68e3cce\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>DOW JONES MARKET DATA</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>道琼斯市场数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 is on a similar win streak and is up nearly 8% so far this Memorial Day-Labor Day period. It has risen more than 70% over that period in past years and averages a 1.7% gain. The broad-market index rose 16% during that time in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>标普500也取得了类似的连胜,在阵亡将士纪念日至劳动节期间迄今为止已上涨近8%。过去几年同期上涨了70%以上,平均涨幅为1.7%。2020年期间,大盘指数上涨了16%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c780a46e32d055feb3e3f5e10fc987f\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>DOW JONES MARKET DATA</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>道琼斯市场数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But if there is a bona fide trend in the Labor Day trading it may be this one that MarketWatch’s Steve Goldstein reports, quoting Raymond James strategist Tavis McCourt, who says that in the last two years, there was a big value and cyclical bias in stock markets after the holiday, and in 2018, markets basically collapsed after the summer drew to a close.</p><p><blockquote>但如果劳动节交易中存在真正的趋势,那么MarketWatch的Steve Goldstein援引Raymond James策略师Tavis McCourt的话说,在过去两年中,股市存在很大的价值和周期性偏差。节后股市,2018年,夏季接近尾声后市场基本崩溃。</blockquote></p><p> It is impossible to know if the stock market rally will peter out similarly this time around but there is a growing sense on Wall Street that valuations are too lofty and equity indexes are due for a pullback of at least 5% or better from current heights.</p><p><blockquote>不可能知道这一次股市涨势是否会以类似的方式逐渐消失,但华尔街越来越多的人认为估值过高,股指将从当前高度回调至少5%或更好。</blockquote></p><p> Markets will be back to business as usual on Tuesday and, of course, European bourses, including London’s FTSE 100 index and the pan-European Stoxx Europe 600 will be open on Monday, as well as Asian markets, the Nikkei 225,Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and the Shanghai Composite Index.</p><p><blockquote>市场将于周二恢复照常营业,当然,欧洲证券交易所,包括伦敦富时100指数和泛欧斯托克欧洲600指数,以及亚洲市场、日经225指数、香港恒生指数和上证综合指数。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/is-the-u-s-stock-market-open-on-labor-day-11630697597?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","ICE":"洲际交易所",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/is-the-u-s-stock-market-open-on-labor-day-11630697597?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126654067","content_text":"It is unofficially summer’s last hurrah for Wall Street investors.\nU.S. financial markets will be closed for Labor Day on Monday, Sept. 6, marking a three-day weekend in the U.S., following what has been a mostly spectacular run for the stock market. The rally came despite concerns about the spread of the delta variant of the coronavirus and unease about the timetable for an eventual rollback of easy-money policies implemented by the Federal Reserve at the onset of the pandemic last year.\nOn Monday, U.S. stock exchanges, including the Intercontinental Exchange Inc. -owned New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq Inc.,will be closed, so don’t look for any action in individual stocks or indexes including the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 or Nasdaq Composite indexes.\nThe S&P 500 has already notched 54 record closing highs in 2021 and was looking for its 55th on Friday, while the Nasdaq Composite was on track to book its 35th all-time high of the year. The Dow stood less than a percentage point from its Aug. 16 record, mid-afternoon Friday.\nSifma, the securities-industry trade group for fixed-income, also has recommended the bond market close on Labor Day, including trading in the 10-year Treasury note,which was yielding around 1.33% after the U.S. August jobs report came in weaker than expected.\nHowever, the Labor Department’s employment report,which showed that 235,000 jobs were created in August, far below expectations for more than 700,000, failed to dull expectations among sovereign debt investors for a near-term announcement of tapering of the Fed’s $120 billion in monthly purchases in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.\nTrading in most commodity futures, including Nymex crude-oil and Comex gold,on U.S. exchanges will also be halted Monday.\nIs there any significance to the holiday for average investors, besides the time off in the U.S. and the barbecues?\nProbably not.\nBut the May Memorial Day to September Labor Day period in recent years has proven a bullish stretch one for investors, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The Dow, for example, is up by about 2% over that period and averages a gain of 1.3%, producing a winning record 65% of the time. The Dow is currently enjoying a win streak, over the past six Memorial Day/Labor Day periods, representing the longest win streak since 1989. Last year, the markets gained nearly 15% over that time.\nDOW JONES MARKET DATA\nThe S&P 500 is on a similar win streak and is up nearly 8% so far this Memorial Day-Labor Day period. It has risen more than 70% over that period in past years and averages a 1.7% gain. The broad-market index rose 16% during that time in 2020.\nDOW JONES MARKET DATA\nBut if there is a bona fide trend in the Labor Day trading it may be this one that MarketWatch’s Steve Goldstein reports, quoting Raymond James strategist Tavis McCourt, who says that in the last two years, there was a big value and cyclical bias in stock markets after the holiday, and in 2018, markets basically collapsed after the summer drew to a close.\nIt is impossible to know if the stock market rally will peter out similarly this time around but there is a growing sense on Wall Street that valuations are too lofty and equity indexes are due for a pullback of at least 5% or better from current heights.\nMarkets will be back to business as usual on Tuesday and, of course, European bourses, including London’s FTSE 100 index and the pan-European Stoxx Europe 600 will be open on Monday, as well as Asian markets, the Nikkei 225,Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and the Shanghai Composite Index.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"ICE":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":495,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":814174015,"gmtCreate":1630802255637,"gmtModify":1631889324492,"author":{"id":"3576701730623485","authorId":"3576701730623485","name":"Risz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576701730623485","authorIdStr":"3576701730623485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814174015","repostId":"1186003479","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":275,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":815409000,"gmtCreate":1630710235000,"gmtModify":1631892246932,"author":{"id":"3576701730623485","authorId":"3576701730623485","name":"Risz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576701730623485","authorIdStr":"3576701730623485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815409000","repostId":"2164803577","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":812769745,"gmtCreate":1630625699587,"gmtModify":1631892246949,"author":{"id":"3576701730623485","authorId":"3576701730623485","name":"Risz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576701730623485","authorIdStr":"3576701730623485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812769745","repostId":"2164829818","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":391,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":154727017,"gmtCreate":1625547390839,"gmtModify":1633939753837,"author":{"id":"3576701730623485","authorId":"3576701730623485","name":"Risz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576701730623485","idStr":"3576701730623485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment","listText":"Comment","text":"Comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154727017","repostId":"2149761358","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":306,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830816937,"gmtCreate":1629043240929,"gmtModify":1633687806929,"author":{"id":"3576701730623485","authorId":"3576701730623485","name":"Risz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576701730623485","idStr":"3576701730623485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830816937","repostId":"1127633167","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127633167","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628997765,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127633167?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-15 11:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These 10 Standout Stocks Could Be the Next Amazon<blockquote>这10只杰出股票可能成为下一个亚马逊</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127633167","media":"Barrons","summary":"One of the most popular buzzwords in investing today is “compounders.” Growth-oriented investors loo","content":"<p>One of the most popular buzzwords in investing today is “compounders.” Growth-oriented investors looking for the next Amazon.com, Costco Wholesale, Nike, or Visa seek to identify companies capable of generating double-digit compound growth in revenue and earnings—preferably both—for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>当今投资界最流行的流行语之一是“复合者”。寻找下一个亚马逊、Costco Wholesale、Nike或Visa的成长型投资者寻求寻找能够在未来几年实现收入和盈利两位数复合增长(最好是两者兼而有之)的公司。</blockquote></p><p> The idea is that stock prices should compound in line with revenue and profits, enabling investors to generate high returns over a holding period of five to 10 years. The ultimate goal is to find the elusive “10 bagger”—a stock that returns 10 times what you paid for it.</p><p><blockquote>这个想法是,股价应该与收入和利润保持一致,使投资者能够在五到十年的持有期内产生高回报。最终目标是找到难以捉摸的“10 bagger”——一只回报率是你购买价格10倍的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street analyst notes and client letters from investment pros are replete with compounder references. Many of the next generation of value managers, identified in a <i>Barron’s</i> cover story in May, are seeking such shares, rather than the traditional value fare of cheap stocks.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街分析师的报告和投资专业人士的客户信函中充满了compounder的参考资料。许多下一代价值管理者,在<i>巴伦周刊</i>五月的封面故事,正在寻找这样的股票,而不是传统的廉价股票的价值票价。</blockquote></p><p> Their search has become more challenging, because buyers are paying lofty prices for high-growth stories. Really big winners are scarce. Only about 35 companies in each of a long series of 10-year periods have compounded their stock prices at 20% or more annually, resulting in at least a sixfold increase, according to Durable Capital Partners.</p><p><blockquote>他们的搜索变得更具挑战性,因为买家正在为高增长的故事支付高昂的价格。真正的大赢家很少。Durable Capital Partners的数据显示,在一系列10年期间,只有约35家公司的股价每年复合增长率达到20%或以上,导致股价至少上涨了六倍。</blockquote></p><p> Many investors are happy to stick with large, well-known compounders, such as Alphabet(ticker: GOOGL),Mastercard(MA),UnitedHealth Group(UNH), and Eli Lilly(LLY).</p><p><blockquote>许多投资者很乐意继续投资大型知名复合商,例如Alphabet(股票代码:GOOGL)、万事达卡(MA)、联合健康集团(UNH)和礼来公司(LLY)。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i> sought to identify smaller candidates. We talked to investment managers and came up with an eclectic list of 10 stocks, most with market values under $10 billion. Here are the selections, in alphabetical order:</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦周刊</i>试图确定较小的候选人。我们与投资经理进行了交谈,并列出了一份包含10只股票的折衷清单,其中大多数股票的市值低于100亿美元。以下是按字母顺序排列的选择:</blockquote></p><p> Strong and Steady Wins the RaceHere are 10 stocks that growth investors have identified as being able to generate consistently high growth in revenues or profits for many years.</p><p><blockquote>强劲而稳定的胜利以下是成长型投资者认为能够多年来持续实现收入或利润高增长的10只股票。</blockquote></p><p> <table> <thead> <tr> <th>Company / Ticker</th> <th>Recent Price</th> <th>YTD Change</th> <th>2021E P/E</th> <th>2021E Price/Sales</th> <th>2022E P/E</th> <th>2022E Price/Sales</th> <th>LT Growth Rate*</th> <th>Market Value (bil)</th> <th>Comment</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>Amedysis / AMED</td> <td>$185.15</td> <td>-37%</td> <td>30.2</td> <td>2.7</td> <td>27.7</td> <td>2.4</td> <td>10.5%</td> <td>$6.3</td> <td>Leader in home health care</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Amyris / AMRS</td> <td>13.64</td> <td>121</td> <td>NM</td> <td>10.4</td> <td>NM</td> <td>9.7</td> <td>NA</td> <td>4.1</td> <td>Leading company in synthetic biology</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Booz Allen Hamilton Holding / BAH</td> <td>81.73</td> <td>-6</td> <td>19.4</td> <td>1.3</td> <td>17.7</td> <td>1.2</td> <td>8.6</td> <td>11.0</td> <td>Defense-department consultant</td> </tr> <tr> <td>J.B. Hunt Transport Services / JBHT</td> <td>172.76</td> <td>26</td> <td>25.8</td> <td>1.5</td> <td>22.2</td> <td>1.4</td> <td>18.4</td> <td>18.2</td> <td>Strong in intermodal freight</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Marriott Vacations Worldwide / VAC</td> <td>147.15</td> <td>7</td> <td>40.9</td> <td>1.6</td> <td>15.7</td> <td>1.4</td> <td>NA</td> <td>6.3</td> <td>Top company in vacation timeshares</td> </tr> <tr> <td>SiteOne Landscape Supply / SITE</td> <td>197.10</td> <td>24</td> <td>45.7</td> <td>2.6</td> <td>43.5</td> <td>2.5</td> <td>19.3</td> <td>8.8</td> <td>Big supplier of landscaping supplies</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Staar Surgical / STAA</td> <td>138.19</td> <td>74</td> <td>192.3</td> <td>28.6</td> <td>140.8</td> <td>22.5</td> <td>30.0</td> <td>6.6</td> <td>Maker of implantable lens for myopia</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Stitch Fix / SFIX</td> <td>44.38</td> <td>-24</td> <td>NM</td> <td>1.9</td> <td>1890.3</td> <td>1.7</td> <td>30.0</td> <td>4.8</td> <td>Data-driven subscription clothing firm</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Trex / TREX</td> <td>105.94</td> <td>27</td> <td>51.9</td> <td>10.5</td> <td>43.6</td> <td>9.3</td> <td>18.8</td> <td>12.2</td> <td>Top maker of synthetic wood decking</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Upwork / UPWK</td> <td>44.31</td> <td>28</td> <td>NM</td> <td>11.4</td> <td>556.8</td> <td>9.2</td> <td>NA</td> <td>5.7</td> <td>Online clearinghouse for free-lancers</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> E=Estimate. BAH estimates are for fiscal years ending March 2022 and March 23. SFIX estimates are for fiscal years ending July 2022 and July 2023. NM=Not Meaningful. NA=Not Available. *The annual EPS growth the company can sustain over the next 3-5 years.</p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>公司/股票代码</th><th>近期价格</th><th>年初至今变化</th><th>2021年预计市盈率</th><th>2021E价格/销售额</th><th>2022年预计市盈率</th><th>2022E价格/销售额</th><th>LT增长率*</th><th>市值(bil)</th><th>评论</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Amedysis/AMED</td><td>$185.15</td><td>-37%</td><td>30.2</td><td>2.7</td><td>27.7</td><td>2.4</td><td>10.5%</td><td>$6.3</td><td>家庭医疗保健领域的领导者</td></tr><tr><td>Amyris/AMRS</td><td>13.64</td><td>121</td><td>NM</td><td>10.4</td><td>NM</td><td>9.7</td><td>NA</td><td>4.1</td><td>合成生物学领域的领先公司</td></tr><tr><td>博思艾伦控股/BAH</td><td>81.73</td><td>-6</td><td>19.4</td><td>1.3</td><td>17.7</td><td>1.2</td><td>8.6</td><td>11.0</td><td>国防部顾问</td></tr><tr><td>J.B.亨特运输服务/JBHT</td><td>172.76</td><td>26</td><td>25.8</td><td>1.5</td><td>22.2</td><td>1.4</td><td>18.4</td><td>18.2</td><td>多式联运货运实力强劲</td></tr><tr><td>万豪度假全球/VAC</td><td>147.15</td><td>7</td><td>40.9</td><td>1.6</td><td>15.7</td><td>1.4</td><td>NA</td><td>6.3</td><td>度假分时度假顶级公司</td></tr><tr><td>SiteOne景观供应/站点</td><td>197.10</td><td>24</td><td>45.7</td><td>2.6</td><td>43.5</td><td>2.5</td><td>19.3</td><td>8.8</td><td>园林绿化用品大供应商</td></tr><tr><td>Staar外科/STAA</td><td>138.19</td><td>74</td><td>192.3</td><td>28.6</td><td>140.8</td><td>22.5</td><td>30.0</td><td>6.6</td><td>近视植入式镜片制造商</td></tr><tr><td>缝合固定/SFIX</td><td>44.38</td><td>-24</td><td>NM</td><td>1.9</td><td>1890.3</td><td>1.7</td><td>30.0</td><td>4.8</td><td>数据驱动的订阅服装公司</td></tr><tr><td>Trex/Trex</td><td>105.94</td><td>27</td><td>51.9</td><td>10.5</td><td>43.6</td><td>9.3</td><td>18.8</td><td>12.2</td><td>顶级合成木地板制造商</td></tr><tr><td>Upwork/UPWK</td><td>44.31</td><td>28</td><td>NM</td><td>11.4</td><td>556.8</td><td>9.2</td><td>NA</td><td>5.7</td><td>自由职业者在线信息交换所</td></tr></tbody></table>E=估计值。BAH预估适用于截至2022年3月和3月23日的财年。SFIX预估适用于截至2022年7月和2023年7月的财年。NM=无意义。NA=不可用。*公司未来3-5年可维持的年度每股收益增长。</blockquote></p><p> Source: FactSet</p><p><blockquote>来源:FactSet</blockquote></p><p> Amedisys(AMED), a provider of home healthcare and hospice services, has a national footprint in a still-fragmented business.</p><p><blockquote>Amedisys(AMED)是一家家庭医疗保健和临终关怀服务提供商,业务仍然分散,业务遍及全国。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “There is going to be massive consolidation of the industry” predicts Dan Cole, a manager of the Columbia Small-Cap Growth fund. “Healthcare is moving to the home.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚小盘成长基金经理丹·科尔预测,“该行业将会出现大规模整合”。“医疗保健正在向家庭转移。”</blockquote></p><p> Amedisys stock is up more than tenfold in the past decade. But the shares, around $185, are off nearly 30% after the company recently cut 2021 financial guidance, citing Covid-related staffing and cost issues, mostly in acquired hospice operations. The 2021 earnings estimate is now $6.13 a share, down from nearly $7. The stock trades for 30 times projected 2021 profits. Cole says that the company remains capable of generating 10% annual gains in earnings per share.</p><p><blockquote>Amedisys股价在过去十年中上涨了十倍多。但该公司最近以与新冠疫情相关的人员配备和成本问题(主要是收购的临终关怀业务)为由,下调了2021年财务指引,股价约为185美元,下跌了近30%。2021年盈利预期目前为每股6.13美元,低于近7美元。该股的交易价格是2021年预计利润的30倍。科尔表示,该公司仍有能力实现每股收益10%的年增长。</blockquote></p><p> Amyris(AMRS) is a leader in synthetic biology. It fans say its opportunity is to supplant, in an eco-friendly way, a range of products now made from petrochemicals, animals, and plants.</p><p><blockquote>Amyris(AMRS)是合成生物学领域的领导者。它的粉丝们说,它的机会是以一种环保的方式取代一系列现在由石化产品、动物和植物制成的产品。</blockquote></p><p> Using genetically re-engineered yeast and sugar cane, Amyris produces such things as squalane, a high-end moisturizer formerly made from shark livers; vanillin, the flavoring for vanilla; and a no-calorie sweetener normally derived from plants. The stock trades around $13.</p><p><blockquote>Amyris使用基因改造的酵母和甘蔗生产角鲨烷等产品,这是一种以前由鲨鱼肝制成的高端保湿剂;香草醛,香草的调味料;和通常来源于植物的无热量甜味剂。该股交易价格约为13美元。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i> wrote favorably on the company in July. Amyris sees sales reaching $2 billion by 2025, up from an estimated $400 million this year, driven by its consumer brands.</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦周刊</i>7月份对该公司进行了好评。Amyris预计,在其消费品牌的推动下,到2025年销售额将达到20亿美元,高于今年预计的4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “The world needs clean chemistry, and Amyris is the point on the spear to create it,” says Randy Baron, a portfolio manager at Pinnacle Associates, which owns Amyris shares. He thinks they could hit $75 by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>拥有Amyris股票的Pinnacle Associates的投资组合经理兰迪·巴伦(Randy Baron)表示:“世界需要清洁化学,而Amyris是创造清洁化学的关键。”他认为到2022年底它们可能会达到75美元。</blockquote></p><p> Booz Allen Hamilton Holding(BAH) is an important consultant to the Defense Department and other agencies. The U.S. government accounted for 97% of its revenue in its latest fiscal year. Booz Allen has built robust ties to the government over the years by providing an array of services, like cybersecurity. Its stock trades around $81, for a 1.8% yield.</p><p><blockquote>博思艾伦控股公司(BAH)是国防部和其他机构的重要顾问。美国政府最近一财年的收入占其收入的97%。多年来,博思艾伦通过提供网络安全等一系列服务与政府建立了牢固的关系。其股价约为81美元,收益率为1.8%。</blockquote></p><p> “It has built a strong, partnership-like culture and has a long record of steady growth,” says Josh Spencer, manager of the T. Rowe Price New Horizons fund. He sees Booz Allen as capable of generating 9% to 10% annual growth in revenue and yearly gains of 15% to 16% in earnings, in line with its historical performance. The stock is off 20% from its peak of $100, amid concerns about more restrained military spending. Spencer sees the pullback as a buying opportunity, with the stock valued at less than 20 times earnings.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price New Horizons基金经理乔什·斯宾塞(Josh Spencer)表示:“它建立了强大的、类似伙伴关系的文化,并拥有长期稳定增长的记录。”他认为博思艾伦有能力实现9%至10%的收入年增长率和15%至16%的盈利年增长率,与其历史表现一致。由于担心军费开支更加克制,该股较100美元的峰值下跌了20%。斯宾塞将回调视为买入机会,该股的市盈率不到20倍。</blockquote></p><p> J.B. Hunt Transport Services(JBHT) is a leader in intermodal freight, which involves the fuel-efficient movement of trucks over rail lines. It has been one of the most successful trucking companies. Its stock has risen 30-fold over the past 20 years, to a recent $173. “It has an incredible franchise,” says Henry Ellenbogen, chief investment officer at Durable Capital Partners and a member of the Barron’s Roundtable.</p><p><blockquote>J.B.亨特运输服务公司(JBHT)是多式联运货运领域的领导者,该领域涉及卡车在铁路线上的省油运输。它是最成功的卡车运输公司之一。其股价在过去20年中上涨了30倍,最近达到173美元。“它拥有令人难以置信的特许经营权,”Durable Capital Partners首席投资官、《巴伦周刊》圆桌会议成员亨利·埃伦博根(Henry Ellenbogen)表示。</blockquote></p><p> J.B. Hunt’s relationship with the Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad gives it a strong position in intermodal freight, he notes. J.B. Hunt also has a growing business taking over the trucking operations of smaller companies. And it is involved in digital freight brokerage—matching truckers with shipping customers.</p><p><blockquote>J.B.他指出,亨特与伯灵顿北圣达菲铁路公司的关系使其在多式联运货运领域拥有强大的地位。J.B.亨特的业务也在不断增长,接管了小公司的卡车运输业务。它还参与数字货运经纪业务——为卡车司机和航运客户牵线搭桥。</blockquote></p><p> Ellenbogen says the stock is reasonable at 22 times estimated 2022 profits, given a mid-teens annual growth outlook for earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Ellenbogen表示,考虑到盈利年增长率为十几岁左右,该股2022年预计利润的22倍是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Marriott Vacations Worldwide(VAC) is one of the top companies in the timeshare industry. It has 700,000 owners, a resilient business model with significant revenue from fees, and more exposure than its peers to luxury properties in places including Hawaii and Orlando, Fla.</p><p><blockquote>万豪度假全球(VAC)是分时度假行业的顶级公司之一。它拥有700,000名业主,拥有富有弹性的商业模式,从费用中获得可观的收入,并且比同行更多地接触夏威夷和佛罗里达州奥兰多等地的豪华房产。</blockquote></p><p> “It has the best customer base, with the highest spending and an impeccable balance sheet,” says David Baron, a manager of the Baron Focused Growth fund. Marriott Vacations, whose shares recently were trading around $145, should reinstate its dividend later this year, he adds.</p><p><blockquote>Baron Focused Growth基金经理David Baron表示:“它拥有最好的客户群、最高的支出和无可挑剔的资产负债表。”他补充道,万豪度假公司的股价最近约为145美元,应该会在今年晚些时候恢复股息。</blockquote></p><p> The shares, Baron argues, are cheap at a 11% free-cash-flow yield, based on 2022 estimates. He says that the stock, little changed since 2018, could produce 20% annual returns for shareholders in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>Baron认为,根据2022年的预测,该股的自由现金流收益率为11%,价格低廉。他表示,该股自2018年以来几乎没有变化,未来几年可能为股东带来20%的年回报率。</blockquote></p><p> SiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE) is the country’s top supplier of landscaping products, with ample opportunity to expand, given that it has just a 13% market share in a highly fragmented industry.</p><p><blockquote>SiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE)是该国最大的景观美化产品供应商,鉴于其在高度分散的行业中仅占13%的市场份额,因此有充足的扩张机会。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s growing organically and has lots of acquisition opportunities,” says Columbia’s Cole, who considers the company to be capable of 10% to 15% annual revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚大学的科尔表示:“它正在有机增长,并且有很多收购机会。”他认为该公司的年收入有能力增长10%至15%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock, around $197, has a rich valuation, trading for 43 times projected 2022 earnings of $4.54 a share.</p><p><blockquote>该股股价约为197美元,估值很高,交易价格是2022年预计每股收益4.54美元的43倍。</blockquote></p><p> Staar Surgical(STAA) has developed an implantable lens to correct myopia (nearsightedness). That addresses a potentially huge market, given the rising global incidence of that vision problem. The company expects the lens, which has been available in Europe and Asia for at least five years, to be on the U.S. market in the fourth quarter, pending Food and Drug Administration approval.</p><p><blockquote>Staar外科公司(STAA)开发了一种可植入晶状体来矫正近视(近视)。鉴于全球视力问题的发病率不断上升,这解决了一个潜在的巨大市场。该公司预计,这款镜片已在欧洲和亚洲上市至少五年,将于第四季度进入美国市场,等待美国食品和药物管理局的批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It could do substantial volumes,’’ says Doug Brodie, a global manager at Baillie Gifford. “It’s early in a journey and is largely devoid of competition.”</p><p><blockquote>Baillie Gifford全球经理道格·布罗迪(Doug Brodie)表示:“它的销量可能会很大。它还处于起步阶段,基本上没有竞争。”</blockquote></p><p> Lenses for both eyes can be implanted in less than an hour, and they don’t involve the removal of the natural lenses. The wholesale cost in the U.S. could be around $1,000 per lens.</p><p><blockquote>双眼的晶状体可以在不到一个小时内植入,而且不需要移除天然晶状体。在美国,每个镜片的批发成本可能在1000美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> At a recent $138, Staar shares are richly valued at more than 20 times projected 2022 sales and 140 times estimated 2022 earnings. But the market opportunity is enormous: Some five billion people worldwide could have myopia by 2050.</p><p><blockquote>Staar股价最近为138美元,其估值超过2022年预计销售额的20倍,是2022年预计收益的140倍。但市场机会是巨大的:到2050年,全球约有50亿人可能患有近视。</blockquote></p><p> Stitch Fix(SFIX) has developed a subscription service for clothing, shoes, and other accessories and boasts over four million customers.</p><p><blockquote>Stitch Fix(SFIX)开发了服装、鞋子和其他配饰的订阅服务,拥有超过400万客户。</blockquote></p><p> “This could be the Nordstrom of the future,” says Mario Cibelli, chief investment officer at Marathon Partners Equity Management, a Stitch Fix holder. “This a potentially huge market and nobody is addressing it in the same way.” Using a staff of 6,000 personal stylists and lots of data, Stitch Fix seeks to identify subscriber tastes to generate high satisfaction and limit returns on packages sent at intervals and determined by subscribers.</p><p><blockquote>“这可能是未来的诺德斯特龙,”Stitch Fix持有者Marathon Partners Equity Management首席投资官马里奥·西贝利(Mario Cibelli)表示。“这是一个潜在的巨大市场,没有人以同样的方式解决这个问题。”Stitch Fix利用6000名个人造型师和大量数据,试图确定订户的品味,以产生高满意度,并限制每隔一段时间发送并由订户决定的包裹的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Its shares, around $44, are down 60% from their level earlier in the year, on investors’ worries about potential churn and the business’s ultimate profitability.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者对潜在客户流失和业务最终盈利能力的担忧,其股价约为44美元,较今年早些时候的水平下跌了60%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet Cibelli sees revenue growth of 20%-plus annually, opportunities outside its current U.S. and U.K. markets, and a potentially very profitable business in two to three years.</p><p><blockquote>然而,Cibelli预计收入每年将增长20%以上,在当前美国和英国市场之外还有机会,并且在两到三年内业务可能会非常有利可图。</blockquote></p><p> Trex(TREX) is the top producer of a high-end wood alternative for decks that comes from 95% recycled material, making it an eco-friendly housing play. The shares, at $105, trade for 43 times projected 2022 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Trex(TREX)是甲板高端木材替代品的顶级生产商,其95%来自回收材料,使其成为一种环保的住房。该股股价为105美元,是2022年预计市盈率的43倍。</blockquote></p><p> T. Rowe Price’s Spencer views Trex as worth the price, based on his view that it can generate sustainable annual revenue growth of 15% to 20%. Earnings are expected to climb by about 20% in 2022 and at a similar pace in the following years. “If you roll the clock forward three years, it doesn’t look as expensive,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price的Spencer认为Trex物有所值,因为他认为它可以产生15%至20%的可持续年收入增长。预计2022年盈利将增长约20%,并在接下来的几年中以类似的速度增长。“如果你把时间拨快三年,它看起来并没有那么贵,”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Upwork(UPWK), an online marketplace for freelance workers, is favored by Baillie Gifford’s Brodie, who says it offers a play on the greater acceptance of freelancers by businesses.</p><p><blockquote>Upwork(UPWK)是一个面向自由职业者的在线市场,受到Baillie Gifford的Brodie的青睐,他表示,它可以让企业更好地接受自由职业者。</blockquote></p><p> The shares, recently around $44, aren’t cheap. Upwork is valued at $5.7 billion, or more than 10 times this year’s projected sales of nearly $500 million. It operates at a slight loss.</p><p><blockquote>该股最近约为44美元,并不便宜。Upwork的估值为57亿美元,是今年预计销售额近5亿美元的10倍以上。它的运营略有亏损。</blockquote></p><p> The investment case is about rapid sales growth leading to ample earnings. Sales are expected to rise by 30%-plus this year and 25% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>投资案例是关于快速销售增长带来丰厚收益。预计今年销售额将增长30%以上,2022年将增长25%。</blockquote></p><p> “Freelancers are more accepted by small to midsize business, but they’ve been frowned on by the HR departments at large businesses,” Brodie says. Upwork aims to change that perception by vetting its freelancers and by offering thousands of skill sets. “Upwork could become a trusted partner for an increasing number of enterprise-grade partners,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“自由职业者更容易被中小型企业接受,但大型企业的人力资源部门却不喜欢他们,”布罗迪说。Upwork旨在通过审查自由职业者和提供数千种技能来改变这种看法。“Upwork可以成为越来越多企业级合作伙伴值得信赖的合作伙伴,”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 10 Standout Stocks Could Be the Next Amazon<blockquote>这10只杰出股票可能成为下一个亚马逊</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 10 Standout Stocks Could Be the Next Amazon<blockquote>这10只杰出股票可能成为下一个亚马逊</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-15 11:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>One of the most popular buzzwords in investing today is “compounders.” Growth-oriented investors looking for the next Amazon.com, Costco Wholesale, Nike, or Visa seek to identify companies capable of generating double-digit compound growth in revenue and earnings—preferably both—for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>当今投资界最流行的流行语之一是“复合者”。寻找下一个亚马逊、Costco Wholesale、Nike或Visa的成长型投资者寻求寻找能够在未来几年实现收入和盈利两位数复合增长(最好是两者兼而有之)的公司。</blockquote></p><p> The idea is that stock prices should compound in line with revenue and profits, enabling investors to generate high returns over a holding period of five to 10 years. The ultimate goal is to find the elusive “10 bagger”—a stock that returns 10 times what you paid for it.</p><p><blockquote>这个想法是,股价应该与收入和利润保持一致,使投资者能够在五到十年的持有期内产生高回报。最终目标是找到难以捉摸的“10 bagger”——一只回报率是你购买价格10倍的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street analyst notes and client letters from investment pros are replete with compounder references. Many of the next generation of value managers, identified in a <i>Barron’s</i> cover story in May, are seeking such shares, rather than the traditional value fare of cheap stocks.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街分析师的报告和投资专业人士的客户信函中充满了compounder的参考资料。许多下一代价值管理者,在<i>巴伦周刊</i>五月的封面故事,正在寻找这样的股票,而不是传统的廉价股票的价值票价。</blockquote></p><p> Their search has become more challenging, because buyers are paying lofty prices for high-growth stories. Really big winners are scarce. Only about 35 companies in each of a long series of 10-year periods have compounded their stock prices at 20% or more annually, resulting in at least a sixfold increase, according to Durable Capital Partners.</p><p><blockquote>他们的搜索变得更具挑战性,因为买家正在为高增长的故事支付高昂的价格。真正的大赢家很少。Durable Capital Partners的数据显示,在一系列10年期间,只有约35家公司的股价每年复合增长率达到20%或以上,导致股价至少上涨了六倍。</blockquote></p><p> Many investors are happy to stick with large, well-known compounders, such as Alphabet(ticker: GOOGL),Mastercard(MA),UnitedHealth Group(UNH), and Eli Lilly(LLY).</p><p><blockquote>许多投资者很乐意继续投资大型知名复合商,例如Alphabet(股票代码:GOOGL)、万事达卡(MA)、联合健康集团(UNH)和礼来公司(LLY)。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i> sought to identify smaller candidates. We talked to investment managers and came up with an eclectic list of 10 stocks, most with market values under $10 billion. Here are the selections, in alphabetical order:</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦周刊</i>试图确定较小的候选人。我们与投资经理进行了交谈,并列出了一份包含10只股票的折衷清单,其中大多数股票的市值低于100亿美元。以下是按字母顺序排列的选择:</blockquote></p><p> Strong and Steady Wins the RaceHere are 10 stocks that growth investors have identified as being able to generate consistently high growth in revenues or profits for many years.</p><p><blockquote>强劲而稳定的胜利以下是成长型投资者认为能够多年来持续实现收入或利润高增长的10只股票。</blockquote></p><p> <table> <thead> <tr> <th>Company / Ticker</th> <th>Recent Price</th> <th>YTD Change</th> <th>2021E P/E</th> <th>2021E Price/Sales</th> <th>2022E P/E</th> <th>2022E Price/Sales</th> <th>LT Growth Rate*</th> <th>Market Value (bil)</th> <th>Comment</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>Amedysis / AMED</td> <td>$185.15</td> <td>-37%</td> <td>30.2</td> <td>2.7</td> <td>27.7</td> <td>2.4</td> <td>10.5%</td> <td>$6.3</td> <td>Leader in home health care</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Amyris / AMRS</td> <td>13.64</td> <td>121</td> <td>NM</td> <td>10.4</td> <td>NM</td> <td>9.7</td> <td>NA</td> <td>4.1</td> <td>Leading company in synthetic biology</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Booz Allen Hamilton Holding / BAH</td> <td>81.73</td> <td>-6</td> <td>19.4</td> <td>1.3</td> <td>17.7</td> <td>1.2</td> <td>8.6</td> <td>11.0</td> <td>Defense-department consultant</td> </tr> <tr> <td>J.B. Hunt Transport Services / JBHT</td> <td>172.76</td> <td>26</td> <td>25.8</td> <td>1.5</td> <td>22.2</td> <td>1.4</td> <td>18.4</td> <td>18.2</td> <td>Strong in intermodal freight</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Marriott Vacations Worldwide / VAC</td> <td>147.15</td> <td>7</td> <td>40.9</td> <td>1.6</td> <td>15.7</td> <td>1.4</td> <td>NA</td> <td>6.3</td> <td>Top company in vacation timeshares</td> </tr> <tr> <td>SiteOne Landscape Supply / SITE</td> <td>197.10</td> <td>24</td> <td>45.7</td> <td>2.6</td> <td>43.5</td> <td>2.5</td> <td>19.3</td> <td>8.8</td> <td>Big supplier of landscaping supplies</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Staar Surgical / STAA</td> <td>138.19</td> <td>74</td> <td>192.3</td> <td>28.6</td> <td>140.8</td> <td>22.5</td> <td>30.0</td> <td>6.6</td> <td>Maker of implantable lens for myopia</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Stitch Fix / SFIX</td> <td>44.38</td> <td>-24</td> <td>NM</td> <td>1.9</td> <td>1890.3</td> <td>1.7</td> <td>30.0</td> <td>4.8</td> <td>Data-driven subscription clothing firm</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Trex / TREX</td> <td>105.94</td> <td>27</td> <td>51.9</td> <td>10.5</td> <td>43.6</td> <td>9.3</td> <td>18.8</td> <td>12.2</td> <td>Top maker of synthetic wood decking</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Upwork / UPWK</td> <td>44.31</td> <td>28</td> <td>NM</td> <td>11.4</td> <td>556.8</td> <td>9.2</td> <td>NA</td> <td>5.7</td> <td>Online clearinghouse for free-lancers</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> E=Estimate. BAH estimates are for fiscal years ending March 2022 and March 23. SFIX estimates are for fiscal years ending July 2022 and July 2023. NM=Not Meaningful. NA=Not Available. *The annual EPS growth the company can sustain over the next 3-5 years.</p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>公司/股票代码</th><th>近期价格</th><th>年初至今变化</th><th>2021年预计市盈率</th><th>2021E价格/销售额</th><th>2022年预计市盈率</th><th>2022E价格/销售额</th><th>LT增长率*</th><th>市值(bil)</th><th>评论</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Amedysis/AMED</td><td>$185.15</td><td>-37%</td><td>30.2</td><td>2.7</td><td>27.7</td><td>2.4</td><td>10.5%</td><td>$6.3</td><td>家庭医疗保健领域的领导者</td></tr><tr><td>Amyris/AMRS</td><td>13.64</td><td>121</td><td>NM</td><td>10.4</td><td>NM</td><td>9.7</td><td>NA</td><td>4.1</td><td>合成生物学领域的领先公司</td></tr><tr><td>博思艾伦控股/BAH</td><td>81.73</td><td>-6</td><td>19.4</td><td>1.3</td><td>17.7</td><td>1.2</td><td>8.6</td><td>11.0</td><td>国防部顾问</td></tr><tr><td>J.B.亨特运输服务/JBHT</td><td>172.76</td><td>26</td><td>25.8</td><td>1.5</td><td>22.2</td><td>1.4</td><td>18.4</td><td>18.2</td><td>多式联运货运实力强劲</td></tr><tr><td>万豪度假全球/VAC</td><td>147.15</td><td>7</td><td>40.9</td><td>1.6</td><td>15.7</td><td>1.4</td><td>NA</td><td>6.3</td><td>度假分时度假顶级公司</td></tr><tr><td>SiteOne景观供应/站点</td><td>197.10</td><td>24</td><td>45.7</td><td>2.6</td><td>43.5</td><td>2.5</td><td>19.3</td><td>8.8</td><td>园林绿化用品大供应商</td></tr><tr><td>Staar外科/STAA</td><td>138.19</td><td>74</td><td>192.3</td><td>28.6</td><td>140.8</td><td>22.5</td><td>30.0</td><td>6.6</td><td>近视植入式镜片制造商</td></tr><tr><td>缝合固定/SFIX</td><td>44.38</td><td>-24</td><td>NM</td><td>1.9</td><td>1890.3</td><td>1.7</td><td>30.0</td><td>4.8</td><td>数据驱动的订阅服装公司</td></tr><tr><td>Trex/Trex</td><td>105.94</td><td>27</td><td>51.9</td><td>10.5</td><td>43.6</td><td>9.3</td><td>18.8</td><td>12.2</td><td>顶级合成木地板制造商</td></tr><tr><td>Upwork/UPWK</td><td>44.31</td><td>28</td><td>NM</td><td>11.4</td><td>556.8</td><td>9.2</td><td>NA</td><td>5.7</td><td>自由职业者在线信息交换所</td></tr></tbody></table>E=估计值。BAH预估适用于截至2022年3月和3月23日的财年。SFIX预估适用于截至2022年7月和2023年7月的财年。NM=无意义。NA=不可用。*公司未来3-5年可维持的年度每股收益增长。</blockquote></p><p> Source: FactSet</p><p><blockquote>来源:FactSet</blockquote></p><p> Amedisys(AMED), a provider of home healthcare and hospice services, has a national footprint in a still-fragmented business.</p><p><blockquote>Amedisys(AMED)是一家家庭医疗保健和临终关怀服务提供商,业务仍然分散,业务遍及全国。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “There is going to be massive consolidation of the industry” predicts Dan Cole, a manager of the Columbia Small-Cap Growth fund. “Healthcare is moving to the home.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚小盘成长基金经理丹·科尔预测,“该行业将会出现大规模整合”。“医疗保健正在向家庭转移。”</blockquote></p><p> Amedisys stock is up more than tenfold in the past decade. But the shares, around $185, are off nearly 30% after the company recently cut 2021 financial guidance, citing Covid-related staffing and cost issues, mostly in acquired hospice operations. The 2021 earnings estimate is now $6.13 a share, down from nearly $7. The stock trades for 30 times projected 2021 profits. Cole says that the company remains capable of generating 10% annual gains in earnings per share.</p><p><blockquote>Amedisys股价在过去十年中上涨了十倍多。但该公司最近以与新冠疫情相关的人员配备和成本问题(主要是收购的临终关怀业务)为由,下调了2021年财务指引,股价约为185美元,下跌了近30%。2021年盈利预期目前为每股6.13美元,低于近7美元。该股的交易价格是2021年预计利润的30倍。科尔表示,该公司仍有能力实现每股收益10%的年增长。</blockquote></p><p> Amyris(AMRS) is a leader in synthetic biology. It fans say its opportunity is to supplant, in an eco-friendly way, a range of products now made from petrochemicals, animals, and plants.</p><p><blockquote>Amyris(AMRS)是合成生物学领域的领导者。它的粉丝们说,它的机会是以一种环保的方式取代一系列现在由石化产品、动物和植物制成的产品。</blockquote></p><p> Using genetically re-engineered yeast and sugar cane, Amyris produces such things as squalane, a high-end moisturizer formerly made from shark livers; vanillin, the flavoring for vanilla; and a no-calorie sweetener normally derived from plants. The stock trades around $13.</p><p><blockquote>Amyris使用基因改造的酵母和甘蔗生产角鲨烷等产品,这是一种以前由鲨鱼肝制成的高端保湿剂;香草醛,香草的调味料;和通常来源于植物的无热量甜味剂。该股交易价格约为13美元。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i> wrote favorably on the company in July. Amyris sees sales reaching $2 billion by 2025, up from an estimated $400 million this year, driven by its consumer brands.</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦周刊</i>7月份对该公司进行了好评。Amyris预计,在其消费品牌的推动下,到2025年销售额将达到20亿美元,高于今年预计的4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “The world needs clean chemistry, and Amyris is the point on the spear to create it,” says Randy Baron, a portfolio manager at Pinnacle Associates, which owns Amyris shares. He thinks they could hit $75 by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>拥有Amyris股票的Pinnacle Associates的投资组合经理兰迪·巴伦(Randy Baron)表示:“世界需要清洁化学,而Amyris是创造清洁化学的关键。”他认为到2022年底它们可能会达到75美元。</blockquote></p><p> Booz Allen Hamilton Holding(BAH) is an important consultant to the Defense Department and other agencies. The U.S. government accounted for 97% of its revenue in its latest fiscal year. Booz Allen has built robust ties to the government over the years by providing an array of services, like cybersecurity. Its stock trades around $81, for a 1.8% yield.</p><p><blockquote>博思艾伦控股公司(BAH)是国防部和其他机构的重要顾问。美国政府最近一财年的收入占其收入的97%。多年来,博思艾伦通过提供网络安全等一系列服务与政府建立了牢固的关系。其股价约为81美元,收益率为1.8%。</blockquote></p><p> “It has built a strong, partnership-like culture and has a long record of steady growth,” says Josh Spencer, manager of the T. Rowe Price New Horizons fund. He sees Booz Allen as capable of generating 9% to 10% annual growth in revenue and yearly gains of 15% to 16% in earnings, in line with its historical performance. The stock is off 20% from its peak of $100, amid concerns about more restrained military spending. Spencer sees the pullback as a buying opportunity, with the stock valued at less than 20 times earnings.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price New Horizons基金经理乔什·斯宾塞(Josh Spencer)表示:“它建立了强大的、类似伙伴关系的文化,并拥有长期稳定增长的记录。”他认为博思艾伦有能力实现9%至10%的收入年增长率和15%至16%的盈利年增长率,与其历史表现一致。由于担心军费开支更加克制,该股较100美元的峰值下跌了20%。斯宾塞将回调视为买入机会,该股的市盈率不到20倍。</blockquote></p><p> J.B. Hunt Transport Services(JBHT) is a leader in intermodal freight, which involves the fuel-efficient movement of trucks over rail lines. It has been one of the most successful trucking companies. Its stock has risen 30-fold over the past 20 years, to a recent $173. “It has an incredible franchise,” says Henry Ellenbogen, chief investment officer at Durable Capital Partners and a member of the Barron’s Roundtable.</p><p><blockquote>J.B.亨特运输服务公司(JBHT)是多式联运货运领域的领导者,该领域涉及卡车在铁路线上的省油运输。它是最成功的卡车运输公司之一。其股价在过去20年中上涨了30倍,最近达到173美元。“它拥有令人难以置信的特许经营权,”Durable Capital Partners首席投资官、《巴伦周刊》圆桌会议成员亨利·埃伦博根(Henry Ellenbogen)表示。</blockquote></p><p> J.B. Hunt’s relationship with the Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad gives it a strong position in intermodal freight, he notes. J.B. Hunt also has a growing business taking over the trucking operations of smaller companies. And it is involved in digital freight brokerage—matching truckers with shipping customers.</p><p><blockquote>J.B.他指出,亨特与伯灵顿北圣达菲铁路公司的关系使其在多式联运货运领域拥有强大的地位。J.B.亨特的业务也在不断增长,接管了小公司的卡车运输业务。它还参与数字货运经纪业务——为卡车司机和航运客户牵线搭桥。</blockquote></p><p> Ellenbogen says the stock is reasonable at 22 times estimated 2022 profits, given a mid-teens annual growth outlook for earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Ellenbogen表示,考虑到盈利年增长率为十几岁左右,该股2022年预计利润的22倍是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Marriott Vacations Worldwide(VAC) is one of the top companies in the timeshare industry. It has 700,000 owners, a resilient business model with significant revenue from fees, and more exposure than its peers to luxury properties in places including Hawaii and Orlando, Fla.</p><p><blockquote>万豪度假全球(VAC)是分时度假行业的顶级公司之一。它拥有700,000名业主,拥有富有弹性的商业模式,从费用中获得可观的收入,并且比同行更多地接触夏威夷和佛罗里达州奥兰多等地的豪华房产。</blockquote></p><p> “It has the best customer base, with the highest spending and an impeccable balance sheet,” says David Baron, a manager of the Baron Focused Growth fund. Marriott Vacations, whose shares recently were trading around $145, should reinstate its dividend later this year, he adds.</p><p><blockquote>Baron Focused Growth基金经理David Baron表示:“它拥有最好的客户群、最高的支出和无可挑剔的资产负债表。”他补充道,万豪度假公司的股价最近约为145美元,应该会在今年晚些时候恢复股息。</blockquote></p><p> The shares, Baron argues, are cheap at a 11% free-cash-flow yield, based on 2022 estimates. He says that the stock, little changed since 2018, could produce 20% annual returns for shareholders in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>Baron认为,根据2022年的预测,该股的自由现金流收益率为11%,价格低廉。他表示,该股自2018年以来几乎没有变化,未来几年可能为股东带来20%的年回报率。</blockquote></p><p> SiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE) is the country’s top supplier of landscaping products, with ample opportunity to expand, given that it has just a 13% market share in a highly fragmented industry.</p><p><blockquote>SiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE)是该国最大的景观美化产品供应商,鉴于其在高度分散的行业中仅占13%的市场份额,因此有充足的扩张机会。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s growing organically and has lots of acquisition opportunities,” says Columbia’s Cole, who considers the company to be capable of 10% to 15% annual revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚大学的科尔表示:“它正在有机增长,并且有很多收购机会。”他认为该公司的年收入有能力增长10%至15%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock, around $197, has a rich valuation, trading for 43 times projected 2022 earnings of $4.54 a share.</p><p><blockquote>该股股价约为197美元,估值很高,交易价格是2022年预计每股收益4.54美元的43倍。</blockquote></p><p> Staar Surgical(STAA) has developed an implantable lens to correct myopia (nearsightedness). That addresses a potentially huge market, given the rising global incidence of that vision problem. The company expects the lens, which has been available in Europe and Asia for at least five years, to be on the U.S. market in the fourth quarter, pending Food and Drug Administration approval.</p><p><blockquote>Staar外科公司(STAA)开发了一种可植入晶状体来矫正近视(近视)。鉴于全球视力问题的发病率不断上升,这解决了一个潜在的巨大市场。该公司预计,这款镜片已在欧洲和亚洲上市至少五年,将于第四季度进入美国市场,等待美国食品和药物管理局的批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It could do substantial volumes,’’ says Doug Brodie, a global manager at Baillie Gifford. “It’s early in a journey and is largely devoid of competition.”</p><p><blockquote>Baillie Gifford全球经理道格·布罗迪(Doug Brodie)表示:“它的销量可能会很大。它还处于起步阶段,基本上没有竞争。”</blockquote></p><p> Lenses for both eyes can be implanted in less than an hour, and they don’t involve the removal of the natural lenses. The wholesale cost in the U.S. could be around $1,000 per lens.</p><p><blockquote>双眼的晶状体可以在不到一个小时内植入,而且不需要移除天然晶状体。在美国,每个镜片的批发成本可能在1000美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> At a recent $138, Staar shares are richly valued at more than 20 times projected 2022 sales and 140 times estimated 2022 earnings. But the market opportunity is enormous: Some five billion people worldwide could have myopia by 2050.</p><p><blockquote>Staar股价最近为138美元,其估值超过2022年预计销售额的20倍,是2022年预计收益的140倍。但市场机会是巨大的:到2050年,全球约有50亿人可能患有近视。</blockquote></p><p> Stitch Fix(SFIX) has developed a subscription service for clothing, shoes, and other accessories and boasts over four million customers.</p><p><blockquote>Stitch Fix(SFIX)开发了服装、鞋子和其他配饰的订阅服务,拥有超过400万客户。</blockquote></p><p> “This could be the Nordstrom of the future,” says Mario Cibelli, chief investment officer at Marathon Partners Equity Management, a Stitch Fix holder. “This a potentially huge market and nobody is addressing it in the same way.” Using a staff of 6,000 personal stylists and lots of data, Stitch Fix seeks to identify subscriber tastes to generate high satisfaction and limit returns on packages sent at intervals and determined by subscribers.</p><p><blockquote>“这可能是未来的诺德斯特龙,”Stitch Fix持有者Marathon Partners Equity Management首席投资官马里奥·西贝利(Mario Cibelli)表示。“这是一个潜在的巨大市场,没有人以同样的方式解决这个问题。”Stitch Fix利用6000名个人造型师和大量数据,试图确定订户的品味,以产生高满意度,并限制每隔一段时间发送并由订户决定的包裹的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Its shares, around $44, are down 60% from their level earlier in the year, on investors’ worries about potential churn and the business’s ultimate profitability.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者对潜在客户流失和业务最终盈利能力的担忧,其股价约为44美元,较今年早些时候的水平下跌了60%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet Cibelli sees revenue growth of 20%-plus annually, opportunities outside its current U.S. and U.K. markets, and a potentially very profitable business in two to three years.</p><p><blockquote>然而,Cibelli预计收入每年将增长20%以上,在当前美国和英国市场之外还有机会,并且在两到三年内业务可能会非常有利可图。</blockquote></p><p> Trex(TREX) is the top producer of a high-end wood alternative for decks that comes from 95% recycled material, making it an eco-friendly housing play. The shares, at $105, trade for 43 times projected 2022 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Trex(TREX)是甲板高端木材替代品的顶级生产商,其95%来自回收材料,使其成为一种环保的住房。该股股价为105美元,是2022年预计市盈率的43倍。</blockquote></p><p> T. Rowe Price’s Spencer views Trex as worth the price, based on his view that it can generate sustainable annual revenue growth of 15% to 20%. Earnings are expected to climb by about 20% in 2022 and at a similar pace in the following years. “If you roll the clock forward three years, it doesn’t look as expensive,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price的Spencer认为Trex物有所值,因为他认为它可以产生15%至20%的可持续年收入增长。预计2022年盈利将增长约20%,并在接下来的几年中以类似的速度增长。“如果你把时间拨快三年,它看起来并没有那么贵,”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Upwork(UPWK), an online marketplace for freelance workers, is favored by Baillie Gifford’s Brodie, who says it offers a play on the greater acceptance of freelancers by businesses.</p><p><blockquote>Upwork(UPWK)是一个面向自由职业者的在线市场,受到Baillie Gifford的Brodie的青睐,他表示,它可以让企业更好地接受自由职业者。</blockquote></p><p> The shares, recently around $44, aren’t cheap. Upwork is valued at $5.7 billion, or more than 10 times this year’s projected sales of nearly $500 million. It operates at a slight loss.</p><p><blockquote>该股最近约为44美元,并不便宜。Upwork的估值为57亿美元,是今年预计销售额近5亿美元的10倍以上。它的运营略有亏损。</blockquote></p><p> The investment case is about rapid sales growth leading to ample earnings. Sales are expected to rise by 30%-plus this year and 25% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>投资案例是关于快速销售增长带来丰厚收益。预计今年销售额将增长30%以上,2022年将增长25%。</blockquote></p><p> “Freelancers are more accepted by small to midsize business, but they’ve been frowned on by the HR departments at large businesses,” Brodie says. Upwork aims to change that perception by vetting its freelancers and by offering thousands of skill sets. “Upwork could become a trusted partner for an increasing number of enterprise-grade partners,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“自由职业者更容易被中小型企业接受,但大型企业的人力资源部门却不喜欢他们,”布罗迪说。Upwork旨在通过审查自由职业者和提供数千种技能来改变这种看法。“Upwork可以成为越来越多企业级合作伙伴值得信赖的合作伙伴,”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-potential-compounder-growth-51628888840?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JBHT":"JB Hunt运输服务","UPWK":"Upwork Inc.","BAH":"博思艾伦咨询公司","VAC":"万豪度假环球","STAA":"STAAR Surgical Company","SITE":"SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.","AMRS":"阿米瑞斯","TREX":"Trex Co Inc","AMED":"阿米斯医疗","SFIX":"Stitch Fix Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-potential-compounder-growth-51628888840?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127633167","content_text":"One of the most popular buzzwords in investing today is “compounders.” Growth-oriented investors looking for the next Amazon.com, Costco Wholesale, Nike, or Visa seek to identify companies capable of generating double-digit compound growth in revenue and earnings—preferably both—for years to come.\nThe idea is that stock prices should compound in line with revenue and profits, enabling investors to generate high returns over a holding period of five to 10 years. The ultimate goal is to find the elusive “10 bagger”—a stock that returns 10 times what you paid for it.\nWall Street analyst notes and client letters from investment pros are replete with compounder references. Many of the next generation of value managers, identified in a Barron’s cover story in May, are seeking such shares, rather than the traditional value fare of cheap stocks.\nTheir search has become more challenging, because buyers are paying lofty prices for high-growth stories. Really big winners are scarce. Only about 35 companies in each of a long series of 10-year periods have compounded their stock prices at 20% or more annually, resulting in at least a sixfold increase, according to Durable Capital Partners.\nMany investors are happy to stick with large, well-known compounders, such as Alphabet(ticker: GOOGL),Mastercard(MA),UnitedHealth Group(UNH), and Eli Lilly(LLY).\nBarron’s sought to identify smaller candidates. We talked to investment managers and came up with an eclectic list of 10 stocks, most with market values under $10 billion. Here are the selections, in alphabetical order:\nStrong and Steady Wins the RaceHere are 10 stocks that growth investors have identified as being able to generate consistently high growth in revenues or profits for many years.\n\n\n\nCompany / Ticker\nRecent Price\nYTD Change\n2021E P/E\n2021E Price/Sales\n2022E P/E\n2022E Price/Sales\nLT Growth Rate*\nMarket Value (bil)\nComment\n\n\n\n\nAmedysis / AMED\n$185.15\n-37%\n30.2\n2.7\n27.7\n2.4\n10.5%\n$6.3\nLeader in home health care\n\n\nAmyris / AMRS\n13.64\n121\nNM\n10.4\nNM\n9.7\nNA\n4.1\nLeading company in synthetic biology\n\n\nBooz Allen Hamilton Holding / BAH\n81.73\n-6\n19.4\n1.3\n17.7\n1.2\n8.6\n11.0\nDefense-department consultant\n\n\nJ.B. Hunt Transport Services / JBHT\n172.76\n26\n25.8\n1.5\n22.2\n1.4\n18.4\n18.2\nStrong in intermodal freight\n\n\nMarriott Vacations Worldwide / VAC\n147.15\n7\n40.9\n1.6\n15.7\n1.4\nNA\n6.3\nTop company in vacation timeshares\n\n\nSiteOne Landscape Supply / SITE\n197.10\n24\n45.7\n2.6\n43.5\n2.5\n19.3\n8.8\nBig supplier of landscaping supplies\n\n\nStaar Surgical / STAA\n138.19\n74\n192.3\n28.6\n140.8\n22.5\n30.0\n6.6\nMaker of implantable lens for myopia\n\n\nStitch Fix / SFIX\n44.38\n-24\nNM\n1.9\n1890.3\n1.7\n30.0\n4.8\nData-driven subscription clothing firm\n\n\nTrex / TREX\n105.94\n27\n51.9\n10.5\n43.6\n9.3\n18.8\n12.2\nTop maker of synthetic wood decking\n\n\nUpwork / UPWK\n44.31\n28\nNM\n11.4\n556.8\n9.2\nNA\n5.7\nOnline clearinghouse for free-lancers\n\n\n\nE=Estimate. BAH estimates are for fiscal years ending March 2022 and March 23. SFIX estimates are for fiscal years ending July 2022 and July 2023. NM=Not Meaningful. NA=Not Available. *The annual EPS growth the company can sustain over the next 3-5 years.\nSource: FactSet\nAmedisys(AMED), a provider of home healthcare and hospice services, has a national footprint in a still-fragmented business.\n“There is going to be massive consolidation of the industry” predicts Dan Cole, a manager of the Columbia Small-Cap Growth fund. “Healthcare is moving to the home.”\nAmedisys stock is up more than tenfold in the past decade. But the shares, around $185, are off nearly 30% after the company recently cut 2021 financial guidance, citing Covid-related staffing and cost issues, mostly in acquired hospice operations. The 2021 earnings estimate is now $6.13 a share, down from nearly $7. The stock trades for 30 times projected 2021 profits. Cole says that the company remains capable of generating 10% annual gains in earnings per share.\nAmyris(AMRS) is a leader in synthetic biology. It fans say its opportunity is to supplant, in an eco-friendly way, a range of products now made from petrochemicals, animals, and plants.\nUsing genetically re-engineered yeast and sugar cane, Amyris produces such things as squalane, a high-end moisturizer formerly made from shark livers; vanillin, the flavoring for vanilla; and a no-calorie sweetener normally derived from plants. The stock trades around $13.\nBarron’s wrote favorably on the company in July. Amyris sees sales reaching $2 billion by 2025, up from an estimated $400 million this year, driven by its consumer brands.\n“The world needs clean chemistry, and Amyris is the point on the spear to create it,” says Randy Baron, a portfolio manager at Pinnacle Associates, which owns Amyris shares. He thinks they could hit $75 by the end of 2022.\nBooz Allen Hamilton Holding(BAH) is an important consultant to the Defense Department and other agencies. The U.S. government accounted for 97% of its revenue in its latest fiscal year. Booz Allen has built robust ties to the government over the years by providing an array of services, like cybersecurity. Its stock trades around $81, for a 1.8% yield.\n“It has built a strong, partnership-like culture and has a long record of steady growth,” says Josh Spencer, manager of the T. Rowe Price New Horizons fund. He sees Booz Allen as capable of generating 9% to 10% annual growth in revenue and yearly gains of 15% to 16% in earnings, in line with its historical performance. The stock is off 20% from its peak of $100, amid concerns about more restrained military spending. Spencer sees the pullback as a buying opportunity, with the stock valued at less than 20 times earnings.\nJ.B. Hunt Transport Services(JBHT) is a leader in intermodal freight, which involves the fuel-efficient movement of trucks over rail lines. It has been one of the most successful trucking companies. Its stock has risen 30-fold over the past 20 years, to a recent $173. “It has an incredible franchise,” says Henry Ellenbogen, chief investment officer at Durable Capital Partners and a member of the Barron’s Roundtable.\nJ.B. Hunt’s relationship with the Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad gives it a strong position in intermodal freight, he notes. J.B. Hunt also has a growing business taking over the trucking operations of smaller companies. And it is involved in digital freight brokerage—matching truckers with shipping customers.\nEllenbogen says the stock is reasonable at 22 times estimated 2022 profits, given a mid-teens annual growth outlook for earnings.\nMarriott Vacations Worldwide(VAC) is one of the top companies in the timeshare industry. It has 700,000 owners, a resilient business model with significant revenue from fees, and more exposure than its peers to luxury properties in places including Hawaii and Orlando, Fla.\n“It has the best customer base, with the highest spending and an impeccable balance sheet,” says David Baron, a manager of the Baron Focused Growth fund. Marriott Vacations, whose shares recently were trading around $145, should reinstate its dividend later this year, he adds.\nThe shares, Baron argues, are cheap at a 11% free-cash-flow yield, based on 2022 estimates. He says that the stock, little changed since 2018, could produce 20% annual returns for shareholders in the coming years.\nSiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE) is the country’s top supplier of landscaping products, with ample opportunity to expand, given that it has just a 13% market share in a highly fragmented industry.\n\n“It’s growing organically and has lots of acquisition opportunities,” says Columbia’s Cole, who considers the company to be capable of 10% to 15% annual revenue growth.\nThe stock, around $197, has a rich valuation, trading for 43 times projected 2022 earnings of $4.54 a share.\nStaar Surgical(STAA) has developed an implantable lens to correct myopia (nearsightedness). That addresses a potentially huge market, given the rising global incidence of that vision problem. The company expects the lens, which has been available in Europe and Asia for at least five years, to be on the U.S. market in the fourth quarter, pending Food and Drug Administration approval.\n“It could do substantial volumes,’’ says Doug Brodie, a global manager at Baillie Gifford. “It’s early in a journey and is largely devoid of competition.”\nLenses for both eyes can be implanted in less than an hour, and they don’t involve the removal of the natural lenses. The wholesale cost in the U.S. could be around $1,000 per lens.\nAt a recent $138, Staar shares are richly valued at more than 20 times projected 2022 sales and 140 times estimated 2022 earnings. But the market opportunity is enormous: Some five billion people worldwide could have myopia by 2050.\nStitch Fix(SFIX) has developed a subscription service for clothing, shoes, and other accessories and boasts over four million customers.\n“This could be the Nordstrom of the future,” says Mario Cibelli, chief investment officer at Marathon Partners Equity Management, a Stitch Fix holder. “This a potentially huge market and nobody is addressing it in the same way.” Using a staff of 6,000 personal stylists and lots of data, Stitch Fix seeks to identify subscriber tastes to generate high satisfaction and limit returns on packages sent at intervals and determined by subscribers.\nIts shares, around $44, are down 60% from their level earlier in the year, on investors’ worries about potential churn and the business’s ultimate profitability.\nYet Cibelli sees revenue growth of 20%-plus annually, opportunities outside its current U.S. and U.K. markets, and a potentially very profitable business in two to three years.\nTrex(TREX) is the top producer of a high-end wood alternative for decks that comes from 95% recycled material, making it an eco-friendly housing play. The shares, at $105, trade for 43 times projected 2022 earnings.\nT. Rowe Price’s Spencer views Trex as worth the price, based on his view that it can generate sustainable annual revenue growth of 15% to 20%. Earnings are expected to climb by about 20% in 2022 and at a similar pace in the following years. “If you roll the clock forward three years, it doesn’t look as expensive,” he says.\nUpwork(UPWK), an online marketplace for freelance workers, is favored by Baillie Gifford’s Brodie, who says it offers a play on the greater acceptance of freelancers by businesses.\nThe shares, recently around $44, aren’t cheap. Upwork is valued at $5.7 billion, or more than 10 times this year’s projected sales of nearly $500 million. It operates at a slight loss.\nThe investment case is about rapid sales growth leading to ample earnings. Sales are expected to rise by 30%-plus this year and 25% for 2022.\n“Freelancers are more accepted by small to midsize business, but they’ve been frowned on by the HR departments at large businesses,” Brodie says. Upwork aims to change that perception by vetting its freelancers and by offering thousands of skill sets. “Upwork could become a trusted partner for an increasing number of enterprise-grade partners,” he says.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMRS":0.9,"VAC":0.9,"UPWK":0.9,"SFIX":0.9,"BAH":0.9,"TREX":0.9,"JBHT":0.9,"STAA":0.9,"SITE":0.9,"AMED":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144226134,"gmtCreate":1626302501528,"gmtModify":1633928195103,"author":{"id":"3576701730623485","authorId":"3576701730623485","name":"Risz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576701730623485","idStr":"3576701730623485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment and like","listText":"Comment and like","text":"Comment and 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23:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Coupa Shares Extend Losses After Post-Analyst Day Selloff<blockquote>分析师日抛售后,Coupa股价扩大跌幅</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169536573","media":"Thestreet","summary":"Coupa Software traded lower for a second day Friday, extending Thursday's near 10% loss, as analysts reassessed their outlooks for the financial management software company following a disappointing analyst day event.Coupa hosted a virtual analyst day on Thursday, when the platform provider shared additional detail about its Coupa Pay service, and also provided an update on its longer-term prospects.Analysts honed in on the more conservative outlook provided by Coupa's management team as the lik","content":"<p>Coupa Software(<b>COUP</b>) traded lower for a second day Friday, extending Thursday's near 10% loss, as analysts reassessed their outlooks for the financial management software company following a disappointing analyst day event.</p><p><blockquote>Coupa软件(<b>COUP</b>)周五连续第二天走低,延续了周四近10%的跌幅,分析师在经历了令人失望的分析师日活动后重新评估了对这家财务管理软件公司的前景。</blockquote></p><p> Coupa hosted a virtual analyst day on Thursday, when the platform provider shared additional detail about its Coupa Pay service, and also provided an update on its longer-term prospects.</p><p><blockquote>Coupa周四举办了虚拟分析师日,该平台提供商分享了有关其Coupa Pay服务的更多细节,并提供了有关其长期前景的最新信息。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts honed in on the more conservative outlook provided by Coupa's management team as the likely reason behind Thursday's selloff, though were generally sanguine about the company's longer-term prospects, with Piper Sandler one of the the few Wall Street investment firms to lower its one-year price target.</p><p><blockquote>分析师们认为Coupa管理团队提供的更为保守的前景可能是周四抛售背后的原因,但他们普遍对该公司的长期前景持乐观态度,Piper Sandler是少数几家下调一年股价的华尔街投资公司之一。价格目标。</blockquote></p><p> Piper Sandler analysts also focused on lack of progress with Coupa Pay, noting that “… considering the necessary conservatism that is needed to continue the well-known beat and raise cadence, the set-up was always less than ideal.” They held their overweight rating on the stock though lowered their price target to $295 from $300.</p><p><blockquote>Piper Sandler分析师还关注了Coupa Pay缺乏进展的问题,并指出“……考虑到继续众所周知的节拍和提高节奏所需的必要保守主义,这种设置总是不太理想。”他们维持对该股的跑赢大盘评级,但将目标价从300美元下调至295美元。</blockquote></p><p> Truist Securities was slightly more upbeat, though admitted investors “could have been disappointed by either what they heard from an attach rate perspective on Coupa Pay or potentially were disappointed that it’s likely a multi-year time line before Coupa Pay really moves the needle.” They held their buy rating and price target of $326.</p><p><blockquote>Truist Securities稍微乐观一些,尽管承认投资者“可能会对他们从Coupa Pay的附加利率角度听到的消息感到失望,或者可能会对Coupa Pay真正发挥作用可能需要多年时间线感到失望。”他们维持买入评级和326美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Barclays analysts noted that while Coupa couldn’t meet “the very high expectations from the Street” for its Coupa Pay service it is maintaining its positive outlook. The investment bank held its equal weight rating on the shares and one-year price target of $250.</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱分析师指出,虽然Coupa无法满足“华尔街对其Coupa Pay服务的极高期望”,但它仍保持积极的前景。该投资银行维持该股等权重评级,一年目标价为250美元。</blockquote></p><p> Coupa shares plunged last monthafter the companyprovided a tepid forecastthat raised questions about its pace of billings growth. A number of analysts cut their price targets on the San Mateo, Calif., based company at the time, even after it reported a surprise profit and better-than-expected revenue forecasts.</p><p><blockquote>上个月,Coupa股价暴跌,此前该公司提供了一份不温不火的预测,引发了人们对其账单增长速度的质疑。当时,许多分析师下调了这家总部位于加州圣马特奥的公司的目标价,尽管该公司公布了意外的利润和好于预期的收入预测。</blockquote></p><p> At last check, Coupa shares were down 2.24% at $221.04. The stock has fallen 32.7% year to date.</p><p><blockquote>据上次检查,Coupa股价下跌2.24%,至221.04美元。该股今年迄今已下跌32.7%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Coupa Shares Extend Losses After Post-Analyst Day Selloff<blockquote>分析师日抛售后,Coupa股价扩大跌幅</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCoupa Shares Extend Losses After Post-Analyst Day Selloff<blockquote>分析师日抛售后,Coupa股价扩大跌幅</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Thestreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-16 23:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Coupa Software(<b>COUP</b>) traded lower for a second day Friday, extending Thursday's near 10% loss, as analysts reassessed their outlooks for the financial management software company following a disappointing analyst day event.</p><p><blockquote>Coupa软件(<b>COUP</b>)周五连续第二天走低,延续了周四近10%的跌幅,分析师在经历了令人失望的分析师日活动后重新评估了对这家财务管理软件公司的前景。</blockquote></p><p> Coupa hosted a virtual analyst day on Thursday, when the platform provider shared additional detail about its Coupa Pay service, and also provided an update on its longer-term prospects.</p><p><blockquote>Coupa周四举办了虚拟分析师日,该平台提供商分享了有关其Coupa Pay服务的更多细节,并提供了有关其长期前景的最新信息。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts honed in on the more conservative outlook provided by Coupa's management team as the likely reason behind Thursday's selloff, though were generally sanguine about the company's longer-term prospects, with Piper Sandler one of the the few Wall Street investment firms to lower its one-year price target.</p><p><blockquote>分析师们认为Coupa管理团队提供的更为保守的前景可能是周四抛售背后的原因,但他们普遍对该公司的长期前景持乐观态度,Piper Sandler是少数几家下调一年股价的华尔街投资公司之一。价格目标。</blockquote></p><p> Piper Sandler analysts also focused on lack of progress with Coupa Pay, noting that “… considering the necessary conservatism that is needed to continue the well-known beat and raise cadence, the set-up was always less than ideal.” They held their overweight rating on the stock though lowered their price target to $295 from $300.</p><p><blockquote>Piper Sandler分析师还关注了Coupa Pay缺乏进展的问题,并指出“……考虑到继续众所周知的节拍和提高节奏所需的必要保守主义,这种设置总是不太理想。”他们维持对该股的跑赢大盘评级,但将目标价从300美元下调至295美元。</blockquote></p><p> Truist Securities was slightly more upbeat, though admitted investors “could have been disappointed by either what they heard from an attach rate perspective on Coupa Pay or potentially were disappointed that it’s likely a multi-year time line before Coupa Pay really moves the needle.” They held their buy rating and price target of $326.</p><p><blockquote>Truist Securities稍微乐观一些,尽管承认投资者“可能会对他们从Coupa Pay的附加利率角度听到的消息感到失望,或者可能会对Coupa Pay真正发挥作用可能需要多年时间线感到失望。”他们维持买入评级和326美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Barclays analysts noted that while Coupa couldn’t meet “the very high expectations from the Street” for its Coupa Pay service it is maintaining its positive outlook. The investment bank held its equal weight rating on the shares and one-year price target of $250.</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱分析师指出,虽然Coupa无法满足“华尔街对其Coupa Pay服务的极高期望”,但它仍保持积极的前景。该投资银行维持该股等权重评级,一年目标价为250美元。</blockquote></p><p> Coupa shares plunged last monthafter the companyprovided a tepid forecastthat raised questions about its pace of billings growth. A number of analysts cut their price targets on the San Mateo, Calif., based company at the time, even after it reported a surprise profit and better-than-expected revenue forecasts.</p><p><blockquote>上个月,Coupa股价暴跌,此前该公司提供了一份不温不火的预测,引发了人们对其账单增长速度的质疑。当时,许多分析师下调了这家总部位于加州圣马特奥的公司的目标价,尽管该公司公布了意外的利润和好于预期的收入预测。</blockquote></p><p> At last check, Coupa shares were down 2.24% at $221.04. The stock has fallen 32.7% year to date.</p><p><blockquote>据上次检查,Coupa股价下跌2.24%,至221.04美元。该股今年迄今已下跌32.7%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/coupa-software-coup-rebound-selloff-analysts\">Thestreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COUP":"Coupa Software Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/coupa-software-coup-rebound-selloff-analysts","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169536573","content_text":"Coupa Software(COUP) traded lower for a second day Friday, extending Thursday's near 10% loss, as analysts reassessed their outlooks for the financial management software company following a disappointing analyst day event.\nCoupa hosted a virtual analyst day on Thursday, when the platform provider shared additional detail about its Coupa Pay service, and also provided an update on its longer-term prospects.\nAnalysts honed in on the more conservative outlook provided by Coupa's management team as the likely reason behind Thursday's selloff, though were generally sanguine about the company's longer-term prospects, with Piper Sandler one of the the few Wall Street investment firms to lower its one-year price target.\nPiper Sandler analysts also focused on lack of progress with Coupa Pay, noting that “… considering the necessary conservatism that is needed to continue the well-known beat and raise cadence, the set-up was always less than ideal.” They held their overweight rating on the stock though lowered their price target to $295 from $300.\nTruist Securities was slightly more upbeat, though admitted investors “could have been disappointed by either what they heard from an attach rate perspective on Coupa Pay or potentially were disappointed that it’s likely a multi-year time line before Coupa Pay really moves the needle.” They held their buy rating and price target of $326.\nBarclays analysts noted that while Coupa couldn’t meet “the very high expectations from the Street” for its Coupa Pay service it is maintaining its positive outlook. The investment bank held its equal weight rating on the shares and one-year price target of $250.\nCoupa shares plunged last monthafter the companyprovided a tepid forecastthat raised questions about its pace of billings growth. A number of analysts cut their price targets on the San Mateo, Calif., based company at the time, even after it reported a surprise profit and better-than-expected revenue forecasts.\nAt last check, Coupa shares were down 2.24% at $221.04. 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