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尘埃_1477

尘埃_1477

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2021-07-06

除了高盛还有谁

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-30

真真假假、假假真真

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2021-06-01

两年内上证指数16000

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2021-04-28

人们也忘了A股也会涨🤡

沉寂已久的恐慌指数VIX即将迎来爆发？

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"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576241355261705","authorIdStr":"3576241355261705"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"人们也忘了A股也会涨🤡","listText":"人们也忘了A股也会涨🤡","text":"人们也忘了A股也会涨🤡","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/377716580","repostId":"1147918039","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147918039","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"全球第五大财经门户网站Investing.com中国官方微信，提供全球各国海量金融资讯和实时行情数据，包括股票股指、外汇、期货、基金、债券、加密货币等。关注全球金融市场动态的投资者千万不可错过。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"英为财情Investing","id":"92","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/406e2b4996e14cd8a66a2a6864ef4313"},"pubTimestamp":1619524315,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147918039?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-27 19:51","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"沉寂已久的恐慌指数VIX即将迎来爆发？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147918039","media":"英为财情Investing","summary":"如今，市场每天都在刷新高位，人们很容易就忘记，美股其实也会下跌。","content":"<p>衡量波动性的VIX恐慌指数近期一直在下降。该指数最近跌至2020年3月疫情爆发后市场崩盘以来的最低水平。不过，期权交易者一直在押注，波动率将卷土重来，推动VIX飙升。</p>\n<p>自去年3月26日以来，标普500指数持续走高，其涨幅逼近70%，与此同时VIX暴跌。VIX指数在很长一段时间内一直停留在20左右的水平，到4月初，该指数终于继续下跌，到月中跌至16，为2020年2月以来的最低点。</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84b635b6c7e33db37299e8f812a53eee\" tg-width=\"885\" tg-height=\"335\"><span>VIX恐慌指数日线图</span></p>\n<p>交易员押注VIX飙升</p>\n<p>VIX的急剧下跌已成为股市的利好因素，推动股指创下纪录新高。但是现在，期权交易者似乎在押注，VIX将出现重大逆转、急剧上升。4月8日当天，行权日为7月21日、行权价为25和40的看涨期权合约未平仓头寸增加了超过23.5万张。这应该是跨期交易。行权价为25的看涨期权买入价约为每张合约3.30美元，而行权价为40的看涨期权买入价约为每张合约1.30美元。这表明，交易员押注在到期日之前，VIX的交易价格高于27但低于40。</p>\n<p>在4月19日和20日，9月15日行权价为20的看涨期权未平仓头寸增加了2万张合约。这些看涨期权合约的买入价格在6.40美元至6.80美元之间。这意味着到9月中旬，VIX的交易价格约为27。</p>\n<p>最后，在4月20日和21日，5月份行权价为60的看涨期权未平仓头寸日均增加2万张合约。押注这个看涨期权的交易员要少得多，其买入价格在0.25美元左右。对于交易者来说，这是从VIX潜在上涨走势中获利的最佳方式。</p>\n<p>所有这些表明，期权市场参与者预计未来几周和几个月内波动性会上升。他们近期正在寻找逢低买入的机会。</p>\n<p>值得关注的信号！VIX与VVIX走势背离</p>\n<p>VVIX日线图</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf562752d985fcdde685bd5335f06fc5\" tg-width=\"1600\" tg-height=\"691\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>更有趣的是，用来衡量VIX隐含波动率水平的CBOE Vix Volatility最近一直在上升，尽管VIX指数本身在下跌。这个背离走势表明，在股票市场的平静以及VIX不断下跌的走势背后，隐含波动率水平则在持续攀升。</p>\n<p>之前，这两个波动性指标也曾出现过背离。这种情况往往会导致VIX随后跟上，与VVIX指数同比走高。上次出现这样的情况是在9月底，当时VIX还在横盘，但VVIX已经开始攀升。最终，这导致标普500指数在10月12日至10月30日之间下跌约9%。</p>\n<p>如今，市场每天都在刷新高位，人们很容易就忘记，美股其实也会下跌。到某个节点，波动性可能会加剧，这意味着美股将会走低，而且从当前的情况来看，这一下跌可能会比预期更早到来。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>沉寂已久的恐慌指数VIX即将迎来爆发？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n沉寂已久的恐慌指数VIX即将迎来爆发？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/92\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/406e2b4996e14cd8a66a2a6864ef4313);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">英为财情Investing </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-04-27 19:51</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>衡量波动性的VIX恐慌指数近期一直在下降。该指数最近跌至2020年3月疫情爆发后市场崩盘以来的最低水平。不过，期权交易者一直在押注，波动率将卷土重来，推动VIX飙升。</p>\n<p>自去年3月26日以来，标普500指数持续走高，其涨幅逼近70%，与此同时VIX暴跌。VIX指数在很长一段时间内一直停留在20左右的水平，到4月初，该指数终于继续下跌，到月中跌至16，为2020年2月以来的最低点。</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84b635b6c7e33db37299e8f812a53eee\" tg-width=\"885\" tg-height=\"335\"><span>VIX恐慌指数日线图</span></p>\n<p>交易员押注VIX飙升</p>\n<p>VIX的急剧下跌已成为股市的利好因素，推动股指创下纪录新高。但是现在，期权交易者似乎在押注，VIX将出现重大逆转、急剧上升。4月8日当天，行权日为7月21日、行权价为25和40的看涨期权合约未平仓头寸增加了超过23.5万张。这应该是跨期交易。行权价为25的看涨期权买入价约为每张合约3.30美元，而行权价为40的看涨期权买入价约为每张合约1.30美元。这表明，交易员押注在到期日之前，VIX的交易价格高于27但低于40。</p>\n<p>在4月19日和20日，9月15日行权价为20的看涨期权未平仓头寸增加了2万张合约。这些看涨期权合约的买入价格在6.40美元至6.80美元之间。这意味着到9月中旬，VIX的交易价格约为27。</p>\n<p>最后，在4月20日和21日，5月份行权价为60的看涨期权未平仓头寸日均增加2万张合约。押注这个看涨期权的交易员要少得多，其买入价格在0.25美元左右。对于交易者来说，这是从VIX潜在上涨走势中获利的最佳方式。</p>\n<p>所有这些表明，期权市场参与者预计未来几周和几个月内波动性会上升。他们近期正在寻找逢低买入的机会。</p>\n<p>值得关注的信号！VIX与VVIX走势背离</p>\n<p>VVIX日线图</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf562752d985fcdde685bd5335f06fc5\" tg-width=\"1600\" tg-height=\"691\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>更有趣的是，用来衡量VIX隐含波动率水平的CBOE Vix Volatility最近一直在上升，尽管VIX指数本身在下跌。这个背离走势表明，在股票市场的平静以及VIX不断下跌的走势背后，隐含波动率水平则在持续攀升。</p>\n<p>之前，这两个波动性指标也曾出现过背离。这种情况往往会导致VIX随后跟上，与VVIX指数同比走高。上次出现这样的情况是在9月底，当时VIX还在横盘，但VVIX已经开始攀升。最终，这导致标普500指数在10月12日至10月30日之间下跌约9%。</p>\n<p>如今，市场每天都在刷新高位，人们很容易就忘记，美股其实也会下跌。到某个节点，波动性可能会加剧，这意味着美股将会走低，而且从当前的情况来看，这一下跌可能会比预期更早到来。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32f76f2b955be371110b877bebef37ba","relate_stocks":{"VIXY":"波动率短期期货指数ETF","SVXY":"0.5倍做空波动率指数短期期货ETF","VIX":"标普500波动率指数","VXX":"短期VIX期货ETN","UVXY":"1.5倍做多恐慌指数短期期货ETF","TVIX":"二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147918039","content_text":"衡量波动性的VIX恐慌指数近期一直在下降。该指数最近跌至2020年3月疫情爆发后市场崩盘以来的最低水平。不过，期权交易者一直在押注，波动率将卷土重来，推动VIX飙升。\n自去年3月26日以来，标普500指数持续走高，其涨幅逼近70%，与此同时VIX暴跌。VIX指数在很长一段时间内一直停留在20左右的水平，到4月初，该指数终于继续下跌，到月中跌至16，为2020年2月以来的最低点。\nVIX恐慌指数日线图\n交易员押注VIX飙升\nVIX的急剧下跌已成为股市的利好因素，推动股指创下纪录新高。但是现在，期权交易者似乎在押注，VIX将出现重大逆转、急剧上升。4月8日当天，行权日为7月21日、行权价为25和40的看涨期权合约未平仓头寸增加了超过23.5万张。这应该是跨期交易。行权价为25的看涨期权买入价约为每张合约3.30美元，而行权价为40的看涨期权买入价约为每张合约1.30美元。这表明，交易员押注在到期日之前，VIX的交易价格高于27但低于40。\n在4月19日和20日，9月15日行权价为20的看涨期权未平仓头寸增加了2万张合约。这些看涨期权合约的买入价格在6.40美元至6.80美元之间。这意味着到9月中旬，VIX的交易价格约为27。\n最后，在4月20日和21日，5月份行权价为60的看涨期权未平仓头寸日均增加2万张合约。押注这个看涨期权的交易员要少得多，其买入价格在0.25美元左右。对于交易者来说，这是从VIX潜在上涨走势中获利的最佳方式。\n所有这些表明，期权市场参与者预计未来几周和几个月内波动性会上升。他们近期正在寻找逢低买入的机会。\n值得关注的信号！VIX与VVIX走势背离\nVVIX日线图\n\n更有趣的是，用来衡量VIX隐含波动率水平的CBOE Vix Volatility最近一直在上升，尽管VIX指数本身在下跌。这个背离走势表明，在股票市场的平静以及VIX不断下跌的走势背后，隐含波动率水平则在持续攀升。\n之前，这两个波动性指标也曾出现过背离。这种情况往往会导致VIX随后跟上，与VVIX指数同比走高。上次出现这样的情况是在9月底，当时VIX还在横盘，但VVIX已经开始攀升。最终，这导致标普500指数在10月12日至10月30日之间下跌约9%。\n如今，市场每天都在刷新高位，人们很容易就忘记，美股其实也会下跌。到某个节点，波动性可能会加剧，这意味着美股将会走低，而且从当前的情况来看，这一下跌可能会比预期更早到来。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1435,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":151336324,"gmtCreate":1625063486668,"gmtModify":1625064244564,"author":{"id":"3576241355261705","authorId":"3576241355261705","name":"尘埃_1477","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca3c21dc207c8b056a7218d83e7aaafd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576241355261705","authorIdStr":"3576241355261705"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"真真假假、假假真真","listText":"真真假假、假假真真","text":"真真假假、假假真真","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151336324","repostId":"1174378099","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1666,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":154289013,"gmtCreate":1625529838332,"gmtModify":1625536441870,"author":{"id":"3576241355261705","authorId":"3576241355261705","name":"尘埃_1477","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca3c21dc207c8b056a7218d83e7aaafd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576241355261705","authorIdStr":"3576241355261705"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"除了高盛还有谁","listText":"除了高盛还有谁","text":"除了高盛还有谁","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154289013","repostId":"1106963861","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1736,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":119876745,"gmtCreate":1622538232887,"gmtModify":1622538500770,"author":{"id":"3576241355261705","authorId":"3576241355261705","name":"尘埃_1477","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca3c21dc207c8b056a7218d83e7aaafd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576241355261705","authorIdStr":"3576241355261705"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"两年内上证指数16000","listText":"两年内上证指数16000","text":"两年内上证指数16000","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119876745","repostId":"1186807065","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186807065","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"致力于提供最及时的财经资讯，最专业的解读分析，覆盖宏观经济、金融机构、A股市场、上市公司、投资理财等财经领域。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"券商中国","id":"9","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d482d56459984e8c86a6a137295b3c4f"},"pubTimestamp":1622537596,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1186807065?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-01 16:53","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"监管部门：对预测股市具体点位的做法并不赞成","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186807065","media":"券商中国","summary":"发布研究观点应当客观、专业、审慎，避免随意性。","content":"<p>周二消息，据记者向接近监管部门的人士了解，<b>监管上对预测股市指数具体点位的做法并不赞成，认为发布研究观点应当客观、专业、审慎，避免随意性。</b></p><p>近期，A股市场走势向好，与此同时，一些研究机构也开始出来预测指数点位，有的将上证指数目标定在4000点，有的分析师还将自己的点位预测写进“诗”中，以求增加传播效果。现在，市场上有些预测相当随意，且有的人为片面追求“影响力”使用夸张的表达方式和虚华的词语，对A股市场的预期稳定，对投资者特别是广大中小投资者理性投资弊大于利，应引起关注。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>监管部门：对预测股市具体点位的做法并不赞成</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n监管部门：对预测股市具体点位的做法并不赞成\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/9\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d482d56459984e8c86a6a137295b3c4f);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">券商中国 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-01 16:53</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>周二消息，据记者向接近监管部门的人士了解，<b>监管上对预测股市指数具体点位的做法并不赞成，认为发布研究观点应当客观、专业、审慎，避免随意性。</b></p><p>近期，A股市场走势向好，与此同时，一些研究机构也开始出来预测指数点位，有的将上证指数目标定在4000点，有的分析师还将自己的点位预测写进“诗”中，以求增加传播效果。现在，市场上有些预测相当随意，且有的人为片面追求“影响力”使用夸张的表达方式和虚华的词语，对A股市场的预期稳定，对投资者特别是广大中小投资者理性投资弊大于利，应引起关注。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e47235940cac4ace00aaf85be84ee412","relate_stocks":{"000001.SH":"上证指数"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186807065","content_text":"周二消息，据记者向接近监管部门的人士了解，监管上对预测股市指数具体点位的做法并不赞成，认为发布研究观点应当客观、专业、审慎，避免随意性。近期，A股市场走势向好，与此同时，一些研究机构也开始出来预测指数点位，有的将上证指数目标定在4000点，有的分析师还将自己的点位预测写进“诗”中，以求增加传播效果。现在，市场上有些预测相当随意，且有的人为片面追求“影响力”使用夸张的表达方式和虚华的词语，对A股市场的预期稳定，对投资者特别是广大中小投资者理性投资弊大于利，应引起关注。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":979,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":377716580,"gmtCreate":1619565445640,"gmtModify":1619572969392,"author":{"id":"3576241355261705","authorId":"3576241355261705","name":"尘埃_1477","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca3c21dc207c8b056a7218d83e7aaafd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576241355261705","authorIdStr":"3576241355261705"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"人们也忘了A股也会涨🤡","listText":"人们也忘了A股也会涨🤡","text":"人们也忘了A股也会涨🤡","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/377716580","repostId":"1147918039","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1435,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}