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05-09

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03-28

$瑞银(UBS)$ 多头，必须对

2023-03-22

$瑞士信贷(CS)$ 危机过去，雨后天晴

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23:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美银喊话投资者：现在走人将错过夏季大涨！","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2433072014","media":"金十数据","summary":"美国银行驳斥了“五月卖出然后走人”的说法，并预计市场可能会在今年夏天大幅上涨。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>美国银行驳斥了“五月卖出然后走人”的说法，并预计市场可能会在今年夏天大幅上涨。</p></blockquote><p>美国银行表示，投资者应该忽略有关5月抛售股票的说法，因为大选前的夏季大涨可能即将到来。</p><p>该公司技术研究策略师斯蒂芬·萨特梅尔（Stephen Suttmeier）在周二的一份报告中告诉客户，“不要在‘五月卖出然后走人’”。</p><p>这是一个众所周知但备受争议的说法，它源于这样一个事实：自1950年以来，道琼斯工业平均指数（DJI）在5月初至10月底期间平均上涨0.8%，远低于11月1日至次年4月30日期间通常出现的7.3%的涨幅。</p><p>然而，萨特梅尔从不同的角度看待这些数据。他指出，<strong>6月至8月是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>指数（SPX）自1928年以来第二强劲的三个月表现。</strong></p><p>美国银行的数据显示，在这三个月里，大盘指数有65%的时间都在上涨，平均回报率为3.2%。这可能表明，如果历史重演，市场可能会在今年夏天大幅上涨。</p><p>在萨特梅尔看来，有一个关键因素会让今年夏天的股市表现变得更好，那就是总统大选。<strong>在大选年，标普500指数在夏季上涨的概率约为75%，平均回报率为7.3%</strong>。</p><p>在萨特梅尔做出上述预测之际，市场正处于不确定时期。继2023年和今年第一季度强劲上涨之后，由于美联储何时开始降息的前景更加变幻莫测，美股4月大幅回调。</p><p>不过，美联储主席鲍威尔上周表示，尽管在抑制通胀方面进展甚微，使得政策制定者很难预测何时可以开始降息，但下一步行动不太可能是加息。这一言论部分缓解了市场的担忧。</p><p>此外，萨特梅尔指出，衡量市场中期动能的28周威廉指标（W%R）已回到超买区域。不过，他指出，目前处于超买状态的美股仍然应该被视为健康的。</p></body></html>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美银喊话投资者：现在走人将错过夏季大涨！</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; 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href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=138271&type=news&data_type=0\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55eb327f580527889cf30bafa92692ae","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=138271&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2433072014","content_text":"美国银行驳斥了“五月卖出然后走人”的说法，并预计市场可能会在今年夏天大幅上涨。美国银行表示，投资者应该忽略有关5月抛售股票的说法，因为大选前的夏季大涨可能即将到来。该公司技术研究策略师斯蒂芬·萨特梅尔（Stephen Suttmeier）在周二的一份报告中告诉客户，“不要在‘五月卖出然后走人’”。这是一个众所周知但备受争议的说法，它源于这样一个事实：自1950年以来，道琼斯工业平均指数（DJI）在5月初至10月底期间平均上涨0.8%，远低于11月1日至次年4月30日期间通常出现的7.3%的涨幅。然而，萨特梅尔从不同的角度看待这些数据。他指出，6月至8月是标普500指数（SPX）自1928年以来第二强劲的三个月表现。美国银行的数据显示，在这三个月里，大盘指数有65%的时间都在上涨，平均回报率为3.2%。这可能表明，如果历史重演，市场可能会在今年夏天大幅上涨。在萨特梅尔看来，有一个关键因素会让今年夏天的股市表现变得更好，那就是总统大选。在大选年，标普500指数在夏季上涨的概率约为75%，平均回报率为7.3%。在萨特梅尔做出上述预测之际，市场正处于不确定时期。继2023年和今年第一季度强劲上涨之后，由于美联储何时开始降息的前景更加变幻莫测，美股4月大幅回调。不过，美联储主席鲍威尔上周表示，尽管在抑制通胀方面进展甚微，使得政策制定者很难预测何时可以开始降息，但下一步行动不太可能是加息。这一言论部分缓解了市场的担忧。此外，萨特梅尔指出，衡量市场中期动能的28周威廉指标（W%R）已回到超买区域。不过，他指出，目前处于超买状态的美股仍然应该被视为健康的。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":500,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":289223132315816,"gmtCreate":1711634014165,"gmtModify":1711634779195,"author":{"id":"3573547309123454","authorId":"3573547309123454","name":"kacydeen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27a2dd97278ef11fe01e1954782247b8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573547309123454","authorIdStr":"3573547309123454"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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