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2021-07-23

My fav!!

Disney Rides Become the Feature Attractions

2021-07-22

Good for the past 2 days

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-19

When will this be end :(

Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks fell in morning trading

2021-07-17

Stay away..get good stocks...

'Bad Omen' For Meme Stocks And The Retail Trading Boom? Here's What The Data Says

2021-07-16

Better solve it early

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-15

Be prepared

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-14

Think they need to explore ways to engage/retain customers with added value services

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-10

🤩 wow

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-07

Wow..

Luckin Coffee shares continuously rise after restatement of 2019 financial results.

2021-07-04

It time for bear to come..

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-02

👍👍

5 Stocks To Watch For July 2, 2021

2021-06-29

👍👍

Facebook: Simply Unstoppable

2021-06-26

👍👍

S&P 500 climbs to another record led by bank shares, notches its best week since February

2021-06-25

👍👍

Microsoft sent a strong signal to developers that could hurt Apple and Google

2021-06-22

👍

Stifel upgrades CrowdStrike to buy, says cybersecurity stock can rally more than 25%

2021-06-21

👍👍

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-20

Need a lot of patience for this stock

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-20

Need to beware the trap and prepare for opportunity

A Stock Market Crash Is Coming: 5 High-Conviction Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist When It Happens

2021-06-08

DOkie is the hy ru[Anger] [Grin] [Anger] [Sad] [Cool] [Surprised] [Tongue] [Grin] [Cry] [Angry]

The Big Changes Coming to Your iPhone, iPad and Mac This Fall

2021-03-14

Looking great

Roblox Builds The Metaverse

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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fav!!","listText":"My fav!!","text":"My fav!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174998818","repostId":"2153984780","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153984780","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1627050840,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2153984780?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-23 22:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Disney Rides Become the Feature Attractions","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153984780","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"A new Disney+ series and a movie hitting theaters next week place theme park rides front and center.","content":"<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Walt Disney</a></b>&nbsp;has made an art out of turning big theatrical releases into theme park rides and attractions. The tables are starting to turn. Disney+ introduced a new series this week -- <i>Behind the Attraction</i> -- with every episode looking at the origin of popular theme park attractions.</p>\n<p>The stakes will be raised even higher when <i>Jungle Cruise</i> hits theaters next week. The film, starring Dwayne Johnson and Emily Blunt, is named and themed loosely for the classic pun-laden Disneyland boat ride.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90b3a056f576c8af38de26d54efb9266\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"525\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Image source: Disney.</p>\n<h3>Behind the scenes</h3>\n<p>This isn't the first time Disney has leaned on an iconic in-park experience as a content creator. The Pirates of the Caribbean swashbuckler-heavy boat ride has spawned the most successful theatrical franchise based on a theme park attraction, but Disney hasn't shied away from putting out films titled <i>Country Bear Jamboree</i>, <i>Haunted Mansion</i>, <i>Mission to Mars</i>, and <i><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWR.AU\">Tower</a> of Terro</i>r.</p>\n<p>Some of those flicks aren't particularly watchable, but the synergy is fairly obvious if things click. A blockbuster at the multiplex will draw visitors to Disneyland or Disney World, and the media giant won't have to invest in building a new ride to cash in on a hot movie.</p>\n<p>Next week's <i>Jungle Cruise</i> will be somewhat different. Disney has been investing in updating the attraction on both coasts. It's not necessarily the new film's arrival inspiring the tweaks. We're not getting audio-animatronics of Blunt and The Rock added to the watery attraction. The original Jungle Cruise ride had some elements that don't jibe with the woke new normal, joining Pirates of the Caribbean and eventually Splash Mountain as classic rides that are going for a more socially-aware makeover.</p>\n<p>Disney's ecosystem is difficult to top. It operates the world's most-visited theme parks. In 2019 it put out the country's six highest-grossing films. Its media empire is helmed by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01288\">ABC</a>, Disney Channel, and ESPN, and they give the House of Mouse a deep reach into homes. It's not just mere luck that the Disney+ streaming service would go on to top 100 million paying subscribers just months into its second year of availability. Put it all together and Disney is built to cash in on any property that spikes in popularity in any of its operating segments.</p>\n<p>The easiest connection is when Disney has a hit movie, a pond that is well stocked after making 10-figure acquisitions of Marvel, Pixar, and Lucasfilm. Lucasfilm's <i>Star Wars</i> is the basis of themed lands at Disney's theme parks in Florida and California; it's the series that put Disney+ on the map, and a <i>Star Wars</i>-themed luxury escapism hotel will open next year at Disney World.</p>\n<p>The new <i>Behind the Attraction</i>&nbsp;show on Disney+ is smart. It gives the bellwether media stock promotional material that it can push out as content for the fast-growing service. If <i>Jungle Cruise</i> is a hit, it will be even smarter, especially if it's successful enough to warrant sequels that will keep demand humming for the theme park experience as well as incremental merchandising opportunities. Sometimes the best place to mine for content is in your own backyard.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Disney Rides Become the Feature Attractions</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDisney Rides Become the Feature Attractions\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-23 22:34 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/23/disney-rides-become-the-feature-attractions/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Walt Disney has made an art out of turning big theatrical releases into theme park rides and attractions. The tables are starting to turn. Disney+ introduced a new series this week -- Behind the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/23/disney-rides-become-the-feature-attractions/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIS":"迪士尼"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/23/disney-rides-become-the-feature-attractions/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153984780","content_text":"Walt Disney has made an art out of turning big theatrical releases into theme park rides and attractions. The tables are starting to turn. Disney+ introduced a new series this week -- Behind the Attraction -- with every episode looking at the origin of popular theme park attractions.\nThe stakes will be raised even higher when Jungle Cruise hits theaters next week. The film, starring Dwayne Johnson and Emily Blunt, is named and themed loosely for the classic pun-laden Disneyland boat ride.\n\nImage source: Disney.\nBehind the scenes\nThis isn't the first time Disney has leaned on an iconic in-park experience as a content creator. The Pirates of the Caribbean swashbuckler-heavy boat ride has spawned the most successful theatrical franchise based on a theme park attraction, but Disney hasn't shied away from putting out films titled Country Bear Jamboree, Haunted Mansion, Mission to Mars, and Tower of Terror.\nSome of those flicks aren't particularly watchable, but the synergy is fairly obvious if things click. A blockbuster at the multiplex will draw visitors to Disneyland or Disney World, and the media giant won't have to invest in building a new ride to cash in on a hot movie.\nNext week's Jungle Cruise will be somewhat different. Disney has been investing in updating the attraction on both coasts. It's not necessarily the new film's arrival inspiring the tweaks. We're not getting audio-animatronics of Blunt and The Rock added to the watery attraction. The original Jungle Cruise ride had some elements that don't jibe with the woke new normal, joining Pirates of the Caribbean and eventually Splash Mountain as classic rides that are going for a more socially-aware makeover.\nDisney's ecosystem is difficult to top. It operates the world's most-visited theme parks. In 2019 it put out the country's six highest-grossing films. Its media empire is helmed by ABC, Disney Channel, and ESPN, and they give the House of Mouse a deep reach into homes. It's not just mere luck that the Disney+ streaming service would go on to top 100 million paying subscribers just months into its second year of availability. Put it all together and Disney is built to cash in on any property that spikes in popularity in any of its operating segments.\nThe easiest connection is when Disney has a hit movie, a pond that is well stocked after making 10-figure acquisitions of Marvel, Pixar, and Lucasfilm. Lucasfilm's Star Wars is the basis of themed lands at Disney's theme parks in Florida and California; it's the series that put Disney+ on the map, and a Star Wars-themed luxury escapism hotel will open next year at Disney World.\nThe new Behind the Attraction show on Disney+ is smart. It gives the bellwether media stock promotional material that it can push out as content for the fast-growing service. If Jungle Cruise is a hit, it will be even smarter, especially if it's successful enough to warrant sequels that will keep demand humming for the theme park experience as well as incremental merchandising opportunities. Sometimes the best place to mine for content is in your own backyard.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":332,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172915640,"gmtCreate":1626926783880,"gmtModify":1633769649839,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good for the past 2 days&nbsp;","listText":"Good for the past 2 days&nbsp;","text":"Good for the past 2 days","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172915640","repostId":"2153477496","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171949268,"gmtCreate":1626703795954,"gmtModify":1633924789761,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"When will this be end :(","listText":"When will this be end :(","text":"When will this be end :(","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171949268","repostId":"1190476422","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190476422","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626703082,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190476422?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-19 21:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks fell in morning trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190476422","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(July 19) Airline atocks, Cruise Stocks fell in morning trading.\nAirline stocks suffer broad selloff","content":"<p>(July&nbsp;19)&nbsp;Airline atocks, Cruise Stocks fell in morning trading.</p>\n<p>Airline stocks suffer broad selloff as surge in delta variant stokes fears of potential travel restrictions.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7db3bf36b687faf977cbc1eb6f5ee6b3\" tg-width=\"275\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks fell in morning trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAirline stocks, Cruise Stocks fell in morning trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-19 21:58</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(July&nbsp;19)&nbsp;Airline atocks, Cruise Stocks fell in morning trading.</p>\n<p>Airline stocks suffer broad selloff as surge in delta variant stokes fears of potential travel restrictions.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7db3bf36b687faf977cbc1eb6f5ee6b3\" tg-width=\"275\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de0bbe341ac5d74e1a8d74c9ca5de715","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190476422","content_text":"(July 19) Airline atocks, Cruise Stocks fell in morning trading.\nAirline stocks suffer broad selloff as surge in delta variant stokes fears of potential travel restrictions.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":390,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179392612,"gmtCreate":1626485234336,"gmtModify":1633926364805,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stay away..get good stocks...","listText":"Stay away..get good stocks...","text":"Stay away..get good stocks...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179392612","repostId":"1159574501","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159574501","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626484131,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1159574501?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-17 09:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"'Bad Omen' For Meme Stocks And The Retail Trading Boom? Here's What The Data Says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159574501","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Social media meme stocks GameStop Corp.(NYSE:GME) and AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc(NYSE:AMC) took ","content":"<p>Social media meme stocks&nbsp;<b>GameStop Corp.</b>(NYSE:GME) and&nbsp;<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc</b>(NYSE:AMC) took a beating this week, with GameStop on track to finish the week down 9% and AMC set to lose 20.9% in Friday afternoon trading.</p>\n<p>DataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas said this week&nbsp;there is an ominous sign the&nbsp;meme stock phenomenon may be dying a slow death.</p>\n<p><b>Retail Trading Boom:</b>DataTrek has been periodically tracking the boom in retail traders triggered during the pandemic in 2020 and 2021 by monitoring U.S. Google search volume for the keywords “invest” and “buy stock.” Colas said these basic search terms are a broad way to gauge marginal retail investor interest in the stock market.</p>\n<p>The image below shows how search volume for those key phrases has changed since the beginning of 2020.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9930646712b9790171cccf12a873f757\" tg-width=\"1199\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Colas said the search volume data clearly indicates the retail stock trading fad is completely over at this point, a “very bad omen” for AMC and GameStop. In fact, Google search volume is now back down to where it was before the pandemic started in early 2020.</p>\n<p>In addition, search volumes are now down 75% from their peak levels during the initial short squeezes in AMC and GameStop back in January 2021.</p>\n<p>Colas said meme stocks like AMC need new retail stock traders to join in the buying to support their stock prices else they could be headed for more volatility like they have experienced this week.</p>\n<p>“Bubbles need fresh money, or they deflate. Quickly,” Colas wrote. “Every craze needs new adherents (i.e., not just the same crowd) to keep it relevant, and the Google chart shows those are in increasingly short supply.”</p>\n<p><b>PMP Weighs In:</b>Benzinga&nbsp;PreMarket Prep co-host Dennis Dick said&nbsp;a good story can carry a stock a long way, and some stocks can even become so hot that they become temporarily disconnected from the company’s underlying fundamentals.</p>\n<p>“We have seen that in a number of meme stocks this year. Story can drive price in the short run but stocks almost always return back to their fundamental value in the long run,” Dick said.</p>\n<p>The type of disconnect between share price and underlying value that AMC and GameStop have experienced in 2021 is certainly nothing new. Canadian cannabis stock&nbsp;<b>Tilray Inc</b>(NASDAQ:TLRY) experienced a similar disconnect back in 2018 when a retail stock mania sent the stock skyrocketing up to $300. Today, Tilray is trading back down at around $13.90.</p>\n<p>“As the stock price begins to fall, momentum traders who have been chasing the hot story will begin to exit. But if the stock trades at an extreme valuation, there may be very few traders willing to buy. This is what we are starting to see in many meme stocks today,” Dick said.</p>\n<p><b>Benzinga's Take:</b>If the story begins to get hot again, the stock prices of overvalued story stocks can always recover once again. But without any underlying fundamentals to support the valuation, these types of stocks need a constant stream of new buyers and an increasingly bullish story to generate fresh enthusiasm.</p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>'Bad Omen' For Meme Stocks And The Retail Trading Boom? Here's What The Data Says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n'Bad Omen' For Meme Stocks And The Retail Trading Boom? Here's What The Data Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-17 09:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/07/22023662/bad-omen-for-meme-stocks-and-the-retail-trading-boom-heres-what-the-data-says><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Social media meme stocks GameStop Corp.(NYSE:GME) and AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc(NYSE:AMC) took a beating this week, with GameStop on track to finish the week down 9% and AMC set to lose 20.9% in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/07/22023662/bad-omen-for-meme-stocks-and-the-retail-trading-boom-heres-what-the-data-says\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TLRY":"Tilray Inc.","GME":"游戏驿站","AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/07/22023662/bad-omen-for-meme-stocks-and-the-retail-trading-boom-heres-what-the-data-says","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159574501","content_text":"Social media meme stocks GameStop Corp.(NYSE:GME) and AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc(NYSE:AMC) took a beating this week, with GameStop on track to finish the week down 9% and AMC set to lose 20.9% in Friday afternoon trading.\nDataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas said this week there is an ominous sign the meme stock phenomenon may be dying a slow death.\nRetail Trading Boom:DataTrek has been periodically tracking the boom in retail traders triggered during the pandemic in 2020 and 2021 by monitoring U.S. Google search volume for the keywords “invest” and “buy stock.” Colas said these basic search terms are a broad way to gauge marginal retail investor interest in the stock market.\nThe image below shows how search volume for those key phrases has changed since the beginning of 2020.\n\nColas said the search volume data clearly indicates the retail stock trading fad is completely over at this point, a “very bad omen” for AMC and GameStop. In fact, Google search volume is now back down to where it was before the pandemic started in early 2020.\nIn addition, search volumes are now down 75% from their peak levels during the initial short squeezes in AMC and GameStop back in January 2021.\nColas said meme stocks like AMC need new retail stock traders to join in the buying to support their stock prices else they could be headed for more volatility like they have experienced this week.\n“Bubbles need fresh money, or they deflate. Quickly,” Colas wrote. “Every craze needs new adherents (i.e., not just the same crowd) to keep it relevant, and the Google chart shows those are in increasingly short supply.”\nPMP Weighs In:Benzinga PreMarket Prep co-host Dennis Dick said a good story can carry a stock a long way, and some stocks can even become so hot that they become temporarily disconnected from the company’s underlying fundamentals.\n“We have seen that in a number of meme stocks this year. Story can drive price in the short run but stocks almost always return back to their fundamental value in the long run,” Dick said.\nThe type of disconnect between share price and underlying value that AMC and GameStop have experienced in 2021 is certainly nothing new. Canadian cannabis stock Tilray Inc(NASDAQ:TLRY) experienced a similar disconnect back in 2018 when a retail stock mania sent the stock skyrocketing up to $300. Today, Tilray is trading back down at around $13.90.\n“As the stock price begins to fall, momentum traders who have been chasing the hot story will begin to exit. But if the stock trades at an extreme valuation, there may be very few traders willing to buy. This is what we are starting to see in many meme stocks today,” Dick said.\nBenzinga's Take:If the story begins to get hot again, the stock prices of overvalued story stocks can always recover once again. But without any underlying fundamentals to support the valuation, these types of stocks need a constant stream of new buyers and an increasingly bullish story to generate fresh enthusiasm.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":423,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170235910,"gmtCreate":1626434409830,"gmtModify":1633926796553,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Better solve it early","listText":"Better solve it early","text":"Better solve it early","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170235910","repostId":"2151570666","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":367,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147279819,"gmtCreate":1626361360531,"gmtModify":1633927475494,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Be prepared&nbsp;","listText":"Be prepared&nbsp;","text":"Be prepared","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147279819","repostId":"1155093230","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":425,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144305797,"gmtCreate":1626265968919,"gmtModify":1633928504658,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Think they need to explore ways to engage/retain customers with added value services&nbsp;","listText":"Think they need to explore ways to engage/retain customers with added value services&nbsp;","text":"Think they need to explore ways to engage/retain customers with added value services","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144305797","repostId":"1137188160","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":224,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141776584,"gmtCreate":1625895843748,"gmtModify":1633936254915,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🤩 wow","listText":"🤩 wow","text":"🤩 wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141776584","repostId":"1195812364","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157523382,"gmtCreate":1625591240346,"gmtModify":1633939276192,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow..","listText":"Wow..","text":"Wow..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157523382","repostId":"2147181921","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2147181921","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1625584140,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2147181921?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-06 23:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Luckin Coffee shares continuously rise after restatement of 2019 financial results.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2147181921","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Luckin Coffee rose 11% On Tuesday, and has surged more than 50% in the past week.\n\nLuckin Coffee rel","content":"<p>Luckin Coffee&nbsp;rose&nbsp;11%&nbsp;On Tuesday, and&nbsp;has&nbsp;surged&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;50% in the past&nbsp;week.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c73cfd66ba216cf812a82753ece61c49\" tg-width=\"782\" tg-height=\"592\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Luckin Coffee released its&nbsp;audited 2019 financial statementson the evening of June 30, detailing thefraudcommitted by the company more than two years ago andadmitted to in April 2020.</p>\n<p>The report shows Luckin Coffee’s fraudulent transactions began as early as April 2019, while it inflated operating income by RMB 2.12 billion (USD 327.7 million) for the entirety of 2019. Luckin Coffee’s revenue inflation increased throughout the year, totaling RMB 250 million (USD 38.6 million) in Q2 2019, RMB 700 million (USD 108.2 million) in Q3, and RMB 1.17 billion (USD 172.6 million) in Q4.</p>\n<p>While the company’s number of monthly transacting users increased sharply in 2019, largely due to a deluge of subsidies for free coffee, the number of cups of coffee consumed per user fell from around three in 2018 to 2.59 in 2019. Luckin Coffee recorded a net loss of RMB 3.16 billion (USD 488.4 million) in 2019, an increase of 95% year-on-year.</p>\n<p>After the financial misrepresentation came to light and the US Securities and Exchange Commission leviedhefty finesagainst the company, Luckin Coffee has attempted to revive its business byrestructuring debtandraising USD 250 million in April. The companysaid on Wednesdaythat it currently operates more than 5,200 stores throughout China.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Luckin Coffee shares continuously rise after restatement of 2019 financial results.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLuckin Coffee shares continuously rise after restatement of 2019 financial results.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-06 23:09</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Luckin Coffee&nbsp;rose&nbsp;11%&nbsp;On Tuesday, and&nbsp;has&nbsp;surged&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;50% in the past&nbsp;week.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c73cfd66ba216cf812a82753ece61c49\" tg-width=\"782\" tg-height=\"592\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Luckin Coffee released its&nbsp;audited 2019 financial statementson the evening of June 30, detailing thefraudcommitted by the company more than two years ago andadmitted to in April 2020.</p>\n<p>The report shows Luckin Coffee’s fraudulent transactions began as early as April 2019, while it inflated operating income by RMB 2.12 billion (USD 327.7 million) for the entirety of 2019. Luckin Coffee’s revenue inflation increased throughout the year, totaling RMB 250 million (USD 38.6 million) in Q2 2019, RMB 700 million (USD 108.2 million) in Q3, and RMB 1.17 billion (USD 172.6 million) in Q4.</p>\n<p>While the company’s number of monthly transacting users increased sharply in 2019, largely due to a deluge of subsidies for free coffee, the number of cups of coffee consumed per user fell from around three in 2018 to 2.59 in 2019. Luckin Coffee recorded a net loss of RMB 3.16 billion (USD 488.4 million) in 2019, an increase of 95% year-on-year.</p>\n<p>After the financial misrepresentation came to light and the US Securities and Exchange Commission leviedhefty finesagainst the company, Luckin Coffee has attempted to revive its business byrestructuring debtandraising USD 250 million in April. The companysaid on Wednesdaythat it currently operates more than 5,200 stores throughout China.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2147181921","content_text":"Luckin Coffee rose 11% On Tuesday, and has surged more than 50% in the past week.\n\nLuckin Coffee released its audited 2019 financial statementson the evening of June 30, detailing thefraudcommitted by the company more than two years ago andadmitted to in April 2020.\nThe report shows Luckin Coffee’s fraudulent transactions began as early as April 2019, while it inflated operating income by RMB 2.12 billion (USD 327.7 million) for the entirety of 2019. Luckin Coffee’s revenue inflation increased throughout the year, totaling RMB 250 million (USD 38.6 million) in Q2 2019, RMB 700 million (USD 108.2 million) in Q3, and RMB 1.17 billion (USD 172.6 million) in Q4.\nWhile the company’s number of monthly transacting users increased sharply in 2019, largely due to a deluge of subsidies for free coffee, the number of cups of coffee consumed per user fell from around three in 2018 to 2.59 in 2019. Luckin Coffee recorded a net loss of RMB 3.16 billion (USD 488.4 million) in 2019, an increase of 95% year-on-year.\nAfter the financial misrepresentation came to light and the US Securities and Exchange Commission leviedhefty finesagainst the company, Luckin Coffee has attempted to revive its business byrestructuring debtandraising USD 250 million in April. The companysaid on Wednesdaythat it currently operates more than 5,200 stores throughout China.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":180,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152452046,"gmtCreate":1625334427785,"gmtModify":1633941440244,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It time for bear to come..","listText":"It time for bear to come..","text":"It time for bear to come..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152452046","repostId":"1146176335","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156511440,"gmtCreate":1625229797280,"gmtModify":1633942324237,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍","listText":"👍👍","text":"👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156511440","repostId":"2148087111","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2148087111","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1625228451,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2148087111?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-02 20:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Stocks To Watch For July 2, 2021","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2148087111","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:","content":"<p>Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Li Auto Inc</b> (NASDAQ:LI) reported a surge in quarterly deliveries. The company’s quarterly deliveries climbed 166.1% year-over-year to 17,575 vehicles — a newly monthly record. Deliveries rose 39.7% on a sequential basis. Li Auto shares gained 0.2% to $34.75 in the after-hours trading session.</li>\n <li><b>Outset Medical, Inc. </b> (NASDAQ:OM) disclosed that Rebecca Chambers will step down as Chief Financial Officer. The company named Nabeel Ahmed, current Vice President, Finance, as Interim CFO. The company also said it expects Q2 net revenue of $24 million to $25 million. Outset Medical shares fell 2.1% to close at $48.95 on Thursday.</li>\n <li>Wall Street expects <b> Alkaline Water Company Inc</b> (NASDAQ:WTER) to report a quarterly loss at $0.05 per share on revenue of $13.00 million before the opening bell. Alkaline Water shares gained 3.3% to close at $1.58 on Thursday.</li>\n</ul>\n<ul>\n <li><b>BioSig Technologies Inc</b> (NASDAQ:BSGM) reported a proposed public offering of common stock. However, size of the offering was not disclosed. BioSig Technologies shares tumbled 8.1% to $4.00 in the after-hours trading session.</li>\n <li><b>Horace Mann Educators Corporation</b> (NYSE:HMN) said it raised its 2021 earnings guidance from $3.00 to $3.20 per share to $3.50 to $3.70 per share. Horace Mann shares rose gained 2.2% to $38.55 in after-hours trading.</li>\n</ul>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Stocks To Watch For July 2, 2021</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Stocks To Watch For July 2, 2021\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-02 20:20</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Li Auto Inc</b> (NASDAQ:LI) reported a surge in quarterly deliveries. The company’s quarterly deliveries climbed 166.1% year-over-year to 17,575 vehicles — a newly monthly record. Deliveries rose 39.7% on a sequential basis. Li Auto shares gained 0.2% to $34.75 in the after-hours trading session.</li>\n <li><b>Outset Medical, Inc. </b> (NASDAQ:OM) disclosed that Rebecca Chambers will step down as Chief Financial Officer. The company named Nabeel Ahmed, current Vice President, Finance, as Interim CFO. The company also said it expects Q2 net revenue of $24 million to $25 million. Outset Medical shares fell 2.1% to close at $48.95 on Thursday.</li>\n <li>Wall Street expects <b> Alkaline Water Company Inc</b> (NASDAQ:WTER) to report a quarterly loss at $0.05 per share on revenue of $13.00 million before the opening bell. Alkaline Water shares gained 3.3% to close at $1.58 on Thursday.</li>\n</ul>\n<ul>\n <li><b>BioSig Technologies Inc</b> (NASDAQ:BSGM) reported a proposed public offering of common stock. However, size of the offering was not disclosed. BioSig Technologies shares tumbled 8.1% to $4.00 in the after-hours trading session.</li>\n <li><b>Horace Mann Educators Corporation</b> (NYSE:HMN) said it raised its 2021 earnings guidance from $3.00 to $3.20 per share to $3.50 to $3.70 per share. Horace Mann shares rose gained 2.2% to $38.55 in after-hours trading.</li>\n</ul>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LI":"理想汽车","OM":"Outset Medical Inc.","BSGM":"BioSig Technologies, Inc.","WTER":"Alkaline Water Company Inc. (The)","HMN":"霍勒斯曼恩"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2148087111","content_text":"Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:\n\nLi Auto Inc (NASDAQ:LI) reported a surge in quarterly deliveries. The company’s quarterly deliveries climbed 166.1% year-over-year to 17,575 vehicles — a newly monthly record. Deliveries rose 39.7% on a sequential basis. Li Auto shares gained 0.2% to $34.75 in the after-hours trading session.\nOutset Medical, Inc.  (NASDAQ:OM) disclosed that Rebecca Chambers will step down as Chief Financial Officer. The company named Nabeel Ahmed, current Vice President, Finance, as Interim CFO. The company also said it expects Q2 net revenue of $24 million to $25 million. Outset Medical shares fell 2.1% to close at $48.95 on Thursday.\nWall Street expects  Alkaline Water Company Inc (NASDAQ:WTER) to report a quarterly loss at $0.05 per share on revenue of $13.00 million before the opening bell. Alkaline Water shares gained 3.3% to close at $1.58 on Thursday.\n\n\nBioSig Technologies Inc (NASDAQ:BSGM) reported a proposed public offering of common stock. However, size of the offering was not disclosed. BioSig Technologies shares tumbled 8.1% to $4.00 in the after-hours trading session.\nHorace Mann Educators Corporation (NYSE:HMN) said it raised its 2021 earnings guidance from $3.00 to $3.20 per share to $3.50 to $3.70 per share. Horace Mann shares rose gained 2.2% to $38.55 in after-hours trading.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":61,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159624190,"gmtCreate":1624964851510,"gmtModify":1633946470958,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍","listText":"👍👍","text":"👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159624190","repostId":"1100563900","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100563900","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624956396,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100563900?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-29 16:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Facebook: Simply Unstoppable","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100563900","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"The #StopHateforProfit Campaign, antitrust allegations, Apple IDFA issue, and a host of other historical issues have not stopped the social media giant and will not stop it.Despite an impressive rally delivering 65% since the start of CY20 and 26% YTD, Facebook remains undervalued relative to its peers and the FAANG stocks with the best forward estimates.The strong moat originating from their sheer user base, and sizeable TAMs in E-commerce, VR/AR, digital assets , cumulatively make for a compel","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The #StopHateforProfit Campaign, antitrust allegations, Apple IDFA issue, and a host of other historical issues have not stopped the social media giant and will not stop it.</li>\n <li>Despite an impressive rally delivering 65% since the start of CY20 and 26% YTD, Facebook remains undervalued relative to its peers and the FAANG stocks with the best forward estimates.</li>\n <li>The strong moat originating from their sheer user base, and sizeable TAMs in E-commerce, VR/AR, digital assets (DIEM), cumulatively make for a compelling growth story.</li>\n <li>Although the company is highly controversial and rightfully so, this article focuses more on the quantitative analysis and less on the morals and ethics behind this investment. That, we shall leave to you.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b3414073b72a391e760025594ec111f\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"528\"><span>nemke/E+ via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p>\n<p>Facebook (FB) has had a volatile trading period the past few years with a general uptrend, delivering shareholders nice returns whilst subjecting them to a few major dips which presented investors an opportunity for a steal. Despite the controversy and headline risks every now and then, the company has been able to battle through them and emerge ever so stronger. The company’s financials have been holding up and shows no sign of stoppage anytime soon. In a time as such, with significant uncertainty in the macro environment and inflation fears creeping up, we believe that shifting some of your assets to high cashflow generating companies is a wise strategy that will pay off. Growth and value are 2 different things, and there still exists growth companies that are undervalued and can still generate substantial cashflow, and we believe Facebook is one of them. The company also remains to be one of the more attractive blue-chip stocks compared to the others in the FAANG. We employ a 3–5-year outlook and have been bullish since USD$200/share. Let’s Begin!</p>\n<p><b>What is Facebook</b></p>\n<p>Known to all, Facebook is a social media giant with a family of products including the likes of Facebook, Instagram,WhatsApp, Messenger, and now Oculus. The firm essentially has a stronghold in the social media industry and has an impressive DAP of2.72 BN as of Q1’21and MAP of 3.45 BN.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3d08f4df186c4705a5300f40d6b8a5e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"429\"><span>(Source:FB Q1’21 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>The world has7.874 BNpeople as of the time of this writing and that would mean that 43.8% of all the people in the world use some form of product from Facebook’s portfolio in the past 30 days. On a daily basis, 34.5% of the people in the world use it. If that isn’t a sticky service, nothing really is. If we were to focus on the usage of the Facebook app solely, 23.8% of the world logs into the app daily based on DAUs.</p>\n<p>The firm was founded in 2004 and generates the majority of their revenue from advertisements. If you have watched the social dilemma on Netflix, you would realize that Facebook’s real customer isn’t everyday users. Instead, users are the product, and they are being sold to advertisers. The company has created such an engaging and sticky service that users are more than happy to be using their apps, despite knowing that their data is being sold from one company to another. As appalling as it is, they’re indifferent to it all and still find the value in using the company’s products on a daily basis – keeping in touch with distant relatives, chatting with friends, staying up to date with the latest fashion trends and news… (According to the&nbsp;Pew Research Center, more than a 1/3 of US adults say they get their news regularly from Facebook)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb9d05bb00f3038cec301c72ef56827\" tg-width=\"608\" tg-height=\"378\"><span>(Source:Pew Research Center)</span></p>\n<p>To Facebook, this is equally as good as the more users, the wider the ‘product’ base that they have to offer their customers - advertisers. Advertisers are also indifferent to how Facebook attains its data, so long as Facebook’s targeting metrics and trackers are working well, the more likely it is that they are able to generate conversions. The more conversions, the more sales for them, the more ads they continue to pay for, the more revenue Facebook generates. Win-Win-Win, their apps are the bait, and the product (users), customers (advertisers), and supplier (Facebook), all walk away winners. It’s a remarkable business model that has stood the test of time and no matter the amount of controversy around the business, founders, and its practices, it isn’t going anywhere anytime soon and for one simple reason: Users likely can’t do without Facebook’s products whether they are willing to admit it or not.</p>\n<p>When we look back in the past to reflect on how the #StopHateForProfit Campaign turned out for the company, it is apparent that the impact it had on the top and bottom line were both minimal. The boycott was one that arose due to Facebook’s bad hate speech regulations and policing, and because of the laissez-faire attitude toward posts from then President, Donald Trump. More than&nbsp;1000 companies publicly committed&nbsp;to boycotting the social media giant in June/July (coinciding with end Q2 and start Q3) and many of the top 100 advertisers based on ad spend such as Nike, Adidas, Puma, Coca-Cola, all revised their budgets downwards.</p>\n<p>Despite this, Facebook&nbsp;beat on Q2 earnings&nbsp;and saw an increase of&nbsp;10.7% YOY. In its forward guidance, the company also announced that for July, they were anticipating a slowdown in YoY growth of 17% but was still due to see a 10% increase. They alsoanticipatedthe slowdown in growth to last through till October. However, the company did not attribute this slowdown to the boycott specifically but to 3 other major headwinds. With the benefit of hindsight, we can now see that even for Q3’20, the firm saw an impressive 21.6% rise in its top line, with the bottom line still registering a 12.2% improvement in NPM for Q2’20 YoY and a 200 bps NPM improvement in Q3.</p>\n<p>The results are clear and indicative of a few things. The boycott by the largest companies did little to Facebook’s financial story as they still managed to register growth and did not see significant pullbacks that were material. This can be tied to the fact that most of Facebook’s advertisers are SMBs. Although certain few SMBs did join the boycott, most didn’t, and the firm still had their impressive 9 million + customer base to rely on. If anything, this also suggests that despite what any SMB stands for and whether they agree with a social cause or not, it is hard for them to find alternatives that they can shift to on a similar pricing scale. Big brands can easily pivot to other advertisements such as TV and radio commercials but SMBs simply can’t because of smaller budgets. Lastly, it is now clear that the campaign affected Facebook’s reputation more so than it did its cashflow.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>Other risks that the company may face would be future antitrust lawsuits. As it is, the company is already facing allegations of being a monopoly based on their aggressive acquisitive history having acquired more than90 other companiessince inception. They were alsofined US$5 BNby the FTC in 2019 and were required to adopt their policies and employ new protections for the users and their data that has been shared.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f694ca79d59162e95f05335ebefbca3d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>Though representative of a historic penalty and the largest ever imposed on a company for violating user’s privacy rights, the US$5BN was a drop in the bucket for the giant that went on to generate US$70+ BN dollars for the year.</p>\n<p>The current issues that they have with Apple’s new iOS changes and the IDFA implications are also likely not going to have a substantial impact on the firm. The Identifier for Advertisers [IDFA] is a random device identifier assigned by Apple to a user's device. Advertisers use this to track data so they can deliver customized advertising on mobile. With the new iOS changes, Apple essentially programmed it such that each app that wants to use these identifiers will have to ask users to opt in for tracking when the app is first launched. If users opt out, the app can’t track certain data and Facebook will have a smaller database of points to rely upon. As consumer preferences change, so will Facebook’s targeting that relies on IDFAs get worse and less effective due to outdated data points.</p>\n<p>According to aCNBC article:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Most critically at stake for Facebook is what’s known as view-through conversions. This metric is used by ad-tech companies to measure how many users saw an ad, did not immediately click on it, but later made a purchase related to that ad.”\n</blockquote>\n<p>When the conversion is made later on, the data IDFA for that particular user is then shared by the retailer to Facebook which is then used by the company to see if it matches the IDFA of the user who saw the ad. If they pair, it indicates that the ad was useful in generating a conversion. This data performance is then relayed to advertisers so that they can tweak their ad strategies accordingly. Withas much as 96% of usersanticipated to opt out of tracking on all apps, this would mean that mobile ads on 3rdparty apps may no longer be as useful if Facebook cannot really judge its effectiveness anymore. The more ineffective the ads become, the less conversions for retailers, and the more they pivot to other advertising platforms, which will impact the revenues for the firm.</p>\n<p>However, Facebook has disclosed that this will particularly only affect one form of advertisement which relies heavily on the IDFA, known as Audience Networks. Fortunately, the audience network segment only represents less than 10% of the firm’s total revenues. With the impact estimating to cost a drop in50% of all ads deliveredand hence sales from this segment, this would atbest represent a 5% drop in their total revenues. With that said, we do not anticipate that this will be present significant impact moving forward and the firm can easily recoup the 5% loss at worse by focusing on increasing ARPUs and user engagement to save their core business.</p>\n<p>Though Facebook started by disclosing that they anticipated the impact on their revenues to be large at first, this no longer seems to be the case. If anything, history has shown us that Mark is not one to back down and if he doesn’t get his way, he damn well will find another way to minimise loss and increase revenue generation in other segments to make up for it. If you aren’t too involved in the technicalities, we think it’s safe to bet on the jockey in this case. Besides, AR / VR growth,WhatsApp monetization, Reels monetization, further user growth in less developed countries away from the legacy North America and Europe region can very well pick up the lost (US$5BN) in sales.</p>\n<p><b>Moat</b></p>\n<p>As mentioned above, the DAUs and MAUs for Facebook are very impressive with a large portion of the world using at least 1 of their products. The moat for the business relies on the wide user base that Facebook has meticulously built over the course of 17 years. With any new product that they have, the firm can easily roll it out to their database of users and expect demand to pick up in a matter of weeks, maybe even days. That is the power of the network of Facebook that really can’t be valued.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2057a83640201edd89430e754f3f8525\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\"><span>(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>Despite the controversy, endless allegations, and negative headlines one after the other, the numbers don’t lie. DAUs have been increasing every single quarter, with the fastest growth observed in Asia-Pacific and the rest of the world. US &amp; Canada growth has slowed as it nears saturation levels, and this is perfectly normal and to be expected. The way we anticipate Facebook to grow their core cash cow business moving forward is clean. 1) Focus on growing ARPUs in their saturated legacy areas (US &amp; Canada and Europe) as well as 2) Increase User Growth by Geography in their growth areas (Asia-Pacific and the Rest of the World). Unsurprisingly, Facebook has been focused on doing just that.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce3456321584d2eea288f7e410215571\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\"><span>(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>When we look to the infamous metric for judging social media companies and their performance – ARPUs, we can see that in the legacy areas, ARPUs have been increasing at a faster pace than compared to growth areas. This falls in line with point number 1 as mentioned above. The legacy areas have already reached saturation levels and user growth is unable to grow at astounding rates anymore. However, since this represent areas that are more developed and generally have higher disposable incomes on the average, focusing on increasing ARPUs and monetizing advertisers is the right strategy and a very feasible one. Though the growth areas are also seeing ARPUs grow YoY as they should, they are not at the same pace as in the US &amp; Canada and Europe. When we look to revenue generated by geography below, this confirms the thesis that revenue is growing faster than user base in those areas, and since ARPU equal to (Total Revenue from that Geography / Number of Users in that area), so long revenue is growing at a faster pace than the user base, they should increase meaningfully.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84eaec3de9bafd595bf4ecf9ffdae16a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\"><span>(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>When we look to the slide below, it is also apparent that user numbers are growing much faster in Asia-Pacific and the rest of the world, away from the legacy areas. Across 2 years, MAUs which is the broadest business performance metric employed by Facebook, grew 22.4% and 25.4% in the growth areas while they only grew a mere 6.6% in US &amp; Canada and 10.2% in Europe.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d72be6c3ca7eb809567503ffc1d4ed9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\"><span>(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>If Facebook can continue to grow their user engagement numbers in the growth areas whilst maximizing ARPUs in legacy areas, the company can easily ensure that the core advertising model will remain the cash cow of the business, funding growth for their other product developments.</p>\n<p><b>Growth Tactics</b></p>\n<p>When we look to potential growth Facebook has, the company isn’t short of any. Facebook has moved to monetizeWhatsApp, where they plan to generate fees from payments made within the app itself as well as through in-app status advertisements. The company is essentially trying to integrate the growth and TAM of the E-commerce market more seamlessly into their family of products including the likes ofWhatsApp. ThroughFacebook Pay, users can now engage in peer-to-peer payments withinWhatsApp itself at no cost. However, when businesses receive a fee from customers through the app itself, they will then have to pay a small ‘processing fee’ to Facebook and this is where it profits. This is the same method that is being employed by Shopify and all the other payment processing channels just that it is now being done locally inWhatsApp itself.WhatsApp payments has launched in Brazil, the 2nd largest market by users and the fee stands at 3.99%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d1d27ff399e3e6fdfbc44a3ff1fb6e6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"557\"><span>(Source:Facebook Newsroom)</span></p>\n<p>The firm has also been trying to grow their presence in the E-commerce market and reduce the friction customers experience when clicking through ads on its platforms. Both Instagram checkout and Facebook shops are aimed at doing just that. Their shops solutions are also expanding toWhatsApp, and the marketplace as observed above. The company sees a major shift to online shopping even after the grand reopening of the economies. As part of its effort over the years, they now have 1.2M active shops across their platforms and more than 300M monthly shop visitors. Thelatest releasestates that:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Soon, we’ll give businesses in select countries the option to showcase their Shop inWhatsApp. In the US, we’ll enable them to bring Shops products into Marketplace, helping them reach the more than 1 billion people globally who visit each month.\n</blockquote>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38d87012cd9e376a0bed27a095b01828\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"418\"><span>(Source:Facebook Newsroom)</span></p>\n<p>What’s even more fascinating is the fact that Facebook now plans to integrate new technologies such as AR Dynamic Ads to power the future of shopping. New visual discovery tools on their platforms like Instagram will help customers find new products that they resonate with faster than ever before and help them to visualize their products with AR experiences that they have been working on for a long time now.</p>\n<p>Their continued expansion in the AR/VR market along with the rollout of DIEM, their native digital currency functioning as a stablecoin that was once under the “Libra Project” also presents good growth opportunity in the near future. Facebook is also looking to introducepodcasts and live audio streamsas part of the beginning of their audio journey. In short, Facebook still has a lot of room to grow moving forward apart from looking to squeeze out more cash from their legacy advertising business model. However, as always, product development is one thing, but the financials do need to shape up as well and with Facebook it does.</p>\n<p><b>Financials</b></p>\n<p>Of the FAANG stock group, Facebook enjoys one of the highest margins. The company saw 80.55% in GM in Q1’21 and even in the past, it has enjoyed such high margins, trading between 80.5% to as high as 86.6% in FY17. The chart below also clearly indicates that the remarkable margins trickle down to the bottom line and aren’t wiped out due to operating expenses, registering a NPM of 35.7%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1367468f26c73bde43f494b2b7fb49d6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>FB also routinely spends a large portion of their revenues on R&amp;D, reinvesting into the business YoY to further improve their products and innovate on new ones. In 2020 the R&amp;D expense represented 21.5% of total sales.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b923685aa0489833ae8f50fcddf3601\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>A large chunk of the firms’ revenues is also retained on the balance sheet which is then used over the years to funnel money to continue their acquisitive culture. Despite this, the strong cashflow that the firm enjoys allows it to stay at the top of their industry in terms of innovation whilst ensuring that their treasure trove of cash is growing should there be a need to deploy it. When we look to liquid cash that the firm holds (Cash &amp; Equivalents, and STI), Facebook has grown it at a tremendous CAGR of 26.2%. Net Debt has also just been becoming less of a concern over the years. To date, even after the pandemic, Facebook has no debt.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13b40cadc31458233d0ea83ce4917c33\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>Given the data above, it is evident that the firm has one of the most pristine balance sheets in the industry and in the whole stock market. The US$62 BN that they hold as cash presents itself as a massive buffer to cushion the impact of whatever comes their way, be it another acquisitive opportunity, or yet another fine. Either way, the company can weather any financial storm and near balance sheet issues aren’t a problem. Shareholders aren’t too pleased with the cash pile just sitting there and would instead rather the firm start paying a dividend or pick up the pace in share buybacks to maximize investor returns. Facebook has never paid a dividend in its entirety and although they may consider that moving forward, we anticipate that it is not a move that they will commit to. In any case, we ourselves hope that they commit to more share buybacks instead of moving to issue a dividend.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f5b82506a0385a1265c494b21462678\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"43\"><span>(Source:Q1 10-K Filing SEC)</span></p>\n<p>In their 10-K filing, the company expanded their SRP program to include an additional US$25 BN which will be added atop the US$8.6 BN remaining from a 2017 authorization. That amounts to a current authorized SRP valued at around US$33.6 BN and we anticipate that this may further increase substantially moving forward. Despite outstanding shares reducing overtime, a large part is offset by additional equity issued as part of SBC to employees. It is disappointing that the firm isn’t making more of a definitive move to put that cash pile to use but this is nonetheless not a major red flag.</p>\n<p><b>Valuations</b></p>\n<p>Being a blue-chip company with strong FCF, we would normally value the social media giant with a DCF model. Today, however, we will be looking at EV/Sales and P/E Ratios to try and justify its future valuation, looking 3 years out as always to end 2023.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0878b205b837634b7d2528f57ebe84fc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"321\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p>Looking 3 years out to end 23, Facebook is projected to grow revenues at an average of 23.4%, with growth in the 30s for this fiscal year. That would mean that Facebook is anticipated to grow revenues to US$160.8 BN by end 2023, up 87% from what they delivered in FY20 in 3 years.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1707f8cfee45ce9ebb0e3ac961e78f48\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"338\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>Since 2018, the firm has traded at an average EV/Sales of 8.85, and last exchanged hands at a multiple of 9.76. Although the firm is trading at a multiple above its mean and higher than any of the other stocks as part of the FAANG group, Facebook does have higher estimates than all the other companies in the near future as observed below. The data does not reflect estimates for 2023.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/444e1473e814530e2332cea02637af53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>Moreover, when we look further into the past all the way back to 2013, the company has historically traded at an average of 12.82 and even registered a high close to 22 in 2014. However, since we want to be conservative, but believe that the market has yet to really price Facebook for what it’s worth given all the headline risks in the media that have induced immediate selloffs without any fundamental reason, we will employ a multiple of 9.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8494d3084eed106a9cb0bff0f27cfe7a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>At an EV/Sales multiple of 9, that would put Facebook at a US$1.447 TRN dollar valuation by the end of 2023 and a share price of US$539, an upside of 58%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55014da5e82d1a67caaeb34766b35940\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"294\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p>When we look to revenue surprise and analyst estimate beat / miss trends, Facebook has quite the historical track record of surpassing estimates, having done so 10/12 times in the past 3 years. The average upside surprise stands at 3.59%. Assuming Facebook will continue to deliver the same upside surprise moving forward, a 3.59% beat to the top line estimate of 2023 would warrant revenues of US$166.57 BN. At the same EV/Sales ratio of 9, that would render a higher valuation of US$558.77 USD. Given that Facebook is very close to crossing the US$1 TRN dollar valuation mark, we anticipate this to be a very realistic price target.</p>\n<p>Now shifting on to another valuation method by P/E multiples, the valuation also paints a similar picture.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d67f3c257657bc10ee6be38c16d2a1f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"207\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p>Turning to earnings estimates, the company is also projected to do high-teens digit growth for 2022 and 2023 and a close to 30% growth in the bottom line for this fiscal year.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe26a8eabec7045dc5a904497737623\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"501\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Despite trading at the highest EV / Sales ratio of the FAANG stocks, Facebook is trading at the lowest TTM normalized PE Ratio amongst its peers, with the inclusion of Microsoft (FANGMA). This is likely due to the market failing to internalize and appreciate the company’s high NPM and profitability. Currently trading at a P/E ratio of 29.14, this is also below its historical means of as high as 60+ in 2016.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/247661f12f62820f6266763f49531355\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>However, given that earnings have improved dramatically since and likely won’t be revisiting those levels as seen from the forward estimates, we will stick with what we believe to be a fair multiple for the stickiest company in the world, 30. At a P/E ratio of 30, that would put the end 2023 share price somewhere near levels of US$531.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce908799f1bf9091b49b94e03db7e476\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"284\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p>However, because of a surprisingly good earnings-beat track record once again, this has to be factored in moving forward. Of the last 3 years, Facebook has beat earnings 11/12 times. The average beat comes in at 15.72%. If we were to stick to a similar but more conservative beat of say 7%, that would put 2023 normalized earnings at 18.93. The exact same P/E ratio would now warrant a realistic share price of US$567.8, an upside of 66.3%.</p>\n<p>With all 4 estimates using different methods and assumptions with different levels of conservatism employed delivering a potential share price anywhere between US$531 and US$568, it would be fair to conclude that this is a realistic price target for the cashflow king 3 years out into the future. At the low end of estimates of US$531, this is still indicative of a 55% upside.</p>\n<p><b>Investor Takeaways</b></p>\n<p>To conclude, we believe Facebook has a very strong future ahead and the projected numbers for both the Topline and Bottom line are indicative of potential upside. We place significant emphasis on forward estimates as markets are future discounting mechanisms that react accordingly. The company enjoys unbelievably high margins, has a pristine balance sheet with absolutely no debt, and is anticipated to keep raking in high revenues with strong cashflow numbers.</p>\n<p>With so many growth opportunities such as the monetization ofWhatsApp, AR/VR, shops, marketplace growth, DIEM, and the continued growth in its legacy advertisement business both in terms of MAP and ARPUs, Facebook is here to stay and is nowhere near exhausting its full potential. The sizeable TAMs in each of the different business segments combined with other opportunities such as Facebook Reels which we did not cover, and the fact that it has yet to have been monetized, all point to a bright future.</p>\n<p>That being said, it is a given that the company will face many other bumps along moving forward. Facebook will continue to be subjected to what we call ‘headline risks’ whereby the stock will be overly sold off to the downside based upon nothing fundamental but one-sided exaggerated narratives. This we believe presents the best time to pick up shares and accumulate for the long run. Facebook has been perceived to have engaged in a lot of dubious unethical behaviour surrounding user data but like we said, that is separate from the investment opportunity the company presents and we will leave that to you to decide. Granted that there are many reasons surrounding the company's beat-down reputation, the return on invested capital is a different story and the main one to be focused on when considering if a company is a good investment or not.</p>\n<p>End day, when it comes to blue-chip stocks that have a firm hold in the industry, good sticky products, and solid financials, it is hard for the stock not to trend up overtime so long as estimates paint a bright picture and most importantly, the markets continue to value them in the same rational way. This has not always been the case and can be easily seen from Microsoft’s outperformance hiatus when the Dot Com bubble crashed, and the stock took 17 years to put in a new high. Still, we believe blue chip stocks are a good bet as of now and should be a part of everyone’s portfolio, and Facebook presents the best buy of the FAANG from our perspective. Till next time!</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Facebook: Simply Unstoppable</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFacebook: Simply Unstoppable\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-29 16:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437000-facebook-simply-unstoppable><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe #StopHateforProfit Campaign, antitrust allegations, Apple IDFA issue, and a host of other historical issues have not stopped the social media giant and will not stop it.\nDespite an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437000-facebook-simply-unstoppable\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437000-facebook-simply-unstoppable","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100563900","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe #StopHateforProfit Campaign, antitrust allegations, Apple IDFA issue, and a host of other historical issues have not stopped the social media giant and will not stop it.\nDespite an impressive rally delivering 65% since the start of CY20 and 26% YTD, Facebook remains undervalued relative to its peers and the FAANG stocks with the best forward estimates.\nThe strong moat originating from their sheer user base, and sizeable TAMs in E-commerce, VR/AR, digital assets (DIEM), cumulatively make for a compelling growth story.\nAlthough the company is highly controversial and rightfully so, this article focuses more on the quantitative analysis and less on the morals and ethics behind this investment. That, we shall leave to you.\n\nnemke/E+ via Getty Images\nInvestment Thesis\nFacebook (FB) has had a volatile trading period the past few years with a general uptrend, delivering shareholders nice returns whilst subjecting them to a few major dips which presented investors an opportunity for a steal. Despite the controversy and headline risks every now and then, the company has been able to battle through them and emerge ever so stronger. The company’s financials have been holding up and shows no sign of stoppage anytime soon. In a time as such, with significant uncertainty in the macro environment and inflation fears creeping up, we believe that shifting some of your assets to high cashflow generating companies is a wise strategy that will pay off. Growth and value are 2 different things, and there still exists growth companies that are undervalued and can still generate substantial cashflow, and we believe Facebook is one of them. The company also remains to be one of the more attractive blue-chip stocks compared to the others in the FAANG. We employ a 3–5-year outlook and have been bullish since USD$200/share. Let’s Begin!\nWhat is Facebook\nKnown to all, Facebook is a social media giant with a family of products including the likes of Facebook, Instagram,WhatsApp, Messenger, and now Oculus. The firm essentially has a stronghold in the social media industry and has an impressive DAP of2.72 BN as of Q1’21and MAP of 3.45 BN.\n(Source:FB Q1’21 Presentation)\nThe world has7.874 BNpeople as of the time of this writing and that would mean that 43.8% of all the people in the world use some form of product from Facebook’s portfolio in the past 30 days. On a daily basis, 34.5% of the people in the world use it. If that isn’t a sticky service, nothing really is. If we were to focus on the usage of the Facebook app solely, 23.8% of the world logs into the app daily based on DAUs.\nThe firm was founded in 2004 and generates the majority of their revenue from advertisements. If you have watched the social dilemma on Netflix, you would realize that Facebook’s real customer isn’t everyday users. Instead, users are the product, and they are being sold to advertisers. The company has created such an engaging and sticky service that users are more than happy to be using their apps, despite knowing that their data is being sold from one company to another. As appalling as it is, they’re indifferent to it all and still find the value in using the company’s products on a daily basis – keeping in touch with distant relatives, chatting with friends, staying up to date with the latest fashion trends and news… (According to the Pew Research Center, more than a 1/3 of US adults say they get their news regularly from Facebook)\n(Source:Pew Research Center)\nTo Facebook, this is equally as good as the more users, the wider the ‘product’ base that they have to offer their customers - advertisers. Advertisers are also indifferent to how Facebook attains its data, so long as Facebook’s targeting metrics and trackers are working well, the more likely it is that they are able to generate conversions. The more conversions, the more sales for them, the more ads they continue to pay for, the more revenue Facebook generates. Win-Win-Win, their apps are the bait, and the product (users), customers (advertisers), and supplier (Facebook), all walk away winners. It’s a remarkable business model that has stood the test of time and no matter the amount of controversy around the business, founders, and its practices, it isn’t going anywhere anytime soon and for one simple reason: Users likely can’t do without Facebook’s products whether they are willing to admit it or not.\nWhen we look back in the past to reflect on how the #StopHateForProfit Campaign turned out for the company, it is apparent that the impact it had on the top and bottom line were both minimal. The boycott was one that arose due to Facebook’s bad hate speech regulations and policing, and because of the laissez-faire attitude toward posts from then President, Donald Trump. More than 1000 companies publicly committed to boycotting the social media giant in June/July (coinciding with end Q2 and start Q3) and many of the top 100 advertisers based on ad spend such as Nike, Adidas, Puma, Coca-Cola, all revised their budgets downwards.\nDespite this, Facebook beat on Q2 earnings and saw an increase of 10.7% YOY. In its forward guidance, the company also announced that for July, they were anticipating a slowdown in YoY growth of 17% but was still due to see a 10% increase. They alsoanticipatedthe slowdown in growth to last through till October. However, the company did not attribute this slowdown to the boycott specifically but to 3 other major headwinds. With the benefit of hindsight, we can now see that even for Q3’20, the firm saw an impressive 21.6% rise in its top line, with the bottom line still registering a 12.2% improvement in NPM for Q2’20 YoY and a 200 bps NPM improvement in Q3.\nThe results are clear and indicative of a few things. The boycott by the largest companies did little to Facebook’s financial story as they still managed to register growth and did not see significant pullbacks that were material. This can be tied to the fact that most of Facebook’s advertisers are SMBs. Although certain few SMBs did join the boycott, most didn’t, and the firm still had their impressive 9 million + customer base to rely on. If anything, this also suggests that despite what any SMB stands for and whether they agree with a social cause or not, it is hard for them to find alternatives that they can shift to on a similar pricing scale. Big brands can easily pivot to other advertisements such as TV and radio commercials but SMBs simply can’t because of smaller budgets. Lastly, it is now clear that the campaign affected Facebook’s reputation more so than it did its cashflow.\nRisks\nOther risks that the company may face would be future antitrust lawsuits. As it is, the company is already facing allegations of being a monopoly based on their aggressive acquisitive history having acquired more than90 other companiessince inception. They were alsofined US$5 BNby the FTC in 2019 and were required to adopt their policies and employ new protections for the users and their data that has been shared.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nThough representative of a historic penalty and the largest ever imposed on a company for violating user’s privacy rights, the US$5BN was a drop in the bucket for the giant that went on to generate US$70+ BN dollars for the year.\nThe current issues that they have with Apple’s new iOS changes and the IDFA implications are also likely not going to have a substantial impact on the firm. The Identifier for Advertisers [IDFA] is a random device identifier assigned by Apple to a user's device. Advertisers use this to track data so they can deliver customized advertising on mobile. With the new iOS changes, Apple essentially programmed it such that each app that wants to use these identifiers will have to ask users to opt in for tracking when the app is first launched. If users opt out, the app can’t track certain data and Facebook will have a smaller database of points to rely upon. As consumer preferences change, so will Facebook’s targeting that relies on IDFAs get worse and less effective due to outdated data points.\nAccording to aCNBC article:\n\n Most critically at stake for Facebook is what’s known as view-through conversions. This metric is used by ad-tech companies to measure how many users saw an ad, did not immediately click on it, but later made a purchase related to that ad.”\n\nWhen the conversion is made later on, the data IDFA for that particular user is then shared by the retailer to Facebook which is then used by the company to see if it matches the IDFA of the user who saw the ad. If they pair, it indicates that the ad was useful in generating a conversion. This data performance is then relayed to advertisers so that they can tweak their ad strategies accordingly. Withas much as 96% of usersanticipated to opt out of tracking on all apps, this would mean that mobile ads on 3rdparty apps may no longer be as useful if Facebook cannot really judge its effectiveness anymore. The more ineffective the ads become, the less conversions for retailers, and the more they pivot to other advertising platforms, which will impact the revenues for the firm.\nHowever, Facebook has disclosed that this will particularly only affect one form of advertisement which relies heavily on the IDFA, known as Audience Networks. Fortunately, the audience network segment only represents less than 10% of the firm’s total revenues. With the impact estimating to cost a drop in50% of all ads deliveredand hence sales from this segment, this would atbest represent a 5% drop in their total revenues. With that said, we do not anticipate that this will be present significant impact moving forward and the firm can easily recoup the 5% loss at worse by focusing on increasing ARPUs and user engagement to save their core business.\nThough Facebook started by disclosing that they anticipated the impact on their revenues to be large at first, this no longer seems to be the case. If anything, history has shown us that Mark is not one to back down and if he doesn’t get his way, he damn well will find another way to minimise loss and increase revenue generation in other segments to make up for it. If you aren’t too involved in the technicalities, we think it’s safe to bet on the jockey in this case. Besides, AR / VR growth,WhatsApp monetization, Reels monetization, further user growth in less developed countries away from the legacy North America and Europe region can very well pick up the lost (US$5BN) in sales.\nMoat\nAs mentioned above, the DAUs and MAUs for Facebook are very impressive with a large portion of the world using at least 1 of their products. The moat for the business relies on the wide user base that Facebook has meticulously built over the course of 17 years. With any new product that they have, the firm can easily roll it out to their database of users and expect demand to pick up in a matter of weeks, maybe even days. That is the power of the network of Facebook that really can’t be valued.\n(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)\nDespite the controversy, endless allegations, and negative headlines one after the other, the numbers don’t lie. DAUs have been increasing every single quarter, with the fastest growth observed in Asia-Pacific and the rest of the world. US & Canada growth has slowed as it nears saturation levels, and this is perfectly normal and to be expected. The way we anticipate Facebook to grow their core cash cow business moving forward is clean. 1) Focus on growing ARPUs in their saturated legacy areas (US & Canada and Europe) as well as 2) Increase User Growth by Geography in their growth areas (Asia-Pacific and the Rest of the World). Unsurprisingly, Facebook has been focused on doing just that.\n(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)\nWhen we look to the infamous metric for judging social media companies and their performance – ARPUs, we can see that in the legacy areas, ARPUs have been increasing at a faster pace than compared to growth areas. This falls in line with point number 1 as mentioned above. The legacy areas have already reached saturation levels and user growth is unable to grow at astounding rates anymore. However, since this represent areas that are more developed and generally have higher disposable incomes on the average, focusing on increasing ARPUs and monetizing advertisers is the right strategy and a very feasible one. Though the growth areas are also seeing ARPUs grow YoY as they should, they are not at the same pace as in the US & Canada and Europe. When we look to revenue generated by geography below, this confirms the thesis that revenue is growing faster than user base in those areas, and since ARPU equal to (Total Revenue from that Geography / Number of Users in that area), so long revenue is growing at a faster pace than the user base, they should increase meaningfully.\n(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)\nWhen we look to the slide below, it is also apparent that user numbers are growing much faster in Asia-Pacific and the rest of the world, away from the legacy areas. Across 2 years, MAUs which is the broadest business performance metric employed by Facebook, grew 22.4% and 25.4% in the growth areas while they only grew a mere 6.6% in US & Canada and 10.2% in Europe.\n(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)\nIf Facebook can continue to grow their user engagement numbers in the growth areas whilst maximizing ARPUs in legacy areas, the company can easily ensure that the core advertising model will remain the cash cow of the business, funding growth for their other product developments.\nGrowth Tactics\nWhen we look to potential growth Facebook has, the company isn’t short of any. Facebook has moved to monetizeWhatsApp, where they plan to generate fees from payments made within the app itself as well as through in-app status advertisements. The company is essentially trying to integrate the growth and TAM of the E-commerce market more seamlessly into their family of products including the likes ofWhatsApp. ThroughFacebook Pay, users can now engage in peer-to-peer payments withinWhatsApp itself at no cost. However, when businesses receive a fee from customers through the app itself, they will then have to pay a small ‘processing fee’ to Facebook and this is where it profits. This is the same method that is being employed by Shopify and all the other payment processing channels just that it is now being done locally inWhatsApp itself.WhatsApp payments has launched in Brazil, the 2nd largest market by users and the fee stands at 3.99%.\n(Source:Facebook Newsroom)\nThe firm has also been trying to grow their presence in the E-commerce market and reduce the friction customers experience when clicking through ads on its platforms. Both Instagram checkout and Facebook shops are aimed at doing just that. Their shops solutions are also expanding toWhatsApp, and the marketplace as observed above. The company sees a major shift to online shopping even after the grand reopening of the economies. As part of its effort over the years, they now have 1.2M active shops across their platforms and more than 300M monthly shop visitors. Thelatest releasestates that:\n\n Soon, we’ll give businesses in select countries the option to showcase their Shop inWhatsApp. In the US, we’ll enable them to bring Shops products into Marketplace, helping them reach the more than 1 billion people globally who visit each month.\n\n(Source:Facebook Newsroom)\nWhat’s even more fascinating is the fact that Facebook now plans to integrate new technologies such as AR Dynamic Ads to power the future of shopping. New visual discovery tools on their platforms like Instagram will help customers find new products that they resonate with faster than ever before and help them to visualize their products with AR experiences that they have been working on for a long time now.\nTheir continued expansion in the AR/VR market along with the rollout of DIEM, their native digital currency functioning as a stablecoin that was once under the “Libra Project” also presents good growth opportunity in the near future. Facebook is also looking to introducepodcasts and live audio streamsas part of the beginning of their audio journey. In short, Facebook still has a lot of room to grow moving forward apart from looking to squeeze out more cash from their legacy advertising business model. However, as always, product development is one thing, but the financials do need to shape up as well and with Facebook it does.\nFinancials\nOf the FAANG stock group, Facebook enjoys one of the highest margins. The company saw 80.55% in GM in Q1’21 and even in the past, it has enjoyed such high margins, trading between 80.5% to as high as 86.6% in FY17. The chart below also clearly indicates that the remarkable margins trickle down to the bottom line and aren’t wiped out due to operating expenses, registering a NPM of 35.7%.\nData by YCharts\nFB also routinely spends a large portion of their revenues on R&D, reinvesting into the business YoY to further improve their products and innovate on new ones. In 2020 the R&D expense represented 21.5% of total sales.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nA large chunk of the firms’ revenues is also retained on the balance sheet which is then used over the years to funnel money to continue their acquisitive culture. Despite this, the strong cashflow that the firm enjoys allows it to stay at the top of their industry in terms of innovation whilst ensuring that their treasure trove of cash is growing should there be a need to deploy it. When we look to liquid cash that the firm holds (Cash & Equivalents, and STI), Facebook has grown it at a tremendous CAGR of 26.2%. Net Debt has also just been becoming less of a concern over the years. To date, even after the pandemic, Facebook has no debt.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nGiven the data above, it is evident that the firm has one of the most pristine balance sheets in the industry and in the whole stock market. The US$62 BN that they hold as cash presents itself as a massive buffer to cushion the impact of whatever comes their way, be it another acquisitive opportunity, or yet another fine. Either way, the company can weather any financial storm and near balance sheet issues aren’t a problem. Shareholders aren’t too pleased with the cash pile just sitting there and would instead rather the firm start paying a dividend or pick up the pace in share buybacks to maximize investor returns. Facebook has never paid a dividend in its entirety and although they may consider that moving forward, we anticipate that it is not a move that they will commit to. In any case, we ourselves hope that they commit to more share buybacks instead of moving to issue a dividend.\n(Source:Q1 10-K Filing SEC)\nIn their 10-K filing, the company expanded their SRP program to include an additional US$25 BN which will be added atop the US$8.6 BN remaining from a 2017 authorization. That amounts to a current authorized SRP valued at around US$33.6 BN and we anticipate that this may further increase substantially moving forward. Despite outstanding shares reducing overtime, a large part is offset by additional equity issued as part of SBC to employees. It is disappointing that the firm isn’t making more of a definitive move to put that cash pile to use but this is nonetheless not a major red flag.\nValuations\nBeing a blue-chip company with strong FCF, we would normally value the social media giant with a DCF model. Today, however, we will be looking at EV/Sales and P/E Ratios to try and justify its future valuation, looking 3 years out as always to end 2023.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha)\nLooking 3 years out to end 23, Facebook is projected to grow revenues at an average of 23.4%, with growth in the 30s for this fiscal year. That would mean that Facebook is anticipated to grow revenues to US$160.8 BN by end 2023, up 87% from what they delivered in FY20 in 3 years.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nSince 2018, the firm has traded at an average EV/Sales of 8.85, and last exchanged hands at a multiple of 9.76. Although the firm is trading at a multiple above its mean and higher than any of the other stocks as part of the FAANG group, Facebook does have higher estimates than all the other companies in the near future as observed below. The data does not reflect estimates for 2023.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nMoreover, when we look further into the past all the way back to 2013, the company has historically traded at an average of 12.82 and even registered a high close to 22 in 2014. However, since we want to be conservative, but believe that the market has yet to really price Facebook for what it’s worth given all the headline risks in the media that have induced immediate selloffs without any fundamental reason, we will employ a multiple of 9.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nAt an EV/Sales multiple of 9, that would put Facebook at a US$1.447 TRN dollar valuation by the end of 2023 and a share price of US$539, an upside of 58%.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha)\nWhen we look to revenue surprise and analyst estimate beat / miss trends, Facebook has quite the historical track record of surpassing estimates, having done so 10/12 times in the past 3 years. The average upside surprise stands at 3.59%. Assuming Facebook will continue to deliver the same upside surprise moving forward, a 3.59% beat to the top line estimate of 2023 would warrant revenues of US$166.57 BN. At the same EV/Sales ratio of 9, that would render a higher valuation of US$558.77 USD. Given that Facebook is very close to crossing the US$1 TRN dollar valuation mark, we anticipate this to be a very realistic price target.\nNow shifting on to another valuation method by P/E multiples, the valuation also paints a similar picture.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha)\nTurning to earnings estimates, the company is also projected to do high-teens digit growth for 2022 and 2023 and a close to 30% growth in the bottom line for this fiscal year.\nData by YCharts\nDespite trading at the highest EV / Sales ratio of the FAANG stocks, Facebook is trading at the lowest TTM normalized PE Ratio amongst its peers, with the inclusion of Microsoft (FANGMA). This is likely due to the market failing to internalize and appreciate the company’s high NPM and profitability. Currently trading at a P/E ratio of 29.14, this is also below its historical means of as high as 60+ in 2016.\nData by YCharts\nHowever, given that earnings have improved dramatically since and likely won’t be revisiting those levels as seen from the forward estimates, we will stick with what we believe to be a fair multiple for the stickiest company in the world, 30. At a P/E ratio of 30, that would put the end 2023 share price somewhere near levels of US$531.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha)\nHowever, because of a surprisingly good earnings-beat track record once again, this has to be factored in moving forward. Of the last 3 years, Facebook has beat earnings 11/12 times. The average beat comes in at 15.72%. If we were to stick to a similar but more conservative beat of say 7%, that would put 2023 normalized earnings at 18.93. The exact same P/E ratio would now warrant a realistic share price of US$567.8, an upside of 66.3%.\nWith all 4 estimates using different methods and assumptions with different levels of conservatism employed delivering a potential share price anywhere between US$531 and US$568, it would be fair to conclude that this is a realistic price target for the cashflow king 3 years out into the future. At the low end of estimates of US$531, this is still indicative of a 55% upside.\nInvestor Takeaways\nTo conclude, we believe Facebook has a very strong future ahead and the projected numbers for both the Topline and Bottom line are indicative of potential upside. We place significant emphasis on forward estimates as markets are future discounting mechanisms that react accordingly. The company enjoys unbelievably high margins, has a pristine balance sheet with absolutely no debt, and is anticipated to keep raking in high revenues with strong cashflow numbers.\nWith so many growth opportunities such as the monetization ofWhatsApp, AR/VR, shops, marketplace growth, DIEM, and the continued growth in its legacy advertisement business both in terms of MAP and ARPUs, Facebook is here to stay and is nowhere near exhausting its full potential. The sizeable TAMs in each of the different business segments combined with other opportunities such as Facebook Reels which we did not cover, and the fact that it has yet to have been monetized, all point to a bright future.\nThat being said, it is a given that the company will face many other bumps along moving forward. Facebook will continue to be subjected to what we call ‘headline risks’ whereby the stock will be overly sold off to the downside based upon nothing fundamental but one-sided exaggerated narratives. This we believe presents the best time to pick up shares and accumulate for the long run. Facebook has been perceived to have engaged in a lot of dubious unethical behaviour surrounding user data but like we said, that is separate from the investment opportunity the company presents and we will leave that to you to decide. Granted that there are many reasons surrounding the company's beat-down reputation, the return on invested capital is a different story and the main one to be focused on when considering if a company is a good investment or not.\nEnd day, when it comes to blue-chip stocks that have a firm hold in the industry, good sticky products, and solid financials, it is hard for the stock not to trend up overtime so long as estimates paint a bright picture and most importantly, the markets continue to value them in the same rational way. This has not always been the case and can be easily seen from Microsoft’s outperformance hiatus when the Dot Com bubble crashed, and the stock took 17 years to put in a new high. Still, we believe blue chip stocks are a good bet as of now and should be a part of everyone’s portfolio, and Facebook presents the best buy of the FAANG from our perspective. Till next time!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":74,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125539124,"gmtCreate":1624679315368,"gmtModify":1633949668763,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍","listText":"👍👍","text":"👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125539124","repostId":"1177764085","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177764085","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624662146,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1177764085?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-26 07:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 climbs to another record led by bank shares, notches its best week since February","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177764085","media":"CNBC","summary":"U.S. stocks rose on Friday with the S&P 500 building on its rally to records, as investors bet that ","content":"<div>\n<p>U.S. stocks rose on Friday with the S&P 500 building on its rally to records, as investors bet that higher inflation will be temporary as the economy continues to recover from the pandemic.\nThe broad ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/24/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 climbs to another record led by bank shares, notches its best week since February</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 climbs to another record led by bank shares, notches its best week since February\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-26 07:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/24/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>U.S. stocks rose on Friday with the S&P 500 building on its rally to records, as investors bet that higher inflation will be temporary as the economy continues to recover from the pandemic.\nThe broad ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/24/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/24/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1177764085","content_text":"U.S. stocks rose on Friday with the S&P 500 building on its rally to records, as investors bet that higher inflation will be temporary as the economy continues to recover from the pandemic.\nThe broad equity benchmark climbed 0.3% to hit another closing record high of 4,280.70. Financials were the best-performing S&P 500 sector with a 1.3% gain. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 237.02 points, or 0.7%, to 34,433.84, sitting less than 2% from its record. The Nasdaq Composite erased earlier gains and closed 0.1% lower at 14,360.39 amid a rise in bond yields. The 10-year Treasury yield jumped 4 basis points to 1.52%.\nThe S&P 500 rallied 2.7% for the week, notching its biggest weekly gain since early February. The Dow gained 3.4% this week for its best week since mid-March, while the Nasdaq advanced 2.4%.\nFriday’s rally came after a key inflation indicator that the Federal Reserve uses to set policy rose 3.4% in May, the fastest increase since the early 1990s, the Commerce Department reported Friday. The reading matched the expectation from economists polled by Dow Jones. The core index rose 0.5% for the month, which actually was below the 0.6% estimate.\nThe core personal consumption expenditures price index increase reflects the rapid pace of economic expansion and resulting price pressures, and amplified how far the nation has come since the pandemic-induced shutdown of 2020.\n“This provided support to the Fed’s argument that inflation is transitory and will help allay fears that we are witnessing runaway inflation,” said Anu Gaggar, senior global Investment analyst at Commonwealth Financial Network. “This should continue to provide support to risk assets such as equities.”\nBank shares jumped after the Federal Reserve announced the banking industry could easily withstand a severe recession. The Fed, in releasing the results of its annual stress test, said the 23 institutions in the 2021 exam remained “well above” minimum required capital levels during a hypothetical economic downturn. The decision cleared the way for the banks to raise dividends and buy back more stock, which was suspended during the pandemic.\nWells Fargo climbed 2.6%, while Fifth Third and PNC all gained over 2%. JPMorgan and Bank of America both rose more than 1%.\nNike’s stock surged 15.5%, helping to boost sentiment for the Dow. The company reported earnings and revenue that blew past Wall Street estimates. Digital sales also jumped 41% since last year and 147% from two years ago.\nOn the flipside,FedEx dipped 3.6% despite beating on the top and bottom lines of its earnings. FedEx also gave a strong yearly outlook.\nFriday saw heightened trading volume as FTSE Russell was set to rebalance its U.S. stock indexes at the market close. Bank of America estimated that more than $170 billion worth of shares would be changed hands as a result of 625 changes in total to Russell indexes, including the Russell 1000 and Russell 2000.\nPresident Joe Biden announced Thursday that the White House struck an infrastructure deal with a bipartisan group of senators. The lawmakers have worked for weeks to craft a roughly $1 trillion package that could get through Congress with support from both parties. The framework will include $579 billion in new spending on transportation like roads, bridges and rail, electric vehicle infrastructure and electric transit, among other things.\nThe stock market came back from last week’s swoon induced by worries about a tighter Federal Reserve. Last week, the Dow fell 3.5% and the S&P 500 shed 1.9% as the Fed moved up its timeline for interest-rate increases.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122641936,"gmtCreate":1624619421625,"gmtModify":1633950476608,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍","listText":"👍👍","text":"👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/122641936","repostId":"2146023165","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2146023165","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624614720,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2146023165?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-25 17:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Microsoft sent a strong signal to developers that could hurt Apple and Google","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2146023165","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Microsoft  launched a broadside against rivals Apple  and Google  on Thursday, announcing that the next version of Windows, called Windows 11, will feature an app store that lets developers keep 100% of the revenue from sales of their apps.That’s a massive departure from the policies Apple and Google have in place that require app developers who use their stores to pay 30% fees on the sale of apps and in-app purchases.“Windows has always stood for sovereignty for creators and agency for consumer","content":"<p>Microsoft (MSFT) launched a broadside against rivals Apple (AAPL) and Google (GOOG, GOOGL) on Thursday, announcing that the next version of Windows, called Windows 11, will feature an app store that lets developers keep 100% of the revenue from sales of their apps.</p>\n<p>That’s a massive departure from the policies Apple and Google have in place that require app developers who use their stores to pay 30% fees on the sale of apps and in-app purchases.</p>\n<p>“Windows has always stood for sovereignty for creators and agency for consumers,” Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said. “A platform can only serve society if its rules allow for this foundational innovation and category creation. It’s why we’re introducing new store commerce models and policies.”</p>\n<p>The move is certain to rankle executives at both Apple and Google, which are facing antitrust investigations into their app store practices.</p>\n<p>Apple is awaiting a ruling in an antitrust case brought by Epic Games, in which the “Fortnite” developer accused the iPhone maker of abusing its market power over the App Store by forcing developers to use its own payment system and fork over the associated fees.</p>\n<p>Google, meanwhile, faces a similar lawsuit from Epic and is expected to get slapped with a lawsuit from a collection of state attorneys general for its app store policies.</p>\n<h3><b>Microsoft has been criticizing Apple’s policies</b></h3>\n<p>This isn’t the first time Microsoft has called out its rivals and their app stores. The company has criticized Apple’s policies in the past, specifically Apple’s policy of taking a share of revenue from Microsoft apps purchased through the Apple App Store.</p>\n<p>More recently, Microsoft sparred with Apple over its desire to get its xCloud cloud gaming platform onto the iPhone via a native app. Apple has pushed back, hampering Microsoft’s cloud gaming ambitions and forcing it to make users rely on a browser-style app.</p>\n<p>That led Microsoft to meet and lodge a complaint with members of the House Antitrust Subcommittee during the body’s investigation into Apple, Google, Amazon, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a>.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d92ddac610658f60945c72fc4da23210\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Microsoft has debuted the latest version of its Windows operating system: Windows 11. (Image: Microsoft)Microsoft</p>\n<p>Microsoft also took aim at Apple in the iPhone maker’s battle with “Fortnite” developer Epic Games. In that instance, Microsoft filed a statement of support for Epic in its fight to prevent Apple withholding iOS support for Epic’s Unreal Engine.</p>\n<p>Epic initially sued Apple and Google after the two companies removed “Fornite” from their respective app stores. Apple and Google argue that Epic implemented an update that added a separate payment system allowing consumers to circumvent Apple or Google’s payment services. That effectively cut out Apple and Google’s 30% app store fees.</p>\n<p>Epic’s fight with Apple wrapped up earlier this month and a ruling is expected before the end of the summer.</p>\n<h3><b>Microsoft could win over developers</b></h3>\n<p>With its decision to allow developers to use their own payment systems, Microsoft is sending a signal to the global developer community that it is willing to play by their rules. That could help the company as it seeks to build out its app store and drive more business for Windows.</p>\n<p>While Microsoft was caught flat-footed in the smartphone wars, its moves with the Windows 11 Microsoft Store could give it the kind of boost from developers that it needs to begin taking market share from Apple and Google in the fight for app store supremacy. It’s now up to Apple and Google to respond.</p>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Microsoft sent a strong signal to developers that could hurt Apple and Google</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicrosoft sent a strong signal to developers that could hurt Apple and Google\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-25 17:52 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-app-store-revenue-google-apple-200213646.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Microsoft (MSFT) launched a broadside against rivals Apple (AAPL) and Google (GOOG, GOOGL) on Thursday, announcing that the next version of Windows, called Windows 11, will feature an app store that ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-app-store-revenue-google-apple-200213646.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","09086":"华夏纳指-U","03086":"华夏纳指","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","GOOG":"谷歌","AAPL":"苹果","MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-app-store-revenue-google-apple-200213646.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2146023165","content_text":"Microsoft (MSFT) launched a broadside against rivals Apple (AAPL) and Google (GOOG, GOOGL) on Thursday, announcing that the next version of Windows, called Windows 11, will feature an app store that lets developers keep 100% of the revenue from sales of their apps.\nThat’s a massive departure from the policies Apple and Google have in place that require app developers who use their stores to pay 30% fees on the sale of apps and in-app purchases.\n“Windows has always stood for sovereignty for creators and agency for consumers,” Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said. “A platform can only serve society if its rules allow for this foundational innovation and category creation. It’s why we’re introducing new store commerce models and policies.”\nThe move is certain to rankle executives at both Apple and Google, which are facing antitrust investigations into their app store practices.\nApple is awaiting a ruling in an antitrust case brought by Epic Games, in which the “Fortnite” developer accused the iPhone maker of abusing its market power over the App Store by forcing developers to use its own payment system and fork over the associated fees.\nGoogle, meanwhile, faces a similar lawsuit from Epic and is expected to get slapped with a lawsuit from a collection of state attorneys general for its app store policies.\nMicrosoft has been criticizing Apple’s policies\nThis isn’t the first time Microsoft has called out its rivals and their app stores. The company has criticized Apple’s policies in the past, specifically Apple’s policy of taking a share of revenue from Microsoft apps purchased through the Apple App Store.\nMore recently, Microsoft sparred with Apple over its desire to get its xCloud cloud gaming platform onto the iPhone via a native app. Apple has pushed back, hampering Microsoft’s cloud gaming ambitions and forcing it to make users rely on a browser-style app.\nThat led Microsoft to meet and lodge a complaint with members of the House Antitrust Subcommittee during the body’s investigation into Apple, Google, Amazon, and Facebook.\nMicrosoft has debuted the latest version of its Windows operating system: Windows 11. (Image: Microsoft)Microsoft\nMicrosoft also took aim at Apple in the iPhone maker’s battle with “Fortnite” developer Epic Games. In that instance, Microsoft filed a statement of support for Epic in its fight to prevent Apple withholding iOS support for Epic’s Unreal Engine.\nEpic initially sued Apple and Google after the two companies removed “Fornite” from their respective app stores. Apple and Google argue that Epic implemented an update that added a separate payment system allowing consumers to circumvent Apple or Google’s payment services. That effectively cut out Apple and Google’s 30% app store fees.\nEpic’s fight with Apple wrapped up earlier this month and a ruling is expected before the end of the summer.\nMicrosoft could win over developers\nWith its decision to allow developers to use their own payment systems, Microsoft is sending a signal to the global developer community that it is willing to play by their rules. That could help the company as it seeks to build out its app store and drive more business for Windows.\nWhile Microsoft was caught flat-footed in the smartphone wars, its moves with the Windows 11 Microsoft Store could give it the kind of boost from developers that it needs to begin taking market share from Apple and Google in the fight for app store supremacy. It’s now up to Apple and Google to respond.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":56,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129270949,"gmtCreate":1624375489281,"gmtModify":1634007031308,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129270949","repostId":"1129020783","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129020783","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624361733,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129020783?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-22 19:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stifel upgrades CrowdStrike to buy, says cybersecurity stock can rally more than 25%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129020783","media":"cnbc","summary":"CrowdStrike’s rapid growth doesn’t show signs of slowing down any time soon, and it should lead to s","content":"<div>\n<p>CrowdStrike’s rapid growth doesn’t show signs of slowing down any time soon, and it should lead to significant upside for its stock, according to investment firm Stifel.\nThe cybersecurity stock was ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/22/crowdstrike-stock-upgrade-buy-stifel.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stifel upgrades CrowdStrike to buy, says cybersecurity stock can rally more than 25%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStifel upgrades CrowdStrike to buy, says cybersecurity stock can rally more than 25%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-22 19:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/22/crowdstrike-stock-upgrade-buy-stifel.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>CrowdStrike’s rapid growth doesn’t show signs of slowing down any time soon, and it should lead to significant upside for its stock, according to investment firm Stifel.\nThe cybersecurity stock was ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/22/crowdstrike-stock-upgrade-buy-stifel.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CRWD":"CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/22/crowdstrike-stock-upgrade-buy-stifel.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1129020783","content_text":"CrowdStrike’s rapid growth doesn’t show signs of slowing down any time soon, and it should lead to significant upside for its stock, according to investment firm Stifel.\nThe cybersecurity stock was one of the hottest bets on Wall Street in 2020, but shares retreated earlier this year and are now flat versus their early-February levels.\nStifel analyst Brad Reback upgraded the stock to buy from hold, saying in a note to clients on Monday evening that the company was still early in its growth stage.\n“While CrowdStrike’s subscription customer count has nearly tripled over the last 8 quarters, we continue to believe that CrowdStrike’s opportunity to source [annual recurring revenue] growth from new customer acquisition remains very early days when considering the degree to which legacy endpoint security providers scaled their respective customer counts over time,” the note said.\nStifel hiked its price target for Crowdstrike to $300 per share from $240. The new target is 26% above where the stock closed on Monday.\nThe company should be able to achieve that growth while also expanding its margins, according to Stifel.\n“We believe the appetite for expanded utilization of CrowdStrike’s Falcon Platform should allow the company to progress towards the higher-end of its 77-82% non-GAAP subscription gross margin target range more quickly than the Street currently expects,” the note said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":97,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167388790,"gmtCreate":1624247229210,"gmtModify":1634008924509,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍","listText":"👍👍","text":"👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167388790","repostId":"1154249454","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":154,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165760278,"gmtCreate":1624158014094,"gmtModify":1634010092276,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Need a lot of patience for this stock","listText":"Need a lot of patience for this stock","text":"Need a lot of patience for this stock","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165760278","repostId":"1192473918","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":112,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165783934,"gmtCreate":1624157718328,"gmtModify":1634010100102,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Need to beware the trap&nbsp;and prepare for opportunity","listText":"Need to beware the trap&nbsp;and prepare for opportunity","text":"Need to beware the trap and prepare for opportunity","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165783934","repostId":"1126454279","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126454279","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624151746,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126454279?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-20 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A Stock Market Crash Is Coming: 5 High-Conviction Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist When It Happens","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126454279","media":"fool","summary":"It might be the last thing you want to hear, but it's the truth:A stock market crash is inevitable.\n","content":"<p>It might be the last thing you want to hear, but it's the truth:A stock market crash is inevitable.</p>\n<p>Since the March 23, 2020 bottom, investors have enjoyed a historically strong bounce-back rally -- the widely followed<b>S&amp;P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)has gained an impressive 90%. But both history and valuation metrics unequivocally suggest that a big drop is upcoming for the stock market.</p>\n<p><b>History is pretty clear that trouble lies ahead</b></p>\n<p>For example, there have beenone or two double-digit percentage declineswithin the three years following a bottom in each of the previous eight bear markets prior to the coronavirus crash (i.e., dating back to 1960). Although bull markets tend to last years, rebounds from a bear market are never this smooth. We're nearly 15 months past the March 2020 bear-market bottom in the S&amp;P 500 and have yet to see anything close to a double-digit correction.</p>\n<p>To add to this point, data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research shows that there have been 38 double-digit declines in the S&amp;P 500 over the past 71 years. That's a crash or correction, on average,every 1.87 years. Though the market doesn't adhere to averages, it does give a general sense of when to expect these hiccups.</p>\n<p>On a valuation basis, the S&amp;P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is a waving red flag. The S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E -- a measure of inflation-adjusted earnings over the previous 10 years -- almost hit 38 earlier this week. That more than doubles its 151-year average, and it's the highest level in nearly two decades. The previous four times the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30 during a bull market rally, the indexsubsequently declined by a minimum of 20%.</p>\n<p>Make no mistake about it -- a stock market crash is coming.</p>\n<p>Every crash or correction is an opportunity for patient investors to make money</p>\n<p>However, a crash is no reason to duck and cover. While history may signal trouble ahead, it also tells us that each and every double-digit decline has been a buying opportunity. Eventually, every big drop in the major indexes is erased by a bull-market rally. When the next crash does occur, the following five high-conviction stocks can be confidently bought hand over fist.</p>\n<p><b>CrowdStrike Holdings</b></p>\n<p>Cybersecurity is projected to beone of the safest double-digit growth trendsthis decade. No matter the size of the business or the state of the U.S./global economy, protecting enterprise and consumer data is paramount. This means cloud-based cybersecurity stock<b>CrowdStrike Holdings</b>(NASDAQ:CRWD)can thrive in any environment.</p>\n<p>CrowdStrike's successderives from its cloud-native Falcon security platform. Because it's built in the cloud and relies on artificial intelligence, it's growing smarter at identifying and responding to threats all the time. It's currently overseeing 6 trillion events on a weekly basis, and it's far more cost-effective at protecting data than on-premise solutions.</p>\n<p>We can also look to the company's income statements to see clear-cut evidence that businesses favor CrowdStrike's cybersecurity platform. It's been retaining 98% of its clients, has seen existing clients spend 23% to 47% more on a year-over-year basis for the past 12 quarters, and recently reported that 64% of its customers have purchased at least four cloud module subscriptions. Scaling with its customers is CrowdStrike's ticket to big-time cash flow expansion.</p>\n<p><b>Facebook</b></p>\n<p>Brand-name businesses can make patient investors a fortune, and social media giant<b>Facebook</b>(NASDAQ:FB)is the perfect example.</p>\n<p>When the curtain closed on March, Facebook tallied 2.85 billion monthly active users (MAU) visiting its namesake site and an additional 600 million unique MAUs visiting WhatsApp or Instagram, which it also owns. All told, this equates to44% of the global populationinteracting with its owned sites each month. There's simply no social media platform businesses can go to get their message to a broader (or potentially targeted) audience, which is why Facebook ad-pricing power is so strong.</p>\n<p>But here's the kicker: Facebookhasn't even put the pedal to the metal. Although it's on track to generate more than $100 billion in advertising revenue in 2021, nearly all of these ad sales are coming from its namesake site and Instagram. WhatsApp and Facebook Messenger, which are two of the six most-visited social sites in the world, aren't being meaningfully monetized as of yet. Further, the company's Oculus virtual reality devices are still in the early stage of their growth. Suffice it to say, Facebook offers ample upside as its other operating segments are monetized and mature.</p>\n<p><b>NextEra Energy</b></p>\n<p>Another high-conviction stock to buy hand over fist the next time a crash or steep correction strikes is electric utility stock<b>NextEra Energy</b>(NYSE:NEE).</p>\n<p>Did I put you to sleep when I said \"electric utility stock?\" Electric utilities are traditionally known for their market-topping dividend yields and persistently low growth rates. But this doesn't describe NextEra Energy. NextEra has aggressively invested in renewable energy projects and is leading the country in solar and wind capacity. As a result of these investments, its electric generation costs have declined and its compound annual growth ratehas consistently been in the high single digitsfor more than a decade. It also doesn't hurt that NextEra is front-running any potential green-energy legislation that might come out of Washington.</p>\n<p>In addition to growth rates that are well above the sector average, NextEra still benefits from the predictability of energy demand. For instance, its regulated utilities (i.e., those not powered by renewable energy) require approval from state utility commissions before price hikes can be passed along to households. This might sound like an inconvenience, but it's actually great news. It means NextEra won't be exposed to potentially volatile wholesale pricing.</p>\n<p><b>Visa</b></p>\n<p>When the next stock market crash arrives, payment processing kingpin<b>Visa</b>(NYSE:V)is a winning company to confidently buy hand over fist. It's also another brand-name company thatcan still make its shareholders a fortune.</p>\n<p>Buying into the Visa growth story is a simple numbers game. Visa grows its revenue and profits when consumers and businesses are spending more. This happens when the U.S. and global economy are expanding. Although contractions and recessions are an inevitable part of the economic cycle, they tend to be short-lived. Meanwhile, periods of economic expansion are almost always measured in years. Buying into Visa during these short-lived crashes or corrections should allow long-term investors to be handsomely rewarded by this numbers game.</p>\n<p>The other interesting thing about Visa is thatit's shunned becoming a lender. You'd think that Visa could generate big bucks from interest income and fees by lending during these long-lived periods of expansion. But lending would also expose Visa to the credit delinquencies that arise during recessions. Operating solely as a payment processor means not having to set aside cash to cover delinquencies. It's why Visa rebounds so much faster than most financial stocks following a recession.</p>\n<p><b>Amazon</b></p>\n<p>Lastly (andwho couldn't see this coming?), investors should take any discount they can get during a crash on e-commerce behemoth<b>Amazon</b>(NASDAQ:AMZN).</p>\n<p>Amazon's online marketplace has proved virtually unstoppable for well over a decade. An April 2021 report from eMarketer pegged the company's share of U.S. online sales at 40.4%. That more than quintuples its next-closest competitor and effectively solidifies Amazon as the go-to source for online shopping in the U.S.</p>\n<p>What about those pesky low retail margins, you ask? Amazon has signed up more than 200 million people globally to a Prime membership. The fees collected from Prime members help to offset some of the company's retail-based margin weakness. Prime members are extremely loyal to the Amazon ecosystem and spend far more than non-members, too.</p>\n<p>But it's Amazon's cloud infrastructure segmentthat's the superstar. Amazon Web Services (AWS) brings in around one-eighth of the company's total sales but accounts for well over half its operating income. Since cloud margins are superior to retail and advertising margins, AWS is the company's key to explosive cash flow growth this decade.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A Stock Market Crash Is Coming: 5 High-Conviction Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist When It Happens</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA Stock Market Crash Is Coming: 5 High-Conviction Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist When It Happens\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-20 09:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/19/stock-market-crash-coming-5-high-conviction-stocks/><strong>fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It might be the last thing you want to hear, but it's the truth:A stock market crash is inevitable.\nSince the March 23, 2020 bottom, investors have enjoyed a historically strong bounce-back rally -- ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/19/stock-market-crash-coming-5-high-conviction-stocks/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","CRWD":"CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.","NEP":"Nextera Energy Partners","V":"Visa"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/19/stock-market-crash-coming-5-high-conviction-stocks/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126454279","content_text":"It might be the last thing you want to hear, but it's the truth:A stock market crash is inevitable.\nSince the March 23, 2020 bottom, investors have enjoyed a historically strong bounce-back rally -- the widely followedS&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)has gained an impressive 90%. But both history and valuation metrics unequivocally suggest that a big drop is upcoming for the stock market.\nHistory is pretty clear that trouble lies ahead\nFor example, there have beenone or two double-digit percentage declineswithin the three years following a bottom in each of the previous eight bear markets prior to the coronavirus crash (i.e., dating back to 1960). Although bull markets tend to last years, rebounds from a bear market are never this smooth. We're nearly 15 months past the March 2020 bear-market bottom in the S&P 500 and have yet to see anything close to a double-digit correction.\nTo add to this point, data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research shows that there have been 38 double-digit declines in the S&P 500 over the past 71 years. That's a crash or correction, on average,every 1.87 years. Though the market doesn't adhere to averages, it does give a general sense of when to expect these hiccups.\nOn a valuation basis, the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is a waving red flag. The S&P 500's Shiller P/E -- a measure of inflation-adjusted earnings over the previous 10 years -- almost hit 38 earlier this week. That more than doubles its 151-year average, and it's the highest level in nearly two decades. The previous four times the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30 during a bull market rally, the indexsubsequently declined by a minimum of 20%.\nMake no mistake about it -- a stock market crash is coming.\nEvery crash or correction is an opportunity for patient investors to make money\nHowever, a crash is no reason to duck and cover. While history may signal trouble ahead, it also tells us that each and every double-digit decline has been a buying opportunity. Eventually, every big drop in the major indexes is erased by a bull-market rally. When the next crash does occur, the following five high-conviction stocks can be confidently bought hand over fist.\nCrowdStrike Holdings\nCybersecurity is projected to beone of the safest double-digit growth trendsthis decade. No matter the size of the business or the state of the U.S./global economy, protecting enterprise and consumer data is paramount. This means cloud-based cybersecurity stockCrowdStrike Holdings(NASDAQ:CRWD)can thrive in any environment.\nCrowdStrike's successderives from its cloud-native Falcon security platform. Because it's built in the cloud and relies on artificial intelligence, it's growing smarter at identifying and responding to threats all the time. It's currently overseeing 6 trillion events on a weekly basis, and it's far more cost-effective at protecting data than on-premise solutions.\nWe can also look to the company's income statements to see clear-cut evidence that businesses favor CrowdStrike's cybersecurity platform. It's been retaining 98% of its clients, has seen existing clients spend 23% to 47% more on a year-over-year basis for the past 12 quarters, and recently reported that 64% of its customers have purchased at least four cloud module subscriptions. Scaling with its customers is CrowdStrike's ticket to big-time cash flow expansion.\nFacebook\nBrand-name businesses can make patient investors a fortune, and social media giantFacebook(NASDAQ:FB)is the perfect example.\nWhen the curtain closed on March, Facebook tallied 2.85 billion monthly active users (MAU) visiting its namesake site and an additional 600 million unique MAUs visiting WhatsApp or Instagram, which it also owns. All told, this equates to44% of the global populationinteracting with its owned sites each month. There's simply no social media platform businesses can go to get their message to a broader (or potentially targeted) audience, which is why Facebook ad-pricing power is so strong.\nBut here's the kicker: Facebookhasn't even put the pedal to the metal. Although it's on track to generate more than $100 billion in advertising revenue in 2021, nearly all of these ad sales are coming from its namesake site and Instagram. WhatsApp and Facebook Messenger, which are two of the six most-visited social sites in the world, aren't being meaningfully monetized as of yet. Further, the company's Oculus virtual reality devices are still in the early stage of their growth. Suffice it to say, Facebook offers ample upside as its other operating segments are monetized and mature.\nNextEra Energy\nAnother high-conviction stock to buy hand over fist the next time a crash or steep correction strikes is electric utility stockNextEra Energy(NYSE:NEE).\nDid I put you to sleep when I said \"electric utility stock?\" Electric utilities are traditionally known for their market-topping dividend yields and persistently low growth rates. But this doesn't describe NextEra Energy. NextEra has aggressively invested in renewable energy projects and is leading the country in solar and wind capacity. As a result of these investments, its electric generation costs have declined and its compound annual growth ratehas consistently been in the high single digitsfor more than a decade. It also doesn't hurt that NextEra is front-running any potential green-energy legislation that might come out of Washington.\nIn addition to growth rates that are well above the sector average, NextEra still benefits from the predictability of energy demand. For instance, its regulated utilities (i.e., those not powered by renewable energy) require approval from state utility commissions before price hikes can be passed along to households. This might sound like an inconvenience, but it's actually great news. It means NextEra won't be exposed to potentially volatile wholesale pricing.\nVisa\nWhen the next stock market crash arrives, payment processing kingpinVisa(NYSE:V)is a winning company to confidently buy hand over fist. It's also another brand-name company thatcan still make its shareholders a fortune.\nBuying into the Visa growth story is a simple numbers game. Visa grows its revenue and profits when consumers and businesses are spending more. This happens when the U.S. and global economy are expanding. Although contractions and recessions are an inevitable part of the economic cycle, they tend to be short-lived. Meanwhile, periods of economic expansion are almost always measured in years. Buying into Visa during these short-lived crashes or corrections should allow long-term investors to be handsomely rewarded by this numbers game.\nThe other interesting thing about Visa is thatit's shunned becoming a lender. You'd think that Visa could generate big bucks from interest income and fees by lending during these long-lived periods of expansion. But lending would also expose Visa to the credit delinquencies that arise during recessions. Operating solely as a payment processor means not having to set aside cash to cover delinquencies. It's why Visa rebounds so much faster than most financial stocks following a recession.\nAmazon\nLastly (andwho couldn't see this coming?), investors should take any discount they can get during a crash on e-commerce behemothAmazon(NASDAQ:AMZN).\nAmazon's online marketplace has proved virtually unstoppable for well over a decade. An April 2021 report from eMarketer pegged the company's share of U.S. online sales at 40.4%. That more than quintuples its next-closest competitor and effectively solidifies Amazon as the go-to source for online shopping in the U.S.\nWhat about those pesky low retail margins, you ask? Amazon has signed up more than 200 million people globally to a Prime membership. The fees collected from Prime members help to offset some of the company's retail-based margin weakness. Prime members are extremely loyal to the Amazon ecosystem and spend far more than non-members, too.\nBut it's Amazon's cloud infrastructure segmentthat's the superstar. Amazon Web Services (AWS) brings in around one-eighth of the company's total sales but accounts for well over half its operating income. Since cloud margins are superior to retail and advertising margins, AWS is the company's key to explosive cash flow growth this decade.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":45,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117893736,"gmtCreate":1623127638325,"gmtModify":1634036643725,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"DOkie is the hy ru[Anger]&nbsp;[Grin]&nbsp;[Anger]&nbsp;[Sad]&nbsp;[Cool]&nbsp;[Surprised]&nbsp;[Tongue]&nbsp;[Grin]&nbsp;[Cry]&nbsp;[Angry]&nbsp;","listText":"DOkie is the hy ru[Anger]&nbsp;[Grin]&nbsp;[Anger]&nbsp;[Sad]&nbsp;[Cool]&nbsp;[Surprised]&nbsp;[Tongue]&nbsp;[Grin]&nbsp;[Cry]&nbsp;[Angry]&nbsp;","text":"DOkie is the hy ru[Anger] [Grin] [Anger] [Sad] [Cool] [Surprised] [Tongue] [Grin] [Cry] [Angry]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117893736","repostId":"1104815713","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104815713","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623122553,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104815713?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-08 11:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Big Changes Coming to Your iPhone, iPad and Mac This Fall","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104815713","media":"wsj","summary":"Apple is hosting its annualWorldwide Developers Conferencevirtually for the second year in a row. I ","content":"<p>Apple is hosting its annualWorldwide Developers Conferencevirtually for the second year in a row. I tuned in from home for the Monday keynote, where company execs outlined a slew of new updates for Apple devices due this fall via iOS 15, iPadOS 15, WatchOS 8 and MacOS Monterey.</p><p>The most exciting announcements are aimed directly at improving our experiences at home, where much of our work and play will continue even after the pandemic. FaceTime will get Zoom-like talents, plus the ability to share videos and music with other video-chat participants. And there are more iOS and watch features designed to increase focus and reduce stress.</p><p>The event is where Apple historically has expandedits walled garden, by announcing capabilities that will keep customers within its tightly locked hardware-software ecosystem. Sure enough, to get the most out of the newest Mac features, you will need an iPad, an iPhone and maybe even a second Mac. However, the company countered that narrative with a few other announcements: FaceTime now works in web browsers, so you can start up a video chat with people on Windows and Android devices, too. And Siri can be spoken to via other manufacturers’ HomeKit devices (though you will still need to own a HomePod).</p><p>In any case, the event is a reminder that Apple’s garden can be a pretty nice one. Many changes, available by way of a free software update in the fall, ought to add functionality to aging devices, including the six-year-old iPhone 6S. Some, of course, are reserved for only the newest Apple products. Here’s a breakdown of the most interesting announcements.</p><p><b>Chat and Productivity</b></p><p>FaceTime, Apple’s video chat app, is getting features already popular in competitors: blurred backgrounds, grid view for group calls, background-noise reduction, screen sharing and meeting links. The new functionality is available on both iOS and Mac devices. And, for the first time, Android and Windows users can join a FaceTime call via a Chrome or Edge web browser.</p><p>When there are multiple people on screen, the audio will sound like it is coming from the direction of the person who is speaking on screen. That feature—along with the Portrait Mode blurred background—is available only on iOS devices with A12 Bionic chips or newer, and 2018 Macs or newer.</p><p>In addition to sharing what is on your screen in FaceTime, you also can watch a video or listen to audio together. For now, supported apps include Disney+, TikTok and Hulu. Notably missing: Netflix.</p><p>Content shared in Messages will now show up in relevant apps. For example, if someone texts you photos, the images will be grouped in a new “Shared With You” tab in your Photos app. But images the app detects as memes or screenshots will be left out.</p><p>On the iPad, you still can manage two apps at the same time using Split View and Slide Over (as well as the single-app Full Screen). But instead of having to remember how to make that happen, a new pop-up menu will let you quickly switch between the setups. And a bottom “Shelf” lets you move between different windows in supported apps such as Safari and Pages.</p><p>For those with both an iPad and Mac, you can use your Mac’s mouse, trackpad and keyboard to control what is on your iPad, and even drag and drop files between them.</p><p>Safari gets a new feature that might convert you from Chrome or another browser: Tab groups, which can be easily accessed from Safari on any of your devices, let you store clusters of related websites.</p><p>The most productivity-boosting feature may involve extending your Mac’s battery life. That’s right, “low power mode,” found in iPhones, will be available in MacOS Monterey.</p><p><b>Focus and Mindfulness</b></p><p>The Away message is back, in the Messages app. When you turn on Do Not Disturb, Messages contacts will be able to see you have gone dark in their in-app conversations with you.</p><p>Notifications are getting smarter. You will be able to set up different focus modes, such as “Personal” or “Work,” which allow notifications from specific sets of apps and people for a custom duration (or even location). When you turn on a focus mode on one device, it will apply to all your other compatible Apple devices, too. In theory, it is designed to limit distractions—but it will likely take some tinkering to ensure that urgent calls from VIPs still come through.</p><p>If you want to be less bogged down by notifications, you can set all non-time-sensitive pop-ups to be bundled into a daily delivery.</p><p><b>AirPod Pro Improvements</b></p><p>My personal favorite announcement from today? Find My AirPods is finally useful—as long as you have Apple’s pricier buds. If you have AirPods Pro or Max, you can soon ping your earbuds—even if they are closed in their case. (Previously, this only worked if the buds were out of their case.) A new separation alert will also send you a notification if you leave the ’Pods behind in an unfamiliar location.</p><p>Conversation Boost is a capability designed for people with mild hearing loss. It focuses the AirPods’ audio on the person talking in front of you, and has controls to further reduce ambient noise.</p><p>The headphones also can be located through the global Apple Find My network, and their surround-sound audio mode, called Spatial Audio, which was formerly only compatible with recent iPhones and iPads, also will be available on Macs with the M1 chip.</p><p><b>On-device artificial intelligence</b></p><p>On-device artificial intelligence has many benefits over systems that depend on cloud processing. It is faster and more secure since, for instance, your voice commands don’t have to travel to company servers to be interpreted.</p><p>In its keynote, Apple showed off some Siri requests, such as setting a timer or switching to dark mode, that can work without an internet connection. Systemwide translation of text in languages such as Mandarin, Spanish and French, and Live Text—which can recognize text and numbers in photos or even live via the camera—also work on the device. They do require devices with the A12 Bionic chip or a newer processor, however.</p><p><b>Family-Wide Health</b></p><p>The Health app is where you will find data such as daily steps, heart rate and sleep. The coming version will allow you to share that data with others in your family. The thinking is that you can monitor an aging parents’ stats, and let them know if you are concerned, for example, about an increase in resting heart rate.</p><p><b>More Privacy Protections</b></p><p>Built-in privacy features have long been a part of Apple devices. But, for the first time, the company is including new privacy capabilities as part of its paid iCloud storage plans—now called iCloud+. Private Relay will act like a virtual private network, or VPN, by encrypting all your website traffic. The user is assigned an anonymous IP address, and the address of the destination website is encrypted. Apple says it doesn’t even know which site you are visiting.</p><p>The company also announced features that don’t require a subscription. Your driver’s license can be encrypted and stored in the Wallet app. The Transportation Security Administration is even working on using the digital IDs for security screening. However, it will initially only be available for license holders in select U.S. states.</p><p>The new version of the Mail app will block invisible pixels that collect information when you open an email. And a new settings page, called the App Privacy Report, shows how frequently apps use data such as location, access to the device’s microphone or contacts. It also will provide potentially creepy extras, such as all of the third-party domains your apps interact with.</p><p>As usual, Apple has targeted this massive software drop for the fall, which we expect to mean the September/October time frame when new iPhones traditionally arrive. The company didn’t announce any new hardware Monday, and we aren’t expecting much until the fall, when these new features—especially the ones that only work with the latest and greatest Apple gear—will drive up the temptation to upgrade.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Big Changes Coming to Your iPhone, iPad and Mac This Fall</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Big Changes Coming to Your iPhone, iPad and Mac This Fall\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-08 11:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-big-changes-coming-to-your-iphone-ipad-and-mac-this-fall-11623106699?mod=hp_lead_pos5><strong>wsj</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple is hosting its annualWorldwide Developers Conferencevirtually for the second year in a row. I tuned in from home for the Monday keynote, where company execs outlined a slew of new updates for ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-big-changes-coming-to-your-iphone-ipad-and-mac-this-fall-11623106699?mod=hp_lead_pos5\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-big-changes-coming-to-your-iphone-ipad-and-mac-this-fall-11623106699?mod=hp_lead_pos5","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1104815713","content_text":"Apple is hosting its annualWorldwide Developers Conferencevirtually for the second year in a row. I tuned in from home for the Monday keynote, where company execs outlined a slew of new updates for Apple devices due this fall via iOS 15, iPadOS 15, WatchOS 8 and MacOS Monterey.The most exciting announcements are aimed directly at improving our experiences at home, where much of our work and play will continue even after the pandemic. FaceTime will get Zoom-like talents, plus the ability to share videos and music with other video-chat participants. And there are more iOS and watch features designed to increase focus and reduce stress.The event is where Apple historically has expandedits walled garden, by announcing capabilities that will keep customers within its tightly locked hardware-software ecosystem. Sure enough, to get the most out of the newest Mac features, you will need an iPad, an iPhone and maybe even a second Mac. However, the company countered that narrative with a few other announcements: FaceTime now works in web browsers, so you can start up a video chat with people on Windows and Android devices, too. And Siri can be spoken to via other manufacturers’ HomeKit devices (though you will still need to own a HomePod).In any case, the event is a reminder that Apple’s garden can be a pretty nice one. Many changes, available by way of a free software update in the fall, ought to add functionality to aging devices, including the six-year-old iPhone 6S. Some, of course, are reserved for only the newest Apple products. Here’s a breakdown of the most interesting announcements.Chat and ProductivityFaceTime, Apple’s video chat app, is getting features already popular in competitors: blurred backgrounds, grid view for group calls, background-noise reduction, screen sharing and meeting links. The new functionality is available on both iOS and Mac devices. And, for the first time, Android and Windows users can join a FaceTime call via a Chrome or Edge web browser.When there are multiple people on screen, the audio will sound like it is coming from the direction of the person who is speaking on screen. That feature—along with the Portrait Mode blurred background—is available only on iOS devices with A12 Bionic chips or newer, and 2018 Macs or newer.In addition to sharing what is on your screen in FaceTime, you also can watch a video or listen to audio together. For now, supported apps include Disney+, TikTok and Hulu. Notably missing: Netflix.Content shared in Messages will now show up in relevant apps. For example, if someone texts you photos, the images will be grouped in a new “Shared With You” tab in your Photos app. But images the app detects as memes or screenshots will be left out.On the iPad, you still can manage two apps at the same time using Split View and Slide Over (as well as the single-app Full Screen). But instead of having to remember how to make that happen, a new pop-up menu will let you quickly switch between the setups. And a bottom “Shelf” lets you move between different windows in supported apps such as Safari and Pages.For those with both an iPad and Mac, you can use your Mac’s mouse, trackpad and keyboard to control what is on your iPad, and even drag and drop files between them.Safari gets a new feature that might convert you from Chrome or another browser: Tab groups, which can be easily accessed from Safari on any of your devices, let you store clusters of related websites.The most productivity-boosting feature may involve extending your Mac’s battery life. That’s right, “low power mode,” found in iPhones, will be available in MacOS Monterey.Focus and MindfulnessThe Away message is back, in the Messages app. When you turn on Do Not Disturb, Messages contacts will be able to see you have gone dark in their in-app conversations with you.Notifications are getting smarter. You will be able to set up different focus modes, such as “Personal” or “Work,” which allow notifications from specific sets of apps and people for a custom duration (or even location). When you turn on a focus mode on one device, it will apply to all your other compatible Apple devices, too. In theory, it is designed to limit distractions—but it will likely take some tinkering to ensure that urgent calls from VIPs still come through.If you want to be less bogged down by notifications, you can set all non-time-sensitive pop-ups to be bundled into a daily delivery.AirPod Pro ImprovementsMy personal favorite announcement from today? Find My AirPods is finally useful—as long as you have Apple’s pricier buds. If you have AirPods Pro or Max, you can soon ping your earbuds—even if they are closed in their case. (Previously, this only worked if the buds were out of their case.) A new separation alert will also send you a notification if you leave the ’Pods behind in an unfamiliar location.Conversation Boost is a capability designed for people with mild hearing loss. It focuses the AirPods’ audio on the person talking in front of you, and has controls to further reduce ambient noise.The headphones also can be located through the global Apple Find My network, and their surround-sound audio mode, called Spatial Audio, which was formerly only compatible with recent iPhones and iPads, also will be available on Macs with the M1 chip.On-device artificial intelligenceOn-device artificial intelligence has many benefits over systems that depend on cloud processing. It is faster and more secure since, for instance, your voice commands don’t have to travel to company servers to be interpreted.In its keynote, Apple showed off some Siri requests, such as setting a timer or switching to dark mode, that can work without an internet connection. Systemwide translation of text in languages such as Mandarin, Spanish and French, and Live Text—which can recognize text and numbers in photos or even live via the camera—also work on the device. They do require devices with the A12 Bionic chip or a newer processor, however.Family-Wide HealthThe Health app is where you will find data such as daily steps, heart rate and sleep. The coming version will allow you to share that data with others in your family. The thinking is that you can monitor an aging parents’ stats, and let them know if you are concerned, for example, about an increase in resting heart rate.More Privacy ProtectionsBuilt-in privacy features have long been a part of Apple devices. But, for the first time, the company is including new privacy capabilities as part of its paid iCloud storage plans—now called iCloud+. Private Relay will act like a virtual private network, or VPN, by encrypting all your website traffic. The user is assigned an anonymous IP address, and the address of the destination website is encrypted. Apple says it doesn’t even know which site you are visiting.The company also announced features that don’t require a subscription. Your driver’s license can be encrypted and stored in the Wallet app. The Transportation Security Administration is even working on using the digital IDs for security screening. However, it will initially only be available for license holders in select U.S. states.The new version of the Mail app will block invisible pixels that collect information when you open an email. And a new settings page, called the App Privacy Report, shows how frequently apps use data such as location, access to the device’s microphone or contacts. It also will provide potentially creepy extras, such as all of the third-party domains your apps interact with.As usual, Apple has targeted this massive software drop for the fall, which we expect to mean the September/October time frame when new iPhones traditionally arrive. The company didn’t announce any new hardware Monday, and we aren’t expecting much until the fall, when these new features—especially the ones that only work with the latest and greatest Apple gear—will drive up the temptation to upgrade.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":84,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":326465196,"gmtCreate":1615698568915,"gmtModify":1703492206735,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looking great","listText":"Looking great","text":"Looking great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/326465196","repostId":"1144000725","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144000725","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615554528,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144000725?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-12 21:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Roblox Builds The Metaverse","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144000725","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nRoblox is not a game, but a platform for both designing and playing games.\nLike other gamin","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Roblox is not a game, but a platform for both designing and playing games.</li>\n <li>Like other gaming companies, they are trying to build a metaverse that blends real and persistent virtual worlds.</li>\n <li>They have what I consider a durable long-term strategy and stellar word-of-mouth marketing.</li>\n <li>Like many gaming companies, their user metrics all saw outrageous growth in 2020 due to the pandemic. That cannot be matched after Q1 2021.</li>\n <li>As such, I think a better price will be available later in the year.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da521a162b09482db5b85e52ad4f9858\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"346\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Nobody Knows Anything</p>\n<blockquote>\n Nobody knows anything. Not one person in the entire motion picture field knows for a certainty what’s going to work. Every time out it’s a guess — and if you’re lucky, an educated one.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n - William Goldman,Adventures in the Screen Trade\n</blockquote>\n<p>I live in LA, and many of my friends and neighbors are in the film and TV industry, and I even once worked at Warner Brothers TV, Warner's TV production arm. Even if they don’t know where it came from, that three-word phrase, “nobody knows anything,” is one everybody knows, and is as close to gospel as you get in Hollywood.</p>\n<p>One of the&nbsp;greatest screenwriters of all time, Goldman’s point was that it is impossible to ever know exactly what audiences are going to want, and even the smartest, cagiest, most creative executives are frequently wrong. Complicating that is the very long time it takes to go from screenplay to screen. What may have been perfect cultural timing at conception may already be stale by the time people can see it.</p>\n<p>I see this exact problem in game studios as well, prominently in that last part about timing. Especially in the AAA game world, development times can extend for years. Creators get immersed in the world they are building, and meanwhile outside the walls of the studio, the world is changing. I think Apple TV+’s Mythic Quest, a comedy about a fictional MMORPG studio, dramatizes a lot of this very well.</p>\n<p>Roblox’s (RBLX) model solves the Nobody Knows Anything Problem in the way YouTube (GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL)solved it for video. Roblox is not really a game, but a platform for designing and playing games. It gets frequently compared to Minecraft (MSFT), because they both rely on user creativity, but it is more akin to Unreal Engine, Epic’s game development platform. But that’s for developers. Roblox brings game publishing to the masses the way YouTube democratized video broadcasting.</p>\n<p>The YouTube model is that most of their content is terrible, but that there is so much of it, there is also a huge volume of good stuff that rises to the top and gets monetized, especially when we are talking about niche audiences. That Roblox graphic above, “Millions of Experiences” is the same model in a three-word slogan.</p>\n<p>Roblox does not have to come up with the Next Big Thing, and the one after that, and the one after that. They are counting on their users to do it for them. Amongst millions of worlds, thousands are going to be of interest to players.</p>\n<p>But as much as I like the model, I can’t recommend the stock for two reasons. In the first place, they have already seen huge pandemic-related growth, and even they are predicting user engagement will be flattish or down in 2021. But more to the point, Roblox closed its first day of trading with a market cap over $40 billion. The stock price was up to over $70 aftermarket after listing at $45. The problem is this:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce11bd249428baffd59f8154f10e022c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>That valuation does not make a ton of sense right now for a company with under a billion in GAAP revenue. But that aside, this is one to keep an eye on. I believe a better price will come later in the year as the report soft comps with pandemic quarters.</p>\n<p><b>It’s A Game Development Platform, Not A Game</b></p>\n<p>Many companies like to refer to their IP stack as a “platform” to imply that a lot can be built upon it. Most of the time, that’s just management buzzwording. But Roblox is genuinely a gaming platform for both creators and users, which makes it distinct.</p>\n<p>Developing games is not as simple as they’d like to make out, but it is much simpler than any other method.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e171a67b3fa5b09a5b8fc1009f9a3506\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"550\"><span>Roblox Studio screenshot</span></p>\n<p>Roblox comes with a huge library of modifiable characters, environments and objects. While much can be scripted, games can be authored without writing a single line of code, using built-in scripts and behaviors. It also has a plugin architecture, and there are many which add functionality or ease-of-use to the development environment, or add game content. They have 35 million of these in their developer store. This is a full stack development tool that even beginners can use.</p>\n<p>There are thousands of these videos on YouTube. More complex gameplay and objects require scripting in Roblox’s Lua language, but it tends to be much simpler than alternative languages. My point here is that a wide range of game designers - from kids to professionals - can use this thing and create something very simple, or something very complex.</p>\n<p>The majority of users will never download Roblox Studio. They counted 33 million daily active users in 2020, and 8 million “active developers.” 1.5 million earned something from their creations, so that’s probably a more realistic number. Only 300 earned more than $100,000, so it’s still a small and growing opportunity for game developers. Developers are paid 70% of the Robux - the in-game currency - their content earns, which encourages the many small earners to funnel that back into gameplay, and not convert it into real bucks.</p>\n<p>But most users will only ever experience the mobile app for playing the games. So it is actually very different from Minecraft, to which it gets frequently compared:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfb43273a10448d6157e5031eb16f226\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"295\"></p>\n<p>So while there is some general overlap, mostly in the idea that creativity is one of the core parts of the game, they mostly are pretty different. Minecraft is also infinitely modifiable, but it is not millions of games.</p>\n<p>As 2020 closed, there were 20 million games, which opens up a new challenge: discoverability. Apple’s(NASDAQ:AAPL)struggles with this in the App Store, despite big investments there, highlight what a challenge that is. My own experience is that they are doing pretty well, but have a ways to go, like everyone else that is relying on algorithmic discovery.</p>\n<p><b>The Metaverse</b></p>\n<p>What Roblox is building here is something futurists have referred to as a “metaverse,” a term lifted from a 1992 sci-fi novel,Snow Crash. You can think about the metaverse as a combination of persistent virtual worlds, and the real world interacting - the world of the film Ready Player One, but hopefully less awful. Roblox talks about 8 parts of this that make up the metaverse they are building.</p>\n<ol>\n <li>The avatar. How each individual player chooses to represent themselves in virtual worlds. These can be self-designed or purchased.</li>\n <li>Friends. You are interacting with your real-life friends, and new ones you make on the platform. By December, they were processing 2 million chat messages a day. They do not have voice yet, mostly because they are working on a system that enforces their trust and civility standards, which is far easier to do with plain text messages (item 8 below).</li>\n <li>“Immersiveness.” They are working hard on iterating the graphics so 3D worlds can be everything from cartoony to highly realistic. The progress from even 5 years ago is extraordinary, and light years ahead of their original platform, which looked more like the blocky Minecraft world.</li>\n <li>Global and mobile. Games dynamically downshift graphics and rendering on older devices, or where internet connections are poor. Localization rollout is very far along, but slowed by their focus on content moderation. Again, this is an artifact of item 8 below. Their China strategy is a joint venture with Tencent.</li>\n <li>Variety. Millions of worlds.</li>\n <li>“Frictionless” movement between worlds in a matter of seconds. Games load incrementally, as data is needed. Users average playing 20 different games per month.</li>\n <li>Monetized via Robux, their in-game currency. Also future potential from ad revenue, but I believe they will limit this because of the next item.</li>\n <li>Trust and civility. This is super key for the long-term growth of the platform - to not let a small minority of trolls ruin the experience for everyone else. After developer payments, the largest line item in their Opex is “Infrastructure and trust &amp; safety.” I view this as a crucial investment.</li>\n</ol>\n<p>Roblox is far from the only company trying to put something like this together, but I like their strategy, especially these aspects:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Combining development and gameplay into one platform solves the Nobody Knows Anything Problem.</li>\n <li>Their emphasis on the social aspects of gameplay.</li>\n <li>Their emphasis on trust and civility.</li>\n <li>Monetization that is already working, and an untapped advertising stream of revenue in the future.</li>\n <li>They run their own backend cloud, customized for their needs and ambitions. In some regions, they fall back to AWS (AMZN).</li>\n <li>They prefer small, autonomous teams to large hierarchical groups, and encourage cross-pollination between groups.</li>\n <li>The “moat” comes when they reach enough scale. They are not close yet.</li>\n <li>Their future plans include translating this model focused on engagement with your friends and content creation to other areas like education, work, live events and video. I believe they have a key opportunity to become the preferred work-from-home platform over Zoom (ZM).</li>\n</ul>\n<p>This is a wholistic, Apple-like strategy that is built to last.</p>\n<p><b>Financials</b></p>\n<p>I specified GAAP revenue in the intro because digital goods companies like Roblox have complications, even that far up the operating statement. The big issue is that monetization is done through the sale of Robux, the in-game currency. But until the Robux are spent in-game, they are counted as deferred revenue, and not counted in GAAP revenue. This makes quite the difference.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/659642cfe091e1d54c0a2f10ef66e5e2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"></p>\n<p>As you can see, there were a lot of Christmas Robux still in user accounts at the end of 2020. So I’m going to redo the operating statement with revenue plus deferred Robux, or what Roblox calls “bookings,” as the top line. Bookings are a much more accurate representation of their cash flows from app store owners like Apple and Google.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9fd5871111e25c87be06898e293801d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"392\"></p>\n<p>The point is this is already a profitable company, despite the negative GAAP earnings, with $524 million in cash flows from operations in 2020 (CFOs count deferred revenue).</p>\n<p>What’s more, this is an efficient, mature operation. On every new tech listing, I have a metric I call “the revenue juicer.” Growth companies know analysts focus on revenue growth, so they juice that number with large discounts to customers that get filed away in cost-of-goods, or as a marketing cost. Revenues look larger, even if it doesn’t affect operating income. This metric is a way of catching that. It’s the sum of cost-of-goods and sales/marketing divided by revenue.</p>\n<p>Just to give you an idea of what this looks like, Snowflake (SNOW) is the most egregious recent example. In their last quarter, they spent $1.26 on customer acquisition for every dollar of revenue. Roblox spent $0.32 using GAAP revenue, and $0.28 using bookings as the denominator. They spent particularly little on marketing, only 3% of bookings and 6% of GAAP revenue. Their growth is largely organic, through word-of-mouth. Every parent of young children I know is talking about it. This is a virtuous cycle. As more people become attracted to the platform, more of them decide to make games, and the volume and quality of the games rises, attracting new users.</p>\n<p>Their administrative expenses are similarly in-line at 5% of bookings and 11% of GAAP revenue.</p>\n<p>This is a nicely run operation, that also has a big GAAP number coming in the March quarter as users spend down those holiday Robux account balances, and the revenue goes from deferred to GAAP.</p>\n<p>But they are also expecting a drop-off in engagement from the pandemic highs as people begin to spend more time out of their houses. So let’s talk about user metrics.</p>\n<p><b>User Metrics</b></p>\n<p>What we see here is huge growth in user metrics in 2020 that is not sustainable in a post-pandemic environment. Starting with daily active users:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca65d547a060f9d5415cd3d4b43962f7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"></p>\n<p>But I hate DAUs. They tell you nothing about what people are doing while there. Fortunately, Roblox breaks out total hours of usage.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6ac29876f67948190c8a606cfab6209\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"></p>\n<p>Putting those together, on average, Roblox users spent an extra half hour a day in the app in 2020, after dipping slightly in 2019.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd012aa8b818b763e6cc1f3a1d7eca35\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"></p>\n<p>That extra half hour is the pandemic effect in a nutshell. Users are also spending more every hour.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be94d53323e077a3f12325a6b38ed19f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"></p>\n<p>My guess is they revert back to 2018-2019 type numbers in 2021 in those last two metrics. The company is also predicting that we could see some negative comps in 2021. Here’s their 2021 guidance from last week:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/557691b5f03b6c7536bea5c651ada13d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"149\"><span>The party ends Q2.</span></p>\n<p>The Whale Problem</p>\n<p>I’m a fan of S-1 “Risk Factors” sections. In the first place there’s a lot of information in there. But also, from the tone and language of how it’s written, you can get a sense of how management wants to frame problems. Are they being honest and forthright, and using plain English, or are they using a lot of management doublespeak? If it’sthe latter, it makes me sniff everything twice.</p>\n<p>Right off the bat, in the first paragraph, they made a friend:</p>\n<blockquote>\n We have experienced rapid growth in the three months ended June 30, 2020, September 30, 2020, December 31, 2020, and for a portion of the three months ended March 31, 2020, due in part to the COVID-19 pandemic given our users have been online more as a result of global COVID-19 shelter-in-place policies. For example, our bookings increased 171% from the year ended December 31, 2019 to the year ended December 31, 2020. We do not expect these activity levels to be sustained, and in future periods we expect growth rates for our revenue to decline, and we may not experience any growth in bookings or our user base during periods where we are comparing against COVID-19 impacted periods.\n</blockquote>\n<p>This is carried through in their 2021 guidance we just looked at. This is a great example of their language in this section — simple, clear, informative. But the thing that stood out to me was something I was looking for, because it’s a thing that bothers me always, the so-called Whale Problem, or the 80-20 Problem. There are many companies in the free-to-play gaming business that get a very large portion of their revenues, around 80%, from a small number of users, around 20%. Those 20% are the “whales.” Roblox’ description:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b><i>We rely on a very small percentage of our total users for a significant majority of our revenue and bookings that we derive from our platform.</i></b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n We generate substantially all of our revenue through the sales of our virtual currency, “Robux,” which players can use to purchase virtual items sold by our developer and creator community on the platform. Only a small portion of our users regularly purchase Robux through subscriptions and pay for experiences and virtual items compared to all users who use our platform in any period.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The term “whale” comes from the casino business, where much of the house’s take comes from these whales. How this works at casinos is a great example as why I view this as a problem. Some of the highest paid people at casinos are the “hosts,” whose job it is to attract and retain whales. It is a large part of their focus and Opex. The problem is what attracts the whales will not always work on the general public. Casinos solved this problem with the one-on-one marketing of the hosts, and by having separate gaming areas for the whales.</p>\n<p>In the gaming world, companies can fall into the same trap, but don’t have as clean a solution as the high-roller rooms in casinos. All users, from the whales to the people who never pay a dime, are all mixed together, by design. The trap here is the efforts to attract whales turns off everyone else — the other 80% that provide the network effects, but very little revenue.</p>\n<p>At some point, management is going to come under pressure to keep revenues growing fast, and that means more whales, but that can also limit total user growth long term. They calmed my fears a bit with another section of Risk Factors:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b><i>We focus our business on our developers, creators, and users, and acting in their interests in the long-term may conflict with the short-term expectations of analysts and investors.</i></b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n A significant part of our business strategy and culture is to focus on long-term growth and developer, creator, and user experience over short-term financial results. We expect our expenses to continue to increase in the future as we broaden our developer, creator, and user community, as developers, creators, and users increase the amount and types of experiences and virtual items they make available on our platform and the content they consume, and as we develop and further enhance our platform, expand our technical infrastructure and data centers, and hire additional employees to support our expanding operations.\n</blockquote>\n<p>This is the right choice for what they are trying to build. Let’s hope they remember that in a couple of years.</p>\n<p>Wrapping Up</p>\n<p>First, some summary bullets:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Roblox is not a game, but a platform for both designing and playing games. They have 20 million games on the platform.</li>\n <li>Like other gaming companies, they are trying to build a metaverse that blends real and persistent virtual worlds. Social aspects are key in Roblox, and I believe they are focusing on the right parts of this, putting a lot of emphasis on having a safe, fun environment for all ages.</li>\n <li>They have what I consider a durable long-term strategy.</li>\n <li>Their growth up to now has been almost entirely via word-of-mouth.</li>\n <li>Without a quirk in GAAP reporting, they are actually a profitable company with over a half billion in operational cash flows in 2020.</li>\n <li>Like many gaming companies, their user metrics all saw outrageous growth in 2020 due to the pandemic. That cannot be matched in 2021. Q1 GAAP numbers will be still very large due to high Robux balances at the end of 2020 and the same pandemic conditions, but the party ends Q2.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>So I like what they have brewing here, despite all the long-term challenges of building something so ambitious. But that last bullet leads me to believe there is a better price coming later in the year when the reality of post-pandemic gaming patterns settle in. It looks like they packed a couple of years of growth into one year. As such, at current prices, which puts it with a higher market cap than EA (EA), makes me think there is a much better price coming later in the year. That’s why the neutral rating.</p>\n<p>I’ll circle back when they report Q1.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Roblox Builds The Metaverse</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRoblox Builds The Metaverse\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-12 21:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4413403-roblox-builds-metaverse><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nRoblox is not a game, but a platform for both designing and playing games.\nLike other gaming companies, they are trying to build a metaverse that blends real and persistent virtual worlds.\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4413403-roblox-builds-metaverse\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RBLX":"Roblox Corporation"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4413403-roblox-builds-metaverse","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1144000725","content_text":"Summary\n\nRoblox is not a game, but a platform for both designing and playing games.\nLike other gaming companies, they are trying to build a metaverse that blends real and persistent virtual worlds.\nThey have what I consider a durable long-term strategy and stellar word-of-mouth marketing.\nLike many gaming companies, their user metrics all saw outrageous growth in 2020 due to the pandemic. That cannot be matched after Q1 2021.\nAs such, I think a better price will be available later in the year.\n\n\nNobody Knows Anything\n\n Nobody knows anything. Not one person in the entire motion picture field knows for a certainty what’s going to work. Every time out it’s a guess — and if you’re lucky, an educated one.\n\n\n - William Goldman,Adventures in the Screen Trade\n\nI live in LA, and many of my friends and neighbors are in the film and TV industry, and I even once worked at Warner Brothers TV, Warner's TV production arm. Even if they don’t know where it came from, that three-word phrase, “nobody knows anything,” is one everybody knows, and is as close to gospel as you get in Hollywood.\nOne of the greatest screenwriters of all time, Goldman’s point was that it is impossible to ever know exactly what audiences are going to want, and even the smartest, cagiest, most creative executives are frequently wrong. Complicating that is the very long time it takes to go from screenplay to screen. What may have been perfect cultural timing at conception may already be stale by the time people can see it.\nI see this exact problem in game studios as well, prominently in that last part about timing. Especially in the AAA game world, development times can extend for years. Creators get immersed in the world they are building, and meanwhile outside the walls of the studio, the world is changing. I think Apple TV+’s Mythic Quest, a comedy about a fictional MMORPG studio, dramatizes a lot of this very well.\nRoblox’s (RBLX) model solves the Nobody Knows Anything Problem in the way YouTube (GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL)solved it for video. Roblox is not really a game, but a platform for designing and playing games. It gets frequently compared to Minecraft (MSFT), because they both rely on user creativity, but it is more akin to Unreal Engine, Epic’s game development platform. But that’s for developers. Roblox brings game publishing to the masses the way YouTube democratized video broadcasting.\nThe YouTube model is that most of their content is terrible, but that there is so much of it, there is also a huge volume of good stuff that rises to the top and gets monetized, especially when we are talking about niche audiences. That Roblox graphic above, “Millions of Experiences” is the same model in a three-word slogan.\nRoblox does not have to come up with the Next Big Thing, and the one after that, and the one after that. They are counting on their users to do it for them. Amongst millions of worlds, thousands are going to be of interest to players.\nBut as much as I like the model, I can’t recommend the stock for two reasons. In the first place, they have already seen huge pandemic-related growth, and even they are predicting user engagement will be flattish or down in 2021. But more to the point, Roblox closed its first day of trading with a market cap over $40 billion. The stock price was up to over $70 aftermarket after listing at $45. The problem is this:\nData by YCharts\nThat valuation does not make a ton of sense right now for a company with under a billion in GAAP revenue. But that aside, this is one to keep an eye on. I believe a better price will come later in the year as the report soft comps with pandemic quarters.\nIt’s A Game Development Platform, Not A Game\nMany companies like to refer to their IP stack as a “platform” to imply that a lot can be built upon it. Most of the time, that’s just management buzzwording. But Roblox is genuinely a gaming platform for both creators and users, which makes it distinct.\nDeveloping games is not as simple as they’d like to make out, but it is much simpler than any other method.\nRoblox Studio screenshot\nRoblox comes with a huge library of modifiable characters, environments and objects. While much can be scripted, games can be authored without writing a single line of code, using built-in scripts and behaviors. It also has a plugin architecture, and there are many which add functionality or ease-of-use to the development environment, or add game content. They have 35 million of these in their developer store. This is a full stack development tool that even beginners can use.\nThere are thousands of these videos on YouTube. More complex gameplay and objects require scripting in Roblox’s Lua language, but it tends to be much simpler than alternative languages. My point here is that a wide range of game designers - from kids to professionals - can use this thing and create something very simple, or something very complex.\nThe majority of users will never download Roblox Studio. They counted 33 million daily active users in 2020, and 8 million “active developers.” 1.5 million earned something from their creations, so that’s probably a more realistic number. Only 300 earned more than $100,000, so it’s still a small and growing opportunity for game developers. Developers are paid 70% of the Robux - the in-game currency - their content earns, which encourages the many small earners to funnel that back into gameplay, and not convert it into real bucks.\nBut most users will only ever experience the mobile app for playing the games. So it is actually very different from Minecraft, to which it gets frequently compared:\n\nSo while there is some general overlap, mostly in the idea that creativity is one of the core parts of the game, they mostly are pretty different. Minecraft is also infinitely modifiable, but it is not millions of games.\nAs 2020 closed, there were 20 million games, which opens up a new challenge: discoverability. Apple’s(NASDAQ:AAPL)struggles with this in the App Store, despite big investments there, highlight what a challenge that is. My own experience is that they are doing pretty well, but have a ways to go, like everyone else that is relying on algorithmic discovery.\nThe Metaverse\nWhat Roblox is building here is something futurists have referred to as a “metaverse,” a term lifted from a 1992 sci-fi novel,Snow Crash. You can think about the metaverse as a combination of persistent virtual worlds, and the real world interacting - the world of the film Ready Player One, but hopefully less awful. Roblox talks about 8 parts of this that make up the metaverse they are building.\n\nThe avatar. How each individual player chooses to represent themselves in virtual worlds. These can be self-designed or purchased.\nFriends. You are interacting with your real-life friends, and new ones you make on the platform. By December, they were processing 2 million chat messages a day. They do not have voice yet, mostly because they are working on a system that enforces their trust and civility standards, which is far easier to do with plain text messages (item 8 below).\n“Immersiveness.” They are working hard on iterating the graphics so 3D worlds can be everything from cartoony to highly realistic. The progress from even 5 years ago is extraordinary, and light years ahead of their original platform, which looked more like the blocky Minecraft world.\nGlobal and mobile. Games dynamically downshift graphics and rendering on older devices, or where internet connections are poor. Localization rollout is very far along, but slowed by their focus on content moderation. Again, this is an artifact of item 8 below. Their China strategy is a joint venture with Tencent.\nVariety. Millions of worlds.\n“Frictionless” movement between worlds in a matter of seconds. Games load incrementally, as data is needed. Users average playing 20 different games per month.\nMonetized via Robux, their in-game currency. Also future potential from ad revenue, but I believe they will limit this because of the next item.\nTrust and civility. This is super key for the long-term growth of the platform - to not let a small minority of trolls ruin the experience for everyone else. After developer payments, the largest line item in their Opex is “Infrastructure and trust & safety.” I view this as a crucial investment.\n\nRoblox is far from the only company trying to put something like this together, but I like their strategy, especially these aspects:\n\nCombining development and gameplay into one platform solves the Nobody Knows Anything Problem.\nTheir emphasis on the social aspects of gameplay.\nTheir emphasis on trust and civility.\nMonetization that is already working, and an untapped advertising stream of revenue in the future.\nThey run their own backend cloud, customized for their needs and ambitions. In some regions, they fall back to AWS (AMZN).\nThey prefer small, autonomous teams to large hierarchical groups, and encourage cross-pollination between groups.\nThe “moat” comes when they reach enough scale. They are not close yet.\nTheir future plans include translating this model focused on engagement with your friends and content creation to other areas like education, work, live events and video. I believe they have a key opportunity to become the preferred work-from-home platform over Zoom (ZM).\n\nThis is a wholistic, Apple-like strategy that is built to last.\nFinancials\nI specified GAAP revenue in the intro because digital goods companies like Roblox have complications, even that far up the operating statement. The big issue is that monetization is done through the sale of Robux, the in-game currency. But until the Robux are spent in-game, they are counted as deferred revenue, and not counted in GAAP revenue. This makes quite the difference.\n\nAs you can see, there were a lot of Christmas Robux still in user accounts at the end of 2020. So I’m going to redo the operating statement with revenue plus deferred Robux, or what Roblox calls “bookings,” as the top line. Bookings are a much more accurate representation of their cash flows from app store owners like Apple and Google.\n\nThe point is this is already a profitable company, despite the negative GAAP earnings, with $524 million in cash flows from operations in 2020 (CFOs count deferred revenue).\nWhat’s more, this is an efficient, mature operation. On every new tech listing, I have a metric I call “the revenue juicer.” Growth companies know analysts focus on revenue growth, so they juice that number with large discounts to customers that get filed away in cost-of-goods, or as a marketing cost. Revenues look larger, even if it doesn’t affect operating income. This metric is a way of catching that. It’s the sum of cost-of-goods and sales/marketing divided by revenue.\nJust to give you an idea of what this looks like, Snowflake (SNOW) is the most egregious recent example. In their last quarter, they spent $1.26 on customer acquisition for every dollar of revenue. Roblox spent $0.32 using GAAP revenue, and $0.28 using bookings as the denominator. They spent particularly little on marketing, only 3% of bookings and 6% of GAAP revenue. Their growth is largely organic, through word-of-mouth. Every parent of young children I know is talking about it. This is a virtuous cycle. As more people become attracted to the platform, more of them decide to make games, and the volume and quality of the games rises, attracting new users.\nTheir administrative expenses are similarly in-line at 5% of bookings and 11% of GAAP revenue.\nThis is a nicely run operation, that also has a big GAAP number coming in the March quarter as users spend down those holiday Robux account balances, and the revenue goes from deferred to GAAP.\nBut they are also expecting a drop-off in engagement from the pandemic highs as people begin to spend more time out of their houses. So let’s talk about user metrics.\nUser Metrics\nWhat we see here is huge growth in user metrics in 2020 that is not sustainable in a post-pandemic environment. Starting with daily active users:\n\nBut I hate DAUs. They tell you nothing about what people are doing while there. Fortunately, Roblox breaks out total hours of usage.\n\nPutting those together, on average, Roblox users spent an extra half hour a day in the app in 2020, after dipping slightly in 2019.\n\nThat extra half hour is the pandemic effect in a nutshell. Users are also spending more every hour.\n\nMy guess is they revert back to 2018-2019 type numbers in 2021 in those last two metrics. The company is also predicting that we could see some negative comps in 2021. Here’s their 2021 guidance from last week:\nThe party ends Q2.\nThe Whale Problem\nI’m a fan of S-1 “Risk Factors” sections. In the first place there’s a lot of information in there. But also, from the tone and language of how it’s written, you can get a sense of how management wants to frame problems. Are they being honest and forthright, and using plain English, or are they using a lot of management doublespeak? If it’sthe latter, it makes me sniff everything twice.\nRight off the bat, in the first paragraph, they made a friend:\n\n We have experienced rapid growth in the three months ended June 30, 2020, September 30, 2020, December 31, 2020, and for a portion of the three months ended March 31, 2020, due in part to the COVID-19 pandemic given our users have been online more as a result of global COVID-19 shelter-in-place policies. For example, our bookings increased 171% from the year ended December 31, 2019 to the year ended December 31, 2020. We do not expect these activity levels to be sustained, and in future periods we expect growth rates for our revenue to decline, and we may not experience any growth in bookings or our user base during periods where we are comparing against COVID-19 impacted periods.\n\nThis is carried through in their 2021 guidance we just looked at. This is a great example of their language in this section — simple, clear, informative. But the thing that stood out to me was something I was looking for, because it’s a thing that bothers me always, the so-called Whale Problem, or the 80-20 Problem. There are many companies in the free-to-play gaming business that get a very large portion of their revenues, around 80%, from a small number of users, around 20%. Those 20% are the “whales.” Roblox’ description:\n\nWe rely on a very small percentage of our total users for a significant majority of our revenue and bookings that we derive from our platform.\n\n\n We generate substantially all of our revenue through the sales of our virtual currency, “Robux,” which players can use to purchase virtual items sold by our developer and creator community on the platform. Only a small portion of our users regularly purchase Robux through subscriptions and pay for experiences and virtual items compared to all users who use our platform in any period.\n\nThe term “whale” comes from the casino business, where much of the house’s take comes from these whales. How this works at casinos is a great example as why I view this as a problem. Some of the highest paid people at casinos are the “hosts,” whose job it is to attract and retain whales. It is a large part of their focus and Opex. The problem is what attracts the whales will not always work on the general public. Casinos solved this problem with the one-on-one marketing of the hosts, and by having separate gaming areas for the whales.\nIn the gaming world, companies can fall into the same trap, but don’t have as clean a solution as the high-roller rooms in casinos. All users, from the whales to the people who never pay a dime, are all mixed together, by design. The trap here is the efforts to attract whales turns off everyone else — the other 80% that provide the network effects, but very little revenue.\nAt some point, management is going to come under pressure to keep revenues growing fast, and that means more whales, but that can also limit total user growth long term. They calmed my fears a bit with another section of Risk Factors:\n\nWe focus our business on our developers, creators, and users, and acting in their interests in the long-term may conflict with the short-term expectations of analysts and investors.\n\n\n A significant part of our business strategy and culture is to focus on long-term growth and developer, creator, and user experience over short-term financial results. We expect our expenses to continue to increase in the future as we broaden our developer, creator, and user community, as developers, creators, and users increase the amount and types of experiences and virtual items they make available on our platform and the content they consume, and as we develop and further enhance our platform, expand our technical infrastructure and data centers, and hire additional employees to support our expanding operations.\n\nThis is the right choice for what they are trying to build. Let’s hope they remember that in a couple of years.\nWrapping Up\nFirst, some summary bullets:\n\nRoblox is not a game, but a platform for both designing and playing games. They have 20 million games on the platform.\nLike other gaming companies, they are trying to build a metaverse that blends real and persistent virtual worlds. Social aspects are key in Roblox, and I believe they are focusing on the right parts of this, putting a lot of emphasis on having a safe, fun environment for all ages.\nThey have what I consider a durable long-term strategy.\nTheir growth up to now has been almost entirely via word-of-mouth.\nWithout a quirk in GAAP reporting, they are actually a profitable company with over a half billion in operational cash flows in 2020.\nLike many gaming companies, their user metrics all saw outrageous growth in 2020 due to the pandemic. That cannot be matched in 2021. Q1 GAAP numbers will be still very large due to high Robux balances at the end of 2020 and the same pandemic conditions, but the party ends Q2.\n\nSo I like what they have brewing here, despite all the long-term challenges of building something so ambitious. But that last bullet leads me to believe there is a better price coming later in the year when the reality of post-pandemic gaming patterns settle in. It looks like they packed a couple of years of growth into one year. As such, at current prices, which puts it with a higher market cap than EA (EA), makes me think there is a much better price coming later in the year. That’s why the neutral rating.\nI’ll circle back when they report Q1.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":87,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":179392612,"gmtCreate":1626485234336,"gmtModify":1633926364805,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stay away..get good stocks...","listText":"Stay away..get good stocks...","text":"Stay away..get good stocks...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179392612","repostId":"1159574501","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159574501","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626484131,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1159574501?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-17 09:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"'Bad Omen' For Meme Stocks And The Retail Trading Boom? Here's What The Data Says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159574501","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Social media meme stocks GameStop Corp.(NYSE:GME) and AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc(NYSE:AMC) took ","content":"<p>Social media meme stocks&nbsp;<b>GameStop Corp.</b>(NYSE:GME) and&nbsp;<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc</b>(NYSE:AMC) took a beating this week, with GameStop on track to finish the week down 9% and AMC set to lose 20.9% in Friday afternoon trading.</p>\n<p>DataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas said this week&nbsp;there is an ominous sign the&nbsp;meme stock phenomenon may be dying a slow death.</p>\n<p><b>Retail Trading Boom:</b>DataTrek has been periodically tracking the boom in retail traders triggered during the pandemic in 2020 and 2021 by monitoring U.S. Google search volume for the keywords “invest” and “buy stock.” Colas said these basic search terms are a broad way to gauge marginal retail investor interest in the stock market.</p>\n<p>The image below shows how search volume for those key phrases has changed since the beginning of 2020.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9930646712b9790171cccf12a873f757\" tg-width=\"1199\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Colas said the search volume data clearly indicates the retail stock trading fad is completely over at this point, a “very bad omen” for AMC and GameStop. In fact, Google search volume is now back down to where it was before the pandemic started in early 2020.</p>\n<p>In addition, search volumes are now down 75% from their peak levels during the initial short squeezes in AMC and GameStop back in January 2021.</p>\n<p>Colas said meme stocks like AMC need new retail stock traders to join in the buying to support their stock prices else they could be headed for more volatility like they have experienced this week.</p>\n<p>“Bubbles need fresh money, or they deflate. Quickly,” Colas wrote. “Every craze needs new adherents (i.e., not just the same crowd) to keep it relevant, and the Google chart shows those are in increasingly short supply.”</p>\n<p><b>PMP Weighs In:</b>Benzinga&nbsp;PreMarket Prep co-host Dennis Dick said&nbsp;a good story can carry a stock a long way, and some stocks can even become so hot that they become temporarily disconnected from the company’s underlying fundamentals.</p>\n<p>“We have seen that in a number of meme stocks this year. Story can drive price in the short run but stocks almost always return back to their fundamental value in the long run,” Dick said.</p>\n<p>The type of disconnect between share price and underlying value that AMC and GameStop have experienced in 2021 is certainly nothing new. Canadian cannabis stock&nbsp;<b>Tilray Inc</b>(NASDAQ:TLRY) experienced a similar disconnect back in 2018 when a retail stock mania sent the stock skyrocketing up to $300. Today, Tilray is trading back down at around $13.90.</p>\n<p>“As the stock price begins to fall, momentum traders who have been chasing the hot story will begin to exit. But if the stock trades at an extreme valuation, there may be very few traders willing to buy. This is what we are starting to see in many meme stocks today,” Dick said.</p>\n<p><b>Benzinga's Take:</b>If the story begins to get hot again, the stock prices of overvalued story stocks can always recover once again. But without any underlying fundamentals to support the valuation, these types of stocks need a constant stream of new buyers and an increasingly bullish story to generate fresh enthusiasm.</p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>'Bad Omen' For Meme Stocks And The Retail Trading Boom? Here's What The Data Says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n'Bad Omen' For Meme Stocks And The Retail Trading Boom? Here's What The Data Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-17 09:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/07/22023662/bad-omen-for-meme-stocks-and-the-retail-trading-boom-heres-what-the-data-says><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Social media meme stocks GameStop Corp.(NYSE:GME) and AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc(NYSE:AMC) took a beating this week, with GameStop on track to finish the week down 9% and AMC set to lose 20.9% in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/07/22023662/bad-omen-for-meme-stocks-and-the-retail-trading-boom-heres-what-the-data-says\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TLRY":"Tilray Inc.","GME":"游戏驿站","AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/07/22023662/bad-omen-for-meme-stocks-and-the-retail-trading-boom-heres-what-the-data-says","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159574501","content_text":"Social media meme stocks GameStop Corp.(NYSE:GME) and AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc(NYSE:AMC) took a beating this week, with GameStop on track to finish the week down 9% and AMC set to lose 20.9% in Friday afternoon trading.\nDataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas said this week there is an ominous sign the meme stock phenomenon may be dying a slow death.\nRetail Trading Boom:DataTrek has been periodically tracking the boom in retail traders triggered during the pandemic in 2020 and 2021 by monitoring U.S. Google search volume for the keywords “invest” and “buy stock.” Colas said these basic search terms are a broad way to gauge marginal retail investor interest in the stock market.\nThe image below shows how search volume for those key phrases has changed since the beginning of 2020.\n\nColas said the search volume data clearly indicates the retail stock trading fad is completely over at this point, a “very bad omen” for AMC and GameStop. In fact, Google search volume is now back down to where it was before the pandemic started in early 2020.\nIn addition, search volumes are now down 75% from their peak levels during the initial short squeezes in AMC and GameStop back in January 2021.\nColas said meme stocks like AMC need new retail stock traders to join in the buying to support their stock prices else they could be headed for more volatility like they have experienced this week.\n“Bubbles need fresh money, or they deflate. Quickly,” Colas wrote. “Every craze needs new adherents (i.e., not just the same crowd) to keep it relevant, and the Google chart shows those are in increasingly short supply.”\nPMP Weighs In:Benzinga PreMarket Prep co-host Dennis Dick said a good story can carry a stock a long way, and some stocks can even become so hot that they become temporarily disconnected from the company’s underlying fundamentals.\n“We have seen that in a number of meme stocks this year. Story can drive price in the short run but stocks almost always return back to their fundamental value in the long run,” Dick said.\nThe type of disconnect between share price and underlying value that AMC and GameStop have experienced in 2021 is certainly nothing new. Canadian cannabis stock Tilray Inc(NASDAQ:TLRY) experienced a similar disconnect back in 2018 when a retail stock mania sent the stock skyrocketing up to $300. Today, Tilray is trading back down at around $13.90.\n“As the stock price begins to fall, momentum traders who have been chasing the hot story will begin to exit. But if the stock trades at an extreme valuation, there may be very few traders willing to buy. This is what we are starting to see in many meme stocks today,” Dick said.\nBenzinga's Take:If the story begins to get hot again, the stock prices of overvalued story stocks can always recover once again. But without any underlying fundamentals to support the valuation, these types of stocks need a constant stream of new buyers and an increasingly bullish story to generate fresh enthusiasm.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":423,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171949268,"gmtCreate":1626703795954,"gmtModify":1633924789761,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"When will this be end :(","listText":"When will this be end :(","text":"When will this be end :(","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171949268","repostId":"1190476422","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":390,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147279819,"gmtCreate":1626361360531,"gmtModify":1633927475494,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Be prepared&nbsp;","listText":"Be prepared&nbsp;","text":"Be prepared","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147279819","repostId":"1155093230","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":425,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152452046,"gmtCreate":1625334427785,"gmtModify":1633941440244,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It time for bear to come..","listText":"It time for bear to come..","text":"It time for bear to come..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152452046","repostId":"1146176335","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146176335","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625277627,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146176335?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-03 10:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Alibaba Turn Around Its Woes in the Second Half of 2021?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146176335","media":"The Street","summary":"Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?Alibaba  -Get Report has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were trading well into the fourth quarter of 2020 but then a string of issues pummeled the stock.Regulators disrupted Ant's initial public offering, then dug deeper on Alibaba and dialed up the heat.Investors don’t like regulatory issues as it is but particularly when we’re dealing with Chinese regulators.Howeve","content":"<blockquote>\n Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?\n</blockquote>\n<p>Alibaba&nbsp;(<b>BABA</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were trading well into the fourth quarter of 2020 but then a string of issues pummeled the stock.</p>\n<p>Regulators disrupted Ant's initial public offering, then dug deeper on Alibaba and dialed up the heat.</p>\n<p>Investors don’t like regulatory issues as it is but particularly when we’re dealing with Chinese regulators.</p>\n<p>However, in April, Alibaba paid a smaller-than-expectedbut still record fine, hoping to puts its regulatory issues behind it. Still, the stock hasn’t responded the way bulls were hoping.</p>\n<p>All of this comes as the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq continue to grind outnew all-time highs.</p>\n<p>It also comes as FAANG stocks continue to trade incredibly well. Alphabet&nbsp;(<b>GOOGL</b>) -Get Reportis the top performerwith a near-40% gain in the first half of the year, while Netflix&nbsp;(<b>NFLX</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;is the worst, with a 2.3% drop.</p>\n<p>Alibaba has a similar first-half performance, down 2.6%. However, it’s doing far worse from the highs, down more than 30%.</p>\n<p>Can it turn around its woes in the second half and start rallying higher?</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9975f383919ff8cfc34fca49a32d8e8f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"494\"></p>\n<p>Call me a hopeless optimist, but I feel that Alibaba can have a solid second-half performance.</p>\n<p>The overall market has done too well and so has large-cap tech. The fundamentals of the business are intact and growth is strong. It’s like Amazon&nbsp;(<b>AMZN</b>) -Get Report.Eventually, it will perform better&nbsp;- it’s a question of “when” and not “if.”</p>\n<p>Shares continue to hold the $210 to $212 area and have recently cleared downtrend resistance (blue line). That said, there’s plenty of overhead hurdles.</p>\n<p>Specifically, Alibaba stock is struggling with the 21-week moving average, as well as the 21-month and 10-month moving averages.</p>\n<p>Let’s be clear: There are not a lot of bullish technical components here. If Alibaba stock could hold the 10-week moving average on this week’s dip, I’d feel better about it.</p>\n<p>However, as long as it can hold up over the $210 level and really, the 200-week moving average, I feel okay about Alibaba going into the next six months.</p>\n<p>A push over $235 - thus putting it over all of the moving average hurdles mentioned above - could open up a run to $250, then $263. Above $275 and $300 is in play.</p>\n<p>Keep the risk in mind but this could be a solid second-half rebound play.</p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Alibaba Turn Around Its Woes in the Second Half of 2021?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Alibaba Turn Around Its Woes in the Second Half of 2021?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-03 10:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/alibaba-baba-stock-second-half-2021-trading?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO><strong>The Street</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?\n\nAlibaba (BABA) -Get Report has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/alibaba-baba-stock-second-half-2021-trading?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09618":"京东集团-SW"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/alibaba-baba-stock-second-half-2021-trading?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146176335","content_text":"Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?\n\nAlibaba (BABA) -Get Report has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were trading well into the fourth quarter of 2020 but then a string of issues pummeled the stock.\nRegulators disrupted Ant's initial public offering, then dug deeper on Alibaba and dialed up the heat.\nInvestors don’t like regulatory issues as it is but particularly when we’re dealing with Chinese regulators.\nHowever, in April, Alibaba paid a smaller-than-expectedbut still record fine, hoping to puts its regulatory issues behind it. Still, the stock hasn’t responded the way bulls were hoping.\nAll of this comes as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq continue to grind outnew all-time highs.\nIt also comes as FAANG stocks continue to trade incredibly well. Alphabet (GOOGL) -Get Reportis the top performerwith a near-40% gain in the first half of the year, while Netflix (NFLX) -Get Report is the worst, with a 2.3% drop.\nAlibaba has a similar first-half performance, down 2.6%. However, it’s doing far worse from the highs, down more than 30%.\nCan it turn around its woes in the second half and start rallying higher?\n\nCall me a hopeless optimist, but I feel that Alibaba can have a solid second-half performance.\nThe overall market has done too well and so has large-cap tech. The fundamentals of the business are intact and growth is strong. It’s like Amazon (AMZN) -Get Report.Eventually, it will perform better - it’s a question of “when” and not “if.”\nShares continue to hold the $210 to $212 area and have recently cleared downtrend resistance (blue line). That said, there’s plenty of overhead hurdles.\nSpecifically, Alibaba stock is struggling with the 21-week moving average, as well as the 21-month and 10-month moving averages.\nLet’s be clear: There are not a lot of bullish technical components here. If Alibaba stock could hold the 10-week moving average on this week’s dip, I’d feel better about it.\nHowever, as long as it can hold up over the $210 level and really, the 200-week moving average, I feel okay about Alibaba going into the next six months.\nA push over $235 - thus putting it over all of the moving average hurdles mentioned above - could open up a run to $250, then $263. Above $275 and $300 is in play.\nKeep the risk in mind but this could be a solid second-half rebound play.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165760278,"gmtCreate":1624158014094,"gmtModify":1634010092276,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Need a lot of patience for this stock","listText":"Need a lot of patience for this stock","text":"Need a lot of patience for this stock","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165760278","repostId":"1192473918","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1192473918","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624029343,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1192473918?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 23:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"PLTR Stock: The Palantir-FAA Deal News Should Have Investors Smiling Today","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1192473918","media":"investorplace","summary":"Palantir Technologies(NYSE:PLTR) stock is on the move Friday following news of a deal with the Feder","content":"<p><b>Palantir Technologies</b>(NYSE:<b><u>PLTR</u></b>) stock is on the move Friday following news of a deal with the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA).</p>\n<p>The goal of this deal is toassist the FAA in modernizing its ” objectives for aviation safety.”This will have Palantir Technologies providing the agency with a data analyzing tool to help with that effort.</p>\n<p>According to a news release, this will have Palantir Technologies monitoring various safety aspects for the FAA. That includes reintegrating the 737 MAX fleet back into service after it was suspended due to fatal crashes.</p>\n<p>Palantir Technologies’ deal with the FAA is set to last for one year. However, there’s also the option to extend it by up to two years. The agreement has a maximum value of $18.4 million.</p>\n<p>Akash Jain, president of Palantir USG, said the following about the agreement with the FAA that should have PLTR stock gaining today.</p>\n<blockquote>\n “We are proud to be partnering with the Federal Aviation Administration to support their critical safety mission.”\n</blockquote>\n<p>The fact that PLTR stock is actually moving lower today despite this news is strange. The company’s shares did start off rising in early morning trading, but quickly fell back down to yesterday’s close before dipping even lower.</p>\n<p>It’s also worth noting that trading volume isn’t taking off on news of the FAA deal, either. As of this writing, more than 20 million shares of PLTR stock had changed hands. That’s still well below the company’s daily average trading volume of 57.8 million shares.</p>\n<p>PLTR stock was down 1.1% as of Friday morning.</p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>PLTR Stock: The Palantir-FAA Deal News Should Have Investors Smiling Today</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPLTR Stock: The Palantir-FAA Deal News Should Have Investors Smiling Today\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-18 23:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/06/pltr-stock-the-palantir-faa-deal-news-should-have-investors-smiling-today/><strong>investorplace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Palantir Technologies(NYSE:PLTR) stock is on the move Friday following news of a deal with the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA).\nThe goal of this deal is toassist the FAA in modernizing its ” ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/06/pltr-stock-the-palantir-faa-deal-news-should-have-investors-smiling-today/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/06/pltr-stock-the-palantir-faa-deal-news-should-have-investors-smiling-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192473918","content_text":"Palantir Technologies(NYSE:PLTR) stock is on the move Friday following news of a deal with the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA).\nThe goal of this deal is toassist the FAA in modernizing its ” objectives for aviation safety.”This will have Palantir Technologies providing the agency with a data analyzing tool to help with that effort.\nAccording to a news release, this will have Palantir Technologies monitoring various safety aspects for the FAA. That includes reintegrating the 737 MAX fleet back into service after it was suspended due to fatal crashes.\nPalantir Technologies’ deal with the FAA is set to last for one year. However, there’s also the option to extend it by up to two years. The agreement has a maximum value of $18.4 million.\nAkash Jain, president of Palantir USG, said the following about the agreement with the FAA that should have PLTR stock gaining today.\n\n “We are proud to be partnering with the Federal Aviation Administration to support their critical safety mission.”\n\nThe fact that PLTR stock is actually moving lower today despite this news is strange. The company’s shares did start off rising in early morning trading, but quickly fell back down to yesterday’s close before dipping even lower.\nIt’s also worth noting that trading volume isn’t taking off on news of the FAA deal, either. As of this writing, more than 20 million shares of PLTR stock had changed hands. That’s still well below the company’s daily average trading volume of 57.8 million shares.\nPLTR stock was down 1.1% as of Friday morning.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":112,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125539124,"gmtCreate":1624679315368,"gmtModify":1633949668763,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍","listText":"👍👍","text":"👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125539124","repostId":"1177764085","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177764085","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624662146,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1177764085?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-26 07:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 climbs to another record led by bank shares, notches its best week since February","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177764085","media":"CNBC","summary":"U.S. stocks rose on Friday with the S&P 500 building on its rally to records, as investors bet that ","content":"<div>\n<p>U.S. stocks rose on Friday with the S&P 500 building on its rally to records, as investors bet that higher inflation will be temporary as the economy continues to recover from the pandemic.\nThe broad ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/24/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 climbs to another record led by bank shares, notches its best week since February</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 climbs to another record led by bank shares, notches its best week since February\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-26 07:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/24/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>U.S. stocks rose on Friday with the S&P 500 building on its rally to records, as investors bet that higher inflation will be temporary as the economy continues to recover from the pandemic.\nThe broad ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/24/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/24/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1177764085","content_text":"U.S. stocks rose on Friday with the S&P 500 building on its rally to records, as investors bet that higher inflation will be temporary as the economy continues to recover from the pandemic.\nThe broad equity benchmark climbed 0.3% to hit another closing record high of 4,280.70. Financials were the best-performing S&P 500 sector with a 1.3% gain. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 237.02 points, or 0.7%, to 34,433.84, sitting less than 2% from its record. The Nasdaq Composite erased earlier gains and closed 0.1% lower at 14,360.39 amid a rise in bond yields. The 10-year Treasury yield jumped 4 basis points to 1.52%.\nThe S&P 500 rallied 2.7% for the week, notching its biggest weekly gain since early February. The Dow gained 3.4% this week for its best week since mid-March, while the Nasdaq advanced 2.4%.\nFriday’s rally came after a key inflation indicator that the Federal Reserve uses to set policy rose 3.4% in May, the fastest increase since the early 1990s, the Commerce Department reported Friday. The reading matched the expectation from economists polled by Dow Jones. The core index rose 0.5% for the month, which actually was below the 0.6% estimate.\nThe core personal consumption expenditures price index increase reflects the rapid pace of economic expansion and resulting price pressures, and amplified how far the nation has come since the pandemic-induced shutdown of 2020.\n“This provided support to the Fed’s argument that inflation is transitory and will help allay fears that we are witnessing runaway inflation,” said Anu Gaggar, senior global Investment analyst at Commonwealth Financial Network. “This should continue to provide support to risk assets such as equities.”\nBank shares jumped after the Federal Reserve announced the banking industry could easily withstand a severe recession. The Fed, in releasing the results of its annual stress test, said the 23 institutions in the 2021 exam remained “well above” minimum required capital levels during a hypothetical economic downturn. The decision cleared the way for the banks to raise dividends and buy back more stock, which was suspended during the pandemic.\nWells Fargo climbed 2.6%, while Fifth Third and PNC all gained over 2%. JPMorgan and Bank of America both rose more than 1%.\nNike’s stock surged 15.5%, helping to boost sentiment for the Dow. The company reported earnings and revenue that blew past Wall Street estimates. Digital sales also jumped 41% since last year and 147% from two years ago.\nOn the flipside,FedEx dipped 3.6% despite beating on the top and bottom lines of its earnings. FedEx also gave a strong yearly outlook.\nFriday saw heightened trading volume as FTSE Russell was set to rebalance its U.S. stock indexes at the market close. Bank of America estimated that more than $170 billion worth of shares would be changed hands as a result of 625 changes in total to Russell indexes, including the Russell 1000 and Russell 2000.\nPresident Joe Biden announced Thursday that the White House struck an infrastructure deal with a bipartisan group of senators. The lawmakers have worked for weeks to craft a roughly $1 trillion package that could get through Congress with support from both parties. The framework will include $579 billion in new spending on transportation like roads, bridges and rail, electric vehicle infrastructure and electric transit, among other things.\nThe stock market came back from last week’s swoon induced by worries about a tighter Federal Reserve. Last week, the Dow fell 3.5% and the S&P 500 shed 1.9% as the Fed moved up its timeline for interest-rate increases.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156511440,"gmtCreate":1625229797280,"gmtModify":1633942324237,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍","listText":"👍👍","text":"👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156511440","repostId":"2148087111","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":61,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165783934,"gmtCreate":1624157718328,"gmtModify":1634010100102,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Need to beware the trap&nbsp;and prepare for opportunity","listText":"Need to beware the trap&nbsp;and prepare for opportunity","text":"Need to beware the trap and prepare for opportunity","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165783934","repostId":"1126454279","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126454279","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624151746,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126454279?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-20 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A Stock Market Crash Is Coming: 5 High-Conviction Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist When It Happens","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126454279","media":"fool","summary":"It might be the last thing you want to hear, but it's the truth:A stock market crash is inevitable.\n","content":"<p>It might be the last thing you want to hear, but it's the truth:A stock market crash is inevitable.</p>\n<p>Since the March 23, 2020 bottom, investors have enjoyed a historically strong bounce-back rally -- the widely followed<b>S&amp;P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)has gained an impressive 90%. But both history and valuation metrics unequivocally suggest that a big drop is upcoming for the stock market.</p>\n<p><b>History is pretty clear that trouble lies ahead</b></p>\n<p>For example, there have beenone or two double-digit percentage declineswithin the three years following a bottom in each of the previous eight bear markets prior to the coronavirus crash (i.e., dating back to 1960). Although bull markets tend to last years, rebounds from a bear market are never this smooth. We're nearly 15 months past the March 2020 bear-market bottom in the S&amp;P 500 and have yet to see anything close to a double-digit correction.</p>\n<p>To add to this point, data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research shows that there have been 38 double-digit declines in the S&amp;P 500 over the past 71 years. That's a crash or correction, on average,every 1.87 years. Though the market doesn't adhere to averages, it does give a general sense of when to expect these hiccups.</p>\n<p>On a valuation basis, the S&amp;P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is a waving red flag. The S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E -- a measure of inflation-adjusted earnings over the previous 10 years -- almost hit 38 earlier this week. That more than doubles its 151-year average, and it's the highest level in nearly two decades. The previous four times the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30 during a bull market rally, the indexsubsequently declined by a minimum of 20%.</p>\n<p>Make no mistake about it -- a stock market crash is coming.</p>\n<p>Every crash or correction is an opportunity for patient investors to make money</p>\n<p>However, a crash is no reason to duck and cover. While history may signal trouble ahead, it also tells us that each and every double-digit decline has been a buying opportunity. Eventually, every big drop in the major indexes is erased by a bull-market rally. When the next crash does occur, the following five high-conviction stocks can be confidently bought hand over fist.</p>\n<p><b>CrowdStrike Holdings</b></p>\n<p>Cybersecurity is projected to beone of the safest double-digit growth trendsthis decade. No matter the size of the business or the state of the U.S./global economy, protecting enterprise and consumer data is paramount. This means cloud-based cybersecurity stock<b>CrowdStrike Holdings</b>(NASDAQ:CRWD)can thrive in any environment.</p>\n<p>CrowdStrike's successderives from its cloud-native Falcon security platform. Because it's built in the cloud and relies on artificial intelligence, it's growing smarter at identifying and responding to threats all the time. It's currently overseeing 6 trillion events on a weekly basis, and it's far more cost-effective at protecting data than on-premise solutions.</p>\n<p>We can also look to the company's income statements to see clear-cut evidence that businesses favor CrowdStrike's cybersecurity platform. It's been retaining 98% of its clients, has seen existing clients spend 23% to 47% more on a year-over-year basis for the past 12 quarters, and recently reported that 64% of its customers have purchased at least four cloud module subscriptions. Scaling with its customers is CrowdStrike's ticket to big-time cash flow expansion.</p>\n<p><b>Facebook</b></p>\n<p>Brand-name businesses can make patient investors a fortune, and social media giant<b>Facebook</b>(NASDAQ:FB)is the perfect example.</p>\n<p>When the curtain closed on March, Facebook tallied 2.85 billion monthly active users (MAU) visiting its namesake site and an additional 600 million unique MAUs visiting WhatsApp or Instagram, which it also owns. All told, this equates to44% of the global populationinteracting with its owned sites each month. There's simply no social media platform businesses can go to get their message to a broader (or potentially targeted) audience, which is why Facebook ad-pricing power is so strong.</p>\n<p>But here's the kicker: Facebookhasn't even put the pedal to the metal. Although it's on track to generate more than $100 billion in advertising revenue in 2021, nearly all of these ad sales are coming from its namesake site and Instagram. WhatsApp and Facebook Messenger, which are two of the six most-visited social sites in the world, aren't being meaningfully monetized as of yet. Further, the company's Oculus virtual reality devices are still in the early stage of their growth. Suffice it to say, Facebook offers ample upside as its other operating segments are monetized and mature.</p>\n<p><b>NextEra Energy</b></p>\n<p>Another high-conviction stock to buy hand over fist the next time a crash or steep correction strikes is electric utility stock<b>NextEra Energy</b>(NYSE:NEE).</p>\n<p>Did I put you to sleep when I said \"electric utility stock?\" Electric utilities are traditionally known for their market-topping dividend yields and persistently low growth rates. But this doesn't describe NextEra Energy. NextEra has aggressively invested in renewable energy projects and is leading the country in solar and wind capacity. As a result of these investments, its electric generation costs have declined and its compound annual growth ratehas consistently been in the high single digitsfor more than a decade. It also doesn't hurt that NextEra is front-running any potential green-energy legislation that might come out of Washington.</p>\n<p>In addition to growth rates that are well above the sector average, NextEra still benefits from the predictability of energy demand. For instance, its regulated utilities (i.e., those not powered by renewable energy) require approval from state utility commissions before price hikes can be passed along to households. This might sound like an inconvenience, but it's actually great news. It means NextEra won't be exposed to potentially volatile wholesale pricing.</p>\n<p><b>Visa</b></p>\n<p>When the next stock market crash arrives, payment processing kingpin<b>Visa</b>(NYSE:V)is a winning company to confidently buy hand over fist. It's also another brand-name company thatcan still make its shareholders a fortune.</p>\n<p>Buying into the Visa growth story is a simple numbers game. Visa grows its revenue and profits when consumers and businesses are spending more. This happens when the U.S. and global economy are expanding. Although contractions and recessions are an inevitable part of the economic cycle, they tend to be short-lived. Meanwhile, periods of economic expansion are almost always measured in years. Buying into Visa during these short-lived crashes or corrections should allow long-term investors to be handsomely rewarded by this numbers game.</p>\n<p>The other interesting thing about Visa is thatit's shunned becoming a lender. You'd think that Visa could generate big bucks from interest income and fees by lending during these long-lived periods of expansion. But lending would also expose Visa to the credit delinquencies that arise during recessions. Operating solely as a payment processor means not having to set aside cash to cover delinquencies. It's why Visa rebounds so much faster than most financial stocks following a recession.</p>\n<p><b>Amazon</b></p>\n<p>Lastly (andwho couldn't see this coming?), investors should take any discount they can get during a crash on e-commerce behemoth<b>Amazon</b>(NASDAQ:AMZN).</p>\n<p>Amazon's online marketplace has proved virtually unstoppable for well over a decade. An April 2021 report from eMarketer pegged the company's share of U.S. online sales at 40.4%. That more than quintuples its next-closest competitor and effectively solidifies Amazon as the go-to source for online shopping in the U.S.</p>\n<p>What about those pesky low retail margins, you ask? Amazon has signed up more than 200 million people globally to a Prime membership. The fees collected from Prime members help to offset some of the company's retail-based margin weakness. Prime members are extremely loyal to the Amazon ecosystem and spend far more than non-members, too.</p>\n<p>But it's Amazon's cloud infrastructure segmentthat's the superstar. Amazon Web Services (AWS) brings in around one-eighth of the company's total sales but accounts for well over half its operating income. Since cloud margins are superior to retail and advertising margins, AWS is the company's key to explosive cash flow growth this decade.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A Stock Market Crash Is Coming: 5 High-Conviction Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist When It Happens</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA Stock Market Crash Is Coming: 5 High-Conviction Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist When It Happens\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-20 09:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/19/stock-market-crash-coming-5-high-conviction-stocks/><strong>fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It might be the last thing you want to hear, but it's the truth:A stock market crash is inevitable.\nSince the March 23, 2020 bottom, investors have enjoyed a historically strong bounce-back rally -- ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/19/stock-market-crash-coming-5-high-conviction-stocks/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","CRWD":"CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.","NEP":"Nextera Energy Partners","V":"Visa"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/19/stock-market-crash-coming-5-high-conviction-stocks/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126454279","content_text":"It might be the last thing you want to hear, but it's the truth:A stock market crash is inevitable.\nSince the March 23, 2020 bottom, investors have enjoyed a historically strong bounce-back rally -- the widely followedS&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)has gained an impressive 90%. But both history and valuation metrics unequivocally suggest that a big drop is upcoming for the stock market.\nHistory is pretty clear that trouble lies ahead\nFor example, there have beenone or two double-digit percentage declineswithin the three years following a bottom in each of the previous eight bear markets prior to the coronavirus crash (i.e., dating back to 1960). Although bull markets tend to last years, rebounds from a bear market are never this smooth. We're nearly 15 months past the March 2020 bear-market bottom in the S&P 500 and have yet to see anything close to a double-digit correction.\nTo add to this point, data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research shows that there have been 38 double-digit declines in the S&P 500 over the past 71 years. That's a crash or correction, on average,every 1.87 years. Though the market doesn't adhere to averages, it does give a general sense of when to expect these hiccups.\nOn a valuation basis, the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is a waving red flag. The S&P 500's Shiller P/E -- a measure of inflation-adjusted earnings over the previous 10 years -- almost hit 38 earlier this week. That more than doubles its 151-year average, and it's the highest level in nearly two decades. The previous four times the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30 during a bull market rally, the indexsubsequently declined by a minimum of 20%.\nMake no mistake about it -- a stock market crash is coming.\nEvery crash or correction is an opportunity for patient investors to make money\nHowever, a crash is no reason to duck and cover. While history may signal trouble ahead, it also tells us that each and every double-digit decline has been a buying opportunity. Eventually, every big drop in the major indexes is erased by a bull-market rally. When the next crash does occur, the following five high-conviction stocks can be confidently bought hand over fist.\nCrowdStrike Holdings\nCybersecurity is projected to beone of the safest double-digit growth trendsthis decade. No matter the size of the business or the state of the U.S./global economy, protecting enterprise and consumer data is paramount. This means cloud-based cybersecurity stockCrowdStrike Holdings(NASDAQ:CRWD)can thrive in any environment.\nCrowdStrike's successderives from its cloud-native Falcon security platform. Because it's built in the cloud and relies on artificial intelligence, it's growing smarter at identifying and responding to threats all the time. It's currently overseeing 6 trillion events on a weekly basis, and it's far more cost-effective at protecting data than on-premise solutions.\nWe can also look to the company's income statements to see clear-cut evidence that businesses favor CrowdStrike's cybersecurity platform. It's been retaining 98% of its clients, has seen existing clients spend 23% to 47% more on a year-over-year basis for the past 12 quarters, and recently reported that 64% of its customers have purchased at least four cloud module subscriptions. Scaling with its customers is CrowdStrike's ticket to big-time cash flow expansion.\nFacebook\nBrand-name businesses can make patient investors a fortune, and social media giantFacebook(NASDAQ:FB)is the perfect example.\nWhen the curtain closed on March, Facebook tallied 2.85 billion monthly active users (MAU) visiting its namesake site and an additional 600 million unique MAUs visiting WhatsApp or Instagram, which it also owns. All told, this equates to44% of the global populationinteracting with its owned sites each month. There's simply no social media platform businesses can go to get their message to a broader (or potentially targeted) audience, which is why Facebook ad-pricing power is so strong.\nBut here's the kicker: Facebookhasn't even put the pedal to the metal. Although it's on track to generate more than $100 billion in advertising revenue in 2021, nearly all of these ad sales are coming from its namesake site and Instagram. WhatsApp and Facebook Messenger, which are two of the six most-visited social sites in the world, aren't being meaningfully monetized as of yet. Further, the company's Oculus virtual reality devices are still in the early stage of their growth. Suffice it to say, Facebook offers ample upside as its other operating segments are monetized and mature.\nNextEra Energy\nAnother high-conviction stock to buy hand over fist the next time a crash or steep correction strikes is electric utility stockNextEra Energy(NYSE:NEE).\nDid I put you to sleep when I said \"electric utility stock?\" Electric utilities are traditionally known for their market-topping dividend yields and persistently low growth rates. But this doesn't describe NextEra Energy. NextEra has aggressively invested in renewable energy projects and is leading the country in solar and wind capacity. As a result of these investments, its electric generation costs have declined and its compound annual growth ratehas consistently been in the high single digitsfor more than a decade. It also doesn't hurt that NextEra is front-running any potential green-energy legislation that might come out of Washington.\nIn addition to growth rates that are well above the sector average, NextEra still benefits from the predictability of energy demand. For instance, its regulated utilities (i.e., those not powered by renewable energy) require approval from state utility commissions before price hikes can be passed along to households. This might sound like an inconvenience, but it's actually great news. It means NextEra won't be exposed to potentially volatile wholesale pricing.\nVisa\nWhen the next stock market crash arrives, payment processing kingpinVisa(NYSE:V)is a winning company to confidently buy hand over fist. It's also another brand-name company thatcan still make its shareholders a fortune.\nBuying into the Visa growth story is a simple numbers game. Visa grows its revenue and profits when consumers and businesses are spending more. This happens when the U.S. and global economy are expanding. Although contractions and recessions are an inevitable part of the economic cycle, they tend to be short-lived. Meanwhile, periods of economic expansion are almost always measured in years. Buying into Visa during these short-lived crashes or corrections should allow long-term investors to be handsomely rewarded by this numbers game.\nThe other interesting thing about Visa is thatit's shunned becoming a lender. You'd think that Visa could generate big bucks from interest income and fees by lending during these long-lived periods of expansion. But lending would also expose Visa to the credit delinquencies that arise during recessions. Operating solely as a payment processor means not having to set aside cash to cover delinquencies. It's why Visa rebounds so much faster than most financial stocks following a recession.\nAmazon\nLastly (andwho couldn't see this coming?), investors should take any discount they can get during a crash on e-commerce behemothAmazon(NASDAQ:AMZN).\nAmazon's online marketplace has proved virtually unstoppable for well over a decade. An April 2021 report from eMarketer pegged the company's share of U.S. online sales at 40.4%. That more than quintuples its next-closest competitor and effectively solidifies Amazon as the go-to source for online shopping in the U.S.\nWhat about those pesky low retail margins, you ask? Amazon has signed up more than 200 million people globally to a Prime membership. The fees collected from Prime members help to offset some of the company's retail-based margin weakness. Prime members are extremely loyal to the Amazon ecosystem and spend far more than non-members, too.\nBut it's Amazon's cloud infrastructure segmentthat's the superstar. Amazon Web Services (AWS) brings in around one-eighth of the company's total sales but accounts for well over half its operating income. Since cloud margins are superior to retail and advertising margins, AWS is the company's key to explosive cash flow growth this decade.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":45,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172915640,"gmtCreate":1626926783880,"gmtModify":1633769649839,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good for the past 2 days&nbsp;","listText":"Good for the past 2 days&nbsp;","text":"Good for the past 2 days","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172915640","repostId":"2153477496","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153477496","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1626899252,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2153477496?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-22 04:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street ends higher, powered by strong earnings, economic cheer","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153477496","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK, July 21 (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks posted their second straight daily gain on Wednesda","content":"<p>NEW YORK, July 21 (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks posted their second straight daily gain on Wednesday, with robust corporate earnings and renewed optimism about the U.S. economic recovery fueling a risk-on rally.</p>\n<p>All three major U.S. stock indexes added to their previous session's advance, placing all three within 1% of their all-time closing highs.</p>\n<p>Economically sensitive smallcaps , semiconductors&nbsp;and financials&nbsp;outperformed the broader market.</p>\n<p>\"It’s a seesaw going on between great earnings and a recovering market and concerns over whether the economy is going to slow down because of the (COVID-19) Delta variant,\" said Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia. \"But we’re seeing strong earnings with generally positive guidance, and the feeling that (the Delta variant) can be managed.\"</p>\n<p>A rebound in travel helped fuel United Airlines'&nbsp;revenue beat, boosting its stock by 3.8%.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 1500 Airlines index&nbsp;gained 3.3%, while the S&amp;P 1500 Hotels, Restaurant and Leisure index advanced 2.9%.</p>\n<p>\"Earlier in the week those stocks suffered because of renewed fears that travel will slow down and all related industries will suffer, but those fears have gone away,\" Tuz added. \"Demand is continuing as expected, I don’t think the Delta fear is causing people to change their plans.\"</p>\n<p>Benchmark U.S. Treasury yields continued their bounce from five-month lows following a weak 20-year bond auction, which benefited rate-sensitive banks.</p>\n<p>Wrangling in Washington over the passage of a bipartisan $1.2 trillion infrastructure package progressed as Senate Democrats moved toward a planned procedural vote despite Republican appeals for a delay.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 286.01 points, or 0.83%, to 34,798, the S&amp;P 500 gained 35.63 points, or 0.82%, to 4,358.69 and the Nasdaq Composite added 133.08 points, or 0.92%, to 14,631.95.</p>\n<p>Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, energy stocks</p>\n<p>were the big winners, jumping 3.5% with the help of surging crude prices .</p>\n<p>Second-quarter reporting season has shifted into overdrive, with 73 of the companies in the S&amp;P 500 having posted results. Of those, 88% have beaten consensus expectations.</p>\n<p>Among the winners, Chipotle Mexican Grill jumped 11.5% after the burrito chain beat earnings estimates and forecast strong current-quarter sales growth. The stock boasted the S&amp;P 500's largest percentage gain.</p>\n<p>Coca-Cola rose 1.3% after raising its full-year forecast.</p>\n<p>Interpuplic Group of Companies&nbsp;jumped 11.3% in the wake of its upbeat earnings release.</p>\n<p>Drugmaker Johnson &amp; Johnson&nbsp;forecast $2.5 billion in sales from its <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-shot COVID vaccine this year and hiked its sales estimates. It closed up a modest 0.6%.</p>\n<p>On the losing side, Netflix Inc late Tuesday reported slowing subscriber growth, sending its shares down 3.3%, the second-largest percentage loser in the S&amp;P 500.</p>\n<p>Harley-Davidson's&nbsp; second-quarter earnings release showed its turnaround plan appeared to be making progress, but the company lowered its operating income guidance due to tariffs from Europe, its second-biggest market. Its stock dropped 7.2%.</p>\n<p>Texas Instruments&nbsp;dipped more than 3% in extended trading following results posted after the bell.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.92-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.21-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 66 new highs and 34 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.13 billion shares, compared with the 10.17 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street ends higher, powered by strong earnings, economic cheer</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street ends higher, powered by strong earnings, economic cheer\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-22 04:27</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK, July 21 (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks posted their second straight daily gain on Wednesday, with robust corporate earnings and renewed optimism about the U.S. economic recovery fueling a risk-on rally.</p>\n<p>All three major U.S. stock indexes added to their previous session's advance, placing all three within 1% of their all-time closing highs.</p>\n<p>Economically sensitive smallcaps , semiconductors&nbsp;and financials&nbsp;outperformed the broader market.</p>\n<p>\"It’s a seesaw going on between great earnings and a recovering market and concerns over whether the economy is going to slow down because of the (COVID-19) Delta variant,\" said Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia. \"But we’re seeing strong earnings with generally positive guidance, and the feeling that (the Delta variant) can be managed.\"</p>\n<p>A rebound in travel helped fuel United Airlines'&nbsp;revenue beat, boosting its stock by 3.8%.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 1500 Airlines index&nbsp;gained 3.3%, while the S&amp;P 1500 Hotels, Restaurant and Leisure index advanced 2.9%.</p>\n<p>\"Earlier in the week those stocks suffered because of renewed fears that travel will slow down and all related industries will suffer, but those fears have gone away,\" Tuz added. \"Demand is continuing as expected, I don’t think the Delta fear is causing people to change their plans.\"</p>\n<p>Benchmark U.S. Treasury yields continued their bounce from five-month lows following a weak 20-year bond auction, which benefited rate-sensitive banks.</p>\n<p>Wrangling in Washington over the passage of a bipartisan $1.2 trillion infrastructure package progressed as Senate Democrats moved toward a planned procedural vote despite Republican appeals for a delay.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 286.01 points, or 0.83%, to 34,798, the S&amp;P 500 gained 35.63 points, or 0.82%, to 4,358.69 and the Nasdaq Composite added 133.08 points, or 0.92%, to 14,631.95.</p>\n<p>Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, energy stocks</p>\n<p>were the big winners, jumping 3.5% with the help of surging crude prices .</p>\n<p>Second-quarter reporting season has shifted into overdrive, with 73 of the companies in the S&amp;P 500 having posted results. Of those, 88% have beaten consensus expectations.</p>\n<p>Among the winners, Chipotle Mexican Grill jumped 11.5% after the burrito chain beat earnings estimates and forecast strong current-quarter sales growth. The stock boasted the S&amp;P 500's largest percentage gain.</p>\n<p>Coca-Cola rose 1.3% after raising its full-year forecast.</p>\n<p>Interpuplic Group of Companies&nbsp;jumped 11.3% in the wake of its upbeat earnings release.</p>\n<p>Drugmaker Johnson &amp; Johnson&nbsp;forecast $2.5 billion in sales from its <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-shot COVID vaccine this year and hiked its sales estimates. It closed up a modest 0.6%.</p>\n<p>On the losing side, Netflix Inc late Tuesday reported slowing subscriber growth, sending its shares down 3.3%, the second-largest percentage loser in the S&amp;P 500.</p>\n<p>Harley-Davidson's&nbsp; second-quarter earnings release showed its turnaround plan appeared to be making progress, but the company lowered its operating income guidance due to tariffs from Europe, its second-biggest market. Its stock dropped 7.2%.</p>\n<p>Texas Instruments&nbsp;dipped more than 3% in extended trading following results posted after the bell.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.92-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.21-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 66 new highs and 34 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.13 billion shares, compared with the 10.17 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153477496","content_text":"NEW YORK, July 21 (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks posted their second straight daily gain on Wednesday, with robust corporate earnings and renewed optimism about the U.S. economic recovery fueling a risk-on rally.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes added to their previous session's advance, placing all three within 1% of their all-time closing highs.\nEconomically sensitive smallcaps , semiconductors and financials outperformed the broader market.\n\"It’s a seesaw going on between great earnings and a recovering market and concerns over whether the economy is going to slow down because of the (COVID-19) Delta variant,\" said Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia. \"But we’re seeing strong earnings with generally positive guidance, and the feeling that (the Delta variant) can be managed.\"\nA rebound in travel helped fuel United Airlines' revenue beat, boosting its stock by 3.8%.\nThe S&P 1500 Airlines index gained 3.3%, while the S&P 1500 Hotels, Restaurant and Leisure index advanced 2.9%.\n\"Earlier in the week those stocks suffered because of renewed fears that travel will slow down and all related industries will suffer, but those fears have gone away,\" Tuz added. \"Demand is continuing as expected, I don’t think the Delta fear is causing people to change their plans.\"\nBenchmark U.S. Treasury yields continued their bounce from five-month lows following a weak 20-year bond auction, which benefited rate-sensitive banks.\nWrangling in Washington over the passage of a bipartisan $1.2 trillion infrastructure package progressed as Senate Democrats moved toward a planned procedural vote despite Republican appeals for a delay.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 286.01 points, or 0.83%, to 34,798, the S&P 500 gained 35.63 points, or 0.82%, to 4,358.69 and the Nasdaq Composite added 133.08 points, or 0.92%, to 14,631.95.\nOf the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, energy stocks\nwere the big winners, jumping 3.5% with the help of surging crude prices .\nSecond-quarter reporting season has shifted into overdrive, with 73 of the companies in the S&P 500 having posted results. Of those, 88% have beaten consensus expectations.\nAmong the winners, Chipotle Mexican Grill jumped 11.5% after the burrito chain beat earnings estimates and forecast strong current-quarter sales growth. The stock boasted the S&P 500's largest percentage gain.\nCoca-Cola rose 1.3% after raising its full-year forecast.\nInterpuplic Group of Companies jumped 11.3% in the wake of its upbeat earnings release.\nDrugmaker Johnson & Johnson forecast $2.5 billion in sales from its one-shot COVID vaccine this year and hiked its sales estimates. It closed up a modest 0.6%.\nOn the losing side, Netflix Inc late Tuesday reported slowing subscriber growth, sending its shares down 3.3%, the second-largest percentage loser in the S&P 500.\nHarley-Davidson's  second-quarter earnings release showed its turnaround plan appeared to be making progress, but the company lowered its operating income guidance due to tariffs from Europe, its second-biggest market. Its stock dropped 7.2%.\nTexas Instruments dipped more than 3% in extended trading following results posted after the bell.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.92-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.21-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 66 new highs and 34 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.13 billion shares, compared with the 10.17 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144305797,"gmtCreate":1626265968919,"gmtModify":1633928504658,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Think they need to explore ways to engage/retain customers with added value services&nbsp;","listText":"Think they need to explore ways to engage/retain customers with added value services&nbsp;","text":"Think they need to explore ways to engage/retain customers with added value services","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144305797","repostId":"1137188160","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137188160","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626263564,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137188160?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-14 19:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wedbush downgrades Peloton, says customer engagement falling with gyms reopened","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137188160","media":"CNBC","summary":"Peloton needs to prove it can grow in a post-pandemic world before the stock can beat the market aga","content":"<div>\n<p>Peloton needs to prove it can grow in a post-pandemic world before the stock can beat the market again, according to investment firm Wedbush.\nAnalyst James Hardiman downgraded the stock to neutral ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/14/peloton-stock-pton-wedbush-downgrade.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wedbush downgrades Peloton, says customer engagement falling with gyms reopened</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWedbush downgrades Peloton, says customer engagement falling with gyms reopened\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-14 19:52 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/14/peloton-stock-pton-wedbush-downgrade.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Peloton needs to prove it can grow in a post-pandemic world before the stock can beat the market again, according to investment firm Wedbush.\nAnalyst James Hardiman downgraded the stock to neutral ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/14/peloton-stock-pton-wedbush-downgrade.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PTON":"Peloton Interactive, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/14/peloton-stock-pton-wedbush-downgrade.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1137188160","content_text":"Peloton needs to prove it can grow in a post-pandemic world before the stock can beat the market again, according to investment firm Wedbush.\nAnalyst James Hardiman downgraded the stock to neutral from outperform, saying in a note to clients on Wednesday that growth will be harder to come by for the exercise equipment company.\n“PTON is now embarking on the next leg of its growth story, one that in a post-pandemic era will require the company to generate its own momentum through savvy marketing and compelling new products,” the note said.\nThe stock was a big winner in 2020 as gyms across the United States were temporarily closed due to the pandemic, but shares have pulled back by more than 20% this year.\nWedbush’s research, including social media and internet search trends, suggest that Peloton is seeing a drop off in customer engagement.\n“In each case, the y/y growth in the June quarter has seen substantial deceleration, which should not be surprising given seasonal and reopening headwinds, but nonetheless would seem to mark a turning point for a company that has continually defied gravity since its IPO, and presents evidence that the law of large numbers is finally catching up,” the note said.\nThe investment firm cut its price target on Peloton to $115 per share from $130. The new target is 4% below where the stock closed on Tuesday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":224,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141776584,"gmtCreate":1625895843748,"gmtModify":1633936254915,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🤩 wow","listText":"🤩 wow","text":"🤩 wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141776584","repostId":"1195812364","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195812364","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625875523,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1195812364?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-10 08:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: Real estate, post-pandemic plays and more in an 9 IPO week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195812364","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"Italian drug container supplier Stevanato Group plans to raise $900 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. Controlled by its founding family, the profitable company supplies glass vials, syringes, and other medical-grade containers to more than 700 customers, including 41 of the top 50 pharmaceutical companies.Shopping center REIT Phillips Edison & Company plans to raise $502 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. This REIT owns equity interests in 300 shopping centers across the US, focusing on l","content":"<p>After a slow holiday week, nine IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.</p>\n<p>Italian drug container supplier&nbsp;<b>Stevanato Group</b>(STVN) plans to raise $900 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. Controlled by its founding family, the profitable company supplies glass vials, syringes, and other medical-grade containers to more than 700 customers, including 41 of the top 50 pharmaceutical companies.</p>\n<p>Shopping center REIT&nbsp;<b>Phillips Edison &amp; Company</b>(PECO) plans to raise $502 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. This REIT owns equity interests in 300 shopping centers across the US, focusing on locations that are anchored by grocers like Kroger and Public. It targets a 3.5% annualized yield at the midpoint.</p>\n<p>Known for its member-only luxury hotel brand Soho House,<b>Membership Collective Group</b>(MCG) plans to raise $450 at a $3.2 billion market cap. The company boasts a large and loyal member base, though it has no track record of profitability and saw revenue fall by almost half in the 1Q21.</p>\n<p>Mark Wahlberg-backed fitness franchise&nbsp;<b>F45 Training</b>(FXLV) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Specializing in 45-minute workouts, F45 has over 1,500 studios worldwide. The company managed a 37% EBITDA in the trailing 12 months, though the company’s expected post-pandemic growth has yet to show through in the numbers.</p>\n<p>Mortgage software provider&nbsp;<b>Blend Labs</b>(BLND) plans to raise $340 million at a $4.5 billion market cap. Blend Labs provides a digital platform to financial services firms that improves the consumer experience when applying for mortgages and loans. Despite doubling revenue in 2020, the core software business is highly unprofitable due to R&amp;D and S&amp;M spend.</p>\n<p><b>Bridge Investment Group</b>(BRDG) plans to raise $300 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This investment manager specializes in real estate equity and debt across multiple sectors. As of 3/31/2021, Bridge Investment Group has approximately $26 billion of AUM with more than 6,500 individual investors across 25 investment vehicles.</p>\n<p>Ocular medical device provider&nbsp;<b>Sight Sciences</b>(SGHT) plans to raise $150 million at a $1 billion market cap. The company develops and sells medical and surgical devices that present new treatment options for eye diseases. The highly unprofitable company showed signs of re-accelerating growth in the 1Q21 (+32%) after the pandemic delayed elective procedures in 2020.</p>\n<p>Pregnancy diagnostics company&nbsp;<b>Sera Prognostics</b>(SERA) plans to raise $75 million at a $564 million market cap. The company uses its proteomics and bioinformatics platform to develop biomarker tests aimed at improving pregnancy outcomes. Sera Prognostics’ sole commercial product, the PreTRM test, predicts the risk of a premature delivery, though it has yet to generate meaningful revenue.</p>\n<p>A hold-over from last week, early-stage kidney disease biotech&nbsp;<b>Unicycive Therapeutics</b>(UNCY) plans to raise $25 million at a $79 million market cap.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad3dc9b07583a28aad047e44802c899e\" tg-width=\"942\" tg-height=\"732\"></p>\n<p><b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p>\n<p>The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 7/8/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 0.8% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 15.0%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 5.2% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 7.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: Real estate, post-pandemic plays and more in an 9 IPO week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: Real estate, post-pandemic plays and more in an 9 IPO week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-10 08:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83879/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Real-estate-post-pandemic-plays-and-more-in-an-9-IPO-week><strong>Renaissance Capital</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After a slow holiday week, nine IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.\nItalian drug container supplier Stevanato Group(STVN) plans to raise $900 million at a $6.8 billion ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83879/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Real-estate-post-pandemic-plays-and-more-in-an-9-IPO-week\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","FXLV":"F45 Training Holdings Inc.","STVN":"Stevanato Group S.p.A.","SERA":"Sera Prognostics, Inc.","BRDG":"Bridge Investment Group Holdings Inc.","PECO":"Phillips Edison & Company, Inc.","BLND":"Blend Labs, Inc.","SGHT":"Sight Sciences, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83879/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Real-estate-post-pandemic-plays-and-more-in-an-9-IPO-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195812364","content_text":"After a slow holiday week, nine IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.\nItalian drug container supplier Stevanato Group(STVN) plans to raise $900 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. Controlled by its founding family, the profitable company supplies glass vials, syringes, and other medical-grade containers to more than 700 customers, including 41 of the top 50 pharmaceutical companies.\nShopping center REIT Phillips Edison & Company(PECO) plans to raise $502 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. This REIT owns equity interests in 300 shopping centers across the US, focusing on locations that are anchored by grocers like Kroger and Public. It targets a 3.5% annualized yield at the midpoint.\nKnown for its member-only luxury hotel brand Soho House,Membership Collective Group(MCG) plans to raise $450 at a $3.2 billion market cap. The company boasts a large and loyal member base, though it has no track record of profitability and saw revenue fall by almost half in the 1Q21.\nMark Wahlberg-backed fitness franchise F45 Training(FXLV) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Specializing in 45-minute workouts, F45 has over 1,500 studios worldwide. The company managed a 37% EBITDA in the trailing 12 months, though the company’s expected post-pandemic growth has yet to show through in the numbers.\nMortgage software provider Blend Labs(BLND) plans to raise $340 million at a $4.5 billion market cap. Blend Labs provides a digital platform to financial services firms that improves the consumer experience when applying for mortgages and loans. Despite doubling revenue in 2020, the core software business is highly unprofitable due to R&D and S&M spend.\nBridge Investment Group(BRDG) plans to raise $300 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This investment manager specializes in real estate equity and debt across multiple sectors. As of 3/31/2021, Bridge Investment Group has approximately $26 billion of AUM with more than 6,500 individual investors across 25 investment vehicles.\nOcular medical device provider Sight Sciences(SGHT) plans to raise $150 million at a $1 billion market cap. The company develops and sells medical and surgical devices that present new treatment options for eye diseases. The highly unprofitable company showed signs of re-accelerating growth in the 1Q21 (+32%) after the pandemic delayed elective procedures in 2020.\nPregnancy diagnostics company Sera Prognostics(SERA) plans to raise $75 million at a $564 million market cap. The company uses its proteomics and bioinformatics platform to develop biomarker tests aimed at improving pregnancy outcomes. Sera Prognostics’ sole commercial product, the PreTRM test, predicts the risk of a premature delivery, though it has yet to generate meaningful revenue.\nA hold-over from last week, early-stage kidney disease biotech Unicycive Therapeutics(UNCY) plans to raise $25 million at a $79 million market cap.\n\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 7/8/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 0.8% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 15.0%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 5.2% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 7.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157523382,"gmtCreate":1625591240346,"gmtModify":1633939276192,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow..","listText":"Wow..","text":"Wow..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157523382","repostId":"2147181921","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":180,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122641936,"gmtCreate":1624619421625,"gmtModify":1633950476608,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍","listText":"👍👍","text":"👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/122641936","repostId":"2146023165","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2146023165","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624614720,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2146023165?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-25 17:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Microsoft sent a strong signal to developers that could hurt Apple and Google","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2146023165","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Microsoft  launched a broadside against rivals Apple  and Google  on Thursday, announcing that the next version of Windows, called Windows 11, will feature an app store that lets developers keep 100% of the revenue from sales of their apps.That’s a massive departure from the policies Apple and Google have in place that require app developers who use their stores to pay 30% fees on the sale of apps and in-app purchases.“Windows has always stood for sovereignty for creators and agency for consumer","content":"<p>Microsoft (MSFT) launched a broadside against rivals Apple (AAPL) and Google (GOOG, GOOGL) on Thursday, announcing that the next version of Windows, called Windows 11, will feature an app store that lets developers keep 100% of the revenue from sales of their apps.</p>\n<p>That’s a massive departure from the policies Apple and Google have in place that require app developers who use their stores to pay 30% fees on the sale of apps and in-app purchases.</p>\n<p>“Windows has always stood for sovereignty for creators and agency for consumers,” Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said. “A platform can only serve society if its rules allow for this foundational innovation and category creation. It’s why we’re introducing new store commerce models and policies.”</p>\n<p>The move is certain to rankle executives at both Apple and Google, which are facing antitrust investigations into their app store practices.</p>\n<p>Apple is awaiting a ruling in an antitrust case brought by Epic Games, in which the “Fortnite” developer accused the iPhone maker of abusing its market power over the App Store by forcing developers to use its own payment system and fork over the associated fees.</p>\n<p>Google, meanwhile, faces a similar lawsuit from Epic and is expected to get slapped with a lawsuit from a collection of state attorneys general for its app store policies.</p>\n<h3><b>Microsoft has been criticizing Apple’s policies</b></h3>\n<p>This isn’t the first time Microsoft has called out its rivals and their app stores. The company has criticized Apple’s policies in the past, specifically Apple’s policy of taking a share of revenue from Microsoft apps purchased through the Apple App Store.</p>\n<p>More recently, Microsoft sparred with Apple over its desire to get its xCloud cloud gaming platform onto the iPhone via a native app. Apple has pushed back, hampering Microsoft’s cloud gaming ambitions and forcing it to make users rely on a browser-style app.</p>\n<p>That led Microsoft to meet and lodge a complaint with members of the House Antitrust Subcommittee during the body’s investigation into Apple, Google, Amazon, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a>.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d92ddac610658f60945c72fc4da23210\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Microsoft has debuted the latest version of its Windows operating system: Windows 11. (Image: Microsoft)Microsoft</p>\n<p>Microsoft also took aim at Apple in the iPhone maker’s battle with “Fortnite” developer Epic Games. In that instance, Microsoft filed a statement of support for Epic in its fight to prevent Apple withholding iOS support for Epic’s Unreal Engine.</p>\n<p>Epic initially sued Apple and Google after the two companies removed “Fornite” from their respective app stores. Apple and Google argue that Epic implemented an update that added a separate payment system allowing consumers to circumvent Apple or Google’s payment services. That effectively cut out Apple and Google’s 30% app store fees.</p>\n<p>Epic’s fight with Apple wrapped up earlier this month and a ruling is expected before the end of the summer.</p>\n<h3><b>Microsoft could win over developers</b></h3>\n<p>With its decision to allow developers to use their own payment systems, Microsoft is sending a signal to the global developer community that it is willing to play by their rules. That could help the company as it seeks to build out its app store and drive more business for Windows.</p>\n<p>While Microsoft was caught flat-footed in the smartphone wars, its moves with the Windows 11 Microsoft Store could give it the kind of boost from developers that it needs to begin taking market share from Apple and Google in the fight for app store supremacy. It’s now up to Apple and Google to respond.</p>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Microsoft sent a strong signal to developers that could hurt Apple and Google</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicrosoft sent a strong signal to developers that could hurt Apple and Google\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-25 17:52 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-app-store-revenue-google-apple-200213646.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Microsoft (MSFT) launched a broadside against rivals Apple (AAPL) and Google (GOOG, GOOGL) on Thursday, announcing that the next version of Windows, called Windows 11, will feature an app store that ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-app-store-revenue-google-apple-200213646.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","09086":"华夏纳指-U","03086":"华夏纳指","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","GOOG":"谷歌","AAPL":"苹果","MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-app-store-revenue-google-apple-200213646.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2146023165","content_text":"Microsoft (MSFT) launched a broadside against rivals Apple (AAPL) and Google (GOOG, GOOGL) on Thursday, announcing that the next version of Windows, called Windows 11, will feature an app store that lets developers keep 100% of the revenue from sales of their apps.\nThat’s a massive departure from the policies Apple and Google have in place that require app developers who use their stores to pay 30% fees on the sale of apps and in-app purchases.\n“Windows has always stood for sovereignty for creators and agency for consumers,” Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said. “A platform can only serve society if its rules allow for this foundational innovation and category creation. It’s why we’re introducing new store commerce models and policies.”\nThe move is certain to rankle executives at both Apple and Google, which are facing antitrust investigations into their app store practices.\nApple is awaiting a ruling in an antitrust case brought by Epic Games, in which the “Fortnite” developer accused the iPhone maker of abusing its market power over the App Store by forcing developers to use its own payment system and fork over the associated fees.\nGoogle, meanwhile, faces a similar lawsuit from Epic and is expected to get slapped with a lawsuit from a collection of state attorneys general for its app store policies.\nMicrosoft has been criticizing Apple’s policies\nThis isn’t the first time Microsoft has called out its rivals and their app stores. The company has criticized Apple’s policies in the past, specifically Apple’s policy of taking a share of revenue from Microsoft apps purchased through the Apple App Store.\nMore recently, Microsoft sparred with Apple over its desire to get its xCloud cloud gaming platform onto the iPhone via a native app. Apple has pushed back, hampering Microsoft’s cloud gaming ambitions and forcing it to make users rely on a browser-style app.\nThat led Microsoft to meet and lodge a complaint with members of the House Antitrust Subcommittee during the body’s investigation into Apple, Google, Amazon, and Facebook.\nMicrosoft has debuted the latest version of its Windows operating system: Windows 11. (Image: Microsoft)Microsoft\nMicrosoft also took aim at Apple in the iPhone maker’s battle with “Fortnite” developer Epic Games. In that instance, Microsoft filed a statement of support for Epic in its fight to prevent Apple withholding iOS support for Epic’s Unreal Engine.\nEpic initially sued Apple and Google after the two companies removed “Fornite” from their respective app stores. Apple and Google argue that Epic implemented an update that added a separate payment system allowing consumers to circumvent Apple or Google’s payment services. That effectively cut out Apple and Google’s 30% app store fees.\nEpic’s fight with Apple wrapped up earlier this month and a ruling is expected before the end of the summer.\nMicrosoft could win over developers\nWith its decision to allow developers to use their own payment systems, Microsoft is sending a signal to the global developer community that it is willing to play by their rules. That could help the company as it seeks to build out its app store and drive more business for Windows.\nWhile Microsoft was caught flat-footed in the smartphone wars, its moves with the Windows 11 Microsoft Store could give it the kind of boost from developers that it needs to begin taking market share from Apple and Google in the fight for app store supremacy. It’s now up to Apple and Google to respond.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":56,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167388790,"gmtCreate":1624247229210,"gmtModify":1634008924509,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍","listText":"👍👍","text":"👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167388790","repostId":"1154249454","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":154,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170235910,"gmtCreate":1626434409830,"gmtModify":1633926796553,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Better solve it early","listText":"Better solve it early","text":"Better solve it early","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170235910","repostId":"2151570666","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":367,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117893736,"gmtCreate":1623127638325,"gmtModify":1634036643725,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"DOkie is the hy ru[Anger]&nbsp;[Grin]&nbsp;[Anger]&nbsp;[Sad]&nbsp;[Cool]&nbsp;[Surprised]&nbsp;[Tongue]&nbsp;[Grin]&nbsp;[Cry]&nbsp;[Angry]&nbsp;","listText":"DOkie is the hy ru[Anger]&nbsp;[Grin]&nbsp;[Anger]&nbsp;[Sad]&nbsp;[Cool]&nbsp;[Surprised]&nbsp;[Tongue]&nbsp;[Grin]&nbsp;[Cry]&nbsp;[Angry]&nbsp;","text":"DOkie is the hy ru[Anger] [Grin] [Anger] [Sad] [Cool] [Surprised] [Tongue] [Grin] [Cry] [Angry]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117893736","repostId":"1104815713","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":84,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174998818,"gmtCreate":1627055801634,"gmtModify":1633768355824,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"My fav!!","listText":"My fav!!","text":"My fav!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174998818","repostId":"2153984780","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":332,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159624190,"gmtCreate":1624964851510,"gmtModify":1633946470958,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍","listText":"👍👍","text":"👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159624190","repostId":"1100563900","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100563900","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624956396,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100563900?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-29 16:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Facebook: Simply Unstoppable","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100563900","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"The #StopHateforProfit Campaign, antitrust allegations, Apple IDFA issue, and a host of other historical issues have not stopped the social media giant and will not stop it.Despite an impressive rally delivering 65% since the start of CY20 and 26% YTD, Facebook remains undervalued relative to its peers and the FAANG stocks with the best forward estimates.The strong moat originating from their sheer user base, and sizeable TAMs in E-commerce, VR/AR, digital assets , cumulatively make for a compel","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The #StopHateforProfit Campaign, antitrust allegations, Apple IDFA issue, and a host of other historical issues have not stopped the social media giant and will not stop it.</li>\n <li>Despite an impressive rally delivering 65% since the start of CY20 and 26% YTD, Facebook remains undervalued relative to its peers and the FAANG stocks with the best forward estimates.</li>\n <li>The strong moat originating from their sheer user base, and sizeable TAMs in E-commerce, VR/AR, digital assets (DIEM), cumulatively make for a compelling growth story.</li>\n <li>Although the company is highly controversial and rightfully so, this article focuses more on the quantitative analysis and less on the morals and ethics behind this investment. That, we shall leave to you.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b3414073b72a391e760025594ec111f\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"528\"><span>nemke/E+ via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p>\n<p>Facebook (FB) has had a volatile trading period the past few years with a general uptrend, delivering shareholders nice returns whilst subjecting them to a few major dips which presented investors an opportunity for a steal. Despite the controversy and headline risks every now and then, the company has been able to battle through them and emerge ever so stronger. The company’s financials have been holding up and shows no sign of stoppage anytime soon. In a time as such, with significant uncertainty in the macro environment and inflation fears creeping up, we believe that shifting some of your assets to high cashflow generating companies is a wise strategy that will pay off. Growth and value are 2 different things, and there still exists growth companies that are undervalued and can still generate substantial cashflow, and we believe Facebook is one of them. The company also remains to be one of the more attractive blue-chip stocks compared to the others in the FAANG. We employ a 3–5-year outlook and have been bullish since USD$200/share. Let’s Begin!</p>\n<p><b>What is Facebook</b></p>\n<p>Known to all, Facebook is a social media giant with a family of products including the likes of Facebook, Instagram,WhatsApp, Messenger, and now Oculus. The firm essentially has a stronghold in the social media industry and has an impressive DAP of2.72 BN as of Q1’21and MAP of 3.45 BN.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3d08f4df186c4705a5300f40d6b8a5e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"429\"><span>(Source:FB Q1’21 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>The world has7.874 BNpeople as of the time of this writing and that would mean that 43.8% of all the people in the world use some form of product from Facebook’s portfolio in the past 30 days. On a daily basis, 34.5% of the people in the world use it. If that isn’t a sticky service, nothing really is. If we were to focus on the usage of the Facebook app solely, 23.8% of the world logs into the app daily based on DAUs.</p>\n<p>The firm was founded in 2004 and generates the majority of their revenue from advertisements. If you have watched the social dilemma on Netflix, you would realize that Facebook’s real customer isn’t everyday users. Instead, users are the product, and they are being sold to advertisers. The company has created such an engaging and sticky service that users are more than happy to be using their apps, despite knowing that their data is being sold from one company to another. As appalling as it is, they’re indifferent to it all and still find the value in using the company’s products on a daily basis – keeping in touch with distant relatives, chatting with friends, staying up to date with the latest fashion trends and news… (According to the&nbsp;Pew Research Center, more than a 1/3 of US adults say they get their news regularly from Facebook)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb9d05bb00f3038cec301c72ef56827\" tg-width=\"608\" tg-height=\"378\"><span>(Source:Pew Research Center)</span></p>\n<p>To Facebook, this is equally as good as the more users, the wider the ‘product’ base that they have to offer their customers - advertisers. Advertisers are also indifferent to how Facebook attains its data, so long as Facebook’s targeting metrics and trackers are working well, the more likely it is that they are able to generate conversions. The more conversions, the more sales for them, the more ads they continue to pay for, the more revenue Facebook generates. Win-Win-Win, their apps are the bait, and the product (users), customers (advertisers), and supplier (Facebook), all walk away winners. It’s a remarkable business model that has stood the test of time and no matter the amount of controversy around the business, founders, and its practices, it isn’t going anywhere anytime soon and for one simple reason: Users likely can’t do without Facebook’s products whether they are willing to admit it or not.</p>\n<p>When we look back in the past to reflect on how the #StopHateForProfit Campaign turned out for the company, it is apparent that the impact it had on the top and bottom line were both minimal. The boycott was one that arose due to Facebook’s bad hate speech regulations and policing, and because of the laissez-faire attitude toward posts from then President, Donald Trump. More than&nbsp;1000 companies publicly committed&nbsp;to boycotting the social media giant in June/July (coinciding with end Q2 and start Q3) and many of the top 100 advertisers based on ad spend such as Nike, Adidas, Puma, Coca-Cola, all revised their budgets downwards.</p>\n<p>Despite this, Facebook&nbsp;beat on Q2 earnings&nbsp;and saw an increase of&nbsp;10.7% YOY. In its forward guidance, the company also announced that for July, they were anticipating a slowdown in YoY growth of 17% but was still due to see a 10% increase. They alsoanticipatedthe slowdown in growth to last through till October. However, the company did not attribute this slowdown to the boycott specifically but to 3 other major headwinds. With the benefit of hindsight, we can now see that even for Q3’20, the firm saw an impressive 21.6% rise in its top line, with the bottom line still registering a 12.2% improvement in NPM for Q2’20 YoY and a 200 bps NPM improvement in Q3.</p>\n<p>The results are clear and indicative of a few things. The boycott by the largest companies did little to Facebook’s financial story as they still managed to register growth and did not see significant pullbacks that were material. This can be tied to the fact that most of Facebook’s advertisers are SMBs. Although certain few SMBs did join the boycott, most didn’t, and the firm still had their impressive 9 million + customer base to rely on. If anything, this also suggests that despite what any SMB stands for and whether they agree with a social cause or not, it is hard for them to find alternatives that they can shift to on a similar pricing scale. Big brands can easily pivot to other advertisements such as TV and radio commercials but SMBs simply can’t because of smaller budgets. Lastly, it is now clear that the campaign affected Facebook’s reputation more so than it did its cashflow.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>Other risks that the company may face would be future antitrust lawsuits. As it is, the company is already facing allegations of being a monopoly based on their aggressive acquisitive history having acquired more than90 other companiessince inception. They were alsofined US$5 BNby the FTC in 2019 and were required to adopt their policies and employ new protections for the users and their data that has been shared.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f694ca79d59162e95f05335ebefbca3d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>Though representative of a historic penalty and the largest ever imposed on a company for violating user’s privacy rights, the US$5BN was a drop in the bucket for the giant that went on to generate US$70+ BN dollars for the year.</p>\n<p>The current issues that they have with Apple’s new iOS changes and the IDFA implications are also likely not going to have a substantial impact on the firm. The Identifier for Advertisers [IDFA] is a random device identifier assigned by Apple to a user's device. Advertisers use this to track data so they can deliver customized advertising on mobile. With the new iOS changes, Apple essentially programmed it such that each app that wants to use these identifiers will have to ask users to opt in for tracking when the app is first launched. If users opt out, the app can’t track certain data and Facebook will have a smaller database of points to rely upon. As consumer preferences change, so will Facebook’s targeting that relies on IDFAs get worse and less effective due to outdated data points.</p>\n<p>According to aCNBC article:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Most critically at stake for Facebook is what’s known as view-through conversions. This metric is used by ad-tech companies to measure how many users saw an ad, did not immediately click on it, but later made a purchase related to that ad.”\n</blockquote>\n<p>When the conversion is made later on, the data IDFA for that particular user is then shared by the retailer to Facebook which is then used by the company to see if it matches the IDFA of the user who saw the ad. If they pair, it indicates that the ad was useful in generating a conversion. This data performance is then relayed to advertisers so that they can tweak their ad strategies accordingly. Withas much as 96% of usersanticipated to opt out of tracking on all apps, this would mean that mobile ads on 3rdparty apps may no longer be as useful if Facebook cannot really judge its effectiveness anymore. The more ineffective the ads become, the less conversions for retailers, and the more they pivot to other advertising platforms, which will impact the revenues for the firm.</p>\n<p>However, Facebook has disclosed that this will particularly only affect one form of advertisement which relies heavily on the IDFA, known as Audience Networks. Fortunately, the audience network segment only represents less than 10% of the firm’s total revenues. With the impact estimating to cost a drop in50% of all ads deliveredand hence sales from this segment, this would atbest represent a 5% drop in their total revenues. With that said, we do not anticipate that this will be present significant impact moving forward and the firm can easily recoup the 5% loss at worse by focusing on increasing ARPUs and user engagement to save their core business.</p>\n<p>Though Facebook started by disclosing that they anticipated the impact on their revenues to be large at first, this no longer seems to be the case. If anything, history has shown us that Mark is not one to back down and if he doesn’t get his way, he damn well will find another way to minimise loss and increase revenue generation in other segments to make up for it. If you aren’t too involved in the technicalities, we think it’s safe to bet on the jockey in this case. Besides, AR / VR growth,WhatsApp monetization, Reels monetization, further user growth in less developed countries away from the legacy North America and Europe region can very well pick up the lost (US$5BN) in sales.</p>\n<p><b>Moat</b></p>\n<p>As mentioned above, the DAUs and MAUs for Facebook are very impressive with a large portion of the world using at least 1 of their products. The moat for the business relies on the wide user base that Facebook has meticulously built over the course of 17 years. With any new product that they have, the firm can easily roll it out to their database of users and expect demand to pick up in a matter of weeks, maybe even days. That is the power of the network of Facebook that really can’t be valued.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2057a83640201edd89430e754f3f8525\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\"><span>(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>Despite the controversy, endless allegations, and negative headlines one after the other, the numbers don’t lie. DAUs have been increasing every single quarter, with the fastest growth observed in Asia-Pacific and the rest of the world. US &amp; Canada growth has slowed as it nears saturation levels, and this is perfectly normal and to be expected. The way we anticipate Facebook to grow their core cash cow business moving forward is clean. 1) Focus on growing ARPUs in their saturated legacy areas (US &amp; Canada and Europe) as well as 2) Increase User Growth by Geography in their growth areas (Asia-Pacific and the Rest of the World). Unsurprisingly, Facebook has been focused on doing just that.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce3456321584d2eea288f7e410215571\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\"><span>(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>When we look to the infamous metric for judging social media companies and their performance – ARPUs, we can see that in the legacy areas, ARPUs have been increasing at a faster pace than compared to growth areas. This falls in line with point number 1 as mentioned above. The legacy areas have already reached saturation levels and user growth is unable to grow at astounding rates anymore. However, since this represent areas that are more developed and generally have higher disposable incomes on the average, focusing on increasing ARPUs and monetizing advertisers is the right strategy and a very feasible one. Though the growth areas are also seeing ARPUs grow YoY as they should, they are not at the same pace as in the US &amp; Canada and Europe. When we look to revenue generated by geography below, this confirms the thesis that revenue is growing faster than user base in those areas, and since ARPU equal to (Total Revenue from that Geography / Number of Users in that area), so long revenue is growing at a faster pace than the user base, they should increase meaningfully.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84eaec3de9bafd595bf4ecf9ffdae16a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\"><span>(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>When we look to the slide below, it is also apparent that user numbers are growing much faster in Asia-Pacific and the rest of the world, away from the legacy areas. Across 2 years, MAUs which is the broadest business performance metric employed by Facebook, grew 22.4% and 25.4% in the growth areas while they only grew a mere 6.6% in US &amp; Canada and 10.2% in Europe.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d72be6c3ca7eb809567503ffc1d4ed9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\"><span>(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>If Facebook can continue to grow their user engagement numbers in the growth areas whilst maximizing ARPUs in legacy areas, the company can easily ensure that the core advertising model will remain the cash cow of the business, funding growth for their other product developments.</p>\n<p><b>Growth Tactics</b></p>\n<p>When we look to potential growth Facebook has, the company isn’t short of any. Facebook has moved to monetizeWhatsApp, where they plan to generate fees from payments made within the app itself as well as through in-app status advertisements. The company is essentially trying to integrate the growth and TAM of the E-commerce market more seamlessly into their family of products including the likes ofWhatsApp. ThroughFacebook Pay, users can now engage in peer-to-peer payments withinWhatsApp itself at no cost. However, when businesses receive a fee from customers through the app itself, they will then have to pay a small ‘processing fee’ to Facebook and this is where it profits. This is the same method that is being employed by Shopify and all the other payment processing channels just that it is now being done locally inWhatsApp itself.WhatsApp payments has launched in Brazil, the 2nd largest market by users and the fee stands at 3.99%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d1d27ff399e3e6fdfbc44a3ff1fb6e6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"557\"><span>(Source:Facebook Newsroom)</span></p>\n<p>The firm has also been trying to grow their presence in the E-commerce market and reduce the friction customers experience when clicking through ads on its platforms. Both Instagram checkout and Facebook shops are aimed at doing just that. Their shops solutions are also expanding toWhatsApp, and the marketplace as observed above. The company sees a major shift to online shopping even after the grand reopening of the economies. As part of its effort over the years, they now have 1.2M active shops across their platforms and more than 300M monthly shop visitors. Thelatest releasestates that:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Soon, we’ll give businesses in select countries the option to showcase their Shop inWhatsApp. In the US, we’ll enable them to bring Shops products into Marketplace, helping them reach the more than 1 billion people globally who visit each month.\n</blockquote>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38d87012cd9e376a0bed27a095b01828\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"418\"><span>(Source:Facebook Newsroom)</span></p>\n<p>What’s even more fascinating is the fact that Facebook now plans to integrate new technologies such as AR Dynamic Ads to power the future of shopping. New visual discovery tools on their platforms like Instagram will help customers find new products that they resonate with faster than ever before and help them to visualize their products with AR experiences that they have been working on for a long time now.</p>\n<p>Their continued expansion in the AR/VR market along with the rollout of DIEM, their native digital currency functioning as a stablecoin that was once under the “Libra Project” also presents good growth opportunity in the near future. Facebook is also looking to introducepodcasts and live audio streamsas part of the beginning of their audio journey. In short, Facebook still has a lot of room to grow moving forward apart from looking to squeeze out more cash from their legacy advertising business model. However, as always, product development is one thing, but the financials do need to shape up as well and with Facebook it does.</p>\n<p><b>Financials</b></p>\n<p>Of the FAANG stock group, Facebook enjoys one of the highest margins. The company saw 80.55% in GM in Q1’21 and even in the past, it has enjoyed such high margins, trading between 80.5% to as high as 86.6% in FY17. The chart below also clearly indicates that the remarkable margins trickle down to the bottom line and aren’t wiped out due to operating expenses, registering a NPM of 35.7%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1367468f26c73bde43f494b2b7fb49d6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>FB also routinely spends a large portion of their revenues on R&amp;D, reinvesting into the business YoY to further improve their products and innovate on new ones. In 2020 the R&amp;D expense represented 21.5% of total sales.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b923685aa0489833ae8f50fcddf3601\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>A large chunk of the firms’ revenues is also retained on the balance sheet which is then used over the years to funnel money to continue their acquisitive culture. Despite this, the strong cashflow that the firm enjoys allows it to stay at the top of their industry in terms of innovation whilst ensuring that their treasure trove of cash is growing should there be a need to deploy it. When we look to liquid cash that the firm holds (Cash &amp; Equivalents, and STI), Facebook has grown it at a tremendous CAGR of 26.2%. Net Debt has also just been becoming less of a concern over the years. To date, even after the pandemic, Facebook has no debt.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13b40cadc31458233d0ea83ce4917c33\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>Given the data above, it is evident that the firm has one of the most pristine balance sheets in the industry and in the whole stock market. The US$62 BN that they hold as cash presents itself as a massive buffer to cushion the impact of whatever comes their way, be it another acquisitive opportunity, or yet another fine. Either way, the company can weather any financial storm and near balance sheet issues aren’t a problem. Shareholders aren’t too pleased with the cash pile just sitting there and would instead rather the firm start paying a dividend or pick up the pace in share buybacks to maximize investor returns. Facebook has never paid a dividend in its entirety and although they may consider that moving forward, we anticipate that it is not a move that they will commit to. In any case, we ourselves hope that they commit to more share buybacks instead of moving to issue a dividend.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f5b82506a0385a1265c494b21462678\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"43\"><span>(Source:Q1 10-K Filing SEC)</span></p>\n<p>In their 10-K filing, the company expanded their SRP program to include an additional US$25 BN which will be added atop the US$8.6 BN remaining from a 2017 authorization. That amounts to a current authorized SRP valued at around US$33.6 BN and we anticipate that this may further increase substantially moving forward. Despite outstanding shares reducing overtime, a large part is offset by additional equity issued as part of SBC to employees. It is disappointing that the firm isn’t making more of a definitive move to put that cash pile to use but this is nonetheless not a major red flag.</p>\n<p><b>Valuations</b></p>\n<p>Being a blue-chip company with strong FCF, we would normally value the social media giant with a DCF model. Today, however, we will be looking at EV/Sales and P/E Ratios to try and justify its future valuation, looking 3 years out as always to end 2023.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0878b205b837634b7d2528f57ebe84fc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"321\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p>Looking 3 years out to end 23, Facebook is projected to grow revenues at an average of 23.4%, with growth in the 30s for this fiscal year. That would mean that Facebook is anticipated to grow revenues to US$160.8 BN by end 2023, up 87% from what they delivered in FY20 in 3 years.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1707f8cfee45ce9ebb0e3ac961e78f48\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"338\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>Since 2018, the firm has traded at an average EV/Sales of 8.85, and last exchanged hands at a multiple of 9.76. Although the firm is trading at a multiple above its mean and higher than any of the other stocks as part of the FAANG group, Facebook does have higher estimates than all the other companies in the near future as observed below. The data does not reflect estimates for 2023.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/444e1473e814530e2332cea02637af53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>Moreover, when we look further into the past all the way back to 2013, the company has historically traded at an average of 12.82 and even registered a high close to 22 in 2014. However, since we want to be conservative, but believe that the market has yet to really price Facebook for what it’s worth given all the headline risks in the media that have induced immediate selloffs without any fundamental reason, we will employ a multiple of 9.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8494d3084eed106a9cb0bff0f27cfe7a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>At an EV/Sales multiple of 9, that would put Facebook at a US$1.447 TRN dollar valuation by the end of 2023 and a share price of US$539, an upside of 58%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55014da5e82d1a67caaeb34766b35940\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"294\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p>When we look to revenue surprise and analyst estimate beat / miss trends, Facebook has quite the historical track record of surpassing estimates, having done so 10/12 times in the past 3 years. The average upside surprise stands at 3.59%. Assuming Facebook will continue to deliver the same upside surprise moving forward, a 3.59% beat to the top line estimate of 2023 would warrant revenues of US$166.57 BN. At the same EV/Sales ratio of 9, that would render a higher valuation of US$558.77 USD. Given that Facebook is very close to crossing the US$1 TRN dollar valuation mark, we anticipate this to be a very realistic price target.</p>\n<p>Now shifting on to another valuation method by P/E multiples, the valuation also paints a similar picture.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d67f3c257657bc10ee6be38c16d2a1f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"207\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p>Turning to earnings estimates, the company is also projected to do high-teens digit growth for 2022 and 2023 and a close to 30% growth in the bottom line for this fiscal year.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe26a8eabec7045dc5a904497737623\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"501\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Despite trading at the highest EV / Sales ratio of the FAANG stocks, Facebook is trading at the lowest TTM normalized PE Ratio amongst its peers, with the inclusion of Microsoft (FANGMA). This is likely due to the market failing to internalize and appreciate the company’s high NPM and profitability. Currently trading at a P/E ratio of 29.14, this is also below its historical means of as high as 60+ in 2016.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/247661f12f62820f6266763f49531355\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>However, given that earnings have improved dramatically since and likely won’t be revisiting those levels as seen from the forward estimates, we will stick with what we believe to be a fair multiple for the stickiest company in the world, 30. At a P/E ratio of 30, that would put the end 2023 share price somewhere near levels of US$531.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce908799f1bf9091b49b94e03db7e476\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"284\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p>However, because of a surprisingly good earnings-beat track record once again, this has to be factored in moving forward. Of the last 3 years, Facebook has beat earnings 11/12 times. The average beat comes in at 15.72%. If we were to stick to a similar but more conservative beat of say 7%, that would put 2023 normalized earnings at 18.93. The exact same P/E ratio would now warrant a realistic share price of US$567.8, an upside of 66.3%.</p>\n<p>With all 4 estimates using different methods and assumptions with different levels of conservatism employed delivering a potential share price anywhere between US$531 and US$568, it would be fair to conclude that this is a realistic price target for the cashflow king 3 years out into the future. At the low end of estimates of US$531, this is still indicative of a 55% upside.</p>\n<p><b>Investor Takeaways</b></p>\n<p>To conclude, we believe Facebook has a very strong future ahead and the projected numbers for both the Topline and Bottom line are indicative of potential upside. We place significant emphasis on forward estimates as markets are future discounting mechanisms that react accordingly. The company enjoys unbelievably high margins, has a pristine balance sheet with absolutely no debt, and is anticipated to keep raking in high revenues with strong cashflow numbers.</p>\n<p>With so many growth opportunities such as the monetization ofWhatsApp, AR/VR, shops, marketplace growth, DIEM, and the continued growth in its legacy advertisement business both in terms of MAP and ARPUs, Facebook is here to stay and is nowhere near exhausting its full potential. The sizeable TAMs in each of the different business segments combined with other opportunities such as Facebook Reels which we did not cover, and the fact that it has yet to have been monetized, all point to a bright future.</p>\n<p>That being said, it is a given that the company will face many other bumps along moving forward. Facebook will continue to be subjected to what we call ‘headline risks’ whereby the stock will be overly sold off to the downside based upon nothing fundamental but one-sided exaggerated narratives. This we believe presents the best time to pick up shares and accumulate for the long run. Facebook has been perceived to have engaged in a lot of dubious unethical behaviour surrounding user data but like we said, that is separate from the investment opportunity the company presents and we will leave that to you to decide. Granted that there are many reasons surrounding the company's beat-down reputation, the return on invested capital is a different story and the main one to be focused on when considering if a company is a good investment or not.</p>\n<p>End day, when it comes to blue-chip stocks that have a firm hold in the industry, good sticky products, and solid financials, it is hard for the stock not to trend up overtime so long as estimates paint a bright picture and most importantly, the markets continue to value them in the same rational way. This has not always been the case and can be easily seen from Microsoft’s outperformance hiatus when the Dot Com bubble crashed, and the stock took 17 years to put in a new high. Still, we believe blue chip stocks are a good bet as of now and should be a part of everyone’s portfolio, and Facebook presents the best buy of the FAANG from our perspective. Till next time!</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Facebook: Simply Unstoppable</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFacebook: Simply Unstoppable\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-29 16:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437000-facebook-simply-unstoppable><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe #StopHateforProfit Campaign, antitrust allegations, Apple IDFA issue, and a host of other historical issues have not stopped the social media giant and will not stop it.\nDespite an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437000-facebook-simply-unstoppable\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437000-facebook-simply-unstoppable","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100563900","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe #StopHateforProfit Campaign, antitrust allegations, Apple IDFA issue, and a host of other historical issues have not stopped the social media giant and will not stop it.\nDespite an impressive rally delivering 65% since the start of CY20 and 26% YTD, Facebook remains undervalued relative to its peers and the FAANG stocks with the best forward estimates.\nThe strong moat originating from their sheer user base, and sizeable TAMs in E-commerce, VR/AR, digital assets (DIEM), cumulatively make for a compelling growth story.\nAlthough the company is highly controversial and rightfully so, this article focuses more on the quantitative analysis and less on the morals and ethics behind this investment. That, we shall leave to you.\n\nnemke/E+ via Getty Images\nInvestment Thesis\nFacebook (FB) has had a volatile trading period the past few years with a general uptrend, delivering shareholders nice returns whilst subjecting them to a few major dips which presented investors an opportunity for a steal. Despite the controversy and headline risks every now and then, the company has been able to battle through them and emerge ever so stronger. The company’s financials have been holding up and shows no sign of stoppage anytime soon. In a time as such, with significant uncertainty in the macro environment and inflation fears creeping up, we believe that shifting some of your assets to high cashflow generating companies is a wise strategy that will pay off. Growth and value are 2 different things, and there still exists growth companies that are undervalued and can still generate substantial cashflow, and we believe Facebook is one of them. The company also remains to be one of the more attractive blue-chip stocks compared to the others in the FAANG. We employ a 3–5-year outlook and have been bullish since USD$200/share. Let’s Begin!\nWhat is Facebook\nKnown to all, Facebook is a social media giant with a family of products including the likes of Facebook, Instagram,WhatsApp, Messenger, and now Oculus. The firm essentially has a stronghold in the social media industry and has an impressive DAP of2.72 BN as of Q1’21and MAP of 3.45 BN.\n(Source:FB Q1’21 Presentation)\nThe world has7.874 BNpeople as of the time of this writing and that would mean that 43.8% of all the people in the world use some form of product from Facebook’s portfolio in the past 30 days. On a daily basis, 34.5% of the people in the world use it. If that isn’t a sticky service, nothing really is. If we were to focus on the usage of the Facebook app solely, 23.8% of the world logs into the app daily based on DAUs.\nThe firm was founded in 2004 and generates the majority of their revenue from advertisements. If you have watched the social dilemma on Netflix, you would realize that Facebook’s real customer isn’t everyday users. Instead, users are the product, and they are being sold to advertisers. The company has created such an engaging and sticky service that users are more than happy to be using their apps, despite knowing that their data is being sold from one company to another. As appalling as it is, they’re indifferent to it all and still find the value in using the company’s products on a daily basis – keeping in touch with distant relatives, chatting with friends, staying up to date with the latest fashion trends and news… (According to the Pew Research Center, more than a 1/3 of US adults say they get their news regularly from Facebook)\n(Source:Pew Research Center)\nTo Facebook, this is equally as good as the more users, the wider the ‘product’ base that they have to offer their customers - advertisers. Advertisers are also indifferent to how Facebook attains its data, so long as Facebook’s targeting metrics and trackers are working well, the more likely it is that they are able to generate conversions. The more conversions, the more sales for them, the more ads they continue to pay for, the more revenue Facebook generates. Win-Win-Win, their apps are the bait, and the product (users), customers (advertisers), and supplier (Facebook), all walk away winners. It’s a remarkable business model that has stood the test of time and no matter the amount of controversy around the business, founders, and its practices, it isn’t going anywhere anytime soon and for one simple reason: Users likely can’t do without Facebook’s products whether they are willing to admit it or not.\nWhen we look back in the past to reflect on how the #StopHateForProfit Campaign turned out for the company, it is apparent that the impact it had on the top and bottom line were both minimal. The boycott was one that arose due to Facebook’s bad hate speech regulations and policing, and because of the laissez-faire attitude toward posts from then President, Donald Trump. More than 1000 companies publicly committed to boycotting the social media giant in June/July (coinciding with end Q2 and start Q3) and many of the top 100 advertisers based on ad spend such as Nike, Adidas, Puma, Coca-Cola, all revised their budgets downwards.\nDespite this, Facebook beat on Q2 earnings and saw an increase of 10.7% YOY. In its forward guidance, the company also announced that for July, they were anticipating a slowdown in YoY growth of 17% but was still due to see a 10% increase. They alsoanticipatedthe slowdown in growth to last through till October. However, the company did not attribute this slowdown to the boycott specifically but to 3 other major headwinds. With the benefit of hindsight, we can now see that even for Q3’20, the firm saw an impressive 21.6% rise in its top line, with the bottom line still registering a 12.2% improvement in NPM for Q2’20 YoY and a 200 bps NPM improvement in Q3.\nThe results are clear and indicative of a few things. The boycott by the largest companies did little to Facebook’s financial story as they still managed to register growth and did not see significant pullbacks that were material. This can be tied to the fact that most of Facebook’s advertisers are SMBs. Although certain few SMBs did join the boycott, most didn’t, and the firm still had their impressive 9 million + customer base to rely on. If anything, this also suggests that despite what any SMB stands for and whether they agree with a social cause or not, it is hard for them to find alternatives that they can shift to on a similar pricing scale. Big brands can easily pivot to other advertisements such as TV and radio commercials but SMBs simply can’t because of smaller budgets. Lastly, it is now clear that the campaign affected Facebook’s reputation more so than it did its cashflow.\nRisks\nOther risks that the company may face would be future antitrust lawsuits. As it is, the company is already facing allegations of being a monopoly based on their aggressive acquisitive history having acquired more than90 other companiessince inception. They were alsofined US$5 BNby the FTC in 2019 and were required to adopt their policies and employ new protections for the users and their data that has been shared.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nThough representative of a historic penalty and the largest ever imposed on a company for violating user’s privacy rights, the US$5BN was a drop in the bucket for the giant that went on to generate US$70+ BN dollars for the year.\nThe current issues that they have with Apple’s new iOS changes and the IDFA implications are also likely not going to have a substantial impact on the firm. The Identifier for Advertisers [IDFA] is a random device identifier assigned by Apple to a user's device. Advertisers use this to track data so they can deliver customized advertising on mobile. With the new iOS changes, Apple essentially programmed it such that each app that wants to use these identifiers will have to ask users to opt in for tracking when the app is first launched. If users opt out, the app can’t track certain data and Facebook will have a smaller database of points to rely upon. As consumer preferences change, so will Facebook’s targeting that relies on IDFAs get worse and less effective due to outdated data points.\nAccording to aCNBC article:\n\n Most critically at stake for Facebook is what’s known as view-through conversions. This metric is used by ad-tech companies to measure how many users saw an ad, did not immediately click on it, but later made a purchase related to that ad.”\n\nWhen the conversion is made later on, the data IDFA for that particular user is then shared by the retailer to Facebook which is then used by the company to see if it matches the IDFA of the user who saw the ad. If they pair, it indicates that the ad was useful in generating a conversion. This data performance is then relayed to advertisers so that they can tweak their ad strategies accordingly. Withas much as 96% of usersanticipated to opt out of tracking on all apps, this would mean that mobile ads on 3rdparty apps may no longer be as useful if Facebook cannot really judge its effectiveness anymore. The more ineffective the ads become, the less conversions for retailers, and the more they pivot to other advertising platforms, which will impact the revenues for the firm.\nHowever, Facebook has disclosed that this will particularly only affect one form of advertisement which relies heavily on the IDFA, known as Audience Networks. Fortunately, the audience network segment only represents less than 10% of the firm’s total revenues. With the impact estimating to cost a drop in50% of all ads deliveredand hence sales from this segment, this would atbest represent a 5% drop in their total revenues. With that said, we do not anticipate that this will be present significant impact moving forward and the firm can easily recoup the 5% loss at worse by focusing on increasing ARPUs and user engagement to save their core business.\nThough Facebook started by disclosing that they anticipated the impact on their revenues to be large at first, this no longer seems to be the case. If anything, history has shown us that Mark is not one to back down and if he doesn’t get his way, he damn well will find another way to minimise loss and increase revenue generation in other segments to make up for it. If you aren’t too involved in the technicalities, we think it’s safe to bet on the jockey in this case. Besides, AR / VR growth,WhatsApp monetization, Reels monetization, further user growth in less developed countries away from the legacy North America and Europe region can very well pick up the lost (US$5BN) in sales.\nMoat\nAs mentioned above, the DAUs and MAUs for Facebook are very impressive with a large portion of the world using at least 1 of their products. The moat for the business relies on the wide user base that Facebook has meticulously built over the course of 17 years. With any new product that they have, the firm can easily roll it out to their database of users and expect demand to pick up in a matter of weeks, maybe even days. That is the power of the network of Facebook that really can’t be valued.\n(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)\nDespite the controversy, endless allegations, and negative headlines one after the other, the numbers don’t lie. DAUs have been increasing every single quarter, with the fastest growth observed in Asia-Pacific and the rest of the world. US & Canada growth has slowed as it nears saturation levels, and this is perfectly normal and to be expected. The way we anticipate Facebook to grow their core cash cow business moving forward is clean. 1) Focus on growing ARPUs in their saturated legacy areas (US & Canada and Europe) as well as 2) Increase User Growth by Geography in their growth areas (Asia-Pacific and the Rest of the World). Unsurprisingly, Facebook has been focused on doing just that.\n(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)\nWhen we look to the infamous metric for judging social media companies and their performance – ARPUs, we can see that in the legacy areas, ARPUs have been increasing at a faster pace than compared to growth areas. This falls in line with point number 1 as mentioned above. The legacy areas have already reached saturation levels and user growth is unable to grow at astounding rates anymore. However, since this represent areas that are more developed and generally have higher disposable incomes on the average, focusing on increasing ARPUs and monetizing advertisers is the right strategy and a very feasible one. Though the growth areas are also seeing ARPUs grow YoY as they should, they are not at the same pace as in the US & Canada and Europe. When we look to revenue generated by geography below, this confirms the thesis that revenue is growing faster than user base in those areas, and since ARPU equal to (Total Revenue from that Geography / Number of Users in that area), so long revenue is growing at a faster pace than the user base, they should increase meaningfully.\n(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)\nWhen we look to the slide below, it is also apparent that user numbers are growing much faster in Asia-Pacific and the rest of the world, away from the legacy areas. Across 2 years, MAUs which is the broadest business performance metric employed by Facebook, grew 22.4% and 25.4% in the growth areas while they only grew a mere 6.6% in US & Canada and 10.2% in Europe.\n(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)\nIf Facebook can continue to grow their user engagement numbers in the growth areas whilst maximizing ARPUs in legacy areas, the company can easily ensure that the core advertising model will remain the cash cow of the business, funding growth for their other product developments.\nGrowth Tactics\nWhen we look to potential growth Facebook has, the company isn’t short of any. Facebook has moved to monetizeWhatsApp, where they plan to generate fees from payments made within the app itself as well as through in-app status advertisements. The company is essentially trying to integrate the growth and TAM of the E-commerce market more seamlessly into their family of products including the likes ofWhatsApp. ThroughFacebook Pay, users can now engage in peer-to-peer payments withinWhatsApp itself at no cost. However, when businesses receive a fee from customers through the app itself, they will then have to pay a small ‘processing fee’ to Facebook and this is where it profits. This is the same method that is being employed by Shopify and all the other payment processing channels just that it is now being done locally inWhatsApp itself.WhatsApp payments has launched in Brazil, the 2nd largest market by users and the fee stands at 3.99%.\n(Source:Facebook Newsroom)\nThe firm has also been trying to grow their presence in the E-commerce market and reduce the friction customers experience when clicking through ads on its platforms. Both Instagram checkout and Facebook shops are aimed at doing just that. Their shops solutions are also expanding toWhatsApp, and the marketplace as observed above. The company sees a major shift to online shopping even after the grand reopening of the economies. As part of its effort over the years, they now have 1.2M active shops across their platforms and more than 300M monthly shop visitors. Thelatest releasestates that:\n\n Soon, we’ll give businesses in select countries the option to showcase their Shop inWhatsApp. In the US, we’ll enable them to bring Shops products into Marketplace, helping them reach the more than 1 billion people globally who visit each month.\n\n(Source:Facebook Newsroom)\nWhat’s even more fascinating is the fact that Facebook now plans to integrate new technologies such as AR Dynamic Ads to power the future of shopping. New visual discovery tools on their platforms like Instagram will help customers find new products that they resonate with faster than ever before and help them to visualize their products with AR experiences that they have been working on for a long time now.\nTheir continued expansion in the AR/VR market along with the rollout of DIEM, their native digital currency functioning as a stablecoin that was once under the “Libra Project” also presents good growth opportunity in the near future. Facebook is also looking to introducepodcasts and live audio streamsas part of the beginning of their audio journey. In short, Facebook still has a lot of room to grow moving forward apart from looking to squeeze out more cash from their legacy advertising business model. However, as always, product development is one thing, but the financials do need to shape up as well and with Facebook it does.\nFinancials\nOf the FAANG stock group, Facebook enjoys one of the highest margins. The company saw 80.55% in GM in Q1’21 and even in the past, it has enjoyed such high margins, trading between 80.5% to as high as 86.6% in FY17. The chart below also clearly indicates that the remarkable margins trickle down to the bottom line and aren’t wiped out due to operating expenses, registering a NPM of 35.7%.\nData by YCharts\nFB also routinely spends a large portion of their revenues on R&D, reinvesting into the business YoY to further improve their products and innovate on new ones. In 2020 the R&D expense represented 21.5% of total sales.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nA large chunk of the firms’ revenues is also retained on the balance sheet which is then used over the years to funnel money to continue their acquisitive culture. Despite this, the strong cashflow that the firm enjoys allows it to stay at the top of their industry in terms of innovation whilst ensuring that their treasure trove of cash is growing should there be a need to deploy it. When we look to liquid cash that the firm holds (Cash & Equivalents, and STI), Facebook has grown it at a tremendous CAGR of 26.2%. Net Debt has also just been becoming less of a concern over the years. To date, even after the pandemic, Facebook has no debt.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nGiven the data above, it is evident that the firm has one of the most pristine balance sheets in the industry and in the whole stock market. The US$62 BN that they hold as cash presents itself as a massive buffer to cushion the impact of whatever comes their way, be it another acquisitive opportunity, or yet another fine. Either way, the company can weather any financial storm and near balance sheet issues aren’t a problem. Shareholders aren’t too pleased with the cash pile just sitting there and would instead rather the firm start paying a dividend or pick up the pace in share buybacks to maximize investor returns. Facebook has never paid a dividend in its entirety and although they may consider that moving forward, we anticipate that it is not a move that they will commit to. In any case, we ourselves hope that they commit to more share buybacks instead of moving to issue a dividend.\n(Source:Q1 10-K Filing SEC)\nIn their 10-K filing, the company expanded their SRP program to include an additional US$25 BN which will be added atop the US$8.6 BN remaining from a 2017 authorization. That amounts to a current authorized SRP valued at around US$33.6 BN and we anticipate that this may further increase substantially moving forward. Despite outstanding shares reducing overtime, a large part is offset by additional equity issued as part of SBC to employees. It is disappointing that the firm isn’t making more of a definitive move to put that cash pile to use but this is nonetheless not a major red flag.\nValuations\nBeing a blue-chip company with strong FCF, we would normally value the social media giant with a DCF model. Today, however, we will be looking at EV/Sales and P/E Ratios to try and justify its future valuation, looking 3 years out as always to end 2023.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha)\nLooking 3 years out to end 23, Facebook is projected to grow revenues at an average of 23.4%, with growth in the 30s for this fiscal year. That would mean that Facebook is anticipated to grow revenues to US$160.8 BN by end 2023, up 87% from what they delivered in FY20 in 3 years.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nSince 2018, the firm has traded at an average EV/Sales of 8.85, and last exchanged hands at a multiple of 9.76. Although the firm is trading at a multiple above its mean and higher than any of the other stocks as part of the FAANG group, Facebook does have higher estimates than all the other companies in the near future as observed below. The data does not reflect estimates for 2023.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nMoreover, when we look further into the past all the way back to 2013, the company has historically traded at an average of 12.82 and even registered a high close to 22 in 2014. However, since we want to be conservative, but believe that the market has yet to really price Facebook for what it’s worth given all the headline risks in the media that have induced immediate selloffs without any fundamental reason, we will employ a multiple of 9.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nAt an EV/Sales multiple of 9, that would put Facebook at a US$1.447 TRN dollar valuation by the end of 2023 and a share price of US$539, an upside of 58%.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha)\nWhen we look to revenue surprise and analyst estimate beat / miss trends, Facebook has quite the historical track record of surpassing estimates, having done so 10/12 times in the past 3 years. The average upside surprise stands at 3.59%. Assuming Facebook will continue to deliver the same upside surprise moving forward, a 3.59% beat to the top line estimate of 2023 would warrant revenues of US$166.57 BN. At the same EV/Sales ratio of 9, that would render a higher valuation of US$558.77 USD. Given that Facebook is very close to crossing the US$1 TRN dollar valuation mark, we anticipate this to be a very realistic price target.\nNow shifting on to another valuation method by P/E multiples, the valuation also paints a similar picture.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha)\nTurning to earnings estimates, the company is also projected to do high-teens digit growth for 2022 and 2023 and a close to 30% growth in the bottom line for this fiscal year.\nData by YCharts\nDespite trading at the highest EV / Sales ratio of the FAANG stocks, Facebook is trading at the lowest TTM normalized PE Ratio amongst its peers, with the inclusion of Microsoft (FANGMA). This is likely due to the market failing to internalize and appreciate the company’s high NPM and profitability. Currently trading at a P/E ratio of 29.14, this is also below its historical means of as high as 60+ in 2016.\nData by YCharts\nHowever, given that earnings have improved dramatically since and likely won’t be revisiting those levels as seen from the forward estimates, we will stick with what we believe to be a fair multiple for the stickiest company in the world, 30. At a P/E ratio of 30, that would put the end 2023 share price somewhere near levels of US$531.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha)\nHowever, because of a surprisingly good earnings-beat track record once again, this has to be factored in moving forward. Of the last 3 years, Facebook has beat earnings 11/12 times. The average beat comes in at 15.72%. If we were to stick to a similar but more conservative beat of say 7%, that would put 2023 normalized earnings at 18.93. The exact same P/E ratio would now warrant a realistic share price of US$567.8, an upside of 66.3%.\nWith all 4 estimates using different methods and assumptions with different levels of conservatism employed delivering a potential share price anywhere between US$531 and US$568, it would be fair to conclude that this is a realistic price target for the cashflow king 3 years out into the future. At the low end of estimates of US$531, this is still indicative of a 55% upside.\nInvestor Takeaways\nTo conclude, we believe Facebook has a very strong future ahead and the projected numbers for both the Topline and Bottom line are indicative of potential upside. We place significant emphasis on forward estimates as markets are future discounting mechanisms that react accordingly. The company enjoys unbelievably high margins, has a pristine balance sheet with absolutely no debt, and is anticipated to keep raking in high revenues with strong cashflow numbers.\nWith so many growth opportunities such as the monetization ofWhatsApp, AR/VR, shops, marketplace growth, DIEM, and the continued growth in its legacy advertisement business both in terms of MAP and ARPUs, Facebook is here to stay and is nowhere near exhausting its full potential. The sizeable TAMs in each of the different business segments combined with other opportunities such as Facebook Reels which we did not cover, and the fact that it has yet to have been monetized, all point to a bright future.\nThat being said, it is a given that the company will face many other bumps along moving forward. Facebook will continue to be subjected to what we call ‘headline risks’ whereby the stock will be overly sold off to the downside based upon nothing fundamental but one-sided exaggerated narratives. This we believe presents the best time to pick up shares and accumulate for the long run. Facebook has been perceived to have engaged in a lot of dubious unethical behaviour surrounding user data but like we said, that is separate from the investment opportunity the company presents and we will leave that to you to decide. Granted that there are many reasons surrounding the company's beat-down reputation, the return on invested capital is a different story and the main one to be focused on when considering if a company is a good investment or not.\nEnd day, when it comes to blue-chip stocks that have a firm hold in the industry, good sticky products, and solid financials, it is hard for the stock not to trend up overtime so long as estimates paint a bright picture and most importantly, the markets continue to value them in the same rational way. This has not always been the case and can be easily seen from Microsoft’s outperformance hiatus when the Dot Com bubble crashed, and the stock took 17 years to put in a new high. Still, we believe blue chip stocks are a good bet as of now and should be a part of everyone’s portfolio, and Facebook presents the best buy of the FAANG from our perspective. Till next time!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":74,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129270949,"gmtCreate":1624375489281,"gmtModify":1634007031308,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129270949","repostId":"1129020783","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":97,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":326465196,"gmtCreate":1615698568915,"gmtModify":1703492206735,"author":{"id":"3573387463709939","authorId":"3573387463709939","name":"SKQuen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a021a4409276479977fec209b65dfb3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573387463709939","authorIdStr":"3573387463709939"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looking great","listText":"Looking great","text":"Looking great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/326465196","repostId":"1144000725","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144000725","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615554528,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144000725?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-12 21:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Roblox Builds The Metaverse","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144000725","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nRoblox is not a game, but a platform for both designing and playing games.\nLike other gamin","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Roblox is not a game, but a platform for both designing and playing games.</li>\n <li>Like other gaming companies, they are trying to build a metaverse that blends real and persistent virtual worlds.</li>\n <li>They have what I consider a durable long-term strategy and stellar word-of-mouth marketing.</li>\n <li>Like many gaming companies, their user metrics all saw outrageous growth in 2020 due to the pandemic. That cannot be matched after Q1 2021.</li>\n <li>As such, I think a better price will be available later in the year.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da521a162b09482db5b85e52ad4f9858\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"346\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Nobody Knows Anything</p>\n<blockquote>\n Nobody knows anything. Not one person in the entire motion picture field knows for a certainty what’s going to work. Every time out it’s a guess — and if you’re lucky, an educated one.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n - William Goldman,Adventures in the Screen Trade\n</blockquote>\n<p>I live in LA, and many of my friends and neighbors are in the film and TV industry, and I even once worked at Warner Brothers TV, Warner's TV production arm. Even if they don’t know where it came from, that three-word phrase, “nobody knows anything,” is one everybody knows, and is as close to gospel as you get in Hollywood.</p>\n<p>One of the&nbsp;greatest screenwriters of all time, Goldman’s point was that it is impossible to ever know exactly what audiences are going to want, and even the smartest, cagiest, most creative executives are frequently wrong. Complicating that is the very long time it takes to go from screenplay to screen. What may have been perfect cultural timing at conception may already be stale by the time people can see it.</p>\n<p>I see this exact problem in game studios as well, prominently in that last part about timing. Especially in the AAA game world, development times can extend for years. Creators get immersed in the world they are building, and meanwhile outside the walls of the studio, the world is changing. I think Apple TV+’s Mythic Quest, a comedy about a fictional MMORPG studio, dramatizes a lot of this very well.</p>\n<p>Roblox’s (RBLX) model solves the Nobody Knows Anything Problem in the way YouTube (GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL)solved it for video. Roblox is not really a game, but a platform for designing and playing games. It gets frequently compared to Minecraft (MSFT), because they both rely on user creativity, but it is more akin to Unreal Engine, Epic’s game development platform. But that’s for developers. Roblox brings game publishing to the masses the way YouTube democratized video broadcasting.</p>\n<p>The YouTube model is that most of their content is terrible, but that there is so much of it, there is also a huge volume of good stuff that rises to the top and gets monetized, especially when we are talking about niche audiences. That Roblox graphic above, “Millions of Experiences” is the same model in a three-word slogan.</p>\n<p>Roblox does not have to come up with the Next Big Thing, and the one after that, and the one after that. They are counting on their users to do it for them. Amongst millions of worlds, thousands are going to be of interest to players.</p>\n<p>But as much as I like the model, I can’t recommend the stock for two reasons. In the first place, they have already seen huge pandemic-related growth, and even they are predicting user engagement will be flattish or down in 2021. But more to the point, Roblox closed its first day of trading with a market cap over $40 billion. The stock price was up to over $70 aftermarket after listing at $45. The problem is this:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce11bd249428baffd59f8154f10e022c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>That valuation does not make a ton of sense right now for a company with under a billion in GAAP revenue. But that aside, this is one to keep an eye on. I believe a better price will come later in the year as the report soft comps with pandemic quarters.</p>\n<p><b>It’s A Game Development Platform, Not A Game</b></p>\n<p>Many companies like to refer to their IP stack as a “platform” to imply that a lot can be built upon it. Most of the time, that’s just management buzzwording. But Roblox is genuinely a gaming platform for both creators and users, which makes it distinct.</p>\n<p>Developing games is not as simple as they’d like to make out, but it is much simpler than any other method.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e171a67b3fa5b09a5b8fc1009f9a3506\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"550\"><span>Roblox Studio screenshot</span></p>\n<p>Roblox comes with a huge library of modifiable characters, environments and objects. While much can be scripted, games can be authored without writing a single line of code, using built-in scripts and behaviors. It also has a plugin architecture, and there are many which add functionality or ease-of-use to the development environment, or add game content. They have 35 million of these in their developer store. This is a full stack development tool that even beginners can use.</p>\n<p>There are thousands of these videos on YouTube. More complex gameplay and objects require scripting in Roblox’s Lua language, but it tends to be much simpler than alternative languages. My point here is that a wide range of game designers - from kids to professionals - can use this thing and create something very simple, or something very complex.</p>\n<p>The majority of users will never download Roblox Studio. They counted 33 million daily active users in 2020, and 8 million “active developers.” 1.5 million earned something from their creations, so that’s probably a more realistic number. Only 300 earned more than $100,000, so it’s still a small and growing opportunity for game developers. Developers are paid 70% of the Robux - the in-game currency - their content earns, which encourages the many small earners to funnel that back into gameplay, and not convert it into real bucks.</p>\n<p>But most users will only ever experience the mobile app for playing the games. So it is actually very different from Minecraft, to which it gets frequently compared:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfb43273a10448d6157e5031eb16f226\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"295\"></p>\n<p>So while there is some general overlap, mostly in the idea that creativity is one of the core parts of the game, they mostly are pretty different. Minecraft is also infinitely modifiable, but it is not millions of games.</p>\n<p>As 2020 closed, there were 20 million games, which opens up a new challenge: discoverability. Apple’s(NASDAQ:AAPL)struggles with this in the App Store, despite big investments there, highlight what a challenge that is. My own experience is that they are doing pretty well, but have a ways to go, like everyone else that is relying on algorithmic discovery.</p>\n<p><b>The Metaverse</b></p>\n<p>What Roblox is building here is something futurists have referred to as a “metaverse,” a term lifted from a 1992 sci-fi novel,Snow Crash. You can think about the metaverse as a combination of persistent virtual worlds, and the real world interacting - the world of the film Ready Player One, but hopefully less awful. Roblox talks about 8 parts of this that make up the metaverse they are building.</p>\n<ol>\n <li>The avatar. How each individual player chooses to represent themselves in virtual worlds. These can be self-designed or purchased.</li>\n <li>Friends. You are interacting with your real-life friends, and new ones you make on the platform. By December, they were processing 2 million chat messages a day. They do not have voice yet, mostly because they are working on a system that enforces their trust and civility standards, which is far easier to do with plain text messages (item 8 below).</li>\n <li>“Immersiveness.” They are working hard on iterating the graphics so 3D worlds can be everything from cartoony to highly realistic. The progress from even 5 years ago is extraordinary, and light years ahead of their original platform, which looked more like the blocky Minecraft world.</li>\n <li>Global and mobile. Games dynamically downshift graphics and rendering on older devices, or where internet connections are poor. Localization rollout is very far along, but slowed by their focus on content moderation. Again, this is an artifact of item 8 below. Their China strategy is a joint venture with Tencent.</li>\n <li>Variety. Millions of worlds.</li>\n <li>“Frictionless” movement between worlds in a matter of seconds. Games load incrementally, as data is needed. Users average playing 20 different games per month.</li>\n <li>Monetized via Robux, their in-game currency. Also future potential from ad revenue, but I believe they will limit this because of the next item.</li>\n <li>Trust and civility. This is super key for the long-term growth of the platform - to not let a small minority of trolls ruin the experience for everyone else. After developer payments, the largest line item in their Opex is “Infrastructure and trust &amp; safety.” I view this as a crucial investment.</li>\n</ol>\n<p>Roblox is far from the only company trying to put something like this together, but I like their strategy, especially these aspects:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Combining development and gameplay into one platform solves the Nobody Knows Anything Problem.</li>\n <li>Their emphasis on the social aspects of gameplay.</li>\n <li>Their emphasis on trust and civility.</li>\n <li>Monetization that is already working, and an untapped advertising stream of revenue in the future.</li>\n <li>They run their own backend cloud, customized for their needs and ambitions. In some regions, they fall back to AWS (AMZN).</li>\n <li>They prefer small, autonomous teams to large hierarchical groups, and encourage cross-pollination between groups.</li>\n <li>The “moat” comes when they reach enough scale. They are not close yet.</li>\n <li>Their future plans include translating this model focused on engagement with your friends and content creation to other areas like education, work, live events and video. I believe they have a key opportunity to become the preferred work-from-home platform over Zoom (ZM).</li>\n</ul>\n<p>This is a wholistic, Apple-like strategy that is built to last.</p>\n<p><b>Financials</b></p>\n<p>I specified GAAP revenue in the intro because digital goods companies like Roblox have complications, even that far up the operating statement. The big issue is that monetization is done through the sale of Robux, the in-game currency. But until the Robux are spent in-game, they are counted as deferred revenue, and not counted in GAAP revenue. This makes quite the difference.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/659642cfe091e1d54c0a2f10ef66e5e2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"></p>\n<p>As you can see, there were a lot of Christmas Robux still in user accounts at the end of 2020. So I’m going to redo the operating statement with revenue plus deferred Robux, or what Roblox calls “bookings,” as the top line. Bookings are a much more accurate representation of their cash flows from app store owners like Apple and Google.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9fd5871111e25c87be06898e293801d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"392\"></p>\n<p>The point is this is already a profitable company, despite the negative GAAP earnings, with $524 million in cash flows from operations in 2020 (CFOs count deferred revenue).</p>\n<p>What’s more, this is an efficient, mature operation. On every new tech listing, I have a metric I call “the revenue juicer.” Growth companies know analysts focus on revenue growth, so they juice that number with large discounts to customers that get filed away in cost-of-goods, or as a marketing cost. Revenues look larger, even if it doesn’t affect operating income. This metric is a way of catching that. It’s the sum of cost-of-goods and sales/marketing divided by revenue.</p>\n<p>Just to give you an idea of what this looks like, Snowflake (SNOW) is the most egregious recent example. In their last quarter, they spent $1.26 on customer acquisition for every dollar of revenue. Roblox spent $0.32 using GAAP revenue, and $0.28 using bookings as the denominator. They spent particularly little on marketing, only 3% of bookings and 6% of GAAP revenue. Their growth is largely organic, through word-of-mouth. Every parent of young children I know is talking about it. This is a virtuous cycle. As more people become attracted to the platform, more of them decide to make games, and the volume and quality of the games rises, attracting new users.</p>\n<p>Their administrative expenses are similarly in-line at 5% of bookings and 11% of GAAP revenue.</p>\n<p>This is a nicely run operation, that also has a big GAAP number coming in the March quarter as users spend down those holiday Robux account balances, and the revenue goes from deferred to GAAP.</p>\n<p>But they are also expecting a drop-off in engagement from the pandemic highs as people begin to spend more time out of their houses. So let’s talk about user metrics.</p>\n<p><b>User Metrics</b></p>\n<p>What we see here is huge growth in user metrics in 2020 that is not sustainable in a post-pandemic environment. Starting with daily active users:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca65d547a060f9d5415cd3d4b43962f7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"></p>\n<p>But I hate DAUs. They tell you nothing about what people are doing while there. Fortunately, Roblox breaks out total hours of usage.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6ac29876f67948190c8a606cfab6209\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"></p>\n<p>Putting those together, on average, Roblox users spent an extra half hour a day in the app in 2020, after dipping slightly in 2019.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd012aa8b818b763e6cc1f3a1d7eca35\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"></p>\n<p>That extra half hour is the pandemic effect in a nutshell. Users are also spending more every hour.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be94d53323e077a3f12325a6b38ed19f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"></p>\n<p>My guess is they revert back to 2018-2019 type numbers in 2021 in those last two metrics. The company is also predicting that we could see some negative comps in 2021. Here’s their 2021 guidance from last week:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/557691b5f03b6c7536bea5c651ada13d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"149\"><span>The party ends Q2.</span></p>\n<p>The Whale Problem</p>\n<p>I’m a fan of S-1 “Risk Factors” sections. In the first place there’s a lot of information in there. But also, from the tone and language of how it’s written, you can get a sense of how management wants to frame problems. Are they being honest and forthright, and using plain English, or are they using a lot of management doublespeak? If it’sthe latter, it makes me sniff everything twice.</p>\n<p>Right off the bat, in the first paragraph, they made a friend:</p>\n<blockquote>\n We have experienced rapid growth in the three months ended June 30, 2020, September 30, 2020, December 31, 2020, and for a portion of the three months ended March 31, 2020, due in part to the COVID-19 pandemic given our users have been online more as a result of global COVID-19 shelter-in-place policies. For example, our bookings increased 171% from the year ended December 31, 2019 to the year ended December 31, 2020. We do not expect these activity levels to be sustained, and in future periods we expect growth rates for our revenue to decline, and we may not experience any growth in bookings or our user base during periods where we are comparing against COVID-19 impacted periods.\n</blockquote>\n<p>This is carried through in their 2021 guidance we just looked at. This is a great example of their language in this section — simple, clear, informative. But the thing that stood out to me was something I was looking for, because it’s a thing that bothers me always, the so-called Whale Problem, or the 80-20 Problem. There are many companies in the free-to-play gaming business that get a very large portion of their revenues, around 80%, from a small number of users, around 20%. Those 20% are the “whales.” Roblox’ description:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b><i>We rely on a very small percentage of our total users for a significant majority of our revenue and bookings that we derive from our platform.</i></b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n We generate substantially all of our revenue through the sales of our virtual currency, “Robux,” which players can use to purchase virtual items sold by our developer and creator community on the platform. Only a small portion of our users regularly purchase Robux through subscriptions and pay for experiences and virtual items compared to all users who use our platform in any period.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The term “whale” comes from the casino business, where much of the house’s take comes from these whales. How this works at casinos is a great example as why I view this as a problem. Some of the highest paid people at casinos are the “hosts,” whose job it is to attract and retain whales. It is a large part of their focus and Opex. The problem is what attracts the whales will not always work on the general public. Casinos solved this problem with the one-on-one marketing of the hosts, and by having separate gaming areas for the whales.</p>\n<p>In the gaming world, companies can fall into the same trap, but don’t have as clean a solution as the high-roller rooms in casinos. All users, from the whales to the people who never pay a dime, are all mixed together, by design. The trap here is the efforts to attract whales turns off everyone else — the other 80% that provide the network effects, but very little revenue.</p>\n<p>At some point, management is going to come under pressure to keep revenues growing fast, and that means more whales, but that can also limit total user growth long term. They calmed my fears a bit with another section of Risk Factors:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b><i>We focus our business on our developers, creators, and users, and acting in their interests in the long-term may conflict with the short-term expectations of analysts and investors.</i></b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n A significant part of our business strategy and culture is to focus on long-term growth and developer, creator, and user experience over short-term financial results. We expect our expenses to continue to increase in the future as we broaden our developer, creator, and user community, as developers, creators, and users increase the amount and types of experiences and virtual items they make available on our platform and the content they consume, and as we develop and further enhance our platform, expand our technical infrastructure and data centers, and hire additional employees to support our expanding operations.\n</blockquote>\n<p>This is the right choice for what they are trying to build. Let’s hope they remember that in a couple of years.</p>\n<p>Wrapping Up</p>\n<p>First, some summary bullets:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Roblox is not a game, but a platform for both designing and playing games. They have 20 million games on the platform.</li>\n <li>Like other gaming companies, they are trying to build a metaverse that blends real and persistent virtual worlds. Social aspects are key in Roblox, and I believe they are focusing on the right parts of this, putting a lot of emphasis on having a safe, fun environment for all ages.</li>\n <li>They have what I consider a durable long-term strategy.</li>\n <li>Their growth up to now has been almost entirely via word-of-mouth.</li>\n <li>Without a quirk in GAAP reporting, they are actually a profitable company with over a half billion in operational cash flows in 2020.</li>\n <li>Like many gaming companies, their user metrics all saw outrageous growth in 2020 due to the pandemic. That cannot be matched in 2021. Q1 GAAP numbers will be still very large due to high Robux balances at the end of 2020 and the same pandemic conditions, but the party ends Q2.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>So I like what they have brewing here, despite all the long-term challenges of building something so ambitious. But that last bullet leads me to believe there is a better price coming later in the year when the reality of post-pandemic gaming patterns settle in. It looks like they packed a couple of years of growth into one year. As such, at current prices, which puts it with a higher market cap than EA (EA), makes me think there is a much better price coming later in the year. That’s why the neutral rating.</p>\n<p>I’ll circle back when they report Q1.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Roblox Builds The Metaverse</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRoblox Builds The Metaverse\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-12 21:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4413403-roblox-builds-metaverse><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nRoblox is not a game, but a platform for both designing and playing games.\nLike other gaming companies, they are trying to build a metaverse that blends real and persistent virtual worlds.\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4413403-roblox-builds-metaverse\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RBLX":"Roblox Corporation"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4413403-roblox-builds-metaverse","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1144000725","content_text":"Summary\n\nRoblox is not a game, but a platform for both designing and playing games.\nLike other gaming companies, they are trying to build a metaverse that blends real and persistent virtual worlds.\nThey have what I consider a durable long-term strategy and stellar word-of-mouth marketing.\nLike many gaming companies, their user metrics all saw outrageous growth in 2020 due to the pandemic. That cannot be matched after Q1 2021.\nAs such, I think a better price will be available later in the year.\n\n\nNobody Knows Anything\n\n Nobody knows anything. Not one person in the entire motion picture field knows for a certainty what’s going to work. Every time out it’s a guess — and if you’re lucky, an educated one.\n\n\n - William Goldman,Adventures in the Screen Trade\n\nI live in LA, and many of my friends and neighbors are in the film and TV industry, and I even once worked at Warner Brothers TV, Warner's TV production arm. Even if they don’t know where it came from, that three-word phrase, “nobody knows anything,” is one everybody knows, and is as close to gospel as you get in Hollywood.\nOne of the greatest screenwriters of all time, Goldman’s point was that it is impossible to ever know exactly what audiences are going to want, and even the smartest, cagiest, most creative executives are frequently wrong. Complicating that is the very long time it takes to go from screenplay to screen. What may have been perfect cultural timing at conception may already be stale by the time people can see it.\nI see this exact problem in game studios as well, prominently in that last part about timing. Especially in the AAA game world, development times can extend for years. Creators get immersed in the world they are building, and meanwhile outside the walls of the studio, the world is changing. I think Apple TV+’s Mythic Quest, a comedy about a fictional MMORPG studio, dramatizes a lot of this very well.\nRoblox’s (RBLX) model solves the Nobody Knows Anything Problem in the way YouTube (GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL)solved it for video. Roblox is not really a game, but a platform for designing and playing games. It gets frequently compared to Minecraft (MSFT), because they both rely on user creativity, but it is more akin to Unreal Engine, Epic’s game development platform. But that’s for developers. Roblox brings game publishing to the masses the way YouTube democratized video broadcasting.\nThe YouTube model is that most of their content is terrible, but that there is so much of it, there is also a huge volume of good stuff that rises to the top and gets monetized, especially when we are talking about niche audiences. That Roblox graphic above, “Millions of Experiences” is the same model in a three-word slogan.\nRoblox does not have to come up with the Next Big Thing, and the one after that, and the one after that. They are counting on their users to do it for them. Amongst millions of worlds, thousands are going to be of interest to players.\nBut as much as I like the model, I can’t recommend the stock for two reasons. In the first place, they have already seen huge pandemic-related growth, and even they are predicting user engagement will be flattish or down in 2021. But more to the point, Roblox closed its first day of trading with a market cap over $40 billion. The stock price was up to over $70 aftermarket after listing at $45. The problem is this:\nData by YCharts\nThat valuation does not make a ton of sense right now for a company with under a billion in GAAP revenue. But that aside, this is one to keep an eye on. I believe a better price will come later in the year as the report soft comps with pandemic quarters.\nIt’s A Game Development Platform, Not A Game\nMany companies like to refer to their IP stack as a “platform” to imply that a lot can be built upon it. Most of the time, that’s just management buzzwording. But Roblox is genuinely a gaming platform for both creators and users, which makes it distinct.\nDeveloping games is not as simple as they’d like to make out, but it is much simpler than any other method.\nRoblox Studio screenshot\nRoblox comes with a huge library of modifiable characters, environments and objects. While much can be scripted, games can be authored without writing a single line of code, using built-in scripts and behaviors. It also has a plugin architecture, and there are many which add functionality or ease-of-use to the development environment, or add game content. They have 35 million of these in their developer store. This is a full stack development tool that even beginners can use.\nThere are thousands of these videos on YouTube. More complex gameplay and objects require scripting in Roblox’s Lua language, but it tends to be much simpler than alternative languages. My point here is that a wide range of game designers - from kids to professionals - can use this thing and create something very simple, or something very complex.\nThe majority of users will never download Roblox Studio. They counted 33 million daily active users in 2020, and 8 million “active developers.” 1.5 million earned something from their creations, so that’s probably a more realistic number. Only 300 earned more than $100,000, so it’s still a small and growing opportunity for game developers. Developers are paid 70% of the Robux - the in-game currency - their content earns, which encourages the many small earners to funnel that back into gameplay, and not convert it into real bucks.\nBut most users will only ever experience the mobile app for playing the games. So it is actually very different from Minecraft, to which it gets frequently compared:\n\nSo while there is some general overlap, mostly in the idea that creativity is one of the core parts of the game, they mostly are pretty different. Minecraft is also infinitely modifiable, but it is not millions of games.\nAs 2020 closed, there were 20 million games, which opens up a new challenge: discoverability. Apple’s(NASDAQ:AAPL)struggles with this in the App Store, despite big investments there, highlight what a challenge that is. My own experience is that they are doing pretty well, but have a ways to go, like everyone else that is relying on algorithmic discovery.\nThe Metaverse\nWhat Roblox is building here is something futurists have referred to as a “metaverse,” a term lifted from a 1992 sci-fi novel,Snow Crash. You can think about the metaverse as a combination of persistent virtual worlds, and the real world interacting - the world of the film Ready Player One, but hopefully less awful. Roblox talks about 8 parts of this that make up the metaverse they are building.\n\nThe avatar. How each individual player chooses to represent themselves in virtual worlds. These can be self-designed or purchased.\nFriends. You are interacting with your real-life friends, and new ones you make on the platform. By December, they were processing 2 million chat messages a day. They do not have voice yet, mostly because they are working on a system that enforces their trust and civility standards, which is far easier to do with plain text messages (item 8 below).\n“Immersiveness.” They are working hard on iterating the graphics so 3D worlds can be everything from cartoony to highly realistic. The progress from even 5 years ago is extraordinary, and light years ahead of their original platform, which looked more like the blocky Minecraft world.\nGlobal and mobile. Games dynamically downshift graphics and rendering on older devices, or where internet connections are poor. Localization rollout is very far along, but slowed by their focus on content moderation. Again, this is an artifact of item 8 below. Their China strategy is a joint venture with Tencent.\nVariety. Millions of worlds.\n“Frictionless” movement between worlds in a matter of seconds. Games load incrementally, as data is needed. Users average playing 20 different games per month.\nMonetized via Robux, their in-game currency. Also future potential from ad revenue, but I believe they will limit this because of the next item.\nTrust and civility. This is super key for the long-term growth of the platform - to not let a small minority of trolls ruin the experience for everyone else. After developer payments, the largest line item in their Opex is “Infrastructure and trust & safety.” I view this as a crucial investment.\n\nRoblox is far from the only company trying to put something like this together, but I like their strategy, especially these aspects:\n\nCombining development and gameplay into one platform solves the Nobody Knows Anything Problem.\nTheir emphasis on the social aspects of gameplay.\nTheir emphasis on trust and civility.\nMonetization that is already working, and an untapped advertising stream of revenue in the future.\nThey run their own backend cloud, customized for their needs and ambitions. In some regions, they fall back to AWS (AMZN).\nThey prefer small, autonomous teams to large hierarchical groups, and encourage cross-pollination between groups.\nThe “moat” comes when they reach enough scale. They are not close yet.\nTheir future plans include translating this model focused on engagement with your friends and content creation to other areas like education, work, live events and video. I believe they have a key opportunity to become the preferred work-from-home platform over Zoom (ZM).\n\nThis is a wholistic, Apple-like strategy that is built to last.\nFinancials\nI specified GAAP revenue in the intro because digital goods companies like Roblox have complications, even that far up the operating statement. The big issue is that monetization is done through the sale of Robux, the in-game currency. But until the Robux are spent in-game, they are counted as deferred revenue, and not counted in GAAP revenue. This makes quite the difference.\n\nAs you can see, there were a lot of Christmas Robux still in user accounts at the end of 2020. So I’m going to redo the operating statement with revenue plus deferred Robux, or what Roblox calls “bookings,” as the top line. Bookings are a much more accurate representation of their cash flows from app store owners like Apple and Google.\n\nThe point is this is already a profitable company, despite the negative GAAP earnings, with $524 million in cash flows from operations in 2020 (CFOs count deferred revenue).\nWhat’s more, this is an efficient, mature operation. On every new tech listing, I have a metric I call “the revenue juicer.” Growth companies know analysts focus on revenue growth, so they juice that number with large discounts to customers that get filed away in cost-of-goods, or as a marketing cost. Revenues look larger, even if it doesn’t affect operating income. This metric is a way of catching that. It’s the sum of cost-of-goods and sales/marketing divided by revenue.\nJust to give you an idea of what this looks like, Snowflake (SNOW) is the most egregious recent example. In their last quarter, they spent $1.26 on customer acquisition for every dollar of revenue. Roblox spent $0.32 using GAAP revenue, and $0.28 using bookings as the denominator. They spent particularly little on marketing, only 3% of bookings and 6% of GAAP revenue. Their growth is largely organic, through word-of-mouth. Every parent of young children I know is talking about it. This is a virtuous cycle. As more people become attracted to the platform, more of them decide to make games, and the volume and quality of the games rises, attracting new users.\nTheir administrative expenses are similarly in-line at 5% of bookings and 11% of GAAP revenue.\nThis is a nicely run operation, that also has a big GAAP number coming in the March quarter as users spend down those holiday Robux account balances, and the revenue goes from deferred to GAAP.\nBut they are also expecting a drop-off in engagement from the pandemic highs as people begin to spend more time out of their houses. So let’s talk about user metrics.\nUser Metrics\nWhat we see here is huge growth in user metrics in 2020 that is not sustainable in a post-pandemic environment. Starting with daily active users:\n\nBut I hate DAUs. They tell you nothing about what people are doing while there. Fortunately, Roblox breaks out total hours of usage.\n\nPutting those together, on average, Roblox users spent an extra half hour a day in the app in 2020, after dipping slightly in 2019.\n\nThat extra half hour is the pandemic effect in a nutshell. Users are also spending more every hour.\n\nMy guess is they revert back to 2018-2019 type numbers in 2021 in those last two metrics. The company is also predicting that we could see some negative comps in 2021. Here’s their 2021 guidance from last week:\nThe party ends Q2.\nThe Whale Problem\nI’m a fan of S-1 “Risk Factors” sections. In the first place there’s a lot of information in there. But also, from the tone and language of how it’s written, you can get a sense of how management wants to frame problems. Are they being honest and forthright, and using plain English, or are they using a lot of management doublespeak? If it’sthe latter, it makes me sniff everything twice.\nRight off the bat, in the first paragraph, they made a friend:\n\n We have experienced rapid growth in the three months ended June 30, 2020, September 30, 2020, December 31, 2020, and for a portion of the three months ended March 31, 2020, due in part to the COVID-19 pandemic given our users have been online more as a result of global COVID-19 shelter-in-place policies. For example, our bookings increased 171% from the year ended December 31, 2019 to the year ended December 31, 2020. We do not expect these activity levels to be sustained, and in future periods we expect growth rates for our revenue to decline, and we may not experience any growth in bookings or our user base during periods where we are comparing against COVID-19 impacted periods.\n\nThis is carried through in their 2021 guidance we just looked at. This is a great example of their language in this section — simple, clear, informative. But the thing that stood out to me was something I was looking for, because it’s a thing that bothers me always, the so-called Whale Problem, or the 80-20 Problem. There are many companies in the free-to-play gaming business that get a very large portion of their revenues, around 80%, from a small number of users, around 20%. Those 20% are the “whales.” Roblox’ description:\n\nWe rely on a very small percentage of our total users for a significant majority of our revenue and bookings that we derive from our platform.\n\n\n We generate substantially all of our revenue through the sales of our virtual currency, “Robux,” which players can use to purchase virtual items sold by our developer and creator community on the platform. Only a small portion of our users regularly purchase Robux through subscriptions and pay for experiences and virtual items compared to all users who use our platform in any period.\n\nThe term “whale” comes from the casino business, where much of the house’s take comes from these whales. How this works at casinos is a great example as why I view this as a problem. Some of the highest paid people at casinos are the “hosts,” whose job it is to attract and retain whales. It is a large part of their focus and Opex. The problem is what attracts the whales will not always work on the general public. Casinos solved this problem with the one-on-one marketing of the hosts, and by having separate gaming areas for the whales.\nIn the gaming world, companies can fall into the same trap, but don’t have as clean a solution as the high-roller rooms in casinos. All users, from the whales to the people who never pay a dime, are all mixed together, by design. The trap here is the efforts to attract whales turns off everyone else — the other 80% that provide the network effects, but very little revenue.\nAt some point, management is going to come under pressure to keep revenues growing fast, and that means more whales, but that can also limit total user growth long term. They calmed my fears a bit with another section of Risk Factors:\n\nWe focus our business on our developers, creators, and users, and acting in their interests in the long-term may conflict with the short-term expectations of analysts and investors.\n\n\n A significant part of our business strategy and culture is to focus on long-term growth and developer, creator, and user experience over short-term financial results. We expect our expenses to continue to increase in the future as we broaden our developer, creator, and user community, as developers, creators, and users increase the amount and types of experiences and virtual items they make available on our platform and the content they consume, and as we develop and further enhance our platform, expand our technical infrastructure and data centers, and hire additional employees to support our expanding operations.\n\nThis is the right choice for what they are trying to build. Let’s hope they remember that in a couple of years.\nWrapping Up\nFirst, some summary bullets:\n\nRoblox is not a game, but a platform for both designing and playing games. They have 20 million games on the platform.\nLike other gaming companies, they are trying to build a metaverse that blends real and persistent virtual worlds. Social aspects are key in Roblox, and I believe they are focusing on the right parts of this, putting a lot of emphasis on having a safe, fun environment for all ages.\nThey have what I consider a durable long-term strategy.\nTheir growth up to now has been almost entirely via word-of-mouth.\nWithout a quirk in GAAP reporting, they are actually a profitable company with over a half billion in operational cash flows in 2020.\nLike many gaming companies, their user metrics all saw outrageous growth in 2020 due to the pandemic. That cannot be matched in 2021. Q1 GAAP numbers will be still very large due to high Robux balances at the end of 2020 and the same pandemic conditions, but the party ends Q2.\n\nSo I like what they have brewing here, despite all the long-term challenges of building something so ambitious. But that last bullet leads me to believe there is a better price coming later in the year when the reality of post-pandemic gaming patterns settle in. It looks like they packed a couple of years of growth into one year. As such, at current prices, which puts it with a higher market cap than EA (EA), makes me think there is a much better price coming later in the year. That’s why the neutral rating.\nI’ll circle back when they report Q1.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":87,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}