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韭菜梭哈一把
2022-09-16
周五将有大约3.5万亿美元的期权将到期。
盘前 | 小心，3.5万亿美元期权即将到期！联邦快递暴跌20%
韭菜梭哈一把
2022-09-14
做空🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳
一场完美风暴正在袭来！美元真的要见顶了？
韭菜梭哈一把
2022-06-01
不web3了？不dao了？不分布式办公了？
马斯克发全员信要求结束远程办公：至少坐班40小时才能居家办公
韭菜梭哈一把
2021-07-26
∠( ᐛ 」∠)_看戏
抱歉，原内容已删除
韭菜梭哈一把
2021-05-12
币圈最起码跑得快还能赚！股票就是割韭菜
抱歉，原内容已删除
韭菜梭哈一把
2021-04-17
想赌又不想爆仓，币圈钱都是大风刮来的🤡🤡🤡🤡
抱歉，原内容已删除
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20:15","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"盘前 | 小心，3.5万亿美元期权即将到期！联邦快递暴跌20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108611157","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要：“四巫日”驾到，美股股指期货下跌；联邦快递跌超20%，美股物流股跟跌；系统遭黑客入侵，优步下挫；亨斯曼材料跌超7%，公司下调Q3盈利预期。9月16日，美股股指期货下跌，道指期货跌0.84%，标普","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>摘要：“四巫日”驾到，美股股指期货下跌；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">联邦快递</a>跌超20%，美股物流股跟跌；系统遭黑客入侵，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">优步</a>下挫；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HUN\">亨斯曼材料</a>跌超7%，公司下调Q3盈利预期。</blockquote><p>9月16日，美股股指期货下跌，道指期货跌0.84%，标普500指数跌0.95%，纳指期货跌1.09%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab5cc665b02ea076383bdaa106f8a755\" tg-width=\"435\" tg-height=\"173\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>盘前要闻</b></p><p><b>美股“四巫日”驾到，3.5万亿美元期权即将到期！</b>本周五美股将迎来“四巫日”，即股指期货、股指期权、个股期货与个股期权同时到期。这种情形每季度发生一次，分别发生在每年三、六、九、十二月的第三个星期五，常令股市的波动性显著升高。根据高盛集团的数据，周五将有大约3.5万亿美元的期权将到期。</p><p>报道称字节跳动计划使用不超过30亿美元的现金回购股票并扩大员工预留期权池。</p><p>自2022年8月19日以来，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯控股</a>已连续20个交易日回购，共计2244万股，耗资70.34亿港元。</p><p>恒大集团9月16日宣布，恒驰5在天津工厂正式量产。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>中国Model 3、Model Y所有车型最短预期交付时间均缩短至1周。</p><p>FF第二大股东Sean Smart Limited问责FF董事会，敦促召开特别股东大会，要求罢免两位独立董事。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a>收到欧洲药品管理局人用药品委员会（CHMP）的积极意见，建议将新冠疫苗Comirnaty®的欧盟有条件上市授权转换为正式上市授权。</p><p>世卫组织：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSK\">葛兰素史克</a>新冠抗体药物对目前流行变体没效果，不建议使用。</p><p><b>盘前行情</b></p><p>联邦快递盘前下挫超20%，美股物流股跟跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPS\">联合包裹</a>跌超6%，XPO跌超4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>跌近3%，此前联邦快递下调业绩预测并警告称全球经济将放缓。</p><p>亨斯曼材料盘前跌超7%，公司下调Q3盈利预期。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">优步</a>盘前跌超4%，其电脑系统遭黑客入侵。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a>盘前跌超2%，公司豪掷200亿美元收购Figma。</p><p>Roblox盘前跌超2%，8月日活用户平均预定量下降14%-16%。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GE\">通用电气</a>盘前跌超4%，公司首席财务官表示，该公司仍在努力解决供应链瓶颈问题，这使得公司很难按时向客户交付产品。</p><p><b>欧洲市场</b></p><p>欧洲主要股指普遍走弱，截至发稿，德国DAX30指数跌1.46%，法国CAC40跌1.11%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c2003b6d56f8beb6fd4eb6215172425\" tg-width=\"821\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>原油</b></p><p>国际油价上涨，美油报85.91美元/桶，日内涨幅0.95%；布油现报91.96美元/桶，日内涨幅1.22%。</p><p>世界银行和IMF警告全球经济衰退风险，打压原油需求前景预期，隔夜油价大跌，虽然目前温和反弹进行调整，但周五亚欧股市也普遍跟随隔夜美股跌势，美股股指期货也延续跌势，或将进一步拖累油价。另外，美联储激进加息前景、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USEG\">美国能源</a>部称2023财年之前不太可能寻求补充战略石油储备，也打击多头士气，投资者需要提防油价进一步下跌风险。</p><p><b>黄金</b></p><p>现货黄金日内跌0.16%，报1674.60美元/盎司。</p><p>隔夜美国零售销售数据和初请失业金人数变动强于预期，市场被美联储激进加息预期笼罩，美元相对强势，美债收益率走高，进一步打压金价。短线来看，在下周美联储决议前，金价偏向弱势，并存在进一步下探风险；技术面来看，短线金价下跌动能仍存</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>盘前 | 小心，3.5万亿美元期权即将到期！联邦快递暴跌20%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n盘前 | 小心，3.5万亿美元期权即将到期！联邦快递暴跌20%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-16 20:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote>摘要：“四巫日”驾到，美股股指期货下跌；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">联邦快递</a>跌超20%，美股物流股跟跌；系统遭黑客入侵，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">优步</a>下挫；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HUN\">亨斯曼材料</a>跌超7%，公司下调Q3盈利预期。</blockquote><p>9月16日，美股股指期货下跌，道指期货跌0.84%，标普500指数跌0.95%，纳指期货跌1.09%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab5cc665b02ea076383bdaa106f8a755\" tg-width=\"435\" tg-height=\"173\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>盘前要闻</b></p><p><b>美股“四巫日”驾到，3.5万亿美元期权即将到期！</b>本周五美股将迎来“四巫日”，即股指期货、股指期权、个股期货与个股期权同时到期。这种情形每季度发生一次，分别发生在每年三、六、九、十二月的第三个星期五，常令股市的波动性显著升高。根据高盛集团的数据，周五将有大约3.5万亿美元的期权将到期。</p><p>报道称字节跳动计划使用不超过30亿美元的现金回购股票并扩大员工预留期权池。</p><p>自2022年8月19日以来，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯控股</a>已连续20个交易日回购，共计2244万股，耗资70.34亿港元。</p><p>恒大集团9月16日宣布，恒驰5在天津工厂正式量产。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>中国Model 3、Model Y所有车型最短预期交付时间均缩短至1周。</p><p>FF第二大股东Sean Smart Limited问责FF董事会，敦促召开特别股东大会，要求罢免两位独立董事。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a>收到欧洲药品管理局人用药品委员会（CHMP）的积极意见，建议将新冠疫苗Comirnaty®的欧盟有条件上市授权转换为正式上市授权。</p><p>世卫组织：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSK\">葛兰素史克</a>新冠抗体药物对目前流行变体没效果，不建议使用。</p><p><b>盘前行情</b></p><p>联邦快递盘前下挫超20%，美股物流股跟跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPS\">联合包裹</a>跌超6%，XPO跌超4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>跌近3%，此前联邦快递下调业绩预测并警告称全球经济将放缓。</p><p>亨斯曼材料盘前跌超7%，公司下调Q3盈利预期。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">优步</a>盘前跌超4%，其电脑系统遭黑客入侵。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a>盘前跌超2%，公司豪掷200亿美元收购Figma。</p><p>Roblox盘前跌超2%，8月日活用户平均预定量下降14%-16%。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GE\">通用电气</a>盘前跌超4%，公司首席财务官表示，该公司仍在努力解决供应链瓶颈问题，这使得公司很难按时向客户交付产品。</p><p><b>欧洲市场</b></p><p>欧洲主要股指普遍走弱，截至发稿，德国DAX30指数跌1.46%，法国CAC40跌1.11%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c2003b6d56f8beb6fd4eb6215172425\" tg-width=\"821\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>原油</b></p><p>国际油价上涨，美油报85.91美元/桶，日内涨幅0.95%；布油现报91.96美元/桶，日内涨幅1.22%。</p><p>世界银行和IMF警告全球经济衰退风险，打压原油需求前景预期，隔夜油价大跌，虽然目前温和反弹进行调整，但周五亚欧股市也普遍跟随隔夜美股跌势，美股股指期货也延续跌势，或将进一步拖累油价。另外，美联储激进加息前景、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USEG\">美国能源</a>部称2023财年之前不太可能寻求补充战略石油储备，也打击多头士气，投资者需要提防油价进一步下跌风险。</p><p><b>黄金</b></p><p>现货黄金日内跌0.16%，报1674.60美元/盎司。</p><p>隔夜美国零售销售数据和初请失业金人数变动强于预期，市场被美联储激进加息预期笼罩，美元相对强势，美债收益率走高，进一步打压金价。短线来看，在下周美联储决议前，金价偏向弱势，并存在进一步下探风险；技术面来看，短线金价下跌动能仍存</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4ee39e6b0f45214393093d70ba81a8","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4131":"航空货运与物流",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AMZN":"亚马逊","FDX":"联邦快递"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108611157","content_text":"摘要：“四巫日”驾到，美股股指期货下跌；联邦快递跌超20%，美股物流股跟跌；系统遭黑客入侵，优步下挫；亨斯曼材料跌超7%，公司下调Q3盈利预期。9月16日，美股股指期货下跌，道指期货跌0.84%，标普500指数跌0.95%，纳指期货跌1.09%。盘前要闻美股“四巫日”驾到，3.5万亿美元期权即将到期！本周五美股将迎来“四巫日”，即股指期货、股指期权、个股期货与个股期权同时到期。这种情形每季度发生一次，分别发生在每年三、六、九、十二月的第三个星期五，常令股市的波动性显著升高。根据高盛集团的数据，周五将有大约3.5万亿美元的期权将到期。报道称字节跳动计划使用不超过30亿美元的现金回购股票并扩大员工预留期权池。自2022年8月19日以来，腾讯控股已连续20个交易日回购，共计2244万股，耗资70.34亿港元。恒大集团9月16日宣布，恒驰5在天津工厂正式量产。特斯拉中国Model 3、Model Y所有车型最短预期交付时间均缩短至1周。FF第二大股东Sean Smart Limited问责FF董事会，敦促召开特别股东大会，要求罢免两位独立董事。辉瑞与BioNTech SE收到欧洲药品管理局人用药品委员会（CHMP）的积极意见，建议将新冠疫苗Comirnaty®的欧盟有条件上市授权转换为正式上市授权。世卫组织：葛兰素史克新冠抗体药物对目前流行变体没效果，不建议使用。盘前行情联邦快递盘前下挫超20%，美股物流股跟跌，联合包裹跌超6%，XPO跌超4%，亚马逊跌近3%，此前联邦快递下调业绩预测并警告称全球经济将放缓。亨斯曼材料盘前跌超7%，公司下调Q3盈利预期。优步盘前跌超4%，其电脑系统遭黑客入侵。Adobe盘前跌超2%，公司豪掷200亿美元收购Figma。Roblox盘前跌超2%，8月日活用户平均预定量下降14%-16%。通用电气盘前跌超4%，公司首席财务官表示，该公司仍在努力解决供应链瓶颈问题，这使得公司很难按时向客户交付产品。欧洲市场欧洲主要股指普遍走弱，截至发稿，德国DAX30指数跌1.46%，法国CAC40跌1.11%。原油国际油价上涨，美油报85.91美元/桶，日内涨幅0.95%；布油现报91.96美元/桶，日内涨幅1.22%。世界银行和IMF警告全球经济衰退风险，打压原油需求前景预期，隔夜油价大跌，虽然目前温和反弹进行调整，但周五亚欧股市也普遍跟随隔夜美股跌势，美股股指期货也延续跌势，或将进一步拖累油价。另外，美联储激进加息前景、美国能源部称2023财年之前不太可能寻求补充战略石油储备，也打击多头士气，投资者需要提防油价进一步下跌风险。黄金现货黄金日内跌0.16%，报1674.60美元/盎司。隔夜美国零售销售数据和初请失业金人数变动强于预期，市场被美联储激进加息预期笼罩，美元相对强势，美债收益率走高，进一步打压金价。短线来看，在下周美联储决议前，金价偏向弱势，并存在进一步下探风险；技术面来看，短线金价下跌动能仍存","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1202,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":663655572,"gmtCreate":1663164715996,"gmtModify":1663164717202,"author":{"id":"3573003438579670","authorId":"3573003438579670","name":"韭菜梭哈一把","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/598a13bde72ca84eccf677da2052f36d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573003438579670","authorIdStr":"3573003438579670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"做空🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳","listText":"做空🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳","text":"做空🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳🈳","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/663655572","repostId":"2267246543","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2267246543","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663161907,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2267246543?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-14 21:25","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"一场完美风暴正在袭来！美元真的要见顶了？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2267246543","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"分析认为，美国银行业手里空前庞大的美元、美联储加息造成的联邦政府美元短缺危机等因素将给美元带来巨大风险。随着美国经济步入衰退，美元可能在2023年遭遇一场做空风暴。美国8月CPI回落不及预期，核心CP","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>分析认为，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>业手里空前庞大的美元、美联储加息造成的联邦政府美元短缺危机等因素将给美元带来巨大风险。随着美国经济步入衰退，美元可能在2023年遭遇一场做空风暴。</blockquote><p>美国8月CPI回落不及预期，核心CPI意外加速上行，暴力加息预期以及衰退担忧血洗美国资本市场，股债遭遇双杀，美油一度下逼85美元，比特币跌近10%，所有金融资产中似乎只有美元幸免遇难。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USDindex.FOREX\">美元指数</a>周二止步四连跌涨1.5%，重回109，逼近20年来的高位。截止周三发稿，美元指数报109.73，日内小幅下挫0.2%。</p><p>近期，通胀见顶和美联储即将转向的乐观情绪使美元持续承压。当地时间周二，8月CPI数据公布之前，彭博美元指数较上周高点下挫约2%，不少投资者认为美元的“高光时刻”已经结束。</p><p>随后一份火热的通胀报告又将美元送上高位，给了美元空头一记响亮的耳光。那么，美元能在高位坚持多久？</p><p>对于这个问题，分析表示，短期来看，美联储的激进加息将会继续对美元形成支撑。然而，美国银行业手里空前庞大的美元、美联储加息造成的联邦政府美元短缺危机等因素将给美元带来巨大风险。随着美国经济步入衰退，美元可能在2023年遭遇一场做空风暴。</p><p>美元“高光时刻”仍未结束？</p><p>分析认为，美联储在对抗通胀方面仍保持强硬立场，考虑到美元的避险能力，美元似乎能在高光时刻停留得更久些。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HBC\">汇丰控股</a>香港公司全球外汇研究主管Paul Mackel告诉媒体，有人争论美元即将见顶，但“就我个人而言，我认为这还为时过早。”他预计近期美元走势发生逆转的“根本条件”并不存在。</p><p>盛宝资本驻新加坡高级策略师Charu Chanana表示，冲销美元走强充满风险，因为，美联储在必要时升息的速度仍可能“超过”其他央行。</p><p>宏观风险顾问公司技术策略师John Kolovos表示，从技术角度来看，美元正遭受空头攻击，但“还没有被烤坏”。他周一对媒体表示，如果<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ICE\">洲际交易所</a>（ICE）美元指数跌破105点，那么“美元完蛋的可能性相当大”。</p><p>做空风暴将在2023年来袭？</p><p>2022年迄今最准确的华尔街分析师Michael Hartnett认为，2023年最热门的交易将是做空美元，同时做多新兴市场货币。而这将出现在美国经济步入衰退之后。</p><p>根据The Bear Traps Report主编、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0J6Y.UK\">法国兴业银行</a>前宏观策略主管Larry McDonald的说法，美国银行业手里空前庞大的美元、美联储加息造成的联邦政府美元短缺危机、新兴市场信贷风险等多因素将使美元面临巨大风险。他在近期的报告中表示：</p><blockquote>大金融危机之后，监管机构希望确保美国金融体系永远不会再次屈服于过度杠杆的双刃剑之下。监管机构迫使美国的银行“提高准备金”，因此，在过去的14年里，华尔街的金融中心积累了空前庞大的美元储备，其中大部分是美国国债。</blockquote><blockquote>今天，正如承诺的那样，美联储必须向这些银行支付越来越多的准备金利息。随着央行提高利率，这将会造成意料之外的后果。</blockquote><blockquote>明年这个时候，联邦政府预计将出现近4000亿美元的亏损；</blockquote><blockquote>新兴市场信贷风险、欧元区能源危机、美国消费疲软，一年期通胀预期正以雷曼兄弟公司倒闭以来的最快速度崩塌，美元面临的风险正在加剧。</blockquote><p>另外，美联储过度加息也可能为美元带来意想不到的后果。</p><p>3月以来，美联储已进行四次加息，加息幅度累计达225个基点，如果9月再加息100基点，相当于在半年内收回了三年来的宽松政策。McDonald称，这需要12-24个月才能完全发挥作用。</p><p>McDonald表示，美联储约10000亿美元的量化紧缩，加上300-450基点的加息幅度，几乎没人知道这将在未来12-24个月带来什么样的后果。用他的话来说：</p><blockquote>在黑暗中瞎跑，而不是走路。这正是鲍威尔危险的美元汇率游戏。</blockquote><p>金融博客Zerohedge也得出类似结论，该博客认为，随着通胀率逐渐回落，预计美联储将很快转向，“这一举动将在大宗商品领域产生反响，并使物价在未来几个月真正呈指数级上升”。与此同时，由于接近纪录高点的多头争相回补，美元将遭受重创。</p></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>一场完美风暴正在袭来！美元真的要见顶了？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3670294><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>分析认为，美国银行业手里空前庞大的美元、美联储加息造成的联邦政府美元短缺危机等因素将给美元带来巨大风险。随着美国经济步入衰退，美元可能在2023年遭遇一场做空风暴。美国8月CPI回落不及预期，核心CPI意外加速上行，暴力加息预期以及衰退担忧血洗美国资本市场，股债遭遇双杀，美油一度下逼85美元，比特币跌近10%，所有金融资产中似乎只有美元幸免遇难。美元指数周二止步四连跌涨1.5%，重回109，逼近...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3670294\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b42ae1719bdd62198db131f3bcb546ac","relate_stocks":{"UUP":"美元ETF-PowerShares DB"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3670294","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2267246543","content_text":"分析认为，美国银行业手里空前庞大的美元、美联储加息造成的联邦政府美元短缺危机等因素将给美元带来巨大风险。随着美国经济步入衰退，美元可能在2023年遭遇一场做空风暴。美国8月CPI回落不及预期，核心CPI意外加速上行，暴力加息预期以及衰退担忧血洗美国资本市场，股债遭遇双杀，美油一度下逼85美元，比特币跌近10%，所有金融资产中似乎只有美元幸免遇难。美元指数周二止步四连跌涨1.5%，重回109，逼近20年来的高位。截止周三发稿，美元指数报109.73，日内小幅下挫0.2%。近期，通胀见顶和美联储即将转向的乐观情绪使美元持续承压。当地时间周二，8月CPI数据公布之前，彭博美元指数较上周高点下挫约2%，不少投资者认为美元的“高光时刻”已经结束。随后一份火热的通胀报告又将美元送上高位，给了美元空头一记响亮的耳光。那么，美元能在高位坚持多久？对于这个问题，分析表示，短期来看，美联储的激进加息将会继续对美元形成支撑。然而，美国银行业手里空前庞大的美元、美联储加息造成的联邦政府美元短缺危机等因素将给美元带来巨大风险。随着美国经济步入衰退，美元可能在2023年遭遇一场做空风暴。美元“高光时刻”仍未结束？分析认为，美联储在对抗通胀方面仍保持强硬立场，考虑到美元的避险能力，美元似乎能在高光时刻停留得更久些。汇丰控股香港公司全球外汇研究主管Paul Mackel告诉媒体，有人争论美元即将见顶，但“就我个人而言，我认为这还为时过早。”他预计近期美元走势发生逆转的“根本条件”并不存在。盛宝资本驻新加坡高级策略师Charu Chanana表示，冲销美元走强充满风险，因为，美联储在必要时升息的速度仍可能“超过”其他央行。宏观风险顾问公司技术策略师John Kolovos表示，从技术角度来看，美元正遭受空头攻击，但“还没有被烤坏”。他周一对媒体表示，如果洲际交易所（ICE）美元指数跌破105点，那么“美元完蛋的可能性相当大”。做空风暴将在2023年来袭？2022年迄今最准确的华尔街分析师Michael Hartnett认为，2023年最热门的交易将是做空美元，同时做多新兴市场货币。而这将出现在美国经济步入衰退之后。根据The Bear Traps Report主编、法国兴业银行前宏观策略主管Larry McDonald的说法，美国银行业手里空前庞大的美元、美联储加息造成的联邦政府美元短缺危机、新兴市场信贷风险等多因素将使美元面临巨大风险。他在近期的报告中表示：大金融危机之后，监管机构希望确保美国金融体系永远不会再次屈服于过度杠杆的双刃剑之下。监管机构迫使美国的银行“提高准备金”，因此，在过去的14年里，华尔街的金融中心积累了空前庞大的美元储备，其中大部分是美国国债。今天，正如承诺的那样，美联储必须向这些银行支付越来越多的准备金利息。随着央行提高利率，这将会造成意料之外的后果。明年这个时候，联邦政府预计将出现近4000亿美元的亏损；新兴市场信贷风险、欧元区能源危机、美国消费疲软，一年期通胀预期正以雷曼兄弟公司倒闭以来的最快速度崩塌，美元面临的风险正在加剧。另外，美联储过度加息也可能为美元带来意想不到的后果。3月以来，美联储已进行四次加息，加息幅度累计达225个基点，如果9月再加息100基点，相当于在半年内收回了三年来的宽松政策。McDonald称，这需要12-24个月才能完全发挥作用。McDonald表示，美联储约10000亿美元的量化紧缩，加上300-450基点的加息幅度，几乎没人知道这将在未来12-24个月带来什么样的后果。用他的话来说：在黑暗中瞎跑，而不是走路。这正是鲍威尔危险的美元汇率游戏。金融博客Zerohedge也得出类似结论，该博客认为，随着通胀率逐渐回落，预计美联储将很快转向，“这一举动将在大宗商品领域产生反响，并使物价在未来几个月真正呈指数级上升”。与此同时，由于接近纪录高点的多头争相回补，美元将遭受重创。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1135,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":617190905,"gmtCreate":1654091478612,"gmtModify":1704858810138,"author":{"id":"3573003438579670","authorId":"3573003438579670","name":"韭菜梭哈一把","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/598a13bde72ca84eccf677da2052f36d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573003438579670","authorIdStr":"3573003438579670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"不web3了？不dao了？不分布式办公了？","listText":"不web3了？不dao了？不分布式办公了？","text":"不web3了？不dao了？不分布式办公了？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/617190905","repostId":"1190178627","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1190178627","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1654089929,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190178627?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-06-01 21:25","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"马斯克发全员信要求结束远程办公：至少坐班40小时才能居家办公","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190178627","media":"三言财经","summary":"6月1日消息，根据一封马斯克发表的特斯拉全员信截图显示，马斯克要求所有希望远程工作的员工每周至少在办公室工作40小时，否则就该离开特斯拉。截图显示，这封信发表于当地时间5月31日，马斯克表示，每周至少","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>6月1日消息，根据一封马斯克发表的特斯拉全员信截图显示，马斯克要求所有希望远程工作的员工每周至少在办公室工作40小时，否则就该离开特斯拉。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fc6110b56ec2b0f83a6c39b2f46fc94\" tg-width=\"690\" tg-height=\"1494\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>截图显示，这封信发表于当地时间5月31日，马斯克表示，每周至少在办公室工作40小时的员工才可进行远程工作。他还特地强调“至少40小时”，并且称这个要求比对工厂工人的要求还要低。</p><p>马斯克还表示，对于部分存在特别情况无法做到上述要求的人，马斯克将亲自对这些例外情况直接审查和批准。</p><p>此外，马斯克还强调，所谓“办公室”不能是与工作职责无关的远程分支机构。他举例称，若一名员工负责弗里蒙特（Fremont）工厂人力管理，但却将办公室设置在另一个州，这是不被允许的。</p></body></html>","source":"sycaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>马斯克发全员信要求结束远程办公：至少坐班40小时才能居家办公</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ 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hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n马斯克发全员信要求结束远程办公：至少坐班40小时才能居家办公\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-01 21:25 北京时间 <a href=https://www.toutiao.com/article/7104170199552623141/?app=news_article×tamp=1654089625&use_new_style=1&req_id=202206012120250101410451340E070EA3&group_id=7104170199552623141&share_token=EDF78475-06FD-4002-B427-4F4DEC312D26&tt_from=weixin&utm_source=weixin&utm_medium=toutiao_ios&utm_campaign=client_share&wxshare_count=1&wid=1654089657809><strong>三言财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>6月1日消息，根据一封马斯克发表的特斯拉全员信截图显示，马斯克要求所有希望远程工作的员工每周至少在办公室工作40小时，否则就该离开特斯拉。截图显示，这封信发表于当地时间5月31日，马斯克表示，每周至少在办公室工作40小时的员工才可进行远程工作。他还特地强调“至少40小时”，并且称这个要求比对工厂工人的要求还要低。马斯克还表示，对于部分存在特别情况无法做到上述要求的人，马斯克将亲自对这些例外情况直接...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.toutiao.com/article/7104170199552623141/?app=news_article×tamp=1654089625&use_new_style=1&req_id=202206012120250101410451340E070EA3&group_id=7104170199552623141&share_token=EDF78475-06FD-4002-B427-4F4DEC312D26&tt_from=weixin&utm_source=weixin&utm_medium=toutiao_ios&utm_campaign=client_share&wxshare_count=1&wid=1654089657809\">Web 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