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姚宏_1802
2022-07-12
🙃🙃😂
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姚宏_1802
2022-06-23
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@赌搏:给大家讲一下不同人的交易时间开盘头一到两个小时,散户和职业day trader中场,散户,小机构,没什么人2:30之后,day trader,大机构,小部分散户大家看看看看这两天日内的走势,结合我上面说的,有什么看法?谁在买谁在卖?
姚宏_1802
2021-07-28
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tg-height=\"367\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>美联储官员警告称加息太快可能导致“转向过度”</b></p><p>上个月对美联储加息75个基点持异议的堪萨斯城联储行长Esther George说,急于收紧政策可能适得其反。</p><p>“沟通加息路径可能比达到目标的速度重要得多,”她周一在为中美洲劳工/管理大会准备的演讲稿中表示。“利率调整过快会带来转向过度的问题。”</p><p>在6月的FOMC会上,George投下了她职业生涯中的第一张鸽派反对票。她表示,她理解迅速加息抗通胀的愿望,但担心这样做弊大于利。</p><p>“这已经是历史性的快速加息步伐,家庭和企业要消化适应,更加唐突的利率变化则可能给经济或金融市场造成压力,”她说。“在这方面,我发现非常醒目的是,开始加息仅仅四个月后,对衰退风险的讨论就越来越多,而且一些预测正在预言最早会在明年降息。”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/551f197b3653d71e4e9ec12c262edbe8\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"367\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>纽约联储调查:美国消费者预计未来一年通胀将进一步上升</b></p><p>纽约联储周一一项调查显示,美国消费者预计未来一年通胀将进一步上升,但预计长期增速将更加温和。与此同时,消费者在6月对个人财务状况和美国就业市场变得更加悲观。</p><p>纽约联储的月度消费者预期调查显示,消费者对明年的通胀预期中值从5月份的6.6%升至6.8%,为2013年调查启动以来的最高水平。但他们对三年后通胀的看法从3.9%降至3.6%,为1月份以来最低水平。</p><p>调查显示,超过一半的受访者表示去年的财务状况“更糟”或“稍微更糟”,为为2013年调查启动以来的最高水平。与此同时,近45%的受访者对未来一年的个人财务状况持相同看法,亦为调查启动以来新高。</p><p>此外,消费者平均认为一年后失业率将上升的概率为40.4%,高于5月份的38.6%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26224489e32d79219362c91d5e0d0017\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"367\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>巴克莱和美国银行表示6月信用卡数据显示美国消费疲软</b></p><p>两家大型银行称,美国人6月份减少了信用卡消费,预示着美国零售销售将再度表现疲软。</p><p>Pooja Sriram牵头的巴克莱经济学家称,他们的内部信用卡数据表明上个月零售销售可能下降0.4%,这将是连续第二个月下降。“最近的数据表明,美国消费者可能开始削减支出,”他们周一在研究报告中写道。这“让我们怀疑是否即将出现消费支出的更急剧放缓。”</p><p>与此同时,美国银行的信用卡数据表明6月份平均每家庭支出增长0.3%。美国银行经济学家表示,6月触及纪录高位的汽油价格正在迫使消费者减少其他支出。他们在周一的报告中写道:“信用卡数据显示,实际(经通胀调整的)消费者支出有可能连续第二个月下降。”</p><p>消费者支出约占美国经济的三分之二,周五将发布的6月零售数据将受到密切关注,以寻找经济衰退风险的迹象。接受媒体调查的经济学家预测中值为环比增长0.9%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e31eee30d20531b8197c6d83f83c0812\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>高盛首席经济学家:非农数据夸大了就业增长 劳动力市场正在放缓</b></p><p>高盛集团认为,近期的美国非农就业增长数据,包括强于预期的6月份就业数据,可能夸大了当前的就业增长。</p><p>美国劳工部上周五公布的调查数据显示,6月份美国非农就业人数增加37.2万人,4月至6月平均每月增加37.5万人。6月数据超出预期,帮助缓解了对经济衰退即将到来的担忧。</p><p>然而,劳工部的另一项家庭调查显示,6月份就业人数减少31.5万人,并且该数据还显示过去三个月就业人数平均每月减少约11.6万人。</p><p>“虽然月度的家庭调查比非农就业调查有更大的噪音,但它会实时反映新企业创建净值的变化,因此,从这两项指标的几个月均值来看,家庭调查在反映周期性转折点方面往往会优于非农就业调查,”高盛首席经济学家Jan Hatzius在一份报告中写道。</p><p>“这表明,近几个月来依然强劲的非农就业数据可能夸大了实际就业增长,”他说。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56f288dedb5f885c44b80d400fc159e8\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"302\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>欧元跌至20年新低美元 进一步逼近与美元平价</b></p><p>欧元兑美元周一再度下跌,逼近平价水平,因能源供应问题和经济衰退风险对欧元区前景构成压力,与此同时避险情绪推动美元普遍上涨。</p><p>欧元一度下跌1.32%至1.0048美元,刷新了上周的低点。上一次欧元达到这一低点是在2002年。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USDindex.FOREX\">美元指数</a>一度上涨0.9%。</p><p>鉴于2月份时欧元汇率还在1.15美元左右,因此其下跌势头快速而迅猛。 美联储一连串加息提振了美元,而俄乌冲突则令欧元区经济增长前景恶化,并推高了能源进口成本。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cad3861f44f135969964a081ac35f5e\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"310\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>分析师:若收购交易失败 推特股价或暴跌至11美元</b></p><p>Rosenblatt Securities分析师称,如果马斯克以440亿美元收购推特的交易未能发生,后者股价可能会暴跌至11美元。</p><p>在马斯克上周五宣布终止其以每股54.20美元收购推特协议后,推特股价周一下跌了约9%。罗森布拉特的Barton Crockett表示,该股有可能再下跌约68%至每股11美元。Crockett早些时候将推特目标价下调至33美元。</p><p>分析师发表上述评论之际,推特将与马斯克就交易终止展开较量。媒体周日报道称,推特已聘请了并购法重量级公司Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz LLP,正忙着起诉马斯克放弃收购该公司的计划。</p><p>Wedbush Securities分析师Dan Ives将推特股票评级为中性,近期将其目标价下调至30美元,他早些时候表示,马斯克的决定等可能会令推特及其管理层面临更大的压力,因该公司目前正面临着员工流动率、士气、广告阻力、投资者信誉和许多其他问题。</p></body></html>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>外媒头条 | 美联储官员警告加息太快或导致转向过度</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n外媒头条 | 美联储官员警告加息太快或导致转向过度\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-12 05:39 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-07-12/doc-imizirav2959818.shtml?finpagefr=p_115><strong>环球市场播报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有:1、美联储官员警告称加息太快可能导致“转向过度”2、纽约联储调查:美国消费者预计未来一年通胀将进一步上升3、巴克莱和美国银行称6月信用卡数据显示美国消费疲软4、高盛首席经济学家:非农数据夸大了就业增长 劳动力市场正在放缓5、欧元跌至20年新低 进一步逼近与美元平价6、分析师:若收购交易失败 推特股价或暴跌至11美元美联储官员警告称加息太快可能导致“转向...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-07-12/doc-imizirav2959818.shtml?finpagefr=p_115\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9c08f05f76a4c42107ef67b5b4f3f48","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","BK4504":"桥水持仓","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","GS":"高盛","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","OEX":"标普100","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","IVV":"标普500指数ETF"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-07-12/doc-imizirav2959818.shtml?finpagefr=p_115","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2250696754","content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有:1、美联储官员警告称加息太快可能导致“转向过度”2、纽约联储调查:美国消费者预计未来一年通胀将进一步上升3、巴克莱和美国银行称6月信用卡数据显示美国消费疲软4、高盛首席经济学家:非农数据夸大了就业增长 劳动力市场正在放缓5、欧元跌至20年新低 进一步逼近与美元平价6、分析师:若收购交易失败 推特股价或暴跌至11美元美联储官员警告称加息太快可能导致“转向过度”上个月对美联储加息75个基点持异议的堪萨斯城联储行长Esther George说,急于收紧政策可能适得其反。“沟通加息路径可能比达到目标的速度重要得多,”她周一在为中美洲劳工/管理大会准备的演讲稿中表示。“利率调整过快会带来转向过度的问题。”在6月的FOMC会上,George投下了她职业生涯中的第一张鸽派反对票。她表示,她理解迅速加息抗通胀的愿望,但担心这样做弊大于利。“这已经是历史性的快速加息步伐,家庭和企业要消化适应,更加唐突的利率变化则可能给经济或金融市场造成压力,”她说。“在这方面,我发现非常醒目的是,开始加息仅仅四个月后,对衰退风险的讨论就越来越多,而且一些预测正在预言最早会在明年降息。”纽约联储调查:美国消费者预计未来一年通胀将进一步上升纽约联储周一一项调查显示,美国消费者预计未来一年通胀将进一步上升,但预计长期增速将更加温和。与此同时,消费者在6月对个人财务状况和美国就业市场变得更加悲观。纽约联储的月度消费者预期调查显示,消费者对明年的通胀预期中值从5月份的6.6%升至6.8%,为2013年调查启动以来的最高水平。但他们对三年后通胀的看法从3.9%降至3.6%,为1月份以来最低水平。调查显示,超过一半的受访者表示去年的财务状况“更糟”或“稍微更糟”,为为2013年调查启动以来的最高水平。与此同时,近45%的受访者对未来一年的个人财务状况持相同看法,亦为调查启动以来新高。此外,消费者平均认为一年后失业率将上升的概率为40.4%,高于5月份的38.6%。巴克莱和美国银行表示6月信用卡数据显示美国消费疲软两家大型银行称,美国人6月份减少了信用卡消费,预示着美国零售销售将再度表现疲软。Pooja Sriram牵头的巴克莱经济学家称,他们的内部信用卡数据表明上个月零售销售可能下降0.4%,这将是连续第二个月下降。“最近的数据表明,美国消费者可能开始削减支出,”他们周一在研究报告中写道。这“让我们怀疑是否即将出现消费支出的更急剧放缓。”与此同时,美国银行的信用卡数据表明6月份平均每家庭支出增长0.3%。美国银行经济学家表示,6月触及纪录高位的汽油价格正在迫使消费者减少其他支出。他们在周一的报告中写道:“信用卡数据显示,实际(经通胀调整的)消费者支出有可能连续第二个月下降。”消费者支出约占美国经济的三分之二,周五将发布的6月零售数据将受到密切关注,以寻找经济衰退风险的迹象。接受媒体调查的经济学家预测中值为环比增长0.9%。高盛首席经济学家:非农数据夸大了就业增长 劳动力市场正在放缓高盛集团认为,近期的美国非农就业增长数据,包括强于预期的6月份就业数据,可能夸大了当前的就业增长。美国劳工部上周五公布的调查数据显示,6月份美国非农就业人数增加37.2万人,4月至6月平均每月增加37.5万人。6月数据超出预期,帮助缓解了对经济衰退即将到来的担忧。然而,劳工部的另一项家庭调查显示,6月份就业人数减少31.5万人,并且该数据还显示过去三个月就业人数平均每月减少约11.6万人。“虽然月度的家庭调查比非农就业调查有更大的噪音,但它会实时反映新企业创建净值的变化,因此,从这两项指标的几个月均值来看,家庭调查在反映周期性转折点方面往往会优于非农就业调查,”高盛首席经济学家Jan Hatzius在一份报告中写道。“这表明,近几个月来依然强劲的非农就业数据可能夸大了实际就业增长,”他说。欧元跌至20年新低美元 进一步逼近与美元平价欧元兑美元周一再度下跌,逼近平价水平,因能源供应问题和经济衰退风险对欧元区前景构成压力,与此同时避险情绪推动美元普遍上涨。欧元一度下跌1.32%至1.0048美元,刷新了上周的低点。上一次欧元达到这一低点是在2002年。美元指数一度上涨0.9%。鉴于2月份时欧元汇率还在1.15美元左右,因此其下跌势头快速而迅猛。 美联储一连串加息提振了美元,而俄乌冲突则令欧元区经济增长前景恶化,并推高了能源进口成本。分析师:若收购交易失败 推特股价或暴跌至11美元Rosenblatt Securities分析师称,如果马斯克以440亿美元收购推特的交易未能发生,后者股价可能会暴跌至11美元。在马斯克上周五宣布终止其以每股54.20美元收购推特协议后,推特股价周一下跌了约9%。罗森布拉特的Barton Crockett表示,该股有可能再下跌约68%至每股11美元。Crockett早些时候将推特目标价下调至33美元。分析师发表上述评论之际,推特将与马斯克就交易终止展开较量。媒体周日报道称,推特已聘请了并购法重量级公司Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz LLP,正忙着起诉马斯克放弃收购该公司的计划。Wedbush Securities分析师Dan 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