写生的个人主页 - 老虎社区

写生

全谷物

IP属地：上海

1106关注

92粉丝

1主题

0勋章

2022-08-23

什么时候能建仓

2022-08-01

希望调整快结束

2022-07-18

准备抄底吗

2022-06-08

希望快快探底回升

2022-03-22

能抓住底部机会吗？

2022-01-29

大盘见底了吗？

2021-12-25

希望过了圣诞🎄又有好行情

2021-11-17

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@Buy_Sell:🚀【11月8日】看本周关键事件，聊今日交易计划

2021-05-31

五月将结束。六月期待更好收益！

2021-05-17

股市怎么了？谁有高招？

2020-12-21

新的一年快到了，但愿牛年牛气冲天！

2020-12-02

2020年真是不平凡的一年！

2020-12-01

特斯拉应该是有上升空间的

2020-11-30

特郎浦不知有完没完？

2020-11-29

新总统上台能有好成绩吗？

2020-11-26

段永平天才！

抱歉，原内容已删除

2020-11-24

蓝月亮上市成功，股价不会低的。

2020-11-22

要选好股确实不易，把握买、卖股票更不易。

2020-11-20

逸仙业绩不佳，不看好。

2020-11-17

期待好的股价

@小虎活动:【有奖竞猜】特斯拉入选标普，预测周二收盘价！

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-11-10 23:19</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>周二，美股新能源车板块涨跌不一。截至发稿，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>跌6.2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>跌5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>跌2.5%。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>走势较强，涨幅0.6%。今日消息，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>分析师Nick Lai将小鹏汽车的目标价从27美元上调至43美元，并重申对该股的“买入”评级。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1342269c7b147932c9ae2129841bca4f\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\"></p><p></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec81a92314abfafc084fe3a61f3e9862","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","TSLA":"特斯拉","LI":"理想汽车","XPEV":"小鹏汽车"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169746944","content_text":"周二，美股新能源车板块涨跌不一。截至发稿，理想汽车跌6.2%，蔚来跌5%，特斯拉跌2.5%。小鹏汽车走势较强，涨幅0.6%。今日消息，摩根大通分析师Nick 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11:15","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"蚂蚁上市，利好腾讯","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191694334","media":"红钻财经","summary":"在蚂蚁集团上市之前，虽然外界都已经意识到腾讯支付与金融业务的巨大价值，但无法对其给出太过准确的定价，而蚂蚁集团的上市，为投资者给腾讯支付与金融业务的准确估值提供了一个很好参照。2020年，在资本市场最","content":"<blockquote>在蚂蚁集团上市之前，虽然外界都已经意识到腾讯支付与金融业务的巨大价值，但无法对其给出太过准确的定价，而蚂蚁集团的上市，为投资者给腾讯支付与金融业务的准确估值提供了一个很好参照。</blockquote><p>2020年，在资本市场最惹人瞩目的一个大事件应该就是蚂蚁集团的上市了。蚂蚁集团到底值多少钱，是很多投资者非常感兴趣的一个话题。</p><p>直到最近上交所官网发布信息显示，蚂蚁集团IPO初步询价完成，经过近1万个机构账户询价，最终A股发行价确定为每股68.8元，按照蚂蚁集团发行后的303.7647亿股本计算，蚂蚁集团A、H发行总市值将高达2.09万亿人民币，折合3119亿美元。</p><p>不过这只是按照发行价计算，按照当前的市场热度来看，蚂蚁集团在上市后应该会高开大涨，甚至有可能在不久后便接近5000亿美金。最初笔者想去讨论，到底如何给蚂蚁集团定价才是最合理的，但最终笔者认为这其实没有最终答案。因为一个企业的市值，很大程度取决于企业未来的盈利能力，而对于蚂蚁集团未来的盈利能力是一个仁者见仁，智者见智的事情，很难做出精准预测。</p><p>根据蚂蚁集团提交的招股书显示，2020年1-9月，蚂蚁集团实现营业收入1181.91亿元，同比增长43%；毛利润695.49亿元，同比增长74.28%。其中，2020年上半年净利润为219亿元，仅半年时间就超过了去年全年的利润。保守估计，蚂蚁集团在2020年的全年净利润将会不低于400亿人民币。</p><p>而未来蚂蚁集团值多少钱，很大程度上取决于蚂蚁集团每年未来能赚1000亿、2000亿还是5000亿人民币，根据蚂蚁集团的业务布局来看，只要政策允许，5000亿人民币的盈利也并非完全没有可能。即使在当前的政策环境下，蚂蚁集团实现1000亿人民币的利润也并非难事。如果按照1000亿净利润与30倍的市盈率计算，蚂蚁集团的市值也可以达到3万亿人民币，折合近4500亿美金，较当前的发行价估值依然有50%的上升空间。</p><p>从长远来看，蚂蚁集团的市值更是有可能超过母公司阿里巴巴集团。从业务想象力上，阿里巴巴集团受制于京东、拼多多与美团等一众竞争对手的围攻，业务发展天花板已经比较明显，而蚂蚁集团当前几乎看不到任何发展的天花板，其在庞大用户规模的基础上还可以进行广泛的边界延伸，目前其旗下的旗舰产品支付宝已经定位为生活服务平台，未来甚至进入到阿里巴巴的电商主业也不无可能。并且随着社保基金等国有资本的大量进入，蚂蚁集团很有可能在未来会逐渐转变成为一个类国企的社会性企业，很多金融政策也有可能向其逐步放开，一旦政策放开，蚂蚁集团的盈利能力更是不可限量，至少不会输给目前的四大行与中国平安等传统金融巨头。如果按照较为激进的3000-4000亿净利润，25-30倍的市盈率计算，蚂蚁集团的长期市值更是将有可能接近10万亿人民币，折合15000亿美金。但有一个较大的问题，虽然蚂蚁集团的上市发行价定的较为合理，但大多数个人投资者其实都很难享受到蚂蚁集团的这次资本盛宴，因为打新股的中签率太低，等到正式上市后股价往往会高开大涨，导致投资者失去最好的参与时机。</p><p>在这种情况下，其实有另外一种途径可以供投资者考虑，就是择机买入腾讯的股票，因为蚂蚁集团拥有的业务，腾讯几乎都拥有类似的布局，在蚂蚁集团的招股说明书中，其也明确将腾讯作为自己在国内唯一的竞争对手，所以蚂蚁集团的上市将有可能大大利好腾讯。</p><p>例如，蚂蚁金服业务模式的核心是基于支付宝的广大用户覆盖，而形成了数字支付与商家服务业务、数字金融科技服务（包括微贷科技平台、理财科技平台、保险科技）两大核心板块。数字支付与商家服务收入，主要是用户日常使用支付宝进行各类支付、转账等业务所产生的佣金收入。数字金融科技服务收入，主要是蚂蚁集团为各类金融机构提供渠道服务而获得的佣金收入。例如，微贷科技平台是与银行及信托等金融机构合作，通过花呗和借呗等产品向个人提供消费贷款以及向小微企业提供贷款；理财科技平台是为基金公司分销理财产品；保险科技平台是为保险公司分销保险产品，从而获取金融机构支付的佣金收入。</p><p>截至2020年6月，蚂蚁集团收入达725.28亿元，其中支付与商家服务板块收入贡献占比36%，通过自营或金融机构提供的理财、借贷、保险等数字金融科技服务，获得的收入占比为64%，是蚂蚁集团最大的收入来源。而腾讯的支付金融业务亦是这样的逻辑，随着微信成为中国用户渗透率最高，使用最高频的用户，让微信支付赶超支付宝成为中国拥有最大规模用户和交易次数的互联网支付工具。基于微信支付的流量入口，腾讯也在理财、借贷与保险等领域拥有理财通、微众银行、微民保险等丝毫不逊于蚂蚁金服的产品布局。所以腾讯的支付金融业务，有着与蚂蚁集团几乎完全一致的收入结构。</p><p>腾讯过去在支付与金融服务领域一直表现的较为低调，导致很多人并不知道金融业务其实已经是腾讯最核心的现金牛业务之一了。根据腾讯控股2020年第二季度财报显示，腾讯控股2020年Q2金融科技及企业服务单季收入298.62亿元，按照全年估算在1200亿元左右，扣除企业服务部分的收入，仅金融科技领域的收入至少在千亿级别的规模。这个收入规模虽然相较蚂蚁集团的营收规模尚有一些差距，但要知道蚂蚁集团从2003年支付宝诞生计算，已经在金融领域深耕17年，而腾讯真正在金融领域的大规模布局始于2013年微信支付的推出。仅仅7年的时间，腾讯就已经在支付与金融领域取得了接近蚂蚁集团17年所取得的成绩，在未来几年，腾讯凭借微信这一核武器，将有可能完全磨平蚂蚁集团在支付金融领域的先发优势，实现超越。</p><p>过去在蚂蚁集团上市之前，虽然外界都已经意识到腾讯的支付与金融业务具有非常大的价值，但无法给出太过准确的定价，而蚂蚁集团的上市，为投资者给腾讯支付与金融业务估值提供了一个很好参照。</p><p>目前，腾讯旗下拥有多个成长性良好的优质业务，首先是腾讯游戏这个稳定的现金牛业务，其次是增值服务与网络广告这两个保持较快增长的明星业务，再次是腾讯云这个冉冉升起的潜力业务，以及腾讯控股作为京东、美团、拼多多、贝壳找房、B站与58同城等一众明星公司的第一大或第二大股东而持有的过千亿美金股权，这都足以支撑起腾讯较为可观的估值，再随着蚂蚁集团上市，投资者将参照蚂蚁集团的市值表现给予支其付与金融业务数千亿美金的估值，这将有可能催化投资者对腾讯整体价值的重新认识。</p><p>昨日，腾讯控股股价大涨4.19%，市值上升至56070亿港币，折合7234.8亿美元。接下来，腾讯会不会超越阿里巴巴集团，率先先成为中国第一个万亿美金市值的企业，将会是行业持续关注的一个热点话题。</p>","source":"lsy1603854803678","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n蚂蚁上市，利好腾讯\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-10-28 11:15 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/8fnh1C9DYfGlrMVBgnPTVA><strong>红钻财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>在蚂蚁集团上市之前，虽然外界都已经意识到腾讯支付与金融业务的巨大价值，但无法对其给出太过准确的定价，而蚂蚁集团的上市，为投资者给腾讯支付与金融业务的准确估值提供了一个很好参照。2020年，在资本市场最惹人瞩目的一个大事件应该就是蚂蚁集团的上市了。蚂蚁集团到底值多少钱，是很多投资者非常感兴趣的一个话题。直到最近上交所官网发布信息显示，蚂蚁集团IPO初步询价完成，经过近1万个机构账户询价，最终A股...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/8fnh1C9DYfGlrMVBgnPTVA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b8e0c40268b520ea24778e7126cc01f","relate_stocks":{"06688":"蚂蚁集团","00700":"腾讯控股"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/8fnh1C9DYfGlrMVBgnPTVA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191694334","content_text":"在蚂蚁集团上市之前，虽然外界都已经意识到腾讯支付与金融业务的巨大价值，但无法对其给出太过准确的定价，而蚂蚁集团的上市，为投资者给腾讯支付与金融业务的准确估值提供了一个很好参照。2020年，在资本市场最惹人瞩目的一个大事件应该就是蚂蚁集团的上市了。蚂蚁集团到底值多少钱，是很多投资者非常感兴趣的一个话题。直到最近上交所官网发布信息显示，蚂蚁集团IPO初步询价完成，经过近1万个机构账户询价，最终A股发行价确定为每股68.8元，按照蚂蚁集团发行后的303.7647亿股本计算，蚂蚁集团A、H发行总市值将高达2.09万亿人民币，折合3119亿美元。不过这只是按照发行价计算，按照当前的市场热度来看，蚂蚁集团在上市后应该会高开大涨，甚至有可能在不久后便接近5000亿美金。最初笔者想去讨论，到底如何给蚂蚁集团定价才是最合理的，但最终笔者认为这其实没有最终答案。因为一个企业的市值，很大程度取决于企业未来的盈利能力，而对于蚂蚁集团未来的盈利能力是一个仁者见仁，智者见智的事情，很难做出精准预测。根据蚂蚁集团提交的招股书显示，2020年1-9月，蚂蚁集团实现营业收入1181.91亿元，同比增长43%；毛利润695.49亿元，同比增长74.28%。其中，2020年上半年净利润为219亿元，仅半年时间就超过了去年全年的利润。保守估计，蚂蚁集团在2020年的全年净利润将会不低于400亿人民币。而未来蚂蚁集团值多少钱，很大程度上取决于蚂蚁集团每年未来能赚1000亿、2000亿还是5000亿人民币，根据蚂蚁集团的业务布局来看，只要政策允许，5000亿人民币的盈利也并非完全没有可能。即使在当前的政策环境下，蚂蚁集团实现1000亿人民币的利润也并非难事。如果按照1000亿净利润与30倍的市盈率计算，蚂蚁集团的市值也可以达到3万亿人民币，折合近4500亿美金，较当前的发行价估值依然有50%的上升空间。从长远来看，蚂蚁集团的市值更是有可能超过母公司阿里巴巴集团。从业务想象力上，阿里巴巴集团受制于京东、拼多多与美团等一众竞争对手的围攻，业务发展天花板已经比较明显，而蚂蚁集团当前几乎看不到任何发展的天花板，其在庞大用户规模的基础上还可以进行广泛的边界延伸，目前其旗下的旗舰产品支付宝已经定位为生活服务平台，未来甚至进入到阿里巴巴的电商主业也不无可能。并且随着社保基金等国有资本的大量进入，蚂蚁集团很有可能在未来会逐渐转变成为一个类国企的社会性企业，很多金融政策也有可能向其逐步放开，一旦政策放开，蚂蚁集团的盈利能力更是不可限量，至少不会输给目前的四大行与中国平安等传统金融巨头。如果按照较为激进的3000-4000亿净利润，25-30倍的市盈率计算，蚂蚁集团的长期市值更是将有可能接近10万亿人民币，折合15000亿美金。但有一个较大的问题，虽然蚂蚁集团的上市发行价定的较为合理，但大多数个人投资者其实都很难享受到蚂蚁集团的这次资本盛宴，因为打新股的中签率太低，等到正式上市后股价往往会高开大涨，导致投资者失去最好的参与时机。在这种情况下，其实有另外一种途径可以供投资者考虑，就是择机买入腾讯的股票，因为蚂蚁集团拥有的业务，腾讯几乎都拥有类似的布局，在蚂蚁集团的招股说明书中，其也明确将腾讯作为自己在国内唯一的竞争对手，所以蚂蚁集团的上市将有可能大大利好腾讯。例如，蚂蚁金服业务模式的核心是基于支付宝的广大用户覆盖，而形成了数字支付与商家服务业务、数字金融科技服务（包括微贷科技平台、理财科技平台、保险科技）两大核心板块。数字支付与商家服务收入，主要是用户日常使用支付宝进行各类支付、转账等业务所产生的佣金收入。数字金融科技服务收入，主要是蚂蚁集团为各类金融机构提供渠道服务而获得的佣金收入。例如，微贷科技平台是与银行及信托等金融机构合作，通过花呗和借呗等产品向个人提供消费贷款以及向小微企业提供贷款；理财科技平台是为基金公司分销理财产品；保险科技平台是为保险公司分销保险产品，从而获取金融机构支付的佣金收入。截至2020年6月，蚂蚁集团收入达725.28亿元，其中支付与商家服务板块收入贡献占比36%，通过自营或金融机构提供的理财、借贷、保险等数字金融科技服务，获得的收入占比为64%，是蚂蚁集团最大的收入来源。而腾讯的支付金融业务亦是这样的逻辑，随着微信成为中国用户渗透率最高，使用最高频的用户，让微信支付赶超支付宝成为中国拥有最大规模用户和交易次数的互联网支付工具。基于微信支付的流量入口，腾讯也在理财、借贷与保险等领域拥有理财通、微众银行、微民保险等丝毫不逊于蚂蚁金服的产品布局。所以腾讯的支付金融业务，有着与蚂蚁集团几乎完全一致的收入结构。腾讯过去在支付与金融服务领域一直表现的较为低调，导致很多人并不知道金融业务其实已经是腾讯最核心的现金牛业务之一了。根据腾讯控股2020年第二季度财报显示，腾讯控股2020年Q2金融科技及企业服务单季收入298.62亿元，按照全年估算在1200亿元左右，扣除企业服务部分的收入，仅金融科技领域的收入至少在千亿级别的规模。这个收入规模虽然相较蚂蚁集团的营收规模尚有一些差距，但要知道蚂蚁集团从2003年支付宝诞生计算，已经在金融领域深耕17年，而腾讯真正在金融领域的大规模布局始于2013年微信支付的推出。仅仅7年的时间，腾讯就已经在支付与金融领域取得了接近蚂蚁集团17年所取得的成绩，在未来几年，腾讯凭借微信这一核武器，将有可能完全磨平蚂蚁集团在支付金融领域的先发优势，实现超越。过去在蚂蚁集团上市之前，虽然外界都已经意识到腾讯的支付与金融业务具有非常大的价值，但无法给出太过准确的定价，而蚂蚁集团的上市，为投资者给腾讯支付与金融业务估值提供了一个很好参照。目前，腾讯旗下拥有多个成长性良好的优质业务，首先是腾讯游戏这个稳定的现金牛业务，其次是增值服务与网络广告这两个保持较快增长的明星业务，再次是腾讯云这个冉冉升起的潜力业务，以及腾讯控股作为京东、美团、拼多多、贝壳找房、B站与58同城等一众明星公司的第一大或第二大股东而持有的过千亿美金股权，这都足以支撑起腾讯较为可观的估值，再随着蚂蚁集团上市，投资者将参照蚂蚁集团的市值表现给予支其付与金融业务数千亿美金的估值，这将有可能催化投资者对腾讯整体价值的重新认识。昨日，腾讯控股股价大涨4.19%，市值上升至56070亿港币，折合7234.8亿美元。接下来，腾讯会不会超越阿里巴巴集团，率先先成为中国第一个万亿美金市值的企业，将会是行业持续关注的一个热点话题。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":977738145,"gmtCreate":1601851394387,"gmtModify":1703825233216,"author":{"id":"3564196460974795","authorId":"3564196460974795","name":"写生","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37f5f2a78176b600addd90d3bf75101e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564196460974795","authorIdStr":"3564196460974795"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"特斯拉不错的价位","listText":"特斯拉不错的价位","text":"特斯拉不错的价位","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/977738145","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":977434425,"gmtCreate":1601678454867,"gmtModify":1703825110107,"author":{"id":"3564196460974795","authorId":"3564196460974795","name":"写生","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37f5f2a78176b600addd90d3bf75101e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564196460974795","authorIdStr":"3564196460974795"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"涨？跌？纠结","listText":"涨？跌？纠结","text":"涨？跌？纠结","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/977434425","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":139,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":977607900,"gmtCreate":1601535550500,"gmtModify":1703824697879,"author":{"id":"3564196460974795","authorId":"3564196460974795","name":"写生","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37f5f2a78176b600addd90d3bf75101e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564196460974795","authorIdStr":"3564196460974795"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好心情最重要！","listText":"好心情最重要！","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