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enaid
2021-10-16
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enaid
2021-10-09
Great ariticle, would you like to share it?
What Happens to Bitcoin After All 21 Million Are Mined?
enaid
2021-06-18
gd read
NIO Is Winning
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2021-06-03
EV
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2021-05-03
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enaid
2021-05-02
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XPeng Vs. NIO: Which EV Stock Is The Better Buy
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2021-03-14
reminder!
US Daylight Saving Time
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2021-03-08
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The Next Tesla May Emerge From This Explosion Of New EV Stocks
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2021-03-01
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'Build Me An Ark': The Tsunami Of Risk Of Tesla-Bitcoin-Cathie Wood Is Coming
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2021-02-18
MA play catch up!
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2021-02-12
crypto ftw
Not Just Tesla: Why Big Companies are Buying into Crypto-Mania
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2021-02-07
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ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821568603","repostId":"1195802602","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195802602","pubTimestamp":1633749735,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1195802602?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-09 11:22","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"What Happens to Bitcoin After All 21 Million Are Mined?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195802602","media":"Investopedia","summary":"KEY TAKEAWAYS\n\nThere are only 21 million bitcoins that can be mined in total.\nBitcoin will never rea","content":"<p><b>KEY TAKEAWAYS</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>There are only 21 million bitcoins that can be mined in total.</li>\n <li>Bitcoin will never reach that cap due to the use of rounding operators in its codebase.</li>\n <li>As of Aug, 2021, 18.77 million bitcoins have been mined, which leaves roughly 2.3 million yet to be introduced into circulation.</li>\n <li>When Bitcoin reaches its supply cap, block rewards will vanish, and miners will depend on fees from transactions occurring on the cryptocurrency's network for revenue.</li>\n <li>Bitcoin's network may evolve from its current unfinished state to becoming a bridge for monetary transactions and trading.</li>\n <li>Bitcoin the cryptocurrency will have a defined identity in the financial ecosystem.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>One of the chief characteristics of Bitcoin is its limited supply. Other forms of money, including fiat currencies, can be printed at will by central banks—i.e., they have unlimited supply.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin inventor Satoshi Nakamoto capped the number of bitcoin at 21 million, meaning there will only ever be 21 million bitcoins in existence. On average, these bitcoins are introduced to the Bitcoin supply at a fixed rate of one block every 10 minutes. In addition, the number of bitcoins released in each of these aforementioned blocks is reduced by 50% every four years. By August 2021, 18.7 million bitcoins were available, leaving roughly 2.3 million to be mined.The supply limitation makes Bitcoin scarce and controls inflation that might arise from an unlimited supply of the cryptocurrency.</p>\n<p>As Bitcoin reaches its capped supply, its economics will alter. The incentives for various members in its ecosystem, such as miners and traders, will change. For example, miners may rely less on block rewards and more on transaction fees to earn revenue and profits for their operations. The cryptocurrency's network will also transform, and its participants will be different from the retail traders that populate its current ecosystem.</p>\n<p>However, given the cryptocurrency's relatively undeveloped ecosystem, it is difficult to predict with certainty the effect of Bitcoin reaching its capped supply.</p>\n<p><b>Will Bitcoin Ever Reach the 21 Million Cap?</b></p>\n<p>Before delving into the implications of Bitcoin's 21 million cap, it might be interesting to consider the question of whether it will ever reach that figure. Based on the cryptocurrency's current codebase and mining process, some observers say that Bitcoin may fall just shy of the 21 million figure.</p>\n<p>To recap, Bitcoin is \"mined\" by miners who solve cryptographic puzzles to verify and validate a block of transactions occurring in its network. Block rewards, consisting of a set number of bitcoins, are distributed to miners who successfully confirm a transaction block. The rewards are halved every four years.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d1d9aa1b5581477bf14edfde0292f21\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"513\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>The rate that bitcoin are produced cuts in half about every four years. Investopedia</span></p>\n<p>When the cryptocurrency was launched, the reward for confirming a block of transactions was 50 bitcoins. In 2012, it was halved to 25 bitcoins, and it went down to 12.5 in 2016. In May 2020, miners stood to earn 6.25 bitcoin for every new block. Block rewards for Bitcoin miners will continue to be halved every four years until the final bitcoin is mined. Current estimates for mining of the final bitcoin put that date somewhere in February 2140.</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Important:</b>The Bitcoin mining process provides bitcoin rewards to miners, but the reward size decreases periodically to control the circulation of new tokens.\n</blockquote>\n<p>According to Andreas M. Antonopoulos, author of a book about Bitcoin's workings, the 21 million figure is an \"asymptotic cap\" on the number of bitcoin in existence.In simple words, this means that, while it may reach very close to figure, the cryptocurrency will never reach that limit. This is because block rewards and Bitcoin supply are never expressed in exact terms. Bitcoin's code uses bit-shift operators—arithmetic operators used that round decimal points to the closest smallest integer in certain programming languages. Therefore, a total supply of 6.2589 bitcoins will be rounded out to the closest smallest integer, in this case 6.</p>\n<p>While it makes calculations easier, the practice leads to losses in satoshis, Bitcoin's constituent units, during each block confirmation. One bitcoin is equal to 100 million satoshis. According to some, the final bitcoin block will be numbered 6,929,999, and the total supply at that time will be 20,999,999.9769 satoshis. Since bitcoin uses a bit-shift operator system,3its algorithm will round off that figure to 20,999,999 and leave the cryptocurrency just shy of its 21 million targeted cap.</p>\n<p><b>What Happens When All 21 Million Bitcoin Are Mined?</b></p>\n<p>A consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. No bitcoins will be issued, but transaction blocks will be confirmed, and fees will become the primary source of revenue. Ultimately, Bitcoin's network may function as a closed economy, in which transaction fees are assessed much like taxes are.</p>\n<p>Can the rewards be in satoshis instead of actual bitcoin? Such a practice is unlikely and would require a change in the cryptocurrency's protocol to take effect.</p>\n<p>That said, it is difficult to predict the effects of Bitcoin almost reaching the overall supply promised by Satoshi Nakamoto. This is partly because Bitcoin's ecosystem is still undeveloped. The cryptocurrency was originally conceptualized as a medium of exchange but it has found more popularity as a store of value—an investing asset—instead. It is possible that Bitcoin's ecosystem and workings might undergo a transformation, similar to the one that has occured in its identity, between now and 2140.</p>\n<p><b>Important:</b>Although there can only ever be a maximum of 21 million bitcoins, because people have lost their private keys or have died without leaving their private key instructions to anybody, the actual amount of available bitcoins in circulation could actually be millions less.</p>\n<p>For example, there could be a protocol change in the cryptocurrency's blockchain to allow for more than 21 million bitcoin in existence. Remember, Bitcoin is an open source cryptocurrency and can be changed to create hard or soft forks that create new cryptocurrencies or alter its functioning. Some examples of the former are bitcoin cash(BCHUSD),litecoin(LTCUSD), anddogecoin(DOGEUSD), which have made minor modifications to Bitcoin's source code and created new coins that have racked up billions of dollars in market valuations.</p>\n<p><b>Effect on Bitcoin Miners</b></p>\n<p>Block rewards and transaction fees are the most important sources of revenue for miners—the former more so than the latter in the current setup. High prices for bitcoin enable miners to cover operational costs and sustain business profits because they can sell their rewards stash in cryptocurrency markets.</p>\n<p>When Bitcoin is close to reaching its limit, the reward amounts may not be enough to cover operational costs at miners, let alone generate profits. If and when the supply limit is reached, Bitcoin rewards are supposed to vanish.</p>\n<p>In both instances, transaction fees are expected to pick up the slack. The amount of and mechanism for these fees depends on the state of Bitcoin's network at that point in time—i.e., whether it is being used as a medium of exchange or as a store of value. The former may incur reasonable fees to enable Bitcoin's use in daily transactions, while the latter scenario will have miners conducting fewer and more expensive transactions.</p>\n<p>Another possibility being put forward is that of miners forming cartels amongst themselves. They might control supply to set high transaction fees or a fee amount that guarantees them a minimum in profits.Selfish mining is another possibility. In this form of mining, miners collude amongst themselves to hide new blocks and release orphan blocks that are not confirmed by Bitcoin's network. This practice will delay production of the final block in Bitcoin's network and ensure high rewards for the new blocks when they are finally released into the network.</p>\n<p>The formation of a Bitcoin miners' cartel is not a far-reaching conclusion. Such groupings already exist in other commodities whose supply is constrained or controlled. For example, oil prices are influenced to a large degree by OPEC's production output. Prices in the diamond industry are also reportedly set by a cartel led by mining giant DeBeers.</p>\n<p><b>Effect on Bitcoin's Network</b></p>\n<p>The most valuable and useful aspect of Bitcoin is its network.Distributed ledger technology is a technological solution to the time-consuming bookkeeping and accounting that characterizes most financial transactions today.</p>\n<p>If Bitcoin becomes popular as a medium of exchange in the future, its transaction numbers will surge. Past precedent has shown that there is a significant chance that the network will slow down. This is because Bitcoin's architecture, which relies on a distributed database to hold copies of massive ledgers, sacrifices speed for accuracy and integrity.</p>\n<p>In such a scenario, it is likely that Layer 2 technologies, like the Lightning Network, will become responsible for confirming a majority of transactions on its network. Therefore, the cryptocurrency's actual network itself will be used only to settle large batches of transactions.</p>\n<p>A second possibility is that the number of transactions on Bitcoin's network falls. Such a situation is possible when Bitcoin becomes a reserve asset. Trades involving the cryptocurrency will be few. Retail traders and small trading firms, who dominate its current trading ecosystem, will be eliminated and replaced by large institutional players and established trading firms. They will conduct fewer and more expensive trades that will incur high transaction fees from miners.</p>\n<p><b>Effect on Bitcoin the Cryptocurrency</b></p>\n<p>Bitcoin's inventor Satoshi Nakamoto designed the cryptocurrency to function as a medium of exchange for daily transactions. But its network has high transaction fees and slow processing times. Meanwhile, its scarcity and rising prices have become a magnet for speculative investors. Their bets on the cryptocurrency roulette have led to volatile price swings in the asset class deterring serious investors away from it. Regulators have criticized its ecosystem as a Wild West.</p>\n<p>By the time that the last bitcoin is mined (or close to being mined), Bitcoin may have a more defined identity that it does currently. Side channels, like the Lightning Network, may have increased its network's transaction processing speed and enabled its use as a medium of exchange. Some countries like El Salvador are betting on such an eventuality and have made the cryptocurrency legal tender.</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>FAST FACT</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n El Salvador made Bitcoin legal tender on June 9, 2021.It is the first country to do so. The cryptocurrency can be used for any transaction where the business can accept it. The U.S. dollar continues to be El Salvador's primary currency.\n</blockquote>\n<p>In the United States, the latest significant events are the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) letter in January 2021 authorizing the use of crypto as a method of payment, PayPal Holdings, Inc.'s (PYPL) introduction of Bitcoin, and Tesla, Inc.'s (TSLA) acceptance of Bitcoin to purchase Tesla cars and solar roofs. Tesla reversed course on accepting Bitcoin in May 2021, citing environmental concerns around the resources required for Bitcoin mining.</p>\n<p>The increasing scarcity in its numbers will also have driven up bitcoin's price and the corresponding valuation of cryptocurrency markets. Regulators tend to move quickly when increasing amounts of capital flows into an asset class, and it is likely that crypto markets and Bitcoin will also have come under the regulatory umbrella. That will be a sign for institutional investors to move into the cryptocurrency's ecosystem and stabilize its price swings with massive liquidity.</p>\n<p><b>The Bottom Line</b></p>\n<p>Bitcoin's 21 million supply cap is meant to control inflation that might, otherwise, result from an unlimited supply. But it has inflated the cryptocurrency's prices by making it a scarce commodity.</p>\n<p>When Bitcoin reaches the supply cap, it is likely that miners will shift from block rewards to transaction fees as their main source of revenue. Development of side channels, like the Lightning Network, may result in Bitcoin's blockchain restricting itself to confirmation of large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of significant numbers of bitcoins from one address on its blockchain to another. Bitcoin's identity—as a store of value and a medium of exchange—will also be more clearly defined than it is currently.</p>\n<p>But none of these predictions are set in stone. The kinetic pace of developments in Bitcoin's ecosystem means that it is difficult to accurately predict its future. For example, the cryptocurrency's protocol may be changed to accommodate the production of more than 21 million bitcoins. Or, it may fall just shy of reaching 21 million.</p>\n<p><b>Frequently Asked Questions</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>What is Bitcoin's total supply?</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The total supply of bitcoins is capped at 21 million.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>What will happen to miner fees when Bitcoin's supply limit is reached?</li>\n</ul>\n<p>When Bitcoin supply reaches 21 million, miners will rely on transaction fees rather than block rewards, which will have vanished by then, for revenue.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>What will happen to Bitcoin's network when it reaches the supply limit?</li>\n</ul>\n<p>When Bitcoin reaches the 21 million supply limit, it is likely that side channels, like the Lightning Network, will do most of the heavy lifting in confirming its transactions. The cryptocurrency's blockchain be responsible for confirming only very large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of large sums of bitcoin from one address to another.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>What happens if Bitcoin supply fails to reach the 21 million cap?</li>\n</ul>\n<p>One consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. In keeping with Bitcoin's economics, rewards for confirming these blocks will be minimal.</p>","source":"lsy1606203311635","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Happens to Bitcoin After All 21 Million Are Mined?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Happens to Bitcoin After All 21 Million Are Mined?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-09 11:22 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.investopedia.com/tech/what-happens-bitcoin-after-21-million-mined/?utm_campaign=quote-yahoo&utm_source=yahoo&utm_medium=referral><strong>Investopedia</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY TAKEAWAYS\n\nThere are only 21 million bitcoins that can be mined in total.\nBitcoin will never reach that cap due to the use of rounding operators in its codebase.\nAs of Aug, 2021, 18.77 million ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/tech/what-happens-bitcoin-after-21-million-mined/?utm_campaign=quote-yahoo&utm_source=yahoo&utm_medium=referral\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust"},"source_url":"https://www.investopedia.com/tech/what-happens-bitcoin-after-21-million-mined/?utm_campaign=quote-yahoo&utm_source=yahoo&utm_medium=referral","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195802602","content_text":"KEY TAKEAWAYS\n\nThere are only 21 million bitcoins that can be mined in total.\nBitcoin will never reach that cap due to the use of rounding operators in its codebase.\nAs of Aug, 2021, 18.77 million bitcoins have been mined, which leaves roughly 2.3 million yet to be introduced into circulation.\nWhen Bitcoin reaches its supply cap, block rewards will vanish, and miners will depend on fees from transactions occurring on the cryptocurrency's network for revenue.\nBitcoin's network may evolve from its current unfinished state to becoming a bridge for monetary transactions and trading.\nBitcoin the cryptocurrency will have a defined identity in the financial ecosystem.\n\nOne of the chief characteristics of Bitcoin is its limited supply. Other forms of money, including fiat currencies, can be printed at will by central banks—i.e., they have unlimited supply.\nBitcoin inventor Satoshi Nakamoto capped the number of bitcoin at 21 million, meaning there will only ever be 21 million bitcoins in existence. On average, these bitcoins are introduced to the Bitcoin supply at a fixed rate of one block every 10 minutes. In addition, the number of bitcoins released in each of these aforementioned blocks is reduced by 50% every four years. By August 2021, 18.7 million bitcoins were available, leaving roughly 2.3 million to be mined.The supply limitation makes Bitcoin scarce and controls inflation that might arise from an unlimited supply of the cryptocurrency.\nAs Bitcoin reaches its capped supply, its economics will alter. The incentives for various members in its ecosystem, such as miners and traders, will change. For example, miners may rely less on block rewards and more on transaction fees to earn revenue and profits for their operations. The cryptocurrency's network will also transform, and its participants will be different from the retail traders that populate its current ecosystem.\nHowever, given the cryptocurrency's relatively undeveloped ecosystem, it is difficult to predict with certainty the effect of Bitcoin reaching its capped supply.\nWill Bitcoin Ever Reach the 21 Million Cap?\nBefore delving into the implications of Bitcoin's 21 million cap, it might be interesting to consider the question of whether it will ever reach that figure. Based on the cryptocurrency's current codebase and mining process, some observers say that Bitcoin may fall just shy of the 21 million figure.\nTo recap, Bitcoin is \"mined\" by miners who solve cryptographic puzzles to verify and validate a block of transactions occurring in its network. Block rewards, consisting of a set number of bitcoins, are distributed to miners who successfully confirm a transaction block. The rewards are halved every four years.\nThe rate that bitcoin are produced cuts in half about every four years. Investopedia\nWhen the cryptocurrency was launched, the reward for confirming a block of transactions was 50 bitcoins. In 2012, it was halved to 25 bitcoins, and it went down to 12.5 in 2016. In May 2020, miners stood to earn 6.25 bitcoin for every new block. Block rewards for Bitcoin miners will continue to be halved every four years until the final bitcoin is mined. Current estimates for mining of the final bitcoin put that date somewhere in February 2140.\n\nImportant:The Bitcoin mining process provides bitcoin rewards to miners, but the reward size decreases periodically to control the circulation of new tokens.\n\nAccording to Andreas M. Antonopoulos, author of a book about Bitcoin's workings, the 21 million figure is an \"asymptotic cap\" on the number of bitcoin in existence.In simple words, this means that, while it may reach very close to figure, the cryptocurrency will never reach that limit. This is because block rewards and Bitcoin supply are never expressed in exact terms. Bitcoin's code uses bit-shift operators—arithmetic operators used that round decimal points to the closest smallest integer in certain programming languages. Therefore, a total supply of 6.2589 bitcoins will be rounded out to the closest smallest integer, in this case 6.\nWhile it makes calculations easier, the practice leads to losses in satoshis, Bitcoin's constituent units, during each block confirmation. One bitcoin is equal to 100 million satoshis. According to some, the final bitcoin block will be numbered 6,929,999, and the total supply at that time will be 20,999,999.9769 satoshis. Since bitcoin uses a bit-shift operator system,3its algorithm will round off that figure to 20,999,999 and leave the cryptocurrency just shy of its 21 million targeted cap.\nWhat Happens When All 21 Million Bitcoin Are Mined?\nA consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. No bitcoins will be issued, but transaction blocks will be confirmed, and fees will become the primary source of revenue. Ultimately, Bitcoin's network may function as a closed economy, in which transaction fees are assessed much like taxes are.\nCan the rewards be in satoshis instead of actual bitcoin? Such a practice is unlikely and would require a change in the cryptocurrency's protocol to take effect.\nThat said, it is difficult to predict the effects of Bitcoin almost reaching the overall supply promised by Satoshi Nakamoto. This is partly because Bitcoin's ecosystem is still undeveloped. The cryptocurrency was originally conceptualized as a medium of exchange but it has found more popularity as a store of value—an investing asset—instead. It is possible that Bitcoin's ecosystem and workings might undergo a transformation, similar to the one that has occured in its identity, between now and 2140.\nImportant:Although there can only ever be a maximum of 21 million bitcoins, because people have lost their private keys or have died without leaving their private key instructions to anybody, the actual amount of available bitcoins in circulation could actually be millions less.\nFor example, there could be a protocol change in the cryptocurrency's blockchain to allow for more than 21 million bitcoin in existence. Remember, Bitcoin is an open source cryptocurrency and can be changed to create hard or soft forks that create new cryptocurrencies or alter its functioning. Some examples of the former are bitcoin cash(BCHUSD),litecoin(LTCUSD), anddogecoin(DOGEUSD), which have made minor modifications to Bitcoin's source code and created new coins that have racked up billions of dollars in market valuations.\nEffect on Bitcoin Miners\nBlock rewards and transaction fees are the most important sources of revenue for miners—the former more so than the latter in the current setup. High prices for bitcoin enable miners to cover operational costs and sustain business profits because they can sell their rewards stash in cryptocurrency markets.\nWhen Bitcoin is close to reaching its limit, the reward amounts may not be enough to cover operational costs at miners, let alone generate profits. If and when the supply limit is reached, Bitcoin rewards are supposed to vanish.\nIn both instances, transaction fees are expected to pick up the slack. The amount of and mechanism for these fees depends on the state of Bitcoin's network at that point in time—i.e., whether it is being used as a medium of exchange or as a store of value. The former may incur reasonable fees to enable Bitcoin's use in daily transactions, while the latter scenario will have miners conducting fewer and more expensive transactions.\nAnother possibility being put forward is that of miners forming cartels amongst themselves. They might control supply to set high transaction fees or a fee amount that guarantees them a minimum in profits.Selfish mining is another possibility. In this form of mining, miners collude amongst themselves to hide new blocks and release orphan blocks that are not confirmed by Bitcoin's network. This practice will delay production of the final block in Bitcoin's network and ensure high rewards for the new blocks when they are finally released into the network.\nThe formation of a Bitcoin miners' cartel is not a far-reaching conclusion. Such groupings already exist in other commodities whose supply is constrained or controlled. For example, oil prices are influenced to a large degree by OPEC's production output. Prices in the diamond industry are also reportedly set by a cartel led by mining giant DeBeers.\nEffect on Bitcoin's Network\nThe most valuable and useful aspect of Bitcoin is its network.Distributed ledger technology is a technological solution to the time-consuming bookkeeping and accounting that characterizes most financial transactions today.\nIf Bitcoin becomes popular as a medium of exchange in the future, its transaction numbers will surge. Past precedent has shown that there is a significant chance that the network will slow down. This is because Bitcoin's architecture, which relies on a distributed database to hold copies of massive ledgers, sacrifices speed for accuracy and integrity.\nIn such a scenario, it is likely that Layer 2 technologies, like the Lightning Network, will become responsible for confirming a majority of transactions on its network. Therefore, the cryptocurrency's actual network itself will be used only to settle large batches of transactions.\nA second possibility is that the number of transactions on Bitcoin's network falls. Such a situation is possible when Bitcoin becomes a reserve asset. Trades involving the cryptocurrency will be few. Retail traders and small trading firms, who dominate its current trading ecosystem, will be eliminated and replaced by large institutional players and established trading firms. They will conduct fewer and more expensive trades that will incur high transaction fees from miners.\nEffect on Bitcoin the Cryptocurrency\nBitcoin's inventor Satoshi Nakamoto designed the cryptocurrency to function as a medium of exchange for daily transactions. But its network has high transaction fees and slow processing times. Meanwhile, its scarcity and rising prices have become a magnet for speculative investors. Their bets on the cryptocurrency roulette have led to volatile price swings in the asset class deterring serious investors away from it. Regulators have criticized its ecosystem as a Wild West.\nBy the time that the last bitcoin is mined (or close to being mined), Bitcoin may have a more defined identity that it does currently. Side channels, like the Lightning Network, may have increased its network's transaction processing speed and enabled its use as a medium of exchange. Some countries like El Salvador are betting on such an eventuality and have made the cryptocurrency legal tender.\n\nFAST FACT\n\n\n El Salvador made Bitcoin legal tender on June 9, 2021.It is the first country to do so. The cryptocurrency can be used for any transaction where the business can accept it. The U.S. dollar continues to be El Salvador's primary currency.\n\nIn the United States, the latest significant events are the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) letter in January 2021 authorizing the use of crypto as a method of payment, PayPal Holdings, Inc.'s (PYPL) introduction of Bitcoin, and Tesla, Inc.'s (TSLA) acceptance of Bitcoin to purchase Tesla cars and solar roofs. Tesla reversed course on accepting Bitcoin in May 2021, citing environmental concerns around the resources required for Bitcoin mining.\nThe increasing scarcity in its numbers will also have driven up bitcoin's price and the corresponding valuation of cryptocurrency markets. Regulators tend to move quickly when increasing amounts of capital flows into an asset class, and it is likely that crypto markets and Bitcoin will also have come under the regulatory umbrella. That will be a sign for institutional investors to move into the cryptocurrency's ecosystem and stabilize its price swings with massive liquidity.\nThe Bottom Line\nBitcoin's 21 million supply cap is meant to control inflation that might, otherwise, result from an unlimited supply. But it has inflated the cryptocurrency's prices by making it a scarce commodity.\nWhen Bitcoin reaches the supply cap, it is likely that miners will shift from block rewards to transaction fees as their main source of revenue. Development of side channels, like the Lightning Network, may result in Bitcoin's blockchain restricting itself to confirmation of large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of significant numbers of bitcoins from one address on its blockchain to another. Bitcoin's identity—as a store of value and a medium of exchange—will also be more clearly defined than it is currently.\nBut none of these predictions are set in stone. The kinetic pace of developments in Bitcoin's ecosystem means that it is difficult to accurately predict its future. For example, the cryptocurrency's protocol may be changed to accommodate the production of more than 21 million bitcoins. Or, it may fall just shy of reaching 21 million.\nFrequently Asked Questions\n\nWhat is Bitcoin's total supply?\n\nThe total supply of bitcoins is capped at 21 million.\n\nWhat will happen to miner fees when Bitcoin's supply limit is reached?\n\nWhen Bitcoin supply reaches 21 million, miners will rely on transaction fees rather than block rewards, which will have vanished by then, for revenue.\n\nWhat will happen to Bitcoin's network when it reaches the supply limit?\n\nWhen Bitcoin reaches the 21 million supply limit, it is likely that side channels, like the Lightning Network, will do most of the heavy lifting in confirming its transactions. The cryptocurrency's blockchain be responsible for confirming only very large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of large sums of bitcoin from one address to another.\n\nWhat happens if Bitcoin supply fails to reach the 21 million cap?\n\nOne consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. In keeping with Bitcoin's economics, rewards for confirming these blocks will be minimal.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":656,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":168483222,"gmtCreate":1623980841366,"gmtModify":1634024801684,"author":{"id":"3560823032838358","authorId":"3560823032838358","name":"enaid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/018156b10d9c4e41384c29654321846a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560823032838358","authorIdStr":"3560823032838358"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"gd read","listText":"gd read","text":"gd read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168483222","repostId":"1148576248","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148576248","pubTimestamp":1623979883,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148576248?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO Is Winning","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148576248","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"NIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.The company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.NIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.NIO Inc. stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla .In ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>NIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.</li>\n <li>The company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.</li>\n <li>NIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/790fae23b830463fec748d2deb2ce336\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>PonyWang/E+ via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla (TSLA).</p>\n<p>In addition, we will discuss NIO's business, financials, trading, valuation, and risks so readers could reach their own informed decision.</p>\n<p><b>Business: Why NIO Wins</b></p>\n<p>NIO positions itself in the premium SUV segment, focusing on smart EVs with a differentiated battery strategy.</p>\n<p>Delivered in March 2019, the company's first model, the ES8, is a luxury 7-seater SUV that is still the company's flagship product today. The ES8 is equipped with ADAS and AI system [NOMI] and is comparable to the BYD Song, Tesla Model X, the Audi Q7 45 e-Tron, etc.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443e2773f70c00c6faac8ca063e978a5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"387\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p>\n<p>Leveraging the installed base and customer goodwill due to the highly successful ES8, NIO successfully launched the ES6 and EC6.Recently, the company launched the ET7, its first sedan.</p>\n<p>Today, NIO is the top-selling brand in China's all-electric SUV market in April with a 23% market share, higher than Tesla's 17%, WM Motor and XPeng Motors'(NYSE:XPEV)7%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.</p>\n<p>One of the biggest competitive differentiators is NIO'sbattery strategy, which all but eliminates range anxiety, one of the biggest barriers to mass EV adoption. Not only could NIO cars be charged at any charging station for EVs, but the company also built hundreds of battery swapping stations in key cities in China, with plans to expanding to Europe.</p>\n<p>NIO's battery swapping strategy also gives the company the ability to offer a battery-as-a-service [BaaS] solution, which reduces the upfrontcostof purchasing an NIO vehicle by ~$11,000. Since cost is another major barrier to mass EV adoption, NIO's battery strategy appears brilliant as it solves both the range and cost problems.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b25fbb85bffd39310cd27cbb2bde57a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"216\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p>\n<p>Another differentiator is the NIO brand, which management created brilliantly by introducing the EP9 in 2016. Six EP9s have been sold to NIO investors for 2.5 million pounds, creating an aura of exclusivity and quality around the brand. Next, NIO targeted the mass-market luxury SUV segment with the ES8, firmly establishing the company as a luxury car OEM.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad41c960ce02f1e3f3e7575ac00beee0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p>\n<p>Chinese companies must struggle against the common perception that they make low-quality products. This is the same perception issue that Japanese companies faced following their defeat after WW2. Japan solved this problem by moving up the value chain as their economy matured and creating high-quality brands such as Sony(NYSE:SONY). Today, Japan is known for its craftsmanship.</p>\n<p>China is following the same trajectory, and NIO is one of the emerging brands destroying the perception that \"made in China\" equates to poor quality. I strongly believe that investors who stubbornly hold on to that old perception will miss out on investing in some of the greatest brands the world will ever see.</p>\n<p>Buying an NIO car means much more than just getting a vehicle; it means getting into an exclusive club of services and convenience. Benefits include access to hundreds of swapping stations, lifetime free roadside rescue (including charge vans), lifetime free cellular connectivity, lifetime free warranty, and excellent customer service. This is a powerful selling point for NIO, differentiating it from Tesla, which hasrecentlydeveloped a poor reputation on the customer service front in China.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a73482aa0431694b760ab5c2d0aa6f53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"211\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p>\n<p>The company is pushing the envelope even further with NIO House, a literal clubhouse for customers, and NIO Life, which includes NIO branded lifestyle products. NIO's effort to build a lifestyle around its cars seems to be working. This is good news for investors because the only way to escape the competitive battlefield of automobile OEM is to sell services and lifestyles to customers. This is why Ferrari's (RACE) operating margin is well over 20%, while Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) are in the single digits.</p>\n<p><b>Financials & Valuation</b></p>\n<p>NIO is in hyper-growth mode. In 2020, the company generated $2.5 billion in revenue, up 126% y/y. In 2021, the company is expected to grow 117% y/y to $5.4 billion.</p>\n<p>The company is not yet profitable but is expected to be by 2022. Gross margin only turned positive in 2020 and is expected to be 19.3% in 2021. EBITDA is expected to be negative $258 million in 2021 and a positive $206 million in 2022. Free cash flow is expected to be negative $42 million in 2021 before turning to a positive $354 million in 2022.</p>\n<p>However, despite the cash burn expected in 2021, investors should feel at ease since the company exited 2020 with $5.9 billion of cash and cash equivalents. Including $600 million in short-term investments and subtracting ~$2.1 billion in debt and operating leases and the expected negative free cash flow in 2021, NIO should exit 2021 with over $4 billion in net cash and investments. That is plenty of buffers since NIO is expected to generate positive free cash flow in 2022.</p>\n<p>Since NIO is not yet profitable, we will look at the forward EV/Sales multiple as is typical for hyper-growth companies not yet generating a profit. The company went public in September 2018, trading at around 7 to 8 times EV/Sales, before bottoming out at around 0.7 times sales in May 2019. The market, however, caught the EV fever in April 2020 and sent NIO's valuation soaring to a peak of 14.6x by January 2021. After the growth sell-off we recently experienced, NIO is currently sitting at a much more reasonable 8 times forward sales. This is a significant discount to TSLA's 10.2 times forward EV/Sales despite growing twice as fast (TSLA is expected to grow revenues by 57% in 2021 compared to NIO's 117%).</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>There are many risks associated with owning NIO.</p>\n<p>Although its battery swapping strategy is highly differentiated and seems to be growing rapidly, the jury is still out on the ultimate market share of battery swapping or fast-charging infrastructure. If fast charging technology continues to advance significantly, it will likely erode a key advantage of battery swapping: speed.</p>\n<p>NIO's business model is innovative and new. Unfortunately, the flip side of that is that it is untested, and NIO remains unprofitable. For many investors, NIO will remain a \"show me\" story until the profitability of its business model improves.</p>\n<p>NIO's ability to expand globally may be limited by the rising geopolitical tension between China and the US, and to a lesser extent, with Japan and Europe. The geopolitical situation remains highly opaque and uncertain, and is a risk factor for all auto OEMs.</p>\n<p>Auto OEMs are currently facing a severe chip shortage. In addition, the chip density in automobiles is increasing, making the OEMs increasingly reliant on semiconductor suppliers and foundries.</p>\n<p>NIO's competitive advantages may not overcome the massive scale advantage of ICE OEMs and much bigger EV players like Tesla and China's BYD.</p>\n<p><b>Takeaway</b></p>\n<p>NIO's technical and business model innovations make it a highly differentiated company in the exciting and rapidly growing EV market. The company is winning, and its competitive moat is getting bigger as its ecosystem of vehicles and services grows. Relative to the industry leader, Tesla, NIO's stock price seems like a bargain given its faster growth rate and lower multiples.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO Is Winning</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO Is Winning\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-18 09:31 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435341-nio-is-winning><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nNIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.\nThe company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.\nNIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435341-nio-is-winning\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435341-nio-is-winning","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148576248","content_text":"Summary\n\nNIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.\nThe company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.\nNIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.\n\nPonyWang/E+ via Getty Images\nNIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla (TSLA).\nIn addition, we will discuss NIO's business, financials, trading, valuation, and risks so readers could reach their own informed decision.\nBusiness: Why NIO Wins\nNIO positions itself in the premium SUV segment, focusing on smart EVs with a differentiated battery strategy.\nDelivered in March 2019, the company's first model, the ES8, is a luxury 7-seater SUV that is still the company's flagship product today. The ES8 is equipped with ADAS and AI system [NOMI] and is comparable to the BYD Song, Tesla Model X, the Audi Q7 45 e-Tron, etc.\nSource: Company\nLeveraging the installed base and customer goodwill due to the highly successful ES8, NIO successfully launched the ES6 and EC6.Recently, the company launched the ET7, its first sedan.\nToday, NIO is the top-selling brand in China's all-electric SUV market in April with a 23% market share, higher than Tesla's 17%, WM Motor and XPeng Motors'(NYSE:XPEV)7%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.\nOne of the biggest competitive differentiators is NIO'sbattery strategy, which all but eliminates range anxiety, one of the biggest barriers to mass EV adoption. Not only could NIO cars be charged at any charging station for EVs, but the company also built hundreds of battery swapping stations in key cities in China, with plans to expanding to Europe.\nNIO's battery swapping strategy also gives the company the ability to offer a battery-as-a-service [BaaS] solution, which reduces the upfrontcostof purchasing an NIO vehicle by ~$11,000. Since cost is another major barrier to mass EV adoption, NIO's battery strategy appears brilliant as it solves both the range and cost problems.\nSource: Company\nAnother differentiator is the NIO brand, which management created brilliantly by introducing the EP9 in 2016. Six EP9s have been sold to NIO investors for 2.5 million pounds, creating an aura of exclusivity and quality around the brand. Next, NIO targeted the mass-market luxury SUV segment with the ES8, firmly establishing the company as a luxury car OEM.\nSource: Company\nChinese companies must struggle against the common perception that they make low-quality products. This is the same perception issue that Japanese companies faced following their defeat after WW2. Japan solved this problem by moving up the value chain as their economy matured and creating high-quality brands such as Sony(NYSE:SONY). Today, Japan is known for its craftsmanship.\nChina is following the same trajectory, and NIO is one of the emerging brands destroying the perception that \"made in China\" equates to poor quality. I strongly believe that investors who stubbornly hold on to that old perception will miss out on investing in some of the greatest brands the world will ever see.\nBuying an NIO car means much more than just getting a vehicle; it means getting into an exclusive club of services and convenience. Benefits include access to hundreds of swapping stations, lifetime free roadside rescue (including charge vans), lifetime free cellular connectivity, lifetime free warranty, and excellent customer service. This is a powerful selling point for NIO, differentiating it from Tesla, which hasrecentlydeveloped a poor reputation on the customer service front in China.\nSource: Company\nThe company is pushing the envelope even further with NIO House, a literal clubhouse for customers, and NIO Life, which includes NIO branded lifestyle products. NIO's effort to build a lifestyle around its cars seems to be working. This is good news for investors because the only way to escape the competitive battlefield of automobile OEM is to sell services and lifestyles to customers. This is why Ferrari's (RACE) operating margin is well over 20%, while Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) are in the single digits.\nFinancials & Valuation\nNIO is in hyper-growth mode. In 2020, the company generated $2.5 billion in revenue, up 126% y/y. In 2021, the company is expected to grow 117% y/y to $5.4 billion.\nThe company is not yet profitable but is expected to be by 2022. Gross margin only turned positive in 2020 and is expected to be 19.3% in 2021. EBITDA is expected to be negative $258 million in 2021 and a positive $206 million in 2022. Free cash flow is expected to be negative $42 million in 2021 before turning to a positive $354 million in 2022.\nHowever, despite the cash burn expected in 2021, investors should feel at ease since the company exited 2020 with $5.9 billion of cash and cash equivalents. Including $600 million in short-term investments and subtracting ~$2.1 billion in debt and operating leases and the expected negative free cash flow in 2021, NIO should exit 2021 with over $4 billion in net cash and investments. That is plenty of buffers since NIO is expected to generate positive free cash flow in 2022.\nSince NIO is not yet profitable, we will look at the forward EV/Sales multiple as is typical for hyper-growth companies not yet generating a profit. The company went public in September 2018, trading at around 7 to 8 times EV/Sales, before bottoming out at around 0.7 times sales in May 2019. The market, however, caught the EV fever in April 2020 and sent NIO's valuation soaring to a peak of 14.6x by January 2021. After the growth sell-off we recently experienced, NIO is currently sitting at a much more reasonable 8 times forward sales. This is a significant discount to TSLA's 10.2 times forward EV/Sales despite growing twice as fast (TSLA is expected to grow revenues by 57% in 2021 compared to NIO's 117%).\nRisks\nThere are many risks associated with owning NIO.\nAlthough its battery swapping strategy is highly differentiated and seems to be growing rapidly, the jury is still out on the ultimate market share of battery swapping or fast-charging infrastructure. If fast charging technology continues to advance significantly, it will likely erode a key advantage of battery swapping: speed.\nNIO's business model is innovative and new. Unfortunately, the flip side of that is that it is untested, and NIO remains unprofitable. For many investors, NIO will remain a \"show me\" story until the profitability of its business model improves.\nNIO's ability to expand globally may be limited by the rising geopolitical tension between China and the US, and to a lesser extent, with Japan and Europe. The geopolitical situation remains highly opaque and uncertain, and is a risk factor for all auto OEMs.\nAuto OEMs are currently facing a severe chip shortage. In addition, the chip density in automobiles is increasing, making the OEMs increasingly reliant on semiconductor suppliers and foundries.\nNIO's competitive advantages may not overcome the massive scale advantage of ICE OEMs and much bigger EV players like Tesla and China's BYD.\nTakeaway\nNIO's technical and business model innovations make it a highly differentiated company in the exciting and rapidly growing EV market. The company is winning, and its competitive moat is getting bigger as its ecosystem of vehicles and services grows. Relative to the industry leader, Tesla, NIO's stock price seems like a bargain given its faster growth rate and lower multiples.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":132,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118120913,"gmtCreate":1622724235532,"gmtModify":1634098740480,"author":{"id":"3560823032838358","authorId":"3560823032838358","name":"enaid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/018156b10d9c4e41384c29654321846a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560823032838358","authorIdStr":"3560823032838358"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"EV","listText":"EV","text":"EV","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":14,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118120913","repostId":"1139859065","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":239,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":108662238,"gmtCreate":1620019751824,"gmtModify":1634208458377,"author":{"id":"3560823032838358","authorId":"3560823032838358","name":"enaid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/018156b10d9c4e41384c29654321846a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560823032838358","authorIdStr":"3560823032838358"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hodl","listText":"hodl","text":"hodl","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/108662238","repostId":"1174446367","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":101551129,"gmtCreate":1619924962761,"gmtModify":1634209075475,"author":{"id":"3560823032838358","authorId":"3560823032838358","name":"enaid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/018156b10d9c4e41384c29654321846a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560823032838358","authorIdStr":"3560823032838358"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"for reference","listText":"for reference","text":"for reference","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101551129","repostId":"1137943982","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137943982","pubTimestamp":1619749878,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137943982?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-30 10:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"XPeng Vs. NIO: Which EV Stock Is The Better Buy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137943982","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"The EV industry experiences high growth rates and there are many new market entrants.NIO and XPeng belong to the highest-growth EV companies and have a lot of potential in their home market China.Both have some unique offerings, trade at a discount compared to Tesla, and grow more quickly. But which one is the better choice?Electric vehicle companies have experienced a big increase in investor interest over the last year, as the EV market continued to expand at a rapid pace. The number of EV sto","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The EV industry experiences high growth rates and there are many new market entrants.</li>\n <li>NIO and XPeng belong to the highest-growth EV companies and have a lot of potential in their home market China.</li>\n <li>Both have some unique offerings, trade at a discount compared to Tesla, and grow more quickly. But which one is the better choice?</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4aaa88cf5d3f942b0de6eda862dd6dd\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Photo by jonathanfilskov-photography/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Electric vehicle companies have experienced a big increase in investor interest over the last year, as the EV market continued to expand at a rapid pace. The number of EV stocks investors can choose from continues to rise as well, and two of the biggest ones are NIO (NIO) and XPeng (XPEV). In this article, we will take a look at these two major Chinese EV pure-plays to decide which one may be a better investment.</p>\n<p><b>XPeng Versus NIO Stock</b></p>\n<p>XPeng Inc and NIO Inc have both seen their share prices rise considerably over the last year. New investors rushed into markets, while interest in EV stocks rose, which could be seen in the share prices of the likes of Tesla (TSLA), but also with these two Chinese EV players:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76ba39e1d303590ed1db133e32f7f347\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Right now, with shares trading at $41 and $31, respectively, NIO and XPeng are valued at $67 billion and $25 billion. This is a far cry from the $700 billion Tesla is valued at, but both NIO and XPeng still belong to the EV pure-plays with the highest market capitalizations. Others in this category include BYD (OTCPK:BYDDY) and Li Auto (LI).</p>\n<p>The big share price increases these two companies have experienced bring up the question of whether these valuations do make sense. This is a question where some will agree and others will not - both companies are growing very fast, which naturally warrants a higher valuation, but on the other hand, they are both not profitable yet, and current forecasts do see them remain unprofitable through 2022. We will take a closer look at valuation further down in this article.</p>\n<p><b>Exposure To The High-Growth Chinese EV Market</b></p>\n<p>Both companies are located in China, manufacture their cars in China, and primarily sell their vehicles in China. China is one of the biggest EV markets in the world, and the biggest overall automobile market globally. Chinese politicians have ambitious goals of increasing the amount of EVs on the country's roads, partially due to a need to reduce local emissions in order to fight smog troubles. On top of that, China has a rapidly growing middle class, which is, of course, a major tailwind for consumption, which also benefits purchases of EVs and other vehicles.</p>\n<p>In 2020, 1.3 million EVs were sold in China, which represents about 40% of the global EV market. Forecasts see a 50% increase in EVs being sold in China in 2021, which gets us to an estimated 2.0 million electric vehicles being sold in China this year.</p>\n<p>The high growth rate in their home market has been a major driver for both NIO's and XPeng's growth. During 2020, NIO sold 44,000 vehicles, but a lot more growth is forecasted for the current year. NIO planned to sell more than 20,000 vehicles in Q1 alone, which equates to an annual pace of more than 80,000, and with further ramp-up expected for Q2-Q4, it is likely that NIO will sell at least 100,000 of its EVs this year.</p>\n<p>Xiaopeng Motors, on the other hand,has sold 27,000 vehicles in 2020, albeit its pace already stood at more than 50,000 vehicles annually in Q4. XPeng has guided for at least 12,500 EVs being sold in Q1, and factoring in the seasonality of the business and further ramp-up of production in coming quarters, it is very likely that XPeng will more than double its sales this year.</p>\n<p>Looking at analyst estimates, we see that this year's strong growth that is expected for both companies is not an outlier. Instead, 2022 will be another year during which both NIO and XPeng should grow at a strong pace.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d2acba3a3368db073de724bd97eb71c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>NIO is forecasted to grow its revenues to $5.4 billion this year, with another 59% growth forecasted for 2022, while revenues for 2023 are expected at $12.5 billion (up 45% versus 2022's expected revenues).</p>\n<p>XPeng data is not available at YCharts, but the growth curves look very strong as well -analysts are forecasting that revenues will hit $2.1 billion this year (up 130% versus 2020), and that revenues during 2022 will hit $4.2 billion, up by another 100%.</p>\n<p>Among the two, NIO is the larger one by both vehicle deliveries and revenues, which is also reflected in its higher valuation. XPeng, however, with its strong expected growth, will also become a much larger player in this space over the next couple of years.</p>\n<p>Looking at market share, we see that NIO sells about one in every 20 EVs in China, while XPeng, due to its smaller size, sells about one in every 35 EVs. Both have bigger peers in their home market China, including Tesla, but at the same time, both NIO and XPeng are growing faster than the market. This should result in ongoing market share gains for both companies over the coming years. Thanks to the ongoing introduction of new models and their aggressive growth plans, it seems likely that both companies will continue to gain share over the coming years, as their above-market growth will be maintained.</p>\n<p><b>Unique Pros For NIO And XPeng</b></p>\n<p>When looking at unique selling points for these two companies in the crowded EV market, both are trying to set themselves aside from competitors. One of NIO's best arguments for why consumers should buy a NIO-branded car is its battery-swapping technology and battery-as-a-service offering. This service allows consumers to swap their batteries in a couple of minutes, which negates one of the main arguments consumers may still hold against EVs - that it takes too long to recharge a vehicle while on a road trip or similar.</p>\n<p>With NIO's technology, which has been used millions of times already, this isn't a concern, at least while consumers live and travel in a geographic area with a dense battery-swapping network. Such networks do not exist outside of China yet, but in its home market, NIO can clearly differentiate itself from competitors with BAAS.</p>\n<p>XPeng, on the other hand, is working hard on branding itself as the \"Smart EV\" company. It puts an above-average focus on R&D and is working hard on bringing smart technologies like advanced driver assistance systems to consumers. This strategy is primarily aimed at younger consumers. XPeng has managed to become one of the more popular EV players in China, but its offering is still not as unique as NIO's BAAS.</p>\n<p><b>Chinese EV Market: Tailwinds For Domestic Producers</b></p>\n<p>Tesla is still the largest EV player in the world, and it also sells a large amount of cars in China. Recent news, however, shows why domestic producers may ultimately be favored in China. Tesla is experiencing more scrutiny by the Chinese government and Chinese regulators, which has gotten so far that Tesla vehicles have been prevented from accessing some highways in the country due to safety concerns. Its vehicles have also reportedly been banned from military bases in the country, and the company has also experienced social media campaigns that are very unfavorable towards Tesla.</p>\n<p>It looks like a theme that has been visible in other industries as well - Chinese regulators and governments favor domestic producers - could hold true in the high-growth EV industry as well. This positions NIO and XPeng well for success in their home countries.</p>\n<p><b>NIO And XPeng: Valuation</b></p>\n<p>Since both companies aren't profitable yet, we can't use earnings multiple to decide whether they are undervalued or not. We can, however, look at revenue multiples to deduce whether shares are favorably priced right now.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12557115440606d283aa6aa8ff14c611\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>NIO is trading at 5.6 times 2023's expected revenue, while XPeng is valued at roughly 3 times 2023's expected revenue (data not available on YCharts). This compares favorably versus the current EV king Tesla, which trades at 8 times 2023's expected revenue. On the other hand, however, both NIO and XPeng are of course way more expensive than legacy auto companies with a growing EV presence, including Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY), which trades at less than 1 times its annual sales.</p>\n<p><b>Is NIO Or XPeng A Buy</b></p>\n<p>Both companies enjoy high growth rates, have shown solid Q1 results, and both benefit from China's policy of favoring domestic companies in a range of ways. It can be expected that both NIO Inc and XPeng Inc will continue to do well operationally, and it is also worth mentioning that both companies are significantly less expensive than Tesla, the current leader in the EV space. It is noteworthy that NIO and XPeng are less expensive despite delivering stronger growth rates on a relative basis.</p>\n<p>At the same time, however, one can't say that either of these companies is inexpensive - they both still trade at large premiums over legacy auto companies.</p>\n<p>Due to the fact that NIO has gotten farther in growing its business so far, combined with the very unique BAAS offering that clearly differentiates it from peers and provides a major reason to use its products, I see it as a more favorable choice than XPeng generally. I believe this warrants a premium versus XPeng, which isn't as uniquely positioned and could experience more growing pains in coming years due to its smaller size.</p>\n<p>Nevertheless, due to valuation, I don't think NIO's shares are a great buy right here, even though I would prefer them over those of XPeng (and I would prefer both over those of Tesla). Investors may want to wait for more favorable prices before entering or expanding a position if the current valuation gives them a pause - both when it comes to these two companies, as well as when other EV companies are considered.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>XPeng Vs. NIO: Which EV Stock Is The Better Buy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nXPeng Vs. NIO: Which EV Stock Is The Better Buy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-30 10:31 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4422352-xpeng-vs-nio-stock-better-buy><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe EV industry experiences high growth rates and there are many new market entrants.\nNIO and XPeng belong to the highest-growth EV companies and have a lot of potential in their home market ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4422352-xpeng-vs-nio-stock-better-buy\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","XPEV":"小鹏汽车"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4422352-xpeng-vs-nio-stock-better-buy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1137943982","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe EV industry experiences high growth rates and there are many new market entrants.\nNIO and XPeng belong to the highest-growth EV companies and have a lot of potential in their home market China.\nBoth have some unique offerings, trade at a discount compared to Tesla, and grow more quickly. But which one is the better choice?\n\nPhoto by jonathanfilskov-photography/iStock via Getty Images\nElectric vehicle companies have experienced a big increase in investor interest over the last year, as the EV market continued to expand at a rapid pace. The number of EV stocks investors can choose from continues to rise as well, and two of the biggest ones are NIO (NIO) and XPeng (XPEV). In this article, we will take a look at these two major Chinese EV pure-plays to decide which one may be a better investment.\nXPeng Versus NIO Stock\nXPeng Inc and NIO Inc have both seen their share prices rise considerably over the last year. New investors rushed into markets, while interest in EV stocks rose, which could be seen in the share prices of the likes of Tesla (TSLA), but also with these two Chinese EV players:\nData by YCharts\nRight now, with shares trading at $41 and $31, respectively, NIO and XPeng are valued at $67 billion and $25 billion. This is a far cry from the $700 billion Tesla is valued at, but both NIO and XPeng still belong to the EV pure-plays with the highest market capitalizations. Others in this category include BYD (OTCPK:BYDDY) and Li Auto (LI).\nThe big share price increases these two companies have experienced bring up the question of whether these valuations do make sense. This is a question where some will agree and others will not - both companies are growing very fast, which naturally warrants a higher valuation, but on the other hand, they are both not profitable yet, and current forecasts do see them remain unprofitable through 2022. We will take a closer look at valuation further down in this article.\nExposure To The High-Growth Chinese EV Market\nBoth companies are located in China, manufacture their cars in China, and primarily sell their vehicles in China. China is one of the biggest EV markets in the world, and the biggest overall automobile market globally. Chinese politicians have ambitious goals of increasing the amount of EVs on the country's roads, partially due to a need to reduce local emissions in order to fight smog troubles. On top of that, China has a rapidly growing middle class, which is, of course, a major tailwind for consumption, which also benefits purchases of EVs and other vehicles.\nIn 2020, 1.3 million EVs were sold in China, which represents about 40% of the global EV market. Forecasts see a 50% increase in EVs being sold in China in 2021, which gets us to an estimated 2.0 million electric vehicles being sold in China this year.\nThe high growth rate in their home market has been a major driver for both NIO's and XPeng's growth. During 2020, NIO sold 44,000 vehicles, but a lot more growth is forecasted for the current year. NIO planned to sell more than 20,000 vehicles in Q1 alone, which equates to an annual pace of more than 80,000, and with further ramp-up expected for Q2-Q4, it is likely that NIO will sell at least 100,000 of its EVs this year.\nXiaopeng Motors, on the other hand,has sold 27,000 vehicles in 2020, albeit its pace already stood at more than 50,000 vehicles annually in Q4. XPeng has guided for at least 12,500 EVs being sold in Q1, and factoring in the seasonality of the business and further ramp-up of production in coming quarters, it is very likely that XPeng will more than double its sales this year.\nLooking at analyst estimates, we see that this year's strong growth that is expected for both companies is not an outlier. Instead, 2022 will be another year during which both NIO and XPeng should grow at a strong pace.\nData by YCharts\nNIO is forecasted to grow its revenues to $5.4 billion this year, with another 59% growth forecasted for 2022, while revenues for 2023 are expected at $12.5 billion (up 45% versus 2022's expected revenues).\nXPeng data is not available at YCharts, but the growth curves look very strong as well -analysts are forecasting that revenues will hit $2.1 billion this year (up 130% versus 2020), and that revenues during 2022 will hit $4.2 billion, up by another 100%.\nAmong the two, NIO is the larger one by both vehicle deliveries and revenues, which is also reflected in its higher valuation. XPeng, however, with its strong expected growth, will also become a much larger player in this space over the next couple of years.\nLooking at market share, we see that NIO sells about one in every 20 EVs in China, while XPeng, due to its smaller size, sells about one in every 35 EVs. Both have bigger peers in their home market China, including Tesla, but at the same time, both NIO and XPeng are growing faster than the market. This should result in ongoing market share gains for both companies over the coming years. Thanks to the ongoing introduction of new models and their aggressive growth plans, it seems likely that both companies will continue to gain share over the coming years, as their above-market growth will be maintained.\nUnique Pros For NIO And XPeng\nWhen looking at unique selling points for these two companies in the crowded EV market, both are trying to set themselves aside from competitors. One of NIO's best arguments for why consumers should buy a NIO-branded car is its battery-swapping technology and battery-as-a-service offering. This service allows consumers to swap their batteries in a couple of minutes, which negates one of the main arguments consumers may still hold against EVs - that it takes too long to recharge a vehicle while on a road trip or similar.\nWith NIO's technology, which has been used millions of times already, this isn't a concern, at least while consumers live and travel in a geographic area with a dense battery-swapping network. Such networks do not exist outside of China yet, but in its home market, NIO can clearly differentiate itself from competitors with BAAS.\nXPeng, on the other hand, is working hard on branding itself as the \"Smart EV\" company. It puts an above-average focus on R&D and is working hard on bringing smart technologies like advanced driver assistance systems to consumers. This strategy is primarily aimed at younger consumers. XPeng has managed to become one of the more popular EV players in China, but its offering is still not as unique as NIO's BAAS.\nChinese EV Market: Tailwinds For Domestic Producers\nTesla is still the largest EV player in the world, and it also sells a large amount of cars in China. Recent news, however, shows why domestic producers may ultimately be favored in China. Tesla is experiencing more scrutiny by the Chinese government and Chinese regulators, which has gotten so far that Tesla vehicles have been prevented from accessing some highways in the country due to safety concerns. Its vehicles have also reportedly been banned from military bases in the country, and the company has also experienced social media campaigns that are very unfavorable towards Tesla.\nIt looks like a theme that has been visible in other industries as well - Chinese regulators and governments favor domestic producers - could hold true in the high-growth EV industry as well. This positions NIO and XPeng well for success in their home countries.\nNIO And XPeng: Valuation\nSince both companies aren't profitable yet, we can't use earnings multiple to decide whether they are undervalued or not. We can, however, look at revenue multiples to deduce whether shares are favorably priced right now.\nData by YCharts\nNIO is trading at 5.6 times 2023's expected revenue, while XPeng is valued at roughly 3 times 2023's expected revenue (data not available on YCharts). This compares favorably versus the current EV king Tesla, which trades at 8 times 2023's expected revenue. On the other hand, however, both NIO and XPeng are of course way more expensive than legacy auto companies with a growing EV presence, including Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY), which trades at less than 1 times its annual sales.\nIs NIO Or XPeng A Buy\nBoth companies enjoy high growth rates, have shown solid Q1 results, and both benefit from China's policy of favoring domestic companies in a range of ways. It can be expected that both NIO Inc and XPeng Inc will continue to do well operationally, and it is also worth mentioning that both companies are significantly less expensive than Tesla, the current leader in the EV space. It is noteworthy that NIO and XPeng are less expensive despite delivering stronger growth rates on a relative basis.\nAt the same time, however, one can't say that either of these companies is inexpensive - they both still trade at large premiums over legacy auto companies.\nDue to the fact that NIO has gotten farther in growing its business so far, combined with the very unique BAAS offering that clearly differentiates it from peers and provides a major reason to use its products, I see it as a more favorable choice than XPeng generally. I believe this warrants a premium versus XPeng, which isn't as uniquely positioned and could experience more growing pains in coming years due to its smaller size.\nNevertheless, due to valuation, I don't think NIO's shares are a great buy right here, even though I would prefer them over those of XPeng (and I would prefer both over those of Tesla). Investors may want to wait for more favorable prices before entering or expanding a position if the current valuation gives them a pause - both when it comes to these two companies, as well as when other EV companies are considered.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":296,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":326503614,"gmtCreate":1615682006738,"gmtModify":1703491997328,"author":{"id":"3560823032838358","authorId":"3560823032838358","name":"enaid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/018156b10d9c4e41384c29654321846a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560823032838358","authorIdStr":"3560823032838358"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"reminder!","listText":"reminder!","text":"reminder!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/326503614","repostId":"1199156489","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199156489","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1615452861,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199156489?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-11 16:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US Daylight Saving Time","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199156489","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"From 02:00 U.S. East time March 14(this Sunday),the North America region entered daylight saving tim","content":"<p>From 02:00 U.S. East time March 14(this Sunday),the North America region entered daylight saving time,until 02:00 U.S. East time ends on November 7,2021.</p><p>So,starting on Monday,March 14,the U.S. market will open and close one hour ahead of schedule during north american daylight saving time,i.e.,U.S. trading time will be changed to 21:30 beijing time to 04:00 a.m.the next day,pre-trade time will be 16:00 to 21:30,after-trade time will be 04:00 to 8:00.</p><p><b>What is daylight saving time?</b></p><p>The DST is the practice of moving clocks forward by one hour during summer months so that daylight lasts longer into evening. Most of North America and Europe follows the custom, while the majority of countries elsewhere do not.</p><p>Hawaii, American Samoa, Guam, Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands and most of Arizona don’t observe daylight saving time. It’s incumbent to stick with the status quo.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US Daylight Saving Time</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS Daylight Saving Time\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-03-11 16:54</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>From 02:00 U.S. East time March 14(this Sunday),the North America region entered daylight saving time,until 02:00 U.S. East time ends on November 7,2021.</p><p>So,starting on Monday,March 14,the U.S. market will open and close one hour ahead of schedule during north american daylight saving time,i.e.,U.S. trading time will be changed to 21:30 beijing time to 04:00 a.m.the next day,pre-trade time will be 16:00 to 21:30,after-trade time will be 04:00 to 8:00.</p><p><b>What is daylight saving time?</b></p><p>The DST is the practice of moving clocks forward by one hour during summer months so that daylight lasts longer into evening. Most of North America and Europe follows the custom, while the majority of countries elsewhere do not.</p><p>Hawaii, American Samoa, Guam, Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands and most of Arizona don’t observe daylight saving time. It’s incumbent to stick with the status quo.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199156489","content_text":"From 02:00 U.S. East time March 14(this Sunday),the North America region entered daylight saving time,until 02:00 U.S. East time ends on November 7,2021.So,starting on Monday,March 14,the U.S. market will open and close one hour ahead of schedule during north american daylight saving time,i.e.,U.S. trading time will be changed to 21:30 beijing time to 04:00 a.m.the next day,pre-trade time will be 16:00 to 21:30,after-trade time will be 04:00 to 8:00.What is daylight saving time?The DST is the practice of moving clocks forward by one hour during summer months so that daylight lasts longer into evening. Most of North America and Europe follows the custom, while the majority of countries elsewhere do not.Hawaii, American Samoa, Guam, Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands and most of Arizona don’t observe daylight saving time. It’s incumbent to stick with the status quo.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":320467495,"gmtCreate":1615169193817,"gmtModify":1703485122730,"author":{"id":"3560823032838358","authorId":"3560823032838358","name":"enaid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/018156b10d9c4e41384c29654321846a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560823032838358","authorIdStr":"3560823032838358"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"great sharing","listText":"great sharing","text":"great sharing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":66,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320467495","repostId":"2117638933","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2117638933","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"The leading daily newsletter for the latest financial and business news. 33Yrs Helping Stock Investors with Investing Insights, Tools, News & More.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Investors","id":"1085713068","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c"},"pubTimestamp":1614947300,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2117638933?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 20:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Next Tesla May Emerge From This Explosion Of New EV Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2117638933","media":"Investors","summary":"Tesla stock’s huge run fueled demand for stocks like Nio. Now, dozens are vying for attention. Here's an investor guide to the swarm of new EV stocks.","content":"<p>The stunning run of Tesla stock over the past year fueled investor demand for a wave of new EV stocks. The new names represent everything from companies that sell tens of thousands of electric cars a year to startups that have yet to deliver a single vehicle.</p><p>And more EV stocks are coming, if you loosen the meaning of the phrase. Legacy auto giants like <b>General Motors</b> and <b>Ford</b> are transforming into electric-vehicle companies and plan scores of new models. Battery developers and EV charging networks have seen a burst of enthusiasm for their shares as investors bet on a new era of transportation and green energy.</p><p>While EV stocks have pulled back from dizzying highs lately, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of them may be laying the technological groundwork right now to be the next <b>Tesla</b> or Nio stock.</p><p>But in the near term, investors in EV stocks should buckle up for a bumpy ride.</p><p>\"Nobody should expect anything but more volatility for the next year,\" said Michael Dunne, CEO of the auto consultancy ZoZo Go. \"That's how uncertain the future is with regard to EV startups.\"</p><p>Tesla's 2020 delivery total of nearly 500,000 electric vehicles set a high bar for challengers. Meanwhile, Tesla stock easily remains No. 1 by market cap in the auto industry, with a current value of $582 billion.</p><p><b>List Of New EV Stocks, Startups</b></p><table border=\"0\" width=\"100%\"><tbody><tr><td><b>Company</b></td><td><b>Symbol</b></td><td><b>Country</b></td><td><b>Electric vehicle exposure</b></td></tr><tr><td>Nio</td><td>NIO</td><td>China</td><td>SUVs, sedans</td></tr><tr><td>Xpeng</td><td>XPEV</td><td>China</td><td>SUVs, sedans</td></tr><tr><td>Li Auto</td><td>LI</td><td>China</td><td>SUVs</td></tr><tr><td>Nikola</td><td>NKLA</td><td>U.S.</td><td>Commercial trucks</td></tr><tr><td>Fisker</td><td>FSR</td><td>U.S.</td><td>SUVs</td></tr><tr><td>Canoo</td><td>GOEV</td><td>U.S.</td><td>Cars, minibuses, commercial vehicles</td></tr><tr><td>Lordstown</td><td>RIDE</td><td>U.S.</td><td>Pickup trucks for fleets</td></tr><tr><td>Rivian</td><td>not public yet</td><td>U.S.</td><td>Pickup trucks, SUVs, delivery vans</td></tr><tr><td>Faraday Future</td><td>PSAC/FFIE</td><td>U.S.</td><td>Luxury sedans</td></tr><tr><td>Lucid</td><td>CCIV/LCID</td><td>U.S.</td><td>Luxury sedans</td></tr><tr><td>Xos Trucks</td><td>NGAC/XOS</td><td>U.S.</td><td>Commercial trucks, batteries</td></tr><tr><td>QuantumScape</td><td>QS</td><td>U.S.</td><td>Batteries</td></tr><tr><td>Romeo Power</td><td>RMO</td><td>U.S.</td><td>Batteries</td></tr><tr><td>Hyliion</td><td>HYLN</td><td>U.S.</td><td>Commercial truck powertrains</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLNK\">Blink Charging</a></td><td>BLNK</td><td>U.S.</td><td>EV charging stations</td></tr><tr><td>ChargePoint</td><td>CHPT</td><td>U.S.</td><td>EV charging stations</td></tr><tr><td>EVgo</td><td>CLII/EVGO</td><td>U.S.</td><td>EV charging stations</td></tr></tbody></table><hr><p><b>Nio Stock Eyes AI Edge Over EV Rivals</b></p><p>Many EV startups lack any real sales or production. Not so for several Chinese companies that went public in the U.S. between 2018 and 2020 and are seeing growth soar.</p><p>One of them is Nio stock, which took off in March 2020. <b>Nio</b>'s combination of innovation and brand awareness is seen helping it stand out from rivals like <b>Xpeng Motors</b> and <b>Li Auto</b>.</p><p>Sales of Nio's premium electric SUVs climbed 113% in 2020 to 43,728. The EC6 crossover, which only went on sale in September, is already Nio's top seller. The EC6 now faces competition from Tesla's Model Y and soon <b>Volkswagen</b>'s ID.4, which launches in China in late March.</p><p>But Nio moved early and quickly to put artificial intelligence in its cars, analysts say. And a new Nio EV, the sleek ET7 sedan unveiled in January, is supposed to make the leap from advanced driver-assist systems (ADAS) to autonomous driving.</p><p>\"Nio pioneered this clean-sheet approach, where you're essentially building the software from the ground up, whether it's for entertainment, for AI, or for ADAS,\" said Deutsche Bank analyst Edison Yu.</p><p>But its biggest innovations go beyond the car itself. In 2020, Nio broke the norm with an option to buy electric cars without batteries, instead letting users rent the battery for a monthly fee.</p><p>Nio stock has come off highs reached in early January and is back below the 50-day line for the first time in nearly a year. Nio's mixed Q4 financial results and a warning that the global chip shortage will dent production sent shares down further. <i>(Is Nio stock a buy as the chip shortage weighs on its outlook?)</i></p><p><b>Other China EV Stocks To Watch</b></p><p>But Nio's rivals are preparing for more intense competition. Xpeng and Li Auto raised billions of dollars in late 2020 as they joined an arms race for capital vs. Nio and Tesla.</p><p>Xpeng sold 27,041 electric cars last year, up 112%. Xpeng sells the P7 sedan and G3 compact SUV. Like Tesla, Xpeng is expanding a network of supercharging stations across China. It's also even further along on autonomous EV technology, Yu says, though it lacks Nio's brand power.</p><p>After volume production began in late 2019, Li Auto delivered 32,624 units of its Li One electric SUV for all of 2020. In December, Goldman Sachs analysts said Li Auto was differentiating itself by \"envisioning and creating compelling EV consumer experiences — and showing a willingness to take on the risk of unconventional technologies and act innovatively.\"</p><p>While Tesla stock and Nio stock grab the attention among EV investors, the leader by sales volume in China is the less-well-known <b>BYD</b>. It sold 130,968 battery electric vehicles last year, down 11%, despite launching the Han sedan and Tang SUV. That number doesn't include the company's plug-in hybrids and other \"new energy vehicles.\" BYD has the distinction of counting Warren Buffett's <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b> as an investor.</p><p>Like Nio stock, Xpeng and Li Auto have come well off their highs along with other growth stocks. Meanwhile, GM stock, Ford stock and VW are doing better in 2021, though the new EV stocks are crushing the old guard from the start of 2020. In fact, Nio stock is up more than 1,700% from last year's low, while GM is up about 260% in the same period.</p><p><b>Early Days For U.S. EV Startups</b></p><p>Most of the U.S. EV startups that came public recently, or are about to go public, have done so via special purpose acquisition companies. But merging with a SPAC allows for less disclosure than a traditional IPO, meaning more potential risk for investors.</p><p>Unlike the Chinese EV stocks, the U.S. newcomers are still developing their vehicles. So it's too soon to tell which could emerge as a disrupter, says Deutsche Bank analyst Emmanuel Rosner.</p><p>\"They are mostly talking about a business model rather than actually producing vehicles,\" he added.</p><p>And yet Wall Street can't get enough of EV stocks. They include <b>Nikola</b>, <b>Fisker</b>, <b>Canoo</b> and <b>Lordstown</b>. Others, like Rivian, aren't public yet, while Lucid, Faraday Future, and Xos Trucks will debut after their blank-check deals close. In fact, Lucid's record blank-check deal values the company at $24 billion, while delivery of its first EV, the luxury Lucid Air sedan, won't happen until later this year.</p><p>For now, some of the EV stocks are aiming for niche markets rather than taking on the world.</p><p>Faraday's FF 91, which will cost $150,000 to $200,000, touts 11 screens and a \"spa mode\" where lights dim and fully reclined seats massage passengers. Meanwhile, Canoo specializes in cars, minibuses and commercial vehicles for rental and sharing services.</p><p>\"It's less about becoming the next Tesla and more about exploiting what they view as underserved markets,\" Rosner said.</p><p>But Faraday plans a commercial EV for last-mile deliveries in 2023 and two mass-market EVs by 2024. And Tesla started also at the high end of the EV market with its Roadster, which went on sale in 2006 for more than $100,000.</p><p>Most of the new EV stocks or shares of the shell company SPACs are slumping after initial spikes. But Fisker stock, after reporting a jump in reservations, has hit new highs.</p><p><b>Beyond Tesla Stock: Intense Competition In Electric Trucks</b></p><p>Meanwhile, other startups are making electric pickup trucks and SUVs, targeting the most lucrative segment of the auto market, where Tesla, GM and other giant auto companies are making moves.</p><p>Dunne says Rivian, which is expected to go public this year, is best poised to challenge established automakers.</p><p>\"Rivian is a quality organization top to bottom, with powerful backers, and an understanding from a design perspective of who their customer is — premium customers looking for off-road experiences with their SUVs and their trucks,\" he said.</p><p>Its R1T pickup truck is due to arrive in June, bankrolled by $8 billion in investments from the likes of <b>Amazon</b>, Fidelity and even Ford. A second EV, the R1S SUV, arrives in August.</p><p>Its technology may be key to gaining an edge over Tesla's Cybertruck and GM's electric Hummer truck. Rivian touts batteries that can endure the hottest and coldest places, deliver 400 miles on a charge, drive to a wading depth of three feet and provide towing capacity of up to 11,000 pounds. And Rivian's R1T, packed with 28 cameras and sensors, could be the first electric truck to offer highly autonomous driving on U.S. highways.</p><p>Fisker, meanwhile, will start production of its Ocean electric SUV in late 2022. It could get a technology boost from Apple supplier Foxconn, which is teaming up with Fisker to develop another EV.</p><p><b>Commercial EV Stocks</b></p><p>A hot subset of the EV market is for commercial vehicles, and investors will find some of the same names that play in other segments. Some stocks to watch include GM and Ford.</p><p>Nikola had planned its own electric pickup but lost GM as a manufacturing partner. Still, Nikola's Tre battery-electric semi-truck will begin deliveries in Q4.</p><p>That highlights the opportunity other EV stocks have in the market for commercial vehicles. Selling to large businesses may be the fastest way to recoup the steep costs of developing EVs.</p><p>Lordstown aims to start production of its Endurance electric pickup, which targets fleet operators, in September.</p><p>Electric cargo and shuttle vans for commercial customers also loom large. <b>Workhorse Group</b> and <b>Lightning eMotors</b> are developing electric vans.</p><p>Rivian is building delivery vans for Amazon that will launch this year. And Canoo's delivery van models will go into limited production in 2022.</p><p>But the upstarts are entering a competitive market. General Motors and Ford have new, all-electric delivery vans hitting the road in late 2021.</p><p><b>Legacy Automakers Becoming EV Stocks</b></p><p>Global auto companies like GM, Ford and Volkswagen are about to let loose a staggering electric-vehicle onslaught.</p><p>VW has a five-year spending plan of $86 billion, with plans for 70 fully electric vehicles by 2030. Ford more than doubled its investments in electric and autonomous vehicles to $29 billion through 2025. Its goal is to launch 16 fully electric cars by 2022, and sales of the new Mustang Mach-E have been strong so far.</p><p>GM plans to spend $27 billion, up from a prior target of $20 billion, and aims to launch 30 new EVs around the world by 2025 across its luxury and mass-market brands.</p><p>GM's transformation has drawn particular attention. \"We believe investors should prepare for a profound narrative change at GM put into action in 2021,\" <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> analyst Adam Jonas wrote in a January note.</p><p>That month, GM revealed a new and potentially disruptive EV business, called BrightDrop, focused on the delivery and logistics market.</p><p>But the linchpin of its EV strategy is the Ultium battery technology, which GM says will support a range of 450 miles on a single charge while reducing costs and weight. A next-generation Ultium platform is already in the works to extend the range to 600 miles.</p><p>\"We will seize every opportunity to drive growth, expand our markets and enter new ones,\" CEO Mary Barra said Feb. 10. \"Our Ultium platform is core to these initiatives. It is the foundation for our upcoming global family of EVs.\"</p><p><b>EV Battery And Charging Companies</b></p><p>Companies making vehicles aren't the only EV stocks for investors to watch. Other companies make car batteries and car charging stations. Among them are new IPO stocks <b>Blink Charging</b> and <b>QuantumScape</b> in 2020. <b>ChargePoint</b> debuted March 1. Rival EVgo will go public via blank-check firm <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLII.U\">Climate Change Crisis Real Impact I Acquisition Corp.</a></b> in Q2 under the ticker EVGO.</p><p>Meanwhile, <b>Hyliion</b> will start shipping its electric powertrain for big-rig trucks, with a claimed range of 1,000 miles. It's also developing powertrains that can be compatible with renewable natural gas and hydrogen fuel cells.</p><p><b>Romeo Power</b> makes battery packs for commercial EV fleets. Other names are Enovix and Microvast, which are coming public via SPAC mergers.</p><p>QuantumScape appears to have achieved a major breakthrough in developing solid-state lithium metal batteries. The batteries promise to be safer and cheaper, have a longer life span, charge faster and have more energy density than existing lithium ion batteries.</p><p>On Feb. 16, the Bill Gates- and Volkswagen-backed startup revealed it can produce multilayered battery cells. Its four-layer battery is still short of the 12 or so needed to be commercially viable. But the company is confident enough in its ability to make progress that it decided to build a \"pre-pilot\" production facility to make \"enough batteries for hundreds of long-range battery electric test vehicles per year\" by 2023.</p><p>\"The company has shown its battery cell can charge up to 80% of capacity in 15 minutes, which would be a 'game changer' if this scales at mass volumes,\" Wedbush analyst Dan Ives wrote in a recent note.</p><p><b>It's Not Just Tesla Stock</b></p><p>For now, Tesla stock is 30% below its intraday record, has given back all its gains so far this year, and is below the price when it debuted on the S&P 500. Its recent dive below the 50-day line was a sell signal, according to IBD Leaderboard.</p><p>But Ives, a prominent Tesla stock bull, said in a March 4 note that \"the EV party and transformation is just beginning,\" adding that a \"green tidal wave\" is on the horizon as EV adoption speeds up.</p><p>He also predicted the electric-vehicle industry could balloon to a $5 trillion market over the next decade. That's up from about $250 billion in 2020.</p><p>And that growth forecast also applies to the legacy auto giants, Ives wrote, pointing to the likes of GM and Ford \"jumping into the deep end of the pool on EVs.\"</p><p>In an interview Dec. 29, Ives suggested it's not just going to be Tesla's world. \"It's an ocean of opportunities,\" Ives told IBD. \"There's room for more than <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> boat.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Next Tesla May Emerge From This Explosion Of New EV Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Next Tesla May Emerge From This Explosion Of New EV Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Investors </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-03-05 20:28</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The stunning run of Tesla stock over the past year fueled investor demand for a wave of new EV stocks. The new names represent everything from companies that sell tens of thousands of electric cars a year to startups that have yet to deliver a single vehicle.</p><p>And more EV stocks are coming, if you loosen the meaning of the phrase. Legacy auto giants like <b>General Motors</b> and <b>Ford</b> are transforming into electric-vehicle companies and plan scores of new models. Battery developers and EV charging networks have seen a burst of enthusiasm for their shares as investors bet on a new era of transportation and green energy.</p><p>While EV stocks have pulled back from dizzying highs lately, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of them may be laying the technological groundwork right now to be the next <b>Tesla</b> or Nio stock.</p><p>But in the near term, investors in EV stocks should buckle up for a bumpy ride.</p><p>\"Nobody should expect anything but more volatility for the next year,\" said Michael Dunne, CEO of the auto consultancy ZoZo Go. \"That's how uncertain the future is with regard to EV startups.\"</p><p>Tesla's 2020 delivery total of nearly 500,000 electric vehicles set a high bar for challengers. Meanwhile, Tesla stock easily remains No. 1 by market cap in the auto industry, with a current value of $582 billion.</p><p><b>List Of New EV Stocks, Startups</b></p><table border=\"0\" width=\"100%\"><tbody><tr><td><b>Company</b></td><td><b>Symbol</b></td><td><b>Country</b></td><td><b>Electric vehicle exposure</b></td></tr><tr><td>Nio</td><td>NIO</td><td>China</td><td>SUVs, sedans</td></tr><tr><td>Xpeng</td><td>XPEV</td><td>China</td><td>SUVs, sedans</td></tr><tr><td>Li Auto</td><td>LI</td><td>China</td><td>SUVs</td></tr><tr><td>Nikola</td><td>NKLA</td><td>U.S.</td><td>Commercial trucks</td></tr><tr><td>Fisker</td><td>FSR</td><td>U.S.</td><td>SUVs</td></tr><tr><td>Canoo</td><td>GOEV</td><td>U.S.</td><td>Cars, minibuses, commercial vehicles</td></tr><tr><td>Lordstown</td><td>RIDE</td><td>U.S.</td><td>Pickup trucks for fleets</td></tr><tr><td>Rivian</td><td>not public yet</td><td>U.S.</td><td>Pickup trucks, SUVs, delivery vans</td></tr><tr><td>Faraday Future</td><td>PSAC/FFIE</td><td>U.S.</td><td>Luxury sedans</td></tr><tr><td>Lucid</td><td>CCIV/LCID</td><td>U.S.</td><td>Luxury sedans</td></tr><tr><td>Xos Trucks</td><td>NGAC/XOS</td><td>U.S.</td><td>Commercial trucks, batteries</td></tr><tr><td>QuantumScape</td><td>QS</td><td>U.S.</td><td>Batteries</td></tr><tr><td>Romeo Power</td><td>RMO</td><td>U.S.</td><td>Batteries</td></tr><tr><td>Hyliion</td><td>HYLN</td><td>U.S.</td><td>Commercial truck powertrains</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLNK\">Blink Charging</a></td><td>BLNK</td><td>U.S.</td><td>EV charging stations</td></tr><tr><td>ChargePoint</td><td>CHPT</td><td>U.S.</td><td>EV charging stations</td></tr><tr><td>EVgo</td><td>CLII/EVGO</td><td>U.S.</td><td>EV charging stations</td></tr></tbody></table><hr><p><b>Nio Stock Eyes AI Edge Over EV Rivals</b></p><p>Many EV startups lack any real sales or production. Not so for several Chinese companies that went public in the U.S. between 2018 and 2020 and are seeing growth soar.</p><p>One of them is Nio stock, which took off in March 2020. <b>Nio</b>'s combination of innovation and brand awareness is seen helping it stand out from rivals like <b>Xpeng Motors</b> and <b>Li Auto</b>.</p><p>Sales of Nio's premium electric SUVs climbed 113% in 2020 to 43,728. The EC6 crossover, which only went on sale in September, is already Nio's top seller. The EC6 now faces competition from Tesla's Model Y and soon <b>Volkswagen</b>'s ID.4, which launches in China in late March.</p><p>But Nio moved early and quickly to put artificial intelligence in its cars, analysts say. And a new Nio EV, the sleek ET7 sedan unveiled in January, is supposed to make the leap from advanced driver-assist systems (ADAS) to autonomous driving.</p><p>\"Nio pioneered this clean-sheet approach, where you're essentially building the software from the ground up, whether it's for entertainment, for AI, or for ADAS,\" said Deutsche Bank analyst Edison Yu.</p><p>But its biggest innovations go beyond the car itself. In 2020, Nio broke the norm with an option to buy electric cars without batteries, instead letting users rent the battery for a monthly fee.</p><p>Nio stock has come off highs reached in early January and is back below the 50-day line for the first time in nearly a year. Nio's mixed Q4 financial results and a warning that the global chip shortage will dent production sent shares down further. <i>(Is Nio stock a buy as the chip shortage weighs on its outlook?)</i></p><p><b>Other China EV Stocks To Watch</b></p><p>But Nio's rivals are preparing for more intense competition. Xpeng and Li Auto raised billions of dollars in late 2020 as they joined an arms race for capital vs. Nio and Tesla.</p><p>Xpeng sold 27,041 electric cars last year, up 112%. Xpeng sells the P7 sedan and G3 compact SUV. Like Tesla, Xpeng is expanding a network of supercharging stations across China. It's also even further along on autonomous EV technology, Yu says, though it lacks Nio's brand power.</p><p>After volume production began in late 2019, Li Auto delivered 32,624 units of its Li One electric SUV for all of 2020. In December, Goldman Sachs analysts said Li Auto was differentiating itself by \"envisioning and creating compelling EV consumer experiences — and showing a willingness to take on the risk of unconventional technologies and act innovatively.\"</p><p>While Tesla stock and Nio stock grab the attention among EV investors, the leader by sales volume in China is the less-well-known <b>BYD</b>. It sold 130,968 battery electric vehicles last year, down 11%, despite launching the Han sedan and Tang SUV. That number doesn't include the company's plug-in hybrids and other \"new energy vehicles.\" BYD has the distinction of counting Warren Buffett's <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b> as an investor.</p><p>Like Nio stock, Xpeng and Li Auto have come well off their highs along with other growth stocks. Meanwhile, GM stock, Ford stock and VW are doing better in 2021, though the new EV stocks are crushing the old guard from the start of 2020. In fact, Nio stock is up more than 1,700% from last year's low, while GM is up about 260% in the same period.</p><p><b>Early Days For U.S. EV Startups</b></p><p>Most of the U.S. EV startups that came public recently, or are about to go public, have done so via special purpose acquisition companies. But merging with a SPAC allows for less disclosure than a traditional IPO, meaning more potential risk for investors.</p><p>Unlike the Chinese EV stocks, the U.S. newcomers are still developing their vehicles. So it's too soon to tell which could emerge as a disrupter, says Deutsche Bank analyst Emmanuel Rosner.</p><p>\"They are mostly talking about a business model rather than actually producing vehicles,\" he added.</p><p>And yet Wall Street can't get enough of EV stocks. They include <b>Nikola</b>, <b>Fisker</b>, <b>Canoo</b> and <b>Lordstown</b>. Others, like Rivian, aren't public yet, while Lucid, Faraday Future, and Xos Trucks will debut after their blank-check deals close. In fact, Lucid's record blank-check deal values the company at $24 billion, while delivery of its first EV, the luxury Lucid Air sedan, won't happen until later this year.</p><p>For now, some of the EV stocks are aiming for niche markets rather than taking on the world.</p><p>Faraday's FF 91, which will cost $150,000 to $200,000, touts 11 screens and a \"spa mode\" where lights dim and fully reclined seats massage passengers. Meanwhile, Canoo specializes in cars, minibuses and commercial vehicles for rental and sharing services.</p><p>\"It's less about becoming the next Tesla and more about exploiting what they view as underserved markets,\" Rosner said.</p><p>But Faraday plans a commercial EV for last-mile deliveries in 2023 and two mass-market EVs by 2024. And Tesla started also at the high end of the EV market with its Roadster, which went on sale in 2006 for more than $100,000.</p><p>Most of the new EV stocks or shares of the shell company SPACs are slumping after initial spikes. But Fisker stock, after reporting a jump in reservations, has hit new highs.</p><p><b>Beyond Tesla Stock: Intense Competition In Electric Trucks</b></p><p>Meanwhile, other startups are making electric pickup trucks and SUVs, targeting the most lucrative segment of the auto market, where Tesla, GM and other giant auto companies are making moves.</p><p>Dunne says Rivian, which is expected to go public this year, is best poised to challenge established automakers.</p><p>\"Rivian is a quality organization top to bottom, with powerful backers, and an understanding from a design perspective of who their customer is — premium customers looking for off-road experiences with their SUVs and their trucks,\" he said.</p><p>Its R1T pickup truck is due to arrive in June, bankrolled by $8 billion in investments from the likes of <b>Amazon</b>, Fidelity and even Ford. A second EV, the R1S SUV, arrives in August.</p><p>Its technology may be key to gaining an edge over Tesla's Cybertruck and GM's electric Hummer truck. Rivian touts batteries that can endure the hottest and coldest places, deliver 400 miles on a charge, drive to a wading depth of three feet and provide towing capacity of up to 11,000 pounds. And Rivian's R1T, packed with 28 cameras and sensors, could be the first electric truck to offer highly autonomous driving on U.S. highways.</p><p>Fisker, meanwhile, will start production of its Ocean electric SUV in late 2022. It could get a technology boost from Apple supplier Foxconn, which is teaming up with Fisker to develop another EV.</p><p><b>Commercial EV Stocks</b></p><p>A hot subset of the EV market is for commercial vehicles, and investors will find some of the same names that play in other segments. Some stocks to watch include GM and Ford.</p><p>Nikola had planned its own electric pickup but lost GM as a manufacturing partner. Still, Nikola's Tre battery-electric semi-truck will begin deliveries in Q4.</p><p>That highlights the opportunity other EV stocks have in the market for commercial vehicles. Selling to large businesses may be the fastest way to recoup the steep costs of developing EVs.</p><p>Lordstown aims to start production of its Endurance electric pickup, which targets fleet operators, in September.</p><p>Electric cargo and shuttle vans for commercial customers also loom large. <b>Workhorse Group</b> and <b>Lightning eMotors</b> are developing electric vans.</p><p>Rivian is building delivery vans for Amazon that will launch this year. And Canoo's delivery van models will go into limited production in 2022.</p><p>But the upstarts are entering a competitive market. General Motors and Ford have new, all-electric delivery vans hitting the road in late 2021.</p><p><b>Legacy Automakers Becoming EV Stocks</b></p><p>Global auto companies like GM, Ford and Volkswagen are about to let loose a staggering electric-vehicle onslaught.</p><p>VW has a five-year spending plan of $86 billion, with plans for 70 fully electric vehicles by 2030. Ford more than doubled its investments in electric and autonomous vehicles to $29 billion through 2025. Its goal is to launch 16 fully electric cars by 2022, and sales of the new Mustang Mach-E have been strong so far.</p><p>GM plans to spend $27 billion, up from a prior target of $20 billion, and aims to launch 30 new EVs around the world by 2025 across its luxury and mass-market brands.</p><p>GM's transformation has drawn particular attention. \"We believe investors should prepare for a profound narrative change at GM put into action in 2021,\" <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> analyst Adam Jonas wrote in a January note.</p><p>That month, GM revealed a new and potentially disruptive EV business, called BrightDrop, focused on the delivery and logistics market.</p><p>But the linchpin of its EV strategy is the Ultium battery technology, which GM says will support a range of 450 miles on a single charge while reducing costs and weight. A next-generation Ultium platform is already in the works to extend the range to 600 miles.</p><p>\"We will seize every opportunity to drive growth, expand our markets and enter new ones,\" CEO Mary Barra said Feb. 10. \"Our Ultium platform is core to these initiatives. It is the foundation for our upcoming global family of EVs.\"</p><p><b>EV Battery And Charging Companies</b></p><p>Companies making vehicles aren't the only EV stocks for investors to watch. Other companies make car batteries and car charging stations. Among them are new IPO stocks <b>Blink Charging</b> and <b>QuantumScape</b> in 2020. <b>ChargePoint</b> debuted March 1. Rival EVgo will go public via blank-check firm <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLII.U\">Climate Change Crisis Real Impact I Acquisition Corp.</a></b> in Q2 under the ticker EVGO.</p><p>Meanwhile, <b>Hyliion</b> will start shipping its electric powertrain for big-rig trucks, with a claimed range of 1,000 miles. It's also developing powertrains that can be compatible with renewable natural gas and hydrogen fuel cells.</p><p><b>Romeo Power</b> makes battery packs for commercial EV fleets. Other names are Enovix and Microvast, which are coming public via SPAC mergers.</p><p>QuantumScape appears to have achieved a major breakthrough in developing solid-state lithium metal batteries. The batteries promise to be safer and cheaper, have a longer life span, charge faster and have more energy density than existing lithium ion batteries.</p><p>On Feb. 16, the Bill Gates- and Volkswagen-backed startup revealed it can produce multilayered battery cells. Its four-layer battery is still short of the 12 or so needed to be commercially viable. But the company is confident enough in its ability to make progress that it decided to build a \"pre-pilot\" production facility to make \"enough batteries for hundreds of long-range battery electric test vehicles per year\" by 2023.</p><p>\"The company has shown its battery cell can charge up to 80% of capacity in 15 minutes, which would be a 'game changer' if this scales at mass volumes,\" Wedbush analyst Dan Ives wrote in a recent note.</p><p><b>It's Not Just Tesla Stock</b></p><p>For now, Tesla stock is 30% below its intraday record, has given back all its gains so far this year, and is below the price when it debuted on the S&P 500. Its recent dive below the 50-day line was a sell signal, according to IBD Leaderboard.</p><p>But Ives, a prominent Tesla stock bull, said in a March 4 note that \"the EV party and transformation is just beginning,\" adding that a \"green tidal wave\" is on the horizon as EV adoption speeds up.</p><p>He also predicted the electric-vehicle industry could balloon to a $5 trillion market over the next decade. That's up from about $250 billion in 2020.</p><p>And that growth forecast also applies to the legacy auto giants, Ives wrote, pointing to the likes of GM and Ford \"jumping into the deep end of the pool on EVs.\"</p><p>In an interview Dec. 29, Ives suggested it's not just going to be Tesla's world. \"It's an ocean of opportunities,\" Ives told IBD. \"There's room for more than <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> boat.\"</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2117638933","content_text":"The stunning run of Tesla stock over the past year fueled investor demand for a wave of new EV stocks. The new names represent everything from companies that sell tens of thousands of electric cars a year to startups that have yet to deliver a single vehicle.And more EV stocks are coming, if you loosen the meaning of the phrase. Legacy auto giants like General Motors and Ford are transforming into electric-vehicle companies and plan scores of new models. Battery developers and EV charging networks have seen a burst of enthusiasm for their shares as investors bet on a new era of transportation and green energy.While EV stocks have pulled back from dizzying highs lately, one of them may be laying the technological groundwork right now to be the next Tesla or Nio stock.But in the near term, investors in EV stocks should buckle up for a bumpy ride.\"Nobody should expect anything but more volatility for the next year,\" said Michael Dunne, CEO of the auto consultancy ZoZo Go. \"That's how uncertain the future is with regard to EV startups.\"Tesla's 2020 delivery total of nearly 500,000 electric vehicles set a high bar for challengers. Meanwhile, Tesla stock easily remains No. 1 by market cap in the auto industry, with a current value of $582 billion.List Of New EV Stocks, StartupsCompanySymbolCountryElectric vehicle exposureNioNIOChinaSUVs, sedansXpengXPEVChinaSUVs, sedansLi AutoLIChinaSUVsNikolaNKLAU.S.Commercial trucksFiskerFSRU.S.SUVsCanooGOEVU.S.Cars, minibuses, commercial vehiclesLordstownRIDEU.S.Pickup trucks for fleetsRiviannot public yetU.S.Pickup trucks, SUVs, delivery vansFaraday FuturePSAC/FFIEU.S.Luxury sedansLucidCCIV/LCIDU.S.Luxury sedansXos TrucksNGAC/XOSU.S.Commercial trucks, batteriesQuantumScapeQSU.S.BatteriesRomeo PowerRMOU.S.BatteriesHyliionHYLNU.S.Commercial truck powertrainsBlink ChargingBLNKU.S.EV charging stationsChargePointCHPTU.S.EV charging stationsEVgoCLII/EVGOU.S.EV charging stationsNio Stock Eyes AI Edge Over EV RivalsMany EV startups lack any real sales or production. Not so for several Chinese companies that went public in the U.S. between 2018 and 2020 and are seeing growth soar.One of them is Nio stock, which took off in March 2020. Nio's combination of innovation and brand awareness is seen helping it stand out from rivals like Xpeng Motors and Li Auto.Sales of Nio's premium electric SUVs climbed 113% in 2020 to 43,728. The EC6 crossover, which only went on sale in September, is already Nio's top seller. The EC6 now faces competition from Tesla's Model Y and soon Volkswagen's ID.4, which launches in China in late March.But Nio moved early and quickly to put artificial intelligence in its cars, analysts say. And a new Nio EV, the sleek ET7 sedan unveiled in January, is supposed to make the leap from advanced driver-assist systems (ADAS) to autonomous driving.\"Nio pioneered this clean-sheet approach, where you're essentially building the software from the ground up, whether it's for entertainment, for AI, or for ADAS,\" said Deutsche Bank analyst Edison Yu.But its biggest innovations go beyond the car itself. In 2020, Nio broke the norm with an option to buy electric cars without batteries, instead letting users rent the battery for a monthly fee.Nio stock has come off highs reached in early January and is back below the 50-day line for the first time in nearly a year. Nio's mixed Q4 financial results and a warning that the global chip shortage will dent production sent shares down further. (Is Nio stock a buy as the chip shortage weighs on its outlook?)Other China EV Stocks To WatchBut Nio's rivals are preparing for more intense competition. Xpeng and Li Auto raised billions of dollars in late 2020 as they joined an arms race for capital vs. Nio and Tesla.Xpeng sold 27,041 electric cars last year, up 112%. Xpeng sells the P7 sedan and G3 compact SUV. Like Tesla, Xpeng is expanding a network of supercharging stations across China. It's also even further along on autonomous EV technology, Yu says, though it lacks Nio's brand power.After volume production began in late 2019, Li Auto delivered 32,624 units of its Li One electric SUV for all of 2020. In December, Goldman Sachs analysts said Li Auto was differentiating itself by \"envisioning and creating compelling EV consumer experiences — and showing a willingness to take on the risk of unconventional technologies and act innovatively.\"While Tesla stock and Nio stock grab the attention among EV investors, the leader by sales volume in China is the less-well-known BYD. It sold 130,968 battery electric vehicles last year, down 11%, despite launching the Han sedan and Tang SUV. That number doesn't include the company's plug-in hybrids and other \"new energy vehicles.\" BYD has the distinction of counting Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway as an investor.Like Nio stock, Xpeng and Li Auto have come well off their highs along with other growth stocks. Meanwhile, GM stock, Ford stock and VW are doing better in 2021, though the new EV stocks are crushing the old guard from the start of 2020. In fact, Nio stock is up more than 1,700% from last year's low, while GM is up about 260% in the same period.Early Days For U.S. EV StartupsMost of the U.S. EV startups that came public recently, or are about to go public, have done so via special purpose acquisition companies. But merging with a SPAC allows for less disclosure than a traditional IPO, meaning more potential risk for investors.Unlike the Chinese EV stocks, the U.S. newcomers are still developing their vehicles. So it's too soon to tell which could emerge as a disrupter, says Deutsche Bank analyst Emmanuel Rosner.\"They are mostly talking about a business model rather than actually producing vehicles,\" he added.And yet Wall Street can't get enough of EV stocks. They include Nikola, Fisker, Canoo and Lordstown. Others, like Rivian, aren't public yet, while Lucid, Faraday Future, and Xos Trucks will debut after their blank-check deals close. In fact, Lucid's record blank-check deal values the company at $24 billion, while delivery of its first EV, the luxury Lucid Air sedan, won't happen until later this year.For now, some of the EV stocks are aiming for niche markets rather than taking on the world.Faraday's FF 91, which will cost $150,000 to $200,000, touts 11 screens and a \"spa mode\" where lights dim and fully reclined seats massage passengers. Meanwhile, Canoo specializes in cars, minibuses and commercial vehicles for rental and sharing services.\"It's less about becoming the next Tesla and more about exploiting what they view as underserved markets,\" Rosner said.But Faraday plans a commercial EV for last-mile deliveries in 2023 and two mass-market EVs by 2024. And Tesla started also at the high end of the EV market with its Roadster, which went on sale in 2006 for more than $100,000.Most of the new EV stocks or shares of the shell company SPACs are slumping after initial spikes. But Fisker stock, after reporting a jump in reservations, has hit new highs.Beyond Tesla Stock: Intense Competition In Electric TrucksMeanwhile, other startups are making electric pickup trucks and SUVs, targeting the most lucrative segment of the auto market, where Tesla, GM and other giant auto companies are making moves.Dunne says Rivian, which is expected to go public this year, is best poised to challenge established automakers.\"Rivian is a quality organization top to bottom, with powerful backers, and an understanding from a design perspective of who their customer is — premium customers looking for off-road experiences with their SUVs and their trucks,\" he said.Its R1T pickup truck is due to arrive in June, bankrolled by $8 billion in investments from the likes of Amazon, Fidelity and even Ford. A second EV, the R1S SUV, arrives in August.Its technology may be key to gaining an edge over Tesla's Cybertruck and GM's electric Hummer truck. Rivian touts batteries that can endure the hottest and coldest places, deliver 400 miles on a charge, drive to a wading depth of three feet and provide towing capacity of up to 11,000 pounds. And Rivian's R1T, packed with 28 cameras and sensors, could be the first electric truck to offer highly autonomous driving on U.S. highways.Fisker, meanwhile, will start production of its Ocean electric SUV in late 2022. It could get a technology boost from Apple supplier Foxconn, which is teaming up with Fisker to develop another EV.Commercial EV StocksA hot subset of the EV market is for commercial vehicles, and investors will find some of the same names that play in other segments. Some stocks to watch include GM and Ford.Nikola had planned its own electric pickup but lost GM as a manufacturing partner. Still, Nikola's Tre battery-electric semi-truck will begin deliveries in Q4.That highlights the opportunity other EV stocks have in the market for commercial vehicles. Selling to large businesses may be the fastest way to recoup the steep costs of developing EVs.Lordstown aims to start production of its Endurance electric pickup, which targets fleet operators, in September.Electric cargo and shuttle vans for commercial customers also loom large. Workhorse Group and Lightning eMotors are developing electric vans.Rivian is building delivery vans for Amazon that will launch this year. And Canoo's delivery van models will go into limited production in 2022.But the upstarts are entering a competitive market. General Motors and Ford have new, all-electric delivery vans hitting the road in late 2021.Legacy Automakers Becoming EV StocksGlobal auto companies like GM, Ford and Volkswagen are about to let loose a staggering electric-vehicle onslaught.VW has a five-year spending plan of $86 billion, with plans for 70 fully electric vehicles by 2030. Ford more than doubled its investments in electric and autonomous vehicles to $29 billion through 2025. Its goal is to launch 16 fully electric cars by 2022, and sales of the new Mustang Mach-E have been strong so far.GM plans to spend $27 billion, up from a prior target of $20 billion, and aims to launch 30 new EVs around the world by 2025 across its luxury and mass-market brands.GM's transformation has drawn particular attention. \"We believe investors should prepare for a profound narrative change at GM put into action in 2021,\" Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas wrote in a January note.That month, GM revealed a new and potentially disruptive EV business, called BrightDrop, focused on the delivery and logistics market.But the linchpin of its EV strategy is the Ultium battery technology, which GM says will support a range of 450 miles on a single charge while reducing costs and weight. A next-generation Ultium platform is already in the works to extend the range to 600 miles.\"We will seize every opportunity to drive growth, expand our markets and enter new ones,\" CEO Mary Barra said Feb. 10. \"Our Ultium platform is core to these initiatives. It is the foundation for our upcoming global family of EVs.\"EV Battery And Charging CompaniesCompanies making vehicles aren't the only EV stocks for investors to watch. Other companies make car batteries and car charging stations. Among them are new IPO stocks Blink Charging and QuantumScape in 2020. ChargePoint debuted March 1. Rival EVgo will go public via blank-check firm Climate Change Crisis Real Impact I Acquisition Corp. in Q2 under the ticker EVGO.Meanwhile, Hyliion will start shipping its electric powertrain for big-rig trucks, with a claimed range of 1,000 miles. It's also developing powertrains that can be compatible with renewable natural gas and hydrogen fuel cells.Romeo Power makes battery packs for commercial EV fleets. Other names are Enovix and Microvast, which are coming public via SPAC mergers.QuantumScape appears to have achieved a major breakthrough in developing solid-state lithium metal batteries. The batteries promise to be safer and cheaper, have a longer life span, charge faster and have more energy density than existing lithium ion batteries.On Feb. 16, the Bill Gates- and Volkswagen-backed startup revealed it can produce multilayered battery cells. Its four-layer battery is still short of the 12 or so needed to be commercially viable. But the company is confident enough in its ability to make progress that it decided to build a \"pre-pilot\" production facility to make \"enough batteries for hundreds of long-range battery electric test vehicles per year\" by 2023.\"The company has shown its battery cell can charge up to 80% of capacity in 15 minutes, which would be a 'game changer' if this scales at mass volumes,\" Wedbush analyst Dan Ives wrote in a recent note.It's Not Just Tesla StockFor now, Tesla stock is 30% below its intraday record, has given back all its gains so far this year, and is below the price when it debuted on the S&P 500. Its recent dive below the 50-day line was a sell signal, according to IBD Leaderboard.But Ives, a prominent Tesla stock bull, said in a March 4 note that \"the EV party and transformation is just beginning,\" adding that a \"green tidal wave\" is on the horizon as EV adoption speeds up.He also predicted the electric-vehicle industry could balloon to a $5 trillion market over the next decade. That's up from about $250 billion in 2020.And that growth forecast also applies to the legacy auto giants, Ives wrote, pointing to the likes of GM and Ford \"jumping into the deep end of the pool on EVs.\"In an interview Dec. 29, Ives suggested it's not just going to be Tesla's world. \"It's an ocean of opportunities,\" Ives told IBD. \"There's room for more than one boat.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1244,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362133793,"gmtCreate":1614605608012,"gmtModify":1703478750982,"author":{"id":"3560823032838358","authorId":"3560823032838358","name":"enaid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/018156b10d9c4e41384c29654321846a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560823032838358","authorIdStr":"3560823032838358"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yay","listText":"yay","text":"yay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362133793","repostId":"1105841550","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105841550","pubTimestamp":1614600153,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105841550?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-01 20:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"'Build Me An Ark': The Tsunami Of Risk Of Tesla-Bitcoin-Cathie Wood Is Coming","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105841550","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Summary:\n\n In today's equity update we are following up on our\n analysis of the Tesla-Bitcoin-Ark ri","content":"<p><u><b>Summary:</b></u></p>\n<blockquote>\n In today's equity update we are following up on our\n <b>analysis of the Tesla-Bitcoin-Ark risk cluster</b>showing an updated positions analysis, cross-correlations in the flagship Ark Innovation ETF, and an drawdown analysis. Yesterday, was another bad session for this risk cluster and Ark Invest had a day with outflows across all their ETFs highlighting that risk sentiment has changed. With the founder's bold move to increase the position in Tesla during the week the risk has gone up that this risk cluster could turn into an ugly forced selling dynamic causing pain in not only Tesla, Bitcoin, and Ark funds, but also US biotechnology stocks where Ark Invest is a major holder with high ownership in selected names.\n</blockquote>\n<p>A little over a month ago we first flagged the Tesla-Bitcoin-Ark risk cluster as something to take note off as short-term correlation between Tesla and Bitcoin was shooting up. A survey from Charles Schwab also confirmed our suspicion that there is a big overlap as these two instruments are among the top five holdings by millennials. Our analysis quickly led us to Ark Invest with its famous Ark Innovation ETF which had a big position in Tesla and its charismatic founder Cathie Wood is a big believer in the so-called disruptive innovation culture of Silicon Valley. This class of people believe firmly in technology as mainly good for society in all its aspects and that Bitcoin is a protection against future wealth confiscation which is most likely inevitable due to historically high wealth inequality.</p>\n<p>This disruptive innovation culture is powerful. It is presented by some of the wealthiest people of this planet. Endless presentation about innovation and institutions like the Singularity University promote these views. Behind Bitcoin you find a huge online marketing machine sucking ordinary people into the game. Recently wealthy people such as Elon Musk has openly supported Bitcoin, first in writing and later in action adding $1.5bn to Tesla’s balance sheet and thereby significantly increasing its earnings volatility. The triangle of Tesla-Bitcoin-Ark and their respective momentum has reinforced each other creating a positive feedback loop luring more investors into these instruments. As we have seen this week the ‘tower of risk’ is beginning to show cracks.</p>\n<p><b>Ark position update and Cathie Wood’s bold move and the risk to biotechnology</b></p>\n<p>This week Tesla-Bitcoin-Ark all came under pressure from negative voices in governments over Bitcoin and beginning noise over real competition for Tesla in the coming years. The risk cluster was clearly moving together, and correlations started rising. On Tuesday, volatility picked up across the board and at one point Cathie Wood felt it was necessary to go public supporting her funds and said that she had increased their position in Tesla using big numbers in the future to justify increasing the risk. This is a bold move, but it increases the risk considerably. When you are at risk of seeing sizeable outflows, you should start reducing the most illiquid positions first while you can control the situation. Because if you are forced to do it by redemptions the game changes dramatically.</p>\n<p>The tables below show updated Ark Invest positions as of yesterday’s close. There are still 26 stocks where Ark Invest holds more than 10% of the outstanding shares. This could become a serious problem if Ark Invest is suddenly caught in a negative feedback loop together with Tesla and Bitcoin. But also note how US biotechnology stocks are overrepresented in this list of stocks with high ownership in percentage of outstanding shares. If Ark Invest suddenly experience across the board outflows, like it did yesterday, then they can suddenly be the forced seller in US biotechnology stocks where they are the whale. This could cascade into the overall US biotechnology segment although the group is diverse.</p>\n<p><i>Stocks held by Ark Invest funds with combined ownership above 10% of outstanding shares</i></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97684f80243d32efc06f3379d51d4fb\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"353\">Source: Ark Invest, Bloomberg, and Saxo Group</p>\n<p>The table below shows the largest positions across all funds. Here Tesla has now jumped to 7% of AUM and the first five positions now account for 21.6% of AUM. The five biggest stocks are Tesla, Teladoc Health, Square, Roku, and Baidu. Square just recently reported disappointing Q4 earnings and announced the purchase of $170mn of Bitcoin increasing the risk and feedback loop further in this risk cluster. In the Ark Innovation ETF itself, Tesla is now 10.2% of assets and together with Roku (6%) and Square (5.4%) these three stocks represent 21.6% of assets. If you look at the 10 largest positions in the Ark Innovation ETF then the red thread is that they all come with very high equity valuations and thus low implied equity risk premiums. They are all also mostly equity financed, except for Tesla, which means that the WACC, cost of capital, predominantly come from the cost of equity. With low implied equity risk premiums, the risk-free rate dominates much more than for a company such as say Microsoft or Apple. This means that the rising interest rates could suddenly cause a huge shift in equity valuations. Not because the future is different but because the cost of capital has changed.</p>\n<p><i>Top positions in terms of Ark Invest AUM across all funds</i></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e06fcb66d5a52e629b48c9cab492586\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"302\">Source: Ark Invest, Bloomberg, and Saxo Group</p>\n<p><u><b>Correlations on the rise and drawdown outlier</b></u></p>\n<p>The best sign of risk going haywire is always fast rising cross-correlations whether it is on asset classes or single stocks. The chart below shows the 10-day moving cross-correlation in the Ark Innovation ETF since early 2020. It has recently moved to around 0.6 and while it is not a new record the direction is up and has been fast coming from only 0.2 from a few weeks ago. The next week will be critical for the Tesla-Bitcoin-Ark risk cluster as negative feedback loops can be violent and very unpredictable in their outcome.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab96aaafda10c2371b1d3a1a14c4a48a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"280\"><i>Source: Bloomberg and Saxo Group</i></p>\n<p>Another way of looking at risk is by plotting Ark Innovation ETF drawdowns against that of Nasdaq 100 since December 2015.<b>The ETF has typically experienced a drawdown that is 1.22 times larger than that of Nasdaq 100</b>. As of yesterday, the ratio stands at 2.44 and thus illustrates that something idiosyncratic is taking place at Ark Innovation ETF.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80db26e42e2910071718ff22a1ff3f2b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"308\"><b>If outflows continue today and Tesla comes under pressure again then this indicator could very well hit a new record in terms of being an outlier signaling a negative feedback loop on risk has started.</b></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>'Build Me An Ark': The Tsunami Of Risk Of Tesla-Bitcoin-Cathie Wood Is Coming</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n'Build Me An Ark': The Tsunami Of Risk Of Tesla-Bitcoin-Cathie Wood Is Coming\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-01 20:02 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/build-me-ark-tsunami-risk-tesla-bitcoin-cathie-wood-coming><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary:\n\n In today's equity update we are following up on our\n analysis of the Tesla-Bitcoin-Ark risk clustershowing an updated positions analysis, cross-correlations in the flagship Ark Innovation ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/build-me-ark-tsunami-risk-tesla-bitcoin-cathie-wood-coming\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF","GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust","ARKR":"Ark Restaurants Corp","ARKQ":"ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF","TSLA":"特斯拉","ARKF":"ARK Fintech Innovation ETF","ARKW":"ARK Next Generation Internation ETF","ARKG":"ARK Genomic Revolution ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/build-me-ark-tsunami-risk-tesla-bitcoin-cathie-wood-coming","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105841550","content_text":"Summary:\n\n In today's equity update we are following up on our\n analysis of the Tesla-Bitcoin-Ark risk clustershowing an updated positions analysis, cross-correlations in the flagship Ark Innovation ETF, and an drawdown analysis. Yesterday, was another bad session for this risk cluster and Ark Invest had a day with outflows across all their ETFs highlighting that risk sentiment has changed. With the founder's bold move to increase the position in Tesla during the week the risk has gone up that this risk cluster could turn into an ugly forced selling dynamic causing pain in not only Tesla, Bitcoin, and Ark funds, but also US biotechnology stocks where Ark Invest is a major holder with high ownership in selected names.\n\nA little over a month ago we first flagged the Tesla-Bitcoin-Ark risk cluster as something to take note off as short-term correlation between Tesla and Bitcoin was shooting up. A survey from Charles Schwab also confirmed our suspicion that there is a big overlap as these two instruments are among the top five holdings by millennials. Our analysis quickly led us to Ark Invest with its famous Ark Innovation ETF which had a big position in Tesla and its charismatic founder Cathie Wood is a big believer in the so-called disruptive innovation culture of Silicon Valley. This class of people believe firmly in technology as mainly good for society in all its aspects and that Bitcoin is a protection against future wealth confiscation which is most likely inevitable due to historically high wealth inequality.\nThis disruptive innovation culture is powerful. It is presented by some of the wealthiest people of this planet. Endless presentation about innovation and institutions like the Singularity University promote these views. Behind Bitcoin you find a huge online marketing machine sucking ordinary people into the game. Recently wealthy people such as Elon Musk has openly supported Bitcoin, first in writing and later in action adding $1.5bn to Tesla’s balance sheet and thereby significantly increasing its earnings volatility. The triangle of Tesla-Bitcoin-Ark and their respective momentum has reinforced each other creating a positive feedback loop luring more investors into these instruments. As we have seen this week the ‘tower of risk’ is beginning to show cracks.\nArk position update and Cathie Wood’s bold move and the risk to biotechnology\nThis week Tesla-Bitcoin-Ark all came under pressure from negative voices in governments over Bitcoin and beginning noise over real competition for Tesla in the coming years. The risk cluster was clearly moving together, and correlations started rising. On Tuesday, volatility picked up across the board and at one point Cathie Wood felt it was necessary to go public supporting her funds and said that she had increased their position in Tesla using big numbers in the future to justify increasing the risk. This is a bold move, but it increases the risk considerably. When you are at risk of seeing sizeable outflows, you should start reducing the most illiquid positions first while you can control the situation. Because if you are forced to do it by redemptions the game changes dramatically.\nThe tables below show updated Ark Invest positions as of yesterday’s close. There are still 26 stocks where Ark Invest holds more than 10% of the outstanding shares. This could become a serious problem if Ark Invest is suddenly caught in a negative feedback loop together with Tesla and Bitcoin. But also note how US biotechnology stocks are overrepresented in this list of stocks with high ownership in percentage of outstanding shares. If Ark Invest suddenly experience across the board outflows, like it did yesterday, then they can suddenly be the forced seller in US biotechnology stocks where they are the whale. This could cascade into the overall US biotechnology segment although the group is diverse.\nStocks held by Ark Invest funds with combined ownership above 10% of outstanding shares\nSource: Ark Invest, Bloomberg, and Saxo Group\nThe table below shows the largest positions across all funds. Here Tesla has now jumped to 7% of AUM and the first five positions now account for 21.6% of AUM. The five biggest stocks are Tesla, Teladoc Health, Square, Roku, and Baidu. Square just recently reported disappointing Q4 earnings and announced the purchase of $170mn of Bitcoin increasing the risk and feedback loop further in this risk cluster. In the Ark Innovation ETF itself, Tesla is now 10.2% of assets and together with Roku (6%) and Square (5.4%) these three stocks represent 21.6% of assets. If you look at the 10 largest positions in the Ark Innovation ETF then the red thread is that they all come with very high equity valuations and thus low implied equity risk premiums. They are all also mostly equity financed, except for Tesla, which means that the WACC, cost of capital, predominantly come from the cost of equity. With low implied equity risk premiums, the risk-free rate dominates much more than for a company such as say Microsoft or Apple. This means that the rising interest rates could suddenly cause a huge shift in equity valuations. Not because the future is different but because the cost of capital has changed.\nTop positions in terms of Ark Invest AUM across all funds\nSource: Ark Invest, Bloomberg, and Saxo Group\nCorrelations on the rise and drawdown outlier\nThe best sign of risk going haywire is always fast rising cross-correlations whether it is on asset classes or single stocks. The chart below shows the 10-day moving cross-correlation in the Ark Innovation ETF since early 2020. It has recently moved to around 0.6 and while it is not a new record the direction is up and has been fast coming from only 0.2 from a few weeks ago. The next week will be critical for the Tesla-Bitcoin-Ark risk cluster as negative feedback loops can be violent and very unpredictable in their outcome.\nSource: Bloomberg and Saxo Group\nAnother way of looking at risk is by plotting Ark Innovation ETF drawdowns against that of Nasdaq 100 since December 2015.The ETF has typically experienced a drawdown that is 1.22 times larger than that of Nasdaq 100. As of yesterday, the ratio stands at 2.44 and thus illustrates that something idiosyncratic is taking place at Ark Innovation ETF.\nIf outflows continue today and Tesla comes under pressure again then this indicator could very well hit a new record in terms of being an outlier signaling a negative feedback loop on risk has started.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":188,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":384391551,"gmtCreate":1613612297573,"gmtModify":1634552951445,"author":{"id":"3560823032838358","authorId":"3560823032838358","name":"enaid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/018156b10d9c4e41384c29654321846a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560823032838358","authorIdStr":"3560823032838358"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"MA play catch up!","listText":"MA play catch up!","text":"MA play catch up!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/384391551","repostId":"1109567373","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":275,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":386028846,"gmtCreate":1613116337885,"gmtModify":1634554467977,"author":{"id":"3560823032838358","authorId":"3560823032838358","name":"enaid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/018156b10d9c4e41384c29654321846a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560823032838358","authorIdStr":"3560823032838358"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"crypto ftw","listText":"crypto ftw","text":"crypto ftw","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/386028846","repostId":"1179092967","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179092967","pubTimestamp":1613100617,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179092967?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-12 11:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Not Just Tesla: Why Big Companies are Buying into Crypto-Mania","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179092967","media":"barrons","summary":"For months, there has beena consistent trickle of newsabout mainstream businesses getting involved in cryptocurrencies. In the past week, it has turned into a flood, helping to push the price of Bitcoin to a record of $48,297 on Thursday.The most buzzworthy move came from Tesla , which disclosed on Monday that it hasbought $1.5 billion worth of Bitcointo hold on its balance sheet. The company plans to let consumers use the currency to pay for cars.Mastercard said on Wednesday that it will let m","content":"<p>For months, there has beena consistent trickle of newsabout mainstream businesses getting involved in cryptocurrencies. In the past week, it has turned into a flood, helping to push the price of Bitcoin to a record of $48,297 on Thursday.</p><p>The most buzzworthy move came from Tesla (ticker: TSLA), which disclosed on Monday that it hasbought $1.5 billion worth of Bitcointo hold on its balance sheet. The company plans to let consumers use the currency to pay for cars.</p><p>But Tesla isn’t the only one. On Thursday, BNY Mellon (BK), the oldest bank in the U.S.,said it will hold and transfer cryptocurrencies for customers. “Growing client demand for digital assets, maturity of advanced solutions, and improving regulatory clarity present a tremendous opportunity for us to extend our current service offerings to this emerging field,” said Roman Regelman, the bank’s CEO of asset servicing and head of digital.</p><p>Mastercard (MA) said on Wednesday that it will let merchants accept some cryptocurrencies through its network later this year. The payments will be converted to traditional money before it enters the companies’ systems.Twitter(TWTR) is also considering a Bitcoin investment. And Square (SQ) has already put some on its balance sheet, as well as given users of its Cash App access to buy the cryptocurrency.</p><p>Why is this happening now? Cryptocurrencies are still not particularly useful outside of a very few cases, such as cross-border transactions. Even there, they haven’t fully taken hold.</p><p>There are at least four big reasons corporations are diving in.</p><p>One is that some company founders believe in Bitcoin. Their excitement about the asset has convinced them that their companies need to be involved, or have cryptocurrency investments, even if Bitcoin isn’t really the core of their operations. That appears to be the case for Tesla and its CEO Elon Musk, and for a software company calledMicrostrategyand its CEO, Michael Saylor.</p><p>Microstrategy, whose entire market capitalization was below $1 billion early last year, now owns more than $2 billion of Bitcoin, and its market cap is now just under $10 billion. Saylor told<i>Barron’s</i> in an interview last yearthat he sees Bitcoin as a hedge against monetary debasement and inflation.</p><p>Square CEO Jack Dorsey ‘s fascination with Bitcoin also likely sped Square’s adoption. He has spoken about his interest in the currency for years.</p><p>Tesla’s purchase of Bitcoin is strong marketing for the company and the currency, said Dan Morehead, founder of the crypto hedge fund Pantera Capital. But it won’t likely change the way Bitcoin is used. “Tesla sells a half a million cars a year,” he said. “If they sold 4% in Bitcoin, I’d be surprised.” Morehead thinks Bitoin’s growing use for cross-border payments is much more exciting from a practical perspective.</p><p>Other companies are getting into Bitcoin because of customer demand. That appears to be the case for BNY Mellon, which is not known for making risky bets on new technologies. It could stay out of the industry altogether, but more institutional investors are buying Bitcoin and need somewhere to put it.</p><p>And the infrastructure around Bitcoin has grown, so that it now more closely resembles the systems used in the rest of the world of finance.. Big companies now insure cryptocurrencies or—as in the case ofJPMorgan Chase(JPM)—offer services to cryptocurrency businesses, even if most still don’t hold Bitcoin on their own balance sheets.</p><p>A third reason is increasing government acceptance of the trend. BNY cited greater regulatory clarity around Bitcoin as one reason it is diving in. The U.S. government has taken a mostly laissez-faire approach to regulating digital assets even as many of the illegal activities that cryptocurrency has been associated with in the past have continued. Without at least the tacit approval of regulators, crypto couldn’t have landed on the balance sheets of so many companies.</p><p>A fourth reason cryptocurrencies are gaining hold in corporate boardrooms is that they serve multiple purposes. That gives corporations several different rationales to hold the coins, or offer related services. Cryptocurrencies have the potential to go well beyond Bitcoin’s initial premise as a way to send money without financial intermediaries. So-called stablecoins, whose value is meant to track fiat currencies, could allow for faster transactions for some kinds of financial services, for instance.</p><p>Visa(V) andMasterCardseem like the last places in the world that Bitcoin would take hold given that Bitcoin was created to eliminate the middlemen in finance. Few companies fill the role of middleman as perfectly as the credit-card processors. Visa, however, thinks that cryptocurrencies are useful for many other purposes, and its trusted brand makes it an important player, according to Cuy Sheffield, head of crypto at the company.</p><p>“We’ve seen growing demand from clients across the world that want to be able to plug in and use these networks, but they want a global, neutral, trusted brand, to help them be able to do that,” Sheffield said in an interview. Visa said last week it has created software that allows bank customers to buy and hold cryptocurrencies through lenders’ websites.</p><p>Will old-line financial companies be the biggest beneficiaries of the crypto “revolution”? Michael Venuto, the chief investment officer of Toroso Investments, doesn’t think it will be easy for them to dominate this new world. Toroso created theAmplify Transformational Data SharingETF (ticker: BLOK), which invests in public companies involved in the technology behind Bitcoin.</p><p>“In terms of the self-referenced paradox of the old economy accepting the blockchain, it is simply inevitable,” Venuto wrote in an email to<i>Barron’s</i>. “If they don’t explore the blockchain they will be extinct. They understand that, but they are not aware of how big the changes will be or how fast they will happen. They have to evolve, but evolution can be messy.”</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Not Just Tesla: Why Big Companies are Buying into Crypto-Mania</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNot Just Tesla: Why Big Companies are Buying into Crypto-Mania\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-02-12 11:30 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/not-just-tesla-why-big-companies-are-buying-into-crypto-mania-51613069805?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_1><strong>barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>For months, there has beena consistent trickle of newsabout mainstream businesses getting involved in cryptocurrencies. In the past week, it has turned into a flood, helping to push the price of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/not-just-tesla-why-big-companies-are-buying-into-crypto-mania-51613069805?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/414360f2ef7b5c785cb936b4a9b53a44","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/not-just-tesla-why-big-companies-are-buying-into-crypto-mania-51613069805?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179092967","content_text":"For months, there has beena consistent trickle of newsabout mainstream businesses getting involved in cryptocurrencies. In the past week, it has turned into a flood, helping to push the price of Bitcoin to a record of $48,297 on Thursday.The most buzzworthy move came from Tesla (ticker: TSLA), which disclosed on Monday that it hasbought $1.5 billion worth of Bitcointo hold on its balance sheet. The company plans to let consumers use the currency to pay for cars.But Tesla isn’t the only one. On Thursday, BNY Mellon (BK), the oldest bank in the U.S.,said it will hold and transfer cryptocurrencies for customers. “Growing client demand for digital assets, maturity of advanced solutions, and improving regulatory clarity present a tremendous opportunity for us to extend our current service offerings to this emerging field,” said Roman Regelman, the bank’s CEO of asset servicing and head of digital.Mastercard (MA) said on Wednesday that it will let merchants accept some cryptocurrencies through its network later this year. The payments will be converted to traditional money before it enters the companies’ systems.Twitter(TWTR) is also considering a Bitcoin investment. And Square (SQ) has already put some on its balance sheet, as well as given users of its Cash App access to buy the cryptocurrency.Why is this happening now? Cryptocurrencies are still not particularly useful outside of a very few cases, such as cross-border transactions. Even there, they haven’t fully taken hold.There are at least four big reasons corporations are diving in.One is that some company founders believe in Bitcoin. Their excitement about the asset has convinced them that their companies need to be involved, or have cryptocurrency investments, even if Bitcoin isn’t really the core of their operations. That appears to be the case for Tesla and its CEO Elon Musk, and for a software company calledMicrostrategyand its CEO, Michael Saylor.Microstrategy, whose entire market capitalization was below $1 billion early last year, now owns more than $2 billion of Bitcoin, and its market cap is now just under $10 billion. Saylor toldBarron’s in an interview last yearthat he sees Bitcoin as a hedge against monetary debasement and inflation.Square CEO Jack Dorsey ‘s fascination with Bitcoin also likely sped Square’s adoption. He has spoken about his interest in the currency for years.Tesla’s purchase of Bitcoin is strong marketing for the company and the currency, said Dan Morehead, founder of the crypto hedge fund Pantera Capital. But it won’t likely change the way Bitcoin is used. “Tesla sells a half a million cars a year,” he said. “If they sold 4% in Bitcoin, I’d be surprised.” Morehead thinks Bitoin’s growing use for cross-border payments is much more exciting from a practical perspective.Other companies are getting into Bitcoin because of customer demand. That appears to be the case for BNY Mellon, which is not known for making risky bets on new technologies. It could stay out of the industry altogether, but more institutional investors are buying Bitcoin and need somewhere to put it.And the infrastructure around Bitcoin has grown, so that it now more closely resembles the systems used in the rest of the world of finance.. Big companies now insure cryptocurrencies or—as in the case ofJPMorgan Chase(JPM)—offer services to cryptocurrency businesses, even if most still don’t hold Bitcoin on their own balance sheets.A third reason is increasing government acceptance of the trend. BNY cited greater regulatory clarity around Bitcoin as one reason it is diving in. The U.S. government has taken a mostly laissez-faire approach to regulating digital assets even as many of the illegal activities that cryptocurrency has been associated with in the past have continued. Without at least the tacit approval of regulators, crypto couldn’t have landed on the balance sheets of so many companies.A fourth reason cryptocurrencies are gaining hold in corporate boardrooms is that they serve multiple purposes. That gives corporations several different rationales to hold the coins, or offer related services. Cryptocurrencies have the potential to go well beyond Bitcoin’s initial premise as a way to send money without financial intermediaries. So-called stablecoins, whose value is meant to track fiat currencies, could allow for faster transactions for some kinds of financial services, for instance.Visa(V) andMasterCardseem like the last places in the world that Bitcoin would take hold given that Bitcoin was created to eliminate the middlemen in finance. Few companies fill the role of middleman as perfectly as the credit-card processors. Visa, however, thinks that cryptocurrencies are useful for many other purposes, and its trusted brand makes it an important player, according to Cuy Sheffield, head of crypto at the company.“We’ve seen growing demand from clients across the world that want to be able to plug in and use these networks, but they want a global, neutral, trusted brand, to help them be able to do that,” Sheffield said in an interview. Visa said last week it has created software that allows bank customers to buy and hold cryptocurrencies through lenders’ websites.Will old-line financial companies be the biggest beneficiaries of the crypto “revolution”? Michael Venuto, the chief investment officer of Toroso Investments, doesn’t think it will be easy for them to dominate this new world. Toroso created theAmplify Transformational Data SharingETF (ticker: BLOK), which invests in public companies involved in the technology behind Bitcoin.“In terms of the self-referenced paradox of the old economy accepting the blockchain, it is simply inevitable,” Venuto wrote in an email toBarron’s. “If they don’t explore the blockchain they will be extinct. They understand that, but they are not aware of how big the changes will be or how fast they will happen. They have to evolve, but evolution can be messy.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":236,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":389397551,"gmtCreate":1612681027873,"gmtModify":1703764272644,"author":{"id":"3560823032838358","authorId":"3560823032838358","name":"enaid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/018156b10d9c4e41384c29654321846a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560823032838358","authorIdStr":"3560823032838358"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"boring","listText":"boring","text":"boring","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/389397551","repostId":"2109727286","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":320467495,"gmtCreate":1615169193817,"gmtModify":1703485122730,"author":{"id":"3560823032838358","authorId":"3560823032838358","name":"enaid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/018156b10d9c4e41384c29654321846a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560823032838358","authorIdStr":"3560823032838358"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"great sharing","listText":"great sharing","text":"great sharing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":66,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320467495","repostId":"2117638933","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1244,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118120913,"gmtCreate":1622724235532,"gmtModify":1634098740480,"author":{"id":"3560823032838358","authorId":"3560823032838358","name":"enaid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/018156b10d9c4e41384c29654321846a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560823032838358","authorIdStr":"3560823032838358"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"EV","listText":"EV","text":"EV","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":14,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118120913","repostId":"1139859065","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":239,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":384391551,"gmtCreate":1613612297573,"gmtModify":1634552951445,"author":{"id":"3560823032838358","authorId":"3560823032838358","name":"enaid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/018156b10d9c4e41384c29654321846a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560823032838358","authorIdStr":"3560823032838358"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"MA play catch up!","listText":"MA play catch up!","text":"MA play catch up!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/384391551","repostId":"1109567373","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":275,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":386028846,"gmtCreate":1613116337885,"gmtModify":1634554467977,"author":{"id":"3560823032838358","authorId":"3560823032838358","name":"enaid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/018156b10d9c4e41384c29654321846a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560823032838358","authorIdStr":"3560823032838358"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"crypto ftw","listText":"crypto ftw","text":"crypto ftw","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/386028846","repostId":"1179092967","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179092967","pubTimestamp":1613100617,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179092967?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-12 11:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Not Just Tesla: Why Big Companies are Buying into Crypto-Mania","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179092967","media":"barrons","summary":"For months, there has beena consistent trickle of newsabout mainstream businesses getting involved in cryptocurrencies. In the past week, it has turned into a flood, helping to push the price of Bitcoin to a record of $48,297 on Thursday.The most buzzworthy move came from Tesla , which disclosed on Monday that it hasbought $1.5 billion worth of Bitcointo hold on its balance sheet. The company plans to let consumers use the currency to pay for cars.Mastercard said on Wednesday that it will let m","content":"<p>For months, there has beena consistent trickle of newsabout mainstream businesses getting involved in cryptocurrencies. In the past week, it has turned into a flood, helping to push the price of Bitcoin to a record of $48,297 on Thursday.</p><p>The most buzzworthy move came from Tesla (ticker: TSLA), which disclosed on Monday that it hasbought $1.5 billion worth of Bitcointo hold on its balance sheet. The company plans to let consumers use the currency to pay for cars.</p><p>But Tesla isn’t the only one. On Thursday, BNY Mellon (BK), the oldest bank in the U.S.,said it will hold and transfer cryptocurrencies for customers. “Growing client demand for digital assets, maturity of advanced solutions, and improving regulatory clarity present a tremendous opportunity for us to extend our current service offerings to this emerging field,” said Roman Regelman, the bank’s CEO of asset servicing and head of digital.</p><p>Mastercard (MA) said on Wednesday that it will let merchants accept some cryptocurrencies through its network later this year. The payments will be converted to traditional money before it enters the companies’ systems.Twitter(TWTR) is also considering a Bitcoin investment. And Square (SQ) has already put some on its balance sheet, as well as given users of its Cash App access to buy the cryptocurrency.</p><p>Why is this happening now? Cryptocurrencies are still not particularly useful outside of a very few cases, such as cross-border transactions. Even there, they haven’t fully taken hold.</p><p>There are at least four big reasons corporations are diving in.</p><p>One is that some company founders believe in Bitcoin. Their excitement about the asset has convinced them that their companies need to be involved, or have cryptocurrency investments, even if Bitcoin isn’t really the core of their operations. That appears to be the case for Tesla and its CEO Elon Musk, and for a software company calledMicrostrategyand its CEO, Michael Saylor.</p><p>Microstrategy, whose entire market capitalization was below $1 billion early last year, now owns more than $2 billion of Bitcoin, and its market cap is now just under $10 billion. Saylor told<i>Barron’s</i> in an interview last yearthat he sees Bitcoin as a hedge against monetary debasement and inflation.</p><p>Square CEO Jack Dorsey ‘s fascination with Bitcoin also likely sped Square’s adoption. He has spoken about his interest in the currency for years.</p><p>Tesla’s purchase of Bitcoin is strong marketing for the company and the currency, said Dan Morehead, founder of the crypto hedge fund Pantera Capital. But it won’t likely change the way Bitcoin is used. “Tesla sells a half a million cars a year,” he said. “If they sold 4% in Bitcoin, I’d be surprised.” Morehead thinks Bitoin’s growing use for cross-border payments is much more exciting from a practical perspective.</p><p>Other companies are getting into Bitcoin because of customer demand. That appears to be the case for BNY Mellon, which is not known for making risky bets on new technologies. It could stay out of the industry altogether, but more institutional investors are buying Bitcoin and need somewhere to put it.</p><p>And the infrastructure around Bitcoin has grown, so that it now more closely resembles the systems used in the rest of the world of finance.. Big companies now insure cryptocurrencies or—as in the case ofJPMorgan Chase(JPM)—offer services to cryptocurrency businesses, even if most still don’t hold Bitcoin on their own balance sheets.</p><p>A third reason is increasing government acceptance of the trend. BNY cited greater regulatory clarity around Bitcoin as one reason it is diving in. The U.S. government has taken a mostly laissez-faire approach to regulating digital assets even as many of the illegal activities that cryptocurrency has been associated with in the past have continued. Without at least the tacit approval of regulators, crypto couldn’t have landed on the balance sheets of so many companies.</p><p>A fourth reason cryptocurrencies are gaining hold in corporate boardrooms is that they serve multiple purposes. That gives corporations several different rationales to hold the coins, or offer related services. Cryptocurrencies have the potential to go well beyond Bitcoin’s initial premise as a way to send money without financial intermediaries. So-called stablecoins, whose value is meant to track fiat currencies, could allow for faster transactions for some kinds of financial services, for instance.</p><p>Visa(V) andMasterCardseem like the last places in the world that Bitcoin would take hold given that Bitcoin was created to eliminate the middlemen in finance. Few companies fill the role of middleman as perfectly as the credit-card processors. Visa, however, thinks that cryptocurrencies are useful for many other purposes, and its trusted brand makes it an important player, according to Cuy Sheffield, head of crypto at the company.</p><p>“We’ve seen growing demand from clients across the world that want to be able to plug in and use these networks, but they want a global, neutral, trusted brand, to help them be able to do that,” Sheffield said in an interview. Visa said last week it has created software that allows bank customers to buy and hold cryptocurrencies through lenders’ websites.</p><p>Will old-line financial companies be the biggest beneficiaries of the crypto “revolution”? Michael Venuto, the chief investment officer of Toroso Investments, doesn’t think it will be easy for them to dominate this new world. Toroso created theAmplify Transformational Data SharingETF (ticker: BLOK), which invests in public companies involved in the technology behind Bitcoin.</p><p>“In terms of the self-referenced paradox of the old economy accepting the blockchain, it is simply inevitable,” Venuto wrote in an email to<i>Barron’s</i>. “If they don’t explore the blockchain they will be extinct. They understand that, but they are not aware of how big the changes will be or how fast they will happen. They have to evolve, but evolution can be messy.”</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Not Just Tesla: Why Big Companies are Buying into Crypto-Mania</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNot Just Tesla: Why Big Companies are Buying into Crypto-Mania\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-02-12 11:30 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/not-just-tesla-why-big-companies-are-buying-into-crypto-mania-51613069805?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_1><strong>barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>For months, there has beena consistent trickle of newsabout mainstream businesses getting involved in cryptocurrencies. In the past week, it has turned into a flood, helping to push the price of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/not-just-tesla-why-big-companies-are-buying-into-crypto-mania-51613069805?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/414360f2ef7b5c785cb936b4a9b53a44","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/not-just-tesla-why-big-companies-are-buying-into-crypto-mania-51613069805?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179092967","content_text":"For months, there has beena consistent trickle of newsabout mainstream businesses getting involved in cryptocurrencies. In the past week, it has turned into a flood, helping to push the price of Bitcoin to a record of $48,297 on Thursday.The most buzzworthy move came from Tesla (ticker: TSLA), which disclosed on Monday that it hasbought $1.5 billion worth of Bitcointo hold on its balance sheet. The company plans to let consumers use the currency to pay for cars.But Tesla isn’t the only one. On Thursday, BNY Mellon (BK), the oldest bank in the U.S.,said it will hold and transfer cryptocurrencies for customers. “Growing client demand for digital assets, maturity of advanced solutions, and improving regulatory clarity present a tremendous opportunity for us to extend our current service offerings to this emerging field,” said Roman Regelman, the bank’s CEO of asset servicing and head of digital.Mastercard (MA) said on Wednesday that it will let merchants accept some cryptocurrencies through its network later this year. The payments will be converted to traditional money before it enters the companies’ systems.Twitter(TWTR) is also considering a Bitcoin investment. And Square (SQ) has already put some on its balance sheet, as well as given users of its Cash App access to buy the cryptocurrency.Why is this happening now? Cryptocurrencies are still not particularly useful outside of a very few cases, such as cross-border transactions. Even there, they haven’t fully taken hold.There are at least four big reasons corporations are diving in.One is that some company founders believe in Bitcoin. Their excitement about the asset has convinced them that their companies need to be involved, or have cryptocurrency investments, even if Bitcoin isn’t really the core of their operations. That appears to be the case for Tesla and its CEO Elon Musk, and for a software company calledMicrostrategyand its CEO, Michael Saylor.Microstrategy, whose entire market capitalization was below $1 billion early last year, now owns more than $2 billion of Bitcoin, and its market cap is now just under $10 billion. Saylor toldBarron’s in an interview last yearthat he sees Bitcoin as a hedge against monetary debasement and inflation.Square CEO Jack Dorsey ‘s fascination with Bitcoin also likely sped Square’s adoption. He has spoken about his interest in the currency for years.Tesla’s purchase of Bitcoin is strong marketing for the company and the currency, said Dan Morehead, founder of the crypto hedge fund Pantera Capital. But it won’t likely change the way Bitcoin is used. “Tesla sells a half a million cars a year,” he said. “If they sold 4% in Bitcoin, I’d be surprised.” Morehead thinks Bitoin’s growing use for cross-border payments is much more exciting from a practical perspective.Other companies are getting into Bitcoin because of customer demand. That appears to be the case for BNY Mellon, which is not known for making risky bets on new technologies. It could stay out of the industry altogether, but more institutional investors are buying Bitcoin and need somewhere to put it.And the infrastructure around Bitcoin has grown, so that it now more closely resembles the systems used in the rest of the world of finance.. Big companies now insure cryptocurrencies or—as in the case ofJPMorgan Chase(JPM)—offer services to cryptocurrency businesses, even if most still don’t hold Bitcoin on their own balance sheets.A third reason is increasing government acceptance of the trend. BNY cited greater regulatory clarity around Bitcoin as one reason it is diving in. The U.S. government has taken a mostly laissez-faire approach to regulating digital assets even as many of the illegal activities that cryptocurrency has been associated with in the past have continued. Without at least the tacit approval of regulators, crypto couldn’t have landed on the balance sheets of so many companies.A fourth reason cryptocurrencies are gaining hold in corporate boardrooms is that they serve multiple purposes. That gives corporations several different rationales to hold the coins, or offer related services. Cryptocurrencies have the potential to go well beyond Bitcoin’s initial premise as a way to send money without financial intermediaries. So-called stablecoins, whose value is meant to track fiat currencies, could allow for faster transactions for some kinds of financial services, for instance.Visa(V) andMasterCardseem like the last places in the world that Bitcoin would take hold given that Bitcoin was created to eliminate the middlemen in finance. Few companies fill the role of middleman as perfectly as the credit-card processors. Visa, however, thinks that cryptocurrencies are useful for many other purposes, and its trusted brand makes it an important player, according to Cuy Sheffield, head of crypto at the company.“We’ve seen growing demand from clients across the world that want to be able to plug in and use these networks, but they want a global, neutral, trusted brand, to help them be able to do that,” Sheffield said in an interview. Visa said last week it has created software that allows bank customers to buy and hold cryptocurrencies through lenders’ websites.Will old-line financial companies be the biggest beneficiaries of the crypto “revolution”? Michael Venuto, the chief investment officer of Toroso Investments, doesn’t think it will be easy for them to dominate this new world. Toroso created theAmplify Transformational Data SharingETF (ticker: BLOK), which invests in public companies involved in the technology behind Bitcoin.“In terms of the self-referenced paradox of the old economy accepting the blockchain, it is simply inevitable,” Venuto wrote in an email toBarron’s. “If they don’t explore the blockchain they will be extinct. They understand that, but they are not aware of how big the changes will be or how fast they will happen. They have to evolve, but evolution can be messy.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":236,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362133793,"gmtCreate":1614605608012,"gmtModify":1703478750982,"author":{"id":"3560823032838358","authorId":"3560823032838358","name":"enaid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/018156b10d9c4e41384c29654321846a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560823032838358","authorIdStr":"3560823032838358"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yay","listText":"yay","text":"yay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362133793","repostId":"1105841550","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":188,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":389397551,"gmtCreate":1612681027873,"gmtModify":1703764272644,"author":{"id":"3560823032838358","authorId":"3560823032838358","name":"enaid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/018156b10d9c4e41384c29654321846a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560823032838358","authorIdStr":"3560823032838358"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"boring","listText":"boring","text":"boring","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/389397551","repostId":"2109727286","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168483222,"gmtCreate":1623980841366,"gmtModify":1634024801684,"author":{"id":"3560823032838358","authorId":"3560823032838358","name":"enaid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/018156b10d9c4e41384c29654321846a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560823032838358","authorIdStr":"3560823032838358"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"gd read","listText":"gd read","text":"gd read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168483222","repostId":"1148576248","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148576248","pubTimestamp":1623979883,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148576248?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO Is Winning","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148576248","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"NIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.The company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.NIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.NIO Inc. stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla .In ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>NIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.</li>\n <li>The company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.</li>\n <li>NIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/790fae23b830463fec748d2deb2ce336\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>PonyWang/E+ via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla (TSLA).</p>\n<p>In addition, we will discuss NIO's business, financials, trading, valuation, and risks so readers could reach their own informed decision.</p>\n<p><b>Business: Why NIO Wins</b></p>\n<p>NIO positions itself in the premium SUV segment, focusing on smart EVs with a differentiated battery strategy.</p>\n<p>Delivered in March 2019, the company's first model, the ES8, is a luxury 7-seater SUV that is still the company's flagship product today. The ES8 is equipped with ADAS and AI system [NOMI] and is comparable to the BYD Song, Tesla Model X, the Audi Q7 45 e-Tron, etc.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443e2773f70c00c6faac8ca063e978a5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"387\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p>\n<p>Leveraging the installed base and customer goodwill due to the highly successful ES8, NIO successfully launched the ES6 and EC6.Recently, the company launched the ET7, its first sedan.</p>\n<p>Today, NIO is the top-selling brand in China's all-electric SUV market in April with a 23% market share, higher than Tesla's 17%, WM Motor and XPeng Motors'(NYSE:XPEV)7%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.</p>\n<p>One of the biggest competitive differentiators is NIO'sbattery strategy, which all but eliminates range anxiety, one of the biggest barriers to mass EV adoption. Not only could NIO cars be charged at any charging station for EVs, but the company also built hundreds of battery swapping stations in key cities in China, with plans to expanding to Europe.</p>\n<p>NIO's battery swapping strategy also gives the company the ability to offer a battery-as-a-service [BaaS] solution, which reduces the upfrontcostof purchasing an NIO vehicle by ~$11,000. Since cost is another major barrier to mass EV adoption, NIO's battery strategy appears brilliant as it solves both the range and cost problems.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b25fbb85bffd39310cd27cbb2bde57a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"216\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p>\n<p>Another differentiator is the NIO brand, which management created brilliantly by introducing the EP9 in 2016. Six EP9s have been sold to NIO investors for 2.5 million pounds, creating an aura of exclusivity and quality around the brand. Next, NIO targeted the mass-market luxury SUV segment with the ES8, firmly establishing the company as a luxury car OEM.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad41c960ce02f1e3f3e7575ac00beee0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p>\n<p>Chinese companies must struggle against the common perception that they make low-quality products. This is the same perception issue that Japanese companies faced following their defeat after WW2. Japan solved this problem by moving up the value chain as their economy matured and creating high-quality brands such as Sony(NYSE:SONY). Today, Japan is known for its craftsmanship.</p>\n<p>China is following the same trajectory, and NIO is one of the emerging brands destroying the perception that \"made in China\" equates to poor quality. I strongly believe that investors who stubbornly hold on to that old perception will miss out on investing in some of the greatest brands the world will ever see.</p>\n<p>Buying an NIO car means much more than just getting a vehicle; it means getting into an exclusive club of services and convenience. Benefits include access to hundreds of swapping stations, lifetime free roadside rescue (including charge vans), lifetime free cellular connectivity, lifetime free warranty, and excellent customer service. This is a powerful selling point for NIO, differentiating it from Tesla, which hasrecentlydeveloped a poor reputation on the customer service front in China.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a73482aa0431694b760ab5c2d0aa6f53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"211\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p>\n<p>The company is pushing the envelope even further with NIO House, a literal clubhouse for customers, and NIO Life, which includes NIO branded lifestyle products. NIO's effort to build a lifestyle around its cars seems to be working. This is good news for investors because the only way to escape the competitive battlefield of automobile OEM is to sell services and lifestyles to customers. This is why Ferrari's (RACE) operating margin is well over 20%, while Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) are in the single digits.</p>\n<p><b>Financials & Valuation</b></p>\n<p>NIO is in hyper-growth mode. In 2020, the company generated $2.5 billion in revenue, up 126% y/y. In 2021, the company is expected to grow 117% y/y to $5.4 billion.</p>\n<p>The company is not yet profitable but is expected to be by 2022. Gross margin only turned positive in 2020 and is expected to be 19.3% in 2021. EBITDA is expected to be negative $258 million in 2021 and a positive $206 million in 2022. Free cash flow is expected to be negative $42 million in 2021 before turning to a positive $354 million in 2022.</p>\n<p>However, despite the cash burn expected in 2021, investors should feel at ease since the company exited 2020 with $5.9 billion of cash and cash equivalents. Including $600 million in short-term investments and subtracting ~$2.1 billion in debt and operating leases and the expected negative free cash flow in 2021, NIO should exit 2021 with over $4 billion in net cash and investments. That is plenty of buffers since NIO is expected to generate positive free cash flow in 2022.</p>\n<p>Since NIO is not yet profitable, we will look at the forward EV/Sales multiple as is typical for hyper-growth companies not yet generating a profit. The company went public in September 2018, trading at around 7 to 8 times EV/Sales, before bottoming out at around 0.7 times sales in May 2019. The market, however, caught the EV fever in April 2020 and sent NIO's valuation soaring to a peak of 14.6x by January 2021. After the growth sell-off we recently experienced, NIO is currently sitting at a much more reasonable 8 times forward sales. This is a significant discount to TSLA's 10.2 times forward EV/Sales despite growing twice as fast (TSLA is expected to grow revenues by 57% in 2021 compared to NIO's 117%).</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>There are many risks associated with owning NIO.</p>\n<p>Although its battery swapping strategy is highly differentiated and seems to be growing rapidly, the jury is still out on the ultimate market share of battery swapping or fast-charging infrastructure. If fast charging technology continues to advance significantly, it will likely erode a key advantage of battery swapping: speed.</p>\n<p>NIO's business model is innovative and new. Unfortunately, the flip side of that is that it is untested, and NIO remains unprofitable. For many investors, NIO will remain a \"show me\" story until the profitability of its business model improves.</p>\n<p>NIO's ability to expand globally may be limited by the rising geopolitical tension between China and the US, and to a lesser extent, with Japan and Europe. The geopolitical situation remains highly opaque and uncertain, and is a risk factor for all auto OEMs.</p>\n<p>Auto OEMs are currently facing a severe chip shortage. In addition, the chip density in automobiles is increasing, making the OEMs increasingly reliant on semiconductor suppliers and foundries.</p>\n<p>NIO's competitive advantages may not overcome the massive scale advantage of ICE OEMs and much bigger EV players like Tesla and China's BYD.</p>\n<p><b>Takeaway</b></p>\n<p>NIO's technical and business model innovations make it a highly differentiated company in the exciting and rapidly growing EV market. The company is winning, and its competitive moat is getting bigger as its ecosystem of vehicles and services grows. Relative to the industry leader, Tesla, NIO's stock price seems like a bargain given its faster growth rate and lower multiples.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO Is Winning</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO Is Winning\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-18 09:31 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435341-nio-is-winning><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nNIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.\nThe company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.\nNIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435341-nio-is-winning\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435341-nio-is-winning","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148576248","content_text":"Summary\n\nNIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.\nThe company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.\nNIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.\n\nPonyWang/E+ via Getty Images\nNIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla (TSLA).\nIn addition, we will discuss NIO's business, financials, trading, valuation, and risks so readers could reach their own informed decision.\nBusiness: Why NIO Wins\nNIO positions itself in the premium SUV segment, focusing on smart EVs with a differentiated battery strategy.\nDelivered in March 2019, the company's first model, the ES8, is a luxury 7-seater SUV that is still the company's flagship product today. The ES8 is equipped with ADAS and AI system [NOMI] and is comparable to the BYD Song, Tesla Model X, the Audi Q7 45 e-Tron, etc.\nSource: Company\nLeveraging the installed base and customer goodwill due to the highly successful ES8, NIO successfully launched the ES6 and EC6.Recently, the company launched the ET7, its first sedan.\nToday, NIO is the top-selling brand in China's all-electric SUV market in April with a 23% market share, higher than Tesla's 17%, WM Motor and XPeng Motors'(NYSE:XPEV)7%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.\nOne of the biggest competitive differentiators is NIO'sbattery strategy, which all but eliminates range anxiety, one of the biggest barriers to mass EV adoption. Not only could NIO cars be charged at any charging station for EVs, but the company also built hundreds of battery swapping stations in key cities in China, with plans to expanding to Europe.\nNIO's battery swapping strategy also gives the company the ability to offer a battery-as-a-service [BaaS] solution, which reduces the upfrontcostof purchasing an NIO vehicle by ~$11,000. Since cost is another major barrier to mass EV adoption, NIO's battery strategy appears brilliant as it solves both the range and cost problems.\nSource: Company\nAnother differentiator is the NIO brand, which management created brilliantly by introducing the EP9 in 2016. Six EP9s have been sold to NIO investors for 2.5 million pounds, creating an aura of exclusivity and quality around the brand. Next, NIO targeted the mass-market luxury SUV segment with the ES8, firmly establishing the company as a luxury car OEM.\nSource: Company\nChinese companies must struggle against the common perception that they make low-quality products. This is the same perception issue that Japanese companies faced following their defeat after WW2. Japan solved this problem by moving up the value chain as their economy matured and creating high-quality brands such as Sony(NYSE:SONY). Today, Japan is known for its craftsmanship.\nChina is following the same trajectory, and NIO is one of the emerging brands destroying the perception that \"made in China\" equates to poor quality. I strongly believe that investors who stubbornly hold on to that old perception will miss out on investing in some of the greatest brands the world will ever see.\nBuying an NIO car means much more than just getting a vehicle; it means getting into an exclusive club of services and convenience. Benefits include access to hundreds of swapping stations, lifetime free roadside rescue (including charge vans), lifetime free cellular connectivity, lifetime free warranty, and excellent customer service. This is a powerful selling point for NIO, differentiating it from Tesla, which hasrecentlydeveloped a poor reputation on the customer service front in China.\nSource: Company\nThe company is pushing the envelope even further with NIO House, a literal clubhouse for customers, and NIO Life, which includes NIO branded lifestyle products. NIO's effort to build a lifestyle around its cars seems to be working. This is good news for investors because the only way to escape the competitive battlefield of automobile OEM is to sell services and lifestyles to customers. This is why Ferrari's (RACE) operating margin is well over 20%, while Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) are in the single digits.\nFinancials & Valuation\nNIO is in hyper-growth mode. In 2020, the company generated $2.5 billion in revenue, up 126% y/y. In 2021, the company is expected to grow 117% y/y to $5.4 billion.\nThe company is not yet profitable but is expected to be by 2022. Gross margin only turned positive in 2020 and is expected to be 19.3% in 2021. EBITDA is expected to be negative $258 million in 2021 and a positive $206 million in 2022. Free cash flow is expected to be negative $42 million in 2021 before turning to a positive $354 million in 2022.\nHowever, despite the cash burn expected in 2021, investors should feel at ease since the company exited 2020 with $5.9 billion of cash and cash equivalents. Including $600 million in short-term investments and subtracting ~$2.1 billion in debt and operating leases and the expected negative free cash flow in 2021, NIO should exit 2021 with over $4 billion in net cash and investments. That is plenty of buffers since NIO is expected to generate positive free cash flow in 2022.\nSince NIO is not yet profitable, we will look at the forward EV/Sales multiple as is typical for hyper-growth companies not yet generating a profit. The company went public in September 2018, trading at around 7 to 8 times EV/Sales, before bottoming out at around 0.7 times sales in May 2019. The market, however, caught the EV fever in April 2020 and sent NIO's valuation soaring to a peak of 14.6x by January 2021. After the growth sell-off we recently experienced, NIO is currently sitting at a much more reasonable 8 times forward sales. This is a significant discount to TSLA's 10.2 times forward EV/Sales despite growing twice as fast (TSLA is expected to grow revenues by 57% in 2021 compared to NIO's 117%).\nRisks\nThere are many risks associated with owning NIO.\nAlthough its battery swapping strategy is highly differentiated and seems to be growing rapidly, the jury is still out on the ultimate market share of battery swapping or fast-charging infrastructure. If fast charging technology continues to advance significantly, it will likely erode a key advantage of battery swapping: speed.\nNIO's business model is innovative and new. Unfortunately, the flip side of that is that it is untested, and NIO remains unprofitable. For many investors, NIO will remain a \"show me\" story until the profitability of its business model improves.\nNIO's ability to expand globally may be limited by the rising geopolitical tension between China and the US, and to a lesser extent, with Japan and Europe. The geopolitical situation remains highly opaque and uncertain, and is a risk factor for all auto OEMs.\nAuto OEMs are currently facing a severe chip shortage. In addition, the chip density in automobiles is increasing, making the OEMs increasingly reliant on semiconductor suppliers and foundries.\nNIO's competitive advantages may not overcome the massive scale advantage of ICE OEMs and much bigger EV players like Tesla and China's BYD.\nTakeaway\nNIO's technical and business model innovations make it a highly differentiated company in the exciting and rapidly growing EV market. The company is winning, and its competitive moat is getting bigger as its ecosystem of vehicles and services grows. Relative to the industry leader, Tesla, NIO's stock price seems like a bargain given its faster growth rate and lower multiples.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":132,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":326503614,"gmtCreate":1615682006738,"gmtModify":1703491997328,"author":{"id":"3560823032838358","authorId":"3560823032838358","name":"enaid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/018156b10d9c4e41384c29654321846a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560823032838358","authorIdStr":"3560823032838358"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"reminder!","listText":"reminder!","text":"reminder!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/326503614","repostId":"1199156489","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":824256449,"gmtCreate":1634321584678,"gmtModify":1634321584852,"author":{"id":"3560823032838358","authorId":"3560823032838358","name":"enaid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/018156b10d9c4e41384c29654321846a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560823032838358","authorIdStr":"3560823032838358"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824256449","repostId":"1139202309","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139202309","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1634280465,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1139202309?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-15 14:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Happens When the Fed Tapers?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139202309","media":"Benzinga","summary":"What happens when the Fed tapers? That is the billion (or trillion) dollar question. Before we delve","content":"<p>What happens when the Fed tapers? That is the billion (or trillion) dollar question. Before we delve into the possible outcome(s) though, we must first understand what tapering means.</p>\n<p>In response to the coronavirus pandemic, the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates to zero in March 2020 to help bolster growth. It also began its $120 billion in monthly asset purchases, a program known as quantitative easing (QE) that has roughly doubled the Fed’s balance sheet to about $8.5 trillion since the start of the pandemic.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d66984161d481448082b5856b1c7465c\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"800\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfe5a1c43965ba4fe7c492c026c915b8\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"800\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System</span></p>\n<p>QE helps by reducing long-term interest rates, thereby encouraging borrowing to help spur spending, and in turn, the economy. In doing so, the Fed essentially reduces the available supply of these bonds in the open market, forcing investors who want to own them to drive up prices. Driving up bond prices has the effect of lowering interest rates, which lowers the borrowing costs of households on their mortgages, or the costs of corporations to borrow by issuing debt.</p>\n<p>As the Fed eases the pace and pares back the amount of these purchases, tapering begins with the ultimate goal of sending interest rates back to “normal.” Tapering can impact long-term interest rates, as this typically sends a signal to the markets that the Fed is shifting to a less accommodative policy stance in the future. The key is to understand that tapering does not mean the Fed stops purchasing assets, but it just reduces the pace of its balance sheet expansion. This is different than tightening, which means the Fed will no longer add assets to its balance sheet and will instead reduce the assets it holds by selling them — with large companies recently including <b>Caterpillar Inc.</b> and <b>Home Depot</b> taking advantage of to issue new bonds.</p>\n<p>Aside from interest rates, tapering could have an impact on the U.S. dollar. The trajectory of the U.S. dollar is important for investors as it impacts everything from commodity prices to corporate earnings. Higher yields make dollar-denominated assets more attractive to income seeking investors. Tapering is typically bullish for the dollar as it means a move toward tighter monetary policy. Since currencies normally appreciate when their domestic short-term rates rise, as the Fed continues to signal imminent tightening, markets are pricing in higher rates. This offers support to the dollar amid an already choppy risk environment that is a positive for the safe haven dollar. As mentioned above, if the Fed will be buying fewer debt assets, there would be fewer dollars in circulation.</p>\n<p>The market is anticipating the beginning of the taper process could begin sometime in the fourth quarter of this year, possibly as soon as November. In addition, half of the Fed vice presidents project interest rates rising at some point in 2022. Fed Chairman Powell is anticipating the taper process could end around the middle of next year, as long as the recovery remains on track. The Central Bank has insisted that they expect to keep the funds rate near zero until labor market conditions have reached levels consistent with their projections of maximum employment. We are nowhere near pre-pandemic unemployment levels (with 8.4 million unemployed persons in the U.S. now versus 5.7 million in February 2020). This could lead to concern over whether the Fed risks tightening monetary policy at a time when the economy might be significantly weaker than it already is today. At the end of the day, if the Fed is priming the markets for a taper in the fourth quarter of 2021, we could be in for a period of extended volatility.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Happens When the Fed Tapers?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Happens When the Fed Tapers?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-10-15 14:47</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What happens when the Fed tapers? That is the billion (or trillion) dollar question. Before we delve into the possible outcome(s) though, we must first understand what tapering means.</p>\n<p>In response to the coronavirus pandemic, the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates to zero in March 2020 to help bolster growth. It also began its $120 billion in monthly asset purchases, a program known as quantitative easing (QE) that has roughly doubled the Fed’s balance sheet to about $8.5 trillion since the start of the pandemic.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d66984161d481448082b5856b1c7465c\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"800\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfe5a1c43965ba4fe7c492c026c915b8\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"800\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System</span></p>\n<p>QE helps by reducing long-term interest rates, thereby encouraging borrowing to help spur spending, and in turn, the economy. In doing so, the Fed essentially reduces the available supply of these bonds in the open market, forcing investors who want to own them to drive up prices. Driving up bond prices has the effect of lowering interest rates, which lowers the borrowing costs of households on their mortgages, or the costs of corporations to borrow by issuing debt.</p>\n<p>As the Fed eases the pace and pares back the amount of these purchases, tapering begins with the ultimate goal of sending interest rates back to “normal.” Tapering can impact long-term interest rates, as this typically sends a signal to the markets that the Fed is shifting to a less accommodative policy stance in the future. The key is to understand that tapering does not mean the Fed stops purchasing assets, but it just reduces the pace of its balance sheet expansion. This is different than tightening, which means the Fed will no longer add assets to its balance sheet and will instead reduce the assets it holds by selling them — with large companies recently including <b>Caterpillar Inc.</b> and <b>Home Depot</b> taking advantage of to issue new bonds.</p>\n<p>Aside from interest rates, tapering could have an impact on the U.S. dollar. The trajectory of the U.S. dollar is important for investors as it impacts everything from commodity prices to corporate earnings. Higher yields make dollar-denominated assets more attractive to income seeking investors. Tapering is typically bullish for the dollar as it means a move toward tighter monetary policy. Since currencies normally appreciate when their domestic short-term rates rise, as the Fed continues to signal imminent tightening, markets are pricing in higher rates. This offers support to the dollar amid an already choppy risk environment that is a positive for the safe haven dollar. As mentioned above, if the Fed will be buying fewer debt assets, there would be fewer dollars in circulation.</p>\n<p>The market is anticipating the beginning of the taper process could begin sometime in the fourth quarter of this year, possibly as soon as November. In addition, half of the Fed vice presidents project interest rates rising at some point in 2022. Fed Chairman Powell is anticipating the taper process could end around the middle of next year, as long as the recovery remains on track. The Central Bank has insisted that they expect to keep the funds rate near zero until labor market conditions have reached levels consistent with their projections of maximum employment. We are nowhere near pre-pandemic unemployment levels (with 8.4 million unemployed persons in the U.S. now versus 5.7 million in February 2020). This could lead to concern over whether the Fed risks tightening monetary policy at a time when the economy might be significantly weaker than it already is today. At the end of the day, if the Fed is priming the markets for a taper in the fourth quarter of 2021, we could be in for a period of extended volatility.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139202309","content_text":"What happens when the Fed tapers? That is the billion (or trillion) dollar question. Before we delve into the possible outcome(s) though, we must first understand what tapering means.\nIn response to the coronavirus pandemic, the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates to zero in March 2020 to help bolster growth. It also began its $120 billion in monthly asset purchases, a program known as quantitative easing (QE) that has roughly doubled the Fed’s balance sheet to about $8.5 trillion since the start of the pandemic.\n\nSource: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System\nQE helps by reducing long-term interest rates, thereby encouraging borrowing to help spur spending, and in turn, the economy. In doing so, the Fed essentially reduces the available supply of these bonds in the open market, forcing investors who want to own them to drive up prices. Driving up bond prices has the effect of lowering interest rates, which lowers the borrowing costs of households on their mortgages, or the costs of corporations to borrow by issuing debt.\nAs the Fed eases the pace and pares back the amount of these purchases, tapering begins with the ultimate goal of sending interest rates back to “normal.” Tapering can impact long-term interest rates, as this typically sends a signal to the markets that the Fed is shifting to a less accommodative policy stance in the future. The key is to understand that tapering does not mean the Fed stops purchasing assets, but it just reduces the pace of its balance sheet expansion. This is different than tightening, which means the Fed will no longer add assets to its balance sheet and will instead reduce the assets it holds by selling them — with large companies recently including Caterpillar Inc. and Home Depot taking advantage of to issue new bonds.\nAside from interest rates, tapering could have an impact on the U.S. dollar. The trajectory of the U.S. dollar is important for investors as it impacts everything from commodity prices to corporate earnings. Higher yields make dollar-denominated assets more attractive to income seeking investors. Tapering is typically bullish for the dollar as it means a move toward tighter monetary policy. Since currencies normally appreciate when their domestic short-term rates rise, as the Fed continues to signal imminent tightening, markets are pricing in higher rates. This offers support to the dollar amid an already choppy risk environment that is a positive for the safe haven dollar. As mentioned above, if the Fed will be buying fewer debt assets, there would be fewer dollars in circulation.\nThe market is anticipating the beginning of the taper process could begin sometime in the fourth quarter of this year, possibly as soon as November. In addition, half of the Fed vice presidents project interest rates rising at some point in 2022. Fed Chairman Powell is anticipating the taper process could end around the middle of next year, as long as the recovery remains on track. The Central Bank has insisted that they expect to keep the funds rate near zero until labor market conditions have reached levels consistent with their projections of maximum employment. We are nowhere near pre-pandemic unemployment levels (with 8.4 million unemployed persons in the U.S. now versus 5.7 million in February 2020). This could lead to concern over whether the Fed risks tightening monetary policy at a time when the economy might be significantly weaker than it already is today. At the end of the day, if the Fed is priming the markets for a taper in the fourth quarter of 2021, we could be in for a period of extended volatility.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":427,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821568603,"gmtCreate":1633761718028,"gmtModify":1633761718198,"author":{"id":"3560823032838358","authorId":"3560823032838358","name":"enaid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/018156b10d9c4e41384c29654321846a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560823032838358","authorIdStr":"3560823032838358"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821568603","repostId":"1195802602","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195802602","pubTimestamp":1633749735,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1195802602?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-09 11:22","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"What Happens to Bitcoin After All 21 Million Are Mined?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195802602","media":"Investopedia","summary":"KEY TAKEAWAYS\n\nThere are only 21 million bitcoins that can be mined in total.\nBitcoin will never rea","content":"<p><b>KEY TAKEAWAYS</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>There are only 21 million bitcoins that can be mined in total.</li>\n <li>Bitcoin will never reach that cap due to the use of rounding operators in its codebase.</li>\n <li>As of Aug, 2021, 18.77 million bitcoins have been mined, which leaves roughly 2.3 million yet to be introduced into circulation.</li>\n <li>When Bitcoin reaches its supply cap, block rewards will vanish, and miners will depend on fees from transactions occurring on the cryptocurrency's network for revenue.</li>\n <li>Bitcoin's network may evolve from its current unfinished state to becoming a bridge for monetary transactions and trading.</li>\n <li>Bitcoin the cryptocurrency will have a defined identity in the financial ecosystem.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>One of the chief characteristics of Bitcoin is its limited supply. Other forms of money, including fiat currencies, can be printed at will by central banks—i.e., they have unlimited supply.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin inventor Satoshi Nakamoto capped the number of bitcoin at 21 million, meaning there will only ever be 21 million bitcoins in existence. On average, these bitcoins are introduced to the Bitcoin supply at a fixed rate of one block every 10 minutes. In addition, the number of bitcoins released in each of these aforementioned blocks is reduced by 50% every four years. By August 2021, 18.7 million bitcoins were available, leaving roughly 2.3 million to be mined.The supply limitation makes Bitcoin scarce and controls inflation that might arise from an unlimited supply of the cryptocurrency.</p>\n<p>As Bitcoin reaches its capped supply, its economics will alter. The incentives for various members in its ecosystem, such as miners and traders, will change. For example, miners may rely less on block rewards and more on transaction fees to earn revenue and profits for their operations. The cryptocurrency's network will also transform, and its participants will be different from the retail traders that populate its current ecosystem.</p>\n<p>However, given the cryptocurrency's relatively undeveloped ecosystem, it is difficult to predict with certainty the effect of Bitcoin reaching its capped supply.</p>\n<p><b>Will Bitcoin Ever Reach the 21 Million Cap?</b></p>\n<p>Before delving into the implications of Bitcoin's 21 million cap, it might be interesting to consider the question of whether it will ever reach that figure. Based on the cryptocurrency's current codebase and mining process, some observers say that Bitcoin may fall just shy of the 21 million figure.</p>\n<p>To recap, Bitcoin is \"mined\" by miners who solve cryptographic puzzles to verify and validate a block of transactions occurring in its network. Block rewards, consisting of a set number of bitcoins, are distributed to miners who successfully confirm a transaction block. The rewards are halved every four years.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d1d9aa1b5581477bf14edfde0292f21\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"513\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>The rate that bitcoin are produced cuts in half about every four years. Investopedia</span></p>\n<p>When the cryptocurrency was launched, the reward for confirming a block of transactions was 50 bitcoins. In 2012, it was halved to 25 bitcoins, and it went down to 12.5 in 2016. In May 2020, miners stood to earn 6.25 bitcoin for every new block. Block rewards for Bitcoin miners will continue to be halved every four years until the final bitcoin is mined. Current estimates for mining of the final bitcoin put that date somewhere in February 2140.</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Important:</b>The Bitcoin mining process provides bitcoin rewards to miners, but the reward size decreases periodically to control the circulation of new tokens.\n</blockquote>\n<p>According to Andreas M. Antonopoulos, author of a book about Bitcoin's workings, the 21 million figure is an \"asymptotic cap\" on the number of bitcoin in existence.In simple words, this means that, while it may reach very close to figure, the cryptocurrency will never reach that limit. This is because block rewards and Bitcoin supply are never expressed in exact terms. Bitcoin's code uses bit-shift operators—arithmetic operators used that round decimal points to the closest smallest integer in certain programming languages. Therefore, a total supply of 6.2589 bitcoins will be rounded out to the closest smallest integer, in this case 6.</p>\n<p>While it makes calculations easier, the practice leads to losses in satoshis, Bitcoin's constituent units, during each block confirmation. One bitcoin is equal to 100 million satoshis. According to some, the final bitcoin block will be numbered 6,929,999, and the total supply at that time will be 20,999,999.9769 satoshis. Since bitcoin uses a bit-shift operator system,3its algorithm will round off that figure to 20,999,999 and leave the cryptocurrency just shy of its 21 million targeted cap.</p>\n<p><b>What Happens When All 21 Million Bitcoin Are Mined?</b></p>\n<p>A consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. No bitcoins will be issued, but transaction blocks will be confirmed, and fees will become the primary source of revenue. Ultimately, Bitcoin's network may function as a closed economy, in which transaction fees are assessed much like taxes are.</p>\n<p>Can the rewards be in satoshis instead of actual bitcoin? Such a practice is unlikely and would require a change in the cryptocurrency's protocol to take effect.</p>\n<p>That said, it is difficult to predict the effects of Bitcoin almost reaching the overall supply promised by Satoshi Nakamoto. This is partly because Bitcoin's ecosystem is still undeveloped. The cryptocurrency was originally conceptualized as a medium of exchange but it has found more popularity as a store of value—an investing asset—instead. It is possible that Bitcoin's ecosystem and workings might undergo a transformation, similar to the one that has occured in its identity, between now and 2140.</p>\n<p><b>Important:</b>Although there can only ever be a maximum of 21 million bitcoins, because people have lost their private keys or have died without leaving their private key instructions to anybody, the actual amount of available bitcoins in circulation could actually be millions less.</p>\n<p>For example, there could be a protocol change in the cryptocurrency's blockchain to allow for more than 21 million bitcoin in existence. Remember, Bitcoin is an open source cryptocurrency and can be changed to create hard or soft forks that create new cryptocurrencies or alter its functioning. Some examples of the former are bitcoin cash(BCHUSD),litecoin(LTCUSD), anddogecoin(DOGEUSD), which have made minor modifications to Bitcoin's source code and created new coins that have racked up billions of dollars in market valuations.</p>\n<p><b>Effect on Bitcoin Miners</b></p>\n<p>Block rewards and transaction fees are the most important sources of revenue for miners—the former more so than the latter in the current setup. High prices for bitcoin enable miners to cover operational costs and sustain business profits because they can sell their rewards stash in cryptocurrency markets.</p>\n<p>When Bitcoin is close to reaching its limit, the reward amounts may not be enough to cover operational costs at miners, let alone generate profits. If and when the supply limit is reached, Bitcoin rewards are supposed to vanish.</p>\n<p>In both instances, transaction fees are expected to pick up the slack. The amount of and mechanism for these fees depends on the state of Bitcoin's network at that point in time—i.e., whether it is being used as a medium of exchange or as a store of value. The former may incur reasonable fees to enable Bitcoin's use in daily transactions, while the latter scenario will have miners conducting fewer and more expensive transactions.</p>\n<p>Another possibility being put forward is that of miners forming cartels amongst themselves. They might control supply to set high transaction fees or a fee amount that guarantees them a minimum in profits.Selfish mining is another possibility. In this form of mining, miners collude amongst themselves to hide new blocks and release orphan blocks that are not confirmed by Bitcoin's network. This practice will delay production of the final block in Bitcoin's network and ensure high rewards for the new blocks when they are finally released into the network.</p>\n<p>The formation of a Bitcoin miners' cartel is not a far-reaching conclusion. Such groupings already exist in other commodities whose supply is constrained or controlled. For example, oil prices are influenced to a large degree by OPEC's production output. Prices in the diamond industry are also reportedly set by a cartel led by mining giant DeBeers.</p>\n<p><b>Effect on Bitcoin's Network</b></p>\n<p>The most valuable and useful aspect of Bitcoin is its network.Distributed ledger technology is a technological solution to the time-consuming bookkeeping and accounting that characterizes most financial transactions today.</p>\n<p>If Bitcoin becomes popular as a medium of exchange in the future, its transaction numbers will surge. Past precedent has shown that there is a significant chance that the network will slow down. This is because Bitcoin's architecture, which relies on a distributed database to hold copies of massive ledgers, sacrifices speed for accuracy and integrity.</p>\n<p>In such a scenario, it is likely that Layer 2 technologies, like the Lightning Network, will become responsible for confirming a majority of transactions on its network. Therefore, the cryptocurrency's actual network itself will be used only to settle large batches of transactions.</p>\n<p>A second possibility is that the number of transactions on Bitcoin's network falls. Such a situation is possible when Bitcoin becomes a reserve asset. Trades involving the cryptocurrency will be few. Retail traders and small trading firms, who dominate its current trading ecosystem, will be eliminated and replaced by large institutional players and established trading firms. They will conduct fewer and more expensive trades that will incur high transaction fees from miners.</p>\n<p><b>Effect on Bitcoin the Cryptocurrency</b></p>\n<p>Bitcoin's inventor Satoshi Nakamoto designed the cryptocurrency to function as a medium of exchange for daily transactions. But its network has high transaction fees and slow processing times. Meanwhile, its scarcity and rising prices have become a magnet for speculative investors. Their bets on the cryptocurrency roulette have led to volatile price swings in the asset class deterring serious investors away from it. Regulators have criticized its ecosystem as a Wild West.</p>\n<p>By the time that the last bitcoin is mined (or close to being mined), Bitcoin may have a more defined identity that it does currently. Side channels, like the Lightning Network, may have increased its network's transaction processing speed and enabled its use as a medium of exchange. Some countries like El Salvador are betting on such an eventuality and have made the cryptocurrency legal tender.</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>FAST FACT</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n El Salvador made Bitcoin legal tender on June 9, 2021.It is the first country to do so. The cryptocurrency can be used for any transaction where the business can accept it. The U.S. dollar continues to be El Salvador's primary currency.\n</blockquote>\n<p>In the United States, the latest significant events are the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) letter in January 2021 authorizing the use of crypto as a method of payment, PayPal Holdings, Inc.'s (PYPL) introduction of Bitcoin, and Tesla, Inc.'s (TSLA) acceptance of Bitcoin to purchase Tesla cars and solar roofs. Tesla reversed course on accepting Bitcoin in May 2021, citing environmental concerns around the resources required for Bitcoin mining.</p>\n<p>The increasing scarcity in its numbers will also have driven up bitcoin's price and the corresponding valuation of cryptocurrency markets. Regulators tend to move quickly when increasing amounts of capital flows into an asset class, and it is likely that crypto markets and Bitcoin will also have come under the regulatory umbrella. That will be a sign for institutional investors to move into the cryptocurrency's ecosystem and stabilize its price swings with massive liquidity.</p>\n<p><b>The Bottom Line</b></p>\n<p>Bitcoin's 21 million supply cap is meant to control inflation that might, otherwise, result from an unlimited supply. But it has inflated the cryptocurrency's prices by making it a scarce commodity.</p>\n<p>When Bitcoin reaches the supply cap, it is likely that miners will shift from block rewards to transaction fees as their main source of revenue. Development of side channels, like the Lightning Network, may result in Bitcoin's blockchain restricting itself to confirmation of large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of significant numbers of bitcoins from one address on its blockchain to another. Bitcoin's identity—as a store of value and a medium of exchange—will also be more clearly defined than it is currently.</p>\n<p>But none of these predictions are set in stone. The kinetic pace of developments in Bitcoin's ecosystem means that it is difficult to accurately predict its future. For example, the cryptocurrency's protocol may be changed to accommodate the production of more than 21 million bitcoins. Or, it may fall just shy of reaching 21 million.</p>\n<p><b>Frequently Asked Questions</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>What is Bitcoin's total supply?</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The total supply of bitcoins is capped at 21 million.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>What will happen to miner fees when Bitcoin's supply limit is reached?</li>\n</ul>\n<p>When Bitcoin supply reaches 21 million, miners will rely on transaction fees rather than block rewards, which will have vanished by then, for revenue.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>What will happen to Bitcoin's network when it reaches the supply limit?</li>\n</ul>\n<p>When Bitcoin reaches the 21 million supply limit, it is likely that side channels, like the Lightning Network, will do most of the heavy lifting in confirming its transactions. The cryptocurrency's blockchain be responsible for confirming only very large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of large sums of bitcoin from one address to another.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>What happens if Bitcoin supply fails to reach the 21 million cap?</li>\n</ul>\n<p>One consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. In keeping with Bitcoin's economics, rewards for confirming these blocks will be minimal.</p>","source":"lsy1606203311635","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Happens to Bitcoin After All 21 Million Are Mined?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Happens to Bitcoin After All 21 Million Are Mined?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-09 11:22 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.investopedia.com/tech/what-happens-bitcoin-after-21-million-mined/?utm_campaign=quote-yahoo&utm_source=yahoo&utm_medium=referral><strong>Investopedia</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY TAKEAWAYS\n\nThere are only 21 million bitcoins that can be mined in total.\nBitcoin will never reach that cap due to the use of rounding operators in its codebase.\nAs of Aug, 2021, 18.77 million ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/tech/what-happens-bitcoin-after-21-million-mined/?utm_campaign=quote-yahoo&utm_source=yahoo&utm_medium=referral\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust"},"source_url":"https://www.investopedia.com/tech/what-happens-bitcoin-after-21-million-mined/?utm_campaign=quote-yahoo&utm_source=yahoo&utm_medium=referral","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195802602","content_text":"KEY TAKEAWAYS\n\nThere are only 21 million bitcoins that can be mined in total.\nBitcoin will never reach that cap due to the use of rounding operators in its codebase.\nAs of Aug, 2021, 18.77 million bitcoins have been mined, which leaves roughly 2.3 million yet to be introduced into circulation.\nWhen Bitcoin reaches its supply cap, block rewards will vanish, and miners will depend on fees from transactions occurring on the cryptocurrency's network for revenue.\nBitcoin's network may evolve from its current unfinished state to becoming a bridge for monetary transactions and trading.\nBitcoin the cryptocurrency will have a defined identity in the financial ecosystem.\n\nOne of the chief characteristics of Bitcoin is its limited supply. Other forms of money, including fiat currencies, can be printed at will by central banks—i.e., they have unlimited supply.\nBitcoin inventor Satoshi Nakamoto capped the number of bitcoin at 21 million, meaning there will only ever be 21 million bitcoins in existence. On average, these bitcoins are introduced to the Bitcoin supply at a fixed rate of one block every 10 minutes. In addition, the number of bitcoins released in each of these aforementioned blocks is reduced by 50% every four years. By August 2021, 18.7 million bitcoins were available, leaving roughly 2.3 million to be mined.The supply limitation makes Bitcoin scarce and controls inflation that might arise from an unlimited supply of the cryptocurrency.\nAs Bitcoin reaches its capped supply, its economics will alter. The incentives for various members in its ecosystem, such as miners and traders, will change. For example, miners may rely less on block rewards and more on transaction fees to earn revenue and profits for their operations. The cryptocurrency's network will also transform, and its participants will be different from the retail traders that populate its current ecosystem.\nHowever, given the cryptocurrency's relatively undeveloped ecosystem, it is difficult to predict with certainty the effect of Bitcoin reaching its capped supply.\nWill Bitcoin Ever Reach the 21 Million Cap?\nBefore delving into the implications of Bitcoin's 21 million cap, it might be interesting to consider the question of whether it will ever reach that figure. Based on the cryptocurrency's current codebase and mining process, some observers say that Bitcoin may fall just shy of the 21 million figure.\nTo recap, Bitcoin is \"mined\" by miners who solve cryptographic puzzles to verify and validate a block of transactions occurring in its network. Block rewards, consisting of a set number of bitcoins, are distributed to miners who successfully confirm a transaction block. The rewards are halved every four years.\nThe rate that bitcoin are produced cuts in half about every four years. Investopedia\nWhen the cryptocurrency was launched, the reward for confirming a block of transactions was 50 bitcoins. In 2012, it was halved to 25 bitcoins, and it went down to 12.5 in 2016. In May 2020, miners stood to earn 6.25 bitcoin for every new block. Block rewards for Bitcoin miners will continue to be halved every four years until the final bitcoin is mined. Current estimates for mining of the final bitcoin put that date somewhere in February 2140.\n\nImportant:The Bitcoin mining process provides bitcoin rewards to miners, but the reward size decreases periodically to control the circulation of new tokens.\n\nAccording to Andreas M. Antonopoulos, author of a book about Bitcoin's workings, the 21 million figure is an \"asymptotic cap\" on the number of bitcoin in existence.In simple words, this means that, while it may reach very close to figure, the cryptocurrency will never reach that limit. This is because block rewards and Bitcoin supply are never expressed in exact terms. Bitcoin's code uses bit-shift operators—arithmetic operators used that round decimal points to the closest smallest integer in certain programming languages. Therefore, a total supply of 6.2589 bitcoins will be rounded out to the closest smallest integer, in this case 6.\nWhile it makes calculations easier, the practice leads to losses in satoshis, Bitcoin's constituent units, during each block confirmation. One bitcoin is equal to 100 million satoshis. According to some, the final bitcoin block will be numbered 6,929,999, and the total supply at that time will be 20,999,999.9769 satoshis. Since bitcoin uses a bit-shift operator system,3its algorithm will round off that figure to 20,999,999 and leave the cryptocurrency just shy of its 21 million targeted cap.\nWhat Happens When All 21 Million Bitcoin Are Mined?\nA consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. No bitcoins will be issued, but transaction blocks will be confirmed, and fees will become the primary source of revenue. Ultimately, Bitcoin's network may function as a closed economy, in which transaction fees are assessed much like taxes are.\nCan the rewards be in satoshis instead of actual bitcoin? Such a practice is unlikely and would require a change in the cryptocurrency's protocol to take effect.\nThat said, it is difficult to predict the effects of Bitcoin almost reaching the overall supply promised by Satoshi Nakamoto. This is partly because Bitcoin's ecosystem is still undeveloped. The cryptocurrency was originally conceptualized as a medium of exchange but it has found more popularity as a store of value—an investing asset—instead. It is possible that Bitcoin's ecosystem and workings might undergo a transformation, similar to the one that has occured in its identity, between now and 2140.\nImportant:Although there can only ever be a maximum of 21 million bitcoins, because people have lost their private keys or have died without leaving their private key instructions to anybody, the actual amount of available bitcoins in circulation could actually be millions less.\nFor example, there could be a protocol change in the cryptocurrency's blockchain to allow for more than 21 million bitcoin in existence. Remember, Bitcoin is an open source cryptocurrency and can be changed to create hard or soft forks that create new cryptocurrencies or alter its functioning. Some examples of the former are bitcoin cash(BCHUSD),litecoin(LTCUSD), anddogecoin(DOGEUSD), which have made minor modifications to Bitcoin's source code and created new coins that have racked up billions of dollars in market valuations.\nEffect on Bitcoin Miners\nBlock rewards and transaction fees are the most important sources of revenue for miners—the former more so than the latter in the current setup. High prices for bitcoin enable miners to cover operational costs and sustain business profits because they can sell their rewards stash in cryptocurrency markets.\nWhen Bitcoin is close to reaching its limit, the reward amounts may not be enough to cover operational costs at miners, let alone generate profits. If and when the supply limit is reached, Bitcoin rewards are supposed to vanish.\nIn both instances, transaction fees are expected to pick up the slack. The amount of and mechanism for these fees depends on the state of Bitcoin's network at that point in time—i.e., whether it is being used as a medium of exchange or as a store of value. The former may incur reasonable fees to enable Bitcoin's use in daily transactions, while the latter scenario will have miners conducting fewer and more expensive transactions.\nAnother possibility being put forward is that of miners forming cartels amongst themselves. They might control supply to set high transaction fees or a fee amount that guarantees them a minimum in profits.Selfish mining is another possibility. In this form of mining, miners collude amongst themselves to hide new blocks and release orphan blocks that are not confirmed by Bitcoin's network. This practice will delay production of the final block in Bitcoin's network and ensure high rewards for the new blocks when they are finally released into the network.\nThe formation of a Bitcoin miners' cartel is not a far-reaching conclusion. Such groupings already exist in other commodities whose supply is constrained or controlled. For example, oil prices are influenced to a large degree by OPEC's production output. Prices in the diamond industry are also reportedly set by a cartel led by mining giant DeBeers.\nEffect on Bitcoin's Network\nThe most valuable and useful aspect of Bitcoin is its network.Distributed ledger technology is a technological solution to the time-consuming bookkeeping and accounting that characterizes most financial transactions today.\nIf Bitcoin becomes popular as a medium of exchange in the future, its transaction numbers will surge. Past precedent has shown that there is a significant chance that the network will slow down. This is because Bitcoin's architecture, which relies on a distributed database to hold copies of massive ledgers, sacrifices speed for accuracy and integrity.\nIn such a scenario, it is likely that Layer 2 technologies, like the Lightning Network, will become responsible for confirming a majority of transactions on its network. Therefore, the cryptocurrency's actual network itself will be used only to settle large batches of transactions.\nA second possibility is that the number of transactions on Bitcoin's network falls. Such a situation is possible when Bitcoin becomes a reserve asset. Trades involving the cryptocurrency will be few. Retail traders and small trading firms, who dominate its current trading ecosystem, will be eliminated and replaced by large institutional players and established trading firms. They will conduct fewer and more expensive trades that will incur high transaction fees from miners.\nEffect on Bitcoin the Cryptocurrency\nBitcoin's inventor Satoshi Nakamoto designed the cryptocurrency to function as a medium of exchange for daily transactions. But its network has high transaction fees and slow processing times. Meanwhile, its scarcity and rising prices have become a magnet for speculative investors. Their bets on the cryptocurrency roulette have led to volatile price swings in the asset class deterring serious investors away from it. Regulators have criticized its ecosystem as a Wild West.\nBy the time that the last bitcoin is mined (or close to being mined), Bitcoin may have a more defined identity that it does currently. Side channels, like the Lightning Network, may have increased its network's transaction processing speed and enabled its use as a medium of exchange. Some countries like El Salvador are betting on such an eventuality and have made the cryptocurrency legal tender.\n\nFAST FACT\n\n\n El Salvador made Bitcoin legal tender on June 9, 2021.It is the first country to do so. The cryptocurrency can be used for any transaction where the business can accept it. The U.S. dollar continues to be El Salvador's primary currency.\n\nIn the United States, the latest significant events are the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) letter in January 2021 authorizing the use of crypto as a method of payment, PayPal Holdings, Inc.'s (PYPL) introduction of Bitcoin, and Tesla, Inc.'s (TSLA) acceptance of Bitcoin to purchase Tesla cars and solar roofs. Tesla reversed course on accepting Bitcoin in May 2021, citing environmental concerns around the resources required for Bitcoin mining.\nThe increasing scarcity in its numbers will also have driven up bitcoin's price and the corresponding valuation of cryptocurrency markets. Regulators tend to move quickly when increasing amounts of capital flows into an asset class, and it is likely that crypto markets and Bitcoin will also have come under the regulatory umbrella. That will be a sign for institutional investors to move into the cryptocurrency's ecosystem and stabilize its price swings with massive liquidity.\nThe Bottom Line\nBitcoin's 21 million supply cap is meant to control inflation that might, otherwise, result from an unlimited supply. But it has inflated the cryptocurrency's prices by making it a scarce commodity.\nWhen Bitcoin reaches the supply cap, it is likely that miners will shift from block rewards to transaction fees as their main source of revenue. Development of side channels, like the Lightning Network, may result in Bitcoin's blockchain restricting itself to confirmation of large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of significant numbers of bitcoins from one address on its blockchain to another. Bitcoin's identity—as a store of value and a medium of exchange—will also be more clearly defined than it is currently.\nBut none of these predictions are set in stone. The kinetic pace of developments in Bitcoin's ecosystem means that it is difficult to accurately predict its future. For example, the cryptocurrency's protocol may be changed to accommodate the production of more than 21 million bitcoins. Or, it may fall just shy of reaching 21 million.\nFrequently Asked Questions\n\nWhat is Bitcoin's total supply?\n\nThe total supply of bitcoins is capped at 21 million.\n\nWhat will happen to miner fees when Bitcoin's supply limit is reached?\n\nWhen Bitcoin supply reaches 21 million, miners will rely on transaction fees rather than block rewards, which will have vanished by then, for revenue.\n\nWhat will happen to Bitcoin's network when it reaches the supply limit?\n\nWhen Bitcoin reaches the 21 million supply limit, it is likely that side channels, like the Lightning Network, will do most of the heavy lifting in confirming its transactions. The cryptocurrency's blockchain be responsible for confirming only very large batches of transactions or ones that involve movement of large sums of bitcoin from one address to another.\n\nWhat happens if Bitcoin supply fails to reach the 21 million cap?\n\nOne consequence of Bitcoin not reaching its planned cap is that it leaves open the possibility that the cryptocurrency's network will remain functional for a long time after 2140. In keeping with Bitcoin's economics, rewards for confirming these blocks will be minimal.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":656,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":108662238,"gmtCreate":1620019751824,"gmtModify":1634208458377,"author":{"id":"3560823032838358","authorId":"3560823032838358","name":"enaid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/018156b10d9c4e41384c29654321846a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560823032838358","authorIdStr":"3560823032838358"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hodl","listText":"hodl","text":"hodl","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/108662238","repostId":"1174446367","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":101551129,"gmtCreate":1619924962761,"gmtModify":1634209075475,"author":{"id":"3560823032838358","authorId":"3560823032838358","name":"enaid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/018156b10d9c4e41384c29654321846a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560823032838358","authorIdStr":"3560823032838358"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"for reference","listText":"for reference","text":"for reference","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101551129","repostId":"1137943982","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":296,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}