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徐屹烽

徐屹烽

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2023-07-16

7月几号？

抱歉，原内容已删除

2022-05-12

$Beyond Meat, Inc.(BYND)$停牌是什么鬼

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08:55","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"市场会低估美联储决心吗？7月会议前夕，美联储大鹰派：还需加息两次！","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169395307","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美国通胀数据的降温并未影响美联储官员的加息论调，美联储理事沃勒高呼支持今年再加息两次，但市场押注7月将是最后一次加息，明年1月开始降息。除了沃勒外，三大美联储官员均在本周接连发出将继续加息的论调。可市场在数据公布后对美联储加息周期即将结束、利率峰值将至的预期进一步强化。美联储在做出政策决策时应基于经济数据。当前美联储面临的更大的风险是加息不足，而不是加息过度，尽管这两者的差距正在迅速缩小。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>美国通胀数据的降温并未影响美联储官员的加息论调，美联储理事沃勒高呼支持今年再加息两次，但市场押注7月将是最后一次加息，明年1月开始降息。</blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">7月会是美联储的最后一次加息吗？市场和美联储官员们的预期又出现了分歧。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">当地时间7月13日周四，美联储理事、“大鹰派”克里斯托弗·沃勒(Christopher Waller) 在纽约大学的活动上发表讲话称<strong>，支持美联储今年再加息两次，使通胀回到目标水平。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">沃勒认为美联储应该会在7月的会议加息，而在9月或之后的一次会议上应该还会再加息一次，沃勒解释称：</p><blockquote>就业市场依旧强劲叠加美国经济的韧性，为我们进一步收紧政策提供了空间。我认为第二次加息25个基点宜早不宜迟，但这一决定是为了未来。</blockquote><blockquote>我上月支持维持利率不变，以评估经济前景并应对近期银行业的压力，但现在这些麻烦似乎已经过去。</blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">就在沃勒讲话之前，美国刚刚公布CPI及PPI数据，继<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3693095\" title=\"6月CPI\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"\">6月CPI</a>同比增长放缓至两年多低谷后，美国<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3693199\" title=\"6月PPI\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"\">6月PPI</a>也意外大幅降温，同比增速从5月的1.1%放缓至0.1%，创近三年新低。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">对于增速正在放缓的CPI、PPI数据， 沃勒认为，仅靠一次通胀数据并不能判断通胀已经形成了持续放缓的趋势：</p><blockquote>美国通胀率曾在2021年夏天短暂放缓过，却在之后变得更糟，所以我需要看到这种趋势可以持续下去，然后才能判断通胀已经放缓。</blockquote><blockquote>现在美国劳动力市场仍然非常强劲且工资增速高于使通胀率回到2%的水平。</blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">除了沃勒外，三大美联储官员均在本周接连发出将继续加息的论调。可市场在数据公布后对美联储加息周期即将结束、利率峰值将至的预期进一步强化。</p><p><strong>美联储多位高官“齐放鹰”</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美联储负责监管的副主席Michael Barr表示，过去的一年，美联储的货币政策取得了很大的进展，离目标很接近，但还有一些工作要做。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国旧金山联储主席Mary Daly（非FOMC票委）认为，<strong>当前美国通胀率仍然过高，需要继续加息两次</strong>：</p><blockquote>看起来需要再加息两次，以遏制通胀。美联储在做出政策决策时应基于经济数据。当前美联储面临的更大的风险是加息不足，而不是加息过度，尽管这两者的差距正在迅速缩小。</blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Daly称，<strong>当前已经开始看到经济放缓的迹象，且供需正在更好地平衡。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国克利夫兰联储主席Loretta Meste（非FOMC票委）在加州大学圣迭戈分校的活动上表示，为了确保通胀回到2%，利率需要进一步上调，并保持一段时间。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">沃勒认为，美联储自2022年初以来的激进加息政策对经济的影响，已尽数体现：</p><blockquote>这意味着我们今年继续收紧政策是合理的，且还需要更多的紧缩才能让通胀回到2%的目标水平。</blockquote><p><strong>市场认为7月将是最后一次加息</strong></p><p>目前市场仍预计7月美联储将加息25个基点，在此之后，直到今年底都不会再加息，到明年1月将开始降息。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72094f6c3ab8c3294e9dc504bc8e5f73\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"397\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">投资管理公司Pendal Group认为，<strong>美联储降息可能比市场预期来得更快、更猛，届时短期美债将跑赢大盘。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据彭博社7月13日报道，Pendal驻悉尼收益策略主管Amy Xie Patrick称，<strong>2年期美债收益率中期内可能跌至4%左右</strong>，鉴于美国6月通胀降幅超出预期，美联储可能会更早开始放松政策。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">昨日，美国PPI数据公布后，美国10年期国债收益率日内降近10个基点，至3.76%，连降四日，较上周五刷新的四个月来高位回落超过30个基点。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6eca87565689484a2fc2fc8a4dfe394b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">对利率前景更敏感的2年期美债收益率收于4.63%，日内降近12个基点，连降两日，较上周四所创的2007年6月以来盘中高位回落近49个基点。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0abf006cf299645a60d892448d48bf78\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"393\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美元指数一年多来首次盘中跌穿100，又刷新去年4月14日以来盘中低位。<strong>离岸人民币三周多来首次盘中涨破7.15，日元六连涨。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed6901ac429161b74c8dc45eaac27320\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美元走软的支持下，多种大宗商品上涨。伦铜为首的多数基本金属继续上涨，黄金接近一个月高位，原油连涨三日，WTI 8月原油期货收涨1.50%，刷新4月25日以来收盘高位。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n市场会低估美联储决心吗？7月会议前夕，美联储大鹰派：还需加息两次！\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n2023-07-14 08:55 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<strong>华尔街见闻</strong>\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美国通胀数据的降温并未影响美联储官员的加息论调，美联储理事沃勒高呼支持今年再加息两次，但市场押注7月将是最后一次加息，明年1月开始降息。7月会是美联储的最后一次加息吗？市场和美联储官员们的预期又出现了分歧。当地时间7月13日周四，美联储理事、“大鹰派”克里斯托弗·沃勒(Christopher Waller) 在纽约大学的活动上发表讲话称，支持美联储今年再加息两次，使通胀回到目标水平。沃勒认为美联储...</p>\n\n<a href=\"\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f9e9a265cb0e7e8cb195039b2fe24a4","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169395307","content_text":"美国通胀数据的降温并未影响美联储官员的加息论调，美联储理事沃勒高呼支持今年再加息两次，但市场押注7月将是最后一次加息，明年1月开始降息。7月会是美联储的最后一次加息吗？市场和美联储官员们的预期又出现了分歧。当地时间7月13日周四，美联储理事、“大鹰派”克里斯托弗·沃勒(Christopher Waller) 在纽约大学的活动上发表讲话称，支持美联储今年再加息两次，使通胀回到目标水平。沃勒认为美联储应该会在7月的会议加息，而在9月或之后的一次会议上应该还会再加息一次，沃勒解释称：就业市场依旧强劲叠加美国经济的韧性，为我们进一步收紧政策提供了空间。我认为第二次加息25个基点宜早不宜迟，但这一决定是为了未来。我上月支持维持利率不变，以评估经济前景并应对近期银行业的压力，但现在这些麻烦似乎已经过去。就在沃勒讲话之前，美国刚刚公布CPI及PPI数据，继6月CPI同比增长放缓至两年多低谷后，美国6月PPI也意外大幅降温，同比增速从5月的1.1%放缓至0.1%，创近三年新低。对于增速正在放缓的CPI、PPI数据， 沃勒认为，仅靠一次通胀数据并不能判断通胀已经形成了持续放缓的趋势：美国通胀率曾在2021年夏天短暂放缓过，却在之后变得更糟，所以我需要看到这种趋势可以持续下去，然后才能判断通胀已经放缓。现在美国劳动力市场仍然非常强劲且工资增速高于使通胀率回到2%的水平。除了沃勒外，三大美联储官员均在本周接连发出将继续加息的论调。可市场在数据公布后对美联储加息周期即将结束、利率峰值将至的预期进一步强化。美联储多位高官“齐放鹰”美联储负责监管的副主席Michael Barr表示，过去的一年，美联储的货币政策取得了很大的进展，离目标很接近，但还有一些工作要做。美国旧金山联储主席Mary Daly（非FOMC票委）认为，当前美国通胀率仍然过高，需要继续加息两次：看起来需要再加息两次，以遏制通胀。美联储在做出政策决策时应基于经济数据。当前美联储面临的更大的风险是加息不足，而不是加息过度，尽管这两者的差距正在迅速缩小。Daly称，当前已经开始看到经济放缓的迹象，且供需正在更好地平衡。美国克利夫兰联储主席Loretta Meste（非FOMC票委）在加州大学圣迭戈分校的活动上表示，为了确保通胀回到2%，利率需要进一步上调，并保持一段时间。沃勒认为，美联储自2022年初以来的激进加息政策对经济的影响，已尽数体现：这意味着我们今年继续收紧政策是合理的，且还需要更多的紧缩才能让通胀回到2%的目标水平。市场认为7月将是最后一次加息目前市场仍预计7月美联储将加息25个基点，在此之后，直到今年底都不会再加息，到明年1月将开始降息。投资管理公司Pendal Group认为，美联储降息可能比市场预期来得更快、更猛，届时短期美债将跑赢大盘。据彭博社7月13日报道，Pendal驻悉尼收益策略主管Amy Xie Patrick称，2年期美债收益率中期内可能跌至4%左右，鉴于美国6月通胀降幅超出预期，美联储可能会更早开始放松政策。昨日，美国PPI数据公布后，美国10年期国债收益率日内降近10个基点，至3.76%，连降四日，较上周五刷新的四个月来高位回落超过30个基点。对利率前景更敏感的2年期美债收益率收于4.63%，日内降近12个基点，连降两日，较上周四所创的2007年6月以来盘中高位回落近49个基点。美元指数一年多来首次盘中跌穿100，又刷新去年4月14日以来盘中低位。离岸人民币三周多来首次盘中涨破7.15，日元六连涨。美元走软的支持下，多种大宗商品上涨。伦铜为首的多数基本金属继续上涨，黄金接近一个月高位，原油连涨三日，WTI 8月原油期货收涨1.50%，刷新4月25日以来收盘高位。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":995,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}