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先翻个1000倍
2020-03-13
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@Ivan_甘灿荣:原油黑天鹅兑现,WTI油价可能到25
先翻个1000倍
2019-07-10
$Netflix, Inc.(NFLX)$
一泻千里 卖早了
先翻个1000倍
2019-07-09
快下来吧
$微软(MSFT)$
先翻个1000倍
2019-06-29
$FUT:微型NQ100指数主连(MNQmain)$ 看跌
先翻个1000倍
2019-06-22
$老虎证券(TIGR)$ 立个flag,翻倍
先翻个1000倍
2019-06-22
任总牛逼!
抱歉,原内容已删除
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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最近一个月说股指比较多,其它商品的篇幅少了,那么最近就跟大家详细讲讲原油。因为与月底有我在老虎社区的直播课,到时候再跟大家详细讲讲股指方面的内容了。 一、原油分析 “原油从65美元开始算,运气好的话,跌三分一到45美元;运气不好的话,跌剩三分之一到25美元”。 这是我从去年到现在,无论是线下课,财经专访,写<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/916038828\" target=\"_blank\">《2020前瞻 暴跌的原油》</a>帖时一直反复强调的一句话。这句话是有根据的,不过在此之前先探讨一下这周的最重磅事件–减产联盟崩塌。 自2016-17年开始,沙特就联手俄罗斯一起减产,担起了支撑油价的责任。但是持续的减产也只是勉强将油价支撑在50美元附近,持续加码的减产迟早会触动某些成员国的核心利益,进而造成联盟松动,那么为什么俄罗斯就不肯加深减产呢?众说纷纭,我也不好猜测,只能罗列一种可能性,就是俄罗斯的市场份额可能在下降。 我们要知道当前世界最大的产油国不是沙特和俄罗斯,而是美国。当OPEC和俄罗斯不断减产支撑油价的时候,美国还在不断增产。如图: 根据CME和EIA的数据,可以看出美国页岩油的产量在2020年1月时仍在节节攀升。为何美国原油仍大幅增产?原因只有一个成本低。 上图是美国页岩油维持生产的成本价,当油价在50美元以上时,大部分页岩油商都有增产动力,只有油价跌至30美元以下时,这部分动力就会消失甚至减产。所以对应前文,为何我认为油价最悲观的预期会跌至25美元/桶,就是基于此。(通过一些技术手段统计原油历史数据分析可知,通常这种原油价格因重大事件或各国斗抢份额所导致大跌,往往跌幅都是跌剩3分1的) 二、策略 1、做空原油期货 在没有其它衍生工具选择的情况下,期货是最简单直接的。设定止损,做空原油期货。由于波动很大,所以即使您做","listText":"前言 最近一个月说股指比较多,其它商品的篇幅少了,那么最近就跟大家详细讲讲原油。因为与月底有我在老虎社区的直播课,到时候再跟大家详细讲讲股指方面的内容了。 一、原油分析 “原油从65美元开始算,运气好的话,跌三分一到45美元;运气不好的话,跌剩三分之一到25美元”。 这是我从去年到现在,无论是线下课,财经专访,写<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/916038828\" target=\"_blank\">《2020前瞻 暴跌的原油》</a>帖时一直反复强调的一句话。这句话是有根据的,不过在此之前先探讨一下这周的最重磅事件–减产联盟崩塌。 自2016-17年开始,沙特就联手俄罗斯一起减产,担起了支撑油价的责任。但是持续的减产也只是勉强将油价支撑在50美元附近,持续加码的减产迟早会触动某些成员国的核心利益,进而造成联盟松动,那么为什么俄罗斯就不肯加深减产呢?众说纷纭,我也不好猜测,只能罗列一种可能性,就是俄罗斯的市场份额可能在下降。 我们要知道当前世界最大的产油国不是沙特和俄罗斯,而是美国。当OPEC和俄罗斯不断减产支撑油价的时候,美国还在不断增产。如图: 根据CME和EIA的数据,可以看出美国页岩油的产量在2020年1月时仍在节节攀升。为何美国原油仍大幅增产?原因只有一个成本低。 上图是美国页岩油维持生产的成本价,当油价在50美元以上时,大部分页岩油商都有增产动力,只有油价跌至30美元以下时,这部分动力就会消失甚至减产。所以对应前文,为何我认为油价最悲观的预期会跌至25美元/桶,就是基于此。(通过一些技术手段统计原油历史数据分析可知,通常这种原油价格因重大事件或各国斗抢份额所导致大跌,往往跌幅都是跌剩3分1的) 二、策略 1、做空原油期货 在没有其它衍生工具选择的情况下,期货是最简单直接的。设定止损,做空原油期货。由于波动很大,所以即使您做","text":"前言 最近一个月说股指比较多,其它商品的篇幅少了,那么最近就跟大家详细讲讲原油。因为与月底有我在老虎社区的直播课,到时候再跟大家详细讲讲股指方面的内容了。 一、原油分析 “原油从65美元开始算,运气好的话,跌三分一到45美元;运气不好的话,跌剩三分之一到25美元”。 这是我从去年到现在,无论是线下课,财经专访,写《2020前瞻 暴跌的原油》帖时一直反复强调的一句话。这句话是有根据的,不过在此之前先探讨一下这周的最重磅事件–减产联盟崩塌。 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卖早了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/990559091","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2917,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":965736345,"gmtCreate":1584068847387,"gmtModify":1704352884654,"author":{"id":"3511829861867091","authorId":"3511829861867091","name":"先翻个1000倍","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90ae31aa35b6cf1c698fdb4db2bbed35","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/965736345","repostId":"981898913","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":981898913,"gmtCreate":1583680322630,"gmtModify":1704350382000,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"原油黑天鹅兑现,WTI油价可能到25","htmlText":"前言 最近一个月说股指比较多,其它商品的篇幅少了,那么最近就跟大家详细讲讲原油。因为与月底有我在老虎社区的直播课,到时候再跟大家详细讲讲股指方面的内容了。 一、原油分析 “原油从65美元开始算,运气好的话,跌三分一到45美元;运气不好的话,跌剩三分之一到25美元”。 这是我从去年到现在,无论是线下课,财经专访,写<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/916038828\" target=\"_blank\">《2020前瞻 暴跌的原油》</a>帖时一直反复强调的一句话。这句话是有根据的,不过在此之前先探讨一下这周的最重磅事件–减产联盟崩塌。 自2016-17年开始,沙特就联手俄罗斯一起减产,担起了支撑油价的责任。但是持续的减产也只是勉强将油价支撑在50美元附近,持续加码的减产迟早会触动某些成员国的核心利益,进而造成联盟松动,那么为什么俄罗斯就不肯加深减产呢?众说纷纭,我也不好猜测,只能罗列一种可能性,就是俄罗斯的市场份额可能在下降。 我们要知道当前世界最大的产油国不是沙特和俄罗斯,而是美国。当OPEC和俄罗斯不断减产支撑油价的时候,美国还在不断增产。如图: 根据CME和EIA的数据,可以看出美国页岩油的产量在2020年1月时仍在节节攀升。为何美国原油仍大幅增产?原因只有一个成本低。 上图是美国页岩油维持生产的成本价,当油价在50美元以上时,大部分页岩油商都有增产动力,只有油价跌至30美元以下时,这部分动力就会消失甚至减产。所以对应前文,为何我认为油价最悲观的预期会跌至25美元/桶,就是基于此。(通过一些技术手段统计原油历史数据分析可知,通常这种原油价格因重大事件或各国斗抢份额所导致大跌,往往跌幅都是跌剩3分1的) 二、策略 1、做空原油期货 在没有其它衍生工具选择的情况下,期货是最简单直接的。设定止损,做空原油期货。由于波动很大,所以即使您做","listText":"前言 最近一个月说股指比较多,其它商品的篇幅少了,那么最近就跟大家详细讲讲原油。因为与月底有我在老虎社区的直播课,到时候再跟大家详细讲讲股指方面的内容了。 一、原油分析 “原油从65美元开始算,运气好的话,跌三分一到45美元;运气不好的话,跌剩三分之一到25美元”。 这是我从去年到现在,无论是线下课,财经专访,写<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/916038828\" target=\"_blank\">《2020前瞻 暴跌的原油》</a>帖时一直反复强调的一句话。这句话是有根据的,不过在此之前先探讨一下这周的最重磅事件–减产联盟崩塌。 自2016-17年开始,沙特就联手俄罗斯一起减产,担起了支撑油价的责任。但是持续的减产也只是勉强将油价支撑在50美元附近,持续加码的减产迟早会触动某些成员国的核心利益,进而造成联盟松动,那么为什么俄罗斯就不肯加深减产呢?众说纷纭,我也不好猜测,只能罗列一种可能性,就是俄罗斯的市场份额可能在下降。 我们要知道当前世界最大的产油国不是沙特和俄罗斯,而是美国。当OPEC和俄罗斯不断减产支撑油价的时候,美国还在不断增产。如图: 根据CME和EIA的数据,可以看出美国页岩油的产量在2020年1月时仍在节节攀升。为何美国原油仍大幅增产?原因只有一个成本低。 上图是美国页岩油维持生产的成本价,当油价在50美元以上时,大部分页岩油商都有增产动力,只有油价跌至30美元以下时,这部分动力就会消失甚至减产。所以对应前文,为何我认为油价最悲观的预期会跌至25美元/桶,就是基于此。(通过一些技术手段统计原油历史数据分析可知,通常这种原油价格因重大事件或各国斗抢份额所导致大跌,往往跌幅都是跌剩3分1的) 二、策略 1、做空原油期货 在没有其它衍生工具选择的情况下,期货是最简单直接的。设定止损,做空原油期货。由于波动很大,所以即使您做","text":"前言 最近一个月说股指比较多,其它商品的篇幅少了,那么最近就跟大家详细讲讲原油。因为与月底有我在老虎社区的直播课,到时候再跟大家详细讲讲股指方面的内容了。 一、原油分析 “原油从65美元开始算,运气好的话,跌三分一到45美元;运气不好的话,跌剩三分之一到25美元”。 这是我从去年到现在,无论是线下课,财经专访,写《2020前瞻 暴跌的原油》帖时一直反复强调的一句话。这句话是有根据的,不过在此之前先探讨一下这周的最重磅事件–减产联盟崩塌。 自2016-17年开始,沙特就联手俄罗斯一起减产,担起了支撑油价的责任。但是持续的减产也只是勉强将油价支撑在50美元附近,持续加码的减产迟早会触动某些成员国的核心利益,进而造成联盟松动,那么为什么俄罗斯就不肯加深减产呢?众说纷纭,我也不好猜测,只能罗列一种可能性,就是俄罗斯的市场份额可能在下降。 我们要知道当前世界最大的产油国不是沙特和俄罗斯,而是美国。当OPEC和俄罗斯不断减产支撑油价的时候,美国还在不断增产。如图: 根据CME和EIA的数据,可以看出美国页岩油的产量在2020年1月时仍在节节攀升。为何美国原油仍大幅增产?原因只有一个成本低。 上图是美国页岩油维持生产的成本价,当油价在50美元以上时,大部分页岩油商都有增产动力,只有油价跌至30美元以下时,这部分动力就会消失甚至减产。所以对应前文,为何我认为油价最悲观的预期会跌至25美元/桶,就是基于此。(通过一些技术手段统计原油历史数据分析可知,通常这种原油价格因重大事件或各国斗抢份额所导致大跌,往往跌幅都是跌剩3分1的) 二、策略 1、做空原油期货 在没有其它衍生工具选择的情况下,期货是最简单直接的。设定止损,做空原油期货。由于波动很大,所以即使您做","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bc84e8cb8e7941cc913ea470eb4d5f4"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd9830c01f8c196dfaf30856eac08189"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0233f660e19be8630225d3feee9642f4"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/981898913","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1545,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":904464429,"gmtCreate":1561215134861,"gmtModify":1704701674764,"author":{"id":"3511829861867091","authorId":"3511829861867091","name":"先翻个1000倍","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90ae31aa35b6cf1c698fdb4db2bbed35","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$老虎证券(TIGR)$ 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