+关注
Lancerrr
暂无个人介绍
IP属地:北京
11
关注
0
粉丝
0
主题
0
勋章
主贴
热门
Lancerrr
01-26
讲真,美国这一**作效果堪称奇迹。加息如此激进还取得了这样的经济数据,只能说好厉害!
抱歉,原内容已删除
去老虎APP查看更多动态
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":3505987662210980,"uuid":"3505987662210980","gmtCreate":1542894947083,"gmtModify":1542894947083,"name":"Lancerrr","pinyin":"lancerrr","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":0,"headSize":11,"tweetSize":1,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":0,"name":"","nameTw":"","represent":"","factor":"","iconColor":"","bgColor":""},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-4","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"明星虎友","description":"加入老虎社区2000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6304700d92ad91c7a33e2e92ec32ecc1","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.05.15","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":2,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"北京","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":267249171906824,"gmtCreate":1706270849809,"gmtModify":1706276285078,"author":{"id":"3505987662210980","authorId":"3505987662210980","authorIdStr":"3505987662210980","name":"Lancerrr","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"讲真,美国这一**作效果堪称奇迹。加息如此激进还取得了这样的经济数据,只能说好厉害!","listText":"讲真,美国这一**作效果堪称奇迹。加息如此激进还取得了这样的经济数据,只能说好厉害!","text":"讲真,美国这一**作效果堪称奇迹。加息如此激进还取得了这样的经济数据,只能说好厉害!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/267249171906824","repostId":"2406752471","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":598,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3505987662210980","authorId":"3505987662210980","authorIdStr":"3505987662210980","name":"Lancerrr","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"这一@轮@操@作效果,这tm都能敏感词?","text":"这一@轮@操@作效果,这tm都能敏感词?","html":"这一@轮@操@作效果,这tm都能敏感词?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":267249171906824,"gmtCreate":1706270849809,"gmtModify":1706276285078,"author":{"id":"3505987662210980","authorId":"3505987662210980","authorIdStr":"3505987662210980","name":"Lancerrr","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"讲真,美国这一**作效果堪称奇迹。加息如此激进还取得了这样的经济数据,只能说好厉害!","listText":"讲真,美国这一**作效果堪称奇迹。加息如此激进还取得了这样的经济数据,只能说好厉害!","text":"讲真,美国这一**作效果堪称奇迹。加息如此激进还取得了这样的经济数据,只能说好厉害!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/267249171906824","repostId":"2406752471","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2406752471","pubTimestamp":1706267413,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2406752471?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-01-26 19:10","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美国GDP超预期,意味着软着陆?未必,还有个大隐患","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2406752471","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美国四季度1美元的GDP增长,是用1.55美元赤字、超2.50美元债务换来的。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p><strong>美国四季度1美元的GDP增长,是用1.55美元赤字、超2.50美元债务换来的。</strong></p></blockquote><p>高利率下美国GDP大超预期,是用赤字和债务堆出来的高速增长。</p><p>隔夜,美国商务部发布的数据显示,美国第四季度实际GDP年化季环比初值按年增长3.3%,远超出市场预期的2%,美国2023年全年经济增长2.5%,相比之下2022年为1.9%。</p><p>具体来看,美国第四季度GDP增加了3290亿美元至27.939万亿美元,有分析指出,增长的主要因素是库存去化不足,尽管美元飙升但出口激增,以及医疗支出和房车购买支出激增。</p><p>对于这一增速,美国总统在X发文称:</p><blockquote><p>去年经济增长了3.1%,同时又增加了270万个就业岗位,核心通胀回落至疫情前水平,这意味着现在的工资、财富和就业率都高于疫情前。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/161a3b69b4d1fcc70cb3c2e73cb54af1\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"270\"/></p></blockquote><p>美国经济背后的增长动力是什么?或者说实现拜登口中通胀回落,经济保持增长付出了什么?</p><p>下图显示了以名义美元计算的第四季度GDP的变化,以及相应的美国预算赤字增长和债务的增加。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22b6c624b91db5b285b12f464abb0d2b\" tg-width=\"861\" tg-height=\"578\"/></p><p>可以看出,在同一时期,美国预算赤字增加了50%以上,达到5100亿美元。在同一时期,美国公共债务增加了8340 亿美元,较GDP增幅高出了154%。</p><p><strong>这意味着,需要1.55美元的预算赤字、超过2.50美元的债务才能换来1美元的经济增长。</strong></p><p>分析指出,去年美国债务增长了2.581万亿美元,这意味着GDP每增长1美元就会新增1.69美元的债务,也意味着每新增一个工作岗位,就会使未来几代美国人损失957100.48美元。</p><p>此前文章指出,分析预测如果按照目前的速度发展下去,2024年的赤字将高于2万亿美元。FRED数据显示,联邦利息支出总额正呈指数级增长,有史以来首次超过1万亿美元。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40b2e3b0b97364fb783ebb932b75df22\" tg-width=\"919\" tg-height=\"526\"/></p><p>债务方面,美国财政部本月初发布的报告显示,美国联邦债务首次达到34万亿美元。规模庞大的债务引发担忧,美国财长耶伦表示:</p><blockquote><p>34万亿美元的债务是一个“可怕的数字”,但美国同时也拥有庞大的经济。实际偿债成本仍然“相当可控”,我们必须采取措施确保赤字可控。</p></blockquote></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_hot_news","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国GDP超预期,意味着软着陆?未必,还有个大隐患</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国GDP超预期,意味着软着陆?未必,还有个大隐患\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-01-26 19:10 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3707284><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美国四季度1美元的GDP增长,是用1.55美元赤字、超2.50美元债务换来的。高利率下美国GDP大超预期,是用赤字和债务堆出来的高速增长。隔夜,美国商务部发布的数据显示,美国第四季度实际GDP年化季环比初值按年增长3.3%,远超出市场预期的2%,美国2023年全年经济增长2.5%,相比之下2022年为1.9%。具体来看,美国第四季度GDP增加了3290亿美元至27.939万亿美元,有分析指出,增长...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3707284\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3018013d3bf52fd8a6ece6aac1593aec","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3707284","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2406752471","content_text":"美国四季度1美元的GDP增长,是用1.55美元赤字、超2.50美元债务换来的。高利率下美国GDP大超预期,是用赤字和债务堆出来的高速增长。隔夜,美国商务部发布的数据显示,美国第四季度实际GDP年化季环比初值按年增长3.3%,远超出市场预期的2%,美国2023年全年经济增长2.5%,相比之下2022年为1.9%。具体来看,美国第四季度GDP增加了3290亿美元至27.939万亿美元,有分析指出,增长的主要因素是库存去化不足,尽管美元飙升但出口激增,以及医疗支出和房车购买支出激增。对于这一增速,美国总统在X发文称:去年经济增长了3.1%,同时又增加了270万个就业岗位,核心通胀回落至疫情前水平,这意味着现在的工资、财富和就业率都高于疫情前。美国经济背后的增长动力是什么?或者说实现拜登口中通胀回落,经济保持增长付出了什么?下图显示了以名义美元计算的第四季度GDP的变化,以及相应的美国预算赤字增长和债务的增加。可以看出,在同一时期,美国预算赤字增加了50%以上,达到5100亿美元。在同一时期,美国公共债务增加了8340 亿美元,较GDP增幅高出了154%。这意味着,需要1.55美元的预算赤字、超过2.50美元的债务才能换来1美元的经济增长。分析指出,去年美国债务增长了2.581万亿美元,这意味着GDP每增长1美元就会新增1.69美元的债务,也意味着每新增一个工作岗位,就会使未来几代美国人损失957100.48美元。此前文章指出,分析预测如果按照目前的速度发展下去,2024年的赤字将高于2万亿美元。FRED数据显示,联邦利息支出总额正呈指数级增长,有史以来首次超过1万亿美元。债务方面,美国财政部本月初发布的报告显示,美国联邦债务首次达到34万亿美元。规模庞大的债务引发担忧,美国财长耶伦表示:34万亿美元的债务是一个“可怕的数字”,但美国同时也拥有庞大的经济。实际偿债成本仍然“相当可控”,我们必须采取措施确保赤字可控。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":598,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3505987662210980","authorId":"3505987662210980","authorIdStr":"3505987662210980","name":"Lancerrr","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"这一@轮@操@作效果,这tm都能敏感词?","text":"这一@轮@操@作效果,这tm都能敏感词?","html":"这一@轮@操@作效果,这tm都能敏感词?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}