+关注
股市小作手
热衷股市博弈,并沉浸交易带来的乐趣\(^o^)/YES!
IP属地:广东
75
关注
0
粉丝
0
主题
0
勋章
主贴
热门
股市小作手
2019-10-31
2019-10-31 交易笔记 by 股市小作手
2019-10-31 成本 现价 浮动收益 纳伯斯(NBR) 1.83 1.89 3.72% 只要原油价格不继续往下,整个石油行业看一波反弹我觉得还是有操作意义的,所以坚持了这笔多单
2019-10-31 交易笔记 by 股市小作手
股市小作手
2019-10-31
这个胜率在加强一下,在美股市场混下去应该没问题
股市小作手
2019-02-25
$虎牙(HUYA)$当初剩余仓位随便买了虎牙一不小心成了大腿
股市小作手
2019-01-02
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@好文:2019:分化的风险与集聚的机会
去老虎APP查看更多动态
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3492646123461782","uuid":"3492646123461782","gmtCreate":1529552102640,"gmtModify":1529552102640,"name":"股市小作手","pinyin":"gsxzsgushixiaozuoshou","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"热衷股市博弈,并沉浸交易带来的乐趣\\(^o^)/YES!","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd195c281837f0d9d7e66437cce15aa9","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":0,"headSize":75,"tweetSize":4,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":900,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":2,"name":"无畏虎","nameTw":"無畏虎","represent":"初生牛犊","factor":"发布3条非转发主帖,1条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-4","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"明星虎友","description":"加入老虎社区2000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6304700d92ad91c7a33e2e92ec32ecc1","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.12.13","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-3","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资合伙人虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到100万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"93.82%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"93.55%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-4","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"明星虎友","description":"加入老虎社区2000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6304700d92ad91c7a33e2e92ec32ecc1","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.12.13","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"广东","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":932998739,"gmtCreate":1572514600221,"gmtModify":1704724501414,"author":{"id":"3492646123461782","authorId":"3492646123461782","name":"股市小作手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd195c281837f0d9d7e66437cce15aa9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492646123461782","authorIdStr":"3492646123461782"},"themes":[],"title":"2019-10-31 交易笔记 by 股市小作手","htmlText":"2019-10-31 成本 现价 浮动收益 纳伯斯(NBR) 1.83 1.89 3.72% 只要原油价格不继续往下,整个石油行业看一波反弹我觉得还是有操作意义的,所以坚持了这笔多单","listText":"2019-10-31 成本 现价 浮动收益 纳伯斯(NBR) 1.83 1.89 3.72% 只要原油价格不继续往下,整个石油行业看一波反弹我觉得还是有操作意义的,所以坚持了这笔多单","text":"2019-10-31 成本 现价 浮动收益 纳伯斯(NBR) 1.83 1.89 3.72% 只要原油价格不继续往下,整个石油行业看一波反弹我觉得还是有操作意义的,所以坚持了这笔多单","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e0b8497fee3f81777d4f9c6f4bea76c","width":"1080","height":"1269"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/932998739","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":329,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":932993480,"gmtCreate":1572513527340,"gmtModify":1704724497729,"author":{"id":"3492646123461782","authorId":"3492646123461782","name":"股市小作手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd195c281837f0d9d7e66437cce15aa9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492646123461782","authorIdStr":"3492646123461782"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这个胜率在加强一下,在美股市场混下去应该没问题","listText":"这个胜率在加强一下,在美股市场混下去应该没问题","text":"这个胜率在加强一下,在美股市场混下去应该没问题","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d11544bc9d5fd99a43270506c9ab36a","width":"1079","height":"718"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/932993480","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":273,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":408047,"gmtCreate":1551099536812,"gmtModify":1704790472885,"author":{"id":"3492646123461782","authorId":"3492646123461782","name":"股市小作手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd195c281837f0d9d7e66437cce15aa9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492646123461782","authorIdStr":"3492646123461782"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$虎牙(HUYA)$当初剩余仓位随便买了虎牙一不小心成了大腿","listText":"$虎牙(HUYA)$当初剩余仓位随便买了虎牙一不小心成了大腿","text":"$虎牙(HUYA)$当初剩余仓位随便买了虎牙一不小心成了大腿","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83b077f11f8dd39a56ad84ddcf84d26e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/408047","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":978,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":368686,"gmtCreate":1546431885745,"gmtModify":1704785530074,"author":{"id":"3492646123461782","authorId":"3492646123461782","name":"股市小作手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd195c281837f0d9d7e66437cce15aa9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492646123461782","authorIdStr":"3492646123461782"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368686","repostId":"368508","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":368508,"gmtCreate":1546412607073,"gmtModify":1704785505159,"author":{"id":"36990708048000","authorId":"36990708048000","name":"好文","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30ffc647410e858943769a0c5937ac1e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36990708048000","authorIdStr":"36990708048000"},"themes":[],"title":"2019:分化的风险与集聚的机会","htmlText":"原创: 李迅雷 李迅雷金融与投资 (转载请注明出处:微信公众号lixunlei0722) 日前,本人接受今日头条与新华网的联合微访谈,就卖方研究模式、宏观经济走势与大类资产配置提出了粗浅的观点,应不少读者要求,略作整理和归纳。我在2017年提出了存量经济的观点,认为随着经济增速下行,经济结构变化特征会强于周期性特征。人口、地域、收入、产业、企业的分化和集聚开始加速——分化造成风险,集聚带来机会。 从政策层面看,稳中求进将继续成为2019年治国理政的总原则;从投资层面看,风险偏好下降会成为2019年配置资产主要依据;投资方向上,水往低处走,是为了寻找估值洼地,人往高处走,是为了免受风险冲击。 券商研究所如何应对卖方研究3.0时代 问:在“后新财富”时代,卖方整体环境已经发生了翻天覆地的变化,近期也感受到一些研究员的迷茫。作为所长和资深前辈,你认为卖方分析师应该如何更好体现自己的价值? 李迅雷:目前卖方研究已经严重过剩了,而且研究模式、研究方法与研究方向同质化情况非常严重。从今后看,研究分佣模式未必会长期持续下去,最佳分析师的评选活动仍会继续,也未必能大幅抬高分析师的身价,分析师主要还是靠研究专长来体现自身价值。 目前,只要一发生重大事件,各种点评报告、分析报告以最快的速度、第一时间发送给客户,或者更多是通过自媒体方式来对外传递。这种如潮水般涌向网络媒体的报告,往往有过度解读之嫌,究竟有多少价值,值得怀疑。 在10年前,我曾经对研究员的评价方法用三个不同维度来评估,一是知识的全面性;二是研究深度;三是社会资源的组织能力。 一般而言,要在三个不同方向都获得高分很难,但凡有一项能够获得高分就不错了。这就是为什么如今的卖方研究都需要团队合作,目的在于取长补短。但即便如此,在信息过度泛滥的情况下,卖方研究需要具有深度、独特性,需要为机构客户提供度身打造的个性化服务,这就需要沉下心来做研","listText":"原创: 李迅雷 李迅雷金融与投资 (转载请注明出处:微信公众号lixunlei0722) 日前,本人接受今日头条与新华网的联合微访谈,就卖方研究模式、宏观经济走势与大类资产配置提出了粗浅的观点,应不少读者要求,略作整理和归纳。我在2017年提出了存量经济的观点,认为随着经济增速下行,经济结构变化特征会强于周期性特征。人口、地域、收入、产业、企业的分化和集聚开始加速——分化造成风险,集聚带来机会。 从政策层面看,稳中求进将继续成为2019年治国理政的总原则;从投资层面看,风险偏好下降会成为2019年配置资产主要依据;投资方向上,水往低处走,是为了寻找估值洼地,人往高处走,是为了免受风险冲击。 券商研究所如何应对卖方研究3.0时代 问:在“后新财富”时代,卖方整体环境已经发生了翻天覆地的变化,近期也感受到一些研究员的迷茫。作为所长和资深前辈,你认为卖方分析师应该如何更好体现自己的价值? 李迅雷:目前卖方研究已经严重过剩了,而且研究模式、研究方法与研究方向同质化情况非常严重。从今后看,研究分佣模式未必会长期持续下去,最佳分析师的评选活动仍会继续,也未必能大幅抬高分析师的身价,分析师主要还是靠研究专长来体现自身价值。 目前,只要一发生重大事件,各种点评报告、分析报告以最快的速度、第一时间发送给客户,或者更多是通过自媒体方式来对外传递。这种如潮水般涌向网络媒体的报告,往往有过度解读之嫌,究竟有多少价值,值得怀疑。 在10年前,我曾经对研究员的评价方法用三个不同维度来评估,一是知识的全面性;二是研究深度;三是社会资源的组织能力。 一般而言,要在三个不同方向都获得高分很难,但凡有一项能够获得高分就不错了。这就是为什么如今的卖方研究都需要团队合作,目的在于取长补短。但即便如此,在信息过度泛滥的情况下,卖方研究需要具有深度、独特性,需要为机构客户提供度身打造的个性化服务,这就需要沉下心来做研","text":"原创: 李迅雷 李迅雷金融与投资 (转载请注明出处:微信公众号lixunlei0722) 日前,本人接受今日头条与新华网的联合微访谈,就卖方研究模式、宏观经济走势与大类资产配置提出了粗浅的观点,应不少读者要求,略作整理和归纳。我在2017年提出了存量经济的观点,认为随着经济增速下行,经济结构变化特征会强于周期性特征。人口、地域、收入、产业、企业的分化和集聚开始加速——分化造成风险,集聚带来机会。 从政策层面看,稳中求进将继续成为2019年治国理政的总原则;从投资层面看,风险偏好下降会成为2019年配置资产主要依据;投资方向上,水往低处走,是为了寻找估值洼地,人往高处走,是为了免受风险冲击。 券商研究所如何应对卖方研究3.0时代 问:在“后新财富”时代,卖方整体环境已经发生了翻天覆地的变化,近期也感受到一些研究员的迷茫。作为所长和资深前辈,你认为卖方分析师应该如何更好体现自己的价值? 李迅雷:目前卖方研究已经严重过剩了,而且研究模式、研究方法与研究方向同质化情况非常严重。从今后看,研究分佣模式未必会长期持续下去,最佳分析师的评选活动仍会继续,也未必能大幅抬高分析师的身价,分析师主要还是靠研究专长来体现自身价值。 目前,只要一发生重大事件,各种点评报告、分析报告以最快的速度、第一时间发送给客户,或者更多是通过自媒体方式来对外传递。这种如潮水般涌向网络媒体的报告,往往有过度解读之嫌,究竟有多少价值,值得怀疑。 在10年前,我曾经对研究员的评价方法用三个不同维度来评估,一是知识的全面性;二是研究深度;三是社会资源的组织能力。 一般而言,要在三个不同方向都获得高分很难,但凡有一项能够获得高分就不错了。这就是为什么如今的卖方研究都需要团队合作,目的在于取长补短。但即便如此,在信息过度泛滥的情况下,卖方研究需要具有深度、独特性,需要为机构客户提供度身打造的个性化服务,这就需要沉下心来做研","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8342204e0b5824e1d60ede9cf46e8799"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368508","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":752,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":932993480,"gmtCreate":1572513527340,"gmtModify":1704724497729,"author":{"id":"3492646123461782","authorId":"3492646123461782","name":"股市小作手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd195c281837f0d9d7e66437cce15aa9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492646123461782","authorIdStr":"3492646123461782"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这个胜率在加强一下,在美股市场混下去应该没问题","listText":"这个胜率在加强一下,在美股市场混下去应该没问题","text":"这个胜率在加强一下,在美股市场混下去应该没问题","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d11544bc9d5fd99a43270506c9ab36a","width":"1079","height":"718"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/932993480","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":273,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":408047,"gmtCreate":1551099536812,"gmtModify":1704790472885,"author":{"id":"3492646123461782","authorId":"3492646123461782","name":"股市小作手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd195c281837f0d9d7e66437cce15aa9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492646123461782","authorIdStr":"3492646123461782"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$虎牙(HUYA)$当初剩余仓位随便买了虎牙一不小心成了大腿","listText":"$虎牙(HUYA)$当初剩余仓位随便买了虎牙一不小心成了大腿","text":"$虎牙(HUYA)$当初剩余仓位随便买了虎牙一不小心成了大腿","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83b077f11f8dd39a56ad84ddcf84d26e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/408047","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":978,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":932998739,"gmtCreate":1572514600221,"gmtModify":1704724501414,"author":{"id":"3492646123461782","authorId":"3492646123461782","name":"股市小作手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd195c281837f0d9d7e66437cce15aa9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492646123461782","authorIdStr":"3492646123461782"},"themes":[],"title":"2019-10-31 交易笔记 by 股市小作手","htmlText":"2019-10-31 成本 现价 浮动收益 纳伯斯(NBR) 1.83 1.89 3.72% 只要原油价格不继续往下,整个石油行业看一波反弹我觉得还是有操作意义的,所以坚持了这笔多单","listText":"2019-10-31 成本 现价 浮动收益 纳伯斯(NBR) 1.83 1.89 3.72% 只要原油价格不继续往下,整个石油行业看一波反弹我觉得还是有操作意义的,所以坚持了这笔多单","text":"2019-10-31 成本 现价 浮动收益 纳伯斯(NBR) 1.83 1.89 3.72% 只要原油价格不继续往下,整个石油行业看一波反弹我觉得还是有操作意义的,所以坚持了这笔多单","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e0b8497fee3f81777d4f9c6f4bea76c","width":"1080","height":"1269"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/932998739","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":329,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":368686,"gmtCreate":1546431885745,"gmtModify":1704785530074,"author":{"id":"3492646123461782","authorId":"3492646123461782","name":"股市小作手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd195c281837f0d9d7e66437cce15aa9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492646123461782","authorIdStr":"3492646123461782"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368686","repostId":"368508","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":368508,"gmtCreate":1546412607073,"gmtModify":1704785505159,"author":{"id":"36990708048000","authorId":"36990708048000","name":"好文","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30ffc647410e858943769a0c5937ac1e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36990708048000","authorIdStr":"36990708048000"},"themes":[],"title":"2019:分化的风险与集聚的机会","htmlText":"原创: 李迅雷 李迅雷金融与投资 (转载请注明出处:微信公众号lixunlei0722) 日前,本人接受今日头条与新华网的联合微访谈,就卖方研究模式、宏观经济走势与大类资产配置提出了粗浅的观点,应不少读者要求,略作整理和归纳。我在2017年提出了存量经济的观点,认为随着经济增速下行,经济结构变化特征会强于周期性特征。人口、地域、收入、产业、企业的分化和集聚开始加速——分化造成风险,集聚带来机会。 从政策层面看,稳中求进将继续成为2019年治国理政的总原则;从投资层面看,风险偏好下降会成为2019年配置资产主要依据;投资方向上,水往低处走,是为了寻找估值洼地,人往高处走,是为了免受风险冲击。 券商研究所如何应对卖方研究3.0时代 问:在“后新财富”时代,卖方整体环境已经发生了翻天覆地的变化,近期也感受到一些研究员的迷茫。作为所长和资深前辈,你认为卖方分析师应该如何更好体现自己的价值? 李迅雷:目前卖方研究已经严重过剩了,而且研究模式、研究方法与研究方向同质化情况非常严重。从今后看,研究分佣模式未必会长期持续下去,最佳分析师的评选活动仍会继续,也未必能大幅抬高分析师的身价,分析师主要还是靠研究专长来体现自身价值。 目前,只要一发生重大事件,各种点评报告、分析报告以最快的速度、第一时间发送给客户,或者更多是通过自媒体方式来对外传递。这种如潮水般涌向网络媒体的报告,往往有过度解读之嫌,究竟有多少价值,值得怀疑。 在10年前,我曾经对研究员的评价方法用三个不同维度来评估,一是知识的全面性;二是研究深度;三是社会资源的组织能力。 一般而言,要在三个不同方向都获得高分很难,但凡有一项能够获得高分就不错了。这就是为什么如今的卖方研究都需要团队合作,目的在于取长补短。但即便如此,在信息过度泛滥的情况下,卖方研究需要具有深度、独特性,需要为机构客户提供度身打造的个性化服务,这就需要沉下心来做研","listText":"原创: 李迅雷 李迅雷金融与投资 (转载请注明出处:微信公众号lixunlei0722) 日前,本人接受今日头条与新华网的联合微访谈,就卖方研究模式、宏观经济走势与大类资产配置提出了粗浅的观点,应不少读者要求,略作整理和归纳。我在2017年提出了存量经济的观点,认为随着经济增速下行,经济结构变化特征会强于周期性特征。人口、地域、收入、产业、企业的分化和集聚开始加速——分化造成风险,集聚带来机会。 从政策层面看,稳中求进将继续成为2019年治国理政的总原则;从投资层面看,风险偏好下降会成为2019年配置资产主要依据;投资方向上,水往低处走,是为了寻找估值洼地,人往高处走,是为了免受风险冲击。 券商研究所如何应对卖方研究3.0时代 问:在“后新财富”时代,卖方整体环境已经发生了翻天覆地的变化,近期也感受到一些研究员的迷茫。作为所长和资深前辈,你认为卖方分析师应该如何更好体现自己的价值? 李迅雷:目前卖方研究已经严重过剩了,而且研究模式、研究方法与研究方向同质化情况非常严重。从今后看,研究分佣模式未必会长期持续下去,最佳分析师的评选活动仍会继续,也未必能大幅抬高分析师的身价,分析师主要还是靠研究专长来体现自身价值。 目前,只要一发生重大事件,各种点评报告、分析报告以最快的速度、第一时间发送给客户,或者更多是通过自媒体方式来对外传递。这种如潮水般涌向网络媒体的报告,往往有过度解读之嫌,究竟有多少价值,值得怀疑。 在10年前,我曾经对研究员的评价方法用三个不同维度来评估,一是知识的全面性;二是研究深度;三是社会资源的组织能力。 一般而言,要在三个不同方向都获得高分很难,但凡有一项能够获得高分就不错了。这就是为什么如今的卖方研究都需要团队合作,目的在于取长补短。但即便如此,在信息过度泛滥的情况下,卖方研究需要具有深度、独特性,需要为机构客户提供度身打造的个性化服务,这就需要沉下心来做研","text":"原创: 李迅雷 李迅雷金融与投资 (转载请注明出处:微信公众号lixunlei0722) 日前,本人接受今日头条与新华网的联合微访谈,就卖方研究模式、宏观经济走势与大类资产配置提出了粗浅的观点,应不少读者要求,略作整理和归纳。我在2017年提出了存量经济的观点,认为随着经济增速下行,经济结构变化特征会强于周期性特征。人口、地域、收入、产业、企业的分化和集聚开始加速——分化造成风险,集聚带来机会。 从政策层面看,稳中求进将继续成为2019年治国理政的总原则;从投资层面看,风险偏好下降会成为2019年配置资产主要依据;投资方向上,水往低处走,是为了寻找估值洼地,人往高处走,是为了免受风险冲击。 券商研究所如何应对卖方研究3.0时代 问:在“后新财富”时代,卖方整体环境已经发生了翻天覆地的变化,近期也感受到一些研究员的迷茫。作为所长和资深前辈,你认为卖方分析师应该如何更好体现自己的价值? 李迅雷:目前卖方研究已经严重过剩了,而且研究模式、研究方法与研究方向同质化情况非常严重。从今后看,研究分佣模式未必会长期持续下去,最佳分析师的评选活动仍会继续,也未必能大幅抬高分析师的身价,分析师主要还是靠研究专长来体现自身价值。 目前,只要一发生重大事件,各种点评报告、分析报告以最快的速度、第一时间发送给客户,或者更多是通过自媒体方式来对外传递。这种如潮水般涌向网络媒体的报告,往往有过度解读之嫌,究竟有多少价值,值得怀疑。 在10年前,我曾经对研究员的评价方法用三个不同维度来评估,一是知识的全面性;二是研究深度;三是社会资源的组织能力。 一般而言,要在三个不同方向都获得高分很难,但凡有一项能够获得高分就不错了。这就是为什么如今的卖方研究都需要团队合作,目的在于取长补短。但即便如此,在信息过度泛滥的情况下,卖方研究需要具有深度、独特性,需要为机构客户提供度身打造的个性化服务,这就需要沉下心来做研","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8342204e0b5824e1d60ede9cf46e8799"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368508","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":752,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}