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长城之南
2020-10-07
7.73入。相信花旗的判断。
3月暴跌40%!高鑫零售究竟发生了什么?
长城之南
2020-08-29
$乐信(LX)$
乐信根本就懒得搭理灰熊,连个回应都没。
长城之南
2020-08-28
$阿里巴巴(BABA)$
大单挂的很恐怖
长城之南
2020-08-28
$360数科(QFIN)$
一切都是因为它是互金公司。不然早冲上天了。政策阴影得消化一阵子。
长城之南
2020-08-26
$乐信(LX)$
乐信这次被做空是否会重蹈瑞幸覆辙?有懂的大牛出来聊下吗
长城之南
2020-08-25
$360数科(QFIN)$
谁能告诉我这是为什么?
长城之南
2020-08-25
财报是假的吗?为什么还跌?
长城之南
2020-08-24
$360数科(QFIN)$
今天不翻红,全仓倾入
长城之南
2020-08-24
今天若不翻红,全仓倾入
长城之南
2020-08-20
$360金融(QFIN)$
这个超级无敌大利空终于落地了。接下来,是实力的表现!期待下周一财报!要入场的可以入了!
长城之南
2020-08-18
$乐信(LX)$
先涨后跌
长城之南
2020-08-18
$乐信(LX)$
每股收益不及预期。
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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"htmlText":"7.73入。相信花旗的判断。","listText":"7.73入。相信花旗的判断。","text":"7.73入。相信花旗的判断。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/300371374","repostId":"2073897624","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2073897624","pubTimestamp":1602057331,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2073897624?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-10-07 15:55","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"3月暴跌40%!高鑫零售究竟发生了什么?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2073897624","media":"格隆汇","summary":"瑞银下调评级,花旗维持买入","content":"<html><body><p><font>港股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06808\">高鑫零售</a>今日低开低走,截至发稿跌超</font><span>11%</span><font>,现价</font><font>7.7</font><font>港元创近一年内新低。暂成交近</font><font>4.6</font><font>亿港元,最新总市值</font><font>734.56</font><font>亿港元。</font></p><p><img src=\"https://img3.gelonghui.com/060e3-f125ebad-73c5-49c6-bc4e-ee63bb874ffd.png\"/></p><p><font>数据来源:富途牛牛</font></p><p><font>自</font>7<font>月份开始,高鑫零售便阴跌不止。</font><font>8</font><font>月中旬公布中期业绩后,公司股价表现并未改善,至今已累计跌近</font><font>42%</font><font>。</font></p><p><font>考虑到从</font>19<font>年</font><font>5</font><font>月至今年</font><font>6</font><font>月底的大概一年时间内,高鑫零售股价累计大涨了一倍有余,创下历史最高价</font><font>13.4</font><font>港元。本轮</font><font>40%</font><font>的下跌,可以视为市场正常的调整回落。</font></p><p><font>消息面上,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">瑞银</a>发表报告下调高鑫零售投资评级,由原来</font>“买入”降至“中性”,将目标价由<font>15.62</font><font>港元大幅下降</font><font>42%</font><font>至</font><font>9.07</font><font>港元,并将其剔出该行亚太区焦点股份名单。</font></p><p><font>瑞银认为,内地消费行为正在改变,转以社区为本的</font>“新零售”令线下交易减幅超预期,预测高鑫零售的同店销售将收缩<font>13-14%</font><font>。并且由于租金收入下降和新投资,导致高鑫零售盈利能力下降,因此将高鑫零售</font><font>2020-2022</font><font>年盈利预测下调</font><font>9-40%</font><font>。</font></p><p><font><b>但在具体财务业绩方面,上半年高鑫零售的表现实际是优于行业数据的。</b>半年报显示,期内公司营收总额为</font>532<font>亿元(人民币,下同),同比增长</font><font>5%</font><font>。净利润</font><font>20.62</font><font>亿元,同比增长</font><font>17%</font><font>,高于市场预期</font><font>3%</font><font>。</font></p><p><b><font>销售增长的主要原因,来自于大股东<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>的赋能。</font></b><font>阿里巴巴</font>2017<font>年</font><font>11</font><font>月斥资</font><font>224</font><font>亿港元入股高鑫零售,目前是其第二大股东,持有</font><font>21%</font><font>股权。<span>通过天猫超市、菜鸟网络、饿了么等渠道,</span><span>高鑫零售和阿里</span><span>分别在库存、社区团购和配送方面达成合作。据</span>阿里巴巴财报显示,截至</font><font>2020</font><font>年</font><font>3</font><font>月</font><font>31</font><font>日止的</font><font>12</font><font>个月里,以淘鲜达为主的阿里巴巴商业平台,为高鑫零售带来的收入约占其总收入的</font><font>10%</font><font>。</font></p><p><font>通过淘鲜达及天猫平台,高鑫零售线上</font>B2C<font>业务实现大幅成长,盈利能力也有所提升。上半年公司</font><font>B2C</font><font>业务一季度实现店日均单量</font><font>750+</font><font>单,二季度为</font><font>950+</font><font>单。截至报告期末,</font><font>B2C</font><font>用户数接近</font><font>5000</font><font>万,活跃用户数接近</font><font>1300</font><font>万;而</font><font>B2B</font><font>业务分别为</font><font>60</font><font>万和</font><font>25</font><font>万。</font></p><p><font><img src=\"https://img3.gelonghui.com/125a3-d58d95ca-4eb7-46c4-b4a8-c9f3323c0d77.png\"/></font></p><p><font>数据来源:港交所公告</font></p><p><font>另据高鑫零售公告显示,上半年公司租金收入</font>16.76<font>亿元,同比降低</font><font>18.8%</font><font>。主要原因是受新冠疫情影响,公司给予部分租户租金减免。同样在</font><font>疫情影响</font><font>下</font><font>,</font><font>上半年</font><font>高鑫零售展店速度较慢,新增一家中型超市,关闭了三家亏损门店</font><font>。</font></p><p><font>在未来预期方面,随着疫情好转,</font> <font>高鑫零售在下半年拓店规划上预计新开大卖场</font>11<font>家,中型超市</font><font>2~3</font><font>家,盒马超市</font><font>4</font><font>家,小超市</font><font>30~50</font><font>家。</font></p><p><font>对于明年的开店目标指引,管理层预计中超新增开</font>30~50<font>家,小超增加</font><font>200</font><font>家以上。在拓店上将重新回到快速开店的轨道,并将未来展店的主力放在中型超市和小超市上。</font></p><p><font>不同于瑞银的观点,</font><font><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗</a>发表研究报告表示看好高鑫零售与阿里巴巴的合作</font><font>,双方</font><font>合作</font><font>将</font><font>进一步拓展至在数字经济领域,相信市场会在高鑫同店销售稳定时,对第四季及</font>2021<font>年时的竞争形势更为欣赏</font><font>。</font><font>该行对高鑫零售维持目标价</font>14.42<font>港元及买入评级。</font></p></body></html>","source":"gelonghui_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3月暴跌40%!高鑫零售究竟发生了什么?</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3月暴跌40%!高鑫零售究竟发生了什么?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-10-07 15:55 北京时间 <a href=http://www.gelonghui.com/p/414738><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>港股高鑫零售今日低开低走,截至发稿跌超11%,现价7.7港元创近一年内新低。暂成交近4.6亿港元,最新总市值734.56亿港元。数据来源:富途牛牛自7月份开始,高鑫零售便阴跌不止。8月中旬公布中期业绩后,公司股价表现并未改善,至今已累计跌近42%。考虑到从19年5月至今年6月底的大概一年时间内,高鑫零售股价累计大涨了一倍有余,创下历史最高价13.4港元。本轮40%的下跌,可以视为市场正常的调整回落...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.gelonghui.com/p/414738\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f3d0c168656a3e6eb4245c3c31ff40","relate_stocks":{"06808":"高鑫零售"},"source_url":"http://www.gelonghui.com/p/414738","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6b8fa6424aebe95f6781d04ef17a1852","article_id":"2073897624","content_text":"港股高鑫零售今日低开低走,截至发稿跌超11%,现价7.7港元创近一年内新低。暂成交近4.6亿港元,最新总市值734.56亿港元。数据来源:富途牛牛自7月份开始,高鑫零售便阴跌不止。8月中旬公布中期业绩后,公司股价表现并未改善,至今已累计跌近42%。考虑到从19年5月至今年6月底的大概一年时间内,高鑫零售股价累计大涨了一倍有余,创下历史最高价13.4港元。本轮40%的下跌,可以视为市场正常的调整回落。消息面上,瑞银发表报告下调高鑫零售投资评级,由原来“买入”降至“中性”,将目标价由15.62港元大幅下降42%至9.07港元,并将其剔出该行亚太区焦点股份名单。瑞银认为,内地消费行为正在改变,转以社区为本的“新零售”令线下交易减幅超预期,预测高鑫零售的同店销售将收缩13-14%。并且由于租金收入下降和新投资,导致高鑫零售盈利能力下降,因此将高鑫零售2020-2022年盈利预测下调9-40%。但在具体财务业绩方面,上半年高鑫零售的表现实际是优于行业数据的。半年报显示,期内公司营收总额为532亿元(人民币,下同),同比增长5%。净利润20.62亿元,同比增长17%,高于市场预期3%。销售增长的主要原因,来自于大股东阿里巴巴的赋能。阿里巴巴2017年11月斥资224亿港元入股高鑫零售,目前是其第二大股东,持有21%股权。通过天猫超市、菜鸟网络、饿了么等渠道,高鑫零售和阿里分别在库存、社区团购和配送方面达成合作。据阿里巴巴财报显示,截至2020年3月31日止的12个月里,以淘鲜达为主的阿里巴巴商业平台,为高鑫零售带来的收入约占其总收入的10%。通过淘鲜达及天猫平台,高鑫零售线上B2C业务实现大幅成长,盈利能力也有所提升。上半年公司B2C业务一季度实现店日均单量750+单,二季度为950+单。截至报告期末,B2C用户数接近5000万,活跃用户数接近1300万;而B2B业务分别为60万和25万。数据来源:港交所公告另据高鑫零售公告显示,上半年公司租金收入16.76亿元,同比降低18.8%。主要原因是受新冠疫情影响,公司给予部分租户租金减免。同样在疫情影响下,上半年高鑫零售展店速度较慢,新增一家中型超市,关闭了三家亏损门店。在未来预期方面,随着疫情好转, 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