polyywh的个人主页 - 老虎社区

polyywh

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6主题

0勋章

2020-05-04

$Twitter(TWTR)$能涨回去吗

2020-04-29

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@许亚鑫:通胀来之前先通缩吗？没错！

2020-04-11

下星期希望大涨

2020-04-10

这周做空被锤爆了……下周会不会大跌啊？$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$

2020-03-27

接下来更新一**跌将要到来

2020-03-23

这只股玩的就是心跳😂，赌对了可以大赚😃

2020-03-23

预计今天美股又要熔断哈哈哈

2020-03-22

$二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$短线操作一波，一日赚20%

2020-03-21

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@jAves:股市小白历险记3.20

2019-10-15

啦啦啦啦啦

2019-10-11

bbbbw

2019-10-07

$爱奇艺(IQ)$继续涨啊

2019-10-02

$拼多多(PDD)$涨涨涨

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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我们处在一个非常魔幻的时代，一方面，兔子国因为防疫推进得顺利，已经全面复工复产，可是兔妈(央妈)看到森林里面其它动物们疯狂印钞，担心未来会产生输入型通胀进而对于降息慎之又慎； 另一方面，发达国家的欧洲与北美，尤其是老鹰家疯狂印钞之后，却尴尬的发现大家都处于隔离状态，仅满足生存的冰点状态，经济面临衰退风险，也面临通缩预期。 如上图所示，截至2020年04月28日，海外新增速度6万+，治愈速度4万+。假如我们把老鹰日新增2万+拿掉，实际上治愈的速度已经赶上新增速度，意味着海外的拐点已经出现，这就是为什么我们近期看到一些欧洲国家开始逐步进行经济重启。 笔者认为，通缩与通胀预期的分水岭，或许就会出现在老鹰经济重启的那一刻，预计最快在5月中下旬，最迟到6月末，我们大概率能看到老鹰逐步复工复产。请认真记下这个结论，因为与我们接下去几个月的布局息息相关。 数据统计显示，过去五周老鹰的初请失业金人数累计仍达到创纪录的2645万人，这一数字超过了自2009年11月美国遭遇金融危机冲击后经济恢复以来增加的2244.2万个就业。 初请失业金人数被视为是目前最能反映疫情形势下经济真实状况的一项数据，这样的就业流失速度在美国史上是罕见的。05月08日将会公布4月份的非农就业报告，不出意外的话，绝对会刷新大家对老鹰劳工市场的认知，失业率可能夸张的飙升到20%，乃至30%。 问题是，美国的经济完全崩了吗？失业人数真的是大萧条的端倪吗？真相未必如此！ 由于特朗普大幅提高了失业金救济标准，美国目前每周能申请的失业救济金1050美元，一个月大概有4000多刀，而美国工人当前一个月的平均月薪是3200-3500美元。试问一下，如果您是美国工人，是选择不上班呢？不上班呢？还是不","listText":"昨天笔者在2020年04月27日语音里面谈及了通胀与通缩，实际上，连目前全世界最牛逼的经济学家都不敢这么预测，可是事实却发生在我们当下： 我们处在一个非常魔幻的时代，一方面，兔子国因为防疫推进得顺利，已经全面复工复产，可是兔妈(央妈)看到森林里面其它动物们疯狂印钞，担心未来会产生输入型通胀进而对于降息慎之又慎； 另一方面，发达国家的欧洲与北美，尤其是老鹰家疯狂印钞之后，却尴尬的发现大家都处于隔离状态，仅满足生存的冰点状态，经济面临衰退风险，也面临通缩预期。 如上图所示，截至2020年04月28日，海外新增速度6万+，治愈速度4万+。假如我们把老鹰日新增2万+拿掉，实际上治愈的速度已经赶上新增速度，意味着海外的拐点已经出现，这就是为什么我们近期看到一些欧洲国家开始逐步进行经济重启。 笔者认为，通缩与通胀预期的分水岭，或许就会出现在老鹰经济重启的那一刻，预计最快在5月中下旬，最迟到6月末，我们大概率能看到老鹰逐步复工复产。请认真记下这个结论，因为与我们接下去几个月的布局息息相关。 数据统计显示，过去五周老鹰的初请失业金人数累计仍达到创纪录的2645万人，这一数字超过了自2009年11月美国遭遇金融危机冲击后经济恢复以来增加的2244.2万个就业。 初请失业金人数被视为是目前最能反映疫情形势下经济真实状况的一项数据，这样的就业流失速度在美国史上是罕见的。05月08日将会公布4月份的非农就业报告，不出意外的话，绝对会刷新大家对老鹰劳工市场的认知，失业率可能夸张的飙升到20%，乃至30%。 问题是，美国的经济完全崩了吗？失业人数真的是大萧条的端倪吗？真相未必如此！ 由于特朗普大幅提高了失业金救济标准，美国目前每周能申请的失业救济金1050美元，一个月大概有4000多刀，而美国工人当前一个月的平均月薪是3200-3500美元。试问一下，如果您是美国工人，是选择不上班呢？不上班呢？还是不","text":"昨天笔者在2020年04月27日语音里面谈及了通胀与通缩，实际上，连目前全世界最牛逼的经济学家都不敢这么预测，可是事实却发生在我们当下： 我们处在一个非常魔幻的时代，一方面，兔子国因为防疫推进得顺利，已经全面复工复产，可是兔妈(央妈)看到森林里面其它动物们疯狂印钞，担心未来会产生输入型通胀进而对于降息慎之又慎； 另一方面，发达国家的欧洲与北美，尤其是老鹰家疯狂印钞之后，却尴尬的发现大家都处于隔离状态，仅满足生存的冰点状态，经济面临衰退风险，也面临通缩预期。 如上图所示，截至2020年04月28日，海外新增速度6万+，治愈速度4万+。假如我们把老鹰日新增2万+拿掉，实际上治愈的速度已经赶上新增速度，意味着海外的拐点已经出现，这就是为什么我们近期看到一些欧洲国家开始逐步进行经济重启。 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我们处在一个非常魔幻的时代，一方面，兔子国因为防疫推进得顺利，已经全面复工复产，可是兔妈(央妈)看到森林里面其它动物们疯狂印钞，担心未来会产生输入型通胀进而对于降息慎之又慎； 另一方面，发达国家的欧洲与北美，尤其是老鹰家疯狂印钞之后，却尴尬的发现大家都处于隔离状态，仅满足生存的冰点状态，经济面临衰退风险，也面临通缩预期。 如上图所示，截至2020年04月28日，海外新增速度6万+，治愈速度4万+。假如我们把老鹰日新增2万+拿掉，实际上治愈的速度已经赶上新增速度，意味着海外的拐点已经出现，这就是为什么我们近期看到一些欧洲国家开始逐步进行经济重启。 笔者认为，通缩与通胀预期的分水岭，或许就会出现在老鹰经济重启的那一刻，预计最快在5月中下旬，最迟到6月末，我们大概率能看到老鹰逐步复工复产。请认真记下这个结论，因为与我们接下去几个月的布局息息相关。 数据统计显示，过去五周老鹰的初请失业金人数累计仍达到创纪录的2645万人，这一数字超过了自2009年11月美国遭遇金融危机冲击后经济恢复以来增加的2244.2万个就业。 初请失业金人数被视为是目前最能反映疫情形势下经济真实状况的一项数据，这样的就业流失速度在美国史上是罕见的。05月08日将会公布4月份的非农就业报告，不出意外的话，绝对会刷新大家对老鹰劳工市场的认知，失业率可能夸张的飙升到20%，乃至30%。 问题是，美国的经济完全崩了吗？失业人数真的是大萧条的端倪吗？真相未必如此！ 由于特朗普大幅提高了失业金救济标准，美国目前每周能申请的失业救济金1050美元，一个月大概有4000多刀，而美国工人当前一个月的平均月薪是3200-3500美元。试问一下，如果您是美国工人，是选择不上班呢？不上班呢？还是不","listText":"昨天笔者在2020年04月27日语音里面谈及了通胀与通缩，实际上，连目前全世界最牛逼的经济学家都不敢这么预测，可是事实却发生在我们当下： 我们处在一个非常魔幻的时代，一方面，兔子国因为防疫推进得顺利，已经全面复工复产，可是兔妈(央妈)看到森林里面其它动物们疯狂印钞，担心未来会产生输入型通胀进而对于降息慎之又慎； 另一方面，发达国家的欧洲与北美，尤其是老鹰家疯狂印钞之后，却尴尬的发现大家都处于隔离状态，仅满足生存的冰点状态，经济面临衰退风险，也面临通缩预期。 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