+关注
luxizaozi
暂无个人介绍
IP属地:广东
22
关注
1
粉丝
0
主题
0
勋章
主贴
热门
luxizaozi
2020-12-05
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
这波在400亿估值附近调整,很正常,多洗洗,筹码充分了,才有上涨的动力!年报600亿估值见[得意]
luxizaozi
2020-10-22
$晶科能源(JKS)$
今天基本上就是围绕五日均线波动了,坚守,静待100刀,别像个散户一样担惊受怕
luxizaozi
2020-10-01
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
什么时候开盘,墨迹啥呢?
luxizaozi
2020-03-19
o'
$腾讯控股(00700)$
黄奇帆提前预测美股史诗级暴跌:中国此时要做好这件事
luxizaozi
2020-01-09
$Adt Inc.(ADT)$
真是lg
luxizaozi
2019-06-26
$台积电(TSM)$ 美股的科技股都上天了, 英伟达, 为什么台积电就这么垃圾啊?
去老虎APP查看更多动态
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3473947453807505","uuid":"3473947453807505","gmtCreate":1510853433638,"gmtModify":1704447479026,"name":"luxizaozi","pinyin":"luxizaozi","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df0583711937b9aa092e9e26996c554a","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":1,"headSize":22,"tweetSize":6,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":900,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":2,"name":"无畏虎","nameTw":"無畏虎","represent":"初生牛犊","factor":"发布3条非转发主帖,1条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-4","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"明星虎友","description":"加入老虎社区2000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6304700d92ad91c7a33e2e92ec32ecc1","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.05.10","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-3","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资合伙人虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到100万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.28","exceedPercentage":"93.19%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"93.90%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"广东","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":396651817,"gmtCreate":1607099449839,"gmtModify":1703846534700,"author":{"id":"3473947453807505","authorId":"3473947453807505","name":"luxizaozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df0583711937b9aa092e9e26996c554a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473947453807505","authorIdStr":"3473947453807505"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>这波在400亿估值附近调整,很正常,多洗洗,筹码充分了,才有上涨的动力!年报600亿估值见[得意] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>这波在400亿估值附近调整,很正常,多洗洗,筹码充分了,才有上涨的动力!年报600亿估值见[得意] ","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$这波在400亿估值附近调整,很正常,多洗洗,筹码充分了,才有上涨的动力!年报600亿估值见[得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/396651817","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1168,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":301041543,"gmtCreate":1603297859982,"gmtModify":1703829474920,"author":{"id":"3473947453807505","authorId":"3473947453807505","name":"luxizaozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df0583711937b9aa092e9e26996c554a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473947453807505","authorIdStr":"3473947453807505"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JKS\">$晶科能源(JKS)$</a>今天基本上就是围绕五日均线波动了,坚守,静待100刀,别像个散户一样担惊受怕","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JKS\">$晶科能源(JKS)$</a>今天基本上就是围绕五日均线波动了,坚守,静待100刀,别像个散户一样担惊受怕","text":"$晶科能源(JKS)$今天基本上就是围绕五日均线波动了,坚守,静待100刀,别像个散户一样担惊受怕","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/301041543","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1929,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":977881155,"gmtCreate":1601484639277,"gmtModify":1703824612738,"author":{"id":"3473947453807505","authorId":"3473947453807505","name":"luxizaozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df0583711937b9aa092e9e26996c554a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473947453807505","authorIdStr":"3473947453807505"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>什么时候开盘,墨迹啥呢?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>什么时候开盘,墨迹啥呢?","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$什么时候开盘,墨迹啥呢?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/977881155","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":967260725,"gmtCreate":1584624642367,"gmtModify":1704355306290,"author":{"id":"3473947453807505","authorId":"3473947453807505","name":"luxizaozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df0583711937b9aa092e9e26996c554a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473947453807505","authorIdStr":"3473947453807505"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"o' <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a>","listText":"o' <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a>","text":"o' $腾讯控股(00700)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/967260725","repostId":"2020458956","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2020458956","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为财经记者、投资者服务!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"深蓝财经","id":"10","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ed3098ca9794eae9907fbd1b71a744b"},"pubTimestamp":1584622320,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2020458956?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-03-19 20:52","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"黄奇帆提前预测美股史诗级暴跌:中国此时要做好这件事","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2020458956","media":"深蓝财经","summary":"*来源:中国经济网2020年3月5日,中国国际经济交流中心副理事长黄奇帆指出:“美国股市在今明两年内跌幅在30%以上将是大概率事件。2019年底,美国股市最高点达29,000多点,今后一两年完全有可能","content":"<html><body><div>\n<h2 arial=\"\" gb=\"\" helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\" sans=\"\" sans-serif=\"\" sc=\"\" ui=\"\" yahei=\"\"><strong><span><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59c9213b726a4af8934fbdc7c2a830c6\"/></span></strong></h2><p><span>*来源:中国经济网</span></p><p>2020年3月5日,中国国际经济交流中心副理事长黄奇帆指出:</p><p><span><strong>“美国股市在今明两年内跌幅在30%以上将是大概率事件。2019年底,美国股市最高点达29,000多点,今后一两年完全有可能跌破20,000点。如果这个预测结果成立,那么这场金融危机将摧毁美国股票市场近十万亿美元的市值,进而引发不亚于2008年次贷危机规模的全球性金融危机和经济危机。”</strong></span></p><p>一周之后,3月12日美国股市再次暴跌,道琼斯工业指数收盘下跌2,352.60点,至21,200.62点,直逼20,000点,跌幅达9.99%,出现了自1987年市场崩盘以来的最大跌幅,美股在一周之内两度熔断,欧洲、亚太股市随即暴跌,泰国、菲律宾、韩国等7国股市同日熔断。</p><p>北京时间3月16日凌晨5点,美联储宣布将联邦基金利率目标区间下调至0至0.25%,同时宣布购买总计约7000亿美元的国债和抵押担保证券,以及一系列刺激借贷的措施,再度开启量化宽松政策。美联储还表示,将和欧洲央行、英国央行等五大央行联手,通过降息稳定金融市场,以防止新冠肺炎疫情进一步打击美国经济。</p><p>然而,事与愿违,就在美联储宣布降息之后,美国股指期货应声下跌。纳指100小型跌幅为4.54%,触发交易限制;标普500小型跌幅为4.79%,触发交易限制。</p><p>全球金融市场已经走到危机边缘。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81b190e2336349be885afef724dcb209\"/></p><p>黄奇帆表示,</p><p>美国股市自2008年的6,000多点,十年以来已经达到29,000点,已经到达峰顶,现在属于高台跳水。这十年期间,美国政府债台高筑,整个美国政府总债务已经达到了28万多亿美元,占GDP的140%。</p><p><strong><span>如果以这十年的债务增长速度继续往前沿伸,美国政府每年还本、付息金额将会逐渐超过每年的财政收入,带来严重危机,甚至导致美元崩盘。</span></strong></p><p>同时,资金回购注销等泡沫型资本运作技巧的过度使用使美国先进生产力的代表,包括FAAMG(脸书、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>)等一系列高科技产业的发展遇到了瓶颈和天花板,美国衍生金融、衍生市场上有一款新的产品ETF(交易型开放式指数基金),这几年也已经发展到了泡沫顶级的状态。</p><p>总之,美国资本市场上这几年各种问题严重叠加在一起,加之新冠肺炎疫情的爆发,造成了美股暴跌,而这场暴跌完全可能给美国带来一次新的金融危机。</p><p>如果美国再次发生金融危机,将必然对中国乃至全球带来冲击,并产生诸多负面影响。全球经济变局之下,中国如何化危为机,行稳致远?</p><p>对此,黄奇帆建议,</p><p>美国金融危机一旦发生,中国要利用好此机遇期切实推动人民币进一步国际化。同时,要逆势而上,在现在开放的基础上进一步扩大开放的高度、深度和广度。美国发生新一轮金融危机和经济危机,将是中国自身经济产业更好发展的一个历史性过程。</p><p><strong><span>一是要补上科技的短板,补上核高基投入不足的短板。</span></strong></p><p><strong><span>二是要进一步加强中国战略新兴制造业工业制造中产业链集群的发展。</span></strong></p><p><strong><span>三是要下决心降低中国的物流成本。</span></strong></p><p><strong><span>四是要进一步解决企业融资难、融资贵的问题,关键在于健全和完善资本市场。</span></strong></p><p><strong><span>五是要补足公共服务,教育卫生文化方面的短板。</span></strong></p><p>而当面对蔓延全球的新冠肺炎疫情,各国采取的相应防控政策会为贸易和金融的全球化带来重大影响,而这种影响反过来会加快经济下行乃至引发金融危机风险。因此,从全球情况来看,各国携起手来共同应对疫情,以尽快切断疫情对全球经济的冲击,成为了全球最为紧迫的宏观政策及国际议题。</p><hr arial=\"\" border-box=\"\" break-word=\"\" gb=\"\" helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\" sans=\"\" sans-serif=\"\" sc=\"\" scale=\"\" ui=\"\" yahei=\"\"/><p arial=\"\" gb=\"\" helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\" sans=\"\" sans-serif=\"\" sc=\"\" ui=\"\" yahei=\"\"><span>▽▽▽</span></p><p>● 日赚1个亿,万科又喊“活下去”,投资者的担忧真的来了</p><p>●<span> 疯狂的口罩「印钞机」:月入千万,我亲历的一夜暴富</span></p><p><span>● 出局!大V黄生,靠P2P赚钱的日子结束了</span></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b63acd7ac1a94e728cd192f7c8c06a54\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19790d62f769432484435e2c44bcbe40\"/></p><p><span><strong><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b66859019f2545828b08a23f268a6252\"/></strong></span></p><p arial=\"\" gb=\"\" helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\" sans=\"\" sans-serif=\"\" sc=\"\" ui=\"\" yahei=\"\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/940f016f49ea49f39eaeceb947063e87\"/></p>\n</div></body></html>","source":"weixin_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>黄奇帆提前预测美股史诗级暴跌:中国此时要做好这件事</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n黄奇帆提前预测美股史诗级暴跌:中国此时要做好这件事\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/10\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ed3098ca9794eae9907fbd1b71a744b);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">深蓝财经 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-03-19 20:52</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><div>\n<h2 arial=\"\" gb=\"\" helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\" sans=\"\" sans-serif=\"\" sc=\"\" ui=\"\" yahei=\"\"><strong><span><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59c9213b726a4af8934fbdc7c2a830c6\"/></span></strong></h2><p><span>*来源:中国经济网</span></p><p>2020年3月5日,中国国际经济交流中心副理事长黄奇帆指出:</p><p><span><strong>“美国股市在今明两年内跌幅在30%以上将是大概率事件。2019年底,美国股市最高点达29,000多点,今后一两年完全有可能跌破20,000点。如果这个预测结果成立,那么这场金融危机将摧毁美国股票市场近十万亿美元的市值,进而引发不亚于2008年次贷危机规模的全球性金融危机和经济危机。”</strong></span></p><p>一周之后,3月12日美国股市再次暴跌,道琼斯工业指数收盘下跌2,352.60点,至21,200.62点,直逼20,000点,跌幅达9.99%,出现了自1987年市场崩盘以来的最大跌幅,美股在一周之内两度熔断,欧洲、亚太股市随即暴跌,泰国、菲律宾、韩国等7国股市同日熔断。</p><p>北京时间3月16日凌晨5点,美联储宣布将联邦基金利率目标区间下调至0至0.25%,同时宣布购买总计约7000亿美元的国债和抵押担保证券,以及一系列刺激借贷的措施,再度开启量化宽松政策。美联储还表示,将和欧洲央行、英国央行等五大央行联手,通过降息稳定金融市场,以防止新冠肺炎疫情进一步打击美国经济。</p><p>然而,事与愿违,就在美联储宣布降息之后,美国股指期货应声下跌。纳指100小型跌幅为4.54%,触发交易限制;标普500小型跌幅为4.79%,触发交易限制。</p><p>全球金融市场已经走到危机边缘。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81b190e2336349be885afef724dcb209\"/></p><p>黄奇帆表示,</p><p>美国股市自2008年的6,000多点,十年以来已经达到29,000点,已经到达峰顶,现在属于高台跳水。这十年期间,美国政府债台高筑,整个美国政府总债务已经达到了28万多亿美元,占GDP的140%。</p><p><strong><span>如果以这十年的债务增长速度继续往前沿伸,美国政府每年还本、付息金额将会逐渐超过每年的财政收入,带来严重危机,甚至导致美元崩盘。</span></strong></p><p>同时,资金回购注销等泡沫型资本运作技巧的过度使用使美国先进生产力的代表,包括FAAMG(脸书、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>)等一系列高科技产业的发展遇到了瓶颈和天花板,美国衍生金融、衍生市场上有一款新的产品ETF(交易型开放式指数基金),这几年也已经发展到了泡沫顶级的状态。</p><p>总之,美国资本市场上这几年各种问题严重叠加在一起,加之新冠肺炎疫情的爆发,造成了美股暴跌,而这场暴跌完全可能给美国带来一次新的金融危机。</p><p>如果美国再次发生金融危机,将必然对中国乃至全球带来冲击,并产生诸多负面影响。全球经济变局之下,中国如何化危为机,行稳致远?</p><p>对此,黄奇帆建议,</p><p>美国金融危机一旦发生,中国要利用好此机遇期切实推动人民币进一步国际化。同时,要逆势而上,在现在开放的基础上进一步扩大开放的高度、深度和广度。美国发生新一轮金融危机和经济危机,将是中国自身经济产业更好发展的一个历史性过程。</p><p><strong><span>一是要补上科技的短板,补上核高基投入不足的短板。</span></strong></p><p><strong><span>二是要进一步加强中国战略新兴制造业工业制造中产业链集群的发展。</span></strong></p><p><strong><span>三是要下决心降低中国的物流成本。</span></strong></p><p><strong><span>四是要进一步解决企业融资难、融资贵的问题,关键在于健全和完善资本市场。</span></strong></p><p><strong><span>五是要补足公共服务,教育卫生文化方面的短板。</span></strong></p><p>而当面对蔓延全球的新冠肺炎疫情,各国采取的相应防控政策会为贸易和金融的全球化带来重大影响,而这种影响反过来会加快经济下行乃至引发金融危机风险。因此,从全球情况来看,各国携起手来共同应对疫情,以尽快切断疫情对全球经济的冲击,成为了全球最为紧迫的宏观政策及国际议题。</p><hr arial=\"\" border-box=\"\" break-word=\"\" gb=\"\" helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\" sans=\"\" sans-serif=\"\" sc=\"\" scale=\"\" ui=\"\" yahei=\"\"/><p arial=\"\" gb=\"\" helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\" sans=\"\" sans-serif=\"\" sc=\"\" ui=\"\" yahei=\"\"><span>▽▽▽</span></p><p>● 日赚1个亿,万科又喊“活下去”,投资者的担忧真的来了</p><p>●<span> 疯狂的口罩「印钞机」:月入千万,我亲历的一夜暴富</span></p><p><span>● 出局!大V黄生,靠P2P赚钱的日子结束了</span></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b63acd7ac1a94e728cd192f7c8c06a54\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19790d62f769432484435e2c44bcbe40\"/></p><p><span><strong><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b66859019f2545828b08a23f268a6252\"/></strong></span></p><p arial=\"\" gb=\"\" helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\" sans=\"\" sans-serif=\"\" sc=\"\" ui=\"\" yahei=\"\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/940f016f49ea49f39eaeceb947063e87\"/></p>\n</div></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/516cbe31098a2a42f16da93a5544fbb1","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF"},"source_url":"http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzU1Njc1NjA2NA==&mid=2247502412&idx=4&sn=67dd98e6dea97cd6b904ab3209dd9bbd&chksm=fbc2b743ccb53e5563e04e0f6c40718dc278253276353d9cc020660240058318991a6126a3ba&scene=0#rd","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/ecd74548980bc5b366aa8f4b37ed0bd5","article_id":"2020458956","content_text":"*来源:中国经济网2020年3月5日,中国国际经济交流中心副理事长黄奇帆指出:“美国股市在今明两年内跌幅在30%以上将是大概率事件。2019年底,美国股市最高点达29,000多点,今后一两年完全有可能跌破20,000点。如果这个预测结果成立,那么这场金融危机将摧毁美国股票市场近十万亿美元的市值,进而引发不亚于2008年次贷危机规模的全球性金融危机和经济危机。”一周之后,3月12日美国股市再次暴跌,道琼斯工业指数收盘下跌2,352.60点,至21,200.62点,直逼20,000点,跌幅达9.99%,出现了自1987年市场崩盘以来的最大跌幅,美股在一周之内两度熔断,欧洲、亚太股市随即暴跌,泰国、菲律宾、韩国等7国股市同日熔断。北京时间3月16日凌晨5点,美联储宣布将联邦基金利率目标区间下调至0至0.25%,同时宣布购买总计约7000亿美元的国债和抵押担保证券,以及一系列刺激借贷的措施,再度开启量化宽松政策。美联储还表示,将和欧洲央行、英国央行等五大央行联手,通过降息稳定金融市场,以防止新冠肺炎疫情进一步打击美国经济。然而,事与愿违,就在美联储宣布降息之后,美国股指期货应声下跌。纳指100小型跌幅为4.54%,触发交易限制;标普500小型跌幅为4.79%,触发交易限制。全球金融市场已经走到危机边缘。黄奇帆表示,美国股市自2008年的6,000多点,十年以来已经达到29,000点,已经到达峰顶,现在属于高台跳水。这十年期间,美国政府债台高筑,整个美国政府总债务已经达到了28万多亿美元,占GDP的140%。如果以这十年的债务增长速度继续往前沿伸,美国政府每年还本、付息金额将会逐渐超过每年的财政收入,带来严重危机,甚至导致美元崩盘。同时,资金回购注销等泡沫型资本运作技巧的过度使用使美国先进生产力的代表,包括FAAMG(脸书、亚马逊、苹果、微软、谷歌)等一系列高科技产业的发展遇到了瓶颈和天花板,美国衍生金融、衍生市场上有一款新的产品ETF(交易型开放式指数基金),这几年也已经发展到了泡沫顶级的状态。总之,美国资本市场上这几年各种问题严重叠加在一起,加之新冠肺炎疫情的爆发,造成了美股暴跌,而这场暴跌完全可能给美国带来一次新的金融危机。如果美国再次发生金融危机,将必然对中国乃至全球带来冲击,并产生诸多负面影响。全球经济变局之下,中国如何化危为机,行稳致远?对此,黄奇帆建议,美国金融危机一旦发生,中国要利用好此机遇期切实推动人民币进一步国际化。同时,要逆势而上,在现在开放的基础上进一步扩大开放的高度、深度和广度。美国发生新一轮金融危机和经济危机,将是中国自身经济产业更好发展的一个历史性过程。一是要补上科技的短板,补上核高基投入不足的短板。二是要进一步加强中国战略新兴制造业工业制造中产业链集群的发展。三是要下决心降低中国的物流成本。四是要进一步解决企业融资难、融资贵的问题,关键在于健全和完善资本市场。五是要补足公共服务,教育卫生文化方面的短板。而当面对蔓延全球的新冠肺炎疫情,各国采取的相应防控政策会为贸易和金融的全球化带来重大影响,而这种影响反过来会加快经济下行乃至引发金融危机风险。因此,从全球情况来看,各国携起手来共同应对疫情,以尽快切断疫情对全球经济的冲击,成为了全球最为紧迫的宏观政策及国际议题。▽▽▽● 日赚1个亿,万科又喊“活下去”,投资者的担忧真的来了● 疯狂的口罩「印钞机」:月入千万,我亲历的一夜暴富● 出局!大V黄生,靠P2P赚钱的日子结束了","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":911769297,"gmtCreate":1578505739019,"gmtModify":1704337701184,"author":{"id":"3473947453807505","authorId":"3473947453807505","name":"luxizaozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df0583711937b9aa092e9e26996c554a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473947453807505","authorIdStr":"3473947453807505"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADT\">$Adt Inc.(ADT)$</a>真是lg","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADT\">$Adt Inc.(ADT)$</a>真是lg","text":"$Adt Inc.(ADT)$真是lg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/911769297","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1113,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":907342228,"gmtCreate":1561562365064,"gmtModify":1704702225968,"author":{"id":"3473947453807505","authorId":"3473947453807505","name":"luxizaozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df0583711937b9aa092e9e26996c554a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473947453807505","authorIdStr":"3473947453807505"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$台积电(TSM)$ 美股的科技股都上天了, 英伟达, 为什么台积电就这么垃圾啊?","listText":"$台积电(TSM)$ 美股的科技股都上天了, 英伟达, 为什么台积电就这么垃圾啊?","text":"$台积电(TSM)$ 美股的科技股都上天了, 英伟达, 为什么台积电就这么垃圾啊?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/907342228","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2821,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":301041543,"gmtCreate":1603297859982,"gmtModify":1703829474920,"author":{"id":"3473947453807505","authorId":"3473947453807505","name":"luxizaozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df0583711937b9aa092e9e26996c554a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473947453807505","authorIdStr":"3473947453807505"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JKS\">$晶科能源(JKS)$</a>今天基本上就是围绕五日均线波动了,坚守,静待100刀,别像个散户一样担惊受怕","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JKS\">$晶科能源(JKS)$</a>今天基本上就是围绕五日均线波动了,坚守,静待100刀,别像个散户一样担惊受怕","text":"$晶科能源(JKS)$今天基本上就是围绕五日均线波动了,坚守,静待100刀,别像个散户一样担惊受怕","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/301041543","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1929,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":907342228,"gmtCreate":1561562365064,"gmtModify":1704702225968,"author":{"id":"3473947453807505","authorId":"3473947453807505","name":"luxizaozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df0583711937b9aa092e9e26996c554a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473947453807505","authorIdStr":"3473947453807505"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$台积电(TSM)$ 美股的科技股都上天了, 英伟达, 为什么台积电就这么垃圾啊?","listText":"$台积电(TSM)$ 美股的科技股都上天了, 英伟达, 为什么台积电就这么垃圾啊?","text":"$台积电(TSM)$ 美股的科技股都上天了, 英伟达, 为什么台积电就这么垃圾啊?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/907342228","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2821,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":396651817,"gmtCreate":1607099449839,"gmtModify":1703846534700,"author":{"id":"3473947453807505","authorId":"3473947453807505","name":"luxizaozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df0583711937b9aa092e9e26996c554a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473947453807505","authorIdStr":"3473947453807505"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>这波在400亿估值附近调整,很正常,多洗洗,筹码充分了,才有上涨的动力!年报600亿估值见[得意] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>这波在400亿估值附近调整,很正常,多洗洗,筹码充分了,才有上涨的动力!年报600亿估值见[得意] ","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$这波在400亿估值附近调整,很正常,多洗洗,筹码充分了,才有上涨的动力!年报600亿估值见[得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/396651817","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1168,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":977881155,"gmtCreate":1601484639277,"gmtModify":1703824612738,"author":{"id":"3473947453807505","authorId":"3473947453807505","name":"luxizaozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df0583711937b9aa092e9e26996c554a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473947453807505","authorIdStr":"3473947453807505"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>什么时候开盘,墨迹啥呢?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>什么时候开盘,墨迹啥呢?","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$什么时候开盘,墨迹啥呢?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/977881155","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":967260725,"gmtCreate":1584624642367,"gmtModify":1704355306290,"author":{"id":"3473947453807505","authorId":"3473947453807505","name":"luxizaozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df0583711937b9aa092e9e26996c554a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473947453807505","authorIdStr":"3473947453807505"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"o' <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a>","listText":"o' <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a>","text":"o' $腾讯控股(00700)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/967260725","repostId":"2020458956","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":911769297,"gmtCreate":1578505739019,"gmtModify":1704337701184,"author":{"id":"3473947453807505","authorId":"3473947453807505","name":"luxizaozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df0583711937b9aa092e9e26996c554a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473947453807505","authorIdStr":"3473947453807505"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADT\">$Adt Inc.(ADT)$</a>真是lg","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADT\">$Adt Inc.(ADT)$</a>真是lg","text":"$Adt Inc.(ADT)$真是lg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/911769297","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1113,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}