玉树林风的个人主页 - 老虎社区

玉树林风

玉树林风

介绍完了怕你爱上我

IP属地：天津

30关注

3粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2022-01-05

他们和中信证券比哪个更靠谱[得意]

华尔街一致看好新兴市场：2022年中国股市将上涨

2020-06-29

$吉利德科学(GILD)$终于等到这个消息了[笑哭]

2020-05-13

$吉利德科学(GILD)$一直全世界的免费治疗是不是变相的扩大药物疗效测试？等回馈？在定价？难道你真的是伟大到一直免费下去？

2020-05-12

$吉利德科学(GILD)$开始玩15号的call

2020-05-07

$吉利德科学(GILD)$华尔街不止看新闻，要看利润，不赚钱全世界用也没用

2020-05-06

$吉利德科学(GILD)$来点泻立停吧[流泪]

2020-04-30

$吉利德科学(GILD)$开盘够猛

2020-04-29

$吉利德科学(GILD)$现在只希望分析师们闭嘴就可以了

2020-04-29

$吉利德科学(GILD)$开奖时间提前了？来吧，总要一战

2020-04-29

$吉利德科学(GILD)$我靠嘛情况，我这只有瑞幸停了，怎么你也停了

2020-04-28

$吉利德科学(GILD)$买这股其实挺好的不用盯盘，看新闻就行了[财迷] 关灯睡觉[得意]

2020-04-24

$吉利德科学(GILD)$羟氯喹fda否了

2020-04-24

$吉利德科学(GILD)$今天开盘前如果不出别的消息还会向下，持续看好的是加仓好机会

2020-04-23

$吉利德科学(GILD)$涛声依旧[愤怒]

2020-04-22

$吉利德科学(GILD)$专业砸盘开始就是不让涨

2020-04-17

$吉利德科学(GILD)$已经等了这么久了，就这样继续持有

2020-04-17

$吉利德科学(GILD)$盘前量够大的

2020-04-17

$吉利德科学(GILD)$后面的只有好结果，+fda批复，股价无限想象空间，洗盘结束[开心]

2020-04-17

$吉利德科学(GILD)$有谁能了解我心中的苦[笑哭] [笑哭]

2020-04-16

$吉利德科学(GILD)$先把昨天的4个点收回来

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09:19","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"华尔街一致看好新兴市场：2022年中国股市将上涨","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2195437331","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"华尔街机构预计，随着明年通货膨胀放缓和经济增长加速，新兴市场将在2022年出现复苏并出现增长，但这要到明年下半年才会发生。","content":"<p>距离2022年只有三天了，明年市场展望如何？</p>\n<p>包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>等在内的华尔街巨头都达成共识，认为随着通货膨胀的缓和以及经济增长加速带来收益，新兴市场的股票、债券和货币等资产在2022年有上涨行情，但要等到下半年才会得以实现。具体来看，他们预计<b>中国股市将迎来上涨，而诸如波兰、捷克和匈牙利等国的债券也将上涨</b>。</p>\n<p>2022年年中复苏将标志着资产表现的转机，也将意味着2018年以来最糟糕的一年将会结束。虽然消费价格上涨、疫情反复和美元上涨，叠加美联储的紧缩政策将在明年晚些时候发挥作用，然而投资者已经看到了复苏的迹象，因为政策制定者通过提高利率对通胀采取强硬措施，而美国经济增长的峰值可能会将这一优势带回发展中的经济体。</p>\n<p>华尔街见闻稍早前文章提及，上周，彭博发布的数据显示，2021年南非、中国、印度尼西亚、印度和克罗地亚发行的主权债券回报率在全球46个市场中排名靠前。仅其中一个国家债券成绩就超过了2013年以来美债收益率最大年涨幅，这一冲击颠覆了货币套利交易和新兴市场股票。</p>\n<p>摩根大通资产管理公司驻香港的首席亚洲市场策略师Tai Hui表示，随着供应链问题趋于稳定，以及一些经济体疫苗接种率的上升将会为市场提供一个更有利的前景。此外，美国的利率可能仍低于整体通胀率，这加剧了投资者对收益的追求。这对于发达国家的投资者来说，这是个值得注意的机会。</p>\n<blockquote>\n 2021年是发达市场经济增长超过新兴市场的一年，而这会迎来扭转。\n</blockquote>\n<p>MSCI新兴市场股票指数今年跌幅超过5%，接近2001年以来相对于美国股市的最低水平。新兴市场本币债务在今年迎来2015年以来最糟糕的一年，而美元债券将迎来2008年全球金融危机以来的第三次亏损。</p>\n<p>新兴市场资产在2021年的失望表现，凸显新兴国家的经济增长率未能跟上发达国家的步伐。投资者表示，尽管在疫情之前，发展中经济体的平均扩张速度比发达经济体快2.5个百分点，但今年的扩张速度已收窄至1.3个百分点，部分原因是应对疫情的刺激措施不足。</p>\n<p>但随着美联储采取“鹰派”立场，并发出2022年三次加息的信号，美国经济增长可能会达到顶峰。再加上新兴市场经济活动的复苏，可能有助于再次扩大新兴市场和发达市场经济增长率的差距。</p>\n<p>在今年，至少有23个新兴市场迎来加息，这可能会对通胀产生温和影响，并提<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300098\">高新兴</a>市场的实际回报率，尤其是股票和本币债券。与此同时，来自亚洲的发货量上升表明，供应链瓶颈可能正在缓解，这也将缓解了价格压力。</p>\n<p>摩根士丹利投资管理公司全球平衡风险控制团队战术定位主管Eric Zhang表示看好中国股票，高收益货币(包括巴西雷亚尔、墨西哥比索和俄罗斯卢布)：</p>\n<blockquote>\n 我们预计，随着基数效应开始显现，明年新兴市场和发达市场的通胀可能都将开始回落。供应链瓶颈也应该开始缓解。\n</blockquote>\n<p>高盛全球外汇、汇率和新兴市场战略研究联席主管Kamakshya Trivedi 看多东欧货币和中国股票：</p>\n<blockquote>\n 我们预计美元将有一定的波动范围。由于存在相互抵消的力量，很难看到美元出现很大程度的疲软。\n</blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0HB5.UK\">法国巴黎银行</a>资产管理公司新兴市场固定收益部门主管Jean-Charles Sambor则对美联储政策对新兴市场影响表示担忧，同时看好中国高收益债券，西非的外债，波兰、捷克和匈牙利的地方债券：</p>\n<blockquote>\n 如果美联储启开启一个非常激进的紧缩周期，新兴市场资产将进一步受损。\n</blockquote>\n<p>Pictet Asset Management的高级多资产策略师Arun Sai提示投资者要注意美国经济增长这一因素，其看好银行股以及东盟重新开放带来的新机会：</p>\n<blockquote>\n 我们的经济学家预测，新兴市场与新兴市场的增长差距将在2022年第二季度跌至谷底，并在下半年开始复苏。新兴市场资产通常会随着相对经济动能的加速而表现出色。此外，美国经济增长降温也是一个积极因素。当美国市场过热时，新兴市场上的资产往往会陷入困境。\n</blockquote>\n<p>Fidelity International 的投资组合经理Ian Samson 则看好印度尼西亚股票、中国股票和高收益债券、中欧货币：</p>\n<blockquote>\n 疫苗接种在大多数新兴市场的国家推广太慢。然而，好消息是，目前似乎已经实现了某种程度的群体免疫，印度、印度尼西亚、菲律宾和其他部分国家的疫情都得到了控制。最终，这些新兴市场可能会在2022年迎来的重新开放热潮。\n</blockquote>\n<p>Finisterre Capital的首席投资官Damien Buchet则认为本地货币债券在2022年有持续机会，例如阿曼、安哥拉、伊拉克、厄瓜多尔等产油国的外债，斯里兰卡、突尼斯等压力国家的外债等。</p>\n<blockquote>\n 中国的政策（放松）将是相当关键的，对情绪的影响比实际的基本面更重要。\n</blockquote>\n<p>Nuveen全球固定收益投资组合管理联席主管Anupam Damani 则表示硬通货币主权和公司债券、地方债券：</p>\n<blockquote>\n 如果美联储加快缩减购债规模，导致最早在2022年年中更快、更大幅度的加息，这将导致金融环境的收紧，而从流入的角度和更广泛的增长放缓来看，都将加大新兴市场债务的风险。\n</blockquote>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>华尔街一致看好新兴市场：2022年中国股市将上涨</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n华尔街一致看好新兴市场：2022年中国股市将上涨\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-29 09:19 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3648394><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>距离2022年只有三天了，明年市场展望如何？\n包括高盛、摩根士丹利和摩根大通等在内的华尔街巨头都达成共识，认为随着通货膨胀的缓和以及经济增长加速带来收益，新兴市场的股票、债券和货币等资产在2022年有上涨行情，但要等到下半年才会得以实现。具体来看，他们预计中国股市将迎来上涨，而诸如波兰、捷克和匈牙利等国的债券也将上涨。\n2022年年中复苏将标志着资产表现的转机，也将意味着2018年以来最糟糕的一年...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3648394\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7da52addfd52fb216bcf87283f43750","relate_stocks":{"QQQ":"纳指100ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3648394","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2195437331","content_text":"距离2022年只有三天了，明年市场展望如何？\n包括高盛、摩根士丹利和摩根大通等在内的华尔街巨头都达成共识，认为随着通货膨胀的缓和以及经济增长加速带来收益，新兴市场的股票、债券和货币等资产在2022年有上涨行情，但要等到下半年才会得以实现。具体来看，他们预计中国股市将迎来上涨，而诸如波兰、捷克和匈牙利等国的债券也将上涨。\n2022年年中复苏将标志着资产表现的转机，也将意味着2018年以来最糟糕的一年将会结束。虽然消费价格上涨、疫情反复和美元上涨，叠加美联储的紧缩政策将在明年晚些时候发挥作用，然而投资者已经看到了复苏的迹象，因为政策制定者通过提高利率对通胀采取强硬措施，而美国经济增长的峰值可能会将这一优势带回发展中的经济体。\n华尔街见闻稍早前文章提及，上周，彭博发布的数据显示，2021年南非、中国、印度尼西亚、印度和克罗地亚发行的主权债券回报率在全球46个市场中排名靠前。仅其中一个国家债券成绩就超过了2013年以来美债收益率最大年涨幅，这一冲击颠覆了货币套利交易和新兴市场股票。\n摩根大通资产管理公司驻香港的首席亚洲市场策略师Tai Hui表示，随着供应链问题趋于稳定，以及一些经济体疫苗接种率的上升将会为市场提供一个更有利的前景。此外，美国的利率可能仍低于整体通胀率，这加剧了投资者对收益的追求。这对于发达国家的投资者来说，这是个值得注意的机会。\n\n 2021年是发达市场经济增长超过新兴市场的一年，而这会迎来扭转。\n\nMSCI新兴市场股票指数今年跌幅超过5%，接近2001年以来相对于美国股市的最低水平。新兴市场本币债务在今年迎来2015年以来最糟糕的一年，而美元债券将迎来2008年全球金融危机以来的第三次亏损。\n新兴市场资产在2021年的失望表现，凸显新兴国家的经济增长率未能跟上发达国家的步伐。投资者表示，尽管在疫情之前，发展中经济体的平均扩张速度比发达经济体快2.5个百分点，但今年的扩张速度已收窄至1.3个百分点，部分原因是应对疫情的刺激措施不足。\n但随着美联储采取“鹰派”立场，并发出2022年三次加息的信号，美国经济增长可能会达到顶峰。再加上新兴市场经济活动的复苏，可能有助于再次扩大新兴市场和发达市场经济增长率的差距。\n在今年，至少有23个新兴市场迎来加息，这可能会对通胀产生温和影响，并提高新兴市场的实际回报率，尤其是股票和本币债券。与此同时，来自亚洲的发货量上升表明，供应链瓶颈可能正在缓解，这也将缓解了价格压力。\n摩根士丹利投资管理公司全球平衡风险控制团队战术定位主管Eric Zhang表示看好中国股票，高收益货币(包括巴西雷亚尔、墨西哥比索和俄罗斯卢布)：\n\n 我们预计，随着基数效应开始显现，明年新兴市场和发达市场的通胀可能都将开始回落。供应链瓶颈也应该开始缓解。\n\n高盛全球外汇、汇率和新兴市场战略研究联席主管Kamakshya Trivedi 看多东欧货币和中国股票：\n\n 我们预计美元将有一定的波动范围。由于存在相互抵消的力量，很难看到美元出现很大程度的疲软。\n\n法国巴黎银行资产管理公司新兴市场固定收益部门主管Jean-Charles Sambor则对美联储政策对新兴市场影响表示担忧，同时看好中国高收益债券，西非的外债，波兰、捷克和匈牙利的地方债券：\n\n 如果美联储启开启一个非常激进的紧缩周期，新兴市场资产将进一步受损。\n\nPictet Asset Management的高级多资产策略师Arun Sai提示投资者要注意美国经济增长这一因素，其看好银行股以及东盟重新开放带来的新机会：\n\n 我们的经济学家预测，新兴市场与新兴市场的增长差距将在2022年第二季度跌至谷底，并在下半年开始复苏。新兴市场资产通常会随着相对经济动能的加速而表现出色。此外，美国经济增长降温也是一个积极因素。当美国市场过热时，新兴市场上的资产往往会陷入困境。\n\nFidelity International 的投资组合经理Ian Samson 则看好印度尼西亚股票、中国股票和高收益债券、中欧货币：\n\n 疫苗接种在大多数新兴市场的国家推广太慢。然而，好消息是，目前似乎已经实现了某种程度的群体免疫，印度、印度尼西亚、菲律宾和其他部分国家的疫情都得到了控制。最终，这些新兴市场可能会在2022年迎来的重新开放热潮。\n\nFinisterre Capital的首席投资官Damien Buchet则认为本地货币债券在2022年有持续机会，例如阿曼、安哥拉、伊拉克、厄瓜多尔等产油国的外债，斯里兰卡、突尼斯等压力国家的外债等。\n\n 中国的政策（放松）将是相当关键的，对情绪的影响比实际的基本面更重要。\n\nNuveen全球固定收益投资组合管理联席主管Anupam Damani 则表示硬通货币主权和公司债券、地方债券：\n\n 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