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2023-07-18

懂行的分析下，是加息+经济发展停滞导致的吗？

抱歉，原内容已删除

2023-04-13

说说你对这篇新闻的看法...

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2020-04-21

$WTI原油2005(CL2005)$胸大的解释一下…负值啥意思？倒贴？

2017-12-20

$京东(JD)$ 第一次期权赚钱😅

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第一次期权赚钱😅","images":[{"img":"https://static.laohu8.com/0e61422c2e4824bf0fe7d82cfbc4944a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/134803","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1184,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3457655937743655","authorId":"3457655937743655","name":"张脑丸","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"留着过年？","text":"留着过年？","html":"留着过年？"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":199313873924352,"gmtCreate":1689684335642,"gmtModify":1689686041767,"author":{"id":"3446599298774569","authorId":"3446599298774569","name":"安德","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c42df1423dd8cdaae9286945cb53ed71","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"懂行的分析下，是加息+经济发展停滞导致的吗？","listText":"懂行的分析下，是加息+经济发展停滞导致的吗？","text":"懂行的分析下，是加息+经济发展停滞导致的吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/199313873924352","repostId":"1171149910","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1171149910","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1689683011,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171149910?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-07-18 20:23","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"盘前 | “恐怖数据”不及预期，美股期指齐跌","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171149910","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美国6月零售销售月率 0.2%，预期 0.50%，前值 0.30%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><strong>重磅数据</strong></p><p><strong>美国6月零售销售月率（环比）：0.2%，预期：0.5%，前值：0.3%。</strong></p><p>美国6月零售销售(除汽车)环比：<strong>0.2%</strong> ， 预期：0.3% ， 前值：0.1%。</p><p>美国6月零售销售(除汽车与汽油)环比：<strong>0.3%</strong> ， 预期：0.3% ， 前值：0.4%。</p><blockquote>13个零售类别中有7个类别的销售额增长，包括非实体零售商、电子产品商店和家具商店的销售额增长，建筑材料店、加油站和杂货店的销售额下降。虽然数据显示，美国零售销售的增速低于预期，但家庭支出的基本指标显示，消费者支出在第二季度末仍具有韧性。</blockquote><p>数据发布后，美股三大指数期货维持跌势。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bde5c2fcc6613be928e476afcdf0489\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"883\" tg-height=\"315\"/></p><p><strong>中概股盘前走势</strong></p><p>小鹏汽车涨超3%，公司称为飞行汽车做准备。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60038d07bdaa97813dac59027076aaa9\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"128\"/></p><p>再鼎医药涨超6%。再鼎医药公布，公司及argenx SE公布了评估VYVGART Hytrulo用于治疗慢性炎性脱髓鞘性多发性神经根神经病成人患者的ADHERE研究的阳性初步结果。</p><p>哔哩哔哩跌近3%，拼多多、京东跌超2%，阿里巴巴跌近2%。</p><p><strong>重要美股盘前走势</strong></p><p>制药公司Aridis Pharmaceuticals涨幅收窄至近30%，公司达成协议在欧洲进行肺炎治疗的3期研究。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e15ccc1e8200d64b717a97881058ede2\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"126\"/></p><p>摩根士丹利涨0.27%。摩根士丹利Q2净营收134.6亿美元，每股收益1.24美元，均超预期；财富管理业务收入66.6亿美元创纪录新高，增加900亿美元的新资产。</p><p>美国银行微涨0.09%。美国银行Q2营收252.5亿美元，每股收益0.88美元，均超预期；净利息收入142.9亿美元，全球银行业务收入64.6亿美元，同比增长29%。</p><p>特斯拉跌0.02%，昨日收涨超3%。据上证报报道，日前，特斯拉上海超级工厂有多位员工表示，他们最近获得的2023年第二季度绩效奖金大幅增加，达到月度基本工资的1.5倍。</p><p>诺华涨2.31%。诺华制药第二季度营收136.2亿美元，超预期的132.8亿美元。核心每股盈余1.83美元，超预期的1.7美元。</p><p>Pinterest涨3.6%。由于广告支出回升，瑞士信贷将Pinterest的目标价从28美元上调至31美元。</p><p>动视暴雪跌0.12%。巴菲特最新报告持有1.9%的动视暴雪股份，较去年底时持有的6.7%大幅下降。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n盘前 | “恐怖数据”不及预期，美股期指齐跌\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-07-18 20:23</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><strong>重磅数据</strong></p><p><strong>美国6月零售销售月率（环比）：0.2%，预期：0.5%，前值：0.3%。</strong></p><p>美国6月零售销售(除汽车)环比：<strong>0.2%</strong> ， 预期：0.3% ， 前值：0.1%。</p><p>美国6月零售销售(除汽车与汽油)环比：<strong>0.3%</strong> ， 预期：0.3% ， 前值：0.4%。</p><blockquote>13个零售类别中有7个类别的销售额增长，包括非实体零售商、电子产品商店和家具商店的销售额增长，建筑材料店、加油站和杂货店的销售额下降。虽然数据显示，美国零售销售的增速低于预期，但家庭支出的基本指标显示，消费者支出在第二季度末仍具有韧性。</blockquote><p>数据发布后，美股三大指数期货维持跌势。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bde5c2fcc6613be928e476afcdf0489\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"883\" tg-height=\"315\"/></p><p><strong>中概股盘前走势</strong></p><p>小鹏汽车涨超3%，公司称为飞行汽车做准备。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60038d07bdaa97813dac59027076aaa9\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"128\"/></p><p>再鼎医药涨超6%。再鼎医药公布，公司及argenx SE公布了评估VYVGART Hytrulo用于治疗慢性炎性脱髓鞘性多发性神经根神经病成人患者的ADHERE研究的阳性初步结果。</p><p>哔哩哔哩跌近3%，拼多多、京东跌超2%，阿里巴巴跌近2%。</p><p><strong>重要美股盘前走势</strong></p><p>制药公司Aridis Pharmaceuticals涨幅收窄至近30%，公司达成协议在欧洲进行肺炎治疗的3期研究。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e15ccc1e8200d64b717a97881058ede2\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"126\"/></p><p>摩根士丹利涨0.27%。摩根士丹利Q2净营收134.6亿美元，每股收益1.24美元，均超预期；财富管理业务收入66.6亿美元创纪录新高，增加900亿美元的新资产。</p><p>美国银行微涨0.09%。美国银行Q2营收252.5亿美元，每股收益0.88美元，均超预期；净利息收入142.9亿美元，全球银行业务收入64.6亿美元，同比增长29%。</p><p>特斯拉跌0.02%，昨日收涨超3%。据上证报报道，日前，特斯拉上海超级工厂有多位员工表示，他们最近获得的2023年第二季度绩效奖金大幅增加，达到月度基本工资的1.5倍。</p><p>诺华涨2.31%。诺华制药第二季度营收136.2亿美元，超预期的132.8亿美元。核心每股盈余1.83美元，超预期的1.7美元。</p><p>Pinterest涨3.6%。由于广告支出回升，瑞士信贷将Pinterest的目标价从28美元上调至31美元。</p><p>动视暴雪跌0.12%。巴菲特最新报告持有1.9%的动视暴雪股份，较去年底时持有的6.7%大幅下降。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4ee39e6b0f45214393093d70ba81a8","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171149910","content_text":"重磅数据美国6月零售销售月率（环比）：0.2%，预期：0.5%，前值：0.3%。美国6月零售销售(除汽车)环比：0.2% ， 预期：0.3% ， 前值：0.1%。美国6月零售销售(除汽车与汽油)环比：0.3% ， 预期：0.3% ， 前值：0.4%。13个零售类别中有7个类别的销售额增长，包括非实体零售商、电子产品商店和家具商店的销售额增长，建筑材料店、加油站和杂货店的销售额下降。虽然数据显示，美国零售销售的增速低于预期，但家庭支出的基本指标显示，消费者支出在第二季度末仍具有韧性。数据发布后，美股三大指数期货维持跌势。中概股盘前走势小鹏汽车涨超3%，公司称为飞行汽车做准备。再鼎医药涨超6%。再鼎医药公布，公司及argenx SE公布了评估VYVGART Hytrulo用于治疗慢性炎性脱髓鞘性多发性神经根神经病成人患者的ADHERE研究的阳性初步结果。哔哩哔哩跌近3%，拼多多、京东跌超2%，阿里巴巴跌近2%。重要美股盘前走势制药公司Aridis Pharmaceuticals涨幅收窄至近30%，公司达成协议在欧洲进行肺炎治疗的3期研究。摩根士丹利涨0.27%。摩根士丹利Q2净营收134.6亿美元，每股收益1.24美元，均超预期；财富管理业务收入66.6亿美元创纪录新高，增加900亿美元的新资产。美国银行微涨0.09%。美国银行Q2营收252.5亿美元，每股收益0.88美元，均超预期；净利息收入142.9亿美元，全球银行业务收入64.6亿美元，同比增长29%。特斯拉跌0.02%，昨日收涨超3%。据上证报报道，日前，特斯拉上海超级工厂有多位员工表示，他们最近获得的2023年第二季度绩效奖金大幅增加，达到月度基本工资的1.5倍。诺华涨2.31%。诺华制药第二季度营收136.2亿美元，超预期的132.8亿美元。核心每股盈余1.83美元，超预期的1.7美元。Pinterest涨3.6%。由于广告支出回升，瑞士信贷将Pinterest的目标价从28美元上调至31美元。动视暴雪跌0.12%。巴菲特最新报告持有1.9%的动视暴雪股份，较去年底时持有的6.7%大幅下降。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":535,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":651915131,"gmtCreate":1681400628423,"gmtModify":1681401020469,"author":{"id":"3446599298774569","authorId":"3446599298774569","name":"安德","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c42df1423dd8cdaae9286945cb53ed71","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","listText":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","text":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/651915131","repostId":"2327422131","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2327422131","pubTimestamp":1681388403,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2327422131?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-04-13 20:20","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"CPI报告吹响终场哨声！美联储要赢了？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2327422131","media":"金十数据","summary":"最新公布的CPI报告对于美联储和美国人的钱包来说，无疑是个好消息，更重要的是，这还释放出一个重要信号……","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>最新公布的CPI报告对于美联储和美国人的钱包来说，无疑是个好消息，更重要的是，这还释放出一个重要信号……</blockquote><p>对美联储和美国人的钱包来说，情况看起来正在好转。</p><p>周三，美国劳工统计局的最新报告显示<strong>，CPI衡量的通胀率下降了整整一个百分点</strong>。作为衡量通胀的指标之一，CPI年率从2月份的6.0%暴跌至3月份的5.0%，这是自2021年5月以来的最低水平。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01f4a22ef1c92ac98482b9f1298cb957\" tg-width=\"1104\" tg-height=\"841\"/></p><p>对美联储来说这是个好消息，因为它正在继续努力让通胀回到2%的目标水平。<strong>尽管美国要实现这一目标还有很长的路要走，但最新的经济数据显示，美联储的持续加息正在发挥作用，美联储正赢得通胀战争。</strong></p><p>PCE（个人消费支出）价格指数是美联储密切关注的另一个通胀指标，<strong>该指标也显示出令人鼓舞的迹象</strong>。与1月份相比，该指数2月份的环比增速较低，同比增速也显示出，这一通胀指标在很大程度上一直在下降。</p><p>美联储也一直在寻找劳动力市场收紧的迹象，它可能也看到了。美国3月份新增就业岗位23.6万个，增幅低于前几个月，<strong>就业市场增速放缓至依然强劲但未过热的水平，正是美联储一直在寻求的结果。</strong></p><p>Indeed Hiring Lab北美地区经济研究主管邦克（Nick Bunker）表示：</p><blockquote>“即使增长放缓，劳动力市场仍在快速发展。”</blockquote><p><strong>很明显，美国经济正在朝着正确的方向前进</strong>，尽管美联储主席鲍威尔因其持续加息以及此举可能引发失业和最终的经济衰退而面临民主党议员的批评。例如在美联储3月加息后，参议员沃伦（Elizabeth Warren）公开表示：</p><blockquote>“鲍威尔犯了一个错误，他没有暂停其极端的加息。几个月来，我一直警告说，美联储目前的做法可能会让数百万美国人失去工作。我们有很多工具来对抗通胀，同时又不会把经济推下悬崖。”</blockquote><p>但鲍威尔在今年3月的新闻发布会上表示，在实现降低通胀目标方面他不会退缩，他声称：</p><blockquote>“因为我们知道，从长远来看，这是最有利于人民的事情。”</blockquote><p>尽管美联储今年不打算降息，但<strong>最新的经济数据暗示美联储可能即将暂停加息。</strong>芝加哥联储主席古尔斯比周二在芝加哥经济俱乐部表示，在硅谷银行倒闭带来的“金融压力”之后，“正确的货币政策需要谨慎和耐心”。他表示：</p><blockquote>“鉴于这些金融逆风走向的不确定性很大，我认为我们需要保持谨慎。我们应该收集进一步的数据，并且在我们看到逆风在降低通胀方面起到多大帮助之前，对过于激进的加息应持谨慎态度。”</blockquote><p>硅谷银行的崩溃加剧了对暂停加息的呼吁，因为这一崩溃引发了经济的不确定性。虽然鲍威尔声称银行体系“稳健而有弹性”，但崩溃的后果可能是“相当于加息，甚至可能还不止于此”，因为企业和家庭的信贷条件可能会收紧。</p><p>可以肯定的是，<strong>虽然3月份整体CPI走低是好消息，但房价和公寓租金仍在高速上涨</strong>。与此同时，3月份剔除食品和能源的核心CPI同比涨幅略高于2月份，这在很大程度上是受住房价格上涨的推动。</p><p>不确定性仍存在。硅谷银行的倒闭可能会使金融状况变得更加严峻，企业和消费者的借贷和支出可能减缓，但过高的核心通胀可能会迫使美联储继续加息，<strong>这意味着经济衰退的可能性依然存在</strong>。</p><p>不过，美联储仍在寻找支持潜在暂停加息所需的数据，因此，<strong>看起来美国更有可能避免严重的经济衰退</strong>。</p></body></html>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>CPI报告吹响终场哨声！美联储要赢了？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCPI报告吹响终场哨声！美联储要赢了？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-04-13 20:20 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=110312&type=news&data_type=0><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>最新公布的CPI报告对于美联储和美国人的钱包来说，无疑是个好消息，更重要的是，这还释放出一个重要信号……对美联储和美国人的钱包来说，情况看起来正在好转。周三，美国劳工统计局的最新报告显示，CPI衡量的通胀率下降了整整一个百分点。作为衡量通胀的指标之一，CPI年率从2月份的6.0%暴跌至3月份的5.0%，这是自2021年5月以来的最低水平。对美联储来说这是个好消息，因为它正在继续努力让通胀回到2%的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=110312&type=news&data_type=0\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87d9a839d3b8f535281b72db3c3cfd0","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","SH":"标普500反向ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","CPI":"IQ Real Return ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","DJX":"1/100道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=110312&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2327422131","content_text":"最新公布的CPI报告对于美联储和美国人的钱包来说，无疑是个好消息，更重要的是，这还释放出一个重要信号……对美联储和美国人的钱包来说，情况看起来正在好转。周三，美国劳工统计局的最新报告显示，CPI衡量的通胀率下降了整整一个百分点。作为衡量通胀的指标之一，CPI年率从2月份的6.0%暴跌至3月份的5.0%，这是自2021年5月以来的最低水平。对美联储来说这是个好消息，因为它正在继续努力让通胀回到2%的目标水平。尽管美国要实现这一目标还有很长的路要走，但最新的经济数据显示，美联储的持续加息正在发挥作用，美联储正赢得通胀战争。PCE（个人消费支出）价格指数是美联储密切关注的另一个通胀指标，该指标也显示出令人鼓舞的迹象。与1月份相比，该指数2月份的环比增速较低，同比增速也显示出，这一通胀指标在很大程度上一直在下降。美联储也一直在寻找劳动力市场收紧的迹象，它可能也看到了。美国3月份新增就业岗位23.6万个，增幅低于前几个月，就业市场增速放缓至依然强劲但未过热的水平，正是美联储一直在寻求的结果。Indeed Hiring Lab北美地区经济研究主管邦克（Nick Bunker）表示：“即使增长放缓，劳动力市场仍在快速发展。”很明显，美国经济正在朝着正确的方向前进，尽管美联储主席鲍威尔因其持续加息以及此举可能引发失业和最终的经济衰退而面临民主党议员的批评。例如在美联储3月加息后，参议员沃伦（Elizabeth Warren）公开表示：“鲍威尔犯了一个错误，他没有暂停其极端的加息。几个月来，我一直警告说，美联储目前的做法可能会让数百万美国人失去工作。我们有很多工具来对抗通胀，同时又不会把经济推下悬崖。”但鲍威尔在今年3月的新闻发布会上表示，在实现降低通胀目标方面他不会退缩，他声称：“因为我们知道，从长远来看，这是最有利于人民的事情。”尽管美联储今年不打算降息，但最新的经济数据暗示美联储可能即将暂停加息。芝加哥联储主席古尔斯比周二在芝加哥经济俱乐部表示，在硅谷银行倒闭带来的“金融压力”之后，“正确的货币政策需要谨慎和耐心”。他表示：“鉴于这些金融逆风走向的不确定性很大，我认为我们需要保持谨慎。我们应该收集进一步的数据，并且在我们看到逆风在降低通胀方面起到多大帮助之前，对过于激进的加息应持谨慎态度。”硅谷银行的崩溃加剧了对暂停加息的呼吁，因为这一崩溃引发了经济的不确定性。虽然鲍威尔声称银行体系“稳健而有弹性”，但崩溃的后果可能是“相当于加息，甚至可能还不止于此”，因为企业和家庭的信贷条件可能会收紧。可以肯定的是，虽然3月份整体CPI走低是好消息，但房价和公寓租金仍在高速上涨。与此同时，3月份剔除食品和能源的核心CPI同比涨幅略高于2月份，这在很大程度上是受住房价格上涨的推动。不确定性仍存在。硅谷银行的倒闭可能会使金融状况变得更加严峻，企业和消费者的借贷和支出可能减缓，但过高的核心通胀可能会迫使美联储继续加息，这意味着经济衰退的可能性依然存在。不过，美联储仍在寻找支持潜在暂停加息所需的数据，因此，看起来美国更有可能避免严重的经济衰退。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":637,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}