$标普500ETF(_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

option铁血军

2019-07-13

$标普500ETF(SPY)$只有在牛市中，才能追具有突破形态的股票。否则很容易死得很惨。
看这是典型的杯子。
预计美股标普将在接下来两个月左右上升20%-25%，完成美股牛市历史性大顶，期权交易黄金时代！follow me！

道指破记录，后市怎么看？

美联储降息预期强化，道指盘中站上27000点，后市走向你怎么看？

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

Seven8
2019-07-13
Seven8
$标普500ETF(SPY)$ $亚马逊(AMZN)$ $苹果(AAPL)$ 标普还有20%的涨幅？[惊讶] [惊讶] [惊讶] 现在大家都说到顶，还有很多已经逆势做空的哥们，出入比较大，@阿文顽股AWENfun 来看看//@option铁血军:回复 @牛lx人:技术形态计算的点位就是3580。历史上美股spx在1924、1935年都曾在当年六月之后的四个月内创下20%以上涨幅（20.09%，31.28%），如今高度自动化交易市场依赖算法的扩大效应会更强悍，我预计巨幅上涨，是有原因的，技术分析+对冲基金动态+银行股状态+国际宏观政治经济形势。更何况这是判断，并非一定会如此。我在首贴贴上李小龙的名句，be water，my friend，意思是并非刻舟求剑。//@牛lx人:知道百分之二十是多少点吗？怎么能傻成这样 [笑哭]
- yuripapa回复Seven8:
  财报逊于预期上涨的典型可以看看今年美股一季度财报季，只要下修预期就能继续上涨，美股这种机构占比较高的市场，要纯靠业绩砸盘也不太容易，往往需要事件或泡沫情绪累计，既然现在情绪还处于多空僵持阶段，那就还没到泡沫化的最终阶段。我个人也偏看涨股市，但谨慎看空业绩。
- Seven8回复option铁血军:
  观点犀利，下跌是无法出货。从这样看来下周的财报季会有利好支撑，如果没有业绩支撑指数没法上涨，而外媒都在看空财报
- option铁血军:
  只能说，从我个人的角度判断，现在做空美股很危险。比如今天的标普，在这个杯子与手柄的形态上，是否已经完成突破，指向3580，我们一些朋友有分歧。但据我所知，大型对冲基金在出货，是毫无疑问的，下跌是无法出货的，只有上涨才能出货。我们认为年底前有20%的上涨空间，并不等于说一定会涨到某个点，重要的是，方向。我们有朋友（本身曾为对冲基金工作）六月底转了大量现金，准备在接下来史上最好的期权交易阶段发力。
- 阿文顽股回复Seven8:
  骨子里觉得必有一空，表面又只能笑脸迎多，这种双面人操作不好受，希望不要来个多空双杀
- Seven8回复阿文顽股:
  [眼眼][眼眼][眼眼][眼眼]你转得很快
牛lx人
2019-07-13
牛lx人
知道百分之二十是多少点吗？怎么能傻成这样 [笑哭]
- 第四菠萝回复牛lx人:
  在国内可能看不到墙外的一些新闻但是据我的感觉目前美国政府对我d的意识形态还是不满的最终有一定可能性走向前面对抗
- 韭菜盒子99回复option铁血军:
  苏联的解题有太多的因素，伊拉克也只是世界布局中的牺牲品，并不是美某组织就能左右的，其中牵扯了太多因素如资源货币请不要神话某组织。 [微笑]
- 巴弟不听话回复option铁血军:
  兄弟，建议你还是把这条评论删掉，谨慎为好，交易员稀缺资源，俺们还是希望看你在这继续分享的
- option铁血军回复牛lx人:
  我在认真的回复您的问题，我只是一个交易员，技术探讨很欢迎，不要随意Judge他人，我拥有多少财富，跟我是否愿意在这里打字探讨的问题无关。恶意问题不会再答。
- 牛lx人回复option铁血军:
  兄弟，我不是什么杠精，我到希望它使劲涨，大家都赚钱，到看到你说的那句2国决裂这话就感觉你这人说话办事不靠谱，世界第一第二经济体最多也是摩擦，远不是决裂，无论谁主政，决裂的责任他都负担不起 [微笑]
美股圈种草
2019-07-13
美股圈种草
我也觉得会涨一段，但现在看杯子连量能都不看就能算看杯子了吗？😂威廉奥尼尔可不是这么说的啊
- option铁血军:
  大盘量能表现很好，不放量的大盘历史高位突破才是安全的。关键资本是否愿意让其上涨。很明确的说，据我所知，目前华尔街资本情绪，贪婪。他们给总统施加极大压力。我们看到，总统暂时妥协（记住暂时）给市场一个时间。大家要注意市场变化，道琼斯与标普的不同步轮涨。杯柄形态问题只是强势突破的技术理论，我们在此做了技术假设，按图画瓢是画给你们看的。真正上方因为没有套牢盘，实际上涨空间无限，完全取决于资本意愿（待续）
阿文顽股
2019-07-13
阿文顽股
三人行必有我师，何况虎群中有这么多大神在，已关注
- 阿文顽股回复2c730220:
  灣灣前輩好，我有補些多單做配對了
- 2c730220:
  很多人勸你們這些看空的人回頭，不是沒有原因的。不是賣弄自己做得走而是趨勢循環看得多了。想當年我也是逆趨勢而行，抄非美貨幣抄不到底的。加上難得台灣同鄉，發個長文隔空喊話一下。
- option铁血军:
  谢谢🙏
巴弟不听话
2019-07-13
巴弟不听话
很专业呀，后续会发布一些实盘操作贴吗，会发的话我就订阅了
话题虎
2019-07-13
话题虎
太棒了看来a股和港股也能涨啦 [保佑]
- option铁血军:
  A股港股我没法说多，对国内论坛不熟悉，之前在某球因谈到A与港股，连续两次被禁烟每次七天，😂然后又被统一禁烟，据称因为海外号注册。所以才来这里。只能说，A与港，一定是某些亲儿子先上高岗，圈钱跑路，国企央企银行军工。T+1完全不平等交易（个体与机构），四年前家人有160万股某港股，到上个月只剩3万美金，鉴于完全不看好港币，我强行斩仓，我自己只做美股期权，这只港股属于家人长期持有，死得很惨，😂

发表看法

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