$标普500ETF(_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

2019-09-06

$标普500ETF(SPY)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$ $苹果(AAPL)$ 目前而言，赌苹果真浴霸下跌的胜算最大。条件比较单纯，发布会上，新品看着恶心，就成立。

大盘只有赌不降息之后的下跌。

首先不降息的概率比较低，目前机构预测降25个基点概率100% 但实际上这次赌的内容包括不降息、会议后鲍哥讲话、第二天黄毛推特等一篮子事件。

如果$标普500ETF(SPY)$ 日K macd变绿柱，成功率将大大提高（这说明有大单提前几日跑路了，形成卖压。）

玩的很大！

我本人还是倾向于不降息的，因为弹药太少了，救命稻草应该省着用，而不是在即将又要创新高的时候用。

最后请量力而行，不降息是超级黑天鹅，上次赌不降息差点血本无归，小盈离场。

降息仍是大概率事件。降息后是涨是跌，看脸。

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

NaNa说美股
2019-09-06
NaNa说美股
我猜测下周的欧洲央行会议，大概率应该不降息，因为欧洲利率已经是历史最低水平，如果还降息，银行金融业受不了压力太大，而且等经济真的衰退时，没有弹药了
雪飘飘
2019-09-06
雪飘飘
今天有点奇怪，前几天都是盘前期指死命涨?今天没有，是出于谨慎在等消息吗？
- 长天:
  前几天拉的太多了，等五日线上来，再拉
卑鄙的我
2019-09-06
卑鄙的我
不管是降息还是降息25点都是利空，符合预期的行为已经price in了，大家炒作的都是超预期，只有超预期才能真的涨。
NaNa说美股
2019-09-06
NaNa说美股
至于美联储，降息25个点或不降息，都有可能。美联储内部分歧都非常严重。个人倾向于降息25个点。
胖虎哒哒
2019-09-06
胖虎哒哒
我在网上看各种新闻都是说还有希望降息但是可能性比上次7月份的低了很多

发表看法

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