samluo
2020-09-27
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@爱上趋势股:
接下来的亏钱效应,可能超乎想象!
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class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/175e5b9f6231add738571a4b4002a961\" tg-width=\"482\" tg-height=\"291\"></p> <p>随着<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/159915\">$创业板(159915)$</a> 放量下跌,现在市场已经全都变成空头主导了,<b>而且没有止跌的迹象。</b></p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5fc26a626374cba77822968348da98c\" tg-width=\"1317\" tg-height=\"810\"></p> <p>美股也一样,苹果、特斯拉,也是带着量断崖下崩。</p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f408f221d4e64027e0c25146bb53a1f\" tg-width=\"1100\" tg-height=\"615\"></p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8db6afa750acf6e0f20d656dbce0642\" tg-width=\"822\" tg-height=\"634\"></p> <p>这种下跌,很多时候会直接倒V,吞没之前的一整波涨幅。</p> <p>.... ....</p> <p><b>下跌的原因是什么?</b></p> <p>每次跌了,大家都爱问原因,其实没那么多合理的解释,<b>本质就是泡沫大了,挤一挤。</b></p> <p>A股这消费股泡沫有多大?酱油<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/603288\">$海天味业(603288)$</a> 市盈率都上100了。还有一堆当年蹭着疫情上去的医药股,都翻了2、3倍,现在疫苗都要出来了,国内疫情也稳定了,这些股票都在找接盘侠。</p> <p>美股这边,疯狂印钞,都流向FAAMG。</p> <p>年初,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 市盈率达到了24.7倍,媒体惊呼:<b>创出了10年新高!</b></p> <p>现在呢?看了一眼,快40倍了:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a2b58eddacea276c40b804d06d256a\" tg-width=\"368\" tg-height=\"223\">除了这个,还有一个妖精<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> ,从年初翻了6倍。</p> <p><span style=\"color:rgba(231,10,10,1);\"><b>一涨起来,就会改变你的信仰,麻木了;那么跌起来,也可能让你怀疑人生。</b></span></p> <p>..... .....</p> <p><b>什么时候止跌?</b></p> <p>涨不言顶,跌不言底,道理是一样。可能下周止跌,也可能下个月止跌。</p> <p>时间虽然无法确定,但止跌信号,是能确定。</p> <p>因为,一般这种高位爆量的破位下跌,都是要等右侧交易的,即:<span style=\"color:rgba(233,19,19,1);\"><b>缩量横盘</b></span><b>。</b></p> <p>A股在形态上更好区分,比如创业板今年3月份破位大跌,到4月份中旬,缩量横盘,就是右侧了。</p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5dbd8f1a39e423a4941f6f46f1175b19\" tg-width=\"1428\" tg-height=\"648\"></p> <p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a> ,比较强,直接V上去了之后,缩量横盘,也是右侧:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd46e1df147da681eacccbb18412da3f\" tg-width=\"1339\" tg-height=\"706\">时间大概是5月份,有些人觉得太晚了,吃不上肉了。其实不然,因为一旦右侧机会出来,真正的多头大军才会发起进攻。</p> <p>比如,特斯拉就是在5月份后,加速腾飞的:</p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba3f946c5c1abe7219d148e31d561a4b\" tg-width=\"1208\" tg-height=\"622\"><span>黄匡是5月份的特斯拉股价</span></p> <p>.... ....</p> <p><b>会跌倒哪里?</b></p> <p>A股:</p> <ul> \n <li>创业板比较麻烦,高位套牢的太多,碰到2300也是有可能;</li> \n <li><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上证指数(000001.SH)$</a> 我觉得最坏也不会跌破3000吧,大概回补一下缺口就好。</li> \n</ul> <p>美股看这波下跌的始作俑者,苹果和特斯拉就好:</p> <ul> \n <li>苹果下面有3个缺口,96附近那个最明显,总觉不补不踏实:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1201f24ef054333d1c988a9f4594fb\" tg-width=\"1087\" tg-height=\"415\"></li> \n <li>特斯拉回调到280一点也不过分,甚至补一下“618黄金分割线”那的缺口,也有可能:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dd1cd21cf8a97b9957c60a59721b5d2\" tg-width=\"1422\" tg-height=\"506\"></li> \n</ul> <p>但整体来看,<b>美股还不具备年初那种崩盘式的下跌,因为现有的基本面消息,不支持,除非又出幺蛾子。</b></p> <p>也有可能,苹果和特斯拉没有跌那么多,就缩量横盘了,那这波下跌会更早的结束。</p> <p>总之,现在的状况是:</p> <ol> \n <li><b>趋势坏了,降低仓;</b></li> \n <li><b>不言底,不抄底;</b></li> \n <li><b>等右侧,重新杀回来。</b></li> \n</ol> <hr> <p>欢迎点击订阅我的空间站:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNSpace&page=/space/detail&rndata=%7B%22spaceId%22%3A%20%2210%22%2C%20%22userId%22%3A%20%223502860692623653%22%7D\" target=\"_blank\"><b>点击这里订阅</b></a></p> <p><b>免责声明:</b>以上非荐股,仅供复盘交流、讨论。</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/175e5b9f6231add738571a4b4002a961\" tg-width=\"482\" tg-height=\"291\"></p> <p>随着<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/159915\">$创业板(159915)$</a> 放量下跌,现在市场已经全都变成空头主导了,<b>而且没有止跌的迹象。</b></p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5fc26a626374cba77822968348da98c\" tg-width=\"1317\" tg-height=\"810\"></p> <p>美股也一样,苹果、特斯拉,也是带着量断崖下崩。</p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f408f221d4e64027e0c25146bb53a1f\" tg-width=\"1100\" tg-height=\"615\"></p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8db6afa750acf6e0f20d656dbce0642\" tg-width=\"822\" tg-height=\"634\"></p> <p>这种下跌,很多时候会直接倒V,吞没之前的一整波涨幅。</p> <p>.... ....</p> <p><b>下跌的原因是什么?</b></p> <p>每次跌了,大家都爱问原因,其实没那么多合理的解释,<b>本质就是泡沫大了,挤一挤。</b></p> <p>A股这消费股泡沫有多大?酱油<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/603288\">$海天味业(603288)$</a> 市盈率都上100了。还有一堆当年蹭着疫情上去的医药股,都翻了2、3倍,现在疫苗都要出来了,国内疫情也稳定了,这些股票都在找接盘侠。</p> <p>美股这边,疯狂印钞,都流向FAAMG。</p> <p>年初,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 市盈率达到了24.7倍,媒体惊呼:<b>创出了10年新高!</b></p> <p>现在呢?看了一眼,快40倍了:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a2b58eddacea276c40b804d06d256a\" tg-width=\"368\" tg-height=\"223\">除了这个,还有一个妖精<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> ,从年初翻了6倍。</p> <p><span style=\"color:rgba(231,10,10,1);\"><b>一涨起来,就会改变你的信仰,麻木了;那么跌起来,也可能让你怀疑人生。</b></span></p> <p>..... .....</p> <p><b>什么时候止跌?</b></p> <p>涨不言顶,跌不言底,道理是一样。可能下周止跌,也可能下个月止跌。</p> <p>时间虽然无法确定,但止跌信号,是能确定。</p> <p>因为,一般这种高位爆量的破位下跌,都是要等右侧交易的,即:<span style=\"color:rgba(233,19,19,1);\"><b>缩量横盘</b></span><b>。</b></p> <p>A股在形态上更好区分,比如创业板今年3月份破位大跌,到4月份中旬,缩量横盘,就是右侧了。</p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5dbd8f1a39e423a4941f6f46f1175b19\" tg-width=\"1428\" tg-height=\"648\"></p> <p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a> ,比较强,直接V上去了之后,缩量横盘,也是右侧:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd46e1df147da681eacccbb18412da3f\" tg-width=\"1339\" tg-height=\"706\">时间大概是5月份,有些人觉得太晚了,吃不上肉了。其实不然,因为一旦右侧机会出来,真正的多头大军才会发起进攻。</p> <p>比如,特斯拉就是在5月份后,加速腾飞的:</p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba3f946c5c1abe7219d148e31d561a4b\" tg-width=\"1208\" tg-height=\"622\"><span>黄匡是5月份的特斯拉股价</span></p> <p>.... ....</p> <p><b>会跌倒哪里?</b></p> <p>A股:</p> <ul> \n <li>创业板比较麻烦,高位套牢的太多,碰到2300也是有可能;</li> \n <li><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上证指数(000001.SH)$</a> 我觉得最坏也不会跌破3000吧,大概回补一下缺口就好。</li> \n</ul> <p>美股看这波下跌的始作俑者,苹果和特斯拉就好:</p> <ul> \n <li>苹果下面有3个缺口,96附近那个最明显,总觉不补不踏实:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1201f24ef054333d1c988a9f4594fb\" tg-width=\"1087\" tg-height=\"415\"></li> \n <li>特斯拉回调到280一点也不过分,甚至补一下“618黄金分割线”那的缺口,也有可能:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dd1cd21cf8a97b9957c60a59721b5d2\" tg-width=\"1422\" tg-height=\"506\"></li> \n</ul> <p>但整体来看,<b>美股还不具备年初那种崩盘式的下跌,因为现有的基本面消息,不支持,除非又出幺蛾子。</b></p> <p>也有可能,苹果和特斯拉没有跌那么多,就缩量横盘了,那这波下跌会更早的结束。</p> <p>总之,现在的状况是:</p> <ol> \n <li><b>趋势坏了,降低仓;</b></li> \n <li><b>不言底,不抄底;</b></li> \n <li><b>等右侧,重新杀回来。</b></li> \n</ol> <hr> <p>欢迎点击订阅我的空间站:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNSpace&page=/space/detail&rndata=%7B%22spaceId%22%3A%20%2210%22%2C%20%22userId%22%3A%20%223502860692623653%22%7D\" target=\"_blank\"><b>点击这里订阅</b></a></p> <p><b>免责声明:</b>以上非荐股,仅供复盘交流、讨论。</p></body></html>","text":"随着$创业板(159915)$ 放量下跌,现在市场已经全都变成空头主导了,而且没有止跌的迹象。 美股也一样,苹果、特斯拉,也是带着量断崖下崩。 这种下跌,很多时候会直接倒V,吞没之前的一整波涨幅。 .... .... 下跌的原因是什么? 每次跌了,大家都爱问原因,其实没那么多合理的解释,本质就是泡沫大了,挤一挤。 A股这消费股泡沫有多大?酱油$海天味业(603288)$ 市盈率都上100了。还有一堆当年蹭着疫情上去的医药股,都翻了2、3倍,现在疫苗都要出来了,国内疫情也稳定了,这些股票都在找接盘侠。 美股这边,疯狂印钞,都流向FAAMG。 年初,$苹果(AAPL)$ 市盈率达到了24.7倍,媒体惊呼:创出了10年新高! 现在呢?看了一眼,快40倍了:除了这个,还有一个妖精$特斯拉(TSLA)$ ,从年初翻了6倍。 一涨起来,就会改变你的信仰,麻木了;那么跌起来,也可能让你怀疑人生。 ..... ..... 什么时候止跌? 涨不言顶,跌不言底,道理是一样。可能下周止跌,也可能下个月止跌。 时间虽然无法确定,但止跌信号,是能确定。 因为,一般这种高位爆量的破位下跌,都是要等右侧交易的,即:缩量横盘。 A股在形态上更好区分,比如创业板今年3月份破位大跌,到4月份中旬,缩量横盘,就是右侧了。 $道琼斯(.DJI)$ ,比较强,直接V上去了之后,缩量横盘,也是右侧:时间大概是5月份,有些人觉得太晚了,吃不上肉了。其实不然,因为一旦右侧机会出来,真正的多头大军才会发起进攻。 比如,特斯拉就是在5月份后,加速腾飞的: 黄匡是5月份的特斯拉股价 .... .... 会跌倒哪里? A股: 创业板比较麻烦,高位套牢的太多,碰到2300也是有可能; $上证指数(000001.SH)$ 我觉得最坏也不会跌破3000吧,大概回补一下缺口就好。 美股看这波下跌的始作俑者,苹果和特斯拉就好: 苹果下面有3个缺口,96附近那个最明显,总觉不补不踏实: 特斯拉回调到280一点也不过分,甚至补一下“618黄金分割线”那的缺口,也有可能: 但整体来看,美股还不具备年初那种崩盘式的下跌,因为现有的基本面消息,不支持,除非又出幺蛾子。 也有可能,苹果和特斯拉没有跌那么多,就缩量横盘了,那这波下跌会更早的结束。 总之,现在的状况是: 趋势坏了,降低仓; 不言底,不抄底; 等右侧,重新杀回来。 欢迎点击订阅我的空间站:点击这里订阅 免责声明:以上非荐股,仅供复盘交流、讨论。","highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/976235063","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":[".DJI","603288","TSLA","159915","AAPL"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1733,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":630,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":25,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/974506514"}
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