林北我
2019-10-17
$Netflix, Inc.(NFLX)$
这期权贵的一批啊!两块钱挂了几天没买到[开心][开心] 这期权现价7元,开盘估计就是3-4元了。赌期权比赌六合彩赢的概率还要小一些!!!慎重
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NoGo寻常路
2019-10-17
NoGo寻常路
这开盘绝对9元以上,奈飞波动率比较高,加上还有两天时间价值
NoGo寻常路
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玉米地的工科生
:
这个正常啊,我说的时候当时股价是310多,涨幅事9%多,按照当时的股价估算肯定9块多,问题是盘前跌到了7%左右开盘差不多也是5块,所以我的估算并没有多大问题,至于后面的涨跌我没有做任何判断
玉米地的工科生
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NoGo寻常路
:
see?
玉米地的工科生
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NoGo寻常路
:
18号的310 call只有2块钱 跌掉了80% 12月底的310 call 没涨没跌
NoGo寻常路
回复
玉米地的工科生
:
时间价值也要结合正股的趋势,你那个时间太长了,期间涨跌概率都差不多。财报利好之后时间价值对上涨趋势更有利,相同溢价的期权call肯定比put贵,即使波动率下降,call开盘这段时间溢价也会比较高,如果一直横盘随着时间的消耗期权不在价内call的价格就会回落!如果按现在的正股价格估算18号310的call开盘不会低于9
玉米地的工科生
:
多的价值全部是因为财报导致的期权利率暴涨
全部9条回复
林北我
2019-10-17
林北我
🤣🤣开盘四元妥妥的,双杀,渣都不剩一点,事实证明财报后波动率大幅下降。
鲵大爷
2019-10-17
鲵大爷
可以空期权了
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