$Netflix, _老虎社区_美港股上老虎 - 老虎社区

$Netflix, Inc.(NFLX)$这期权贵的一批啊！两块钱挂了几天没买到[开心][开心] 这期权现价7元，开盘估计就是3-4元了。赌期权比赌六合彩赢的概率还要小一些！！！慎重

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精彩评论

NoGo寻常路
2019-10-17
NoGo寻常路
这开盘绝对9元以上，奈飞波动率比较高，加上还有两天时间价值
- NoGo寻常路回复玉米地的工科生:
  这个正常啊，我说的时候当时股价是310多，涨幅事9%多，按照当时的股价估算肯定9块多，问题是盘前跌到了7%左右开盘差不多也是5块，所以我的估算并没有多大问题，至于后面的涨跌我没有做任何判断
- 玉米地的工科生回复NoGo寻常路:
  see？
- 玉米地的工科生回复NoGo寻常路:
  18号的310 call只有2块钱跌掉了80% 12月底的310 call 没涨没跌
- NoGo寻常路回复玉米地的工科生:
  时间价值也要结合正股的趋势，你那个时间太长了，期间涨跌概率都差不多。财报利好之后时间价值对上涨趋势更有利，相同溢价的期权call肯定比put贵，即使波动率下降，call开盘这段时间溢价也会比较高，如果一直横盘随着时间的消耗期权不在价内call的价格就会回落！如果按现在的正股价格估算18号310的call开盘不会低于9
- 玉米地的工科生:
  多的价值全部是因为财报导致的期权利率暴涨
林北我
2019-10-17
林北我
🤣🤣开盘四元妥妥的，双杀，渣都不剩一点，事实证明财报后波动率大幅下降。
鲵大爷
2019-10-17
鲵大爷
可以空期权了

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