$三倍做多原油ETN_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

2019-10-03

$三倍做多原油ETN(UWT)$ 给做多原油的小伙伴们打打气，就说几个方面吧。
1，原油有开采成本，尤其是美国页岩油，50美元左右。考虑到石油企业是每个国家最大的税收贡献者之一，油价跌破成本倾销的可能性很小，因为这会让养老金捉襟见肘。所以多头请握住你们的筹码。
2，无论沙特是真的复产还是进口原油，这次袭击让我们看到供给端绝对不是源源不绝，如果说全球百分之五的产量危机就足以让空头们爆仓。那我们可以假定原油的供应量虽然充足但是绝对不会超过需求的百分之五。
3，美国已经前往沙特布置军力，留给胡塞武装的时间不多了，要想真的对沙特造成打击三周之内就要行动，否则难上加难。
4，多头的机会在这个冬季，考虑到今年夏天的气候反常，冬季的严冬可能比往常更加严重。

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

清野星光
2019-10-04
清野星光
说这些对小散一点用都没有，小散撑不到看多的，即使等到看多，那个空间依然无法回本，既输时间又输钱
- 贯一郎:
  空头来劝降了么，那简单跟你唠唠，先说你的时间成本，目前市场风雨飘摇的情况下如果你有更好的投资标的，那么ok，原油做多目前是垃圾时间。如果你没有，守着成本线静待机会来临有什么问题？投资讲究的是收益和风险的平衡，我在成本线持筹，可以充分地享受情绪不合理波动带来的收益，相信看了我帖子的人昨天晚上抄底回了一大口血。空头是会爆仓的，多头你见过爆仓吗？你有本事一夜之间让原油价格腰斩吗？
Labd
2019-10-04
Labd
主要还是世界经济趋势太差需求前景太差我就说北美某油企的今年年终奖金悬了[流泪]
- 贯一郎:
  你不要搞错了，经济增长速度变慢，但还是增长不是衰退。对原油的需求只可能是趋势变缓，不可能没有需求。
九格
2019-10-03
九格
页岩油有50这么高吗？我印象中好像比这低？
- 贯一郎:
  页岩油非常高，美国那边页岩油公司倒闭的一批接一批。而且页岩油的探明储量到底是多少其实根本没法确定，这玩意儿就是石油里的可燃冰，储量多少你看个笑话就行。
天幕
2019-10-03
天幕
不是说成本是30美元左右么
- 贯一郎:
  我们选取EOG、APC、CLR和PXD等四家大型页岩油气生产企业，得到4家企业2017年页岩油平均完全成本在52美元/桶左右， 2017年WTI价格与各公司销售油价相近，因此可用WTI价格近似用于衡量页岩油企业是否达到平衡油价，我们认为WTI油价52美元/桶左右是页岩油生产的平衡油价。
  重质原油是最便宜的，其次是轻质，页岩油成本高是压裂技术和炼化共同决定的
金晶晶
2019-10-04
金晶晶
天天好心情
喜剧之王王王
2019-10-04
喜剧之王王王
挺深奥啊

发表看法

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