fufu008
2020-05-03
$达美航空(DAL)$
巴菲特跑了，跑不
晒晒更赚钱
晒晒你的盈亏单，秀秀虎友们的实力！
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Malison
2020-05-03
Malison
按理说航司最难受的日子已经快过去了，最大的危险就是破产危机，但是该融资的融资该救济的救济，至少四大，或者说达美西南暂时把命保住了。再看业绩，疫情危机马上就要解除了，美帝城际要么开车要么飞机，是刚需，各州急不可待的想开放复产恢复经济，慢慢就会好起来，短期是会痛苦一些，但是两三年这个预计老巴是不是太悲观了，这还没有考虑到药物开发和疫苗开发，大不了申请航班要做抗体快检对吧，阴性才让登机，办法总是有的
遵循价值投资的韭菜
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Malison
:
完全赞同你的说法
color_pen
:
瞎说一下我的理解，见笑。国内航空复苏的原因是病毒已经基本在国内被消灭了，而在美国这个过程只能等疫苗普及了，算上研发生产和分发时间两年都可能嫌乐观。航空业在城际旅行的地位依然无可替代，但是很大一部分城际旅行本身可能会被zoom和网飞替代吧
Malison
回复
Malison
:
至于该不该跑，分析了这么多，主意还是要你自己拿。首先目前航司是底，周期底也好业绩底也好黑天鹅底也好，然后，随着经济活动复苏股价会修复，这都是众所周知的，只是这个过程比较痛苦，你想拿着等反弹可以，要熬要有耐心，至于是半年还是一年还是两年，看自己的偏好和资金的需要。最后等股价修复到一定程度然后就可以卖掉了，不能当他是可口可乐可以拿太久。
Malison
:
所以老巴清仓要么就是有点过于悲观，做法略微激进了一些。要么就是按老巴的投资体系，认为航司不是一个好生意，不仅不值得抄底，就连两三年恢复过来之后也不是一个好生意，更远的将来也不会是一个好生意。因为一个公司一个行业他拿的更久股价掉的更多都没抛的例子更多。也就是说这次他可能反思了投航司这个操作，相当于是不是就承认了之前投航司就是错的，所以我更倾向于是后者。
奉仙
2020-05-03
奉仙
你没机会跑了。开盘先跌10个点。
fufu008
:
[财迷] [开心]
V纳斯达克
2020-05-03
V纳斯达克
低开高走，巴菲特不要有人要
fufu008
:
[鬼脸]
如来脚掌
2020-05-03
如来脚掌
跑吧...
百乐事
2020-05-05
百乐事
看个人了，持有jetblue
亚洲股神买必赢
2020-05-04
亚洲股神买必赢
16再入手，看好创新低
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