$WTI原油2006_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

2020-04-30

$WTI原油2006(CL2006)$原油已经三次探底了，利空出尽，全球向好，周五必然突破20，之后不会在下来了，参考中东商品油官方价，美油会在23美元左右震荡，远期合每月2到3美元价差合理。考虑美油成本比中东高很多，加上如果各州提前复工，原油下个月有站上25的可能。另外中国疫苗研发在24号已经进入临床二期，临床三期结束意味着有效疫苗诞生，但是量产还需要很长时间。如果三期临床通过，意味着不管拐点来没来，经济下行的拐点都来了。所以我觉得远期合约做多最稳

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

666jun
2020-04-30
666jun
说库存爆了的，库欣的库存还没到达历史最高，目前在74%，较高水平。但是你要知道，欧佩克五月开始减产，970万，非欧佩克据俄罗斯能源部长估计减产将超1000万，如果5月全球需求下降在2000万以上，那么库存将会缓慢增长，如果经济开始反弹，库存会下降。目前老美已经倒了五家油企，这种油价维持下去，小油企大面积破产引发金融危机的概率非常大，油企破产是原油的被动减产，说白了未来产量是被动下行，需求会缓慢上行
666jun
2020-04-30
666jun
你是过分主观，你做空想看爆库而已，人家石油生产商傻吗？库存都满了还生产污染环境找罚?理智思考独立思考都不会还是别碰期货了
mismatch24
2020-04-30
mismatch24
太理想化了，这一次库存必爆，至少还有一次个位数行情
我是不是呀
2020-04-30
我是不是呀
二十以上那么多抄底的！怎么可能涨呢？交割日前必然暴跌负数
devops
2020-04-30
devops
个人愚见：时局不明，还敢做多，建议慎重，别当韭菜...
打野小汽车
2020-04-30
打野小汽车
真的时局不明，原油库存已经爆了

发表看法

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