大家来讨论一下（如何判断A股牛市来了）

2017-08-31

个人觉得很多中国美股投资者都是A股赚完钱后才来做美股的，所以在A股赚到钱很重要.
A股里赚钱除了玩稳定的白马赚钱、投机赚钱以外，当然能赚大钱的是A股的大牛市.经过两年的暴跌和调整，有些砖家已经在吹牛市来了.鄙人打死也
不相信.
老虎是个汇集了很多优秀投资者的平台，希望大家可以出出主意，讨论一下子.个人觉得现在牛市还远的原因是：
1.上证指数月线，鄙人画了一条长期趋势线，每次月线打到这条线上就会来一波，但是现在看来指数还在半空中.
2.创业板应该是A股牛市的先行者，上一次上证指数牛市启动是2014年，但是创业板2012年便提前开涨，果然在后来的牛市中当领头羊.而现在其月线MACD仍在调整中.
3.现在的确可以说是结构性牛市，但鄙人想和大家讨论一下全面牛市，毕竟还是全面牛市比较好赚钱.@柳下惠的气质 @九格 @我是股神的小腿毛 @中国人民解放军空军大队长 @核桃桃 @Tony特别帅 @接盘虾 @人民火箭军政委 @尚杜资本 @徐家小妹萌萌哒 @稳哥 @hellen @EricFu .........

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

1704
2017-08-31
1704
我的看法，疯牛市技术定义，十连阳且十根k线连续贴着布林线上轨走，那么a股有可能会出现这种全面疯牛吗？答案显然不可能，首先坐馆的死鱼要升职，容不得半点系统性风险，他一天在，疯牛想都别想。主力早已看穿，要保住牛命，只能让他慢走。那么目前这a股能投吗？我们可以从证金的态度可以看出，按照好不容易扭亏为盈的国家队应该退出啊，但他没有抛弃a股，还在二季财报中现身不少中小创的优质股当中包括养老金进入，意味深长.
- 心扬起帆:
  死鱼知道暴跌就要下课，只能这样半死不活着。每次大牛都是伴随改革大利好，现在的利好不明确，深改到底多深，能带来多少活力，或者只是想改善自己资产负债表目前看不出端倪。但是就习所说的理直气壮做大国企潜台词就是深改不会太深，各路民企只会是陪玩，被招安的角色。另外上方就是杠杆套牢盘，没有足够增量资金怕是很难冲关。但每次我这样分析完总是被打脸，证金，汇金稍稍发点力，发个基金也要讲政治的文件股价就下不来，乖乖往上走，你能撑多久？你知道他想把点位推到多高？这是A股最不好把握的地方。
- 旭阳特别帅回复1704:
  观察入微👍赞
- 1704回复旭阳特别帅:
  1.死鱼说过没有不讲政治（证金）的金融 2.死鱼要升职且要兑现自己承诺的股市向好 3.证金4.99%顶格持有大量“券商” 4.养老社保基金已经现身两只股票 5.现在很多人并不热情高涨 6.死鱼已经少出来嘴炮 7.ipo发行有减少 8.选股比炒股重要重要的几点说说看法，在大a还是要看头子脸色的...
- 旭阳特别帅:
  这个回复我觉得很有道理，A股政策市，醍醐灌顶！
- 旭阳特别帅:
  老兄的见解有点意思，主力这么说来是想搞慢牛.
致富李财记
2017-08-31
致富李财记
A股资源类可能还得来一波，但风险也很大。次新股应该会来一波，但抓个股也得看眼光。所以我选择来一打次新股😸 （选择进了金鹰核心基金，预计持有一个月+）。基金可以减少频繁操作的欲望。目前A股以看涨为主。十月份左右开始警剔回调的风险。
- 致富李财记回复放弃自我:
  恩。我们小散都这样😊
- 放弃自我:
  我的小伙伴们买金鹰核心基金都亏成🐶啦！这几天又嚷嚷着要加仓了
- 旭阳特别帅:
  我已经不敢做资源股了，像是在做头.A股估计还会涨，我也去同意不会来大牛市，估计只是小牛.说道次新股，我以前在次新股最火的时候买了一个汇纳科技....然后就腰斩了.....留下了阴影😂😂😂，再也不碰次新股.
1006
2017-08-31
1006
你相信吗？A股这三个月做针状焦煤和券商，赚了52%。现在A股突破3300心理位啊，3300-3500就是一片蓝天了。A股经历了前期各种特停后，游资现在知道该炒作那些板块，已经炒作的度都已经摸清楚了。在19大之前，拼命赚钱吧，现在今年难得的一次
- 旭阳特别帅:
  老兄，咱们讨论一下子全面牛市啦.就像06年和14年的.........
- 旭阳特别帅:
  我信，牧原股份赚了40%多😂😂😂.是的，绩优、有色.641不打压这些.
- 1006:
  吃饭行情
核桃妈后援团团长助理
2017-08-31
核桃妈后援团团长助理
再牛我也不碰a股
- 旭阳特别帅:
  😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
九格
2017-09-01
九格
看不懂，没想法，但是杨老板应该没说错，19大搞完说不定又是一波政策红包到来
- 旭阳特别帅:
  这个政策红利貌似是有波行情可以赚.
T7486957
2017-08-31
T7486957
个人觉得刘士鱼上台后开始把a股美股话，具体表现就是开始关注财报。。。。但是中国人赌性依旧很强，牛市现象不会出现美股的长牛只能是疯牛

从我最近的感知，这大半年a股开始走强78月份明显风险偏好已经上来。。。牛市迹象出现，搞不好就在这两个月启动哟

纯主观判断，大家轻喷
- T7486957回复旭阳特别帅:
  对，所以要吃牛头不要吃牛尾。。。疯狂的多头最后就是疯狂的空头
- 旭阳特别帅:
  疯牛是一定的吧，中国人想发财的人太多，即使是长牛，到后来大妈大姐全来了肯定是疯牛😂.

发表看法

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