$Bilibili Inc.(BILI)$ was recently trading at $92.24 and has an implied volatility of 59.58% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for BILI expiring on 22-Oct-2021, there is a 34.13% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $92.25-$113.81 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 65.50%.
Big 7.32% Change: After closing the last trading session at $85.95, BILIBILI INC. AMERICAN DEPOSITARY SHARES opened today at $90.80 and has reached a high of $93.47.
Trade approach: A movement as big as 7.32% is a significantly bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if BILI maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $92.24 on 22-Oct-2021. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if BILIBILI INC. AMERICAN DEPOSITARY SHARES closes at or above $92.20 on 22-Oct-2021. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.10% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
Could anyone share your opinion?
Is BILI a good stock deserve to buy?
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