AetherC
2021-09-29
A stock for the long term
Alphabet: Strong Growth Supported By Renewables
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{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":862471480,"tweetId":"862471480","gmtCreate":1632907322857,"gmtModify":1632907323168,"author":{"id":3582258408396089,"idStr":"3582258408396089","authorId":3582258408396089,"authorIdStr":"3582258408396089","name":"AetherC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e9d2b2288d3ec3cb10339c5902876c8","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":23,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>A stock for the long term</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>A stock for the long term</p></body></html>","text":"A stock for the long term","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862471480","repostId":1194220978,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194220978","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632906888,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1194220978?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-29 17:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alphabet: Strong Growth Supported By Renewables","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194220978","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nAlphabet showed a much faster than expected growth in recent quarters.\nIt heavily invests i","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Alphabet showed a much faster than expected growth in recent quarters.</li>\n <li>It heavily invests in renewable energy and showcases the use of energy storage. Alphabet's ambitions are good news for renewable energy stocks as well.</li>\n <li>The shares are reasonably valued to their historical metrics. The valuation is also rational in comparison to peers.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a18c2655d855af9ab1878ba3e880c3ad\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>piyaset/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Alphabet (GOOG,GOOGL) is one of my favorite big tech stocks. It's investing heavily in renewable energy. The company showed great resilience in 2020 when the ad market seemed doomed. It's expanding into several new areas at a fast pace while keeping the number one position in the online advertising market.</p>\n<p>I wrote about Alphabet before in 2020 so consider this an addition to those. The main arguments for investing in Alphabet remain the same: it grows fast and it's reasonably priced. Some gems are hiding in plain sight like Google cloud services and YouTube, both growing faster than the company. The so-called moonshot or other bets could become catalysts over 5 to 10 years.</p>\n<p>This article is about Alphabet's smart investments in renewables. It's part of a FAAMG series, as I covered Microsoft(MSFT) and Amazon(AMZN) before.</p>\n<p><b>Alphabet Recovered Faster Than Expected</b></p>\n<p>The advertising business took a hard hit in 2020. Companies cut their budgets and reduced marketing expenses. In 2021, Alphabet recovered a lot faster than expected. It beats expected EPS and revenue consequently by a landslide quarter after quarter. The latest quarter surprised analysts with a 42% higher EPS. It shows the strength and network advantages of Alphabet.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50d92aaa078225575f0be0b089283a41\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>The positive earnings surprises are fueled by the strongest YoY growth by Alphabet in over a decade. This will slow down again but it's good to see that it still has the strength to make this kind of jump.</p>\n<p><b>Non-Advertising Revenue</b></p>\n<p>Alphabet's revenue comes essentially from advertisements. The strength of Google search and the Google advertising network is immense. YouTube diversifies the type of advertising and provides an enormous growth path. Still, it's mainly about ads. I believe it's important that Alphabet diversifies to non-advertising revenue streams as I've argued before. There is one graph I just updated:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97a6e7bec3aee9e9f615fb12b1e05a32\" tg-width=\"602\" tg-height=\"373\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author based on SEC Filings</span></p>\n<p>Google's non-advertising revenue lost a bit of traction in 2021 as the growth of advertising outpaced other revenues. I expect this will change again over the next couple of quarters. It's due to the enormous strength of Alphabet's advertising that it developed faster.</p>\n<p><b>Google Cloud Services</b></p>\n<p>One of the important paths for non-advertising revenue is the Google Cloud solutions. These show strong growth but don't attribute to net income yet. This improves quickly as the operating loss of Google Cloud halved in the first six months of 2021. The two larger competitors, Microsoft and Amazon, have an operating margin of 43% and 29.5% respectively. A big difference with Alphabet's -12.8% margin. Google Cloud is still a lot smaller than these competitors. It shows the importance of scale in cloud services. There is probably only room for a couple of big cloud players. They need a global presence that requires large investments. At a growth rate of 52% in the last quarter, Google Cloud positions itself to be one of these players.</p>\n<p>Data centers require a lot of electricity. Alphabet offset the emissions from this electricity at first. It's investing in renewables to power these data centers, both by purchasing power from new renewable projects and by building its projects.</p>\n<p><b>Renewables Are Common Sense</b></p>\n<p>First of all, I'm a financial writer, I'm not writing to promote renewables per se. I write to uncover potential high-growth opportunities with above-average returns. Investments in oil, gas, and coal may be profitable as well but don't offer the same compelling growth story as renewables. It's certainly not about politics for me.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af41bb6072ebded06aae04d29fef5966\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"780\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Lazard</span></p>\n<p>I do like to point out that renewables make sense economically. Unlike other sources of energy, the LCOE (Levelized Cost Of Energy) came down substantially for renewables. This makes new projects competitive with gas and coal generation. This is especially true for new capacity. Replacing existing conventional capacity needs subsidies to be economically viable.</p>\n<p><b>Energy Storage Is The Next Step</b></p>\n<p>The same is happening for energy storage. Battery costs reduce quickly as the technology and scale improve. Energy storage is a necessary component as solar and wind energy production is variable. Another fast-improving area in renewables is hydrogen which could be used as energy storage likewise.</p>\n<p>Alphabet showcases the use of energy storage perfectly on its blog. It replaces diesel generators that don't add much value unless the power is out. Backup power from energy storage is flexible. When it isn't needed as a backup, it can be used continuously to support the grid. The investment pays itself back by supplying electricity when the price peaks.</p>\n<p><b>Other Companies Profit As Well</b></p>\n<p>Alphabet isn't unique in the movement towards renewables. It's more ambitious than the average company but they all move in the same direction. The PPAs (Power Purchase Agreements) closed by private companies support renewables as well. They often close these agreements with large renewable energy companies. This also increases demand on the production side of renewables. Solar and wind energy became cheap enough to become a natural large part of electricity generation additions. I've covered opportunities in renewables before in this solar stocks overview and hydrogen stocks outline.</p>\n<p><b>Alphabet's Renewable Energy Goal</b></p>\n<p>Alphabet already matches all the energy it uses with 100% renewable energy purchased. This renewable energy isn't always available at the same time as when the company needs it. So it has a new goal in 2030: operate on renewable energy 24/7. It's achievable by balancing the energy usage with available energy. Alphabet performs more tasks when renewables are online. It also needs to store renewable energy and it's adding continuous renewable energy like geothermal energy.</p>\n<p><b>Reasonable Valuation</b></p>\n<p>It isn't easy to value any company. Metrics like PE, PS, and price to free cash flow give a sense of the companies' current position and can be compared to history or others. But it's not all relevant. The past doesn't matter for investments as an investor counts on future revenues, profits, and cash flows to come his way. Comparison with peers isn't perfect either as every company has its strengths and weaknesses. There are no two companies that are one-on-one comparable.</p>\n<p>The value of these metrics is limited but gives a bit of guidance on how the market thinks about Alphabet today.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71a72484321b58e4dad585eb9db1612b\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"509\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>The PE ratio is roughly the same as 5 years ago and the price to free cash flow isn't out of the ordinary either. Alphabet kept costs under control during the pandemic which put a boost on net earnings. The PS ratio is well above the 5-year average and indicates some expansion on valuation metrics. Overall, it looks reasonably valued to me.</p>\n<p><b>Comparison To Peers</b></p>\n<p>I compared Alphabet to Microsoft and Facebook(NASDAQ:FB). They have different offerings and aren't exactly comparable but there is an interesting development.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82afc4e309611838f1e3253e025ce1ea\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6e7509a04e2054544132a490079dbbc\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Microsoft had a massive rally in its stock price. This is largely fueled by expanding multiples. Facebook's and Alphabet's increase happened without a large change in valuation multiples. Pure on valuation metrics, Facebook even got cheaper than 5 years ago. Alphabet kept more or less the same valuation.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>Alphabet is an exciting big tech company with surprisingly strong growth in 2021. I feel like the non-advertising revenue becomes more important. The advertising side showed enormous strength recently. The company paves the way for more positive surprises.</p>\n<p>The investments in renewables make sense economically. It showcases the use of batteries to replace diesel generators. Energy storage doesn't just save greenhouse gas emissions. It offers more use cases that strengthen the grid and renewables.</p>\n<p>Valuation isn't everything, especially in high-growth companies. I do look at it to get a sense of the current share price. To me, Alphabet looks reasonably valued.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alphabet: Strong Growth Supported By Renewables</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlphabet: Strong Growth Supported By Renewables\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-29 17:14 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457595-alphabet-stock-strong-growth-supported-by-renewables><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nAlphabet showed a much faster than expected growth in recent quarters.\nIt heavily invests in renewable energy and showcases the use of energy storage. Alphabet's ambitions are good news for ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457595-alphabet-stock-strong-growth-supported-by-renewables\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOG":"谷歌","GOOGL":"谷歌A"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457595-alphabet-stock-strong-growth-supported-by-renewables","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194220978","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlphabet showed a much faster than expected growth in recent quarters.\nIt heavily invests in renewable energy and showcases the use of energy storage. Alphabet's ambitions are good news for renewable energy stocks as well.\nThe shares are reasonably valued to their historical metrics. The valuation is also rational in comparison to peers.\n\npiyaset/iStock via Getty Images\nAlphabet (GOOG,GOOGL) is one of my favorite big tech stocks. It's investing heavily in renewable energy. The company showed great resilience in 2020 when the ad market seemed doomed. It's expanding into several new areas at a fast pace while keeping the number one position in the online advertising market.\nI wrote about Alphabet before in 2020 so consider this an addition to those. The main arguments for investing in Alphabet remain the same: it grows fast and it's reasonably priced. Some gems are hiding in plain sight like Google cloud services and YouTube, both growing faster than the company. The so-called moonshot or other bets could become catalysts over 5 to 10 years.\nThis article is about Alphabet's smart investments in renewables. It's part of a FAAMG series, as I covered Microsoft(MSFT) and Amazon(AMZN) before.\nAlphabet Recovered Faster Than Expected\nThe advertising business took a hard hit in 2020. Companies cut their budgets and reduced marketing expenses. In 2021, Alphabet recovered a lot faster than expected. It beats expected EPS and revenue consequently by a landslide quarter after quarter. The latest quarter surprised analysts with a 42% higher EPS. It shows the strength and network advantages of Alphabet.\nData by YCharts\nThe positive earnings surprises are fueled by the strongest YoY growth by Alphabet in over a decade. This will slow down again but it's good to see that it still has the strength to make this kind of jump.\nNon-Advertising Revenue\nAlphabet's revenue comes essentially from advertisements. The strength of Google search and the Google advertising network is immense. YouTube diversifies the type of advertising and provides an enormous growth path. Still, it's mainly about ads. I believe it's important that Alphabet diversifies to non-advertising revenue streams as I've argued before. There is one graph I just updated:\nSource: Author based on SEC Filings\nGoogle's non-advertising revenue lost a bit of traction in 2021 as the growth of advertising outpaced other revenues. I expect this will change again over the next couple of quarters. It's due to the enormous strength of Alphabet's advertising that it developed faster.\nGoogle Cloud Services\nOne of the important paths for non-advertising revenue is the Google Cloud solutions. These show strong growth but don't attribute to net income yet. This improves quickly as the operating loss of Google Cloud halved in the first six months of 2021. The two larger competitors, Microsoft and Amazon, have an operating margin of 43% and 29.5% respectively. A big difference with Alphabet's -12.8% margin. Google Cloud is still a lot smaller than these competitors. It shows the importance of scale in cloud services. There is probably only room for a couple of big cloud players. They need a global presence that requires large investments. At a growth rate of 52% in the last quarter, Google Cloud positions itself to be one of these players.\nData centers require a lot of electricity. Alphabet offset the emissions from this electricity at first. It's investing in renewables to power these data centers, both by purchasing power from new renewable projects and by building its projects.\nRenewables Are Common Sense\nFirst of all, I'm a financial writer, I'm not writing to promote renewables per se. I write to uncover potential high-growth opportunities with above-average returns. Investments in oil, gas, and coal may be profitable as well but don't offer the same compelling growth story as renewables. It's certainly not about politics for me.\nSource: Lazard\nI do like to point out that renewables make sense economically. Unlike other sources of energy, the LCOE (Levelized Cost Of Energy) came down substantially for renewables. This makes new projects competitive with gas and coal generation. This is especially true for new capacity. Replacing existing conventional capacity needs subsidies to be economically viable.\nEnergy Storage Is The Next Step\nThe same is happening for energy storage. Battery costs reduce quickly as the technology and scale improve. Energy storage is a necessary component as solar and wind energy production is variable. Another fast-improving area in renewables is hydrogen which could be used as energy storage likewise.\nAlphabet showcases the use of energy storage perfectly on its blog. It replaces diesel generators that don't add much value unless the power is out. Backup power from energy storage is flexible. When it isn't needed as a backup, it can be used continuously to support the grid. The investment pays itself back by supplying electricity when the price peaks.\nOther Companies Profit As Well\nAlphabet isn't unique in the movement towards renewables. It's more ambitious than the average company but they all move in the same direction. The PPAs (Power Purchase Agreements) closed by private companies support renewables as well. They often close these agreements with large renewable energy companies. This also increases demand on the production side of renewables. Solar and wind energy became cheap enough to become a natural large part of electricity generation additions. I've covered opportunities in renewables before in this solar stocks overview and hydrogen stocks outline.\nAlphabet's Renewable Energy Goal\nAlphabet already matches all the energy it uses with 100% renewable energy purchased. This renewable energy isn't always available at the same time as when the company needs it. So it has a new goal in 2030: operate on renewable energy 24/7. It's achievable by balancing the energy usage with available energy. Alphabet performs more tasks when renewables are online. It also needs to store renewable energy and it's adding continuous renewable energy like geothermal energy.\nReasonable Valuation\nIt isn't easy to value any company. Metrics like PE, PS, and price to free cash flow give a sense of the companies' current position and can be compared to history or others. But it's not all relevant. The past doesn't matter for investments as an investor counts on future revenues, profits, and cash flows to come his way. Comparison with peers isn't perfect either as every company has its strengths and weaknesses. There are no two companies that are one-on-one comparable.\nThe value of these metrics is limited but gives a bit of guidance on how the market thinks about Alphabet today.\nData by YCharts\nThe PE ratio is roughly the same as 5 years ago and the price to free cash flow isn't out of the ordinary either. Alphabet kept costs under control during the pandemic which put a boost on net earnings. The PS ratio is well above the 5-year average and indicates some expansion on valuation metrics. Overall, it looks reasonably valued to me.\nComparison To Peers\nI compared Alphabet to Microsoft and Facebook(NASDAQ:FB). They have different offerings and aren't exactly comparable but there is an interesting development.\nData by YCharts\nData by YCharts\nMicrosoft had a massive rally in its stock price. This is largely fueled by expanding multiples. Facebook's and Alphabet's increase happened without a large change in valuation multiples. Pure on valuation metrics, Facebook even got cheaper than 5 years ago. Alphabet kept more or less the same valuation.\nConclusion\nAlphabet is an exciting big tech company with surprisingly strong growth in 2021. I feel like the non-advertising revenue becomes more important. The advertising side showed enormous strength recently. The company paves the way for more positive surprises.\nThe investments in renewables make sense economically. It showcases the use of batteries to replace diesel generators. Energy storage doesn't just save greenhouse gas emissions. It offers more use cases that strengthen the grid and renewables.\nValuation isn't everything, especially in high-growth companies. I do look at it to get a sense of the current share price. To me, Alphabet looks reasonably valued.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":222,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":20,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/862471480"}
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