招财猫666
2017-07-01
$美光科技(MU)$ 美光为什么昨晚不管是call还是put都大跌啊
免责声明:上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点,不构成本平台的任何投资建议。
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史蒂夫亮
2017-07-01
史蒂夫亮
财报前后的有不合理预期,隐含波动率高,财报前我想买它期权的结果看了要涨5%才能翻倍,博值率不高就放弃了,经常会有不合理定价出现,我理解对是有很多大资金集中买一个时间阶段的期权,没有做策略对冲,而真正的庄都是策略交易,量化交易大部分时间是程序跟踪单,你这边买一手他那边买卖两手,他的策略是对冲过的,你的策略是单边,庄家有可能是宽式对冲,或跨市对冲,或碟式对冲,但是它都有定价模型
招财猫666
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史蒂夫亮
:
谢谢,我再继续努力研究一下,好多不懂,头大
史蒂夫亮
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招财猫666
:
看平价期权与正股的差值,有的股票涨跌1%期权就能翻倍,还有上下相邻的两个期权相加除2等于中间期权,左右两个相邻期权相加等于中间期权,同价call与put相加再除2等于中间值,我没有学过期权定价公式,只是买卖私有化股票期权次数多发现这里面有很多规律,你可以把各种对称的期权进行对比,其中会有定价明显偏差的,这里面就有庄家的意图
招财猫666
:
期权的涨幅是怎么算出来的啊,听了你这个解说,我感觉期权不容易玩啊
windstill
2017-07-01
windstill
因为市场预期短时间不会有大波动,另外期权持仓过多,如果任其行权市场上根本没那么多股票,必须死。可以回看一下美国股市早期范德比尔特逼空的故事。
celia
:
哪里可以看到期权的持有量呢
招财猫666
:
谢谢,你玩期权多久了
核桃奶
2017-07-01
核桃奶
期权过了财报就不值钱了,很多人赌财报,我吃过这种亏,再看好的财报也不用期权赌
核桃奶
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招财猫666
:
我也是,当时不懂买了刚过财报的价外期权,本来财报前能挣不少,没出,财报后虽然股价涨了点,期权还是不值钱了,最后都赔光
招财猫666
:
我本来跟风买了,后来看买的人太多了,就提前赚点走了,我感觉大多数人看好的,往往都不好,这次按照这个反向标,躲过两个票的大劫
中国有个地方叫全椒
2017-07-01
中国有个地方叫全椒
美股快崩盘了,小心
初生牛犊上老虎
:
美股崩盘喊了有几年了
招财猫666
:
我收上都是put 现在就算买call时间拿的也都很短
Tailei
2017-07-02
Tailei
呵呵,这么简单的期权入门问题居然没有一个人准确回答,真是无知者无畏啊,佩服!
招财猫666
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Tailei
:
呵呵,不好意思,我没买这个期权,我只是那天看帖子觉的买的人太多了,所以没有跟风买,后来看期权不管买哪种都跌,我才发帖问问大家,不懂的多问一下别人,不觉的有什么不好的。
Tailei
回复
招财猫666
:
你说对了,我也不懂为啥你亏钱了,只能祝福你发财,继续保持风格啊,千万不要变,否则两边打脸!骂我就不致于了,谁还没亏的时候?😄祝你继续发财!
招财猫666
:
你这种人恶不恶心,别人回答就算不是全对,最起码人家认真回答了,总比你嘲笑别人强,自己回答不上来就不要来放屁,你以为你是谁有什么了不起,回答一个问题就怕大家都赚了,小人之心,都像你这种人,那这社区就没必要有了。
Tailei
回复
招财猫666
:
为啥我要回答,我看大家赚钱就好了啊,😄
招财猫666
:
你懂的话,你可以回答啊?
旭阳特别帅
2017-07-01
旭阳特别帅
我看了美光科技,长期期权的话还是不一样的,还是耐心搞长期期权吧.
旭阳特别帅
回复
初生牛犊上老虎
:
客气,互相交流提高😊
初生牛犊上老虎
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旭阳特别帅
:
受教,我以为三周算远期呢😊
旭阳特别帅
回复
初生牛犊上老虎
:
如果那美光科技的图形来说,其最好的买远期CALL的时候为2016年9月,那个时候月线MACD金叉的时候,现在买远期CALL的可以说赌博.
旭阳特别帅
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初生牛犊上老虎
:
个人觉得3、4、5个月算远期.不过买进去也要看时机,否则损耗还是会很大.你可以结合财报时间、结合技术面等综合判断,较为准确地买进去.举个技术面的例子,你发现苹果月线图上MACD金叉了,而且大盘也不错,于是你坚定地买了远期CALL,这样子做风险会很小.而不是苹果涨了好几个月了你再去追远期CALL,这就变成赌博了.😂
初生牛犊上老虎
:
多久算长期呢?请教
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