hitithard
2022-01-17
K
Disappointed DocuSign Investors Watching for Signs of Post-pandemic Future
免责声明:上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点,不构成本平台的任何投资建议。
分享至
微信
复制链接
精彩评论
我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白
打开APP,发表看法
APP内打开
发表看法
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":697821792,"tweetId":"697821792","gmtCreate":1642409217007,"gmtModify":1642409217455,"author":{"id":3570063321997588,"idStr":"3570063321997588","authorId":3570063321997588,"authorIdStr":"3570063321997588","name":"hitithard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/309ce7b357018aa7b946332c2fe8725c","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":41,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>K</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>K</p></body></html>","text":"K","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697821792","repostId":1192293288,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1192293288","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1642408278,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1192293288?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-17 16:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Disappointed DocuSign Investors Watching for Signs of Post-pandemic Future","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1192293288","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"While DOCU stock is cut in half, customer digitization will lift long-term revenue","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>When <b>DocuSign</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>DOCU</u></b>) posted quarterly earnings last month, investors dumped the stock after its weak revenue forecast. The firm, which thrived during the Covid-19 pandemic as electronic signature demand increased, expects to see more normalized buying patterns. And, just like that, DOCU stock is trading at half its value in the last quarter.</p><p>Yet the stock is still trading at a premium, leading me to ask what happens next for shareholders after the Nasdaq correction ends?</p><p>When the Nasdaq rebounds, DocuSign’s stock snapback is a given. Still, investors need to look at the software firm’s growth prospects long after the pandemic ends.</p><p><b>Strong Quarter Sent DOCU Stock Lower</b></p><p>DocuSign stock fell by around 20% after it posted third-quarter results. Revenue increased by 42.4% to $545.46 million. On a non-GAAP earnings per share basis, the company earned 58 cents. But on a GAAP EPS measure, DocuSign lost a nickel a share.</p><p>The firm posted healthy subscription revenue of $528.6 million, up by 44% from last year. Conversely, the Q4 revenue guidance is below expectations. It may fall to as low as $557 million. Furthermore, non-GAAP operating margin of 17% to 19% suggests cost pressures and competition ahead.</p><p>For 2022, DocuSign forecast revenue of $2.083 billion to $2.089 billion. At around 10 times price-to-sales, the software stock is not over-priced. Still, billings growth in the 20% range suggests a slowdown ahead. CEO Dan Springer said that the customer buying urgency for its product is falling.</p><p>The Covid era stoked a panic for customers to have an electronic document signing solution.</p><p><b>Quality Time With Customers</b></p><p>DocuSign’s unusually strong growth during Covid hurt customer service levels. Now that business growth rates are moderating, the company will spend more time working with customers. This will increase customer retention. More importantly, it gives DocuSign an opportunity to cross-sell solutions.</p><p>The company increased its staff count in the last 18 months. Investors should watch out for a headcount reduction next. That would signal that customer acquisition is slowing more than DocuSign expected. Conversely, the firm will benefit from retaining staff levels. The easing pandemic does not change the permanent shift from paper-based contract signing to digital signatures.</p><p>CEO Springer said that DocuSign has an over-$50 billion total addressable market (TAM).It is the leading document signing solution on the market. The organizational demand for digital transformation solutions will continue in fiscal 2022 and beyond. Long-term investors should treat the upcoming quarterly slowdown as a temporary fluctuation.</p><p><b>Customers See High ROI</b></p><p>DocuSign may have a tougher time growing customers as customers get back to a normal pace of demand. This will not change the TAM but it will slow the growth rate. Fortunately, customers will realize DocuSign offers a high return on investment. Companies are on a constant search to cut costs.</p><p>Banks have a strong use case for DocuSign. During the pandemic, its staff did not need to help customers enable the solution. They previously focused on a go-to-market mindset. This drove initial sales higher. To win more business from existing customers, DocuSign needs its staff to help customer enable the solution. It has a team that will provide training activities. The enablement team will help customers implement DocuSign’s solutions sooner.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aaf36a66f07782dbb0348184da7c167\" tg-width=\"412\" tg-height=\"134\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Data from Stock Rover</span></p><p>According to Stock Rover’s research library, analysts lowered their rating slightly from the month before. Overall, they still consider DocuSign a stock to buy.</p><p>Once DocuSign establishes the install base, it may cross-sell. For example, customers may buy the DOCSIS Agreement Cloud solution. Investors should expect a re-acceleration of growth on strong demand for this Cloud product. In DocuSign’s investor presentation, the company showed how its product supports many business processes. As it handles the agreement processes, its Agreement Cloud allows customers to prepare, sign, act and manage documents.</p><p>If DocuSign realizes its full $50 billion addressable market, the stock’s price-to-sales multiple drops to a forward 0.5x.</p><p><b>Fair Value</b></p><p>Analysts have a $207.15 average price target for DocuSign,according to TipRanks. Investors should have a lowered expectation on the stock’s upside. The company needs revenue growing by at least 35% by FY 2026. In a five-year discounted cash flow model (EBITDA Exit), DOCU stock has a fair value of around $155 a share. The price target declines if readers raise the discount rate.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5884a4317a80a8d4102729922cb14dc3\" tg-width=\"852\" tg-height=\"246\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Conservative investors may increase the discount rate to account for the Federal Reserve’s rate hike. Inthe model above,the assumptions are already at modest levels. After DocuSign’s stock dropped, valuations reflect for modest growth ahead.</p><p>DocuSign does not have a high bar to meet. It may post a strong quarterly earnings report sometime in the year. Customers are digitizing the business and will need to invest in its Cloud solution. Chances are good that the stock bottomed at around current levels.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Disappointed DocuSign Investors Watching for Signs of Post-pandemic Future</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDisappointed DocuSign Investors Watching for Signs of Post-pandemic Future\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-17 16:31 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/01/disappointed-docusign-investors-watching-for-signs-of-post-pandemic-future/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>When DocuSign(NASDAQ:DOCU) posted quarterly earnings last month, investors dumped the stock after its weak revenue forecast. The firm, which thrived during the Covid-19 pandemic as electronic ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/01/disappointed-docusign-investors-watching-for-signs-of-post-pandemic-future/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DOCU":"Docusign"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/01/disappointed-docusign-investors-watching-for-signs-of-post-pandemic-future/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192293288","content_text":"When DocuSign(NASDAQ:DOCU) posted quarterly earnings last month, investors dumped the stock after its weak revenue forecast. The firm, which thrived during the Covid-19 pandemic as electronic signature demand increased, expects to see more normalized buying patterns. And, just like that, DOCU stock is trading at half its value in the last quarter.Yet the stock is still trading at a premium, leading me to ask what happens next for shareholders after the Nasdaq correction ends?When the Nasdaq rebounds, DocuSign’s stock snapback is a given. Still, investors need to look at the software firm’s growth prospects long after the pandemic ends.Strong Quarter Sent DOCU Stock LowerDocuSign stock fell by around 20% after it posted third-quarter results. Revenue increased by 42.4% to $545.46 million. On a non-GAAP earnings per share basis, the company earned 58 cents. But on a GAAP EPS measure, DocuSign lost a nickel a share.The firm posted healthy subscription revenue of $528.6 million, up by 44% from last year. Conversely, the Q4 revenue guidance is below expectations. It may fall to as low as $557 million. Furthermore, non-GAAP operating margin of 17% to 19% suggests cost pressures and competition ahead.For 2022, DocuSign forecast revenue of $2.083 billion to $2.089 billion. At around 10 times price-to-sales, the software stock is not over-priced. Still, billings growth in the 20% range suggests a slowdown ahead. CEO Dan Springer said that the customer buying urgency for its product is falling.The Covid era stoked a panic for customers to have an electronic document signing solution.Quality Time With CustomersDocuSign’s unusually strong growth during Covid hurt customer service levels. Now that business growth rates are moderating, the company will spend more time working with customers. This will increase customer retention. More importantly, it gives DocuSign an opportunity to cross-sell solutions.The company increased its staff count in the last 18 months. Investors should watch out for a headcount reduction next. That would signal that customer acquisition is slowing more than DocuSign expected. Conversely, the firm will benefit from retaining staff levels. The easing pandemic does not change the permanent shift from paper-based contract signing to digital signatures.CEO Springer said that DocuSign has an over-$50 billion total addressable market (TAM).It is the leading document signing solution on the market. The organizational demand for digital transformation solutions will continue in fiscal 2022 and beyond. Long-term investors should treat the upcoming quarterly slowdown as a temporary fluctuation.Customers See High ROIDocuSign may have a tougher time growing customers as customers get back to a normal pace of demand. This will not change the TAM but it will slow the growth rate. Fortunately, customers will realize DocuSign offers a high return on investment. Companies are on a constant search to cut costs.Banks have a strong use case for DocuSign. During the pandemic, its staff did not need to help customers enable the solution. They previously focused on a go-to-market mindset. This drove initial sales higher. To win more business from existing customers, DocuSign needs its staff to help customer enable the solution. It has a team that will provide training activities. The enablement team will help customers implement DocuSign’s solutions sooner.Source: Data from Stock RoverAccording to Stock Rover’s research library, analysts lowered their rating slightly from the month before. Overall, they still consider DocuSign a stock to buy.Once DocuSign establishes the install base, it may cross-sell. For example, customers may buy the DOCSIS Agreement Cloud solution. Investors should expect a re-acceleration of growth on strong demand for this Cloud product. In DocuSign’s investor presentation, the company showed how its product supports many business processes. As it handles the agreement processes, its Agreement Cloud allows customers to prepare, sign, act and manage documents.If DocuSign realizes its full $50 billion addressable market, the stock’s price-to-sales multiple drops to a forward 0.5x.Fair ValueAnalysts have a $207.15 average price target for DocuSign,according to TipRanks. Investors should have a lowered expectation on the stock’s upside. The company needs revenue growing by at least 35% by FY 2026. In a five-year discounted cash flow model (EBITDA Exit), DOCU stock has a fair value of around $155 a share. The price target declines if readers raise the discount rate.Conservative investors may increase the discount rate to account for the Federal Reserve’s rate hike. Inthe model above,the assumptions are already at modest levels. After DocuSign’s stock dropped, valuations reflect for modest growth ahead.DocuSign does not have a high bar to meet. It may post a strong quarterly earnings report sometime in the year. Customers are digitizing the business and will need to invest in its Cloud solution. Chances are good that the stock bottomed at around current levels.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":290,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/697821792"}
精彩评论