市场何时可能会见底:历史上的PE参数来看

小牛邻居

2022-06-21

市场何时见底？虽然美国PE10估值比率大幅回落,但距离2016年/18/20年的底部仍有一段距离.所以它还不便宜:虽然不是那么贵了.

世界其他地区也离近期历史的最高水平不远（看上去比美国便宜,而且从长期的历史标准来看也算便宜不少了）(蓝线是46国平均,黑线是美股）

熊市底部可能会在哪里？平均而言当熊市触底时,追踪市盈率的交易价格为 11.7倍（历史最低/最高的范围在 5.7倍至 17.6倍之间）标准普尔目前的追踪市盈率约为 18.5倍—因此可能还有一些路要走.

摘自Callum Thomas June 19 2022 如上是个人推文非投资建议

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

福斯特09
2022-06-21
福斯特09
这些数据要是自己总结，可能要飞不少时间吧?
先救我她有对象
2022-06-21
先救我她有对象
本来还想进去抄底的，你这搞得我有点不敢了
梅川洼子
2022-06-21
梅川洼子
必须给你点个赞，以表达我对你理性声音的认同
丹尼尔加
2022-06-21
丹尼尔加
嗯，标准普尔目前的追踪市盈率约为 18.5倍—我也觉得有一些路要走.
德迈metro
2022-06-21
德迈metro
这么好的文章竟然没有人气，这不科学啊

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