小虎ZZL
2022-07-11
大佬就是不一样,厉害👍🏻啊
@局外人___:
2022上半年投资复盘---4个抗跌经验分享
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Marks最新的备忘录,他也认为最近2年,是他几十年投资生涯里,最为动荡的年份。</p><p>市场上各种不同观点分歧层出不穷,回首上半年,</p><p>年初至今收益率-6.56%,同期大盘-29.38%,</p><p>近三月收益13.26%,同期大盘-23.52%,</p><p>近一月收益20.56%,同期大盘-7.54%。</p><p>算不上特别优秀,但均跑赢大盘。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/408bee15958f9b5c575c5d1e653d0ae1\"></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3121071b825b02bf3a4739dd04758a5\"></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc0f4b876a49ff50c80621a3e1f25df9\"></p><p>我认为2022上半年,我最“抗跌”的经验是四点,<strong>认清大趋势,理解这个世界的不确定性,寻找非对称风险,以及合理使用杠杆及期权衍生品工具</strong>。</p><p>具体来说,在认清大趋势上,市场无论是趋势下跌还是趋势上涨,它都不会是一帆风顺的上涨和下跌,市场在上涨或下跌的趋势中必然包含着点点滴滴的回调,重要的是认清趋势,忽略这些小的回调细节,这也是你最应该重仓的位置,上半年大趋势是下跌,因此我重仓了<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQQQ\">$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$</a> </p><p>在理解这个世界的不确定性上,我始终提醒自己,在高度动荡的市场关键位置,要明白自己对这个世界的理解是有误差的,我们每个人没办法做到百分百正确,因此,选择多空对冲是极为必要的,所以在3月中概股大跌情况下,我又买入了多个看多期权,比如<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YSG\">$逸仙电商(YSG)$</a> 和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RLX\">$RLX科技(RLX)$</a> 的看多期权。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c30661b811fc9d2dc1c899d1da423afd\"></p><p>关于如何寻找非对称风险,我认为,高度动荡时,不太适合卖出备兑等期权策略,这种策略更加适合温和的市场,选择买入期权进行多空对冲的策略更为合适。</p><p>最后一点,期权和杠杆,往往是普通人翻身的最佳选择,关键是,要量化算好风险,把风险控制在自己能接受的最大损失范围内,并且懂得,即使自己有很大的把握,也不要下全部的赌注。</p><p>2022年下半年,我准备在每次大盘支撑位被突破的点位上,积极部署期权,积极参与市场,用自己可接受的风险损失,做让自己不后悔的事,毕竟损失钱不算什么,而错过一生中难以再遇到的机会,是日后回想起来最为后悔的事。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14a02ecdfaba8ec3a8c6969849caec44\"></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>2022年上半年的市场,用一个词来形容就是不确定性,的确,这不仅是自己投资生涯里不确定性最强的上半年,事实上看了Howard Marks最新的备忘录,他也认为最近2年,是他几十年投资生涯里,最为动荡的年份。</p><p>市场上各种不同观点分歧层出不穷,回首上半年,</p><p>年初至今收益率-6.56%,同期大盘-29.38%,</p><p>近三月收益13.26%,同期大盘-23.52%,</p><p>近一月收益20.56%,同期大盘-7.54%。</p><p>算不上特别优秀,但均跑赢大盘。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/408bee15958f9b5c575c5d1e653d0ae1\"></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3121071b825b02bf3a4739dd04758a5\"></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc0f4b876a49ff50c80621a3e1f25df9\"></p><p>我认为2022上半年,我最“抗跌”的经验是四点,<strong>认清大趋势,理解这个世界的不确定性,寻找非对称风险,以及合理使用杠杆及期权衍生品工具</strong>。</p><p>具体来说,在认清大趋势上,市场无论是趋势下跌还是趋势上涨,它都不会是一帆风顺的上涨和下跌,市场在上涨或下跌的趋势中必然包含着点点滴滴的回调,重要的是认清趋势,忽略这些小的回调细节,这也是你最应该重仓的位置,上半年大趋势是下跌,因此我重仓了<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQQQ\">$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$</a> </p><p>在理解这个世界的不确定性上,我始终提醒自己,在高度动荡的市场关键位置,要明白自己对这个世界的理解是有误差的,我们每个人没办法做到百分百正确,因此,选择多空对冲是极为必要的,所以在3月中概股大跌情况下,我又买入了多个看多期权,比如<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YSG\">$逸仙电商(YSG)$</a> 和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RLX\">$RLX科技(RLX)$</a> 的看多期权。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c30661b811fc9d2dc1c899d1da423afd\"></p><p>关于如何寻找非对称风险,我认为,高度动荡时,不太适合卖出备兑等期权策略,这种策略更加适合温和的市场,选择买入期权进行多空对冲的策略更为合适。</p><p>最后一点,期权和杠杆,往往是普通人翻身的最佳选择,关键是,要量化算好风险,把风险控制在自己能接受的最大损失范围内,并且懂得,即使自己有很大的把握,也不要下全部的赌注。</p><p>2022年下半年,我准备在每次大盘支撑位被突破的点位上,积极部署期权,积极参与市场,用自己可接受的风险损失,做让自己不后悔的事,毕竟损失钱不算什么,而错过一生中难以再遇到的机会,是日后回想起来最为后悔的事。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14a02ecdfaba8ec3a8c6969849caec44\"></p></body></html>","text":"2022年上半年的市场,用一个词来形容就是不确定性,的确,这不仅是自己投资生涯里不确定性最强的上半年,事实上看了Howard Marks最新的备忘录,他也认为最近2年,是他几十年投资生涯里,最为动荡的年份。 市场上各种不同观点分歧层出不穷,回首上半年, 年初至今收益率-6.56%,同期大盘-29.38%, 近三月收益13.26%,同期大盘-23.52%, 近一月收益20.56%,同期大盘-7.54%。 算不上特别优秀,但均跑赢大盘。 我认为2022上半年,我最“抗跌”的经验是四点,认清大趋势,理解这个世界的不确定性,寻找非对称风险,以及合理使用杠杆及期权衍生品工具。 具体来说,在认清大趋势上,市场无论是趋势下跌还是趋势上涨,它都不会是一帆风顺的上涨和下跌,市场在上涨或下跌的趋势中必然包含着点点滴滴的回调,重要的是认清趋势,忽略这些小的回调细节,这也是你最应该重仓的位置,上半年大趋势是下跌,因此我重仓了$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$ 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