点石成金者
2023-04-26
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My Nio Stock Price Target for 2025
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{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":658183999,"tweetId":"658183999","gmtCreate":1682476331312,"gmtModify":1682476332813,"author":{"id":3553751482404122,"idStr":"3553751482404122","authorId":3553751482404122,"authorIdStr":"3553751482404122","name":"点石成金者","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":5,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"html":"<html><head></head><body><p>对</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>对</p></body></html>","text":"对","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/658183999","repostId":2330031877,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2330031877","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1682437372,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2330031877?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-04-25 23:42","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"My Nio Stock Price Target for 2025","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2330031877","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Nio’s (NIO) competition in the electric vehicle (EV) market is heating up and the company lacks stro","content":"<html><body><div>\n<div>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Nio’s </strong>(<span><strong><u>NIO</u></strong></span>) competition in the electric vehicle (EV) market is heating up and the company lacks strong competitive advantages.</li>\n<li>The EV maker also showed disappointing delivery figures for March.</li>\n<li>NIO stock likely won’t outperform the market over the long term.</li>\n</ul>\n</div>\n<div></div>\n<div>\n<div><img height=\"900\" src=\"https://investorplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/nio1600.png\" width=\"1600\"/><div>Source: Robert Way / Shutterstock.com</div></div>\n<p><strong>Nio </strong>(NYSE:<span><strong><u>NIO</u></strong></span>) is facing rapidly increasing competition. Meanwhile, the company’s margins are also being pressured by an accelerating price war in the Chinese electric vehicle (EV) market. But that’s not all. Nio’s addressable market is quite limited and the firm lacks strong competitive advantages. Given all of these points, I believe investors are best off unloading their NIO stock while they still can.</p>\n<p>Looking forward, I don’t expect shares of this EV maker to outperform the market over the next two years. So, what can investors expect? Let’s take a look at why investors should consider avoiding Nio — and what NIO stock may look like by 2025.</p>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div></div>\n<div></div>\n</div>\n</div>\n<h2>NIO Stock: Increasing Competition and Price Wars</h2>\n<p>First off, it’s clear that Nio is facing increasing competition. Just this month at the Shanghai Auto Show, <strong>Nissan </strong>(OTCMKTS:<span><strong><u>NSANY</u></strong></span>) unveiled a new electric SUV called the Arizon. Other automakers like <strong>Volkswagen</strong> (OTCMKTS:<span><strong><u>VWAGY</u></strong></span>), <strong>Mercedes Benz</strong> (OTCMKTS:<span><strong><u>MBGYY</u></strong></span>) and <strong>BYD</strong> (OTCMKTS:<span><strong><span><strong><u><span><strong><u>BYDDY</u></strong></span></u></strong></span></strong></span>) also debuted EVs at the show. Given its very strong position in China, BYD’s new vehicles — from the Seagull to the Yangwang U9 supercar — could be especially problematic for China-based Nio.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, <strong>Tesla </strong>(NASDAQ:<span><strong><u>TSLA</u></strong></span>) has cut the prices of its higher-end EVs by between 16% and 23% since the beginning of the year. Those price reductions will likely pressure Nio’s vehicle sales. That’s especially true because the Chinese EV maker reportedly plans to refrain from reducing its own prices.</p>\n<p>Of course, Nio’s reluctance to reduce prices is understandable. The company’s gross margin sank to just 10% in 2022, down from 18% in 2021.</p>\n<h2>A Lack of Strong Competitive Advantages</h2>\n<p>In the past, I have been upbeat about Nio’s innovative battery-swapping system, which allows drivers to quickly exchange their used batteries for fully charged ones. But now that Tesla’s Superchargers in China allow drivers to add 250 kilometers of range in 15 minutes, I’m not sure that Nio’s battery-swap program gives the EV maker much of an advantage.</p>\n<p>Moreover, another one of Nio’s competitors, China-based EV startup <strong>Li Auto </strong>(NASDAQ:<span><strong><u>LI</u></strong></span>), is reportedly launching an “800-volt fast-charging system” that will enable its vehicles “to get 400 kilometers (roughly 250 miles) of range on a 10-minute charge.” Also worth mentioning is the fact that Li’s hybrid vehicles use gas to charge and extend the range of their batteries. As a result, Li drivers don’t have to worry as much about “range anxiety” as Nio drivers potentially do.</p>\n<p>Finally, on the autonomous driving front, Nio reportedly offers Level 2. However, Mercedes was able to bring Level 3 autonomy to the U.S. this year. Meanwhile, China-based competitor <strong>Xpeng</strong> (NYSE:<span><strong><u>XPEV</u></strong></span>) is apparently “close to Level 3” and “could be ‘three years ahead of competitors.'”</p>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div></div>\n<div></div>\n</div>\n</div>\n<h2>Discouraging Stats and an Uninspiring Outlook</h2>\n<p>Unlike many other China-based EV makers whose sales rose in March versus February, Nio’s deliveries dropped almost 15% during the same period. The company is also lacking on the profitability side; operating income sank to -$2.27 billion last year from -$707 million in 2021.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, analysts on average expect Nio to continue to lose money through 2025. The mean estimate calls for the company’s EPS to fall to -$1.02 this year followed by -30 cents in 2024 and -3 cents in 2025.</p>\n<p>Last, according to <em>The Fly</em> and in-line with my overall thesis on NIO stock, JPMorgan warned in early March that “Nio’s Q1 margin could trend down further while the magnitude of improvement from Q2 will be shy of Street expectations, considering the ‘challenging competition environment.'”</p>\n<h2>The Bottom Line on NIO Stock</h2>\n<p>Because Nio focuses on higher-end consumers in China, its total addressable market is already limited. On top of that, the company faces a great deal of competition that’s only growing <em>and</em> it lacks meaningful advantages. Meanwhile, margins sank last year and Nio underperformed its peers last month. Analysts expect Nio to remain unprofitable for years.</p>\n<p>On the positive side of things, Nio has expanded to Europe, where it plans to offer much more affordable EVs. The trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio for NIO stock is a rather low 2.2X as well.</p>\n<p>Still, it will probably take at least three years for European sales to move the needle for shares of this company. I also expect the EV maker to lose market share in China over the next two years.</p>\n<p>In light of all of these points, my 2025 price target for NIO stock is only $11.</p>\n<p><em>On the date of publication, Larry Ramer did not hold (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.</em></p>\n<div>\n<p>Larry Ramer has conducted research and written articles on U.S. stocks for 15 years. He has been employed by The Fly and Israel’s largest business newspaper, Globes. Larry began writing columns for InvestorPlace in 2015. Among his highly successful, contrarian picks have been PLUG, XOM and solar stocks. You can reach him on Stocktwits at @larryramer.</p>\n</div>\n<div>\n<p>Consumer Discretionary, Automotive, Electric Vehicles</p>\n</div>\n<div>\n<p>Growth Stocks</p>\n</div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div></div>\n<div></div>\n</div>\n</div>\n</div>\n<div>\n<div hidden=\"true\">\n<div>\n<svg fill=\"none\" height=\"32\" viewbox=\"0 0 261 32\" width=\"261\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\">\n<path d=\"M38.8652 7.49652H42.2492V25.7517H38.8652V7.49652ZM60.0112 7.49652H63.3142V25.7517H60.0921L50.9278 13.1733V25.7517H47.6248V7.49652H50.8469L60.0112 20.0749V7.49652ZM66.5201 7.49652H70.2279L75.4578 21.8955L80.7685 7.49652H84.3144L77.1417 25.7517H73.5957L66.5201 7.49652ZM87.4232 7.49652H100.457V10.5418H90.8072V15.0601H99.5019V18.1054H90.8072V22.7064H100.781V25.7517H87.4232V7.49652ZM113.637 10.8563C112.666 10.5253 111.872 10.3598 111.063 10.3598C110.253 10.3598 109.622 10.5253 109.136 10.8563C108.65 11.1873 108.407 11.601 108.407 12.1803C108.407 12.6768 108.569 13.0906 108.893 13.4216C109.217 13.7526 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMy Nio Stock Price Target for 2025\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-04-25 23:42 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2023/04/my-nio-stock-price-target-for-2025/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Nio’s (NIO) competition in the electric vehicle (EV) market is heating up and the company lacks strong competitive advantages.\nThe EV maker also showed disappointing delivery figures for March.\nNIO ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2023/04/my-nio-stock-price-target-for-2025/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4526":"热门中概股","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","NIO":"蔚来","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","LI":"理想汽车","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU1244550221.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET INCOME \"A\" (USDHEDGED) INC (M)","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU0052750758.USD":"富兰克林中国基金A Acc","NIO.SI":"蔚来","LU0320764599.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton China A Acc SGD","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income 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INC","BK4114":"综合货品商店","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2023/04/my-nio-stock-price-target-for-2025/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2330031877","content_text":"Nio’s (NIO) competition in the electric vehicle (EV) market is heating up and the company lacks strong competitive advantages.\nThe EV maker also showed disappointing delivery figures for March.\nNIO stock likely won’t outperform the market over the long term.\n\n\n\n\nSource: Robert Way / Shutterstock.com\nNio (NYSE:NIO) is facing rapidly increasing competition. Meanwhile, the company’s margins are also being pressured by an accelerating price war in the Chinese electric vehicle (EV) market. But that’s not all. Nio’s addressable market is quite limited and the firm lacks strong competitive advantages. Given all of these points, I believe investors are best off unloading their NIO stock while they still can.\nLooking forward, I don’t expect shares of this EV maker to outperform the market over the next two years. So, what can investors expect? Let’s take a look at why investors should consider avoiding Nio — and what NIO stock may look like by 2025.\n\n\n\n\n\n\nNIO Stock: Increasing Competition and Price Wars\nFirst off, it’s clear that Nio is facing increasing competition. Just this month at the Shanghai Auto Show, Nissan (OTCMKTS:NSANY) unveiled a new electric SUV called the Arizon. Other automakers like Volkswagen (OTCMKTS:VWAGY), Mercedes Benz (OTCMKTS:MBGYY) and BYD (OTCMKTS:BYDDY) also debuted EVs at the show. Given its very strong position in China, BYD’s new vehicles — from the Seagull to the Yangwang U9 supercar — could be especially problematic for China-based Nio.\nMeanwhile, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) has cut the prices of its higher-end EVs by between 16% and 23% since the beginning of the year. Those price reductions will likely pressure Nio’s vehicle sales. That’s especially true because the Chinese EV maker reportedly plans to refrain from reducing its own prices.\nOf course, Nio’s reluctance to reduce prices is understandable. The company’s gross margin sank to just 10% in 2022, down from 18% in 2021.\nA Lack of Strong Competitive Advantages\nIn the past, I have been upbeat about Nio’s innovative battery-swapping system, which allows drivers to quickly exchange their used batteries for fully charged ones. But now that Tesla’s Superchargers in China allow drivers to add 250 kilometers of range in 15 minutes, I’m not sure that Nio’s battery-swap program gives the EV maker much of an advantage.\nMoreover, another one of Nio’s competitors, China-based EV startup Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI), is reportedly launching an “800-volt fast-charging system” that will enable its vehicles “to get 400 kilometers (roughly 250 miles) of range on a 10-minute charge.” Also worth mentioning is the fact that Li’s hybrid vehicles use gas to charge and extend the range of their batteries. As a result, Li drivers don’t have to worry as much about “range anxiety” as Nio drivers potentially do.\nFinally, on the autonomous driving front, Nio reportedly offers Level 2. However, Mercedes was able to bring Level 3 autonomy to the U.S. this year. Meanwhile, China-based competitor Xpeng (NYSE:XPEV) is apparently “close to Level 3” and “could be ‘three years ahead of competitors.'”\n\n\n\n\n\n\nDiscouraging Stats and an Uninspiring Outlook\nUnlike many other China-based EV makers whose sales rose in March versus February, Nio’s deliveries dropped almost 15% during the same period. The company is also lacking on the profitability side; operating income sank to -$2.27 billion last year from -$707 million in 2021.\nMeanwhile, analysts on average expect Nio to continue to lose money through 2025. The mean estimate calls for the company’s EPS to fall to -$1.02 this year followed by -30 cents in 2024 and -3 cents in 2025.\nLast, according to The Fly and in-line with my overall thesis on NIO stock, JPMorgan warned in early March that “Nio’s Q1 margin could trend down further while the magnitude of improvement from Q2 will be shy of Street expectations, considering the ‘challenging competition environment.'”\nThe Bottom Line on NIO Stock\nBecause Nio focuses on higher-end consumers in China, its total addressable market is already limited. On top of that, the company faces a great deal of competition that’s only growing and it lacks meaningful advantages. Meanwhile, margins sank last year and Nio underperformed its peers last month. Analysts expect Nio to remain unprofitable for years.\nOn the positive side of things, Nio has expanded to Europe, where it plans to offer much more affordable EVs. The trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio for NIO stock is a rather low 2.2X as well.\nStill, it will probably take at least three years for European sales to move the needle for shares of this company. I also expect the EV maker to lose market share in China over the next two years.\nIn light of all of these points, my 2025 price target for NIO stock is only $11.\nOn the date of publication, Larry Ramer did not hold (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.\n\nLarry Ramer has conducted research and written articles on U.S. stocks for 15 years. He has been employed by The Fly and Israel’s largest business newspaper, Globes. Larry began writing columns for InvestorPlace in 2015. Among his highly successful, contrarian picks have been PLUG, XOM and solar stocks. You can reach him on Stocktwits at @larryramer.\n\n\nConsumer Discretionary, Automotive, Electric Vehicles\n\n\nGrowth Stocks\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nSubmit\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nArticle printed from InvestorPlace Media, https://investorplace.com/2023/04/my-nio-stock-price-target-for-2025/.\n©2023 InvestorPlace Media, LLC\n\n\n\n\nSponsored Headlines","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1395,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":2,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/658183999"}
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