MURPHY是只黑天鹅
2023-06-16
相当于2018年的7月?
@OptionS:
债券ETF投资小结
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tg-height=\"626\"><span>联邦利率图</span></p>\n<p></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8926897fdc8fe0621ab7a7e9ba90f9f5\" tg-width=\"1836\" tg-height=\"853\"><span>tlt走势图</span></p>\n<p><strong>2、标的选择:债券ETF >> 个别企业债</strong></p>\n<p>前几年没交易过债券etf,现在看起来债券etf还是很香的:流动性巨好,期权流动性也不错,不少有周期权。</p>\n<p>比私行平台企业债交易门槛更低,流动性好,还方便和期权联动。</p>\n<p>今年大概率不加息或者加息1次,加息2次的概率很低,<strong>如果明年开始降息,会有一波债券价格上升的投资机会</strong>。</p>\n<p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLT\">$债券20+美公债指数ETF-iShares(TLT)$</a> 20年国债,昨日收盘103.</p>\n<p>交易策略:可以持有正股或者sell put</p>\n<p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TMV\">$债券20+国债指数ETF-Direxion三倍做空(TMV)$</a> 3倍做空国债</p>\n<p>交易策略:sell call;这个策略比较爽,双重逻辑:降息预期 + 多倍etf的衰减效应。只是需要注意保证金风控。</p>\n<p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LQD\">$债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx投资级公司债(LQD)$</a> 投资级公司债,每月稳定分红 昨日收盘107.88</p>\n<p>交易策略:持有正股,赚分红+降息预期;sell put 赌跌不到某个值。</p>\n<p>不太推荐tmf,3倍做多国债,因为有衰减效应。</p>\n<p>此外还有7-10年的 比如ief,还有高收益债 hyg 等等,债券etf交易量的还是不少的。</p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>私行最近推企业债比较多,一些小结如下:</p>\n<p><strong>1、加息周期债券价格下跌,降息周期债券价格上涨</strong></p>\n<p>下图是最近6年联邦利率图,我们可以精确的和 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLT\">$债券20+美公债指数ETF-iShares(TLT)$</a> , <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LQD\">$债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx投资级公司债(LQD)$</a> 放一起看看,看看走势拐点在什么时候。</p>\n<p>重要思考:我们今天在加息降息周期里相当于18年几月?</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b253cbdd6865b9761a3e1bd82680473a\" tg-width=\"1188\" tg-height=\"626\"><span>联邦利率图</span></p>\n<p></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8926897fdc8fe0621ab7a7e9ba90f9f5\" tg-width=\"1836\" tg-height=\"853\"><span>tlt走势图</span></p>\n<p><strong>2、标的选择:债券ETF >> 个别企业债</strong></p>\n<p>前几年没交易过债券etf,现在看起来债券etf还是很香的:流动性巨好,期权流动性也不错,不少有周期权。</p>\n<p>比私行平台企业债交易门槛更低,流动性好,还方便和期权联动。</p>\n<p>今年大概率不加息或者加息1次,加息2次的概率很低,<strong>如果明年开始降息,会有一波债券价格上升的投资机会</strong>。</p>\n<p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLT\">$债券20+美公债指数ETF-iShares(TLT)$</a> 20年国债,昨日收盘103.</p>\n<p>交易策略:可以持有正股或者sell put</p>\n<p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TMV\">$债券20+国债指数ETF-Direxion三倍做空(TMV)$</a> 3倍做空国债</p>\n<p>交易策略:sell call;这个策略比较爽,双重逻辑:降息预期 + 多倍etf的衰减效应。只是需要注意保证金风控。</p>\n<p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LQD\">$债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx投资级公司债(LQD)$</a> 投资级公司债,每月稳定分红 昨日收盘107.88</p>\n<p>交易策略:持有正股,赚分红+降息预期;sell put 赌跌不到某个值。</p>\n<p>不太推荐tmf,3倍做多国债,因为有衰减效应。</p>\n<p>此外还有7-10年的 比如ief,还有高收益债 hyg 等等,债券etf交易量的还是不少的。</p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p></body></html>","text":"私行最近推企业债比较多,一些小结如下: 1、加息周期债券价格下跌,降息周期债券价格上涨 下图是最近6年联邦利率图,我们可以精确的和 $债券20+美公债指数ETF-iShares(TLT)$ , $债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx投资级公司债(LQD)$ 放一起看看,看看走势拐点在什么时候。 重要思考:我们今天在加息降息周期里相当于18年几月? 联邦利率图 tlt走势图 2、标的选择:债券ETF >> 个别企业债 前几年没交易过债券etf,现在看起来债券etf还是很香的:流动性巨好,期权流动性也不错,不少有周期权。 比私行平台企业债交易门槛更低,流动性好,还方便和期权联动。 今年大概率不加息或者加息1次,加息2次的概率很低,如果明年开始降息,会有一波债券价格上升的投资机会。 $债券20+美公债指数ETF-iShares(TLT)$ 20年国债,昨日收盘103. 交易策略:可以持有正股或者sell put $债券20+国债指数ETF-Direxion三倍做空(TMV)$ 3倍做空国债 交易策略:sell call;这个策略比较爽,双重逻辑:降息预期 + 多倍etf的衰减效应。只是需要注意保证金风控。 $债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx投资级公司债(LQD)$ 投资级公司债,每月稳定分红 昨日收盘107.88 交易策略:持有正股,赚分红+降息预期;sell put 赌跌不到某个值。 不太推荐tmf,3倍做多国债,因为有衰减效应。 此外还有7-10年的 比如ief,还有高收益债 hyg 等等,债券etf交易量的还是不少的。","highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187896986431648","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["TMV","TLT","LQD"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1049,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":860,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":18,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/655194326"}
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