水宝儿
2023-06-13
ABCD 我感觉应该还会继续加息 [财迷] [财迷] [财迷]
@话题虎:
【老虎第三问】加or不加?超级央行周,CPI携利率决议来袭!
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src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28a683615cf3a52fbc8927309f29a537\" tg-width=\"1197\" tg-height=\"569\"></p><h4>未来加还是不加?怎么加?</h4><p>野村证券经济学家预计,6月美联储会出现“鹰式停顿”,但其点阵图里会发继续加息的信号。鉴于通胀压力缓解,劳动力条件放缓以及贷款减少带来的不利因素,5月可能就是本轮周期最后一次加息。</p><p>但市场也有观点认为, 6月暂停加息,7月将继续加息25个基点,然后将迎来自去年3月以来的加息终点,并在12月前开始降息。</p><p>巴克莱美国高级经济学家Jonathan Millar认为:</p><blockquote>无论6月如何,美联储一定会再加息至少25个基点,在加息结束前将基准利率提高到5.5%-5.75%。</blockquote><p>《金融时报》对经济学家的最新调查则显示,经济学家认为FOMC需要采取比预期更强硬的行动来根除通胀,预计今年至少还有两次25基点的加息。</p><ul><li><p><strong><span style=\"color:#E03E2D;\" class=\"color-mark\">如何看待本周即将公布的CPI与利率决议?</span></strong></p></li><li><p><strong><span style=\"color:#E03E2D;\" class=\"color-mark\">未来加息路径又将如何演绎?</span></strong></p></li><li><p><strong><span style=\"color:#E03E2D;\" class=\"color-mark\">对美股影响几何?</span></strong></p></li></ul><p> <a data-mention-id=\".SPX\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"标普500\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a data-mention-id=\".DJI\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"道琼斯\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a> <a data-mention-id=\".IXIC\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"纳斯达克\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> </p><h4>⭐<span style=\"color:#000000;\" class=\"color-mark\">叮叮叮~【老虎第三问】来喽~⭐</span></h4><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/360238cfa0a8973d27402c2167b9f5c4\" tg-width=\"1748\" tg-height=\"1240\"></p><p><strong><span style=\"color:#E03E2D;\" class=\"color-mark\">☀️☀️转发本贴,将你的答案发表在评论区,即可得9虎币!</span></strong></p><p><strong><span style=\"color:#E03E2D;\" class=\"color-mark\">☀️☀️连续9道问题都答对的虎友,可以额外获得99虎币,另有机会抽取最新款老虎公仔!</span></strong></p><p>活动详情点击这里→<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/185129875001360\" title=\"【老虎九周年】投资九连问,天天赢虎币\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"\">【老虎九周年】投资九连问,天天赢虎币</a></p><ul><li><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/185129751834672\" title=\"【老虎第一问】当年高考,你最难忘的事情是什么?\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"\">【老虎第一问】当年高考,你最难忘的事情是什么?</a></p></li><li><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/185482837037072\" title=\"【老虎第二问】特斯拉十连涨!股价狂欢还能挺多久?\" target=\"_blank\">【老虎第二问】特斯拉十连涨!股价狂欢还能挺多久?</a></p></li></ul><p>虎币奖励将在活动结束后统一发放!快来参与吧!</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>本周二,美国5月CPI指数来袭,这也是6月利率决议前的最后一份通胀数据。</p><blockquote>4月CPI同比上涨4.9%,核心CPI数据同比涨幅5.5%,环比上涨0.4%,通胀持续维持在高位。市场预测5月CPI将从4月的4.9%回落至4.1%,核心CPI环比增速维持在0.4%</blockquote><p>虽然与美联储2%的目标相比,通胀仍处高位,但也在放缓。本周的重头戏还是在美东时间周三下午2点(北京时间周四凌晨2点)公布的美联储的利率决议。</p><p>关于本次加息,讨论最多的就是“Skip”,市场对于6月暂停加息,利率维持在在5%-5.25%已经几乎没有悬念了,但未来加息还有争议。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28a683615cf3a52fbc8927309f29a537\" tg-width=\"1197\" tg-height=\"569\"></p><h4>未来加还是不加?怎么加?</h4><p>野村证券经济学家预计,6月美联储会出现“鹰式停顿”,但其点阵图里会发继续加息的信号。鉴于通胀压力缓解,劳动力条件放缓以及贷款减少带来的不利因素,5月可能就是本轮周期最后一次加息。</p><p>但市场也有观点认为, 6月暂停加息,7月将继续加息25个基点,然后将迎来自去年3月以来的加息终点,并在12月前开始降息。</p><p>巴克莱美国高级经济学家Jonathan Millar认为:</p><blockquote>无论6月如何,美联储一定会再加息至少25个基点,在加息结束前将基准利率提高到5.5%-5.75%。</blockquote><p>《金融时报》对经济学家的最新调查则显示,经济学家认为FOMC需要采取比预期更强硬的行动来根除通胀,预计今年至少还有两次25基点的加息。</p><ul><li><p><strong><span style=\"color:#E03E2D;\" class=\"color-mark\">如何看待本周即将公布的CPI与利率决议?</span></strong></p></li><li><p><strong><span style=\"color:#E03E2D;\" class=\"color-mark\">未来加息路径又将如何演绎?</span></strong></p></li><li><p><strong><span style=\"color:#E03E2D;\" class=\"color-mark\">对美股影响几何?</span></strong></p></li></ul><p> <a data-mention-id=\".SPX\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"标普500\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a data-mention-id=\".DJI\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"道琼斯\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a> <a data-mention-id=\".IXIC\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"纳斯达克\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> </p><h4>⭐<span style=\"color:#000000;\" class=\"color-mark\">叮叮叮~【老虎第三问】来喽~⭐</span></h4><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/360238cfa0a8973d27402c2167b9f5c4\" tg-width=\"1748\" tg-height=\"1240\"></p><p><strong><span style=\"color:#E03E2D;\" class=\"color-mark\">☀️☀️转发本贴,将你的答案发表在评论区,即可得9虎币!</span></strong></p><p><strong><span style=\"color:#E03E2D;\" class=\"color-mark\">☀️☀️连续9道问题都答对的虎友,可以额外获得99虎币,另有机会抽取最新款老虎公仔!</span></strong></p><p>活动详情点击这里→<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/185129875001360\" title=\"【老虎九周年】投资九连问,天天赢虎币\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"\">【老虎九周年】投资九连问,天天赢虎币</a></p><ul><li><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/185129751834672\" title=\"【老虎第一问】当年高考,你最难忘的事情是什么?\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"\">【老虎第一问】当年高考,你最难忘的事情是什么?</a></p></li><li><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/185482837037072\" title=\"【老虎第二问】特斯拉十连涨!股价狂欢还能挺多久?\" target=\"_blank\">【老虎第二问】特斯拉十连涨!股价狂欢还能挺多久?</a></p></li></ul><p>虎币奖励将在活动结束后统一发放!快来参与吧!</p></body></html>","text":"本周二,美国5月CPI指数来袭,这也是6月利率决议前的最后一份通胀数据。 4月CPI同比上涨4.9%,核心CPI数据同比涨幅5.5%,环比上涨0.4%,通胀持续维持在高位。市场预测5月CPI将从4月的4.9%回落至4.1%,核心CPI环比增速维持在0.4% 虽然与美联储2%的目标相比,通胀仍处高位,但也在放缓。本周的重头戏还是在美东时间周三下午2点(北京时间周四凌晨2点)公布的美联储的利率决议。 关于本次加息,讨论最多的就是“Skip”,市场对于6月暂停加息,利率维持在在5%-5.25%已经几乎没有悬念了,但未来加息还有争议。 未来加还是不加?怎么加? 野村证券经济学家预计,6月美联储会出现“鹰式停顿”,但其点阵图里会发继续加息的信号。鉴于通胀压力缓解,劳动力条件放缓以及贷款减少带来的不利因素,5月可能就是本轮周期最后一次加息。 但市场也有观点认为, 6月暂停加息,7月将继续加息25个基点,然后将迎来自去年3月以来的加息终点,并在12月前开始降息。 巴克莱美国高级经济学家Jonathan Millar认为: 无论6月如何,美联储一定会再加息至少25个基点,在加息结束前将基准利率提高到5.5%-5.75%。 《金融时报》对经济学家的最新调查则显示,经济学家认为FOMC需要采取比预期更强硬的行动来根除通胀,预计今年至少还有两次25基点的加息。 如何看待本周即将公布的CPI与利率决议? 未来加息路径又将如何演绎? 对美股影响几何? $标普500(.SPX)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ ⭐叮叮叮~【老虎第三问】来喽~⭐ ☀️☀️转发本贴,将你的答案发表在评论区,即可得9虎币! ☀️☀️连续9道问题都答对的虎友,可以额外获得99虎币,另有机会抽取最新款老虎公仔! 活动详情点击这里→【老虎九周年】投资九连问,天天赢虎币 【老虎第一问】当年高考,你最难忘的事情是什么? 【老虎第二问】特斯拉十连涨!股价狂欢还能挺多久? 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