meixue
2022-02-14
敬畏市场,精心研究
@OptionPlus:
期权复盘:不要火中取栗,关注小盘股止跌信号
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<p>周五下半夜地缘政治冲击,标普500指数再次跌破了年线,收在一周低点,跟上周感觉差不多,指数走右腿的几率很大。过去两周的走势中有个小双顶,且两个小顶都没有反弹到50均线,不算强势。如上周所说,指数在4200一线盘整一周才正式反弹,这个位置大概率是跌不破,走完右腿盘整后还会有反弹。介于下周二美联储临时非公开会议,就算乌克兰问题没有发酵,下周行情也不会太平了。整体保持跟上周一样的看法,谨慎操作,不要做一些不愿意接盘的Sell Put。虽然不太认为地缘政治会影响美股,但是情绪会,VIX又突破了25。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc0af868946c5e3165b2c5dad80913e6\" tg-width=\"2198\" tg-height=\"1332\">来看看我最近比较关心的小盘股指数罗素,罗素在周五尾盘的杀跌中表现是四大指数中最好的,纳斯达克则最弱。也就是在成长股中,大型成长股跌的比中小盘更猛,也可能是小盘股前期已经超跌了。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed0379ee21b4ee0665a09e0210e754a4\" tg-width=\"2096\" tg-height=\"1220\">无论是道指还是纳斯达克跟标普的形态都大同小异,但是罗素完全不同。罗素过去两周走的是一个震荡上行的线,接下来有两种情况,我当然不希望它跟随标普等指数走右腿,而是选择每次回调底都高于上一次,继续震荡上行到压力之上。当然市场不能靠意念,罗素在1月18日就均线死叉,目前50日线跟年线的缺口很大,真正能够确定它的趋回升要等两线再次给信号,罗素仍然是近期非常值得关注的,如果小盘股都企稳了,业绩更明朗的大盘股不会走熊。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbe5974fdf018ff5b17c62544ec1de99\" tg-width=\"2144\" 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tg-height=\"1332\">来看看我最近比较关心的小盘股指数罗素,罗素在周五尾盘的杀跌中表现是四大指数中最好的,纳斯达克则最弱。也就是在成长股中,大型成长股跌的比中小盘更猛,也可能是小盘股前期已经超跌了。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed0379ee21b4ee0665a09e0210e754a4\" tg-width=\"2096\" tg-height=\"1220\">无论是道指还是纳斯达克跟标普的形态都大同小异,但是罗素完全不同。罗素过去两周走的是一个震荡上行的线,接下来有两种情况,我当然不希望它跟随标普等指数走右腿,而是选择每次回调底都高于上一次,继续震荡上行到压力之上。当然市场不能靠意念,罗素在1月18日就均线死叉,目前50日线跟年线的缺口很大,真正能够确定它的趋回升要等两线再次给信号,罗素仍然是近期非常值得关注的,如果小盘股都企稳了,业绩更明朗的大盘股不会走熊。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbe5974fdf018ff5b17c62544ec1de99\" tg-width=\"2144\" tg-height=\"1534\">大部分科技股走势跟指数差不多,就不特别说了。如果手上有持仓又不想卖,尝试用备兑期权去赚点权利金。</p> <p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 在走了一小段横盘后选择向下,看790到800的位置能否再次撑住,有点不明确,没有特别原因接盘的话不建议操作,我大概会在这里接点长期仓位,所以我会做800以下的卖put。</p> <p>我之前80被行权接盘了<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATVI\">$动视暴雪(ATVI)$</a> 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